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National’s exports – how to lose value and jobs

Written By: - Date published: 10:54 am, April 30th, 2014 - 77 comments
Categories: Economy, exports, farming, jobs, manufacturing, national, same old national - Tags: ,

It is always interesting reading David Farrar’s pitifully shallow analysis on most things as he parrots the National spin line. It is an exercise in how to spin the bad into a virtue. However Farrar did reach a new low when looking at our exports yesterday because he trumpeted the very flaw in our economy as being of value. As usual his analysis was a shallow as the press release from Statistics..

Look more closely and manufacturing is continuing its downward spiral, overall manufacturing is down 3.3% by value for the March year. Dairy exports are up massively. The problem is that dairy exports provide us with minimal jobs directly and indirectly and manufacturing provides a lot of jobs directly and indirectly. The nett effect is that we have a economy that is continuing to be completely moribund because people aren’t earning and there are few wage increases.

If you look more closely at the Table 10 in the Stats department Overseas Merchandise Trade that the press release came from this gives the gross figures on the international code basis. I’ve extracted from that table to give a better idea of what is growing and falling.

Exports and imports by Standard International Trade Classification. March results for 2014 are provisional.

Exports (fob)
 Type  March 2013($million)  March 2014 ($million) Month%change Quarter %change  Year %change
Food and live animals 2,286 2,866 25.4 28.1 16.0
Beverages and tobacco 124 159 27.9 19.3 7.0
Crude materials (inedible, except fuels) 584 617 5.6 9.6 14.1
Mineral fuels (lubricants and related materials) 167 143 -14.1 -12.5 -19.0
Animal and vegetable oils (fats and waxes) 37 27 -27.2 1.0 -18.9
Chemicals and related products 206 219 6.7 11.2 -0.4
Manufactured goods (classified chiefly by material) 378 316 -16.5 -6.1 -3.1
Machinery and transport equipment 317 330 4.3 0.2 -9.3
Miscellaneous manufactured articles 161 181 12.2 7.3 3.7
Other 147 221 49.6 9.6 4.1
           
Total:  4,408 5,079 15.2 17.4 8.5
           
Total manufactures: 1,062 1,046 -1.5 1.6 -3.3

 

So even after we look at the massive gains in dairy exports, the gains almost entirely from milk powder sold to China, we had a nett gain of 8.2% over the year in exports. However it was almost entirely in extracting resources, doing minimal processing on them, and shipping them off to other countries to add value. There are few jobs in doing that.

Anything that uses our local skills is falling because this government doesn’t give a damn about it. Instead of concentrating on things that will make all of us wealthy, they’re concentrating on the things that make themselves wealthy. Selling raw commodities offshore and having cheap imports. That is a get rich quick for a few strategy.

We have had these booms in raw and near raw commodities before. They always turn to a big bust when the prices plummet. Whatever jobs that they create disappear and the nett effect afterwards is that the country is worse off. But National’s MPs really don’t care. So many of them either own dairy land or have their noses stuffed into the trough of dairy companies that they really couldn’t give a damn about other kiwis or even their own kids. They’re just making money while the pigs trough is full.

 

National has had more than five years to show that they really aren’t interested in jobs in the economy. It shows in the export statistics that they really don’t care. They’re just after what makes them wealthy and to the hell with everyone else.

77 comments on “National’s exports – how to lose value and jobs”

  1. srylands 1

    The entire premise of this article is wrong. In a developed country we would expect to see a relative decline in manufacturing. That is a GOOD and expected trend if we want to become prosperous. It has happened all over the OECD. It has happened in Australia, which despite the recent downturn is arguably the richest country in the world. The only mistake Australian governments made was to fight the trend.

    The attached paper sets out the issues well.

    http://www.pc.gov.au/research/commission/manufacturing/keypoints

    So in summary, you are dead wrong, on the wrong side of history, and totally muddled in your thinking.

    • lprent 1.1

      sigh Perhaps you could learn to read your own links rather than being a mindless cut’n’paste drone. Reading my post would be useful as well.

      The key words were “exports” and “value” not just “manufacturing”. I focused on manufacturing because in NZ that is where the jobs come from directly and indirectly.

      But lets have a look at your link.

      The fastest growing activities have been those with links to Australia’s natural endowments and products that are more differentiated, with higher skill levels and R&D intensities.

      Manufacturing is increasingly globally oriented:

      exports increased from just over 15 per cent of manufacturing output in 1989-90 to around 24 per cent in 1999-2000, with import shares also rising.

      In contrast to the output story, manufacturing employment has declined somewhat both in relative and absolute terms over the long term, although stabilising since the early 1990s.

      In Australia as has happened here, manufacturing switched from being largely focused on the internal market and is increasingly focused on the world markets. There are two strands to it. One is adding extra processing to locally sourced raw materials, and the other is adding local intelligence and skills to products.

      If you dug around further into the NZ and Australian markets over the past decades, you’d have also found that many of the service industries with their large numbers of jobs are growing because they are supplying buy-in skills for the design and distribution sides of manufacturing. As your linked report states

      some service activities once categorised as part of manufacturing have been outsourced, though this effect is relatively modest;

      This is part of the slow disintegration of vertical integration manufacturing. But in the R&D based industries it is an especially significiant contributor to job creation.

      Problem is that in NZ over the last 5 years, the government has neither been focusing on adding value to our raw materials nor has it been supporting the growth of new export industries. So we have a job growth that is less than the growth of population, a ever increasing household underemployment, and the growth of a minimal processing of raw materials (ie milk powder) as our only major growth industry.

      BTW: Perhaps you could learn to think before wasting my time explaining the basis of your own links to you.

    • Colonial Viper 1.2

      Hey Shitlands.

      Of course the 0.1% become richer when manufacturing is outsourced to China, Bangladesh and Vietnam. Wages in those countries are so low compared to ours, and the 0.l% scoop up the difference and pocket it for themselves.

      It’s called wage arbitrage.

      Of course, the outsourcing of manufacturing jobs decimates the NZ working class and eventually the rot reaches the middle class as well (USA and UK being prime examples).

      But I wouldn’t expect a foreigner like you to give a damn.

      • srylands 1.2.1

        Stop being so rude.

        It is good that manufacturing is outsourced to Bangladesh.

        Unlike you I promote policies that are in the interests of all New Zealanders. I want a modern economy. Not an agrarian green economy with a few alternative medicine providers and basket weavers. Parasites in other words.

        Get real. And I repeat – stop being such a rude bastard.

        I have no idea what the “foreigner” thing is about.

        • Colonial Viper 1.2.1.1

          Rude lol, you don’t deserve anything else Shitlands.

          Why don’t you leave the political economics of NZers to NZers you paid foreign hack.

          It is good that manufacturing is outsourced to Bangladesh.

          Yep it’s good for the 0.1% who then pick up the wage difference that NZ workers lose, and then pocket it for themselves. It’s called wage arbitrage, Shitlands.

        • Draco T Bastard 1.2.1.2

          Unlike you I promote policies that are in the interests of all New Zealanders.

          No you don’t, you promote policies that are good for the 0.1%.

          You really haven’t been keeping up with the research that’s been coming out lately have you? You know, all the research that proves you completely, totally and utterly wrong.

        • felix 1.2.1.3

          The “foreigner” thing is about this being a NZ blog and you having never been here.

    • Naki Man 1.3

      “The problem is that dairy exports provide us with minimal jobs directly and indirectly”

      There are approximately 17,000 employees working for Fonterra, the average factory employee
      salary is about $80,000 per annum. Fonterra contributes about $20 billion to the economy per annum.

      • Tracey 1.3.1

        what is the median salary naki man?

        given how well fonterra is doing, is anyone on the minimum wage.

        tia

      • Molly 1.3.2

        … and the tax given to government by each farmer… apparently $1506 in 2011.

        A mere drop in the bucket to help offset the cost of dairying to our waterways I would think.

        And before you state that Fonterra pays a lot in company taxes, they have rebates and other methods of reducing net profit earnings.

        I have no doubt that there are farmers out there who love the land, the water and try to farm responsibly. Unfortunately, when Fonterra was created their autonomy was lost, and their values and decision making no longer provide the local restraints on water protection and conservation that otherwise might have prevailed.

    • miravox 1.4

      ” In a developed country we would expect to see a relative decline in manufacturing. “

      Tell that to Germany, if you like

      German Chancellor Angela Merkel was once asked by then-British prime minister Tony Blair what the secret of her country’s impressive success was. She famously replied, “Mr Blair, we still make things.” In Germany, manufacturing still dominates finance, not the other way around, as Germany has continued to emphasize manufacturing and exports over the financial industry.

      [my bold]

  2. greywarbler 2

    Meanwhile back in the process, a little barrier to progress. A double rainbow – what can it mean?? A double whammy to our direy industry. This from Radionz News.
    http://www.radionz.co.nz/news/national/242869/new-rules-threaten-formula-exporters

    Perhaps someone wiser than me can explain what this new Chinese requirement means? Perhaps they noticed, after the botulism scare that firms and entities like Fonterra can lose track of what their distant sub-companies are doing and want to get better oversight and less trouser-sitting, meeting and conferring and finger-tapping skills displayed in the management of the produce.

    Synlait presumably has good direct lines between NZ production and Chinese retail.

    New Zealand’s infant formula manufacturers could be stopped from sending fresh product to the Chinese market from Thursday and the Government doesn’t know how long that could continue.
    All companies wanting to export formula produced from 1 May will need to be registered with authorities in China and some manufacturers warn the process could take months.
    Roger Smith of the Ministry for Primary Industries said one of the new rules was that brands and manufacturers must be closely associated…..

    Mr Smith said the situation is the same for every country exporting to China. “Everybody’s working through the same process,” he said….

    The Labour Party says the Government needs to demand answers from China on how New Zealand manufacturers can get approval to export infant formula there.

    (From Synlait with large Chinese ownership.)
    A large manufacturer, Canterbury-based dairy company Synlait Milk, said it needed to make some minor changes to its processes, that could take two to three months, to regain export approval for product manufactured after 1 May.

    However managing director John Penno said it would not be too disruptive long term. “China is an important market – it’s the biggest infant formula market in the world and we’ve been able to position the business for these changes.”

    • Colonial Viper 2.1

      I’m pretty sure that Chinese owned Synlait will have a smooth and expedited approval process.

  3. Wayne 3

    Iprent,

    I assume from this that the manufactures are defined to be essentially machines, tools and other metallic and plastic elaborating transformed manufactures.

    Therefore this definition does not include any food or beverage items, no matter how transformed they are. For instance there is a big difference between a meat cut, which is essentially not modified from the animal as it was killed in the freezing works, and an expensive bottle of wine or a packaged and processed food item. In the latter case there has been quite a degree of transformation. In short our food exports are progressively moving up the value chain. They require more staff and factories, which at least in part will explain the increased workforce in this area.

    I also note your list does not include export of services, including IT. I understand that this sector continues to make gains.

    These figures might therefore primarily suggest where our competitive advantage lies. And thus a shift in the economy to these sectors.

    You will be well aware of Sir Paul Callaghan’s work which showed the dairy sector in all its aspects had virtually the highest revenue per person working in it.

    • McFlock 3.1

      there is a big difference between a meat cut,[...] and an expensive bottle of wine

      I am sceptical of your suggestion that a winery employs more people than a meatworks for a given export dollar value. Expensive wine might take a bit of craftwork, but most wine is basically similar to milk processing – maybe even less.

      • cricklewood 3.1.1

        There is a lot of low value labour in vineyards picking and pruning etc so man hours wise it is possible certainly way more labour intensive than milk…

        • Colonial Viper 3.1.1.1

          And those damn meatworkers are all unionised! We actually have to pay them properly, unlike the cheap compliant immigrant labour in vineyards!

        • McFlock 3.1.1.2

          like apples, then

        • Naturesong 3.1.1.3

          This.

          If you’re around Marlborough, Gisbourne, Nelson, or any other area known for wine making, go and talk to the folks that prune and pick and clean and bottle.
          The ones that ensure that the vines and grapes are top notch so the wine maker can do their magic.

          I’ve known a couple of people who have done this work. I wouldn’t wish it on anyone.
          It’s hard, hard work, tough on your body and tough on your mind.
          It’ll make you age quickly, and for that you get minimum wage, you’ll be casual, no holidays and be living day to day.
          And you’ll be out in all weather, day in, day out.

    • greywarbler 3.2

      These figures might therefore primarily suggest where our competitive advantage lies. And thus a shift in the economy to these sectors….

