A storm is coming

Written By: - Date published: 11:04 am, February 12th, 2018 - 65 comments
Categories: auckland supercity, climate change, Environment, global warming, supercity - Tags:

The Metvuw site currently has the remains of a tropical storm hitting us in about 7 days’ time.

This is the kind of pattern of summer we have grown used to as we become slightly more tropical; New Zealand is often now part of Tonga and Fiji’s rolling storm season.

Nor have we had the kind of concentrated and regular flooding that forced the 300-person town of Kelso to be abandoned in 1980. The entire population was resettled.

Still, it gives one pause, when one reflects on how often Auckland’s Tamaki Drive is going under.

Last week my boss came to work pretty dishevelled when he drove part way past Mission Bay, was stopped due to the road being blocked with the tide, drove back home, pulled on his riding gear and cycled in through it. He was reasonably wet when he finally turned up late into the morning.

Auckland Transport intend to raise bits of Tamaki Drive to assist.

It reminds me of 23 January 2011 when we had a King Tide in the Waitemata Harbour. We also had a storm low hit. Every hectopascal below average air pressure can raise the sea level by a centimetre, and as the 2011 low bore down on Auckland, it shunted ahead of it a tide half a metre higher than predicted.

Around noon, a 4.13-metre storm tide washed over parts of downtown, some eastern suburbs, and Herald Island off Whenuapai. Then it shut down the outside lanes of the north-western motorway. NZTA has now rebuilt the entire northwestern SH16 causeway a little higher since then.

But from the 2011 flood you have to go back to March 1936 for a higher storm tide – 3.99 metres. Auckland sea levels have risen 17 centimetres since 1900.

For years, Auckland City Council had a policy of not requiring sewerage and stormwater to go down separate pipes. So for the last decade every time there’s a storm surge and the flood waters back up, everything just spills onto the beaches. I honestly can’t recall when Auckland Council took a leadership position on anything to do with the environment, let alone climate change as a whole. You can’t swim in a lot of beaches for weeks after any decent rain now.

Now Auckland Council are about to put in further investment into the Waitemata waterfront through the Americas Cup process. For yachting.

By 2050 – just over 30 years away – Auckland can expect to suffer 2011 flooding perhaps yearly. Most New Zealand coastal towns and cities will fare the same. Nobody has dared guess what that means for property values, but either the market or the insurance industry will be the first to tell us. It’s going to be one of the most startling transformations that New Zealand has ever seen (albeit one of many).

In the very short term, watch the tracking of this storm over the next six days. Check your insurance policies. Stock up on bottled water, Dettol, mops, great gumboots, and lots of batteries for the radio. Whether you need it this time or next time, it’s coming.

65 comments on “A storm is coming ”

  1. Andre 1

    We always talk about climate in terms of money . This is why the 6 great extinction will happen . We lack the imagination .

    • Andre 1.1

      Hi Andre. I’ve been commenting semi-frequently using this handle. While I totally agree with what you’ve said today, now and then I’ll come out with something you might not want to be associated with. Do you want to change your handle, should I change mine, or should we just tag team it and enjoy the occasional confusion?

      • weka 1.1.1

        I think you should keep yours, because that’s what most people here are going to know when they see the name, and it goes with a whole set of politics 🙂 I’ll drop a moderator note in in the most recent comment below.

      • you could both set up with Gravatar and have custom icons. You’d be amazed at how much more people recognise a picture rather than a name.

  2. For years, Auckland City Council had a policy of not requiring sewerage and stormwater to go down separate pipes.

    Which is, of course, the result of everyone complaining that there rates are too high.

    When we demand that the council be cheap then we don’t get to complain when that cheapness comes back to bite us on the arse.

    • Stunned Mullet 2.1

      Not completely correct – people complain that their rates are being spent on wasteful bullshit rather than worthwhile projects.

    • bwaghorn 2.2

      It.s not a lack of rates causing the water pollution in Auckland ,it’s the council is stocking to many people to the hectare. Government needs to put in to law a rapid reduction of stocking rates

      • weka 2.2.1

        Heh, I might use that.

      • Actually, it’s from not stocking the people high enough. High density population costs less and does less environmental damage. Still, the infrastructure does need to be in place.

        It’s not the same as cows because cows simply don’t think about where they’re shitting.

        • bwaghorn 2.2.2.1

          i would bet dollars to donuts most city dwellers don’t think about where there shit goes as soon as they flush , any way i was just having a poke as the silence from the water ranters is deafining around here when its inside the city boundary , big fines for councils polluting would cost rate payers and we all know even the green pollies would be to gutless to push for that ,

    • Herodotus 2.3

      I agree with your sentiments in part.
      But would like to add that we have an infrastructure liability. Infrastructure that is beyond its estimate life span, and the prohibitive costs to both: construct new infrastructure as our pop. increases and to replace obsolete or out dated.
      I note you will find much of the obsolete stormwater and sewage is in the cbd or “privileged” areas (no mention of user pays to remedy these areas). Green field developments seperate these 2, and for stormwater ponds are constructed to filter out contaminates and silts.

    • Liberal Realist 2.4

      Which is, of course, the result of everyone complaining that there rates are too high.

      Nothing wrong with demanding efficiency and value for money from local government.

      Sure there’ll be plenty of harpering cheapskates wanting it all and wanting to pay nothing for it (e.g. avg RWNJ property investor), however local government isn’t known for focusing on core services it should be providing (e.g. climate change mitigation and appropriate sewerage infrastructure). Auckland CC clearly doesn’t have it’s priorities in order.

      Here in Wellington WCC spends obscene amounts of money on things like commercial property, statues, and plenty of other non-core ‘services’ while not fixing things like stormwater drainage, or improving cycling infrastructure where it really matters. Dealing with WCC for anything beyond a simple clear cut building consent is worse than pulling teeth solo with a pair of pliers and no anesthetic.

      When we demand that the council be cheap then we don’t get to complain when that cheapness comes back to bite us on the arse.

      There shouldn’t be a need to demand anything. If Auckland CC can’t fix the problem with funds available to them, then they should front up with full disclosure as to why.

      • Nothing wrong with demanding efficiency and value for money from local government.

