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Labour surges in latest Roy Morgan

Written By: - Date published: 6:15 pm, October 2nd, 2013 - 141 comments
Categories: labour, national, polls - Tags:

Roy Morgan5221-nzvote-large

Well it is official.  A further poll points to a surge in support for Labour since David Cunliffe became leader.

The latest Roy Morgan poll has Labour on 37% up 4.5%, National on 42% and the Greens on 11% although down 3.5%.  National is up slightly to 42%.

I expect support will settle back a little in the next series of polls but I think it can be safely said that National now has a battle on its hands to win the next election.

141 comments on “Labour surges in latest Roy Morgan”

  1. ScottGN 1

    I like how Gary Morgan says:

    “If Cunliffe can enunciate a consistent and concise message of the Labour Party policies and how they will improve the lives of New Zealanders and the country in general over the next 12 months, Cunliffe stands a real chance of being elected as New Zealand’s next Prime Minister at next year’s election.”

    He’s doing a pretty good job so far.

    • Mary 1.1

      Yes, that’s right, and he’d do even better if he just said his piece calmly but firmly without embellishment of any kind. He just needs to keep sticking it to Key clearly and consistently in ways everyone can understand. He does do this most of the time but he just needs to stay calm and measured and he’ll do extremely well.

      • finbar 1.1.1

        Exactly Mary.He has had his eye on the job for some time, and now he has it.Now he has to front up, without the quips and settle into what he could be a Prime Minister,that history will reflect as a leader of substance and compassion.

        We have the Nats in the corner,(and has that not taken us some time) and they know it.Time for Dave,to grasp that nodding bastard purple thistle,and lead his team to victory.

        • Tom Gould 1.1.1.1

          A cornered Tory is a dangerous beast. For what Cunliffe and Labour can expect, check out the Herald to see what they are doing to Miliband in the UK.

          • Craig 1.1.1.1.1

            Er yes, but the Tories have their own troubles, spelt UKIP. Their own voter share is being eaten from the far right.

          • finbar 1.1.1.1.2

            All depends Tom,should your fathers sins be laid on you.Or should you, as your fathers son, and a leader of a Labour Party be proud of your father!s socialist leanings..

            Milliaband, has been handling it well, avoiding the elephant of Marx/Engels obvious foundation in all Labour Party!s.Myself,im not drawn to him as Britain!s Labour leader,but that!s my mind.

    • Core_Labour_Voter 1.2

      I think Labour/Green/NZ First/Mana government is a done deal. Why are we still saying the election will be a close call?

      • fender 1.2.1

        Because it will be close?

        Because complacency is for fools?

        • McFlock 1.2.1.1

          and because that’s a similar attitude to what National had, and now they’re in the shit.

          Train hard, fight easy.
          If you assume the fight will be easy and you train easy, you’ll have to fight hard (and could well lose).

  2. Disraeli Gladstone 2

    Two important things to note:

    – Labour’s rise is solely from cannibalising fellow opposition party votes. That’s good and bad for Labour. The closer they get to 40%, the less National can play the “how can the biggest party not govern?” card. However, National does seem to have a bottom support level of at least 42% which is still a winnable position, if difficult to do so.

    – The “Is NZ on the right track” question saw a massive increase. The fact that National didn’t benefit from that is interesting. Either, voters are thinking that NZ is on the right track but just sick of the National Government itself, or optimism is improving across all voters, which may help National come election time. Floating voters tend to go with better the devil you know if the country is feeling secured.

    All this talk that National or Labour already has the election won is rubbish.

    All still to play for.

    [Sigh. You've got to look beyond a single poll. Yes, in this instance the Greens fell but from their highest result all year and back to close to their average of 12.5% this year. The Greens' trend is flat. Labour is at its highest level since before Key came to power and the trend is clearly up. National has been under Lab+Green for the past four Roy Morgans and is clearly trending down. JH]

    • Pascal's bookie 2.1

      Yeah nah on the first point, re where Labour’s extra support is coming from.

      Look at the graph. National is down to around 40, and the minor parties have hardly moved. Where has the lost National vote gone?

    • Francis 2.2

      National gained 1% in this poll, so they’ve at least gained something this time. Presumably, that came from NZ First, who dropped 2% in the poll.

      I’d say that a lot of this is the left-wing voters swinging back to Labour, with (presumably) 3.5% from the Greens and 1% from NZ First.

      Notably, National still really hasn’t recovered from the GCSB issue. Whether they ever will really depends on how much the left-block keeps raising issues with the National government.

      • ghostwhowalksnz 2.2.1

        1% in this context is not a ‘gain’, its just the margin of error you would expect.

        Certainly what is helping is Keys media offensive, making sure he is seen everywhere and with everyone.

      • karol 2.2.2

        1-2% is well within margin of error.

        5% didn’t name a party.

        • bad12 2.2.2.1

          But that 5% who didn’t name a party is said by Roy to be down 1% so Labour is obviously getting the better % of the undecided’s…

          • Rogue Trooper 2.2.2.1.1

            there is something, forgive me, that i do not understand, why are such meals made of morsels; hopefully ;), not the Politics of Hope .

    • Colonial Viper 2.3

      The counter-argument is simple. The largest party doesn’t form the Government if it cannot pass a Budget, and if it cannot fund its policies.

    • gobsmacked 2.4

      Taking votes (back) from NZ First isn’t cannibalising. It’s removing Key’s only hope.

      Maybe Winston will get 5%, and maybe he’ll go with National. But it’s a dead cert National can’t govern without those two maybes coming true.

      • Francis 2.4.1

        Hopefully he does get 5% (or close, anyway), but at the expense of National voters rather than Labour ones.

        • Lanthanide 2.4.1.1

          The largest bloc in parliament benefits the most from wasted votes.

          So Labour would be better off with NZ1 getting 4.9%, even if more of the votes came from the left than the right, than they would be with NZ1 getting 5.0% with more of the votes coming from the right than the left.

      • Craig 2.4.2

        That’s the problem with Winston- he’s opportunist, populist and wants to waste money that should be reserved for public health, education and welfare services on vanity referenda on non-issues that obsess his followers. No bloody way! At least the Greens are reliable coalition partners and a centre-left party.

    • Salmon 2.5

      An interesting point.

      Labour/Greens made huge gains against National in the Roy Morgan poll after Shearer resigned, during the leadership election. So the surge occurred in anticipation of a new leader.

      Then after DC was elected, in this poll, Labour took a big chunk out of that from the Greens, and National remained the same. Good news as Labour needs to be closer to 40% to be a credible opposition.

    • Craig 2.6

      I suspect part of the voter share increase is coming from the demise of New Zealand First’s protest voter share as Labour firms up its leadership, policy development and as National’s incumbency fatigue starts to eat away at its own voter share. After a while, the metaphorical (policy) turkeys come home to roost…

  3. Intrinsicvalue 3

    If DC can roll out a few more blunders like that with Kanik Mongia, the honeymoon won’t last long.

    • gobsmacked 3.1

      Please keep believing that right wing blog obsessions = voters’ concerns. Please, please, pretty please. More attacks on Cunliffe and you could get Labour over 40. Good luck!

    • bad12 3.2

      Oh Labour only need slightly alter the criteria for it’s KiwiBuild program to weed out the would be speculators like the one you mention,

      Simply put a 5-8 year condition on the sale of a KiwiBuild home where it can only be sold back to the Government at cost plus paid up equity on the program and hey presto anyone trying to get onto the scheme to get a free ride into property speculation will be outta luck…

    • ScottGN 3.3

      If Nick Smith just makes a few more housing policy announcements National might not make it to the 40s in the next poll.

  4. Rogue Trooper 4

    Yes

  5. Colonial Viper 5

    Part of the polling period was before Cunliffe was announced as leader.

  6. bad12 6

    Lolz no wonder Slippery’s trip across the ditch to Oz is being conducted at the speed of light, (or is that the speed of a frightened mouse),

    There and back in a mere few hours probably to keep the whining of His Caucus to a bare minimum…

    • Red Rosa 6.1

      http://www.stuff.co.nz/national/politics/9235949/Key-to-meet-with-new-Australia-PM

      Good analysis here.

      So what has Key achieved, apart from a couple of photo ops with Abbott?

      Precisely nothing. As did McCully with Bishop.

      The raw deal dished out to Kiwis in Oz by the Howard government, of which Abbott was part, is hardly likely to rate a serious mention. Easier to kowtow to the Mad Monk, then back home to lord it over the peasants again.

    • Colonial Viper 6.2

      There and back in a mere few hours probably to keep the whining of His Caucus to a bare minimum…

      The sound of whispers in back rooms and knives being sharpened…

      • bad12 6.2.1

        Plastic sheeting silently rolled out in the Caucus room preparing for the blood-bath to follow…

    • Ron 6.3

      At least some of Key’s caucus are leaving politics Labour needs to be encouraging some of our MP’s to consider it time to go.
      It would really be nice to have a good influx of new MP’s when we regain the Treasury Benches

  7. weka 7

    Well it is official. A further poll points to a surge in support for Labour since David Cunliffe became leader.

    The latest Roy Morgan poll has Labour on 37% up 4.5%, National on 42% and the Greens on 11% although down 3.5%. National is up slightly to 42%.

    I haven’t put this into an MMP calculator yet, but I’m struggling to see how this is good news for anyone other than Labour*. Please explain how a left-wing coalition govt could be formed?

    *unless people are believing that right wing spin that Labour need to have a higher percentage than National.

    [the calculator gives Nat: 54 seats, Labour 48, Greens 15. That's a clear 2-party majority with no alternative led by National. The rest, it doesn't change the result. I used be ACT: 0, MANA: 2, Maori: 1, UF: 1. JH]

  8. Tracey 8

    Bad12

    I thought there was a famiky illness

    • bad12 8.1

      Tracey, yes appears to have been a quick one, i am still of the opinion that the ‘family illness’ was Slippery Himself taking another turn for the worse,

      Fit people don’t just crap out in the middle of walking up the street and i would suggest that our PM has got something wrong with either His head or heart,(of a medical nature Lol)…

      • karol 8.1.1

        bad, I feel that is likely as well, but, it may not be actual – just a suspicion.

      • Ron 8.1.2

        One you certainly can take ill like that regardless how fit you are, Anyone who has had an attack of dysentery can understand that.
        And please don’t wish Key out of National Leadership. The alternatives are much worse. (Think Joyce/Collins)
        Regardless what we think of Key’s politics we at least got a relatively liberal person which has allowed some of the legislation that we would normally support get passed. Of course it also got us some legislation we hate but ‘them’s the breaks’

        • Pasupial 8.1.2.1

          It happened at (or outside) a pub didn’t it? His medical condition may be ethanol related. He certainly lets that drunk look show more when photographed.

        • bad12 8.1.2.2

          Lolz, so what your saying is that He s**t Himself, thought He may have gone all dizzy after having been tweeted the numbers of a previous poll myself,

          Perhaps such a dizzy fit did include Him losing control of His bowels…

  9. newsense 9

    July 15-28, 2013 53.5 44
    August 12-25, 2013 47 51.5
    August 26 – September 8, 2013 43.5 54.5

    Nats v opposition numbers. Seems to be a good trend, especially as Labour has a larger share of the vote.

    Though Peters is included in opposition and he always plays his cards close to his chest.

