Latest Roy Morgan poll

Written By: - Date published: 3:04 pm, July 31st, 2014 - 196 comments
Categories: polls - Tags: ,

Roy Morgan

I know at the Standard we rarely post about individual polls and there is danger in relying on a single poll and caution should always be exercised but the latest Roy Morgan poll gives a reason for lefties to smile a bit and it has been a while!

Today’s New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll shows a large fall in support for National (46%, down 5% – the lowest since May) now with a significantly reduced lead over a potential Labour/Greens alliance (42%, up 3.5%) just two months before the New Zealand Election on September 20.

Support for Key’s Coalition partners has changed little overall with the Maori Party 1.5% (up 0.5%), Act NZ (0.5%, unchanged) and United Future 0.5% (unchanged).

Support for the Labour Party is 30% (up 6.5%), but the Greens are down 3% to 12%. Potential ‘king-makers’ NZ First is 5% (down 1%), the Internet-Mana Party alliance is 2.5% (up 1%). Support for the Conservative Party of NZ is 1% (unchanged) and support for Independent/ Others is 1% (up 1%).

Of course anything can happen between now and election day but if this represents the trend then it is going to be a very interesting campaign …

196 comments on “Latest Roy Morgan poll ”

  1. Craig Glen Eden 1

    Its a start of the reversal we need. “The headlines will read Labour still struggling Cunliffe should resign”. but hey .

  2. feijoa 2

    YES!!

    Now watch the Nats bashing machine really swing into action

    I saw the DomPost managed to devote about an inch to Labours wages policy

    Yes indeed still more work to be done but definitely not all gloom and doom like some would say

    • Rosie 2.1

      Lolz they did too. In the “briefs” section. Yet opposite that was a Jane Clifton article with accompanying photo about Tony Ryall’s last day and how his colleagues all turned up wearing ugly ties in solidarity.

      Getting the important stories out there Dompost!

  3. Bearded Git 3

    This poll taken before Labour’s $16.25 minimum wage announcement which IMHO is a bit of a game changer.

    • srylands 3.1

      .. for the 2.4% of people on minimum wage who either don’t vote, or vote for Left parties already. How is that a game changer?

      Howe many National voting cleaners are you going to switch to Labour with this policy?

      • Tracey 3.1.1

        Maybe unlike you there are a number not on minimum wage themselves who want to see it raised for others?

      • One Anonymous Bloke 3.1.2

        How many faith-based policy merchants who peddle false economic beliefs to needy politicians will support this policy?

        Sooner or later the truth will out: S Rylands fears for his income.

        • Tracey 3.1.2.1

          S Lylands is one of the poorer areas on Planet Key

          • disturbed 3.1.2.1.1

            Last day at Parliament and no show P.M.?’

            Gee he couldn’t take the heat that the poll laid on him eh?

            He must have gone to Planet Key eh?

            Hope he doesn’t come back.

      • Tiger Mountain 3.1.3

        Hit the torys where it hurts I say–via their bloated, bulging overstuffed bank accounts!

        Time to share boys. You lot would not get out of bed for $15.00 or $16.25 per hour, but it will be significant for thousands of New Zealanders.

        • One Anonymous Bloke 3.1.3.1

          That isn’t quite how it works TM: throughout NZ history, New Zealanders have created more wealth under Labour led governments than National led ones.

          A bigger pie shared more fairly means win/win.

          • Tiger Mountain 3.1.3.1.1

            Sure as graphs archived on The Standard show; but the business sector has been win-winning all on its lonesome and some redress is now needed as well as the positive stuff a Labour led government will deliver.

      • Akldnut 3.1.4

        “How many National voting cleaners are you going to switch to Labour with this policy?”

        All the ones on min wage or less.

      • appleby 3.1.5

        but a load of cleaners who have had enough and are tuned out of politics could very well bdecide to vote and guess who they will vote for…

      • Bearded Git 3.1.6

        Srylands-Labour over the last 6 polls. Spot the trend?

        23.5%, 24.9%, 26.5%, 26.7%, 28%, 30%………………..31%, 32%, 33%, 34%…bye bye John.

      • dave 3.1.7

        I still think peters can claim another 2 percent and srylands its not just minimum wage earners its affordable housing modern monetary policy ,smaller class sizes ,economic up grade away form a high pollution dumb economy ,cheaper power , $60 a week kids under 3 years old restarting the Cullen fund what’s national policies spray and walk away then blame sneer and generally behave like a tosser.ie you!

      • framu 3.1.8

        conidering that A) cleaners would in most cases get a pay rise and B) your own (ie – the neoliberal right) ideology is all about rational economic actors – i would suspect all of them

        your own stupid ideology says they would

        thats if theres min wage cleaners who vote nat in the first place – sure there might be some, but im picking not that many. You might hate poor people, but they arent as stupid as you think they are

    • Chooky 3.2

      +100 Bearded Git…Labour is on a winner with the upping the minimum wage …good honest Left and pro- worker policy!

      …Eat your heart out srylands and Act…not looking too bright for you on 0.5% of New Zealanders wanting to vote for you

      …and OMG your condition has stablised into a terminal morbidity blip…like your great NeoLib leader Maggie Thatcher…your ACT is heading for the dead and buried!

      • Tracey 3.2.1

        ACT will win Epsom, so they stagger on… It is amazing the damage they can do though

        • to Well Tracey all I can say is that if the poor saps in Epsom are so brainwashed and stupid as to as do as they are told regardless of the outcome then they deserve everything they get.
          However by their past voting record I can only presume that Epsom must be full of “Born to Rule chinless wonders .

          • The Al1en 3.2.1.1.1

            Well with RH, DB and now JW, hairless wonders also works too.

            • the pigman 3.2.1.1.1.1

              You forgot one Alien! John Boscawen (sp?) – the other JB – gets in there after RH (or was it after DB? I don’t give so much attention to those guys.)

          • Tracey 3.2.1.1.2

            It is full of people who preach to others about personal responsibility and accountability but dont practice it.

          • Michael 3.2.1.1.3

            It is and they are.

        • Lanthanide 3.2.1.2

          I’m really not sure they will win Epsom, to be honest.

          • Tom Jackson 3.2.1.2.1

            Yes. It seems unlikely that ACT would get another MP on current polling, so there isn’t that much reason for National voters to switch.

            • Tracey 3.2.1.2.1.1

              They were only heading for one last time they had a cuppa, and nats know ACT will only get one this timebut have sent the message out to vote for seymour

          • Tracey 3.2.1.2.2

            Can I ask what you base that on?

            • Lanthanide 3.2.1.2.2.1

              John Banks and the stench coming from ACT. The fact that their latest candidate is clearly a robot. Jamie Whyte is out of touch with ordinary NZers every time he’s opened his mouth in public.

  4. Tracey 4

    I wonder if Key’s recent leaning toward Peters suggests nationals daily polling is reflecting a similar position?

    Why wont Nats say which UF and ACT policies it will entertain?

    • Chooky 4.1

      Key has done a huge unblushing U-TURN on whether to try and go with Peters and NZF…once upon a time it was out of the question because Winnie was untrustworthy!!!!

      Now Key can see the writing on the wall and NACT is on the ropes… Key really is getting desperate !…..because I don’t think Peters fancies him at all…and Key is having to grovel…Winnie must be smiling into his whiskey

    • Colonial Viper 4.2

      The NATs wont even admit to which of its own policies it will entertain…

    • AmaKiwi 4.3

      Because they are a secret, like charter schools were a secret last election.

  5. Matthew Hooton 5

    “I know at the Standard we rarely post about individual polls.”

    Ha!

    What you mean is “At the Standard we always post about positive polls for Labour and never about negative polls for Labour so over recent years we have rarely posted about individual polls … ”

    But thank goodness for Roy Morgan. The political punditry work was at risk of drying up.

    [lprent: Another horseshit myth, steaming with the aroma of simple minded lack of attention as Hooton dropped another one.

    This is a pattern of authoring that is at least 6 years old as authors figured out what was a useful amount of data to pick trends in bouncing polls (5-6 weeks). About the only time it varies is when there is a discussion about polling techniques or at election times.

    These are the posts over the last 6 months about polls. You will note that we usually seem to do them about every 5-6 weeks regardless of what the results for the left are. The frequency will start increasing as we approach an election (just as they have done in the last two elections).

    July 31: this one.
    July 22: http://thestandard.org.nz/polity-poll-of-polls-update/
    July 17: http://thestandard.org.nz/polity-new-polls/
    June 17: http://thestandard.org.nz/polity-herald-poll/
    June 07: http://thestandard.org.nz/polity-morgans-poll-and-morgans-commentary/
    May 07: http://thestandard.org.nz/latest-roy-morgan/
    Mar 31: http://thestandard.org.nz/polity-the-new-tv-polls/
    Feb 25: http://thestandard.org.nz/on-polls-and-things/
    etc…

    Of course you could look through
    http://thestandard.org.nz/government-and-politics/polls/
    or just search
    http://thestandard.org.nz/page/2/?s=poll&isopen=block&search_posts=true&search_sortby=date
    http://thestandard.org.nz/?s=poll&isopen=block&search_comments=true&search_sortby=date

    If you want to make up dumbarse myths, then perhaps you should try looking first for something that isn’t quite as easy to disprove.

