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Will DunnoKeyo Lead National into Next Year’s Defeat?

Written By: - Date published: 4:02 pm, October 1st, 2013 - 80 comments
Categories: brand key, john key, Judith Collins, national, same old national, Steven Joyce - Tags:

National are going to lose the next election. That presents a significant problem for Team Blue’s office holders and caucus. Do they hope against hope that John Key can pull off an Oracle style upset, or at least, like Rudd, keep the damage to a minimum? Or do they act now and replace their biggest asset in the hope that NZ will let them regroup for a return in 2017?

Admittedly, I know less about the inner workings of the National Party than John Key does about the NZLP. But what I do know is that there will not be a democratic process. The decision will be made by a couple of faceless suits and a few senior MP’s, just as it was with the knifings of Jim Bolger and Rodney Hide. Key has at least survived his extended overseas holiday with the Queen without a coup taking place, so he’ll be happy about that. He’ll be much less happy about the current polling, which suggests he is going to leave the post as a loser, one way or the other.

There are 3 contenders for the leadership. Key might stay on, but frankly, what’s in it for him? Then there’s Piggy Muldoon lookalike Steven Joyce, who is competent, efficient and deadly dull. He appeals to the dry right in caucus, safe pair of hands, understands the urgent need for Government to subsidise business etc. Then there’s Judith Collins, whose every utterance apparently acts as Viagra to Tory fanbois these days. However, her major difficulty is actually those charmless blurtings, which seem to be a form of political Tourette’s.

If Key resigns or is rolled this year, then National are also faced with an electoral problem. If they do what Gillard did after Rudd was deposed and call an early election, it risks being hamstrung by the Asset Theft referendum, which presumably would be done at the same time. And they have no answer on the question of housing, which is a crucial point for the middle ground that decides elections.

But if they wait till next year to dump DunnoKeyo, they risk being so far down in the polls that they again face the Bill English scenario, where their voters accept that the election is lost, and tactically vote NZ First so Labour can potentially form a coalition with Winston rather than the Greens.

Knife-in-backAs I like a punt, I’d rate Key’s chances of leading the Nats into the next election as 40/60 at best. If he stays, he’ll lose, but like Helen Clark, he can look forward to sustained public popularity in the retirement years. Though, unlike Clark, he won’t want to do any actual work. A few months on the beach, a couple of media appearances at AB’s games and a few untaxing board postings should see him through the twilight years.

Collins may be the best bet to replace him for name recognition reasons alone and there is a small chance she could make a decent fist of it against the odds and at least keep most of the current MP’s in a job. Though it’s lovely to see Chris Tremain see the writing on the walls of his numerous rental properties. We’re bringing in the CGT just for you Chris. Enjoy!

Joyce really hasn’t got a hope, unless it’s as a caretaker until Bennett or Bridges are deemed to be ready for office.

Of course, I may have forgotten a contender or two. Readers might care to put up their own likely lads if I’ve missed any of the potential captains of Team Blue. But whoever eventually gets appointed to lead National, three things are certain. Key’s a goneburger, National’s toast and the Hollow Men are bringing nothing to the table.

Te Reo Putake

80 comments on “Will DunnoKeyo Lead National into Next Year’s Defeat?”

  1. Puckish Rogue 1

    “Then there’s Judith Collins, whose every utterance apparently acts as Viagra to Tory fanbois these days”

    - Shes marvellous

    “Though, unlike Clark, he won’t want to do any actual work.”

    - Why should he?

    “But whoever eventually gets appointed to lead National, three things are certain. Key’s a goneburger, National’s toast and the Hollow Men are bringing nothing to the table.”

    - Right…its one thing to gee up the troops, bolster confidence and all that but theres a wee way to go before the election

    But well done for giving it go

    • Sable 1.1

      Colin’s is worse than Keys. An utter hatred of the common man and an abject lack of respect for basic human rights. A fat, smug, sneering bundle of self importance wrapped up in a twin set with pearls. NZ’s answer to Eva Peron…

    • lprent 1.2

      “Then there’s Judith Collins, whose every utterance apparently acts as Viagra to Tory fanbois these days”

      - Shes marvellous

      I think TRP just had his point made for him… Must be the whole stretched skin, unmoving face, botox look and generally toxic view on life that gets them aroused. I bet he likes zombies as well.

      • Anne 1.2.1

        I think TRP just had his point made for him…

        Got in before me.

        Joyce really hasn’t got a hope, unless it’s as a caretaker until Bennett or Bridges are deemed to be ready for office.

        God forbid… you’re kidding. God defend NZ!

        Love your style TRP. More posts please.

        • Te Reo Putake 1.2.1.1

          Cheers, Anne, will try, time permitting. As for Bennett and Bridges, I do think they are the best the Nats can do. Despite having a large caucus, the talent pool is mighty shallow. Hold your nose and have a look: http://www.national.org.nz/MPList.aspx

          My best guess is that, post Key, they will go for a caretaker and see if any of the class of ’08 make an impression in the medium term. In a way, losing Simon Power is as much a problem for the Nats as losing Steve Maharey was for Labour; the obvious successor is gone and the alternatives can’t muster a majority in caucus. That’s no longer a problem for Labour, with the democratisation of the process, but the Nats are too corporatist to go down that route. So no easy answers because they are left with pretenders not contenders.

  2. Tamati 2

    I admire your confidence, but to say “National is going to lose the election” is more than just counting chickens. Key will live and die by the 2014 election, whatever happends it will be the last election he contests. He still has pretty decent personal popularity (>50%) so I can’t see that Nats knifing him. If, however, it was shown he knew about Kim Dotcom then he’ll have to go.

    • mac1 2.1

      Tamati, inspired by your last four words.

      “Put your sweet lips a little closer to the phone
      Let’s pretend GCSB thinks we’re all alone
      I’ll tell the Man that the fanmail box is way down low
      And you can tell your friend there with you, Key’ll have to go.”

    • Tangled_up 2.2

      +1000

      Would be good if it does happen; but a few good poll results doesn’t mean that National have lost the election. And Key is the only thing keeping National in the game. People prefer Labour’s policies .

    • Mickey 2.3

      Agreed Tamati, I can’t believe the number of lefties who think Key is a gonna. They make the same mistake as the past 3 labour leaders, they under estimate him.
      He is rat cunning with deep pockets. While he is surely concerned about the recent polls,
      you can bet the whole caucus is planning their election offensive like a military operation.
      As for his leadership, he is 100% safe at least until after the election.
      The left seem drunk on a few poll results and a new leader. Question is will they wake up with a hangover.

      [lprent: Please try to keep to a single handle and email. Then moderators won't have to spend time releasing you from auto-moderation. ]

  3. Sable 3

    Good article but what has Helen Clarke done that’s so wonderful, aside from drawing a $300K plus TAX FREE salary from the UN? Frankly both Clarke and Keys have been poison to this country and have shown there is an urgent need for political reform that goes well beyond MMP.

    • Tamati 3.1

      I follow New Zealand politics quite closely but I don’t seem to remember any important politicians with the surnames Clarke or Keys. Can you help me out?

      • McFlock 3.1.1

        Besides that, I very much doubt key will do anything to garner the attention of forbes after he’s done in our little backwater.

    • Colonial Viper 3.2

      aside from drawing a $300K plus TAX FREE salary from the UN?

      Please let us know where you got that “information” from.

      • chris73 3.2.1

        Yeah, I’d have thought shes on over 300K for doing sweet FA (still a good gig though)

        • Colonial Viper 3.2.1.1

          Trust you to consider helping 500M of the world’s poorest and most distressed people as “doing sweet FA”; it says more about you than it says about Helen Clark.

          • Kevin Welsh 3.2.1.1.1

            CV, the money is only justified if its a RWNJ in charge. Lefties are meant to work pro-bono and wear sack-cloth and ashes.

      • Lanthanide 3.2.2

        UN employees don’t pay US income tax, and hence don’t pay any tax at all.

      • Sable 3.2.3

        That would be telling Viper but I have been told its on the money. Even I was shocked….

      • Colonial Viper 3.2.4

        I think you guys all have to learn a little bit about what you are talking about first of all.

        In essence, the gross pay of all UN staff is reduced by an internal tax, the “staff assessment”, which then results in the net pay for the employee.

        http://www.un.org/Depts/oppba/accounts/tax/faqs/faq02.htm

  4. Clement Pinto 4

    Key is gone burger and National is doomed to be in the opposition after the next election.

