Clusterf*ck in Epsom

Written By: - Date published: 10:25 am, August 4th, 2011 - 61 comments
Categories: david parker, election 2011, john banks - Tags: , ,

It looks like the race for Epsom is about to get a whole lot more exciting. Former ACT funder Colin Craig seems set to throw his hat into the ring against ACT’s John Banks, National’s Paul Goldsmith, and Labour’s David Parker. It only needs Winnie to join in to make a real party of it. Can Parker slip through the middle and win?

Consider these facts:

  • In 2008, the party vote split about 10,000 for Labour/Greens. That’s artificially low because the candidates were running ‘don’t vote for me’ campaigns that hurt the party vote too.
  • There were 26,000 party votes for National/ACT, nearly all of them National. ACT’s base support in Epsom is only about 2,000
  • The Green candidate vote is likely to be much weaker this time with the unknown David Hay replacing Keith Locke.
  • John Banks is old. He’s been out of national politics for 12 years. He’s also clearly a proxy for Brash, who is completely unelectable.
  • Banks cannot assume he starts with Rodney Hide’s level of support in 2008. That was hard, hard won. In 2005, despite the nod from National, his majority was only 3,000.
  • National supporters of Epsom are being told from on high to vote for a guy who is representing a party that he doesn’t really believe in so that a guy no-one would elect can get in to offer a lifeline to a party that is falling apart in a mess of fascist and libertarian contradictions, so that National can have a support partner if they need one.
  • There are a lot of grumblings from National’s base in Epsom that they don’t like being taken for granted and they want to be able to vote for a real National MP, rather than being Shanghaied into assisting an ally that most on the Right are keen to abandon. Even when National’s Epsom supporters were happy to go along with the rort, Richard Worth won over 8,000 votes.
  • David Parker will be the most senior politician and only sitting MP in the race.

So, what happens if a large portion of National supporters refuse to to used as tools and vote for Goldsmith, Craig, or even Parker? What if Parker can, additionally pick up nearly all the Labour/Green party votes?

There will be about 36,000 votes in play. It’s fair to assume that, if he campaigns for the candidate vote, Parker will get nearly all the Left vote and probably a few thousand from the Nats. Call it 12,000.

That leaves 24,000 votes divided between three rightwing candidates, none of whom are particularly energising, and one of whom will be constantly reminding voters of the attempted stitch-up between the other two. How many permutations of 24,000 divided among three result in none having more than 12,000 votes?

61 comments on “Clusterf*ck in Epsom ”

  • Comments are now closed

  1. Bryan 1
    4 August 2011 at 11:22 am

    I’m not sure where you get your figures from. Hopeful, wishful thinking that resembles Robin Hood. A fantasy. Hide regained control of the seat with a resounding win in 08 so why look back to 05? If we use 05 as the benchmark, then National won’t win the benches again. Typical left thinking…looking backwards rather than forwards. While Epsom should be an interesting seat to watch, if Banks doesn’t win, rest assured Parker won’t. The stitch ups are neither new nor unique. More people voted for Worth and Hide than people voted for their parties, yet more votes were recorded in the party column, than MP. What does that tell you? There will be a base of people unhappy with the rort, but many many more who let their pen do the talking. Banks will win it. Goldfish will be a distant second, and Conservative Craig will come in a noble 3rd. The voters in Epsom may largely be conservative, but they won’t risk omitting Banks as their MP to get Craig in. Too much on the line.

    • lprent 1.1
      4 August 2011 at 11:32 am

      At a rough guess, I’d say that Eddie got them from http://elections.org.nz

      Perhaps you should try reading it?

    • Blighty 1.2
      4 August 2011 at 11:41 am

      The point is that, yes, it’s a heavily rightwing seat but it’s also got three big rightwing candidates and how many of them will refuse to toe the Banks line?

      • lprent 1.2.1
        4 August 2011 at 12:12 pm

        Jeremy Greenbrook-Held said (on facebook)

        Between them, the candidates for Epsom have lost the Auckland Mayoralty 3 times, and Goldsmith failed to be elected to the Auckland Council.

        It is essentially a seat that the right wing sends their failed candidates to. I mean who in Auckland really wants to vote John Banks into anything? Even the right voters seem to despise him – especially the women.

    • Pete George 1.3
      4 August 2011 at 11:53 am

      I think it’s pointless trying to come up with wishful number combinations.

      The voters in Epsom may largely be conservative, but they won’t risk omitting Banks as their MP to get Craig in. Too much on the line.

      What’s more likely to happen is Epsom voters will work out there preference and go for it. They’ve bucked voting tradition before, why not again?

      Epsom is a battle for several seats, not just a single seat. It will be interesting to see the Conservative list. It wouldn’t be hard to look better than the Act list, but Craigs list needs to look to have some breadth and depth to compete. That means not just looking like another attempt at a Christian party.

    • Draco T Bastard 1.4
      4 August 2011 at 12:10 pm

      Typical left thinking…looking backwards rather than forwards.

      Nope, that’s the thinking of the right who seem determined to take us back to the 15th century.

  2. Bryan 2
    4 August 2011 at 11:49 am

    @lprent got it. Perhaps more appropriately I should have said I’m not sure how logical it is to use historic figures (’05 vs ’08) and somehow substantively suggest that a Labour candidate will ‘sneak’ through. I don’t live in the electorate, so my suggestions are guesswork too, but I think they’re a little closer to reality than a fantasy of a left leaning candidate sneaking through.

