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Another poll

Written By: - Date published: 7:34 am, March 5th, 2011 - 90 comments
Categories: polls - Tags:

Another Roy Morgan poll is out.

Support for the Government is down 1.5% to 53.5%
National Party 49% (down 3.5%)
Maori Party 3% (up 1.5%)
ACT NZ 1.5% (up 1%)
United Future 0% (down 0.5%)

Hmmm – I’d like to see United Future a little lower if possible. Anyway…

Support for Opposition Parties is up 1.5% to 46.5%
Labour Party 35% (up 2%)
Greens 8%, (down 0.5%)
New Zealand First 3% (up 0.5%)
Others 0.5% (down 0.5%)

Even more worrying for the Nats must be the finding that the number saying New Zealand is ‘heading in the right direction’ has fallen to 49.5% (down 10.5%), compared to 35% (up 10.5%) that say New Zealand is ‘heading in the wrong direction.’

The poll was taken over the period February 14-27, so it includes several days after the Christchurch quake. I would have expected to see some evidence of a National Party boost here, the usual consequence of people rallying behind “the leader” in difficult times. But there’s no sign of that. Perhaps it was swamped in the preceding revulsion at the BMW lies and largesse.

All of my posts for March will finish with this note. While life goes on as usual outside Christchurch, let our thoughts be with those who are coping with the aftermath, with the sorrow of so many who were lost, and with the challenges ahead.

90 comments on “Another poll”

  1. Yep the beemers effect and revulsion to the Nat’s privatization proposals are starting to show through.

  2. Lanthanide 2

    In the previous couple of polls that came out with only the last couple of polling days after major events (state of the nation speeches, Key’s loser week) several people here (including lprent) commented that very little polling is actually done in the last couple of days of the window – that time is spent on the analysis and polling the last few individuals to make up their required cohort.

    Using that logic, we can expect that the earthquake won’t be heavily factored in until the next poll. Of course by then we’ll be seeing the judgement of the government’s response (eg ignoring the eastern suburbs, businesses not being supported as much as they should) rather than the immediate disaster’s aftermath.

    • lprent 2.1

      Yep. I think that we are mostly seeing the BMW and the response to the other issues in ae Jan and early to mid Feb (polls are also laggy because people mostly don’t change their minds without thinking itover for a while).

      Think that the earthquake is still to come….. :twisted:

  3. Zaphod Beeblebrox 3

    Those BMWs realy pissed a lot of people off.

    • Herodotus 3.1

      ZB still trying to find out the real story re BMW’s. On Leighton Sir John commented that they are “free” (hopefully not free as in 20 free hrs). Yet I have not heard anyone from Lab & a denial. I am sure part is strategy not to be involved. But does than mean it will take 3 years in which new cars appear to find out the truth or if they don’t also the truth?
      p.s. Botany my guess turnout 34% it is cats and dog weather -

      • bbfloyd 3.1.1

        you can probably update your (hopeful?) assesment of voter numbers H. it’s stopped raining.

        • Herodotus 3.1.1.1

          Surprised to see so many immigrants at the voting station, but that was 10:00 I would have a very uneductated guess that voter turnout will dramatically fall off as the day wears on. The cats/dogs may have refrained but it still is a miserable day, even Sat sport is cancelled so less reason to go out of the house.
          Should JLR win I wonder what the turnout will be to replace him in council. the prospective replacement with the largest family and friends circle I guess will be the new Jafa Council rep, of the one that is 1st on the list So for any candiates change your name to Abram Aadvark it could be a winner !!!

  4. lprent 4

    I am less concerned about the popularity figures which seem to be slowly losing the holiday effect. Basically the gap between possible left and right coalitions is narrowing to achievable levels for the time between now and the election. That is fine but it merely means that the election is liable to turn on single electorate MPs in minnow parties like Act which polls don’t estimate.

    I am more interested in the GCR as a effective surrogate for future changes in voting intentions. Some of that could be because of sampling variation (but that seems to top out at 5-6% variation in the past), so the question for me is what level of bounce back happens in the next Morgan poll. If it stays down or gets worse, then the government has taken terrible hit. If it bounces up 5% or so it is sampling error and just damaging. If it rises by significantly more than 5%, then there is probably a favorable earthquake effect and that would be a problem because it is likely to sustain itself.

    As a side issue. It is pretty clear why the right have been actively trying to control the debate on the quake rebuilding.

  5. tsmithfield 5

    “Those BMWs realy pissed a lot of people off.”

    BMWs?? What BMW’s????

    Oh thats right. I have a foggy memory there somewhere. Recent events have pushed the memory into the background somewhat. Perhaps the earthquake was engineered by the Nats as a distraction? :smile:

    • bbfloyd 5.1

      surely you have better things to do than talk utter rubbish on here ts? surely………

      • Jim MacDonald 5.1.1

        Had visitors, including from Christchurch, the past few days – “rallying behind ‘the leader'” was not quite the reaction; some said this PM is a curse (!)

        • Colonial Viper 5.1.1.1

          Yes. This PM is a curse upon the country, no two ways about it. Interesting isn’t it, when you also consider that he still has so many people under his sway in the personal popularity polls.

          • Jim MacDonald 5.1.1.1.1

            Had a certain charm on some. That too will go.
            As some former Merrill Lynch clients would say.

    • I would not put anything past those bastards !

  6. Rosy 6

    It could have been something more substantial than BMWs- like asset sales and welfare reform…. (although being caught out lying is pretty substantial)

    • bbfloyd 6.1

      not just lying rosy…. doing it repeatedly,, changing the story every time, and, in the end,, never actually tell the truth. …… over a non issue like that……. what does that say about what he would say when it’s really important.. that is what scares me, and quite few others i would guess..

      • ianmac 6.1.1

        The irony is that the BMW is a great deal, one that we owners of 21 year old cars could only dream of. But deliciously the Key lot cannot and will not admit that the Labour Goverment made a great deal. Poltics!

  7. Gina 7

    Proposing solo mums go look for work when kids turn 3 will alienate a lot of women voters who at some stage or other have needed the DPB.

    And the crazy idea to make women look for a job when second babe is 14 weeks old well that will turn off more moderate nats who used to vote Labour.

    I imagine people seeing the odd news item with Helen Clark is making some swing voters remeber how much better things actually were under Labour.

    • Steve 7.1

      Agree re your Helen comment Gina.To hear her reasoned comments in the Chch interview with that authoritative voice made me yearn for a better time and a PM who can make a presentation without sounding like he’s reading to a kindergarten class.

  8. RedLogix 8

    Basically another 4% swing would make it a very close election. As in fact was the last one, although most commentators by focussing solely on the gap between Nat and Lab were just revealed nothing but their corporate agendas.

    Policy and achievment wise National should lose this election… but a popular and apparently affable John Key remains their ‘get out of jail free’ card.

    By contrast Labour should be polling in the 40% range, but Phil Goff seems unable to get much traction. Not wholly his fault, event’s have dealt him nothing but a bad hand…but equally he can’t seem to shake his wooden and ‘professional polly’ personality when being interviewed.

    As long as the left continues to buy into the media’s presidential style personality driven politics … it will remain at a disadvantage in this game. Just relying on Key to make a bad mistake or get bored with it all seems a weak strategy, after all no-one is irreplaceable and another Key clone would eventually get manufactured.

    This is not an insoluble problem, you have to think it’s been faced and beaten elsewhere in the world.

    • Jim MacDonald 8.1

      “another Key clone would eventually get manufactured” – has this something to do with Simon Power who looked around and counted the chances?

      • Olwyn 8.1.1

        Yes, C & T have probably already done a little work on Joyce’s “laddish but lovable” image, with the wardrobe etc, very loosely planned, just to be on the safe side.

  9. higherstandard 9

    zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz

    • Macro 9.1

      zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz

      • ianmac 9.1.1

        Thats a bit worrying you two, nodding off in mid morning. My neighbour, who suffers from dementia poor old fellow, does that too.

        • higherstandard 9.1.1.1

          No cricket so back to zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz

        • Mac1 9.1.1.2

          It’s called “sleepwalking to victory.” Born of “Tory born to rule” beliefs.

