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Another poll

Written By: - Date published: 7:34 am, March 5th, 2011 - 90 comments
Categories: polls - Tags:

Another Roy Morgan poll is out.

Support for the Government is down 1.5% to 53.5%
National Party 49% (down 3.5%)
Maori Party 3% (up 1.5%)
ACT NZ 1.5% (up 1%)
United Future 0% (down 0.5%)

Hmmm – I’d like to see United Future a little lower if possible. Anyway…

Support for Opposition Parties is up 1.5% to 46.5%
Labour Party 35% (up 2%)
Greens 8%, (down 0.5%)
New Zealand First 3% (up 0.5%)
Others 0.5% (down 0.5%)

Even more worrying for the Nats must be the finding that the number saying New Zealand is ‘heading in the right direction’ has fallen to 49.5% (down 10.5%), compared to 35% (up 10.5%) that say New Zealand is ‘heading in the wrong direction.’

The poll was taken over the period February 14-27, so it includes several days after the Christchurch quake. I would have expected to see some evidence of a National Party boost here, the usual consequence of people rallying behind “the leader” in difficult times. But there’s no sign of that. Perhaps it was swamped in the preceding revulsion at the BMW lies and largesse.

All of my posts for March will finish with this note. While life goes on as usual outside Christchurch, let our thoughts be with those who are coping with the aftermath, with the sorrow of so many who were lost, and with the challenges ahead.

90 comments on “Another poll”

  1. Yep the beemers effect and revulsion to the Nat’s privatization proposals are starting to show through.

  2. Lanthanide 2

    In the previous couple of polls that came out with only the last couple of polling days after major events (state of the nation speeches, Key’s loser week) several people here (including lprent) commented that very little polling is actually done in the last couple of days of the window – that time is spent on the analysis and polling the last few individuals to make up their required cohort.

    Using that logic, we can expect that the earthquake won’t be heavily factored in until the next poll. Of course by then we’ll be seeing the judgement of the government’s response (eg ignoring the eastern suburbs, businesses not being supported as much as they should) rather than the immediate disaster’s aftermath.

    • lprent 2.1

      Yep. I think that we are mostly seeing the BMW and the response to the other issues in ae Jan and early to mid Feb (polls are also laggy because people mostly don’t change their minds without thinking itover for a while).

      Think that the earthquake is still to come….. :twisted:

  3. Zaphod Beeblebrox 3

    Those BMWs realy pissed a lot of people off.

    • Herodotus 3.1

      ZB still trying to find out the real story re BMW’s. On Leighton Sir John commented that they are “free” (hopefully not free as in 20 free hrs). Yet I have not heard anyone from Lab & a denial. I am sure part is strategy not to be involved. But does than mean it will take 3 years in which new cars appear to find out the truth or if they don’t also the truth?
      p.s. Botany my guess turnout 34% it is cats and dog weather -

      • bbfloyd 3.1.1

        you can probably update your (hopeful?) assesment of voter numbers H. it’s stopped raining.

        • Herodotus 3.1.1.1

          Surprised to see so many immigrants at the voting station, but that was 10:00 I would have a very uneductated guess that voter turnout will dramatically fall off as the day wears on. The cats/dogs may have refrained but it still is a miserable day, even Sat sport is cancelled so less reason to go out of the house.
          Should JLR win I wonder what the turnout will be to replace him in council. the prospective replacement with the largest family and friends circle I guess will be the new Jafa Council rep, of the one that is 1st on the list So for any candiates change your name to Abram Aadvark it could be a winner !!!

  4. lprent 4

    I am less concerned about the popularity figures which seem to be slowly losing the holiday effect. Basically the gap between possible left and right coalitions is narrowing to achievable levels for the time between now and the election. That is fine but it merely means that the election is liable to turn on single electorate MPs in minnow parties like Act which polls don’t estimate.

    I am more interested in the GCR as a effective surrogate for future changes in voting intentions. Some of that could be because of sampling variation (but that seems to top out at 5-6% variation in the past), so the question for me is what level of bounce back happens in the next Morgan poll. If it stays down or gets worse, then the government has taken terrible hit. If it bounces up 5% or so it is sampling error and just damaging. If it rises by significantly more than 5%, then there is probably a favorable earthquake effect and that would be a problem because it is likely to sustain itself.

    As a side issue. It is pretty clear why the right have been actively trying to control the debate on the quake rebuilding.

  5. tsmithfield 5

    “Those BMWs realy pissed a lot of people off.”

    BMWs?? What BMW’s????

    Oh thats right. I have a foggy memory there somewhere. Recent events have pushed the memory into the background somewhat. Perhaps the earthquake was engineered by the Nats as a distraction? :smile:

    • bbfloyd 5.1

      surely you have better things to do than talk utter rubbish on here ts? surely………

      • Jim MacDonald 5.1.1

        Had visitors, including from Christchurch, the past few days – “rallying behind ‘the leader’” was not quite the reaction; some said this PM is a curse (!)

        • Colonial Viper 5.1.1.1

          Yes. This PM is a curse upon the country, no two ways about it. Interesting isn’t it, when you also consider that he still has so many people under his sway in the personal popularity polls.

          • Jim MacDonald 5.1.1.1.1

            Had a certain charm on some. That too will go.
            As some former Merrill Lynch clients would say.

    • I would not put anything past those bastards !

  6. Rosy 6

    It could have been something more substantial than BMWs- like asset sales and welfare reform…. (although being caught out lying is pretty substantial)

    • bbfloyd 6.1

      not just lying rosy…. doing it repeatedly,, changing the story every time, and, in the end,, never actually tell the truth. …… over a non issue like that……. what does that say about what he would say when it’s really important.. that is what scares me, and quite few others i would guess..

      • ianmac 6.1.1

        The irony is that the BMW is a great deal, one that we owners of 21 year old cars could only dream of. But deliciously the Key lot cannot and will not admit that the Labour Goverment made a great deal. Poltics!

  7. Gina 7

    Proposing solo mums go look for work when kids turn 3 will alienate a lot of women voters who at some stage or other have needed the DPB.

    And the crazy idea to make women look for a job when second babe is 14 weeks old well that will turn off more moderate nats who used to vote Labour.

    I imagine people seeing the odd news item with Helen Clark is making some swing voters remeber how much better things actually were under Labour.

    • Steve 7.1

      Agree re your Helen comment Gina.To hear her reasoned comments in the Chch interview with that authoritative voice made me yearn for a better time and a PM who can make a presentation without sounding like he’s reading to a kindergarten class.

  8. RedLogix 8

    Basically another 4% swing would make it a very close election. As in fact was the last one, although most commentators by focussing solely on the gap between Nat and Lab were just revealed nothing but their corporate agendas.

    Policy and achievment wise National should lose this election… but a popular and apparently affable John Key remains their ‘get out of jail free’ card.

    By contrast Labour should be polling in the 40% range, but Phil Goff seems unable to get much traction. Not wholly his fault, event’s have dealt him nothing but a bad hand…but equally he can’t seem to shake his wooden and ‘professional polly’ personality when being interviewed.

    As long as the left continues to buy into the media’s presidential style personality driven politics … it will remain at a disadvantage in this game. Just relying on Key to make a bad mistake or get bored with it all seems a weak strategy, after all no-one is irreplaceable and another Key clone would eventually get manufactured.

    This is not an insoluble problem, you have to think it’s been faced and beaten elsewhere in the world.

    • Jim MacDonald 8.1

      “another Key clone would eventually get manufactured” – has this something to do with Simon Power who looked around and counted the chances?

      • Olwyn 8.1.1

        Yes, C & T have probably already done a little work on Joyce’s “laddish but lovable” image, with the wardrobe etc, very loosely planned, just to be on the safe side.

  9. higherstandard 9

    zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz

    • Macro 9.1

      zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz

      • ianmac 9.1.1

        Thats a bit worrying you two, nodding off in mid morning. My neighbour, who suffers from dementia poor old fellow, does that too.

        • higherstandard 9.1.1.1

          No cricket so back to zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz

        • Mac1 9.1.1.2

          It’s called “sleepwalking to victory.” Born of “Tory born to rule” beliefs.

          A 7% gap between the two groupings eight months out is very interesting. Just a 3.5% swing.

          Capcha “easy”. Well, not quite, but very achievable.