  10. Anne 10

    Actually I don’t believe this latest poll trend (in one poll remember) is something for the Greens to be concerned about. David Cunliffe is a very strong environmentalist. I have complete trust in his integrity and his predilection to form a coalition with the Green Party. Indeed Global Warming makes it imperative that the parties of the Left form a coalition and work together to mitigate the effects as best they can. It can never happen with Tories and their ilk because their brain cells are insufficient to comprehend the catastrophic future that lies ahead. They prefer to close their eyes and block their ears because they can’t face the truth anyway. It flies in the face of their greed and selfish ideology.

    My best guess is that Cunliffe/ Norman and Turei will map out a pathway ahead that will be inclusive and, where possible, they will not tread on each others’ toes. Here’s hoping.

    • weka 10.1

      I’m not overly concerned about the GP numbers either (they jump around a bit). More of a concern is the sense that some Labourites want to get more votes at the expense of the GP. If that happens consistently over the next year, then Labour and the GP will go into the election in direct competition, and I’m not sure that is good for the left.

      • Colonial Viper 10.1.1

        Well, Labour could go back to targetting soft National/centrist voters…

        • Rogue Trooper 10.1.1.1

          chuckle

        • weka 10.1.1.2

          So you don’t think it’s an issue CV?

          • Colonial Viper 10.1.1.2.1

            The risk of Green vote cannabalism by a resurgent Labour Party is a definite issue.

            What this means is that the Greens and Labour need to elucidate their respective political philosophies much more clearly, including their commonalities and their differences.

            They need to work together to increase the public’s understanding of left wing liberal, green and modern socialist values.

    • karol 10.2

      Maybe just a little re-positioning, Anne.

      I wasn’t happy with the Greens shuffle centre-wards while the Labour caucus was struggling somewhat.

      I would like to see some strengthening of the Greens as a truly left party, putting pressure on Labour over things like social security, state housing, TPP etc.

  11. Te Reo Putake 11

    Here’s a couple of outcomes, assuming that Mana, UF, ACT and the MP retain their current seats.

    Green Party 15
    Labour Party 47
    Mana 1
    Māori Party 3
    National Party 54
    United Future 1
    ACT New Zealand 1

    Left 63, Right 59.

    And if Winston scrapes in:

    Green Party 14
    Labour Party 45
    Mana 1
    Māori Party 3
    National Party 51
    New Zealand First 6
    United Future 1
    ACT New Zealand 1

    Left 60, Right (incl. Winston) 62.

    And if the MP don’t win an electorate seat, 60 all.:

    Green Party 14
    Labour Party 45
    Mana 1
    National Party 52
    New Zealand First 6
    United Future 1
    ACT New Zealand 1

    • weka 11.1

      Thanks.

      edit: would love to hear from the left wing voters who still think having Peters in parliament is a good thing (esp those who have voted for him).

      • Eddie 11.1.1

        If Peters wasn’t in this term, if he had fallen short at say 3 or 4%, then National would have an outright majority right now. Without Dunne’s (pathetic) brake on National’s agenda, Jami-Lee Ross’s strikebreaker bill would not only pass, it would be government policy. the government’s whole policy agenda would be more extreme.

        So, he’s useful this term. Next term, probably not so much.

        • Lanthanide 11.1.1.1

          Did the calcs above at #7.2. If NZFirst had gotten 4.99% of the vote, with their excess party votes going to Labour, National would presently have 62 seats out of 121.

          In such a vote reshuffle it’d be likely a good chunk of those excess party votes would have gone to National instead, giving them ~64-65 seats.

          • Colonial Viper 11.1.1.1.1

            Indeed. Winston is a sharp operator, and you can’t run a democracy – or hope to put together durable coalitions – but accepting and discarding the minor parties as it suits you.

        • weka 11.1.1.2

          “So, he’s useful this term. Next term, probably not so much.”

          You say that like the left has a choice. Can’t have it both ways.

      • Chooky 11.1.2

        @ Weka

        Winnie is always good in parliament!….especially as Minister of Foreign Affairs for a Clark Labour led government….. and he is very good in opposition….. he was also once very good at bringing down a National government

        …people hate him….but others enjoy him ….he has more guts and intelligence than most politicians Left or Right or their hack supporters ( he appeals to cynics who say “a plague on both your houses”) ….he knows how to slug it out…..and he has shown up many hypocrites….he is a stirrer par excellence…( admittedly not entirely trustworthy….he is a Trickster!….but bloody good entertainment at times …and people will vote for him for these reasons..).

        ….he also has principles…he has never been a sexist…in fact he has been an outspoken feminist….he has always been for the oldies ( devoted to his Mother)…he opposes sale of state assets and foreign ownership of NZ land and property….

        ….whether Winnie and his band of disreputable pirates get back into parliament ….who knows?…( there is less need on the Left to strategically vote for him, because Labour now has a viable leader in Cunliffe)…but Winnie will have supporters …and I think he would prefer to go with Labour again ..rather than National ( but if Labour shuns him….who knows what he will do?…in fact I dont think it would be wise for Labour to shun him

        • weka 11.1.2.1

          So basically you’re ok with the right having a third term? Or at least you are willing to risk that.

          (btw, Peters not being overtly misogynist and offering women some level of respect doesn’t make him feminist).

          • Chooky 11.1.2.1.1

            @weka …No I am NOT ok about the right having a third term!……I think you are spinning! ….. for what reasons I dont know!

            ….didnt Winnie support Clark’s govt and wasnt he a very effective Minister of Foreign Affairs?…. or would you say Helen Clark is a right winger and Labour was a right wing govt?…( in which case I dont know where you are coming from)

            Why are you so determined that Winnie is a right winger? ….They hate him!…..he brought down one of their governments over selling of state assets…..they hounded him unrelentingly for almost a year over the Owen Glenn affair….John Key hates him and it is mutual …Winston’s attacks on this Nact government over the GCSB Bill were brilliant

            Dont patronise me!……I have been a long time feminist and I am female …..and I know when a politician (without crowing about it) supports women and feminist issues…Winnie has never put a foot wrong here, from way back when ….and in fact I can remember him standing up for a woman on a feminist issue ,when no other politician was doing so…( are YOU a feminist?)

            I might add that Winston was a very effective and ethical Minister of Gaming(?) under the Labour govt….and I know this from a highly ranked public servant who worked closely with Winston on this issue( and this person made redundant under National)…..He said Winston was one of the most professional and most intelligent ministers he had ever worked with…Winstonlistened very closely to experts and he paid great attention to detail….he was a pleasure to work with

            • weka 11.1.2.1.1.1

              I think you have the wrong end of the stick Chooky. I don’t think that Peters is a right winger. I think he is primarily self-serving (and his politics sit left and right depending on which policy you are talking about). This doesn’t mean he hasn’t done good for NZ, or good for his constituents (he has). My main problem with him is that he is unreliable and untrustworthy.

              The problem I have with your position is that you selectively pick the bits that support your contention that Peters is good for the left. But there is an illogic in that, yes, he has supported Labour, but of course he has also supported National, and in the past he has betrayed his left leaning voters. All I’m saying is that we have no way of knowing what he will do next year, esp given the GP will be part of govt.

              So, by all means support Peters at whatever level you want. Just don’t pretend that this isn’t a risk for the left.

              “and in fact I can remember him standing up for a woman on a feminist issue ,when no other politician was doing so”

              How about you put up some specific examples then? I might be wrong, but I can’t say I’ve noticed Peters as being particularly feminist. Like I said, it’s possible for a man to support or respect women in some ways without being feminist.

              And yes, I am a feminist.

              • weka

                btw, Key might not even be in parliament after the next election (you think he will stick around if Collins rolls him?).

                So how about you explain how Labour will form a govt with the Greens AND Peters. Or do you think that if Peters has a choice to go with NACT or Labour, he will be happy to have him and his half dozen MPs sit outside of govt completely. I’m open to there being a way this can be done, but the onus is on lefties who support Peters to explain it.

              • Chooky

                @ Weka..We are going to have to agree to differ…you think Winston is “primarily self -serving”…(.I dont)…..You think he “is unreliable and untrustworthy”….(I don’t)

                *You know the reasons why Winston supported National ( see Helen Clark documentary) …because it has been discussed here before…. but I dont think you wanted to hear or accept those reasons.. Clark couldnt form a govt with him anyway because she didnt have the numbers( Jim Anderton’s party wasnt supporting her)

                *….you say there is an “illogic” in my arguments …..(I could say the same about yours…and males are not supposed to be illogical, dont you know?…this is supposed to be a female defect and put down)

                *….you say I “selectively pick the bits that support” my arguments ….(I could say the same about you)

                *Sorry I cant remember what the particular feminist issue was( and I cant be bothered trawling through old newspapers to find the evidence for you)….but you are not going to persuade me that I am wrong….( nor I am sure, will I persuade you that Winston is a feminist….but you say YOU are a feminist….I am not asking you to prove it , I take you at your word……)

                *sigh….I know Key might not be in parliament after 2014..(and what has Collins to do with it?….I haven even mentioned Collins)

                Personally I hope there is a Left coalition govt between Labour and the Greens….and they win outright…..and I think this is highly likely…..But I dont see the point in conducting some sort of vendetta against Winston to try and annihilate him before the election…..or alienate him from the Left ( this is just what the Nacts would love!….and I take it that you are not a Nact!?)

                ….if it comes to the crunch Labour may need him again…..and I think that if he were to be given Foreign Affairs he would be very amenable….( he is older now and the Greens and NZFirst ( which was once on 30%) are now no longer competing for the same alienated Labour voters)

                • weka

                  Please give three credible sources apart from the single documentary that the reasons you give for NZF going with National in that election are true.

                  “why prejudge?”

                  Because we cannot afford a third term of NACT. That’s all I’m saying: Peters is a risk for the left. You might think it’s a risk worth taking, I don’t.

                  “on the evidence I would say he is a better fit with Labour and he has worked well with them in the past”

                  I might agree with you if we were looking at a Labour govt. But we’re not. We’re looking at a Labour/GP coalition govt.

                  Can you point to where Peters has said he can work with the GP as part of a govt?

                  “*Sorry I cant remember what the particular feminist issue was( and I cant be bothered trawling through old newspapers to find the evidence for you)….but you are not going to persuade me that I am wrong”

                  I’m not interested in proving you wrong. You can hold any opinion about Peters that you like. I was just trying to ascertain that there is no factual basis to the idea that Peters is feminist, and I think I’ve done that now.

                  • Chooky

                    @ Weka…this is getting ridiculous! You think that you have ascertained now that there is no factual basis that Winnie is a feminist?……( well what can I say?….do you think I am telling fibs?…Do you think you have proved there is evidence that Winnie is not a feminist?)….Why would you even want to prove Winnie is NOT a feminist?…you say you are “not interested in proving me wrong” and I am allowed to “hold any opinion about Peters that [I ] like”….( well thanks for that….)

                    I wont ask you for the “factual basis” for your assertion that You are a feminist ! (lets not go there…lol)

                    Conclusion: Chooks should not argue with Wekas….because they will keep going around and around the Matagouri bushes and get absolutely nowhere

                    (Remind me on which party you belong to and I will try and keep well away….lol)

                    By the way….I have no evidence, factual , empirical, phenomenological, metaphysical …. that the said Winnie has said “he can work with the GP” and therefore there is probably no factual basis that he can or would work with the GP…(but I have a hunch that if given Foreign Affairs he wouldnt need much interaction with them anyway and he wouldnt try to stop them being in a coalition Cabinet…you Weka , will of course, probably disagree)

                    • weka

                      If you don’t want to argue, you are probably on the wrong site.