      You will be well aware of Sir Paul Callaghan’s work which showed the dairy sector in all its aspects had virtually the highest revenue per person working in it.

      I question that those employed in dairying are very well off from wages. There are some and then there are the larger group of others, working long hours without much return per hour.

      Dairy should not be our main event full stop. The economy being wrapped around this industry is ignoring the rest of the country and those who aren’t and shouldn’t be part of this sector-heavy investment. Just think, while the athletes in the Olympic games compete in the events that suit their competitive advantage, the rest of the country goes about its business. Some people are involved in running the Games and catering for its needs, the others have other ongoing jobs and business.

      This excerpt from the headings page on google explains in business terms how we in NZ are making a mistake in concentrating mainly on dairy business. This comes from business – so why do our smart government business operators not follow their own best practice? They should just take up this excellent advice available to even the meanest intellect – on google.
      Simulator How-To Guide: Diversified Portfolio | Investopedia
      http://www.investopedia.com/university/simulator/diversified-portfolio.asp‎
      Simply put, it is foolish to invest all your money in one investment. … nature of diversification, which is actually more common sense than you might expect. … do need to purchase at least 8 more stocks, around one from the remaining 8 sectors.

      • greywarbler 3.2.1

        The idea that our competitive advantage is with IT and elaborately changed food processes sounds good but? Food would require factory workers, infrastructure etc. I think of Hubbard muesli – a success. Yet our big customer has been Australia and for food, over there it is dominated by oppressive supermarkets. To produce any new item and sell it successfully for a length of time is difficult because of price gouging by them from suppliers. If popular, soon the supers muscle in and take it over with their brand name.

        IT – there are a lot of positions filled by overseas people. Here it could be that the firms these days have a lack of commitment to training people and want someone who has had good experience from somewhere else, they want to get the fruit ripe off the tree, not climate control it till it’s sweet. We hear all the time that employers can’t get the right people. They should look at themselves and their narrow little minds, probably most operating on rote rules and fitting the Peter Principle. Shades of the Office.

        And they have to fight over IT jobs that often are impossible to fulfil within the time specified and encompassing the add-ons that dreamers from the employing firm or department include. Often they will be beyond the capacity of the program machine that is being designed. we have all heard about massive fails. Police INCIS, Novopay, hospital ones, today a report that a Justice Department employee is blaming the Judges themselves. I don’t have confidence in the capacity of IT firms in NZ to be a big sector offering large employment opportunities and long career paths. lprent could shed light on this.

        But past competitive advantage came from developing our own industries here, then exporting good established products. We had a deep bank of jobs and business providing a vibrant economy, now we have a few remaining like the rare bits of native bush in the countryside which have to be nurtured to ensure that they can hold out against the predators from overseas.

        We must buy local, we must have work here, done as efficiently as possible but allowed to make a profit by protective tariffs set at a reasonable level. Lots of other countries do, and we trade with many of them. We should not just be buyers of remaindered goods from vast factories, buyers of the marginal product of volume producers overseas. We are becoming a nation that goes for cheapness all the time, and it produces the second half of the saying, the nasty results that we can see all around us.

        • Draco T Bastard 3.2.1.1

          I don’t have confidence in the capacity of IT firms in NZ to be a big sector offering large employment opportunities and long career paths. lprent could shed light on this.

          You should do because we’re actually very good at it. The failures you here about are just part of the overall industry and in many cases, like in the case of Novopay, done overseas because the government department pretty much ignored the NZ talent.

        • lprent 3.2.1.2

          IT – there are a lot of positions filled by overseas people. Here it could be that the firms these days have a lack of commitment to training people and want someone who has had good experience from somewhere else, they want to get the fruit ripe off the tree, not climate control it till it’s sweet.

          What you are describing is what happens in the small to medium export enterprises in startup or near startup phase. Larger companies are much more likely to take on apprentice level people straight out of academic or vocational training.

          But you are mistaking where the bottleneck usually is. Companies would probably like to train more people. It is the experienced people who could train them that don’t want to.

          It takes at least a year before most inexperienced people in IT stop requiring a having someone more experienced hand (and expensive) holding them. They irritate the hell out of their mentors with the questions that they ask, and if they don’t ask those questions then they take forever to be useful.

          I’ve trained quite a lot of “apprentice” IT over time because we used to get them out of the end of university courses. I can testify that training anyone while you are trying to code is like being pestered by a small child while you are trying play high level chess. It doesn’t work well. The productivity drop is immense and without the brain chemistry changes that parents get, after a while you want to take another job to get away from the pests.

          That makes it a hell of a large investment for any company and tends to drive people like me spare.

          The usual problem in most companies is that they don’t have enough experienced people willing to put up with hand-holding the novices, so they’re very picky about who they inflict on those who are willing to “mentor”.

          Incidentally, that is why in IT ads these days for both experienced and junior people the word “mentor” features so highly.

          I don’t have confidence in the capacity of IT firms in NZ to be a big sector offering large employment opportunities and long career paths. lprent could shed light on this.

          You are confusing the suppliers of local IT with those providing export based IT. Just to give you a hint on how separated those two industries are, the last time I worked for someone providing for the local industry was 1995. Most people I know work for one or the other of those two industries, but the seldom travel back and forth between them.

          Almost all of the big failures you are talking about are in local IT the government/corporate area and mostly where an overseas supplier has tried to develop something unique for NZ or adapt an overseas package. More often than not the actual issue has been with the client being incapable of knowing what they are asking for (the INCIS project being a prime example) and changing their mind in a way that prevents projects going to fruition.

          But I personally suspect that the government and its subsidiaries would be a hell of lot better off if they started using local suppliers. Problem is as the old saying goes from the heyday of big iron IT – “You don’t get fired for using IBM”

          • greywarbler 3.2.1.2.1

            @lprent
            Builders hate clients who accept a quote and then want to make this and that change of a window or door added, perhaps a serving hatch! I guess that IT designers feel the same. But the person at the business end who screws up the program generally seems to find a soft landing.

            These days IT designers may have to accustom themselves to working with others overseas such as in China, perhaps both working on different parts of the same program.

            How could new chums get more experience? Perhaps there is money in a NZ company designing a programming simulator teaching them how to fly a new program and test it well so the bugs show up.

            • Tracey 3.2.1.2.1.1

              builders also hate writing out exclusions… and those that do hate explaining them.

              • dave

                changes =more money that part they dont understand only when its time to pay !

            • lprent 3.2.1.2.1.2

              How could new chums get more experience? Perhaps there is money in a NZ company designing a programming simulator teaching them how to fly a new program and test it well so the bugs show up.

              I reckon that my usual learning curve per year is in the order of 20-30% per year. That is how much time you have to dedicate to staying close to the top of the game. I’ve also built a lot of training simulations mostly for management training. I think that a simulator to teach people to code has a very short lifespan. But you could find them on the net.

              Problem is that mostly what you have to teach is not the mechanics, but is the attitude towards how to approach problems.

              These days IT designers may have to accustom themselves to working with others overseas such as in China, perhaps both working on different parts of the same program.

              Outsourcing is fine for corporate programs where the solution space is known. But in our export industries that is seldom the case.

              In those you are almost by definition working in areas where there is no good definition of solutions to problems. The advantage that we have here is that where somewhere in the US or the UK will require a team of a hundred employees to do something, we will do it with a handful.

              Working remotely is something that gets done everywhere in IT to one degree or another. I spent 7 years coding (and training people) remotely from home back in the 90s and early 00s. Source control systems and remote access makes that kind of thing trivial to do.

              The real problem is when you’re bouncing ideas around to figure out solutions to unsolved issues. Then you need a whiteboard and a huddle.

      • Draco T Bastard 3.2.2

        I question that those employed in dairying are very well off from wages.

        He said highest revenue not highest wages. Big difference.

        And IIRC, it was actually the tech sector that returned the highest revenue and wages per person.

        EDIT:
        Found it
        It appears that Fonterra does have the highest revenue per employee but the high tech sector has more potential.

        • lprent 3.2.2.1

          I can’t find it, but there was this interesting comparison I read a year or so ago about capital investment on tech vs farming.

          If you go profit or revenue/capital for a rate of return rather than profit or revenue/wages then dairy looks rather sick. The problem of course is the extremely high (and ever rising) cost of the land sucking up vast amounts of capital.

          The difference of course is to do with risk. However when you consider that we’re looking at a largely commodity industry in dairy, completely exposed to world prices and demand, and to a large extent in a fashion area like milk powder – the risks in sinking the amount of money that NZ has into dairying is pretty damn risky.

    • lprent 3.3

      Therefore this definition does not include any food or beverage items, no matter how transformed they are.

      It’d be nice if that was in fact the case. That would be adding value to the local raw materials.

      I used table 10 because it was a summary easy to put on to a post page.

      But look at the more detailed table 2 in the spread sheet. The effect you are describing isn’t really noticeable

      For instance in the two examples you used, the exports of

      • Beverages, spirits, and vinegar *declined* by 8.8% over the year and was only $20 million anyway
      • Miscellaneous edible preparations where a lot of processed meats live *declined* by -5.3 and was only $64 million
      • Other animal originated products *declined* by -2.0% to $55 million

      There are a number of different categories where processed foods live in. But if you look closely at them the smaller ones by value the overall trends are downward or static over time. It is certainly bloody hard to point to any actual instances of extra value being exported in quantity.

      In any case they are dwarfed by these two largely unprocessed or minimal processing categories that are the export sectors that are actually increasing.

      • Milk powder, butter, and cheese *increased* by 30.5% to $1,527 million – it is now about 30% of the exports of this country
      • Logs, wood, and wood articles increased by 23.6% to $385 million

      You will be well aware of Sir Paul Callaghan’s work which showed the dairy sector in all its aspects had virtually the highest revenue per person working in it.

      Sure but productivity is almost irrelevant when it isn’t jobs and wages and therefore doesn’t reflect well back into the economy. It just makes investors with dairy investments (including many National MP’s) richer.

      Just to give you an idea of the scale of jobs:- the last time that I looked, the direct jobs in the entire dairy industry were about 68 thousand including on the farms and in the processing plants. The number of jobs in the tech industries I work in were about the same but with a much lower capital and export value. But it also reflected far more money indirectly back into the economy.

      Try finding the productivity increases being reflected back into the wages of dairy processing workers for instance. They have been getting minimal increases even during this boom in their industry. Which is why the rural regions in this country are depopulating rapidly and their economies are near moribund even with a dairying boom going on around them.

      I also note your list does not include export of services, including IT. I understand that this sector continues to make gains.

      Sure. I work around that area. The problem there as I have pointed out before is that there are very few new businesses being formed. The growth we are getting now comes from businesses that were formed in the middle of last decade when there were flood of those types of businesses being set up. As the survivors move out of startup phase they expand into their overseas markets and grow.

      Problem is that there are virtually none of them being setup here now. The main reason for that is that almost all of the environmental and economic incentives put in by the Clark government to encourage the formation for IT and tech based businesses were dropped. They largely haven’t been replaced. The replacements that have been begrudgingly put in place are pretty useless. So those companies aren’t forming.

      To grow a sector like tech and IT you need to have a continuous replacement of smaller companies being formed because it is a world with an immense pressure in innovate and change. Even large companies will die in it. And in NZ of course we have the issue that eventually many of these companies will move/be sold offshore when they become mature and no longer need the innovation that we are good at producing.

      Essentially National is strip-mining the resource in a unsustainable way put in by previous governments for credit while not sustaining an industry that produces jobs rather than capital gains. Just as they usually do.

      The problem with relying entirely on the dairy and other raw material exports is that they do virtually nothing to much of the economy in terms of real job growth. This is directly reflected in the tax returns that are bedevilling this government’s ability to stop their rising debt levels.

      [lprent: Drat. Had to go into the database to set the correct comment I was replying to. ]

    • geoff 3.4

      You will be well aware of Sir Paul Callaghan’s work which showed the dairy sector in all its aspects had virtually the highest revenue per person working in it.

      Is that some kind of average? Link? Because the latest news regarding employment in the dairying sector doesn’t gel with the rosy picture you are painting, Wayne.

      http://www.radionz.co.nz/news/rural/242872/farmers-told-to-keep-up-paperwork

      http://www.radionz.co.nz/news/rural/242777/dairy-farmers-breach-labour-laws

      • Colonial Viper 3.4.1

        Wayne is obfuscating.

        From memory, although revenue per person from dairy is reasonable (and ignoring that farm workers get a tiny share of that revenue), it is still significantly under what serious advanced countries get from industries like biotech and pharmaceuticals, electronics, and software.

