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Gap closes in latest Morgan poll

Written By: - Date published: 11:22 am, October 1st, 2011 - 84 comments
Categories: election 2011, polls - Tags:

Like the recent Fairfax poll, yesterday’s Roy Morgan shows a significant swing from National to Labour:

The latest New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll shows support for Prime Minister John Key’s National-led Government has fallen to 55.5% (down 6% and back to the level of support in August). Support for Key’s National Party is 51% (down 6%), ACT NZ 1.5% (unchanged), the Maori Party 2.5% (unchanged), and United Future 0.5% (unchanged).

Support for Opposition Parties is at 44.5% (up 6%) – Labour Party 30.5% (up 4.5%), Greens 11.5% (up 4% – the highest for the Greens since before the last election), New Zealand First 1% (down 2.5% – the lowest for more than two years since August 2009), Mana Party 0.5% (down 0.5%) and Others 1% (up 0.5%).

If this trend is confirmed in other polls apparently due this weekend (ht BWS) then things start to look a bit interesting.

Are voters reacting to record inflation and high unemployment?  Is it the muddling through on the economy?  The mess that is unfolding in Christchurch?  The botched RWC opening?  The broken GST promise?  The bizare attack on schools?  Your guess is as good as mine.  But factor in some extra abuse of the democratic process, another stagnant quarter and a credit downgrade or two, and who knows what next month’s polls will be showing.

84 comments on “Gap closes in latest Morgan poll”

  1. fabregas4 1

    If National end up without a coalition partner, and this is looking more likely each Brash filled day, then this gets really interesting. Key is being attacked by a lot of media now – see Fran O’Sullivan in today’s NZH, and the Photo Op piece on the Nation today for examples. When folk begin to consider just how worse off they are after three years of this lot and National are exposed as the do nothing party the gap will narrow even more quickly.

    • J Mex 1.1

      I wonder if Anthony Robbins will be writing a post on the One News and 3 News (worst ever result for Labour alone) polls?

      • r0b 1.1.1

        Why wouldn’t I J Mex? Unlike some blogs, we don’t close our eyes to disagreeable facts here.

        • J Mex 1.1.1.1

          Credit for that R0b. And you haven’t gone for the “Look! A great poll for Labour”, followed by “Poll’s are pointless” strategy which I have seen elsewhere.

          • r0b 1.1.1.1.1

            Cheers J Mex, yeah we do try for a little intellectual honesty here.  

            Polls are what they are, flawed instruments, currently very bad for Labour, only significant on average and over reasonable time periods.  I write about them because we’re a political blog, but I don’t see much point in getting too worked up about them.

      • swordfish 1.1.2

        J Mex: “worst ever result for Labour alone”

        Yeah, you just made that up, didn’t you. You know it’s the biggest load of old bollocks since the French introduced vows of fidelity into their Wedding Service.

        • J Mex 1.1.2.1

          Actually, honest mistake.

          Worst result for Labour in 15 years

          • McFlock 1.1.2.1.1

            I bet this isn’t the first time you’ve been masturbating in public, JMex. Does the fantasy make it more enjoyable?

            • J Mex 1.1.2.1.1.1

              “What we’re not prepared to accept are pointless personal attacks, or tone or language that has the effect of excluding others. We are intolerant of people starting or continuing flamewars where there is little discussion or debate.”

              Let’s see how long it takes an admin to deal with your comment. If you were a “RWNJ”, you would probably get a week ban.

              [It’s a very hard call moderating this kind of stuff – when does “full and frank discussion” between consenting adults cross the line? As far as I recall it’s the first complaint about McFlock so I’m going to leave it. – r0b]

              • McFlock

                Meh – if the mods think it’s overboard, fair enough. But the point was that you were, IMO, being a bit of a jerk. And you didn’t really have much cause for the gloating, polls being capricious and flighty wee things.

  2. mik e 2

    Promise and not deliver
    borrow and hope

  3. Nick C 3

    The Roy Morgan is quite good for Labour

    I do however note that the comment you hat tipped by BWS hints that the TV3 and TVNZ polls will show no such shift in momentum towards Labour.

    • lprent 3.1

      I don’t even think that it is a momentum towards Labour. I think that the previous poll was just reflecting the feel-good effect of the RWS and was literally a blip. Have a look at the abrupt change in trend on the confidence value.

      I just find it interesting that BWS implied that both other polls had different figures. I’m tried to figure out who’d have the information for both and came up empty. I suspect that it is more a hope than reality.

      • Lanthanide 3.1.1

        Rugby World Swindle?