    @Blighty three ‘big’ rightwing candidates? Banks has profile, give you that. The other two are noises and distractions; not what I’d call big. Of them, one will campaign for candidate vote, one won’t. Neither will win it. The seat is a strong conservative ‘blue’ seat.

    take Auckland central as another example. It changed from longtime red to blue for a few reasons. Reputation of the Dame languishing, voter apathy against Labour and seeking change (across the board), good street work by Nicki Kay. As a ‘red’ seat, it wouldn’t have mattered in ’08 if there was 1 left candidate or several.

    Compared then to Epsom, a blue seat, with a strong blue government, neither strong mandate for change in the wind (nor in the polls) and still with 3 contenders who on paper could win. The voters in Epsom since MMP have always voted strategically and sensibly to ensure the resulting party in Govt helps them out. They may not like how they have to achieve that, but in the end, it’s a means to assist. They don’t want their cake and to eat it too – they just want the cake.

    • felix 2.1
      4 August 2011 at 11:54 am

      “take Auckland central as another example. It changed from longtime red to blue for a few reasons. “

      You forgot the main reason: long term demographic change in the area.

      • lprent 2.1.1
        4 August 2011 at 12:11 pm

        Yep – and the massive increase in apartment dwellers in the central city. Something like 15-20k voters moved into the city over a decade.

    • Blighty 2.2
      4 August 2011 at 12:10 pm

      Paul Goldsmith is big because he is National’s candidate. And I think you can count on Colin Craig throwing the kitchen sink into his campaign.

      • Graeme Edgeler 2.2.1
        4 August 2011 at 12:38 pm

        His spending is limited to $25,000 in Epsom during the not-very-far-away regulated period.

        The Party also cannot advertise on Radio or Television.

        • bbfloyd 2.2.1.1
          4 August 2011 at 1:34 pm

          graeme… you”re not still deluding yourself that the tories are remotely interested in a fair fight are you?

          since when have they not done what they could to get around the rules?

        • Rob Davies 2.2.1.2
          4 August 2011 at 9:19 pm

          As a candidate he is limited to a $25,000 spend, but isn’t he also registering a political party?

          Registered parties are capped to a total spend of no more than $1.032 million.

          That party’s “national” campaign could include some hoarding sites outside Auckland, but within the city there could be a strong Epsom bias.

          Ergo, Blighty is probably correct to say Craig is likely to throw the kitchen sink into the campaign. He has in the past.

    • lprent 2.3
      4 August 2011 at 12:18 pm

      Banks has profile

      Problem is that it is not a good profile. There will be a lot of people just voting against Banks because he is Banks.

      • Pete George 2.3.1
        4 August 2011 at 12:23 pm

        Act supporters seemed to be split on the Brash Act, then joined in hope.
        They then seemed very split on whether Act should bank on Banks.
        Pol results aren’t surprising.

      • Blighty 2.3.2
        4 August 2011 at 3:10 pm

        yeah, and that’s even more reason to think the rightwing vote will split.

  3. felix 3
    4 August 2011 at 11:51 am

    “Banks cannot assume he starts with Rodney Hide’s level of support in 2008. That was hard, hard won.”

    I raised this point with Lew recently, who pointed out that Rodney only had to do all that hard work because the voters of Epsom would’ve rather voted for a proper Nat like Banks all along.

  4. mickysavage 4
    4 August 2011 at 12:13 pm

    We should not forget the New Citizen party.  A significant proportion of the electorate is Asian and with a good campaign they could achieve 10% of the vote.  In the Botany By election NCP candidate Paul Young achieved over 10% of the vote.
    Interesting times …

    • Pete George 4.1
      4 August 2011 at 12:15 pm

      Yes, interesting and good that some seats get plenty of attention and voters get plenty of choices. We need a few more seats to get into MMP democracy like Epsom.

  5. Colonial Viper 5
    4 August 2011 at 12:21 pm

    I’m sensing a panic pulse from Captain Panic Pants.

    Parker is more economically literate than the rest of those Right Wingers put together too.

  6. randal 6
    4 August 2011 at 12:40 pm

    I think the voters of Epsom are sick and tired of being treated like pawns in Nationals game. And morevoer they know that Labour has the most progressive policies this time around. If National wont represent them and treat them properly then the Labour Party will.

    • Bryan 6.1
      4 August 2011 at 12:46 pm

      haha. “they know that Labour has the most….” um. Fact is the policies of National, Act and CP are more aligned with the electorate than Labours. What are you smoking?

      • Lazy Susan 6.1.1
        4 August 2011 at 1:07 pm

        Oh you mean like privatising state assets, tax cuts for high income earners, gutting Kiwisaver, increasing GST. Those really popular NAct policies – yeah right!

        • Bryan 6.1.1.1
          4 August 2011 at 1:20 pm

          Yes Susan – that’s exactly what I mean. The electorate (speaking generally) is more aligned to tax cut policies for high income earners among the others you refer to. Might not be paletable, but given the nature of this post is how too many RW candidates could allow Labour to sneak through, it is important to keep on topic, and face facts. The seat is very much there for RW parties to exploit. No surprises as to why.

          • bbfloyd 6.1.1.1.1
            4 August 2011 at 1:44 pm

            bryan,,, so you’re telling us that the people of epsom are happy to support the rape and pillage of the economy going on now? if i lived in epsom, i would be insulted by that statement..

            aren’t they supposed to be the smart ones? do you honestly believe that people with that kind of knowledge and intellect would not understand what the nats policies(or lack of) is going to do to the profitability of their business’ over a relatively short period of time?

            i can understand lawyers going along happily with the exploitative approach, but they don’t make up the majority in epsom..

            • Colonial Viper 6.1.1.1.1.1
              4 August 2011 at 11:06 pm

              Even senior Epsom lawyers aren’t going to be happy to realise that their grandchildren are going to grow up in London, Sydney and Singapore.

