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Will DunnoKeyo Lead National into Next Year’s Defeat?

Written By: - Date published: 4:02 pm, October 1st, 2013 - 80 comments
Categories: brand key, john key, Judith Collins, national, same old national, Steven Joyce - Tags:

National are going to lose the next election. That presents a significant problem for Team Blue’s office holders and caucus. Do they hope against hope that John Key can pull off an Oracle style upset, or at least, like Rudd, keep the damage to a minimum? Or do they act now and replace their biggest asset in the hope that NZ will let them regroup for a return in 2017?

Admittedly, I know less about the inner workings of the National Party than John Key does about the NZLP. But what I do know is that there will not be a democratic process. The decision will be made by a couple of faceless suits and a few senior MP’s, just as it was with the knifings of Jim Bolger and Rodney Hide. Key has at least survived his extended overseas holiday with the Queen without a coup taking place, so he’ll be happy about that. He’ll be much less happy about the current polling, which suggests he is going to leave the post as a loser, one way or the other.

There are 3 contenders for the leadership. Key might stay on, but frankly, what’s in it for him? Then there’s Piggy Muldoon lookalike Steven Joyce, who is competent, efficient and deadly dull. He appeals to the dry right in caucus, safe pair of hands, understands the urgent need for Government to subsidise business etc. Then there’s Judith Collins, whose every utterance apparently acts as Viagra to Tory fanbois these days. However, her major difficulty is actually those charmless blurtings, which seem to be a form of political Tourette’s.

If Key resigns or is rolled this year, then National are also faced with an electoral problem. If they do what Gillard did after Rudd was deposed and call an early election, it risks being hamstrung by the Asset Theft referendum, which presumably would be done at the same time. And they have no answer on the question of housing, which is a crucial point for the middle ground that decides elections.

But if they wait till next year to dump DunnoKeyo, they risk being so far down in the polls that they again face the Bill English scenario, where their voters accept that the election is lost, and tactically vote NZ First so Labour can potentially form a coalition with Winston rather than the Greens.

Knife-in-backAs I like a punt, I’d rate Key’s chances of leading the Nats into the next election as 40/60 at best. If he stays, he’ll lose, but like Helen Clark, he can look forward to sustained public popularity in the retirement years. Though, unlike Clark, he won’t want to do any actual work. A few months on the beach, a couple of media appearances at AB’s games and a few untaxing board postings should see him through the twilight years.

Collins may be the best bet to replace him for name recognition reasons alone and there is a small chance she could make a decent fist of it against the odds and at least keep most of the current MP’s in a job. Though it’s lovely to see Chris Tremain see the writing on the walls of his numerous rental properties. We’re bringing in the CGT just for you Chris. Enjoy!

Joyce really hasn’t got a hope, unless it’s as a caretaker until Bennett or Bridges are deemed to be ready for office.

Of course, I may have forgotten a contender or two. Readers might care to put up their own likely lads if I’ve missed any of the potential captains of Team Blue. But whoever eventually gets appointed to lead National, three things are certain. Key’s a goneburger, National’s toast and the Hollow Men are bringing nothing to the table.

Te Reo Putake

80 comments on “Will DunnoKeyo Lead National into Next Year’s Defeat?”

  1. Puckish Rogue 1

    “Then there’s Judith Collins, whose every utterance apparently acts as Viagra to Tory fanbois these days”

    - Shes marvellous

    “Though, unlike Clark, he won’t want to do any actual work.”

    - Why should he?

    “But whoever eventually gets appointed to lead National, three things are certain. Key’s a goneburger, National’s toast and the Hollow Men are bringing nothing to the table.”

    - Right…its one thing to gee up the troops, bolster confidence and all that but theres a wee way to go before the election

    But well done for giving it go

    • Sable 1.1

      Colin’s is worse than Keys. An utter hatred of the common man and an abject lack of respect for basic human rights. A fat, smug, sneering bundle of self importance wrapped up in a twin set with pearls. NZ’s answer to Eva Peron…

    • lprent 1.2

      “Then there’s Judith Collins, whose every utterance apparently acts as Viagra to Tory fanbois these days”

      - Shes marvellous

      I think TRP just had his point made for him… Must be the whole stretched skin, unmoving face, botox look and generally toxic view on life that gets them aroused. I bet he likes zombies as well.

      • Anne 1.2.1

        I think TRP just had his point made for him…

        Got in before me.

        Joyce really hasn’t got a hope, unless it’s as a caretaker until Bennett or Bridges are deemed to be ready for office.

        God forbid… you’re kidding. God defend NZ!

        Love your style TRP. More posts please.

        • Te Reo Putake 1.2.1.1

          Cheers, Anne, will try, time permitting. As for Bennett and Bridges, I do think they are the best the Nats can do. Despite having a large caucus, the talent pool is mighty shallow. Hold your nose and have a look: http://www.national.org.nz/MPList.aspx

          My best guess is that, post Key, they will go for a caretaker and see if any of the class of ’08 make an impression in the medium term. In a way, losing Simon Power is as much a problem for the Nats as losing Steve Maharey was for Labour; the obvious successor is gone and the alternatives can’t muster a majority in caucus. That’s no longer a problem for Labour, with the democratisation of the process, but the Nats are too corporatist to go down that route. So no easy answers because they are left with pretenders not contenders.

  2. Tamati 2

    I admire your confidence, but to say “National is going to lose the election” is more than just counting chickens. Key will live and die by the 2014 election, whatever happends it will be the last election he contests. He still has pretty decent personal popularity (>50%) so I can’t see that Nats knifing him. If, however, it was shown he knew about Kim Dotcom then he’ll have to go.

    • mac1 2.1

      Tamati, inspired by your last four words.

      “Put your sweet lips a little closer to the phone
      Let’s pretend GCSB thinks we’re all alone
      I’ll tell the Man that the fanmail box is way down low
      And you can tell your friend there with you, Key’ll have to go.”

    • Tangled_up 2.2

      +1000

      Would be good if it does happen; but a few good poll results doesn’t mean that National have lost the election. And Key is the only thing keeping National in the game. People prefer Labour’s policies .

    • Mickey 2.3

      Agreed Tamati, I can’t believe the number of lefties who think Key is a gonna. They make the same mistake as the past 3 labour leaders, they under estimate him.
      He is rat cunning with deep pockets. While he is surely concerned about the recent polls,
      you can bet the whole caucus is planning their election offensive like a military operation.
      As for his leadership, he is 100% safe at least until after the election.
      The left seem drunk on a few poll results and a new leader. Question is will they wake up with a hangover.

      [lprent: Please try to keep to a single handle and email. Then moderators won't have to spend time releasing you from auto-moderation. ]

  3. Sable 3

    Good article but what has Helen Clarke done that’s so wonderful, aside from drawing a $300K plus TAX FREE salary from the UN? Frankly both Clarke and Keys have been poison to this country and have shown there is an urgent need for political reform that goes well beyond MMP.

    • Tamati 3.1

      I follow New Zealand politics quite closely but I don’t seem to remember any important politicians with the surnames Clarke or Keys. Can you help me out?

      • McFlock 3.1.1

        Besides that, I very much doubt key will do anything to garner the attention of forbes after he’s done in our little backwater.

    • Colonial Viper 3.2

      aside from drawing a $300K plus TAX FREE salary from the UN?

      Please let us know where you got that “information” from.

      • chris73 3.2.1

        Yeah, I’d have thought shes on over 300K for doing sweet FA (still a good gig though)

        • Colonial Viper 3.2.1.1

          Trust you to consider helping 500M of the world’s poorest and most distressed people as “doing sweet FA”; it says more about you than it says about Helen Clark.

          • Kevin Welsh 3.2.1.1.1

            CV, the money is only justified if its a RWNJ in charge. Lefties are meant to work pro-bono and wear sack-cloth and ashes.

      • Lanthanide 3.2.2

        UN employees don’t pay US income tax, and hence don’t pay any tax at all.

      • Sable 3.2.3

        That would be telling Viper but I have been told its on the money. Even I was shocked….

      • Colonial Viper 3.2.4

        I think you guys all have to learn a little bit about what you are talking about first of all.

        In essence, the gross pay of all UN staff is reduced by an internal tax, the “staff assessment”, which then results in the net pay for the employee.

        http://www.un.org/Depts/oppba/accounts/tax/faqs/faq02.htm

  4. Clement Pinto 4

    Key is gone burger and National is doomed to be in the opposition after the next election.