        When the issue of competing television political polls came up on iPredict, the admin there contacted various people at one of the stations and was told that generally no one would have access to both lots of results until they’re published by their respective stations. Apparently only a handful of people from each station would actually have the results, so as to help prevent leakage and tip-offs to the political parties (if they want to go and get a comment from the leader who is unprepared, for example).

      • BWS 3.1.2

        lprent I will wager both the TV3 and TVNZ polls show a shift towards National, and away from Labour, tomorrow night.

        I don’t have inside information. But the gamblers at ipredict do, and I observed on Thursday that there was a shift of two cents on Thursday, just at the time that both polls’ data had finished, and I surmised that the shift was as a result of the inside information that was available to those pollsters.

        I will also wager that there isn’t a post at the Standard about it tomorrow, although with that statement you have the motivation to prove me wrong.

        • Colonial Viper 3.1.2.1

          I will also wager that there isn’t a post at the Standard about it tomorrow, although with that statement you have the motivation to prove me wrong.

          And what about the fact that no one gives a shit about your market speculation nonsense?

        • Lanthanide 3.1.2.2

          See my post at 3.1.1.

          The time when iPredict did have specific stocks on these two polls coming out, the admin determined that it was very unlikely that anyone would know the results from both polls in advance. Those particular stocks also didn’t seem to show any specific large amount of insider trading, at the time.

          Sure, if one person knew the results from a poll that was strongly negative for a party they could trade on that, but just an average ho-hum result from 1 poll wouldn’t be sufficient to move the market, I don’t think.

          • Pete George 3.1.2.2.1

            ipredict has been pushed and pulled all over the place oveer the last week or two, I don’t think you can get much out of what’s happening there.

            I detailed some of the volatility here: http://yournz.org/2011/09/29/i-unpredictability/

            As an example for Labour over the past few days:
            Wednesday 21.50 – 31%
            Thursday 17:54 – 27%
            Friday 17:51 – 24%
            Friday 21.00 – 30%
            Saturday 7:12 – 28.5%
            Saturday 11.13 (last trade) – 29.7%

            You can take what you like from that.

            • Colonial Viper 3.1.2.2.1.1

              You can take what you like from that.

              Same as the value of gold and silver: completely manipulated by the likes of JPM and the commodity exchange lap dogs who set the margin requirements for trade.

        • mik e 3.1.2.3

          Now that Dan Carter is in doubt for world cup backlash could occur especially as john key is pinning his hopes on All Blacks victory ie parliamentary rant.

        • lprent 3.1.2.4

          IPredict is simply too small a market to have a use apart from looking at who wants to make the ‘market’ move and speculating on their motivations. Just look at the strangely unrealistic expectations of ACT’s vote for instance or Trevor Mallard making observations looking at the machinations on the Auckland Central vote.

          Because the market is so tiny, rumor making for the purposes of short selling appears to be rife – I frequently see it in comments here.

          The movement in the polls is likely to largely be affected by when the polls were taken. The Morgan poll is taken fortnightly and is released a few days after it finishes. Most of the other polls are monthly at best and are usually fossilized pictures of early in the month. Since the earlier Morgan poll showed a sharp bump to the government in the lead up to the RWC and then an equally sharp fall in the last poll, I think that looking at the dates on the TVNZ and TV3 polls (as well as their known sampling biases) will allow anyone too predict the outcome…

          Authors will write what they choose to write irrespective of your rather transparently silly behavior..

          Oh and FYI, I do not bet ever. I will sometimes take money from those who do when I am absolutely confident of outcomes.. The polls are too uncertain in their underlying implementation methodology to achieve that. Chicken entrails would probably be a better bet.

    • Jum 3.2

      Nick C, ‘The Roy Morgan is quite good for Labour’

      Sorry, I don’t buy snake-oil from the Nick C’s of this world.

    • Ari 3.3

      I don’t think Roy Morgan has a 4.5% bias in favor of Labour, Nick, so shove it, lol.

      (and I wouldn’t claim that the bias of other polls, like for instance the TV1 poll, was that significant, either. Usually bias is within the margin of error)

  4. Akldnut 4

    Don’t worry Mr smiley wavy man will get us through these tough economic times, he’ll prove it at the next photo op.

    Look I smile and wave it away.

  5. ak 5

    It’s the vibe, r0b. The vibe of the neglected mistress finally realising what she’s done.

    The NACT marketeers, under Joyce’s baton, have poured millions into individually-tailored “approaches” to key individuals under the banner of “relationship building”.

    Starting with the press and talkback in 2004, this tactic gathered up the Maori Party (including even Hone for a time), the Woodhams, Shadbolts, Glens, Leitches, the Iwi Leadership Group – anyone of “celebrity” and “worthy” of quotation in the media – tweets and twitters, little notes from Grinny, fawning, flattery, respectful listening, “whatever it takes” on a carefully plotted individual basis exemplarised most blatantly perhaps by the PM taking Garner and Espiner out on the piss and the Mediaworks loan.

