web analytics
The Standard

Reserve Bank admits problem, sits on hands

Written By: - Date published: 1:27 pm, January 31st, 2013 - 14 comments
Categories: Economy, exports, monetary policy - Tags:

Today’s announcement from the Reserve Bank states that inflation is still below its target band of 1-3%. It says:

“Inflation remains subdued and is currently just below the bottom of the Reserve Bank’s inflation target range. This mainly reflects the impact of the overvalued New Zealand dollar. The high currency is directly supressing inflation on traded goods, and is undermining profitability in export and import competing industries. At the same time, the labour market remains weak and fiscal consolidation is dampening growth.

The high and overvalued dollar keeps import prices down so consumers benefit, but kills exporters who must provide for our economy’s future.  That is the main point being made to the Manufacturing Inquiry set up by Labour, Greens and New Zealand First after the Government blocked a select committee enquiry into the sector. The Reserve Bank’s obsession with the very different problems of the 1980’s means that as a country we are eating our seed corn.

The other people who benefit are currency speculators and money market dealers, which explains why so much media comment comes from that sector. The unchanged 2.5% interest rate may be a record low for New Zealand, but it is still well above the 0.0-0.5% in the major financial markets. While the New Zealand dollar stays  high, it is a guaranteed one-way bet for the speculators. The Reserve Bank’s announcement pushed the dollar up half a cent against the US dollar.

But the Reserve Bank doesn’t want to debate the issue with anyone who considers it should run a more balanced monetary policy, as other countries do. We are told the  Governor will address the Canterbury Employers and Chamber of Commerce on growth, followed later by Business NZ. These organisations are the result of merging the old Employers Association and the former Chambers of Commerce, and now mainly represent now domestic business. Expect the same old same old “nothing we can do.”

For a real debate the Reserve Bank Governor should front up to the Manufacturers and Employers Association, who represent mainly exporting manufacturers.

14 comments on “Reserve Bank admits problem, sits on hands”

  1. Lightly 1

    good post but Yyou keep on leaving Mana out of the list on the manufacturing inquiry. And you keep writing Labour first like it was their idea, when it was Russel Norman’s.

    • handle 1.1

      Labour being able to form a viable coalition depends on more grown-up behaviour than this.

    • Tim 1.2

      Yep …. and there’s my current problem with Labour as it stands ‘a.t.m’. Not JUST their inability to disavow themselves of failed neo-liberal ideology, but its attitude. I concede that for a lot of people, the sins you accuse Mike Smith of (above) may seem like nitpicking, but it goes to their attitude and sense of entitlement – often since they’ve decided to make a career out of politics (and I distinguish THAT from political representation of an electorate, and all electorates).
      I’m all for supporting Labour, and as I’ve said before – one of the best things to do for those that don’t like what’s going on with Labour is to become members – it doesn’t commit you to actually VOTING LAbour next time – and nor does it commit you to NOT making donations to parties such as the Greens. One of the best protests would be for Labour to have a HUGE membership but to find that members didn’t actually vote for them come election time
      I’ve been chastised before for commenting on threads from Mike Smith, however there is a ‘theme’ at play here, and its a theme that a lot of people (including myself) are pissed off with ESPECIALLY having supported them through thick and thin over a lifetime.
      Maybe one day they’ll get it. Right now they don’t (and I’m surprised some don’t – such as Robertson).
      Still, I understand how that sense of entitlement comes about. It’s hard to have to admit you’ve become completely out of touch with those that once fawned all over you.
      Good thing is, Key will soon be experiencing such a phenomenon and the outcome won’t be very pretty.

  2. NoseViper (The Nose knows) 2

    Imported goods being low priced because of a high valued currency must seem a good idea for politicians to keep the masses happy and in debt at the same time. Thus giving them an incentive to work the long hours that we have ended up with here.

    But that idea is worn out. People have been shocked into cutting debt and spending is down. The idea of a consumer fuelled economy is a disaster anyway – an indication that there is little else going on in a very flabby economy.

