Tim Grosner , in the aftermath of the latest Doha round of climate talks said the following about global warming and emissions:
“This is a long-term problem and we have a long-term strategic approach to deal with it.”
Which is nice. So sit back and relax while Tim and his long term strategic approach gets down to dealing with this long-term problem. Never mind the fact – it’s just an irksome detail – that AGW is not a long-term problem. And so a long term strategic approach entails no strategy or approach at all.
According to Price Waterhouse Cooper, the World Bank and the International Energy Agency, who have all released recent reports based on the available empirical evidence, mean global surface temperatures will be 4 degrees above pre-industrial levels by around 2050 or sooner. But don’t worry. Tim has it covered. Really.
And so never mind the strong likelihood that those temperatures and our civilisation will be incompatible. Tim’s got our backs.
Just remember that Tim is a member of a government that signed the Copenhagen Accord and so committed to holding global mean surface temperature increases to below 2 degrees C above pre-industrial levels. Trust in Tim.
Leave Tim to figure out the following dilemma and don’t you go bothering you’re head with it.
Economists tell us it’s impossible to reduce CO2 emissions by more than about 4% p.a. without crashing the market economy. The only reference point we have for an economy producing year on year CO2 emission reductions of over 5% is that of the USSR in the aftermath of its command economy collapsing.
Meanwhile, the science is quite explicit that if we are to have just an outside chance of avoiding “dangerous” or “extremely dangerous” global warming, then energy related emissions must be cut by 40% by the end of 2015 and eliminated by 2030.
The Tims of this world are locked in an institutional mindset that won’t allow them to abandon the bedrock of their power, privilege and status. And so they simply cannot willingly accede to the pragmatic demands of science. The only options before them then, are to drag their feet, take care not to lose face, and place their hopes on non-existent or fanciful ideas or technologies like carbon storage and capture or seeding the oceans with iron.
And so it gets simple. You want the government to act? Then make it increasingly difficult for them not to act. And do it soon.