    GCSB LOUSY LAW, THE ASSET SALES STUPIDITY and THE HOUSING HORROR have cooked National, ACT’ and UF’s goose. The rising popularity of Mr Cunliffe and the Labour party is testament to that.

    The knives will be sharpening and the balaclavas will get worn. Now it will be survival of the quickest. Can’t wait to see who that is! Could it be Shanks or Melissa?

  5. vto 5

    There is no way it will happen until after the election

    Betcha two shiny skycity chips

  6. Colonial Viper 6

    Of course, I may have forgotten a contender or two. Readers might care to put up their own likely lads if I’ve missed any of the potential captains of Team Blue.

    Collins, Joyce and English top the named candidates on iPredict.

    Bennett as a 1c outsider. English on a whole 11c, believe it or not.

    • vto 6.1

      English would be a good holding captain. While none of the real contenders are willing to step up he could simply provide a steady hand on the helm while they sort their shit out. Then he could stand aside for their own form of primary and voila – headlines, smooth transition, kudos all around.

      • Colonial Viper 6.1.1

        Yes. Tories are great with their corporate succession planning. Interim CEO, if you will. And, whoever takes the crown, will need the support of English’s block of votes. So I think he is likely to go back to being deputy after the permanent leader is installed.

        • Pete 6.1.1.1

          I think English has been rehabilitated from his last stint as leader. He might win the leadership should Key chose to resign, Lange-Palmer style. But if he launches a coup from being deputy PM, it would be seen as a particularly severe act of betrayal by many in National’s core constituency and I’m sure a lot will stay home on Election Day. If it turns into a fairly open race, I think Tony Ryall could be one to watch. Health hasn’t been a major concern in this term so he’s certainly got a measure of political nous.

  7. Tamati 7

    More importantly, what colour drapes should David Cunliffe hang on the ninth floor of the Beehive?

    Perhaps a nice blood red will do nicely.

  8. Richard29 8

    Sorry, I just don’t see Key standing down or getting knifed before the next election. In personal popularity and name recognition he is head and shoulders above the other possible contenders. Critically, given that its the party vote that matters, his personal popularity is higher than that of the National party (he is dragging the blue team up not dragging them down) without him and his folksy everyman charm (which is admittedly losing it’s shine after 5 years), the Nats are dog tucker…
    There are four scenarios where the Nats stay in power:
    1) National holds but does not increase it’s vote (very possible) but voter turnout drops. This is what happened last time, it is less likely this time both because some former Nats supporters will be tiring after 6 years and also because the opposition under Cunliffe is more motivated and looks more like a government in waiting. The next election is a competitive race – competitive races have better turnout.
    2) National increases it’s vote percentage but not at the expense of it’s potential coalition partners. This is extremely unlikely, the Nats already increased their vote percentage ever so marginally at the last election at the expense of wiping out their coalition partners (total right support dropped). If people have not been convinced by National for the last 6 years they aren’t about to suddenly start in 2014.
    3) National’s coalition partners increasing but not at the expense of National. Most scenarios here are unlikely (Green and Labour voters aren’t suddenly going to vote for Act or United Future). The two ways that this could happen is the successful launch of a centrist socially and economically liberal party similar to the German Free Democrats that polls well above 5% and takes votes equally from Labour and the Nats. This would require a load of money and some well known faces to lead it – there is no sign of this happening before the next election. The other possibility is that Colin Craig sweeps the social conservative vote away from Winston. This is highly unlikely under normal circumstances (Winston is a loveable rogue and Colin is a Christian fundamentalist with no personality) but could happen with a strong wedge issue and lots of media coverage. The tactical withdrawal of the euthanasia bill this week was Labour immunising themselves against this possibility.
    4) The final option is a rerun of 1996. Winston leads everybody to believe he will support the Labour led government in waiting but then after the election decides that he’s not interested in playing third fiddle behind the Greens and alongside Mana and would prefer to be Deputy PM in a National led government. This is probably the most likely option – in fact I would argue that it’s almost impossible for National to form a government in 2014 without Winston. Key has notably not precluded the possiblity of working with Winston as he’s done previously. This scenario poses a challenge to Labour, the best way of dealing with it is trying to force Winston and Key to say the will not work together, when they refuse to do this start using the term “National/NZ First Coalition” about 100 times a day during the campaign causing both NZ First supporters to defect to Labour to keep National out and National voters to defect to Labour to keep NZ First out.

    In short, there are possibilities for Key to win next year, but the safe money is on Labour. The challenge for Labour is winning with a strong enough majority that they can govern alone with the Greens. Once you start having to pull together a 3-5 party coalition including the Greens and NZ First things would get very messy very quickly.

    • Lanthanide 8.1

      “Sorry, I just don’t see Key standing down or getting knifed before the next election. ”

      It depends entirely on what they’re polling, I think. If they consistently polled around 30%, he’d be goneburger I’m sure. Even consistent polling in 35-37% would probably kill him. I’m assuming in this scenario that their vote will have deserted them to the left, rather than to the conservatives/NZ1st/coalition partners.

      Given the leaked poll of 50% GL vs 39% Nats, it seems likely that the Nats aren’t going to be in a position to cobble together a coalition.

      • Colonial Viper 8.1.1

        A consistent 39% in the polls will end Key’s political career no doubt. That translates into 9-10 National MPs goneburger, and their caucus is not going to sit back and just let that happen.

        The only thing which will keep the wolves at bay at that point is if Key convinces everyone that the loss will be much worse without him.

        • Richard29 8.1.1.1

          “The only thing which will keep the wolves at bay at that point is if Key convinces everyone that the loss will be much worse without him.”

          And that is demonstrably the case. Key’s latest approval has dropped into the mid 50′s – if the party drops below the 40′s that’s all the more reason to keep him on and minimise the scale of the defeat. He is the Kevin Rudd candidate – more popular than his party and their best shot at another term.

          Personally I would be extremely surprised to see the Nats poll below 40% in 2014. They might be polling low now – but the triumphalism about the inevitable turning of the tide is premature. A big part of the drop now will be a strategic choice by the Nats to ride out the unpopularity in 2013 so they can start fresh in election year 2014. This is why they are selling Meridian in a single tranche with deferred payment (rather than 2 tranches stretching it into next year). They set an early date for the asset sales referendum and then I would expect that late 2013 or early 2014 that they will announce that after Genesis they will be conducting no more asset sales. This will neutralise the issue leading into 2014 and is just a pragmatic recognition that they Wonston won’t support asset sales and they can’t govern without him in 2014 so why should they take the political hit of announcing further sales they will be unable to execute.

          • Colonial Viper 8.1.1.1.1

            Yes agree I too think that National strategists view a Blue/Winston coalition as their main chance next year.

            Time to start up the National/NZ First coalition meme.

            • Richard29 8.1.1.1.1.1

              That meme will be very powerful – the number of voters who despise Winston vastly outnumber the ones who love him.

              Key proved in 2008 and again in 2011 that there are at least as many votes to be won by committing not to work with Winston as you get by working with him.

              Cunliffe’s challenge is that if Labour and the Greens end up polling at 49% he may not have any choice but to do a deal with Winston – so how does he get the message out there that Key will work with Winston and this is a terrible thing without looking like a hypocrite.

              One potentially risky option would be that Cunliffe says he will not have Winston in his cabinet or a ministerial post (because he could do without the drama) but if he needs the numbers he might be willing to advance specific NZ First policies in exchange for confidence and supply (or abstention on C&S to deliver a Red/Green majority). This should be acceptable to most voters – the antipathy to NZ First is mostly about the personality not policy – moderate voters would be quite accepting of Labour implementing NZ First policies to support the elderly and a more interventionist trade policy.

              Winston has a lot more to lose from National than Labour (he’ll suffer a backlash in his support base and his position will be less sustainable because he’d be propping up an unpopular third term government) as such, if he is kingmaker, he’s not going to go into coalition with Key for anything less than Deputy PM. Key knows this and will be unable to match the pledge to exclude Winston from ‘the baubles of office’…

              • lprent

                Cunliffe’s challenge is that if Labour and the Greens end up polling at 49% he may not have any choice but to do a deal with Winston

                In that case I suspect that they’d do a deal with Mana. :)

                The reality is that each party does its electioneering and talk of post-election deals are rather meaningless prior to the election. Because at the end of the day a government gets formed out of whatever *seats* each party has in government. The public will determine that and the MP’s will have to figure out how to form a government from what they are given.