    But the party’s over. The stud turned out to be a mincer. The trinkets dried up and Sugar-daddy’s now double-downgrade: double-dipton no friend indeed.

    The big swinging dick’s gone limp over kittens and his rubber wool cup flows over with league.

    It’s the vibe, people. Get those leaflets out and billboards up, the day of the underdog dawns.

    • marsman 5.1

      @ ak. I like what you say and I like how you say it!

    • M 5.2

      ‘Get those leaflets out and billboards up, the day of the underdog dawns.’

      ak, I’ve had a huge Labour billboard in my front yard since the 26th after flagging down some intrepid Labour supporters putting up a sign on public land and offered my place as it’s on a main drag.

      Please, a victory for the left and let’s get rid of this shameless, divisive and cruel government. Seeing Key slope off into the sunset would make my year.

    • AAMC 5.3

      “Get those leaflets out and billboards up, the day of the underdog dawns.”

      And get the spray cans out and create your own billboards!

      • Anne 5.3.1

        I can think of a few other things to do with the spray paint. That smarmy, smiling, lying-eyed John Key photo that’s springing up all over the place. 😎

        • Ari 5.3.1.1

          You should certainly not spraypaint brainless sayings next to John Key on billboards. That would be illegal. Wink. And wrong. Wink. Even though it absolutely wouldn’t hurt anyone, you still shouldn’t do it.

          Wink.

          • Anne 5.3.1.1.1

            Agreed Ari 😉
            And you shouldn’t reeeally just slap paint willy nilly over “the face”. 😉

            • Colonial Viper 5.3.1.1.1.1

              Red paint bombs might work well for a spot of decorating, not suggesting mind you, just sayin’ hypothetically.

        • Redbaron77 5.3.1.2

          Vandalism of National billboards won’t win any favours amongst the voting people. It’s desperate and more likely to be counter-productive particularly view of the fact that the political tide appears to be turning for JK and his team.

          • felix 5.3.1.2.1

            It’s what you do with it.

            Something that hijacks a billboard to make a valid criticism in an interesting way – good.

            Line drawing of a jizzing cock on Key’s face – probably not so good.

          • Deadly_NZ 5.3.1.2.2

            Anyway they and yours, will probably be vandalised by disaffected teens who cannot vote but have been shafted by Bennet and Key.

          • AAMC 5.3.1.2.3

            Agreed, but a nice neat stencil which plays on the “building a brighter future” tagline might be nice.

            Even better, all urban environments have lots of bare walls, everywhere else in the world they are used as a means of expression for those who don’t have a mainstream voice.We’re just all a bit too polite and beige for that sort of carry on though, well trained.

            Separate note, heard Unite talking about occupywallstreet type action during last week of RWC, “while the whole world is watching”, this too could really backfire, many New Zealanders will see it as bad taste, unless it has real momentum, it’ll have reverse effect.

            Why not wait till the week after the finals, the election is an internal issue, does the world really need to see if it turns all swing voters away from the Left when the narrative is turning our way?

  6. Zaphod Beeblebrox 6

    Presumably this poll does not reflect the credit rating downgrade.

    • The Voice of Reason 6.1

      Nope, but this article does! The Morgan poll covers the period from the 12th to 25th, which is past the RWC opening fiasco, but before the credit drop.

      • Tiger Mountain 6.1.1

        Heh, the simpering Armstrong would have had a good supply of medical strength sick bags at his side as he wrote that one. Even Franny wrote a mild “emperor has less clothes than we hoped” piece.

        Perhaps some of the journos have finally had a glimmer of what the numbers and the antics of Don “one toke over the line sweet jesus” Brash may mean. Holy s**t those f*****s might be back again… the press gallery types may be thinking as they stare at the ceiling transitioning from drunk to hungover just before dawn.

        • Carol 6.1.1.1

          It looks to me like Armstrong is saying, National/Key haven’t been proactive enough, but that Labour’s/Cunliffe’s attacks on English’s stats were based on shonkey stats, while English/National had it right and are actually doing a good job.

          i.e. some double-talking on Armstrong’s part. He praises Labour while slamming them, and the opposite re-National.

          • swordfish 6.1.1.1.1

            Actually, that also tends to be Jane Clifton’s modus operandi in The Listener. What at first sight looks like a critique of the National Government more often than not turns out to be a back-handed compliment.

          • Craig Glen Eden 6.1.1.1.2

            Yup thats how I read it to Carol which is Armstrong’s normal mode of operation. When he half praises Labour on any issue he will then go but by the way its not true even though I have just written half my article saying it has merit.

