Labour managed to shed 23% points tonight; the Greens picked up 2%. That should give the 'anti-centrists' something to think about. Labour can lose more to the right than the left gains. Obviously this is not a simple equation and leadership, circumstances...
I know all you lightweights are asleep but ACT are about to drop below 9%. The NZ film Panthers has just started on TV1. Feels kinda subversive.
On the contrary, my dear fellow, I agree with you! I was just pointing out that your earlier contention, "If all it took was money it'd be National/Act every election" was absolutely correct. No amount of money would have propelled the Collins into power ...
TV1 has followed its election coverage with a mockumentary about the spread of Covid in Britain and the Johnson government's flailing incompetence. Which suggests someone responsible for programing is very astute indeed.
There are some propositions investors prefer not to risk capital in. Judith Collins was one ...
48.2% and a bit of the vote still to come in. Even Jessica Mutch McKay has realised there is a lot still to be decided. John Campbell is doing what John Campbell always does - we will be okay because we are New Zelaand. Which is to rather miss the point.
NACT trending towards 48%. Special votes, overhangs and wasted votes will screw up all calculations for now. I think National should have put in Labour in 2020 performance. They fell slightly short, and may live to rue it.
Luxon's performance flatters Labour. They should have been reduced to single figures after throwing themselves on the Covid grenade.
Increasing poverty and hardship is your #1 priority?
Huge percentage? Less than 40%, and falling.
Labour have managed to put on 1% over the last two hours. Assuming they are just getting warmed up, they might manage to get to 27.5%, maybe even 28%. While I may sound facetious I am desperate to see enough movement to force NACT into an arrangement with ...
Nar's under 40%. Act on 9.19% and looking likely to fall off slightly. In the immortal final words of infamous cannibal cannibal murderer Sawney Bean, "This isn't over! It will never be over!"
White is a single vote ahead of Lee as of right now! Comeback!
With all due, if this is a stonking job what would a bad, or even an indifferent job look like. We're getting excited at the idea Winston Peters - WINSTON PETERS - might manage to dilute the evil that is about to be unleashed on New Zealand. A stonking job...
Jake Tame suddenly looking nervous as he realises everything he's said for the last three hours has been wrong.
A curious moment of crossover is about to occur, as Labour's On The Day vote starts to lead the Advance vote. So now we will see how much difference Angry Chris made … Of course, we;re talking dire numbers here – 26.26% …
David Seymour is speaking, trying to look pleased with the idea of watching Winston eating his lunch tomorrow, and every day for the next three years.
To be fair, there hasn't been much to talk about since 7.15. NAtioanl + ACT are masses ahead! They might / might not need Winston! Maori Party thrashing Labour! That's the last three hours.
NACT dip under 50%
Luxon will be PM, but National's vote is slowly slipping. Not yet half the votes counted. NACT are only just over 50% now, and then there is the overhang to be negotiated. I suspect they are going to wake up to a hangover tomorrow and the realisation they ...
Labour's advance vote share: 26.2% Labour's on the day vote share: 26.1% Labour's problem may be they are running out of advance votes and will be left with its on the day vote, which seems lower ...
I remember the 2001 election and how for a brief moment the pundits were talking about a 'Grand coalition of the right' governing New Zealand. Then it all collapsed to an appalling night for National. Obviously that is not going to happen tonight but I am ...
And again, advance votes SURGE to 26.12%; on-the-day creeps up to 25.96%!
As I typed the above, Labour SURGE again to 26.03% on the advance votes, dragging the overall tally to 25.95% ...
I wish you hadn't given me that link because a) you've given me a glimmer of hope and b) you've given me another thing to look at. Oddly, Labour are 25.96 on the advance votes, 25.80 on the overall tally. Did they manage to lose ground as the campaign wore...
I think Grant could read the entrails when Ardern stepped down and knew it was wise to sit that one out. But he lost to Cunliffe and had to sit back when Ardern was anointed, post-Little. But this might be his chance. He's only 51 - which I no longer ...
Labour SURGE to 25.75%!
Grant Robertson on TVNZ, looking very chipper, like he is anticipating a promotion. Third time lucky, eh, Grant? Based on the current prediction Labour will get 33 MPs, he only needs to persuade 16 of them to vote for him to make it happen.
I remember in 2005 watching Labour claw back a deficit, roughly 1% of party vote for every 10% of the vote that came in as the night went on ... I think that must have been when the on-the-day votes were counted. But currently Labour are still falling ... ...
Interesting. Though unlikely to make much of a difference. But if NACT do fall below 50% expect howling and despair from the right.
Melissa Lee look likely to take Mount Albert for National. Given it is Helen Clark and Jacinda Ardern's former seat, does this make her the next leader of the Labour Party?
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