About the latest Colmar Brunton poll

Written By: - Date published: 7:55 am, September 28th, 2021 - 152 comments
Categories: act, Christopher Luxon, david seymour, greens, jacinda ardern, Judith Collins, labour, national, nz first, polls, Simon Bridges, uncategorized - Tags:

So the latest Colmar Brunton One News poll has been released.  And the results are:

The commentary is interesting.  Pundits claim that both Labour and National have suffered some damage.  The reality is that Labour is at levels that in any MMP election except for the last it would have dreamed of.  If in the future Labour repeated its result from the last election I would give up political activism because it would no longer be needed.  I would join up with Greenpeace and buy some super glue.

To repeat this result for Labour was better than any MMP result except for the last one.  And this result for National was worse than any MMP result except for 2002 which was pretty spectacularly bad.

Labour and Green are on 51%.  National and Act are on 40%.  This is still comfortable.  At the 2014 election the Labour-Green total was 36% by way of comparison.

New Zealand First’s surge is of concern.  If they made it back next election they would be a major impediment.  Now is the time for brave decisive leadership.  Now is not the time to allow the rantings of your grandfather talking about how it used to be to divert attention from the really important decisions we need to make to address future crises like, for instance, climate change.

Act is doing well.  There are many grumpy people around.  There has been loud concerted public commentary against the latest lockdown?  It is not as if Aotearoa is performing better than all of the OECD in terms of Covid deaths.  Well actually we are but judging from the commentary this feature is not relevant.  Democracy is a complicated beast.  Uninformed random reckons are numerically worth just as much as the most pristine rational intellectually informed opinions.  And there is a market for those who stroke ill informed opinions.

The leadership result was interesting.  There will be some effort to suggest that Jacinda’s 44% support rating is somehow a vote of no confidence.  For many years I have dreamed of this sort of result for a Labour leader.

Judith Collins is in major trouble.  The repeated leaking from her caucus reminds me of how Kevin Rudd undermined Julia Gillard.  The leaking was totally motivated by self interest and not by a desire to improve the common good.  Political parties with this sort of activity should be punished mercilessly.  Having a caucus with this level of shit fuckery happening in it should be reason for the electorate to never trust them again.

For Labour this is a good result, down from the stratospheric recent results but totally consistent with the mood of the electorate, that still celebrates our Covid status but is tiring of lockdowns.  And for National this is a catastrophe.  Their leader is operating at just over a tenth of the popularity levels of Labour’s leader.

For Judith the only question is when.  For Labour if they can overcome this latest Covid incursion I would expect their support to improve.

152 comments on “About the latest Colmar Brunton poll ”

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  1. Gosman 1
    28 September 2021 at 8:22 am

    Labour and The Greens on 51% at this point in the election cycle with the pandemic and government responses foremost in voters minds is not as strong a position as you suggest. They do have another buffer in the 2% support that the Maori Party and the support for parties below the 5% threshold but we are only talking about a 4 or 5% swing needed for the Center right. That is certainly very possible in two years especially given the fact that the government is failing on a number of key areas like housing and the 3-waters debacle.

    • observer 1.1
      28 September 2021 at 8:32 am

      "Centre right" … ha ha.

      You can't be gung-ho for ACT's grubby race-baiting and still claim the centre. Pick one.

      You might want to check these numbers first …

      https://www.newshub.co.nz/home/politics/2021/05/newshub-reid-research-poll-the-race-relations-debate-kiwis-think-judith-collins-is-being-divisive.html

      • Michael 1.1.1
        28 September 2021 at 2:45 pm

        Nothing "centre-Right" about ACT, or National under Crusher. A combined total of 40% tells me that the politics of hate and fear are doing well. A good result from Labour and Greens but no room for complacency.

    • lprent 1.2
      28 September 2021 at 9:33 am

      National and Act on 40% at this point in the election cycle with the pandemic and government responses foremost in voters minds is not as strong a position as you suggest. They do not have another buffer unless the grandfather vote swings their way – but of course he still remembers National from 1998.

      • Gosman 1.2.1
        28 September 2021 at 9:52 am

        Eh??? I don't understand the reference to grandfather vote and 1998. Perhaps your comment would have more impact if you took the time to explain that bit or is this just an internal joke for yourself?