    GCSB LOUSY LAW, THE ASSET SALES STUPIDITY and THE HOUSING HORROR have cooked National, ACT’ and UF’s goose. The rising popularity of Mr Cunliffe and the Labour party is testament to that.

    The knives will be sharpening and the balaclavas will get worn. Now it will be survival of the quickest. Can’t wait to see who that is! Could it be Shanks or Melissa?

  5. vto 5

    There is no way it will happen until after the election

    Betcha two shiny skycity chips

  6. Colonial Viper 6

    Of course, I may have forgotten a contender or two. Readers might care to put up their own likely lads if I’ve missed any of the potential captains of Team Blue.

    Collins, Joyce and English top the named candidates on iPredict.

    Bennett as a 1c outsider. English on a whole 11c, believe it or not.

    • vto 6.1

      English would be a good holding captain. While none of the real contenders are willing to step up he could simply provide a steady hand on the helm while they sort their shit out. Then he could stand aside for their own form of primary and voila – headlines, smooth transition, kudos all around.

      • Colonial Viper 6.1.1

        Yes. Tories are great with their corporate succession planning. Interim CEO, if you will. And, whoever takes the crown, will need the support of English’s block of votes. So I think he is likely to go back to being deputy after the permanent leader is installed.

        • Pete 6.1.1.1

          I think English has been rehabilitated from his last stint as leader. He might win the leadership should Key chose to resign, Lange-Palmer style. But if he launches a coup from being deputy PM, it would be seen as a particularly severe act of betrayal by many in National’s core constituency and I’m sure a lot will stay home on Election Day. If it turns into a fairly open race, I think Tony Ryall could be one to watch. Health hasn’t been a major concern in this term so he’s certainly got a measure of political nous.

  7. Tamati 7

    More importantly, what colour drapes should David Cunliffe hang on the ninth floor of the Beehive?

    Perhaps a nice blood red will do nicely.

  8. Richard29 8

    Sorry, I just don’t see Key standing down or getting knifed before the next election. In personal popularity and name recognition he is head and shoulders above the other possible contenders. Critically, given that its the party vote that matters, his personal popularity is higher than that of the National party (he is dragging the blue team up not dragging them down) without him and his folksy everyman charm (which is admittedly losing it’s shine after 5 years), the Nats are dog tucker…
    There are four scenarios where the Nats stay in power:
    1) National holds but does not increase it’s vote (very possible) but voter turnout drops. This is what happened last time, it is less likely this time both because some former Nats supporters will be tiring after 6 years and also because the opposition under Cunliffe is more motivated and looks more like a government in waiting. The next election is a competitive race – competitive races have better turnout.
    2) National increases it’s vote percentage but not at the expense of it’s potential coalition partners. This is extremely unlikely, the Nats already increased their vote percentage ever so marginally at the last election at the expense of wiping out their coalition partners (total right support dropped). If people have not been convinced by National for the last 6 years they aren’t about to suddenly start in 2014.
    3) National’s coalition partners increasing but not at the expense of National. Most scenarios here are unlikely (Green and Labour voters aren’t suddenly going to vote for Act or United Future). The two ways that this could happen is the successful launch of a centrist socially and economically liberal party similar to the German Free Democrats that polls well above 5% and takes votes equally from Labour and the Nats. This would require a load of money and some well known faces to lead it – there is no sign of this happening before the next election. The other possibility is that Colin Craig sweeps the social conservative vote away from Winston. This is highly unlikely under normal circumstances (Winston is a loveable rogue and Colin is a Christian fundamentalist with no personality) but could happen with a strong wedge issue and lots of media coverage. The tactical withdrawal of the euthanasia bill this week was Labour immunising themselves against this possibility.
    4) The final option is a rerun of 1996. Winston leads everybody to believe he will support the Labour led government in waiting but then after the election decides that he’s not interested in playing third fiddle behind the Greens and alongside Mana and would prefer to be Deputy PM in a National led government. This is probably the most likely option – in fact I would argue that it’s almost impossible for National to form a government in 2014 without Winston. Key has notably not precluded the possiblity of working with Winston as he’s done previously. This scenario poses a challenge to Labour, the best way of dealing with it is trying to force Winston and Key to say the will not work together, when they refuse to do this start using the term “National/NZ First Coalition” about 100 times a day during the campaign causing both NZ First supporters to defect to Labour to keep National out and National voters to defect to Labour to keep NZ First out.

    In short, there are possibilities for Key to win next year, but the safe money is on Labour. The challenge for Labour is winning with a strong enough majority that they can govern alone with the Greens. Once you start having to pull together a 3-5 party coalition including the Greens and NZ First things would get very messy very quickly.

    • Lanthanide 8.1

      “Sorry, I just don’t see Key standing down or getting knifed before the next election. ”

      It depends entirely on what they’re polling, I think. If they consistently polled around 30%, he’d be goneburger I’m sure. Even consistent polling in 35-37% would probably kill him. I’m assuming in this scenario that their vote will have deserted them to the left, rather than to the conservatives/NZ1st/coalition partners.

      Given the leaked poll of 50% GL vs 39% Nats, it seems likely that the Nats aren’t going to be in a position to cobble together a coalition.

      • Colonial Viper 8.1.1

        A consistent 39% in the polls will end Key’s political career no doubt. That translates into 9-10 National MPs goneburger, and their caucus is not going to sit back and just let that happen.

        The only thing which will keep the wolves at bay at that point is if Key convinces everyone that the loss will be much worse without him.

        • Richard29 8.1.1.1

          “The only thing which will keep the wolves at bay at that point is if Key convinces everyone that the loss will be much worse without him.”

          And that is demonstrably the case. Key’s latest approval has dropped into the mid 50′s – if the party drops below the 40′s that’s all the more reason to keep him on and minimise the scale of the defeat. He is the Kevin Rudd candidate – more popular than his party and their best shot at another term.

          Personally I would be extremely surprised to see the Nats poll below 40% in 2014. They might be polling low now – but the triumphalism about the inevitable turning of the tide is premature. A big part of the drop now will be a strategic choice by the Nats to ride out the unpopularity in 2013 so they can start fresh in election year 2014. This is why they are selling Meridian in a single tranche with deferred payment (rather than 2 tranches stretching it into next year). They set an early date for the asset sales referendum and then I would expect that late 2013 or early 2014 that they will announce that after Genesis they will be conducting no more asset sales. This will neutralise the issue leading into 2014 and is just a pragmatic recognition that they Wonston won’t support asset sales and they can’t govern without him in 2014 so why should they take the political hit of announcing further sales they will be unable to execute.

          • Colonial Viper 8.1.1.1.1

            Yes agree I too think that National strategists view a Blue/Winston coalition as their main chance next year.

            Time to start up the National/NZ First coalition meme.

            • Richard29 8.1.1.1.1.1

              That meme will be very powerful – the number of voters who despise Winston vastly outnumber the ones who love him.

              Key proved in 2008 and again in 2011 that there are at least as many votes to be won by committing not to work with Winston as you get by working with him.

              Cunliffe’s challenge is that if Labour and the Greens end up polling at 49% he may not have any choice but to do a deal with Winston – so how does he get the message out there that Key will work with Winston and this is a terrible thing without looking like a hypocrite.

              One potentially risky option would be that Cunliffe says he will not have Winston in his cabinet or a ministerial post (because he could do without the drama) but if he needs the numbers he might be willing to advance specific NZ First policies in exchange for confidence and supply (or abstention on C&S to deliver a Red/Green majority). This should be acceptable to most voters – the antipathy to NZ First is mostly about the personality not policy – moderate voters would be quite accepting of Labour implementing NZ First policies to support the elderly and a more interventionist trade policy.

              Winston has a lot more to lose from National than Labour (he’ll suffer a backlash in his support base and his position will be less sustainable because he’d be propping up an unpopular third term government) as such, if he is kingmaker, he’s not going to go into coalition with Key for anything less than Deputy PM. Key knows this and will be unable to match the pledge to exclude Winston from ‘the baubles of office’…

              • lprent

                Cunliffe’s challenge is that if Labour and the Greens end up polling at 49% he may not have any choice but to do a deal with Winston

                In that case I suspect that they’d do a deal with Mana. :)

                The reality is that each party does its electioneering and talk of post-election deals are rather meaningless prior to the election. Because at the end of the day a government gets formed out of whatever *seats* each party has in government. The public will determine that and the MP’s will have to figure out how to form a government from what they are given.

                Grandstanding prior to the election and saying that you will or will not work with a party and/or politician is irrelevant… It will eventually stop when some dickhead politician does that and effectively forces a new election. Their party will be decimated by an irate public being forced to vote because of a fool, and we won’t hear that meme again.

