If you look back at an analyse the polls since 2002 they have been getting less and less accurate. They were pretty much bang on in 2002, out by 2% for both major parties in 2005, out by 3-4% in 2008 and by 5-7% in 2011. The Roy Morgan one you quote Mickey...
Wow - How good was David Cunliffe? Leader for only 10 months vs. JK 7 years and one of our most popular prime ministers ever. Looks like he wants to be PM - there was fire in his belly! One has to wonder what is going on within National? Key did not seem ...
As a Political Scientist who has studied polls inside out, a couple of things to note: Firstly, same Poll by Roy Morgan in 2011 was: Nats 53.5 Labour 29.5 Greens 9.5 NZ First 2.5 Act 1 Cons 2 MP 2 UF 1 In all most all polls I have analysed Nats are 5% ...
Same poll by TV3 in the 2011 (vs. the one tonight )was: National 57.4 (47.5) Act 1.6 (0.3) MP 0.8 (0.8) UF 0 (0.2) Right 59.8 (48.8) NZ First 1.9 (4.6) Labour 26.6 (29) Greens 9.8 (13) Mana 0 (2) Left 36.4 (44) Gap between right and left in 2011 was 23.4, ...
Yes, I read it too! No dream. Wonder why not available?
As a political scientist, what a terrible bit of research by Colmar Brunton and then for TVNZ to publish it. So, they do one poll on electoral vote (which shows National candidate leading) and then remind/discuss voters John Key's request for National ...
Nadis, As a political scientist you make a very valid point about the over hang seats - they could well be the key. However, you assertion they will favour National is wrong. The have historically favoured the left and if Hone wins and IMP get 3-4.5% of ...
Seylands, your are right...it is a commercial programme! However, as I'm sure your aware TVNZ is owned by the government which is ultimately funded by the tax payer. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Television_New_Zealand That aside, what a total waste of ...
Looks like National Standards is working real well...not! http://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/news/article.cfm?c_id=1&objectid=11298477
TVNZ are a joke...here is a copy of an email I sent them last night through their 'feedback channels'...no response back (not that I expected one)! Hi, I have some feedback/questions for you following your show on Tuesday 22 July and the interview with ...
Labour are back and with a vengeance! The new process for electing the leader has to rate 9/10 (Clare Curran spoiling a perfect 10/10)…I was originally against it, but credit has to go to the party (and David Shearer) for giving Labour time in the press ...
Pity about her soft spot for Troofer nutbars: http://readingthemaps.blogspot.com/2010/01/jeanettes-other-legacy.html
What makes you think that? The same thing that makes you not able to spell 'EPMU' properly? Face it mate you don't know what you're talking about.
Full respect to my comrades in the SFWU but they're barely solvent and are looking at merging with the PSA to save themselves. They play an important role on the left but they're really in no position to lead it. (They're also affiliated to labour so there...
Trotter is a joke among all but a few on the left because his politics are stuck in the 1980s. He's never gotten past what happened to the Labour party and he has a warped view of how it and the unions work now. That is when he's not making an arse of ...
Armchair radicals like Trotter and "Ray" can attack the EPMU and Andrew Little all they like, they don't have to make decisions in the real world. It's easy to criticise from a position of ignorance and irrelevance. The fact is the EPMU gets the highest ...
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