          A 7% gap between the two groupings eight months out is very interesting. Just a 3.5% swing.

          Capcha “easy”. Well, not quite, but very achievable.

          • higherstandard 9.1.1.2.1

            No it’s called “who gives a fuck about polls 9 months out from an election”

        • lprent 9.1.1.3

          We have been snoozing or reading (or watching true blood in lyn’s case) most of the day. It is coolish, raining, and we’ve been waking up at odd hours all week because of the weather. Nice relaxing day.

        • Macro 9.1.1.4

          I fell asleep after reading HS’s scintillating comment.
          But I see there has been even more startling analysis.

  10. Sanctuary 10

    I was talking to a couple of colleagues at work this week – both are family men with new babies and earning around the 55k mark – and even the “not ruling out” changes to WFF from Key and English is enough to, literally, cause them to panic since for them WFF isn’t about discretionary income. But, I think, something bigger is happening in New Zealand right now.

    There was a comment by (I think) A.J.P. Taylor that before Munich in 1938 the British sought desperately to avoid refighting the last war; after Munich, they grimly prepared for the next one. In other words, there was a minset change from a postbellum to an antebellum one – a shift in mindset completely missed by the Germans. I’m picking up a similar sea-change in opinion in New Zealanders after the Canterbury earthquake, a shift away from the angry right wing identity politics so carefully cultivated, fertilized and nutured by the National Party that got them elected and sustains the hate against the beneficiaries and outliers of our country and towards a more nunaced recognition of community and a sense of nationalistic collectiveness.

    Like the Germans, many in the beltway are missing this sea change, which is why I think, for example, John Armstrong has currently completely lost the plot – his persistent belief that the public has any appetite at all for the Victorian morality and draconian suggestions of the Rebstock welfare report betrays someone who has spent far to much time having lunch with right wing lobbyists. Rebstock and co have overplayed their hand. The randomness of the earthquake has reminded all New Zealanders that most poor are unlucky, not undeserving. In turn, this has exposed this government’s harsh and divisive ideology for what it is at exactly the time when a certain spirit of the Blitz is abroad in the land, and no one outside the looney tune charactertures at Kiwiblog feel any desire to punish their fellow citizens anymore.

    National’s stock in trade for the last six years has been a to play on right wingidentity politics and to rule by stoking resentment between New Zealanders of different classes. Paula Bennett, Judith Collins, Anne Tolley, even John Key in his appeal to the mediocrity in us all, are creatures crafted from a publicist’s playbook to appeal to the dark side of the Kiwi soul, more billboards and publicity stunts than real politicians.

    Time will tell if the New Zealand public, in the inclusive (even, dare I say it, pleasant) feeling of oneness that has embraced us all in the aftermath of the Christchurch disaster still has any appetite for the identity politics of the National Party.

    • ianmac 10.1

      Not so sure today Sanctuary :”why I think, for example, John Armstrong has currently completely lost the plot .” A perceptive Armstrong post and a shift in position?
      http://www.nzherald.co.nz/opinion/news/article.cfm?c_id=466&objectid=10710236

    • Tiger Mountain 10.2

      Not quite sure what you mean by “right wing identity politics”. If you substituted ‘aspirational’ for ‘identity’ perhaps.

      That widespread 08 election feeling- if I just worked a bit harder, dissed the ‘bludgers’ a bit more, I too could be like JFK (John F***ing Key) it was an aspirational hard sell that got people voting ultimately against their own interests.

      The thing is with tax cuts neutralized by GST, childcare up, petrol up, unemployement up, possible cuts to WFF, aspiration is not going to put food on the table for a hell of a lot of people.

      • Colonial Viper 10.2.1

        Its Right Wing class politics. Attempting to turn the middle and working classes against the underclass of NZ.

        While denying that there is a growing underclass in this country.

        • ianmac 10.2.1.1

          Mind you, given the down ward slide of the Nation there will have to be a clear easily identified alternative. To the Bridge Horatio!

    • neoleftie 10.3

      i tend to agree here: a heck of a.lot of people are know experiencing what the ‘poor non-class’ of new zealand is actual like. One moment a nice house and an income the next resigned to the dole and maybe if lucky a tent in Keys tent city for what 5 months until the state builds a few thousand houses. Everyone under the elite class is simply one bad outcome from the bread line. How many MSE with house mortgaged etc are now facing financial ruin…

    • Carol 10.4

      Maybe post WW2 in Britain is more apt. It was then that the Brits had a consensus on the need for cradle-to-grave welfare state provisions. This was a result of the feeling that all Britons, of all classes, worked collaboratively together on the war effort. So the feeling was that the state should provide for all, as a reward for that effort.

      • neoleftie 10.4.1

        surely history has proven that both the ideological driven policies of right and left have failed. What we need now is a discourse on what is the ‘next’ way that incorporates the marco and micro policy shifts and outcome that we are inherantly stuck with in both an internal and external globalised sense. We are connected to the capitalistic world so cannot radically change or alter this condition.
        What we can do is popularise throught the grassroot structure the “next’ way framework that will bring about a more balanced and stable marco structure soas to benefit all and not just a few.
        The discouce on the ‘next way’ has just begun….

  11. Adrian 11

    Key’s Achilles heal is that when properly fronted he looks like a possum in the headlights and a hint of panic flicks across his face, you can even see the evidence in what passes for a brain go “Shit, what do I do now”and momentarily appears to go into shutdown mode, while the body goes into the flight response. Last night, on TV3 while on his fleeting visit to the Eastern Suburbs he was fronted about visiting one power station and one short street, while on camera, a Radio NZ questioner about this selectivity left him stranded and looking like he was shitting himself. He really has this desperate, desperate need to be liked. Fronting the bugger is the key ( forgive ) to beating him in November.

    • Tiger Mountain 11.1

      “Fronting the bugger is the key to beating him”
      it is certainly a significant part of any strategy to rock him, I noticed he turned on the journo immediately saying “those are your words” rather than answering the substantive point.

      John Key has a nasty streak in him that should be provoked more often.

      • Alexandra 11.1.1

        TG – Saw that, Key was clearly pissed off. He managed to quickly correct himself with a strained smile. The nasty streak was very evident. Good on that young reporter, hope we see more enquiry of that kind, as the election looms nearer

  12. Leaving aside the Nats for a moment…

    What have the Greens done to deserve losing 1/17 of their support?

    And what has NZF done to deserve a bump of 1/6 in its support?!

    And ACT tripling its support??

    I know the overall numbers are small which makes the swings more severe etc. But that’s still some seismic shifts, specially for ACT.

    [0% for United Future?! Did no one think to ring Peter Dunne’s place, or was he out having his hair re-lacquered?]

    • Lanthanide 12.1

      One thing that is clear about the morgan results is that everything is always rounded off to a nice 0.5%, which actually does them a bit of a disservice because it probably masks shifts for the smaller parties significantly. Eg what might’ve polled as 0.7% is marked at 0.5%, and the next poll they get 0.8% so it is rounded up to 1%.

      Sure, there’s margin of error and they try and massage the numbers nicely to make it fit, but I think they’d be better off just reporting the raw un-rounded numbers (after other sufficient massage is done).

    • RedLogix 12.2

      Basically Rex I regard these variations especially in the smaller parties pretty much as noise.

      If the sample size is 1000 and there are say 30% ‘don’t knows’ then only 700 gave an answer:

      If the Greens polled at 8% this is only 56 people.

      1/17th variation in 56 people is only 3 people. Trying to draw a meaningful conclusion on this is pretty futile.

      • swordfish 12.2.1

        Spot on. Always remember the margin-of-error. Polls should never be taken as indicating absolutely precise measurements, particularly where the minor parties are concerned.

      • Oh, the sample size is about 1,000?! That explains it then. Thanks RL.

        I always remember – in the context of radio ratings – some “expert” explaining things according to “the coffee cup principle”: if you take just half a teaspon of coffee and taste it, then you know what the rest of the cup is like.

        But people aren’t coffee (rather obviously, I thought at the time, but then I wasn’t the “expert”) – they don’t mix homogenously for one thing, so you’ve got to be incredibly careful to sample a representative range of sex, income, etc etc. And to do that in a meningful way requires more than two or three of each category (IMO, I know the pollsters will argue otherwise).

