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	<title>Comments on: Why deny: the lobby groups/polluters</title>
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		<title>By: Eden</title>
		<link>http://thestandard.org.nz/why-deny-the-lobby-groupspolluters/comment-page-1/#comment-180122</link>
		<dc:creator>Eden</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 18 Dec 2009 08:51:34 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.thestandard.org.nz/?p=27251#comment-180122</guid>
		<description>Ian WIshart on the National Programme Panel?  Oh my God! Mind you I have heard Hoots Hooten on there and he is almost as bad!

Al Gore has made good money out of his excellent work as a Climate Change advocate.  He has talent.  He is smart.  He has credibilty.  He was wealthy to start with.  He did not need donations like these denying wannabes!

Al power to Al Gore for his advocacy and independence on this vital issue!</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Ian WIshart on the National Programme Panel?  Oh my God! Mind you I have heard Hoots Hooten on there and he is almost as bad!</p>
<p>Al Gore has made good money out of his excellent work as a Climate Change advocate.  He has talent.  He is smart.  He has credibilty.  He was wealthy to start with.  He did not need donations like these denying wannabes!</p>
<p>Al power to Al Gore for his advocacy and independence on this vital issue!</p>
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		<title>By: ben</title>
		<link>http://thestandard.org.nz/why-deny-the-lobby-groupspolluters/comment-page-1/#comment-178896</link>
		<dc:creator>ben</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 14 Dec 2009 20:23:56 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.thestandard.org.nz/?p=27251#comment-178896</guid>
		<description>&lt;i&gt;&gt;Yep, that would be why I said &quot;the research he uses&#039;. What is unclear about this?

Here&#039;s what you initially said: And, by the way, your average economists is left of the political center, according to research by a bloke called Bryan Caplan.&lt;/i&gt;

Oh my mistake. And you think this is relevant why?

The only reason I raised the point at all was to head off the inevitable cry around here to the effect, &quot;of course economists believe those things, they&#039;re all right wing nutters&quot;. Well, no, they&#039;re not, They&#039;re more likely than average to vote the way you do, comrade.

That&#039;s the only point I was trying to make. It is actually an irrelevant point - why should anybody&#039;s trust in the research of  economists be affected by their voting patterns? It shouldn&#039;t. But around here, absent clear thinking at times, it does matter.

So I don&#039;t see what your point is. If you think I am in any way trying to lie or mislead you&#039;ve misunderstood me.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><i>&gt;Yep, that would be why I said &#8220;the research he uses&#8217;. What is unclear about this?</p>
<p>Here&#8217;s what you initially said: And, by the way, your average economists is left of the political center, according to research by a bloke called Bryan Caplan.</i></p>
<p>Oh my mistake. And you think this is relevant why?</p>
<p>The only reason I raised the point at all was to head off the inevitable cry around here to the effect, &#8220;of course economists believe those things, they&#8217;re all right wing nutters&#8221;. Well, no, they&#8217;re not, They&#8217;re more likely than average to vote the way you do, comrade.</p>
<p>That&#8217;s the only point I was trying to make. It is actually an irrelevant point &#8211; why should anybody&#8217;s trust in the research of  economists be affected by their voting patterns? It shouldn&#8217;t. But around here, absent clear thinking at times, it does matter.</p>
<p>So I don&#8217;t see what your point is. If you think I am in any way trying to lie or mislead you&#8217;ve misunderstood me.</p>
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		<title>By: Pascal's bookie</title>
		<link>http://thestandard.org.nz/why-deny-the-lobby-groupspolluters/comment-page-1/#comment-178878</link>
		<dc:creator>Pascal's bookie</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 14 Dec 2009 19:53:09 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.thestandard.org.nz/?p=27251#comment-178878</guid>
		<description>sorry about the HTML fail, edit not working for me at the mo&#039; :(

captcha &#039;mistakes&#039;</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>sorry about the HTML fail, edit not working for me at the mo&#8217; <img src='http://thestandard.org.nz/wp-includes/images/smilies/icon_sad.gif' alt=':(' class='wp-smiley' /> </p>
<p>captcha &#8216;mistakes&#8217;</p>
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		<title>By: Pascal's bookie</title>
		<link>http://thestandard.org.nz/why-deny-the-lobby-groupspolluters/comment-page-1/#comment-178873</link>
		<dc:creator>Pascal's bookie</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 14 Dec 2009 19:51:31 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.thestandard.org.nz/?p=27251#comment-178873</guid>
		<description>Sophistry

&lt;i&gt;Yep, that would be why I said &quot;the research he uses&#039;. What is unclear about this?&lt;/i&gt;

Here&#039;s what you initially said: &lt;b&gt;And, by the way, your average economists is left of the political center, according to research by a bloke called Bryan Caplan. 