    If I see anyone going with this fuckwit myth again, they will immediately get a year long ban for stupidity. I’ve now pointed this out several times and I’m getting tired of doing so. Care to be the first? ]

    • mickysavage 5.1

      Often about positive polls and not so often about negative polls but you should forgive me for having a little smile on my face right now. And I agree Matthew that you have consistently said that this election will be too close to call.

      • Matthew Hooton 5.1.1

        yes, fair enough

        • Saarbo 5.1.1.1

          Oh things seem to be heading in the right direction for labour, in our local community paper which has a weekly contribution from Fran O Sullivan, she has provided a big endorsement of Labours Sheep and Beef policy. This on the back of a huge drop in the Fonterra payout and farmers are starting to look a bit more carefully at Labour’s Monetary Policy and its potential impact on exch and int rates….could be some votes swinging soon…from very un-traditional voters.

          Ill have a swagger when I put up the Red hoardings this weekend.

          Every ones a winner under Labour.

    • bad12 5.2

      ”what you mean is” Tsk Tsk Tsk wee Matty, you are sliding ever so close there to having Papa come along and put you over His knee for an illegal yet much needed corrective spanking…

      • Chooky 5.2.1

        yes i am all for a “corrective spanking” in this case…particularly as Possum has insistently been advising and urging Labour to replace Cunliffe with Shearer …again!

    • Matthew Hooton 5.3

      Relax, lprent. It was a joke. Greg got this post up within about 10 mins of the poll being published. (I wonder if old DPF and Whaleoil managed to be so quick on this occasion!)

      [lprent: Sounded suspiciously like a old and very hackneyed joke. Don’t know about Micky, but I get a email when they publish. ]

      • The Al1en 5.3.1

        Bet it’s panic stations at your accountants post election.

        • Chooky 5.3.1.1

          lol…Possum won’t answer that …he will be hunting for a new tree food source

        • Te Reo Putake 5.3.1.2

          Actually, I reckon Matthew and his accountants would be hoping for a Nat loss. If I remember my Hollow Men correctly, he did much more work for them in opposition. It’s the losing side that really needs the advice.

          • The Al1en 5.3.1.2.1

            Yes, with quality analysis like his, he’ll be top of the list for sure 😆

          • RedBaronCV 5.3.1.2.2

            So Mathew needs to now be known as “Mathew de Talleyrand-Périgord Hooten” perhaps for his abilty to switch sides at the opportune moment?

            (Talleyrand worked as a government minister for the Bourbon kings before the revolution, successive revolutionary governments, Napoleon & the bourbon kings again after restoration- thanks Wikipedia)

            Makes Peter Dunne’s flip flopping look very amateur

            And just for the record I don’t think it will be a close election (that was the last one) – it will be a fine day with heavy early turnout as the country walks down the road and boots Nact out.

            • Martin 5.3.1.2.2.1

              Napoleon Bonaparte referred to the real Telleyrand as “That shit in silk stockings”

            • disturbed 5.3.1.2.2.2

              End of Parliament today and guess what John key was absent!!!

              It was comical to see labour and Winston tormenting the leftovers, as they looked around like a groom to be wondering where the bride to be was.

              He must have got a chill after the Roy Morgan poll came out?
              It’s not in his DNA to be tormented as he usually likes to be the only one dishing it out to the opposition side, so we wouldn’t be surprised he has left for US to get some free pre election adverts again at Warner Studio’s as a payback for the $40 million he gave them of our taxpayer money to curry favour.

              Then after he will go sit on the wall St exchange, with is ex wall St currency trader mate Kruger and plot to sink the Kiwi dollar again like in the 1980’s and make another bucket of money off our backs again as he bids us farewell. Then go to his castle in Hawaii and play golf with his mate Obama.

              He even may have gone off again to the Bilderberg group for help and sit at their table of Global powerful elitists he loves to rub shoulders with as they plot to control every corner of the Globe.

              What a fascinating shadowy dark character he is.

        • bad12 5.3.1.3

          i hear the sad wail of an out of tune violin playing in the background…

          • The Al1en 5.3.1.3.1

            Are you sure that’s not Judith limbering up for a leadership tilt?

            • bad12 5.3.1.3.1.1

              More the sound of the whole Caucus sharpening their knives for a bloodless coup National style where the tanker parked outside disguised with the Fonterror insignia is really chocka full of plasma…

              • tricledrown

                Brain Fade Key will be off to Washington via Hawaiikey as ambassador to the USoA.
                that if he remembers where the Airport is .

        • Martin 5.3.1.4

          shredding files and running to catch the next flight to Amerika

      • tricledrown 5.3.2

        Hooton.
        the only joke is you you are already yesterdays man your so-cold genius has you beached like Whale all washed up.
        Blubber on.

      • framu 5.3.3

        helps if you add 🙂 or (/sarc) or something matt – thats how people know for sure your having a laugh as opposed to being, well, yourself 🙂 (see how that works)

      • North 5.3.4

        “Relax lprent Old Chap…….was a joke !

        Condescending to the core…….even in strategic withdrawal.

        Excellent. Will be their undoing.

  6. bad12 6

    Humpty Dumpty and all that, and should Winston take a great fall, down will come ACT, National and all,

    DotCom, Hone, Lailla, Annette and all, not being the Kings men, will withdraw their labour and refuse to glue Humpty together again…

    • tricledrown 6.1

      Genius bad 12

    • North 6.2

      Bad12……excellent ! Try it to the tune of My Ding-a-Ling. Practise a bit…….it really works !

    • North 6.3

      Bad12……excellent ! Try it to the tune of My Ding-a-Ling. Practise a bit…….it really works !

    • David H 6.4

      “DotCom, Hone, Lailla, Annette and all, not being the Kings men” Did a John Key, refused to read the directions, and ended up with Chicken Little.

  7. swordfish 7

    Brilliant. One will add the stats to one’s blog.

    Lab+Green between 3-6 points higher than in other July polls. In fact, they haven’t been up at 42% since mid May. As you say, just one poll, but hopeful signs….

    …Do I sense another series of MSM attacks on Cunliffe in the wings ?….Wearing the wrong colour shirt ?, Slept in for half an hour ?, Brushes his hair the wrong way ?….what will the next alleged “woeful gaffe” be ?

    Actually, I wish I hadn’t said that, I’ll be giving John Armstrong ideas.
    Tomorrow’s Herald Front Page Headline:
    Cunliffe in Wrong Shirt Colour Shocker !!! We Say he MUST Resign Now by Herald Special Investigative reporter, John P Armstrong.

    • Tracey 7.1

      Can you post your url? I forgot it and cannot find it in my bookmarks

    • Matthew Hooton 7.2

      I bet he puts the water on his toothbrush after the toothpaste.

      • ianmac 7.2.1

        David doesn’t snore. A sure sign of….. Hang on. How would Cameron know about that?

      • anker 7.2.2

        Yes how the right have been trying to portray DC doesn’t really go with your “diagnosis” of narcissistic personality disorder. But hell, you wouldn’t let that stop you from smearing him. Any angle at all eh!

      • Puddleglum 7.2.3

        Gulp! So do I … I never knew …

      • tricledrown 7.2.4

        unlike you mad hater as nothing sticks to your brush because it has to much whaleoil on it

    • Akldnut 7.3

      Tomorrows Herald

      “Labour party Leader sleeps till 9.00am each morning”

      In a drowsy state at 9.00am this morning, Labour party leader David Cunliffe was seen picking up the NZ Herald delivered to his home daily at 4.30am each morning. When asked about his pink pyjamas and purple dressing gown with large yellow printed teddy bears he stated that “They are all The rage, along with a slumber hair net which helps to avoid “bed hair” sticking up”

      Could New Zealanders have a prime minister with such appalling night dress sense? Kiwis will be asking themselves after today’s dreadful exhibition of of poor judgement and dress sense>

      This will surely be the game breaker when hundreds of thousands from both the Left and Right go to the booths on Sept 20 2014.

      John Armstrong
      NZ Herald chief political commentator

    • Bearded Git 7.4

      Cunliffe excellent last speech in parliament today-it’s all coming together. Next appearance will be on the opposite benches as PM.

  8. mickysavage 8

    What is the bet that John Key is furiously hunting for Colin Craig’s cellphone number right now?