      • mik e 6.1.2
        4 August 2011 at 10:34 pm

        Is that the one where you have 20,000 more on the DPB or no savings

  7. Lilz 7
    4 August 2011 at 12:41 pm

    It’s electorates like Epsom that make me more excited about the election than the RWC. Quite frankly the latter is just going to be a giant distraction in the lead up to 26 November.

    • Colonial Viper 7.1
      4 August 2011 at 12:58 pm

      For many people like myself, the RWC is not even going to be a distraction, just an irritation.

      • bbfloyd 7.1.1
        4 August 2011 at 1:47 pm

        certainly, now that the nats have managed to turn rwc into a second rate circus act, effectively negating most of the positive flow on that may have occurred.

        that is seriously irritating, and embarrassing.

  8. Frank Macskasy 8
    4 August 2011 at 1:04 pm

    Thinking on this matter…

    We are looking at this situation from a left or centre-left perspective. ACT is odious to us (and rightly so), whilst John Banks would not be our first choice of candidate (to put it diplomatically).

    But…

    How would I feel, if a similar scenario was presented to me, in my electorate? What if, say, Labour gave strong “hints” to give them the Party Vote, but vote for “Joe Bloggs” from NZ First (which I distrust greatly) to allow NZF to ‘sneak’ through the 5% thresh-hold and give Labour a Coalition partner?

    I would not be terribly happy at the prospect. No, indeed.

    But if it’s a choice between a Labour/NZ First coalition and a National/ACT coalition…

    No, I would not be happy. But I guess I would do the unpalatable thing and Party Vote Labour and Electotate Vote NZ First.

    God, I feel sorry for those poor buggers in Epsom…

    • Lazy Susan 8.1
      4 August 2011 at 1:12 pm

      True Frank – if you were a died in the wool Labour supporter. But what if you are part of that big soft centre that flaps around in the electoral breeze?

    • Bryan 8.2
      4 August 2011 at 1:22 pm

      precisely Frank. well said. They may not agree with it, but the majority will be complicit and do it. The end result is more important than a yellow wearing dancer, or recycled public servant. Any which way – this is not about the Epsom seat, but retaining the right wing government, which is probably why most will toe the line.

  9. Frank Macskasy 9
    4 August 2011 at 1:23 pm

    But what if you are part of that big soft centre that flaps around in the electoral breeze?

    Good point, Susan…

    And if I’m to be honest – I’ve no idea. Trying to look at this issue through another perspective is fairly difficult as it is. I guess I can use the Labour/NZF analogy up to a point as I’ve been a leftie/social democrat for my voting life.

    But a swing voter?

    That’s a new thing altogether. Fairly alien territory for someone with definite views, like me.

  10. Bryan 10
    4 August 2011 at 1:24 pm

    Just a side issue – Craig hasn’t announced which Electorate he’s going for either. He may choose Epsom, but he surely doesn’t want to spend money poorly so if he thinks his chances aren’t ‘great there’ which I don’t think they are, he’ll probably look elsewhere. Which makes our pontificating here even less relevant! 🙂

  11. prism 11
    4 August 2011 at 1:25 pm

    Banks cannot assume he starts with Rodney Hide’s level of support in 2008. That was hard, hard won. In 2005, despite the nod from National, his majority was only 3,000.

    I wondered about that – here’s the info.
    2008
    ACT New Zealand 2,389 HIDE, Rodney ACT 21,102
    Green Party 2,662 LOCKE, Keith GP 2,787
    Labour Party 7,711 SUTTON, Kate LAB 5,112
    United Future 258 TUCK, Janet UFNZ 163
    National Party 24,030 WORTH, Richard NAT 8,220

    2005
    ACT New Zealand 1,237 HIDE, Rodney ACT 15,251
    Green Party 1,941 LOCKE, Keith GP 1,513
    Labour Party 9,915 NASH, Stuart LAB 6,138
    National Party 21,310 WORTH, Richard NAT 12,149
    NZ First in the 800s went down to 500s in 2008
    Destiny New Zealand 66 GABB, Rod DNZ 114
    Destiny had a go in 2005 not in 2008.

    • Richard 11.1
      4 August 2011 at 1:36 pm

      At first glance it looks like a significant number of National Party voters, voted for Hide, which is well known.

      But it also looks like a significant number of Green and Labour voters voted for somebody other than the corresponding electorate candidate. This might mean that significant numbers of Green and Labour votes voted for the National candidate? It is difficult to see them voting for Hide.

    • Tom Gould 11.2
      4 August 2011 at 1:42 pm

      @ prism, these numbers show just how obscene the Tory rort in Epsom is. The ACT fruit-loops can barely dredge up 2,000 votes, yet their boy can win the seat? And it clearly isn’t down to looks or personality.

  12. Frank Macskasy 12
    4 August 2011 at 1:32 pm

    Prism, are those Party or Electorate Votes?

  13. Hopeful 13
    4 August 2011 at 2:36 pm

    Wouldn’t be more likely that a left (ie Green) candidate might slip through as the right vote splits between Banks, Goldsmith, Craig & Parker?

  14. Shazzadude 14
    4 August 2011 at 2:48 pm

    I reckon Parker should campaign on not being part of the cosy experiment, and to ask National voters who don’t like the cosy ACT deal to vote for him to teach National and ACT a lesson.

    • Bryan 14.1
      4 August 2011 at 2:51 pm

      riiight. vote for Parker. Get rid of Act, and put National/current Government at risk. To teach National and Act a lesson. To end up with a Labour government. Aha. Like the people of Epsom are going to do that. Said it before, will say it again. They may not like what they have to do, but they’ll do it anyway. They may feel used and abused but that is way less sacrifice than doing things to assist Labour in any way.