        Wayne is basically saying that dairying does better in this one measure than say fishing or forestry. Whoop dee doo.

        • Colonial Viper 3.4.1.1

          So let’s refer to Prof Callaghan’s presentation directly

          https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OhCAyIllnXY

          At 6:10 it is clear that our GDP per capita is total shite compared to Australia. (NB China is no longer going to be Australia’s economic growth magic charm for the next decade, so Australia is fucked).

          At 7:20 it is clear that NZ is the second hardest working OECD country by labour hours, but the value of our output per hour is total shite.

          At 9:10 you can see that Fonterra has a high level of revenue per employee – but of course Fonterra relies on the production of a hell of a lot of farmworkers who are not their employees, and they ain’t counted.

          Then at 9:20 it becomes clear where Fonterra’s stats of $350K per employee actually stand. Apple produces $1300K per employee. Nokia $1100K per employee. Sony $646K per employee.

          At 9:50 it is clear that NZ’s biggest export earner is manufacturing. Not dairy, not tourism. Yet we continuously treat our manufacturing sector with such disdain. (Fuck that Shitlands character).

          At 13:10 it becomes clear that the things NZ are good at exporting are things people do not expect. Frequency oscillators, radios, payroll software etc. And politicians are shite because like Wayne they like to oversimplify things down into meaninglessness, or worse, sheer disinformation.

          Our top 10 high tech companies have $3.9B in revenues. Fonterra is pretty average in this crowd.

          One of Prof Callaghan’s last points – NZ needs to be the country where great, motivated, talented people want to live and want to enjoy their lives and raise their families.

          Not a dug up mined out hole overflowing with cow shit.

          • Wayne 3.4.1.1.1

            CV,

            Broadly I agree with Sir Paul. His book from memory covered all the people in the dairy industry, not just those directly employed by Fonterra. Yes, I have noted the point about low paid farm workers as raised by Josie Pagani yesterday. But I know this since my brother in law actually is an employee on a large dairy farm.

            I consulted Sir Paul a lot, along with Neville Jordan, when I was Minister of Science and Innovation. On of the initiatives that I introduced was a big increase in grant money for those firms who had the highest levels of innovation in manufacturing and IT. Companies like Tait Electronics, Gallaghers, F & P Healthcare, Weta Digital, Pacific Aerospace, Orion, etc.

            This is now the Growth Grant, which is 20% of R & D expenditure with a grant value up to $5 million per year. New Zealand needs 30 more companies like these, but it is a hard business growing them, as in fact Iprent can testify.

            • lprent 3.4.1.1.1.1

              I try pretty hard not to get involved in growing them directly. I write code to solve awkward and hard problems because that is what I like doing.

              But I got into coding to get out of management because managing other people is a damn sight less fun than building things yourself.

              This is now the Growth Grant, which is 20% of R & D expenditure with a grant value up to $5 million per year. New Zealand needs 30 more companies like these, but it is a hard business growing them, as in fact Iprent can testify.

              The problem is that with technological and market attrition you need to keep creating 30 companies with a year with only a few employees and a dream to maintain having 30 companies at that level. The effects of the changes in 2009/10 was to make it a damn sight harder to get the initial R&D and first test marketing offshore done. The effect is that it makes fewer nascent companies to be created and more of them to fail early.

              Also an awful lot of the growth fund is tied up in funding graduate students often with some pretty dubious results in terms of getting anything to market for smaller companies. It is a good effort for larger firms where they need new ideas, but it is usually just a damn distraction for smaller firms who are mostly concerned with how to bring their idea to a marketable stage.

              • Wayne

                There are two main types of grants (1) project grants which are usually for smaller firms and (2) the growth grants which are for the larger, but highly innovative firms. The growth grants do not relate to any specific project. There is also much smaller grants for firms to employ graduate students.

                It is all set out on the Callaghan website. And Callaghan now has real momentum, after a bit of a rocky start. They are now fully staffed up in the grant part of the organisation, with some very bright and canny people. In fact I am sure quite a few of them will leave to head start ups. That will be healthy since there will need to be an active interchange of people between Callaghan, universities and private business.

                The growth grants are a high trust model and have relatively low compliance checking once a firm has qualified for the grant. If a company has a high level of innovation, a growth grant to boost innovation is likely to lead to more innovation because that is the culture of the firm.

                A firm qualifies for growth grants if they have a track record for innovation and typically have more than $20 million annual revenue.

                It was considered that backing these firms would produce greater growth than concentrating all the innovation money on start ups and smaller firms. But it is a question of balance.

                My prediction for government election policy. Currently the grants administered by Callaghan Innovation stands at $140 million per year. I reckon this will grow to $250 million per anum over next three years. This is not based on any inside knowledge, just my perception of what will happen.

                • Ad

                  Great to see a former Minister mixing it here.

                  I was at MoRST when we were developing the Fast Forward Fund.

                  Have you or Labour policy people started considering alternatives to this fund that would generate a deep and enduring compact between the pastoral industries (but especially dairy) and the Crown eg with the CRI’s?

                  I have never really forgiven National for axeing my project; I wanted some measure and discipline to the state and the dairy industry become basically an uneven binary system. The growing proportion of dairy in export receipts was even in the last years of Clark’s government quite amazing to track. I recall one analyst referring to the New Zealand economy in 2008 as “a dairy play.”

                • lprent

                  It was considered that backing these firms would produce greater growth than concentrating all the innovation money on start ups and smaller firms. But it is a question of balance.

                  That is going to be an interesting question isn’t it. Will those types of firms take up growth grants or will they simply sell ownership stakes in the markets that they want to penetrate into. Usually the latter is what usually happens. It allows startup investors to get out with cash in hand before their holdings get diluted by demands for expansion money. It allows the companies to get into markets where they can get real finance to expand with. A lot of the time they descale locally after that.

                  I don’t think that having a bit of R&D money available here will break that pattern (R&D tax credits might). Just trying to explain a business targeting micro-niche markets to people from outside of those markets is bad enough. The reality is that it doesn’t matter how smart they are and much they research it, the eventual decision is made mostly on a gut feel and a one way bet on the people. It gets even worse when you get to trying to explain how the technical aspects of the design operate and integrate.

                  However I can tell that with the gutting of MFAT’s trade side supporting first steps outside the country and effectively excluding most startups until after they have a track record of sales slowed and in my opinion largely stopped the formation of smaller companies after 2008.

                  They’re starting up again these days, but mostly with overseas investment (and often these days with net campaigns for investment) and frequently moving overseas at the onset. There is literally nothing to make them want to startup here.

                  They are now fully staffed up in the grant part of the organisation, with some very bright and canny people. In fact I am sure quite a few of them will leave to head start ups.

                  That wouldn’t surprise me. However the track record of aid ‘insiders’ in doing tech startups is (to put it mildly) piss-poor. I’ve avoided them for quite a few years. They tend to spend their time on getting aid rather than getting sustainable product and markets.

          • greywarbler 3.4.1.1.2

            Yes CV I have started reading up about Norway, etc. Sweden as someone the other day noted, has had a RW govt and is getting prepared to extract defeat from the jaws of victory or something. I don’t think that the World Health Org has caught up with the TINA disease but it sounds as if Sweden has got this debilitating fever. Instead of bringing down the top tax from over 90% to say 60% and striking a ‘Being fair’ pose, they seem to have started on the tinkering with the system approach.

            But generally I despair of down here. We’ve only got Australia near us, and with friends like them who needs enemies. The Asian people are perhaps more straightforward and understandable, once known. We are very isolated with throwbacks from early colonial days running the country in a similar fashion to 100 years ago. If we can’t break the cycle it will be necessary to seek virtuous circle clans working together in small communities as we would have to give up on the zombies.

    • Tracey 3.5

      interestingly agriculture is about 8% of gdp but banking and finance sector is 28%

      bother you at all?

      • Colonial Viper 3.5.1

        Banking and finance produce only intermediate goods, no final goods. And should be kept at around 10% of the economy, max.

        • Tracey 3.5.1.1

          yup.

          and is central to every economic collapse since 1980.

        • srylands 3.5.1.2

          That is crazy. The services sector, including finance, will continue to grow. In Australia the services share of the economy is over 75% of the economy, with the finance sector a major wealth generator. We can’t match that but we should expect to see the finance sector hit 40% of the economy. Manufacturing will continue to decline towards 10%, which we should applaud. Why the author of the post is worried about a decline in manufacturing I have no idea.

          This is a result of our international linkages which Phil Goff deserves a lot of credit for.

          There is no alternative to promoting policies that accelerate these trends.

          • Tracey 3.5.1.2.1

            god slylands. not the services sector. the finance and banking sector. try to follow the grown ups or go play outside.

          • Draco T Bastard 3.5.1.2.2

            Why the author of the post is worried about a decline in manufacturing I have no idea.

            I’d say it’s because, unlike you, he’s not fucking insane.

          • Colonial Viper 3.5.1.2.3

            There is no alternative to promoting policies that accelerate these trends.

            Cheap oil is going away Shitlands, and with it the global economy. Every kid in highschool today is going to see this occur before they hit middle age.

            So in terms of alternatives – yours doesn’t even register as sane and must be discounted.

          • ropata 3.5.1.2.4

            slyrandian has gone off the deep end this time.

            why the hell would we want foreign banks getting their greedy mitts on 40% of the economy?

            all banks and insurers ought to be nationalised, or at least reviewed every year by the commerce commission and the serious fraud office

            • Draco T Bastard 3.5.1.2.4.1

              Country only needs one bank and a state bank can out compete the private banks.

  4. blue leopard 4

    It seems to me sensible for us to diversify in how we, as a country, generate wealth.

    This seems especially important when we appear to depend on a sector that is polluting our environment – water supplies – when word gets out how filthy this country is becoming – we might just find any ‘competitive advantage’ in farming has withered to nothing.

    What a pity that Nats take such an unreasonable and frothing-at-the-mouth line toward the Greens; it seems to me that what the Greens promote would go a long way toward protecting the farming sector, for example, from the above disastrous outcome.

    Diversification also avoids monopolistic effects, which is when power gets concentrated and starts to sway the political agenda – like Amy Adams appears to have done with the RMA – having a few people having undue influence leading to them making arbitrary decisions on the entire country and leads to poorly thought out decisions – which can already be seen, in farming, to be threatening the very industry that the self-interested monopolistic elements in that sector are trying to profit from.

  5. geoff 5

    Nice analysis, lprent.
    According this: http://www.dcanz.com/about-nz-dairy-industry/dairying-today

    29% of our export dollars are from dairying. All entirely dependent on the milk solid commodity price?

    • lprent 5.1

      Pretty much. I’ll have to dig around. But last time I looked last year all of the other export products inside the dairy industry were largely static or tiny, and only milk powder was growing.

      • Ad 5.1.1

        If I squint hard and cross my fingers and toes I can imagine the dairy industry as a transition industry from a really low-value, low-productivity, low capital intensity, low-wage agrarian economy to a high value food specialist economy.

        The one big thing that holds it back in my view is Fonterra failing to live up to the reasons it was set up in the first place: to to add value to milk. Fonterra needs its original legislation reviewed – they have to be forced into higher value products. I know it’s taking the higher and harder and more risky route. farmers will otherwise realise too late they cannot remain addicted to the favours of a great dragon.

        • lprent 5.1.1.1

          That is definitely a problem. I haven’t looked recently at what else Fonterra have been producing. But looking at the numbers, the milk powder to China appears to drown out all other growth.

          Part of the problem is their governance. I really don’t detect much sign of thought. Just look at how late it was before they realised that dropping crap into their waterways that they depend on was not the way to build a sustainable industry. It is going to take decades at the best possible rate to clean up the damage they already caused to themselves.

          The other problem of course is that a base growth factor for Fonterra has been purely population growth, fading out in about 30 years. The other growth factor of markets growing into affluence like China is right now – but I can’t see that much opportunity for that to carry on without the environment fallout from using cheap fossil energy stifling that. Looks like the green movement in China is going to come from the more affluent who don’t want London smogs blighting their lives.

          Kind of an interesting example for other nations looking to grow fast. I’ve been catching up on The Economist back issues today as well.

          • Ad 5.1.1.1.1

            If only we could see Fonterra’s CE strategise beyond China – he is increasingly tempted to drive milk protein marketing through his drying plant Asset Management Plans, as if it were a bulk utility.

            It amazes me that Key doesn’t register that Fonterra executives are more powerful than most Ministers. In the midst of the botulism crisis we saw much of cabinet shown running around in full media scrutiny of most of China’s tv channels and many other global outlets. And failing. Would even a Foot and Mouth event require the Prime Minister to personally do an apology tour to China?

