web analytics
The Standard
Advertising

The Fairfax Ipsos Poll result

Written By: - Date published: 12:23 pm, February 15th, 2014 - 65 comments
Categories: polls - Tags:

The latest Fairfax Ipsos poll result has attracted attention in Open Mike.  Vern Small has interpreted the results as suggesting that National could win 64 seats.  He has anticipated that NZ First will not be in Parliament which I think is dangerous.

Like all polls the results need to be taken with more than a grain of salt.  Just before the last election Fairfax had National on 54% which is significantly higher than its election result of 47.21%.

And sometimes the trend is more important.

The choice of headlines is interesting.  Last time it was “Poll a Major blow to Labour”.  This time it is “National on wave of optimism”.

The raw data is that National is down 0.8% to 49.4%, Labour is down 1.8% to 31.8%, the Greens are down 0.7% to 10% and NZ First is up 1.3% to 3.6%.  It is not clear from the figures but it was reported the Conservatives were up 1.3% to 2%.  Kim Dotcom’s internet party did not register.

The breakdown, which needs to be treated even more carefully suggests that Labour has lost support in Wellington and the rest of the South Island, amongst men and amongst those aged 65 and up.  Labour has improved support in Auckland and amongst 30 to 44 year olds.  It might be that the baby bonus appeals to those likely to benefit and does not appeal to those who don’t.

In Christchurch National has shed 8% points while Labour has also lost 2.9%.  The Greens and NZ First have both improved support significantly.

On issues Labour’s baby bonus has as much support as opposition, and a question on raising taxes inevitably met strong opposition.

Voters were evenly split on whether there should be a time for a change of Government although there was increased optimism on whether or not the country was on the right track or the wrong track.

65 comments on “The Fairfax Ipsos Poll result”

  1. Clemgeopin 2

    This poll, like a lot of other polls, should be a little suspect at
    this early stage when the parties haven’t even publicised all their
    policies yet! The polls and more importantly their trend become more
    relevant and reliable closer to the election, about the last 100 days or
    so before the election.

    Here is my prediction: Irrespective of these polls, it will be a Mr Cunliffe lead left government at the next election. In fact, there will be two left governments: The NAT/ACt government that will be ‘left out’ and the new Labour lead ‘left wing’ government.

    Copy and keep this post for your future reference to see if I am correct or not.
    In the mean time, let the right wing rascals temporarily enjoy this Fairfax poll for now.

  2. Disraeli Gladstone 3

    Okay. Just for a second, I want you to enter a world where this poll is possibly accurate (which we have no idea if it is or not). In a world where you can gather insight from a single poll (which is dangerous thinking). In a world where this is all a bit of guesswork but we’ll just roll with it.

    Are you there? Good.

    “The raw data is that National is down 0.8% to 49.4%, Labour is down 1.8% to 31.8%, the Greens are down 0.7% to 10% and NZ First is up 1.3% to 3.6%. It is not clear from the figures but it was reported the Conservatives were up 1.3% to 2%.”

    This is kind of alarming.

    I think we could suggest that National lost around 2% from the rise of NZ First and the Conservative. It makes sense. As Key hints that NZ First can become a coalition partner, conservative Nat voters head that way. As the Conservatives may be gifted a seat, conservative Nat voters head that way too. Potentially, all 2.6% may be coming from National, but surely at least a good 1.5% moved away from National to these two parties.

    By they only went down 0.8%. Which suggests the possibilities that National lost votes to the right and picked up Labour’s centrist voters.

    And that is bad. Because if National can replace a limited amount of lost right-wing votes with centrist votes, they’ll win.

    • Colonial Viper 3.1

      Coming back from your dream world, this poll is overestimating National’s support by up to 5%, so they’re looking stuffed.

      Which is why they are bringing out all the dirty tricks now as well as hugging up to UFO conspiracy theorists like Colin Craig.

      • Disraeli Gladstone 3.1.1

        Even if National is on 45%, they can still cobble together a government from there depending on Craig, whether ACT can survive again, and which way the wind is blowing when Peters decide who he wants to join with this time round.

        • Colonial Viper 3.1.1.1

          National 45% at the start of election year. Game on.

          • Disraeli Gladstone 3.1.1.1.1

            Oh, I agree.

            But I wouldn’t suggest they’re “stuffed”.

            It’s game on, all to play for.

            • Tracey 3.1.1.1.1.1

              Greens and labour need to be sure of their election strategy. No point in firing early while meadia have deaf ears… but anyone notice that selected ceos get regularly asked their outlook and how things are going but never selected employees?

          • Rob 3.1.1.1.2

            You are an idiot. They are on nearly 50% you dipstick. Just because you arbitarily claim that the poll overstates the Nat vote by a number u fabricated, doesn’t make it true or particularly logical.

            On this poll the Nats cruise into govt in their own right, with Craig + 2MPs, Dunne and Seymore as buffers.

            Centre right – 53%, Center left 42%

            Also, Micky – the polling company for Fairfax this time around is different – its IPSOS. They got rid of the other company after the erroneous result at the 2011 Election.

            • Crunchtime 3.1.1.1.2.1

              Watch out Rob, your idiocy is showing. This is corroborated by the facts: the Fairfax poll is always higher for National by about 5 points (or more) than other polls.

              If you don’t want other polls as a measure, how about previous election result? Fairfax poll estimated 54% to National, they got 47.21%

              This is all in the item you are commenting on. Try to read first before making stupid offensive comments.

  3. Stephanie Rodgers 4

    The age breakdown is interesting (if a little predictable). Ignoring any overestimation of National’s vote by Fairfax, getting the young voters and the thirtysomethings to turn out on election day could make a huge difference.

    • swordfish 4.1

      Yep, the under 35s always lean further Left than the rest of the population. The slight surprise is that the Left are weaker/Right stronger among the 65+ age group compared to the broad middle age. Usually the latter are the most Right-leaning of cohorts.

      Although Fairfax has a tendency to exaggerate Right support, I have to say good on them for making the various demographic breakdowns available. Most Poll companies don’t.

  4. Ad 5

    Has any political science academic done a graph tracking final electoral results vs the unemployment rate, or the GDP rate, over a substantial series?

    I’ve seen them done against quite long series of US Presidential results. What I am hoping for is some set of factual correlations that prove or dispel my theory that the main risk to a change of government is a decreasing unemployment rate, or increasing GDP rate (however faulty it is).

    • Disraeli Gladstone 5.1

      I remember reading somewhere that it’s high growth/low employment doesn’t improve a conservative government’s chances because people are more likely to vote liberal/left-wing in times of affluent.

      There’s an interesting thing going on in the UK where George Osborne is trying to both rally good economic news to show that he’s doing a good job while also trying to find bad news out of his control to show that the UK isn’t in a great position yet so people don’t feel safe enough to vote Labour back in.

  5. tricledrown 6

    Red logix
    Print Media is collapsing by itself and is Now unprofitable.
    Gina Reinhart has the majority of the minority shareholding and is turning a once proud independent News organization into another Murdocracy!

    • tc 6.1

      Wupert carved the print business away from his cash cows fox and sky to isolate the red ink. Gina wants the same as wupert, the demise of public broadcasting in Oz.

  6. chris73 7

    That tingle in the back of your neck that feels suspiciously like deja vu…don’t worry about it, it’ll go away at the 2017 election

  7. Rosie 8

    “It might be that the baby bonus appeals to those likely to benefit and does not appeal to those who don’t.”

    I always wonder why we are so into “what affects us, personally” when it comes to policy. Are we so self absorbed and internally focused that we can’t see that what policy is good for society, or the community at large, can benefit the individual also, that is, if you wanted to be really selfish about it, instead of just being happy for the target group of the policy.

    Are we that mean? Well going by the RW freak out reaction to the baby bonus, I would assume we are. On the other hand, are people so ingrained into the individualistic neo lib type thinking pattern that when faced with an actual socially uplifting policy such as the baby bonus, their brains can’t cope, as it’s beyond the usual shallow personality focused political contest, and they just fizz out because they comprehend goodness?