        There’s a difference between demanding efficiency and demanding that rates and taxes go down no matter what.

        however local government isn’t known for focusing on core services it should be providing (e.g. climate change mitigation and appropriate sewerage infrastructure).

        Ah, the ACToid claim of ‘core services’. A council or government doesn’t provide ‘core services’. It has a purpose of ensuring that the people who live there live at a reasonable living standard and that the resources within their borders are well husbanded.

        Restricting a government to ‘core services’ actively prevents them from achieving that purpose.

        If Auckland CC can’t fix the problem with funds available to them, then they should front up with full disclosure as to why.

        Yes but would you believe them?

        Because, due to your use of ACToid memes, I’m pretty sure you wouldn’t.

  3. weka 3

    Good post.

    As bad as Auckland’s problems are going to be from sea level rise, I still maintain that the motivator here needs to be what happens if we get catastrophic climate change? Having to move much of such a large city is a huge issue, but it pales when compared to not having an environment conducive to growing food.

    As Bill has been pointing out, the mainstream predictions (govt, NIWA etc) are based on IPPC models that include Carbon Capture and Storage tech that doesn’t exist yet and probably won’t work at scale. And we’re not even meeting the targets for those models.

    So yes, do what we need to to get through the next wave of emergencies, but we still have to act on the bigger picture now. That means placing sustainability (in its true sense) as our priority over maintaining our current lifestyles.

    • Ad 3.1

      Most people react when there’s something really concrete, urgent, and consistently publicised. Climate change is simply too diffuse and long-term for most people to deal with.

      So a set of flood events just one or two years apart, in the same area, that’s about the timeline most people can figure for their own lives. I’m sure it’s not enough; it’s just human.

      • weka 3.1.1

        I agree, it’s a very difficult one for the human mind to get to grips with. I think our best bet is if we have more and worse events that push people into realising it’s here now.

        Once a certain percentage of the population accepts that its happening now and not to a later generation, the notion of how bad it is is easier to contemplate. It’s not so distant anymore. Kind of like the Overton Window I guess, the norm of understanding and acceptance in the middle moves (or the middle moves to accept that understanding). That’s also a natural human process I think.

        Also having pathways for people to act. Nothing subverts action like feelings of powerlessness.

    • Molly 3.2

      Living in market garden country here, and the current onion crop is suffering from the intermittent heavy rain just as the onions were getting to the stage of dryness that allowed bagging.

      The storm a couple of weeks ago hit particularly hard, and water blew out the banks and we had a river of onions and water cross the road and flow down our driveway.

      Those onions are still in the field and have been drenched and partly dried at least five times since then. It is a hundred acre plot, and still doesn’t look like the farmworkers will be visiting any time soon. I spoke to the grower, and he mentioned that the weather had recently reduced their usual 300 crate harvest of spinach, to 6 crates. A substantial loss, but at least spinach is a fairly fast crop, those onions have been in the field for a few months now.

      And other growers seems to be having the same issues locally.

      • weka 3.2.1

        Interesting. So that’s a flood that affects the crop in that moment but also the overall weather pattern for this year?

        What scares me about that is that it will be framed in terms of economic loss. I want to know what’s going to happen when this is happening a lot of the time. Humans are very resilient and adaptable, but we need to be looking at this now (plus the whole prevention of runaway CC thing).

  4. Antoine 4

    > By 2050 – just over 30 years away – Auckland can expect to suffer 2011 flooding perhaps yearly

    You’re making that up. You don’t really know what the weather is going to be like in 2050.

    I agree it may be rather different from what it is now, but I’m not going to kid myself into thinking I know _how_ it will be different.

    A.

    • DoublePlusGood 4.1

      Except that we have a very good idea of what the mean sea level will be in 2050, and we can just model what happens to our average bad weather now if you raise the sea level by x centimetres. And it means constant flooding along the lines of 2011.

    • weka 4.2

      I think it’s pretty clear from Ad’s phrasing that it’s speculative (‘expect’, ‘perhaps’). Looks like an educated guess to me. I’d be interested in what he based that on too, but I suspect your argument is more along the neo-denialist line.

      • Antoine 4.2.1

        I worry that people will get the idea that they know what the weather is going to be (based on a couple of events), plan for that set of conditions and ignore other possible contingencies.

        A.

        • weka 4.2.1.1

          Ad wasn’t predicting weather, he was predicting a change in climate that would lead to more flooding. Flooding that is a result of multiple factors, some of which he covered in the post.

          I think you want to argue about how to rearrange the deck chairs on the Titanic. There’s enough evidence that Auckland is going to face major infrastructure issues (along with many other low lying towns/cities in NZ). If you believe that we are going through a glitch, and that we will revert back to weather that won’t interact with rising sea levels and other phenomena to cause flooding, then by all means make see if you can make that case.

          • Ad 4.2.1.1.1

            I try not to extract this stuff out of my nether regions.

            Citations below. More if required.

        • Draco T Bastard 4.2.1.2

          I worry that you’re trying to distract from reality because it makes you feel uncomfortable.

    • Ad 4.3

      This was the report on forecast sea level rise for New Zealand, presented to Parliament in 2015:

      http://www.pce.parliament.nz/media/1390/preparing-nz-for-rising-seas-web-small.pdf

      Worth checking all the footnotes and maps inside it.

      This was the Parliamentary Select Committee’s response:

      https://www.parliament.nz/resource/en-NZ/51DBSCH_SCR70990_1/b5c6d63a510e40136ef02401ae99034b826dda40

      There is also a 350 page report on climate change effects commissioned by Auckland Transport, Auckland Council, Panuku, and INWA, but rather than bore you with the details, here’s the headline warnings on floods:

      “Climate change: Auckland to get hotter with upped flooding, superstorm and drought risks”

      http://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/news/article.cfm?c_id=1&objectid=11954402

      I don’t presume to be an expert in any of this stuff – so I trust the colelctive scientific and professional opinion, which is pretty consistent.

    • http://www.mfe.govt.nz/climate-change/how-climate-change-affects-nz/how-might-climate-change-affect-my-region/auckland

      What could this mean for Auckland?