    • Tracey 8.1

      More likely opening that drawer in his office

    • Te Reo Putake 8.2

      It’s funny really, because which ever way he went with Craig, there was a potential downside. Pull McCully in ECB and risk losing party votes from liberal Nats who don’t want a bar of CrayCray or step away from that option and risk losing party votes from religious Nat’s who now have to tick Conservative in the hope of getting Craig past the 5%.

      5% isn’t going to happen, obviously, but it’s going to be great that every Conservative party vote is now going to be one less vote for Key’s 3rd term.

    • tricledrown 8.3

      mickesavage practicing his three way handshake

    • Clemgeopin 8.4

      Here it is: 911!

  9. Wayne 9

    This poll says its all about Winston. And where do you think he is going to go?

    • Tracey 9.1

      Most importantly Key thinks this polling is right… So is wooing Winston. Very much a case of if you dont like my principles, i have some different ones for you, aye Wayne.

    • bad12 9.2

      On 5% i would suggest that Winston is going the same way He did in 2008, Colon the Conservative with blood in His eye from having been left standing alone at the alter by Slippery the Prime Minister is still going to use His millions to burn some electoral rubber,

      Ascribed a paltry 1% by Roy Morgan i have no doubt that Colon the Conservative, crazed like every jilted john befor Him in the annals of history will gather at least 2.5% of the vote in September a mere smidgeon of which if taken from NZFirst will bring down the House of Winston and leave Slippery the Prime Minister standing alone at the same alter that Colon previously wept at,

      S’pose you could always dream that the Conservatives % of the vote is going to be taken from InternetMana…

      • Tiger Mountain 9.2.1

        nice to have result for the left;
        Colonservatives–3%
        Winston First–4.9%
        Internet Mana–5%, could happen
        Labour to rise to early 30s, Labour supporters will be hoping so
        Green to rise slightly and solidify for Sept 20

        …and the election season has barely started like Labour’s big launch in Auckland coming up and the enrol and vote campaigns getting down to business and TV debates. Will ShonKey want two rescue dogs in his kennel at the same time?

        • Kiwiri 9.2.1.1

          “Colonservatives”!
          Haha. Very good.

          • tricledrown 9.2.1.1.1

            looking at colon Craigs billboard he looks like something out of a Hitchcock movie.

        • bad12 9.2.1.2

          Yep, Labour 33%, Greens 12%, InternetMana 5%, by themselves singularly unspectacular numbers but addition makes them a piece of mathematical joy, Fifty Percent!!!

          Far from impossible lets do it…

      • Tracey 9.2.2

        Its over to the people at uppity harbour to vote for christine not paula 😉

    • Olwyn 9.3

      Winston has already lashed out angrily at the claim that he will go with National.

      http://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/news/article.cfm?c_id=1&objectid=11302065

      I do not say that he won’t in the end, but he knows very well that his vote will plummet if people assume that he will.

      • Chooky 9.3.1

        agreed…and it will be the end of him politically if he does go with Key…because Peter’s policies and all his statements have been totally at variance with Key’s neolib Nact agenda

      • bad12 9.3.2

        Olwyn, IF Ron Marks actually uttered those words attributed to Him by Granny Herald this morning you have to wonder what the motive actually was,

        i thought the NZFirst selection panel had inserted Brendon Who into the Parliament as the obvious heir apparent to Winston,(and Winston didn’t like the intrusion one little bit),

        Are forces within NZFirst smarting over Winston’s unilateral dismissal of Brendon and using Ron Marks in some bizarre ritual of retribution,

        There is a thought here that if Marks suddenly appears in a high spot on the NZFirst list there is a signal that IF Winston does not take the Party into coalition with National then He will be rolled, Marks installed as leader and the deal done,

        Ron’s remarks are either really really stupid or deliberately machiavellian with a future outcome firmly in mind…

        • Olwyn 9.3.2.1

          Interesting point. I will watch out for that. Your suggestion makes me wonder if someone is waving big donations in front of the less visible members of NZ1, with conditions attached.

          • bad12 9.3.2.1.1

            Olwyn, there is one more thin strand of the conversation today worth repeating, perhaps Ron Marks has no intention of entering the fray of national politics again,(busy man and all that, head of the negotiating team for Ngati Kahugnugnu, appointed to two DHBs),

            Bizarrely and unlikely as it is, He may have just decided to take, for reasons known only to Him, a pretty effective parting shot at Winston by painting Him as less than honest with the ”no deals till after the vote” Winston continues to drip from the snake-oil bottle…

            • Olwyn 9.3.2.1.1.1

              You could be right there – Marks might merely be trying to make things tricky for him.

        • Chooky 9.3.2.2

          once Winnie goes it will be the end of NZF imo…..unless they find someone young and vibrant

          …Ron Marks is yesterdays man imo

          ..not to worry …Winnie will be good for another couple of terms…but only if he goes with Labour …he is finished if he goes with John key and Nactional….and even the hint of this is the breath of death and he knows it

          …so dream on John Key and all you NACTs…you are finished because Winnie will spurn you!

          • phillip ure 9.3.2.2.1

            that’s quite the sheet-anchor you are clinging to there..chooky..

            ..winston peters is no longer a safe-vote…for anyone wanting change…

            • The Al1en 9.3.2.2.1.1

              But you would say that, wouldn’t you, pushing the last cab of the rank like a trooper.

              • winston made it pretty clear by mentioning the Māori Party in his tired little rant that the gnats will get the big eyes from him – he is the rankest cab by far – but please vote for him if that’s what spins your wheels.

                • The Al1en

                  No, I wouldn’t vote Winston and NZ1st, just like I’d never vote for hone, but I’d still prefer them in a Green/Labour coalition over your fella, who went totally bug eyed over kim’s loot.

                  If it’s a car game, phil can push the cab, you can wipe the dirty tracks left in it’s wake.

                  • I think you’ve been sucked in allen by the sharp suits and pithy soundbites – winston in any coalition will be unstable and unpredictable – which is why he will be poison in a leftish one – luckily that won’t happen because winnie prefers his old rightie mates especially when they are greasing.

                    Funny how the last cab off the rank becomes the first if you turn around. I remember the Tour protests and in wellington getting there late (bloody units) thinking I’ll be at the back – then I started noticing some ‘names’ and next thing I was at the front – so much better than being in the middle i can tell you, the middle sucks.

                    • The Al1en

                      That’s funny, I thought consensus was he did alright in the last Clark government, apart from the Glenn donations saga, which poo poos over the right v left poison comment seeing as he didn’t go with Brash.
                      Of course, mentioning donations and scandals, I hope your glass house at the mana has good stone protection, if you know what I mean.

                      I’ll celebrate a change of government in September either way, but for stability, with the kdc saga, the divisive activists retarding their way across prime time in front of mum and dad New Zealand, Winnie still makes for a more stable government.
                      I don’t fault your enthusiasm for dreams come true, wishing a very minority party, with a very minority leader having sway in post election talks, but 99% of voters wouldn’t touch hh with a barge pole, for obvious reasons.

                      Still a good chance for Labour to get 35% of the vote and the Greens 15%, and take all the flakes, of whatever variety, out of the equation for good. That would be the best result all round.

                    • lol Maaaaaate you are so worried about what others think of you – activists have a lot more self belief, and optimism, try it you may like it.

                    • The Al1en

                      I think it’s quite obvious I don’t care much for my ego, but keeping it relevant to the election and the 99 or 98 percent of people who don’t and won’t vote hh, appearances, and indeed public perception of stable governance are valid points.

                      We’re all activists in our own way mars, and belief and optimism are never in short supply here. Just ’cause you shout the loudest doesn’t mean you’re more dedicated or even deserve to be taken seriously.

                      35/15+ is in my opinion the best option for a stable left NZ government, even if kdc wastes his millions and you have to go to sleep with a heavy heart and tears on your pillow.
                      I don’t do youtube, but sure there’s a vid for that one somewhere 😉

                    • sure you can have some validity if it’s so important to you

                      no, we aren’t all activists at all – that’s silly

                      your opinion of what constitutes a stable government is nice

                      I’m pretty sure I know why you don’t like Kim – he’s from Germany and rich but why the hate on Hone – was it something he said? he did? he didn’t do? To be truthful I don’t really care about your reasons other than for interests sake – I mean I’d never expect (or want) you to change your view – I just wonder why you formed it – did he rip into the english at some point or something?

                    • The Al1en

                      If you don’t care for answers, it’s a bit retarded to ask questions, no?

                      No need for me to play your game and get dragged through your court of opinion mars, but for the record, should anyone care, outside of those wishing to set agenda, I don’t not like germans or people with money, I take each as I find, and I find kim and hone to be incompatible with stable left leaning government like 99 or 98% of NZ voters.

                    • “The word “retarded” is an offensive term for people with intellectual disabilities. However, it is often also used as an insult, which is entirely inappropriate. You can avoid using the word altogether. Keep reading for detailed instructions.”

                      http://www.wikihow.com/Avoid-Using-the-Word-%22Retarded%22

                    • The Al1en

                      informal offensive – very foolish or stupid.