          • higherstandard 9.1.1.2.1

            No it’s called “who gives a fuck about polls 9 months out from an election”

        • lprent 9.1.1.3

          We have been snoozing or reading (or watching true blood in lyn’s case) most of the day. It is coolish, raining, and we’ve been waking up at odd hours all week because of the weather. Nice relaxing day.

        • Macro 9.1.1.4

          I fell asleep after reading HS’s scintillating comment.
          But I see there has been even more startling analysis.

  10. Sanctuary 10

    I was talking to a couple of colleagues at work this week – both are family men with new babies and earning around the 55k mark – and even the “not ruling out” changes to WFF from Key and English is enough to, literally, cause them to panic since for them WFF isn’t about discretionary income. But, I think, something bigger is happening in New Zealand right now.

    There was a comment by (I think) A.J.P. Taylor that before Munich in 1938 the British sought desperately to avoid refighting the last war; after Munich, they grimly prepared for the next one. In other words, there was a minset change from a postbellum to an antebellum one – a shift in mindset completely missed by the Germans. I’m picking up a similar sea-change in opinion in New Zealanders after the Canterbury earthquake, a shift away from the angry right wing identity politics so carefully cultivated, fertilized and nutured by the National Party that got them elected and sustains the hate against the beneficiaries and outliers of our country and towards a more nunaced recognition of community and a sense of nationalistic collectiveness.

    Like the Germans, many in the beltway are missing this sea change, which is why I think, for example, John Armstrong has currently completely lost the plot – his persistent belief that the public has any appetite at all for the Victorian morality and draconian suggestions of the Rebstock welfare report betrays someone who has spent far to much time having lunch with right wing lobbyists. Rebstock and co have overplayed their hand. The randomness of the earthquake has reminded all New Zealanders that most poor are unlucky, not undeserving. In turn, this has exposed this government’s harsh and divisive ideology for what it is at exactly the time when a certain spirit of the Blitz is abroad in the land, and no one outside the looney tune charactertures at Kiwiblog feel any desire to punish their fellow citizens anymore.

    National’s stock in trade for the last six years has been a to play on right wingidentity politics and to rule by stoking resentment between New Zealanders of different classes. Paula Bennett, Judith Collins, Anne Tolley, even John Key in his appeal to the mediocrity in us all, are creatures crafted from a publicist’s playbook to appeal to the dark side of the Kiwi soul, more billboards and publicity stunts than real politicians.

    Time will tell if the New Zealand public, in the inclusive (even, dare I say it, pleasant) feeling of oneness that has embraced us all in the aftermath of the Christchurch disaster still has any appetite for the identity politics of the National Party.

    • ianmac 10.1

      Not so sure today Sanctuary :”why I think, for example, John Armstrong has currently completely lost the plot .” A perceptive Armstrong post and a shift in position?
      http://www.nzherald.co.nz/opinion/news/article.cfm?c_id=466&objectid=10710236

    • Tiger Mountain 10.2

      Not quite sure what you mean by “right wing identity politics”. If you substituted ‘aspirational’ for ‘identity’ perhaps.

      That widespread 08 election feeling- if I just worked a bit harder, dissed the ‘bludgers’ a bit more, I too could be like JFK (John F***ing Key) it was an aspirational hard sell that got people voting ultimately against their own interests.

      The thing is with tax cuts neutralized by GST, childcare up, petrol up, unemployement up, possible cuts to WFF, aspiration is not going to put food on the table for a hell of a lot of people.

      • Colonial Viper 10.2.1

        Its Right Wing class politics. Attempting to turn the middle and working classes against the underclass of NZ.

        While denying that there is a growing underclass in this country.

        • ianmac 10.2.1.1

          Mind you, given the down ward slide of the Nation there will have to be a clear easily identified alternative. To the Bridge Horatio!

    • neoleftie 10.3

      i tend to agree here: a heck of a.lot of people are know experiencing what the ‘poor non-class’ of new zealand is actual like. One moment a nice house and an income the next resigned to the dole and maybe if lucky a tent in Keys tent city for what 5 months until the state builds a few thousand houses. Everyone under the elite class is simply one bad outcome from the bread line. How many MSE with house mortgaged etc are now facing financial ruin…

    • Carol 10.4

      Maybe post WW2 in Britain is more apt. It was then that the Brits had a consensus on the need for cradle-to-grave welfare state provisions. This was a result of the feeling that all Britons, of all classes, worked collaboratively together on the war effort. So the feeling was that the state should provide for all, as a reward for that effort.

      • neoleftie 10.4.1

        surely history has proven that both the ideological driven policies of right and left have failed. What we need now is a discourse on what is the ‘next’ way that incorporates the marco and micro policy shifts and outcome that we are inherantly stuck with in both an internal and external globalised sense. We are connected to the capitalistic world so cannot radically change or alter this condition.
        What we can do is popularise throught the grassroot structure the “next’ way framework that will bring about a more balanced and stable marco structure soas to benefit all and not just a few.
        The discouce on the ‘next way’ has just begun….

  11. Adrian 11

    Key’s Achilles heal is that when properly fronted he looks like a possum in the headlights and a hint of panic flicks across his face, you can even see the evidence in what passes for a brain go “Shit, what do I do now”and momentarily appears to go into shutdown mode, while the body goes into the flight response. Last night, on TV3 while on his fleeting visit to the Eastern Suburbs he was fronted about visiting one power station and one short street, while on camera, a Radio NZ questioner about this selectivity left him stranded and looking like he was shitting himself. He really has this desperate, desperate need to be liked. Fronting the bugger is the key ( forgive ) to beating him in November.

    • Tiger Mountain 11.1

      “Fronting the bugger is the key to beating him”
      it is certainly a significant part of any strategy to rock him, I noticed he turned on the journo immediately saying “those are your words” rather than answering the substantive point.

      John Key has a nasty streak in him that should be provoked more often.

      • Alexandra 11.1.1

        TG – Saw that, Key was clearly pissed off. He managed to quickly correct himself with a strained smile. The nasty streak was very evident. Good on that young reporter, hope we see more enquiry of that kind, as the election looms nearer

  12. Leaving aside the Nats for a moment…

    What have the Greens done to deserve losing 1/17 of their support?

    And what has NZF done to deserve a bump of 1/6 in its support?!

    And ACT tripling its support??

    I know the overall numbers are small which makes the swings more severe etc. But that’s still some seismic shifts, specially for ACT.

    [0% for United Future?! Did no one think to ring Peter Dunne's place, or was he out having his hair re-lacquered?]

    • Lanthanide 12.1

      One thing that is clear about the morgan results is that everything is always rounded off to a nice 0.5%, which actually does them a bit of a disservice because it probably masks shifts for the smaller parties significantly. Eg what might’ve polled as 0.7% is marked at 0.5%, and the next poll they get 0.8% so it is rounded up to 1%.

      Sure, there’s margin of error and they try and massage the numbers nicely to make it fit, but I think they’d be better off just reporting the raw un-rounded numbers (after other sufficient massage is done).

    • RedLogix 12.2

      Basically Rex I regard these variations especially in the smaller parties pretty much as noise.

      If the sample size is 1000 and there are say 30% ‘don’t knows’ then only 700 gave an answer:

      If the Greens polled at 8% this is only 56 people.

      1/17th variation in 56 people is only 3 people. Trying to draw a meaningful conclusion on this is pretty futile.

      • swordfish 12.2.1

        Spot on. Always remember the margin-of-error. Polls should never be taken as indicating absolutely precise measurements, particularly where the minor parties are concerned.

      • Oh, the sample size is about 1,000?! That explains it then. Thanks RL.

        I always remember – in the context of radio ratings – some “expert” explaining things according to “the coffee cup principle”: if you take just half a teaspon of coffee and taste it, then you know what the rest of the cup is like.

        But people aren’t coffee (rather obviously, I thought at the time, but then I wasn’t the “expert”) – they don’t mix homogenously for one thing, so you’ve got to be incredibly careful to sample a representative range of sex, income, etc etc. And to do that in a meningful way requires more than two or three of each category (IMO, I know the pollsters will argue otherwise).

        In fact upon squinting at the fine print (helpfully printed in grey!) on the poll I see a total of 888 people were asked, so not even 3 would be needed to tip the Greens vote.

        More importantly, I can rest easy about the apparent rise of NZF :-D

  13. Oscar 13

    I’m picking 47% for National/Act and 47% for Labour/Greens. NZF with 6%

    Have you not noticed how 50/50 the vox populii is becoming? Once Neptune enters Pisces, it’s all on from there baby.