                      All I was doing was pointing out the difference between belief/opinion, and a fact. You can assert that Peters is a feminist, but unless you can back that up somehow then I’ll treat it as your belief. I don’t think you are lying, but I suspect you are trying to make reality fit your perception.

                      Am pretty sure that my creds as a feminist are well known on ts. Likewise that I am a member of the GP, but that I favour pragmatic voting over ideological voting. None of that is a secret.

                      “but I have a hunch that if given Foreign Affairs he wouldnt need much interaction with them anyway and he wouldnt try to stop them being in a coalition Cabinet…you Weka , will of course, probably disagree”

                      It’s not so much that I disagree, it’s that I’m not inclined to base the future of the country on your hunches. Sometimes hunches are useful but in this case Peters has been shown to be unreliable, so the next election is a bit of a crap shoot irrespective of Labour and the GP (unless they do so well that NZF above 5% is irrelevant). He is also on record as saying that he will never work with the GP. Perhaps he has changed his mind, in which case why not tell us? Or perhaps he hasn’t changed his mind. Who would know?

                      Back to the arguing. I started this part of the thread by asking the people on the left who support Peters to explain how Peters being in parliament is a good thing for the left. You’ve had a good try at that, but there are still my points largely unanswered. My view is that the way things are going, the left would be far better off if in the next election NZF was below 5%. If someone can show how that’s not true, I’ll consider changing my opinion.

                      btw, just a heads up. Each time I see that doco trotted out as a rationale for Peters’ worth, I will be asking for some evidence that your theory is true (that Peters went with National because he had no choice, and it was really down to Anderton anyway). I seem to remember last time this came up I went and watched the bit you suggested and I don’t think it counts as evidence in the way you are claiming. It’s a pretty well known piece of NZ history, so you shouldn’t have too much trouble finding back up elsewhere.

            • Delia 11.1.2.1.1.2

              What say Winnie goes with National, he has before.

              • Chooky

                @ Delia…please watch the documentary on Helen Clark and you will see why Winston went with National….Labour had no chance of forming a govt because Jim Andertons’ party would not support Labour…I think all this has been discussed before here. He also brought that National govt down when they continued with state asset sales

                Ok Winston may go with National ….but he may not….why prejudge?….on the evidence I would say he is a better fit with Labour and he has worked well with them in the past

      • jaymam 11.1.3

        Wombat!

        • Chooky 11.1.3.1

          @ weka …They haven’t given you a reply button ( I wonder why?…maybe it is because you argue for the sake of arguing?)

          …so I will just have to use jaymams’ reply button ( and say “cows!” in reply to his “wombat!” in passing)

          …..weka….I also favour pragmatism…and I dont think you should try and sink Winston, because he is likely to rise up like a phoenix…and the Left may need him…that is pragmatism! ….You dont want Nact wooing him and succeeding

          Incidentally my 18 year old son ( no discussion or prompting on my part) has said he will either vote Labour or for Winston……so shows Winston still has pulling power( not just amongst the oldies)…

          Conclusion:…. only fools try to right Winston off!.. the smart thing is to try wooing him instead of dissing him

          • weka 11.1.3.1.1

            I’m not writing off Peters, quite the opposite (honestly, are you reading what I’m writing?). I also haven’t gotten to the point of suggesting that anyone should try and ‘sink’ NZF. As I mentioned, I think you have a tendancy to try and make reality fit your perception.

            The reason there is no reply button to my post is because eventually the threading replies get too long, the comments get narrower, and the system stops presenting reply buttons. You can just go back to the last reply button that is in line with the last comment and then your comment will appear in the right place. Sorry to disappoint but that has nothing to do with my debating style.

            As for the idea that I might be arguing for the sake of arguing, if it were true what does that say about you who keeps replying to me?

            In fact there’s been plenty of things to point out about both Peters and your arguments and I notice that you still haven’t replied to many of the points I have raised.

            “You dont want Nact wooing him and succeeding”

            Indeed, which is core to what I have been saying all along. Peters could go either way, and people on the left who support him should be acknowledging that this is a risk for the left being able to form the next govt.

            • Chooky 11.1.3.1.1.1

              @ Weka… you said you …”would love to hear from the left wing voters who still think having Peters in parliament is a good thing (esp those who have voted for him)”.

              ….you wanted my opinion and I gave it……but you didnt like it….

              ….because you want everyone to vote either Green or Labour or Mana….and not waste it on Winnie( because he is a BAD BOY)…… and then you think that the Left will be assured of a victory

              …. well that is just one argument….I think I have shown that there are others…

              ….the reality is that people will vote for whom they like….and it is not necessarily based on Reason…….it can be based on a preference for certain personality types ……and I happen not to like DADDY authoritarian types who want to railroad me into thinking and voting their way…whether it be the Left ( Labour or Green or Mana)…or the Right (National or Act or Conservative or Religious)

              Winnie doesn’t fit exactly into the Right or Left…. I might add the Labour Party with Roger and his accolytes @ Rogernomics didnt exactly fit the Left either ….and at that time Winnie was far more Left than the Labour Party….so I am afraid Weka you just have to live with life’s little contradictions ….and naughty irrational people ( rude finger sign)

              • weka

                It’s not really about who people vote for, it’s about the reasons why they do. By all means vote for Peters. I’m just wanting the left to be honest about what voting for Peters means.

                I don’t dislike Peters because he is a BAD BOY (not even sure what that means). But your suggestion tells me that you’re not really listening to what I am saying.

                you said you … ”would love to hear from the left wing voters who still think having Peters in parliament is a good thing (esp those who have voted for him)”.

                ….you wanted my opinion and I gave it……but you didnt like it….

                Actually, I was wanting some rational discussion about it, esp from people who would otherwise vote further left and instead vote for Peters strategically. There is nothing wrong with you voting based on your feelings, it’s just not what I was asking about. Next time I’ll be more specific.

                It also raises the issue of whether it’s ok to challenge people on their voting choices. In this case, I’m asking for people to justify their choices. Given what is at stake, and the context, I don’t think that’s unreasonable. This is a political blog after all.

    • bad12 11.2

      Think your last 2 examples including the Maori Party retaining 3 seats in the next Parliament is over-ambitious on their behalf,

      Based upon the swing to the Mana Party from the Ikaroa-Rawhiti by-election the only seat the Maori Party can retain in the 2014 election is Te Tai Hauauru, and as Tariana Turia will not be standing again that seat is probably wide open for Labour to take back as well,

      Should Annette Sykes topple Te Ururoa Flavell in Waiariki, He has a 1000 vote majority the left would have a 61 v 60 majority…

      • Colonial Viper 11.2.1

        Not enough to last 2 terms; much more work to be done.

      • Te Reo Putake 11.2.2

        True, Bad, but I thought it best to show the position from the perspective of the best the right can do. I reckon the Maori party are history, actually. Te Tai Hauauru should head back to Labour, now that Turia’s done one. Waiariki’s interesting; I imagine Labour will probably win, based on the solid party vote, with Sykes second again. I do think mana have a good chance of getting a second seat anyway, via the list.

        • bad12 11.2.2.1

          Lolz, we are showing our biases here are we not, i pick the Mana Party to win Waiariki if Annette Sykes stands again, i base that solely upon the results of the Ikaroa-Rawhiti by-election where the Maori Party slumped by something like 20% and the Mana Party gained most of that vote,

          Should the same occur in Waiariki at the 2014 election, and i expect it to, Sykes will clean up there,

          Labour of course if they were forward thinking would simply not stand a candidate for Waiariki, as has been shown by National this term, if there is no up and coming probable support party in the political spectrum then there is electoral trouble for whichever party of the big 2 has none,

          For the left to retain the treasury benches for 3 terms or more i would suggest that a party like Mana is needed and needed to the extent of having 4 seats in the Parliament, maybe not for the 2014 election but looking further out to 2020,

          We of the left should be thinking in such terms instead of just ‘beating National’ at the one election…

  12. lurgee 12

    Hmmmm, yum, humble pie time. Double portion for me! Can I have it with custard?

  13. North 13

    I’m appalled by it being felt necessary to argue politely against this shit about the biggest single party having the moral entitlement blah blah blah.

    ShonKey Python had no qualms about brazenly bribing broadly nothing parties of the Right, ACT, the Kupapa Party and The Hair, to have his way. Where does he get off whining a non-existent moral convention ?

    Respond by all means but only to dismiss it as the constitutional howler and moral joke that it is.

    It’s patent that the whine has nothing to do with the biggest single party or percentages……..it’s about entitlement simpliciter, the hubris of a preening narcissistic schoolboy presently occupying the ninth floor. Imagined entitlement to be top of the pile no matter what. The One Percenters have been found out. Fuck your once subliminal now throbbing sense of entitlement ShonKey Python. Found Out Fraud !

    And what’s this shit about flying to Australia solely to have a “Well done Tony” dinner with Abbot. What’s that all about ? To get traction for Kiwis long-resident in Australia ? No. Can’t be. Before he’s even left he’s acknowledging the case won’t be advanced. So what’s it for ? To engage the “gloating celebrity” recently identified by a frequent commenter on The Standard ? Credit to the commenter whose name I don’t recall.

    Just picture ShonKey Python’s braying Parliament and Granny Herald’s ugly old jaw dropping Dame Edna like if Helen Clark had done this. “Dinnergate Dinnergate Wah Wah Wah !”

  14. Good on Cunliffe and Labour – I am pleased with this poll and the trend it hopefully exposes. Mana is going to have more ability to help those most in need if Labour take the legs off the gnats. The enemy are those exploiters of everything – the keysterbator and his minions. I’m happy to first get rid of them and sort the rest out later.

  15. Martin 15

    If we give Key a bottle of Gin will he call a snap election?

  16. Skinny 16

    The upwards trend of Labour in the polls is great news, however the PR spin by the Government is coming out thick and fast.

     Crime down, savings due to Welfare reforms, restructuring of ACC, Nike Smiths first home buyers package, are just a few that I’ve heard in the media this week. All ‘noise’ designed to paint a pretty picture of a Country heading in the right direction. 

    Labour & Greens & us activists need to keep pumping the high unemployment, the continued corporate handouts, failing NZ manufactures, housing crisis, rising power prices, commercial fishers over recreational fishers. Over priced vehicle licensing, only looking after the rich in society etc.

     Really driving home to the public the stupidity of asset sales, like billions in surplus within ACC so why the need to flog off the silver? get maximum referendum exposure out on the streets, link in a Govt not listening to it’s citizens, just like forcing their spying bills on us, all to appease the USA.

    Think you all get the drift!  

  17. Saarbo 17

    This is really good news, and I notice that Labour are being reported on every issue and coming across strong, I reckon that this trend will only improve in labour’s favour BUT National will react. I suspect that National will pull out all the stops to ensure that they announce a surplus in 2014, and given the big dairy payout it could be a goer. Then they will try and sell themselves hard on this one point, and it will be a powerful point in many New Zealander’s eyes, unfortunately.

    Winning in 2014 will come down to how well Labour can sell itself as a responsible caretaker of the books and also its ideas on economic development (This is not what I personally want to see, it is what I think many swing voters want to see).

    As expected DC is doing a great job so far, I’m looking forward to the next year.

    • Colonial Viper 17.1

      To win, Labour must lead with me ideas and vision, not act like managerial “responsible caretakers of the books”.

      • Colonial Viper 17.1.1

        “New ideas and vision” dammit.