                      Yep, agenda setting like a goodun 🙄
                      Unless you actually have an intellectual disability, in which case I apologise unreservedly.

                    • lol – you said it – but then again you’re a fan of giving it rather than taking it aren’t you – I’ll leave you alone now, no cat likes playing with a dead mouse, not even me 🙂

                    • The Al1en

                      I’m guessing the “I’ll leave you alone” and “dead mouse” is about you “winning” again.
                      No worries, I’ll be around next time you think you can direct the debate, like you’re the only lefty in the village. :snigger: :wave:

            • disturbed 9.3.2.2.1.2

              Phillip, you are talking crap.
              Winnie has more real fortitude than you have, he is one of those rare politicians toady that speaks from the heart, as when he came to Gisborne he got so many folks asking questions and clapping audience with every reply that the crowd was galvanised with him all 150 people, and how many does your lot get when they come to a small town like Gisborne?

              You had better believe there is a real change coming and today you should have watched parliament closing down, he was electric, and Key was absent all the day, so guess who knows time is up?

              • Chooky

                disturbed +100

                Winston is pure talent…his university law professor said you see a student with his sort of ability but very rarely…better than David Lange…this is why i think when Winston goes so will NZF…however Winnie still has a lot of life in him yet…enough for 2 more terms

                …but if i were him i would be watching my back…such is the NACTs desire to win and with so much of their investments and secret schemes for NZ resting on a WIN ….Winnie better make sure of his deputy and the loyalty of his MPs imo ( and maybe employ a taster …lol)

          • Martin 9.3.2.2.2

            Shame we have to kiss so many toads to get a prince.

        • Tracey 9.3.2.3

          Interesting observation bad

    • North 9.4

      God Wayne you’re sounding terrribly dark…..what wrong boyo ?

  10. Zorr 10

    And undecideds are still really really high:
    “Of all electors surveyed 6.5% (up 1%) didn’t name a party.”

    This result with that additional actually makes this look really bad for National.

    • Chooky 10.1

      agreed…the undecideds will probably go with the new spring tide…which is TIME FOR A CHANGE!

  11. Griffon 11

    Umm anyone notice that in August 2013 that Labour under Shearer plus the Greens were polling higher than what they are now? Throwing it out there that who knows what the polls would be looking like if Labour stuck with Shearer.

    • One Anonymous Bloke 11.1

      It’s lying there. Best you pick it up, since you threw it.

    • Te Reo Putake 11.2

      Yeah, I think that was the line the paid tory commenters were using a couple of month’s back, but it fell a bit flat. What I’m liking is the sympathy vote for Cunliffe; Kiwis love an underdog and DC’s come out of last month’s smearfest looking like a winner. Perhaps Key’s lengthy Hawaiian holiday was a mistake after all.

    • swordfish 11.3

      Umm anyone notice that in August 2013 that Labour under Shearer plus the Greens were polling higher than what they are now ? Throwing it out there that who knows what the polls would be looking like if Labour stuck with Shearer

      Significantly worse than they are now, sweet-pea. Shearer would’ve come in for precisely the same MSM firestorm and he would have been far too inept and inarticulate to deal with it.

      You see, what you’ve inadvertently forgotten too mention is that both Labour and Lab+Green were polling higher during Cunliffe’s first few months as leader than they were during Shearer’s last few months. So, had Shearer remained leader, Labour and the broader Left would have been starting from a lower support base when the full force of MSM Black Ops fury began to hit the hapless Shearer.

    • @ griffin..

      ‘um..!..aah..!,..,um..!..aah..!.’.wd be how it wd be sounding..

  12. Te Reo Putake 12

    Just did a quick electoral calculation. Assuming all the current parties retain an electorate seat, but Winston falls just short, it’s 63/57. If the Maori party flop, which I think will happen, it’s 62/58. If Winston gets in with 5%, then it’s either 60/54/6 (with MP) or 59/55/6.

    If the right block lose another 2 points to the left, then they simply cannot form a majority government, unless NZF are in Parliament and support them.

    • srylands 12.1

      Well I guess there is some serious money for you to make then. You can join Cameron Slater who is betting heavily on “Labour PM” with Centrebet. At the current odds I might join him. I assume you will too. If we do end up with that result, I would feel better with $6,000 as compensation 🙂

      • Te Reo Putake 12.1.1

        Thanks for the tip. I usually restrict myself to footy, but I think a punt on Labour might be worth a go. Sportingbet currently have the Nats at 1.11, Labour 6 bucks.

      • Chooky 12.1.2

        @ srylands…”$6,000 as compensation”….venal as ever!…many people do not have any discretionary income and struggle to get by …ever think of them?

      • Skinny 12.1.3

        No surprise seeing you and Hooton on here acting slightly strange Shrillands. Speaking of betting, I bet Key is off to church on Sunday with Craig.

        • Chooky 12.1.3.1

          snigger …as Winnie has spurned him

          • lurgee 12.1.3.1.1

            If you believe Peters won’t coalesce with National at the drop of a ballot, you’re a fool.

            He won’t work with Mana or the Maori Party. Which is more about him seeing off possible rival minor parties than any real principle.

            • phillip ure 12.1.3.1.1.1

              @ lurgee..

              “..If you believe Peters won’t coalesce with National at the drop of a ballot, you’re a fool..”

              ..+ 1..

              • The Al1en

                “..If you believe Peters won’t coalesce with National at the drop of a ballot, you’re a fool..”

                Like Hone did with the mp

                • bad12

                  the trouble with that little stab of the knitting needle Alien is that InternetMana have the stated intention of being rid of Slippery and this National Government,

                  And Winston???, IF what Ron Marks has been reported as saying today, Winston has been far from honest with His ”no deals till after the vote” shiftyness,

                  Therein lies the rub, a vote for InternetMana is 100% anti-National/ACT, a vote for NZFirst tho is a 50/50 proposition either way,

                  The only reason anyone who has the ability for critical thinking would vote for the 50/50 proposition is if they also had a morbid desire to always be on the winning side…

                • “Like Hone did with the mp”

                  Doesn’t even make sense allen – has Hone coalesced with the gnats – no, will he – no. The stated aim of MANA is to get rid of the gnats.

                • Chooky

                  @The Allen +100 …agreed!

                  … Hone and the Maori Party did NOT coalesce…just as Winnie and National under Bolger/Shipley did NOT coalesce!

                  …Good analogy!

              • disturbed

                Phillip, your’e a fool and a blind one at that.

            • Chooky 12.1.3.1.1.2

              they are not rivals at all!…different age spectrum groups and concerns…Winston is just pandering to the right of his potential constituency vote ( blue rinse Nats)…but come the final result he will work with both the Greens and Mana/Int in order to form a Labour Left Coalition Government …anything else would be a complete betrayal of his anti-Neolib stance and what he stands for… and it would be political suicide

              …in any case i think Mana/Int have said they will support a Labour Govt but don’t necessarily want to be in caucus

        • Clemgeopin 12.1.3.2

          And with Collins and her family in tow too!

  13. JJ 13

    Thank you

    David is safe

    National voters are reminded how important it is to get out and vote

    National will be celebrating!!!!!!

    • swordfish 13.1

      Well, if the National Party celebrates every time it plunges 5 points in the polls then here’s hoping they get to party hard for the next couple of months.

  14. AN 14

    I will be voting Labour because of their animal welfare policies- particularly the one to ban factory farming by 2017. I wasn’t planning to vote Labour until they released that policy. People like me could well be a decent percentage of the population and could account for quite a lot of the swing in vote. Lots of people will pay more for freedom farmed eggs and other products because animal welfare matters to them, so maybe those same people will take those issues into account when they vote as well. Good call by Labour.

    • Chooky 14.1

      @ AN …yes good animal welfare policy moves on Labour’s part

      ‘Labour Commits To An End To Factory Farming’

      By Jessie Hume / July 31, 2014

      For the first time in New Zealand history all of the left-wing parties and the major animal advocacy organisations spoke out in unison. Labour, the Greens, the SPCA and SAFE stood side-by-side and powerfully echoed the sentiment of thousands of Kiwis. The message is clear; factory farming isn’t our future….

      • Belladonna 14.1.1

        I am still undecided as to whether to vote Labour or Greens but the factory farming stance by Labour would tend to point me in the direction of Labour. They still need to do something positive for beneficiaries though before they get my vote.

    • Clemgeopin 14.2

      Good on you. I am voting Labour primarily on their better New Zealand policies.

  15. Tanz 15

    You have not factored in the CC factor. He will do well on the day, as will Winston Peters. There will be lots of no votes, and this will not bode well for the left.