            Armstrong covers the Nats arse at every turn make no mistake about it, he works tirelessly on their behalf he is certainly no balanced journalist. His buy the way always has a fish hook that is bigger than fish he has just fried.

      • Draco T Bastard 6.1.2

        Another eulogy of NAct from John Armstrong.

  7. Tiger Mountain 7

    Who knows what the other bent polls will say, one can guess though. Things are going to get more ugly and unpleasant if ShonKey and his pillagers get another term. The Prime Mincer of course will leg it to Hawaii never to be seen again before the end of a second term. Good luck to that, the 99%ers are giving Wall St a good rev up, the money men will soon have to think harder about where to hide out. There is a classic vid http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZYAockXp8sY&sns=fb inclusive of champagne sippers on a balcony looking down with amusement on the protest.

    A major worry here is the thousands of under 30s not enrolled to vote. All Standard readers can grab a handful of forms and pester family, friends and whoever else to enrol and break through the fear and loathing of the disengaged.

    • anne 7.1

      The polls on tv are unbelievable,is there really that amount of braindead people out there that hang off every word ‘shonkey johnkey’ says.
      yes if he gets in again he will probably go to hawaii with his army of protectors,as if he needs
      them over there,or does he,that guy that scared him,might just jump in jk’s case.
      The finance ministers paws are still in the lolly jar collecting $900pw accommodation benefit from the tax-payer,while he changes his dipton farm from sheep to dairy and then gives $300 grand to fonterra for advertising and promotion costs,corruption yes, while screwing all nz’ers.

  8. ianmac 8

    Tiger. The lack of Student engagement is a worry. Those intelligent 18+ students had a distant legacy of protest over issues but now…..

  9. Get the pamphelts out alright but lets hand them out.Letter boxing is a waste of time and effort.Go to the local markets and pass them out with a smile ,its a winner. Take the word of an ex postman ,the famous Pink one that all letter boxing causes is a box of waste paper.The other sucessfull way is putting them under windscreen wipers .As late Joe Hill said ,organize !Organize ! lets beat these bastards ,Another three years would be a disaster,

  10. gingercrush 10

    Seems like a classic Roy Morgan poll to me. You’ll notice National and Labours votes can often fluctuate like this.

    • lprent 10.1

      Yeah, but I suspect the fluctuation was on the previous poll which shifted from the longer term trend that has just been reverted to.

      BTW: Have a look at confidence graph. Looks like a RWC effect to me – which we won’t know about for sure for some time after the end of the RWC.

  11. randal 11

    Well he has already become a back number in the Sunday Star Times advert in the dompost this morning. Just another fish and chips wrapper and about as wholesome and as nourishing.

  12. Jum 12

    ‘PM taking Garner and Espiner out on the piss’ (AK 5
    1 October 2011 at 1:28 pm)

    If anything was designed to make me really angry at what the current journalists are stooping to, this has just got to be rock bottom.

    Garner and Espiner – you make me worry about the freedoms of New Zealand and New Zealanders when you accept bribes from prime ministers to give them good press..

    Be assured; New Zealanders will come looking for you when the nasty stuff starts if Key gets back in. The fallout in large part will be due to your betrayals of objectivity in journalism.

    • Anne 12.1

      @ Jum
      ‘PM taking Garner and Espiner out on the piss’ (AK 5
      1 October 2011 at 1:28 pm)

      Can you tell me where that info. came from? Would like to look it up.

      • Jum 12.1.1

        Anne,

        Ask AK on this thread:

        (ak 5
        1 October 2011 at 1:28 pm

        It’s the vibe, r0b. The vibe of the neglected mistress finally realising what she’s done.

        The NACT marketeers, under Joyce’s baton, have poured millions into individually-tailored “approaches” to key individuals under the banner of “relationship building”.

        Starting with the press and talkback in 2004, this tactic gathered up the Maori Party (including even Hone for a time), the Woodhams, Shadbolts, Glens, Leitches, the Iwi Leadership Group – anyone of “celebrity” and “worthy” of quotation in the media – tweets and twitters, little notes from Grinny, fawning, flattery, respectful listening, “whatever it takes” on a carefully plotted individual basis

        exemplarised most blatantly perhaps by the PM taking Garner and Espiner out on the piss and the Mediaworks loan.)

        • Anne 12.1.1.1

          Got it. Been working today- tired.

          • Jum 12.1.1.1.1

            Anne, no prob – put your feet up; the battle has only just begun.

            I’m still conversing with ‘handle’ who so far hasn’t impressed me with a reason for continuing a discussion. Perhaps you know ‘handle’?