&lt;i&gt;Left and right is usually a political distinction. Which is why I said, &quot;And, by the way, your average economists is left of the political center&#039; &lt;/i&gt;

This is what I mean by sophistry. Economics is a large part of the political divide between left and right. When you say that economists tend to be left wing in comparison to the population at large, people will tend to infer that you are talking about their views on economics. Otherwise, what is the point?

If you care to explain that point more coherently, I&#039;d be much obliged.

On Caplans idea that perhaps we should be a little less democratic and give the pro&#039;s a veto, as it were, he seems to just discount the fact the pros vote lib dem. It seems reasonable to infer that professional economists would place a premium on economic matters when casting their votes, so the fact that they hold a more right wing view on a few matters x,y, and z, may well just  be noise.&lt;/b&gt;</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Sophistry</p>
<p><i>Yep, that would be why I said &#8220;the research he uses&#8217;. What is unclear about this?</i></p>
<p>Here&#8217;s what you initially said: <b>And, by the way, your average economists is left of the political center, according to research by a bloke called Bryan Caplan. </p>
<p><i>Left and right is usually a political distinction. Which is why I said, &#8220;And, by the way, your average economists is left of the political center&#8217; </i></p>
<p>This is what I mean by sophistry. Economics is a large part of the political divide between left and right. When you say that economists tend to be left wing in comparison to the population at large, people will tend to infer that you are talking about their views on economics. Otherwise, what is the point?</p>
<p>If you care to explain that point more coherently, I&#8217;d be much obliged.</p>
<p>On Caplans idea that perhaps we should be a little less democratic and give the pro&#8217;s a veto, as it were, he seems to just discount the fact the pros vote lib dem. It seems reasonable to infer that professional economists would place a premium on economic matters when casting their votes, so the fact that they hold a more right wing view on a few matters x,y, and z, may well just  be noise.</b></p>
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		<title>By: lprent</title>
		<link>http://thestandard.org.nz/why-deny-the-lobby-groupspolluters/comment-page-1/#comment-178870</link>
		<dc:creator>lprent</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 14 Dec 2009 19:47:52 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.thestandard.org.nz/?p=27251#comment-178870</guid>
		<description>The reply didn&#039;t attach.

It was origionaly lukas at 
http://www.thestandard.org.nz/why-deny-the-lobby-groupspolluters/#comment-178723

My comment 
http://www.thestandard.org.nz/why-deny-the-lobby-groupspolluters/#comment-178815
 was replying to Andrei I think....

Add a note to the buglist for Xmas-NewYear - find out why in the replies don&#039;t attach sometimes.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The reply didn&#8217;t attach.</p>
<p>It was origionaly lukas at<br />
<a href="http://www.thestandard.org.nz/why-deny-the-lobby-groupspolluters/#comment-178723" rel="nofollow">http://www.thestandard.org.nz/why-deny-the-lobby-groupspolluters/#comment-178723</a></p>
<p>My comment<br />
<a href="http://www.thestandard.org.nz/why-deny-the-lobby-groupspolluters/#comment-178815" rel="nofollow">http://www.thestandard.org.nz/why-deny-the-lobby-groupspolluters/#comment-178815</a><br />
 was replying to Andrei I think&#8230;.</p>
<p>Add a note to the buglist for Xmas-NewYear &#8211; find out why in the replies don&#8217;t attach sometimes.</p>
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		<title>By: ben</title>
		<link>http://thestandard.org.nz/why-deny-the-lobby-groupspolluters/comment-page-1/#comment-178860</link>
		<dc:creator>ben</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 14 Dec 2009 19:29:40 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.thestandard.org.nz/?p=27251#comment-178860</guid>
		<description>&lt;i&gt;My point is that these are not strawmen. You keep claiming that most sceptics are quite moderate, and yet the most famous sceptics are what you describe as strawmen.&lt;/i&gt;

Now you are making things up. &quot;the most famous sceptics are what you describe as strawmen&quot; does not even make sense. I haven&#039;t even addressed anything those skeptics say. What are you on about?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><i>My point is that these are not strawmen. You keep claiming that most sceptics are quite moderate, and yet the most famous sceptics are what you describe as strawmen.</i></p>
<p>Now you are making things up. &#8220;the most famous sceptics are what you describe as strawmen&#8221; does not even make sense. I haven&#8217;t even addressed anything those skeptics say. What are you on about?</p>
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		<title>By: ben</title>
		<link>http://thestandard.org.nz/why-deny-the-lobby-groupspolluters/comment-page-1/#comment-178858</link>
		<dc:creator>ben</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 14 Dec 2009 19:25:47 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.thestandard.org.nz/?p=27251#comment-178858</guid>
		<description>Pascal - thanks for taking the thirty seconds required to google. 