  8. bad12 9

    MS, my view is that we should treat each poll on the basis of it’s accuracy,(or lack of),at the previous election,

    As you point out this particular poll was 6-7% astray at the 2011 election and i have no particular reason to suppose that this particular rendition is any more accurate than their 2011 pre-election effort,

    The link at comment (1) in the Post goes a long way to explaining where the political sympathies of the owners/editors lie, and, it is obvious that the unscrupulous media,(which at the moment seems to include most of the mainstream), are not above using manipulated or false data to attempt to manipulate the minds of those that pay to read, watch or listen to their rubbish,

    Myself i will take as read that any poll can only be as accurate as it’s last poll was befor an election, given that, National’s % of the vote as assessed by this poll should be read and discounted that 6-7% for what i believe to be a true picture…

    • Disraeli Gladstone 9.1

      “Myself i will take as read that any poll can only be as accurate as it’s last poll was befor an election, given that, National’s % of the vote as assessed by this poll should be read and discounted that 6-7% for what i believe to be a true picture…”

      Statistically speaking, that’s not very clever. Polls have margin of errors. It’s very possible that the pre-election poll was at the edge of the MoE. Therefore National could have been 54% +/- 3-4%. It’s possible the poll was out only by 3%.

      Now, if you look at the trend, Fairfax had National at 52% throughout the campaign. That falls within the MoE. Therefore, that last poll was probably an outlier and Fairfax had National at 52%. Which was still 4.5% out and still signifies a statistical bias, but not one quite as extreme as 7%.

      That’s why polling being reported to the wider public is troublesome because the media doesn’t adequately explain how polls actually work. If you ever get the time, read some of Anthony Wells’ writing on polling. He’s very good at explaining the important matters with polls.

      • wtl 9.1.1

        I’m sorry, but the way you are talking about ‘margins of error’ as absolutes is completely incorrect from a statistical point of view. The quoted margin of error is simply the 95% confidence interval, which means that the true proportion in the population (of voters supporting National) will be within the margin of error of the poll 95% of the time. Of course, the actual ‘margin of error’ is a probability distribution, meaning it is more likely to be close to the proportion measured in the poll and less likely to be far from the proportion measured; there is no black or white inside or outside the MoE.

        In saying that, I remember these polls from last year:
        Fairfax Ipsos 19-23 October National 50.2% (1030 people)
        One News 19-23 October National 45% (1014 people)
        Roy Morgan October 14-27, 2013 National 42% (847 people)

        The two-tailed p-value for the difference between the Fairfax and the Roy Morgan is 0.0004, meaning that difference would occur by chance only 4 times out of 10,000, assuming the polls were sampling from the same population. There is clearly systematic bias in at least some of the polls. Exactly what the bias is, we have no way of knowing for sure, but it does seem to me that the Fairfax has a clear tendency to overestimate support for National.

        • Andrew 9.1.1.1

          @wtl

          We have no idea how the RM and Fairfax interviews were distributed over that period – it’s possible RM carried out the majority of their interviews in the first week and then spent the rest of the time achieving hard to reach quotas, so the majority of interviews in each poll are covering two different periods. For that reason I don’t think it’s fair to use p<.5 as evidence of a bias between those two polls. Voter sentiment could definitely have changed between the two periods – to the point where a difference would not be great enough to reach statistical significance.

          Also, if you really want to get technical, neither of those polls use probability sampling, so you can't apply the margin of error, sig tests, or probability theory to the results.

          • Lanthanide 9.1.1.1.1

            And yet they rely on statistical theory, assuming a simple random sample, when they produce their margin of error.

            If they’re going to try and claim a statistical sample, it’s only fair for us to use statistical tools on it.

            Also I find your reasoning on dates to be unconvincing, unless there was some major scandal at the time (I don’t recall any), there’s no reason to suspect that sentiment would turn *that* quickly and not be the result of sampling bias.

            • Andrew 9.1.1.1.1.1

              So because they produce a margin of error based on a probability sample, it’s okay to use an inappropriate test to compare them and call it evidence. Sure, okay… If you don’t care at all about the quality of the evidence. Fine.

              Anyway… I think you’re responding based on incorrect assumptions about my point of view. You mostly just reiterated the point I was trying to make.

              You’re free to have your opinion about the dates. I’m not for a second arguing that polls are consistent and without bias. I’m saying p<.5 is not *evidence*, in this instance, that they are inconsistent and biased. I'm attempting, perhaps poorly, to make a scientific argument, not a moral or philosophical one.

    • Skinny 9.2

      In other words Bad12 there phony.

      Their crap polls are suggestive, a friend of mine has been polled before by FF, she is politically active and smelt a rat. You can bet this one was sweetened to flavour National with patsy questions to appeal to soft voters, like;

       Do you think the economy is improving?

       Which in the boom bust merry go round we are on of course it’s got to pick up.

      Finally if an election was held tomorrow how would you vote? 

      This kind of polling is good for a 6% con job.

      The L/G’s need to consistently pull tricks out of hat to flog National in the public’s eyes. It’s all a ratings game with the media networks, they play along.   

      • bad12 9.2.1

        Yeah of course Skinny, even that pro-National to the point of stupidity, Herald Jonolist John Armstrong stated quite bluntly in a column last year the the Reid Poll asks leading questions which are specifically designed to elicit from the respondents answers that will skew the results of the polls,

        Disraeli whats-his face is simply blustering with numbers to produce some form of mathematical gibberish in defence of this poll and i think WTL answers that mathematical gibberish in His comment with ease, although trying to wade my way through each of those comments to form an understandable opinion on a Saturday is beyond me,(probably beyond me on any other day as well such fractionalization of percentages not being my forte),

        While trying to debunk my point about the best indicator of a polls accuracy being its efficacy at the last poll taken befor the 2011 election Disraeli whats-his-face seems to be conceding through whatever the applied calculation is that the poll could ‘only’ have been skewed in National’s favor by 4.5 to 5% as opposed to the 6-7% i have suggested,

        That i suggest is an example of ‘dragging defeat from the jaws of victory’ as the poll looks like shit whether my simpler calculus is used or the more complicated mathematical gymnastics of Disraeli…

  9. Tracey 10

    Polls are lazy mans journalism and a poor substitue for genuine analysis .

    Really only emerged with growth of pr companies working for political parties. Funny that.

    • Paul 10.1

      That’s why Espiner, Armstrong, Garner and the rest love them
      Save them doing any work.

    • well I never 10.2

      Polls are like JK’s magic mirror on the wall, and keep him a happy chappy, as they are undoubtedly skewed and designed to favour his government.
      Unfortunately, they are also his biggest weapon as they do influence those that are simply swayed by perceived power.
      In the UK,when media fell out of love with Thatcher/Tories,and in love with Blair, everything changed.

  10. Tanz 11

    the MSM are makng John Key sound invincable all the time, seems he can do no wwong. This must be helping to sway the voters…

    • Paul 11.1

      Well many voters have some personal experience of this government and may choose personal experience over propaganda.
      155 000 unemployed
      The 200 000 underemployed
      People on the minimum wage

      The people of Christchurch after the insurance debacle
      Teachers after the novopay debacle
      Forestry workers after safety record.
      People who care for the environment
      People who voted against Asset Sales in the referendum.

      It adds up.

  11. myass 12

    let see what the election brings bright economy for who houses are getting even more unaffordable and wages aren’t rising

  12. Tania 13

    This poll is too high in one go lol if it climbed up a point or two it would be more realistic. But then its a Herald Poll what can one expect.

  13. Yossarian 14

    Polls are Polls, this far out perverse to read any thing into them of substance!

    However The Latest Standard Poll is Out!
    Poll For Best Common Sense Thought Provoking Articles.

    Mickey Savage + 9.5%
    Karol -13%
    BJT +2%
    Stephanie Rodgers + 1.5%
    Bill +1%
    Mike Smith +0.75%
    L Prent +0.5 %
    Helen Kelly +1%
    Others +2%

    Our Pollsters when asked about the results. Put down Mickey Savages solid increase in percentage points due to his continued output of decent, common sense, articles, across a wide range of topics & Savages articles tend to look at broader picture, that invites comments & are more inclusive to the reader. Karols continued slipage is due to the continuation of articles that tend to be more opinion based and any form of comment is met with a barrage of rebuttal & tend on the whole to cover a smaller spectrum of political issues. Our Pollsters went so far as to suggest that Savage could form his own majority if he carried on his good broad based interpretations. Whilst Pollsters suggested that The Karol Party may like to take an extended holiday or perhaps cut back her authorship with an the infusion of new blood, guest authors.
    This Poll is subject too the usual mumbo jumbo +/- swing bias.
    NB: Our Pollsters are 90% sure, that none of our authors have taken “The Paula Bennett Avenue” of “Drinking Their Own Urine” to progress their articles

    • xtasy 14.1

      “Karols continued slipage is due to the continuation of articles that tend to be more opinion based and any form of comment is met with a barrage of rebuttal & tend on the whole to cover a smaller spectrum of political issues.”

