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Looking up

Written By: - Date published: 8:55 pm, May 29th, 2013 - 138 comments
Categories: polls - Tags:

You can get all excited over every poll you see from people who poll a handful of times a year. You can try to read meaning into every bump and dip to fit your narrative, even if the ‘movements’ are just statistical noise. Or you can look at the trends. Here’s the trend after tonight’s Roy Morgan.

roy morgans to May 2013roy morgans to May 2013

138 comments on “Looking up”

  1. infused 1

    Two posts on polls in one day… crikey.

  2. Tiger Mountain 2

    And you can also admit that approximately 40% of our fellow voting kiwis are dark, sadistic, selfish, unpleasant dirty filthy tory aspirational bastards.

    The big job for the next few months is to be more like Mana, unite all who can be united, engage the disengaged and get the non vote out. Mana and the smaller hard left parties know that politics is only partly about parliament. Direct action? The right sure don’t like it up ’em as recent legislation put through under urgency illustrates. So that is what they need more of–direct action.

    • Agreed but probably more like 35%.

      And we do have to get everyone to vote. Some within the Labour party think we just have to persuade some National voters to change allegiance through self interest but for me I would prefer we just wow everyone with a coherent progressive vision.

      • Colonial Viper 2.1.1

        And you can also admit that approximately 40% of our fellow voting kiwis are dark, sadistic, selfish, unpleasant dirty filthy tory aspirational bastards.

        Nah only 15%-20% properly nasty, once you count in the non-vote, and also all those who simply vote for that “nice man John Key”, and also for “that nice man Bill English who really looks after us farming types”.

        Also, bear in mind that large chunks of the politically active “Left” in NZ have no fucking idea of the country or it’s people outside of the space between Boulcott St and Lambton Quay

        It’s pretty hard to represent the 95% against the 5% when you despise half of them and they can tell.

      • AmaKiwi 2.1.2

        “Some within the Labour party think we just have to persuade some National voters to change allegiance”

        That NEVER won and election.

        You win by getting your voters to the polls.
        You lose when your voters stay at home.

        That is basic political studies 101. End of story.

        • Colonial Viper 2.1.2.1

          Beltway Labour is full of pol sci types. What could go wrong.

          • AmaKiwi 2.1.2.1.1

            Maybe they studied pol sci in NZ instead of someplace where people know how to fight dirty.

            In addition to my university studies I trained at the same community organization Obama did. If you can play the game in Chicago, you can play it anywhere.

            • Colonial Viper 2.1.2.1.1.1

              :shock:

              We should have a chat in due course

              • AmaKiwi

                I would be happy to make you acquaintance but have no idea how. I doubt I will go to the conference in CHC.

                The key to winning support (and what Obama did) is to listen to what people want. Top-down “we have the answers” does not work. If you try to get power in order to implement your own agenda, you won’t last long. If you consistently do what people tell you THEY want, you can last a long time. Surprise! What THEY want is usually not much different from what YOU want. But if it comes from them, they own it.

                • Colonial Viper

                  I’ll see what I can arrange.

                  • AmaKiwi

                    Looking forward to it.

                    • King Kong

                      The Standard, helping lefties meet and fall in love since 2000 and something.

                      I can only imagine the problems you are going to have on your first date when, true to your ideologies, you try and force the rest of the patrons in the restaurant to pay for your meals.

                    • Colonial Viper

                      If you can’t drink their booze, take their money and break your promises, then you probably shouldn’t be in politics.

                    • King Kong

                      Isn’t that written on a plaque above the door at Labour HQ?

                    • Colonial Viper

                      Actually its bankers advice but yes it works for politicians too

                    • prism

                      KingKong
                      Don’t feel left out. There is always a chance for even big, hairy, not very bright animals. Just hang around with others the same as you.

                    • CV/AK: If you need any website help to get this happening, let me know. :-)

                • Tiger Mountain

                  Yeah like drones blasting the shit out of people, keeping Guantnamo going and zapping Bin Laden certainaly saved Obama’s electoral butt.

                  • Colonial Viper

                    Now it turns out that the Brits have been running a secret prison in Afghanistan with over 90 Afghan inmates held without charge, some for over a year.

          • Stephen 2.1.2.1.2

            For what it’s worth, winning over Nat voters is not the strategy I heard outlined by senior people at the regional conference in Chch a few weeks ago. Rather, it was what Amakiwi just said.

      • Chrissie Small 2.1.3

        I agree totally, as I posted on Clare Currans wall…The best thing we can all do is get everyone ready to vote come this next election…all those that failed to vote last time as a protest against the choices need to get some incentive to cast their votes! This is about losing our sovereignty, our rights as people of this country and the potential of losing our environment to oil mining for starters! This Tory Govt is doing what it wants with the help of Peter Dunne, the pretender JOhn Banks and the Maori Party! So if anyone should be targeted it’s those electorates these MP’s are supposed to represent should be targeted strongly to get them voted out! These MP’s are a disgrace to this country for allowing these bills to be passed! Also Labour needs to get on top of this TTPA thing and halt this agreement because the people are waking up to what this will really mean for everyone in this country, and who it will really benefit !

    • weka 2.2

      “And you can also admit that approximately 40% of our fellow voting kiwis are dark, sadistic, selfish, unpleasant dirty filthy tory aspirational bastards.”

      I don’t think so. Some people vote on the right out of habit, or because they are old style conservative. The old style conservatives might not even like what is going on, but can’t bring themselves to vote Labour or NZF. This may make them weak or cowardly or selfish, but it doesn’t make them the evil people you describe. I think it helps to remember that many people voting on the right are people we must engage with and find ways of working with rather than pillorying. There are of course people who vote on the right who fit your description.

      I agree with your strategies though.

      • Colonial Viper 2.2.1

        The old school Tories hate asset sales with a passion…and they hate selling our farmland to the Chinese with a passion…and they hate fit young people sitting on their asses in front of a Playstation all day collecting the dole with a passion (and so they should)…interestingly gay marriage doesn’t always necessarily seem to bother them that much. Just don’t ask them about specifics. Out on the farm you see all kinds of crazy shit…

  3. tamati 3

    Yup, looks like this one will go down to the wire. Looks like it will come down to one man,

    Winston Raymond Peters

    • weka 3.1

      Or NZF won’t make the 5% threshold and/or the GP will get enough party votes to make Peters irrelevant.

      • tamati 3.1.1

        If he doesn’t make the 5% it’s likely there will be around 4%-6% of wasted vote, meaning the Nats or Labour/Green could potentially rule with a combined vote of around 45%, and little help from some minor parties.

        • Brett Dale 3.1.1.1

          Peters will find a way to get 5%, he always does, I wouldnt vote for him, but good on him, the media does their best to say, hes done and out, but he always seems to get there in the end.

          • emergency mike 3.1.1.1.1

            Indeed I’ve heard political commentators on election night wrongly pronounce the end of Winston for as long as I can remember.

            • lprent 3.1.1.1.1.1

              They do seem to have a thing about that, and they’re so consistent that he has been able to turn it to his electoral advantage.

    • Colonial Viper 3.2

      I’m going to put real money on this call.

  4. cardassian 4

    This seems like a good poll result and part of an encouraging trend. Now we just need Mana to grow it’s vote to around the 2% mark so they can start to pull in other members.

    • tamati 4.1

      Would actually be better for the left if Mana focused on winning electorate seats and secretly told their supporters to party vote for Labour.

      • cardassian 4.1.1

        I think it’s really hard for smaller parties to win a lot of electorate seats. However if Mana could increase the seats they hold in the house it would enable them more say in a left wing coalition.

      • marty mars 4.1.2

        The left need Mana as a strong player in the next parliament to keep labour honest – as in not allowing them to slip down the slippery slide of expediency and pragmatism which will be an ever-present danger if a Labour/Greens coalition get past the line.

        • karol 4.1.2.1

          Exactly. Winning the treasury benches is only the first battle.

          • Colonial Viper 4.1.2.1.1

            You listen to the way some people talk, like its the only battle. That makes me worried about their intentions after occupation.

        • peterlepaysan 4.1.2.2

          Keeping Labour honest is the hard bit while a caucus cabal controls everything.

          It is small wonder that voters no show and members do not renew.

          What the hell does Labour offer to an economically disenfranchised electorate?

          San Fairy Ann.