    And as I drag advertising from my mailbox (must get a no advert sign), much of it is flashing that it’s no deposit, don’t pay till 2014 stuff. So the Australian banks lend us money to buy whiteware and technology from Oz stores. And we let ourselves be sucked dry. Meanwhile the Aussies are laughing all the way to the bank, in fact several banks.

    Import licences based on export receipts? How about it??

  3. Lanthanide 3

    I’d like to see:

    1. LVR cap of 85% for mortgages. Could eventually lower it to 80%.
    2. Reserve bank drop the OCR by 1%, offset by the government imposing a new 1% mortgage tax, so mortgage rates would stay at the current levels, but instead of only paying interest to the banks, now the government would get a cut. Make people who own capital on tick contribute to the running of the country.

    • tsmithfield 3.1

      Some good thoughts Lanth. However, there is always the problem of unintended consequences. Firstly many small business owners often use their houses as a source of capital to fund their business. So, restricting bank lending ratios could affect employment.

      Secondly, a lot of bank funding doesn’t come from the RB, but rather from overseas. So, imposing a mortgage tax might indeed increase rates.

      • Lanthanide 3.1.1

        They use their houses as a source of capital because the banks make it so bloody difficult to get business loans. So how about fixing that problem. Adding the 1% residential mortgage tax would help because with a lower OCR, interest rates for other forms of lending could drop. Similarly the LVR would stop the gravy-train for banks and they’d have to expand their other forms of lending to increase their profits.

        “Secondly, a lot of bank funding doesn’t come from the RB, but rather from overseas. So, imposing a mortgage tax might indeed increase rates.”

        How? The OCR would be dropped in return.

        • CV - Real Labour 3.1.1.1

          Also, KiwiBank could be permitted to start playing hardball in the mortgage market place.

      • Draco T Bastard 3.1.2

        Secondly, a lot of bank funding doesn’t come from the RB, but rather from overseas.

        And that would be why bank notes, as opposed to reserve currency, makes up ~95% of money.

        http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fractional_reserve_banking

  4. NoseViper (The Nose knows) 4

    Sounds doable. Won’t get though. Pollies are sooo happy riding round in the BMW keeping the lid on everything in the country – it would be a shame to make waves by making changes, and they would have to explain them to their narrow-focussed (me, me) supporters.

  5. Tiresias 5

    But… but… but… How can the dollar be overvalued? Doesn’t the invisible hand know what it’s doing?

  6. Whistler 6

    Am sick of the ‘overvalued dollar myth’ . It is what it is. Compared to OZ and the US it’s not that high anyhow. Every country’s exports are someone else’s imports. Our exporters want our dollar lower so as to subsidise their commodities. Its effectively stealing from us to feather their nests.

    The same game is played in every exporting country.

    The real answer is to expose the other great myth that exporting is the only way to grow and to aim instead and move towards greater self sufficiency.

    • Draco T Bastard 6.1

      Bingo.

      But we won’t get that as building only to provide for the local market means that the local capitalists won’t have enough income to pay the interest that the banks are charging as well as make a profit.

  7. Fortran 7

    I would accept thet the Reserve Bank start by making the minimum LVR at 75% or 80% as above already stated.
    My first Bank Mortgage was max $15,000 at 6.5%, and second from a finance house at 16%, irrespective of valuation.