      Now, I tend to disagree a bit on this, as Karol is a post writer that I find very conscientious and socially focused, writing a fair bit on social justice, welfare and also some gender justice topics. This is admittedly not a “mainstream” range of topics, and hence she may get fewer comments and feedback, but she is doing a rather good job with what she does.

      It is always easier to write something “hitting” that is about John Key’s latest slip up or something similar, and that will of course appeal more widely.

      I like reading and commenting here, because there are a range of topics discussed, and there are serious social concerns and issues debated and raised. I would even encourage TS as a forum to invite a wider range of post writers, as the Daily Blog mostly does.

      Broaden the spectrum, please, and you will get even more support and positive feed-back. The harder topics like welfare will always rate a bit lower, as only some in society are affected by it, or feel sympathetic to the ones affected. Labour relationship issues, economic questions, daily political issues in the media, brand and personality issues will always “appeal” a bit wider, hence the differences.

    • blue leopard (Get Lost GCSB Bill) 14.2

      Yossarian,

      What are you attempting to achieve here with your made up poll?

      a. That these other polls are simply inaccurate opinions like yours is?

      b. Or are you pushing some sort of personal disliking you have with Karol’s articles?

      I do not share your opinion at all if your answer is b.

      I enjoy Karol’s articles and find she covers a lot of important issues – and therefore thoroughly disagree with your summary –

      or are you simply being facetious? – it would be clearer if you added a /sarc tag if you were.

      It is hard to tell what you are attempting to convey

      +1 xtasy

  14. Sosoo 15

    The poll just says that selfish boomers are selfish. Tell me something I didn’t know.

  15. xtasy 16

    POLLS are to be taken with a grain of salt, and of course, people express views and preferences after having been “informed” or rather “misinformed” by our “mainstream (SHIT) media”.

    That is IMPORTANT, and Greens, Labour and others in opposition better TAKE NOTE!

    You will not sway the opinion polls by trying to please the already largely biased journalists that are working for the MSM, and who are only out to expose your weaknesses, contradictions and flaws.

    You may well have a chance to win the election, if you go TRADITIONAL, like Winston Peters does, and go out, have public meetings, have them preferably in open places, well announced, and raise current, important issues that people are really concerned about. The rest can be mentioned also, but after raising the top agenda issues.

    This is HARD work, and that in my view is the ONLY way that Labour and Greens and others will win the election, but of course also followed up with effective social media use.

    Do NOT rely on MSM interviews, the “news”, the useless “current affairs” programs, they are not going to work for you. The issues must be taken to the street, the halls and public meetings, as many as possible, all over New Zealand. And there have questions and answers, be honest, clear, and decisive, and hand out lots of leaflets, with information, not just slogans.

    That is my honest advice to the opposition parties and members.

  16. Foreign Waka 17

    Polls are of no real use but they are a PR exercise that seem to work quite well. This is most likely due to the way people seem to horde around a “winner” and only some are willing to stand with the “underdog”.
    It will not sway those who gave up and lost interest, reflected in a low voter turnout (74% last election). It is more concerning that people are disillusioned with all of the parliamentarians and so unwittingly facilitate a minority rule (are some still working with FPP?) that will roughshod with the average kiwi.

    • well I never 17.1

      “It is more concerning that people are disillusioned ….”
      Tony Benn said there are 2 reasons people don’t vote, this is the first, a sense of despondency, and the 2nd is fear, wanting to keep their heads down.
      I would say we are heading for another remarkably low turnout, and Labour need to inspire those who might stay at home, for stated reasons, that IT IS WORTH IT!!

      • Chooky 17.1.1

        +1 …agreed….Labour needs to get more proactive and not just wait for a win to fall into their lap

  17. Yossarian 18

    +10 to Well I Never.

    Tony Benn a true conviction politician & a man of principled politics.
    No Weather Vein, Sound Bite Politcian for Mr Benn.
    An example of true socialism/old labour, at work.
    I had the pleasure many years ago to meet him and also listen to his oratory on a few occasions.
    He appeals to the principled best in mankind, a quality that is in short supply in “modern politics”.
    I know he is currently very ill in the UK and my thoughts go out to him & his family.