                Grandstanding prior to the election and saying that you will or will not work with a party and/or politician is irrelevant… It will eventually stop when some dickhead politician does that and effectively forces a new election. Their party will be decimated by an irate public being forced to vote because of a fool, and we won’t hear that meme again.

                Key proved in 2008 and again in 2011 that there are at least as many votes to be won by committing not to work with Winston as you get by working with him.

                I’d seriously question that. In case you hadn’t noticed, in 2011 National only just scraped over the line to form a government with a minimal majority. NZFirst nearly doubled their vote. In large part I suspect (from conversations with NZF voters in 2011) that John Key’s ringing rejection of the possibility of working with Winston merely encouraged people to vote for NZFirst so they could make him eat his words.

                The constituency that NZFirst represents aren’t exactly enamoured with dickhead politicians posturing like fools. Winston has made a political career out of exploiting the alienation that a large segment of the voting public has with foolish politicians from the mainstream parties.

                • Tracey

                  Under MMP coaltions are inevitable (as has been shown in NZ). Accordingly the electorate has a right to know who their preferred party will climb into bed with prior to an election. I would be mortified if Dunne was given a seat in cabinet in a Labour/Green or Labour Govt in return for confidence and supply.

                  Be up front about the possibilities ahead of time.

          • Te Reo Putake 8.1.1.1.2

            I like your logic about the timing of sales, Richard. If they do announce an end to the program, I think you are correct that it opens up room for a deal with Winston, who, as history shows, cannot be trusted. I also suspect you are right about the polling; even if my speculation about some Nat voters turning to NZF to give Labour a conservative option for coalition is correct I don’t think that will drop National too far into the 30′s. However, it would probably leave the right a seat or three shy of forming a Government themselves, particularly if some of the vote switching is wasted on Colin’s Craig lot.

            • Chooky 8.1.1.1.2.1

              imo….as Winston is getting older …and the Greens are more established as a party ….. they are not in competition any more

              …….If necessary Winston could be happy with a Labour coalition govt with the Greens…and not interfere …as long as he gets Minister of Foreign Affairs , which he excelled at in Helen Clark’s govt…..( he would only be replacing Shearer after-all)

              While many call him a conservative and untrustworthy , Winston has often been more aligned with the Left than the Right on issues ….eg GCSB bill, sale of State Assets, foreign ownership of land and housing….and dont forget he brought down National once before on sale of state assets

              However Winston’s party may not even make it into parliament….many will now be happy to vote Labour with Cunliffe as leader….and many also will not see the need to vote strategically for NZFirst in order to help the Left block back into power

              Whatever the case, I think it is premature to prejudge the outcome and force and alienate Winnie into the toxic and doomed embrace of Nact….which he has clearly so often shown he despises.

  9. outofbed 9

    start using the term “National/NZ First Coalition” about 100 times a day during the campaign causing both NZ First supporters to defect to Labour to keep National out and National voters to defect to Labour to keep NZ First

    Brilliant just brilliant

  10. bad12 10

    Obviously with Slippery having just been off to dear old England to behave in front of Her Maj ‘like a Galloping Colonial Clod’ and then racing over to the UN in New York to again stuff His foot deeply in His mouth earning Him the title from the normally starstruck Clare Trevett of ‘the Antipodean Mouse that roared’ the PM isn’t having a great month,

    With Labour’s, and rumor has it, Nationals own internal polling more or less matching the previous published public poll it was the perfect opportunity for Judith Collins to mount the bloody palace coup,

    That She didn’t shows that She hasn’t as yet got the numbers to roll Slippery which also shows that the National back bench hasn’t as yet been totally spooked by the numbers,

    Should National drop to 39% in the upcoming polls and stay there into early next year ‘thing’s in the National Party Caucus are likely to become quite tense as the backbench begin to realize which of them will be culled in the November 2014 rout,

    Slippery might want to, after February 2014 stick strictly to staying home as either Collins or my pick for the ‘dark horse’ of the rat-pack Maurice Williamson might just be able to gather the numbers to roll a Prime Minister who to all extents and purposes looks and behaves like a spent force…

    • srylands 10.1

      “That She didn’t shows that She hasn’t as yet got the numbers ”

      Now you are extending your bizarre capitalisation to female pronouns. What the fuck?

      • srylands 10.1.1

        Are you German?

        • bad12 10.1.1.1

          No SSlands i am not, the word German tho, when broken into it’s syllables, is a perfect explanation of your personal position among humanity,

          A man you are obviously not, most here tho would associate you with the word Germ,

          Stop Trolling and address the Post…

        • the pigman 10.1.1.2

          Because being German would certainly invalidate all of what bad says, right? Oh srylands, are you Monagesque, Caymanian or a Luxembourger?

    • Anne 10.2

      …which also shows that the National back bench hasn’t as yet been totally spooked by the numbers,…

      Of course not. Given the average IQ of your typical National back-bencher, I’d say it will be another couple of months before it dawns on them what the figures represent. I mean, their political superiors are not likely to tell them so they’ve got to work it out for themselves.

      • chris73 10.2.1

        I’m sorry but are you calling into question Nationals back benches IQ? Maybe we should discuss how long it took Cunliffe to get the leadership of Labour..?

  11. hellonearthis 11

    John Banks could swoop in, now that Act is dead and take the National leadership.

    Too soon for Simon Power to come back?

  12. Tamati, if it could be proven the PM lied to Serious Fraud Office in 1991, then lied to voters about it, aided by, if not complicit, at the very least incompetent fourth estate in lead up to 2008 election, would Key have to stand down then?

    • Clement Pinto 12.1

      What lie? and how can it be proved?

      • Clement certainly. Key said to SFO investigators in 1991 his resignation date from Elders Merchant Finance was 24 June 1988. He said he could remember a lunch from 1988 that was of interest to the SFO because it was his farewell lunch. He was leaving Elders to go to Bankers Trust in Auckland. However Key told media in 2007/2008 that he had worked with Andrew Krieger while they were both at Bankers Trust, Key in Auckland and Krieger in New York. Key himself said he recalls receiving a phone call from Krieger when he started with Bankers Trust where Krieger asked about New Zealand’s monetary supply. Gavin Walker, now Chair of the New Zealand Superannuation Fund, and ex CEO of Bankers Trust in New Zealand, said Key was responsible for all the trades Krieger and other traders at the New York branch were putting across the Auckland branch’s trading desk. One small issue. Krieger resigned from Bankers Trust in February 1988. So did Key work with Krieger and lie to the SFO or did Key not work with Krieger but lied to New Zealand when he and Walker discussed at length with media Key’s working relationship with Krieger, calling it ‘lucrative’. To believe the latter you’d have to believe Gavin Walker was complicit in the Krieger angle. PoliticallyCorrected < — with links to articles, interviews, news reports, etc, to support my claims.

      • Clement certainly – except the entire post I just posted was marked as spam when I tried editing the two links with the post grr (hopefully the admins might find it).

        Anyway .. http://politicallycorrected.webs.com <—- links, audio, interviews, media reports, etc backing up my claims John Key lied to the Serious Fraud Office in May 1991, then lied to media in 2008 when that statement was brought into question. The lie is the resignation date – 24 June 1988.

        Gavin Walker, was the CEO of Bankers Trust in New Zealand and is now Chair of the New Zealand Superannuation Fund. For Key's statement to the SFO to be 'true', Gavin Walker would have had to have lied to media in bios on Key in the lead up the 2008 election where the two of them discuss at length Key's working relationship with currency raider, Andrew Krieger.

        Reality is Krieger resigned from Bankers Trust in February 1988, retiring from the currency markets for some two years altogether in June of the same year – respectively some six months, and two months prior to the date given in Key's statement.

        Key told media he recalled getting a call from Krieger when he (Key) started with Bankers Trust and Walker stated how Key was responsible for all the trades Krieger and others at the New York branch were putting across Key's branch of Bankers Trust in Auckland, soon making the Auckland branch the no. 1 dealing room in the country.

        [lprent: I scan the residual spam several times a day. ]

        • Clement Pinto 12.1.2.1

          Ok, thanks for your detailed reply. May be you should ask SFO to investigate/clarify or ask opposition MPs to ask some questions in parliament. Have you done that and if yes, what was the outcome?

  13. Lanthanide 13

    “it risks being hamstrung by the Asset Theft referendum, which presumably would be done at the same time”

    Hasn’t that already been scheduled for some time in December? So unless you’re suggesting a *very* early election, this shouldn’t be an issue for the nats.