    Last time that aligment happened, the Communist Manifesto was published.

    • Akldnut 13.1

      lol Been doing a bit of matai-whetu Oscar, am I going to win Lotto tonight? or should I not waste my money.

      • oscar 13.1.1

        Not at all. Science has shown that the magnetic pull of the outer planets does have an effect on earth.
        After all, if the earths magnetism is affected, our brains, that hotbed of magnetic energy, obviously are also.
        Take a look at what else happened last time Neptune was in Pisces.
        As for winning lotto, you’d want a clairvoyant. Not an astrologer.

      • lprent 13.1.2

        Nice gravatar…

  14. Key choppering in to the less affluent areas of Christchurch wearing his bright red BNZ shirt (Friday) would also have lost him a few points. How revolting.

    • logie97 14.1

      … wasn’t a good look either when he said it was not realistic for him to see the whole eastern area, especially given he had spent some important time in the Botany electorate for some photo ops.

      • neoleftie 14.1.1

        surely that the job of a leader to gather valid first hand information so as to make good informed decision or provide the necessary weight or direction of those key decisions.
        On day 2-3 Key should have a clear picture and directed the set-up of centres for the distrubution of food to those effected and cut off from the normal supply chain.

  15. Irascible 15

    Using a totally unscientific process of skim reading the letters to the editor online for the Herald, TV3, DomPost and a few others I detect a swing against the Key led NACT govt with a greater number of letters critical of him as a leader and of his policies over recent weeks, including the earthquake, than those in support of him and his activities.
    Perhaps the Morgan poll is demonstrating what the letters to the editor are beginning to indicate???

  16. tsmithfield 16

    Actually, I don’t think the glee expressed here is warranted yet.

    Firstly, given the fiasco over BMWs, and the controversy whipped up over asset sales, I am surprised the drop for the Nats was only 3.5%. As pointed out above, the tail of the poll caught the Christchurch earthquake. So, I suspect there may well have been a bounce back towards National at the end that accounts for the smallish drop.

    Secondly, National only has to do a half decent job responding to the earthquake to benefit from it. There is all the public exposure, and the argument likely to run in voters minds about not changing captains in the middle of a storm etc. Other than for the blip in Bromley the other day, the response and media exposure has been quite good.

    Thirdly, the earthquake has distracted voters minds from the BMW fiasco that wasn’t looking good for National. I think even ardent National fans would admit that was handled badly. So, National caught a lucky break on this one in terms of distraction. Although I am sure they would rather be dealing with BMWs than earthquakes.

    Fourthly, the Nats are likely to have a much more arguable case for asset sales:- to pay for the earthquake. This is likely to appeal more to voters than having more money taken from them in an earthquake tax, especially given the difficult economic times. Also, National is likely to make a strong case for reducing the size of government so savings can be diverted to the earthquake cost.

    Finally, what ever spending promises Labour makes are likely to be countered by the affordability argument, especially given the earthquake costs that need to be funded. If Labour doesn’t like the idea of asset sales then they may have to promise across-the-board tax increases to pay for the earthquake and their promises. This is likely to go down like a lead balloon with voters.

    On the balance of this, I expect National to do quite well. My prediction is that the next poll will show a 5 point gain from the current position.

    • Colonial Viper 16.1

      Fourthly, the Nats are likely to have a much more arguable case for asset sales:- to pay for the earthquake. This is likely to appeal more to voters than having more money taken from them in an earthquake tax,

      Using the earthquake as the rationale for asset sales now risks sounding false as they will be doing what they originally intended. The earthquake will have changed nothing.

      Key and English will be kicking themselves for putting the asset sales on the table just before the earthquake struck, nullifying their ability to practice Disaster Capitalism.

      • neoleftie 16.1.1

        geeze – some of our large SOE are the first to ‘step into the breech’ and provide a measure of relief or support. e.g Contact supplying free gas refills in chch.
        There is no sense at all to sell off the state economic backbone of performing companies and provide a anchor or ‘actors’ on the private sector and their performance.

        • tsmithfield 16.1.1.1

          Not attempting to argue the case for asset sales. Rather that National will be able to put forward rationale for asset sales on the basis of funding the earthquake. Whether or not that rationale is sound is a different debate.

    • Rosy 16.2

      I agree with your analysis tsmithfield but Labour can change your expectations of a National rise in the polls by arguing for ‘pulling together’ as Christchurch people have done and arguing that selling state assets, sacking the public sector etc fragments any response to disasters like Christchurch. They can argue that pulling together is how the people of Christchurch have managed to get through a horrendous situation and more of this is needed.

  17. tsmithfield 17

    I agree that they could better exploit the asset sale argument if they had raised it after the earthquake. However, I think they can still argue there is even more reason for asset sales now. Either that or raising taxes. Voters choice.

    • neoleftie 17.1

      without a clear mandate the chance of asset sales is slim i think. The connectiveness of grassroots communities ‘people power’ that coordinated a huge supply response into the shattered communities of the eastern suburbs of CHCH surely is a wake up call to the Tories that given a good cause people and communities given the information can combine to achieve a level of power or outcome that should be downplayed.
      Most people according to the poll agree that selling state assets is a negative thing. Surely a labour counter strategy to the ideological driven asset sale menality is to link the benefits to the communities that such SOE like contact did for the communities of chch. $3M in free gas to chch – what private company would do that now.

    • Colonial Viper 17.2

      I think they can still argue there is even more reason for asset sales now. Either that or raising taxes. Voters choice.

      Other alternatives might be new taxes (a variant of raising taxes I guess), or more borrowing, or cutting spending on services.

      • tsmithfield 17.2.1

        True. But from what I have seen from comments from the left is that the trigger finger is itchy for more taxes.

        • Colonial Viper 17.2.1.1

          An array of asset or property based taxes is called for I think. There is a huge economic system going on there which is not even touched at the moment e.g. as Sam Morgan pointed out when he sold TradeMe.

          Also, income taxes at the 5x and 20x median income thresholds should go up.

          the left is that the trigger finger is itchy for more taxes.

          I guess its clear to most nowadays that every dollar that the Government cannot raise in taxes, it either has to borrow* (and subsequently pay interest on) or alternatively cut a dollars worth of services and support to the public.

          *Of course I think that the Government could borrow from itself, at 0% interest rate i.e. print money to invest in the productive economy.

    • Marty G 17.3

      Asset sales are only attempts to realise now the present value of future dividends. If we take the money now, we don’t have the money from the dividends in the future to pay for stuff, meaning taxes will have to be raised to cover the hole.

  18. tsmithfield 18

    “$3M in free gas to chch – what private company would do that now.”

    Air NZ have been giving $50 air fares (not fully private but similar to the model the Nats propose).
    Telecom have been giving free telephone calls.

    Just several off the top of my head.

    So generosity is not limited to fully public corporations.

    • neoleftie 18.1

      correct me if im wrong but doesnt the state own 50% share of air new zealand and hasnt the tax payer pumped in billions over the years into air new zealand.
      My point is simply that a state owned / controlled or influenced company has a more civic duty to the state or public stakeholders than a purely private company model that is driven solely by profit concerns to its shareholders.
      Your implied point about the state selling a non controlling share solely to small kiwi investors i believe has some merit and need to be explored further but surely if any company has any state ownership then by defintion or charter they would have an increased civic duty.
      That is why it is so important to retain a function and productive SOE core – they balance out the private sector sole goal of maxamising profits

      • tsmithfield 18.1.1

        So if private/public blended companies that equate to the Nats proposed model can be generous, then your original point doesn’t stand, does it?

        Also I understand that the petrol companies didn’t raise prices in ChCh when they were raising them elsewhere.

        • neoleftie 18.1.1.1

          they surely are making enought profit from the rest then but yes i give them that – a nice gesture. I just dont have it in me to trust a solely profit driven entity..

          • tsmithfield 18.1.1.1.1

            Perhaps you are viewing these entities too much as faceless corporations, and missing the point that they are made up of lots of individuals who may well have had family and friends caught up in the tragedy.

            • neoleftie 18.1.1.1.1.1

              true true true – just wish that we had more connected individuals to offset the corporate greed.

              • tsmithfield

                How do you define “greed”? Profits may seem huge. But on a ROI basis, profits on capital invested are often not that much better than keeping money in the bank at virtually no risk.