Important links

Recent Comments

Recent Posts

  • Review: “The Bone Clocks”
    Having binged on politics up to and including the day after election night, I'm going through a bit of a purge at the moment. So I've pretty much tried to ignore Labour's travails over the last couple of weeks (oh,...
    Pundit | 02-10
  • The Average National Supporter Is Thick As Crap
    I overheard this conversation today (I promise you it is word for word between two National Party supporters). “Did you know the Gov’t is going to remove the right for employees to have teabreaks?” “What?  What Gov’t?” “Our Gov’t, the...
    An average kiwi | 02-10
  • A good discussion about interviewing politicians
    I heard this on BBC Radio 4′s ‘The Media Show’ this morning, and thought, “That’s worth sharing” — and not just because it features my sole remaining favourite right wing vixen Louise Mensch. (Best line: ‘blood on the carpet’.) Sparked...
    The Paepae | 02-10
  • Stuart’s 100 #37: AKL Eats at AIAL
    37: AKL Eats at AIAL What if our international airport offered a slice of the best Auckland eats? All airports are all the same, right? Well generally yes, but occasionally one surprises you with something unique or at least a...
    Transport Blog | 02-10
  • Clear signal NZ’s universities need more funding
    The rankings for universities around the world were released today, with disappointing results for NZ’s universities. Three out of five of our institutions dropped down the rankings from last year, with the remaining two holding their position. Universities New Zealand,...
    frogblog | 02-10
  • Science and belief
    As long as it agrees with, or can be interpreted to agree with, one’s beliefs.  ...
    Open Parachute | 02-10
  • Tetris and Labour
    So the computer game Tetris is going to be made into a movie. This doesn’t strike me as a good idea. Stacking endless streams of tumbling blocks so that they complete rows that then disappear isn’t much of a plot....
    Occasionally erudite | 02-10
  • The real threat to the UK
    The British government wants to ban "non-violent extremists" - that's Tory for "people the government doesn't like" - from appearing on TV or social media:Radical Islamist extremists and neo-Nazis could be banned from making public appearances including on television under...
    No Right Turn | 02-10
  • A panopticon in Auckland
    Live in Auckland? Smile, Auckland Transport will be watching everything you do:Surveillance technology that uses high definition cameras and software that can put names to faces and owners to cars is coming to Auckland. The surveillance has the capability to...
    No Right Turn | 01-10
  • International Day of Action: Kiwis Fight Back!
    On 8 November 2014 Kiwis will kickstart the global day of action against the TPPA. TPPA poses an enormous threat to NZ’s ability to regulate for itself, and gives foreign investors and multinationals new rights to control our laws. Click...
    Its our future | 01-10
  • New Waiheke Ferries
    News broke this week that from Saturday there will once again be some competition on the Waiheke ferry route. The battle for passengers on the Waiheke ferry service is about to heat up – much to the relief of many...
    Transport Blog | 01-10
  • Holding out for a hero
    David Cunliffe cannot beat National in 2017. That’s as close to a political certainty as there is. Labour did as poorly as they did this election in part because of Cunliffe. I know too many people who wouldn’t touch Labour...
    Occasionally erudite | 01-10
  • @tarnbabe67 : Cosgrove’s conspiracy theory backfires
    Intelligent people occasionally make stupid mistakes. Exhibit A: Karen Price setting up an anonymous Twitter account in order to lambast her husband’s foes. There’s something very unMachiavellian about choosing an “anonymous” Twitter handle that allowed people who knew you to guess...
    Occasionally erudite | 01-10
  • Whale Oil’s dirty attack on Otago academic
    Tertiary Update Vol 17  No 33 The villain of Dirty Politics, Cameron Slater, used his post-election downtime last week to attack University of Otago nutrition scientist Lisa Te Morenga, calling her a ‘trougher’ and, ironically, criticising her for being offensive...
    Tertiary Education Union | 01-10
  • KiwiSaver improvements at EIT
    Eastern Institute of Technology’s TEU members who are over 65 will be able to continue to save up employer contributions in their KiwiSaver nest egg if they ratify a new TEU collective agreement. Union members are now voting whether to...
    Tertiary Education Union | 01-10
  • Vic students to leave NZUSA under VSM cloud
    Student leaders around New Zealand will meet in two weeks to discuss the future of student representation after the decision made last week by the Victoria University Students’ Association (VUWSA) to give one year’s notice terminating their membership of the...
    Tertiary Education Union | 01-10
  • Collective agreements get more pay rises
    Does it pay for you to be on a collective agreement rather than an individual agreement, asks CTU economist Bill Rosenberg? The evidence available suggests that yes, workers on collective agreements get bigger and more frequent pay rises. They may...
    Tertiary Education Union | 01-10
  • Maybe you’re not cut out for this kind of work
    I attended a great buddies wedding in the bay of islands recently. It was everything […] The post Maybe you’re not cut out for this kind of work appeared first on Connected....
    Potentia | 01-10
  • Maybe you’re not cut out for this kind of work
    I attended a great buddy’s wedding in the Bay of Islands recently. It was everything […] The post Maybe you’re not cut out for this kind of work appeared first on Connected....
    Potentia | 01-10
  • 2014 – Ongoing jobless tally
    . . Continued from: 2013 – Ongoing jobless tally So by the numbers, for this year, January OceanaGold/Macraes Mine: 146 redundancies Fitzroy Yachts: 100 redundancies OceanaGold: 76 redundancies Tenix: 15 redundancies February Goodman Fielder: 125 redundancies Pacific Steel Group: 70-90 redundancies...
    Frankly Speaking | 01-10
  • 2014 – Ongoing jobless tally
    . . Continued from: 2013 – Ongoing jobless tally So by the numbers, for this year, January OceanaGold/Macraes Mine: 146 redundancies Fitzroy Yachts: 100 redundancies OceanaGold: 76 redundancies Tenix: 15 redundancies February Goodman Fielder: 125 redundancies Pacific Steel Group: 70-90 redundancies...
    Frankly Speaking | 01-10
  • Media malice
    There has been a lot of talk, over on the Standard and elsewhere, about media bias.  The election was lost because of it.  Cunliffe's leadership ruined because of it.  The Scottish independence referendum lost because of it.  The media are...
    Left hand palm | 01-10
  • How to Create a Divided Society: New Plymouth’s Maori Seat
    Last week New Plymouth District Council opted to create a Maori ward for the next local government election. That means local Maori who choose to go on a Maori-only role get to elect a representative directly to the council. Everybody...
    Gareth’s World | 01-10
  • Trickle Down Economics? No way. Rather it’s wealth capture by the sel...
    If You Look At One Graph About Inequality Look At This!Henning MeyerYou might have heard about recent reports stating that global inequality is decreasing. This is a nice example of constructing the comparison according to the result you would like to...
    the Irascible Curmudgeon | 01-10
  • A Study in Party Stability
    . In terms of long-term stability, one party above stands above all others, with the exception of personality-driven groups such as NZ First and United Future. That party is the Greens. If the Labour Party wants to look elsewhere for...
    Frankly Speaking | 01-10
  • A Study in Party Stability
    . In terms of long-term stability, one party above stands above all others, with the exception of personality-driven groups such as NZ First and United Future. That party is the Greens. If the Labour Party wants to look elsewhere for...
    Frankly Speaking | 01-10
  • PPTA’s EDUCANZ battle continues
    1 October 2014 The legislation around the government’s EDUCANZ body is so sloppy it is impossible to know what kind of monster will eventually be unleashed, says PPTA president Angela Roberts.This afternoon PPTA members voted to empower the association’s executive...
    PPTA | 01-10
  • AT’s surveillance system
    Concern erupted yesterday about whether Auckland Transport was going to by effectively spying on us all as part of a new surveillance system they are buying. Surveillance technology that uses high definition cameras and software that puts names to faces and...
    Transport Blog | 01-10
  • Deep thought vs Deep prejudice
    . . This letter to the editor appeared in The Listener, on 27 September, and caught my attention; . . Mr Dawson wrote in response to one of those typically unthinking comments which  condemned the poor for their “unbridled, reckless...
    Frankly Speaking | 01-10
  • Deep thought vs Deep prejudice
    . . This letter to the editor appeared in The Listener, on 27 September, and caught my attention; . . Mr Dawson wrote in response to one of those typically unthinking comments which  condemned the poor for their “unbridled, reckless...
    Frankly Speaking | 01-10
  • Limiting global warming to 2 °C – why Victor and Kennel are wrong
    In a comment in Nature titled Ditch the 2 °C warming goal, political scientist David Victor and retired astrophysicist Charles Kennel advocate just that. But their arguments don’t hold water. It is clear that the opinion article by Victor &...
    Real Climate | 01-10
  • New and Improved Ice Loss Estimates for Polar Ice Sheets
    In a previous post, several years ago, I discussed the various ways that we measure changes in the Antarctic and Greenland ice sheets. Today, scientists still use these main methods for identifying ice changes but recent technological and data processing...