                Key proved in 2008 and again in 2011 that there are at least as many votes to be won by committing not to work with Winston as you get by working with him.

                I’d seriously question that. In case you hadn’t noticed, in 2011 National only just scraped over the line to form a government with a minimal majority. NZFirst nearly doubled their vote. In large part I suspect (from conversations with NZF voters in 2011) that John Key’s ringing rejection of the possibility of working with Winston merely encouraged people to vote for NZFirst so they could make him eat his words.

                The constituency that NZFirst represents aren’t exactly enamoured with dickhead politicians posturing like fools. Winston has made a political career out of exploiting the alienation that a large segment of the voting public has with foolish politicians from the mainstream parties.

                • Tracey

                  Under MMP coaltions are inevitable (as has been shown in NZ). Accordingly the electorate has a right to know who their preferred party will climb into bed with prior to an election. I would be mortified if Dunne was given a seat in cabinet in a Labour/Green or Labour Govt in return for confidence and supply.

                  Be up front about the possibilities ahead of time.

          • Te Reo Putake 8.1.1.1.2

            I like your logic about the timing of sales, Richard. If they do announce an end to the program, I think you are correct that it opens up room for a deal with Winston, who, as history shows, cannot be trusted. I also suspect you are right about the polling; even if my speculation about some Nat voters turning to NZF to give Labour a conservative option for coalition is correct I don’t think that will drop National too far into the 30′s. However, it would probably leave the right a seat or three shy of forming a Government themselves, particularly if some of the vote switching is wasted on Colin’s Craig lot.

            • Chooky 8.1.1.1.2.1

              imo….as Winston is getting older …and the Greens are more established as a party ….. they are not in competition any more

              …….If necessary Winston could be happy with a Labour coalition govt with the Greens…and not interfere …as long as he gets Minister of Foreign Affairs , which he excelled at in Helen Clark’s govt…..( he would only be replacing Shearer after-all)

              While many call him a conservative and untrustworthy , Winston has often been more aligned with the Left than the Right on issues ….eg GCSB bill, sale of State Assets, foreign ownership of land and housing….and dont forget he brought down National once before on sale of state assets

              However Winston’s party may not even make it into parliament….many will now be happy to vote Labour with Cunliffe as leader….and many also will not see the need to vote strategically for NZFirst in order to help the Left block back into power

              Whatever the case, I think it is premature to prejudge the outcome and force and alienate Winnie into the toxic and doomed embrace of Nact….which he has clearly so often shown he despises.

  9. outofbed 9

    start using the term “National/NZ First Coalition” about 100 times a day during the campaign causing both NZ First supporters to defect to Labour to keep National out and National voters to defect to Labour to keep NZ First

    Brilliant just brilliant

  10. bad12 10

    Obviously with Slippery having just been off to dear old England to behave in front of Her Maj ‘like a Galloping Colonial Clod’ and then racing over to the UN in New York to again stuff His foot deeply in His mouth earning Him the title from the normally starstruck Clare Trevett of ‘the Antipodean Mouse that roared’ the PM isn’t having a great month,

    With Labour’s, and rumor has it, Nationals own internal polling more or less matching the previous published public poll it was the perfect opportunity for Judith Collins to mount the bloody palace coup,

    That She didn’t shows that She hasn’t as yet got the numbers to roll Slippery which also shows that the National back bench hasn’t as yet been totally spooked by the numbers,

    Should National drop to 39% in the upcoming polls and stay there into early next year ‘thing’s in the National Party Caucus are likely to become quite tense as the backbench begin to realize which of them will be culled in the November 2014 rout,

    Slippery might want to, after February 2014 stick strictly to staying home as either Collins or my pick for the ‘dark horse’ of the rat-pack Maurice Williamson might just be able to gather the numbers to roll a Prime Minister who to all extents and purposes looks and behaves like a spent force…

    • srylands 10.1

      “That She didn’t shows that She hasn’t as yet got the numbers ”

      Now you are extending your bizarre capitalisation to female pronouns. What the fuck?

      • srylands 10.1.1

        Are you German?

        • bad12 10.1.1.1

          No SSlands i am not, the word German tho, when broken into it’s syllables, is a perfect explanation of your personal position among humanity,

          A man you are obviously not, most here tho would associate you with the word Germ,

          Stop Trolling and address the Post…

        • the pigman 10.1.1.2

          Because being German would certainly invalidate all of what bad says, right? Oh srylands, are you Monagesque, Caymanian or a Luxembourger?

    • Anne 10.2

      …which also shows that the National back bench hasn’t as yet been totally spooked by the numbers,…

      Of course not. Given the average IQ of your typical National back-bencher, I’d say it will be another couple of months before it dawns on them what the figures represent. I mean, their political superiors are not likely to tell them so they’ve got to work it out for themselves.

      • chris73 10.2.1

        I’m sorry but are you calling into question Nationals back benches IQ? Maybe we should discuss how long it took Cunliffe to get the leadership of Labour..?

  11. hellonearthis 11

    John Banks could swoop in, now that Act is dead and take the National leadership.

    Too soon for Simon Power to come back?

  12. Tamati, if it could be proven the PM lied to Serious Fraud Office in 1991, then lied to voters about it, aided by, if not complicit, at the very least incompetent fourth estate in lead up to 2008 election, would Key have to stand down then?

    • Clement Pinto 12.1

      What lie? and how can it be proved?

      • Clement certainly. Key said to SFO investigators in 1991 his resignation date from Elders Merchant Finance was 24 June 1988. He said he could remember a lunch from 1988 that was of interest to the SFO because it was his farewell lunch. He was leaving Elders to go to Bankers Trust in Auckland. However Key told media in 2007/2008 that he had worked with Andrew Krieger while they were both at Bankers Trust, Key in Auckland and Krieger in New York. Key himself said he recalls receiving a phone call from Krieger when he started with Bankers Trust where Krieger asked about New Zealand’s monetary supply. Gavin Walker, now Chair of the New Zealand Superannuation Fund, and ex CEO of Bankers Trust in New Zealand, said Key was responsible for all the trades Krieger and other traders at the New York branch were putting across the Auckland branch’s trading desk. One small issue. Krieger resigned from Bankers Trust in February 1988. So did Key work with Krieger and lie to the SFO or did Key not work with Krieger but lied to New Zealand when he and Walker discussed at length with media Key’s working relationship with Krieger, calling it ‘lucrative’. To believe the latter you’d have to believe Gavin Walker was complicit in the Krieger angle. PoliticallyCorrected < — with links to articles, interviews, news reports, etc, to support my claims.

      • Clement certainly – except the entire post I just posted was marked as spam when I tried editing the two links with the post grr (hopefully the admins might find it).

        Anyway .. http://politicallycorrected.webs.com <—- links, audio, interviews, media reports, etc backing up my claims John Key lied to the Serious Fraud Office in May 1991, then lied to media in 2008 when that statement was brought into question. The lie is the resignation date – 24 June 1988.

        Gavin Walker, was the CEO of Bankers Trust in New Zealand and is now Chair of the New Zealand Superannuation Fund. For Key's statement to the SFO to be 'true', Gavin Walker would have had to have lied to media in bios on Key in the lead up the 2008 election where the two of them discuss at length Key's working relationship with currency raider, Andrew Krieger.

        Reality is Krieger resigned from Bankers Trust in February 1988, retiring from the currency markets for some two years altogether in June of the same year – respectively some six months, and two months prior to the date given in Key's statement.

        Key told media he recalled getting a call from Krieger when he (Key) started with Bankers Trust and Walker stated how Key was responsible for all the trades Krieger and others at the New York branch were putting across Key's branch of Bankers Trust in Auckland, soon making the Auckland branch the no. 1 dealing room in the country.

        [lprent: I scan the residual spam several times a day. ]

        • Clement Pinto 12.1.2.1

          Ok, thanks for your detailed reply. May be you should ask SFO to investigate/clarify or ask opposition MPs to ask some questions in parliament. Have you done that and if yes, what was the outcome?

  13. Lanthanide 13

    “it risks being hamstrung by the Asset Theft referendum, which presumably would be done at the same time”

    Hasn’t that already been scheduled for some time in December? So unless you’re suggesting a *very* early election, this shouldn’t be an issue for the nats.