      Heavy rain – The capacity of stormwater systems may be exceeded more frequently due to heavy rainfall events which could lead to surface flooding. River flooding and hill country erosion events may also become more frequent.

      Coastal hazards – Coastal roads and infrastructure may face increased risk from coastal erosion and inundation, increased storminess and sea-level rise.

      Drought – By 2090, the time spent in drought ranges from minimal change through to more than double, depending on the climate model and emissions scenario considered. More frequent droughts are likely to lead to water shortages, increased demand for irrigation and increased risk of wild fires. The frequency and intensity of El Niño events, which are associated with periods of drought in Auckland, may increase. Increased drought frequency coupled with windier conditions may lead to an increase in the occurrence of fires.

      Agriculture – Warmer temperatures, a longer growing season and frosts becoming rare could provide opportunities to grow new, sub-tropical crops and farmers might benefit from faster growth of pasture and better crop-growing conditions. However, these benefits may be limited by negative effects of climate change such as water supply issues, prolonged drought, increased flood risk, or greater frequency and intensity of storms.

      Biosecurity – Climate change could result in an increased incidence of invasive pests, affecting both pasture and horticultural crops. Several existing pest species could become more serious pests with even a slight increase in temperature.

      Disease – There may be an increase in the occurrence of summer water-borne and food-borne diseases such as Salmonella. There could also be an increased risk from some vector-borne diseases such as Dengue Fever and Ross River Virus.

      My bold.

      • Antoine 4.4.1

        Now that is some actual information, it acknowledges uncertainty and it covers a range of climate issues not just storms.

        (Of course it could still all prove to be wrong)

        A.

        • Draco T Bastard 4.4.1.1

          Of course it could still all prove to be wrong

          That would be unlikely. What the scientists that measure the changes in the climate are seeing now is that previous projections were low so, if anything, we could probably expect these projections to be low as well.

  5. Andre2 5

    The science is in and the minutiae can be argued till the cows are culled …But .
    IPCC carbon budget that were compiled used presumptions that are not based on correct data . It is far worse than IPCC AR5 political statements suggest . 15 years is left to fuck the future of fix the future . We must choose .We must act . We must get off the friggin couch .
    ‘Delivering on 2 degrees’ Keynote Prof Kevin Anderson – Climate change: … https://youtu.be/9gJ78vDU17Y via @YouTube

    [Andre, there is a long term commenter here called Andre. Can you please change your user name, to avoid confusion? I’ve changed your name in the meantime, but feel free to choose something else, thanks – weka]

    • weka 5.1

      Someone needs to put in place some PR support for Anderson. We need short videos explaining the issue, lots of easy to understand graphics, stuff that can be tweeted and put out on FB. Hour long youtube videos are simply not going to be watched by enough people.

      • Pat 5.1.1

        Perhaps…but an hour to cover the ground he does is minimal…and I dont get the feeling hes a “marketing’ kind of guy….just the facts maam

        • weka 5.1.1.1

          oh I’m not suggesting he stops doing the in depth stuff, that’s incredibly important too. I’m saying *someone else* should pick up his work and put it out there in the world in ways that more people can access. We have no time for such important information to be this inaccessible.

          The Story of Stuff people could probably do something very good with it (they may already have, I’ll go have a look).

    • weka 5.2

      Moderator note above for you to respond to, thanks.

    • Bill 5.3

      The carbon budgets are based on understandings between CO2 concentrations and a range of temperatures that could result from those concentrations. So, as far as I understand that, it’s not really based on data so much as on theoretical understanding tempered by real world variables that aren’t fully understood (such as cloud cover etc)

      Or am I missing something?

      • Andre Hock 5.3.1

        The only way to understand is to invest the time in understanding . Latest report (33 authors) mandated ‘National climate assessment ‘(part 1) report by US Govt Is in the AGU December conference in Vegas. It is accessible on their youtube It confirms past suppositions and reinforces Prof Andersons statements on budgets . Passing 2 C is not conducive with a functioning civilization as we know it today. It will change how all humans will interact and all that entails . https://youtu.be/fDJP5RgKkj4 and the summary Doc NCEA4 https://science2017.globalchange.gov/chapter/executive-summary/

        • Bill 5.3.1.1

          I’m questioning your statement about “incorrect data”. What incorrect data? The uncertainty in temperature range for given CO2 concentration is down to acknowledging unknowns that determine climate sensitivity. There is no “incorrect data” per se.

  6. RedLogix 6

    The forecast storm track is well visualised here; push forward to next Monday/Tuesday:

    https://www.windy.com/?-27.467,153.050,5

    Look how far south this bugger could get with steady 100km/hr winds! Gusts will be 50% higher.

    Otherwise another very good post Ad. Not too many people understand that with all of it’s at risk infrastructure Local Govt will be the first place climate change will hit with nasty expensive impact.

    • Ad 6.1

      Sexy site cheers Redlogix.
      Leaves metvuw graphics for dead with its dataset integration.
      Piece of awesome for my inner weather nerd.

    • Bill 6.2

      That looks like, erm…”fun days” if it turns out to be an accurate prediction.

      • Anne 6.2.1

        When a cyclone reaches sub-tropical waters they tend to drift towards lower isobaric pressure. So, the weather system to watch will be the ridge of high pressure which is expected to move onto the country mid-week. If it hangs around long enough to include most of the week-end then we should miss the worst of the cyclone and it will toddle past well to the west of NZ without causing too much damage. On the other hand if the high drifts relatively quickly eastward (as apparently depicted on most of the models) then that will allow the bastard to track over the top of us.

        Oh yes, I am (as always) a little ray of sunshine. 🙂

  7. fender 7

    ” Most New Zealand coastal towns and cities will fare the same. Nobody has dared guess what that means for property values, but either the market or the insurance industry will be the first to tell us.”

    The Kapiti Coast District Council tried to warn of the future consequences for beachfront properties on LIM reports and got taken to court by upset residents for their troubles.

    • Ad 7.1

      Plenty of District Councils have tried.

      Which is why I think people will really “hear it” first from their insurance premiums and real estate agents.