                • Colonial Viper

                  But on a ROI basis, profits on capital invested are often not that much better than keeping money in the bank at virtually no risk

                  Edison Energy did very well out of Contact Energy for instance. They sold their stake for something like a 50% ROI, as well as pulling out hundreds of millions in dividends pushing that number even higher.

                  But essentially I agree with you – in this day and age ponzi capitalism often generates better returns than investment in the productive economy e.g. speculators fueling the housing price bubble.

                  “Huge” profits can also be characterised not based on ROI %, but on what a portion of that money can do for a society if it is taxed and subsequently spent on providing services and infrastructure for that society.

  19. Anthony C 19

    National’s problem is that their brand message isn’t equal to brand experience.

    People are feeling the hard truth of a Government asleep at the wheel, it gets harder and harder to spin your way out of that.

    It’s all a question of whether this dissatisfaction peaks before the election or not.

  20. Jenny 20

    Labour limply trails behind the government, (in policy and in the polls). By not putting up alternatives to government policy – Labour risk becoming in the public mind, the do nothing opposition.

    Mortgage Relief Legislation?

    emergency measures taken at times of widespread financial distress arising from economic or natural causes. The alterations were usually to the apparent advantage of the borrower and thus are referred to as relief for mortgage debtors, or, when statutory, simply as mortgage relief legislation.

    Answers.com

    This is such a simple and obvious solution.

    Mortgage Relief Legislation would provide immediate relief for landlords and tenants and not cost the government a cent. (And as well would keep tens of millions of dollars in circulation in the Christchurch economy, that would otherwise be repatriated to the Aussie owned banks.)

    Why aren’t the opposition Labour Party calling for this?

    The Christchurch Earthquake has been described as New Zealand’s worst natural disaster.

    Surely the scale of this emergency and the on going problems justify this emergency measure?

    Are Labour, even in opposition, frightened of offending the banks?

    Labour’s founding leaders had no such qualms about putting their constituency’s needs above that of the banks.

    Is the modern Labour Party’s concern for the welfare of the bankers, over riding their concern for the welfare of the people of Christchurch?

    captcha – “solutions”

    • neoleftie 20.1

      that jenny is the multi billion dollar question – has the labour party elites that control the party fallen so far to the right of the party ideological matrix that they by there very nature have forgotten the historical roots of the party and indeed the make up of the ‘catch all party’ that we call labour.
      bring on the trinity and its discourse…
      The wheels within the wheels that strategise for the party should by now coming out in full support and offering meaningful dialogue on practical and ‘big’ solutions to this crisis.
      This is indeed NZ darkest hour – we face the perils of external and now internal chaos.

    • Gina 20.2

      Jenny I have noticed in the past when labour submit a good idea the nats rubbish it as been impractical then they steel it. Usually they steal it pretty quick and the media gives them the credit for it.
      The idea of mortgage relief should be submitted as it is desperately needed but don’t imagine the Labour party will get any credit for it in the media. National will steel it, the media will accuse labour of using the earthquake to get votes, National will adopt it and the media will heap large amounts of praise on John Key.

      The only way Labour has any chance at the next election is bypassing the MSM.

      • Jenny 20.2.1

        .

        Jenny I have noticed in the past when labour submit a good idea the nats rubbish it as been impractical then they steel it.

        Gina

        Gina, for the welfare of the people of Christchurch I do hope the Nats steal this idea, as you say “it is desperately needed”.

        If you are right, and National steal this policy, then all we have to do to get it implemented, is get Labour to raise it in the house.

        Labour may not get the credit for it, but who cares, at least Labour will have done the right thing for the people of Christchurch. To do nothing because of petty fears of not being able to claim the credit for it, is churlish and party sectarian in the extreme.

  21. Anne 21

    @ Jenny.
    If Labour was releasing policy six times a day, the MSM would be ignoring them. There’s only one story in town, the earthquake. Politics is on hold. Nobody wants to know. Havn’t at this stage seen the final result, but look at the turnout in Botony – be lucky to make a total of 15,000. I can’t be sure of course but my reckoning is: that Labour were planning to reveal new initiatives around now, but have had to delay until political life returns to normal.

    • Jenny 21.1

      “There’s only one story in town, the earthquake.”

      Anne

      Absolutely Anne. That is why Labour needs to release some cut through policy on this issue. Left wing policy different to the National Government’s projected right wing response, of sacrificing social spending while leaving the profits of the banks and financiers untouched.

      A left political response is needed

      Otherwise the decision will be: We have decided, that the worse off, will be the ones to bear the costs of this earthquake.

      The government will load this crisis onto the shoulders of the less well off. The well off get a free run. (again).

      When will this nonsense stop?

      With no concrete challenges being raised in parliament by the left to this course of action, or any alternative course of action being proposed by Labour, how can we expect a swing away from National in the polls, or even come election time?

      • McFlock 21.1.1

        For at least the next couple of weeks, releasing an integrated “left”(labour) plan for compensation and reconstruction is out because it’s basic gutter politiking.

        And as Anne said, any other issue is irrelevant to the one story in town. And if you release policy anyway, by the time msm are prepared to pay attention to it, it’s old news.

        But the nacts are beginning to shoot themselves in the foot, earthquake-wise. At the very least Brownlee is waving a gun at his toes. And I get the impression people are beginning to tire of the smile&wave beemer visits.

        • neoleftie 21.1.1.1

          all good points – its my very humble opinion that the labour is biding its time and waiting for nearer the election, one shot, one strategy and that is to provide a meaningful point of difference between the left block and the Tory front. non of this take the centre or swop lite labour / tory confused mess where the electorate picks the pretty boy with a nice wave and smile and centralist gimmick policies.

          But i caution the left bloggers and party activists that without a left block win and the tories get their ‘goldern’ mandate they will create the situation where the left will not be able to recover from…if asset sale on a grand scale goes ahead and the depowering and retrenchment of the state civil sector and other state organs, that create positive change or indeed a brake of radical change ) then it will be nigh on impossible to recover from the short term ideolically Tory inspired dream of a disconnected and disemplowered individual, complete rise of unfetted materalism and the dismantling of the balanced state / private sector mechanism.
          We has the 90′s were H1- H3 created the imbedded ‘actors’ that dictated radicalised and progressive social change now in the darkest time its time for a slugish labour grouping to get the mandate they need to stabalise the nation and its economy in the face of choastic external market forces.

          • Jenny 21.1.1.1.1

            Calls by Gina and Anne for Labour to hold back alternative policy that could immediately benefit the people of Christchurch is opportunistic and dishonourable and will be of no credit to Labour.

  22. Anne 22

    Hey Jenny, I’m singing from roughly the same song sheet as you. I’m not saying Labour should hold back on alternative policies – far from it. Parliament sits again this coming week, and I’m hoping Labour and the Greens use the opportunity to push alternative policies as hard as they can. It’s clear what they should be. Reverse the tax-cuts for the rich for starters. What I really meant was: it’s been impossible for the opposition parties to get much traction in the MSM these past two weeks.

    • Herodotus 22.1

      From senior Lab strategist and MP
      “Trevor Mallard says:
      February 19, 2011 at 8:26 pm
      @Herodotus you don’t need to live in electorate to go to a meeting. You’ve asked for information much of which will be available before November. ”
      Labour will not release any policies- Even thos ethat were part of the last election such as what is affordable housing- Helen Clarke made reference to this way back oin 2007. I still donot know what “affordable housing is” and I think Lab also do not know, but it sounds good in a 25 sec sound bite !!!
      http://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/news/article.cfm?c_id=1&objectid=10454307
      So what does that imply ? They haven’t got any, are unsure of them, or they dont stand up to peer review.
      Pity because we need some. And in Jan 11 we were informed this
      “Mr Little said Labour would use the by-election to promote policies, issues and values that he believed were important for Botany and all New Zealand.”
      There was no mention of any except that show stopper of GST off F&V. Whoopppeee $2-$3/week per family.

