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Little impact from Hughes affair, NZF on the rise

Written By: - Date published: 9:32 pm, April 8th, 2011 - 49 comments
Categories: election 2011, labour, national, nz first, polls - Tags: ,

The latest Roy Morgan poll shows little impact from the Darren Hughes affair to date. We still don’t know how the investigation will play out but the poll suggests dithering leadership matters less than economic fundamentals. The big news, though, is that New Zealand First would be back under these numbers.

Here are the numbers:

  • National 51% (down 1.5%)
  • Labour 31% (down 1%)
  • Greens 8% (steady)
  • ACT 2% (up 1.5%)
  • NZF 5% (up 1%)
  • Maori Party 1.5% (steady)
  • UF, Prog and other total 1% (steady)

So, little change in the Left vs Right balance but the crucial point is that NZF is on 5% and would be back in Parliament. A Lab/Green/NZF alliance has 44% to Nat/ACT’s 53%. The gap has been smaller in the past but the trend is closing. And it’s NZF doing the work. So far this year, NZF has averaged 4.1% in the Roy Morgan’s compared to 2.5% at the same point last year.

NZF presents a conundrum for National. If the trend continues and they get back in it gives a real chance of a Labour-led government but if National is expends time and resources attacking Winston Peters all it does is give a him larger platform. And exposure is all for his popular messages is all that Peters is lacking at the moment, hampered by not being in Parliament.

Add a Hone-led Left Party to the mix, or Hide losing Epsom, and things get really interesting.

The other measure to watch is the Confidence in Government. This peaked at 155 (that is net 55% think the country is heading in the right direction) in late 2009. Now, the number is 125. In other words, about one in six Kiwis have gone from thinking the country is doing well to thinking it’s going badly in just over a year. This measure is seen as a leading indicator of support for government parties and it’s sinking.

The missing piece of the puzzle for the Left remains Labour. The 4-5% that the Left needs to take from the Right needs to be won by Labour. The asset sale debate alone could turn that many people, if Labour does a good job. If Labour can poll in the mid to late 30s, then Phil Goff can lead a government with the Greens and New Zealand First (and Peter Dunne, as if he counts).

So can Labour win back half or more of the voters that voted for it for three elections from 1999 to 2005 but who voted for the ‘brighter future’ lie in 2008? Why not? It’s not as if they have any reason to vote for John Key’s hollow promises again.

49 comments on “Little impact from Hughes affair, NZF on the rise”

  1. Rob A 1

    I said a while ago here that I’m a typical swing voter who if asked to vote tomorrow would go for Winston, more out of a jaded lack of faith in the two main  parties than anything else.  I’m wondering if I’m not alone

    And considering Labours track record over the last couple of years I wouldn’t hold my breath for them to do a good job over anything. They have an over abundance of ammunition (asset sales, attacks on welfare, dubious performance in Chch, tax cuts for the rich, the list goes on) and have yet to gain any real traction.

    • PeteG 1.1

      You’re probably right Rob, NZF are doing very little to earn the support, they seem to be picking up some of the protest vote by default.
       
      My pick on the trend towards election day will be voters will want to give National a reprimand but won’t be ready to try Labour again. This might save Act, but Hide will have to raise his game because it would have to be through Epsom.

      • Eddie 1.1.1

        ACT’s support is trending down. sSo far this year, they’ve averaged 1.1% compared to 1.9% same period last year.

        Winston is actually working his arse off with speeches to hundreds of people all the time all over the country. it’s just below the national msm radar. Despite that lack of msm coverage, NZF is polling around 5%.

        If he runs in Epsom, his first electorate, he’ll get all the national exposure he needs.

        • Pascal's bookie 1.1.1.1

          If he runs in Epsom won’t that help Rodney?  

          My ideal sunday after election day reading for Epsom would be finding out that Rodney missed out to a drongo Nat sacrificial lamb because the Lab and Green candidates there got one vote each; and ACT got 4.9% party vote. 

        • Lanthanide 1.1.1.2

          What other electorates could Peter’s run in, to get a high profile? A maori electorate? What about against Peter Dunne? Ideally he’d run in an electorate with a high profile and then win it.

          • Jasper 1.1.1.2.1

            I wouldn’t be in favour of Peters running in Ohariu.
            Chauvel narrowed his margin under Possum to just 1008 votes in 2008. He would have won the seat, but for the Greens candidate (Gareth Hughes) getting just over 3000 votes.
            I hope the Greens this year don’t campaign for the electorate vote, but instead push the party vote – nationwide. Running an “Electorate vote Labour, party vote Green” campaign, could well win them a few extra seats.
            If Peters did run in Ohariu, it’d be likely to split the Shanks/Chauvel vote, giving the Possum yet another term in Parliament.

            • felix 1.1.1.2.1.1

              Yeah Green voters really need to get their shit together in Ohariu. in 2008 there were 2,665 green voters who effectively voted for Peter Dunne.
               
              If even half of them had skipped their Saturday morning cones on election day, Dunne would be gone now. His majority is only 1006 votes. He’s hanging from the cliff edge by his fingernails and Green voters are throwing him a rope.
               
              I know that some Green voters are offended by this suggestion and some genuinely believe that the principle of voting for their preferred candidate trumps strategic thinking. I do have some sympathy for that position. I want to vote for a Green candidate too.
               
              But one of the enduring and admirable traits of the Green party is the pragmatic approach to policy wins, the sense that getting green policy through the house is the important thing even if other parties try to claim the glory.
               
              I urge Green voters – especially in marginal seats like Ohariu – to apply this same pragmatic approach to electoral wins.
               
              Gareth is a good guy, even if he is a pixie. He does deserve your vote. But no matter how much we want it to be so, there’s no way your candidate vote can make Gareth the MP for Orariu in November. It can however wipe Dunne off the political map. Forever.
               