            Forcing diversification of Fonterra would decrease the massive exposure any future government has to dairy in particular to Fonterra.

            A start would be if the MPI Minister was required to be on the Board, and the Landcorp Chair were required to be on the Shareholders’ Council.

  6. “The problem is that dairy exports provide us with minimal jobs directly and indirectly and manufacturing provides a lot of jobs directly and indirectly.”

    vi) Number of Direct jobs in the Dairy Industry

    Over 26,000 people were employed as dairy farmers and dairy farm workers
    Over 11,000 people employed in New Zealand by Dairy Companies
    Over 37,000 direct jobs in the New Zealand Dairy Industry

    http://www.globaldairyalliance.org/english/2/newzealand/statistics.shtml

    That’s not minimal and that’s just directly.

    On top of that there’s major support industries with stock feed, irrigation, buildings, milking equipment, fertiliser, stock firms, vehicle supply and service, transport etc etc.

    Without the dairy industry a big chunk of New Zealand would become ghost towns and villages.

    • Draco T Bastard 6.1

      That’s about 2% of workers and so, yeah, very minor.

      • Pete George 6.1.1

        Yeah, right. And it’s growing.

        The dairy sector is especially short of workers. It’s estimated that at least 2,000 more workers are needed every year to cater for growth in the sector.

        http://www.newzealandnow.govt.nz/working-in-nz/great-job-opportunities/agriculture-forestry-jobs

        Multiply that for the service industries – in some areas of New Zealand a quarter of jobs are related to dairy. Try telling Waikato, Taranaki or Southland they’re ‘very minor’.

        • lprent 6.1.1.1

          See my comment in 6.3 about the effect of modern dairying on rural depopulation.

          Generally you’ll find farming areas with a mixed farming style like used to exist in the Canterbury and Southland plains supported a lot more people with work than dairying does.

          Older dairy areas like Waikato, the Thame plains and Taranaki have effectively managed to massively increase production without a corresponding increase in the number of people employed directly or indirectly. Much of the money from the increased production hasn’t been going into wages or even the farmers pockets. It has been going into interest payments and profits to investors

          This is what it means when people concentrate on productivity. You create deserts where the number of people diminishes and where the industry has less and less beneficial effects for the whole economy.

          • Pete George 6.1.1.1.1

            Rural depopulation occurred on a major scale long before dairy came to dominate.

            You need to also take into account a much more mobile workforce and industry. For example sheep and cattle farming used local trucking companies, dairy transport can be more factory based, they go and get the milk whereas other farms deliver with local transport.

            Has rural depopulation occurred significantly more this century? I’d have thought dairy would have intensified labour needs.

            • One Anonymous Bloke 6.1.1.1.1.1

              “…thought…” – well there’s your problem. What goes on in your head is too distorted by self-regard and bias to be considered thinking.

            • lprent 6.1.1.1.1.2

              Has rural depopulation occurred significantly more this century? I’d have thought dairy would have intensified labour needs

              You’d have thought so yes. But only if they remained on the same kind of tech as they had previously. When I was milking back in the late 1970’s we had a large herd of about 280 cows with a couple of us milking and on the farm. As at 2011/12 it was nearly 400 cows as an average herd.

              Herd sizes

              They will still be doing that with just a couple of people.

              Depending on what was being farmed in a particular area before, you will usually find that the rural population will either remain static or decline after the dairy conversions are done. That is what we are seeing happen particularly in areas that converted from mixed farming to dairy. You will get increases in population in areas that have a conversion from hill sheep and beef to valley dairy using the hills as a runoff. But there aren’t that many of those.

          • Pete George 6.1.1.1.2

            Actually this is surprising:

            In 1881, the rural population of New Zealand numbered 291,237 (excluding Mäori). While the rural population had increased to 532,740 in 2001, it was 501,258 in 1916, so the population of rural areas has increased very little since the early twentieth century.

            Instead of depopulation there is probably a change in the location and composition of the rural population. Counties near urban areas, where, either coincidentally or not there are a number of small holdings, tend to have increasing populations.

            http://www.stats.govt.nz/browse_for_stats/people_and_communities/Geographic-areas/urban-rural-profile/historical-context.aspx

            That’s just up to 2001 but the rural population has changed rather than shrunk up to then.

            And this table seems to support static rather than depopulation since then (I only had a quick look).
            http://www.stats.govt.nz/~/media/Statistics/browse-categories/people-and-communities/geographic-areas/urban-rural-profile-update/people.xls

            • lprent 6.1.1.1.2.1

              As I said in another comment, it is variable what happens depending on what the existing tech was compared to the encroaching tech. You also have lag effects because of the retired and those who remain unemployed or under employed in an area.

              The most effective way to look is usually to look at the population in the 20-30 age band. When employment drops away, they are the “fast responders” who move away. Conversely they are the people who move into new demand areas.

              BTW: You’d need to look at the 2013 population statistics to see the changes from dairying. Most of the conversions happened after 2005 when the FTA talks with China were started. It’d been happening from the early 00’s but at a less marked rate than it achieved just before and after the time that the FTA with China was signed in April 2008.

              It was the FTA that really supercharged the international market for exported dairy products because we started sending a hell of a lot of product that way rather than into the previously rather moribund international trade.

            • Ad 6.1.1.1.2.2

              Almost all local authorities outside the cities are losing people. The stats professor at Waikato can give you chapter and verse on this. Local Government New Zealand will also fill you in.

              The dairy sector has been a major increase in capital intensity, and in productivity per hectare. And that’s excellent – a massive step up from low density and low capital farms from the days of Footrot Flats mythology.

              But it’s not enough. We’re not going to reach those high salary jobs when the farm staff are still largely on minimum wage or close to it. Any hick can hose down the shit.

              And any dumbass exec in a dairy company can keep treating dairy factories with the same value-add as a dam-based electricity generator does to storing water: it’s simply a bulk commodity being sold in units like electricity.

              We should expect more.

            • Draco T Bastard 6.1.1.1.2.3

              500,000 in 1916 – half of the population
              500,000 in 2001 – about an eighth of the population

              Looking at absolute numbers can give a dreadfully inaccurate picture.

        • lprent 6.1.1.2

          BTW: You should look at the numbers.

          Last year the dairy had at about a $500 million increase in revenue. But they only need about 2000 new workers? That means that every dairy worker generates something like $250,000 of export revenue annually. Needless to say this isn’t reflected in their wage packets as they are not exactly overpaid – which is the main reason they aren’t inundated with eager recruits.

          As I say, this is an industry that poses a problem for NZ. Especially since it is in a commodity market that is dominated more by fashion than need, it can easily lose it’s recent stellar export prices at any time.

          It is much the same issue that we had with the wool industry, the beef industry, the venison/velvet industry, the kiwifruit industry, etc etc.

          As far as I remember, none of those got anywhere near being 30% of our total exports by value. That is a ludicrously risky position for this country to be in.

          • Wayne 6.1.1.2.1

            “That means every dairy worker generates something like $250,000 of export revenue annually.”

            Well, that is exactly the case and was well illustrated by Paul Callaghan. It is why investment is flowing into diary production. It pays off, even if it is capital intensive.

            Sure, it feels like we are putting an awful lot of eggs into one basket, but my sense is that diary does not feel like other boom and bust agricultural businesses such as deer, kiwifriut, lamas and blue berries, et al.

            And I personally believe the environmental issues will be manageable as the industry expands, though it will take a lot more effort and leadership by Fonterra than they currently show.

            Diary products are much more ubiquitious in daily diets, and as Asia grows, demand will continue upward.

            After all diary has been the basis of much of New Zealand’s prosperity for 140 years, and for the vast majority of that time has been a very good bet for our country. It has dipped significantly only during the the late 1970’s and 1980’s when the UK joined the EU (and I guess in the 1930’s).

        • Draco T Bastard 6.1.1.3

          Until we run out of land and considering the water shortages and general pollution of our waterways I’d say that we did that years ago. And no amount of increased intensification and productivity is going to substitute the needed resources to support more cows.

          From Callaghan that I linked to up thread:

          But looking at largely brain-based business, it does seem, overall, that high technology companies come out quite well. Indeed there are several companies, in the US
          especially, where $1 million US revenue per employee is not uncommon. Of course large revenue will be most interesting, from a wealth generation perspective, when it arises from the lowest raw materials input value, or supplier product input value (and least capital asset base). In this regard, Samsung, which makes its own chips and consumer electronic products, could be close to that ideal. The point is that Samsung produces about half New Zealand’s GDP with 123,000 employees. That’s a sobering thought.

          We could easily put 123,000 employees into high-tech and match that and yet there’s absolutely no way that farming will ever be able to do it. It would, though, need a lot of backing from government both in R&D (direct government through universities and other government research institutes and government funding of small private firms) and building fabrication plants. Basically, the same way that the US does it.

    • geoff 6.2

      @PG

      Did you not read Lynn’s comment above??
      http://thestandard.org.nz/nationals-exports-how-to-lose-value-and-jobs/#comment-806793

      he said…
      “Just to give you an idea of the scale of jobs:- the last time that I looked, the direct jobs in the entire dairy industry were about 68 thousand including on the farms and in the processing plants. The number of jobs in the tech industries I work in were about the same but with a much lower capital and export value. But it also reflected far more money indirectly back into the economy.”

    • lprent 6.3

      That’s not minimal and that’s just directly.

      You should probably read the sources in your links. Decade old sources are pretty useless.

      Information Source: Livestock Improvement Corporation “Dairy Statistics 2003-2004″.

      It is somewhat higher than total direct 37 thousand jobs now. As I said last time I looked it was about 68k

      On top of that there’s major support industries with stock feed, irrigation, buildings, milking equipment, fertiliser, stock firms, vehicle supply and service, transport etc etc.

      That is the interesting thing. Go and have a look at the population in areas like the Southland plains where there has been intense conversion to dairy over the past decade from a more mixed farming style. What you will find is a depopulation going on in the towns and even out in the farmland. Dairying on large farms is quite intensive and once it is past the conversion stage is intensely productive at a labour and supply chain level.

      They spend a lot on initial equipment but it doesn’t need much maintenance or replacement. They also don’t need as many people in the supply chain. Which is why intensive large scale dairy areas often look like people deserts

      So no, you are wrong on this as well.

  7. greywarbler 7

    Something that ‘someone’ here doesn’t get is that employment from dairying isn’t great. That’s on the one hand, but then on the other, if dairying started providing lots and lots of jobs in particular areas or all over the country, then that isn’t great either.

    Because we have become too ‘exposed’ to the one industry. If dairy is our main industry and anything goes wrong in it, here or in the world that buys our milk, then we are stuffed. We could then form a rabble and go round smashing everything down in anger which would be the type of thing we humans do. But that would be as foolish as putting all our economic eggs in one basket as the wiseguys and girls now are doing. Stop and think, look left and right, before taking any more steps forward you morons.

  8. Philj 8

    xox
    I remember reading “a hundred year ago ” reference in the newspaper and it was all about government and industry leaders talking about adding value to our commodities. Nothing really has changed in this
    respect. Maybe worse. Now we have legions of workers from the Pacific and Asia working on slave ships, vineyards, rest homes ,and increasingly plastering and painting houses in Auckland. Not so evident in Christchurch,yet.

  9. Steve Bradley 9

    Bang on regarding the politics of the ‘NZ dairy export economy’. Reminds me of the National party in government during the 1970’s when Holyoake and then Muldoon rode the sheep industry and its rural seats into the ground after Britain joined the Common Market rather than make necessary incremental changes to the benefit of all New Zealanders. That death grip ended with Rogernomics and Ruthanasia as workers, particularly Maori, were made to pay the costs. Their decendents fill today’s jails. Up to a point the dairy industry can be useful, but now its excessive growth is becoming an ecological disaster as well. Not only with continuing consumption and pollution of limited water resources. But also with the sheer waste of fossil fuels as we burn our precious natural gas supplies to evaporate water from milk. Perhaps some of it is justified in providing milk powder as an emergency food supply in case of natural disaster; but just to make money is an economic negative. Manufacturing (including agricultural processing) still occurs in New Zealand, but for a couple of decades it has been seen as less sexy than than other activities such as film making, IT, money massaging. These can all be positive too. But there is a growing realisation that manufacturing requires skilled operational staff, substantial research staff, and can make decent profits as goods are produced that people around the world actually need and are prepared to pay for. More analysis of the data will help a Labour-led government facilitate increases in productive capacity.