    Skeptical Science | 01-10
  • Crime Reporting Hides Reality
    The National Government has been clever at fudging data and hiding unwanted statistics. It has refused to measure the extent of child poverty, stopped independent environmental reporting and while there has been some worrying crime statistics, we only hear of...
    Local Bodies | 01-10
  • What Labour needs to hear: the 4th voice
    As he pops back and forth between New Zealand and the Pacific Islands, Shane Jones must look on himself as the luckiest of the three men who took part in the Labour leadership race just a scant 12 months ago.read...
    Pundit | 01-10
  • Extremes report 2013: NZ drought and record Aussie heat made worse by warmi...
    The latest climate extremes report finds that 9 out of 16 extreme weather events from last year were influenced by climate change. In particular, the conditions that led to New Zealand’s severe North Island drought — the worst for 41...
    Hot Topic | 01-10
  • On holiday
    Quick PSA: I won on holiday this week, which is why I'm not blogging much at all. Next week I will post once and only once on the Labour leadership contest....
    Polity | 01-10
  • World News Brief, Wednesday October 1
    Top of the AgendaAfghanistan and United States Sign Security Deal...
    Pundit | 01-10
  • Dancing Traffic Lights
    As a pedestrian it can be easy to become a bit impatient, especially when traffic lights are prioritised solely around the movement of vehicles which can leave a long wait between phases. Here’s one idea to keep people occupied while...
    Transport Blog | 01-10
  • Secure work, health and safety and pay rises
    This week the New Zealand Council of Trade Unions (the NZCTU) released their latest economic bulletin today with economist Bill Rosenberg answering the question about whether workers who have a collective employment agreement get bigger pay rises than those on...
    frogblog | 01-10
  • Shock! Horror! Wife defends husband!!!!
        In recent posts I’ve made some fairly trenchant comments about David Cunliffe, primarily about his media performance. Others, including some of his Caucus colleagues, have gone even further. The now resigned Leader of the Opposition has been under...
    Brian Edwards | 01-10
  • September ’14 – NZ blogs sitemeter ranking
    PLEASE NOTE: Sitemeter is playing up again making it impossible to automatically get the stats for some blogs – those I list below. Maybe more bloggers will shift to StatCounter or other counter. No stats could be found for these blogs: Works...
    Open Parachute | 01-10
  • September ’14 – NZ blogs sitemeter ranking
    PLEASE NOTE: Sitemeter is playing up again making it impossible to automatically get the stats for some blogs – those I list below. Maybe more bloggers will shift to StatCounter or other counter. No stats could be found for these blogs: Works...
    Open Parachute | 01-10
  • Auckland: the world’s friendliest city
    UK travel magazine Conde Nast Traveler has just named Auckland the world’s friendliest city in its 2014 rankings. It introduces Auckland with a great photo that highlights the city’s growing urbanity: FRIENDLIEST: 1. Auckland, New Zealand Score: 86.0 (tie) We...
    Transport Blog | 01-10
  • Waterview Breakthrough
    On Monday Alice the Tunnel Boring Machine broke through at Waterview after tunnelling for the last 10 months. And here’s a video of it happening. One of the things that is really impressive is just how accurate the machine is...
    Transport Blog | 30-09
  • Fundamental incomprehension II
    Another day, and another journalist who just doesn't get it about the Greens. This time its Duncan Garner:The Green Party needs a serious rethink. For as long as they have been in Parliament, they have been a left wing party...
    No Right Turn | 30-09
  • An Open Letter to Green Party Supporters: Why I slagged off your Party
    Last week I called for a Bluegreen Party – an environmental party that I could in all conscience, vote for. It prompted a huge response, which confirmed to me there is a clear constituency that is not being serviced. I...
    Gareth’s World | 30-09
  • Parliament should decide
    Yesterday John Key began laying the groundwork to deploy kiwi troops to Iraq to fight in another pointless American war. And with the Labour Party distracted by its autocannibalism, its left to Winston Peters to stand up for democratic values...
    No Right Turn | 30-09
  • The problem with warmongers
    The problem with warmongers is they appear to have no empathy for their fellow human beings. That's because war, and the industrial complex behind it, is invariably built upon people's prejudices.History is littered with examples of prejudice being used as...
    The Jackal | 30-09
  • Australia to criminalise journalism
    Imagine this scenario: Australian spies seeking to fight domestic terrorism borrow the tactics of their American counterparts and start running agent provocateurs to "flush out" those with terrorist leanings. But an operation goes horribly wrong, and actually results in a...
    No Right Turn | 30-09
  • School funding failing vulnerable students – time for a better way?
    1 October 2014 Schools with the greatest needs get too little to meet those needs, says PPTA president Angela Roberts. The current school funding system is failing to support our most vulnerable students and this morning delegates at PPTA’s annual...
    PPTA | 30-09
  • Hold fast to your Mana – Harawira
    Hone Harawira today called on the voters of Tai Tokerau to hold fast to their mana, and not be dictated to by those party leaders who have ganged together to tell them how to vote. “I call on our people...
    Mana | 18-09
  • Media Advisory – Interview availability
    This is to advise all media that Hone Harawira will be available in Auckland tomorrow, Friday the 19th of September from 7am to 4pm for interviews relating to his recent press releases. If you are interested in interviewing Mr Harawira on...
    Mana | 18-09
  • Labour stands on proud record on Suffrage Day
    Women have come a long way in the 121 years since New Zealand became the first country to give them the vote on September 19 1893, but there is still more to do, Labour’s Women’s Affairs spokesperson Carol Beaumont says....
    Labour | 18-09
  • Polling Booths asked to treat Maori voters with respect
    “Polling booths without Maori roll voting papers, Maori people not being offered assistance to vote, people getting sent from Whangarei to Wellsford to vote, Maori people getting turned away from voting because they didn’t have their ‘easy vote’ card, Maori...
    Mana | 17-09
  • Aussie Liberals embroiled in Key campaign
    John Key needs to explain why Australia’s Liberal Party is interfering in New Zealand domestic politics and is encouraging Kiwi voters across the ditch to vote for National just days out from the election, Labour’s campaign spokesperson Annette King says....
    Labour | 17-09
  • The MANA Plan for Beneficiaries and Income in Waiariki
    Median Personal Income for Waiariki is $21,700. Over 13,000 Maori who live in Waiariki rely upon a form of government benefit including the Unemployment Benefit, Sickness Benefit, Domestic Purpose Benefit and the Invalids Benefit. “If you’re lucky enough to have...
    Mana | 16-09
  • Māori development crucial to New Zealand’s future
    Labour recognises the concern of Māori about child poverty and the rising costs of living, and in Government will make a real difference to the wellbeing of whānau and iwi, Labour’s Māori Affairs spokesperson Nanaia Mahuta says. “As our Māori...
    Labour | 16-09
  • MAORI PARTY – DON’T COMPLAIN … WALK
    “If the Maori Party are serious about stopping government spying on NZ citizens then they should tell the Prime Minister to either stop doing it or they will walk away” said MANA leader and Tai Tokerau MP Hone Harawira, on...
    Mana | 16-09
  • JOHN KEY SUPPORTING LABOUR
    “There is something really sick about a National Party Prime Minister coming out in support of a Labour candidate” said MANA leader and Tai Tokerau MP, Hone Harawira, after hearing that John Key is urging voters to back Labour in...
    Mana | 16-09
  • SHUT DOWN THIS GOVT NOT KAITI WINZ – Nikora
    “I’m going to make it as hard for you to get help as I can” is Paula Bennett’s message to the people of Kaiti  said MANA candidate Te Hāmua Nikora today in response to the news that National will close...
    Mana | 16-09
  • Winegums make for better polling – Harawira
    I wanted to laugh when I saw the Native Affairs poll the other night (Hone Harawira 38%, Kelvin Davis 37%) because it was almost the same as the one they did back in 2011”, said MANA leader and Tai Tokerau...
    Mana | 16-09
  • The Leadership of MTS Lied – Harawira
    “Normally I’m happy to tell people that I was right but when I received the news about the staff cuts at Maori Television, I had nothing but sympathy for the three Maori media leaders who are going to be made...
    Mana | 16-09
  • Privileges Complaint Laid against Prime Minister – Harawira
    MANA Movement Leader and Te Tai Tokerau MP Hone Harawira has today lodged a Privileges Complaint with the Speaker regarding the Prime Ministers denials in parliament that he knew anything about Kim Dotcom before 2012. “Information made public today appears...
    Mana | 15-09
  • Sharples’ new appointments are out of order
    The new appointments to the Waitangi Tribunal announced by Dr Pita Sharples this morning are completely out of order given the election is just five days away, says Labour's State Services spokesperson, Maryan Street. “This Government continues to show disdain...
    Labour | 15-09
  • MANA Movement Housing Policy