            Perhaps you can tell me why he/she is determined to stop me from voicing my personal opinion that I am disappointed in the general voting public. No don’t worry. I’m sure he/she will tell me in their own good time; I just hope I don’t sleep through it.

            • Anne 12.1.1.1.1.1

              Saw handle’s comment. Stupid and senseless. Thought of responding but decided wasn’t worth it. He’s obviously a NAct troll and best ignored.

  13. Jum 13

    Actually, that also tends to be Jane Clifton’s modus operandi in The Listener. What at first sight looks like a critique of the National Government more often than not turns out to be a back-handed compliment.

    Swordfish 6.1.1.1.1 and Craig Glen Eden 6.1.1.1.2
    You are so right about the snake oil delivered by Jane Clifton, partner to Minister McCully and other political journalists – I don’t know about Armstrong – at least he informed us when Key lied, then English, re changing words of Helen Clark pre 2008 election. When you are owned by overseas media that wants rightwing government and you want to keep your job… But Clifton; I have no such reservations. You only have to listen to her on the good morning show political segment. Jane Clifton is rightwing and her columns rightwing, no matter how they seem. The bitter aftertaste for the left is always evident.

    • swordfish 13.1

      Yep. With Jane “Hockey-Sticks” Clifton it’s a case of The Empress has no clothes. She tends to quite aggressively regurgitate the official Nat Government line, while dressing it up as “balanced” by including a few minor and superficial criticisms (more often than not, back-handed compliments).

  14. Jenny 14

    Give a seat to Winston

  15. Can someone please explain in dumbass terms, with mmp, if a party doesn’t get 5% of the party vote, but gets One electoral MP, how many more MP’s does that party get in parliament.

    • Pascal's bookie 15.1

      If they win an electorate seat, the 5% threshold gets dropped and they get as many seats as their list vote entitles them to.

      To simplify it, imagine there was a 100 seat parliament, and the Dale party got 4 % of the list vote.

      If they didn’t win an electorate seat then they would be out of luck due to the threshold.

      If they did win an electorate seat however, then the threshold doesn’t apply and they are entitled to 4 seats (4% of 100).

      So they would get their electorate seat, plus 3 members off the list.

      That’s the basic model, but there are some complicating factors to do with overhangs and what not that affect the size of parliament, and so affect the number of list seats you’d get.

      But the basic idea is that your list vote determines how many total seats you get. If you don’t get an electorate or 5% then you don’t get any. But if you get either 5 % of the list vote, or a single electorate, then you get however many seats your list vote entitles you to.

      • Lanthanide 15.1.1

        Actually the total size of parliament doesn’t affect how many seats any party gets when calculating list seats.

        For example if 1 party won all 70 electorate seats and 0% of the party vote, and another party won 100% of the party vote, we’d end up with 190 MPs in total (the maximum possible overhang).

        Overhangs occur when 1 party wins more electorate seats than it’s party vote share would normally allow for, as has been the case with the Maori Party in the last election. But the overhang for that specific party doesn’t affect the seat outcomes of any other party.

        Calculator: http://www.elections.org.nz/voting/mmp/mmp-calculator.html
        Formula (really it’s an algorithm): http://www.elections.org.nz/voting/mmp/sainte-lague.html

  16. Pascal’s Bookie

    Thanks, that actually explains it real well!!!

  17. Draco T Bastard 17

    This misreporting by 3 News should have the RWNJs panicking.

    Labour’s on 38.4 percent support in the poll, followed by the Maori Party on 22.2 percent, while National’s on just 16.4 percent.

    That is in stark contrast to other media polls, which put National above 50 percent support, with Labour rating at 30 percent or less, and the Maori Party on around one percent support.

    • Lanthanide 17.1

      It doesn’t even mention the mana outcome. The parties they’ve listed account for 77%, so there’s still a good 23% to split between Greens and Mana with some scraps left over for the rest.

      • McFlock 17.1.1

        Mana is apparently 8.5% of general role Maori voters, but 12% of Maori roll voters.

        The Maori electorate breakdown is interesting, though.

        • swordfish 17.1.1.1

          McFlock

          No, I think its:

          (1) Maori on General Roll = 1.6% (Mana)
          (2) Maori on Maori Roll = 12% (Mana)

          All Maori (1)+(2) = 8.5% (Mana)

  18. BWS 18

    Oh look, it turns out my predictions for the TV3 and TVNZ polls turned out to be right.

    • McFlock 18.1

      Not quite. TV3, ok.
      TV1 shows Nat unchanged, labour down 1 (so at best you are half right with “away from labour”). Greens up 3, total lab/green is up 2, and total govt is down 1 (Act).
      Shame you used “both” and “and”. “Or” would have meant you won the bet.
       