        • roblogic 1.2.1.1
          28 September 2021 at 12:17 pm

          IIRC it was when Shipley stabbed Jim Bolger in the back.. and Collins is nowhere near as competent as that lot

        • Barfly 1.2.1.2
          28 September 2021 at 1:49 pm

          Duh…Winston Peters and the waka jumpers Gosman. Winston does not forget or forgive betrayal of such magnitude.

        • lprent 1.2.1.3
          28 September 2021 at 6:42 pm

          Try reading the post for a change rather than skipping straight to comments. It makes sense if you can read..

          A robust debate isn’t made by someone shouting (or commenting) fast. It is made by responding to points raised by others as well as pushing your own views. Regrettably you seldom do the former. In case you do ‘t appear to have read the post providing providing debate context – it is no wonder that you are dazed and confused.

  2. observer 2
    28 September 2021 at 8:24 am

    Historical comparison: 2nd term, 1 year in. Key in 2012, heading for a 3rd term.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_2014_New_Zealand_general_election

    National's pollling then similar to Labour now, across a range of polls. But National had to do it all on their own (bar a couple of one-seat rats and mice). They did have the Maori Party onside, but that version of the party was not today's, and nor was National.

    Despite a lack of allies, Key won his 3rd term comfortably enough. Ardern's position is clearly stronger.

  3. Gezza 3
    28 September 2021 at 8:25 am

    “I would join up with Greenpeace and buy some super glue.”
    ………………………………..

    I’m new here, so forgive me if I’m a little slow on the uptake sometimes. But why would you buy superglue, exactly?

    I reckon a party to watch might also be Te Pāti Māori. They’ve a pretty slick website going & have a clear strategy to raise their profile with political stunts & authentic campaigning on Māori issues. They will compete strongly for a lot more votes from Māori voters.

    • I Feel Love 3.1
      28 September 2021 at 8:32 am

      Agree with you there Gezza, & I hope so. (& not just māori voters, I’ve voted for them in the past & I doubt I’m the only non māori to do so).

      • Gezza 3.1.1
        28 September 2021 at 8:58 am

        No, you’re not alone there. This Pākehā has voted Labour for candidate & Māori for party too. 👍🏼

        Altho I’m keeping an eye on Rawiri Waititi ti make sure he doesn’t lean too far into the realm of Pākehā-bashing for Māori votes.

    • Gosman 3.2
      28 September 2021 at 8:34 am

      What will that likely mean in terms of the Center Right versus Center Left bloc though?

      • Red Blooded One 3.2.1
        28 September 2021 at 8:43 am

        Perhaps with the rise of ACT we now have a Centre-Left block and a Right Block. There is so little of a Centre-Right anymore they would be under the margin of error. You can keep calling them Centre-Right to try and suit your purpose but calling a Wolf a Sheep doesn't make it Baa.

        • Gosman 3.2.1.1
          28 September 2021 at 8:55 am

          I suspect you ideological bias blinkers you to political reality.

          • Red Blooded One 3.2.1.1.1
            28 September 2021 at 8:57 am

            Pot meet kettle.

          • Ed1 3.2.1.1.2
            28 September 2021 at 10:59 am

            Which naturally applies to many people Gosman. Chris Finlayson has been selling himself to radio a bit in recent times – he described National as being a coalition between Liberals and Conservatives; he sees himself on the Liberal side of the party, able to come to accommodations with Labour to enable effective government (he referred to advice he received that to be effective, it is desirable for both government and opposition to reach agreement on about 70% of legislation). He implied that the rump of National left in Parliament is now almost entirely from the Conservative side; and that they will need significant change to return to power. Using the Liberal / Country party example from Australia would suggest a libertarian ACT party sharing far right economic policies with a socially conservative National party – probably with ACT dominant. Seymour claims to be picking up support from some former Green supporters, but I suspect that statement is more about shoring up the relationship with National than reality.

      • observer 3.2.2
        28 September 2021 at 8:44 am

        When the Centre Right have a bloc, we'll let you know.

        Are you posting from the USA?

    • Ad 3.3
      28 September 2021 at 8:38 am

      OMG you haven't been part of a strong activist group. You really missed out.