        In fact upon squinting at the fine print (helpfully printed in grey!) on the poll I see a total of 888 people were asked, so not even 3 would be needed to tip the Greens vote.

        More importantly, I can rest easy about the apparent rise of NZF :-D

  13. Oscar 13

    I’m picking 47% for National/Act and 47% for Labour/Greens. NZF with 6%

    Have you not noticed how 50/50 the vox populii is becoming? Once Neptune enters Pisces, it’s all on from there baby.

    Last time that aligment happened, the Communist Manifesto was published.

    • Akldnut 13.1

      lol Been doing a bit of matai-whetu Oscar, am I going to win Lotto tonight? or should I not waste my money.

      • oscar 13.1.1

        Not at all. Science has shown that the magnetic pull of the outer planets does have an effect on earth.
        After all, if the earths magnetism is affected, our brains, that hotbed of magnetic energy, obviously are also.
        Take a look at what else happened last time Neptune was in Pisces.
        As for winning lotto, you’d want a clairvoyant. Not an astrologer.

      • lprent 13.1.2

        Nice gravatar…

  14. Key choppering in to the less affluent areas of Christchurch wearing his bright red BNZ shirt (Friday) would also have lost him a few points. How revolting.

    • logie97 14.1

      … wasn’t a good look either when he said it was not realistic for him to see the whole eastern area, especially given he had spent some important time in the Botany electorate for some photo ops.

      • neoleftie 14.1.1

        surely that the job of a leader to gather valid first hand information so as to make good informed decision or provide the necessary weight or direction of those key decisions.
        On day 2-3 Key should have a clear picture and directed the set-up of centres for the distrubution of food to those effected and cut off from the normal supply chain.

  15. Irascible 15

    Using a totally unscientific process of skim reading the letters to the editor online for the Herald, TV3, DomPost and a few others I detect a swing against the Key led NACT govt with a greater number of letters critical of him as a leader and of his policies over recent weeks, including the earthquake, than those in support of him and his activities.
    Perhaps the Morgan poll is demonstrating what the letters to the editor are beginning to indicate???

  16. tsmithfield 16

    Actually, I don’t think the glee expressed here is warranted yet.

    Firstly, given the fiasco over BMWs, and the controversy whipped up over asset sales, I am surprised the drop for the Nats was only 3.5%. As pointed out above, the tail of the poll caught the Christchurch earthquake. So, I suspect there may well have been a bounce back towards National at the end that accounts for the smallish drop.

    Secondly, National only has to do a half decent job responding to the earthquake to benefit from it. There is all the public exposure, and the argument likely to run in voters minds about not changing captains in the middle of a storm etc. Other than for the blip in Bromley the other day, the response and media exposure has been quite good.

    Thirdly, the earthquake has distracted voters minds from the BMW fiasco that wasn’t looking good for National. I think even ardent National fans would admit that was handled badly. So, National caught a lucky break on this one in terms of distraction. Although I am sure they would rather be dealing with BMWs than earthquakes.

    Fourthly, the Nats are likely to have a much more arguable case for asset sales:- to pay for the earthquake. This is likely to appeal more to voters than having more money taken from them in an earthquake tax, especially given the difficult economic times. Also, National is likely to make a strong case for reducing the size of government so savings can be diverted to the earthquake cost.

    Finally, what ever spending promises Labour makes are likely to be countered by the affordability argument, especially given the earthquake costs that need to be funded. If Labour doesn’t like the idea of asset sales then they may have to promise across-the-board tax increases to pay for the earthquake and their promises. This is likely to go down like a lead balloon with voters.

    On the balance of this, I expect National to do quite well. My prediction is that the next poll will show a 5 point gain from the current position.

    • Colonial Viper 16.1

      Fourthly, the Nats are likely to have a much more arguable case for asset sales:- to pay for the earthquake. This is likely to appeal more to voters than having more money taken from them in an earthquake tax,

      Using the earthquake as the rationale for asset sales now risks sounding false as they will be doing what they originally intended. The earthquake will have changed nothing.

      Key and English will be kicking themselves for putting the asset sales on the table just before the earthquake struck, nullifying their ability to practice Disaster Capitalism.

      • neoleftie 16.1.1

        geeze – some of our large SOE are the first to ‘step into the breech’ and provide a measure of relief or support. e.g Contact supplying free gas refills in chch.
        There is no sense at all to sell off the state economic backbone of performing companies and provide a anchor or ‘actors’ on the private sector and their performance.

        • tsmithfield 16.1.1.1

          Not attempting to argue the case for asset sales. Rather that National will be able to put forward rationale for asset sales on the basis of funding the earthquake. Whether or not that rationale is sound is a different debate.

    • Rosy 16.2

      I agree with your analysis tsmithfield but Labour can change your expectations of a National rise in the polls by arguing for ‘pulling together’ as Christchurch people have done and arguing that selling state assets, sacking the public sector etc fragments any response to disasters like Christchurch. They can argue that pulling together is how the people of Christchurch have managed to get through a horrendous situation and more of this is needed.

  17. tsmithfield 17

    I agree that they could better exploit the asset sale argument if they had raised it after the earthquake. However, I think they can still argue there is even more reason for asset sales now. Either that or raising taxes. Voters choice.

    • neoleftie 17.1

      without a clear mandate the chance of asset sales is slim i think. The connectiveness of grassroots communities ‘people power’ that coordinated a huge supply response into the shattered communities of the eastern suburbs of CHCH surely is a wake up call to the Tories that given a good cause people and communities given the information can combine to achieve a level of power or outcome that should be downplayed.
      Most people according to the poll agree that selling state assets is a negative thing. Surely a labour counter strategy to the ideological driven asset sale menality is to link the benefits to the communities that such SOE like contact did for the communities of chch. $3M in free gas to chch – what private company would do that now.

    • Colonial Viper 17.2

      I think they can still argue there is even more reason for asset sales now. Either that or raising taxes. Voters choice.

      Other alternatives might be new taxes (a variant of raising taxes I guess), or more borrowing, or cutting spending on services.

      • tsmithfield 17.2.1

        True. But from what I have seen from comments from the left is that the trigger finger is itchy for more taxes.

        • Colonial Viper 17.2.1.1

          An array of asset or property based taxes is called for I think. There is a huge economic system going on there which is not even touched at the moment e.g. as Sam Morgan pointed out when he sold TradeMe.

          Also, income taxes at the 5x and 20x median income thresholds should go up.

          the left is that the trigger finger is itchy for more taxes.

          I guess its clear to most nowadays that every dollar that the Government cannot raise in taxes, it either has to borrow* (and subsequently pay interest on) or alternatively cut a dollars worth of services and support to the public.

          *Of course I think that the Government could borrow from itself, at 0% interest rate i.e. print money to invest in the productive economy.

    • Marty G 17.3

      Asset sales are only attempts to realise now the present value of future dividends. If we take the money now, we don’t have the money from the dividends in the future to pay for stuff, meaning taxes will have to be raised to cover the hole.

  18. tsmithfield 18

    “$3M in free gas to chch – what private company would do that now.”

    Air NZ have been giving $50 air fares (not fully private but similar to the model the Nats propose).
    Telecom have been giving free telephone calls.

    Just several off the top of my head.

    So generosity is not limited to fully public corporations.

    • neoleftie 18.1

      correct me if im wrong but doesnt the state own 50% share of air new zealand and hasnt the tax payer pumped in billions over the years into air new zealand.
      My point is simply that a state owned / controlled or influenced company has a more civic duty to the state or public stakeholders than a purely private company model that is driven solely by profit concerns to its shareholders.
      Your implied point about the state selling a non controlling share solely to small kiwi investors i believe has some merit and need to be explored further but surely if any company has any state ownership then by defintion or charter they would have an increased civic duty.
      That is why it is so important to retain a function and productive SOE core – they balance out the private sector sole goal of maxamising profits

      • tsmithfield 18.1.1

        So if private/public blended companies that equate to the Nats proposed model can be generous, then your original point doesn’t stand, does it?