  16. lurgee 16

    It’s a Roy Morgan poll. The next one will show everything going 5% the other way, and there will be desair and gnashing of teeth and suggestions that the polls are fixed and the media should not be commenting on them. Then the next one after that will be like the current one, and everything will be HALLELUJAH and celebration and demands for the ‘MSM’ to cover the polls more.

    • blue leopard 16.1

      Sacre bleu! What a cynic!… 😯

      +1 I say this is a fair prediction you put forward…

    • Te Reo Putake 16.2

      Your probably correct lurgee, but that’s a reflection of how good RM is. It does seem to accurately reflect the mood swings of the electorate. As opposed to the Herald/TV3/TVNZ ones merely reflecting the mood swings of the Prime Minister.

    • bad12 16.3

      You have a point lurgee, of interest graph the years Roy Morgan’s compressing the time-line and ascribing 50mm to each 5% of movement both up and down,

      The graph then looks like the richter scale did during the Christchurch earthquakes, i find Roy’s swings as bizarre as i find the New Zealand media paid for polls giving National well over 50% of the vote despite everyone admitting that the numbers are not going to happen on election day and those polls history showing what the ‘true’ picture for National is likely to be on election day,

      Why not talk up our side of the fence off of a good looking poll, hell the right along with the mass media batter the whole population with the Govern alone bullshit even tho all that media know it just aint going to happen,

      Confidence and humor is worth votes in September, why do you think the media polls spread their lies, for shits and giggles perhaps, they are trying to create a perception either to drag the glum over to their side of that fence or drive them off into did not vote land in despondency,

      This isn’t to hard an ask in September, NZFirst 4.5%, Labour 33%, Greens 12%, InternetMana 5%, that says bye bye National/ACT…

  17. Too Much Carbon 17

    Interest rate hikes are a real killer for incumbents. Of course Key will claim fiscal responsibility keeps rates down (despite there being no evidence), but it will be hard to explain to mortgage holders why they will be better off paying higher mortgages.

  18. miravox 18

    That -7.5% change in confidence rating has got to be a bit of a worry for NAct.

    • mickysavage 18.1

      Yep that is the killer feature of this poll. When confidence drains away support for the Government follows.

  19. Ennui 19

    Excellent news for the morale. There is only one poll that counts; that is on the day. Keep on working spreading the word Standardistas.

  20. tricledrown 20

    Brain Fade Key is lying about not knowing about Kim Dotcom!
    Remember when Brain Fade Key was reassuring us that more invasive spying legislation wasn,t going to affect ordinary New Zilanders,
    Brain Fade Keys own Words were that he knew every body on the list of who was being spied on as he was head of the SIS!
    Right there is the proof Brain Fade Key is LYING!

  21. disturbed 21

    Hey trickledown, – Is this also familiar too.

    Question to key, – are you concerned about the Crafer farms sale?

    “Oh we don’t want to see you all as tenants in your own land” Key 2012.
    His words are not worth the paper their written on if you can find any before he shreds all the evidence and boards that last flight outa here.
    Leave at your own free will shyster.

  22. CeeH 22

    Will never give up on Labour – it’s the right party for the people. The polls are encouraging and now curious to see what next is going to come against Labour. Thanks to the standard especially micky savage – when disheartened I come here for a pick me up and have always noticed your support, and to all the Labour people and supporters who work hard and make sacrifice to make it a fairer nz for all. Much appreciated.

    • Clemgeopin 22.1

      My sentiments exactly. I want a strong, well supported Labour party which is not put under excessive disproportional demands and unfair power wielded by the smaller parties with limited public support which can sometimes lead to extremist type of programmes like the Charter schools of the present government. Sure, policies that are broadly acceptable by all or most members of the progressive parties, including Labour, and favourably accepted by the public are welcome. Extreme/controversial/difficult policies and programmes are not welcome until the general public are made well aware of the issues and are supportive. Otherwise, both Labour as well as the other progressive parties will be resented by the general public and will get thrown out at the next election. What is so good about that then!

  23. Grumpy 23

    Seems to me that the Labour vote has come back from the Greens and that the National vote has gone to “undecided”. The Greens seem to be bleeding voters to Mana – Internet and to Labour.

    • felix 23.1

      Those things can’t all be true Grumpy. Greens down 3, iM up 2. Only leaves 1% moving from Green to Lab if your theory is correct re Green to iM.

      So if you’re right about the Greens bleeding to iM, then National must be bleeding to Labour.

      • grumpy 23.1.1

        Nope, reckon National has lost votes to “undecided”. Anyway, plenty more polls coming that are historically more reliable than Roy Morgan.

        • swordfish 23.1.1.1

          Quite right, Grumpers.

          National Down 5 points

          Undecideds Up 1 point

          So, incredibly astute of you to suggest that “the National vote has gone to “undecided””
          Very much on a par with your understanding of Israel’s current massacre of the Palestinians.

        • ScottGN 23.1.1.2

          Which ones might those be grumpy? Colmar Brunton? Ipsos Faifax? Reid TV3? They all over estimated National’s support at the last election. In fact, if I recall, Roy Morgan came closest to predicting the outcome of the election.

    • disturbed 23.2

      Grumpy, as a Nat’ you have reason to be grumpy as Key is since he was absent again as a no show in Parliament yesterday did you know?

      He was panicking & packing his bags after the shock poll results.

      You are obviously a product of the Key financial market fraternity using that term “come back”
      Turn on CNBC, how many times do you hear “come back”?

      I just did and the first minute they said it six times.

      Don’t give us these clues you are a stock broker mate of Key’s!
      as you use those terms: ‘come back’
      “Seems to me that the Labour vote has come back from the Green “

    • lurgee 23.3

      I think you are reading for too much into it. these ‘changes’ are likely just sample variation and nothing much has really changed at all.

  24. TightyRighty 24

    It’s rather erroneous. Calling cellphones when we don’t know the cellphone number methodology used will almost certainly result in a labour uptick. What’s the geographical spread of the these cell phone owners? Are they pre pay? Are they all in mangere?

    The only reason the left loves cell phone polls is not because they result in more accurate numbers, it’s because it gives be left a greater chance of gaining in the polls and therefore the minds if the voters. Dishonest is what that is

    • Lanthanide 24.1

      “Calling cellphones when we don’t know the cellphone number methodology used will almost certainly result in a labour uptick. ”

      When Roy Morgan polled my on my cellphone at the start of the year, I asked them how they got it. They said they do random calling of cellphone numbers, and then ask for your postal area code to be sure they get even geographic coverage of the country. And it’s true, because the first question they asked me after asking if I’d like to do a survey, was my postcode.

      So there you go.

  25. disturbed 25

    Clear signs here on the last piece of this string the Nat’s are worried.

    As they thrash around still clinging onto the side of the sinking key boat they are attached so fondly to.

    The insecurity emanating from this frantic talk is oozing from them with worries as to “what is causing the slide in Planetkeyism”?

    Words like dodgy Cellphone number metrology and words of erroneous cellphone calling!

    Get over it losers, just wait till the real polling on the night of the election and don’t have a heart attack now!

  26. Joronda 26

    Big worry is the $4billion per year capital gains tax and carbon taxes that Labour/Greens want to hit NZ with. Labour’s promises add up to $16.5billion so far, and farmers will have $4billion lower incomes in 2015. Govt tax revenue will be down sharply in 2015, so Labour promises won’t be kept.

  27. marious 27

    Looks like Nationals may be on the ropes to me judging from some of the comments here from their supporters. More interested in real policy put up than why the oppositions policy is no good.
    When policies are put on the table most of us can work out the differences.

