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Posts Tagged ‘polls’

Poll geekery

Written By: - Date published: 11:34 am, October 1st, 2015 - 1 comment

Danyl McLaughlan poll of polls

Nice interactive political polling data visualisation here (consider making a donation!).

The Roy Morgan roundabout

Written By: - Date published: 7:26 am, September 19th, 2015 - 17 comments

merry go round

The “Roy Morgan roundabout” poll has swung round to the left again, with National at 44.5% (down 6), Labour 31% (up 4) and Greens 15% (up 4).

Herald poll

Written By: - Date published: 11:36 am, August 26th, 2015 - 89 comments


Another data point from the poll mill.

Internal polling apparently good

Written By: - Date published: 6:57 am, July 28th, 2015 - 233 comments


It’s not a good idea in general to comment on internal polling. But since they were discussed on other blogs yesterday – Labour’s current numbers are looking good.

20 years of preferred PM

Written By: - Date published: 12:12 pm, July 27th, 2015 - 68 comments


3News Poll: National Lose Lead

Written By: - Date published: 6:55 pm, July 26th, 2015 - 109 comments


The latest 3News/Reid Research poll continues the trend of bad results for National. On these numbers, National are knackered. And, surprise, surprise, Kiwis don’t want non-residents buying up our houses.  Not a great way to finish a conference weekend, is it?

TV One Colmar Brunton Poll

Written By: - Date published: 6:10 pm, July 19th, 2015 - 119 comments


The latest One News Colmar Brunton poll is out. National drop one to 47%, Labour gain that point to lift to 32% , the Greens rise to 13% and NZ First are steady on 7 %. Consumer confidence plummets 9% points to just 36%.

Reid Research Poll: Nats, Key slump.

Written By: - Date published: 7:39 pm, June 2nd, 2015 - 98 comments


New Reid Research poll; National, Key tank. Opposition parties nudge 50%. Little, Peters rise in preferred PM.  Taxi for Mr Key?

Colmar Brunton poll

Written By: - Date published: 11:03 am, June 2nd, 2015 - 53 comments


I’ll cautiously call the previous Roy Morgan, which caused so much angst, an outlier.

Colmar poll

Written By: - Date published: 6:21 am, April 20th, 2015 - 141 comments


No significant changes in yesterdays TV1 / Colmar Brunton poll, with National unchanged on 49%, Labour unchanged on 31%, and all changes within the margin of error.

Dim-Post tracking poll

Written By: - Date published: 8:35 am, March 27th, 2015 - 58 comments


March Roy Morgan

Written By: - Date published: 7:13 am, March 21st, 2015 - 61 comments


National down again and Labour up again in the latest Roy Morgan poll.

Public support for the Iraq deployment (In which the insightful and knowledgable Mike Hosking springs to the defence of the embattled PM!)

Written By: - Date published: 7:11 am, February 27th, 2015 - 87 comments


Despite the best efforts of Mike Hosking, the poll numbers tell us that Kiwis have lost their historical appetite for this kind of misadventure.

Three polls is a trend

Written By: - Date published: 7:05 am, February 23rd, 2015 - 79 comments


That’s the third poll this year to have Labour well up to 30% range.

Another Roy Morgan

Written By: - Date published: 7:20 am, February 21st, 2015 - 77 comments


Another Roy Morgan poll out late last night makes decent reading for Little, Labour and the left.

How does Labour keep the momentum?

Written By: - Date published: 7:11 am, February 2nd, 2015 - 216 comments

Andrew Little

Labour have bounced back well from the disastrous election result. But how do they keep up the momentum?

Key’s support ebbing

Written By: - Date published: 6:45 am, September 12th, 2014 - 66 comments

key hands clean

National have gambled everything on “Team Key”. They may yet wish that they hadn’t.

The Big Lie in action

Written By: - Date published: 12:30 pm, September 5th, 2014 - 13 comments


This morning Rob Salmond did a great post about the “big lie” – the spin coming from the Right that Labour hasn’t concentrated on policy, just dirty politics.

Like clockwork, David Farrar has a post up about the latest polls, suggesting “Their focus on hacked e-mails instead of policy  is backfiring.”

I think that most New Zealanders…

Written By: - Date published: 12:35 pm, August 28th, 2014 - 16 comments

DP cvr FIN.indd

Our PM is fond of telling us all what we think. In the wake of Dirty Politics he is working it overtime, telling us all that we believe his spin. Interesting then to get some actual data on what (extrapolating from a sample) most New Zealanders really do think. Many thanks to the Horizon polling people for putting this up on line.

Roy Morgan bounces left

Written By: - Date published: 6:12 am, August 20th, 2013 - 76 comments


National 44 (down 7), Labour 34 (up 5), Greens 14 (up 4).

Mixed news

Written By: - Date published: 6:48 am, July 19th, 2013 - 151 comments

dimpost poll of polls 2011 2013

The latest Roy Morgan poll is mixed news for the Left. A second high result for National, but Labour’s vote holding steady after difficult weeks.

Informal GCSB poll

Written By: - Date published: 11:20 am, July 14th, 2013 - 41 comments



Polls and rogues

Written By: - Date published: 6:13 pm, April 21st, 2013 - 99 comments


Two polls tonight with very different numbers. They can’t both be right – so which one?

Polling merry-go-round

Written By: - Date published: 8:52 am, March 20th, 2013 - 28 comments


The Roy Morgan polls continue their mad merry-go-round, and we bloggers continue to get too excited about it. The latest RM projects a win for Labour / Greens.

That ‘ol margin of error

Written By: - Date published: 8:52 am, February 20th, 2013 - 32 comments


There is no sensible “political narrative” that makes sense of the two most recent polls, it’s just noise – the margin of error. But the underlying trend is still good for the Left…

Poll of polls looking good

Written By: - Date published: 7:53 am, February 14th, 2013 - 136 comments

turei shearer

Yesterday’s Roy Morgan poll looks good for Labour, but individual polls are noisy. Much more importantly, better measures such as the Pundit poll of polls are also looking good for the political Left. Let’s see Labour and the Greens extend their lead to establish a clear majority, without NZF or any other party holding the balance of power…

And Fairfax makes three

Written By: - Date published: 11:03 am, December 9th, 2012 - 56 comments


After good news for Labour in the most recent TV1 and 3 News polls, the latest Fairfax poll is the third in the set confirming that the party has emerged from the recent media circus in OK shape. As far as I know that’s the last big poll of 2012, and with the Left / Right gap halved since the election, a reasonable place for Labour to be sitting at the end of the year.

Two good polls for Labour and Shearer

Written By: - Date published: 6:07 pm, December 2nd, 2012 - 121 comments


Individual polls are nothing to get too excited about, it is the trend over time that matters. That said, the TV1 and 3 News polls tonight were both good news for Labour and Shearer.

Encouraging polls

Written By: - Date published: 2:53 pm, September 24th, 2012 - 69 comments


Encouraging polls in both NZ and America.


Written By: - Date published: 8:37 am, July 30th, 2012 - 90 comments


Yet more evidence that women are the smarter sex.

Trendy polls

Written By: - Date published: 7:21 am, June 11th, 2012 - 120 comments


The last three polls have all been good for the Left. I’d like to be able to point you to a poll of polls to have a look at the trend, but both Curia and Pundit are stuck in an April time warp.

Update: Great to see the Pundit poll of polls up to date again – check it out.

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