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    Labour | 22-08
  • Labour’s focus on inequality, kids and better job prospects
    Tackling child poverty and removing barriers to people working part time to enhance their prospects of moving into a fulltime job are highlights of Labour’s Social Development policy. Releasing the policy today, spokesperson Sue Moroney said while part-time work was...
    Labour | 21-08
  • Political staff should give answers under oath
    The Inspector General of Security and Intelligence should use her full statutory powers to question witnesses under oath about the leak of SIS information, says Labour MP Phil Goff. “Leakage of confidential information from the SIS for political purposes is...
    Labour | 21-08
  • High dollar, hands-off Govt sends workers to dole queue
    The loss of up to 100 jobs at Croxley stationery in Auckland is devastating news for their families and the local Avondale community, Labour’s Employment, Skills and Training spokesperson Grant Robertson says. “The company’s inability to compete in international markets...
    Labour | 21-08
  • National’s flagship education policy dead in the water
    National’s plan to create executive principals and expert teachers is effectively dead in the water with news that 93 percent of primary teachers have no confidence in the scheme, Labour’s Education spokesperson Chris Hipkins says. “The fact that teachers are...
    Labour | 21-08
  • Dunedin will be a knowledge and innovation centre under Labour
    Dunedin will become a knowledge and innovation centre under a Labour Government that will back local businesses, support technology initiatives and fund dynamic regional projects, Labour Leader David Cunliffe says. “Nowhere has the National Government’s short-sightedness been more apparently than...
    Labour | 21-08
  • Inquiry into SIS disclosures the right decision
    Labour MP Phil Goff says the Inspector-General of Intelligence and Security has done the right thing by launching an inquiry into the disclosure of SIS documents about a meeting between himself and the agency’s former director-general. “This inquiry is necessary...
    Labour | 20-08
  • Labour – supporting and valuing carers and the cared for
    Placing real value on our elderly and the people who care for them will be a priority for a Labour Government, Labour Leader David Cunliffe says. Releasing Labour’s Senior Citizens policy today David Cunliffe promised that a Labour Government would...
    Labour | 20-08
  • By Hoki! It’s Labour’s fisheries policy
    A Labour Government will protect the iconic Kiwi tradition of fishing by improving access to the coast, protecting the rights of recreational fishers and reviewing snapper restrictions, Labour’s Fisheries spokesperson Damien O’Connor says. “Catching a fish from the rocks, beach...
    Labour | 20-08
  • Mighty River – Mighty Profits – Mighty hard to swallow
    Mighty River Power’s profit increase of 84 per cent is simply outrageous, says Labour’s Energy spokesperson David Shearer. “Demand for electricity is flat or declining yet the company has made enormous profits. It is the latest power company to celebrate...
    Labour | 19-08
  • Collins’ actions were wrong, not unwise
    John Key’s moral compass remains off-kilter as he cannot bring himself to declare Judith Collins’ actions outright wrong, not simply ‘unwise’, said Labour MP Grant Robertson. “Under pressure John Key is finally shifting his stance but his failure to condemn...
    Labour | 19-08
  • Public servants behaving with more integrity than their masters
    The State Services Commission's new report on the integrity of our state services reflects the yawning gap between the behaviour of public servants and that of their political masters, Labour's State Services spokesperson Maryan Street says. “This report, which surveyed...
    Labour | 19-08
  • Phil Twyford Speech to NZCID
    "Labour's plan to build more and build better: how new approaches to housing, transport and urban development will deliver cities that work" Phil Twyford, Labour Party spokesperson on housing, transport, Auckland issues, and cities.  ...
    Labour | 19-08
  • Labour commits to independent Foreign Affairs and Trade
    “Labour is committed to New Zealand’s Foreign Affairs and Trade policy being independent and proactive, Labour’s Foreign Affairs spokesperson David Shearer says. “We are a small but respected country. Our voice and actions count in international affairs. Labour will take a...
    Labour | 19-08
  • Key must sack Collins over abhorrent actions
    The latest revelations that Judith Collins sent the contact details of a public servant to WhaleOil in a desperate attempt to divert media attention from a bad story is abhorrent, Labour MP Grant Robertson says. “John Key and Judith Collins...
    Labour | 19-08
  • It’s downhill from here under National
    The forecast drop in exports and predicted halving of growth shows that it’s downhill from here with National, Labour’s Finance spokesperson David Parker says. “Growth under this Government peaked in June and halves to two per cent in coming years....
    Labour | 19-08
  • John Key loses moral compass over Collins
    John Key has lost his moral compass over Judith Collins’ involvement with Cameron Slater and lost touch with New Zealanders’ sense of right and wrong, Labour MP Grant Robertson says. “Whoever is Prime Minister there are expectations they will not...
    Labour | 18-08
  • Mana Movement General Election 2014 List confirmed
    The MANA List is now confirmed with all the candidates as below (the numbers are the respective Internet MANA rankings). Candidate, Electorate, Internet MANA List Position Hone Harawira, Te Tai Tokerau (1) Annette Sykes, Waiariki (3) John Minto, Mt Roskill (4) Te Hamua Nikora, Ikaroa-Rawhiti...
    Mana | 18-08
  • PREFU likely to confirm dropping exports
    National’s economic management will be put under the spotlight in tomorrow’s PREFU given clear signs the so-called rock star economy has fallen off the stage, with plummeting prices for raw commodity exports, Labour’s Finance spokesperson David Parker says. “Under National,...
    Labour | 18-08
  • Record profits while Kiwis face a cold winter
    The record profits by two of New Zealand’s largest electricity companies will be a bitter pill for New Zealand households who are paying record amounts for their power, says Labour’s Energy spokesperson David Shearer. “No doubt the Key government will...
    Labour | 18-08
  • A brief word to everyone who voted National in 2011
    I received this interesting email from a National Party supporter today… …let me say this to anyone who voted National last election – you should be ashamed by what has been revealed and what your vote ended up enabling but...
    The Daily Blog | 31-08
  • EXCLUSIVE: Déjà Vu All Over Again: John Ansell confirms his participation...
      THE MAN BEHIND the Iwi-Kiwi billboards that very nearly won the 2005 election for Don Brash and the National Party has confirmed his involvement in businessman John Third’s and former Act MP Owen Jennings’ campaign to drive down the...
    The Daily Blog | 31-08
  • Public Broadcasting Auckland debate 6.30pm tonight now with Colin Craig &am...
    The Coalition for Better Broadcasting debate on public broadcasting happens tonight at 6.30pm in Auckland at the Pioneer Women’s Hall, High Street, Auckland City.  In the light of Dirty Politics and the manipulation of the media, public broadcasting is more important for...
    The Daily Blog | 30-08
  • Winners & Losers in Collins sacking plus what’s the latest on Slater...
      Make no mistake, there was no way this was a resignation, it’s a face saving way out for Collins, she was sacked.  My understanding is that National internal polls are haemorrhaging and that the powers that be within National...
    The Daily Blog | 30-08
  • Third party propaganda attacks incoming Labour-led government
    . . Further to a report by Daily Blogger, Chris Trotter, on receiving information regarding planned attack-billboards, the following billboard is highly visible to traffic on the southbound lane of the Wellington motorway, just prior to the Murphy St turn-off....
    The Daily Blog | 30-08
  • Labour wins the Internet
    I’m sure I’m not the only one who tried to vote online for the leaders debate and couldn’t because the website was down. The next option was the txt vote, 75c a pop of course. So I’m not surprised that...
    The Daily Blog | 30-08
  • GUEST BLOG: Anjum Rahman – Rotherham and the need to challenge willful bl...
    I haven’t been following the events in Rotterham too closely.  I’ve read about the basic issues and the culture of silence that stopped action been taken even after complaints were made.  That culture of silence is incredibly familiar, and described...
    The Daily Blog | 30-08
  • Review: Hairspray
      Oh Hairspray! What fun! Somehow I managed to miss the movie when it came out, I had no idea really what it was about though I felt it had a vague relation to High School Musical. In retrospect, that...
    The Daily Blog | 30-08
  • Mounting global pressure against Timor-Leste’s ‘death sentence’ media...