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    Subversive & Disruptive Technologies: Just as happened with that other great regulator of the masses, the Medieval Church, the advent of a new and hard-to-control technology – the Internet –  is weakening the ties that bind. Then, and now, those who enjoy a monopoly on the dissemination of lies, cannot and will ...
    3 days ago
  • A Powerful Sensation of Déjà Vu.
    Been Here Before: To find the precedents for what this Coalition Government is proposing, it is necessary to return to the “glory days” of Muldoonism.THE COALITION GOVERNMENT has celebrated its first 100 days in office by checking-off the last of its listed commitments. It remains, however, an angry government. It ...
    3 days ago
  • Can you guess where world attention is focussed (according to Greenpeace)? It’s focussed on an EPA...
    Bob Edlin writes –  And what is the world watching today…? The email newsletter from Associated Press which landed in our mailbox early this morning advised: In the news today: The father of a school shooter has been found guilty of involuntary manslaughter; prosecutors in Trump’s hush-money case ...
    Point of OrderBy Bob Edlin
    3 days ago
  • Further integrity problems for the Greens in suspending MP Darleen Tana
    Bryce Edwards writes – Is another Green MP on their way out? And are the Greens severely tarnished by another integrity scandal? For the second time in three months, the Green Party has secretly suspended an MP over integrity issues. Mystery is surrounding the party’s decision to ...
    Point of OrderBy poonzteam5443
    3 days ago
  • Jacqui Van Der Kaay: Greens’ transparency missing in action
    For the last few years, the Green Party has been the party that has managed to avoid the plague of multiple scandals that have beleaguered other political parties. It appears that their luck has run out with a second scandal which, unfortunately for them, coincided with Golraz Ghahraman, the focus ...
    Democracy ProjectBy bryce.edwards
    3 days ago
  • Bernard’s Dawn Chorus with six newsey things at 6:46am for Saturday, March 16
    TL;DR: The six newsey things that stood out to me as of 6:46am on Saturday, March 16.Andy Foster has accidentally allowed a Labour/Green amendment to cut road user chargers for plug-in hybrid vehicles, which the Government might accept; NZ Herald Thomas Coughlan Simeon Brown has rejected a plea from Westport ...
    The KakaBy Bernard Hickey
    3 days ago
  • How Did FTX Crash?
    What seemed a booming success a couple of years ago has collapsed into fraud convictions.I looked at the crash of FTX (short for ‘Futures Exchange’) in November 2022 to see whether it would impact on the financial system as a whole. Fortunately there was barely a ripple, probably because it ...
    PunditBy Brian Easton
    4 days ago
  • Elections in Russia and Ukraine
    Anybody following the situation in Ukraine and Russia would probably have been amused by a recent Tweet on X NATO seems to be putting in an awful lot of effort to influence what is, at least according to them, a sham election in an autocracy.When do the Ukrainians go to ...
    4 days ago
  • Bernard’s six stack of substacks at 6pm on March 15
    TL;DR: Shaun Baker on Wynyard Quarter's transformation. Magdalene Taylor on the problem with smart phones. How private equity are now all over reinsurance. Dylan Cleaver on rugby and CTE. Emily Atkin on ‘Big Meat’ looking like ‘Big Oil’.Bernard’s six-stack of substacks at 6pm on March 15Photo by Jeppe Hove Jensen ...
    The KakaBy Bernard Hickey
    4 days ago
  • Buzz from the Beehive Finance Minister Nicola Willis had plenty to say when addressing the Auckland Business Chamber on the economic growth that (she tells us) is flagging more than we thought. But the government intends to put new life into it:  We want our country to be a ...
    Point of OrderBy Bob Edlin
    4 days ago
  • National’s clean car tax advances
    The Transport and Infrastructure Committee has reported back on the Road User Charges (Light Electric RUC Vehicles) Amendment Bill, basicly rubberstamping it. While there was widespread support among submitters for the principle that EV and PHEV drivers should pay their fair share for the roads, they also overwhelmingly disagreed with ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    4 days ago
  • Government funding bailouts
    Peter Dunne writes – This week’s government bailout – the fifth in the last eighteen months – of the financially troubled Ruapehu Alpine Lifts company would have pleased many in the central North Island ski industry. The government’s stated rationale for the $7 million funding was that it ...
    Point of OrderBy poonzteam5443
    4 days ago
  • Two offenders, different treatments.
    See if you can spot the difference. An Iranian born female MP from a progressive party is accused of serial shoplifting. Her name is leaked to the media, which goes into a pack frenzy even before the Police launch an … Continue reading ...
    KiwipoliticoBy Pablo
    4 days ago
  • Treaty references omitted
    Ele Ludemann writes  – The government is omitting general Treaty references from legislation : The growth of Treaty of Waitangi clauses in legislation caused so much worry that a special oversight group was set up by the last Government in a bid to get greater coherence in the public service on Treaty ...
    Point of OrderBy poonzteam5443
    4 days ago
  • The Ghahraman Conflict
    What was that judge thinking? Peter Williams writes –  That Golriz Ghahraman and District Court Judge Maria Pecotic were once lawyer colleagues is incontrovertible. There is published evidence that they took at least one case to the Court of Appeal together. There was a report on ...
    Point of OrderBy poonzteam5443
    4 days ago
  • Bernard's Top 10 @ 10 'pick 'n' mix' for March 15
    TL;DR: My top 10 news and analysis links this morning include:Today’s must-read: Climate Scorpion – the sting is in the tail. Introducing planetary solvency. A paper via the University of Exeter’s Institute and Faculty of Actuaries.Local scoop: Kāinga Ora starts pulling out of its Auckland projects and selling land RNZ ...
    The KakaBy Bernard Hickey
    4 days ago
  • The day Wellington up-zoned its future
    Wellington’s massively upzoned District Plan adds the opportunity for tens of thousands of new homes not just in the central city (such as these Webb St new builds) but also close to the CBD and public transport links. Photo: Lynn Grieveson / The KākāTL;DR: Wellington gave itself the chance of ...
    The KakaBy Bernard Hickey
    4 days ago
  • Weekly Roundup 15-March-2024
    It’s Friday and we’re halfway through March Madness. Here’s some of the things that caught our attention this week. This Week in Greater Auckland On Monday Matt asked how we can get better event trains and an option for grade separating Morningside Dr. On Tuesday Matt looked into ...
    Greater AucklandBy Greater Auckland
    4 days ago
  • That Word.
    Something you might not know about me is that I’m quite a stubborn person. No, really. I don’t much care for criticism I think’s unfair or that I disagree with. Few of us do I suppose.Back when I was a drinker I’d sometimes respond defensively, even angrily. There are things ...
    Nick’s KōreroBy Nick Rockel
    4 days ago
  • The Hoon around the week to March 15
    Photo: Lynn Grieveson / The KākāTL;DR: The five things that mattered in Aotearoa’s political economy that we wrote and spoke about via The Kākā and elsewhere for paying subscribers in the last week included:PM Christopher Luxon said the reversal of interest deductibility for landlords was done to help renters, who ...
    The KakaBy Bernard Hickey
    5 days ago
  • Labour’s policy gap
    It was not so much the Labour Party but really the Chris Hipkins party yesterday at Labour’s caucus retreat in Martinborough. The former Prime Minister was more or less consistent on wealth tax, which he was at best equivocal about, and social insurance, which he was not willing to revisit. ...
    PolitikBy Richard Harman
    5 days ago
  • Skeptical Science New Research for Week #11 2024
    Open access notables A Glimpse into the Future: The 2023 Ocean Temperature and Sea Ice Extremes in the Context of Longer-Term Climate Change, Kuhlbrodt et al., Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society: In the year 2023, we have seen extraordinary extrema in high sea surface temperature (SST) in the North Atlantic and in ...