      • prism 14.1.1
        4 August 2011 at 8:49 pm

        Wouldn’t it be nice if voters went for the party that was good for NZ instead of choosing their political allegiance as if it was a sports team! Epsom will bite the bullet and vote whichever way will keep National in and Labour out. How small minded democracy has ended up.

  15. the pink postman 15
    4 August 2011 at 2:57 pm

    I think we have all forgotten Rodney Hide ,He’s still angry at the way he was dumped .I’m certainly not a fan bit I do think the ACT/Nats really did the dirt on him. Watching him on TV the body language says “Im not done yet! It could be very interesting /

  16. tc 16
    4 August 2011 at 3:28 pm

    I’d love to see Hide making a nuisance of himself this election……remind akl’ers of the srewing over they received at the NACT’s hands.

  17. Georgy 17
    4 August 2011 at 9:04 pm

    Well, when you read all the comments, opinions, permutations, combinations, and possibilities, I think the original blog by Eddie is probably about right. Splitting the RW vote 2 or 3 ways, with consolidation of the left vote and some protest vote for Parker, then he just might sneak through – and that would be one of the greatest victories since the very first elections in NZ ! ! ! ! Ha Ha go Parker ! ! ! !

    • Colonial Viper 17.1
      4 August 2011 at 10:59 pm

      I bet the Righties are planning some desperate back room negotiations in Epsom haha

  18. chris73 18
    5 August 2011 at 6:48 am

    I don’t think this is going to change the result at all: ACT win in Epsom

    Though if this guy is representing the religious right I’d like to see him join forces with Destiney so that when they get a resounding hiding at the polls they’ll (hopefully) realise theres no room in NZ for fundamentalist political activism

    • lprent 18.1
      5 August 2011 at 8:01 am

      Yeah I wish that party of fundamentalist activists would die as well. But Act is tearing itself apart fast enough already. Isn’t it?

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    Chris Bishop’s bill has stirred up a hornets nest of opposition. Photo: Lynn Grieveson for The KākāTL;DR: The six things that stood out to me in Aotearoa’s political economy around housing, poverty and climate from the last day included:A crescendo of opposition to the Government’s Fast Track Approvals Bill is ...
    The KakaBy Bernard Hickey
    15 hours ago

  • The Bank of our Tamariki and Mokopuna.
    Monday left me brokenTuesday, I was through with hopingWednesday, my empty arms were openThursday, waiting for love, waiting for loveThe end of another week that left many of us asking WTF? What on earth has NZ gotten itself into and how on earth could people have voluntarily signed up for ...
    Nick’s KōreroBy Nick Rockel
    16 hours ago

  • The worth of it all
    Hello! Here comes the Saturday edition of More Than A Feilding, catching you up on the past week’s editions.State of humanity, 20242024, it feels, keeps presenting us with ever more challenges, ever more dismay.Do you give up yet? It seems to ask.No? How about this? Or this?How about this?Full story Share ...
    More Than A FeildingBy David Slack
    19 hours ago

  • What is the Hardest Sport in the World?
    Determining the hardest sport in the world is a subjective matter, as the difficulty level can vary depending on individual abilities, physical attributes, and experience. However, based on various factors including physical demands, technical skills, mental fortitude, and overall accomplishment, here is an exploration of some of the most challenging ...
    Gareth’s WorldBy admin
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  • What is the Most Expensive Sport?
    The allure of sport transcends age, culture, and geographical boundaries. It captivates hearts, ignites passions, and provides unparalleled entertainment. Behind the spectacle, however, lies a fascinating world of financial investment and expenditure. Among the vast array of competitive pursuits, one question looms large: which sport carries the hefty title of ...
    Gareth’s WorldBy admin
    22 hours ago

  • Pickleball On the Cusp of Olympic Glory
    Introduction Pickleball, a rapidly growing paddle sport, has captured the hearts and imaginations of millions around the world. Its blend of tennis, badminton, and table tennis elements has made it a favorite among players of all ages and skill levels. As the sport’s popularity continues to surge, the question on ...
    Gareth’s WorldBy admin
    22 hours ago

  • The Origin and Evolution of Soccer Unveiling the Genius Behind the World’s Most Popular Sport
    Abstract: Soccer, the global phenomenon captivating millions worldwide, has a rich history that spans centuries. Its origins trace back to ancient civilizations, but the modern version we know and love emerged through a complex interplay of cultural influences and innovations. This article delves into the fascinating journey of soccer’s evolution, ...
    Gareth’s WorldBy admin
    22 hours ago

  • How Much to Tint Car Windows A Comprehensive Guide
    Tinting car windows offers numerous benefits, including enhanced privacy, reduced glare, UV protection, and a more stylish look for your vehicle. However, the cost of window tinting can vary significantly depending on several factors. This article provides a comprehensive guide to help you understand how much you can expect to ...
    Gareth’s WorldBy admin
    22 hours ago

  • Why Does My Car Smell Like Gas? A Comprehensive Guide to Diagnosing and Fixing the Issue
    The pungent smell of gasoline in your car can be an alarming and potentially dangerous problem. Not only is the odor unpleasant, but it can also indicate a serious issue with your vehicle’s fuel system. In this article, we will explore the various reasons why your car may smell like ...
    Gareth’s WorldBy admin
    22 hours ago

  • How to Remove Tree Sap from Car A Comprehensive Guide
    Tree sap can be a sticky, unsightly mess on your car’s exterior. It can be difficult to remove, but with the right techniques and products, you can restore your car to its former glory. Understanding Tree Sap Tree sap is a thick, viscous liquid produced by trees to seal wounds ...
    Gareth’s WorldBy admin
    22 hours ago