      • just saying 4.1.3

        This Mana voter certainly wont be party voting Labour. The size of the party vote will determine whether Hone takes others into parliament with him.
        Do you trust Labour?

        edited and coffee adminstered

        • fatty 4.1.3.1

          me too, in fact I’ll do the opposite of giving a party vote to Labour…last election I gave my MP vote to Labour and party vote to Mana. (no Mana candidate and a Green tick was pointless)

          • marty mars 4.1.3.1.1

            Yep double Mana vote for me – the movement is building and growing and every little bit of support is important and needed.

        • weka 4.1.3.2

          “The size of the party vote will determine whether Hone takes others into parliament with him.”

          Doesn’t that depend on how many MPs get electorate seats?

    • Temana wont grow its vote, kiwis aren’t impressed by people who spit on the floor.

      • cardassian 4.2.1

        Some more good publicity around sympathetic issues such as feeding children could see people’s view on Mana change imo. I already know a few people that are not Mana voters but are liking what they see from them.

        • millsy 4.2.1.1

          Mana’s future depends on it getting second place in the Ikiroa-Rawhiti by-election. (Labour will win the seat, the real battle is for second).

          • Clockie 4.2.1.1.1

            Why do we hear so little about the obvious ready made constituency for Mana? The (mainly) young, poor, under employed or unemployed. The dispossessed or disillusioned non-voters. I’ve been a bit surprised that Mana doesn’t seem to have connected with these people in large numbers yet. Is it because they’re extremely hard to reach?

            • Tiger Mountain 4.2.1.1.1.1

              Partly, Mana has done ok in pockets, the GI state house cleansing, Te Tai Tokerau organising young people, Petrobras action, building an internal structure on limited resources. Feed the kids. Distorted by ShonKey but in the public frame now.

              John Minto for Auckland Mayor will help raise the profile there for Mana, another two MPs in ’14 and they will be away. All sorts of constituentcies are out there, when you are disengaged is politicial organisation at the top of your daily to do list?

              My 40% figure at top of thread was qualified with the word “voter”. Sure you cannot write everyone off, some people will support some things against type, left and right, but the post colonial rural based history of this place has given rise to roughly 40%/40% conservative/progressive and 20% odds and sodds. ’51 waterfront lockout, ’81 Tour, ”80s no nukes, ’80s run with Rogder, the political divide is provable, but in objective terms the 5%/95% or 1%/99% divide is a relevant more modern measure.

              • Clockie

                Yeah well I would have said that Mana are going to take stuff all votes from people who’re already committed to Labour or Green. They might finish disemboweling the Maori party but they’ll be fighting over that carcass with Labour and there isn’t enough meat on the bones to build a major political force on Labours left. Why not concentrate on evangelizing among the supposed 800,000 who didn’t vote last time? A lot of those are precisely the type of people who Mana says it’s fighting for. The prospective voters don’t need to organize anything much if they don’t want to. They are in exactly the same position as the people who started and supported the Labour party originally and they managed to get out and vote. The Mana party already exists. All they need to do initially is give half an hour on polling day.

                • weka

                  How do you know that Mana aren’t already doing this?

                  What the left really needs is an organisation dedicated to mobilising the non-voters next year, and presenting them with 3 choices (Mana, GP, Labour), and clear, easily accessible explanations on why voting on the left is important. The three parties can still take their own actions, but we need the non-voters mobilised in a pan-left kind of way, rather than a party political way (although I do agree that getting them to vote Mana would be awesome).

                  • Colonial Viper

                    Vote Labour, Vote Centre

                    • Clockie

                      precisely, but aren’t you a labour man? :)

                    • Colonial Viper

                      Through and through, but the party that I support only exists as an almost forgotten shadow in idealistic left wing minds nowadays

                  • Clockie

                    Well, judging by the polling there’s no evidence of it yet. I realise a lot of the young probably aren’t reached by pollsters and may not respond to them even then. The acid test will be the next election I suppose. I don’t know how you reach the mainly young, often brown, disengaged / angry / etc. etc. potential voter. I would have said Mana was the natural “home” for many of them, but what do I know? I don’t think you’ll reach them with TV advertising (expensive) or hoardings etc. I would have thought a personal approach from people they identify with and respect is about the only real way to do it. Slow, time consuming, grunt work. It’s how the original Labour Party and Union movement were built.

                    • Well that is exactly what the Mana Movement is doing – kanohi ki te kanohi – face to face – as you say, slow, time consuming grunt work that takes a while to get results, but they will come.

                    • Clockie

                      Well, good luck with it. I’d love to see them get at least 5% next election. A lot more would be good but Rome wasn’t built in a weekend..

                    • Colonial Viper

                      Mana need only get 2.5% next election

                    • weka

                      How many seats are you thinking that gets them?

      • fatty 4.2.2

        Temana wont grow its vote, kiwis aren’t impressed by people who spit on the floor.

        Nice promotion of your b-grade blog. It worked, I just soiled my eyes with your ignorance, it’ll never happen again.

        Most people I know found Hone’s spit to be the best response to Key’s weet-bix policy…the only thing more appropriate would be to vomit

  5. millsy 5

    It still doesnt look good for Labour.

    • Colonial Viper 5.1

      When you read the poll results, make sure you tilt your head to one side, close your left eye, and squint a bit with your right eye, while saying three hail mary’s.

      It won’t help much, but the dizziness will distract you from that fact.

  6. I am sure that despite this poll National will shrug it off and their hardcore supporters will continue to live on Planet Key, playing golf, and treading all over the worst off.

    • Winston Smith 6.1

      Its a good result for National because it means Shearer stays as leader…

      Who do you think worries National more: Shearer, Robertson or Cunliffe?

    • Lanthanide 6.2

      For some reason the MSM hardly ever reports on Roy Morgan. Not sure why, since the various outlets will often report on their competitors poll results, so it shouldn’t be some sort of competition thing.

      • lprent 6.2.1

        Unusually I’d recommend reading this weeks listener. There is an article and editorial about the pack effect of the parliamentary and political journalists. I think that they really don’t like outside organisations disrupting their combined storylines.

        I’d link to it, but it is almost certainly behind a paywall.

        • prism 6.2.1.1

          Parliament, political parties and Groupthink. This could be worth studying in an effort to try and understand these strange birds (pollies) and indeed the way we are influenced by our own group, or not. Wikipedia has this to say –

          Loyalty to the group requires individuals to avoid raising controversial issues or alternative solutions, and there is loss of individual creativity, uniqueness and independent thinking. The dysfunctional group dynamics of the “ingroup” produces an “illusion of invulnerability” (an inflated certainty that the right decision has been made). Thus the “ingroup” significantly overrates their own abilities in decision-making, and significantly underrates the abilities of their opponents (the “outgroup”).

          Then there is – Mnemonic encoding? More fodder for the brain.
          Sociocognitive theory
          According to a new theory many of the basic characteristics of groupthink – e.g., strong cohesion, indulgent atmosphere, and exclusive ethos – are the result of a special kind of mnemonic encoding (Tsoukalas, 2007). Members of tightly knit groups have a tendency to represent significant aspects of their community as episodic memories and this has a predictable influence on their group behavior and collective ideology.

          http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Groupthink#Sociocognitive_theory

          • Colonial Viper 6.2.1.1.1

            TED: dangerous memes

            http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OLC_60dnvHM

          • Anne 6.2.1.1.2

            The dysfunctional group dynamics of the “ingroup” produces an “illusion of invulnerability” (an inflated certainty that the right decision has been made). Thus the “ingroup” significantly overrates their own abilities in decision-making, and significantly underrates the abilities of their opponents (the “outgroup”).

            Oh wow, I can think of a first class example of exactly that happening in the past couple of years. :)

        • Naturesong 6.2.1.2

          This kind of groupthink is pretty pervasive in many industries.
          The team I work with is pretty vigilant as we tend to carry the can at the end of the day.
          We affectionately refer to the folks that fall prey as ‘nodding dogs’.
          Confirmation bias is the other one.
          They’re insidious in that they aren’t one off errors that can be corrected. But will lead an entire project and all the resources behind it down the garden path.

        • karol 6.2.1.3

          Actually, it’s not the latest edition of the Listener, so no longer behind a pay wall.

          Editorial extract:

          It’s now possible to argue not only that the power in the relationship between politicians and journalists lies with the media (a point made by David Lange as long ago as 1994), but that the political agenda is increasingly driven by the demands of an intensely competitive news industry hungry for drama and sensation. This may be only marginally better for democracy than the carefully controlled drip-feeding of information that characterised government in the 1950s and 60s.
          The new style of political journalism is insistent, confrontational and highly opinionated. Digital platforms such as Twitter and news websites demand to be replenished constantly. The political controversy du jour becomes a “breaking” story, unfolding hour by hour and requiring regular comment from whichever politician happens to be at its epicentre….