Recent Comments

Recent Posts

1 2 3 8

  • Plenty left to do on human rights
    Labour is backing calls to have a Parliamentary Select Committee take responsibility for overseeing and monitoring human rights issues. “A just released three-year study into New Zealand’s track record on human rights, funded by the Law Society, makes uneasy reading,”… ...
    2 hours ago
  • Many regions need by-election levels of support
    Northland is not the only region struggling under the National Government, but unfortunately places like Gisborne, Whanganui and Tasman do not have by-elections on the horizon, Labour’s Economic Development spokesperson David Clark says. “A desperate National Party has thrown money… ...
    19 hours ago
  • Real changes must come from CYF review
    A well-overdue revamp of Child, Youth and Family cannot be just another cost cutting exercise, Labour’s Children’s spokesperson Jacinda Ardern says. “Labour has been pushing for a review for some time. It was part of our policy at the election. ...
    20 hours ago
  • Latest Air NZ plan carries on regional snub
    Christchurch Labour Members of Parliament have secured a meeting with Air New Zealand boss Christopher Luxon following the airline’s decision to cut its Christchurch to Tokyo summer flights.  They are also calling on the Minister of Transport Simon Bridges to… ...
    2 days ago
  • Carmel Sepuloni back in Social Development role
    Andrew Little has reinstated Carmel Sepuloni as Labour’s Social Development spokesperson following the sentencing of her mother in the New Plymouth District Court today. “It has been a tough time for Carmel, but we both agreed it was appropriate she… ...
    2 days ago
  • Government taking Kiwis for April Fools
    Many Kiwis will be wondering if the joke is on them when a raft of Government changes come into effect tomorrow, Labour Leader Andrew Little says. “First is ACC and National’s unwillingness to end its rort of Kiwi businesses which… ...
    2 days ago
  • Time to show RMA housing affordability plans
    Labour is challenging the Government to reveal its plans to make housing more affordable through amending the Resource Management Act, Labour’s Housing spokesperson Phil Twyford says. “Labour remains willing to consider the proposals on housing affordability on their merits and… ...
    2 days ago
  • John Key now admits no broad support for RMA changes
    John Key has now been forced to admit that he never had the broad political support to gut the Resource Management Act, says Labour’s Environment spokesperson Megan Woods. “Cornerstone legislation such as the RMA should never be changed without genuine… ...
    3 days ago
  • National’s changes leave student bodies in chaos
    The chaos created by National’s scrapping of compulsory student association membership may force the 86-year old Union of Students Association to fold, Labour’s Tertiary Education spokesperson David Cunliffe says. “National’s 2011 Voluntary Student Membership Act has left student associations with… ...
    3 days ago
  • Tragedy must be impetus for better training
    The Police Minister needs to explain why unsworn and inadequately trained custody officers were put in a situation of caring for a medically unwell prisoner on a busy Saturday night, Labour’s Police spokesperson Kelvin Davis says. Commenting on an IPCA… ...
    6 days ago
  • Government must be more transparent on investor state clauses
    The Government must be more transparent around the draft investor state dispute settlements in the TPPA, says David Parker, Labour’s Export Growth and Trade spokesperson. “Labour is pro trade, and is proud of the FTA we negotiated with China, which… ...
    6 days ago
  • Protect university staff and student voices
    The Green Party believes ensuring student and staff representation on university councils is important. National recently passed a law reducing the size of university governance councils while increasing the proportion of the members nominated by, guess who… Steven Joyce. The… ...
    GreensBy Gareth Hughes MP
    7 days ago
  • C’mon Nick what’s the truth on the RMA
     “Nick Smith has got to fess up and tell us what is happening to his much vaunted RMA reform, Labour’s Environment spokesperson Megan Woods says.  “With just a day and a half to go before the polls open in Northland,… ...
    7 days ago
  • SSC salaries sink National’s spending spin
    Massive pay rises at the State Services Commission prove National’s claims of clamping down on spending in the public sector are simply fantasy, Labour’s State Services spokesman Kris Faafoi says. “Salaries in this one department are almost $70,000 more than… ...
    7 days ago
  • We can fix Christchurch and keep our assets
    The Christchurch City Council is seeking public feedback on its proposed 10 year plan for Council revenue and spending. This is probably one of the most significant 10 year plans ever to be written by a local council because of… ...