        Also I understand that the petrol companies didn’t raise prices in ChCh when they were raising them elsewhere.

        • neoleftie 18.1.1.1

          they surely are making enought profit from the rest then but yes i give them that – a nice gesture. I just dont have it in me to trust a solely profit driven entity..

          • tsmithfield 18.1.1.1.1

            Perhaps you are viewing these entities too much as faceless corporations, and missing the point that they are made up of lots of individuals who may well have had family and friends caught up in the tragedy.

            • neoleftie 18.1.1.1.1.1

              true true true – just wish that we had more connected individuals to offset the corporate greed.

              • tsmithfield

                How do you define “greed”? Profits may seem huge. But on a ROI basis, profits on capital invested are often not that much better than keeping money in the bank at virtually no risk.

                • Colonial Viper

                  But on a ROI basis, profits on capital invested are often not that much better than keeping money in the bank at virtually no risk

                  Edison Energy did very well out of Contact Energy for instance. They sold their stake for something like a 50% ROI, as well as pulling out hundreds of millions in dividends pushing that number even higher.

                  But essentially I agree with you – in this day and age ponzi capitalism often generates better returns than investment in the productive economy e.g. speculators fueling the housing price bubble.

                  “Huge” profits can also be characterised not based on ROI %, but on what a portion of that money can do for a society if it is taxed and subsequently spent on providing services and infrastructure for that society.

  19. Anthony C 19

    National’s problem is that their brand message isn’t equal to brand experience.

    People are feeling the hard truth of a Government asleep at the wheel, it gets harder and harder to spin your way out of that.

    It’s all a question of whether this dissatisfaction peaks before the election or not.

  20. Jenny 20

    Labour limply trails behind the government, (in policy and in the polls). By not putting up alternatives to government policy – Labour risk becoming in the public mind, the do nothing opposition.

    Mortgage Relief Legislation?

    emergency measures taken at times of widespread financial distress arising from economic or natural causes. The alterations were usually to the apparent advantage of the borrower and thus are referred to as relief for mortgage debtors, or, when statutory, simply as mortgage relief legislation.

    Answers.com

    This is such a simple and obvious solution.

    Mortgage Relief Legislation would provide immediate relief for landlords and tenants and not cost the government a cent. (And as well would keep tens of millions of dollars in circulation in the Christchurch economy, that would otherwise be repatriated to the Aussie owned banks.)

    Why aren’t the opposition Labour Party calling for this?

    The Christchurch Earthquake has been described as New Zealand’s worst natural disaster.

    Surely the scale of this emergency and the on going problems justify this emergency measure?

    Are Labour, even in opposition, frightened of offending the banks?

    Labour’s founding leaders had no such qualms about putting their constituency’s needs above that of the banks.

    Is the modern Labour Party’s concern for the welfare of the bankers, over riding their concern for the welfare of the people of Christchurch?

    captcha – “solutions”

    • neoleftie 20.1

      that jenny is the multi billion dollar question – has the labour party elites that control the party fallen so far to the right of the party ideological matrix that they by there very nature have forgotten the historical roots of the party and indeed the make up of the ‘catch all party’ that we call labour.
      bring on the trinity and its discourse…
      The wheels within the wheels that strategise for the party should by now coming out in full support and offering meaningful dialogue on practical and ‘big’ solutions to this crisis.
      This is indeed NZ darkest hour – we face the perils of external and now internal chaos.

    • Gina 20.2

      Jenny I have noticed in the past when labour submit a good idea the nats rubbish it as been impractical then they steel it. Usually they steal it pretty quick and the media gives them the credit for it.
      The idea of mortgage relief should be submitted as it is desperately needed but don’t imagine the Labour party will get any credit for it in the media. National will steel it, the media will accuse labour of using the earthquake to get votes, National will adopt it and the media will heap large amounts of praise on John Key.

      The only way Labour has any chance at the next election is bypassing the MSM.

      • Jenny 20.2.1

        .

        Jenny I have noticed in the past when labour submit a good idea the nats rubbish it as been impractical then they steel it.

        Gina

        Gina, for the welfare of the people of Christchurch I do hope the Nats steal this idea, as you say “it is desperately needed”.

        If you are right, and National steal this policy, then all we have to do to get it implemented, is get Labour to raise it in the house.

        Labour may not get the credit for it, but who cares, at least Labour will have done the right thing for the people of Christchurch. To do nothing because of petty fears of not being able to claim the credit for it, is churlish and party sectarian in the extreme.

  21. Anne 21

    @ Jenny.
    If Labour was releasing policy six times a day, the MSM would be ignoring them. There’s only one story in town, the earthquake. Politics is on hold. Nobody wants to know. Havn’t at this stage seen the final result, but look at the turnout in Botony – be lucky to make a total of 15,000. I can’t be sure of course but my reckoning is: that Labour were planning to reveal new initiatives around now, but have had to delay until political life returns to normal.

    • Jenny 21.1

      “There’s only one story in town, the earthquake.”

      Anne

      Absolutely Anne. That is why Labour needs to release some cut through policy on this issue. Left wing policy different to the National Government’s projected right wing response, of sacrificing social spending while leaving the profits of the banks and financiers untouched.

      A left political response is needed

      Otherwise the decision will be: We have decided, that the worse off, will be the ones to bear the costs of this earthquake.

      The government will load this crisis onto the shoulders of the less well off. The well off get a free run. (again).

      When will this nonsense stop?

      With no concrete challenges being raised in parliament by the left to this course of action, or any alternative course of action being proposed by Labour, how can we expect a swing away from National in the polls, or even come election time?

      • McFlock 21.1.1

        For at least the next couple of weeks, releasing an integrated “left”(labour) plan for compensation and reconstruction is out because it’s basic gutter politiking.

        And as Anne said, any other issue is irrelevant to the one story in town. And if you release policy anyway, by the time msm are prepared to pay attention to it, it’s old news.

        But the nacts are beginning to shoot themselves in the foot, earthquake-wise. At the very least Brownlee is waving a gun at his toes. And I get the impression people are beginning to tire of the smile&wave beemer visits.

        • neoleftie 21.1.1.1

          all good points – its my very humble opinion that the labour is biding its time and waiting for nearer the election, one shot, one strategy and that is to provide a meaningful point of difference between the left block and the Tory front. non of this take the centre or swop lite labour / tory confused mess where the electorate picks the pretty boy with a nice wave and smile and centralist gimmick policies.

          But i caution the left bloggers and party activists that without a left block win and the tories get their ‘goldern’ mandate they will create the situation where the left will not be able to recover from…if asset sale on a grand scale goes ahead and the depowering and retrenchment of the state civil sector and other state organs, that create positive change or indeed a brake of radical change ) then it will be nigh on impossible to recover from the short term ideolically Tory inspired dream of a disconnected and disemplowered individual, complete rise of unfetted materalism and the dismantling of the balanced state / private sector mechanism.
          We has the 90’s were H1- H3 created the imbedded ‘actors’ that dictated radicalised and progressive social change now in the darkest time its time for a slugish labour grouping to get the mandate they need to stabalise the nation and its economy in the face of choastic external market forces.

          • Jenny 21.1.1.1.1

            Calls by Gina and Anne for Labour to hold back alternative policy that could immediately benefit the people of Christchurch is opportunistic and dishonourable and will be of no credit to Labour.

  22. Anne 22

    Hey Jenny, I’m singing from roughly the same song sheet as you. I’m not saying Labour should hold back on alternative policies – far from it. Parliament sits again this coming week, and I’m hoping Labour and the Greens use the opportunity to push alternative policies as hard as they can. It’s clear what they should be. Reverse the tax-cuts for the rich for starters. What I really meant was: it’s been impossible for the opposition parties to get much traction in the MSM these past two weeks.