        • Skinny 17.1.1.1

          +1 Cracking great policies come about by the input of the core membership who the Labour party listen too. Visionary thinking by socially conscious Kiwis.

        • Tangee 17.1.1.2

          Not necessarily new ideas but the same issues with better ways of dealing with them that are explained well so the people understand that these are possible to achieve without breaking the bank, like the living wage, the first time buyers not being shut out, the electricity the tax on housing and other issues that affect the everyday person.

          • Colonial Viper 17.1.1.2.1

            are explained well so the people understand that these are possible to achieve without breaking the bank

            In fact, since the NZ Government is an issuer of NZD, so there are no real fiscal (spending) constraints* on the Crown, apart from those that we think are sensible to adhere to, taking into account the economic conditions that we find our business community and citizens in.

            *There are other constraints of course, but the only ones that real attention need be paid to are the ‘real economy’ ones, as well as the condition of the financial markets.

        • Saarbo 17.1.1.3

          agree CV, I have no doubt that DC has tonnes of ideas, that his forte.

      • swordfish 17.1.2

        Colonial Viper: “…not act like managerial “responsible caretakers of the books.”

        Yep, they call that “managerialism” in Pol Sci, don’t they. Massively downplay ideological/policy differences – just emphasise you’re a better bunch of managers than the incumbents.

        Same old Tweedledum/Tweedledee Neo-Lib consensus. Basically, the same bunch of elites and alternative elites going endlessly through the revolving-door. Time to elaborate a true Social Democratic alternative. Clearly, both Cunliffe’s and Robertson’s emphasis on the need to swing Left hasn’t done Labour any damage in the polls at all. Quite the opposite. Now, what was that Jane Clifton, Tracy Watkins, Claire Robinson and various editorial writers were saying again ? Oh yes, voters will only countenance a swing to the Right.

        • newsense 17.1.2.1

          I think that’s a negative way to look at it.

          The polls suggest that they want a Labour leader who can actually make it work, be competent and run a tight ship. The important thing to remember is that actually Tories quite often are shite money mangagers: Super Fund, Asset Sales, Early Childhood education, roads of national significance and so on and so on…fucked CBA and bad deals for kiwis.

          The country doesn’t love their ideas, just the sense that they aren’t going to implode in government. Being repsonsible caretakers is something Cunliffe with him and Parker is trying hard to project. Would be nice to see someone with a bit of flair there too…Clark had the love from Havo and Newsboy and was into her opera and arts…be nice to feel there was someone in Labour who was genuinely able to advance our culture and give it scope to grow and express itself…not sure if DC would make such interesting conversation on Bfm brekkie.

          • Colonial Viper 17.1.2.1.1

            Governing a nation is about leading a nation, not about ‘managing money’ or ‘balancing the books’. Are the finances and funding of a nation crucial? Yes of course. But it is merely the means not the ends.

            As swordfish implied – they’ve* tried to distance politicians from philosophy/values and instead make “Government” all about ‘managing the means’ instead of defining a political economic mission and leading the country.

            *Who? An interesting question.

            The country doesn’t love their ideas, just the sense that they aren’t going to implode in government. Being repsonsible caretakers is something Cunliffe with him and Parker is trying hard to project.

            Seriously, why do you think that Cunliffe and Parker are only interested in being “caretakers”? Is this what you believe the NZ people are looking for now, status quo “caretakers” who do a bit of a clean up here, a bit of a fix up there?

  18. Chooky 18

    +1 CV…..and no secret TPPA deals!…

  19. ak 19

    Simply delicious watching the MSM studiously ignore this – may even treat oneself to a peek at the sewerblog reaction, no harm in a little shadenfreude in moderation eh what… poor little chaps really, one shouldn’t, of course…..

    • McFlock 19.1

      oh, they’ll cover it ad nauseum when RM goes down next poll, or the poll after that, or the pol…

      edit: reminds me a bit of the old cliche about totalitarian states reporting their progress in a war – our chaps make a massive advance, then it’s reported for a while that they’re fighting nobly, then all of a sudden they’ve heroically captured a point 15 miles inside the territory they captured on their massive advance. And damned be anybody who dares to remember the discrepancy.

      • Colonial Viper 19.1.1

        Indeed. The reports of the Wehrmacht soundly defeating the Red Army at Kiev (again) a few years after the first time was a bit of a dead giveaway that something had gone badly wrong, somewhere along the way.

        • McFlock 19.1.1.1

          My favourite was when I was reading contemporary news reports of the “Soccer War” on microfiche several years ago. Going by the official briefings, each side simultaneously advanced several miles into the other’s territory while meeting light resistance. I kind of imagined thousands of soldiers tramping in around in circles the jungle and never actually running into the other guys. Although much of that might have been due to a Honduran general who had lots of soldiers on paper (and the accompanying pay cheques), but they didn’t actually exist.

          Or maybe they were just really really really good at camouflage :)

  20. It’s always nice when you can not only be informed, but also entertained! Looking forward to your next post.

  21. xtasy 21

    Finally, some light at a very, very, very long, dark tunnel!

    ACT MP John Banks was trying to distract from his own court case (remember the Dotcom donation saga) and his party’s dismal showing overall yesterday, raising his party’s misgivings about Nick Smith’s recent housing plans, to allow first home buyers to buy cheaper homes in the provinces, while getting a government hand-out.

    Also I note that Peter Dunne is desperately trying to get media attention with all kinds of new ideas, suggestions, and supporting the Labour member’s bill pulled from the ballot, to reduce the alcohol limit to 0.5 per mil.

    These two are getting WORRIED, as their luck and days are going to be over soon!

    I look forward to some interesting Question Time showdowns in a week and a half, and also to some interesting policies, that Labour and also Greens must and will present.

    John Key, your days are numbered too, and Judith is in her kitchen at home every night, sharpening the many LONG blades of her kitchen knife collection!

  22. Tracey 22

    Banks spoke out against Smith’s state housing announcement, clearly tryin gto position himself;

    a. back in the public eye
    b. to the right of national

    Does Banks winning Epsom change anything?

    • bad12 22.1

      Do you mean ‘change anything after the 2014 election’ Tracey, if Banks gets to stand again in Epsom and loses then National have one less vote in the House,

      Same with Ohariu, if Dunne loses Ohariu it doesn’t matter that much who wins when that seat is looked at in terms of National’s ability to form a Government, National would be light one vote even if that Party should win that electorate,

      Lolz, bizaare as it may sound the voters in the Ohariu electorate should vote for the National candidate to ensure that National will not be the Government…

      • Tracey 22.1.1

        Yes, I mean if Banks wins in 2014, how does that change the above results?

        In epsom many non act/nat voters voter nat to keep banks out, but nat voters voted act to keep him in.

        everyone cancelled each other out, but nat always has more voters than the others… for some strange reason in this very white million dollar home area! ;)

  23. Aotearoean 23

    Tell the skipper that there is another rat in the lifeboat..

  24. Brett Dale 24

    what do the trends say?
    The only surprise would be if they didn’t surge with all then publicity.

    National will still bolt in.

    Greens at 11% still 1% higher than they will poll at the election.

    • bad12 24.1

      Lolz, the trend in the Roy Morgan shows National going DOWN, sorry clown your party has blown it big time in a number of policy areas and must now pay the price,

      Another 1-1 1/2% slide for National and even if, a big IF, Winston Peters wanted to support a National Government it will be impossible to form one, (and that’s even factoring into the calculation Banks (the convicted), and ‘the Hairdo’ that poncing little sellout from Ohariu keeping their seats,

      Given it’s actions from 2008 to 2011 i actually expected this National Government to be a shoe in for 3 terms, unfortunately for you lot your star performer, Slippery the PM, lost the plot,got rolled on policy by the Party and now you are in for another 9 of Opposition…

      • Brett Dale 24.1.1

        bad12:

        Strange, then how come, when a polls as showing national up and labour down, the comments were, the polls meant nothing???

        • bad12 24.1.1.1

          Pratt Dale, please provide the proof of that assertion, or, please stop putting up ‘strawman arguments’,

          i have as yet to see a Post or a majority of comments in a Post which say that polls are meaningless,

          Take some remedial English lessons while your at it…

        • Colonial Viper 24.1.1.2

          Strange, then how come, when a polls as showing national up and labour down, the comments were, the polls meant nothing???

          Actually, looking at those low polls I’m pretty sure (some) people were saying that we needed a new Labour Leader…

          • McFlock 24.1.1.2.1

            heck – even when the polls were up some people said they meant nothing ;)

            But even now I think there’s a spread of the degree to which people place importance on the three poll snaps this week. I’m still reserving judgement for the next couple of RM polls, and am cautious of a Rudd bounce. But expected worst case from my perspective is Labour go back to the pattern of a shallow growth trend over the next year.

            • Bill 24.1.1.2.1.1

              Weren’t you more than happy with that flat lining in the polls with Shearer? I seem to recall you were all ‘she’ll be right mate’. But now with a bounce/surge you’re being all ‘Aw…I dunno’. WTF gives McFlock?

              • McFlock

                They weren’t “flatlining”. As I said at the time, they were on a shallow increase trend up until that two month period where Labour got 3 or 4 consecutive RM falls. When the consecutive setbacks occurred, I was concerned at the time. Then, if I recall the sequence correctly, RM had a bounce back into friendlier territory, a few days later Shearer quit, and here we are today.

                Just as I became concerned after a few consecutive falls, I’ll be happier with a few consecutive boosts.

                Very recently we have seen over the puddle that an increase in polls immediately after a change in leadership might merely reflect other factors, such as the media coverage of the party during the leadership challenge, and can disappear into a void just as quickly. Labour had excellent media coverage during the leadership campaign, barring an idiot former comms professional. So I expect one or two more RM rises, then a “sudden” dip back to the low/mid thirties, and back to a trend of more modest increases leading up to the campaign (and after that starts, nobody knows).

                I also expect some chicken littles and gloating tories during the dip, but that seems to be par for the course.

                • Colonial Viper

                  Doesn’t matter who the Labour Leader is any way, I think your previously stated position is.

                  And stop those idiots praying for a saviour as Labour Leader.

                  • McFlock

                    hence why I think there’s a good chance that after some fluctuation (mostly caused by the good coverage over the leadership contest, according to my model) Labour will return to a long term trend of gradual increases.

          • The Al1en 24.1.1.2.2

            Good job someone was listening.

      • lurgee 24.1.2

        “Lolz, the trend in the Roy Morgan shows National going DOWN”

        If you average the RMs over several polls to iron out sample variation (Doesn’t everyone do this? How do you keep yourself entertained?) they’ve been very consistent, putting National 44-35% and Labour at 32-33%. there doesn’t seem to be much movement in them at all since the election.

        Which is why the current bounce might be a bit exciting. It will need to be sustained, but with two seperate polls both showing a lift it probably isn’t just statistical variation – two companies getting it totally wrong at the same time seems a bit unlikely.

        • McFlock 24.1.2.1

          Not entirely uncommon, though.

          I tend to look at 3-5 samples (at a minimum) from the RM, because they’re the only ones vaguely frequent enough. Back before the two-month decline at the end of Shearer, it had a pretty solid pattern of three up, one down, with the occasional 4ish point shift. My theory is that they cycle four different sample populations or demog weightings, but who knows.

  25. lurgee 25

    Didn’t Roy Morgan admit the Shearer Slide was actually a bit of a bollux on their part? Or did I imagine that?