      • RedLogix 7.1.1

        There are a number of locations in NZ where I can confirm this is happening already, and it will only get worse as awareness slowly dawns on more and more people.

  8. cleangreen 8

    Well after the storm we will know then what to do wont we?

    Get a boat?
    Get a raft?
    Get a house high above the flood plane?
    Get out of Auckland?
    Get away from the coast?
    Get a helicopter?.
    Join me up in the mountains, I am 1600 ft above sea level and I already have a dingy.

  9. timeforacupoftea 9

    Wet feet again, nothing new here.

  10. Nick K 10

    Storms are very common in a La Niña weather pattern. It has nothing to do with the climate.

    • ropata 10.1

      Storms and La Nina has nothing to do with the climate? OK then…

      • Nick K 10.1.1

        The weather and the climate are not the same.

        This is weather.

        • Ad 10.1.1.1

          A storm is coming

        • RedLogix 10.1.1.2

          Weather is the high frequency component of climate. Weather is what we experience on a daily basis, while climate changes on a scale of decades and is far too slow for us humans to directly perceive it changing. In this sense weather and climate are indeed different things.

          But climate is low frequency mean of weather. All the important impacts on a large scale, such as the ice caps, oceanic currents, the range of species, sea temperatures, and so on respond to this long term cumulative all weather events, and it’s these indirect changes we are very definitely measuring. In this sense they are exactly the same thing.

          However which way us humans want to play with words, the physics remain the same. Trying to make an argument by pivoting on a selective semantic quibble will cut no mustard here.

  11. Ad 11

    Still on track to hit New Zealand late Tuesday and then Wednesday.

  12. Ad 12

    The highest risks to the New Zealand economy for 2018, according to the World Economic Forum, are out.

    Put together in partnership with the Marsh & McLennan Companies (MMC) Risk Center, the research polls 1000 senior business leaders from the World Economic Forum’s global network.

    The results showed the top five global risks (by likelihood) were perceived to be:

    – extreme weather,
    – natural disaster,
    – cyberattacks,
    – data theft and
    – failure to adapt to climate change.

    http://www.nzherald.co.nz/business/news/article.cfm?c_id=3&objectid=11993533

    A storm is coming.