    • Herodotus 22.1

      From senior Lab strategist and MP
      “Trevor Mallard says:
      February 19, 2011 at 8:26 pm
      @Herodotus you don’t need to live in electorate to go to a meeting. You’ve asked for information much of which will be available before November. ”
      Labour will not release any policies- Even thos ethat were part of the last election such as what is affordable housing- Helen Clarke made reference to this way back oin 2007. I still donot know what “affordable housing is” and I think Lab also do not know, but it sounds good in a 25 sec sound bite !!!
      http://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/news/article.cfm?c_id=1&objectid=10454307
      So what does that imply ? They haven’t got any, are unsure of them, or they dont stand up to peer review.
      Pity because we need some. And in Jan 11 we were informed this
      “Mr Little said Labour would use the by-election to promote policies, issues and values that he believed were important for Botany and all New Zealand.”
      There was no mention of any except that show stopper of GST off F&V. Whoopppeee $2-$3/week per family.

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    Health officials have been warning the Government about a critical shortage of palliative care specialists for years, Labour’s Acting Deputy Leader and Health spokesperson Annette King says. A stocktake carried out for the Ministry of Health shows New Zealand’s end...
    Labour | 10-11
  • Report must spur Government into action
    The soaring cost of domestic violence and child abuse highlight the need for the Government to prioritise and act on the issue, says Labour's spokesperson for Social Development, Sue Moroney.“Findings from the Glenn Inquiry that show the problem is estimated...
    Labour | 10-11
  • Family safety paramount, then urgent review
    Corrections Minister Peseta Sam Lotu-Iiga has some serious questions to answer over why a dangerous prison escapee, convicted of further crimes while in jail, managed to abscond while he was on approved temporary release, Labour’s Corrections spokesperson Jacinda Ardern says.“Phillip...
    Labour | 09-11
  • LVRs a failed experiment from Bill English
    Loan to value mortgage restrictions are a failed experiment from Bill English to tame Auckland house prices, that have caused collateral damage to first home buyers and other regions, says Labour's Housing spokesperson Phil Twyford. “The possible end of LVR...
    Labour | 09-11
  • Govt books getting worse as economy slows
    National’s economic credibility is under serious scrutiny with its search for surplus becoming harder due to an economy far too reliant on the dairy industry, says Labour’s Finance spokesperson David Parker. “National promised New Zealanders would get into surplus by...
    Labour | 06-11
  • Kiwis in pain because of Government underfunding
    New research showing one in three people needing elective surgery are being denied publicly-funded operations shows the Government must properly fund the health sector, Labour’s Health spokesperson Annette King says. “For almost two years Labour has been warning about the...
    Labour | 06-11
  • National’s promised surplus looking doubtful
    Budget figures for the first quarter of the financial year released today by Treasury show the Government's goal of achieving a budget surplus is looking doubtful, the Green Party said today."National has staked its credibility on achieving a budget surplus...
    Greens | 06-11
  • Kevin Hague speaks on the Gambling Amendment Bill (No 3)
    I rise to give this speech on behalf of Denise Roche, who handles the gambling portfolio for the Green Party. This bill deals with class 4 gambling—pokies in pubs and clubs—and it is the result of changes that were suggested...
    Greens | 06-11
  • Kevin Hague speaks on the Health (Protection) Amendment Bill
    I would like to start off where the previous speaker left off, on the issue of balancing rights or balancing harms. All law is in some way a restriction of personal liberty. That is the point of law. When we...
    Greens | 06-11
  • Joyce backs away from yet another target
    Steven Joyce has backed away from two targets in two days, refusing to acknowledge that his Government has an unambitious aim to get unemployment down to 4 per cent in 11 years’ time, says Labour Associate Finance spokesperson David Clark....
    Labour | 06-11
  • Pacific peoples incomes and jobs falling under National
    The Minister of Pacific Peoples is attempting to bury the ugly facts of Pacific unemployment and income levels worsening since National took office in 2008, said Labour’s Pacific Affairs spokesperson, Su’a William Sio. “If the Minister doesn’t acknowledge how bad...
    Labour | 06-11
  • The Block NZ doing a better job than Nick Smith
    Nick Smith should consider calling in producers of The Block NZ with participants in the TV series completing more houses in two seasons than the Government’s failed Special Housing Area policy, says Labour's Housing spokesperson Phil Twyford. “The Block NZ...
    Labour | 06-11
  • Meridian moves to kill competition from solar homes
    Big electricity companies are using their power to make it harder for families and businesses wanting to go solar and the National Government is doing nothing to help them, the Green Party said today. Meridian Energy announced today a 60-72...
    Greens | 06-11
  • Has John Key done all he could for Pike families?
    It will be forever on the conscience of John Key whether he did all he could to recover the remains of the 29 miners who died in Pike River, Labour’s MP for West Coast-Tasman Damien O’Connor says.  “The Prime Minister...
    Labour | 05-11
  • National further dashes hopes of new parents
    The National Government has once again shown its disdain for working parents by voting down proposals to extend paid parental leave, Labour MP Sue Moroney says.  “The Government vetoed an amended proposal that substantially reduced the cost of extending PPL...
    Labour | 05-11
  • EXCLUSIVE: Campaign reflection, Laila Harré reaching out for radical minds
    Today I’ve announced that I will be stepping down from the Internet Party leadership in December. This will happen once options for the future have been developed for discussion and decision among members. My absolute focus in this election was...
    The Daily Blog | 21-11
  • The Ebola crisis, capitalism and the Cuban medical revolution
    “Ebola emerged nearly 40 years ago. Why are clinicians still empty-handed, with no vaccines and no cure? Because Ebola has been, historically, geographically confined to poor African nations. The R&D incentive is virtually non-existent. A profit-driven industry does not invest...
    The Daily Blog | 21-11
  • MEDIA WATCH: TVNZ Reveals Insane Deadlines For Māori and Pacific Island Pr...
    Last Tuesday, November 18th, TVNZ requested proposals from producers for the four Māori and Pacific Island programmes they will no longer be making in-house. Marae, Waka Huia, Fresh and Tagata Pasifika will keep their existing names, existing formats and existing...
    The Daily Blog | 21-11
  • The Daily Blog Breakfast Club Ep. 1
    TDB Video, Live from Verona Cafe on K-Rd, Auckland – a weekly current affairs show with TDB Editor Martyn Bradbury. This week’s panel: Chris Trotter & Selwyn Manning.The issues: 1 – What now for the New Labour leader? 2 –...
    The Daily Blog | 21-11
  • Performance-demonstration at Auckland’s High Court to demand justice for ...
    People outraged at the lack of justice in the so-called ‘Roast Busters’ case and 99% of other rape cases in this country are holding a visually powerful mass action at the Auckland High Court at 1 o’clock on Saturday. They...
    The Daily Blog | 21-11
  • IES vote may weaken defense of public education
    PPTA announced today that secondary teachers have voted to include the IES (Investing in Education Success) as a variation to their collective employment agreement with the government. At one level it’s an understandable decision by PPTA members because through engaging in a consultation...
    The Daily Blog | 21-11
  • NZ History lesson on Planet Key – the lies white people tell themselves
    John Key’s bizarre claims about our ‘peaceful history’ comes across like the apartheid history of South Africa where white people discovered Africa first… New Zealand ‘settled peacefully’ – PM New Zealand was “settled peacefully” by the British, the prime minister...
    The Daily Blog | 20-11
  • Universal Basic Income and Labour Policy
    On Radio New Zealand’s None-to-Noon on Wednesday (19 November), new Labour leader Andrew Little intimated that he would like to put Universal Basic Income (UBI) on his policy agenda (What policy changes will Andrew Little usher in?) Predictably Kathryn Ryan, despite being...
    The Daily Blog | 20-11
  • The New Notes : They Ain’t Mint
    Hulk Queen Angry. Hulk Queen smash.   Yesterday, the Reserve Bank announced its new designs for our banknotes. Now, I’ve historically been pretty sketch about this entire process; variously feeling affronted that the government could find eighty million dollars to fund a...