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    frogblog | 30-10
  • NZ goes backwards on gender equality
    It is no coincidence that in the same week New Zealand is singled out for going backwards on child poverty under National,  we’ve also dropped in global rankings for gender equality. In one year New Zealand has dropped from 7th...
    frogblog | 30-10
  • TPPA Bulletin #58
    NATIONAL DAY OF ACTION 8 NOVEMBER 2014 Auckland, Hamilton, Raglan, Tauranga, Rotorua, Gisborne, New Plymouth, Napier, Palmerston North, Levin,Wellington, Nelson, Christchurch, Timaru, Dunedin,Invercargill. REGIONAL UPDATES Auckland (1:00 pm at Aotea Square): speakers include Robyn Malcolm (Actors Equity), Bunny McDiarmid (Greenpeace), Dayle Takitimu...
    NZ – Not for sale | 30-10
  • Seabed mining: drums in the deep
    Out on the Chatham Rise, the ridge jutting into the waters off Christchurch and extending out beyond the Chathams, Chatham Rock Phosphate has a mining permit and is now seeking EPA approval for its project to mine phosphate for fertiliser,...
    Pundit | 30-10
  • CTU Runanga calls on iwi leaders
    Maori workers are calling on iwi leaders to speak out against the employment law changes expected to go through today.“Iwi leaders have previously spoken out when workers in Aotearoa have been under attack, we believe they should do so again...
    CTU | 30-10
  • An unmanaged conflict
    Katherine Rich is a member of the government-appointed Health Promotion Agency, responsible for (as it says on its website) "inspiring all New Zealanders to lead healthier lives". Katherine Rich is also Chief Executive of the New Zealand Food and Grocery...
    No Right Turn | 30-10
  • Robert Fisk
    Isis in Syria: A general reveals the lack of communication with the US - and his country's awkward relationship with their allies-by-default...
    No Right Turn | 30-10
  • A stretch
    This morning the Herald revealed that Kim Dotcom had been convicted and fined for dangerous driving in 2009, but had not declared it on his application for residency. Immigration is now talking about deporting him. So, this is what we...
    No Right Turn | 30-10
  • Tauranga port happy to take the money – but not happy to accept responsib...
    Comments from a Port of Tauranga manager about deaths and injuries in their port during a Radio New Zealand interview are unacceptable....
    MUNZ | 30-10
  • New Ebola Toys for Xmas. Yay?
    From the "too soon?" file, here are two oddly successful exercises in niche marketing. First, the molecularly-sort-of-correct ebola plush toy. Apparently it has sold out: And, of course, the sexy ebola nurse outfit: Ebola, as everyone knows, ignores cleavage. And...
    Polity | 30-10
  • Temporary, discriminatory and an admission of Faliure
    The PM says that the legislation his government proposes to pass under urgency allowing for the confiscation of passports of NZ citizens in order to combat the threat of returning foreign fighters will be “tightly focused” on those traveling to...
    Kiwipolitico | 30-10
  • Climate change harming ocean health
    New Zealand is responsible for one of the largest areas of sea in the world – an area 14 times the size of our land area. The National Government is promising new marine protected areas legislation with a discussion document...
    frogblog | 30-10
  • Experiment-gate update
    Readers may recall the saga around an experimental mailer some Stanford / Dartmouth researchers sent into the state of Montana. In a randomised trial, it provided voters with some added information about two candidates running for a judicial election, and...
    Polity | 30-10
  • Why are our Politicians Auckland Toll Chickens?
    Yesterday both the National Government and Green Party opposed the suggestion to place a toll on Auckland’s roads, but for completely different reasons. The Government opposes it because they see it as a new tax. The Greens because they would...
    Gareth’s World | 29-10
  • The obvious question
    John Key says he knows who the hacker Rawshark is. So, will the police be raiding his home for ten hours and taking all his data, or is that something they only do to enemies of the National Party?...
    No Right Turn | 29-10
  • Guest post: Living with a criminal conviction
    What happens when one moment of bad judgement changes everything anyone ever thinks about you? Mike Jones* used a weapon to defend his girlfriend from an aggressive man at a party seven years ago. He’s still paying for that choice....
    On the Left | 29-10
  • Famous Kiwi Radio Host Invites Rapists To “Call In and Defend Yourselves...
    [This post is now being live-blogged. Please check back periodically for updates. The amazing header image is by Occupy Auckland media team co-ordinator @Redstar309z and features an artistic impression of two alleged #Roastbusters serial rapists - Joseph Levall Parker (left)...
    Spin Bin | 29-10
  • Famous Kiwi Radio Host Invites #Roastbusters Rapists To “Call In and Defe...
    [This post is now being live-blogged. Please check back periodically for updates. The amazing header image is by Occupy Auckland media team co-ordinator @Redstar309z and features an artistic impression of two alleged #Roastbusters serial rapists - Joseph Levall Parker (left)...
    Spin Bin | 29-10
  • James Shaw speaks on the four Bills formerly known as the Accounting Infras...
    The assurance industry is a critical component of our economic framework. The idea that there is a trusted independent watchdog of the public interest underpins investor confidence and ensures financial probity on behalf of our country's leading institutions. New Zealand...
    Greens | 31-10
  • ANZ needs to look after its workers after another super profit
    The ANZ bank needs to acknowledge the super profits it makes are coming at the expense of its workers, the Green Party said today.Australia and New Zealand Banking Group Limited (ANZ) 2014 full year results show a lift in performance...
    Greens | 31-10
  • James Shaw’s maiden speech
    Tena Koe, Mr Speaker. I would like to take this opportunity to speak a little of the past, the present and the future. The privilege to serve in this Parliament was given to me by all those who gave their...
    Greens | 31-10
  • Feed the kids members bill
    Education is the best route out of poverty. But hungry kids can't learn and are left trapped in the poverty cycle. Let's break that cycle lunchbox by lunchbox. We can feed the country's hungry kids, if we work together.I have...
    Greens | 31-10
  • Feed the kids members bill
    Education is the best route out of poverty. But hungry kids can't learn and are left trapped in the poverty cycle. Let's break that cycle lunchbox by lunchbox. We can feed the country's hungry kids, if we work together.I have...
    Greens | 31-10
  • National’s “Auckland housing boom” a fizzer
    Falling Auckland consent numbers show the Government’s housing policy is going backwards contrary to wild claims by Building and Housing Minister Nick Smith that we are on the cusp of a massive construction boom, says Labour’s Housing spokesperson Phil Twyford. ...
    Labour | 31-10
  • Job losses major blow to Bay community
    Job losses at Wattie’s Hastings plant will hit families and the community hard, Hawke’s Bay-based Labour MP Stuart Nash and MP for Ikaroa-Rawhiti Meka Whaitiri say. “I know a number of the Wattie’s staff and these job losses will be...
    Labour | 31-10
  • Local job losses major blow to Bay community
    Job losses at Wattie’s Hastings plant will hit families and the community hard, Hawke’s Bay-based Labour MP Stuart Nash and MP for Ikaroa-Rawhiti Meka Whaitiri say. “I know a number of the Wattie’s staff and these job losses will be...
    Labour | 31-10
  • Zero tolerance for forestry accidents a must
    The Government must adopt a zero tolerance approach to workplace accidents in the forestry sector to stop people being killed, Labour’s Forestry spokesperson Chris Hipkins says. “It is time for the Government and the forestry sector to put an end...
    Labour | 30-10
  • Return to less holidays on the cards?
    John Key needs to lay his cards on the table regarding the Government’s intentions around holiday pay and annual leave entitlements, Labour’s Acting Deputy Leader Annette King says. “A day after National pushed through laws that take away the legal...
    Labour | 30-10
  • Forest Safety report first step in making our forests safe to work in
    Our forests are a very dangerous place to work. Between 2008 and 2013 there have been 32 fatalities and more than a thousand serious harm incidents in this industry. The Council of Trade Unions and First union have been doing...
    Greens | 30-10
  • Catherine Delahunty Speaks on the Employment Relations Amendment Bill
    Kia ora, Mr Assistant Speaker. He mihi nui ki te Whare Paremata. Welcome to the glorious 19th century, dressed up in the not-so-new flexibility-speak. At the final moment of this bill, let us drop the charade. The Government has a...
    Greens | 30-10
  • Ruataniwha Feds refuse to present a balanced view
    A bid to sell the Ruataniwha water project to Hawkes Bay farmers has turned in to an incredibly one sided affair, says Labours spokesperson on Water Meka Whaitiri.  “It’s being promoted as ‘Ruataniwha it’s now or never’ and it promises...
    Labour | 30-10
  • Worker’s rights dealt severe blow with Bill’s passing
    The passing of the Employment Relations Amendment Bill is another blow to workers' rights in New Zealand, the Green Party said today.This afternoon, National's Employment Relations Amendment Bill passed with the support of Act and United Future."This bill will force...
    Greens | 30-10
  • Barriers to reporting sex crimes must go
    Both the Government and police need to take action to ensure that, in future, sexual abuse victims know they will be taken seriously, Labour’s Associate Police spokesperson Kelvin Davis says. “The young women involved in the Roast Busters case, and...
    Labour | 30-10
  • Te Wakaputanga – What we did not learn at school
    This week saw the 179th anniversary of the signing of Te Wakaputanga, the Declaration of Independence of the United Tribes of Niu Tireni. Most of us did not learn about this fundamentally critical document at school, we barely learned about...
    Greens | 30-10
  • NZ goes backwards on gender equality
    It is no coincidence that in the same week New Zealand is singled out for going backwards on child poverty under National,  we’ve also dropped in global rankings for gender equality. In one year New Zealand has dropped from 7th...
    Greens | 30-10
  • Kevin Hague questions the Minister of Health on management of Katherine Ric...
    Is he satisfied that all conflicts of interest that arose by the head of Food and Grocery Council Katherine Rich being a member of the Health Promotion Agency were managed in accordance with the provisions of the Crown Entities Act...
    Greens | 30-10
  • Bennett parks numbers on social housing
    Social Housing Minister Paula Bennett admitted today that well over 1000 families have been subsidised through the accommodation supplement to stay in the Ranui campground, somewhere she has previously described as not the right place for children to be growing...
    Labour | 30-10
  • 50,000 sign petition against anti-worker law
    More than 50,000 Kiwis have signed Labour’s petition against the Government’s scrapping of tea break entitlements, Labour’s Acting Deputy Leader Annette King says. “That’s the equivalent of five people signing our petition every minute for a week. It shows the...
    Labour | 30-10
  • Address in Reply Debate – Dr Kennedy Graham on UN Security Council- 2...
    In the Speech from the Throne last week the Prime Minister identified the usual domestic goals for his Government. I counted 17. They are not my subject today. I wish instead to focus on matters beyond our shores. In the...
    Greens | 30-10
  • Climate change harming ocean health
    New Zealand is responsible for one of the largest areas of sea in the world – an area 14 times the size of our land area. The National Government is promising new marine protected areas legislation with a discussion document...
    Greens | 30-10
  • Key misled public over Jason Ede
    Information contained in a new chapter of the book Key: Portrait of a Prime Minister, that Jason Ede stopped working for the National Party on the night the book Dirty Politics was released, shows Mr Key and senior ministers hid...
    Greens | 29-10
  • Greenpeace report highlights better path for NZ agriculture
    A Greenpeace International report highlights a better way forward for New Zealand agriculture than the GE and chemical mutation technologies supported by Federated Farmers, and the National Government through its research funding packages, the Green Party said today. "This report...
    Greens | 29-10
  • BNZ post record profits while leaving savers vulnerable