  • How Much Paint Do You Need to Paint a Car?
    The amount of paint needed to paint a car depends on a number of factors, including the size of the car, the number of coats you plan to apply, and the type of paint you are using. In general, you will need between 1 and 2 gallons of paint for ...
    Gareth’s WorldBy admin
    22 hours ago

  • Can You Jump a Car in the Rain? Safety Precautions and Essential Steps
    Jump-starting a car is a common task that can be performed even in adverse weather conditions like rain. However, safety precautions and proper techniques are crucial to avoid potential hazards. This comprehensive guide will provide detailed instructions on how to safely jump a car in the rain, ensuring both your ...
    Gareth’s WorldBy admin
    22 hours ago

  • Can taxpayers be confident PIJF cash was spent wisely?
    Graham Adams writes about the $55m media fund — When Patrick Gower was asked by Mike Hosking last week what he would say to the many Newstalk ZB callers who allege the Labour government bribed media with $55 million of taxpayers’ money via the Public Interest Journalism Fund — and ...
    Point of OrderBy gadams1000
    1 day ago

  • EGU2024 – An intense week of joining sessions virtually
    Note: this blog post has been put together over the course of the week I followed the happenings at the conference virtually. Should recordings of the Great Debates and possibly Union Symposia mentioned below, be released sometime after the conference ends, I'll include links to the ones I participated in. ...
    Skeptical Science
    1 day ago

  • Submission on “Fast Track Approvals Bill”
    The following was my submission made on the “Fast Track Approvals Bill”. This potential law will give three Ministers unchecked powers, un-paralled since the days of Robert Muldoon’s “Think Big” projects.The submission is written a bit tongue-in-cheek. But it’s irreverent because the FTAB is in itself not worthy of respect. ...
    Frankly SpeakingBy Frank Macskasy
    1 day ago

  • The Case for a Universal Family Benefit
    One Could Reduce Child Poverty At No Fiscal CostFollowing the Richardson/Shipley 1990 ‘redesign of the welfare state’ – which eliminated the universal Family Benefit and doubled the rate of child poverty – various income supplements for families have been added, the best known being ‘Working for Families’, introduced in 2005. ...
    PunditBy Brian Easton
    1 day ago

  • A who’s who of New Zealand’s dodgiest companies
    Submissions on National's corrupt Muldoonist fast-track law are due today (have you submitted?), and just hours before they close, Infrastructure Minister Chris Bishop has been forced to release the list of companies he invited to apply. I've spent the last hour going through it in an epic thread of bleats, ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    1 day ago

  • On Lee’s watch, Economic Development seems to be stuck on scoring points from promoting sporting e...
    Buzz from the Beehive A few days ago, Point of Order suggested the media must be musing “on why Melissa is mute”. Our article reported that people working in the beleaguered media industry have cause to yearn for a minister as busy as Melissa Lee’s ministerial colleagues and we drew ...
    Point of OrderBy Bob Edlin
    1 day ago

  • New Zealand has never been closed for business
    1. What was The Curse of Jim Bolger?a. Winston Peters b. Soon after shaking his hand, world leaders would mysteriously lose office or shuffle off this mortal coilc. Could never shake off the Mother of All Budgetsd. Dandruff2. True or false? The Chairman of a Kiwi export business has asked the ...
    More Than A FeildingBy David Slack
    1 day ago

  • Stop the panic – we’ve been here before
    Jack Vowles writes – New Zealand is said to be suffering from ‘serious populist discontent’. An IPSOS MORI survey has reported that we have an increasing preference for strong leaders, think that the economy is rigged toward the rich and powerful, and political elites are ignoring ‘hard-working people’.  ...
    Point of OrderBy poonzteam5443
    2 days ago

  • Melissa Lee and the media: ending the quest
    Chris Trotter writes –  MELISSA LEE should be deprived of her ministerial warrant. Her handling – or non-handling – of the crisis engulfing the New Zealand news media has been woeful. The fate of New Zealand’s two linear television networks, a question which the Minister of Broadcasting, Communications ...
    Point of OrderBy Bob Edlin
    2 days ago

  • The Hoon around the week to April 19
    TL;DR: The podcast above features co-hosts and , along with regular guests Robert Patman on Gaza and AUKUS II, and on climate change.The six things that mattered in Aotearoa’s political economy that we wrote and spoke about via The Kākā and elsewhere for paying subscribers in the ...
    The KakaBy Bernard Hickey
    2 days ago

  • The ‘Humpty Dumpty’ end result of dismantling our environmental protections
    Policymakers rarely wish to make plain or visible their desire to dismantle environmental policy, least of all to the young. Photo: Lynn GrievesonTL;DR: Here’s the top five news items of note in climate news for Aotearoa-NZ this week, and a discussion above between Bernard Hickey and The Kākā’s climate correspondent ...
    The KakaBy Bernard Hickey
    2 days ago

  • Nicola's Salad Days.
    I like to keep an eye on what’s happening in places like the UK, the US, and over the ditch with our good mates the Aussies. Let’s call them AUKUS, for want of a better collective term. More on that in a bit.It used to be, not long ago, that ...
    Nick’s KōreroBy Nick Rockel
    2 days ago

  • Study sees climate change baking in 19% lower global income by 2050
    TL;DR: The global economy will be one fifth smaller than it would have otherwise been in 2050 as a result of climate damage, according to a new study by the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK) and published in the journal Nature. (See more detail and analysis below, and ...
    The KakaBy Bernard Hickey
    2 days ago

  • Weekly Roundup 19-April-2024
    It’s Friday again. Here’s some of the things that caught our attention this week. This Week on Greater Auckland On Tuesday Matt covered at the government looking into a long tunnel for Wellington. On Wednesday we ran a post from Oscar Simms on some lessons from Texas. AT’s ...
    Greater AucklandBy Matt L
    2 days ago