       

      • Draco T Bastard 18.1.1

        Wow, don’t you just love the total misleading headline from TV3?

        Latest 3 News poll shows Nat’s support doubled

        No you fucken morons, it hasn’t doubled at all. If it had it would be over 100%.

        • happynz 18.1.1.1

          It’s that new math, don’tcha know?

          If Key were drunk driving and smashed into a pet shop squishing a dozen puppies to death TV3 and TV1 would lead with the story that John Key had single-handedly saved Auckland from a rampaging wolf pack.

  19. randal 19

    At the moment the country is suffering from a mass delusion. you know like the ones where the banking system thought the sub prime mortgages would go on forever. After the party Kiwis will come to their senses and vote for the party that looks after them and not the rich or more importantly the two bob tories who think that if they vote national then they are somebody. yettttccccch.

  20. Jasper 20

    A leaked internal National party poll. Oops! The nat’s are in trouble!
    National 44%
    Labour 23%
    Greens 22%
    Mana, NZ First, Maori Party 11%
    Act are history and did not feature in their polling results! Meaning they’re going to stand Goldsmith as their Epsom candidate.

    ACT faces further turmoil today as the results of a leaked poll are aired, a blow to the party and Don Brash’s leadership. The poll reveals details of a leaked poll that shows John Banks will not win in Epsom “if” National is polling more than 50 per cent nationwide and does not need ACT’s support.
    The survey, understood to be a three-scenario poll by National’s pollster, David Farrar, is believed to show that, if National drops to about 45 per cent it would need ACT’s support to form a government, then Mr Banks would win.
    Voters in Epsom would be likely to back National candidate Paul Goldsmith, effectively putting ACT to the sword.
    -Drunk’n Gardener.

    This was released at 5am this morning after they massaged the numbers again! They couldn’t stomach what the raw data was say’n which are the numbers above! Haha!!