          Paradoxically, although the pressure to beat the competition has never been greater, the parliamentary press gallery is more inclined than ever to hunt as a pack, thereby ensuring no journalist is privy to revelations or quotes not available to others. In such situations, competitive advantage lies in the way the story is presented; hence the increasing tendency for journalists to embellish reportage with personal opinion and even distasteful hyperbole, as in the case of TV3’s reference to former National MP Aaron Gilmore as “the most unwelcome dinner guest since Hannibal Lecter”.

          Thanks for the tip.

  7. tsmithfield 7

    Thank God for Roy Morgan.

    Sheep is probably safe again now, which is a huge positive for us righties. :smile:

    • Clockie 7.1

      How do you like those trend-lines mate?

      • King Kong 7.1.1

        Everyone knows that with the economy starting to perform well, Shearer being an unelectable muppet and some very fruity rumours doing the rounds about Russell Normans private life, National are a shoe in.

        • Clockie 7.1.1.1

          Lets not get ahead of ourselves. Just watch the trend over the next year and see how we go. I presume that as a willing spreader of “fruity rumours ” you’ll be making a public apology when they turn out to be so much horse shit? Or is dirty play like that just fair game as far as you’re concerned?

      • tsmithfield 7.1.2

        Personally, I wouldn’t use a three month rolling average for this type of data, because it taps too much into historical data, and thus underemphasises what is going on at the current time.

        I would tend to use a trendline based on a weighted average which picks up more of what is happening in the current environment. Or, rely more on the Curia average of all polls.

        Anyway, if it helps keep Sheep in the job, then analysing it in the most favourable way for that purpose is cool by me, so I have no problems with the way it has been analysed above.

        • lprent 7.1.2.1

          Problem is that if you use a weighted average it tends to overemphasize the recent outliers. In the case of Roy Morgan, there can be a 4% difference between any two polls and a 5-6% variation between any three polls that appears to as much as anything else to be simple sampling variation – look at the graph. If what you are interested in is trends then weighting towards recent just retains the jitter and provides little useful information on the trend.

          When used across different polls, it tends to make for a systematic bias towards recent extremes. Which bearing in mind the massive spread and systematic bias between the polls means that having a set of polls clustered close together over emphasises the systematic bias.

          Like 4 polls immediately after a budget. If you have three polls that systematically overestimate National vote and one that is close to accurate coming together, then the Curia technique will show high National support with the higher systematic biases drowning out the poll that is less inaccurate.

          Bearing in mind the amount of work that Curia does for National, that is probably why they use it. With the media organisations doing polls after announcements for their news headline value, you can expect that the technique will always show “boost” in support for National immediately after an announcement. Conversely, because all of the polls are less inaccurate on Labour, you’ll find that there is “no response” to Labours announcements.

          This isn’t exactly rocket science.

          Rolling averages over a sufficient period of time on a single poll that is taken frequently is probably the best way to look at trends. Provided they don’t change their sampling procedures radically, you should get a pretty good indication of the underlying trends. The only time that it is likely to get inaccurate is in three months prior to and often just after the election when there is quite a lot of shifting in opinion.

          • tsmithfield 7.1.2.1.1

            After consideration, I absolutely agree with you.

            And I think that Roy Morgan is the real deal and all the other polls are crap and should be ignored.

            Also, all the talk I have seen here dissing David Shearer is totally misguided. He is a fantastic leader; a “David Lange” in “sheeps” clothing so to speak. He is just starting to find his feet and is going to give Key a real towelling when it comes to debates in election year.

            I don’t think that a lot of bloggers here have enough faith or foresight to wait until the real Shearer strides forth. Kia Kaha David Shearer.

            • Colonial Viper 7.1.2.1.1.1

              Also, all the talk I have seen here dissing David Shearer is totally misguided. He is a fantastic leader; a “David Lange” in “sheeps” clothing so to speak.

              I agree totally but was going to say that Shearer is actually more a “Patton in sheeps clothing” or a “John F Kennedy in sheeps clothing”

              I don’t think that a lot of bloggers here have enough faith or foresight to wait until the real Shearer strides forth. Kia Kaha David Shearer.

              How my heart will go all aflutter when the “Real” David Shearer decides to “stride forth”.

              • tsmithfield

                Keep the faith, bro. It might take three or four election cycles, but the real Shearer will stride forth.

            • lprent 7.1.2.1.1.2

              Has the inadvertent comedy ceased? Can I get out from my inadvertent barricade of work?

              But I did rather notice that you didn’t address any point in my comment. In particular why weighting on the most recent bounces and falls in polls from different companies done with varying techniques and levels of inaccuracy will simply make the regression line jiggle like your jowls as you scattergun spittle around the room.

              • tsmithfield

                I think a rolling average of three months data gives a very clear picture of what has happened, but isn’t very useful for predicting what will happen. That is because it could take another three months to show up any changes happening at the moment.

                There is no reason that the data couldn’t be weighted so that further back into history the length of the average increases. Therefore, the older data would show longer term trends displaying what has happened previously, whereas the shorter term data would have much shorter average periods. Therefore the shorter term data would be more volatile, but would show the effect of relevant information such as the budget for instance.

                • One Anonymous Knucklehead

                  I think that’s lovely; I wish you every success putting it into practice.

                  • Colonial Viper

                    It’s fairly easy really…ts is correct if one wanted to make the moving average more responsive, one simply weights more recent periods more highly than periods further back.

                    An example is that of an exponentially weighted moving average

                    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Moving_average#Exponential_moving_average

                    • tsmithfield

                      Yeah, an exponential moving average is one option. There are others as well. In the field of finances/stock markets etc these sorts of things are some of the technical indicators available. The aim is the same. That is to show both the longer term trends in the historical data while alerting to relevant fluctuations in the current data.

                      As it stands, a three month rolling average is much more to do with displaying historical trends rather than predicting new ones.

    • Jimmie 7.2

      Well yeah – a little known secret is that the reason why the Roy Morgan poll jumps around like dogs balls is because Roy Morgan is a undercover member of the VRWC.

      He issues poll results according to instructions from VRWC HQ.

      This weeks results were favorable to Labour as there was concern that after the previous three polls the Labour caucus may have plucked up enough courage to question Shearer’s leadership.

      This would never do as Shearer (another undercover VRWC operative) was appointed to his position by the VRWC specifically to keep Labour in opposition until post 2014.

      Confirmation of this will be shown in the next Roy Morgan poll due in June which will shown another swing with the Nats bouncing back to above 45%.
      However HQ is not concerned about this as they believe that the average Labour activist has an attention span measured in nano seconds so they will not remember the other appalling poll results from May.

  8. King Kong 8

    I bet Cunliffe couldn’t have turned the polls around like that in just over 48 hours.

    Powerful stuff from Shearer.

  9. Chooky 9

    Disagree with Karol, that it is not the leader but the team that counts…

    There are a lot of swinging or non-committed voters out there who like to watch boxing… or soccer or rugby..or action movies or jousting or shoot em ups….a general Election is just more entertainment ( hence the popularity of Winston)

    There are also a lot of media savvy young people….They will vote for a WINNER on television and in the general MSM, who looks like a winner and can articulate their position forcefully…

    The leader sets the impression out there (unless you are a real political party hack animal and believe in Pollyanna and charity )

    No one likes to be associated with a loser, least of all an incompetent loser (from an incompetent party who cant elect a winner) ….And least of all if you are on the bones of your backside yourself. What you want is hope. You want to be on the winning side.

    PS. How are the networked teams going to look under Shearer?…not quite so shiney…a bit tired and fudgey …..Will they want him as leader if they get most of the votes?

    • KJT 9.1

      Rightly or wrongly the appearance of competence is important.

      Key is doing a lot better job of appearing competent, than Shearer.

      Unfortunately.

      • peterlepaysan 9.1.1

        Actually Shonkey looked delightfully tired and woebegone on TV3 2nite when answering questions about Doug Graham being a Sir.

  10. Chooky 10

    The old Labour Party leaders, soap box orators and later radio broadcasters, knew the importance of jousting, gladiator sports , grassroots instincts, thinking nimbly on your feet , the ability to sway the crowd, rhetoric, presence, mana etc.

    Who has this in the Labour Party?

    Why ignore great Labour Party traditions?

    Mish mash and hope simply wont do!