    GreensBy Eugenie Sage MP
    7 days ago
  • Epidemic of serious assaults in our prisons
    Labour wants stab proof vests and pepper spray for all corrections officers to keep them safe from the epidemic of serious prison assaults that are occurring around the country’s jails, says Labour’s Corrections Spokesperson Kelvin Davis.  “There have been five… ...
    7 days ago
  • Listen to the locals Hekia!
    Minister Hekia Parata needs to understand what consultation is, Port Hills MP Ruth Dyson says. “It means you have to listen to what people say in their submissions and then be able to demonstrate you have considered their views when… ...
    1 week ago
  • Thanking our caregivers
    Let’s celebrate and thank our caregivers. This week is caregivers’ week. It’s a chance to acknowledge the thousands of women, and occasional other person, who are caring for the elderly and disabled in our country. They hold people’s lives in… ...
    GreensBy Jan Logie MP
    1 week ago
  • Roundup: UN finds it “probably” causes cancer
    At last the UN has spoken out against the widely-used weedkiller Roundup. The UN’s International Agency for Research on Cancer has identified glyphosate, the principle ingredient in Roundup, as a probable carcinogen. They also include as probable carcinogens the insecticides… ...
    GreensBy Steffan Browning MP
    1 week ago
  • World water day: eight rivers in one day
    Our photo journey started by the Waioweka (also known as Waioeka) River which flows from Te Urewera to Opotiki, and is surrounded by beautiful forest. The water looked great! Kopeopeo Canal It contrasted greatly with the Kopeopeo Canal near Whakatane,… ...
    GreensBy Catherine Delahunty MP
    1 week ago
  • We all benefit when education meets everyone’s needs
    As Dyslexia week comes to a close,  Dyslexia NZ have reminded us that around 10% of our citizens are dyslexic and are entitled to better support. One of their strongest arguments is that failure to provide identification and support for… ...
    GreensBy Catherine Delahunty MP
    1 week ago
  • Big change starts small
    Today marks Race Relations Day in New Zealand. Race Relations Day coincides with the International Day for the Elimination of Racial Discrimination.  The United Nations General Assembly chose this day as it marks the day in 1960 when 69 peaceful… ...
    GreensBy Denise Roche MP
    2 weeks ago
  • Israel, Palestine and the question of statehood
    The knife-edge election in Israel complicates the Middle East situation, even more than usual. The Prime Minister-elect, Binyamin Netanyahu, is moving to form a government. Netanyahu has indicated that, during his term, a Palestinian state would not be established. That… ...
    GreensBy Kennedy Graham MP
    2 weeks ago
  • Christchurch transport goes backwards
    The Green Party has a vision of a liveable, accessible Christchurch with a sense of identity and strong connected communities. Instead, 2013 census figures released by Statistics New Zealand reveal a fractured community, and tell a story of frustrated Christchurch commuters… ...
    GreensBy Eugenie Sage MP
    2 weeks ago
  • Super Fund should divest $140 million in high risk coal
    The Green Party is calling on the New Zealand Super Fund to divest their $140 million investment in coal companies that are vulnerable to becoming financially stranded according to a damning new report from Oxford University. The Smith School of… ...
    GreensBy Russel Norman MP
    2 weeks ago
  • Learn to count with Mark Osborne: 0 + 1 = ?
    The adage about the first casualty of war being truth is one that might often be applied to the political battle for hearts and minds, and of course votes. A rather unfortunate example of this has been arriving in the… ...
    GreensBy David Clendon MP
    2 weeks ago
  • Is it still a safety net when the holes are this big?
    Over the last few weeks I’ve been wondering how safe our income support system is for people, especially those with cognitive or learning disabilities. I’ve been trying to support a young man who was severely injured in a workplace accident… ...
    GreensBy Jan Logie MP
    2 weeks ago
  • Pasifika – protecting the Pacific needed now more than ever.
    Over the weekend thousands of Aucklanders flocked to celebrate our city’s diverse Pacific communities and cultures at the annual Pasifika festival and the Greens were there to join them. The Pasifika festival has been held every year for 23… ...
    GreensBy Denise Roche MP
    2 weeks ago
  • Sounds Stakeholders Seek a Sustainable Future
    It was heartening to see a large number of people who care about the Marlborough Sounds come together at the Marlborough Marine Futures’ forum in Picton on March 8. Fellow Green MP Steffan Browning, who lives in Marlborough, and I… ...
    GreensBy Eugenie Sage MP
    3 weeks ago

Removed at the request of The Daily Blog.
Public service advertisements by The Standard

Current CO2 level in the atmosphere