      It's how you disable their locks.

      • Gezza 3.3.1
        28 September 2021 at 9:02 am

        😳

        Why would Micky want to disable the Greens’ locks? 🤔

        (I can understand why someone might’ve wanted to disable Nándor Tánczos’s locks.)

        • Macro 3.3.1.1
          28 September 2021 at 9:37 am

          Gezza it's not the greens locks but the mining and oil drilling firms locks that the super glue is intended. Embuggerance is the name of the game.

        • Ad 3.3.1.2
          28 September 2021 at 9:38 am

          Do you know what Greenpeace do?

          • Gezza 3.3.1.2.1
            28 September 2021 at 9:55 am

            Lotsa stuff, but their NZ branch website keeps crashing & won't load on my iPad so…think I'll leave it at that, thanks.

    • Janice 3.4
      28 September 2021 at 8:47 am

      Labour and the Greens have lost women voters due to them pushing the sex self selection bill, which will erase women's safe and exclusive spaces from sports to toilets. I will be voting Te Pāti Māori if this bill goes through.

    • Robert Guyton 3.5
      28 September 2021 at 9:36 am

      For sticking your palm to your face, Gezza.

    • lprent 3.6
      28 September 2021 at 9:39 am

      But why would you buy superglue, exactly?

      It allows you to do all sorts of things like super gluing yourself to something that you do not want to be removed from. Google "activists and super glue".

      Here is an old article on the practice from 2008

    • mickysavage 3.7
      28 September 2021 at 9:52 am

      But why would you buy superglue, exactly?

      Expression of despair at the lack of action on climate change and an indication of a willingness to engage in more direct protest action.

    • Anne 3.8
      28 September 2021 at 10:13 am

      I think mickysavage might have been having a little humorous dig at Greenpeace who have a past reputation for gluing themselves to things. At least that is how I read it.

      Edit: oops. ms has already replied. Never mind.

  4. Jenny how to get there 4
    28 September 2021 at 8:42 am

    Greens N/C sad, sad , sad.

    • observer 4.1
      28 September 2021 at 8:48 am

      Why is it sad?

      The Greens' core support is higher than it once was. Previously getting up to 10+ depended on Labour being in trouble.

      In 2023, with an electorate anchor, the usual narrative ("can they stay above 5%?") will be replaced by "how much influence will they have in Ardern's 3rd term"?

      • Gosman 4.1.1
        28 September 2021 at 8:57 am

        They have to get traction on an issue of concern to more than just their core supporter base. They have failed to do that so far.

        • Muttonbird 4.1.1.1
          28 September 2021 at 9:16 am

          Err…the environment?

          • Margaritte 4.1.1.1.1
            28 September 2021 at 9:46 am

            nah there is no more support to be had from promoting 1080

          • Gosman 4.1.1.1.2
            28 September 2021 at 9:53 am

            They are failing to get any traction on the environment. Why is that do you think?

            • roy cartland 4.1.1.1.2.1
              28 September 2021 at 11:06 am

              Because you can't make an immediate fortune saving boring old trees and penguins. All you can do is avert catastrophe – for sake of OTHERS, to boot!

              And when your media makes it's dollar negating them, of course they're going to be hostile; forcing them to do crazy things just to get the oxygen.

              Gos and Andre, you could always contribute to, amplify and encourage their enviro work instead of Bradburying it. Since you seem to think it would be so nice.

            • Incognito 4.1.1.1.2.2
              28 September 2021 at 12:07 pm

              Because the ute wheels are spinning too fast in the wet mud after the recent floodings all over NZ.

          • Andre 4.1.1.1.3
            28 September 2021 at 9:58 am

            Yeah, it would be nice if the current crop of Greens actually showed more than just a token smidge of interest in the environment.

            • weka 4.1.1.1.3.1
              28 September 2021 at 10:54 am

              Lol, lazy, stupid Greens with their Climate Minister flying across the planet in the middle of a pandemic to attend strategy meetings about the most important crisis for humans of all time.

              Centre lefties are happy with Labour/Ardern's less serious approach to the environment. However the Greens pulled Labour greenward. Well done Greens.