  14. BrucetheMoose 14

    Though the chances of it eventuating are as remote as a bag of lollies surviving more than five minutes in a school yard, but I am sure his Lordship and Supreme Ruler of Canterbury, Gerry Brownlee, has his eye on the potential job of top dog. He must entertain the notion, already being the king of his own domain. But surely the Natzis wouldn’t be that stupid. You can only hope.

  15. coge 15

    Not bloody likely, in my opinion.

  16. kenny 16

    My pick for leader would be Amy Adams – a very capable person from what I have seen in parliament and a very good, clear speaker who doesn’t panic and is full of self-confidence.

    • fender 16.1

      Yes, yes I’ve seen her in action too, and it appears Amy has the necessary nastiness required to lead the National Nasty Party, maybe not as nasty as Judith, but plenty of potential nevertheless.

  17. Blue 17

    It’s going to be seriously fun to watch how this all plays out. Key is the only asset National has, and once he either leaves or is knifed, the Nats really have no one to replace him.

    Joyce is more of a right-hand man than a leader, Collins appeals to (some)(strange) men with the ballbuster thing but women can’t stand her. The very idea of Bennett being PM is laughable.

    English would probably be the only credible contender, if you could forget what a huge mess he made of it last time (and most probably can’t).

    • chris73 17.1

      Judith Collins is marvelous but I’d advise her to let someone else be the leader and then when they lose the next election (if Labour win the next election they’ll get two terms) JC (has a ring to it) can lead National to victory once the NZ public realize just how bad the Greens policies are

      • Colonial Viper 17.1.1

        (if Labour win the next election they’ll get two terms)

        LOL, four is the most likely.

    • risildowgtn 17.2

      Agreed esp with the top line

      Key IS the National Partay….. and they know it…

      hence their fanboi Hooten doin hootenanny shrieks wah wah the world is ending

      cos for them it is.

  18. tricldrown 18

    Just a week or 2 ago the right wing fundamentalists were all bravado no they are on the back foot they are lost for words .
    But never underestimate the right!
    With a growing economy and short memories the voters might just stick with ponceKey!

  19. Rumour Willis 19

    Key will never, ever be rolled. He’s all they have. It’s far more likely that if the polling isn’t great, he’ll petulantly throw in the towel and say he’s “done all I wanted to do SLUUUURP” and leave a “winner” because he’s the type of pathological nutbar who can never be seen to lose.

    I still think he has a good chance of winning, though, sadly. This country’s never been good at seeing him for what he is. As soon as he first appeared in 2006 or whenever I thought “THIS is the best they can do?” He’s like the bad guy from a movie who wants to tear down an orphanage to build a nuclear waste factory!

    • chris73 19.1

      “This country’s never been good at seeing him for what he is”

      - Ever consider that maybe NZ do see him for what he is and thats why hes so popular…

      • Colonial Viper 19.1.1

        What is he c73? A flash and dash showman and money marketer?

      • KJT 19.1.2

        When almost every news article breathlessly says, “but John Key says” as if he is some sort of oracle, no wonder the public thinks he is OK.

        Headlines like “John Keys says Cunliffe”. “MOBIE is doing…………., but Key says………….”. Are published almost every day.

    • gobsmacked 19.2

      Rumour Willis + 1

      Key will not be rolled, or step down for any political/electoral reason. Of course he might quit for any number of other reasons, but it won’t be because of dissatisfaction from his own backers. They need him, and plans B, C and D have hardly started (stand by for targeting, demonising, wedge-driving, all the usual tricks). Their easy ride is over, but history is full of incumbents fighting back to win – dirty if they have to.

      I expect Labour/Greens to win the election, but it will be one hard fight, and wishful thinking doesn’t help (and your prediction track record isn’t great, TRP, as you know).

      • Te Reo Putake 19.2.1

        Actually, I’m not big on wishful thinking, gs and I’m not discounting the amount of work that will need to be done to make sure of the result. As I do every election, I’ll putting as much time and effort in as I possibly can to get a progressive government elected. I’d like to think this post is a small part of that work.

        Re: my track record, I’d also like to think I’ve caused the TAB as much grief as they’ve caused me over the years! I was certainly right that Shearer wouldn’t be rolled, and, ultimately, I suspect Key will resign in a similar fashion and probably for the same reason; a lack of traction in the polls.

        My gut feeling is that Key is too ego driven to want go down with the ship and, like the Captain of the Costa Concordia, he’ll hit the life raft as soon as its obvious there’s no way back.

  20. Progressive Paradox 20

    Hmm I’d be wary of declaring victory so prematurely or writing off a future leader of the Nats. In 2007, I remember a few in the Left writing off Key, I wouldn’t underestimate our opponents. Although in all likelihood I think it would be Colins who would be Shipley all over again or Joyce would just be another English.

    • chris73 20.1

      Collins has more to offer then Shipley ever did, can’t disagree with your assessment of Joyce though…no charisma at all

      • bad12 20.1.1

        Judith Collins has something to offer, pray tell, do expand upon that wont you, even if only for the humor content…

        • chris73 20.1.1.1

          Shes very good at pushing the right buttons:

          Boy racers
          Union ACC scams
          Slow judges

          Shes a very good politician

          • Pascal's bookie 20.1.1.1.1

            So why doesn’t she show up in Pref PM polls? And why did she do so poorly in that poll about who should be the next Nat leader?

            She’s all talk.

            Remember when she sent out a press release on ministerial letter head saying thacomments impugning the Minister’s office are taken very seriously, and that if no apology was forthcoming from Mallard, Little, and RNZ then she would sue?

            Remember how Mallard et al said ‘Whatevs. Sue away then, and we’ll be paying all our costs”?

            and then she went quiet until just after the next cabinet meeting when she too suddenly declared that she would be paying her costs, and that it, all of a sudden, wasn’t about the Minister of ACC but about Judith Collins personally? hahaha. read the Cabinet maunual about how it is decided whether or not a Minister will get taxpayer funded legal defence money to make sense of that mess. She wanted it, cabinet told her she was dreaming.

            And then she backed out of the court case getting only a weak-arsed statement about things that were said in the house, and so were therefore protected anyway? Complete and utter backdown.

            She’s not only weak, but impulsive, arrogant and stupid. A fatal mix.

            She reckons whaleoil is one of the best journos in the country right up until he killed the Truth, and just yesterday she was saying how Michie was going to get the nod over Nash in Napier, no doubt more bullshit fed to here by Lusky fail parade and his pet dolphin that she was stupid enough to tweet, making her look like a fool.

            I mean she can’t even get through a patsy question in the house without reading the answers. She’s been there long enough but every time, she reads the things out, even the ‘jokes’

            She’s hopeless I’m afraid, all sizzle and no sausage, son. It’s a shame you can’t see though it, but the rest of the country can, hence the lack of poll support.

          • Te Reo Putake 20.1.1.1.2

            What has she actually achieved, Chris? She’s hardly a figure of fear among boy racers or judges. And I’ve no idea what you mean by union ACC scams, which suggests that whatever it was, it hasn’t made an impact. I think her major asset is that she vaguely reminds some Tories of a certain age of Margaret Thatcher. But that’s just wishful (or lustful?) thinking.

          • bad12 20.1.1.1.3

            Right, boy racers must of all shook in their boots over the car that didn’t get crushed giving evidence to the claim by many that Collins has got even more vacant space upstairs than Slippery the current PM has,

            Shook with laughter that is…

          • Delia 20.1.1.1.4

            Anyone know what union ACC scams are? Are you just making things up Chris. Do tell.

  21. Fisiani 21

    All these wet dreams about Key…..only problem is that internal polling is still showing 47% support for National. Still agree however that Election 2014 is Labour’s to lose due to MMP.

    [lprent: Whose "internal polling" and of whom?. Polling the contributors to the Waitemata Trust really isn't that good a polling technique for estimating the outcome of an election. ]

    • Colonial Viper 21.1

      yeah it’s a bitch when you have actual democracy, one which requires a plurality of the votes cast to be able to form a government.

      .only problem is that internal polling is still showing 47% support for National.

      I actually have it at 48.5%. I think you have an out of date memo.

    • mac1 21.2

      Internal polling of the National party still showing 47%? They should be worried……….

    • Tracey 21.3

      “Internal polling”. You mean Key still has 47% support in his caucus?