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  • How to Screen Record on a Dell Laptop A Guide to Capturing Your Screen with Ease
    Screen recording has become an essential tool for various purposes, such as creating tutorials, capturing gameplay footage, recording online meetings, or sharing information with others. Fortunately, Dell laptops offer several built-in and external options for screen recording, catering to different needs and preferences. This guide will explore various methods on ...
    20 hours ago
  • How Much Does it Cost to Fix a Laptop Screen? Navigating Repair Options and Costs
    A cracked or damaged laptop screen can be a frustrating experience, impacting productivity and enjoyment. Fortunately, laptop screen repair is a common service offered by various repair shops and technicians. However, the cost of fixing a laptop screen can vary significantly depending on several factors. This article delves into the ...
    20 hours ago
  • How Long Do Gaming Laptops Last? Demystifying Lifespan and Maximizing Longevity
    Gaming laptops represent a significant investment for passionate gamers, offering portability and powerful performance for immersive gaming experiences. However, a common concern among potential buyers is their lifespan. Unlike desktop PCs, which allow for easier component upgrades, gaming laptops have inherent limitations due to their compact and integrated design. This ...
    20 hours ago
  • Climate Change: Turning the tide
    The annual inventory report of New Zealand's greenhouse gas emissions has been released, showing that gross emissions have dropped for the third year in a row, to 78.4 million tons: All-told gross emissions have decreased by over 6 million tons since the Zero Carbon Act was passed in 2019. ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    21 hours ago
  • How to Unlock Your Computer A Comprehensive Guide to Regaining Access
    Experiencing a locked computer can be frustrating, especially when you need access to your files and applications urgently. The methods to unlock your computer will vary depending on the specific situation and the type of lock you encounter. This guide will explore various scenarios and provide step-by-step instructions on how ...
    22 hours ago
  • Faxing from Your Computer A Modern Guide to Sending Documents Digitally
    While the world has largely transitioned to digital communication, faxing still holds relevance in certain industries and situations. Fortunately, gone are the days of bulky fax machines and dedicated phone lines. Today, you can easily send and receive faxes directly from your computer, offering a convenient and efficient way to ...
    22 hours ago
  • Protecting Your Home Computer A Guide to Cyber Awareness
    In our increasingly digital world, home computers have become essential tools for work, communication, entertainment, and more. However, this increased reliance on technology also exposes us to various cyber threats. Understanding these threats and taking proactive steps to protect your home computer is crucial for safeguarding your personal information, finances, ...
    22 hours ago
  • Server-Based Computing Powering the Modern Digital Landscape
    In the ever-evolving world of technology, server-based computing has emerged as a cornerstone of modern digital infrastructure. This article delves into the concept of server-based computing, exploring its various forms, benefits, challenges, and its impact on the way we work and interact with technology. Understanding Server-Based Computing: At its core, ...
    22 hours ago
  • Vroom vroom go the big red trucks
    The absolute brass neck of this guy.We want more medical doctors, not more spin doctors, Luxon was saying a couple of weeks ago, and now we’re told the guy has seven salaried adults on TikTok duty. Sorry, doing social media. The absolute brass neck of it. The irony that the ...
    More Than A FeildingBy David Slack
    22 hours ago
  • Jones finds $410,000 to help the government muscle in on a spat project
    Buzz from the Beehive Oceans and Fisheries Minister Shane Jones relishes spatting and eagerly takes issue with environmentalists who criticise his enthusiasm for resource development. He relishes helping the fishing industry too. And so today, while the media are making much of the latest culling in the public service to ...
    Point of OrderBy Bob Edlin
    23 hours ago
  • Again, hate crimes are not necessarily terrorism.
    Having written, taught and worked for the US government on issues involving unconventional warfare and terrorism for 30-odd years, two things irritate me the most when the subject is discussed in public. The first is the Johnny-come-lately academics-turned-media commentators who … Continue reading ...
    KiwipoliticoBy Pablo
    1 day ago
  • Despair – construction consenting edition
    Eric Crampton writes – Kainga Ora is the government’s house building agency. It’s been building a lot of social housing. Kainga Ora has its own (but independent) consenting authority, Consentium. It’s a neat idea. Rather than have to deal with building consents across each different territorial authority, Kainga Ora ...
    Point of OrderBy poonzteam5443
    1 day ago
  • Coalition promises – will the Govt keep the commitment to keep Kiwis equal before the law?
    Muriel Newman writes – The Coalition Government says it is moving with speed to deliver campaign promises and reverse the damage done by Labour. One of their key commitments is to “defend the principle that New Zealanders are equal before the law.” To achieve this, they have pledged they “will not advance ...
    Point of OrderBy poonzteam5443
    1 day ago
  • An impermanent public service is a guarantee of very little else but failure
    Chris Trotter writes –  The absence of anything resembling a fightback from the public servants currently losing their jobs is interesting. State-sector workers’ collective fatalism in the face of Coalition cutbacks indicates a surprisingly broad acceptance of impermanence in the workplace. Fifty years ago, lay-offs in the thousands ...
    Point of OrderBy poonzteam5443
    1 day ago
  • What happens after the war – Mariupol
    Mariupol, on the Azov Sea coast, was one of the first cities to suffer almost complete destruction after the start of the Ukraine War started in late February 2022. We remember the scenes of absolute destruction of the houses and city structures. The deaths of innocent civilians – many of ...
    1 day ago
  • Babies and benefits – no good news
    Lindsay Mitchell writes – Ten years ago, I wrote the following in a Listener column: Every year around one in five new-born babies will be reliant on their caregivers benefit by Christmas. This pattern has persisted from at least 1993. For Maori the number jumps to over one in three.  ...
    Point of OrderBy poonzteam5443
    1 day ago
  • Should the RBNZ be looking through climate inflation?
    Climate change is expected to generate more and more extreme events, delivering a sort of structural shock to inflation that central banks will have to react to as if they were short-term cyclical issues. Photo: Lynn Grieveson / The KākāMy pick of the six newsey things to know from Aotearoa’s ...
    The KakaBy Bernard Hickey
    1 day ago
  • Bernard's pick 'n' mix of the news links
    The top six news links I’ve seen elsewhere in the last 24 hours, as of 9:16 am on Thursday, April 18 are:Housing: Tauranga residents living in boats, vans RNZ Checkpoint Louise TernouthHousing: Waikato councillor says wastewater plant issues could hold up Sleepyhead building a massive company town Waikato Times Stephen ...
    The KakaBy Bernard Hickey
    1 day ago
  • Gordon Campbell on the public sector carnage, and misogyny as terrorism
    It’s a simple deal. We pay taxes in order to finance the social services we want and need. The carnage now occurring across the public sector though, is breaking that contract. Over 3,000 jobs have been lost so far. Many are in crucial areas like Education where the impact of ...
    1 day ago
  • Meeting the Master Baiters
    Hi,A friend had their 40th over the weekend and decided to theme it after Curb Your Enthusiasm fashion icon Susie Greene. Captured in my tiny kitchen before I left the house, I ending up evoking a mix of old lesbian and Hillary Clinton — both unintentional.Me vs Hillary ClintonIf you’re ...
    David FarrierBy David Farrier
    1 day ago
  • How extreme was the Earth's temperature in 2023
    This is a re-post from Andrew Dessler at the Climate Brink blog In 2023, the Earth reached temperature levels unprecedented in modern times. Given that, it’s reasonable to ask: What’s going on? There’s been lots of discussions by scientists about whether this is just the normal progression of global warming or if something ...
    2 days ago
  • Backbone, revisited
    The schools are on holiday and the sun is shining in the seaside village and all day long I have been seeing bunches of bikes; Mums, Dads, teens and toddlers chattering, laughing, happy, having a bloody great time together. Cheers, AT, for the bits of lane you’ve added lately around the ...
    More Than A FeildingBy David Slack
    2 days ago
  • Ministers are not above the law
    Today in our National-led authoritarian nightmare: Shane Jones thinks Ministers should be above the law: New Zealand First MP Shane Jones is accusing the Waitangi Tribunal of over-stepping its mandate by subpoenaing a minister for its urgent hearing on the Oranga Tamariki claim. The tribunal is looking into the ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    2 days ago
  • What’s the outfit you can hear going down the gurgler? Probably it’s David Parker’s Oceans Sec...
    Buzz from the Beehive Point  of Order first heard of the Oceans Secretariat in June 2021, when David Parker (remember him?) announced a multi-agency approach to protecting New Zealand’s marine ecosystems and fisheries. Parker (holding the Environment, and Oceans and Fisheries portfolios) broke the news at the annual Forest & ...
    Point of OrderBy Bob Edlin
    2 days ago
  • Will politicians let democracy die in the darkness?
    Bryce Edwards writes  – Politicians across the political spectrum are implicated in the New Zealand media’s failing health. Either through neglect or incompetent interventions, successive governments have failed to regulate, foster, and allow a healthy Fourth Estate that can adequately hold politicians and the powerful to account. ...
    Point of OrderBy poonzteam5443
    2 days ago
  • Matt Doocey doubles down on trans “healthcare”
    Citizen Science writes –  Last week saw two significant developments in the debate over the treatment of trans-identifying children and young people – the release in Britain of the final report of Dr Hilary Cass’s review into gender healthcare, and here in New Zealand, the news that the ...