              The realpolitik choice you have is:
              a) Vote Gareth (no gain for Greens) or

              b) Vote Dunne out (win for all progressive people)
               
              Come on Greens, let’s fuck this cat.
               
               

    • Eddie 1.2

      yup. People on the left will generally think he’s too conservative on social issues and indifferent to environmental ones but his economics are good and no-one can deny that, over 20 years, he has fought for his values consistently. He has walked away from government twice rather than contradict his values.

    • Salsy 1.3

      Actually thats not true. Labour are in the process of launching their anti-asset sales message right now, and probably an excellent time to do so. “Tax cuts for the rich” is all Phil Goff ever talks about… The message is getting out there, without a doubt.

  2. deservingpoor 2

    It is a damning indictment of Labour that NACT can run on a platform of asset sales, cuts in social spending and bailouts for the rich, 6 months out from an election and still realistically expect to be returned to power. I had hoped that New Zealand had had enough of those policies in the 90s but apparently not. 
    Labour’s inability to fight this and remind NZ of how badly these policies have already failed, shows that they are either:
    1) Spectacularly useless or (in my opinion more likely)
    2) Complicit.
    Victorian London, here we come.

    • Jum 2.1

      Deserving Poor
      No it is a damning indictment on the greed and selfishness of New Zealanders that still think the moneytrader gives a damn about them and even more unbelievably actually wants to give the workers a decent lifestyle.

    • Deadly_NZ 2.2

      Well its way past time when some one gets in to Phils ear and says “Piss or get off the pot!!!”

    • Colonial Viper 2.3

      Under these deteriorating conditions and this piss poor National leadership, I agree that Labour should be exploding upwards in the polls. That it is not is a question to be very seriously reflected upon.

  3. McFlock 3

    The big question: Is Peters peaking too soon, or will he end up with 10%?
     
    I’d probably like to see him in parliament again, but where lab/greens can muster 51% without giving him the temptation of bargaining for baubles. Maybe lab/green/mp or lab/green/nz1 being governable, but not NACT/nz1 or nact/mp.
     
    Still it’s all early days just yet.
     
     

  4. tsmithfield 4

    Note: National down 1.5% Act up 1.5%
    Labour down 1%  NZ First up 1%

    It looks to me that National is losing votes to the right, whereas the protest NZ First vote appears to be going against Labour.

    • Colonial Viper 4.1

      The Right is forcing National to veer that way and sharply too, especially now that the Right Wing’s former favourite ride ACT has collapsed lame.
       
      At a guess, that’s why Power has left. This is not a party he wants to be involved with any more.

    • Marty G 4.2

      you can’t conclude that from one poll’s changes, ts. you need to look at the trends. as eddie does in the post.

      • McFlock 4.2.1

        Agreed – if this result was in october I might be drinking a bit more and considering emigration, but at the moment it’s a bit like comparing ODI run rates in over #4.
         

        • PeteG 4.2.1.1

          Yep. A one off percent or two variance on thirty or fifty doesn’t mean much at all unless it is confirmation of a trend and it looks like nothing much out of the ordinary is happening here.
           
          Greens and NZF will be happy.
          Party support doesn’t affect the Maori Party.
          Act should still be worried.
          National won’t be worried much.
          Labour may be both relieved and frustrated. I wonder what they’ll do if the anti asset sale campaign is a fizzer, they risk overdoing the dramatics.
           
          One quiet wee number – 7% (unchanged) didn’t name any party.

  5. ak 5

    The march of tides

    The trend’s the thing

    Sweet seismic vibe

    Slow liquefaction

    Of dull reaction

    The Reaper grins

    As Winnie sings

    Oer portaloo alleys

    And anomie valleys.

    The trend’s the thing

    Wherein will crash

    The confidence

    Of the Thing.

     

  6. RobC 6

    What amuses me is Roy Morgan continues not to graph NZ First even though it’s now at 5% 😀

    That will have to change – I agree with Rob A, NZ First may potentially continue to creep up by attracting protest votes from people disenchanted with both major parties. He is right, he is not alone.

    Say what you like about Winston, but he is a very shrewd political operator. Unfortunately NZF holding some balance of power is IMO the second-worst scenario, it just happens to be slightly better than the worst one (an absolute majority for Nat)

  7. Jono 7

    It’s definitely a welcome trend for NZF supporterst to be moving up in polls, but they need to do a lot of work & get very lucky to get back into parliament. As far as I know, there’s never been a party in an MMP system which has re-entered parliament after being voted out. 

    The main things going against them are a lack of institutional & activist support; they don’t have as many dedicated volunteers as labour, national or the greens, and they lack the massive advantage of parliamentary funding that every other party gets to funnel into campaigning. I’d argue they’ll need to be polling more like 6%+ in order to just scrape in, and to do that they need to resist any temptation to moderate their policies (like laws influence on their economic policy in the late 90’s) – people are going to be voting for Winston because he’s loud and brash about what he thinks is wrong, and how to solve it. There’s a few key issues like asset sales etc he can tap into which are black & white issues for most people, if they react to it in a certain way & somebody is offering a really solid (even extreme) policy on that issue they’ll support them. 

    Interesting times ahead!

  8. freedom 8

    slightly off topic but am i the only one wondering where the investigation has ended up?  I am guessing it is sleeping in someone’s ‘tomorrow’ basket as the weeks drag on.  How complex a case can it be for NO CHARGES yet to be laid against Darren Hughes yet his career was absolutely destroyed so at least  the instigator of the leak must be satisfied.  But why are the media not asking a single question?  There was a limited number of witnesses to interview, there is only so much evidence that can be collected from the site of the alleged offence and unless the whole thing was a created event with a stupid political groupie as a patsy then the Police should have had viable charges ready weeks ago.