&lt;i&gt;So

i)it wasn&#039;t him that did the research, he was quoting it;&lt;/i&gt;

Yep, that would be why I said &quot;the research he uses&quot;. What is unclear about this?

&lt;i&gt;ii) laymen are not to the â€˜right&#039; of economists on economic matters;&lt;/i&gt;

Left and right is usually a political distinction. Which is why I said, &quot;And, by the way, your average economists is left of the political center&quot;

&lt;i&gt;iii) he grades economists as being â€˜left of centre&#039; because they are lib dems for non economic reasons. ie, they are lib dems in spite of their more â€˜right wing&#039; views on economcs.&lt;/i&gt;

Left and right is usually a political distinction. Which is why I said, &quot;And, by the way, your average economists is left of the political center&quot;

&lt;i&gt;I&#039;m seeing why you didn&#039;t link.&lt;/i&gt;

And why is that exactly? Please explain.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Pascal &#8211; thanks for taking the thirty seconds required to google. </p>
<p><i>So</p>
<p>i)it wasn&#8217;t him that did the research, he was quoting it;</i></p>
<p>Yep, that would be why I said &#8220;the research he uses&#8221;. What is unclear about this?</p>
<p><i>ii) laymen are not to the â€˜right&#8217; of economists on economic matters;</i></p>
<p>Left and right is usually a political distinction. Which is why I said, &#8220;And, by the way, your average economists is left of the political center&#8221;</p>
<p><i>iii) he grades economists as being â€˜left of centre&#8217; because they are lib dems for non economic reasons. ie, they are lib dems in spite of their more â€˜right wing&#8217; views on economcs.</i></p>
<p>Left and right is usually a political distinction. Which is why I said, &#8220;And, by the way, your average economists is left of the political center&#8221;</p>
<p><i>I&#8217;m seeing why you didn&#8217;t link.</i></p>
<p>And why is that exactly? Please explain.</p>
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		<title>By: Pascal's bookie</title>
		<link>http://thestandard.org.nz/why-deny-the-lobby-groupspolluters/comment-page-1/#comment-178855</link>
		<dc:creator>Pascal's bookie</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 14 Dec 2009 19:18:45 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.thestandard.org.nz/?p=27251#comment-178855</guid>
		<description>My point is that these are not strawmen. You keep claiming that most sceptics are quite moderate, and yet the most famous sceptics are what you describe as strawmen.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>My point is that these are not strawmen. You keep claiming that most sceptics are quite moderate, and yet the most famous sceptics are what you describe as strawmen.</p>
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		<title>By: Pascal's bookie</title>
		<link>http://thestandard.org.nz/why-deny-the-lobby-groupspolluters/comment-page-1/#comment-178854</link>
		<dc:creator>Pascal's bookie</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 14 Dec 2009 19:13:13 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.thestandard.org.nz/?p=27251#comment-178854</guid>
		<description>Here&#039;s Caplan:

&lt;blockquote&gt;This was precisely the approach that I used to analyze the best available data set on economic beliefs, the Survey of Americans and Economists on the Economy. The overarching finding: Economists and the public hold radically different beliefs about the economy.[4] Compared to the experts, laymen are much more skeptical of markets, especially international and labor markets, and much more pessimistic about the past, present, and future of the economy. When laymen see business conspiracies, economists see supply-and-demand. When laymen see ruinous competition from foreigners, economists see the wonder of comparative advantage. When laymen see dangerous downsizing, economists see wealth-enhancing reallocation of labor. When laymen see decline, economists see progress.[5]

While critics of the economics profession like to attribute these patterns to economists&#039; affluence, job security, and/or right-wing ideology, the facts are not with them. Controlling for income, income growth, job security, gender, and race only mildly reduces the size of the lay-expert belief gap. And, since the typical economist is actually a moderate Democrat, controlling for party identification and ideology makes the lay-expert belief gap get a little bigger. Economists think that markets work well not because of their extreme right-wing ideology, but despite their mild left-wing ideology.
&lt;/blockquote&gt;

http://www.cato-unbound.org/2006/11/06/bryan-caplan/the-myth-of-the-rational-voter/

So 

i)it wasn&#039;t him that did the research, he was quoting it; 

ii) laymen are not to the &#039;right&#039; of economists on economic matters; 

and 

iii) he grades economists as being &#039;left of centre&#039; because they are lib dems for non economic reasons. ie, they are lib dems in spite of their more &#039;right wing&#039; views on economcs.