              • Barfly …
                28 September 2021 at 1:56 pm

                "Lol, lazy, stupid Greens with their Climate Minister flying across the planet"

                Seriously? There was/.is no remote attendance option. That's not Shaw's fault it's the bloody organisers either fly or don't go either way you will be damned. Please do better Weka.

                • weka …
                  28 September 2021 at 2:15 pm

                  why are you suggesting I do better? I don't think anyone should be flying other than for essential reasons. Whether COP meetings count as essential, I don't know, the reasons for Shaw attending in person are sound, so maybe that applies to everyone? Seems more legit than say NZ letting in a million international flying tourists each year again.

            • tc 4.1.1.1.3.2
              28 September 2021 at 11:02 am

              +100 not so much Green party but more a light pastel rendition that's fading further.

              It appears that turei left and took their mojo with her

              • weka …
                28 September 2021 at 2:18 pm

                Snort. Turei got taken down and then Labour surged. Tell me about all the Labour voters that secretly want to vote GP but won't because the GP aren't left enough. No eye roll big enough for that.

                The GP policies are of course to the left of Labour still. NZ doesn't want a green government and apparently doesn't even want a workers party any more. Take that up with liberals (liberals and lefties slamming the Greens at teh same time as wanting a government with the kind of policies the Greens have is quite something to behold).

  5. Treetop 5
    28 September 2021 at 9:02 am

    I think this latest Colmar Brunton poll reflects what would National give and do for you in a Covid out break cycle?

    There is nothing better that National can do that the government are not doing or planning to do.

    Caution when it comes to opening up the country because there is no turning back once the flood gates are open.

    National has a stale leader who is not able to alter her political style which is playing the person and not the ball (a version of dirty politics).

  6. Robert Guyton 6
    28 September 2021 at 9:43 am

    I think the nature of The Greens is, and has long been, misunderstood. They will maintain their percentage of the overall vote always and it will not fall significantly nor rise significantly, save for some out-of-the-blue event. The green tribe is a fluctuating one, reacting to societal trends. There's movement in and out of the group, but it's form and bulk remains steady. There's a floor and a ceiling to their support. Presently, they are comfortably embedded in Government. The party's nature changes only slightly depending upon whether they are inside or outside of the tent. Their present situation is to be celebrated, in my opinion. They spent too long in Opposition or in the wilderness. This poll says to me, breathe easy 🙂

    • Ad 6.1
      28 September 2021 at 9:57 am

      Inhaling regularly is certainly evidence that one is indeed still alive. Something of a minimalist position for existence, but each to their own.

      Hopefully you went along to the full polling breakdown they showed in August.

      https://www.greens.org.nz/august_green_party_polling_update

      At the 2020 election the Greens got 7.9% and Act were on 7.6%.

      Quite possibly most of the Green solid supporters would feel the same way as you and it's sufficient to exist, whether one is in government or not.

      Act are showing the Greens that it's possible to get off your ass, do some fucking work, and get rewarded for it.

      • arkie 6.1.1
        28 September 2021 at 10:30 am

        Just one example of the Greens doing ‘some fucking work’ and we, as a nation, are rewarded when the Govt is forced to act:

        September 16, 2021 7:10 AM

        The Green Party is launching an open letter to the Minister for ACC asking for all birth injuries and trauma to be covered, and the letter has strong support from the sector.

        “Most injuries caused during childbirth aren’t covered by ACC, and data from ACC shows that over the past few years it has become harder to get birth injuries covered,” says Green Party spokesperson for ACC Jan Logie.

        The open letter is publicly supported by many organisations, such as the New Zealand College of Midwives, the Māori Women’s Welfare League, ACC Futures Coalition, and academics Dr Naomi Simmonds and Dr Michelle Wise.

        https://www.greens.org.nz/birth_injuries_must_be_covered_by_acc

        8:24 am today

        Thousands of women injured while giving birth will be eligible for ACC cover, under proposed changes being revealed today.

        The government estimates it will help between 17,000 to 18,000 women each year, and cost ACC around $25 million annually.

        In an exclusive interview, ACC Minister Carmel Sepuloni said it was “the right thing to do”.