  11. Michael 11

    My observations concur with Stephen’s above: Labour’s “strategy” seems to be to just drift along and wait until a few of the fickle middle class get sick of Key. That way, Labour can just cruise back into office without having to make anything more than a few cosmetic changes. Life in NZ will continue in the way it has since 1984 or so, with the 5 percenters getting much richer, the next 5-15 percenters getting a little richer, the next 60 percenters staying the same or getting slightly poorer, and the bottom 20 percenters getting much poorer. Meanwhile, our economic productivity, competitiveness and innovation keep stagnating, while the environment degrades. Is everyone happy with that or is it time to reset the machinery of government by inserting some values apart from money?

    • Macro 11.1

      ” Labour’s “strategy” seems to be…….. Meanwhile, our economic productivity, competitiveness and innovation keep stagnating, while the environment degrades.”
      That seems to be the way of it unfortunately :(

  12. Chooky 12

    Us chooks know about the future of lovely sheepies….after 3 or 4 election cycles ( generally less than one season in the paddocks)….Heaven help us they are long gone to the slaughter house , even if they are disguised/reincarnated David Langes, Pattons or JFKs..(sqwark sqwark!…just about fell off my perch at that one…) However pet sheep may be another matter!…they can survive a long time…..

    As for “powerful stuff from Shearer”…..sounds like a ferret talking

  13. Keep going on about Shearer you plonkers .You are not Labour people and I sick of listining too you. Go back and look at the way National has in just four years destroyed our great egalitarian country where the majority of our people cared about each other. Since when did Socialists only depend on a leader . The succesfull political party is the one that has a great team and ,in MMP. who can work well with a supporting party. .Labour is doing this well and Labour and the Greens are now seen as excellent partners. Why else would the Nats try their hardest to cause disharmony between the two parties. Now Labour must start to get the none voter to get out and vote for the excellent policies like cheaper power , affordable housing and a living wage, and that is just a start ,

    One thing for sure when politicians start bring up, the old Communist bugbear then one should realise that they are very worried .
    Im predicting Sir John Key will be living in one off his mansions .after 2014.

    • mac1 13.1

      +1 The Pink Postman. Keep delivering messages like this!

    • Colonial Viper 13.2

      Go back and look at the way National has in just four years destroyed our great egalitarian country

      No, it’s been a 30 year process, not a 4 year process, and for half of that time there was a Labour Government.

      • weka 13.2.1

        Or pseudo-Labour government.

        • Colonial Viper 13.2.1.1

          yeah. I understand The Pink Postman’s mindset.

          To be blunt: the Labour Party that he thinks he is supporting in his minds eye, it’s socialist values, working class beliefs, advocacy for labour and union rights, etc. doesn’t actually exist in Wellington any more.

  14. Chooky 14

    You are right!….. Havent been a Labour voter since Labour unleashed Roger Douglas….despite admiring Helen Clark. She was one of the best assets Labour ever had , but half the Left didnt know it …and joined with the Right wanna-be male pack, in hounding her like a pack of dogs….

    Labour is a sick man….look at the polls. Labour should be romping home with what National is doing to “our great egalitarian country”!.

    • McFlock 14.1

      National is the sick man of NZ politics – no friends, and an electorate becoming steadily more alienated.

      The old left monolith is now in three or four pieces, but the old tory monolith is still strapped together. This is a strength for the left, and a tory weakness.

      • Colonial Viper 14.1.1

        There’s a socially liberal but economically centrist/capitalist Labour party, a moderately left wing Green Party, and a very small serious left Mana party.

        • McFlock 14.1.1.1

          Close enough.

          And a tory party with two trace-element hangers-on (one of them being a hopeful fundie vanity project).

          And in as pebbles between the two blocs we have one mercenary electorate MP, Winston1, and a narrow-focus Maori Party.

  15. Chooky 15

    Agreed the old Left monolith is now in three or four pieces….and this possibly gives it strength

    ….But the ‘Left’ combined is still not making enough traction in the polls against Nationals onslaught..why not?

    And it doesnt let Labour, as largest group on the Left, off the coalition leadership/flagship hook..there are still a lot of undecided, or non-voting , or traditional Labour supporters voting John Key( because he is a winner)..Labour is dragging the chain and trying to coast in on the tails of the rest of the Leftish parties

    There is a question that no doubt National is saving up for the Election TV debates….so it might as well be aired again now…It wont be forgotten that is for sure!…..How can you forget about a New York bank account with about $50,000…..when the people you are trying to represent are struggling? It may be very innocent ….but there seems to be some sort of disconnect….and it aint a good brand image for Labour.

    Sorry to be such a surly chook

    • McFlock 15.1

      But the ‘Left’ combined is still not making enough traction in the polls against Nationals onslaught

      What would you regard as “enough traction”? The only poll with analysable trends is showing solid improvement, and the rabidly pro-tory poll snapshots (as in showing >50% national support for all of 2011, and let’s not forget the old “Banks and Brown too close to call” polls from the supermayor race) are only giving National narrow leads.

      I’d love the left parties to do things slightly differently, and so would you I suspect, but I’m also sure that we wouldn’t agree entirely on exactly what should be done differently.

      As for the bank account, the solution is in the way it was handled – Key forgets/hasn’t read/is clueless about everything from phone calls to powerpoint shows to signing government documents (limo deals anyone?), and needs to be dragged kicking and screaming to admit that he made an untrue statement to the House. At least Shearer came clean about the mistake as soon as he discovered it.

      • Colonial Viper 15.1.1

        Oh I agree McFlock, there’s nothing to see here as Labour is being strongly led, they are meeting almost every reasonable expectation, and are right on track for victory in 2014.

      • Vagabundo 15.1.2

        “At least Shearer came clean about the mistake as soon as he discovered it.”
        Truth. The other thing to note is that it didn’t affect his numbers at all, whereas National’s numbers have steadily declined during Key’s repeated brainfades. That he forgot to declare his UN bank account for ages is obviously not an ideal situation, but Shearer handled it as well as anyone could reasonably be expected to.

        • Colonial Viper 15.1.2.1

          How much money was forgotten in that bank account?

          • McFlock 15.1.2.1.1

            Only you and Farrar care.

            • Colonial Viper 15.1.2.1.1.1

              You don’t care whether the sum was $50,000 or $500,000? It might make a difference to your claim that the bank account was simply “forgotten”.

              • McFlock

                Nope.

                Don’t know, don’t care.

                Hell, if I was interested in going through the pecuniary interest records and demanding beyond-spec verification via private tax records and so on, I’d be looking at key, blinglish and dunne way sooner than anyone on the other side of the house.

                But whatever rocks your boat, I guess.

                • Colonial Viper

                  You don’t think that having $50,000 vs having $500,000 in the account speaks directly to the credibility of your assertion that the funds were simply overlooked?

                  • McFlock

                    Nope, not really. He’s an mp. They ain’t poor. It’s not like he needs to bottom out all his accounts every pay cycle, at a guess.

                    The better indicator would be whether he used it regularly, or not touched it in ten years. But then that’s not as interesting as an american-style “show us your tax return” attack. Do you want to see shearers birth certificate, too?

                    • weka

                      If being able to forget $500,000 is a capacity of MPs, they’re getting paid too much.

                    • McFlock

                      If being able to forget $500,000 is a capacity of MPs, they’re getting paid too much

                      I’d link parliamentary salaries to a single-digit multiple of the unenployment benefit, personally. But that’s another debate.

                    • Colonial Viper

                      If being able to forget $500,000 is a capacity of MPs, they’re getting paid too much.

                      Worth keeping in mind that the money in the New York account had nothing to do with his NZ earnings as an MP.

                    • weka

                      True CV, but I’m guessing that McFlock’s point was that because as an MP he earns so much more than he needs, he can easily ‘forget’ about all this money (that he got elsewhere) sitting somewhere else. I disagree of course.

                    • McFlock

                      Well, there’s no motive for the “intentional lie then a change of mind after several years” scenario.

                    • Colonial Viper

                      No doubt someone else was about to release the information first.

                    • McFlock

                      “No doubt”?

                      Then why didn’t these supposed whistle-blowers say that the only reason he fronted up was because he got caught?

                      And if these unknown folk knew the account was more than $50k, then they also know the actual amount and could still have released that. Especially if it was your half mill guess.

                      And if someone was going to release it so he had to preempt it, they would have given gower teasers like gilmore and his mbie emails.

                      Nice fantasy edifice you’re building.

                    • Colonial Viper

                      Sure because reporting the bank account to the IRD for several years in a row but overlooking it’s disclosure to Parliament at the same time is more likely.

                    • McFlock

                      Different forms with different criteria? Possible reason, especially if his accountant did one but not the other.