  • Jack Vowles: Stop the panic – we’ve been here before
    New Zealand is said to be suffering from ‘serious populist discontent’. An IPSOS MORI survey has reported that we have an increasing preference for strong leaders, think that the economy is rigged toward the rich and powerful, and political elites are ignoring ‘hard-working people’.  The data is from February this ...
    Democracy ProjectBy bryce.edwards
    2 days ago

  • Clearing up confusion (or trying to)
    Foreign Minister Winston Peters is understood to be planning a major speech within the next fortnight to clear up the confusion over whether or not New Zealand might join the AUKUS submarine project. So far, there have been conflicting signals from the Government. RNZ reported the Prime Minister yesterday in ...
    PolitikBy Richard Harman
    2 days ago

  • How to Retrieve Deleted Call Log iPhone Without Computer
    How to Retrieve Deleted Call Log on iPhone Without a Computer: A Step–by–Step Guide Losing your iPhone call history can be frustrating, especially when you need to find a specific number or recall an important conversation. But before you panic, know that there are ways to retrieve deleted call logs on your iPhone, even without a computer. This guide will explore various methods, ranging from simple checks to utilizing iCloud backups and third–party applications. So, let‘s dive in and recover those lost calls! 1. Check Recently Deleted Folder: Apple understands that accidental deletions happen. That‘s why they introduced the “Recently Deleted“ folder for various apps, including the Phone app. This folder acts as a safety net, storing deleted call logs for up to 30 days before permanently erasing them. Here‘s how to check it: Open the Phone app on your iPhone. Tap on the “Recents“ tab at the bottom. Scroll to the top and tap on “Edit“. Select “Show Recently Deleted“. Browse the list to find the call logs you want to recover. Tap on the desired call log and choose “Recover“ to restore it to your call history. 2. Restore from iCloud Backup: If you regularly back up your iPhone to iCloud, you might be able to retrieve your deleted call log from a previous backup. However, keep in mind that this process will restore your entire phone to the state it was in at the time of the backup, potentially erasing any data added since then. Here‘s how to restore from an iCloud backup: Go to Settings > General > Reset. Choose “Erase All Content and Settings“. Follow the on–screen instructions. Your iPhone will restart and show the initial setup screen. Choose “Restore from iCloud Backup“ during the setup process. Select the relevant backup that contains your deleted call log. Wait for the restoration process to complete. 3. Explore Third–Party Apps (with Caution): ...
    Gareth’s WorldBy admin
    2 days ago

  • How to Factory Reset iPhone without Computer: A Comprehensive Guide to Restoring your Device
    Life throws curveballs, and sometimes, those curveballs necessitate wiping your iPhone clean and starting anew. Whether you’re facing persistent software glitches, preparing to sell your device, or simply wanting a fresh start, knowing how to factory reset iPhone without a computer is a valuable skill. While using a computer with ...
    Gareth’s WorldBy admin
    2 days ago

  • How to Call Someone on a Computer: A Guide to Voice and Video Communication in the Digital Age
    Gone are the days when communication was limited to landline phones and physical proximity. Today, computers have become powerful tools for connecting with people across the globe through voice and video calls. But with a plethora of applications and methods available, how to call someone on a computer might seem ...
    Gareth’s WorldBy admin
    2 days ago

  • Skeptical Science New Research for Week #16 2024
    Open access notables Glacial isostatic adjustment reduces past and future Arctic subsea permafrost, Creel et al., Nature Communications: Sea-level rise submerges terrestrial permafrost in the Arctic, turning it into subsea permafrost. Subsea permafrost underlies ~ 1.8 million km2 of Arctic continental shelf, with thicknesses in places exceeding 700 m. Sea-level variations over glacial-interglacial cycles control ...
    Skeptical Science
    2 days ago

  • Where on a Computer is the Operating System Generally Stored? Delving into the Digital Home of your ...
    The operating system (OS) is the heart and soul of a computer, orchestrating every action and interaction between hardware and software. But have you ever wondered where on a computer is the operating system generally stored? The answer lies in the intricate dance between hardware and software components, particularly within ...
    Gareth’s WorldBy admin
    2 days ago

  • How Many Watts Does a Laptop Use? Understanding Power Consumption and Efficiency
    Laptops have become essential tools for work, entertainment, and communication, offering portability and functionality. However, with rising energy costs and growing environmental concerns, understanding a laptop’s power consumption is more important than ever. So, how many watts does a laptop use? The answer, unfortunately, isn’t straightforward. It depends on several ...
    Gareth’s WorldBy admin
    2 days ago

  • How to Screen Record on a Dell Laptop A Guide to Capturing Your Screen with Ease
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    Gareth’s WorldBy admin
    2 days ago

  • How Much Does it Cost to Fix a Laptop Screen? Navigating Repair Options and Costs
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    Gareth’s WorldBy admin
    2 days ago

  • How Long Do Gaming Laptops Last? Demystifying Lifespan and Maximizing Longevity
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    Gareth’s WorldBy admin
    2 days ago

  • Climate Change: Turning the tide
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    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    2 days ago

  • How to Unlock Your Computer A Comprehensive Guide to Regaining Access
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    Gareth’s WorldBy admin
    2 days ago

  • Faxing from Your Computer A Modern Guide to Sending Documents Digitally
    While the world has largely transitioned to digital communication, faxing still holds relevance in certain industries and situations. Fortunately, gone are the days of bulky fax machines and dedicated phone lines. Today, you can easily send and receive faxes directly from your computer, offering a convenient and efficient way to ...
    Gareth’s WorldBy admin
    2 days ago