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    The downsized SkyCity Convention Centre does not deliver on the promised iconic world-class centre and shows the true extent of Steven Joyce’s incompetence, Labour Leader Andrew Little said today. “New Zealanders were promised an iconic world-class convention centre that would… ...
    10 hours ago
  • Te Arawa partnership model a step closer
    Councils around New Zealand have an opportunity to improve their consultation with Iwi Māori by following Rotorua District Council’s Te Arawa Partnership Model, Labour’s Māori Development spokesperson Nanaia Mahuta says. “The Rotorua District Council will today decide whether to adopt… ...
    10 hours ago
  • Labour mourns Dame Dorothy Fraser
    Labour Leader Andrew Little said the party is today mourning the loss of the youngest person to join the Labour Party, Dame Dorothy Fraser, who went on to be a stalwart of the Dunedin community and tireless worker for others.… ...
    1 day ago
  • The ultimate scapegoat: PM blames fruit fly for new tax
    The Prime Minister has found the ultimate scapegoat for breaking his promise not to introduce a new tax – the Queensland fruit fly, Labour’s Biosecurity spokesperson Damien O’Connor says. “John Key’s first policy upon taking office and assigning himself the… ...
    1 day ago
  • How many victims missing out on protection?
    Hundreds of domestic abuse victims could be missing out on getting protection orders because they are unable to get legal aid, Labour’s Justice spokesperson Jacinda Ardern says.“In the last two years some 351 people who applied for legal aid for… ...
    3 days ago
  • Government kicks hardworking whanau
    A major incentive to help young Kiwis and people on low incomes to start saving has been kicked out from under them with the National-led Government ramming through short-sighted legislation under Urgency today, Labour’s Maori Development Spokesperson Nanaia Mahuta says.… ...
    3 days ago
  • Speculator tax political stunt gone wrong
    Bill English’s admission he doesn’t know whether National’s new speculator tax will have any effect shows last weekend’s announcement by the Prime Minister was a desperate political stunt, says Labour’s Housing spokesperson Phil Twyford. “This Government is so desperate to… ...
    3 days ago
  • The value of parenting
    This week, as part of the Budget, the government introduced a bill to address child poverty. This bill will require parents receiving income support to look for part-time work once their youngest child is three years of age rather than… ...
    GreensBy Jan Logie MP
    3 days ago
  • Another new tax, another broken promise
    National has unveiled yet another new tax in this budget – a rural broadband levy that will almost certainly result in an immediate price hike for internet and telephone connections across New Zealand, Labour’s ICT spokesperson Clare Curran said “The… ...
    4 days ago
  • Anniversary of Sri Lankan Tamil Massacre
    This is not going to be a happy story but if the Green Party of Aotearoa doesn’t want to know who else will? May 18th marks the anniversary of what is known as the ‘Mullivaikal massacre’ of Tamils in 2009 at… ...
    GreensBy Catherine Delahunty MP
    4 days ago
  • Labour MPs join youth to take part in 40 hour famine
    A team of Labour MPs took part in the 2015 World Vision 40 hour famine and we were told by World Vision and the young people, that it was the first time MPs had joined them and how appreciative they… ...
    4 days ago
  • Rodeo: ‘Family entertainment’ or animal abuse?
    Recently  TVNZ ran a story with confronting footage showing rodeo animals being punched, repeatedly shocked with electronic prods and having their tails violently twisted over their backs. It was clear that significant force was being used behind the scenes to make… ...
    GreensBy Mojo Mathers MP
    4 days ago
  • Budget puts the squeeze on police
    The Government has cut funding to the New Zealand police force in the latest Budget, says Labour’s Police spokesperson Kelvin Davis. “The reduction is a whopping $15.3 million that could put front line officers at risk. ...
    4 days ago
  • Crucial social services take another hit
    The Government looks set to slash half a million dollars of funding for critical social services, including Women’s Refuge and Barnados, says Labour’s Social Development spokesperson Carmel Sepuloni “Taking $500,000 from organisations aimed at improving the lives of vulnerable families… ...
    4 days ago
  • Saying it Loud on Climate in Christchurch
    The Government’s Christchurch consultation meeting on New Zealand’s emission targets was inspiring – not for what was in the Ministry for the Environment’s (MFE’s) defeatist video about the obstacles to changing to a low carbon future, but for what the… ...
    GreensBy Eugenie Sage MP
    4 days ago
  • Budget silent on small business
    The Government has completely ignored one of the most important sectors of the economy – small and medium-sized enterprises – in Budget 2015, Labour’s Small Business spokesperson Jacinda Ardern says. "A stunning 41 per cent of jobs were created by… ...
    4 days ago
  • Thank you John, it’s been bloody marvellous
    The departure of John Campbell is a blow to current affairs investigative journalism, Labour’s Broadcasting Spokesperson Clare Curran says. “Campbell Live stood out in its field. Its axing comes as local broadcasting in New Zealand remains in a state of… ...
    4 days ago
  • KiwiSaver cut shows no long-term plan
    National’s cutting of the KiwiSaver kickstart is incredibly short-term thinking, typical of a Budget that is woefully short on ideas to generate wealth and opportunity, Labour’s Finance spokesperson Grant Robertson says. “New Zealand’s savings rate is far too low. KiwiSaver… ...
    4 days ago
  • National hits the panic button for its 7th Budget
    National has hit the panic button for its 7th Budget in a desperate attempt to look like they’re taking action to reduce our shameful child poverty rates, but they are giving with one hand and taking with the other, Opposition… ...
    5 days ago
  • Panic and back-flips can’t hide twin deficits
    National’s token measures to fight fires they have left burning for seven long years can’t hide a Budget that is long on broken promises, short on vision and fails to reach surplus, says Labour’s Finance spokesperson Grant Robertson. “After being… ...
    5 days ago
  • Auckland land measure seven years too late
    National are so desperate to look like they are doing something about the Auckland housing crisis they have dusted off Labour’s 2008 inventory of government land available for housing and re-announced it, says Labour’s housing spokesperson Phil Twyford. “Despite National… ...
    6 days ago
  • Access to gender reassignment surgery essential