    East Timor’s José Belo … courageous fight against ‘unconstitutional’ media law.Image: © Ted McDonnell 2014 CAFÉ PACIFIC and the Pacific Media Centre Online posted challenges to the controversial ‘press law’ nine months ago when it emerged how dangerous this draft...
    The Daily Blog | 30-08
  • GUEST BLOG: Curwen Rolinson – Spies, Lies and When Campaigns Are Fried
    Like most of the rest of the nation’s political classes, I was eagerly affixed to TV One from 12:30 on Saturday afternoon to witness the downfall of Judith Collins.Whenever we witness the crumbling of a titan of the political landscape...
    The Daily Blog | 30-08
  • BREAKING: Whaleoil crushes Crusher
    Judith ends up shooting herself A new email has been released suggesting that Collins was attempting to undermine the head of Serious Fraud Office with the help of far right hate speech merchant Cameron Slater. Unbelievable!   She has been forced...
    The Daily Blog | 30-08
  • BREAKING: Rumours Judith Collins gone at lunchtime
    Brook Sabin first of the mark with rumours Judith Collins is about to resign – PM announcing a statement at 12.30pm… …Paddy follows… …Vance confirms..   …if Collins is gone by lunchtime, it will be because the PM understands the...
    The Daily Blog | 29-08
  • BREAKING: UPDATE on DIRT ALERT!
    Thanks to the information passed to Chris Trotter by “Idiot/Savant” from No Right Turn it is now possible to identify at least some of the persons involved in this latest example of attack politics. What follows is Chris’s response to Idiot/Savant’s timely assistance: Well done...
    The Daily Blog | 29-08
  • Comparing burning puppets, hip hop lyrics and drunk student chants to black...
    Watching the mainstream media try and obscure Cunliffe’s surprise win in the leaders debate  is a reminder the Press Gallery is in depressed shock. The current spin line from the Wellington bubble media in the wake of Dirty Politics is that...
    The Daily Blog | 29-08
  • Why has it all gone quiet on Charter Schools?
    They’re one of ACT’s flagship policies and the National Party have been gung ho in supporting them. So how come we’re not hearing Hekia Parata, Jamie Whyte, Catherine Isaac, et al singing from the rafters about what a resounding success charter...
    The Daily Blog | 29-08
  • Moment of Truth – September 15th – Auckland Town Hall
    Moment of Truth – September 15th – Auckland Town Hall...
    The Daily Blog | 29-08
  • EXCLUSIVE: Dirt Alert! Are the Greens and Labour about to become the target...
    WE’VE SEEN IT ALL BEFORE. In 2005 pamphlets began appearing all over New Zealand attacking Labour and the Greens. For a couple of days both the parties targeted and the news media were flummoxed. Who was behind such an obviously...
    The Daily Blog | 29-08
  • The Donghua Liu Affair: the Press Council’s decision
    . . 1. Prologue . The Donghua Liu Affair hit  the headlines on 18 June, with allegations that David Cunliffe wrote a letter in 2003,  on  behalf of  business migrant, Donghua Liu. Four days later, on Sunday 22 June, the...
    The Daily Blog | 29-08
  • The difference between Cunliffe & Key in the debate
    It was with much interest that I watched the leaders debate on Thursday night.  I watched with an open mind, always happy to have my opinion changed.  Maybe John Key is all the wonderful things that many say about him,...
    The Daily Blog | 29-08
  • GUEST BLOG: Denis Tegg – When Did We Agree To Our Data Being Shared with ...
    New shocking evidence has emerged from Edward Snowden’s trove of documents about a program called ICREACH under which data collected by the GCSB is shared with 23 US spy agencies. Under new sharing agreements which appear to have commenced immediately after...
    The Daily Blog | 28-08
  • Why Internet MANA are the best political friends the Greens could ever get
    Metiria at last nights #GreenRoomNZ: standing on the shoulders and camera cases of giants  NZers, regardless of political spectrum or apathy level, have a wonderful beach cricket egalitarianism about us. If we can objectively conclude a winner, then that person...
    The Daily Blog | 28-08
  • Sick of the Sleaze? Protest against National’s dirty politics THIS SATURD...
    Sick of the Sleaze? Protest now dammit! Three weeks before the election, action is being taken across the country voicing a rejection of the National Government’s track record and direction. Rallies are being held in Auckland, Wellington, Christchurch and Dunedin...
    The Daily Blog | 28-08
  • GUEST BLOG: Sir Edmund Thomas – Address at Nicky Hager public meeting
    I regard it as privilege to chair this public meeting. I have long had the greatest admiration for Nicky Hager’s work, and nothing I have read or heard in the media over the past week or so has caused me...
    The Daily Blog | 28-08
  • Labour and New Zealand Superannuation
    The kerfuffle in the wake of Nicky Hager’s Dirty Politics has had a detrimental impact on our discussion of economic policies. Signs are that the main beneficiaries of the dirty politics revelations will be Winston Peters and Colin Craig; certainly National suffered...
    The Daily Blog | 28-08
  • Coalition for Better Broadcasting – Mike Hosking and the Leader’s Debat...
    A few weeks ago I blogged that Mike Hosking was a terrible choice as moderator for the TV One Party Leader’s Debate, because he is so embarrassingly biased in favour of John Key. So I watched the show with curiosity,...
    The Daily Blog | 28-08
  • Democracy and Cancer: A critical analysis of Dirty Politics
    Twenty years ago, England’s renowned television playwright Denis Potter died of pancreatic cancer.  Readers may recall his two masterpieces ‘Pennies from Heaven’ and ‘The Singing Detective’.  During a final television interview with Melvyn Bragg, Potter declared that he had named...
    The Daily Blog | 28-08
  • Cunliffe beats Key in First Leaders debate
    I watched the First Leaders debate at the Green Party #GreenRoomNZ, they were very kind to include me and the atmosphere was great. The debate was a resounding victory to Cunliffe. He won Round 1, Round 2, Round 3 and...
    The Daily Blog | 28-08
  • LIVE STREAM: The Green Room Leader’s Debate from 6:30pm
    The Green Room will be hosted by media commentator Russel Brown, and will feature Green Co-leaders Metiria Turei and Russel Norman responding to the debate live, along with comment from thought leaders and commentators. ‘The Green Room’ 6pm – 8.30pm...
    The Daily Blog | 28-08
  • How many taxpayer funded staff does John Key need to prepare for a Leaders ...
    John Key is currently at the Auckland Stamford Plaza with 40 staff, 4 undercover police cars and an entire floor booked out in preparation for tonights Leader’s debate. Isn’t 40 staff including coms, flown up to Auckland for a debate...
    The Daily Blog | 28-08
  • A brief word on National Party Rodney MP, Mark Mitchell
    MP considers legal action against Nicky HagerThe National MP says he is considering taking a defamation case after the September 20 election.“Someone needs to be held accountable,” he said. Oh really champ? Brothers and sisters, there is a long way...
    The Daily Blog | 28-08
  • Greens advertise on Whaleoil – but not on The Daily Blog?
    PaknSave have shown ethical compass and blocked adverts on Whaleoil, yet the Greens are advertising on Whaleoil, and not The Daily Blog? I would imagine there are far more potential Green voters on The Daily Blog then ever are on...
    The Daily Blog | 28-08
  • It’s about the stupid economy stupid
    In focus group meetings, the sleepy hobbits of NZ by a staggering amount all believe that National are better economic stewards of the country than Labour, that’s why, instead of answering questions about blackmailing MPs, trawling brothels for dirt on...
    The Daily Blog | 28-08
  • Labour Policy vs National Policy
    John Key’s favourite defence spin at the moment is people want to talk about policy and not hear answers on the ethics of trawling brothels, why Slater was given SIS information, blackmailing MPs into standing down, rigging candidate elections and hacking...
    The Daily Blog | 28-08
  • The Green Room live streamed on TDB 6.30pm tonight for First Leaders debate
    The ‘Green Room’ will stream 6.pm tonight on The Daily Blog during the TV One leaders’ debate.Use #GreenRoomNZ to join in. The Green Room will be hosted by media commentator Russel Brown, and will feature Green Co-leaders Metiria Turei and Russel Norman responding...
    The Daily Blog | 27-08
  • Manukau East – the next Coalition in action
    A couple of weeks ago I had the pleasure of opening Voice Up – a youth forum run by young people in Otara. I had been asked as Chair of the Local Board to set the scene, encouraging young people...
    The Daily Blog | 27-08
  • GUEST BLOG: Kelly Ellis – The Big Bang Theory
    It’s a shame that it took a brain injury for me to start seeing things with such startling clarity. The realisation that lawyering, fishing, parenting, selling cars and racing yachts had common themes was stunning. Not perhaps as stunning as...
    The Daily Blog | 27-08
  • Jeremy Wells’ Mike Hosking rant on Radio Hauraki: Today, how much Key aro...
    Jeremy Wells’ Mike Hosking on Radio Hauraki...