    Point of OrderBy poonzteam5443
    2 days ago
  • A TikTok Prime Minister.
    One night while sleeping in my bed I had a beautiful dreamThat all the people of the world got together on the same wavelengthAnd began helping one anotherNow in this dream, universal love was the theme of the dayPeace and understanding and it happened this wayAfter such an eventful day ...
    Nick’s KōreroBy Nick Rockel
    2 days ago
  • Texas Lessons
    This is a guest post by Oscar Simms who is a housing activist, volunteer for the Coalition for More Homes, and was the Labour Party candidate for Auckland Central at the last election. ...
    Greater AucklandBy Guest Post
    2 days ago
  • Bernard's pick 'n' mix of the news links at 6:06 am
    The top six news links I’ve seen elsewhere in the last 24 hours as of 6:06 am on Wednesday, April 17 are:Must read: Secrecy shrouds which projects might be fast-tracked RNZ Farah HancockScoop: Revealed: Luxon has seven staffers working on social media content - partly paid for by taxpayer Newshub ...
    The KakaBy Bernard Hickey
    2 days ago
  • Fighting poverty on the holiday highway
    Turning what Labour called the “holiday highway” into a four-lane expressway from Auckland to Whangarei could bring at least an economic benefit of nearly two billion a year for Northland each year. And it could help bring an end to poverty in one of New Zealand’s most deprived regions. The ...
    PolitikBy Richard Harman
    2 days ago
  • Bernard's six-stack of substacks at 6:26 pm
    Tonight’s six-stack includes: launching his substack with a bunch of his previous documentaries, including this 1992 interview with Dame Whina Cooper. and here crew give climate activists plenty to do, including this call to submit against the Fast Track Approvals bill. writes brilliantly here on his substack ...
    The KakaBy Bernard Hickey
    3 days ago
  • At a glance – Is the science settled?
    On February 14, 2023 we announced our Rebuttal Update Project. This included an ask for feedback about the added "At a glance" section in the updated basic rebuttal versions. This weekly blog post series highlights this new section of one of the updated basic rebuttal versions and serves as a ...
    3 days ago
  • Apposite Quotations.
    How Long Is Long Enough? Gaza under Israeli bombardment, July 2014. This posting is exclusive to Bowalley Road. ...
    3 days ago
  • What’s a life worth now?
    You're in the mall when you hear it: some kind of popping sound in the distance, kids with fireworks, maybe. But then a moment of eerie stillness is followed by more of the fireworks sound and there’s also screaming and shrieking and now here come people running for their lives.Does ...
    More Than A FeildingBy David Slack
    3 days ago
  • Howling at the Moon
    Karl du Fresne writes –  There’s a crisis in the news media and the media are blaming it on everyone except themselves. Culpability is being deflected elsewhere – mainly to the hapless Minister of Communications, Melissa Lee, and the big social media platforms that are accused of hoovering ...
    Point of OrderBy poonzteam5443
    3 days ago
  • Newshub is Dead.
    I don’t normally send out two newsletters in a day but I figured I’d say something about… the news. If two newsletters is a bit much then maybe just skip one, I don’t want to overload people. Alternatively if you’d be interested in sometimes receiving multiple, smaller updates from me, ...
    Nick’s KōreroBy Nick Rockel
    3 days ago
  • Seymour is chuffed about cutting early-learning red tape – but we hear, too, that Jones has loose...
    Buzz from the Beehive David Seymour and Winston Peters today signalled that at least two ministers of the Crown might be in Wellington today. Seymour (as Associate Minister of Education) announced the removal of more red tape, this time to make it easier for new early learning services to be ...
    Point of OrderBy Bob Edlin
    3 days ago
  • Bryce Edwards: Will politicians let democracy die in the darkness?
    Politicians across the political spectrum are implicated in the New Zealand media’s failing health. Either through neglect or incompetent interventions, successive governments have failed to regulate, foster, and allow a healthy Fourth Estate that can adequately hold politicians and the powerful to account. Our political system is suffering from the ...
    Democracy ProjectBy bryce.edwards
    3 days ago
  • Was Hawkesby entirely wrong?
    David Farrar  writes –  The Broadcasting Standards Authority ruled: Comments by radio host Kate Hawkesby suggesting Māori and Pacific patients were being prioritised for surgery due to their ethnicity were misleading and discriminatory, the Broadcasting Standards Authority has found. It is a fact such patients are prioritised. ...
    Point of OrderBy poonzteam5443
    3 days ago
  • PRC shadow looms as the Solomons head for election
    PRC and its proxies in Solomons have been preparing for these elections for a long time. A lot of money, effort and intelligence have gone into ensuring an outcome that won’t compromise Beijing’s plans. Cleo Paskall writes – On April 17th the Solomon Islands, a country of ...
    Point of OrderBy poonzteam5443
    3 days ago
  • Climate Change: Criminal ecocide
    We are in the middle of a climate crisis. Last year was (again) the hottest year on record. NOAA has just announced another global coral bleaching event. Floods are threatening UK food security. So naturally, Shane Jones wants to make it easier to mine coal: Resources Minister Shane Jones ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    3 days ago
  • Is saving one minute of a politician's time worth nearly $1 billion?
    Is speeding up the trip to and from Wellington airport by 12 minutes worth spending up more than $10 billion? Photo: Lynn Grieveson / The KākāTL;DR: The six news items that stood out to me in the last day to 8:26 am today are:The Lead: Transport Minister Simeon Brown announced ...
    The KakaBy Bernard Hickey
    3 days ago
  • Long Tunnel or Long Con?
    Yesterday it was revealed that Transport Minister had asked Waka Kotahi to look at the options for a long tunnel through Wellington. State Highway 1 (SH1) through Wellington City is heavily congested at peak times and while planning continues on the duplicate Mt Victoria Tunnel and Basin Reserve project, the ...
    3 days ago
  • Smoke And Mirrors.
    You're a fraud, and you know itBut it's too good to throw it all awayAnyone would do the sameYou've got 'em goingAnd you're careful not to show itSometimes you even fool yourself a bitIt's like magicBut it's always been a smoke and mirrors gameAnyone would do the sameForty six billion ...
    Nick’s KōreroBy Nick Rockel
    3 days ago
  • What is Mexico doing about climate change?
    This is a re-post from Yale Climate Connections The June general election in Mexico could mark a turning point in ensuring that the country’s climate policies better reflect the desire of its citizens to address the climate crisis, with both leading presidential candidates expressing support for renewable energy. Mexico is the ...
    3 days ago
  • State of humanity, 2024
    2024, it feels, keeps presenting us with ever more challenges, ever more dismay.Do you give up yet? It seems to ask.No? How about this? Or this?How about this?When I say 2024 I really mean the state of humanity in 2024.Saturday night, we watched Civil War because that is one terrifying cliff we've ...
    More Than A FeildingBy David Slack
    4 days ago
  • Govt’s Wellington tunnel vision aims to ease the way to the airport (but zealous promoters of cycl...
    Buzz from the Beehive A pet project and governmental tunnel vision jump out from the latest batch of ministerial announcements. The government is keen to assure us of its concern for the wellbeing of our pets. It will be introducing pet bonds in a change to the Residential Tenancies Act ...
    Point of OrderBy Bob Edlin
    4 days ago
  • The case for cultural connectedness
    A recent report generated from a Growing Up in New Zealand (GUiNZ) survey of 1,224 rangatahi Māori aged 11-12 found: Cultural connectedness was associated with fewer depression symptoms, anxiety symptoms and better quality of life. That sounds cut and dry. But further into the report the following appears: Cultural connectedness is ...
    Point of OrderBy poonzteam5443
    4 days ago
  • Useful context on public sector job cuts
    David Farrar writes –    The Herald reports: From the gory details of job-cuts news, you’d think the public service was being eviscerated.   While the media’s view of the cuts is incomplete, it’s also true that departments have been leaking the particulars faster than a Wellington ...
    Point of OrderBy poonzteam5443
    4 days ago
  • Gordon Campbell On When Racism Comes Disguised As Anti-racism
    Remember the good old days, back when New Zealand had a PM who could think and speak calmly and intelligently in whole sentences without blustering? Even while Iran’s drones and missiles were still being launched, Helen Clark was live on TVNZ expertly summing up the latest crisis in the Middle ...
    4 days ago
  • Govt ignored economic analysis of smokefree reversal
    Costello did not pass on analysis of the benefits of the smokefree reforms to Cabinet, emphasising instead the extra tax revenues of repealing them. Photo: Hagen Hopkins, Getty Images TL;DR: The six news items that stood out to me at 7:26 am today are:The Lead: Casey Costello never passed on ...
    The KakaBy Bernard Hickey
    4 days ago
  • True Blue.
    True loveYou're the one I'm dreaming ofYour heart fits me like a gloveAnd I'm gonna be true blueBaby, I love youI’ve written about the job cuts in our news media last week. The impact on individuals, and the loss to Aotearoa of voices covering our news from different angles.That by ...
    Nick’s KōreroBy Nick Rockel
    4 days ago
  • Who is running New Zealand’s foreign policy?
    While commentators, including former Prime Minister Helen Clark, are noting a subtle shift in New Zealand’s foreign policy, which now places more emphasis on the United States, many have missed a key element of the shift. What National said before the election is not what the government is doing now. ...
    PolitikBy Richard Harman
    4 days ago
  • 2024 SkS Weekly Climate Change & Global Warming News Roundup #15
    A listing of 31 news and opinion articles we found interesting and shared on social media during the past week: Sun, April 7, 2024 thru Sat, April 13, 2024. Story of the week Our story of the week is about adults in the room setting terms and conditions of ...
    5 days ago
  • Feline Friends and Fragile Fauna The Complexities of Cats in New Zealand’s Conservation Efforts