    Seriously, for the weeks to grind on without advancement it only looks more and more like the alleged offence was non-existent but too many people in power need it to be ignored and they are relying on the fickle public memory to be distracted by the all important Royal Wedding before they quietly sweep it away into the corner with maybe a softshoe press release saying it was all a misunderstanding and no charges will be brought  …

    this is really starting to stink

    • Lanthanide 8.1

      How complex a case can it be for NO CHARGES yet to be laid against Darren Hughes yet his career was absolutely destroyed so at least  the instigator of the leak must be satisfied.

      I don’t think a complainant would be ‘satisfied’ that they had destroyed someone’s career, unless they were actually out to get them in the first place. The only real satisfaction for them would be to see their case go to court.

      Lynn: the quote button is quite strange, it took me quite a bit of fiddling to get the following sentences to be not-quoted. Just pasting in the above text and quoting it, everything following ended up being quoting too (even after making multiple paragraph breaks, or clicking the quote button off). In the end I had to make 3 sections of text, select the middle one (the actual quote) and quote it, and delete the other two. Browser is latest version of Chrome.

      • lprent 8.1.1

        You have to select what you want to be quoted. If you just quote when there is no selection it quotes everything. Then it gets tricky unquoting stuff.

        I think I’d better add a helper page (this afternoon is The Standard update time). But I’ll add the code button back in

      • freedom 8.1.2

        i was not referring to the complainant.  The Police say they only approached him after receiving an anonymous letter as apparently he had not laid any complaint relating to purported events, as i said he is looking like an age old patsy.

        A young political groupie, maybe promised a cruisy career later on down the track if he helps do this one little thing….. I admit the statement is completely without basis except for this gnawing beast in my gut.

        This whole operation sadly highlights how Americanized our Politicians and our media have become.

  9. gobsmacked 9

    One News poll out on Sunday. Taken last week, up to Thursday (Tupperwaka day was Wednesday).

    I’ll try my luck as a horse-race tipster: NZ First over 5%.

    • Colonial Viper 9.1

      I agree. Winston hasn’t even hit his stride yet. NAT is going to look worse and worse as the year wears on and LAB is planning – who the heck knows?
       
      So Winston could easily take up the slack.

      • Draco T Bastard 9.1.1

        I think we’ll see Winston back this year even if it’s with list seats only.

      • Jum 9.1.2

        You still need to watch Winston Peters and get his mark on the words “I will not vote for National because they will sell off our assets.”  Near the 2008 election I am sure he muttered something about maybe selling…
        GreyPower are totally against selling off our assets – it’s in their mission statement; Key’s brought a fight there and no one will trust whatever he says because he made it clear that a vote for him whatever he promises will be a vote for him to sell – that is why he was brought in as leader, after all.

  10. jbanks 10

    Pfft, as if the Huges/Goff incompetence would be shown in the polls yet.

    • gobsmacked 10.1

      The polling period was dominated by the Hughes story. So of course it would show up in public opinion polls, if people cared. But they don’t.

  11. Anne 11

    The polling period was dominated by the Hughes story. So of course it would show up in public opinion polls, if people cared. But they don’t.

    Spoke to a couple of apolitical relatives a week ago. They made it abundantly clear they… didn’t give a damm about the Hughes story!

    • lprent 11.1

      Same around my contacts. It had a minor impact on how Goff was perceived, but not very much.
      Beltway gossip issue..

      • Zaphod Beeblebrox 11.1.1

        The bullying story from Oz was by far the most discussed topic at school and at the football club. Thats why Key sent out his tokenistic letter.

        This week it’s Powerball

  12. With a completely ineffective opposition, and a Government now even being judged as “stupid” and “a failure” by their own big business mates, New Zealand First is the only real option for any decent voter with any sense.  The National fanatics though of course will keep voting National, even as they see the Country dive deeper into a hole it may never escape from.

  13. PeteG 13

    New Zealand First is the only real option for any decent voter with any sense.

    Who is NZ First? A party needs a lot more than one pensioner leader with credibility problems to be a credible option.
     

    New Zealand First is the only real option for any decent voter with any sense.

    Who is NZ First? A party needs a lot more than one pensioner leader with credibility problems to be a credible option.

    On the NZ First website, under About, it has two headings – Winston Peters
    History

    That’s not looking ahead much.

    One old wheezer does not a party make.

    • ianmac 13.1

      Who is National?
      Lead by a celebrity style money-changer who has not produced a single thing – ever. Principles? Philosophy? Dunno.

  14. @PeteG.  Looking at NZ First policy via their website, I would say they are one party who actually have PLANS – unlike National have.  Their policies are sound, they are all people friendly and achievable.  Their record in Government would demonstrate more success in helping the average kiwi than any other party (eg. Free Drs visits for children, 1000 extra Police, extra funding for Maori Wardens, lowering business tax, Gold Card, pay parity for Primary Teachers, etc).  What is National’s achievements?  Um, a National walkway – that hasn’t gone anywhere?  Great job Nat voters!

  15. http://www.nzfirst.org.nz/policies2.html – is where you will see their policies, but nice try to deceive people Pete.

  16. PeteG 16

    I’m not trying to deceive Trevor. At the moment NZ First doesn’t look like a party, it’s one person.

    Winston First.
    No one second (no deputy leader).
    No list.
    No indication if WP will stand in an electorate, nor where.

    Right now it’s the Grey Ghost party.

  17. Steve Withers 17

    The Roy Morgan poll has, for many election cycles, been the most reliable.