  22. Craig 22

    Either Joyce or Collins. And then watch the fireworks as the two of them clash over who gets to be alpha…

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    Labour | 24-08
  • National applies band-aid to housing crisis
    The Government’s flagship housing announcement is a band-aid approach that will push up prices rather than solve the housing crisis, says Labour Leader David Cunliffe. “House sales to first home buyers have collapsed as a direct result of the Government’s...
    Labour | 24-08
  • Climate change focus on the now for the future
    A Labour Governmentwill put in place a comprehensive climate change strategy focusing on bothmitigation and adaptation, establish an independent Climate Commission andimplement carbon budgeting, says Labour Climate Change spokesperson MoanaMackey."This is about future-proofing our economy. Making the transition to alow-carbon...
    Labour | 24-08
  • Labour’s 21st century transport pledge
    The next Labour-led Government will create a 21st century transport system for New Zealand that promotes the most efficient and sustainable combination of transport options, says Labour’s Transport spokesperson Phil Twyford. “Labour will rebalance the Government's transport spending away from...
    Labour | 23-08
  • Housing under National: the facts
    1.       House prices in Auckland Council valuations indicate Auckland house prices have gone up by one-third over the last three years. (Auckland Council) The average Auckland house price has gone up by nearly $225,000 since 2008, up over $75,000 in...
    Labour | 23-08
  • Labour irons out low income tax issue
    The increasing casualisation of work has led to many New Zealand families being disadvantaged through the tax they pay, Labour Leader David Cunliffe says. "Many low paid workers are having to work two or three jobs to make ends meet...
    Labour | 22-08
  • Cornered Government comes out swinging
    The National Government is so desperate to keep its dead-in-the-water expert teachers policy alive, it has refused to rule out forcing schools to participate through legislation, Labour’s Education spokesperson Chris Hipkins says. “John Key today attacked the Educational Institute for...
    Labour | 22-08
  • Pacific people continue to go backwards under National
    A report from Victoria University highlights the fact that Pacific people are continuing to go backwards under a National Government, said Labour’s Pacific Affairs spokesperson Su’a William Sio.  “The report shows the largest inequality increases were in smoking, obesity, tertiary...
    Labour | 22-08
  • Wellington transport plan needs to keep moving
    The failure of the Transport Agency to properly look at alternatives to the Basin Reserve flyover is not a good reason for further delays to improving transport in Wellington, Labour MPs Grant Robertson and Annette King say. “The Board of...
    Labour | 22-08
  • Labour’s focus on inequality, kids and better job prospects
    Tackling child poverty and removing barriers to people working part time to enhance their prospects of moving into a fulltime job are highlights of Labour’s Social Development policy. Releasing the policy today, spokesperson Sue Moroney said while part-time work was...
    Labour | 21-08
  • Political staff should give answers under oath
    The Inspector General of Security and Intelligence should use her full statutory powers to question witnesses under oath about the leak of SIS information, says Labour MP Phil Goff. “Leakage of confidential information from the SIS for political purposes is...
    Labour | 21-08
  • High dollar, hands-off Govt sends workers to dole queue
    The loss of up to 100 jobs at Croxley stationery in Auckland is devastating news for their families and the local Avondale community, Labour’s Employment, Skills and Training spokesperson Grant Robertson says. “The company’s inability to compete in international markets...
    Labour | 21-08
  • National’s flagship education policy dead in the water
    National’s plan to create executive principals and expert teachers is effectively dead in the water with news that 93 percent of primary teachers have no confidence in the scheme, Labour’s Education spokesperson Chris Hipkins says. “The fact that teachers are...
    Labour | 21-08
  • Dunedin will be a knowledge and innovation centre under Labour
    Dunedin will become a knowledge and innovation centre under a Labour Government that will back local businesses, support technology initiatives and fund dynamic regional projects, Labour Leader David Cunliffe says. “Nowhere has the National Government’s short-sightedness been more apparently than...
    Labour | 21-08
  • Inquiry into SIS disclosures the right decision
    Labour MP Phil Goff says the Inspector-General of Intelligence and Security has done the right thing by launching an inquiry into the disclosure of SIS documents about a meeting between himself and the agency’s former director-general. “This inquiry is necessary...
    Labour | 20-08
  • Labour – supporting and valuing carers and the cared for
    Placing real value on our elderly and the people who care for them will be a priority for a Labour Government, Labour Leader David Cunliffe says. Releasing Labour’s Senior Citizens policy today David Cunliffe promised that a Labour Government would...
    Labour | 20-08
  • By Hoki! It’s Labour’s fisheries policy
    A Labour Government will protect the iconic Kiwi tradition of fishing by improving access to the coast, protecting the rights of recreational fishers and reviewing snapper restrictions, Labour’s Fisheries spokesperson Damien O’Connor says. “Catching a fish from the rocks, beach...
    Labour | 20-08
  • Mighty River – Mighty Profits – Mighty hard to swallow
    Mighty River Power’s profit increase of 84 per cent is simply outrageous, says Labour’s Energy spokesperson David Shearer. “Demand for electricity is flat or declining yet the company has made enormous profits. It is the latest power company to celebrate...
    Labour | 19-08
  • Collins’ actions were wrong, not unwise
    John Key’s moral compass remains off-kilter as he cannot bring himself to declare Judith Collins’ actions outright wrong, not simply ‘unwise’, said Labour MP Grant Robertson. “Under pressure John Key is finally shifting his stance but his failure to condemn...
    Labour | 19-08
  • Public servants behaving with more integrity than their masters
    The State Services Commission's new report on the integrity of our state services reflects the yawning gap between the behaviour of public servants and that of their political masters, Labour's State Services spokesperson Maryan Street says. “This report, which surveyed...
    Labour | 19-08
  • Phil Twyford Speech to NZCID
    "Labour's plan to build more and build better: how new approaches to housing, transport and urban development will deliver cities that work" Phil Twyford, Labour Party spokesperson on housing, transport, Auckland issues, and cities.  ...
    Labour | 19-08
  • Labour commits to independent Foreign Affairs and Trade
    “Labour is committed to New Zealand’s Foreign Affairs and Trade policy being independent and proactive, Labour’s Foreign Affairs spokesperson David Shearer says. “We are a small but respected country. Our voice and actions count in international affairs. Labour will take a...
    Labour | 19-08
  • TheDailyBlog September Political Poll Has Been Kicked Off
    The Daily Blog’s August poll has concluded and the September poll has been kicked off, asking readers: What party will you likely vote for at this year’s General Election? You will see this month’s poll in the right-hand sidebar of...
    The Daily Blog | 01-09
  • GUEST BLOG: Kelly Ellis – Jamie Whyte, leave that poor seal alone!
    Worse than showing mere lip service to Rainbow inclusion, ACT leader Jamie Whyte showed stunning arrogance when appeared at a candidates debate on rainbow issues hosted by the Auckland University Students’ Association last Thursday. The stunning hypocrisy was evident as...
    The Daily Blog | 01-09
  • Right wing can’t help but use scum
    Some people have been shocked that the traditional right wing party in New Zealand politics is so deeply embedded with scum like the blogger Whale Oil. We need not be so surprised. It takes a certain type to support the...
    The Daily Blog | 01-09
  • EXCLUSIVE: National’s Ohariu candidate admits contact by Simon Lusk
    . . Wellington, NZ, 31  August – At a meet-the-candidates public meeting in the Rongotai Electorate, National’s Ohariu candidate, Brett Hudson, confirmed that he had been approached by “a mate”, who passed on a message from  National Party operative, Simon...
    The Daily Blog | 01-09
  • Coalition for Better Broadcasting – Auckland Broadcasting Debate 2014
    Coalition for Better Broadcasting – Auckland Broadcasting Debate 2014...
    The Daily Blog | 01-09
  • Petition for Governor General of New Zealand to Investigate all the allegat...
      Now we see the inquiry will be a whitewash, that is secret, won’t be consulted with the Opposition, will have limited scope and will ignore Nicky Hager’s book, we must demand the Governor General step in and demand an...
    The Daily Blog | 01-09
  • Ashburton, 1 September 2014