    “When families are living in cars, garages, cockroach-infested caravans and three families to a house then we have a housing crisis”, said MANA leader and MP for Te Tai Tokerau, Hone Harawira. “When you have a housing crisis for low-income...
    Mana | 15-09
  • Bigger than the Foreshore and Seabed – Sykes
    “Over the past week I have received some disturbing information that has led myself and a number of Maori lawyers to conclude that this National - Maori Party - ACT and United Future Government are going to put an end to both...
    Mana | 14-09
  • MANA wants Te Reo Māori petition fulfilled
    Hone Harawira, MANA Leader and MP for Te Tai Tokerau Annette Sykes, MANA candidate for Waiariki Te Hāmua Nikora, MANA candidate for Ikaroa Rāwhiti  “More than four decades have passed and the petition calling for Te Reo Māori in schools...
    Mana | 14-09
  • I feel sorry for Labour Party members and supporters
    I feel really sorry for the members and supporters of the Labour Party as they watch their caucus tear itself to shreds. And no matter what the outcome of the coming leadership race Labour members and supporters will be the...
    The Daily Blog | 01-10
  • Ummmm, why is Auckland Transport spying on Aucklanders?
    Ummm. What? Sophisticated surveillance coming to Auckland Surveillance technology that uses high definition cameras and software that can put names to faces and owners to cars is coming to Auckland. The surveillance has the capability to also scan social media...
    The Daily Blog | 01-10
  • It. Is. About. The. Economy. Stupid.
    Liam Dann does a good job of explaining the positive and negative issues looming for the NZ economy and as dairy prices plunge again overnight alongside a large Wall st sell off  and China Bank rumours begin, his case for the negative...
    The Daily Blog | 01-10
  • Don’t think of it as reinvading Iraq, think of it as redecorating Iraq
    I think some NZers view Iraq like an episode of The Block. Yes Iraq is the worst country on the street, but with a bit of elbow grease by our SAS and some great deals down at Bunnings, hey presto we...
    The Daily Blog | 01-10
  • GUEST BLOG: Joe Trinder – Mana Maori alliance
    Most Maori you speak to on the street can’t understand why Mana movement and  Maori Party don’t combine it confuses them why Maori are divided cross benches in Parliament instead of a unified political power that represents 15% of the...
    The Daily Blog | 01-10
  • Party members and affiliates – the real losers in Labour’s leadership f...
    Hey, wanna do a back room deal that cuts the members and affiliates out? Cunliffe must be reeling. He has lost failed Ilam candidate James Dann. It must cut as deep as the loss of Steve Gibson. Apart from providing Claire...
    The Daily Blog | 30-09
  • Jeremy Wells’ Mike Hosking rant on Radio Hauraki: Today, the election res...
    Jeremy Wells’ Mike Hosking rant on Radio Hauraki: Today, the election result...
    The Daily Blog | 30-09
  • The rich get richer
    Nobel prize winner Paul Krugman highlights the growing inequality in this article in the New York Times. The left wing slogan that the “the rich get richer” is a fact of almost perverse power. The most recent period of expansion in the...
    The Daily Blog | 30-09
  • A brief word on reinvading Iraq
    So after telling the country before the election that NZ would not send forces to Iraq, lo and behold now he’s won the election with a full spectrum dominance political majority, Key is suddenly now looking to join the re-invasion of...
    The Daily Blog | 29-09
  • A brief word on the importance of ACT, Maori Party and United Future to Nat...
    I’m a far right wing clown who attacks tax money going on anything collective, gimmie some cash and privilege.  One of the great successes of National has been to implement hard right policy but have it sold as moderate. For some NZers,...
    The Daily Blog | 29-09
  • Labour’s Angst
    Was Labour’s predictably low vote David Cunliffe’s fault? Was it policy? Was it something else that has aroused perceptions of electoral carnage? My analysis of the numbers suggests that, as uncertain voters made up their minds, there was a late...
    The Daily Blog | 29-09
  • Information wars: Gaza as “the last taboo”, the threat of mass surveill...
    “When the truth is replaced with silence” wrote the soviet dissident Yevgeni Yevtushenko, “the silence is a lie.” There has been a silence these past months full of noise, static and sound bites of those in power justifying their violence,...
    The Daily Blog | 29-09
  • When the media say they covered Dirty Politics – did they?
    I was watching The Nation in the weekend, and watched the defenders of NZ media up against Minto telling him he was wrong in his claims of media bias and that the media covered Dirty Politics. I laughed. When the...
    The Daily Blog | 29-09
  • GUEST BLOG – P Campbell – To the Left with love
    A week after the general election results I feel wrung out emotionally, having been through the disappointment, depression and anger of seeing  another right wing government elected overwhelmingly by winning support from the parts of NZ that will never benefit...
    The Daily Blog | 29-09
  • GUEST BLOG: Kate Davis – I will be the new Labour Leader!
    One week after the election, while I was still waiting to be consulted about contributing to the review on what went wrong, what do you know? There is a leadership challenge. So instead of opting for a united, thoughtful and...
    The Daily Blog | 29-09
  • GUEST BLOG: Pat O’Dea – A Prescient Post
    A very prescient pre-election post by Martyn Bradbury tells us why the Labour Party are at war now. “The NZ First-Labour Party attack strategy against Internet MANA better work” Despite Martyn Bradbury warning them this Right Wing strategy “Better Work”...
    The Daily Blog | 29-09
  • GUEST BLOG: Curwen Rolinson – W(h)ither Labour (!/?)
    There’s an old saying that success has many fathers, but failure is an orphan. Not so in the Labour Party, wherein soul-crushing defeat on a scale unseen since 1925 definitely has many fathers (and more than a few mothers and...
    The Daily Blog | 29-09
  • At the end of the day…
    At the end of the day…...
    The Daily Blog | 29-09
  • Cynicism towards Key’s sudden desire to help children in poverty
    Cynicism towards Key’s sudden desire to help children in poverty...
    The Daily Blog | 28-09
  • Internet MANA the election and the media
    I’ve been very critical of media reporting of Internet MANA during the election campaign and not surprised at the predictable response from representatives of the corporate media establishment. I wasn’t going to carry this further but was asked at the...
    The Daily Blog | 28-09
  • GUEST BLOG: Rachel Jones – A superficial discourse analysis of a superfic...
    On Sunday there was a story about Paddy Gower and his detached retina in the Herald on Sunday. Really? I hear you ask. Really? Yes, really. Pam Corkery will have sprayed toast crumbs over her dressing gown. The reporter has become...
    The Daily Blog | 28-09
  • Terrorising Australia’s Muslim population
    We should be suspicious when 800 police conduct “terror” raids across Australia, but only one person is charged with a relevant terrorism offence (of which we know few details). We should be suspicious of the lurid tales of terrorists planning...
    The Daily Blog | 28-09
  • Another Labour leader has resigned and as per usual, the media lost its min...
    Another Labour leader has resigned and as per usual, the media lost its mind. I know the Labour party has its problems and I’m not even going to try to prescribe what should be done about it. But what I...
    The Daily Blog | 28-09
  • GUEST BLOG: Anjum Rahman – Loyalty, Leadership and the Labour Party
    My first after the election and I can only say I’m feeling pretty sad.  It was a terrible result, and feels even more so knowing the number of volunteers hours, hard work & sacrifice made by so many people who...
    The Daily Blog | 27-09
  • A Study in Party Stability
    . In terms of long-term stability, one party above stands above all others, with the exception of personality-driven groups such as NZ First and United Future. That party is the Greens. If the Labour Party wants to look elsewhere for...
    The Daily Blog | 27-09
  • Cunliffe vs Robertson – Round 2
    Much to the disappointment of the NZ Herald and other right wing pundits who have decided they would like to appoint the next Labour leader, Cunliffe has surprised by deciding to damn the Caucus and appeal directly to the members...
    The Daily Blog | 27-09
  • The tasks before the left and labour movement
    Anyone on the left would have been disappointed at the result of the election. There was an opportunity to win, but that got lost through a combination of factors. There were tactical decisions made by Labour, the Greens and Internet-Mana...
    The Daily Blog | 27-09
  • From Fiji’s dictatorship to ‘democracy’ – the AUT student team on t...
    Mads Anneberg’s profile on Ricardo Morris and Repúblika. David Robie also blogs at Café Pacific. THREE STUDENTS from AUT University covered Fiji’s historic “from dictatorship to democracy” general election this month. While the election arguably legitimised Voreqe Bainimarama’s so-called 2006...
    The Daily Blog | 27-09
  • David Cunliffe Resigns As Labour Leader – Forces Robertson Out of the Bel...
    David Cunliffe has made a smart move, resigning as the leader of the Labour Party so as to force a leadership primary campaign. The move draws rival Grant Robertson out of the beltway to parts of the country where he...
    The Daily Blog | 27-09
  • Deep thought vs Deep prejudice
    . . This letter to the editor appeared in The Listener, on 27 September, and caught my attention; . . Mr Dawson wrote in response to one of those typically unthinking comments which  condemned the poor for their “unbridled, reckless...