    The Daily Blog | 20-11
  • MSM under-mining of new Labour Leader already begun?
    . . It did not take long. In fact, on the same day that Andrew Little won the Labour leadership*, the first media reporter was already asking if he would be stepping down  if Labour failed to lift in the...
    The Daily Blog | 20-11
  • GUEST BLOG: Simon Buckingham – invisible disability voices
    Today I am ranting. The Disability Advisory Group has been announced by Auckland Council. This is the body that represents the interests and views of people with disabilities in Auckland. Whilst I would not have applied this time as I...
    The Daily Blog | 20-11
  • Jeremy Wells’ Mike Hosking rant on Radio Hauraki: Today, Andrew Little
    Jeremy Wells’ Mike Hosking rant on Radio Hauraki: Today, Andrew Little...
    The Daily Blog | 20-11
  • Why labelling Little as a ‘Unionist’ is a joke and how he beats Key in ...
    The line being used to attack Andrew Little as a ‘Unionist’ is just an absurd joke, and it comes from people who clearly don’t understand the modern NZ Union movement. Andrew ran the EPM Bloody U, they are easily one...
    The Daily Blog | 19-11
  • 5AA Australia – Labour’s New Leader + China’s President In New Zealan...
    Recorded on 20/11/14 – Captured Live on Ustream.tv. 5AA’s Peter Godfrey and Selwyn Manning.ISSUE ONE: The New Zealand Labour Party has elected its new leader, the vote going to a third round after no clear outright winner was found in...
    The Daily Blog | 19-11
  • Did Roger Sutton think he was running the Rock Radio Station?
    Visible G-String Fridays? Full body hugs? Jokes about who you would and wouldn’t have sex with? Honey? Sweety? It’s like Roger thought he was running the Rock Radio Station, not a Government Public Service department set up to rebuild a...
    The Daily Blog | 19-11
  • US Politics
      US Politics...
    The Daily Blog | 19-11
  • Amnesty International – The conversation that needs to be had with China
    Caption: Police officer watching Hong Kong pro-democracy march, 01 July 2014 © Amnesty International    Yesterday’s edition of The New Zealand Herald features an open letter to all New Zealander’s from Xi Jinping, President of the People’s Republic of China. Along...
    The Daily Blog | 19-11
  • GUEST BLOG: Patrick O’Dea – “Liar”
    LIAR! ‘Privatised social housing to benefit tenants’ English “Housing Corp was a poor performer and about a third of its housing stock was the wrong size, in poor condition and in the wrong place. That stock was worth about $5...
    The Daily Blog | 19-11
  • Too Close For Comfort: Reflections on Andrew Little’s narrow victory over...
    THE TRAGIC SCREENSHOT of “Gracinda” in defeat bears eloquent testimony to the bitter disappointment of the Grant Robertson-led faction of the Labour Party. And, yes, ‘Party’ is the right word. The Robertson machine has now extended its influence well beyond...
    The Daily Blog | 19-11
  • How to defeat child poverty
      How to defeat child poverty...
    The Daily Blog | 18-11
  • Little’s Shadow Cabinet
    Now the horror of trying to pacify the factions begins. The only thing Little’s new shadow cabinet must do is create the pretence of unity. The reason voters didn’t flock to Labour wasn’t the bloody CGT or Superannuation, it was...
    The Daily Blog | 18-11
  • A pilgrimage with my sister – Rethink the System
    We’ve both wanted to do a pilgrimage for many years. But, unlike many modern pilgrims, we wanted to be pilgirms in our own country and get closer to our communities, rather than seek greater distance from them. We are both...
    The Daily Blog | 18-11
  • Lack of policy ambition is Andrew Little’s main problem
    I’ve met Andrew Little a few times and he’s a pleasant man who will make a reasonable job leading what the Labour Party has become in recent decades. He will preside over a much less divided caucus and will be...
    The Daily Blog | 18-11
  • Journos, film makers, media freedom advocates join Asia-Pacific political j...
    A candlelight vigil for the 58 victims of the 2009 Maguindanao massacre – 32 of them media people. Still no justice for them today. Renowned investigative journalists, film makers, academics and media freedom campaigners from across the Asia-Pacific region will...
    The Daily Blog | 18-11
  • And the new Labour Leader is ZZZZZZZZZZ
    The victory lap by Caucus over the members choice of Cunliffe has ended and the new leader of the Labour Party is Andrew Little. Yawn. The dullness and caution of the latest Leadership race will be served well by Andrew,...
    The Daily Blog | 18-11
  • Allow the Facts to Get in the Way of the Neolib Stories
    One of the weaknesses of the political left in New Zealand over the last 30 years has been to allow the neoliberal storytellers to get away with lots of fibs and half-fibs. On TVNZ’s Q+A on 16 November, in a...
    The Daily Blog | 17-11
  • Defending The Boomers: A Response to Chloe King
    THE BABY-BOOM GENERATION (49-68 year-olds) currently numbers just under a quarter of New Zealand’s population. Even so, there is a pervasive notion that the generation of New Zealanders born between the end of World War II and the mid-1960s exercises...
    The Daily Blog | 17-11
  • This weeks Waatea news column – Waitangi Tribunal ruling enshrines Treaty...
      This weeks Waatea news column – Waitangi Tribunal ruling enshrines Treaty as a living document...
    The Daily Blog | 16-11
  • Key now says SAS will be needed to protect ‘trainers’ behind the wire
    Well, well, well. What do we have here? Government could send SAS to Iraq New Zealand’s elite Special Air Service (SAS) could be deployed to Iraq to protect Kiwi troops sent to train local forces. Prime Minister John Key confirmed...
    The Daily Blog | 16-11
  • Do You Want to Build a Meth Lab? (Frozen x Breaking Bad Parody)
    Do You Want to Build a Meth Lab? (Frozen x Breaking Bad Parody)...
    The Daily Blog | 16-11
  • Soft soap for the rich – harsh taxes for the poor
    It’s no surprise to see New Zealand has one of the world’s lowest tax rates for the rich and the superrich. A survey by the global accounting network UHY shows New Zealand’s highest tax rates are lower than even Australia,...
    The Daily Blog | 16-11
  • Phillip Smith and the rehabilitation process
    The dominant media narrative in horrible murder cases is that the perpetrator is unlikely ever to be rehabilitated. When it appears the offender may get parole the media turns first to family members of the victim who commonly (and understandably)...
    The Daily Blog | 16-11
  • The Nation review: Finlayson’s terrifying definition of who is on terror ...
    Terrifying Nation today on TV3. Chris Finlayson is on justifying the Government’s Muslim fear mongering and extension of even more surveillance powers. It was jaw dropping. Finlayson says ‘alienated people with a chip on their shoulder’ is the threshold to get...
    The Daily Blog | 14-11
  • A brief word on The Block NZ
    Is it just me or did The Block manage to sum up everything that is wrong about our culture and economy? Fetishised property speculation as mass entertainment in a country of homelessness & poverty. I wonder if State House tenants...
    The Daily Blog | 14-11
  • Waitangi Tribunal ruling
    That spluttering choking sound of a thousand rednecks being informed Maori still have sovereignty is a hilarious cacophony of stupid… Crown still in charge: Minister Chris Finlayson on Waitangi Treaty ruling The Waitangi Tribunal’s finding that Maori chiefs who signed...
    The Daily Blog | 14-11
  • A brief word on Phillip Smith
    We can arrest student loan & fine defaulters at the airport – but not convicted child molesting killers? Before we ban manufactured ISIS ‘terrorists’ from having passports, how about we just manage to stop child molesting killers from fleeing first?...
    The Daily Blog | 14-11
  • Free Me From Religion
          The meeting begins – or at least it’s supposed to begin – but someone interrupts proceedings. She wants everyone to pray with their heads bowed while she can “thank our Father who art in Heaven.” I close...
    The Daily Blog | 14-11
  • Key capitulates on TPPA while big money NZ set up propaganda fund
    So Key has capitulated on the ‘gold standard’ of free trade deals… The primary objective for New Zealand at Apec was to see some urgency injected into the TPP talks and to keep leaders aiming for a high quality deal....
    The Daily Blog | 13-11
  • Why Phillip Smith is the least of our worries
    Well, it turns out Phillip Smith wasn’t half as clever as he thought he was, and he’s been arrested within a week. If the Prime Minister is through with making tasteless jokes, perhaps we can ramp down the media hysteria...
    The Daily Blog | 13-11
  • Constraining Credibility
      Most economists and members of the public – on both the right and the left – believe that economies are constrained by resource scarcity most of the time. In this view, economies are supply-constrained, and that the economic problem...