    Almost all the others appear to all over-sample areas or groups that vote for National. Colmar-Brunton is the worst of them for this. This has been well documented over the years and it hasn’t changed. The Listener did an excellent article on C-B’s dodgy polling not long before the neo-liberal purge at the Listener when Finlay MacDonald left as editor and was replaced by Pamela Stirling, who hired such luminaries as Joanne Black and Deborah Hill-Cone.

    These pollsters themselves say that whatever sample bias may exist, their polls will reflect the trends – even if particular groups are over or under-represented in any poll (or all THEIR polls in this case).  This is more than disingenuous…..at best….particularly as their polls appear to become miraculously more accurate during the last stages of the official election campaign period, peaking on the night. Then they claim they were on the money….and use that to give legitimacy to their shonky polls through out the rest of the 3 year term. Typically, they (C-B) favour National by 6% to 8%. I have always tended to discount the share they give to National, but where to re-distribute it to isn’t easy to say. 

    It’s worth noting the TNS poll used to also be reliable,  but since the last election they have been bought by WPP,  the same huge US corporate that owns Millward-Brown, who own Colmar-Brunton.

    The last time I researched this, the Roy Morgan poll was the only *major* polling company that wasn’t ultimately tied to WPP. The much smaller “Digipoll” run by the NZ Herald appears to be Hamilton-based with a chunk of function outsourced to India. I have no solid opinion on their results, though I don’t recall them differing much from the Herald’s overt editorial positions on any issue.