    I NEVER WENT BACK to Aramoana after the killing. I had been a frequent visitor to the tiny seaside village back in the late 1970s and throughout the 80s. Its tall cliffs and broad beaches providing a colourful backdrop to...
    The Daily Blog | 01-09
  • Checkmate in 1 move – how could Slater have known what was in OIA request...
    And now we get down to the final few moves before checkmate. If the following investigation is right, how could Slater and Collins have known what was in the Secret Intelligence Service Official Information Act request that hadn’t been released...
    The Daily Blog | 01-09
  • The Edge Posts Naked Photos Of Jennifer Lawrence Without Consent
    Today the Edge website – owned by Media Works – published fully naked photographs of Jennifer Lawrence without her consent. It is not OK to publish naked media of any woman without her consent, full stop. It is absolutely disgusting...
    The Daily Blog | 01-09
  • Bomber, Laila and Maggie – a highlight from Auckland Broadcasting Debate ...
    Bomber, Laila and Maggie – a highlight from Auckland Broadcasting Debate 2014...
    The Daily Blog | 01-09
  • Jeremy Wells’ Mike Hosking rant on Radio Hauraki: Today, how good was I i...
    Jeremy Wells’ Mike Hosking on Radio Hauraki...
    The Daily Blog | 31-08
  • Maggie Barry slags Laila Harre & blogger, audience erupt
    The Coalition for Better Broadcasting held their public meeting in Auckland last night and it became a fiery shouting match when Maggie Barry decided to slag Laila Harre and me off. 250 people packed into the Pioneer Hall off High...
    The Daily Blog | 31-08
  • It has to be a full independent public inquiry and Key MUST front
      You know things are bad when images like this start appearing in the media.  It isn’t a ‘left wing conspiracy’ to point out the over whelming evidence of what is clearly a right wing conspiracy! If it looks like a conspiracy, sounds like a conspiracy...
    The Daily Blog | 31-08
  • Political Party social media stats – National playing Dirty Politics on s...
    Interesting data from friend of the blog, Marty Stewart, on social media likes and it shows an interesting question that post Dirty Politics should probably get asked…   …it’s interesting that Key has so many personal followers.  One wonders if...
    The Daily Blog | 31-08
  • The depth of the National rot and the compliance of our news media
    I’m so tired. Aren’t you? I don’t want to read the news anymore. It’s awful and I feel ashamed of it. We live in a country that people all over the world would give an arm, a leg; their life...
    The Daily Blog | 31-08
  • Conservative Party candidate links smacking ban with suicide, sexually tran...
    If Chemtrails, faked moon landings and climate change denial weren’t enough, welcome to your new Minister for Spanking,  Edward Saafi... The anti-smacking law is to blame for youth suicide, youth prostitution and even sexually-transmitted infections, a leading Conservative party candidate...
    The Daily Blog | 31-08
  • A brief word on the canonisation of Matthew Hooton
    Before we all start the canonisation of Matthew Hooton, let’s consider some home truths here shall we? While the Wellington Ruminator Blog, the blog who was previously mates with Judith Collins, now seems to have a crush on Matthew Hooton… …I...
    The Daily Blog | 31-08
  • A brief word on undercover cops in bars
    Dunedin police booze operation labelled ‘creepy’ Undercover police officers drank in Dunedin bars as part of an operation targeting liquor licensing offences. While police said the inaugural operation was a success — with most bars found compliant — the Hospitality...
    The Daily Blog | 31-08
  • Judith Collins press conference
    Judith Collins press conference...
    The Daily Blog | 31-08
  • GUEST BLOG: Angry Lawyer – Collins, Odgers, Williams and legal ethics
    We deserve better lawyers than Judith Collins Three of the worst offenders exposed in Dirty Politics are lawyers: Judith Collins, Cathy Odgers, and Jordan Williams. What Nicky Hager exposed them doing would be out of line for anyone, but from...
    The Daily Blog | 31-08
  • GUEST BLOG: Pat O’Dea – Necessary Defence
    Increasingly climate change is becoming the main fracture line between political parties. Where political parties stand on climate change defines political parties and movements like no other issue. The Mana Movement like the Maori Party it sprang from, came out...
    The Daily Blog | 31-08
  • Why it is all over for John Key
    Image: Melanie D I’ve been confident that National will lose this election and that our focus should be on what a progressive Government needs to establish as its agenda in the first 100 days. Past that point, the establishment pushes back...
    The Daily Blog | 31-08
  • A brief word to everyone who voted National in 2011
    I received this interesting email from a National Party supporter today… …let me say this to anyone who voted National last election – you should be ashamed by what has been revealed and what your vote ended up enabling but...
    The Daily Blog | 31-08
  • EXCLUSIVE: Déjà Vu All Over Again: John Ansell confirms his participation...
      THE MAN BEHIND the Iwi-Kiwi billboards that very nearly won the 2005 election for Don Brash and the National Party has confirmed his involvement in businessman John Third’s and former Act MP Owen Jennings’ campaign to drive down the...
    The Daily Blog | 31-08
  • Public Broadcasting Auckland debate 6.30pm tonight now with Colin Craig &am...
    The Coalition for Better Broadcasting debate on public broadcasting happens tonight at 6.30pm in Auckland at the Pioneer Women’s Hall, High Street, Auckland City.  In the light of Dirty Politics and the manipulation of the media, public broadcasting is more important for...
    The Daily Blog | 30-08
  • Winners & Losers in Collins sacking plus what’s the latest on Slater...
      Make no mistake, there was no way this was a resignation, it’s a face saving way out for Collins, she was sacked.  My understanding is that National internal polls are haemorrhaging and that the powers that be within National...
    The Daily Blog | 30-08
  • Third party propaganda attacks incoming Labour-led government
    . . Further to a report by Daily Blogger, Chris Trotter, on receiving information regarding planned attack-billboards, the following billboard is highly visible to traffic on the southbound lane of the Wellington motorway, just prior to the Murphy St turn-off....
    The Daily Blog | 30-08
  • Labour wins the Internet
    I’m sure I’m not the only one who tried to vote online for the leaders debate and couldn’t because the website was down. The next option was the txt vote, 75c a pop of course. So I’m not surprised that...
    The Daily Blog | 30-08
  • GUEST BLOG: Anjum Rahman – Rotherham and the need to challenge willful bl...
    I haven’t been following the events in Rotterham too closely.  I’ve read about the basic issues and the culture of silence that stopped action been taken even after complaints were made.  That culture of silence is incredibly familiar, and described...
    The Daily Blog | 30-08
  • Review: Hairspray
      Oh Hairspray! What fun! Somehow I managed to miss the movie when it came out, I had no idea really what it was about though I felt it had a vague relation to High School Musical. In retrospect, that...
    The Daily Blog | 30-08
  • Mounting global pressure against Timor-Leste’s ‘death sentence’ media...
    East Timor’s José Belo … courageous fight against ‘unconstitutional’ media law.Image: © Ted McDonnell 2014 CAFÉ PACIFIC and the Pacific Media Centre Online posted challenges to the controversial ‘press law’ nine months ago when it emerged how dangerous this draft...
    The Daily Blog | 30-08
  • GUEST BLOG: Curwen Rolinson – Spies, Lies and When Campaigns Are Fried
    Like most of the rest of the nation’s political classes, I was eagerly affixed to TV One from 12:30 on Saturday afternoon to witness the downfall of Judith Collins.Whenever we witness the crumbling of a titan of the political landscape...
    The Daily Blog | 30-08
  • BREAKING: Whaleoil crushes Crusher
    Judith ends up shooting herself A new email has been released suggesting that Collins was attempting to undermine the head of Serious Fraud Office with the help of far right hate speech merchant Cameron Slater. Unbelievable!   She has been forced...
    The Daily Blog | 30-08
  • BREAKING: Rumours Judith Collins gone at lunchtime
    Brook Sabin first of the mark with rumours Judith Collins is about to resign – PM announcing a statement at 12.30pm… …Paddy follows… …Vance confirms..   …if Collins is gone by lunchtime, it will be because the PM understands the...
    The Daily Blog | 29-08
  • BREAKING: UPDATE on DIRT ALERT!
    Thanks to the information passed to Chris Trotter by “Idiot/Savant” from No Right Turn it is now possible to identify at least some of the persons involved in this latest example of attack politics. What follows is Chris’s response to Idiot/Savant’s timely assistance: Well done...
    The Daily Blog | 29-08
  • Comparing burning puppets, hip hop lyrics and drunk student chants to black...
    Watching the mainstream media try and obscure Cunliffe’s surprise win in the leaders debate  is a reminder the Press Gallery is in depressed shock. The current spin line from the Wellington bubble media in the wake of Dirty Politics is that...