  10. mike 10

    do what you like with the stats but everything is rosy. Get over it

    • felix 10.1

      Ooh, a plea to ignore facts and focus on the slogans.

      Night shift is here. :roll:

    • lprent 10.2

      Ah right. You divined this from what? How your navel hair and dandruff looks when you scoop it out and inspect it?

      There is a reason why we go to the considerable expense of collecting and publishing statistics. It so that we have a moderately objective base from which to examine what is actually happening. It so we don’t have to waste time some pinhead like yourself practice your black magic powers of divination.

      Of course we know that is just a cover for your illiteracy with numbers. But hey, we won’t harp on about that or your next claim of having an 18″ dick and that “many” women love your grafted on horse member…

      There is always a dickhead from the nomadic warrior clans around. Grunting to them in their own language usually works wonders

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    Imperator Fish | 19-09
  • NZ General Election 2014
    Midnight very soon and the election blackout begins. Please observe.  Good luck to our peeps.  Get out and vote!...
    Tumeke | 19-09
  • A Song For Election Day.
     THINGS HAVE CHANGED: One of Bob Dylan's more enigmatic expeditions, it captures to perfection the wayward impulses and bland excuses of twenty-first century life.People are crazy and times are strangeI'm locked in tight, I'm out of rangeI used to care,...
    Bowalley Road | 19-09
  • Remember ladies a woman’s place is in the revolution
    ...
    Politically Corrected | 19-09
  • Thank you to all the suffragettes who made tomorrow possible 121 years ago ...
    ...
    Politically Corrected | 19-09
  • Hey Civilians! You can take our H-ches but you’ll never take our Hamilton
    ...
    Politically Corrected | 19-09
  • Captain Hamilton says “Yo there citizens vote positive tomorrow, two tick...
    Sue Moroney – Hamilton West Clive Allen – Hamilton East Nanaia Mahuta – Hauraki Waikato Christine Greer – Waikato...
    Politically Corrected | 19-09
  • Even the election signs are starting to pack up, getting ready to go home
    ...
    Politically Corrected | 19-09
  • None so blind as Key
    ...
    Politically Corrected | 19-09
  • Hamilton’s going to the dogs under National
    Hamilton’s going to the dogs under National * Vote Positive, Two Ticks Labour * no dogs were harmed in the making of this post...
    Politically Corrected | 19-09
  • Labour’s 2014 Closing Address
    The election campaign is now drawing to a close - in a few hours, campaigning will end and the final voting begins! Thanks to all of our dedicated volunteers for their hard work over the course of the campaign.If you...
    The Jackal | 19-09
  • Internet MANA closing address
    Why party vote Internet MANA?• If you want NZ to lead the world in green technologies• If you want the Internet to remain open and free• If you object to mass surveillance by the government• If you want to see...
    The Jackal | 19-09
  • Party Vote Green: our closing broadcast
    For a cleaner, fairer, smarter New Zealand - Party Vote Green.http://greens.org.nz...
    The Jackal | 19-09
  • The Civilian Party Closing Address
    Tomorrow, we need your vote, New Zealand. Not just for us. Not just so that we can be in government. But also for you; so that you may have ice cream, a llama for your child, freedom from Hamilton, and...
    The Jackal | 19-09
  • Always look on the bright side of life
    ...
    Arch Rival | 19-09
  • Moments of Political Truthiness in New Zealand’s mainstream media
    This very well prepared graphic from Paul Le Comte is an excellent representation of how mainstream media has spun poll results to their audiences.  In Paul’s graphic you will see the following: A headline: Moment of Truth gifts Team Key...
    Politically Corrected | 19-09
  • One of these cats wants you to rate them tomorrow
    The other is a National party politician Vote Positive, Vote two ticks Labour...
    Politically Corrected | 19-09
  • Vote Positive, Vote Labour
    Its the end of the weirdest campaign ever in our little corner of the Pacific. There will be time, regardless of the result tomorrow, to sift through the detritus of Dirty Politics, spying, copyright infringement, the political corpse of Mrs...
    Polity | 19-09
  • The Perplexing PETM
    The Paleocene-Eocene Thermal Maximum (PETM) around 56 million years ago is perhaps the most studied of the many episodes of global warming in the geological record, but it still has plenty of puzzles. Professor Daniela Schmidt has written an article in "Geology"...
    Skeptical Science | 19-09
  • Prediction
    Following my discovery that other people are allowed to vote in this election thing that is going on - and here I was thinking all the fuss was about me and my vote and nothing else - I have decided...
    Left hand palm | 19-09
  • Decision
    I am pleased to announce that, after much consideration, I will be casting my electorate vote in Palmerston North for Mr Iain Lees-Galloway.Deciding on my party vote proved much harder.In 2002 and 2005, I voted for the Alliance - the...
    Left hand palm | 19-09
  • Web hosts’ defamation liability restricted
    In a significant Court of Appeal decision (see Murray v Wishart), hot off the press, the judges have unanimously ruled that a third party publisher (the owner of a Facebook page that contained comments by others) was not liable for...
    Media Law Journal | 19-09
  • Noo!
    Scotland went to the polls in a referendum on independence yesterday, and while the last results are still coming in, appear to have voted "no". Its not the result I wanted, but the people have spoken. In the leadup to...
    No Right Turn | 19-09
  • So, predictions…
    I’ve been keeping track of the polls with my Poll of Polls (final update here), but of course polls technically aren’t prediction devices. They ask the question, “If an election were held today/tomorrow”, and are therefore only so useful when...
    Occasionally erudite | 19-09
  • IED Bradbury
    Poor Marytn. Not a good week for Mana, and not a good day for him. Let's review the tape: First, here's Martyn's initial post: With so many political forces lining up to take Te Tai Tokerau’s mana from the voters...
    Polity | 19-09
  • My election predictions
    Everyone else is doing it, so why shouldn't I have a go? Here are my predictions for what is going to happen....
    Imperator Fish | 19-09
  • Busytown: Good as gold
    Everyone should have read the book by now. No, not Dirty Politics (although you should have read that too). The other one that came out quietly at the end of last year and has become the silent witness to this entire election...
    Public Address | 19-09
  • What Is This Election About?
    Vox Populi, Vox Dei: The Voice of the people, is the voice of God - or the Devil. It depends in the end on what sort of people we are, or have become. THIS ELECTION is about us – the people...
    Bowalley Road | 19-09
  • Zoning out – is it time for a review?
    18 September 2014     The last few years have seen rising inequality between schools and the erosion of students’ right to attend their local school. These are just some of the impacts of the current school zoning policy that PPTA...
    PPTA | 19-09
  • Election eve nightmare for National
    The bad news for National and their leader, John Key, has been unprecedented during this election campaign. First there was the release of a book by Nicky Hager called Dirty Politics that threatened to derail the right wings campaign entirely.However,...
    The Jackal | 19-09
  • Hard News: Friday Music: Lovable Munter
    I know I've banged on quite a bit about Courtney Barnett lately, but oh my goodness she was great at the King's Arms this week. Her wordy, nerdy songs, her weird guitar-playing, her rockin' band and her lovable-munter persona, they...
    Public Address | 19-09
  • Vote
    Today is Suffrage Day, the 121st anniversary of the day women won the right to vote in New Zealand. Its rightfully a day on which we celebrate our democratic heritage (and it should be a public holiday, dammit). Its also...
    No Right Turn | 19-09
  • The story’s not done yet – a final post
    I think I'm going to skip the office sweepstake. I just don't know and I don't think anyone knows because undecideds, turnout and late movement could make a huge difference. This election campaign has simply been so volatile I think...
    Pundit | 19-09
  • Poll of Polls update – 19 September 2014
    It’s time for the final pre-election Poll of Polls update! We’ve had the last Herald Digipoll and Fairfax Ipsos poll results this morning, so we’re good to go. (If Roy Morgan suddenly publish a three-day poll this afternoon, then bugger...
    Occasionally erudite | 19-09
  • John Key’s Top 69 Lies: Today no. 1 – I promise I will always be h...
    John Key on HonestyTranscript: 22nd September, 2008Paul Henry: Do you promise you’ll never do that (mislead the public) if you become the prime minister? John Key: I do promise I’ll never do that.Paul Henry: Do you promise you will always be honest.John...
    Arch Rival | 19-09
  • Rail and congestion relief
    A conference by the Traffic Institute – a group primarily made up of councillors and officers from a number of local authorities around the country to represent views on road safety and traffic management – held its annual conference earlier this...
    Transport Blog | 19-09
  • Last Minute Election Prediction – Percentages and Who I believe Will Be T...
    Just 30 hours or so until we start hearing the results of this years general election here in beautiful New Zealand.  Most intelligent Kiwis are determined this year to get out and vote out the incompetent, dishonest and obviously corrupt...
    An average kiwi | 19-09
  • Hold fast to your Mana – Harawira
    Hone Harawira today called on the voters of Tai Tokerau to hold fast to their mana, and not be dictated to by those party leaders who have ganged together to tell them how to vote. “I call on our people...
    Mana | 18-09
  • Media Advisory – Interview availability
    This is to advise all media that Hone Harawira will be available in Auckland tomorrow, Friday the 19th of September from 7am to 4pm for interviews relating to his recent press releases. If you are interested in interviewing Mr Harawira on...
    Mana | 18-09
  • Labour stands on proud record on Suffrage Day
    Women have come a long way in the 121 years since New Zealand became the first country to give them the vote on September 19 1893, but there is still more to do, Labour’s Women’s Affairs spokesperson Carol Beaumont says....
    Labour | 18-09
  • Polling Booths asked to treat Maori voters with respect
    “Polling booths without Maori roll voting papers, Maori people not being offered assistance to vote, people getting sent from Whangarei to Wellsford to vote, Maori people getting turned away from voting because they didn’t have their ‘easy vote’ card, Maori...
    Mana | 17-09
  • Aussie Liberals embroiled in Key campaign
    John Key needs to explain why Australia’s Liberal Party is interfering in New Zealand domestic politics and is encouraging Kiwi voters across the ditch to vote for National just days out from the election, Labour’s campaign spokesperson Annette King says....
    Labour | 17-09
  • The MANA Plan for Beneficiaries and Income in Waiariki
    Median Personal Income for Waiariki is $21,700. Over 13,000 Maori who live in Waiariki rely upon a form of government benefit including the Unemployment Benefit, Sickness Benefit, Domestic Purpose Benefit and the Invalids Benefit. “If you’re lucky enough to have...
    Mana | 16-09
  • Māori development crucial to New Zealand’s future
    Labour recognises the concern of Māori about child poverty and the rising costs of living, and in Government will make a real difference to the wellbeing of whānau and iwi, Labour’s Māori Affairs spokesperson Nanaia Mahuta says. “As our Māori...
    Labour | 16-09
  • MAORI PARTY – DON’T COMPLAIN … WALK
    “If the Maori Party are serious about stopping government spying on NZ citizens then they should tell the Prime Minister to either stop doing it or they will walk away” said MANA leader and Tai Tokerau MP Hone Harawira, on...
    Mana | 16-09
  • JOHN KEY SUPPORTING LABOUR
    “There is something really sick about a National Party Prime Minister coming out in support of a Labour candidate” said MANA leader and Tai Tokerau MP, Hone Harawira, after hearing that John Key is urging voters to back Labour in...
    Mana | 16-09
  • SHUT DOWN THIS GOVT NOT KAITI WINZ – Nikora
    “I’m going to make it as hard for you to get help as I can” is Paula Bennett’s message to the people of Kaiti  said MANA candidate Te Hāmua Nikora today in response to the news that National will close...
    Mana | 16-09
  • Winegums make for better polling – Harawira
    I wanted to laugh when I saw the Native Affairs poll the other night (Hone Harawira 38%, Kelvin Davis 37%) because it was almost the same as the one they did back in 2011”, said MANA leader and Tai Tokerau...
    Mana | 16-09
  • The Leadership of MTS Lied – Harawira
    “Normally I’m happy to tell people that I was right but when I received the news about the staff cuts at Maori Television, I had nothing but sympathy for the three Maori media leaders who are going to be made...
    Mana | 16-09
  • Privileges Complaint Laid against Prime Minister – Harawira
    MANA Movement Leader and Te Tai Tokerau MP Hone Harawira has today lodged a Privileges Complaint with the Speaker regarding the Prime Ministers denials in parliament that he knew anything about Kim Dotcom before 2012. “Information made public today appears...