    The Daily Blog | 27-08
  • 5AA Australia – New Zealand’s Dirty Politics Aftermath and Polls
    MIL OSI – Source: Selwyn Manning – Analysis Headline: 5AA Australia – New Zealand’s Dirty Politics Aftermath and Polls 5AA Australia: On this week’s Across the Ditch bulletin on 5AA Australia, host Peter Godfery and Selwyn Manning discuss the aftermath...
    The Daily Blog | 27-08
  • La’o Hamutuk calls for inquiry into Timor GAP ‘mismanagement’ of oil ...
    The Suai project on the South Coast … “liberated” land but confused communities.Photo: La’o Hamutuk David Robie also blogs at Café Pacific. AN INDEPENDENT Timor-Leste development and social justice agency has called for an inquiry into the Timor GAP corporation...
    The Daily Blog | 27-08
  • What Is Nicky Hager?
    WHAT WILL HISTORY MAKE of Nicky Hager? That slight, perpetually boyish, journalist who descends periodically, like the admonishing angel in a medieval mystery play, to trouble our consciences and wreak merry havoc with the orderly conduct of our political affairs....
    The Daily Blog | 27-08
  • Can anyone in msm explain how after Dirty Politics that they all got played...
    Would you not think, that after reading Dirty Politics, that our mainstream media wouldn’t allow themselves to get tricked and played again by the VERY SAME discredited pundits? The best new feature on Radio NZ is their ‘Blog Watch’ and their...
    The Daily Blog | 27-08
  • Crusher Collins caught out lying about Privacy Commissioner – is this her...
    Crusher angry. Crusher smash own career. Crusher more angry. You would think that after getting outed as such a nasty, vicious piece of work in Dirty Politics, that Crusher would be scrambling to dial back the lies and manipulations. Apparently...
    The Daily Blog | 27-08
  • Cunliffe vs Key – first leaders debate
    This is your election ‘moderator’ – just one more reason an incoming Government need to sack everyone at TVNZ and reform it into an actual public broadcaster. The first leaders debate happens this Thursday, 7pm on TV One. I have...
    The Daily Blog | 26-08
  • GUEST BLOG: Kate Davis – An Old and Honourable Profession
      When Dirty Politics started to reference an ex-prostitute I began to get antsy. My first response was “come on Nicky, we decriminalised in 2003. Its sex worker.” My second response was “Ah oh. Who was it and did they...
    The Daily Blog | 26-08
  • Bought and paid for: the dirty politics of climate denial
    Has climate denial in New Zealand been bought and paid for by corporate interests? We already know that the ACT Party’s routine denial is closely linked to the financial support the party receives from wealthy free market fundamentalist Alan Gibbs,...
    The Daily Blog | 26-08
  • If the msm read The Daily Blog, THIS wouldn’t be a surprise – explainin...
    Yawn. How embarrassing for Hamish Rutherford and Andrea Vance, their breathless article today suggests that the idea of Labour and NZ First cutting a  deal over the buy back of assets  is some how new news. Silly mainstream media  journalists. If...
    The Daily Blog | 26-08
  • How much tax does John Key pay compared to a minimum wage worker??
    Yesterday I did some calculations to find out what tax John Key pays compared to a worker on the minimum wage. And I put out this media release for the Mana Movement: MANA Movement Economic Justice spokesperson John Minto is...
    The Daily Blog | 26-08
  • Hip hop death threats – the selective outrage of our media
    PM death threat in hip hop songAn Auckland hip-hop crew slammed for releasing a song with lyrics that apparently include a threat to kill Prime Minister John Key are urging young people to enrol to vote. Kill The PM, by...
    The Daily Blog | 26-08
  • Watch Slater turn into Key right before your eyes
    Watch Slater turn into Key right before your eyes...
    The Daily Blog | 26-08
  • I don’t always agree with Patrick Gower – but he didn’t deserve this!
    I don’t always agree with Patrick Gower – but he didn’t deserve this weird spear tackle from behind by his own company. I was listening to this interview at the time, and the awkwardness of it must be the worst...
    The Daily Blog | 26-08
  • Bill English: allegations against Judith Collins are serious
    Deputy Prime Minister Bill English told TV1’s Q+A programme that the allegations against Judith Collins are serious and that’s why an inquiry is needed....
    Scoop politics | 31-08
  • Culture Change Required
    "There are serious issues raised in an Employment Relations Authority judgement released this week. The culture within the Whangarei District Council (WDC) organisation must change. The culture of any organisation is defined by its leadership starting...
    Scoop politics | 31-08
  • Reducing Reoffending Statistic Challenged
    In Rethinking’s latest blog, http://blog.rethinking.org.nz/2014/08/th-bps-reducing-crime-and-reoffending.html it closely examines the current claim that reoffending in New Zealand has reduced by 12.5% since June 2011, and reveals how that figure has been achieved. It argues...
    Scoop politics | 31-08
  • University economics team studying workers’ comparing wages
    A University of Canterbury economics research team is looking at fairness of the job assignments and whether workers are sensitive to the wages of their co-workers....
    Scoop politics | 31-08
  • Statement by State Services Commissioner
    30 August 2014 "The State Services Commission was contacted by the Prime Minister's Office over the last 24 hours on this issue." “Any activity that undermines, or has the potential to undermine, the trust and confidence in the public service...
    Scoop politics | 31-08
  • Christchurch Council Circus … Continued
    In 2010 the UK Daily Mail investigated the antics of a major bureaucratically bloated London Local Authority and reported with THE GREAT INERTIA SECTOR ....
    Scoop politics | 30-08
  • The Nation Housing Debate
    Patrick It's the great Kiwi dream, but is owning the roof over your head now just a pipe dream for many Kiwis? Homeownership is at the lowest level in half a century. National's answer is to double subsidies to first-home...
    Scoop politics | 30-08
  • Time to Shine Light on Shadowy Spies
    Internet MANA has promised to set up a Royal Commission of Inquiry into New Zealand’s intelligence agencies, with a view to transferring oversight of spying operations to a new, independent authority....
    Scoop politics | 30-08
  • New Zealand’s biggest problems are Economic Issues
    New Zealand’s biggest problems are Economic Issues (41%) while the World’s most important problems are War & Terrorism (35%) just three weeks before NZ Election...
    Scoop politics | 29-08
  • NZ 2014 Leaders Index – week ending 29 August
    Below is iSentia’s first weekly Leaders’ Index, showing the relative amount of coverage of nine Party Leaders in the lead up to the National Election across news media and social media. We will produce these reports for the next three...
    Scoop politics | 29-08
  • Judgment in Paki v Attorney General
    Tamaiti Cairns said that today’s Supreme Court decision is complicated, but, in essence opens the door for Maori people to go forward with their essential claims to water. Further work is required and Pouakani Trust will continue to pursue its...
    Scoop politics | 29-08
  • Supreme Court Decision on Maori Water Rights
    “ … the Supreme Court refused to give Pouakani people what they asked for, but may have given them something much, much better instead. The Appellants had argued that the Crown’s ownership of the River was as a fiduciary for...
    Scoop politics | 29-08
  • Leaders Dinner with Campbell Live, Dessert with RadioLIVE
    John Campbell is hosting Colin Craig, Winston Peters, Laila Harre, Metiria Turei, Peter Dunne, Jamie Whyte and Te Ururoa Flavell LIVE from Auckland’s Grand Harbour Restaurant on Wednesday 3 September at 7pm....
    Scoop politics | 29-08
  • Credit unions in the political spotlight
    Dirty politics was put aside last night as senior politicians outlined their universal support for growing the cooperatively owned credit union and mutual building society sector in New Zealand....
    Scoop politics | 29-08
  • Maryan Street on issues of importance to older people
    Liam Butler interviews Hon Maryan Street MP on issues of importance to older New Zealanders...
    Scoop politics | 29-08
  • John Hanita Paki and others v The Attorney-General
    JOHN HANITA PAKI, TORIWAI ROTARANGI, TAUHOPA TE WANO HEPI, MATIU MAMAE PITIROI AND GEORGE MONGAMONGA RAWHITI v THE ATTORNEY-GENERAL OF NEW ZEALAND FOR AND ON BEHALF OF THE CROWN (“THE CROWN”) (SC 7/2010)...
    Scoop politics | 29-08
  • Last Nights Leaders Debate Drives The #nzpol Wordcloud
    Following last nights leaders debate on TV One between John Key and David Cunliffe, the data insight organisation Qrious collected all tweets that used the hashtag #nzpol from approximately the last 24 hours to produce this wordcloud....
    Scoop politics | 29-08
  • Campaign suggests reason behind suicide gender statistics
    An online campaign about meaning and belonging has revealed an interesting connection with the difference in suicide rates between men and women....