  14. BrucetheMoose 14

    Though the chances of it eventuating are as remote as a bag of lollies surviving more than five minutes in a school yard, but I am sure his Lordship and Supreme Ruler of Canterbury, Gerry Brownlee, has his eye on the potential job of top dog. He must entertain the notion, already being the king of his own domain. But surely the Natzis wouldn’t be that stupid. You can only hope.

  15. coge 15

    Not bloody likely, in my opinion.

  16. kenny 16

    My pick for leader would be Amy Adams – a very capable person from what I have seen in parliament and a very good, clear speaker who doesn’t panic and is full of self-confidence.

    • fender 16.1

      Yes, yes I’ve seen her in action too, and it appears Amy has the necessary nastiness required to lead the National Nasty Party, maybe not as nasty as Judith, but plenty of potential nevertheless.

  17. Blue 17

    It’s going to be seriously fun to watch how this all plays out. Key is the only asset National has, and once he either leaves or is knifed, the Nats really have no one to replace him.

    Joyce is more of a right-hand man than a leader, Collins appeals to (some)(strange) men with the ballbuster thing but women can’t stand her. The very idea of Bennett being PM is laughable.

    English would probably be the only credible contender, if you could forget what a huge mess he made of it last time (and most probably can’t).

    • chris73 17.1

      Judith Collins is marvelous but I’d advise her to let someone else be the leader and then when they lose the next election (if Labour win the next election they’ll get two terms) JC (has a ring to it) can lead National to victory once the NZ public realize just how bad the Greens policies are

      • Colonial Viper 17.1.1

        (if Labour win the next election they’ll get two terms)

        LOL, four is the most likely.

    • risildowgtn 17.2

      Agreed esp with the top line

      Key IS the National Partay….. and they know it…

      hence their fanboi Hooten doin hootenanny shrieks wah wah the world is ending

      cos for them it is.

  18. tricldrown 18

    Just a week or 2 ago the right wing fundamentalists were all bravado no they are on the back foot they are lost for words .
    But never underestimate the right!
    With a growing economy and short memories the voters might just stick with ponceKey!

  19. Rumour Willis 19

    Key will never, ever be rolled. He’s all they have. It’s far more likely that if the polling isn’t great, he’ll petulantly throw in the towel and say he’s “done all I wanted to do SLUUUURP” and leave a “winner” because he’s the type of pathological nutbar who can never be seen to lose.

    I still think he has a good chance of winning, though, sadly. This country’s never been good at seeing him for what he is. As soon as he first appeared in 2006 or whenever I thought “THIS is the best they can do?” He’s like the bad guy from a movie who wants to tear down an orphanage to build a nuclear waste factory!

    • chris73 19.1

      “This country’s never been good at seeing him for what he is”

      - Ever consider that maybe NZ do see him for what he is and thats why hes so popular…

      • Colonial Viper 19.1.1

        What is he c73? A flash and dash showman and money marketer?

      • KJT 19.1.2

        When almost every news article breathlessly says, “but John Key says” as if he is some sort of oracle, no wonder the public thinks he is OK.

        Headlines like “John Keys says Cunliffe”. “MOBIE is doing…………., but Key says………….”. Are published almost every day.

    • gobsmacked 19.2

      Rumour Willis + 1

      Key will not be rolled, or step down for any political/electoral reason. Of course he might quit for any number of other reasons, but it won’t be because of dissatisfaction from his own backers. They need him, and plans B, C and D have hardly started (stand by for targeting, demonising, wedge-driving, all the usual tricks). Their easy ride is over, but history is full of incumbents fighting back to win – dirty if they have to.

      I expect Labour/Greens to win the election, but it will be one hard fight, and wishful thinking doesn’t help (and your prediction track record isn’t great, TRP, as you know).

      • Te Reo Putake 19.2.1

        Actually, I’m not big on wishful thinking, gs and I’m not discounting the amount of work that will need to be done to make sure of the result. As I do every election, I’ll putting as much time and effort in as I possibly can to get a progressive government elected. I’d like to think this post is a small part of that work.

        Re: my track record, I’d also like to think I’ve caused the TAB as much grief as they’ve caused me over the years! I was certainly right that Shearer wouldn’t be rolled, and, ultimately, I suspect Key will resign in a similar fashion and probably for the same reason; a lack of traction in the polls.

        My gut feeling is that Key is too ego driven to want go down with the ship and, like the Captain of the Costa Concordia, he’ll hit the life raft as soon as its obvious there’s no way back.

  20. Progressive Paradox 20

    Hmm I’d be wary of declaring victory so prematurely or writing off a future leader of the Nats. In 2007, I remember a few in the Left writing off Key, I wouldn’t underestimate our opponents. Although in all likelihood I think it would be Colins who would be Shipley all over again or Joyce would just be another English.

    • chris73 20.1

      Collins has more to offer then Shipley ever did, can’t disagree with your assessment of Joyce though…no charisma at all

      • bad12 20.1.1

        Judith Collins has something to offer, pray tell, do expand upon that wont you, even if only for the humor content…

        • chris73 20.1.1.1

          Shes very good at pushing the right buttons:

          Boy racers
          Union ACC scams
          Slow judges

          Shes a very good politician

          • Pascal's bookie 20.1.1.1.1

            So why doesn’t she show up in Pref PM polls? And why did she do so poorly in that poll about who should be the next Nat leader?

            She’s all talk.

            Remember when she sent out a press release on ministerial letter head saying thacomments impugning the Minister’s office are taken very seriously, and that if no apology was forthcoming from Mallard, Little, and RNZ then she would sue?

            Remember how Mallard et al said ‘Whatevs. Sue away then, and we’ll be paying all our costs”?

            and then she went quiet until just after the next cabinet meeting when she too suddenly declared that she would be paying her costs, and that it, all of a sudden, wasn’t about the Minister of ACC but about Judith Collins personally? hahaha. read the Cabinet maunual about how it is decided whether or not a Minister will get taxpayer funded legal defence money to make sense of that mess. She wanted it, cabinet told her she was dreaming.

            And then she backed out of the court case getting only a weak-arsed statement about things that were said in the house, and so were therefore protected anyway? Complete and utter backdown.

            She’s not only weak, but impulsive, arrogant and stupid. A fatal mix.

            She reckons whaleoil is one of the best journos in the country right up until he killed the Truth, and just yesterday she was saying how Michie was going to get the nod over Nash in Napier, no doubt more bullshit fed to here by Lusky fail parade and his pet dolphin that she was stupid enough to tweet, making her look like a fool.

            I mean she can’t even get through a patsy question in the house without reading the answers. She’s been there long enough but every time, she reads the things out, even the ‘jokes’

            She’s hopeless I’m afraid, all sizzle and no sausage, son. It’s a shame you can’t see though it, but the rest of the country can, hence the lack of poll support.

          • Te Reo Putake 20.1.1.1.2

            What has she actually achieved, Chris? She’s hardly a figure of fear among boy racers or judges. And I’ve no idea what you mean by union ACC scams, which suggests that whatever it was, it hasn’t made an impact. I think her major asset is that she vaguely reminds some Tories of a certain age of Margaret Thatcher. But that’s just wishful (or lustful?) thinking.

          • bad12 20.1.1.1.3

            Right, boy racers must of all shook in their boots over the car that didn’t get crushed giving evidence to the claim by many that Collins has got even more vacant space upstairs than Slippery the current PM has,

            Shook with laughter that is…

          • Delia 20.1.1.1.4

            Anyone know what union ACC scams are? Are you just making things up Chris. Do tell.

  21. Fisiani 21

    All these wet dreams about Key…..only problem is that internal polling is still showing 47% support for National. Still agree however that Election 2014 is Labour’s to lose due to MMP.

    [lprent: Whose "internal polling" and of whom?. Polling the contributors to the Waitemata Trust really isn't that good a polling technique for estimating the outcome of an election. ]

    • Colonial Viper 21.1

      yeah it’s a bitch when you have actual democracy, one which requires a plurality of the votes cast to be able to form a government.

      .only problem is that internal polling is still showing 47% support for National.

      I actually have it at 48.5%. I think you have an out of date memo.

    • mac1 21.2

      Internal polling of the National party still showing 47%? They should be worried……….

    • Tracey 21.3

      “Internal polling”. You mean Key still has 47% support in his caucus?