    Mana | 15-09
  • Sharples’ new appointments are out of order
    The new appointments to the Waitangi Tribunal announced by Dr Pita Sharples this morning are completely out of order given the election is just five days away, says Labour's State Services spokesperson, Maryan Street. “This Government continues to show disdain...
    Labour | 15-09
  • MANA Movement Housing Policy
    “When families are living in cars, garages, cockroach-infested caravans and three families to a house then we have a housing crisis”, said MANA leader and MP for Te Tai Tokerau, Hone Harawira. “When you have a housing crisis for low-income...
    Mana | 15-09
  • Bigger than the Foreshore and Seabed – Sykes
    “Over the past week I have received some disturbing information that has led myself and a number of Maori lawyers to conclude that this National - Maori Party - ACT and United Future Government are going to put an end to both...
    Mana | 14-09
  • MANA wants Te Reo Māori petition fulfilled
    Hone Harawira, MANA Leader and MP for Te Tai Tokerau Annette Sykes, MANA candidate for Waiariki Te Hāmua Nikora, MANA candidate for Ikaroa Rāwhiti  “More than four decades have passed and the petition calling for Te Reo Māori in schools...
    Mana | 14-09
  • Primary focus on the critical issues
    A Labour Government will prioritise New Zealand’s agricultural sectors by recreating a Rural Affairs Minister and appointing a Primary Industry Council and a Chief Agricultural Adviser. Releasing Labour’s Primary Sector and Rural Affairs policies today, spokesperson Damien O’Connor says the...
    Labour | 12-09
  • Maori Television fears confirmed – Harawira
    ...
    Mana | 12-09
  • More ghost houses from National
    The Government’s desperate pre-election announcement of more ghost houses won’t fool Aucklanders wanting action on the housing crisis, says Labour’s Housing spokesperson Phil Twyford. “These are ghost houses, to go with National’s ghost tax cut. Families cannot live in ghost...
    Labour | 12-09
  • National bows to union pressure over travel time
    National has reluctantly bowed to pressure from unions and adopted Labour’s fair and sensible policy to pay home support workers for the time they spend traveling between clients, Labour’s Associate Health spokesperson Iain Lees-Galloway says. “This decision is long overdue...
    Labour | 12-09
  • Predators on Poverty – Harawira
    “As poverty has ballooned out of control, the Predators on Poverty have emerged to suck the lifeblood from whole families and communities” said MANA Movement leader and Tai Tokerau MP, Hone Harawira. “They are deliberately targeting low-income areas, particularly those...
    Mana | 11-09
  • MANA Movement Policy Launch
    Predators on Poverty (pokie machines, alcohol outlets and loan sharks) 1pm, Thursday 11th September Corner Great South Road and Criterion Street Otahuhu Shopping Centre...
    Mana | 10-09
  • Eliminating Poverty – Sir Edmund Hillary Collegiate, Otara | Internet MAN...
    A campaign to Eliminate Poverty, Feed the Kids, build more houses, and create thousands of new jobs, was outlined by Internet MANA at a public meeting in Otara this evening. When MANA and the Internet Party first sat down to...
    Mana | 09-09
  • Housing in Waiariki – Sykes
    Fact:  Under this National-Maori Party-ACT-United Future Government 61% of Maori in Waiariki do not own their own home and nearly 70% of Maori rentals in Waiariki pay $200 or more per week. “Maori in Waiariki have low rates of home ownership...
    Mana | 09-09
  • Charter school crisis shows time to axe costly experiment
    Dysfunction from day one at a Northland charter school shows it is time to dump this costly and failed experiment by the National-ACT Government, Labour’s Education spokesperson Chris Hipkins says. “Te Kura Hourua ki Whangaruru received $27,000 in government funding...
    Labour | 08-09
  • Labour will crack down on loan sharks
    A Labour Government will crack down on predatory loan sharks by making it illegal both to charge exorbitant interest rates and to exploit uninformed borrowers, Labour’s Consumer Affairs Spokesperson Carol Beaumont says. Labour today released its Consumer Affairs policy which...
    Labour | 08-09
  • Let’s do the FEED before the weed
    “Last week I put out a very strongly worded email to my colleagues about an online promotion about cannabis law reform” said MANA leader and Tai Tokerau MP, Hone Harawira “and I stand by that criticism today.” My concern was...
    Mana | 08-09
  • TE KAEA and NATIVE AFFAIRS live to fight another day
    “I understand that both the chair of the Board of Maori Television, Georgina Te Heuheu, and new CEO, Paora Maxwell, are now saying that my comments this morning about their plans to cut Te Kaea and Native Affairs, were wrong, and that...
    Mana | 08-09
  • How come the PM only pays 2.8% of his income in tax – Harawira
    “Before John Key talks about the piddling tax cuts he plans for low and middle income families today he needs to explain why he only pays 2.8% of his income on tax while a minimum wage worker pays 28% tax,”...
    Mana | 07-09
  • THE DEATH OF INDEPENDENCE FOR MAORI TV
    “If what I’m hearing is true, tomorrow Maori Television Service (MTS) will dump its news programme, Te Kaea, and staff will lose their jobs” said MANA Leader and MP for Te Tai Tokerau, Hone Harawira “and the Minister of Maori...
    Mana | 07-09
  • Labour recommits to Pike River families
    An incoming Labour-led government will do everything possible to recover the bodies of the Pike River Miners and return them to their families, says Labour Leader David Cunliffe. “This tragedy and its aftermath has left the families of the 29...
    Labour | 06-09
  • Voting has started and still no tax plan or fiscal budget for voters to see
    "Even though voting for the election has already begun, National still refuses to provide any details of its proposed tax cuts. And Bill English admitted this morning that he won’t provide any specifics until after the election", Labour’s Finance spokesperson...
    Labour | 06-09
  • National’s partners’ tax plans cost at least $42 billion
    If National forms the next government its partners’ tax plans will cost the country at least $42 billion, and maybe as much as $50 billion, wreaking havoc with the books, says Labour’s Finance spokesperson David Parker. “National claims to be...
    Labour | 05-09
  • Labour: Providing more opportunities for young Kiwis
    A Labour Government will ensure every young Kiwi under the age of 20 is given the opportunity to be in work, education or training, and plans to develop a conservation apprenticeship scheme to help do that, Labour’s Youth Affairs spokesperson...
    Labour | 04-09
  • Candles out on teachers’ slice of birthday cake
    Today may be Novopay’s second birthday, but there’s little to celebrate, Labour’s Education spokesperson Chris Hipkins says. “Novopay has cost the taxpayer tens of millions of dollars already, and the cost is still climbing....
    Labour | 04-09
  • National’s blatant broadband pork barrelling misses the mark by a country...
    National’s blatant pork-barrelling ICT announcement today should reinforce a growing sceptical electorate’s view that they are all about the gift wrap and not the present, Labour’s ICT spokesperson Clare Curran says. “Instead of addressing the real issues - the woeful...
    Labour | 04-09
  • More evidence of the need to clean up the system
    The latest release of emails and messages between disgraced Minister Judith Collins and blogger Cameron Slater are more evidence of the urgent need to clean up politics, Labour MP Grant Robertson says. "This new evidence confirms a near constant flow...
    Labour | 04-09
  • Labour commits to stable funding for voluntary sector
    A Labour Government will establish long-term funding and streamline contract accountability for community and voluntary groups, says Labour’s spokesperson for the sector Louisa Wall. Announcing Labour’s policy for the community and voluntary sector, she said this would give much greater...
    Labour | 04-09
  • Better trained and skilled workforce under Labour
    Labour is committed to a skilled workforce that benefits businesses as well as their workers, and will increase workplace training to improve productivity and drive innovation, Labour Leader David Cunliffe says. “Labour believes the Government should support New Zealanders into...
    Labour | 03-09
  • Labour will make renting a better option
    Labour will provide greater security of tenure for renters, and build more state and social housing, says Labour’s housing spokesperson Phil Twyford. “Labour believes every kid deserves a decent start in life. That means a warm, dry and secure home....
    Labour | 03-09
  • At least 15 new taxes under National
    John Key is the last person to talk about creating taxes, presiding over a Government that has imposed at least 15 new taxes, Labour Leader David Cunliffe says. “John Key tried a novel line in the debate last night claiming...
    Labour | 03-09
  • Labour will strengthen New Zealand’s democracy
    A Labour Government will act quickly to protect and enhance New Zealand’s reputation as one of the most open and least corrupt countries in the world, Labour Leader David Cunliffe says. “The health of any democracy is improved by greater...
    Labour | 02-09
  • MANA Movement says tax cut on GST must be first priority – Minto
    “If Prime Minister John Key has money available for tax cuts then cutting GST must be the first priority”,  said MANA Movement Economic Justice Spokesperson John Minto. GST is a nasty tax on low-income families”, said Minto. “People in the...
    Mana | 02-09
  • The Maori Party’s Mana-Enhancing Relationship with National – Minto
    “First we had Cameron Slater and David Farrar backing Labour’s Kelvin Davis bid to unseat MANA Movement Leader and MP for Te Tai Tokerau Hone Harawira.  Now we have Slater writing a pro-Te Ururoa Flavell article on his website, Whale...
    Mana | 02-09
  • There’s Only One Poll That Counts
    “One of the oldest sayings in politics is that there is only one poll that counts – the one on Election Day – and that’s the one that I am focusing on” remarked the MANA Movement candidate for Waiariki, Annette...
    Mana | 02-09
  • Local communities critical to Civil Defence
    Labour will focus on empowering New Zealand communities to be resilient in Civil Defence disasters, says Labour’s Civil Defence spokesperson Clare Curran. Announcing Labour’s Civil Defence policy, she says that Labour will work with schools, voluntary agencies and community groups...
    Labour | 02-09
  • Labour looks to long-life passports, gambling harm review
    A return to 10 year passports and a review of gambling laws are highlights of Labour’s Internal Affairs policy released today. “More than 15,000 New Zealanders signed a petition calling on the Government to revert to the 10 year system...
    Labour | 02-09
  • MANA Movement Leadership stands strong behind Internet MANA relationship
    “There is now, and always will be, a range of views about many issues within our movement and members are free to express them, but Georgina’s views on Kim Dotcom are not shared by the MANA Movement leadership or the vast majority...
    Mana | 01-09
  • Rebuilding the New Zealand Defence Force
    A Labour Government will make it a priority to rebuild the capacity of the Defence Force to carry out the tasks expected of it, says Labour’s Defence Spokesperson Phil Goff. Releasing Labour’s Defence Policy today he said the NZDF has...
    Labour | 01-09
  • Voting turnout affected by bad weather?
    . . NZ, Upper Hutt, 20 September –  Cold, wet weather in the Hutt Valley, north of Wellington may be impacting on voter turn-out. A head-count of people visiting the Trentham School Voting Station in Moonshine Rd, Upper Hutt, indicated...
    The Daily Blog | 20-09
  • Final total of advance voting
    And the final total for the advance voting was a staggering 717,579 advance votes against 334,558 in 2011       Tonight, I’ll be watching the TV3 election coverage because I could bare Paul Henry’s smugness one inch more than Mike Hosking’s...
    The Daily Blog | 20-09
  • Vice article on NZ election
    Here is my Vice article on the NZ election....
    The Daily Blog | 19-09
  • The attempt to kill off Internet MANA
    It’s the last day of campaigning today and the long list of those attacking Internet MANA got longer yesterday with Winston Peters backing Labour candidate Kelvin Davis against the MANA Movement’s Hone Harawira. Davis is now supported by Labour, National,...
    The Daily Blog | 19-09
  • A final word on the election – it’s now all up to you
    Brothers & Sisters, the fate of Aotearoa is now all in your hands. We here at the Daily Blog have thrown everything we can at this bloody Government and have spent every waking hour of this campaign trying to highlight...
    The Daily Blog | 19-09
  • I can’t tell what is National Party advert and what is the NZ Herald – ...
    I can’t tell what is National Party advert and what is the NZ Herald – but then again, I never could...
    The Daily Blog | 19-09
  • TVNZ election coverage – white people telling other white people why Nati...
    TVNZ election coverage – white people telling other white people why National Party is great...
    The Daily Blog | 18-09
  • REVIEW: Royals of Kihikihi
    What an absolutely stunning show.  I had to ask twice to check I’d heard right that this is the first staged production for Samuel Christopher, who also played a raw, real, but vulnerable, Wolf Royal, home from London for his...
