web analytics
The Standard
Advertising

Upper Harbour exists.

Written By: - Date published: 7:12 pm, April 17th, 2014 - 17 comments
Categories: election 2014 - Tags:

The new electorate boundaries are out.

Some noticeable changes around Port Hills, but mainly only tinkering from the previous proposals.

So Paula Bennett can go from committed Westie to Shore girl in the new Upper Harbour electorate.

Phil Goff & Ruth Dyson aren’t having their electorates painted quite so blue, but Jacinda gets a harder task.

Of course, what really matters is the party vote, and the boundaries don’t affect that.  But now it’s drawn up, we’re fully ready to go for the election.  Let’s get out there and wrest this country back – how many electorates can go left?

17 comments on “Upper Harbour exists.”

  1. felix 1

    wrest ;)

    rest was last time.

    [Ben: write ewe arrh! Fixed, thanks]

  2. mickysavage 2

    Agreed Ben. I read Jadis’s post at Kiwiblog and I kept thinking WTF?

    I hear that John Key was really unhappy at the prospect of having to represent pretty well all of the Waitakere Ranges and I don’t blame him. There are a bunch of socially liberal and environmentally protective people there that will really make him work hard.

    My personal predictions is that in the new seat of Kelston Labour will shoe in and Labour will also win Maungakiekie and I would not be surprised if my mate Jerome Mika ran Judith Collins very close in Papakura.

    The rest of Jadis’s analysis is a joke. Trevor Mallard will very comfortably win Hutt South. You have to laugh at Chris Bishop’s announcement that he will be the National candidate on today. Someone obviously thought they would get an advantage by announcing today. And Christchurch Central is coming back to Labour.

    Napier is also on the way back. And I would not rule out Rotorua or Whangarei.

    But it is MMP and only party votes count …

    • David H 2.1

      Why the fuck is Mallard allowed within 5000 miles of Hutt South is beyond me. He needs to be GONE along with a few other dead wood dinosaurs.

  3. Sanctuary 3

    “…Napier is also on the way back…”

    Nash will win on the back of local issues, which only goes to show the importance in provincial seats of selecting candidates that resonate with the locals & have name recognition.

  4. Instauration 4

    Paula is a Shore Girl pretending Westie. Years of loyal service to Murray in ECB and commensurately comfortable and hospitable residence in Milford. The Yupper Harbourites still appear bluish – just like the bruises on Matt Blomfields face. Is essentially an Aspirant and Delusional zone – but they still sell plenty of Lotto.

  5. Tigger 5

    Paula’s looking very Shore matronish these days. No more pretending to be a Westie. Upper Harbour for her. Hope Craig wants it – seagulls over a soggy chip.

  6. hoom 6

    First: One thing Granny Herald has wound up being very good at is these interactive maps, the one in this article is really good.

    Second: (admittedly using imprecise eyeballing via the Herald map & noting that Party vote is vastly more important than Electorates) There seems to be an awful lot of cases where a few pro-Labor polling stations get hived off into either already strong Labor electorates leaving an apparent Nat majority in a previously close Electorate, or switches of several strong Nat stations into previously balanced/narrow Labor electorates.

    Third: A bunch of the Proposed changes that would have weakened small majority Nat Electorates have been reversed in the Final boundaries or additional Nat polling stations added to offset Labor stations & preserve .

    Unless there has been a huge swing to Labor which the polls don’t show I predict there will be very few Labour Electoral seats this Election but many of those few will have significantly increased majorities.
    Meanwhile many strong Nat seats will have reduced but still safe margins while the newly Nat electorates will have fairly narrow margins.

    Frankly has the apperance of a whole bunch of intentional gerrymandering which I find deeply troubling having previously believed the Electoral Commission to have been legitimately non-political.

    • hoom 6.1

      Can’t edit but: I had looked at the Proposed boundaries & felt they had a fair balance of loss/gain for both major parties.

      There appears to be strong gain to National in many electorates in the Final boundaries.

      Don’t mean to imply direct intentional bias by Electoral Commission but they may have been unwittingly swayed by a concerted campaign in submissions.

    • felix 6.2

      Very interesting, hoom.

      Also interesting is that if instead of following the link in the article we go directly to the infographic from the herald dropdown menu, we find some actual factual analysis which notes exactly what you point out: http://www.nzherald.co.nz/infographics/news/article.cfm?c_id=1503250&objectid=11163748

    • Draco T Bastard 6.3

      And all of that is why we need to get rid of electorates and go purely proportional.

    • karol 6.4

      Labour – you’re not in Ausie now, Mr Hoom.

      Interesting analysis.

    • Lanthanide 6.5

      How do you know the electoral commission even looked at voting tendencies when drawing the boundaries?

      If they had had any sense, they would have deliberately not looked at the voting pattern, so as to avoid accusations of bias, as you’ve just made.

      • felix 6.5.1

        Yes you would hope not. I suppose that’s why it seems odd that almost all of the changes swing in one direction.