    The Daily Blog | 13-11
  • Migrant Labour, exploitation and free markets
    Once more we read about a horror story of virtual slavery for a migrant worker in a restaurant in Christchurch. The silver lining that in this case compensation should be paid is not assured. Often in situations like this the employer winds up...
    The Daily Blog | 13-11
  • On baby boomers who give my generation unhelpful advice: JUST DON’T
    One of my mum’s colleagues recently told her that there is no money in what her daughter was doing; volunteering at a women’s refuge and writing on politics. This guy, dispensing all his pearls of wisdom, told my mother that...
    The Daily Blog | 13-11
  • Morbid Symptoms: Can Labour Be Born Anew?
    THE CHAIRS in the final meeting venue have been stacked away. All that expensive signage, commissioned for the benefit of the television cameras, no longer has a purpose. For the second time in just 14 months, Labour’s Leadership Contest is...
    The Daily Blog | 12-11
  • What’s Small, White, and Having Trouble Attracting New People?
    If your answer was something intimately connected to the person of Peter Dunne … then you’d be right. Last night, P-Dunney decided to bring his comedy and/or hair stylings to the twitterverse; penning a potentially somewhat ill-advised tweet in which he compared...
    The Daily Blog | 12-11
  • LATE at the Auckland Museum review – Slacktivisim: Its not just for Slack...
    Monday night is my yoga night. I’m not really very good it, I don’t really have the bendy, but I made a New Years resolution. This Monday however, I decided to put the yoga on prone and attend a gig...
    The Daily Blog | 12-11
  • This weeks Waatea news column – Nanaia Mahuta – the Princess who roared
      This weeks Waatea news column – Nanaia Mahuta – the Princess who roared...
    The Daily Blog | 11-11
  • Real reasons to fear Government’s new approach to child poverty
    Now  I really am worried.  Selling state houses is bad enough but a taking a ‘social investment focus’ to deal with child poverty? “The Treasury will issue a Request for Information inviting submissions from people who work with vulnerable New...
    The Daily Blog | 11-11
  • Power to the people!
    With all the huffing and puffing of the election out of the way and the right-wing still in ascendancy after 30 years of community-sapping neoliberalism it was a pleasure to attend a strike by workers at Carl’s Jr in Lincoln...
    The Daily Blog | 11-11
  • EXCLUSIVE: OIA reveals WINZ trespassing 400 people a year
    W.I.N.Z is broken and it’s breaking my heart. Every year WINZ issues trespass notices to just under 400 people. 2008 / 418 2009 /  382 2010 /  347 2011 /  411 2012 /  373 2013 /  384 And this year...
    The Daily Blog | 11-11
  • So David Farrar and the Government were wrong on gangs after all?
    Oh the predictability of this… Ministers acted on inaccurate gang data Cabinet signed off tough new measures to tackle gangs on the basis of inaccurate information which over-estimated the scale of the crime problem. The briefing paper told ministers 4000...
    The Daily Blog | 10-11
  • Patrick Gower interviews Laila Harre
    Patrick Gower interviews Laila Harre Headlines: Laila Harre to quit as Internet Party leader by Christmas when the party has completed its review, but would love to return to parliament Says party considering options for its future including winding...
    Scoop politics | 22-11
  • Lisa Owen interviews Labour leader Andrew Little
    Lisa Owen interviews Labour leader Andrew Little Headlines: Andrew Little says the shape of his front-bench for the 2017 election may not be clear until the end of next year Indicates next week’s appointments may be temporary: “So I may...
    Scoop politics | 22-11
  • Phillip John Smith – statement
    Police and the New Zealand Embassy in Brasilia are aware of a decision from the Brazil Federal Court requiring the deportation of Phillip Smith within 10 days. Further assessment is required to ensure there is a full understanding of this...
    Scoop politics | 22-11
  • Green’s ‘not speaking out about human rights abuses in China
    Right to Life challenges Russell Norman the co-leader of the Green Party to explain why, he was prepared to ask Prime Minister John Key to talk to Chinese President Xi Jinping about human rights abuses in countries bordering China but...
    Scoop politics | 21-11
  • Goodfellow congratulates Key on IDU election
    Goodfellow congratulates Key on IDU election National Party President Peter Goodfellow has congratulated Prime Minister John Key on his election today as Chairman of the International Democrat Union (IDU)....
    Scoop politics | 21-11
  • Taxpayers’ Union Congratulates PM on IDU Appointment
    The Taxpayers’ Union is today congratulating Rt. Hon. John Key on becoming the Chair of the International Democrat Union , as former Australian Prime Minister John Howard retires from the role after 12 years. Taxpayers’ Union Executive Director...
    Scoop politics | 21-11
  • High demand for Consumer NZ’s “Do Not Knock” stickers
    Consumer NZ has distributed nearly 100,000 “Do Not Knock” stickers since the launch of its campaign to fight back against dodgy door-to-door sellers.The “Do Not Knock” campaign was launched on 3 November 2014. Free “Do Not Knock” stickers...
    Scoop politics | 21-11
  • Phillip Smith decision still pending
    Detective Superintendent Mike Pannett is returning to Washington DC where he will continue to closely monitor a pending decision from the Brazilian authorities on the process to return Phillip Smith to New Zealand....
    Scoop politics | 21-11
  • High Court demonstration to demand justice
    People outraged at the lack of justice in the so-called ‘Roast Busters’ case and 99% of other rape cases in this country are holding a visually powerful mass action at the Auckland High Court at 1 o’clock on Saturday. They...
    Scoop politics | 21-11
  • NZ Society Wins Global Award For Fighting Animal Testing
    New Zealand banning animal testing of legal highs has been acknowledged with an award given in London. The New Zealand Anti-Vivisection Society (NZAVS) was awarded the 2014 LUSH Prize for lobbying against animal testing. The prize was given at the...
    Scoop politics | 21-11
  • Poor govt advice to workers on petrol station drive-offs
    The New Zealand Council of Trade Unions has raised concerns with the Ministry of Business, Innovation and Employment ('MBIE') regarding their reported advice to workers about the petrol station drive away issue....
    Scoop politics | 21-11
  • New Ombudsman opinion
    The Ombudsman has published his opinion on a complaint concerning the Police refusal to release information about a charging decision....
    Scoop politics | 20-11
  • Kindergarten support staff achieve pay rise in tough climate
    The valuable contribution of kindergarten support staff has been recognised with a pay increase, despite the significant funding cuts that the kindergarten associations are experiencing....
    Scoop politics | 20-11
  • Democracy and Conservative Religion: The Case of Islam
    “Is Islam compatible with democracy?” is a frequently-asked question. Recent rethinking of secularism and democracy have opened up new possibilities to think about religion and democracy. This question is important particularly in the case...
    Scoop politics | 20-11
  • NZ fiscal watchdog needed to guard the public purse
    New Zealand needs tighter fiscal rules and an independent watchdog to improve the quality of government spending and reduce the risk of a return to deficit spending as the country’s population ages, if not before....
    Scoop politics | 20-11
  • NZSMI disappointed ANZTPA proposal shelved
    November 20, 2014: Consumer healthcare products industry body, the New Zealand Self-Medication Industry Association (SMI) says it is disappointed Government has once again shelved plans to create one medicines regulatory agency for both New Zealand and Australia....
    Scoop politics | 20-11
  • Democracy Action Welcomes Tauranga Vote
    Responding to Tauranga Council’s unanimous vote not to establish separate Council seats on the basis of ethnicity, Lee Short, Democracy Action founder says: “The establishment of a Maori ward would have damaged the relationship between Maori and...
    Scoop politics | 20-11
  • Employer caught abusing new ‘teabreaks law’
    Employer caught abusing new ‘teabreaks law’ to exploit workers The government passed the controversial ‘teabreaks’ legislation only a few weeks ago and already Unite Union has caught an employer using this law as an excuse for ill-treating their...
    Scoop politics | 20-11
  • FGC response to Commerce Commission report
    The New Zealand Food & Grocery Council is not surprised by the Commerce Commission’s findings, given New Zealand’s current legal framework....
    Scoop politics | 20-11
  • Bascand: Brighter Money