  22. Craig 22

    Either Joyce or Collins. And then watch the fireworks as the two of them clash over who gets to be alpha…

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    Labour | 23-07
  • TAXPAYER UNION “outrageously stupid”
    Jordan Williams, Executive Director of the Taxpayers’ Union says a MANA billboard “appears to have been funded by taxpayers”, and calls it “an outrageous use of taxpayer money”. “But the only thing that is outrageous, is how outrageously stupid Jordan Williams was...
    Mana | 23-07
  • Green Party launches Solar in Schools policy
    The Green Party will help schools install solar and save money on their power bills by investing $20 million into solar PV systems in schools. The $20 million is expected to:Help around 500 schools install solar over three yearsResult in...
    Greens | 23-07
  • Extent of job losses at Invermay remain hidden
    Despite growing concern in the agriculture and science sectors, both AgResearch management and the Minister responsible are continuing to hide the true extent of job losses at AgResearch’s Invermay campus, Labour’s MP for Dunedin North David Clark says. “Science and...
    Labour | 23-07
  • Tōku reo, tōku oho oho, tōku reo, tōku mapihi maurea – MANA launches ...
    “MANA is launching its te reo Māori policy this morning ahead of the first reading of the government’s Māori Language Strategy Bill this afternoon”, saidMANA deputy leader and candidate for Waiariki, Annette Sykes. “MANA’s policy is based on a love...
    Mana | 23-07
  • Connectivity Upgrade to close digital divide
    Labour will close the digital divide with its Connectivity Upgrade to ensure all New Zealanders can be part of a growing, more connected economy and have the right to access quality broadband, Labour Leader David Cunliffe says.  “The digital revolution...
    Labour | 23-07
  • New parents deserve support – Labour will deliver
    ...
    Labour | 23-07
  • National refuses meeting with Maui’s advocates
    National has refused a briefing from a group of Maui's dolphins experts, whose research shows 80 per cent of New Zealanders want greater protection for the critically endangered dolphin, the Green Party said today.Dolphin campaigner Gemma McGrath and marine scientist...
    Greens | 23-07
  • MANA Tamaki send a challenge to Labour
    “Labour should set the agenda and purposely do something positively controversial once a week”, said MANA candidate for Mt Albert, Joe Carolan. “A good start would be for all Labour Auckland MPs and members to join the Justice for Palestine...
    Mana | 23-07
  • We must act to save our dolphins
    A new report makes it clear for the urgent need to protect Maui’s and Hector’s dolphins while arguing  it is clear that there is no need for further research, says Labour’s Conservation spokesperson Ruth Dyson.  “Labour backs the public call...
    Labour | 23-07
  • School told to manipulate national standards data
    Parents can have little confidence in the Government’s National Standards after an Auckland school was told to manipulate its data so it added up, Labour’s Education spokesperson Chris Hipkins. “Valley School in Pukekohe was advised in an email from the...
    Labour | 23-07
  • Regional economies must have tailored plans
    News that up to 114 jobs could be lost from Fonterra’s Canpac plant in Hamilton reinforces the need for a government plan to build resilient regional economies, Labour’s MP for Hauraki-Waikato Nanaia Mahuta says. “The Canpac site has effectively responded...
    Labour | 23-07
  • Auditor General slams Shared Services project
    The Auditor-General’s Office could not have been more damning about the 18 months spent on the Central Agency Shared Services (CASS) project at the Finance and Expenditure Committee this morning, says Maryan Street, Labour’s State Services spokesperson.  ...
    Labour | 23-07
  • Fonterra job losses a massive blow to Waikato
    The potential loss of up to 114 jobs from Fonterra’s Canpac plant in Hamilton is a massive blow to the Waikato region which has already lost hundreds of jobs, Labour says. Labour’s Social Development spokesperson and Hamilton-based list MP Sue...
    Labour | 23-07
  • Basin flyover decision an opportunity for capital
    The decision to reject the proposed flyover at the Basin Reserve must be taken as an opportunity to properly fund Wellington’s transport future and must not be used as an excuse to take resources away from the capital, Wellington Labour MPs...
    Labour | 22-07
  • National out of touch with the regions
    John Key is out of touch with regional New Zealand if he believes tinkering with council regulations will restore opportunities to small towns, Labour Leader David Cunliffe says. “While the regions are crying out for sustainable growth and job opportunities,...
    Labour | 22-07
  • Flyover rejection a victory for sustainable transport
    The rejection of the proposed Basin Reserve flyover by a Board of Inquiry is a victory for sustainable transport in Wellington and paves the way for other alternatives to be given a fair hearing, Wellington Labour MPs Grant Robertson and...
    Labour | 22-07
  • Reo Māori Policy Launch
    MANA will be launching its Reo Māori policy at 10am Thursday 24 July, at Matangireia (the old Māori Affairs Select Committee room at Parliament). We will also be addressing our concerns regarding the Minister of Māori Affairs Māori Language Strategy...
    Mana | 22-07
  • Basin Flyover decision victory for common sense
    The Green Party welcomed the Environmental Protection Authority's draft decision announced today not to allow the $90 million Basin Reserve flyover in Wellington to proceed."Both popular and expert opinion opposed the flyover. The proposal was expensive, unnecessary and would have...
    Greens | 22-07
  • Laila Harre to run against Key in Helensville
    Another full house in Rotorua as part of Internet MANAs road trip Another day, another full house for the Internet MANA road trip. John Armstrong understands the energy now swirling around Internet MANA, and the latest announcements of Georgina Beyer...
    The Daily Blog | 29-07
  • Waiting for Gower’s Twittering of indignation…
    .   . Key has made his call; deals with ACT and Peter Dunne are in – a deal with the CCCP (Colin Craig’s Conservative Party), is out; . . Now we can look forward to TV3′s political commentator, Patrick...
    The Daily Blog | 29-07
  • National’s desperate oil drilling agenda exposed
    MIL OSI – Source: Green Party – Headline: National’s desperate oil drilling agenda exposed Tuesday, 29 Jul 2014 | Press Release A Wall Street Journal article exposing the Government’s attempts to lure deep sea oil drillers to New Zealand shows...
    The Daily Blog | 29-07
  • Owner of Kiwis’ favourite tacos takes bold stand for climate action
    MIL OSI – Source: Oxfam NZ – Headline: Owner of Kiwis' favourite tacos takes bold stand for climate action The maker of Old El Paso tacos, Betty Crocker cake mixes and Haagan Daz ice-cream has today committed to industry-leading measures...
    The Daily Blog | 29-07
  • Out of touch Brownlee gets numbers wrong
    MIL OSI – Source: Labour Party – Headline: Out of touch Brownlee gets numbers wrong Gerry Brownlee has shown how badly he is managing the rebuild by getting his figures wrong on how many houses are needed in Christchurch, Labour’s...
    The Daily Blog | 29-07
  • GUEST BLOG: Michael Wood: Weekend at Bernie’s lll – ACT in Epsom
    While no one will be surprised by yesterday’s deal to prop up ACT in Epsom, the audacity of it is still astounding. ACT is a political corpse. Their sole MP has been found guilty of electoral fraud and bides his...
    The Daily Blog | 28-07
  • So how’s all the ‘ Labour Party man ban’ hysteria working out for you...
    Remember all the screams from the media at the so called ‘man ban’ of the Labour Party? Labour’s attempt at gender equality was really just more evidence of Labour’s man hate,  feminists were taking over, heterosexual red blooded men burnt at the stake....
    The Daily Blog | 28-07
  • Paul Henry; the issue is you, not flag-burning
    There will always be reductive, dangerous and reactionary responses to different forms of oppressive violence by our western, often biased, mainstream media. These reactionary responses purposefully distract from the real issues and those who are at the root and the...
    The Daily Blog | 28-07
  • Oh now John Armstrong and Vernon Small want to talk about policy?
    The audacity of the mainstream media seems to know no end. This week both John Armstrong and Vernon Small had the hilarity to demand a focus on policy and not ‘gotcha’ politics… John Armstrong: The ‘gotcha politics’ disease is afflicting...
    The Daily Blog | 28-07
  • “They put Maori centre stage” – Harawira
    MIL OSI – Source: Mana Movement – Headline: “They put Maori centre stage” – Harawira  Posted on July 24, 2014 by admin in Hone Harawira, Press Releases“I’m sorry I can’t be at parliament for the valedictory speeches of Tariana Turia...
    The Daily Blog | 28-07