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    Simon Johnson looks at how New Zealand Aluminium Smelter Limited is behind the Meridian/Genesis deal keeping the Huntly Thermal Power Station burning coal as the threat of closing the Tiwai Point smelter is stalling the construction of consented renewable energy… ...
    Hot TopicBy Mr February
    18 hours ago
  • Helter smelter deja vu: Tiwai Point uncertainty stalls NZ renewables
    Simon Johnson looks at how New Zealand Aluminium Smelter Limited is behind the Meridian/Genesis deal keeping the Huntly Thermal Power Station burning coal as the threat of closing the Tiwai Point smelter is stalling the construction of consented renewable energy… ...
    Hot TopicBy Mr February
    18 hours ago
  • Equal Pay and Budget 2016
    The last few years we’ve seen equal pay for women flagged as an undefined risk in the budget. This year we should expect to see this, as well as budgeted money to deliver equal pay to caregivers and funding for,… ...
    frogblogBy Jan Logie
    19 hours ago
  • Equal Pay and Budget 2016
    The last few years we’ve seen equal pay for women flagged as an undefined risk in the budget. This year we should expect to see this, as well as budgeted money to deliver equal pay to caregivers and funding for,… ...
    frogblogBy Jan Logie
    19 hours ago
  • Hard News: This. Is. Crazy.
    It's eight days since the Prime Minister airily assured Guyon Espiner on Morning Report that "in my experience with Work and Income", homeless people could go along to their local office and get sorted with some emergency housing.We now know… ...
    19 hours ago
  • Hard News: This. Is. Crazy.
    It's eight days since the Prime Minister airily assured Guyon Espiner on Morning Report that "in my experience with Work and Income", homeless people could go along to their local office and get sorted with some emergency housing.We now know… ...
    19 hours ago
  • A great Budget would
    A great Budget would embrace the challenge of our polluted rivers and move the money away from justifying the status quo water rules into cleaning up waterways. A great Budget would take the Ministry for the Environment freshwater budget and… ...
    frogblogBy Catherine Delahunty
    19 hours ago
  • Smarter, Better, Cleaner, Stronger
    This Thursday Bill English will deliver his eighth Budget. Will it continue the trend of previous National budgets, making tertiary education less affordable, putting only token funds into innovation, and subsidising polluters? Budgets aren’t what they used to be. Once… ...
    frogblogBy Gareth Hughes
    20 hours ago
  • What we are expected to believe
    In recent months I have become increasingly concerned at the state of bullshit in this country. Bullshit, as Harry Frankfurt famously wrote, is distinguished not by its intentionally negative truth value (those are lies) but its absence of intentional truth… ...
    20 hours ago
  • The end of Auckland’s old growth model
    The New Zealand Council for Infrastructure Development’s public shark-jumping exercise the other week got me thinking. While their flagship policy of a new megabillion eastern tunnel project is a bit mad, their report does a reasonable job of diagnosing one… ...
    Transport BlogBy Peter Nunns
    21 hours ago
  • The end of Auckland’s old growth model
    The New Zealand Council for Infrastructure Development’s public shark-jumping exercise the other week got me thinking. While their flagship policy of a new megabillion eastern tunnel project is a bit mad, their report does a reasonable job of diagnosing one… ...
    Transport BlogBy Peter Nunns
    21 hours ago
  • Why are whistleblowers being prosecuted as spies?
    Whistleblowers are a ‘check’ on government, corporate or organisational secrecy and malfeasance. I recently read Tim Shipman’s preview of the Chilcot report into the origins of the Tony Blair-led UK engagement in the US’s invasion of Iraq, which looked at… ...
    The PaepaeBy Peter Aranyi
    21 hours ago
  • Spend and Tax
    As a general rule, New Zealanders want more public spending. Surveys (such as the 2014 Election Survey) show consistent support for increases in spending, particularly in the areas of health, education, housing, law enforcement, public transport and the environment (in… ...
    Briefing PapersBy Brian Easton
    22 hours ago
  • The birth place of the artist
    It may not be the best reason to fund the arts. It’s certainly not the only one. But travelling to the small city of Rovereto, at the feet of the Italian dolomites, reminded me of the lasting influence that a… ...
    Bat bean beamBy Giovanni Tiso
    1 day ago
  • Gordon Campbell on the rise of the far right, and battle bots
    In his victory speech at the Cannes film festival this week, the British film director Ken Loach warned that the rise of far right parties in Europe was being fuelled by the economic policies of austerity, and manifested in a… ...
    1 day ago
  • Why Corrections prevented Tony Robertson from getting treatment in prison
    Tony Robertson was sentenced to eight years in prison for indecently assaulting a five year old girl in 2005. He was considered a high risk prisoner and the parole board declined to release him on four separate occasions.  He was… ...
    PunditBy Roger Brooking
    1 day ago
  • Have We a Housing Policy?
    The Prime Minister’s announcement that there is nothing new about homelessness is both an example of his strengths in reassuring the public that there is never really a problem and the weaknesses of the government’s policy approach..read more ...
    PunditBy Brian Easton
    1 day ago
  • Have We a Housing Policy?
    The Prime Minister’s announcement that there is nothing new about homelessness is both an example of his strengths in reassuring the public that there is never really a problem and the weaknesses of the government’s policy approach..read more ...
    PunditBy Brian Easton
    1 day ago
  • Climate denial arguments fail a blind test
    As we saw in the recent legal ruling against Peabody coal, arguments and myths that are based in denial of the reality of human-caused global warming rarely withstand scientific scrutiny. In a new study published in Global Environmental Change, a team led by Stephen Lewandowsky… ...
    1 day ago
  • Palmerston North librarians gather to support UCOL colleagues
    At 5pm today at the UCOL Library, representatives of library staff from the City Library, Massey, Te Wānanga o Aotearoa, and local schools will meet in a show of support for UCOL Library staff whose jobs are threatened. “We all… ...
    1 day ago
  • Accountability for Iraq?
    Six years after it was established, the Chilcot Inquiry into the UK's involvement in the Iraq war is finally about to report back. And from the sound of it, its going to pin the blame squarely where it belongs: on… ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    1 day ago
  • Accountability for Iraq?
    Six years after it was established, the Chilcot Inquiry into the UK's involvement in the Iraq war is finally about to report back. And from the sound of it, its going to pin the blame squarely where it belongs: on… ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    1 day ago