    A small part of the $850 million record profit posted by the Bank of New Zealand (BNZ) today needs to be set aside to protect savers' deposits in the future, said Green Party Co-leader Dr Russel Norman today.Dr Norman was...
    Greens | 29-10
  • RBNZ U-turn shows monetary settings were wrong
    The Reserve Bank's U-turn on interest rates today shows monetary policy settings were wrong and New Zealanders have suffered unnecessarily through the loss of jobs and having to pay higher interest rates, the Green Party said today.Reserve Bank Governor Graeme...
    Greens | 29-10
  • Ports must take responsibility for shameful death toll
    Port companies must step up and take responsibility for a shameful toll of seven deaths and 133 serious accidents in the past three years, Labour MP Iain Lees-Galloway says. The frightening figures – released by the Rail, Maritime and Transport...
    Labour | 29-10
  • Please help me get my Feed the Kids Bill to Select Committee
    Last week I took over the Feed the Kids Bill that Hone Harawira had introduced to Parliament. If passed, my Bill will provide government-funded breakfast and lunch in all decile 1 and 2 schools. Hungry kids can’t learn and are...
    Greens | 29-10
  • TVNZ Outsourcing Pasifika and Maori Programmes
    I’ve always been a big fan of our state broadcaster and I’ve particularly liked their range of current events programmes. But after Friday’s announcement that TVNZ will be sacking up to 40 staff by contracting out the Pacific and Maori...
    Greens | 29-10
  • Labour urges iwi leaders to meet with National
    Labour’s Māori Caucus has called on iwi leaders and national Māori organisations to seek urgent meetings with the National Government to directly express their concerns about employment law changes which will harm Māori workers. In an open letter sent today...
    Labour | 29-10
  • ACC’s reputation needs fix, not glitz
    Restoring public trust and confidence in ACC will take a lot more than a new communications strategy or social media blitz, says Labour’s ACC spokesperson Iain Lees-Galloway. “Under National, ACC has come to be perceived as insensitive, difficult to deal...
    Labour | 29-10
  • Lessons to be learned from police investigation
    The outcome of the so-called Roast Busters case should not put victims off reporting sexual crimes, Labour’s Acting Deputy Leader Annette King says. “This case has been mishandled from the start. Within days of police initially saying no charges had...
    Labour | 29-10
  • Anti-worker legislation is anti-Pacifica
    The Minister for Pacific Peoples, Peseta Sam Lotu-Iiga, will go down in history as being part of a Government that harmed his own people through anti-worker legislation, says Labour’s Pacific Island Affairs spokesperson Su’a William Sio.  “Pacific people are among...
    Labour | 29-10
  • Five-year tax holiday for overseas tax dodgers
    National has just gifted a five-year tax holiday for foreign companies dodging their tax payments, says Revenue spokesperson David Clark. “Todd McClay has pretended he is doing something about overseas companies dodging their tax duties by joining an international initiative...
    Labour | 29-10
  • Traffic Jam Tax must be given the red light
    Auckland Council’s proposed Traffic Jam Tax could cost some households thousands of dollars a year just to use roads they had already paid for with their taxes and must be rejected, says Labour’s transport and Auckland Issues spokesperson Phil Twyford....
    Labour | 29-10
  • National has chance to show leadership on limos
    The National Party has the opportunity to show leadership by transitioning our vehicle fleet towards renewable electricity when a new contract to supply Government limousines for VIPs goes to tender next month, the Green Party said today. "This is a...
    Greens | 29-10
  • The Māori Party can’t have it both ways over labour laws
    The Māori Party has to fess up over its voting record on the Employment Relations Amendment Bill, says Labour’s Māori Caucus.  “It’s simply not good enough to oppose the bill at the same time  as they helped speed up its progress through...
    Labour | 29-10
  • Equal pay and the aged care sector
    Today the High Court upheld the historic ruling by the Employment Court that our Equal Pay Act could be used to consider work of equal value cases; the government has been telling the UN and ILO that it could for...
    Greens | 29-10
  • Court case perfect opportunity for Government to improve gender pay gap
    If the Government wants to halt New Zealand’s slump in international rankings on the gender pay gap it should act on the court finding that women deserve equal wages, Labour’s Women’s Affairs spokesperson Sue Moroney says. “The World Economic Forum’s...
    Labour | 28-10
  • All Auckland transport options should be considered
    All options for meeting Auckland's transport needs should be considered, including reprioritising the transport budget away from wasteful spending on motorways, the Green Party said today.Auckland mayor Len Brown is today releasing a transport report by the Independent Advisory Board,...
    Greens | 28-10
  • Another report highlights Govt failure on child poverty
    An international report measuring the impact of the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) on child poverty rates, showing children in New Zealand have done worse than children in other countries, is further proof the Government needs to urgently take additional steps...
    Greens | 28-10
  • Address and Reply Debate Part 55: Inequality and Disability
    I rise on behalf of the Green Party to talk about inequality and disability.The recent census showed that nearly one in four New Zealanders lives with a disability—up from one in five in the previous census. These figures include some...
    Greens | 28-10
  • Address and Reply Debate Part 55: Inequality and Disability
    I rise on behalf of the Green Party to talk about inequality and disability.The recent census showed that nearly one in four New Zealanders lives with a disability—up from one in five in the previous census. These figures include some...
    Greens | 28-10
  • Child poverty: No more wake-up calls
    A new report which shows the National Government has made no inroads whatsoever into child poverty should do more than just set alarm bells ringing, Labour’s Acting Deputy Leader Annette King says. “UNICEF’s  latest Innocenti Report Card highlights the fact...
    Labour | 28-10
  • Eugenie Sage speaks in the 2014 Address in Reply Debate
    I congratulate you, Assistant Speaker Mallard, as Assistant Speaker and look forward to your knowledge, your fairness, and your light touch in being a referee of proceedings in this House. I congratulate also the other Assistant Speaker, Lindsay Tisch; the...
    Greens | 28-10
  • James Shaw’s Maiden Speech
    Tena Koe, Mr Speaker. I would like to take this opportunity to speak a little of the past, the present and the future. The privilege to serve in this Parliament was given to me by all those who gave their...
    Greens | 28-10
  • Govt airs real views on public broadcasting
    An admission by the Government that it is happy to experiment with Pacific and Maori audiences shows just how weak its vision for public broadcasting in New Zealand is, Labour’s Broadcasting spokesperson Kris Faafoi says. “National today admitted it doesn’t...
    Labour | 28-10
  • Does Judith Collins have a get out of jail card?
    Former justice minister Judith Collins appears to have been gifted a get out of jail free card based on the Prime Minister’s answers in Parliament today, Labour’s Acting Deputy Leader Annette King says. “Judith Collins claimed in an Official Information...
    Labour | 28-10
  • Solid Energy decision delay sensible
    Today’s announcement by the Board of Solid Energy that it will delay making a final decision on re-entering the Pike River mine is a sensible move, Labour’s MP for  West Coast-Tasman Damien O’Connor says. “It has been clear for some...
    Labour | 28-10
  • New York Green Bank off to a $1B start
    New York Governor Andrew Cuomo announced late last week the New York Green Bank’s first NZD$1 billion tranche of green energy investments. The projects, which are difficult for the private sector to finance, are now possible by New York Green...
    Greens | 28-10
  • GUEST BLOG: Blockade the Budget
    The ‘Independent’ Police Conduct Authority’s report into the policing of student protests in 2012 is a whitewash The report released by the Independent Police Conduct Authority into the policing of student protests in 2012 is a whitewash riddled with inaccuracies....
    The Daily Blog | 30-10
  • When National claim new anti worker laws provide ‘flexibility’ they mea...
    And so it comes to pass. The first law National ram through as part of their victory march are new anti worker laws they pretend will generate ‘flexibility’. The new law denigrate the unions ability to protect workers and provide...
    The Daily Blog | 30-10
  • City Transport: A Taxing Matter
    This week the prospect of paying tolls on Auckland motorways became a hot topic. (See Mathew Dearnaley:Motorway tolling could hit some hard, NZ Herald, 30 Oct 2014.) As we might expect, the kneejerk response has been quite negative. But, as with...
    The Daily Blog | 30-10
  • Open Letter to Amy Adams: Please Reopen The Review Into Sexual Violence Cou...
    Ms Amy Adams, Justice and Courts Minister, Right now in this country it seems that although rape is illegal, it is not being prevented by the agents who uphold the law. It almost feels like rape is only illegal on paper,...
    The Daily Blog | 30-10
  • MEDIA WATCH: Does ‘No-Surprises’ Also Apply To TVNZ News?
    When you stand back and look at NZ media outlets, most of them have at least one or two people who attempt to hold the government to account: John Campbell on TV3, Guyon Espiner and others at Radio NZ, David...
    The Daily Blog | 30-10
  • Things That Make You Go Hmmmmmmm
    Every so often in politics, a public figure comes out with something so absurd and so outlandish … that it really does just make you go “Hmmmmmmmmmm”. We’re accustomed to this from certain quarters – by mid point through the...
    The Daily Blog | 30-10
  • Poverty & inequality don’t need protest marches – they need a riot:...
    The global level of inequality continues to skyrocket… Number of billionaires doubled since financial crisis The number of billionaires has doubled since the start of the financial crisis, according to a major new report from anti-poverty campaigners. According to Oxfam,...
    The Daily Blog | 30-10
  • If Key knows who Rawshark is…
    I’m sorry, what? John Key ‘given Rawshark’s name’The Prime Minister believes he knows who hacked Whale Oil blogger Cameron Slater’s computer and produced the source material for Nicky Hager’s Dirty Politics, according to a new edition of a recently published...
    The Daily Blog | 30-10
  • Child Poverty stats in NZ
    Child Poverty stats in NZ...
    The Daily Blog | 30-10
  • Crimes Act + Police Investigation = WTF
    Just to frame the farce that is the Roastbuster’s investigation and conclusion – here are the parts of the Crime Act http://www.legislation.govt.nz/act/public/1961/0043/latest/whole.html#DLM329057  the Roastbusters are proven to have violated – that the police (and some suspects!) themselves acknowledge occurred: Crimes...
    The Daily Blog | 29-10
  • Publishing Journalists’ Home Addresses Is A Tactic Of The Right, Not The ...
    I think I’m starting to get rather annoyed with the conduct of some pro-MANA people over this ongoing Parliamentary Services crew complement issue. Yes, we get that there are legitimate issues to be raised with how some political reporters in...
    The Daily Blog | 29-10
  • Aucklanders caught between a tarseal-addicted government and a weak mayor
    Len Brown’s proposal for motorway tolls to reduce congestion and provide funding for better public transport is a weak response to a critical issue. The $12 billion dollar shortfall on transport funding he talks about is mainly for projected new...
    The Daily Blog | 29-10
  • A Very Weird Story: Deconstructing Darren Aronofsky’s Noah.
    NOAH is a curious movie. Conceived as a biblical epic, it’s target audience was originally the millions of Americans who regard the Bible as God’s inerrant word. With the sin-filled works of Hollywood forbidden to these true-believers, Christian movie-makers have developed...
    The Daily Blog | 29-10
  • You Can Get Away With Rape In New Zealand
    Jessie Hume with last years petition against rape     The police have sent a strong message today.  In fact they’ve been sending a strong message for a while; a message that our government supports. “You can literally get away...
    The Daily Blog | 29-10
  • Roast Buster case – no charges. In the immortal words of NWA…