    The Daily Blog | 18-09
  • 800 Cops to detain 15 ‘terrorists’ – why Australia’s hysterical Isl...
    I’m sorry but I can’t take this current Australian terror threat seriously. 800 cops to detain 15 people and arrest one of them? A week after Abbot decides to send in Australian forces to the cluster fuck of Iraq, suddenly...
    The Daily Blog | 18-09
  • Unbelievable corruption inside Government to attack Kim Dotcom
    The corruption inside this Government just more and more filthy – we now have an ex-Customs Lawyer quitting  after being told to bury information that could embarrass the Government, specifically to do with Kim Dotcom… Curtis Gregorash said he was told...
    The Daily Blog | 18-09
  • Coalition for Better Broadcasting – Everyone Loves A Win-Win That Keeps G...
      Permit me to quote some figures at you… -68% of New Zealanders think political news on television focuses too much on politicians’ personalities and not enough on real issues. This is the key result of a recent UMR survey commissioned by...
    The Daily Blog | 18-09
  • Jeremy Wells’ Mike Hosking rant on Radio Hauraki: Today, another week of ...
    Jeremy Wells’ Mike Hosking rant on Radio Hauraki: Today, another week of being the most in demand broadcaster in the country...
    The Daily Blog | 18-09
  • EXCLUSIVE: Te Tai Tokerau independent poll (44% Hone-27% Kelvin) vs Maori T...
    The Te Tai Tokerau Maori TV poll on Monday this week painted a bleak picture for Internet MANA supporters, and it’s results have been seized upon by Labour, NZ First and even the Maori Party (who seem set once again...
    The Daily Blog | 18-09
  • The time for TPPA weasel words is over
    Almost every day of the election campaign there has been a policy announcement that would potentially run foul of what I understand is currently in the Trans-Pacific Partnership Agreement (TPPA):  more constraints on foreign investment or investors … regulation of...
    The Daily Blog | 18-09
  • MELTDOWN – Maori Party turns on their own Te Tai Tokerau candidate – ag...
    The tensions are building in Te Tai Tokerau with the Maori Party on the verge of meltdown. Days out from the election, the Maori Party Executive has tried to heavy their own Te Tai Tokerau Electoral Committee and their own candidate, Te Hira Paenga,...
    The Daily Blog | 18-09
  • We Can Change this Government
    We Can Change this Government – Mike Treen at the First Union stop work election meeting...
    The Daily Blog | 18-09
  • Election 2014: For and Against
    With the general election tomorrow, we have had a very noisy campaign but little sign that the electorate wishes for a fundamental change of governmental direction. This reflects in part the fact that the economic cycle is close to its decadal...
    The Daily Blog | 18-09
  • Eye To Eye Uploaded: Martyn ‘Bomber’ Bradbury
    This interview was filmed a couple of weeks ago between Willie Jackson and myself, I was a tad off with my prediction of NZ First....
    The Daily Blog | 18-09
  • The Donghua Liu Affair – The Players Revealed
      . . – Special investigation by Frank Macskasy & ‘Hercules‘ Speculation that the Beehive office of Immigration Minister, Michael Woodhouse, was behind the release of a letter linking Labour leader, David Cunliffe, with controversial Chinese businessman, Donghua Liu, is...
    The Daily Blog | 18-09
  • As if you needed another reason to boycott Telecom/Spark – they sold NZ d...
    It should read ‘never stop spying’. As if you needed another reason to boycott Telecom/Spark – they sold us down the river to the US by allowing the Southern Cross cable to be tapped… The ability for US intelligence agencies...
    The Daily Blog | 18-09
  • The NZ First-Labour Party attack strategy against Internet MANA better work
    The final days of the campaign are ticking down and Labour and NZ First are manoeuvring to kill off the Internet MANA Party by both backing Kelvin Davis for Te Tai Tokerau. It’s a risky gambit that they better pray to Christ...
    The Daily Blog | 18-09
  • Bill English’s latest insult to beneficiaries – apparently they are lik...
    National’s hatred towards the poor continues unabated as National desperately try to throw raw meat to their reactionary voter base in the hope to inspire enough hate and loathing to win back their redneck voters from the Conservative Party and from...
    The Daily Blog | 18-09
  • Eminem ain’t happy with John Key
    Eminem ain’t happy with John Key...
    The Daily Blog | 18-09
  • Key claims he did not inhale
    Key claims he did not inhale...
    The Daily Blog | 18-09
  • Final prediction on election result 2014
    What an election campaign. The character assassination of David Cunliffe kicked things off with the Herald on Sunday falsely claiming $100 00 bottles of wine, $15 000 books and $150 000 in donations  from a donor that turned out to be...
    The Daily Blog | 18-09
  • Live blog: Bainamarama takes commanding lead in Fiji elections
      Interview with Repúblika editor Ricardo Morris and Pacific Scoop’s Mads Anneberg. PACIFIC SCOOP TEAM By Ricardo Morris, Mads Anneberg, Alistar Kata and Biutoka Kacimaiwai in Suva WHILE the results are provisional at this stage, it is clear today that...
    The Daily Blog | 17-09
  • 5AA Australia: NZ Elections Two Days To Go! + Edward Snowden + Julian Assan...
    Recorded live on 18/09/14 – Captured Live on Ustream at http://www.ustream.tv/channel/multimedia-investments-ltd 5AA Australia’s Peter Godfrey and Selwyn Manning deliver their weekly bulletin: Across The Ditch. This week, they discuss the latest news as New Zealanders go to the polls on...
    The Daily Blog | 17-09
  • What has Colin Craig done for his Press Secretary to quit 2 days before ele...
    This is VERY strange.  Colin Craig’s Press Secretary Rachel McGregor, has quit 2 days before the election, allegedly telling ZB that Colin Craig was a “very manipulative man”. I’ve met Rachel many times in the past as Colin’s Press Secretary, she is...
    The Daily Blog | 17-09
  • “If you want steak, go to the supermarket and buy steak,” – A brief w...
    “If you want steak, go to the supermarket and buy steak,” said Key in the final leaders debate. Problem of course is that the 250 000 – 285 000 children living in poverty can not afford steak, milk, butter, eggs...
    The Daily Blog | 17-09
  • National’s final bash of beneficiaries before the election
    On cue, whenever National feel threatened, they roll out a little bennie bash just to keep their redneck voter base happy. Nothing like a bit of raw meat policy to keep National voters focused on the evil threat solo parents...
    The Daily Blog | 17-09
  • With All Of This In Mind, I Vote
    This is my last blog before the election and I really just want to speak from the heart. Right now in this country it seems to me that a lot of people consider the “essentials” in life to be simply...
    The Daily Blog | 17-09
  • Left has to vote strategically this election
    The dedication, loyalty, and tribalism of party politics means that sometimes the left lets itself down by not voting strategically. We all want our favoured party to get maximum votes, naturally, but the winner-takes-all approach doesn’t always suit multi-party left...
    The Daily Blog | 17-09
  • Dear NZ – as you enter the polling booth, stand up for your rights
    The last days before a NZ general election are a busy time as politicians make their pitch and party activists prepare to get out the vote. It is sort of weird watching from the distance of Europe the strangest election...
    The Daily Blog | 17-09
  • What is Waihopai, John, if it isn’t a facility for “mass surveillance...
    John Key assured us on RNZ’s Nine to Noon programme yesterday that “In terms of the Fives Eyes data bases… yes New Zealand will contribute some information but not mass wholesale surveillance.” How does this square with the operation of the...
    The Daily Blog | 17-09
  • GUEST BLOG: Catherine Delahunty – Mass Surveillance and the Banality of E...
    Renowned journalist and intellectual Hannah Arendt coined the phrase “the banality of evil” to describe the normalisation of genocide in Nazi Germany. I thought of her phrase when I was listening to Glenn Greenwald and other international whistle-blowers talking about...
    The Daily Blog | 17-09
  • Election. Down. To. The. Wire
    Funny how last week it was John Key winning by 50%, now it’s neck and neck. I have always believed this election would be down to the wire and it is proving so. The flawed landline opinion polls the mainstream...
    The Daily Blog | 17-09
  • 3rd Degree uses Whaleoil for story ideas as if Dirty Politics never happene...
    TV3s 3rd Degrees smear job on Kim Dotcom last night doesn’t bear much repeating. It was pretty pathetic journalism from a team who have brought us some great journalism in the past. It is sad to see 3rd Degree stooping...
    The Daily Blog | 17-09
  • Live blog: Bainimarama takes early lead in Fiji’s election
    Pacific Scoop’s Alistar Kata reports from yesterday’s voting. By Alistar Kata of Pacific Scoop in Suva Prime Minister Voreqe Bainimarama took an early lead in provisional results in the Fiji general election last night. With provisional results from 170 out...
    The Daily Blog | 17-09
  • Has The NSA Constructed The Perfect PPP?
    Former intelligence analyst and whistleblower, Edward Snowden – speaking live to those gathered at the Auckland Town Hall on Monday September 17, 2014. Investigation by Selwyn Manning. THE PRIME MINISTER JOHN KEY’s admission on Wednesday that whistleblower Edward Snowden “may...
    The Daily Blog | 17-09
  • No way – Key admits Snowden is right
    After claiming there was no middle ground. After claiming there was no mass surveillance. After calling Glenn Greenwald a henchman and a loser. After all the mainstream media pundits screamed at Kim’s decision to take his evidence to Parliamentary Privileges...
    The Daily Blog | 17-09
  • Bad luck National
    ...
    The Daily Blog | 16-09
  • The incredible changing John Key story on mass spying – why the Moment of...
    While the mainstream media continue to try and make the Moment of Truth about Kim’s last minute decision to prolong his battle against John Key past the election into the Privileges Committee, the reality is that the Moment of Truth...
    The Daily Blog | 16-09
  • GUEST BLOG: Curwen Rolinson – Themes of the Campaign
    There’s one area of a political campaign that just about everyone, at some point, falls afoul of. The campaign song. I’m not sure quite why it is, but it seems to be almost impossible for political parties to come up...
    The Daily Blog | 16-09
  • GUEST BLOG – Denis Tegg – The NSA slides that prove mass surveillance
    The evidence presented by Glenn Greenwald and Edward Snowden on The Intercept of mass surveillance of New Zealanders by the GCSB is undeniable, and can stand on its own. But when you place this fresh evidence in the context of...
    The Daily Blog | 16-09
  • Ukraine, United Kingdom, Ireland, Scotland
    The Ukrainian civil war discomforts me. It seems to me the most dangerous political crisis since the Cuban missile crisis of 1962. And it’s because of our unwillingness to examine the issues in a holistic way. We innately prefer to...
    The Daily Blog | 16-09
  • John Key’s love affair with a straw man – the relationship intensifies
    John Key’s love affair with the straw man is now a fully-committed relationship. It’s now the first love of his life. Sorry Bronagh. Yesterday I pointed to Key’s constant assurances that there is no mass surveillance of New Zealanders by...
    The Daily Blog | 16-09
  • A brief word on why Wendyl Nissen is a hero
    Wendyl Nissen is a hero. The sleazy black ops attack on her by Slater and Odgers on behalf of Grocery Council chief executive Katherine Rich is sick. All Nissen is doing in her column is point out the filth and...
    The Daily Blog | 16-09
  • She saw John Key on TV and decided to vote!
    . . NZ, Wellington, 15 September – ‘Tina’* is 50, a close friend,  and one of the “Missing Million” from the last election. In fact, ‘Tina’ has never voted in her life.  Not once. In ‘Tina’s’ own words, politics has...
    The Daily Blog | 16-09
  • Eminem sues National Party for unlawful use of ‘Lose yourself’ bhahahah...
    …ahahahahahahahaha. Oh Christ this is hilarious… National Party sued over Eminem copyright infringment US rapper Eminem is suing the National Party for allegedly breaching copyright by using his song Lose Yourself in its campaign advertisements. The Detroit-based publishers of Eminem’s...
    The Daily Blog | 16-09
  • Are the Greens about to be snookered by a Labour-NZ First Government?
    I wrote last week that it was smart politics that the Greens pointed out they could work with National, the soft blue vote that’s looking for a home in the wake of Dirty Politics isn’t going to Labour, so the...
    The Daily Blog | 16-09
  • Daily Election Update #12: NZ First to hold balance of power
    Winston Peters’ NZ First Party will hold the balance of power after tomorrow’s election, according to the combined wisdom of the 8000+ registered traders on New Zealand’s predictions market, iPredict. Mr Peters is then expected to back a National-led...
    Scoop politics | 19-09
  • Election Day is Time to Refocus on Policies
    Over the course of this election campaign there has been a lot of focus on dirty politics and spying, and not a lot on policy. With election day looming, Gareth Morgan is calling for people to refocus on the issues....
    Scoop politics | 19-09
  • The Kiwi FM Alternative Election Commentary
