Individual polls are nothing to get too excited about, it is the trend over time that matters. That said, the TV1 and 3 News polls tonight were both good news for Labour and Shearer.
TV1 has Labour up 3 to 35, and National down 1 to 44. Labour and the Greens are ahead, and could form a government without minor parties. Shearer is up in preferred PM stakes.
3 News also has Labour up 1.6% and Shearer up 4% as preferred PM. National is down 2, with Key down 2 to his lowest rating since 2007. Overall Labour + Greens vs. National too close to call.
The polls were taken over the period following Labour’s conference, and thus reflect the reported leadership challenge, the huge KiwiBuild announcement, and the demotion of David Cunliffe. Make of that what you will – but maybe (just maybe) the electorate is more interested in housing than media feeding frenzies.
It can take time for events to be reflected in poll changes, but these early indications are all good for David Shearer, and good for the Left!