  • Not Quite But Getting There
    It seems that Labour might have finally gotten the memo about getting it’s A into G but perhaps not quite digested the content. Still it’s a start. The last month has seen a steady stream of both Labour and Little… ...
    2 days ago
  • Climate change: The latest inventory
    The annual inventory report [PDF] of our greenhouse gas emissions was released on Friday. The headline data: emissions are still increasing: There's been another "recalculation" in the last 12 months, making year-to-year comparisons difficult. Naurally, this seems to have shifted… ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    2 days ago
  • Climate change: The latest inventory
    The annual inventory report [PDF] of our greenhouse gas emissions was released on Friday. The headline data: emissions are still increasing: There's been another "recalculation" in the last 12 months, making year-to-year comparisons difficult. Naurally, this seems to have shifted… ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    2 days ago
  • Australia lets kiwi detainees literally rot
    What are our "closest friends" Australia doing to kiwis awaiting deportation? Letting them literally rot away in prison due to substandard medical care:A New Zealander held at an Australian immigration detention centre will find out today if his leg has… ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    2 days ago
  • Australia lets kiwi detainees literally rot
    What are our "closest friends" Australia doing to kiwis awaiting deportation? Letting them literally rot away in prison due to substandard medical care:A New Zealander held at an Australian immigration detention centre will find out today if his leg has… ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    2 days ago
  • CRL already impacting land use on city fringe
    The City Rail Link will be one of the most transformational projects Auckland has ever seen. Perhaps nowhere else will see experience that transformation more than the inner west of the isthmus which effectively gets picked up and moved much closer to… ...
    2 days ago
  • CRL already impacting land use on city fringe
    The City Rail Link will be one of the most transformational projects Auckland has ever seen. Perhaps nowhere else will see experience that transformation more than the inner west of the isthmus which effectively gets picked up and moved much closer to… ...
    2 days ago
  • National should give us our $13,000 back
    We all know that National works for the rich and screw over ordinary New Zealanders to funnel wealth upwards into the pockets of its rich mates. But how bad have they been? $13,000 bad:Yesterday, Mr Little said that since National… ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    2 days ago
  • National should give us our $13,000 back
    We all know that National works for the rich and screw over ordinary New Zealanders to funnel wealth upwards into the pockets of its rich mates. But how bad have they been? $13,000 bad:Yesterday, Mr Little said that since National… ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    2 days ago
  • Access: The Universal Basic Income and its implications for citizenship
    The suggestion about a possible Universal Basic Income (UBI) was only one of numerous suggestions to come out of Labour’s Future of Work initiative. This a wide-ranging policy discussion that the Party’s economic development spokesman, Wellington Central MP Grant Robertson,… ...
    2 days ago
  • Access: The Universal Basic Income and its implications for citizenship
    The suggestion about a possible Universal Basic Income (UBI) was only one of numerous suggestions to come out of Labour’s Future of Work initiative. This a wide-ranging policy discussion that the Party’s economic development spokesman, Wellington Central MP Grant Robertson,… ...
    2 days ago
  • Review: The Block Party
    Did New Zealand’s 'premier urban music' event live up to the hype?   Photo: Nicole Semitara Hunt ‘Old school’ was the name of the game on Friday night at The Block Party, where several thousand converged on ASB… ...
    2 days ago
  • Hard News: The media awards are dead – long live the media awards!
    Friday's Canon Media Awards was the most interesting instance of the long-running national ceremony in a long time, maybe ever. There were notable insurgencies – The SpinOff took two awards from 11 first-time nominations, Radio NZ's The Wireless won Website… ...
    2 days ago
  • Hard News: The media awards are dead – long live the media awards!
    Friday's Canon Media Awards was the most interesting instance of the long-running national ceremony in a long time, maybe ever. There were notable insurgencies – The SpinOff took two awards from 11 first-time nominations, Radio NZ's The Wireless won Website… ...
    2 days ago
  • New research confirms water fluoridation does not cause bone cancers
    The most common type of bone cancer is Osteosarcoma. Image credit:  Osteosarcoma This time for Texas. A new study confirms what other researchers have found elsewhere. It is reported in this recent paper: Archer, N. P., Napier, T. S., & Villanacci, J. F. (2016).… ...
    2 days ago
  • Redline on the Labour Party
    No-one on the anti-capitalist left in this country today puts forward a case that Labour is on the side of the working class.  There are certainly people who call themselves ‘socialist’ who do, but they are essentially liberals with vested… ...
    RedlineBy Admin
    2 days ago
  • Selfie-takers think they’re the greatest
    Science says otherwise.  “People often perceive themselves as more attractive and likable than others [perceive them to be].” This is the cutting conclusion from a new study that has found you're probably not as great as you think you… ...
    2 days ago
  • UCOL cutting the staff who lifted student results
    UCOL needs to halt its proposed cuts to student support services now that it knows those services are improving student outcomes. On Friday, in an email to all staff, UCOL released its provisional 2015 Educational Performance Indicator (EPI) results which… ...
    2 days ago
  • Another Road Only Harbour Crossing on the Cards?
    The absence of rail as well as walking and cycling options to the North Shore has been considered an oversight by many probably ever since the Harbour Bridge was first approved for construction over 60 years ago. While Skypath will… ...
    2 days ago
  • Leaked UK Briefing Shows NZ-EU Trade Deal is a Sham
    Press Release – New Zealand First Party Rt Hon Winston Peters New Zealand First Leader Member of Parliament for Northland 23 MAY 2016 Leaked UK Briefing Shows NZ-EU Trade Deal is a Sham The Prime Ministers EU trade deal… ...
    Its our futureBy ScoopBlogPush
    2 days ago
  • Gordon Campbell on bank scandals and air crashes
    Libor. It stands for the London Interbank Offered rate. Back in 2012, Libor became synonymous with a scandal involving the dodgy manipulation of how interest rates were fixed – during the years before and after the Global Financial Crisis –… ...
    2 days ago