    Roast Busters case: No prosecutions Police are to make an announcement this afternoon on Operation Clover, the investigation into the “Roast Busters” allegations. The Herald understands the victim has been told that the alleged offenders will not be prosecuted due...
    The Daily Blog | 29-10
  • Key’s flag change distraction to cost $26million!
    No. Way. Bid to change NZ flag to cost millions The cost of holding two referendums and consulting on a change of flag has been estimated to be just under $26 million. Look. We all appreciate that the sleepy hobbits...
    The Daily Blog | 29-10
  • Why NZ Herald’s Labour Party crocodile tears are so audacious
    The front page the NZ Herald would use if they thought they could get away with it No one can take the recent columns by NZ Herald seriously… John Armstrong: Shadow lingers on National John Roughan: Labour’s leadership vote matters...
    The Daily Blog | 28-10
  • The beginning of the end of Cameron Slater?
    Slater postings on man bizarre, court told A businessman has changed his appearance and had to install extra security at his home after Whale Oil blogger Cameron Slater posted his business and personal documents online, he says. Mr Slater has...
    The Daily Blog | 28-10
  • We are a milk power republic and Fonterra our unelected senate
    Wow. Just wow… Deputy mayor says he’ll be sacked South Taranaki deputy mayor Alex Ballantyne says he expects to be sacked because he has spoken out about the impact gasses coming from dumped Fonterra dairy products have had on his...
    The Daily Blog | 28-10
  • MEDIA WATCH: “…But *actually* this is about ethics in political-game jo...
    Yesterday, a piece of mine on the recent revelations about Hone Harawira employing several gentlemen either accused or convicted of sex offences was published on The Daily Blog. Predictably, given the fierce loyalty which Hone inspires in his party faithful and...
    The Daily Blog | 28-10
  • Privilege cheque
    There was no race problem in my childhood. Living in central Wellington I was well-insulated from what was going on not so far away. This was the 60s and 70s, where the teachers enjoyed free love in the staff room...
    The Daily Blog | 28-10
  • A brief word on Key’s claim that it will be raining carnage
    Isis will ‘rain carnage on the world’ – John Key Left unchecked Isis would “rain carnage on the world”, Prime Minister John Key says, but he has yet to make a decision on whether New Zealand troops will join a...
    The Daily Blog | 28-10
  • Meanwhile…
    ...
    The Daily Blog | 27-10
  • How does Andrew Little win Labour Leadership and unify the caucus?
    Audrey Young’s excellent column on how the Caucus vote  is shaping up shows how Andrew Little becomes the next leader of the Labour Party. She identifies the factions as the following… Andrew Little 6: Andrew Little, David Cunliffe, Iain Lees Galloway,...
    The Daily Blog | 27-10
  • GUEST BLOG: Joe Trinder – Right of response to Curwen
    You have asked that Hone Harawira deserves to explain what happened, how would he explain when his next door neighbour is an alleged sex offender. What explanation can Hone offer he wasn’t involved, Hone had no idea this offending was...
    The Daily Blog | 27-10
  • MEDIA WATCH: That Hella-Weird Feeling When You Defend Tova O’Brien
    Oh dear. Yesterday morning I blogged that Hone deserved a chance to explain what exactly had happened as applies his office’s Parliamentary Services crew complement – and, importantly, that we deserve to be able to judge him on the strength of...
    The Daily Blog | 27-10
  • Canadian Green MP warns against harsh anti-terror measures
    Canada’s Green Party has provided a welcome counterpoint to Prime Minister Harper’s call for tougher anti-terrorism laws in the wake of a soldier outside the Canadian Parliament. On October 22, while she was still locked in her parliamentary office, Green...
    The Daily Blog | 27-10
  • When is an asset sale not an asset sale? When it robs from the poor and ste...
    National have turned state housing on its head. At no time during the 2014 election did the Key Government even hint that they were going to privatise 30% of the Housing NZ stock of state homes. Not once. Key even...
    The Daily Blog | 27-10
  • Housing; broken promises, families in cars, and ideological idiocy (Part To...
    . . Continued from: Housing; broken promises, families in cars, and ideological idiocy (Part Rua) . Bill English comes clean on National’s intentions for HNZ privatisation . On 14 October, in a report on The Daily Blog, I wrote, In...
    The Daily Blog | 27-10
  • The Questions Have Been Asked – They Deserve An Answer
    A few days ago, allegations that had been percolating for some time about Hone Harawira employing three either accused or convicted sex offenders on his Parliamentary pay-roll came to light. (one imprisoned before working for MANA; one who found himself convicted and...
    The Daily Blog | 26-10
  • I have seen one future, and it is bleak
    . . Back in  March 2012, I wrote this story regarding a march to support striking workers at Ports of Auckland. It appears there was some prescience about some of my observations at the time… . | | 18 March...
    The Daily Blog | 26-10
  • US air strike war Key wants us in has killed a civilian a day so far
      The US air strike war that John Key wants us to join has killed a civilian a day so far. From the Washington Post... The United States launched its first airstrikes on militants in Syria on Sept. 23, and has continued...
    The Daily Blog | 26-10
  • The instant Jihad syndrome
    My favourite new term is ‘self-radicalised’ – it suggests the reasons for terrorism are totally divorced from the actions of the West. This need to suddenly ramp up terror laws because of lone wolf, self-radicalised Jihadists seems convenient and counter-productive....
    The Daily Blog | 25-10
  • We have nothing to fear from Ebola but fear itself
    I suspect most Americans perceive Ebola like this   I can’t work out if the fear being spread within the media about Ebola is deliberate or just ignorance. Yes Ebola is a terrible plague that kills a large percentage of...
    The Daily Blog | 25-10
  • GUEST BLOG: Anjum Rahman – “Meritocracy? I wish.”
    I’d like to start by linking to a post I had published at another site in support of Nanaia Mahuta for the Labour Party leadership election.  She has a reasonable chance, given that she already has the endorsement of Te...
    The Daily Blog | 25-10
  • Chocolate milk shortage and creepy Santa? Let’s talk about real news
    Child poverty is still a scarily serious problem in this country and house prices are soaring through the roof to the point where it is simply impossible for the average New Zealander to buy a home. There is also little...
    The Daily Blog | 25-10
  • It’s time to celebrate Kiwi schools and teachers
    Some would have you believe that New Zealand’s schools are in a state of collapse, that your children are not being educated well and that things are going to hell in a hand basket.  That there is no innovation, no...
    The Daily Blog | 25-10
  • Ideological Blitzkrieg – Privatization of state housing, more charter sch...
    Pundits in pundit land will tell you that this Government is boring, that Key is the great pragmatist and that it is his ability to create elegant solutions that keeps him the firm favourite in many Kiwi eyes. This ability...
    The Daily Blog | 24-10
  • Hegemony rules but resistance is fertile
    The Prime Minister is a puppet. Not just our current Prime Minister, but given the forces of multinational globalisation, the role of any head of state, is less as independent actor, and more as a puppet of international trends and...
    The Daily Blog | 24-10
  • An open Letter to Sir Bob Jones: demanding a ‘liveable wage’ is not “...
    How out of touch with reality is Sir Bob Jones? You know, that white dude who invested in privatised SOEs after the selling off of our assets in the eighties and made a ludicrous and disgusting amount of money and is...
    The Daily Blog | 24-10
  • My insecurity about the Security Council
    As I write this (on 24 October) it is international UN Day. Of course, you all knew that already, right? Well, the day celebrates the entry into force of the UN Charter in 1945. With the ratification of this founding...
    The Daily Blog | 24-10
  • GUEST BLOG: Catherine Delahunty – Back in That House
    Parliament opened this week and I still find it a very odd place. Most of the people are reasonably courteous and friendly, but the rituals are archaic and the rules around issues like the swearing in oath are oppressive and...
    The Daily Blog | 23-10
  • Marae Investigates No More
    TVNZ yesterday announced the closure of their Māori and Pacific programmes department. That means they’ve chosen to stop making Fresh, Tagata Pasifika, Waka Huia and Marae Investigates to let independent producers get their hands on these lucrative contracts. This is...
    The Daily Blog | 23-10
  • BLOGWATCH: An Un-Civil War in Labour, eh?
    Earlier today, my attention was directed to an entry that’s just recently appeared on the Slightly Left of Centre blog. It purports to contain the ‘inside word’ from a highly placed NZF source – which is funny, because I’m pretty sure...
    The Daily Blog | 23-10
  • Santanomics 101
    Santanomics could mean a number of things. It could be the study and practice of giving. Or it could mean the study and practice of rampant end-of-year commercialism. However, for me today it is the economics of erectingAuckland’s giant Santa...
    The Daily Blog | 23-10
  • SkyCity boss misleads public over workers lost shifts
    SkyCity CEO Nigel Morrison has defended the employment practices at his company in an “Opinion” piece entitled “Human Capital key to corporate success” in the NZ Herald on Thursday. A number of his claims are misleading, contain only partial truths...
    The Daily Blog | 23-10
  • Review: Perfect Place
    I went to a Perfect Place on Tuesday night, and what a delight it was. The marshmallows sweetly (and forcefully) handed out pre-show, set the tone for the next hour. Walking up the stairs at The Basement was a complete...
    The Daily Blog | 23-10
  • 5AA Australia – NZ on UN Security Council + Dirty Politics Lingers On
    5AA Australia: Selwyn Manning and Peter Godfrey deliver their weekly bulletin Across The Ditch. General round up of over night talkback issues: Thongs, Jandals and flip-flops… ISSUE 1: New Zealand has been successful in its campaign to become a non...
    The Daily Blog | 22-10
  • When I mean me, I mean my office & when I call whaleoil I mean not as m...
    This. Is. Ludicrous. Green Party co-leader Russel Norman put the first of what are likely to be many questions about Mr Key’s relationship with Slater, asking him how many times he had phoned or texted the blogger since 2008. “None...
    The Daily Blog | 22-10
  • A brief word on describing the Government as ‘boring and bland’
    The narrative being sown is that this Government will be a boring and bland third term. Boring and bland. Since the election, Key has announced he is privatising 30% of state houses without reinvesting any of that money back into housing society’s most...
    The Daily Blog | 22-10
  • Roast Busters: Turn Indignation into Action
    People raged about the Roast Buster case. The indignation was justified – it was horrible. “Where were their parents!?” Fair question. I am sure the Roast Busters’ parents and the victims’ parents all wish they had been more proactive in...
    Scoop politics | 31-10
  • Stats NZ only have themselves to blame for postponement
    The Public Service Association (PSA) says Statistics NZ only have themselves to blame for the indefinite postponement of the release of the Food Price Index: November 2014....
    Scoop politics | 31-10
  • NZ Diversity Survey – benchmarking workplace diversity
    AUT University’s New Zealand Work Research Institute (NZWRI) has released a report on diversity in New Zealand workplaces....
    Scoop politics | 31-10
  • Māori Language (Te Reo Māori) Bill
    Tutehounuku Korako, Chair of the Māori Affairs Committee, is inviting further public submissions on this bill. The closing date for submissions is Friday, 5 December 2014....
    Scoop politics | 31-10
  • ERA amendments a mixed bag
    The Employment Relations Amendment Act has the potential to put vulnerable workers in a more precarious position, says Equal Opportunities Commissioner, Dr Jackie Blue. However, the commissioner says the right for all to request flexible work hours is...
    Scoop politics | 31-10
  • Sensible Sentencing calls for appeal of judicial activivism
    The Sensible Sentencing Trust is appalled that Justice Jill Mallon has today refused to apply the Life without Parole (LWOP) provisions of the Three Strikes law as enacted by Parliament....
    Scoop politics | 31-10