        “It’s about fairness, and it is about making sure that women in this country get access to the ACC scheme to the same extent as what men do, and birth injuries can be incredibly serious.”

        https://www.rnz.co.nz/news/national/452440/government-reveals-proposed-acc-changes-to-cover-birth-injuries-the-right-thing-to-do

        • Patricia Bremner 6.1.1.1
          28 September 2021 at 10:42 am

          yessmiley Well done indeed.

        • Ad 6.1.1.2
          28 September 2021 at 10:49 am

          Hey great work on launching a letter Greens!

          Rise up that Minister and Leader of the Climate Emergency. Hold that letter high.

          Rise up that Minister for Homelessness. Blanket those homeless with copies of that letter.

          14% is in your grasp.

          • tc 6.1.1.2.1
            28 September 2021 at 11:04 am

            Rise up and go to another Bellamy's meal it seems.

          • arkie 6.1.1.2.2
            28 September 2021 at 11:09 am

            See the bit where the Govt is acting due to the pressure campaign? That's politics that's change-orientated rather than about gaining and maintaining seats in parliament.

            You often bemoan the lack of action by this Labour Govt, these petitions provide the impetus for them to do something, seems the Greens are more effective at that than these Labour Party conference working groups you're so keen on me joining.

            Keep on with your paternalistic derision of the GP and it's supporters, it amply demonstrates the 'born-to-rule' attitude of careerist politicians.

            • Ad 6.1.1.2.2.1
              28 September 2021 at 11:18 am

              We'll be waiting for change following the receipt of the letter.

              I certainly regularly have a crack at Labour, and also praise them when they are going well. I'm a Labour Party member and proud of it.

              Greens however almost never see anything but good in their party and never take any kind of critique well. They are all across this site and stupidly defensive no matter how pathetic their partys' performance.

              If the Greens do something better than a letter and a risible performance at a climate change conference, I'll be there singing their praises as well.

              • arkie …
                28 September 2021 at 11:32 am

                What are you even talking about?

                The Govt is acting on the letter (and accompanying petition) as of today.

                I’m a Labour Party member and proud of it.

                And this is why you must continually shit on the Greens, to do otherwise would be to admit that they are the origin of any leftward movement in this country. This is why you get so defensive/offensive whenever anyone points out the disconnect between Ardern’s rhetoric on neo-liberalism, and how the party actually governs.

      • weka 6.1.2
        28 September 2021 at 10:51 am

        Or, maybe the Greens understand their own politics better and know that in the long game their energy is better spent at this time working on change rather than trying to compete with a very popular Labour leader.

        When Labour's leadership and caucus was having the same trouble that National are now, the Greens did better. It's not that ACT are hard workers and Greens are lazy, it's that the Greens want change not power. Understanding Green kaupapa on its own terms, whether one agrees with it or not, leads to better understanding of GP actions.

        Which isn't to say they're above criticism. But much of the critique I see is superficial and doesn't take into account what the GP actually do and want.

        • Ad 6.1.2.1
          28 September 2021 at 11:13 am

          The Greens are certainly not in danger of competing with Jacinda Ardern. On the contrary their delivery has been so poor that Ardern's popularity is simply carrying them.

          There's no point doing any substantive critique of any movement so content with standing still, because they see no need to change.

          • RedLogix 6.1.2.1.1
            28 September 2021 at 11:28 am

            That and the sad realisation I came to some years back that one of the biggest obstacles to getting to good environmental outcomes were a slew of anti-science, malthusian ideas entrenched among the trad green movements.

            Good intentions, unintended consequences.

            • Gezza 6.1.2.1.1.1
              28 September 2021 at 11:39 am

              Marama Davidson’s ill-conceived push for women to claim the C* word would have to be one of the most spectacular epic fails in Green Party history. While I know where she was coming from it was a gob-smacking thing for any politician to do. She’ll most likely be forever associated with that fiasco.

          • weka 6.1.2.1.2
            28 September 2021 at 12:41 pm

            Lol, that's you just making shit up. And projecting perhaps through a Labour supporter lens. It's a stupid argument that goes nowhere. I'm more interested in looking at what is working than simply dissing whatever I don't like or don't understand.