I&#039;m seeing why you didn&#039;t link.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Here&#8217;s Caplan:</p>
<blockquote><p>This was precisely the approach that I used to analyze the best available data set on economic beliefs, the Survey of Americans and Economists on the Economy. The overarching finding: Economists and the public hold radically different beliefs about the economy.[4] Compared to the experts, laymen are much more skeptical of markets, especially international and labor markets, and much more pessimistic about the past, present, and future of the economy. When laymen see business conspiracies, economists see supply-and-demand. When laymen see ruinous competition from foreigners, economists see the wonder of comparative advantage. When laymen see dangerous downsizing, economists see wealth-enhancing reallocation of labor. When laymen see decline, economists see progress.[5]</p>
<p>While critics of the economics profession like to attribute these patterns to economists&#8217; affluence, job security, and/or right-wing ideology, the facts are not with them. Controlling for income, income growth, job security, gender, and race only mildly reduces the size of the lay-expert belief gap. And, since the typical economist is actually a moderate Democrat, controlling for party identification and ideology makes the lay-expert belief gap get a little bigger. Economists think that markets work well not because of their extreme right-wing ideology, but despite their mild left-wing ideology.
</p></blockquote>
<p><a href="http://www.cato-unbound.org/2006/11/06/bryan-caplan/the-myth-of-the-rational-voter/" rel="nofollow">http://www.cato-unbound.org/2006/11/06/bryan-caplan/the-myth-of-the-rational-voter/</a></p>
<p>So </p>
<p>i)it wasn&#8217;t him that did the research, he was quoting it; </p>
<p>ii) laymen are not to the &#8216;right&#8217; of economists on economic matters; </p>
<p>and </p>
<p>iii) he grades economists as being &#8216;left of centre&#8217; because they are lib dems for non economic reasons. ie, they are lib dems in spite of their more &#8216;right wing&#8217; views on economcs.</p>
<p>I&#8217;m seeing why you didn&#8217;t link.</p>
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		<title>By: ben</title>
		<link>http://thestandard.org.nz/why-deny-the-lobby-groupspolluters/comment-page-1/#comment-178852</link>
		<dc:creator>ben</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 14 Dec 2009 19:05:20 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.thestandard.org.nz/?p=27251#comment-178852</guid>
		<description>&lt;i&gt;For anyone to think that anything can be a 100% accurate is just fooling themselves.&lt;/i&gt;

Who is making that mistake? Nobody here that I can see.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><i>For anyone to think that anything can be a 100% accurate is just fooling themselves.</i></p>
<p>Who is making that mistake? Nobody here that I can see.</p>
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		<title>By: ben</title>
		<link>http://thestandard.org.nz/why-deny-the-lobby-groupspolluters/comment-page-1/#comment-178851</link>
		<dc:creator>ben</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 14 Dec 2009 19:02:54 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.thestandard.org.nz/?p=27251#comment-178851</guid>
		<description>On this blog? No. I don&#039;t like everything Monckton says, I think he goes a little to far at times. I deliberately avoid Wishart for other reasons, never read a word he&#039;s said.

