The Standard » polls

Polls and elections

Anthony R0bins — Fri, 18 May 2012 21:14:15 +0000

Another poll to add to current mix. Not a big shift, but in the right direction, and getting the right kinds of headline. And here's another headline that isn't going to help the Nats - the wage gap with Australia is growing at the rate of $1 a month.

The polls must be crazy

James Henderson — Tue, 01 May 2012 22:08:41 +0000

OK. I'm officially confused. Is National plummeting or holding? Is Labour gaining or falling? Are the Greens becoming the second party or slipping back? 5 polls: 5 different answers.

Will the Greens lead the next government?

Anthony R0bins — Sat, 07 Apr 2012 21:20:20 +0000

Two recent pieces in The Herald draw opposite conclusions from recent polls (one of them, alas, is drivel). Matt McCarten asks if National's free fall, and the rise of the Greens, foreshadows a Green led government in 2014...

Updates, upgrades, and polls

lprent — Thu, 05 Apr 2012 09:28:05 +0000

A bit of maintenance work coming up over Easter, and a Morgan poll that covered last week. National show the effects of their mutual collective suicide attempts, and the Greens pick up the benefits. Labour are doing sweet bugger all. Starting to wonder if Labour MP's are catching the dogpack socializing disease from National. I have an impress ion of mutual arse sniffing and bugger all work. I'm unimpressed with the dog imitations from either party.

TV1 Poll

Anthony R0bins — Sun, 01 Apr 2012 21:40:51 +0000

A TV1 poll yesterday had Key falling as preferred PM, but no significant change for the major parties.

If these trends continue… A-y-y-y!

Zetetic — Mon, 05 Mar 2012 21:16:17 +0000

Here's the trend for the past six months of Roy Morgans projected to the next election.

The long slide

Anthony R0bins — Sun, 19 Feb 2012 17:34:45 +0000

According to the latest 3 News poll. National's long slide has begun. Key's popularity has also fallen to its lowest level yet as PM...

John Key’s emergency descent

lprent — Sat, 11 Feb 2012 22:22:29 +0000

A great graphic from the Sunday Star Times as John Key starts dropping towards a hard landing in the personal popularity stakes. And in the great tradition of journalists everywhere, the rest of the article is about how he is still preferred by rubber fetishists.

Bugger the polls

Anthony R0bins — Sun, 27 Nov 2011 20:48:08 +0000

Pundit's poll of polls tracked 57 individual polls this year, four of them appearing just a day or so before the election. Every single poll predicted National with the seats to govern alone. Didn't happen. The polls over estimate Nat support to the tune of about 4%. They need to rethink their methods.

How bad are National’s internals?

Guest post — Fri, 18 Nov 2011 23:33:46 +0000

Some say the tea tapes haven't hurt Brand Key. In fact, National is down 2% last week and those polls were largely taken before the tea tapes hit overdrive. It also takes time for impressions and media narratives to bed in. The 26th will be the first poll to really tell us how much the tea tapes have hurt. But the internals could give us a clue.

Main parties down minor parties up

Anthony R0bins — Thu, 17 Nov 2011 18:07:38 +0000

The two TV polls last night had both major parties down, and The Greens on the rise to 13%. The Herald poll has NZF on 4.9%. I would expect the Nats to fall as the bungled and aggressive handling of the teapot tape fiasco has time to impact the polls. It's going to be an interesting week.

Interesting poll results

Eddie — Wed, 16 Nov 2011 21:33:45 +0000

Minor Leaders' debate: Winston Peters 36%, Hone Harawira 27%, Don Brash 14%.
Fairfax Epsom poll: Paul Goldsmith 45.5%, John Banks 29.1%.
Impact of Key endorsement: More likely to vote Banks 23%, Less likely 30%.
Taranaki Daily news debate exit poll: Andrew Little 64.5%, Jonathan Young 28%.

Good news bad news polls

Anthony R0bins — Thu, 10 Nov 2011 18:25:10 +0000

Labour is down in two recent polls (albeit margin of error), but over all the news is good!

Mixed polls

Anthony R0bins — Tue, 08 Nov 2011 20:44:58 +0000

The Fairfax Research International poll looks disastrous for Labour, but it's a new poll with no track record. Laugh at me if I turn out to be wrong, but I'm calling it rogue. In contrast a Herald Mood of the Nation poll today is much better reading for the Left.

TVNZ and Herald polls

Anthony R0bins — Thu, 03 Nov 2011 19:35:52 +0000

Two polls out yesterday show no significant changes, with National well in front. Don't panic! The campaign has only just started. Events always take a while to show up in the polls. The Left needs to see movement soon - time's running out fast - but it isn't a surprise not to see it yet.