                      What possible reason does he have for lying on the register about the existence of a bank account? No motive that I can see.

                  • Vagabundo

                    Not as much as repeatedly lying about the circumstances in which an old school chum is appointed the most senior position in a spying agency that has systematically flouted the law.

                  • Colonial Viper

                    You guys have convinced me. Rich people forget this kind of small change all the time. It’s not that important to know whether it was $50K that was “overlooked” or $500K, so let’s go ahead and give Shearer a pass on this.

                    BTW I figure through his banking mates Shonkey will already know all the details of that bank account that there is to know.

                    • McFlock

                      Actually, you’ve convinced me. Shearer intentionally falsified the interests form for four years and then changed his mind one day and issued a correction. /sarc

                      Funnily enough, why this episode tends to leave me quite relaxed about shearer isn’t that he fucked up a form, but that he actually fronted up quickly and took responsibility for his error. Unlike an infantile prime minister we all know and love.

  16. cv why do you even care about the amount of money? The damage is done and the “he’s a liar” line cannot be used when we get around to the campaign – job done for the righties, of course the “he’s a bigger liar” line could be used but that would be a vain useless effort. The amount is irrelevant – no one cares except for righties wanting to stick more shit on shearer – but they don’t really care about him they want to fuck any apparent left wing offering. McFlock is correct on this one imo.