            The Greens want change not power, and they're very good at advancing their objectives even without power. The lack of significant movement on climate isn't on Shaw/GP, it's on Ardern and the Labour caucus who hold the power that Shaw doesn't have. Shaw is making changes despite that. All power to him.

      • Ed1 6.1.3
        28 September 2021 at 11:13 am

        There has not been much work visible from ACT – do you have any examples? I see Seymour as picking the mood of National supporters better than Collins; his slogans are better, he does not deny that the New Zealand has done very well regarding the pandemic (or even acknowledge government success more than he has to), but tries to appear friendly and reasonable. He is also fortunate that Collins displays such extremes that a more reasoned position is not hard. . .

      • Robert Guyton 6.1.4
        28 September 2021 at 11:44 am

        ACT's reward will be another term in Opposition. The "work" they have done involves having Seymour bark more.

      • Barfly 6.1.5
        28 September 2021 at 2:02 pm

        Rofl …… comparing the ACT and Greens percentage Ad? Act is feasting on on an extremely ill National . The Greens are unable to feast on a very robust Labour party. Your dislike of the Greens is affecting your judgement I believe.

  7. barry 7
    28 September 2021 at 9:45 am

    So 11% of people hate ballet?

  8. Ad 8
    28 September 2021 at 9:49 am

    In 2018 National were on 54% and Act were on 1%. So we can see the direction of travel.

    https://thestandard.org.nz/pollwatch-colmar-brunton-16-4-18/

    The Ardern-Labour Party is substantially more popular than anything under Clark, Lange, Kirk, or Nordmeyer. The more this level of dominance sustains, the more the right will tear itself down.

    • swordfish 8.1
      28 September 2021 at 10:15 am

      .

      The Ardern-Labour Party is substantially more popular than anything under Clark, Lange, Kirk, or Nordmeyer.

      Depends what you mean by "popular".

      Are you suggesting the Nordmeyer / Kirk / Lange / Clark Labour Parties never reached as high as 43% in opinion polls ? Because I can tell you all 4 exceeded that rating (and yes that even includes Nordy … in the first ever nationwide polls in the run-up to the 1960 & 1963 General Elections).

      • Patricia Bremner 8.1.1
        28 September 2021 at 10:16 pm

        In the days of first past the post?

        • swordfish 8.1.1.1
          29 September 2021 at 12:31 pm

          .

          Yep … but irrelevant … Ad's talking about unprecedented popularity specifically for the Labour Party … not for the Left as a whole.

          Either Labour specifically is more popular now than it's ever been … or it's not.

          [And, in fact, Ad’s assertion isn’t even true for the Left Bloc as a whole]

  9. Stuart Munro 9
    28 September 2021 at 10:09 am

    I wouldn't read too much into it – a bit of boredom setting in among the major parties, and ACT temporarily embiggened by despairing Gnats – doesn't really matter whether they stay or return to their fold – they won't have much effect on NZ.

    • Anne 9.1
      28 September 2021 at 10:29 am

      Yes. I was planning to comment along those lines.

      David Seymour thinks he is the reason why ACT is doing well. Typical of the narcissistic little chump that he is. In reality, it's all about a large chunk of disgruntled Nats who will return to the party the moment they get what they perceive to be a good leader. And we all know who that is going to be.

      • Gosman 9.1.1
        28 September 2021 at 10:37 am

        Except National has about as much support as they got at the last election and the entire Center Right vote has increased. This tends to suggest your analysis of ACT merely cannibalising National's supporter base is inaccurate. For it to be correct National would have successfully pilfered 6 percentage points from Labour and THEN lost 6 percent to ACT. Not really believable given the performance of National at the moment.

        • Gypsy 9.1.1.1
          28 September 2021 at 10:55 am

          Party vote comparisons 2020 election v latest poll:

          Labour 50% v 43%

          Green 8% v 8%

          National 26% v 26%

          ACT 7% v 14%

          Maori 1% v 2%

          NZF 5% v 3%

          (NZF actually got 4.6% in 2020).

          The only changes of any significance have been the drop in Labour's support (7%), and the rise in ACT's support (7%).

          I don't believe for one minute National are attracting votes from Labour and then shedding the same amount to ACT. My guess is Labour are shedding votes directly to ACT.