    The Daily Blog | 27-09
  • The NZ National voters elected
    The NZ National voters elected...
    The Daily Blog | 26-09
  • GUEST BLOG: Kate Davis – The post election postmortem is giving me post p...
    I feel the need to contribute to the discourse. This is a new experience for me. Not having an opinion, but expressing it on a popular forum in a public sphere. That’s why I have waited till now and put...
    The Daily Blog | 26-09
  • A dictionary of education terms and definitions, brought to you by the let...
    Free to all TDB readers, please enjoy your very own cut-out-and-keep handy primer of terms that I predict you will need to know over the next three years… Achievement Gap (noun) Synonym for wealth gap. ACT (abstract noun) Intangible. Reported to exist in...
    The Daily Blog | 26-09
  • A Mines Rescue brigadesman’s perspective on the Pike River Mine
    My husband and I lived in Greymouth in 2010, we were a coal mining family.  The day Pike River Mine blew up and the days following changed us profoundly, as it did for so many.  This is a Mines Rescue...
    The Daily Blog | 26-09
  • The Left Triumphant! A Counterfactual History of the Last Twelve Months.
    DID IT REALLY HAVE TO END LIKE THIS? Reading through the commentary threads of the left-wing blogs it is impossible to not feel the anger; the sense of betrayal; the impression of having had something vital ripped from their grasp;...
    The Daily Blog | 26-09
  • GUEST BLOG – Myles Thomas: The media won it!
    Make no mistake, John Key is a clever communicator – reasonable, authoritative and relaxed – but without the media he wouldn’t be PM. Depending on your viewpoint, New Zealand’s news media are either a bunch of Grey Lynn lefties or...
    The Daily Blog | 25-09
  • Not Learning Lessons Past: the West’s Response to IS
    In an earlier posting Ukraine, United Kingdom, Ireland, Scotland, I noted that the first lesson of conflict learned by Robert McNamara was “understand your adversary”. If we have honourable objectives, our first and most important weapon is empathy. In the Vietnam War,...
    The Daily Blog | 25-09
  • GUEST BLOG: Dr Jarrod Gilbert – Proof of David Farrar’s deception: my ...
    In the lead up to the election the Minister of Corrections Anne Tolley launched a gang policy. In order to justify the government’s approach she used gang figures that overstated the gang problem. Not by a little bit, but a...
    The Daily Blog | 25-09
  • SPECIAL FEATURE: Stuart Nash – Red To The Rescue?
    SPECIAL FEATURE by Selwyn Manning. IF THE ELECTION RESULT which was dished out to Labour was not enough to incite an immediate leadership primary, then the caucus’ refusal to recognise David Cunliffe as the leader should cement it. Now is...
    The Daily Blog | 25-09
  • Has the one party state crackdown begun already? Left wing NZ activist grou...
    Well known left wing activist social media group, ‘John Key Has Left Down NZ’ has been shut down on Facebook. At 11.40pm last night, Facebook, without any warning shut the group down siting a breach of terms of service as...
    The Daily Blog | 24-09
  • Why Cunliffe should probably just let Nash & Robertson win
    We have to face some very unpalatable home truths. If you are a left wing political person, best you put your vote now to the Green Party, although you’ll have to do that all the while the Greens frantically tell you...
    The Daily Blog | 24-09
  • The graceless win of Kelvin Davis
    The graceless win of Cameron Slater’s mate in the North, Kelvin Davis is difficult to swallow. Here Cameron Slater’s mate in the North is shitting on Hone Harawira by calling Hone all steam, no hangi as Kelvin rubs his ganged up win into...
    The Daily Blog | 24-09
  • So Labour shifted too far to the left?
    So Labour shifted too far to the left?   Here’s the ill-judged view of Josie Pagani in the Pundit “Labour must change”: “At the last election I made myself a heretic when I wrote a column mentioning how unpopular the...
    The Daily Blog | 24-09
  • Uncomplicated Loyalties: Why Cunliffe and the Labour Left Cannot Win
    THE STORY of David Cunliffe’s leadership of the Labour Party has been one of missed opportunities and unforced errors. That he was the only choice available to those who wanted to rid the Labour Party of its neoliberal cuckoos is...
    The Daily Blog | 24-09
  • So we can expect this now?
    So we can expect this now?...
    The Daily Blog | 23-09
  • Can Labour be saved? Why Whaleoil & National won and why we need a new ...
    As the shock of my optimism that NZers would recoil from the real John Key as exposed by Dirty Politics and mass surveillance duplicities wears off, I am surprised to find that the right in NZ are not content with...
    The Daily Blog | 23-09
  • Three more years (up shit creek and paddling hard)
    “If the future is not green, there is no future. If the future is not you, there is no future”. Emma Thompson’s stirring words to the climate marchers in London last Sunday are worth considering in the aftermath of the...
    The Daily Blog | 23-09
  • One Party State
    In years to come this election will be seen as a historic turning point towards one party rule. I don`t mean this literally, absolute single party dictatorship is not in prospect. In the New Zealand context though, one party has...
    The Daily Blog | 23-09
  • No More. The Left Falls.
    . We cannot be beaten down Because we are down already. We can only rise up and if you should beat us down, We will rise again. And again. And again… And when you tire of beating us down, We...
    The Daily Blog | 23-09
  • Hang tight everyone – Marama Davidson campaign reflection
    To the many people who had expressed their overwhelming support for me to enter Parliament this election – thank you. That the Greens held steady in a big loss for progressive politics is an achievement. We are hopeful that after...
    The Daily Blog | 22-09
  • How You Can Help the Homeless
    At any one time, there are an estimated 357 homeless people in Central Auckland alone, many enduring hardships beyond the rain, wind and cold of sleeping rough. October 10 is World Homeless Day when the public are invited to learn...
    Scoop politics | 02-10
  • Over 20% of Gold Production Now Pledged to Kiwifruit Claim
    Kiwifruit growers representing over 20% of New Zealand gold kiwifruit production have already pledged to join The Kiwifruit Claim, the chairman of the claim’s grower committee, John Cameron, said today....
    Scoop politics | 02-10
  • ‘Creepy’ Decision on Up-Skirt Filming Slammed
    Family First NZ says that a discharge without conviction given to a man who filmed up a woman's dress in a Wellington department store is a ‘creepy’ decision that should concern all people who value their privacy. “This decision by...
    Scoop politics | 02-10
  • Speaker leads delegation to CPA Conference
    Strengthening New Zealand’s ties with parliaments from across the world will be the focus of the upcoming delegation to the 60th Commonwealth Parliamentary Association (CPA) Conference in Yaoundé, Cameroon from 4-10 October and the 131st Inter-Parliamentary...
    Scoop politics | 02-10
  • Response to Russell Brown and Tertiary Education Union
    The allegation that I have worked with others to discredit public health efforts is wrong. My public comments in relation to public health researchers have been where academics have mislead the public about official support or endorsement, and where...
    Scoop politics | 02-10
  • 17 jobs lost as Bridon/Cookes reaches the end of its rope
    Seventeen workers at the iconic Bridon/Cookes wire rope company in Auckland are to be made redundant as the company ceases production in New Zealand. The company has blamed the high New Zealand dollar for making it uncompetitive to keep the...
    Scoop politics | 02-10
  • Slip in University Rankings – Funding Not the Problem
    Responding to the slippage of New Zealand universities' rankings , Jordan Williams, Executive Director of the Taxpayers’ Union says:...
    Scoop politics | 02-10
  • Time to rethink police chases, says safety campaigner
    Police chases are dangerous and generally unnecessary, says the American Federal Bureau of Investigation....
    Scoop politics | 02-10
  • Robertson now expected to be Labour leader by Xmas
    Grant Robertson is now overwhelmingly picked to become the next leader of the Labour Party by the end of the year, according to the combined wisdom of the 8000+ registered traders on New Zealand’s predictions market, iPredict. Another potential Labour...
    Scoop politics | 01-10
  • Documenting historic Māori land law cases for the first time
    A new book from Victoria University of Wellington’s Faculty of Law will continue to put the spotlight on Māori Land Law judgments which have never before been published....
    Scoop politics | 01-10
  • ‘Oily’ people greet Petroleum Summit diners
    Greenpeace activists smeared in fake oil have greeted guests arriving at the part-Statoil sponsored Petroleum Summit dinner this evening....
    Scoop politics | 01-10
  • Key Decisions Made About Labour’s Leadership Election
    Labour’s New Zealand Council has made the key decisions about the timetable and process around the election of Labour’s Party Leader. The result will be announced on Tuesday 18th November, following a comprehensive and extensive process unique...
    Scoop politics | 01-10
  • Suspected $6 Million Dollar Wananga Fraud Alarming
    The Taxpayers’ Union is calling on on the Te Whare Wananga o Awanuiarangi to front up over claims the Wananga has pocketed government overpayments amounting to $6 million of taxpayers' money. Jordan Williams, Executive Director of the Taxpayers’ Union...
    Scoop politics | 01-10