  • Key’s “brain fart” on tax cuts news to English
    John Key didn’t tell his own Finance Minister he was about to go on radio and announce he wanted $3b of tax cuts, just days after Bill English ruled them out, says Labour’s Finance spokesperson Grant Robertson. “In Parliament today… ...
    12 hours ago
  • What I’m looking for in Budget 2016 – A better start for our tamariki
    Ensuring the best start for our tamariki is a priority for me in everything I do. And so in Budget 2016, my first budget as an MP, I looking for the Government to make a real investment in the wellbeing… ...
    GreensBy Marama Davidson
    13 hours ago
  • What I’m looking for in Budget 2016 – A better start for our tamariki
    Ensuring the best start for our tamariki is a priority for me in everything I do. And so in Budget 2016, my first budget as an MP, I looking for the Government to make a real investment in the wellbeing… ...
    GreensBy Marama Davidson
    13 hours ago
  • Denise Roche: What I’m looking for in Budget 2016 Pt II
    Aotearoa’s new New Zealanders,  come to our country in vulnerable position: – often away from the culture, communities and families they know, sometimes in neighbourhoods without familiar faces and often encountering barriers to employment. With net migration at 50,000+ a… ...
    GreensBy Denise Roche
    17 hours ago
  • Equal Pay and Budget 2016
    The last few years we’ve seen equal pay for women flagged as an undefined risk in the budget. This year we should expect to see this, as well as budgeted money to deliver equal pay to caregivers and funding for,… ...
    GreensBy Jan Logie
    19 hours ago
  • Equal Pay and Budget 2016
    The last few years we’ve seen equal pay for women flagged as an undefined risk in the budget. This year we should expect to see this, as well as budgeted money to deliver equal pay to caregivers and funding for,… ...
    GreensBy Jan Logie
    19 hours ago
  • A great Budget would
    A great Budget would embrace the challenge of our polluted rivers and move the money away from justifying the status quo water rules into cleaning up waterways. A great Budget would take the Ministry for the Environment freshwater budget and… ...
    GreensBy Catherine Delahunty
    19 hours ago
  • Budget building materials policy backfires
    On the eve of this year’s Budget official figures show Nick Smith’s Budget 2014 centrepiece to reduce the cost of building materials has backfired, says Labour’s Housing spokesperson Phil Twyford. “Ministry of Business, Innovation and Employment officials have spent the… ...
    19 hours ago
  • Smarter, Better, Cleaner, Stronger
    This Thursday Bill English will deliver his eighth Budget. Will it continue the trend of previous National budgets, making tertiary education less affordable, putting only token funds into innovation, and subsidising polluters? Budgets aren’t what they used to be. Once… ...
    GreensBy Gareth Hughes
    20 hours ago
  • Govt must come clean on tax cuts in Budget
    National is making a mockery of the Budget process by dangling the promise of tax cuts but failing to include them in the Budget, says Labour’s Finance spokesperson Grant Robertson. “National’s tax cut promises have turned into a farce. One… ...
    2 days ago
  • Grant Robertson Pre-Budget Speech
    Today I want to talk about success. As we know success can come in many different forms, from the fact you all made it here at such an early hour on a Monday, for which I am very grateful, to… ...
    2 days ago
  • Budget must deliver for middle New Zealand
    The Government must ensure next week’s Budget stops the squeeze on middle New Zealand and delivers shared prosperity for all New Zealanders, Leader of the Opposition Andrew Little says. The call follows new research commissioned by Labour that shows working… ...
    3 days ago
  • Our housing emergency – why we have to act
    Marama and Metiria at Homes Not Cars launch On Thursday, Metiria Turei announced the Green Party’s plan to start addressing the emergency housing crisis facing our country. Too many people are without homes right now – homeless. It is the… ...
    GreensBy Marama Davidson
    4 days ago
  • Will funding boost for sexual violence services go to the right places?
    This week the Government announced $46million for sexual violence services. This announcement was a result of decades of work by advocates and everyone who submitted to the Select Committee inquiry into funding for sexual violence services that I initiated with… ...
    GreensBy Jan Logie
    4 days ago
  • Will funding boost for sexual violence services go to the right places?
    This week the Government announced $46million for sexual violence services. This announcement was a result of decades of work by advocates and everyone who submitted to the Select Committee inquiry into funding for sexual violence services that I initiated with… ...
    GreensBy Jan Logie
    4 days ago
  • Denise Roche – What I’m looking for in this year’s Budget
    Two of the things I’ll be looking for in the Budget next week are more funding for refugees and for our arts and culture sector. More funding for refugees I’m a strong supporter of the #DoubleTheQuota campaign and its goals… ...
    GreensBy Denise Roche
    5 days ago
  • Denise Roche – What I’m looking for in this year’s Budget
    Two of the things I’ll be looking for in the Budget next week are more funding for refugees and for our arts and culture sector. More funding for refugees I’m a strong supporter of the #DoubleTheQuota campaign and its goals… ...
    GreensBy Denise Roche
    5 days ago
  • Car rego victims must get a refund
    Motorists who have been overcharged for their car registration should get a refund, says Labour’s Transport spokesperson Sue Moroney.  “Minister Nikki Kaye’s ‘faulty risk’ rating scheme has blown up in her face with over 170 different models of car having… ...
    5 days ago
  • Council statement shows they just don’t get it
    The Auckland Council’s statement today shows they don’t understand the problems created by the urban growth boundary, says Labour’s housing spokesperson Phil Twyford.  “I have been the first to defend the Auckland City Council when Bill English has been blaming… ...
    5 days ago
  • Inspecting electronic devices a potential privacy threat
    Labour is expressing concern for New Zealanders’ privacy rights as the Government signals Customs will have the power to inspect electronic devices coming across the border, says Labour’s Customs Spokesperson Rino Tirikatene. “We agree that customs officers should have the… ...
    5 days ago
  • The Price of Water
    This week I hosted a public meeting at EIT in Hawkes Bay to discuss how we might put a price on the commercial use of water, so that water may be valued and treated more sustainably. I invited a… ...
    GreensBy Catherine Delahunty
    5 days ago
  • Caption It NZ!
    Today I received a petition from the NZ Captioning Working Group urging the government to legislate for accessibility via closed captioning for deaf and hard of hearing New Zealanders. It was timely because today is the fifth Global Accessibility Awareness… ...
    GreensBy Mojo Mathers
    5 days ago
  • Older Kiwis to miss out on electives
    The Government is not doing enough elective surgery to keep up with New Zealand’s ageing population, says Labour’s Health spokesperson Annette King.  “It’s damning that the targeted national intervention rate for cataract and knee and hip surgery is the same… ...
    6 days ago
  • Most principals say their college is underfunded
    The Government must substantially increase funding for secondary schools in next week’s Budget after a new survey found 86 per cent of principals consider their college under-resourced, Labour’s Education spokesperson Chris Hipkins says. “Just 14 per cent of secondary principals… ...
    6 days ago
  • Bill English and Nick Smith on different pages
    The Government’s support for Labour’s policy to remove the Auckland urban growth boundary is good news, but National needs to clarify its position, Labour’s Housing and Auckland Issues spokesperson Phil Twyford says. “The Acting Prime Minister has acknowledged our position… ...
    6 days ago
  • Bill English and Nick Smith on different pages