    Cats, with their independent spirit and beguiling purrs, have captured the hearts of humans for millennia. In New Zealand, felines are no exception, boasting the highest national cat ownership rate globally [definition cat nz cat foundation]. An estimated 1.134 million pet cats grace Kiwi households, compared to 683,000 dogs ...

    5 days ago
  • Or is that just they want us to think?
    Nice guy, that Peter Williams. Amiable, a calm air of no-nonsense capability, a winning smile. Everything you look for in a TV presenter and newsreader.I used to see him sometimes when I went to TVNZ to be a talking head or a panellist and we would yarn. Nice guy, that ...
    More Than A FeildingBy David Slack
    5 days ago
  • Fact Brief – Did global warming stop in 1998?
    Skeptical Science is partnering with Gigafact to produce fact briefs — bite-sized fact checks of trending claims. This fact brief was written by Sue Bin Park in collaboration with members from our Skeptical Science team. You can submit claims you think need checking via the tipline. Did global warming stop in ...
    6 days ago
  • Arguing over a moot point.
    I have been following recent debates in the corporate and social media about whether it is a good idea for NZ to join what is known as “AUKUS Pillar Two.” AUKUS is the Australian-UK-US nuclear submarine building agreement in which … Continue reading ...
    KiwipoliticoBy Pablo
    6 days ago
  • No Longer Trusted: Ageing Boomers, Laurie & Les, Talk Politics.
    Turning Point: What has turned me away from the mainstream news media is the very strong message that its been sending out for the last few years.” “And what message might that be?” “That the people who own it, the people who run it, and the people who provide its content, really don’t ...
    6 days ago
  • Mortgage rates at 10% anyone?
    No – nothing about that in PM Luxon’s nine-point plan to improve the lives of New Zealanders. But beyond our shores Jamie Dimon, the long-serving head of global bank J.P. Morgan Chase, reckons that the chances of a goldilocks soft landing for the economy are “a lot lower” than the ...
    Point of OrderBy xtrdnry
    6 days ago