  • Global Rally against ISIS – for Kobanê – for Humanity, Nov 1
    The New Zealand Kurdish Community will march in solidarity with Kurdistan as part of the “GLOBAL RALLY AGAINST ISIS – FOR KOBANÊ – FOR HUMANITY” on 1 November 2014, 2pm....
    Scoop politics | 31-10
  • Does ‘No-Surprises’ Also Apply To TVNZ News?
    When you stand back and look at NZ media outlets, most of them have at least one or two people who attempt to hold the government to account: John Campbell on TV3, Guyon Espiner and others at Radio NZ, David...
    Scoop politics | 31-10
  • Safer roads are better for everyone
    Recent pedestrian versus vehicle incidents highlight the real issues being addressed by delegates as the 2Walk and Cycle conference concludes....
    Scoop politics | 31-10
  • Law change creates more flexible labour market
    The Employment Relations Amendment Act, passed yesterday, will bring new flexibility to the labour market and will reduce the ability of unions to organise and to recruit....
    Scoop politics | 30-10
  • Bumper ANZ profits mean no excuse for insecure hours
    A big rise in profits at New Zealand's largest bank needs to be reflected in a better pay offer and more security around hours of work, the bank workers’ union said today....
    Scoop politics | 30-10
  • Count down to lowered alcohol limit
    With just a month to go until a new lower alcohol limit for adult drivers comes into effect, Police and road safety agencies are reminding drivers of the impending change....
    Scoop politics | 30-10
  • WorkSafe Supports Forestry Review Findings
    WorkSafe NZ says the Independent Forestry Safety Review has clearly identified the problems facing an industry in which ten workers were killed last year. “The Review’s analysis matches our own view and leaves no doubt about the need for comprehensive,...
    Scoop politics | 30-10
  • CTU welcomes forestry review recommendations
    The CTU is welcoming the today's release of the independent forestry safety review panel findings. "These recommendations must be implemented to ensure that everything possible is done to make forestry safer." CTU President, Helen Kelly said....
    Scoop politics | 30-10
  • Activists will confront animal abusers
    Today animal rights activists will confront a group of wealth advisers who want to build the biggest egg factory-farm in New Zealand....
    Scoop politics | 30-10
  • Turia: Women’s Refuge Conference 2014
    This is a milestone moment in my life. This will be my last official address as Co-leader of the Maori Party. On Saturday night at our Hui-a-Tau, I will be standing down from that role and enabling a new co-leader,...
    Scoop politics | 30-10
  • Rodeo Code of Welfare ‘Sick Joke’
    Animal advocacy organisation SAFE says the revised Code of Welfare for Rodeos just released is nothing but a sick joke. “Rodeo animals are goaded, tormented and forced to endure needless suffering and gross mistreatment, all for the sake of so-called...
    Scoop politics | 30-10
  • Conservative Party applauds binding referenda on flag
    The Conservative Party are congratulating the Government on the decision to hold two binding referendums to decide the fate of New Zealand’s flag – and believes it will pave the way for binding referenda to form part of New Zealand...
    Scoop politics | 30-10
  • Walk the Talk – Opposing violence against women
    Soroptimist International of Auckland have organised a walk on 22 November from Silo Park at the Wynyard Quarter through the Viaduct and back to Silo Park, to show their opposition to violence against women. This event hopes to raise awareness...
    Scoop politics | 30-10
  • Recommendations on the Design of Pecuniary Penalties
    The Law Commission has reviewed the use of pecuniary penalties as a regulatory tool. Pecuniary penalties are financial penalties that policymakers are increasingly opting to use in place of criminal sanctions in order to punish and deter misconduct in...
    Scoop politics | 30-10
  • Every worker will be affected by employment law changes
    Every worker will feel the effects of the government’s new employment laws and should join a union if they want to maintain and increase their wages and conditions, says New Zealand’s largest private sector union, the EPMU....
    Scoop politics | 30-10
  • Shameful attack on all workers
    The Government has passed the Employment Relations Amendment Act slashing the rights of all Kiwi workers. “These changes are shameful. New Zealand now has some of the worst employment protections in the OECD. It is embarrassing that a country which...
    Scoop politics | 30-10
  • Unnecessary law changes more to do with ideology
    The government’s employment law changes are simply ideological and are at odds with its approach in the related areas of health and safety and immigration law, FIRST Union said tonight....
    Scoop politics | 30-10
  • CTU Runanga calls on iwi leaders
    Maori workers are calling on iwi leaders to speak out against the employment law changes expected to go through today. “Iwi leaders have previously spoken out when workers in Aotearoa have been under attack, we believe they should do so...
    Scoop politics | 30-10
  • Educating children not the best solution to alcohol harm
    Alcohol Healthwatch says we need to look beyond educating children and young people to address deeply embedded attitudes and behaviours concerning alcohol....
    Scoop politics | 30-10
  • New code of welfare for rodeos released
    New standards to strengthen the animal welfare requirements for rodeos have been issued today by the Minister for Primary Industries, Nathan Guy....
    Scoop politics | 30-10
  • IPCA report riddle with inaccuracies, say students
    A report by the Independent Police Conduct Authority into the policing of student protests in 2012 is riddled with inaccuracies, say students who laid the original complaint with the IPCA....
    Scoop politics | 30-10
  • CT v The Queen – indecency convictions quashed
    This summary is provided to assist in the understanding of the Court’s judgment. It does not comprise part of the reasons for that judgment. The full judgment with reasons is the only authoritative document. The full text of the judgment...
    Scoop politics | 30-10
  • Rameka v The Queen – murder convictions quashed
    This summary is provided to assist in the understanding of the Court’s judgment. It does not comprise part of the reasons for that judgment. The full judgment with reasons is the only authoritative document. The full text of the judgment...
    Scoop politics | 30-10
  • Auckland Council Out of Control
    Responding to the NZ Herald article that some Auckland households will face a rates rise of up to 9.6 per cent next year, Taxpayers’ Union Executive Director Jordan Williams says: “Len Brown’s pledge to cap rates rises at 2.5 per...
    Scoop politics | 30-10
  • Stats NZ staff escalate action with ‘no more meetings’ rule
    Statistics NZ staff have voted to escalate their ongoing industrial action in an effort to get Stats NZ back to the bargaining table with a reasonable offer. The staff, who are members of the Public Service Association (PSA), have been...
    Scoop politics | 29-10
  • Rape Crisis calls for changes to criminal justice system
    Wellington Rape Crisis has added its voice to the public outcry following the announcement that there will be no charges in the teen rape gang case. Butterworth says the decision not to lay charges will not have been a surprise...
    Scoop politics | 29-10
  • Police action justified in Blockade the Budget demonstration
    Police actions in dealing with a demonstration in Central Auckland known as Blockade the Budget on 1 June 2012 were justified and appropriate, an Independent Police Conduct Authority report released today found....
    Scoop politics | 29-10
  • NZDF Joins with Australia to Commemorate WWI Centenary
    A contingent of New Zealand Defence Force (NZDF) personnel will join their Australian counterparts at Australia’s first major commemoration of the First World War centenary in Albany, Western Australia this weekend....
    Scoop politics | 29-10
  • Reserve Bank should reduce interest rate
    “The Reserve Bank should be reducing its policy interest rate, the OCR”, says CTU Economist Bill Rosenberg in response to the Bank’s announcement today that it is not increasing it....
    Scoop politics | 29-10
  • 2015 Stout Fellow will write about Māori & Criminal Justice
    Kim Workman, founder and advocate for the Robson Hanan Trust, which administers the Rethinking Crime and Punishment and Justspeak initiatives, has been awarded the 2015 John David Stout Fellowship at Victoria University....
    Scoop politics | 29-10
  • What John Key thought about ‘dirty politics’
    On September 20, John Key swept to victory to become one of New Zealand’s most successful and popular Prime Ministers. Rocked by scandal, the 2014 election campaign was one of the most brutal – and riveting – in recent history....
    Scoop politics | 29-10
  • Trade Deal Threatens Farmers and Food Businesses
    The secret Trans Pacific Partnership negotiations are a direct threat to food businesses and farmers, and a moratorium on the release of GE crops must be enshrined in law before the TPP is signed....
    Scoop politics | 29-10
  • CTU announces election of new Secretary
    The contested election for the position of CTU Secretary has been won by Sam Huggard. Sam officially takes office on Monday 1 December 2014. Sam has worked in the union movement and brings a wealth of experience and a commitment...
    Scoop politics | 29-10
  • Kim Workman awarded 2015 J.D. Stout Fellowship
    The Victoria University of Wellington 2015 J.D. Stout Fellowship, funded by the Stout Trust, has been awarded to justice reform advocate Kim Workman. Mr Workman (Ngati Kahungungu ki Wairarapa, Rangitaane) is well known for his work on criminal justice,...
    Scoop politics | 29-10
  • TPPA causing concern
    Concern over the secretive Trans-Pacific Partnership Agreement (TPPA) negotiations is being expressed in two public meetings over the next week; one at a presentation on 5th November by former councillor Robin Gwynn to the Napier City Council, the...
    Scoop politics | 29-10
  • Kiwis rally to demand justice for ‘Roast Buster’ survivors
    Over 1,500 kiwis have rallied to demand justice after the announcement of the NZ Police decision not to lay charges in the ‘Roast Busters’ saga....
    Scoop politics | 29-10
  • New employment law will hurt the most vulnerable NZers
    The Public Service Association (PSA) says changes to the Employment Relations Act, expected to be passed in Parliament tonight, will hurt vulnerable workers and their families more than anyone....
    Scoop politics | 29-10
  • Consultation to close on proposed place names
    The New Zealand Geographic Board (NZGB) Ngā Pou Taunaha o Aotearoa today advised that only one month remains before public consultation closes for 18 name proposals for geographic features and places around Te Ika ā Māui (the North Island)....
    Scoop politics | 29-10
  • Operation Clover – Statement from Police Commissioner
    I have taken a close interest in this investigation and I am confident police have conducted a thorough and professional enquiry in what has been a challenging and complex case. The Operation Clover team has ensured that victims have been...
    Scoop politics | 29-10
  • Better policy would have protected children from recession
    Child Poverty Action Group says an international report released by UNICEF today shows good policy can protect and improve child well-being, even during a recession....
    Scoop politics | 29-10
  • Outcome of Operation Clover investigation
    Police have completed a multi-agency investigation, Operation Clover, into the activities of a group calling themselves “The Roast Busters”. The 12 month enquiry focused on incidents involving allegations of sexual offending against a number of girls...
    Scoop politics | 29-10
  • False birth registration brings home detention
    A Whangarei woman who attempted to register the birth of a fictitious child to claim a sole parent benefit was sentenced to six months home detention in the Whangarei District Court today....
    Scoop politics | 29-10
  • Family of Robert Ellis demand a proper investigation
    The family of a New Zealander killed in Indonesia are growing increasingly concerned at the lack of information they’ve received, and the handling of the investigation into his murder....
    Scoop politics | 29-10
  • Minister of Health must account for aged care workers’ pay
    The New Zealand Federation of Business and Professional Women (BPW NZ) congratulates rest-home worker Kristine Bartlett on her landmark claim for equal pay from her employer and successfully pursuing this to the Court of Appeal....
    Scoop politics | 29-10
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