  • Burning the flag or accepting the evil
    MIL OSI – Source: Mana Movement – Headline: Burning the flag or accepting the evil Posted on July 24, 2014 by admin in Hone Harawira, Press ReleasesBurning the Israeli flag in Auckland in protest over the murder of innocent civilians...
    The Daily Blog | 28-07
  • TAXPAYER UNION “outrageously stupid”
    MIL OSI – Source: Mana Movement – Headline: TAXPAYER UNION “outrageously stupid” Posted on July 24, 2014 by admin in Hone Harawira, Press ReleasesJordan Williams, Executive Director of the Taxpayers’ Union says a MANA billboard “appears to have been funded by taxpayers”,...
    The Daily Blog | 28-07
  • Tōku reo, tōku oho oho, tōku reo, tōku mapihi maurea – MANA launches ...
    MIL OSI – Source: Mana Movement – Headline: Tōku reo, tōku oho oho, tōku reo, tōku mapihi maurea – MANA launches te reo Māori policy  Posted on July 24, 2014 by admin in Annette Sykes, Press Releases, Te Hamua Nikora“MANA...
    The Daily Blog | 28-07
  • Green Party launches Solar in Schools policy
    MIL OSI – Source: Green Party – Headline: Green Party launches Solar in Schools policy Thursday, 24 Jul 2014 | Press Release Our Solar in Schools policy will allow them to save money on electricity – money which can be...
    The Daily Blog | 28-07
  • Media Release: New report on GP costs for 6-17 year olds
    MIL OSI – Source: Child Poverty Action Group – Headline: Media Release: New report on GP costs for 6-17 year olds 24 July 2014 Free doctor’s visits should be extended to all children under 18 as GP charges are a...
    The Daily Blog | 28-07
  • 3 reasons why I can’t care about Gerry Brownlee’s airport security fias...
    I find it very difficult to get upset about Gerry Brownlee barging through airport security for 3 simple reasons. Firstly I think airport security in this country is a total farce. Why we need to be conditioned to security searches...
    The Daily Blog | 28-07
  • How the Opposition win Epsom now Key has cemented Goldsmith into place
    One fear I had this election would be that National listened to Matthew Hooton and removed Goldsmith from the ballot box to leave the race open enough for David Seymour to ensure an ACT Party victory. Thankfully National Party hubris...
    The Daily Blog | 28-07
  • Now Conservative Party has been killed off, is a vote for NZ First a vote f...
    Are Winston and John Key new Best Friends Forever?   Colin Craig and his Conservative Party have been cleverly played and tricked and trapped by National. Whatever promises and flirtations Key made with Craig last year have eventuated into nothing....
    The Daily Blog | 28-07
  • The front page the NZ Herald would use if they thought they could get away ...
    The front page the NZ Herald would use if they thought they could get away with it...
    The Daily Blog | 28-07
  • Best National Party Billboard
    Best National Party Billboard...
    The Daily Blog | 28-07
  • Annette Sykes to launch campaign for Waiariki Annette Sykes, MANA candidate...
    MIL OSI – Source: Mana Movement – Headline: Annette Sykes to launch campaign for Waiariki Annette Sykes, MANA candidate for Waiariki Posted on July 28, 2014 by admin in Annette Sykes, Press ReleasesAt midday tomorrow, Annette Sykes will officially launch...
    The Daily Blog | 28-07
  • Something Fishy About Nick Smith’s Game.
    NICK SMITH’S crude intimidation of the Fish and Game Council points to the bleakest of environmental futures should National be re-elected on 20 September. It is now considerably clearer than 60 percent of New Zealand’s lakes, rivers and streams that...
    The Daily Blog | 28-07
  • Minister shouldn’t stop Fish and Game doing its job
    MIL OSI – Source: Green Party – Headline: Minister shouldn’t stop Fish and Game doing its job Monday, 28 Jul 2014 | Press Release Fish and Game is supposed to advocate for clean and healthy rivers, it’s the law. It...
    The Daily Blog | 28-07
  • Key’s odd personal hypocrisy in Epsom, his kiss of death to the Maori Par...
    Aside from tricking Colin Craig into running in an electorate National can crush him in, John Key has announced three things in his election deals that are ill thought out. The first is his deal with the Maori Party. At a time...
    The Daily Blog | 28-07
  • Public deserves electoral integrity
    MIL OSI – Source: Labour Party – Headline: Public deserves electoral integrity National’s deals with spent political forces ACT and United Future will be met with a deepening sense of unease over the manipulation of MMP, Labour Leader David Cunliffe...
    The Daily Blog | 28-07
  • Out of control costs raise questions about National Science Challenges
    MIL OSI – Source: Labour Party – Headline: Out of control costs raise questions about National Science Challenges Amid strong criticism of the value of the National Science Challenges from some of the country’s senior scientists, new figures show administrative...
    The Daily Blog | 28-07
  • Low build numbers and faulty repairs: what has Brownlee been doing?
    MIL OSI – Source: Labour Party – Headline: Low build numbers and faulty repairs: what has Brownlee been doing? Despite being a man in a hurry new figures show just 2160 new homes, thousands fewer than needed, have been built...
    The Daily Blog | 28-07
  • UNEMIG: Disgraced hotel operator still hasn’t learned
    MIL OSI – Source: First Union – Headline: UNEMIG: Disgraced hotel operator still hasn’t learned A publicly disgraced Auckland hotel is still not paying their workers the minimum wage, according to the Union Network of Migrants (UNEMIG). Last week the...
    The Daily Blog | 28-07
  • Christchurch CHEP workers walk off the job again
    MIL OSI – Source: First Union – Headline: Christchurch CHEP workers walk off the job again Workers at Brambles-owned CHEP Christchurch have walked off the job again today to protest the employer’s refusal to negotiate an improved pay offer, according...
    The Daily Blog | 28-07
  • Why it’s all over for the Conservative Party
    Whatever flirtations were made months ago to Colin Craig by National strategists, the polling must have come back showing them too much of their soft urban vote would walk if Key was in Government with Colin Craig.  The necessary inside muscle to...
    The Daily Blog | 28-07
  • Balance in the NZ Herald and has something gone terribly wrong at the Heral...
    So the ‘balance’ in the NZ Herald this year for the election will be… Guest columnists will include the acerbic Cactus Kate from the radical right, former Labour candidate Josie Pagani and broadcaster Mark Sainsbury. Right, so that would be...
    The Daily Blog | 27-07
  • Joyce’s heavy hand stifling innovation
    MIL OSI – Source: Green Party – Headline: Joyce’s heavy hand stifling innovation Monday, 28 Jul 2014 | Press Release “The heavy hand of Steven Joyce is destroying New Zealand’s innovation economy.” The National Government should allow scientists and businesses...
    The Daily Blog | 27-07
  • CERA spends almost $2m on 7000 flights
    MIL OSI – Source: Labour Party – Headline: CERA spends almost $2m on 7000 flights CERA has spent $1.8 million on 7286 flights from Christchurch to Wellington in three years – a huge waste of money as Cantabrians still wait...
    The Daily Blog | 27-07
  • Nick Smith oversteps the mark yet again
    MIL OSI – Source: Labour Party – Headline: Nick Smith oversteps the mark yet again Nick Smith has yet again completely overstepped the mark as a minister – this time with a threat to muzzle Fish and Game if they...
    The Daily Blog | 27-07
  • Phew – National Party hubris seals strategy
    The National Party are bot listening to Matthew Hooton. Phew. Hooton has crunched the numbers and based on past polling National always drops 6 points come election day. National aren’t listening. Barging through the need to cut deals with all...
    The Daily Blog | 27-07
  • Noam Chomsky on the TPPA
    Noam Chomsky on the TPPA...
    The Daily Blog | 27-07
  • Unacceptable secrecy around labelling people terrorists
    It’s good to see the Sunday Star-Times attempting to get more information from government agencies about Daryl Jones, the Kiwi killed in a US drone strike in Yemen.  The paper is right to complain about the government’s refusal to provide...
    The Daily Blog | 27-07
  • A critical deconstruction of John Key – what’s behind the facade?
    Aspiring national leaders need a popular narrative of their rise to power.  Once in office, the narrative can be refined to fit the requirements of leadership and re-election.  Such is the purpose of John Roughan’s John Key: Portrait of  a...
    The Daily Blog | 27-07
  • Radio Live – off Mark
    The Top Marks lasted five weeks on Mediaworks radio station The Sound. This may have something to do with last being relevant in the mid-1980s when there were only two commercial FM licences in Auckland and they were on one...
    The Daily Blog | 27-07
  • Wellingtonians say ‘No!’ to Israeli aggression