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    Greens | 15-10
  • Key commits to deployment before consultation or analysis
    John Key’s offer to consult Opposition parties on whether to deploy New Zealand forces against ISIS looks increasingly like a PR exercise only, says Labour’s Defence spokesperson, Phil Goff. “The presence of New Zealand’s Chief of Defence Force at a...
    Labour | 15-10
  • National must end ideological opposition to raising income
    If John Key is serious about tackling child poverty he must approach it with an open mind, and overcome his ideological block to raising incomes as a solution, the Green Party said today.Papers released to Radio New Zealand today show...
    Greens | 14-10
  • Pentagon links climate change and terrorism
    Yesterday the Pentagon launched a plan to deal with a threat that “poses immediate risks to national security”; one that “will affect the Department of Defense’s ability to defend the nation”. It wasn’t referring to Ebola or ISIS. It was...
    Greens | 14-10
  • Four Nominees for Labour’s Leadership
    As at 5pm today four valid nominations had been received for the position of Labour Leader, as follows: Andrew Little(nominated by Poto Williams and Iain Lees-Galloway) Nanaia Mahuta(nominated by Louisa Wall and Su’a William Sio) David Parker(nominated by Damien O’Connor...
    Labour | 14-10
  • Green Party calls for consultation over terrorism law changes
    The Green Party has today written to the Prime Minister asking him to engage in wider consultation prior to changing any laws as a result of the recently announced terrorism law reviews, said the Green Party today. In a letter...
    Greens | 14-10
  • MPI must name product and supermarket chain
    The Ministry of Primary Industries must name the product responsible for severe gastroenteritis affecting people around the country, and the supermarket chain distributing it, Labour’s Food Safety spokesperson Damien O’Connor says. “The Ministry seems to be more concerned about protecting...
    Labour | 13-10
  • John Key dishonest about reasons for wanting to change terrorism law
    John Key is misleading the public to push through terrorism law changes under urgency, the Green Party said today. On Sunday, John Key stated that it is not illegal for someone to fight overseas for a terrorist group, such as...
    Greens | 12-10
  • Law changes shaping up to be worse than first thought
    The Prime Minister needs to be up front about exactly what changes he is planning to make to the Employment Relations  Amendment Bill, Labour's spokesperson on Labour Issues Andrew Little says.Interviewed on Q&A yesterday John Key said he did not...
    Labour | 12-10
  • Rapists, not Tinder, the threat to women
    Blame for rape and sexual assault should only ever be laid at the door of the perpetrator, not dating services or the actions of women themselves, Labour’s Associate Police spokesperson Kelvin Davis says. “Tinder is not the problem and women...
    Labour | 09-10
  • Safer Journeys For People Who Cycle
    You have a rare opportunity to tell the people who are making the decisions on cycling how to make it better. The Cycling Safety Panel is seeking feedback on their draft recommendations for improving the safety of cycling in New...
    Greens | 08-10
  • Subsidising more pollution will undermine water clean-up plan at Te Waihora...
    In 2010, NIWA found Canterbury’s Te Waihora/Lake Ellesmere had the worst nutrient status of 140 lakes around New Zealand that it measured. In 2011, the National Government committed to spending $15 million across the country through the Fresh Start for...
    Greens | 08-10
  • Adding value not herbicides
    The HT swedes, and other brassicas, might seem like a good idea to farmers struggling against weeds but like the GE road, is this the path we want our agriculture to be treading? The Federated Farmers President, Dr William Rolleston...
    Greens | 07-10
  • ‘Blame the Planner’ bizarre approach to child poverty
    The National Government is stooping to a bizarre new low in blaming "planning processes" for poverty and inequality, after spending six years doing nothing about either the housing market or child poverty, the Green Party said today. Finance Minister Bill...
    Greens | 07-10
  • Media Advisory
    MANA Leader, Hone Harawira will not be available to speak with media today regarding his release “Recount Just One Step To restoring Credibility”. He is however available for media comment tomorrow, Tuesday the 8th of October, all media arrangements are...
    Mana | 07-10
  • RECOUNT JUST ONE STEP TO RESTORING CREDIBILITY
    “I have applied for a judicial recount of the votes in the Tai Tokerau election because it is one step in trying to restore credibility to the electoral process in the north, and, I suspect, in all other Maori electorates...
    Mana | 07-10
  • MANA SEEKS TAI TOKERAU RECOUNT
    The MANA Movement is supporting Leader Hone Harawira’s application for a judicial re-count in the Te Tai Tokerau electorate for the 2014 general election. President Lisa McNab says there are a number of serious issues of concern regarding the ability...
    Mana | 07-10
  • MANA to fight mass privatisation of state housing
    Announcements over the past 12 hours from the Minister responsible for Housing New Zealand, Bill English, and Minister for Social Housing, Paula Bennett, make clear the government’s intention for the mass privatisation of state housing. This comes during the middle...
    Mana | 07-10
  • Journalists have right to protect sources
    Legal authorities must respect the right of journalist Nicky Hager to protect the source of his material for his Dirty Politics book under Section 68 of the Evidence Act, Acting Labour Leader David Parker says. “It is crucial in an...
    Labour | 06-10
  • It shouldn’t take the Army to house the homeless
    National’s move to speed up its state house sell-off shows it is bankrupt of new ideas, says Labour’s Housing spokesperson Phil Twyford. “National has been in office for six years, yet the housing crisis has got worse every month and...
    Labour | 06-10
  • Government must lift social housing supply, not shuffle the deck chairs
    National's decision to shift the state provision of housing to third parties is a smokescreen for the Government decreasing the provision of affordable housing, the Green Party said today."What National should be doing is increasing the supply of both social...
    Greens | 06-10
  • Election 2014 – the final count
    While we have to wait for the final booth level counts we can now see how well we did in the specials and look at electorate level data. First off special votes (and disallowed/recounted votes etc). There was a change...
    Greens | 06-10
  • We need more houses, not Ministers
    The Government’s decision to have three housing Ministers will create a dog’s breakfast of the portfolio and doesn’t bode well for fixing the country’s housing crisis, Labour’s Housing spokesperson Phil Twyford says. “New Zealanders need more houses, not more Ministers....
    Labour | 05-10
  • MANA’S CHALLENGE TO THE 51st PARLIAMENT
    Ten years ago I led 50,000 Maori on the historic FORESHORE AND SEABED MARCH from Te Rerenga Wairua to the very steps of this parliament, in a march against the greatest land grab in the history of this country –...
    Mana | 03-10
  • Is this really necessary?
    No one denies chief executives should be well paid for their skills and experience, but it is the efforts of all employees which contribute to company profits, Labour’s Acting Leader David Parker says. “Salaries paid to chief executives come at...
    Labour | 02-10
  • 5AA Australia – NZ on UN Security Council + Dirty Politics Lingers On
    5AA Australia: Selwyn Manning and Peter Godfrey deliver their weekly bulletin Across The Ditch. General round up of over night talkback issues: Thongs, Jandals and flip-flops… ISSUE 1: New Zealand has been successful in its campaign to become a non...
    The Daily Blog | 22-10
  • When I mean me, I mean my office & when I call whaleoil I mean not as m...
    This. Is. Ludicrous. Green Party co-leader Russel Norman put the first of what are likely to be many questions about Mr Key’s relationship with Slater, asking him how many times he had phoned or texted the blogger since 2008. “None...
    The Daily Blog | 22-10
  • A brief word on describing the Government as ‘boring and bland’
    The narrative being sown is that this Government will be a boring and bland third term. Boring and bland. Since the election, Key has announced he is privatising 30% of state houses without reinvesting any of that money back into housing society’s most...
    The Daily Blog | 22-10
  • More Latté Than Lager: Reflections on Grant Robertson’s Campaign Launch.
    BIKERS? SERIOUSLY! Had Grant Robertson’s campaign launch been organised by Phil Goff? Was this a pitch for the votes of what few Waitakere Men remain in the Labour Party? Was I even at the right place? Well, yes, I was....
    The Daily Blog | 22-10
  • About Curwen Ares Rolinson
    Curwen Ares Rolinson – Curwen Ares Rolinson is a firebrand young nationalist presently engaged in acts of political resistance deep behind enemy lines amidst the leafy boughs of Epsom. He is affiliated with the New Zealand First Party; although his...
    The Daily Blog | 21-10
  • About Kelly Ellis
    Kelly Ellis.Kelly Ellis – As a child, Kelly Ellis didn’t so much fall into the cracks, but willfully wriggled her way into them. Ejected from Onslow College – a big job in the 70s – Kelly worked in car factories,...
    The Daily Blog | 21-10
  • About Kate Davis
    Kate Davis.Kate Davis – Having completed her BA in English and Politics, Kate is now starting her MA. Kate works as a volunteer advocate at Auckland Action Against Poverty and previously worked for the New Zealand Prostitutes Collective. Kate writes...
    The Daily Blog | 21-10
  • Parker does a Shearer – oh for a Labour Leader who can challenge msm fals...
    Sigh. It seems David Parker has done a Shearer… Like a cult and too red – Parker on LabourLabour leadership contender David Parker says Labour borders on feeling like “a cult” and must look at its branding – including its...
    The Daily Blog | 21-10
  • A brief word on the hundreds of millions NZ is spending on the secret intel...
    The enormity of the mass surveillance state NZ Government’s have built carries a huge price tag… Kiwis pay $103m ‘membership fee’ for spyingThe $103 million taxpayer funding of New Zealand’s intelligence agencies is effectively a membership fee for joining the...
    The Daily Blog | 21-10
  • Where. Is. Jason. Ede?
    Where. Is. Jason. Ede?...
    The Daily Blog | 21-10
  • Labour’s Din of Inequity
    Watching Labour’s leadership candidates on Q+A on Sunday, I noticed the ongoing use of terms like “opportunity” and “aspiration”, and “party of the workers”. What do these mean? We glean much from Labour, and from the media about Labour, but not...
    The Daily Blog | 21-10
  • “Blue-Greenwash” fails the test when it comes to endangered dolphins
    National’s pre-election promises saw some wins for the environment – perhaps as the party sought to appease its “Blue-Green” voters and broaden its popular appeal. Some of the ecological gains were a long time in the making, overdue even– such...
    The Daily Blog | 21-10
  • Reasons not to be cheerful, Part #272b
    Why don’t you get back into bed? The next few years — the rest of this century — are not going to be pretty. There is an obvious disconnect between any remaining political ambition to fix climate change and the...
    The Daily Blog | 21-10
  • OIA protocols and official advice ignored to hide Child Poverty
    It might not seem so now, but child poverty was a major election issue. What a pity we did not have the full debate. In that debate it would have been very helpful to have seen the Ministry of Social...
    The Daily Blog | 20-10