        Also: “Don’t mean to imply direct intentional bias by Electoral Commission but they may have been unwittingly swayed by a concerted campaign in submissions.

  7. Jeff 7

    When you zoom out the blue overlaps red which looks like National dominate….would expect nothing less from the Herald.

    • Markymark 7.1

      Umm…..thats cause do National dominate. They won nearly double the votes of labour(48% to 27% in a landslide in 2011).

      The map is based on that – hate to break it to ya, but labour ain’t popular

  8. tricledrown 8

    Mark my mark.
    Carry on thinking FPP.
    What’s the govts majority Zero plus P () Dunny.
    We have had MMP for 18 years now.
    MyM your out of date.

  9. Mike the Savage One 9

    Like a friend tells me, the success of Paula Bennett, who may run in this electorate after all, is based on Labour’s failings in welfare. It is not quite so easy to understand, but when you realise that Labour was heading down the same direction as this present government, just pretended it was “more humane”, then you may get it.

    They brought in reforms in the 2004 to 2007 time frame, and it was going the way the reforms in the UK went, and that has to do with such ones as a Mr Aylward and here a Dr Bratt, and add that together , you learn what it was about. Do some google search, and more, and I think you will find some information on what I am talking about.

    Bennett is a nasty one, but Labour are dishonest about where they stand, they do not even mention welfare in their program now, so in secret they agree with Bennett. Try running a candidate against her, I think Labour will have a battle at their hands, for pure hypocrisy reasons, none else.