    5 days ago
  • Melissa remains mute on media matters but has something to say (at a sporting event) about economic ...
     Buzz from the Beehive   The text reproduced above appears on a page which records all the media statements and speeches posted on the government’s official website by Melissa Lee as Minister of Media and Communications and/or by Jenny Marcroft, her Parliamentary Under-secretary.  It can be quickly analysed ...
    Point of OrderBy Bob Edlin
    5 days ago
  • The return of Muldoon
    For forty years, Robert Muldoon has been a dirty word in our politics. His style of government was so repulsive and authoritarian that the backlash to it helped set and entrench our constitutional norms. His pig-headedness over forcing through Think Big eventually gave us the RMA, with its participation and ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    5 days ago
  • Will the rental tax cut improve life for renters or landlords?
    Bryce Edwards writes –  Is the new government reducing tax on rental properties to benefit landlords or to cut the cost of rents? That’s the big question this week, after Associate Finance Minister David Seymour announced on Sunday that the Government would be reversing the Labour Government’s removal ...
    Point of OrderBy poonzteam5443
    5 days ago
  • Geoffrey Miller: What Saudi Arabia’s rapid changes mean for New Zealand
    Saudi Arabia is rarely far from the international spotlight. The war in Gaza has brought new scrutiny to Saudi plans to normalise relations with Israel, while the fifth anniversary of the controversial killing of Jamal Khashoggi was marked shortly before the war began on October 7. And as the home ...
    Democracy ProjectBy Geoffrey Miller
    5 days ago
  • Racism’s double standards
    Questions need to be asked on both sides of the world Peter Williams writes –   The NRL Judiciary hands down an eight week suspension to Sydney Roosters forward Spencer Leniu , an Auckland-born Samoan, after he calls Ezra Mam, Sydney-orn but of Aboriginal and Torres Strait ...
    Point of OrderBy poonzteam5443
    5 days ago
  • It’s not a tax break
    Ele Ludemann writes – Contrary to what many headlines and news stories are saying, residential landlords are not getting a tax break. The government is simply restoring to them the tax deductibility of interest they had until the previous government removed it. There is no logical reason ...
    Point of OrderBy poonzteam5443
    5 days ago
  • The Plastic Pig Collective and Chris' Imaginary Friends.
    I can't remember when it was goodMoments of happiness in bloomMaybe I just misunderstoodAll of the love we left behindWatching our flashbacks intertwineMemories I will never findIn spite of whatever you becomeForget that reckless thing turned onI think our lives have just begunI think our lives have just begunDoes anyone ...
    Nick’s KōreroBy Nick Rockel
    5 days ago
  • Who is responsible for young offenders?
    Michael Bassett writes – At first reading, a front-page story in the New Zealand Herald on 13 March was bizarre. A group of severely intellectually limited teenagers, with little understanding of the law, have been pleading to the Justice Select Committee not to pass a bill dealing with ram ...
    Point of OrderBy poonzteam5443
    5 days ago
  • Gordon Campbell on National’s fantasy trip to La La Landlord Land
    How much political capital is Christopher Luxon willing to burn through in order to deliver his $2.9 billion gift to landlords? Evidently, Luxon is: (a) unable to cost the policy accurately. As Anna Burns-Francis pointed out to him on Breakfast TV, the original ”rock solid” $2.1 billion cost he was ...
    5 days ago
  • Bernard's Top 10 @ 10 'pick 'n' mix' for March 14
    TL;DR: My top 10 news and analysis links this morning include:Today’s must-read: Jonathon Porritt calling bullshit in his own blog post on mainstream climate science as ‘The New Denialism’.Local scoop: The Wellington City Council’s list of proposed changes to the IHP recommendations to be debated later today was leaked this ...
    The KakaBy Bernard Hickey
    5 days ago
  • No, Prime Minister, rents don’t rise or fall with landlords’ costs
    TL;DR: Prime Minister Christopher Luxon said yesterday tenants should be grateful for the reinstatement of interest deductibility because landlords would pass on their lower tax costs in the form of lower rents. That would be true if landlords were regulated monopolies such as Transpower or Auckland Airport1, but they’re not, ...
    The KakaBy Bernard Hickey
    5 days ago
  • Cartoons: ‘At least I didn’t make things awkward’
    This is a re-post from Yale Climate Connections by Tom Toro Tom Toro is a cartoonist and author. He has published over 200 cartoons in The New Yorker since 2010. His cartoons appear in Playboy, the Paris Review, the New York Times, American Bystander, and elsewhere. Related: What 10 EV lovers ...
    5 days ago
  • Solving traffic congestion with Richard Prebble
    The business section of the NZ Herald is full of opinion. Among the more opinionated of all is the ex-Minister of Transport, ex-Minister of Railways, ex MP for Auckland Central (1975-93, Labour), Wellington Central (1996-99, ACT, then list-2005), ex-leader of the ACT Party, uncle to actor Antonia, the veritable granddaddy ...
    Greater AucklandBy Patrick Reynolds
    5 days ago
  • I Think I'm Done Flying Boeing
    Hi,Just quickly — I’m blown away by the stories you’ve shared with me over the last week since I put out the ‘Gary’ podcast, where I told you about the time my friend’s flatmate killed the neighbour.And you keep telling me stories — in the comments section, and in my ...
    David FarrierBy David Farrier
    5 days ago
  • Invoking Aristotle: Of Rings of Power, Stones, and Ships
    The first season of Rings of Power was not awful. It was thoroughly underwhelming, yes, and left a lingering sense of disappointment, but it was more expensive mediocrity than catastrophe. I wrote at length about the series as it came out (see the Review section of the blog, and go ...
    6 days ago
  • Van Velden brings free-market approach to changing labour laws – but her colleagues stick to distr...
    Buzz from the Beehive Workplace Relations and Safety Minister Brooke van Velden told Auckland Business Chamber members they were the first audience to hear her priorities as a minister in a government committed to cutting red tape and regulations. She brandished her liberalising credentials, saying Flexible labour markets are the ...
    Point of OrderBy Bob Edlin
    6 days ago
  • Why Newshub failed
    Chris Trotter writes – TO UNDERSTAND WHY NEWSHUB FAILED, it is necessary to understand how TVNZ changed. Up until 1989, the state broadcaster had been funded by a broadcasting licence fee, collected from every citizen in possession of a television set, supplemented by a relatively modest (compared ...
    Point of OrderBy poonzteam5443
    6 days ago
  • Māori Party on the warpath against landlords and seabed miners – let’s see if mystical creature...
    Bob Edlin writes  –  The Māori Party has been busy issuing a mix of warnings and threats as its expresses its opposition to interest deductibility for landlords and the plans of seabed miners. It remains to be seen whether they  follow the example of indigenous litigants in Australia, ...
    Point of OrderBy Bob Edlin
    6 days ago
  • There’s a name for this
    Every year, in the Budget, Parliament forks out money to government agencies to do certain things. And every year, as part of the annual review cycle, those agencies are meant to report on whether they have done the things Parliament gave them that money for. Agencies which consistently fail to ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    6 days ago
  • Echoes of 1968 in 2024?  Pocock on the repetitive problems of the New Left
    Mike Grimshaw writes – Recent events in American universities point to an underlying crisis of coherent thinking, an issue that increasingly affects the progressive left across the Western world. This of course is nothing new as anyone who can either remember or has read of the late ...
    Point of OrderBy poonzteam5443
    6 days ago