  • Minister releases Fast-track stakeholder list
    The Government is today releasing a list of organisations who received letters about the Fast-track applications process, says RMA Reform Minister Chris Bishop. “Recently Ministers and agencies have received a series of OIA requests for a list of organisations to whom I wrote with information on applying to have a ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    45 mins ago
  • Judicial appointments announced
    Attorney-General Judith Collins today announced the appointment of Wellington Barrister David Jonathan Boldt as a Judge of the High Court, and the Honourable Justice Matthew Palmer as a Judge of the Court of Appeal. Justice Boldt graduated with an LLB from Victoria University of Wellington in 1990, and also holds ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 hour ago
  • Education Minister heads to major teaching summit in Singapore
    Education Minister Erica Stanford will lead the New Zealand delegation at the 2024 International Summit on the Teaching Profession (ISTP) held in Singapore. The delegation includes representatives from the Post Primary Teachers’ Association (PPTA) Te Wehengarua and the New Zealand Educational Institute (NZEI) Te Riu Roa.  The summit is co-hosted ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 hours ago
  • Value of stopbank project proven during cyclone
    A stopbank upgrade project in Tairawhiti partly funded by the Government has increased flood resilience for around 7000ha of residential and horticultural land so far, Regional Development Minister Shane Jones says. Mr Jones today attended a dawn service in Gisborne to mark the end of the first stage of the ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 hours ago
  • Anzac commemorations, Türkiye relationship focus of visit
    Foreign Affairs Minister Winston Peters will represent the Government at Anzac Day commemorations on the Gallipoli Peninsula next week and engage with senior representatives of the Turkish government in Istanbul.    “The Gallipoli campaign is a defining event in our history. It will be a privilege to share the occasion ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 hours ago
  • Minister to Europe for OECD meeting, Anzac Day
    Science, Innovation and Technology and Defence Minister Judith Collins will next week attend the OECD Science and Technology Ministerial conference in Paris and Anzac Day commemorations in Belgium. “Science, innovation and technology have a major role to play in rebuilding our economy and achieving better health, environmental and social outcomes ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    5 hours ago
  • Comprehensive Partnership the goal for NZ and the Philippines
    Prime Minister Christopher Luxon held a bilateral meeting today with the President of the Philippines, Ferdinand Marcos Jr.  The Prime Minister was accompanied by MP Paulo Garcia, the first Filipino to be elected to a legislature outside the Philippines. During today’s meeting, Prime Minister Luxon and President Marcos Jr discussed opportunities to ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    16 hours ago
  • Government commits $20m to Westport flood protection
    The Government has announced that $20 million in funding will be made available to Westport to fund much needed flood protection around the town. This measure will significantly improve the resilience of the community, says Local Government Minister Simeon Brown. “The Westport community has already been allocated almost $3 million ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    22 hours ago
  • Taupō takes pole position
    The Government is proud to support the first ever Repco Supercars Championship event in Taupō as up to 70,000 motorsport fans attend the Taupō International Motorsport Park this weekend, says Economic Development Minister Melissa Lee. “Anticipation for the ITM Taupō Super400 is huge, with tickets and accommodation selling out weeks ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    23 hours ago
  • Cost of living support for low-income homeowners
    Local Government Minister Simeon Brown has announced an increase to the Rates Rebate Scheme, putting money back into the pockets of low-income homeowners.  “The coalition Government is committed to bringing down the cost of living for New Zealanders. That includes targeted support for those Kiwis who are doing things tough, such ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 day ago
  • Government backing mussel spat project
    The Coalition Government is investing in a project to boost survival rates of New Zealand mussels and grow the industry, Oceans and Fisheries Minister Shane Jones has announced. “This project seeks to increase the resilience of our mussels and significantly boost the sector’s productivity,” Mr Jones says. “The project - ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 day ago
  • Government focused on getting people into work
    Benefit figures released today underscore the importance of the Government’s plan to rebuild the economy and have 50,000 fewer people on Jobseeker Support, Social Development and Employment Minister Louise Upston says. “Benefit numbers are still significantly higher than when National was last in government, when there was about 70,000 fewer ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 day ago
  • Clean energy key driver to reducing emissions
    The Government’s commitment to doubling New Zealand’s renewable energy capacity is backed by new data showing that clean energy has helped the country reach its lowest annual gross emissions since 1999, Climate Change Minister Simon Watts says. New Zealand’s latest Greenhouse Gas Inventory (1990-2022) published today, shows gross emissions fell ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 day ago
  • Earthquake-prone buildings review brought forward
    The Government is bringing the earthquake-prone building review forward, with work to start immediately, and extending the deadline for remediations by four years, Building and Construction Minister Chris Penk says. “Our Government is focused on rebuilding the economy. A key part of our plan is to cut red tape that ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 day ago
  • Thailand and NZ to agree to Strategic Partnership
    Prime Minister Christopher Luxon and his Thai counterpart, Prime Minister Srettha Thavisin, have today agreed that New Zealand and the Kingdom of Thailand will upgrade the bilateral relationship to a Strategic Partnership by 2026. “New Zealand and Thailand have a lot to offer each other. We have a strong mutual desire to build ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago
  • Government consults on extending coastal permits for ports
    RMA Reform Minister Chris Bishop and Transport Minister Simeon Brown have today announced the Coalition Government’s intention to extend port coastal permits for a further 20 years, providing port operators with certainty to continue their operations. “The introduction of the Resource Management Act in 1991 required ports to obtain coastal ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago
  • Inflation coming down, but more work to do
    Today’s announcement that inflation is down to 4 per cent is encouraging news for Kiwis, but there is more work to be done - underlining the importance of the Government’s plan to get the economy back on track, acting Finance Minister Chris Bishop says. “Inflation is now at 4 per ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago
  • School attendance restored as a priority in health advice
    Refreshed health guidance released today will help parents and schools make informed decisions about whether their child needs to be in school, addressing one of the key issues affecting school attendance, says Associate Education Minister David Seymour. In recent years, consistently across all school terms, short-term illness or medical reasons ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago
  • Unnecessary bureaucracy cut in oceans sector
    Oceans and Fisheries Minister Shane Jones is streamlining high-level oceans management while maintaining a focus on supporting the sector’s role in the export-led recovery of the economy. “I am working to realise the untapped potential of our fishing and aquaculture sector. To achieve that we need to be smarter with ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago
  • Patterson promoting NZ’s wool sector at International Congress
    Associate Agriculture Minister Mark Patterson is speaking at the International Wool Textile Organisation Congress in Adelaide, promoting New Zealand wool, and outlining the coalition Government’s support for the revitalisation the sector.    "New Zealand’s wool exports reached $400 million in the year to 30 June 2023, and the coalition Government ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • Removing red tape to help early learners thrive
    The Government is making legislative changes to make it easier for new early learning services to be established, and for existing services to operate, Associate Education Minister David Seymour says. The changes involve repealing the network approval provisions that apply when someone wants to establish a new early learning service, ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • RMA changes to cut coal mining consent red tape
    Changes to the Resource Management Act will align consenting for coal mining to other forms of mining to reduce barriers that are holding back economic development, Resources Minister Shane Jones says. “The inconsistent treatment of coal mining compared with other extractive activities is burdensome red tape that fails to acknowledge ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • McClay reaffirms strong NZ-China trade relationship
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