          • Gosman 9.1.1.1.1
            28 September 2021 at 10:59 am

            Exactly. This is something many people on the left here cannot grasp.

            • AB 9.1.1.1.1.1
              28 September 2021 at 11:36 am

              Oh I think we do – it's a phenomenon that is well- recognised, i.e. if timid social-democrat governments don't make progress on solving the problems that concern their natural constituency, some of those people will go looking for solutions on the far right. This phenomenon is seen by many as an explanation for Trump and for Boris Johnson taking UK Labour's 'red wall'. The voters who do this mostly end up with buyers remorse if the far right actually get power – but it's not really their fault.

            • Muttonbird 9.1.1.1.1.2
              28 September 2021 at 2:14 pm

              It's cute how the ACT Party are desperate for it to be true huge numbers of left wing people are suddenly flocking to their ‘sensible’ polices.

              Gosman's day has been given over to pushing this fantasy.

              It's as if left wing votes hold more value and importance for them than right wing votes…

          • Kevin Warburton 9.1.1.1.2
            29 September 2021 at 12:54 pm

            So basically Nat voters that had switched from Nats to Labour have now switched again this time over to ACT. I would contend that 7% vote difference in Labour's vote is due to the soft Nats switcharuni mostly. Longterm soft Labour vote most likely to switch if to Greens or NZFirst or to Maori Party rather than to ACT or Nats.

            I've voted Alliance/Greens & Labor my entire voting life while being a member of one far left organization or another over the last 27 years. I will never vote ACT or Nats but based on Labour/Greens lack of achievements & not having courage of conviction they've lost my vote for next election. I thought about voting NZFirst last election as a thank you for supporting a Labour …but boy is there some ingratitude to Winnie from woke so-called Labour Leftists. I regret not doing so coz I thought they'd get over the line.

            As long as there is no real left party to reign in pc/wokeism and neo-liberal internationalist globalism the NZF come closest. I'm no longer going to let the perfect get in the way of the good. If I can't have a real socialist party I'll settle for a left-nationalist one.

            Next election I'm voting NZF and switching to Maori electoral roll to vote for Maori Party candidate.

            • Gypsy 9.1.1.1.2.1
              29 September 2021 at 1:54 pm

              "So basically Nat voters that had switched from Nats to Labour have now switched again this time over to ACT. "

              Yep, that's my 'reckon'.

              "…but based on Labour/Greens lack of achievements & not having courage of conviction they've lost my vote for next election."

              I am involved in a grass roots environmental group, and most of the other participants are considerably to the left of my politics. They are mostly sharing similar sentiments to yours, particularly about the Greens.

              I'm a bit more defensive of Labour's situation. If they are to govern long term (2-3 terms) they need to be the 'broad church' that Clark and Key achieved, drawing support from the centre and soft voters on each side. That dissapoints some of their supporters, but it's just pragmatic politics.

              • Kevin Warburton …
                1 October 2021 at 1:09 pm

                Yeah i get that some pragmatism is necessary but the all things to all (most) people ends up kind of being no things to anyone. Broad church parties are a legacy of two-party dominated FPP with MMP we still haven't transitioned fully to more honed/focused parties. It's kind of ridiculous that religious conservatives, right libertarians, Social-Economic Liberals and right nationalists can be clumped in same party eg Nats (up to now) or on other side of aisle Socialists, SD, DS, Left Libertarians, Liberals and neo-Liberals all cheek to jowl within Labour. With Nat implosion leaving rump dominated by religious types with Nat Liberals decimated and rise of right libertarian ACT maybe it's time for more shake ups politically. We need a new classical Liberal Party, a new explicitly Socialist Party, a pure Green Party that's neither getting distracted by wokeism nor capitulating to capitalism. Parties that are more honest, straight up where they stand rather than ones that are tacking left or right according to different leaders/factional wins or trying to please everybody. I know I'm dreaming, but one can hope!

        • Anne 9.1.1.2
          28 September 2021 at 11:24 am

          The cannibalising of the National vote began well before the last election. It had been slowly building up since John Key quit the scene in 2016.

          • Gosman 9.1.1.2.1
            28 September 2021 at 11:36 am

            What evidence do you have for that view?