  • Protecting Your Home Computer A Guide to Cyber Awareness
    In our increasingly digital world, home computers have become essential tools for work, communication, entertainment, and more. However, this increased reliance on technology also exposes us to various cyber threats. Understanding these threats and taking proactive steps to protect your home computer is crucial for safeguarding your personal information, finances, ...
    Gareth’s WorldBy admin
    2 days ago

  • Server-Based Computing Powering the Modern Digital Landscape
    In the ever-evolving world of technology, server-based computing has emerged as a cornerstone of modern digital infrastructure. This article delves into the concept of server-based computing, exploring its various forms, benefits, challenges, and its impact on the way we work and interact with technology. Understanding Server-Based Computing: At its core, ...
    Gareth’s WorldBy admin
    2 days ago

  • Vroom vroom go the big red trucks
    The absolute brass neck of this guy.We want more medical doctors, not more spin doctors, Luxon was saying a couple of weeks ago, and now we’re told the guy has seven salaried adults on TikTok duty. Sorry, doing social media. The absolute brass neck of it. The irony that the ...
    More Than A FeildingBy David Slack
    2 days ago

  • Jones finds $410,000 to help the government muscle in on a spat project
    Buzz from the Beehive Oceans and Fisheries Minister Shane Jones relishes spatting and eagerly takes issue with environmentalists who criticise his enthusiasm for resource development. He relishes helping the fishing industry too. And so today, while the media are making much of the latest culling in the public service to ...
    Point of OrderBy Bob Edlin
    2 days ago

  • Again, hate crimes are not necessarily terrorism.
    Having written, taught and worked for the US government on issues involving unconventional warfare and terrorism for 30-odd years, two things irritate me the most when the subject is discussed in public. The first is the Johnny-come-lately academics-turned-media commentators who … Continue reading → ...
    KiwipoliticoBy Pablo
    3 days ago

  • Despair – construction consenting edition
    Eric Crampton writes – Kainga Ora is the government’s house building agency. It’s been building a lot of social housing. Kainga Ora has its own (but independent) consenting authority, Consentium. It’s a neat idea. Rather than have to deal with building consents across each different territorial authority, Kainga Ora ...
    Point of OrderBy poonzteam5443
    3 days ago

  • Coalition promises – will the Govt keep the commitment to keep Kiwis equal before the law?
    Muriel Newman writes – The Coalition Government says it is moving with speed to deliver campaign promises and reverse the damage done by Labour. One of their key commitments is to “defend the principle that New Zealanders are equal before the law.” To achieve this, they have pledged they “will not advance ...
    Point of OrderBy poonzteam5443
    3 days ago

  • An impermanent public service is a guarantee of very little else but failure
    Chris Trotter writes –  The absence of anything resembling a fightback from the public servants currently losing their jobs is interesting. State-sector workers’ collective fatalism in the face of Coalition cutbacks indicates a surprisingly broad acceptance of impermanence in the workplace. Fifty years ago, lay-offs in the thousands ...
    Point of OrderBy poonzteam5443
    3 days ago

  • PM’s South East Asia mission does the business
    Prime Minister Christopher Luxon has completed a successful trip to Singapore, Thailand and the Philippines, deepening relationships and capitalising on opportunities. Mr Luxon was accompanied by a business delegation and says the choice of countries represents the priority the New Zealand Government places on South East Asia, and our relationships in ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    18 hours ago

  • $41m to support clean energy in South East Asia
    New Zealand is demonstrating its commitment to reducing global greenhouse emissions, and supporting clean energy transition in South East Asia, through a contribution of NZ$41 million (US$25 million) in climate finance to the Asian Development Bank (ADB)-led Energy Transition Mechanism (ETM). Prime Minister Christopher Luxon and Climate Change Minister Simon Watts announced ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 day ago

  • Minister releases Fast-track stakeholder list
    The Government is today releasing a list of organisations who received letters about the Fast-track applications process, says RMA Reform Minister Chris Bishop. “Recently Ministers and agencies have received a series of OIA requests for a list of organisations to whom I wrote with information on applying to have a ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago

  • Judicial appointments announced
    Attorney-General Judith Collins today announced the appointment of Wellington Barrister David Jonathan Boldt as a Judge of the High Court, and the Honourable Justice Matthew Palmer as a Judge of the Court of Appeal. Justice Boldt graduated with an LLB from Victoria University of Wellington in 1990, and also holds ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago

  • Education Minister heads to major teaching summit in Singapore
    Education Minister Erica Stanford will lead the New Zealand delegation at the 2024 International Summit on the Teaching Profession (ISTP) held in Singapore. The delegation includes representatives from the Post Primary Teachers’ Association (PPTA) Te Wehengarua and the New Zealand Educational Institute (NZEI) Te Riu Roa.  The summit is co-hosted ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago

  • Value of stopbank project proven during cyclone
    A stopbank upgrade project in Tairawhiti partly funded by the Government has increased flood resilience for around 7000ha of residential and horticultural land so far, Regional Development Minister Shane Jones says. Mr Jones today attended a dawn service in Gisborne to mark the end of the first stage of the ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago

  • Anzac commemorations, Türkiye relationship focus of visit
    Foreign Affairs Minister Winston Peters will represent the Government at Anzac Day commemorations on the Gallipoli Peninsula next week and engage with senior representatives of the Turkish government in Istanbul.    “The Gallipoli campaign is a defining event in our history. It will be a privilege to share the occasion ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago

  • Minister to Europe for OECD meeting, Anzac Day
    Science, Innovation and Technology and Defence Minister Judith Collins will next week attend the OECD Science and Technology Ministerial conference in Paris and Anzac Day commemorations in Belgium. “Science, innovation and technology have a major role to play in rebuilding our economy and achieving better health, environmental and social outcomes ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago

  • Comprehensive Partnership the goal for NZ and the Philippines
    Prime Minister Christopher Luxon held a bilateral meeting today with the President of the Philippines, Ferdinand Marcos Jr.  The Prime Minister was accompanied by MP Paulo Garcia, the first Filipino to be elected to a legislature outside the Philippines. During today’s meeting, Prime Minister Luxon and President Marcos Jr discussed opportunities to ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago

  • Government commits $20m to Westport flood protection
    The Government has announced that $20 million in funding will be made available to Westport to fund much needed flood protection around the town. This measure will significantly improve the resilience of the community, says Local Government Minister Simeon Brown. “The Westport community has already been allocated almost $3 million ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago

  • Taupō takes pole position
    The Government is proud to support the first ever Repco Supercars Championship event in Taupō as up to 70,000 motorsport fans attend the Taupō International Motorsport Park this weekend, says Economic Development Minister Melissa Lee. “Anticipation for the ITM Taupō Super400 is huge, with tickets and accommodation selling out weeks ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago

  • Cost of living support for low-income homeowners
    Local Government Minister Simeon Brown has announced an increase to the Rates Rebate Scheme, putting money back into the pockets of low-income homeowners.  “The coalition Government is committed to bringing down the cost of living for New Zealanders. That includes targeted support for those Kiwis who are doing things tough, such ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago

  • Government backing mussel spat project
    The Coalition Government is investing in a project to boost survival rates of New Zealand mussels and grow the industry, Oceans and Fisheries Minister Shane Jones has announced. “This project seeks to increase the resilience of our mussels and significantly boost the sector’s productivity,” Mr Jones says. “The project - ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago

  • Government focused on getting people into work
    Benefit figures released today underscore the importance of the Government’s plan to rebuild the economy and have 50,000 fewer people on Jobseeker Support, Social Development and Employment Minister Louise Upston says. “Benefit numbers are still significantly higher than when National was last in government, when there was about 70,000 fewer ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago

  • Clean energy key driver to reducing emissions
    The Government’s commitment to doubling New Zealand’s renewable energy capacity is backed by new data showing that clean energy has helped the country reach its lowest annual gross emissions since 1999, Climate Change Minister Simon Watts says. New Zealand’s latest Greenhouse Gas Inventory (1990-2022) published today, shows gross emissions fell ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago

  • Earthquake-prone buildings review brought forward
    The Government is bringing the earthquake-prone building review forward, with work to start immediately, and extending the deadline for remediations by four years, Building and Construction Minister Chris Penk says. “Our Government is focused on rebuilding the economy. A key part of our plan is to cut red tape that ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago

  • Thailand and NZ to agree to Strategic Partnership
    Prime Minister Christopher Luxon and his Thai counterpart, Prime Minister Srettha Thavisin, have today agreed that New Zealand and the Kingdom of Thailand will upgrade the bilateral relationship to a Strategic Partnership by 2026. “New Zealand and Thailand have a lot to offer each other. We have a strong mutual desire to build ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago

  • Government consults on extending coastal permits for ports
    RMA Reform Minister Chris Bishop and Transport Minister Simeon Brown have today announced the Coalition Government’s intention to extend port coastal permits for a further 20 years, providing port operators with certainty to continue their operations. “The introduction of the Resource Management Act in 1991 required ports to obtain coastal ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago

  • Inflation coming down, but more work to do
    Today’s announcement that inflation is down to 4 per cent is encouraging news for Kiwis, but there is more work to be done - underlining the importance of the Government’s plan to get the economy back on track, acting Finance Minister Chris Bishop says. “Inflation is now at 4 per ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago

  • School attendance restored as a priority in health advice
    Refreshed health guidance released today will help parents and schools make informed decisions about whether their child needs to be in school, addressing one of the key issues affecting school attendance, says Associate Education Minister David Seymour. In recent years, consistently across all school terms, short-term illness or medical reasons ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago

  • Unnecessary bureaucracy cut in oceans sector
    Oceans and Fisheries Minister Shane Jones is streamlining high-level oceans management while maintaining a focus on supporting the sector’s role in the export-led recovery of the economy. “I am working to realise the untapped potential of our fishing and aquaculture sector. To achieve that we need to be smarter with ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago

  • Patterson promoting NZ’s wool sector at International Congress
    Associate Agriculture Minister Mark Patterson is speaking at the International Wool Textile Organisation Congress in Adelaide, promoting New Zealand wool, and outlining the coalition Government’s support for the revitalisation the sector.    "New Zealand’s wool exports reached $400 million in the year to 30 June 2023, and the coalition Government ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    5 days ago

  • Removing red tape to help early learners thrive
    The Government is making legislative changes to make it easier for new early learning services to be established, and for existing services to operate, Associate Education Minister David Seymour says. The changes involve repealing the network approval provisions that apply when someone wants to establish a new early learning service, ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    5 days ago

  • RMA changes to cut coal mining consent red tape
    Changes to the Resource Management Act will align consenting for coal mining to other forms of mining to reduce barriers that are holding back economic development, Resources Minister Shane Jones says. “The inconsistent treatment of coal mining compared with other extractive activities is burdensome red tape that fails to acknowledge ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    5 days ago

  • McClay reaffirms strong NZ-China trade relationship
    Trade, Agriculture and Forestry Minister Todd McClay has concluded productive discussions with ministerial counterparts in Beijing today, in support of the New Zealand-China trade and economic relationship. “My meeting with Commerce Minister Wang Wentao reaffirmed the complementary nature of the bilateral trade relationship, with our Free Trade Agreement at its ...
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