    Saturday 20 September from 7pm on 102.2 Auckland, 102.1 Wellington, 102.5 Canterbury, or KiwiFM.co.nz...
    Scoop politics | 19-09
  • Beneficiary Bashing unacceptable
    Kay Brereton of the Beneficiary Advocacy Federation of New Zealand says “ the comment made by Bill English yesterday comparing beneficiaries to crack addicts is shocking and incredibly poorly timed.”...
    Scoop politics | 19-09
  • UN Experience Beneficial
    Acclaim Otago representatives have just completed their participation at the UN Convention on the Rights of Persons with Disability examination of the New Zealand government in Geneva, Switzerland. "It was an interesting two days which we believe has...
    Scoop politics | 19-09
  • Changing face of NZ should be reflected in newsrooms
    With Fairfax Media’s Journalism Intern search closing on Sunday, Race Relations Commissioner Dame Susan Devoy is urging aspiring journalists from Maori, Pacific and ethnic communities to apply. The deadline was recently extended to 10pm, Sunday...
    Scoop politics | 19-09
  • SPCA expresses concern over toxin in waterways
    Ric Odom CEO of Royal NZ SPCA has expressed concern over the toxic poison 1080 entering waterways, but DoC, Council’s and Ministry of Health have colluded to make it legal....
    Scoop politics | 19-09
  • NZ 2014 Election Index – 13-18 September
    Below is iSentia’s final weekly Election Index, covering the period 13-18 September and showing the relative amount of coverage of nine Party Leaders in the lead up to the National Election across news media and social media. The methodology used...
    Scoop politics | 19-09
  • Epsom Candidate (Adam Holland) More Liberal Than ACT
    For the past four years I, like 500,000 other New Zealanders, have been illegally smoking cannabis for medicinal purposes and/or even just for the occasional laugh with friends on the weekend. We don't hurt anybody, we don't cause nuisance, we...
    Scoop politics | 19-09
  • Left Coalition Will Save Dolphins
    A left coalition would safeguard both Māui and Hector’s dolphins, as well as revive our inshore ecosystems. Labour, Internet Mana and the Green Party all have strong policies in place for dolphin protection. The Maori Party, and to a certain...
    Scoop politics | 19-09
  • Waihoroi Shortland: Ngāti Hine is not standing alone
    The Chairman of Te Rūnanga a Iwi o Ngāpuhi, Sonny Tau is blowing smoke worthy of a Dotcom rally with claims that Ngati Hine is standing alone in its opposition to Tūhoronuku says the Chairman of Te Rūnanga o Ngati...
    Scoop politics | 19-09
  • Oceania voices on environment loud and strong
    While money and energy continues to be spent on global talks about climate change, Pacific islanders are scrambling to build sea walls out of sticks, stones, shells and coral, to protect their lands and homes from erosion and rising sea...
    Scoop politics | 19-09
  • Prime Time with Sean Plunket – Tonight
    No MPs tonight --- the campaign will be over at 9 30. Instead we will look back --- and possibly forward on what we have learned and what might happen. Listener Political Columnist Jane Clifton Editor in Chief, NZ Herald,...
    Scoop politics | 19-09
  • Election fails to address youth financial wellbeing
    Young people don’t feel included in New Zealand’s financial success and believe inequality is a problem, according to a new survey conducted by Westpac’s Fin-Ed Centre at Massey University....
    Scoop politics | 19-09
  • Winston’s Waffle doesn’t hide the facts
    The Conservative Party is celebrating the ASA's finding announced today that rejected all but one of the complaints raised against its controversial “Conservatives or Peters” pamphlet. “Despite pages of complaints from Peters legal team the only...
    Scoop politics | 19-09
  • NZ Independent Coalition looking forward to tomorrow
    “Our team is looking forward to tomorrow. It is a real opportunity to reclaim politics for the people,” said NZ Independent Coalition leader Brendan Horan....
    Scoop politics | 19-09
  • Insights Issue 35/2014 – 19 September 2014
    Insights Issue 35/2014 - 19 September 2014 In This Issue • RMA reform the golden unicorn of policy | Jenesa Jeram...
    Scoop politics | 19-09
  • Special voting arrangements made for NIWA crew
    One of the most unusual polling stations for this year’s general election is in the middle of the ocean miles from land. NIWA’s flagship research vessel Tangaroa, has been doubling as a polling booth for crew and scientists at sea....
    Scoop politics | 18-09
  • Tourism operators urged to vote strategically
    Tourism operators should make sure they know their local candidates’ view on tourism and use their vote to support the country’s second largest export industry, says Chris Roberts, Chief Executive, Tourism Industry Association New Zealand (TIA)....
    Scoop politics | 18-09
  • WGTN: March for free education
    We are students, university staff, and members of the community. Whichever parties form a government after September 20th, we are demanding an end to corporatisation of education....
    Scoop politics | 18-09
  • Evidence of Corruption a National Scandal
    Internet Party leader Laila Harré will take evidence of corruption to international forums if there is not a full Royal Commission to investigate the growing evidence of the systematic use and abuse of democratic institutions and processes for political...
    Scoop politics | 18-09
  • Govt continues to throw money at charter school experiment
    Official documents reveal the three primary sector charter schools approved last week will cost $2 million to set up as well as divert another $1.5 million of potential taxpayer investment from local state schools next year....
    Scoop politics | 18-09
  • ACT Final Election Rally
    Elections campaigns are an opportunity for political parties to put candidates and policy to enable voters to choose what sort of New Zealand we want. In this campaign there have been three tests by which you can assess the electoral...
    Scoop politics | 18-09
  • Taxpayers on Hook Again for Solid Energy
    Responding to the Fairfax article that taxpayers are extending another $103 million to keep Solid Energy afloat, Taxpayers’ Union Executive Director Jordan Williams says:...
    Scoop politics | 18-09
  • Invermay Petition Tops 10,000 Signatures
    People across New Zealand continue to express their disgust at the downgrading of Invermay, says Dunedin North MP David Clark, as the Save Invermay petition he instigated earlier this year topped the 10,000 signature mark just days before the 2014...
    Scoop politics | 18-09
  • McVicar vows to continue fight for police
    Garth McVicar stated at a public meeting last week that he would fight to retain a 24/7 Police Station in Napier and no reduction in the number of police staff for the Hawkes Bay region, some said he was simply...
    Scoop politics | 18-09
  • Party Vote Our Weapon in Fight Against Government Corruption
    Internet MANA urges New Zealanders to use their party vote to confront corruption in any new government....
    Scoop politics | 18-09
  • Election day is tomorrow – make sure you’re a part of it!
    Tomorrow, Saturday 20 September, is election day, and New Zealanders’ last chance to have a say on who leads the country for the next three years....
    Scoop politics | 18-09
  • Is the Shape of our Government out of the hands of Voters?
    In the last stuff.co.nz / Ipsos Political Poll before Saturdays election, National is down 5.1% to 47.7% and Labour up 3.7% to 26.15%. These results are remarkably similar to the 2011 election where National received 47.3% of the vote and...
    Scoop politics | 18-09
  • Spirit of Suffrage a Call to Action for All Kiwi Women
    Internet MANA is drawing on the courage and integrity of New Zealand women on Suffrage Day – Friday, September, 19 – to encourage them to pay tribute to the spirit of their foremothers who gained women the vote....
    Scoop politics | 18-09
  • Live Election Night Coverage on TV And Online
    Māori Television’s KOWHIRI 2014 – ELECTION SPECIAL kicks off at 7.00pm this Saturday with a five-hour broadcast focusing on the Māori electorates....
    Scoop politics | 18-09
  • Judge’s Decision Disappoints Fish & Game
    Today’s decision to give a Temuka man 100 hours of community service for selling sports fish to the public has disappointed Fish & Game, which believes the sentence handed down was “too lenient and will not go far enough to...
    Scoop politics | 18-09
  • Cutting-Edge Graphics Fire up TV3’s Election Night Coverage
    TV3’s Election Night coverage, hosted by John Campbell, will be enhanced by cutting-edge graphics that will showcase the night’s results....
    Scoop politics | 18-09
  • Govt rushes to open charter schools in New Year
    The government’s decision to approve four new charter schools last week to open in January next year goes against the Minister of Education’s own advice that the schools ought to have at least a year’s preparation time....
    Scoop politics | 18-09
  • 7 Days And Jono And Ben at Ten Hijack Election Weekend
    The 7 Days and Jono and Ben at Ten (JABAT) comedians are running their own version of election coverage, with a schedule of entertainment and comedy across TV3, Kiwi FM, the web and social media this Friday and Saturday under...
    Scoop politics | 18-09
  • Fewer Prisoners Equals Less Crime
    In its latest blog, ‘Abolishing Parole and other Crazy Stuff’,’ at http://blog.rethinking.org.nz/2014/09/krill-and-womble-independent-policy.html , Rethinking Crime and Punishment urges government to rethink its approach to releasing prisoners. “The public expectation is that the excellent reductions in the crime...
    Scoop politics | 18-09
  • McVicar slams his political opponents
    I want a safe and prosperous society and that can only be achieved if we have strong and vi-brant families – McVicar...
    Scoop politics | 18-09
  • Falling economic growth – wage rises overdue
    “The lower GDP growth in the three months to June is further evidence that growth has peaked. New Zealand’s economy is on the way down to mediocre growth rates,” says CTU economist Bill Rosenberg. “Yet wage rises are still weak...
    Scoop politics | 18-09
  • Get Out and Vote campaign a success
    Tens of thousands of workers from all around New Zealand have embraced the Get Out and Vote campaign and have created their own personalised voting plan, the CTU said today. “With three days of voting left in the 2014 General...
    Scoop politics | 18-09
  • Animal Research Failing – So Do More Animal Research?
    Victoria University of Wellington is about to host a lecture on why the success rates of pharmaceutical development is so low and what can be done about it. The New Zealand Anti-Vivisection Society (NZAVS) welcomes discussion on this important...
    Scoop politics | 18-09
  • ALCP welcomes Prime Minister’s cannabis comments
    Mr Abbott's comments came on the same day as New South Wales and Victoria states announced they would be doing clinical trials of cannabis....
    Scoop politics | 18-09
  • Conservative Party Press Secretary Resignation
    The Conservative Party is given to understand that this morning Press Secretary, Miss Rachel Macgregor resigned althought no formal advice of this has yet been received....
    Scoop politics | 18-09
  • By ACT’s logic, Epsom should vote for Conservative Candidate
    “Polling released late in the campaign shows that ACT is a busted flush and that by ACT’s own logic, centre-right Epsom voters should vote for the Conservative candidate”, says Labour candidate for Epsom Michael Wood....
    Scoop politics | 17-09
  • New online medical system
    Immigration New Zealand (INZ) is seeking registrations of interest for a new onshore panel physician network to support an online immigration health processing system....
    Scoop politics | 17-09
  • Students, You Have a Choice, Vote!
    The New Zealand Union of Students’ Associations (NZUSA) is imploring students to ensure they make their voices heard this election, and join the many thousands who have already heeded the call....
    Scoop politics | 17-09
  • Party vote ACT for three years of stability.
    Voters who are concerned that on the latest polls we may be heading for three years of instability have it in their hands to deliver a decisive result....
    Scoop politics | 17-09
  • Women’s Suffrage Movement – Get Out and Vote!
    Tomorrow, Friday 19th September, MANA Movement Candidate for Waiariki, Annette Sykes, will cast her vote at 12 noon at the Zen’s Building, Rotorua. This will follow a march through Rotorua that will assemble at 10am at City Focus, Rotorua. The...
    Scoop politics | 17-09
  • iPredict Daily Update
    David Cunliffe and Labour have made gains over the last 24 hours, according to the combined wisdom of the 8000+ registered traders on New Zealand’s predictions market, iPredict, but John Key’s National is still strongly expected to lead the next...
    Scoop politics | 17-09
  • Conservative’s Proposal to Abolish Parole Fatally Flawed
    The Conservative Party’s proposal to abolish parole doesn't stack up, however which way you look at it, concludes Kim Workman in Rethinking Crime and Punishment latest blog, ‘Abolishing Parole and Other Crazy Stuff’ at http://blog.rethinking.org.nz/2014/09/krill-and-womble-independent-policy.html...
    Scoop politics | 17-09
  • Special Edition : The letter 18 September 2014
    Dr Jamie Whyte has been giving thoughtful speeches largely unreported. So we thought we would put out an edited version on the speech he gave yesterday. The full speech is on the website....
    Scoop politics | 17-09
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