Links to post

Important links

Recent Comments

Recent Posts

1 2 3 7

  • Housing Accord not working – prices continue skyward
      The Government's Auckland Housing Accord isn't working as house prices continue to go through the roof, Labour's Housing spokesperson Phil Twyford says. “The average Auckland house has gone up by $110,000 since the Accord came into effect 15 months… ...
    18 hours ago
  • Justice for Teina Pora long overdue
    The Privy Council’s decision to quash Teina Pora’s convictions for the rape and murder of Susan Burdett could be the final chapter in a case that should have been closed years ago, Labour’s Justice Spokesperson Jacinda Ardern says. “Teina Pora… ...
    22 hours ago
  • Ministers must answer questions on IRD blowout
    The current and previous Revenue Ministers must front up and explain how the child support system had a budget blowout from $30 million to $210 million in just four years, says Labour’s Revenue spokesperson Clayton Cosgrove. “Peter Dunne was Revenue… ...
    2 days ago
  • Curb stratospheric public CEO salaries
    A review of the way MPs’ pay is set should also look at ways to curb excessive rises in the salaries of public service chief executives, Labour Leader Andrew Little says. “Some of these CEOs have had stratospheric pay increases… ...
    2 days ago
  • 50 cents? Makes no sense.
    The minimum wage rose by 50 cents this month from 14.25 to 14.75. While it’s a small step towards ensuring minimum workers get a fair share, it’s important to remember that real wages only rose 1.5% while productivity rose by… ...
    GreensBy Denise Roche MP
    3 days ago
  • The Serco corrections circus
    It should seem obvious to employers, private or public, that it’s important to do what you can to retain your best, most experienced staff. They make life easier for you because they’re effective, attentive and often respected by those around… ...
    GreensBy David Clendon MP
    3 days ago
  • Time for NZ to prohibit the killing of great apes
    That ban was widely hailed, and spurred efforts in other countries to get similar bans. However, apes are still being exploited, abused and killed, both in captivity and in the wild. Examples of cruelty, neglect and abuse abound. Apes are… ...
    GreensBy Mojo Mathers MP
    6 days ago
  • Auckland building consents: Tragic
    The only word to describe the latest building consent figures for Auckland is ‘tragic’, Labour’s Housing spokesperson Phil Twyford says. “Whatever the Government is doing to address the Auckland housing crisis, it is clearly not working. ...
    6 days ago
  • A whiff of a new biosecurity scandal?
    A pest which could create havoc for New Zealand’s horticulture and agriculture sector must be as much a focus for the Government as hunting out fruit flies, Labour’s Biosecurity spokesperson Damien O’Connor says. “While the Ministry for Primary Industries is… ...
    6 days ago
  • Government shrugs off health sector crisis
    Despite new evidence showing that cuts to health spending are costing lives the Government continues to deny the sector is struggling, Labour’s Health spokesperson Annette King says. “Health services in New Zealand are in crisis. ...
    7 days ago
  • Parata lowered the bar for failing charter school
    When Hekia Parata became aware that the Whangaruru charter school was experiencing major problems her first action was to drop standards by reducing the number of qualified teachers they had to employ, Labour’s Education spokesperson Chris Hipkins has revealed. “Hekia… ...
    7 days ago
  • National not being straight about the economy
    John Key and Bill English need to be straight with New Zealanders about the damage their failure to diversify the economy is doing, after new figures show export growth plunged due to a collapse in dairy exports, says Grant Robertson.… ...
    7 days ago
  • Mind the Gap
    This week the International Monetary Fund released a report on the wider economic value in closing the gender pay gap. When even the bastions of free-market economics start to raise concerns about gender pay gaps, we have to realise how… ...
    GreensBy Jan Logie MP
    7 days ago
  • Labour will hold National to parental leave promise
    Labour will hold National to its promise to increase the support given to new parents of premature, multiple birth and babies born with disabilities, Labour’s paid parental leave campaigner Sue Moroney says. "I am naturally disappointed that after battling for… ...
    1 week ago
  • It was all just pillar talk
    Steven Joyce’s confession that he can no longer guarantee a pillar-free design for the New Zealand International Convention Centre shows the Government has abandoned its dream of creating an ‘iconic’ ‘world-class’ structure, says Labour Economic Development spokesperson David Clark. “Steven… ...
    1 week ago
  • Australians move on offshore speculators
    John Key might want to have a quiet word with Australian Prime Minister Tony Abbott about Canberra's just-announced crack down on offshore speculators when he visits New Zealand this week, Labour's Housing spokesperson Phil Twyford says."Tony Abbott's centre right government… ...
    1 week ago
  • Government at odds on overseas driver crashes
    National backbencher Jacqui Dean has spoken out about overseas driver crashes, putting herself at odds with Prime Minister John Key who is on record as saying it’s not a big issue, Labour’s Transport spokesperson Phil Twyford says. “I’m not surprised… ...
    1 week ago
  • Human Rights and the Palestine Crisis
    Last week I heard two Palestinians speak at Wellington events about the ongoing crisis in their country. Samar Sabawi spoke to a full house about the history of Palestine and gave us a lucid and disturbing account of the situation… ...
    GreensBy Catherine Delahunty MP
    1 week ago
  • Time to take real care of our kids
    An Amnesty International report has once again criticised New Zealand’s track record on looking after our kids, Labour’s Children’s spokesperson Jacinda Ardern says. The annual report, which looks at global human rights abuses highlights not only the fact that high… ...
    1 week ago
  • John Key wrong about Labour’s war vote
    John Key’s desperate claims that the former Labour Government didn’t put combat troop deployment to a Parliamentary vote are simply wrong, Labour’s Defence spokesperson Phil Goff says. “It was disgraceful that the Prime Minister ran rough shod over democracy and… ...
    1 week ago
  • Manus Island and the New Zealand Government
    This week the Greens have participated in awareness activity about Manus Island, the refugee camp on an island in Papua New Guinea where Australia dumps asylum seekers. John Key says that he has every confidence in the Australian Government’s claim… ...
    GreensBy Catherine Delahunty MP
    2 weeks ago
  • Election Inquiry – Getting accessible voting on the agenda
    James Shaw has been doing a series of blogs on the Election Inquiry into last year’s general election.  I thought this was a great opportunity to raise an issue very dear to me – accessible voting. Last year’s general election… ...
    GreensBy Mojo Mathers MP
    2 weeks ago
  • RMA changes no solution to Christchurch housing
    Housing will continue to be a big issue in 2015. The latest Consumer Price Index, released last month, shows both good news and bad news on the housing front. After years of being the most expensive place to build a… ...
    GreensBy Eugenie Sage MP
    2 weeks ago
  • Saving kokako in South Auckland’s Hunua Ranges
    It is amazing that you can hear the song of the endangered North Island kokako in South Auckland’s Hunua Ranges, less than 50 kms from the central city. A heavy schedule of policy workshops at the Green Party’s Policy… ...
    GreensBy Eugenie Sage MP
    2 weeks ago
  • Let’s not turn a blind eye to human rights
    The Cricket World Cup has just opened in New Zealand, and it’s an opportunity for us to shine on the world stage. International sport can be a chance for us to build relationships with other countries, and examine what it… ...
    GreensBy Catherine Delahunty MP
    2 weeks ago
  • Its Just Not Cricket
    This week it was my privilege to work with Sri Lankan Tamil communities in this country and host Australian journalist and human rights advocate Trevor Grant. I knew a bit about Trevor from his biography but I didn’t know just… ...
    GreensBy Catherine Delahunty MP
    3 weeks ago
  • Time for NZ to #BeCrueltyFree
    The Government is about to progress the final stages of the Animal Welfare Amendment bill. This will be our last opportunity to get changes made to improve the bill to ensure a better outcome for animals. I have put forwards… ...
    GreensBy Mojo Mathers MP
    3 weeks ago
  • We want access!
    Access to buildings is a big issue for many New Zealanders. It looks like that, due to the hard work and persistence of people in the disability community, the Government may finally be starting to take access to buildings seriously.… ...
    GreensBy Mojo Mathers MP
    3 weeks ago
  • Greens call on Super Fund to divest from fossil fuels
    The Green Party today called on the New Zealand Superannuation Fund (the Fund) to divest from fossil fuels, starting immediately with coal. The call was accompanied with a new report, Making money from a climate catastrophe: The case for divesting… ...
    GreensBy Russel Norman MP
    3 weeks ago

Removed at the request of The Daily Blog.
Public service advertisements by The Standard

Current CO2 level in the atmosphere