  • Submissions sought on herbicide for weed control in maize
    The Environmental Protection Authority is calling for submissions on a herbicide to improve broadleaf weed control in maize. The substance CADET contains 100g fluthiacet-methyl in the form of an emulsifiable concentrate and would contain a new active ingredient...
    Scoop politics | 01-10
  • Jesse Mulligan Lives Below Poverty Line
    Jesse Mulligan Lives Below Poverty Line TV personality Jesse Mulligan will live on the equivalent of the extreme poverty line this October in order to raise awareness of sex trafficking. Mulligan will survive on $2.25 for his food from October...
    Scoop politics | 01-10
  • Narratives from the 2014 Election: What do we learn?
    Narratives from the 2014 Election: What do we learn? - Sue Bradford, Russell Brown & Kirk Serpes discuss....
    Scoop politics | 01-10
  • Voices from Oceania to speak out on climate change
    Voices from Oceania to speak out on climate change at launch of Pacific environment report...
    Scoop politics | 01-10
  • Changes to Pacific Tsunami Warning Centre messages
    The Ministry of Civil Defence & Emergency Management advises that while changes to Pacific Tsunami Warning Centre messages come into effect from today (Wednesday 1 October), the Ministry has been, and remains, the authoritative voice for tsunami...
    Scoop politics | 01-10
  • Police remove banner at Statoil Offices in Wellington
    Oil Free Wellington hung a banner at 9:30 this morning at the Statoil office headquarters in Wellington as the Petroleum Summit opened in Auckland. The banner, which read 'Statoil out of Northland: Stop Deep Sea Oil', has now been removed...
    Scoop politics | 01-10
  • Mixed massages raise concerns
    Mixed massages raise concerns for Te Taumata Kaumatua Ngapuhi nui tonu, and Te Wakaminenga O nga Hapu Ngapuhi....
    Scoop politics | 01-10
  • Union Slams Port Boss’s Pay Rise
    The Rail and Maritime Transport Union (RMTU) says Lyttelton Port CEO Peter Davie’s 18% wage rise, taking his pay packet to $1.24m, is unjustified and inflammatory. ‘Lyttelton port has an appalling health and safety record, with three deaths on...
    Scoop politics | 30-09
  • Prisons expert Ron Nikkel to speak in Auckland October 15
    Prison Fellowship NZ and JustSpeak have the privilege of hosting the former president of Prison Fellowship International, Ron Nikkel....
    Scoop politics | 30-09
  • Hundreds of educators protest IES in Rotorua
    Four hundred educators from around the country took their opposition to the Government's controversial Investing in Educational Success policy to the public today....
    Scoop politics | 30-09
  • Crime drops by 3.2 % in the 2013 / 2014 financial year
    Criminal offences dropped by 3.2 % in the last financial year according to figures released today through Statistics New Zealand....
    Scoop politics | 30-09
  • Narratives from the 2014 Election: what do we learn?
    I would like to invite you to a Fabians Reflection on "Dirty Politics, Dotcom and Labour’s worst result" with Colin James, Keith Ng, Stephanie Rodgers and Richard Harman. They will provide a debrief of analysis and lessons from the 2014...
    Scoop politics | 30-09
  • Oil Free Wellington drops banner from Statoil headquarters
    Today members of Oil Free Wellington have targeted the offices of Statoil, by attaching a banner reading 'Statoil out of Northland: Stop Deep Sea Oil' to the entrance of Vodafone on the Quay Midland Park, where Statoil's New Zealand office...
    Scoop politics | 30-09
  • Media Statement from Karen Price
    “After a period of intense media attention and scrutiny of our family, I set up and used an anonymous Twitter account over the weekend and made a number of comments that I deeply regret....
    Scoop politics | 30-09
  • Greenpeace disrupts Simon Bridges’ speech to oil industry
    Greenpeace activists have disrupted the opening speech by Energy and Resources Minister Simon Bridges at the Petroleum Summit in Auckland this morning....
    Scoop politics | 30-09
  • New Zealand Red Cross Responds to Drought in Tonga
    New Zealand Red Cross has sent an aid worker and two desalination units, to turn seawater into safe drinking water in the drought-hit Ha’apai islands of Tonga....
    Scoop politics | 30-09
  • Can you ever tell if an email is real or forged?
    Computer industry veteran Brian Eardley-Wilmot warns that we should never take claims about stolen emails at face value....
    Scoop politics | 30-09
  • NZ MPs to attend the ASPG Annual Conference in Sydney
    New Zealand MPs to attend the Australasian Study of Parliament Group Annual Conference in Sydney...
    Scoop politics | 30-09
  • Independent Maori seats still needed in Parliament
    “He’s got to be joking!” is the reaction of the president of the Maori Party, Rangimarie Naida Glavish to a call by a former Labour Minister of Maori Affairs, Dover Samuels, for debate by Maori on whether the Maori electorates...
    Scoop politics | 30-09
  • Support for Democratic Rights in Hong Kong
    Rallies supporting the rights for universal suffrage will take place all over New Zealand today and tomorrow...
    Scoop politics | 29-09
  • Trout Mass-Poisoned in New Zealand
    Trout Mass-Poisoned in New Zealand The Graf Boys New Zealand has some of the best trout fishing in the world! Every year thousands of international visitors wade pristine rivers in search of the freshwater game fish....
    Scoop politics | 29-09
  • New Zealand’s 2014 Hottest Vegetarians Crowned
    With winter gone things are heating up, and things just got even hotter with the crowning of New Zealand’s hottest vegetarians, says animal advocacy group SAFE. Marking World Vegetarian Day, 1st October, director James Napier Robertson and actor...
    Scoop politics | 29-09
  • A day to remember our duty to look after our senior citizens
    Human Rights Commissioner Dr Jackie Blue says International Day of the Older Person (1 October) is a United Nations day to celebrate our senior citizens, but also acknowledge the need to protect our kaumatua, or older people from abuse and...
    Scoop politics | 29-09
  • Clear data needed on impact of benefit sanctions on children
    A lack of data on benefit sanctions means there is no way of knowing whether welfare reform is helping or harming children, says Child Poverty Action Group....
    Scoop politics | 29-09
  • The socialist alternative to austerity and war
    Public meeting: After the New Zealand election—the socialist alternative to austerity and war By Tom Peters 29 September 2014...
    Scoop politics | 29-09
  • New recruits to boost border protection
    Twenty six new recruits began an intensive nine-week training course in Auckland today that will see them graduate as Customs officers in time for the busy summer season....
    Scoop politics | 29-09
  • Dwindling Mallard population shows up ‘pest’ myth
    The pro hunting organisation Fish & Game is researching the causes of the decline of the mallard duck population, upset at the prospect of fewer ducks to kill....
    Scoop politics | 29-09
  • Support for Democratic Rights in Hong Kong
    New Zealanders in Auckland will gather on Wednesday to support the rights for universal suffrage in Hong Kong....
    Scoop politics | 29-09
  • Campbell Live Exclusive Interview with David Cunliffe
    David Cunliffe resigned as leader of the Labour party on Saturday; but he still wants the top job....
    Scoop politics | 29-09
  • Action needed on cycling safety
    “Clearly we aren't doing enough to protect the 1.5 million New Zealanders who ride bikes,” said Mr Morgan....
    Scoop politics | 29-09
  • World Rivers Day Passes Without A Whimper
    Sunday 28 September was World Rivers Day to celebrate clean, flowing rivers and caring about them. But a recreation-conservation advocacy the Council of Outdoor Recreation Associations of NZ (CORANZ) says the day seems to have slipped by without...
    Scoop politics | 29-09
  • The Kiwifruit Claim: Q&A
    1. Who is running The Kiwifruit Claim? The Kiwifruit Claim was founded by kiwifruit growers representing well in excess of 10% of the industry. 2. Why are you running this claim? The introduction of Psa into New Zealand had devastating...
    Scoop politics | 29-09
  • Fed Farmers Need to Be Weaned
    The Taxpayers’ Union is calling on Federated Farmers to make a firm commitment to reject any future Government funding, after it was revealed that the lobby group had received over $200,000 of payments in recent years....
    Scoop politics | 29-09
  • Children paying the price for charter school stitch up
    New Zealand children will be paying a high price for a one-seat deal between ACT and National, with an expansion of the beleaguered charter school system says education union NZEI Te Riu Roa....
    Scoop politics | 29-09
  • Hikoi From North Reaches Oil Conference Tomorrow
    Today: The Hikoi opposing Statoil plans for seismic testing and deep sea oil drilling has marched through Dargaville and later be welcomed to Piringatahi Marae, West Harbour,Tamaki Makaurau/Auckland....
    Scoop politics | 29-09
  • Communities Still Count
    The efforts of many organisations to influence the electorate and the political parties they voted for in the lead up to the 2014 Election is over. The voting public has spoken and provided a strong endorsement to the centre-right National...
    Scoop politics | 29-09
  • Eleven social enterprises get ready to take off
    Eleven teams from across the country will take part in the Launchpad, Ākina’s programme to get social enterprise ideas off the ground....
    Scoop politics | 29-09
Public service advertisements by The Standard

Current CO2 level in the atmosphere

x
lprent: At the request of Tim Barnett, Labour's returning officer, the Karen Price/Clayton Cosgrove post has been withdrawn during the primary.