    The Daily Blog | 29-08
  • Why has it all gone quiet on Charter Schools?
    They’re one of ACT’s flagship policies and the National Party have been gung ho in supporting them. So how come we’re not hearing Hekia Parata, Jamie Whyte, Catherine Isaac, et al singing from the rafters about what a resounding success charter...
    The Daily Blog | 29-08
  • Moment of Truth – September 15th – Auckland Town Hall
    Moment of Truth – September 15th – Auckland Town Hall...
    The Daily Blog | 29-08
  • EXCLUSIVE: Dirt Alert! Are the Greens and Labour about to become the target...
    WE’VE SEEN IT ALL BEFORE. In 2005 pamphlets began appearing all over New Zealand attacking Labour and the Greens. For a couple of days both the parties targeted and the news media were flummoxed. Who was behind such an obviously...
    The Daily Blog | 29-08
  • The Donghua Liu Affair: the Press Council’s decision
    . . 1. Prologue . The Donghua Liu Affair hit  the headlines on 18 June, with allegations that David Cunliffe wrote a letter in 2003,  on  behalf of  business migrant, Donghua Liu. Four days later, on Sunday 22 June, the...
    The Daily Blog | 29-08
  • The difference between Cunliffe & Key in the debate
    It was with much interest that I watched the leaders debate on Thursday night.  I watched with an open mind, always happy to have my opinion changed.  Maybe John Key is all the wonderful things that many say about him,...
    The Daily Blog | 29-08
  • GUEST BLOG: Denis Tegg – When Did We Agree To Our Data Being Shared with ...
    New shocking evidence has emerged from Edward Snowden’s trove of documents about a program called ICREACH under which data collected by the GCSB is shared with 23 US spy agencies. Under new sharing agreements which appear to have commenced immediately after...
    The Daily Blog | 28-08
  • Why Internet MANA are the best political friends the Greens could ever get
    Metiria at last nights #GreenRoomNZ: standing on the shoulders and camera cases of giants  NZers, regardless of political spectrum or apathy level, have a wonderful beach cricket egalitarianism about us. If we can objectively conclude a winner, then that person...
    The Daily Blog | 28-08
  • Sick of the Sleaze? Protest against National’s dirty politics THIS SATURD...
    Sick of the Sleaze? Protest now dammit! Three weeks before the election, action is being taken across the country voicing a rejection of the National Government’s track record and direction. Rallies are being held in Auckland, Wellington, Christchurch and Dunedin...
    The Daily Blog | 28-08
  • GUEST BLOG: Sir Edmund Thomas – Address at Nicky Hager public meeting
    I regard it as privilege to chair this public meeting. I have long had the greatest admiration for Nicky Hager’s work, and nothing I have read or heard in the media over the past week or so has caused me...
    The Daily Blog | 28-08
  • Labour and New Zealand Superannuation
    The kerfuffle in the wake of Nicky Hager’s Dirty Politics has had a detrimental impact on our discussion of economic policies. Signs are that the main beneficiaries of the dirty politics revelations will be Winston Peters and Colin Craig; certainly National suffered...
    The Daily Blog | 28-08
  • Coalition for Better Broadcasting – Mike Hosking and the Leader’s Debat...
    A few weeks ago I blogged that Mike Hosking was a terrible choice as moderator for the TV One Party Leader’s Debate, because he is so embarrassingly biased in favour of John Key. So I watched the show with curiosity,...
    The Daily Blog | 28-08
  • Democracy and Cancer: A critical analysis of Dirty Politics
    Twenty years ago, England’s renowned television playwright Denis Potter died of pancreatic cancer.  Readers may recall his two masterpieces ‘Pennies from Heaven’ and ‘The Singing Detective’.  During a final television interview with Melvyn Bragg, Potter declared that he had named...
    The Daily Blog | 28-08
  • Cunliffe beats Key in First Leaders debate
    I watched the First Leaders debate at the Green Party #GreenRoomNZ, they were very kind to include me and the atmosphere was great. The debate was a resounding victory to Cunliffe. He won Round 1, Round 2, Round 3 and...
    The Daily Blog | 28-08
  • LIVE STREAM: The Green Room Leader’s Debate from 6:30pm
    The Green Room will be hosted by media commentator Russel Brown, and will feature Green Co-leaders Metiria Turei and Russel Norman responding to the debate live, along with comment from thought leaders and commentators. ‘The Green Room’ 6pm – 8.30pm...
    The Daily Blog | 28-08
  • Ngai Te Rangi Change to Tribal Elections
    Ngai Te Rangi has begun a postal vote of beneficiaries to change the way representatives are elected to the two Ngai Te Rangi tribal organisations....
    Scoop politics | 01-09
  • Greens’ commitment to pay equity welcomed by workers
    The Public Service Association (PSA) says the 58,000 workers they represent will benefit from the announcement by the Green Party of a commitment to pay equity and to a living wage for core public servants and contractors....
    Scoop politics | 01-09
  • Real People Powering Real Policy
    New Zealanders from all walks of life have helped the Internet Party create a full platform of strong, progressive and realistic policies that will create a better future for everyone, says leader Laila Harré....
    Scoop politics | 01-09
  • University of Canterbury to help with forestry safety
    The University of Canterbury is to launch a new research project to make sure New Zealand’s new forestry roads are safe and are established with minimal environmental impact....
    Scoop politics | 01-09
  • Time to get serious about ending homelessness!
    New Zealand needs a comprehensive set of policies that address the housing and support needs of homeless people as well as significantly increasing the supply of affordable, good quality houses and flats....
    Scoop politics | 01-09
  • Hundreds to join domestic, sexual violence march
    Several social service providers from across New Zealand have come together to call for an end to the epidemic level of domestic and sexual violence in New Zealand....
    Scoop politics | 01-09
  • Students helped with debt repayments
    New Zealand students now living in Australia are being reminded not to ignore their student loan debt as Inland Revenue expands its latest tool to help with repayments....
    Scoop politics | 01-09
  • Launch of GenderNeutral.co.nz website
    GenderNeutral.co.nz are excited to announce the launch of their new website, GenderNeutral.co.nz ....
    Scoop politics | 01-09
  • Factory farming debaters to look chicken in the eye
    MPs participating in a panel discussion about factory farming will come face-to-face with a real live hen, rescued from the claws of the intensive farming industry. Hettie the Hen will demonstrate to the MPs what little space is afforded to...
    Scoop politics | 01-09
  • Leadership stands strong behind Internet MANA relationship
    “There is now, and always will be, a range of views about many issues within our movement and members are free to express them, but Georgina’s views on Kim Dotcom are not shared by the MANA Movement leadership or the...
    Scoop politics | 01-09
  • Personal Statement by Matthew Hooton
    Personal Statement by Matthew Hooton 1 September 2014 For Immediate Release “This morning I made comments on Radio New Zealand’s Nine to Noon programme about an attempt by staff in the Prime Minister’s Office to interfere in the appointment...
    Scoop politics | 01-09
  • The Worm turns down for John Key
    John Key struggled to coax The Worm above the line in Thursday’s Leaders Debate, according to Roy Morgan’s Reactor, the original Worm. John Key struggled to coax The Worm above the line in Thursday’s Leaders Debate, according to Roy Morgan’s...
    Scoop politics | 01-09
  • The Edge Posts Naked Photos Without Consent
    The Edge website, owned by Media Works have published fully naked photographs of Jennifer Lawrence without her consent....
    Scoop politics | 01-09
  • Statement from the Governor-General on Ashburton Shootings
    The Governor-General, Lt Gen The Rt Hon Sir Jerry Mateparae, has expressed his deep shock following the shooting of three people in Ashburton today....
    Scoop politics | 01-09
  • Update on IGIS inquiry into release of NZSIS information
    In recognition of the public interest, the Inspector-General of Intelligence and Security, Cheryl Gwyn, took the unusual step of providing an update during the course of an inquiry and confirmed today that she would be summoning a number of individuals...
    Scoop politics | 01-09
  • An Open Government Plan developed in secrecy
    The State Services Commission sent NZ’s Open Government Action Plan to the international Open Government Partnership (OGP) Secretariat on 31 July. The countries involved in the OGP since its inception - from the UK and US to Indonesia and Brazil...
    Scoop politics | 01-09
  • KiwiRail; another year older and deeper in debt
    That is a lot of money and there are lessons that need to be learnt before we pour in another $1 billion....
    Scoop politics | 01-09
  • Fonterra China Deal Demands Safe Supply Chain
    The future success of Fonterra’s deal to sell infant formula in China [1] requires all milk it uses be safe and for Fonterra to secure its supply chain from contamination by GE DNA and pesticide residues. There is now significant...