    Scoop politics | 29-08
  • Act Policy Vindicated by Sensible Sentencing Data
    ACT Leader Dr Jamie Whyte says the Sensible Sentencing Trust's just released analysis of 3 Strikes legislation "proves ACT was right to promote the policy and that it has made New Zealand a much safer country. The figures show beyond...
    Scoop politics | 29-08
  • “Robin Hood tax and other clever ways to help our kids”
    It’s time to talk about tax. Not just income tax but other kinds of tax too....
    Scoop politics | 29-08
  • Cannabis Laws Breach Treaty – ALCP
    Cannabis prohibition is neo-colonial oppression resulting in the disproportionate imprisonment of Maori, the Aotearoa Legalise Cannabis Party says....
    Scoop politics | 29-08
  • 2014 Variation Broadcasting Allocation Decision Released
    The Electoral Commission has released a variation decision on the amount of time and money allocated to political parties for the broadcasting of election programmes for the 2014 General Election....
    Scoop politics | 29-08
  • New Zealand Shoppers- Demand Blue Tick Accredited Products
    Following ongoing concerns surrounding the issue of animal welfare in farming, particularly in the layer and broiler chicken sectors, the RNZSPCA is now asking consumers to purchase only eggs, pork, turkey and chicken that have been Accredited by the Blue...
    Scoop politics | 29-08
  • EDS welcomes Labour’s Environment Policy
    The Environmental Defence Society has welcomed Labour’s Environment Policy which recognises that New Zealand cannot have a healthy economy without a healthy environment....
    Scoop politics | 29-08
  • Candidate calls for an end to institutional racism
    29 AUGUST 2014 Tāmaki Makaurau candidate, Rangi McLean has spoken up in support of Irie Te Wehi-Takerei who was wrongfully accused of shoplifting at a Warehouse store in Manukau. "Over the last month, two different supermarkets have been...
    Scoop politics | 29-08
  • Making tertiary education more accessible to Māori
    29 August 2014 The Māori Party launched its tertiary education policy today at Te Huinga Tauira o Te Mana Ākonga, the national hui for the Māori Teritary Students Association in Palmerston North. Te Tai Hauāuru candidate Chris McKenzie says the...
    Scoop politics | 29-08
  • NZ Sign Language programmes receives $11 million boost
    Deaf Aotearoa are thrilled with Education minister Hekia Parata’s announcement this week that $11 million in funding will go towards a range of New Zealand Sign Language initiatives, including First Signs – a programme that involves sign language...
    Scoop politics | 29-08
  • Abortion violates the Human Rights of Fathers
    Fathers1Right to Life is concerned at the glaring imbalance that exists in law, in regard to the rights of men to defend the lives of the children they have fathered. Fatherhood commences at conception. Children in the womb, just like...
    Scoop politics | 29-08
  • Hundreds to join march against male violence in Auckland CBD
    Hundreds of supporters are expected to join the 'Take Back the Night' march through central Auckland streets tomorrow night in solidarity with making the streets safe for women and the rainbow community to walk without fear of male violence....
    Scoop politics | 29-08
  • Classic example of need for Conservative policy
    The Conservative Party Justice Spokesman, Garth McVicar believes the sentencing of killer Aaron McDonald is a classic example of why an overhaul of the parole and sentencing system is required.”...
    Scoop politics | 29-08
  • Greens & Labour Politicising Bullying in Schools
    Family First NZ says that both the Greens and Labour are wanting to politicise and sexualise school children under the guise of bullying programmes rather than deal with the school bullying issue as it should be dealt with....
    Scoop politics | 29-08
  • Wellington National Is Not Our Future Rally 30/8/14
    Thousands of people will march and rally at National is not our Future events on Saturday. Auckland is the main rally centre with supportive actions in Wellington, Dunedin, Christchurch and Hamilton. In Wellington, marchers will assemble at Te Papa...
    Scoop politics | 29-08
  • EPA grants marine consent for OMV exploration well
    The Environmental Protection Authority has granted a marine consent to OMV New Zealand Ltd for its Whio-1 exploration well in the Taranaki Basin....
    Scoop politics | 29-08
  • First anniversary of the horrific chemical attacks on Syria
    Members of the Syrian Community and friends are commemorating the first anniversary of the horrific chemical attacks on Syria, in Aotea Square on Saturday 30 August 2014, between 11-3 pm. The Assad regimes chemical attacks on al Ghouta were responsible...
    Scoop politics | 28-08
  • Anniversary of the NZ Occupation of German Samoa
    Today, 29th August 2014, marks the 100 years centenary of the occupation of Samoa by New Zealand forces at the request of the British empire, ending the German rule of Samoa. It is also the starting point for the special...
    Scoop politics | 28-08
  • Submissions sought on mosquito repellent
    The Environmental Protection Authority is calling for submissions on a portable mosquito repellent for use outdoors. The repellent consists of a strip impregnated with metofluthrin, a substance from the pyrethroid family....
    Scoop politics | 28-08
  • Spot the difference – the leaders debate
    I watched the Leaders' debate last night and was struck by the fact that John Key accepted all of David Cunliffe's basic assumptions. For example, he did not say that the government should not tell farmers who they could sell...
    Scoop politics | 28-08
  • Colin Craig’s tax figures do not add up and are dishonest
    “Colin Craig’s tax plan is to have two rates of income tax: 0% up to $20,000 and 25% above that. This will leave a $6.4 billion hole in the budget even before the new spending proposed by the Conservatives. The...
    Scoop politics | 28-08
  • Dirty Politics Impacts National Party Support
    Media Release – For Immediate Release Dirty Politics Impacts National Party Support Support for National has dropped by 4.3% to 50.8%, the latest stuff.co.nz / Ipsos political poll shows....
    Scoop politics | 28-08
  • Labour’s environment policy welcomed
    The independent conservation organisation Forest & Bird says that overall the Labour Party’s newly released environment policy would go a long way towards protecting New Zealand’s natural heritage....
    Scoop politics | 28-08
  • National: Not our Future Marches across New Zealand
    Three weeks before the election, action is being taken across the country voicing a rejection of the National Government's track record and direction. Rallies are being held in Auckland, Wellington, Christchurch and Dunedin to oppose National's...
    Scoop politics | 28-08
  • Tune in to tonight’s debate from 7pm
    The countdown is on! You can watch the first leader’s debate for 2014 tonight, 7pm, on TV One ....
    Scoop politics | 28-08
  • Gamblefree Day 1 September
    It's Gamblefree Day this Monday 1 September, the national awareness day for problem gambling in New Zealand. While traditionally celebrated on the first day of September, many events and activities are held both before and after this day to raise...
    Scoop politics | 28-08
  • Success through captioning should be a given as a Right
    Success through captioning should be a given as a Right per the Convention on the Rights of People with Disabilities...
    Scoop politics | 28-08
  • Alcohol Marketing Committee Questions Government’s Motives
    An Independent Expert Committee on Alcohol Advertising and Sponsorship (IECAAS) has been formed out of concern amongst alcohol and public health researchers about the government’s Ministerial Forum on Alcohol Advertising and Sponsorship (MFAAS)....
    Scoop politics | 28-08
  • How Much Higher Can Auckland Prices Go?
    National's plan to liberalise the use of Kiwisaver funds and its proposal to raise ts cheap "Welcome Home" loan thresholds to help buyers purchase a new home has been welcomed by home building companies but attacked as a "welfare scheme...
    Scoop politics | 28-08
  • OPC submission period extended
    We have extended the submission period for the modified reassessment of a bee control affecting five organophosphate and carbamate insecticides (APP202142)....
    Scoop politics | 28-08
  • Vinay Deobhakta struck off roll of barristers and solicitors
    The New Zealand Lawyers and Conveyancers Disciplinary Tribunal has ordered former Tauranga lawyer Vinay Deobhakta to be struck off the roll of barristers and solicitors....
    Scoop politics | 28-08
  • Major parties to front up for Climate Voter election debate
    New Zealand’s main political parties will take part in ‘The Great Climate Voter Debate’ on September 3....
    Scoop politics | 28-08
  • Family violence… too big to be ignored
    As Annah Stretton gears up for her New Zealand Fashion Week show on Thursday she is utilizing her spotlight to help change the face of family violence in this country saying “the problem is far too big to ignore”....
    Scoop politics | 28-08
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