    I was frankly disgusted to hear the Minister for Health say that funding gender reassignment surgeries is a “nutty idea”. A recent study found that in New Zealand 1% of young people identified themselves as transgender, and 3% were unsure… ...
    GreensBy Jan Logie MP
    6 days ago
  • Global milk prices now lowest in 6 years
    The latest fall in the global dairy price has brought it to the lowest level in six years and shows there must be meaningful action in tomorrow’s Budget to diversify the economy, says Labour’s Finance spokesperson Grant Robertson. “Dairy prices… ...
    7 days ago
  • Big risks as CYF checks stopped
    Revelations that Child, Youth and Family is no longer assisting home-based early childhood educators by vetting potential employees should set alarm bells ringing, Labour Children’s spokesperson Jacinda Ardern says. “Doing away with an extra mechanism for checking potential new employees… ...
    1 week ago
  • Housing crisis about real people not numbers
    The Government’s continued failure to tackle the housing crisis is seeing thousands of vulnerable Kiwis being kept off social housing waiting lists, while others, who are on the list, are being forced to live in cars and garages, says Labour’s… ...
    1 week ago
  • Housing crisis about real people not numbers
    The Government’s continued failure to tackle the housing crisis is seeing thousands of vulnerable Kiwis being kept off social housing waiting lists, while others, who are on the list, are being forced to live in cars and garages, says Labour’s… ...
    1 week ago
  • State of origin
    Kiwis are increasingly concerned about the food they give their families. New Zealand consumers have the right to know where their food has come from, particularly when it involves animals, and should be able to expect our Government to label… ...
    GreensBy Steffan Browning MP
    1 week ago
  • Relationships Aotearoa
    It is disturbing that Relationships Aotearoa, a voluntary organisation set up in 1949 to help couples struggling with their relationships following the upheavals of World War II, may be forced to close, says Acting Spokesperson for the Voluntary and Community… ...
    1 week ago
  • An economy that is just working for some is an economy that is not working
    The National Party presents itself as a great manager of the economy, but if the economy is only working for some we really need to question that assertion. Alongside the perpetually elusive surplus, the levels of risk in our economy are… ...
    GreensBy Jan Logie MP
    1 week ago
  • An economy that is just working for some is an economy that is not working
    The National Party presents itself as a great manager of the economy, but if the economy is only working for some we really need to question that assertion. Alongside the perpetually elusive surplus, the levels of risk in our economy are… ...
    GreensBy Jan Logie MP
    1 week ago
  • House prices to a crack $1 million in 17 months
    The average Auckland home is on track to cost $1 million in 17 months’ time if nothing substantial is done to rein in soaring price rises, Labour’s Housing spokesperson Phil Twyford says. “Auckland’s house prices have skyrocketed 63 per cent… ...
    1 week ago
  • Vital support services can’t be left in lurch
    The National Government has big questions to answer about how a provider of services to thousands of vulnerable New Zealanders is set to fold, Labour’s Finance spokesperson Grant Robertson says. Relationships Aotearoa which provides support and counselling to families, individuals… ...
    1 week ago
  • Treasury and IRD on a capital gains tax
    Both the Treasury and IRD have been advising the National Government on the benefits of a capital gains tax. Documents released to the Green Party under an Official Information Act request show that John Key has been selective with the… ...
    GreensBy Russel Norman MP
    1 week ago
  • Charity legislation needs review
    It is unacceptable that the big corporate based charities claim  millions in annual income tax exemptions, while small community based and operated non-profit organisations  struggle to gain official charity status, Labour’s acting spokesperson for the Voluntary and Community Sector Louisa… ...
    1 week ago
  • John’s panic-Key response to housing crisis
    John Key needs to tell New Zealanders what caused his sudden change of heart that led to the Government’s scrambled and last-minute housing measures, Opposition Leader Andrew Little says. “The Prime Minister’s sudden rush of blood to his head followed… ...
    1 week ago
  • Keep our Assets Christchurch Campaign: An update
    I recently presented my submission to keep Christchurch Council assets at the Christchurch City Council’s public hearings on its 10 year plan on 13 May. The hearings are live-streamed and recorded so you can watch them on www.ccc.govt.nz. The Council’s… ...
    GreensBy Eugenie Sage MP
    1 week ago
  • John Key finally admits there’s a housing crisis
    John Key’s weak measures to rein in the astronomical profits property speculators are making are an admission – finally – that there is a housing crisis, Labour Leader Andrew Little says. “But yet again National is tinkering with the housing… ...
    1 week ago
  • Government stifles voices in CYFs review
    The Government’s exclusion of the Māori Women’s Welfare League in a panel on the future of CYFs is a cynical ploy to stifle views, says Labour’s Māori Development Spokesperson Nanaia Mahuta. “It's unbelievable that a significant review on the future… ...
    2 weeks ago
  • Speech to the Otago Chamber of Commerce
    Thank you very much for the opportunity to be here today. It’s a pleasure as always to be back in the town that raised me. Growing up in St Kilda meant that there was one thing that was a big… ...
    2 weeks ago
  • Key can’t just be Prime Minister for Parnell
    John Key must show New Zealanders in next week’s Budget that he is more than the Prime Minister for Parnell, and is also the Prime Minister for Pine Hill, Putararu and Palmerston North, Labour’s Finance spokesperson Grant Robertson says. In… ...
    2 weeks ago
  • Stop the conversions
    This week, some Waikato locals took me and intrepid photographer Amanda Rogers on a tour of some  lakes and waterways in their region, and up to the massive dairy conversions in the upper catchment of the Waikato River. It… ...
    GreensBy Catherine Delahunty MP
    2 weeks ago
  • More regional jobs go in Corrections reshape
    News that 194 Corrections staff are to lose their jobs will have ramifications not only for them and their families but for the wider community, Labour’s Corrections spokesperson Kelvin Davis says. Prison units at Waikeria, Tongariro and Rimutaka face closure… ...
    2 weeks ago

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