    .   . Wellington, NZ, 26 July – About 600 Wellingtonians, and from further afield, met at the Cuba Mall Bucket fountain under a wintery sunny sky, to protest Israel’s continuing aggression in the Gaza strip, which – at the...
    The Daily Blog | 27-07
  • Greens call for shipping lanes backed by Maritime Union
    MIL OSI – Source: Maritime Union of New Zealand – Headline: Greens call for shipping lanes backed by Maritime Union The Maritime Union is backing the Green Party’s policy to implement compulsory shipping lanes for coastal shipping, announced 27 July...
    The Daily Blog | 27-07
  • Government needs to get Fishing reform bill passed now
    MIL OSI – Source: Maritime Union of New Zealand – Headline: Government needs to get Fishing reform bill passed now The Maritime Union is urging the Government to push through a Bill reforming the fishing industry. Maritime Union of New...
    The Daily Blog | 27-07
  • Georgina Beyer to stand for MANA in Te Tai Tonga
    MIL OSI – Source: Mana Movement – Headline: Georgina Beyer to stand for MANA in Te Tai Tonga  Posted on July 27, 2014 by admin in Hone Harawira, Press Releases“It’s great to have Georgie on board” said Hone Harawira, MANA...
    The Daily Blog | 27-07
  • Israel/Gaza conflict: Questions and Answers
    MIL OSI – Source: Amnesty International NZ – Headline: Israel/Gaza conflict: Questions and Answers What does Amnesty International think of the resolution passed by the UN Human Rights Council on 23 July? What should happen next?Amnesty International welcomes resolution S-21/1...
    The Daily Blog | 26-07
  • Green Party launches plan to protect our beaches from oil spills
    MIL OSI – Source: Green Party – Headline: Green Party launches plan to protect our beaches from oil spills Sunday, 27 Jul 2014 | Press Release Like New Zealand chose to go nuclear free, we can add to our national...
    The Daily Blog | 26-07
  • GUEST BLOG: Shasha Ali – I am an indigenous person but I will never call ...
    Yesterday was indeed a politically hectic day in Aoteaora New Zealand, especially if you are an activist that cares about both human and non-human animal rights. Protest actions were organised to demand an end to factory farming from about noon, and...
    The Daily Blog | 26-07
  • Pro-Israel, Pro-Palestine or ‘Pro-Peace’?
    Latest protest for people of Gaza in Auckland In the past couple of weeks I have heard a lot of people say that they are neither Pro-Israel nor Pro-Palestine; they are pro-peace. This is a stand that I respect. Everyone...
    The Daily Blog | 26-07
  • So we can’t feed the kids, the poor OR the sick now?
    Let me get this straight. We can borrow $10 billion in tax cuts over the last 6 years for the richest NZers, but we can not feed the kids, the poor or even the sick now? Revealed: Warning over hospital food...
    The Daily Blog | 26-07
  • Kim Dotcom has said it, Laila Harre has said it and now David fisher says i...
    Fascinating piece by David Fisher in the NZ Herald breaking down how many opportunities the Government had to listen to officials and stop KDC entering the country and concludes KDC should never have been allowed in… It prepared papers for the...
    The Daily Blog | 25-07
  • You, Me and the GCSB Public Meetings
      The GCSB and TICS legislation rushed through Parliament by John Key represent the largest erosion of civil liberties this country has seen since the 1951 Waterfront Lockout. In the post Snowden world we now know a mass surveillance state operating...
    The Daily Blog | 25-07
  • Harré: It’s Game on in Helensville
    Harré: It’s Game on in Helensville Internet Party Leader Laila Harré will stand in John Key’s Helensville electorate because “the Prime Minister has some explaining to do”. Ms Harré wants to debate Mr Key at candidate meetings in his own...
    Scoop politics | 29-07
  • Ministers condemned for failing to meet Papuan journalist
    West Papua Action Auckland is shocked that that Ministers Coleman and Tolley have decided against giving even a brief time to meet with visiting Papuan journalist Victor Mambor (Chair of the Papua Chapter of the Association of Independent Journalists...
    Scoop politics | 29-07
  • Cliff Curtis Apolitical
    While I respect my cousin Annette Sykes commitment in engaging in the political process, I do not endorse or support any political party. I respect all candidates who make the commitment to stand for political office. It requires and takes...
    Scoop politics | 29-07
  • National getting students into science
    National Party Hutt South candidate Chris Bishop today supported the government’s launch of A Nation of Curious Minds: He Whenua Hirihi I te Mahara, a programme to boost community involvement in the science sector....
    Scoop politics | 29-07
  • NZ NGOs respond to the worsening humanitarian crisis in Gaza
    NZ NGOs are responding to the worsening humanitarian crisis in the Gaza strip with news today of an upsurge in violence and an increasing number of civilian casualties....
    Scoop politics | 29-07
  • ACT Candidate for Epsom delighted by second endorsement
    ACT Candidate for Epsom delighted by second endorsement David Seymour, ACT Candidate for Epsom 29/07/2014...
    Scoop politics | 29-07
  • Colin Craig (sic) Launches New Website
    Colin Craig today advised that his web presence was not large enough, especially when compared to similarly polling parties such as the Internet/Mana Party. “After extensive discussion and advice from my full time legal team, and my IT part timer...
    Scoop politics | 29-07
  • Spat between Minister Smith and Fish and Game overdue – ACT
    With the latest spat between Minister Nick Smith and Fish and Games Bryce Johnston hitting fever pitch, ACT Primary Industry Spokesman Don Nicolson says a review of the Fish and Game legislation will be an ACT ambition in the next...
    Scoop politics | 29-07
  • Maori King challenges Ngapuhi leader to front up
    Following his strong condemnation of the Maori King, Tuheitia yesterday, Ngapuhi kaumatua David Rankin has received a challenge this afternoon from prominent Kingitanga [King Movement] supporter Mamae Takerei....
    Scoop politics | 29-07
  • ACT Speech to Waikato Conference: Race has no place in law
    David Cunliffe recently apologised to a Women’s Refuge symposium: “I don't often say it – I'm sorry for being a man … because family and sexual violence is overwhelmingly perpetrated by men.” The Prime Minister accused Cunliffe of being insincere....
    Scoop politics | 29-07
  • Greg Campbell Chief Executive of Wellington Regional Council
    Chair of Wellington Regional Council, Fran Wilde today announced the appointment of Greg Campbell as Chief Executive of the Council. Greg Campbell will take up the role in September following the departure of outgoing Chief Executive David Benham...
    Scoop politics | 29-07
  • We are going to campaign harder
    “It was great news to learn that John Key says I am his recommendation for Epsom. While the Prime Minister is an important person and he is my pick to remain Prime Minister, John Key is just one voter. I...
    Scoop politics | 28-07
  • Why Green isn’t the best colour for water
    Why Green isn’t the best colour for water Ian Mackenzie is Federated Farmers Environment spokesperson and was on the reference group for the National Objectives Framework. An opinion is also running in the New Zealand Herald. The Green Party recently...
    Scoop politics | 28-07
  • Rainbow Wellington General Election Candidates Forum
    In many ways the transgender community is in a similar position now to that faced by lesbians and gay men a generation ago. It is having to face many of the same difficulties, often based on the same ignorance and...
    Scoop politics | 28-07
  • Defence Lawyer Disgust!!!
    “ The Sensible Sentencing Trust is horrified by Defence Lawyer Steven Zindel's comments at the Sentencing of a Man Jailed for the Rape of his 4 year old daughter .”...
    Scoop politics | 28-07
  • Ōhāriu deserves better than a rort
    The National Party's deal with Peter Dunne is a rort and shows the people of Ōhāriu are being taken for granted, Labour candidate Virginia Andersen says. "Peter Dunne has been placed on political life support by the National Party. His...
    Scoop politics | 28-07
  • FMC Backs Fish and Game’s Role on Freshwater
    Federated Mountain Clubs today reinforced its strong support for the New Zealand Fish and Game Council's statutory role in advocating for anglers and hunters interests in freshwater. FMC President Robin McNeill stated that the Federation's 17,000 members...
    Scoop politics | 28-07
  • The Letter: Key Gives Nod for Seymour in Epsom
    This afternoon the PM acknowledged the importance of Epsom to National’s re-election prospects when said he wanted National’s supporters in Epsom to vote for ACT’S David Seymour. We always thought David could win Epsom, for which he has been campaigning...
    Scoop politics | 28-07
  • Forest & Bird supports Fish and Game’s freshwater advocacy
    The independent conservation organisation Forest & Bird is concerned over allegations the Fish & Game Council has been threatened over its advocacy for freshwater quality....