    The Government’s support for Labour’s policy to remove the Auckland urban growth boundary is good news, but National needs to clarify its position, Labour’s Housing and Auckland Issues spokesperson Phil Twyford says. “The Acting Prime Minister has acknowledged our position… ...
    6 days ago
  • Labour calls for independent inquiry into illegal fish dumping
    The Labour Party is reiterating its call for an independent inquiry into New Zealand’s fishing industry after two reports revealed the Ministry for Primary Industries turned a blind eye to widespread fish dumping in New Zealand waters, says Labour’s Fisheries… ...
    6 days ago
  • Mt Karangahake and Newcrest Mining
    On Wednesday and Sunday of last week the local residents of the Karangahake mountain in the Karangahake gorge of Hauraki/Coromandel peacefully protested against a gold mining drill rig on private land adjacent to the DOC land. The drilling rig was… ...
    GreensBy Catherine Delahunty
    6 days ago
  • Robbing Aucklanders to pay Rio Tinto
    New Zealand’s national electricity grid stretches the length of the country and contains some 11,803 kilometres of high-voltage lines and 178 substations. It wouldn’t make sense for competing power companies to duplicate and build their own expensive electricity transmission system… ...
    GreensBy Gareth Hughes
    7 days ago
  • Government should abolish Auckland urban growth boundary
    The Government should rule out any possibility of an urban growth boundary in Auckland Council’s Unitary Plan if it is serious about fixing the housing crisis, says Labour’s Housing spokesperson Phil Twyford. “Over 25 years the urban growth boundary hasn’t… ...
    7 days ago
  • Kiwis don’t want iPads for Land deals
     It is outrageous that schools are relying on money and iPads from foreign land investors to meet the learning needs of their students, says Labour’s Education spokesperson Chris Hipkins.  “Several OIO land applications by offshore investors have claimed that without… ...
    7 days ago
  • Homelessness – National has failed all of us
    A young South Auckland Māori woman recently tried to get hold of me around midnight. I missed her call. The woman wanted me to know the sharp reality facing too many families looking for a stable place to live. Things… ...
    GreensBy Marama Davidson
    1 week ago
  • Moko case should never have been manslaughter deal
    Confirmation again yesterday that the manslaughter charge in the Moko Rangitoheriri case was a deal done by the Crown Prosecution Service is justifiably the cause of outrage, says Labour’s Children’s spokesperson Jacinda Ardern.“This should never have been a case where… ...
    1 week ago
  • Overseas investor funds school’s digital devices
    The Government must address the inequality laptops and tablets in classrooms are causing after a Queenstown school was forced to use a donation from an overseas investor to get their students digital devices, Labour’s Education spokesperson Chris Hipkins. “Documents obtained… ...
    1 week ago
  • Child Youth and Family Review and Domestic Violence
    This Government has consistently failed to recognise the links between Child Youth and Family Services (CYFS) and intimate partner violence. For me, the recent review of CYFS has highlighted this misunderstanding of the dynamics of domestic violence and its impacts… ...
    GreensBy Jan Logie
    1 week ago
  • Child Youth and Family Review and Domestic Violence
    This Government has consistently failed to recognise the links between Child Youth and Family Services (CYFS) and intimate partner violence. For me, the recent review of CYFS has highlighted this misunderstanding of the dynamics of domestic violence and its impacts… ...
    GreensBy Jan Logie
    1 week ago
  • Canterbury rebuild: How wood is a better choice for the new city
    It was interesting to attend the ForestWood Conference in Auckland recently and learn about the extent of innovation in the wood processing and manufacturing sector. The forestry sector may be New Zealand’s third largest export earner, but raw logs make… ...
    GreensBy Eugenie Sage
    1 week ago
  • Canterbury rebuild: How wood is a better choice for the new city
    It was interesting to attend the ForestWood Conference in Auckland recently and learn about the extent of innovation in the wood processing and manufacturing sector. The forestry sector may be New Zealand’s third largest export earner, but raw logs make… ...
    GreensBy Eugenie Sage
    1 week ago
  • Key plucks $3b out of thin air – reckless and irresponsible
    John Key refuses to give up on his dream of tax cuts to the wealthy, despite being shot down by Bill English, and is resorting to plucking numbers out of thin air, says Labour’s Finance spokesperson Grant Robertson. “On radio… ...
    1 week ago
  • John Key woefully out of touch on homelessness
    John Key is completely out of touch if he thinks desperate South Auckland families forced to live in cars can simply go to Work and Income for help, Opposition Leader Andrew Little says. “Many of these families are working and… ...
    1 week ago
  • Under-reporting shows need to review quota system
    The Government must launch an independent review into New Zealand’s 30-year-old Quota Management System following a new report suggesting gross under-reporting of catch in the New Zealand fishing industry, Labour’s Environment spokesperson David Parker says.  “The Auckland University report found… ...
    1 week ago
  • Investigations into tertiary institutions overdue
    A Tertiary Education Commission investigation into the Tai Poutini Polytechnic is overdue and should have been launched last year, Labour’s Associate Education (Tertiary) spokesperson David Cunliffe says. “Labour has been calling for an inquiry into potential rorts at Tai Poutini… ...
    2 weeks ago
  • Investigations into tertiary institutions overdue
    A Tertiary Education Commission investigation into the Tai Poutini Polytechnic is overdue and should have been launched last year, Labour’s Associate Education (Tertiary) spokesperson David Cunliffe says. “Labour has been calling for an inquiry into potential rorts at Tai Poutini… ...
    2 weeks ago
  • Where is the fair share for most New Zealanders?
    Most New Zealanders reading the news that chief executive pay has risen 12 per cent in the last year will be wondering when they are going to get their fair share, Labour’s Finance spokesperson Grant Robertson says. “More and more… ...
    2 weeks ago
  • Where is the fair share for most New Zealanders?
    Most New Zealanders reading the news that chief executive pay has risen 12 per cent in the last year will be wondering when they are going to get their fair share, Labour’s Finance spokesperson Grant Robertson says. “More and more… ...
    2 weeks ago
  • Mega media merger is bad news
    Some people call newspapers “tomorrow’s fish and chips” but this week’s news around a mega media merger is not an issue we should discard. Media giants Fairfax and APN News & Media announced they were in discussions to merge their… ...
    GreensBy Gareth Hughes
    2 weeks ago
  • Mega media merger is bad news
    Some people call newspapers “tomorrow’s fish and chips” but this week’s news around a mega media merger is not an issue we should discard. Media giants Fairfax and APN News & Media announced they were in discussions to merge their… ...
    GreensBy Gareth Hughes
    2 weeks ago
  • National puts Easter trading in the too hard basket
    All Labour MPs will vote against National’s move to leave Easter trading laws up to councils, Labour’s Workplace Relations spokesperson Iain-Lees Galloway says.  “Despite this being a conscience vote, Labour MPs are united in their opposition to the Government’s moves… ...
    2 weeks ago
  • National puts Easter trading in the too hard basket
    All Labour MPs will vote against National’s move to leave Easter trading laws up to councils, Labour’s Workplace Relations spokesperson Iain-Lees Galloway says.  “Despite this being a conscience vote, Labour MPs are united in their opposition to the Government’s moves… ...
    2 weeks ago
  • Law Commission speaks up for domestic violence survivors
    I want to give kudos to the Minister for Justice for getting the Law Commission to review options for how our justice system responds when victims of domestic violence kill their partners. This is a relatively discrete piece of work… ...
    GreensBy Jan Logie
    2 weeks ago

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