    Scoop politics | 01-09
  • HRC praises Auckland mum for speaking out
    Race Relations Commissioner Dame Susan Devoy has praised an Auckland mother of four who went public after humiliating treatment by staff at The Warehouse....
    Scoop politics | 01-09
  • Southern DHB refers disputed issue to Serious Fraud Office
    Following advice from forensic investigation firm Beattie Varley Limited, Southern District Health Board has referred the expenditure at the centre of its long running dispute with South Link Health to the Serious Fraud Office. The parties have been...
    Scoop politics | 01-09
  • The Letter 1 September 2014
    Last night’s TVNZ Colmar Brunton poll puts the left and right 60 MPs each. United and the Maori Party say they will go with the side that gets to 61 MPs. ACT just needs just 1.3% or 28 thousand Party...
    Scoop politics | 01-09
  • Shopping Giveaway Harmless Fun For Kids
    Family First NZ is rubbishing claims by critics including Gareth Morgan that the New World ‘Little Shop’ promotion is harmful for kids, and says that kids should be allowed to be kids. “Children love acting like their parents and pretending...
    Scoop politics | 01-09
  • Red Cross launches employment service for former refugees
    New Zealand Red Cross is encouraging employers to give refugees a fresh startwith the launch of Pathways to Employment, a nationwide work assistance service....
    Scoop politics | 01-09
  • EDS welcomes Labour’s Conservation Policy
    The Environmental Defence Society has welcomed Labour’s Conservation Policy including the key objective of halting the current pattern of indigenous biodiversity decline within ten years....
    Scoop politics | 01-09
  • Poverty is falling and income inequality is not rising
    “A Roy Morgan poll shows that the issue people are most concerned about is income inequality. This just goes to show how the persistent repetition of a lie bewilders the public. Income inequality is not in fact rising. And the...
    Scoop politics | 01-09
  • Rotary NZ responding to Fiji water and sanitation issues
    Clean water and sanitation are vital to health. In Fiji Rotary New Zealand have been targeting 22 communities that are experiencing severe hardship mainly because they don’t have access to clean water for their drinking, cleaning and cooking needs....
    Scoop politics | 01-09
  • Work & Income shooting a Tragedy
    Kay Brereton speaking on behalf of the National Beneficiary Advocacy Consultancy group says; “Two people shot and another wounded, this is a tragedy and our deepest sympathy goes out to the family and whanau of the victims, as well as...
    Scoop politics | 01-09
  • 1080 Poison Deer Repellent not Effective – Farmers
    Four deer have been found dead within a farmer's bush block, after an aerial 1080 poison drop applied with deer repellent. The drop was part of a 30,000 hectare drop across the Northern Pureora Forest Park....
    Scoop politics | 01-09
  • Employment Charter will strengthen migrants’ rights
    Establishing an Employment Charter for construction companies is a critical step to strengthening the rights of migrant workers that are fast becoming the face of the Christchurch rebuild, according to an alliance of union groups. The charter has...
    Scoop politics | 01-09
  • Global March For Elephants and Rhino
    It’s a trans-national business that funds terrorist organisations, fuels conflict in Africa, and poses environmental, development and security challenges. The illegal wildlife trade is also a lucrative business, generating an estimated USD$20 billion...
    Scoop politics | 01-09
  • New series of videos aimed at disengaged youth
    From the people who brought you 'NZ Idle' (NZ's favourite web series about an artist on the dole) comes a new series about election time: Choice Lolz....
    Scoop politics | 01-09
  • Picket Of Leaders Christchurch Debate
    KEEP OUR ASSETS PICKET OF LEADERS CHRISTCHURCH DEBATE TUESDAY SEPTEMBER 2nd, 6 p.m. ST MARGARETS COLLEGE, SHREWSBURY STREET, MERIVALE...
    Scoop politics | 01-09
  • Vega Auriga should be detained in NZ until problems fixed
    Maritime Union of New Zealand National Secretary Joe Fleetwood says that the ship Vega Auriga should be detained in a New Zealand port until it is deemed seaworthy and crew issues have been fixed....
    Scoop politics | 01-09
  • Minor Parties Added to Election ‘Bribe-O-Meter’
    The Taxpayers’ Union have added the Green, ACT, United Future and Conservative Parties to the ‘ Bribe-O-Meter ’ hosted at taxpayers.org.nz . Excluding ACT and New Zealand First, the total election ‘bribes’ - that is new spending not already...
    Scoop politics | 31-08
  • Fiery Broadcasting Debate in Auckland
    Over 250 people turned out for the Auckland Broadcasting and Media Debate in Auckland City last night to hear politicians give their solutions to NZ’s media and broadcasting woes....
    Scoop politics | 31-08
  • Independent Epsom Candidate: Adam Holland
    Today I am very proud to have been nominated to run as an independent candidate by the people of Epsom in order to work hard for the people of Epsom, Mount Eden, Newmarket and Remuera....
    Scoop politics | 31-08
  • Voters favour parties with factory farming policies
    A Horizon Research poll shows that 64.7% of adults are more likely to vote for a political party with a policy against factory farming....
    Scoop politics | 31-08
  • Collins And Dirty Politics Drive The #nzpol Wordcloud
    After Judith Collins' resignation as Minister from Cabinet on Saturday, the data insight organisation Qrious collected all tweets that used the hashtag #nzpol and for approximately the 24 hours since the announcement to produced this wordcloud....
    Scoop politics | 31-08
  • Bill English: allegations against Judith Collins are serious
    Deputy Prime Minister Bill English told TV1’s Q+A programme that the allegations against Judith Collins are serious and that’s why an inquiry is needed....
    Scoop politics | 31-08
  • Culture Change Required
    "There are serious issues raised in an Employment Relations Authority judgement released this week. The culture within the Whangarei District Council (WDC) organisation must change. The culture of any organisation is defined by its leadership starting...
    Scoop politics | 31-08
  • Reducing Reoffending Statistic Challenged
    In Rethinking’s latest blog, http://blog.rethinking.org.nz/2014/08/th-bps-reducing-crime-and-reoffending.html it closely examines the current claim that reoffending in New Zealand has reduced by 12.5% since June 2011, and reveals how that figure has been achieved. It argues...
    Scoop politics | 31-08
  • University economics team studying workers’ comparing wages
    A University of Canterbury economics research team is looking at fairness of the job assignments and whether workers are sensitive to the wages of their co-workers....
    Scoop politics | 31-08
  • Statement by State Services Commissioner
    30 August 2014 "The State Services Commission was contacted by the Prime Minister's Office over the last 24 hours on this issue." “Any activity that undermines, or has the potential to undermine, the trust and confidence in the public service...
    Scoop politics | 31-08
  • Christchurch Council Circus … Continued
    In 2010 the UK Daily Mail investigated the antics of a major bureaucratically bloated London Local Authority and reported with THE GREAT INERTIA SECTOR ....
    Scoop politics | 30-08
  • The Nation Housing Debate
    Patrick It's the great Kiwi dream, but is owning the roof over your head now just a pipe dream for many Kiwis? Homeownership is at the lowest level in half a century. National's answer is to double subsidies to first-home...
    Scoop politics | 30-08
  • Time to Shine Light on Shadowy Spies
    Internet MANA has promised to set up a Royal Commission of Inquiry into New Zealand’s intelligence agencies, with a view to transferring oversight of spying operations to a new, independent authority....
    Scoop politics | 30-08
  • New Zealand’s biggest problems are Economic Issues
    New Zealand’s biggest problems are Economic Issues (41%) while the World’s most important problems are War & Terrorism (35%) just three weeks before NZ Election...
    Scoop politics | 29-08
  • NZ 2014 Leaders Index – week ending 29 August
    Below is iSentia’s first weekly Leaders’ Index, showing the relative amount of coverage of nine Party Leaders in the lead up to the National Election across news media and social media. We will produce these reports for the next three...
    Scoop politics | 29-08
  • Judgment in Paki v Attorney General
    Tamaiti Cairns said that today’s Supreme Court decision is complicated, but, in essence opens the door for Maori people to go forward with their essential claims to water. Further work is required and Pouakani Trust will continue to pursue its...
    Scoop politics | 29-08
  • Supreme Court Decision on Maori Water Rights
    “ … the Supreme Court refused to give Pouakani people what they asked for, but may have given them something much, much better instead. The Appellants had argued that the Crown’s ownership of the River was as a fiduciary for...
    Scoop politics | 29-08
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