Anyway - what&#039;s your point? That two wrongs make a right? Or is it that one or two nutcases disqualifies absolutely everything said by your opponent?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>On this blog? No. I don&#8217;t like everything Monckton says, I think he goes a little to far at times. I deliberately avoid Wishart for other reasons, never read a word he&#8217;s said.</p>
<p>Anyway &#8211; what&#8217;s your point? That two wrongs make a right? Or is it that one or two nutcases disqualifies absolutely everything said by your opponent?</p>
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		<title>By: ben</title>
		<link>http://thestandard.org.nz/why-deny-the-lobby-groupspolluters/comment-page-1/#comment-178849</link>
		<dc:creator>ben</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 14 Dec 2009 18:58:41 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.thestandard.org.nz/?p=27251#comment-178849</guid>
		<description>I&#039;ve made my position clear.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I&#8217;ve made my position clear.</p>
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		<title>By: ben</title>
		<link>http://thestandard.org.nz/why-deny-the-lobby-groupspolluters/comment-page-1/#comment-178848</link>
		<dc:creator>ben</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 14 Dec 2009 18:55:59 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.thestandard.org.nz/?p=27251#comment-178848</guid>
		<description>Lynn, another difficulty with the climate data is that many adjustments to the raw data seem to go in the wrong direction. We can all agree an upwards adjustment is appropriate when a weather station is moved uphill. However, what is much less clear is why adjustments to the raw data remain upwards when stations do not move and are in areas subject to urbanisation over the last century. Urban heat island effect is real and introduces a strong upwards bias to temperature, particularly at night, yet Hadley et al continue to apply upwards corrections to data from previously rural, now-urban, weather station. The satellite and ground based temp measures have diverged in the last few years and it is suspected that these adjustments are the reason why (satellite is not affected by UHI effect). The single best thing that will, I hope, come out of climategate is a clear understanding of how these adjustments are being done.

Note that around 80% of all the warming in the past century is due not to the raw data, but to the adjustments. The raw data shows warming, but only a fraction of the reported figure. Plainly, the process for adjusting needs to be done in plain view because the case for action depends in good part on what is happening there. If we&#039;re going to be taxed and regulated, we need to be sure the books are not being cooked.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Lynn, another difficulty with the climate data is that many adjustments to the raw data seem to go in the wrong direction. We can all agree an upwards adjustment is appropriate when a weather station is moved uphill. However, what is much less clear is why adjustments to the raw data remain upwards when stations do not move and are in areas subject to urbanisation over the last century. Urban heat island effect is real and introduces a strong upwards bias to temperature, particularly at night, yet Hadley et al continue to apply upwards corrections to data from previously rural, now-urban, weather station. The satellite and ground based temp measures have diverged in the last few years and it is suspected that these adjustments are the reason why (satellite is not affected by UHI effect). The single best thing that will, I hope, come out of climategate is a clear understanding of how these adjustments are being done.</p>
<p>Note that around 80% of all the warming in the past century is due not to the raw data, but to the adjustments. The raw data shows warming, but only a fraction of the reported figure. Plainly, the process for adjusting needs to be done in plain view because the case for action depends in good part on what is happening there. If we&#8217;re going to be taxed and regulated, we need to be sure the books are not being cooked.</p>
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		<title>By: ben</title>
		<link>http://thestandard.org.nz/why-deny-the-lobby-groupspolluters/comment-page-1/#comment-178846</link>
		<dc:creator>ben</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 14 Dec 2009 18:45:45 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.thestandard.org.nz/?p=27251#comment-178846</guid>
		<description>Clarke

&lt;i&gt;Of course he thinks the average economist is left of centre  he&#039;s paid by that bunch of libertarian nut-jobs at the Cato Institute to say so. Frankly, everyone this side of Ghengis Khan would qualify for the same moniker by Caplan&#039;s standards.&lt;/i&gt;

Don&#039;t you have anything other than ad hominems to throw? Is this really it?

The research Caplan uses in his book is not relative to &lt;i&gt;him&lt;/i&gt;, it is relative to the population.

Say something substantive. Anything.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Clarke</p>
<p><i>Of course he thinks the average economist is left of centre  he&#8217;s paid by that bunch of libertarian nut-jobs at the Cato Institute to say so. Frankly, everyone this side of Ghengis Khan would qualify for the same moniker by Caplan&#8217;s standards.</i></p>
<p>Don&#8217;t you have anything other than ad hominems to throw? Is this really it?</p>
<p>The research Caplan uses in his book is not relative to <i>him</i>, it is relative to the population.</p>
<p>Say something substantive. Anything.</p>
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		<title>By: Outofbed</title>
		<link>http://thestandard.org.nz/why-deny-the-lobby-groupspolluters/comment-page-1/#comment-178832</link>
		<dc:creator>Outofbed</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 14 Dec 2009 09:28:14 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.thestandard.org.nz/?p=27251#comment-178832</guid>
		<description>we are positioned Slighty ahead of Saudi Arabia
And If we want to align ourselves with OZ we just have to drop 2 places
Which is positive
Thanks Nick</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>we are positioned Slighty ahead of Saudi Arabia<br />
And If we want to align ourselves with OZ we just have to drop 2 places<br />
Which is positive<br />
Thanks Nick</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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