  • Positive progress for social worker workforce
    New Zealand’s social workers are qualified, experienced, and more representative of the communities they serve, Social Development and Employment Minister Louise Upston says. “I want to acknowledge and applaud New Zealand’s social workers for the hard work they do, providing invaluable support for our most vulnerable. “To coincide with World ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    6 hours ago
  • Minister confirms reduced RUC rate for PHEVs
    Cabinet has agreed to a reduced road user charge (RUC) rate for plug-in hybrid electric vehicles (PHEVs), Transport Minister Simeon Brown says. Owners of PHEVs will be eligible for a reduced rate of $38 per 1,000km once all light electric vehicles (EVs) move into the RUC system from 1 April.  ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    8 hours ago
  • Trade access to overseas markets creates jobs
    Minister of Agriculture and Trade, Todd McClay, says that today’s opening of Riverland Foods manufacturing plant in Christchurch is a great example of how trade access to overseas markets creates jobs in New Zealand.  Speaking at the official opening of this state-of-the-art pet food factory the Minister noted that exports ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    8 hours ago
  • NZ and Chinese Foreign Ministers hold official talks
    Minister of Foreign Affairs Winston Peters met with Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi in Wellington today. “It was a pleasure to host Foreign Minister Wang Yi during his first official visit to New Zealand since 2017. Our discussions were wide-ranging and enabled engagement on many facets of New Zealand’s relationship with China, including trade, ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    22 hours ago
  • Kāinga Ora instructed to end Sustaining Tenancies
    Kāinga Ora – Homes & Communities has been instructed to end the Sustaining Tenancies Framework and take stronger measures against persistent antisocial behaviour by tenants, says Housing Minister Chris Bishop. “Earlier today Finance Minister Nicola Willis and I sent an interim Letter of Expectations to the Board of Kāinga Ora. ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 day ago
  • Speech to Auckland Business Chamber: Growth is the answer
    Tēna koutou katoa. Greetings everyone. Thank you to the Auckland Chamber of Commerce and the Honourable Simon Bridges for hosting this address today. I acknowledge the business leaders in this room, the leaders and governors, the employers, the entrepreneurs, the investors, and the wealth creators. The coalition Government shares your ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • Singapore rounds out regional trip
    Minister Winston Peters completed the final leg of his visit to South and South East Asia in Singapore today, where he focused on enhancing one of New Zealand’s indispensable strategic partnerships.      “Singapore is our most important defence partner in South East Asia, our fourth-largest trading partner and a ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • Minister van Velden represents New Zealand at International Democracy Summit
    Minister of Internal Affairs and Workplace Relations and Safety, Hon. Brooke van Velden, will travel to the Republic of Korea to represent New Zealand at the Third Summit for Democracy on 18 March. The summit, hosted by the Republic of Korea, was first convened by the United States in 2021, ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • Insurance Council of NZ Speech, 7 March 2024, Auckland
    ICNZ Speech 7 March 2024, Auckland  Acknowledgements and opening  Mōrena, ngā mihi nui. Ko Andrew Bayly aho, Nor Whanganui aho.  Good morning, it’s a privilege to be here to open the ICNZ annual conference, thank you to Mark for the Mihi Whakatau  My thanks to Tim Grafton for inviting me ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • Five-year anniversary of Christchurch terror attacks
    Prime Minister Christopher Luxon and Lead Coordination Minister Judith Collins have expressed their deepest sympathy on the five-year anniversary of the Christchurch terror attacks. “March 15, 2019, was a day when families, communities and the country came together both in sorrow and solidarity,” Mr Luxon says.  “Today we pay our respects to the 51 shuhada ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • Speech for Financial Advice NZ Conference 5 March 2024
    Speech for Financial Advice NZ Conference 5 March 2024  Acknowledgements and opening  Morena, Nga Mihi Nui.  Ko Andrew Bayly aho, Nor Whanganui aho. Thanks Nate for your Mihi Whakatau  Good morning. It’s a pleasure to formally open your conference this morning. What a lovely day in Wellington, What a great ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • Early visit to Indonesia strengthens ties
    Foreign Minister Winston Peters held discussions in Jakarta today about the future of relations between New Zealand and South East Asia’s most populous country.   “We are in Jakarta so early in our new government’s term to reflect the huge importance we place on our relationship with Indonesia and South ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    5 days ago
  • China Foreign Minister to visit
    Deputy Prime Minister and Minister of Foreign Affairs Winston Peters has announced that the Foreign Minister of China, Wang Yi, will visit New Zealand next week.  “We look forward to re-engaging with Foreign Minister Wang Yi and discussing the full breadth of the bilateral relationship, which is one of New Zealand’s ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    5 days ago
  • Minister opens new Auckland Rail Operations Centre
    Transport Minister Simeon Brown has today opened the new Auckland Rail Operations Centre, which will bring together KiwiRail, Auckland Transport, and Auckland One Rail to improve service reliability for Aucklanders. “The recent train disruptions in Auckland have highlighted how important it is KiwiRail and Auckland’s rail agencies work together to ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    5 days ago
  • Celebrating 10 years of Crankworx Rotorua
    The Government is proud to support the 10th edition of Crankworx Rotorua as the Crankworx World Tour returns to Rotorua from 16-24 March 2024, says Minister for Economic Development Melissa Lee.  “Over the past 10 years as Crankworx Rotorua has grown, so too have the economic and social benefits that ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    5 days ago
  • Government delivering on tax commitments
    Legislation implementing coalition Government tax commitments and addressing long-standing tax anomalies will be progressed in Parliament next week, Finance Minister Nicola Willis says. The legislation is contained in an Amendment Paper to the Taxation (Annual Rates for 2023–24, Multinational Tax, and Remedial Matters) Bill issued today.  “The Amendment Paper represents ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    5 days ago
  • Significant Natural Areas requirement to be suspended
    Associate Environment Minister Andrew Hoggard has today announced that the Government has agreed to suspend the requirement for councils to comply with the Significant Natural Areas (SNA) provisions of the National Policy Statement for Indigenous Biodiversity for three years, while it replaces the Resource Management Act (RMA).“As it stands, SNAs ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    5 days ago
  • Government classifies drought conditions in Top of the South as medium-scale adverse event
    Agriculture Minister Todd McClay has classified the drought conditions in the Marlborough, Tasman, and Nelson districts as a medium-scale adverse event, acknowledging the challenging conditions facing farmers and growers in the district. “Parts of Marlborough, Tasman, and Nelson districts are in the grip of an intense dry spell. I know ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    5 days ago
  • Government partnership to tackle $332m facial eczema problem
    The Government is helping farmers eradicate the significant impact of facial eczema (FE) in pastoral animals, Agriculture Minister Todd McClay announced.  “A $20 million partnership jointly funded by Beef + Lamb NZ, the Government, and the primary sector will save farmers an estimated NZD$332 million per year, and aims to ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    5 days ago
  • NZ, India chart path to enhanced relationship
    Foreign Minister Winston Peters has completed a successful visit to India, saying it was an important step in taking the relationship between the two countries to the next level.   “We have laid a strong foundation for the Coalition Government’s priority of enhancing New Zealand-India relations to generate significant future benefit for both countries,” says Mr Peters, ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    6 days ago
  • Ruapehu Alpine Lifts bailout the last, say Ministers
    Cabinet has agreed to provide $7 million to ensure the 2024 ski season can go ahead on the Whakapapa ski field in the central North Island but has told the operator Ruapehu Alpine Lifts it is the last financial support it will receive from taxpayers. Cabinet also agreed to provide ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    6 days ago
  • Govt takes action to drive better cancer services
    Health Minister Dr Shane Reti says the launch of a new mobile breast screening unit in Counties Manukau reinforces the coalition Government’s commitment to drive better cancer services for all New Zealanders. Speaking at the launch of the new mobile clinic, Dr Reti says it’s a great example of taking ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    6 days ago
  • Govt takes action to drive better cancer services
    Health Minister Dr Shane Reti says the launch of a new mobile breast screening unit in Counties Manukau reinforces the coalition Government’s commitment to drive better cancer services for all New Zealanders. Speaking at the launch of the new mobile clinic, Dr Reti says it’s a great example of taking ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    6 days ago
  • Work begins on SH29 upgrades near Tauriko
    Unlocking economic growth and land for housing are critical elements of the Government’s plan for our transport network, and planned upgrades to State Highway 29 (SH29) near Tauriko will deliver strongly on those priorities, Transport Minister Simeon Brown says. “The SH29 upgrades near Tauriko will improve safety at the intersections ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    6 days ago
  • Work begins on SH29 upgrades near Tauriko
    Unlocking economic growth and land for housing are critical elements of the Government’s plan for our transport network, and planned upgrades to State Highway 29 (SH29) near Tauriko will deliver strongly on those priorities, Transport Minister Simeon Brown says. “The SH29 upgrades near Tauriko will improve safety at the intersections ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    6 days ago
  • Fresh produce price drop welcome
    Lower fruit and vegetable prices are welcome news for New Zealanders who have been doing it tough at the supermarket, Finance Minister Nicola Willis says. Stats NZ reported today the price of fruit and vegetables has dropped 9.3 percent in the 12 months to February 2024.  “Lower fruit and vege ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    6 days ago
  • Statement to the 68th United Nations Commission on the Status of Women
    Tēnā koutou katoa and greetings to you all.  Chair, I am honoured to address the sixty-eighth session of the Commission on the Status of Women. I acknowledge the many crises impacting the rights of women and girls. Heightened global tensions, war, climate related and humanitarian disasters, and price inflation all ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    6 days ago
  • Speech to the 68th United Nations Commission on the Status of Women (CSW68)
    Tēnā koutou katoa and greetings to you all.  Chair, I am honoured to address the 68th session of the Commission on the Status of Women. I acknowledge the many crises impacting the rights of women and girls. Heightened global tensions, war, climate related and humanitarian disasters, and price inflation all ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    6 days ago
  • Government backs rural led catchment projects
    The coalition Government is supporting farmers to enhance land management practices by investing $3.3 million in locally led catchment groups, Agriculture Minister Todd McClay announced. “Farmers and growers deliver significant prosperity for New Zealand and it’s vital their ongoing efforts to improve land management practices and water quality are supported,” ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    6 days ago
  • Speech to Auckland Business Chamber
    Good evening everyone and thank you for that lovely introduction.   Thank you also to the Honourable Simon Bridges for the invitation to address your members. Since being sworn in, this coalition Government has hit the ground running with our 100-day plan, delivering the changes that New Zealanders expect of us. ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    7 days ago
  • Commission’s advice on ETS settings tabled
    Recommendations from the Climate Change Commission for New Zealand on the Emissions Trading Scheme (ETS) auction and unit limit settings for the next five years have been tabled in Parliament, Climate Change Minister Simon Watts says. “The Commission provides advice on the ETS annually. This is the third time the ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Government lowering building costs
    The coalition Government is beginning its fight to lower building costs and reduce red tape by exempting minor building work from paying the building levy, says Building and Construction Minister Chris Penk. “Currently, any building project worth $20,444 including GST or more is subject to the building levy which is ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Trustee tax change welcomed
    Proposed changes to tax legislation to prevent the over-taxation of low-earning trusts are welcome, Finance Minister Nicola Willis says. The changes have been recommended by Parliament’s Finance and Expenditure Committee following consideration of submissions on the Taxation (Annual Rates for 2023–24, Multinational Tax, and Remedial Matters) Bill. “One of the ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Minister’s Ramadan message
    Assalaamu alaikum. السَّلَام عليكم In light of the holy month of Ramadan, I want to extend my warmest wishes to our Muslim community in New Zealand. Ramadan is a time for spiritual reflection, renewed devotion, perseverance, generosity, and forgiveness.  It’s a time to strengthen our bonds and appreciate the diversity ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Minister appoints new NZTA Chair
    Former Transport Minister and CEO of the Auckland Business Chamber Hon Simon Bridges has been appointed as the new Board Chair of the New Zealand Transport Agency (NZTA) for a three-year term, Transport Minister Simeon Brown announced today. “Simon brings extensive experience and knowledge in transport policy and governance to the role. He will ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Speech to Life Sciences Summit
    Good morning all, it is a pleasure to be here as Minister of Science, Innovation and Technology.  It is fantastic to see how connected and collaborative the life science and biotechnology industry is here in New Zealand. I would like to thank BioTechNZ and NZTech for the invitation to address ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Progress continues apace on water storage
    Regional Development Minister Shane Jones says he is looking forward to the day when three key water projects in Northland are up and running, unlocking the full potential of land in the region. Mr Jones attended a community event at the site of the Otawere reservoir near Kerikeri on Friday. ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
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  • Government agrees to restore interest deductions
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