    Seeing people’s initial reactions to the new banknote designs is a heartening reminder of what an important role currency plays in our lives, and what a sense of pride and heritage our notes evoke....
    Scoop politics | 20-11
  • RBNZ releases Brighter Money designs
    New Zealand’s banknotes are getting brighter and better, with the Reserve Bank today unveiling more vibrant and secure banknote designs which will progressively enter circulation later next year....
    Scoop politics | 20-11
  • 25 years of children’s rights
    UNICEF and OFC celebrate 25 years of children’s rights with Just Play Sports Days On Universal Children’s Day (20 November) and as part of the Oceania Football Confederation’s (OFC) inaugural President’s Cup, UNICEF will celebrate 25 years of children’s...
    Scoop politics | 20-11
  • Xiamen delegation to Wellington has business focus
    Stronger business, education and cultural ties with our Chinese partners will be the focus when a 20-strong government and business delegation led by Xiamen Mayor Mr Liu Keqing which visits Wellington tomorrow (Friday) and Saturday as part of the...
    Scoop politics | 19-11
  • Warriors promote White Ribbon Day message
    Warriors promote White Ribbon Day message Shine and Orakei Health Services On Tuesday, the Vodafone Warriors will promote the White Ribbon Day message to the community at Eastridge Shopping Centre, Mission Bay. The Warriors are supporting their charity...
    Scoop politics | 19-11
  • Superannuitants to protest unethical investments
    A delegation of Auckland superannuitants will deliver a protest-card petition and protest letter to the New Zealand Super Fund this Thursday afternoon to call on the fund to divest from companies which support the Israeli occupation of Palestinian...
    Scoop politics | 19-11
  • Manukau job cuts ‘running the place into the ground’
    Manukau Institute of Technology (MIT) confirmed to its staff yesterday that 54 jobs will go before Christmas....
    Scoop politics | 19-11
  • Newcore Looks Pretty Rotten for Ratepayers
    Responding to the NZ Herald report that the IT system commissioned by Auckland Council to consolidate the eight systems the Super City inherited from its precursor councils could be facing a budget blowout of $100 million, Taxpayers’ Union Spokesman Ben...
    Scoop politics | 19-11
  • Accountability following quake response inquiry not achieved
    Lessons still need to be learned from the search and rescue efforts following the February 2011 earthquake in Christchurch, a leading New Zealand lawyer, Nigel Hampton QC, says....
    Scoop politics | 19-11
  • Our kids say: We are failing in our duty to protect them
    Our kids say: We are failing in our duty to protect them More than a quarter of Kiwi kids say children’s right to be safe and protected isn’t being upheld in New Zealand, identifying protection from violence, abuse and murder...
    Scoop politics | 19-11
  • PARS & Turuki Health Care collaborate on health and services
    Auckland-based PARS (People at Risk Solutions) have partnered with the Turuki Health Care Trust, to offer improved healthcare services to those in need. PARS works closely with former prisoners, providing mentoring, housing, and social services to ensure...
    Scoop politics | 19-11
  • Children’s Plea
    A plea has been sent to all Members of Parliament, regardless of party affiliation, to accord urgency and priority to children's issues. These issues include vulnerability, safety and childhood poverty....
    Scoop politics | 19-11
  • Treasury off track in search for sound policies
    Treasury is unlikely to find the ideas it is looking for to improve outcomes for children while its primary driver is cost-cutting, says Child Poverty Action Group....
    Scoop politics | 19-11
  • Commission calls for answers on handling of CERA harassment
    EEO Commissioner Dr Jackie Blue is deeply concerned about the way in which the State Services Commission has handled sexual allegations made against CERA chief executive Roger Sutton this week and is calling for answers....
    Scoop politics | 19-11
  • Ashley Dwayne Guy v The Queen: Appeal Upheld
    The appellant, Mr Guy, was found guilty by a jury of a charge of sexual violation by unlawful sexual connection. After the verdict it was discovered that, by error, the jury had been provided in the jury room with two...
    Scoop politics | 19-11
  • Zonta Club to Take a Stand Against Gender-Based Violence
    During the 16 Days of Activism against Gender Violence (25 November – 10 December), the Zonta Club of Wellington, along with members of the local community, will join nearly 1,200 Zonta clubs in 67 countries for the Zonta Says NO...
    Scoop politics | 19-11
  • New UNFPA report links progress and power to young people
    A UN report launched today calls for investment in young people as they are essential to social and economic progress....
    Scoop politics | 19-11
  • The Resignation with the Golden Handshake?
    Commenting on the settlement the State Services Commission has reached with former CERA CEO Roger Sutton, Taxpayers’ Union Executive Director, Jordan Williams, says: "Only in the public sector do you receive a payout for ‘resigning’....
    Scoop politics | 18-11
  • NZ must not turn a blind eye to China’s human rights record
    Amnesty International is calling on New Zealand’s Prime Minister John Key to raise China’s shameful human rights record during President Xi Jinping’s visit to New Zealand this week....
    Scoop politics | 18-11
  • The Resignation with the Golden Handshake?
    Commenting on the settlement the State Services Commission has reached with former CERA CEO Roger Sutton, Taxpayers’ Union Executive Director, Jordan Williams, says:...
    Scoop politics | 18-11
  • Treasury’s covert & extremely odd welfare consultation
    A report this morning that Treasury is ‘crowd sourcing’ ideas on welfare policy is news to Auckland Action Against Poverty, even though we are currently one of the most active groups in the area....
    Scoop politics | 18-11
  • NZ invites Pacific peers to review development cooperation
    New Zealand has volunteered to be the first development partner in the Pacific region to undergo a review of its aid programme by Pacific island peers. The review will focus on New Zealand’s development cooperation and will give greater insight...
    Scoop politics | 18-11
  • EPMU joins Pike River families to mark fourth anniversary
    Representatives of the Engineering, Printing and Manufacturing Union are proud to stand with the Pike River families to mark four years since 29 men lost their lives. “This is a particularly solemn day given the recent announcements of Solid Energy...
    Scoop politics | 18-11
  • 2013 Assessment of New Zealand’s National Integrity Systems
    SPEAKER TUILOMA NERONI SLADE: Former Judge, International Criminal Court in the Hague, former legal counsel at the Commonwealth Secretariat, Secretary-General of the Pacific Islands Forum 2008-2014. Introduced by Helen Sutch, Victoria University Council,...
    Scoop politics | 18-11
  • Green Party ignoring Waimea’s environmental benefits
    Green Party MP Catherine Delahunty has overlooked the environmental benefits the proposed Waimea Community Dam will bring the Tasman community, says IrrigationNZ Chairperson Nicky Hyslop....
    Scoop politics | 18-11
  • Women’s use of violence in violent relationships
    More than 80 percent of women who live with a physically violent partner will not initiate violence when they are not being hit, according to new research....
    Scoop politics | 18-11
  • Poor credit rating linked to poor cardiovascular health
    Poor credit rating linked to poor cardiovascular health A credit score doesn’t only boil down a person’s entire financial history to a single number and somehow predict their credit-worthiness, it might also be saying something about a person’s...
    Scoop politics | 18-11
  • State Services Commissioner on Roger Sutton Investigation
    State Services Commissioner Iain Rennie today said the investigation into Roger Sutton’s conduct was robust. Roger Sutton chose to resign as Chief Executive of the Canterbury Earthquake Recovery Authority (CERA) yesterday....
    Scoop politics | 18-11
  • Predator Free NZ project welcomed
    Federated Farmers and the conservation organisation Forest & Bird are welcoming the Predator Free New Zealand initiative as an ambitious but achievable project that will have real benefits for conservation and the economy....
    Scoop politics | 18-11
  • Stock rustling set to continue under lax laws
    The theft and illegal slaughter of farm stock can only be expected to continue if tougher laws are not introduced, said ACT Leader David Seymour today....
    Scoop politics | 18-11
  • Visit of President Xi Jinping to New Zealand
    As president Xi Jinping of China pays short visit to New Zealand, of Friends of Tibet (NZ) has called upon Foreign Minister Hon Murray McCully and the Prime Minister Rt Hon John Key to raise the issue of Human Rights...
    Scoop politics | 18-11
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