    Scoop politics | 28-07
  • Time for Epsom to say “no deal”
    “Epsom voters will be disgusted by the deal announced today to try and once again gift their electorate to the ACT Party”, says Labour candidate for Epsom Michael Wood....
    Scoop politics | 28-07
  • Petition for release the of seven Bah
    At the invitation of the Honourable Annette King the New Zealand Bahá'í community is presenting a petition to the House of Representatives asking the NZ government to demand the release of the seven former leaders of the Baha’i community in...
    Scoop politics | 28-07
  • Capital gains in the capital city
    Victoria University will today be hosting a public debate on the merits of more comprehensive capital gains tax—a step which taxation expert Associate Professor Dr David White considers would be beneficial for New Zealand. Organised by student group Beta Alpha...
    Scoop politics | 28-07
  • Te Kupenga supports efforts of anti-violence campaigner
    Te Kupenga Whakaoti Mahi Patunga – National Network of Stopping Violence Services (Te Kupenga) wholeheartedly endorses statements made by DJ, Kickboxer and Anti-Violence Campaigner Richie Hardcore this morning on TV3’s Firstline about the role of men...
    Scoop politics | 28-07
  • iPredict Ltd2014 Election Update #28
    The chances of a fiscal surplus in 2014/15 continue to plunge and are down to 50%, according to the combined wisdom of the 7000 registered traders on New Zealand’s online predictions market, iPredict. The forecast surplus is now just 0.22%...
    Scoop politics | 28-07
  • TPPA is a bad idea
    “Currently New Zealand, Australia, Singapore, Brunei, Vietnam, the USA, Japan, Malaysia, Canada, and Mexico are still negotiating the Trans-Pacific Partnership Agreement. Officially talks finished last August, but the reality is that they keep...
    Scoop politics | 28-07
  • Getting privacy right in our data future
    Privacy Commissioner John Edwards welcomes the release of the New Zealand Data Futures Forum’s report....
    Scoop politics | 28-07
  • Conference on Democracy, Ethics and the Public Good
    Conference on Democracy, Ethics and the Public Good A conference is to be held in Wellington on 1 and 2 August with the aim of starting a NZ-wide discussion about the quality of our democracy. The conference is hosted jointly...
    Scoop politics | 27-07
  • Paddock to plate, and smart roads possible
    New Zealand’s international brand and exports could grow significantly with the creation of a data sharing ‘eco-system’ according to a paper released by the NZ Data Futures Forum today....
    Scoop politics | 27-07
  • Ngapuhi wants to overthrow Maori King
    Ngapuhi is planning a hui for the end of the year – organised by iwi leader David Rankin – in which the future of the King Movement will be discussed....
    Scoop politics | 27-07
  • Housing warrant of fitness little help for sick children
    A housing warrant of fitness has been promoted as a way of preventing sickness among children in poverty. The attached report shows that such a regime would have little impact on health outcomes but would come at a considerable cost,...
    Scoop politics | 27-07
  • Upcoming Fabian Events in Auckland
    Sue Bradford ’s PhD thesis, 'A major left wing think tank in Aotearoa—an impossible dream or a call to action?' looked at why no major left wing think tank has developed in Aotearoa and whether the left in 2010-2013 was...
    Scoop politics | 27-07
  • Senior Citizens, Not Senile Citizens
    The Taxpayers’ Union is questioning the merits and costs of the “ No car? No problem! Getting around your community without a car” brochure, released by the Office for Senior Citizens. The brochure’s purpose is to explain to senior citizens...
    Scoop politics | 27-07
  • NZ Troops Hone Their Skills in Queensland
    Around 260 New Zealand troops are on a 25-day Australian-led warfighting exercise in Townsville, Northern Queensland....
    Scoop politics | 27-07
  • Maritime Union backs Green Party call for shipping lanes
    The Maritime Union is backing the Green Party’s policy to implement compulsory shipping lanes for coastal shipping, announced today....
    Scoop politics | 27-07
  • Auckland Council Bypasses Public, Ditches Rodeo Ban
    Auckland Council Bypasses Public, Ditches Rodeo Ban The Auckland Council has announced that they are abandoning the rodeo ban on council land, put into place in 2008. This was done with virtually no consultation, says SAFE, the animal advocacy organisation....
    Scoop politics | 27-07
  • Tolley and Coleman urged to meet West Papuan visitor
    Ministers Tolley and Coleman urged to meet West Papuan visitor Police Minister Anne Tolley and Defence Minister Dr Jonathan Coleman have a rare opportunity this week to gain first-hand knowledge about Indonesian police and military activities in West...
    Scoop politics | 27-07
  • Minister Right to Give Fish & Game a Serve
    Reacting to Radio New Zealand’s report concerning allegations that Conservation Minister Nick Smith warned the Fish and Game Council that it acts like a 'rabid NGO', Jordan Williams, Executive Director of the Taxpayers’ Union says:...
    Scoop politics | 27-07
  • Government needs to get Fishing reform bill passed now
    The Maritime Union is urging the Government to push through a Bill reforming the fishing industry....
    Scoop politics | 27-07
  • Ivory trade laws look set to tighten following petition
    A petition mounted by an Auckland schoolteacher has won the support of a powerful Select Committee and has moved the New Zealand closer towards a fully enforceable ivory trading ban....
    Scoop politics | 27-07
  • Bilingual guide a demonstration of leadership
    “Waikato River Restoration: A Bilingual Guide” to the Waikato River that saw Tainui Waikato, Landcare Trust and the Waikato River Authority working together is a demonstration of rangatiratanga or leadership says Race Relations Commissioner...
    Scoop politics | 27-07
  • Georgina Beyer to stand for MANA in Te Tai Tonga
    "It's great to have Georgie on board" said Hone Harawira, MANA Leader and Te Tai Tokerau MP. "She's strong-minded, stands up to be counted, and has fought for the rights of those who haven't had any - and won. That...
    Scoop politics | 27-07
  • Q + A: Sir Bob Harvey
    SUSAN Sir Bob Harvey was behind the transformation of Norm Kirk, and one of New Zealand's most popular Prime Ministers. He also advised Bill Rowling, David Lange and Helen Clark, the latter as Labour Party President. Wild Westie a new...
    Scoop politics | 27-07
  • Q + A: Rod Drury
    Xero boss Rod Drury told TVNZ’s Q+A programme what the political parties are offering at this election is ‘all too small.’ “There's no policy, all it is a bunch of incremental stuff. “All too small. What we want to do...
    Scoop politics | 27-07
  • Q + A: Gerry Brownlee
    Transport Minister Gerry Brownlee Rules Out Fastracking Auckland’s City Rail Loop Transport Minister Gerry Brownlee told TV1’s Q+A programme this morning that he won’t be bringing forward an Auckland City Rail loop based on new figures showing...
    Scoop politics | 27-07
  • Owen interviews Australian Treasurer Joe Hockey
    Lisa Owen interviews Australian Treasurer Joe Hockey Headlines: Australian Treasurer Joe Hockey suggests “we can move on some” changes to welfare for New Zealanders in Australia New Zealanders “brothers and sisters” who make “a massive contribution”,...
    Scoop politics | 27-07
  • Flavell and Harawira on The Nation
    Lisa Owen interviews Maori Party leader Te Ururoa Flavell and Mana leader Hone Harawira Headlines: Hone Harawira says realistically his Mana Party can take three Maori seats, Te Ururoa Flavell sticks to prediction that Maori Party will win all seven....
    Scoop politics | 27-07
  • The Nation 26,27 July: Flavell & Harawira, Joe Hockey
    On The Nation this weekend…. With the Maori seats primed to play a pivotal role this election, Torben Akel reports from the key battlegrounds and meets the top contenders. Then the Maori Party co-leader Te Ururoa Flavell and Mana Party...
    Scoop politics | 25-07
  • Announcement of New Zealand First Candidate for Rangitīkei
    New Zealand First has endorsed Dr Romuald (‘Rom’) Rudzki as the candidate for the Rangitīkei Electorate in the 2014 General Election....
    Scoop politics | 25-07
  • Labour Offer Len Brown a Hotel Tax
    The Taxpayers’ Union is slamming the Labour Party's plan to allow councils to levy new 'pillow taxes' and regional petrol taxes. Reacting to this afternoon’s NZ Herald report Jordan Williams, Executive Director of the Taxpayers’ Union ,...
    Scoop politics | 25-07
  • Cell phone evidence a first
    Cell phone evidence a first Evidence gathered solely from a cell phone has been used for the first time to convict a Hastings man for possessing child sexual abuse pictures. Michael Lawrence Worsnop, a 29-year-old orchard worker pleaded guilty to...
    Scoop politics | 25-07
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