  • Previewing the 4 candidates for Leader of the Labour Party
    The extraordinary outbursts by Shearer last week highlights just how toxic that Caucus is. Shearer was on every major media platform as the ABC attack dog tearing into Cunliffe in the hope of diminishing Cunliffe’s support of Little by tearing...
    The Daily Blog | 19-10
  • GUEST BLOG: Kate Davis – the sudden explosion of ‘left’ blogs
    Time to Teach or more people will suffer from P.A.I.D. Political And Intellectual Dysmorphia.I was on the Twitter and a guy followed me so of course I did the polite thing and followed him back. He wrote a blog so...
    The Daily Blog | 19-10
  • Ego vs Eco
    Ego vs Eco...
    The Daily Blog | 19-10
  • We can’t let the Roastbuster case slip away
    Those of us (like me) left with hope that the police would aggressively follow through on the large amount of evidence on offer to them (let’s not forget they forgot they even had some at one point) in the Roastbusters...
    The Daily Blog | 19-10
  • Food, shelter and medicine instead of bombs and bullets
    The on-going conflict across the Middle East – due in large part to the US-led invasions of Afghanistan and Iraq – has created another humanitarian crisis of biblical proportion. The essentials of life are desperately needed in Iraq and Syria...
    The Daily Blog | 19-10
  • The politics of electorate accommodations
    National’s electorate accommodations with ACT and United Future were a big factor in it winning re-election. Interestingly, there is another electorate accommodation scenario whereby the centre-left could have come out on top, even with the same distribution of party votes....
    The Daily Blog | 19-10
  • Why you should join the TPPA Action on 8 November
    On 8 November 2014, thousands of Kiwis will take part in the International Day of Action to protest the Trans-Pacific Partnership Agreement (TPPA). The rally cry for us is TPPA – Corporate Trap, Kiwis Fight Back. Why should you join...
    The Daily Blog | 19-10
  • GUEST BLOG – Patrick O’Dea: no new coal mines
    Green Party and Mana Party policy is “NO NEW COAL MINES!” Auckland Coal Action is trying to put this policy into action on the ground. ACA after a hard fought two year campaign waged alongside local residents and Iwi, in...
    The Daily Blog | 19-10
  • Comparing Police action – Hager raid vs Roast Buster case
    This satire had the NZ Police contact TDB and threaten us with 6months in prison for using their logo.   The plight of Nicky Hager and the draconian Police actions against him has generated over  $53 000 in donations so...
    The Daily Blog | 18-10
  • Malala Yousafzai, White Saviour Complexes and Local Resistance
    Last week, Malala Yousafzai was the co-recipient of the Nobel Peace Prize. Since her exposure to the worldwide spotlight, her spirit, wisdom and strength have touched the hearts of people everywhere. However, there have been cynics who have argued that...
    The Daily Blog | 18-10
  • Jason Ede is back – but no media can interview him?
    Well, well, well. Jason Ede, the main figure connected to John Key’s office and the Dirty Politics black ops is back with a company with deep ties to the National Party. One thing you can say about the right –...
    The Daily Blog | 18-10
  • GUEST BLOG: Curwen Rolinson – Leadership Transitions In Other Parties: A ...
    As cannot have escaped anyone’s attention by now, the country is presently in the grips of an election and campaign that will help determine the fate of the nation for years to come. It’s gripping stuff – with clear divides...
    The Daily Blog | 17-10
  • SkyCity worker says she faces losing her house
    SkyCity worker Carolyn Alpine told the company annual shareholder’s meeting today that she faced the prospect of losing her house because the company had cut her shifts from two a week to one without consultation. The solo mother, has worked...
    The Daily Blog | 17-10
  • Greg O’Connor’s latest push to arm cops & 5 reasons not to
    I was wondering at what point within a 3rd term of National that Police Cheerleader Greg O’Connor would start trying to demand cops be armed. O’Connor must have thought to himself, ‘if bloody Key can get us and the GCSB vast new...
    The Daily Blog | 16-10
  • You can’t have crisis without ISIS
    So the new scary bogeyman ISIS might have chemical weapons that the US secretly found in Iraq, but America didn’t want to expose this find because the WMDs were actually built and made by the US and Europe, the two powers...
    The Daily Blog | 16-10
  • NZ WINS UN SPIN THE BOTTLE! Privately sucking up to America for a decade me...
    Oh, we are loved! Little old NZ, the 53rd state of America after Israel and Australia, gets to sit at the adults table for the special dinner party that is the UN Security Council. How delightful, a decade of privately...
    The Daily Blog | 16-10
  • MEDIA BLOG – Myles Thomas – A World Without Advertising
    Non-commercial broadcasting and media. It’s a solution for all manner of problems ailing our tender nation… voter engagement, unaccountable governance, apathy, stupefaction, public education, science in schools, arts appreciation, cultural cringe… But no-one could’ve guessed that non-commercial media might solve...
    The Daily Blog | 16-10
  • March against war – 2pm Saturday 25th October
    March against war – 2pm Saturday 25th October...
    The Daily Blog | 16-10
  • Whack a mole as US govt foreign policy
    Whack-A-Mole was a popular arcade game from my youth.  It consisted of a waist high cabinet with holes in the top. Plastic moles seemingly randomly pop out of these holes. The purpose of the game was to hit as many...
    The Daily Blog | 16-10
  • In Paean of Debt
    This week is ‘Money Week’. It’s an opportunity to promote to the middle classes, and anyone else who will listen, the virtues of wise ‘investment’. The aims are to promote the mystical (and indeed mythical) virtues of saving for the...
    The Daily Blog | 16-10
  • The last 48 hours – Poverty denial, war denial and unapologetic abuse of ...
    The bewildering speed of events that simply end in Key shrugging and proclaiming he doesn’t really give a shit is coming think and fast as the Government suddenly appreciate the full spectrum dominance they now enjoy. Here is Radio NZ...
    The Daily Blog | 16-10
  • GUEST BLOG: Pat O’Dea – Mana 2.0 Rebooted
    Internationally the news is that Evo Morales of Bolivia won big with Left Wing policies But what are the chances that the Left will make a resurgence in this country? As the internecine struggles between the Left and the Right...
    The Daily Blog | 15-10
  • The Blomfield IPCA letter – Has Dirty Politics leaked into the NZ Police ...
    It’s difficult to know what to make of the IPCA letter to Matthew Blomfield over Slater’s continued insistence that the hard drive taken from Matthew wasn’t stolen.  Slater has selectively cherry picked the Police referring back to his claim that Blomfeild perjured...
    The Daily Blog | 15-10
  • ​Media release: Rail and Maritime Transport Union – Auckland move for K...
    The Rail and Maritime Transport Union is questioning a KiwiRail proposal to progressively relocate its Zero Harm personnel from Wellington to Auckland. “The purpose of the Zero Harm team is to drive KiwiRail’s performance in health and safety.  Rail is a...
    The Daily Blog | 15-10
  • Amnesty International – Friend request from an IS militant
    There’s always that one person, that one Facebook friend, usually a musician or event promoter, who, when you so foolishly accept their friend request, will completely inundate your news feed with copious event invitations and promotions. The person who, despite...
    The Daily Blog | 15-10
  • NZ should follow the UK and recognize the Palestinian state
    Over the past two weeks, the United Kingdom and Sweden have made headlines through their decisions to recognize the state of Palestine. They are hardly the first nations to do so. Indeed, 134 countries have, in various ways, given formal...
    The Daily Blog | 15-10
  • The Discordant Chimes of Freedom: Why Labour has yet to be forgiven.
    WHY DOES THE ELECTORATE routinely punish Labour and the Greens for their alleged “political correctness” but not National? It just doesn’t seem fair. Consider, for example, the Crimes (Substituted Section 59) Amendment Act 2007 – the so-called “anti-smacking legislation” –...
    The Daily Blog | 15-10
  • Hosking or Henry – Which right wing crypto fascist clown do you want to w...
    So Mediaworks are finally going to make some actual money from their eye watering contract with Paul Henry by launching a new multi-platform Breakfast show over TV, Radio and internet. This is great news for Campbell Live who have dodged...
    The Daily Blog | 14-10
  • Families need more money to reduce child poverty
    Prime Minister John Key is mistaken to rule out extending the In Work Tax Credit to all poor children (The Nation 11th Oct) and Child Poverty Action Group challenges government advisors to come up with a more cost effective way...
    The Daily Blog | 14-10
  • GUEST BLOG: Kelly Ellis – Don’t shit on my dream
    Once were dreamers. A large man, walks down the road and, even from 200 yards there’s light showing between his big arms and bigger body. It’s as if he’s put tennis balls under his arms. Two parking wardens walk out...
    The Daily Blog | 14-10
  • Labour and ‘special interests’
    The media narrative of Labour is that it is unpopular because it’s controlled by ‘special interests’. This ‘special interests’ garbage is code for gays, Maoris, wimin and unionists. We should show that argument the contempt it deserves. The next Labour...
    The Daily Blog | 14-10
  • Housing; broken promises, families in cars, and ideological idiocy (Part Ru...
    . . Continued from: Housing; broken promises, families in cars, and ideological idiocy (Part Tahi) . National’s housing development project: ‘Gateway’ to confusion . Perhaps nothing better illustrates National’s lack of a coherent housing programme than the ‘circus’ that is...
    The Daily Blog | 14-10
  • Here’s what WINZ are patronisingly saying to people on welfare when they ...
    Yesterday, a case manager from WINZ called to tell me that I needed to “imagine what I would do if I did not have welfare”. I replied “Well, I guess if I couldn’t live at home, I would be homeless.”...
    The Daily Blog | 14-10
  • David Shearer’s ‘no feminist chicks’ mentality highlights all that is...
    Mr Nasty pays a visit Shearer’s extraordinary outburst last night on NZs favourite redneck TV, The Paul Henry Show, is a reminder of all that is wrong within the Labour Caucus right now… He said the current calls for a female or...
    The Daily Blog | 13-10
  • Greenpeace 1 – Shell 0
    Greenpeace 1 – Shell 0...
    The Daily Blog | 13-10
  • GUEST BLOG: Kate Davis – A Tale Of Two Cities
    Sunday was surreal. I went for a drive and ended up in a different country. It wasn’t intentional but those days of too many literally intertextual references seldom are. There is no doubt that the Sunday drive this week had...
    The Daily Blog | 13-10
  • Bank gets behind NZ wildlife icon with sizable donation
    It will be easier than ever this summer for holiday-markers to dip into their pockets to support the yellow-eyed penguin....
    Scoop politics | 23-10
  • WorkSafe report raises concerns about asbestos
    The union representing construction workers in the Canterbury rebuild is surprised at WorkSafe’s conclusion that no action needs to be taken against EQC and Fletcher EQR over asbestos exposure in Canterbury homes. “This report was an opportunity...
    Scoop politics | 23-10
  • Union accuses SkyCity CEO of misleading public
    Unite Union has accused SkyCity CEO Nigel Morrison of misleading the public over the cut in hours for a staff member who raised the issue at the company's AGM....
    Scoop politics | 23-10
  • Last Hurrah on the Taxpayer
    Responding to the NZ Herald report that Hone Harawira spent up $54,000 on the taxpayer in his last three months as an MP, Taxpayers’ Union Executive Director Jordan Williams says: “It is absolutely disgraceful that an MP managed to rack...
    Scoop politics | 23-10
  • Press statement in relation to search of Nicky Hager’s home
    On 2 October 2014, Nicky Hager's home in Wellington was searched by police. Mr Hager asserted that documents kept at his house were protected by privilege, including because they contained information that might identify confidential sources....
    Scoop politics | 22-10
  • The Sam Simon arrives into Auckland for new campaign
    This morning Sea Shepherd ship, the Sam Simon, arrived into Auckland harbour after its journey from Melbourne. The ship and its 25 crew from around the globe have come to New Zealand to source supplies and prepare for the upcoming...
    Scoop politics | 22-10
  • Low inflation – time for meaningful wage increases
    With inflation low, now is a good time for workers to negotiate for pay increases that outstrip price rises and deliver real increases in wages and salaries. “For too many people, real pay increases have been missing for several years...
    Scoop politics | 22-10
  • Auckland Rates Rises Out of Control
    Responding to the NZ Herald report that Auckland ratepayers will face an average of a 29 percent rates increase, Taxpayers’ Union Executive Director Jordan Williams says: “These rate rises show that Len Brown's spending is out of control.”...
    Scoop politics | 22-10
  • Protest at New Plymouth Oil and Gas Expo
    About 30 protesters from Climate Justice Taranaki, Frack-free Kapiti, Te Uru Pounamu Action Group, Oil Free Wellington, Frack-free Manawatu and the east coast protested yesterday outside New Plymouth's biennial Oil and Gas Expo at the TSB Stadium....
    Scoop politics | 22-10
  • FMA warns consumers about cold-calling investment offers
    The Financial Markets Authority (FMA) is warning New Zealand consumers and investors to be wary of cold-calls asking them to buy shares or put their money into offshore firms....
    Scoop politics | 22-10
  • Comprehensive plan needed to end child poverty
    Child Poverty Action Group says it is vital the newly re-elected National government takes a planned and comprehensive approach to reducing child poverty in New Zealand....
    Scoop politics | 22-10
  • Metiria Gets Feed the Kids
    Yesterday the Speaker of the House advised that he had accepted my request to transfer my Feed the Kids (Education (Breakfast and Lunch Programmes in Schools) Amendment) Bill to Metiria Turei of the Green Party....
    Scoop politics | 22-10
  • DIA undercover investigation leads to jailing
    An undercover Internal Affairs investigation has led to a Hastings man being jailed for three and half years....
    Scoop politics | 22-10
  • Call on Minister McCully to pursue the case of Balibo Five
    Media Information: Call on Minister McCully to pursue the case of journalist Gary Cunningham and the Balibo Five...
    Scoop politics | 22-10
  • Australia and NZ actions on press freedoms alarming
    Global support for investigative journalism in Australia and New Zealand is a welcome response to law changes and a police raid, says the Pacific Freedom Forum...
    Scoop politics | 22-10
  • Call for release of French journalists in West Papua
    West Papua Action Auckland, the EPMU Print and Media Council and the NZ Media Freedom Network call on the Minister of Foreign Affairs to speak out in support of the two French TV journalists whose trial has just begun in...
    Scoop politics | 21-10
  • Court of Appeal: Dotcom v 20th Century Fox Film Corporation
    A The appeal is dismissed. B The 20 August 2014 order of the High Court dealing with confidentiality and the 29 August 2014 order of this Court dealing with confidentiality are set aside. C The confidentiality orders set out in...
    Scoop politics | 21-10
  • Glassons Blasted For Glamourising Animal Cruelty
    Clothing brand Glassons have found themselves embroiled in another controversy after launching a new advert featuring a girl riding a bull. Animal advocacy organisation SAFE have asked them to remove the ad immediately as it glamourises animal cruelty....
    Scoop politics | 21-10
  • Smuggling honey into New Zealand isn’t sweet
    Smuggling honey into New Zealand isn’t sweet Federated Farmers Bee Industry Group applauds the tough line taken by Ministry for Primary Industries (MPI) Border Staff at Auckland Airport. In deporting the couple found trying to smuggle bee products...
    Scoop politics | 21-10
  • Taxpayers’ Union Responds to Joyce on Corporate Welfare
    Responding to Economic Development Minister Steven Joyce’s defence of corporate welfare , Jim Rose, the author of Monopoly Money , a Taxpayers Union report on corporate welfare since 2008, says:...
    Scoop politics | 21-10
  • Speech from the Throne brings welcome focus on children
    Today’s speech from the Throne confirms the Government’s focus on children, youth and their families in the areas of health, education, youth employment, poverty alleviation and Whānau Ora; now the challenge is to ensure every child in New Zealand...
    Scoop politics | 21-10
  • John’s Job Fairs no fix for unemployment and poverty
    “John Key has clearly been looking to the US for his latest bright idea on dealing with employment issues,” says Auckland Action Against Poverty coordinator Sue Bradford. “Job fairs where the desperately unemployed queue in their corporate best to compete...
    Scoop politics | 21-10
  • Speech From the Throne Foreshadows More Corporate Welfare
    Responding to the Governor General’s Speech from the Throne, which outlined that the Government’s intentions for the next Parliamentary term would include further Business Growth Agenda initiatives, Taxpayers’ Union Executive Director Jordan...
    Scoop politics | 21-10
  • Green MP to speak at panel on Rainbow Mental Health
    Hamilton, New Zealand: Recently re-elected Green Party MP Jan Logie will be a guest speaker at a panel on the mental health of Gay, Lesbian, Bisexual, Trangender, Takataapui and Intersex people taking place on November 1st as part of the...
    Scoop politics | 20-10
  • Evidence Supports GE Moratorium
    Federated Farmers spokesman Graham Smith's call for a 'rethink' on release of GeneticallyEngineered organisms is misguided, and instead it is time for a formal moratorium on GMOs in the environment.(1)...
    Scoop politics | 20-10
  • Chatham Rise mining could have impact on whales and dolphins
    Wellington, 21 October 2014--Mining phosphate on the Chatham Rise, off the east coast of New Zealand’s south island, could potentially have many impacts on marine mammals like whales and dolphins, the Environmental Protection Agency was told today....
    Scoop politics | 20-10
  • Council endorses Nanaia Mahuta as the next Labour leader
    Te Kaunihera Māori, the Māori Council of the New Zealand Labour Party, have passed a resolution to endorse the Hon Nanaia Mahuta as the next leader of the Labour Party...
    Scoop politics | 20-10
  • Kaumatua to organise petition to end Maori seats
    Ngapuhi kaumatua David Rankin has announced that he will be organising a nationwide petition to seek support from Maori voters to end the Maori seats. “These seats are patronising”, he says. “They imply we need a special status, and that...
    Scoop politics | 20-10
  • Announcing a New Voice for The Left
    Josh Forman is pleased to announce the creation of a new force on the Left of politics in New Zealand....
    Scoop politics | 20-10
  • Public services held back by poor workplace culture
    A new report by Victoria University’s Centre for Labour, Employment and Work shows that public servants are working significant unpaid overtime to ensure the public services New Zealanders value are able to continue....
    Scoop politics | 20-10
  • iPredict New Zealand Weekly Economic & Political Update
    Andrew Little’s probability of being the next leader of the Labour Party has reached 70% and Jacinda Ardern is favourite to become his deputy, according to the combined wisdom of the 8000+ registered traders on New Zealand’s predictions market, iPredict....
    Scoop politics | 20-10
  • Prison Drug Treatment Unit marks a milestone
    Christchurch Men’s Prison’s Drug Treatment Unit (DTU) celebrated the completion of its 50th six month Drug and Alcohol Programme today, with the graduation of a further twelve offenders....
    Scoop politics | 20-10
  • Security Council seat a chance for NZ to empower women
    The UN Women National Committee Aotearoa New Zealand (UN Women NCANZ) welcomes New Zealand winning a seat on the United Nations Security Council and is calling on New Zealand to use its position to proactively promote effective implementation of the...
    Scoop politics | 20-10
  • Waipareira and ACC sign Partnership
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    Scoop politics | 20-10
  • Humanitarian aid desperately needed in Iraq and Syria
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    Scoop politics | 19-10
  • Court Judicial Decision: Dotcom v The USA: 17 October 2014
    The United States of America is seeking the extradition of Messrs Dotcom, Batato, Ortmann and Van Der Kolk. The matter has been before the Courts on numerous occasions, and no further recitation of the facts is needed....
    Scoop politics | 19-10
  • Marshall Island poet speaks at UN climate summit
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  • Many tourist car accidents preventable
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    Scoop politics | 19-10
  • RainbowYOUTH: 25 Years, 25 More
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  • Outdated Oath shows need for Kiwi Head of State
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    Scoop politics | 19-10
  • Council shouldn’t revenue grab from windfall valuations
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    Scoop politics | 19-10
  • EPMU endorses Andrew Little for Labour leadership
    The National Executive of the Engineering, Printing and Manufacturing Union unanimously endorsed Andrew Little for the role of Labour leader, at a meeting held yesterday. “I have been speaking to our workplace delegates at forums across the country over...
    Scoop politics | 19-10
  • World Food Day promotes Agroecology not GE technology
    The UN has stated that agroecology is a major solution to feeding the world and caring for the earth....
    Scoop politics | 19-10
  • Labour Names Review Team
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    Scoop politics | 19-10
  • Contenders for Labour leadership debate for first time
    The contenders for the leadership of the Labour Party debated for the first time on TV One’s Q+A programme today....
    Scoop politics | 19-10
  • UN Ambassador Jim McLay on TV One’s Q+A programme
    New Zealand's United Nations Ambassador Jim McLay on TV One’s Q+A programme....
    Scoop politics | 18-10
  • The Nation: RSA President BJ Clark & Ian Taylor, New NZ Flag
    Lisa Owen interviews RSA President BJ Clark and tech innovator Ian Taylor about changing the NZ flag...
    Scoop politics | 18-10
  • The Nation: RSA President BJ Clark & Ian Taylor, New NZ Flag
    Lisa Owen interviews RSA President BJ Clark and tech innovator Ian Taylor about changing the NZ flag...
    Scoop politics | 18-10
  • Lisa Owen interviews Foreign Minister Murray McCully
    Murray McCully says New Zealanders can expect a 5-10 year engagement against Islamic State if we join military action in Iraq and the government will take that “very carefully into account”...
    Scoop politics | 18-10
  • Lisa Owen interviews Julia Gillard
    Julia Gillard says there is “sufficient evidence” to fight Islamic State and does not think it will increase the risk of a domestic attack...
    Scoop politics | 18-10
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