            • Gypsy 9.1.1.2.1.1
              29 September 2021 at 2:22 pm

              In the week that John Key announced his resignation (5th December 2016), National polled at 45%.

              Between then and 1 August 2017 (when Jacinda Ardern became Leader of the Opposition) National's lowest poll result was 43%, their highest was 49%.

              At the 2017 election, National's vote was 44.4%, 0.6% below that poll almost a year earlier.

              After the 2017 election, National polled regularly in the mid to high 40’s. The game changer was Covid, and that’s evidenced in the polls that followed the first lockdown.

              National’s polling remained extraordinarily high until March 2020. What cannibalised it was Covid, and then the extraordinary antics of the party since. The timing of Key’s departure was a mere blip.

              • Gypsy …
                29 September 2021 at 2:36 pm

                I forgot to mention that for 3 months after the Christchrch Mosque shooting, National did drop into the low 40's, in fact into the 30's in one poll. They then bounced back into the mid 40's in early June.

              • Drowsy M. Kram …
                29 September 2021 at 3:20 pm

                It was a minor miracle of 2017 (or major curse, depending on your PoV) that Labour (on 36.9%) cobbled together our government against a 44.4% party vote for National. Suspect there's more than a few still scratching their heads about how that, or indeed MMP, was ever allowed to happen.

                Compared to the 2017 GE, in current indicative polls Labour (42%), the Greens (9%) and particularly ACT (0.5 –> 13.5%) are all riding higher, while National's vote is down a whopping 18%.

                Early days, but how's this for a positive opposition National party 2023 election campaign slogan: The Only Way is UP !

                National just have to 'ardern UP and harmonise in the right key smiley

        • Stuart Munro 9.1.1.3
          28 September 2021 at 1:12 pm

          and the entire Center Right vote has increased.

          A pretty ambitious claim for a single poll.

          But I guess when ambitious claims are all you've got, you flaunt them.

    • Stephen D 9.2
      28 September 2021 at 12:55 pm

      Pretty much.

      Mid term polls often give succor to the low and the lonely. Just as theyhave done here.

      Once Mr and Mrs Voter actually have a look at some of ACT's policies, the gloss will come off Seymour's charm.

      Under "insert name of a National Politician here" they will probably rise into the low 30s. Winston will grab 4, Act sink to low teens.

      Labour and the Greens to govern with another handsome majority.

  10. tc 10
    28 September 2021 at 10:23 am

    Looking at the graphic I didn't realize we had 5 leaders.

    Bridges/luxon right behind Judith my how apt. Which one has the cutlery ?

    • Patricia Bremner 10.1
      28 September 2021 at 10:44 am

      All of them have knives tc, there-in lies their problem.

      • tc 10.1.1
        28 September 2021 at 11:08 am

        Problem ? The msm appears entertained by it as the articles pretty much write themselves.

        Grab a piece from the brash/bridges/muller era, 'find and replace' remove references to events, place recent events in and ta dah.

  11. Pete 11
    28 September 2021 at 11:13 am

    In October 203 there could be a private cup of tea in Mt Eden where Seymour offers Bridges the Deputy PM's position.

  12. Cricklewood 12
    28 September 2021 at 11:40 am

    Winston I suspect is going to find fertile ground this time… Covid response, Three Waters, S.E.A's, He Puapua etc can see him easily getting over 5 percent plenty of traditionally blue rural vote went Labours way last election and I can see him picking a decent chunk of that especially if the Nats are still rudderless.

    • Gezza 12.1
      28 September 2021 at 11:48 am

      Hmmm. One should never rule out completely yet another Lazarus-like rise from the dead for that silver fox, Peters, I suppose.

      But the number of folk who will blindly respond to Peters’ dog-whistling & wrecking-ball style of politicking by voting for him & NZF must by now be rather diminished, many having already reached their age-related expiry dates, surely?

      He’s probably the untrustworthiest politician ever to serve in any NZ government.

      • roblogic 12.1.1
        28 September 2021 at 12:22 pm

        Peters has more principles than National's dirty politics operators. Splitting from that shower might have endangered him politically but probably saved his soul from eternal condemnation

        (and going into coalition with Labour saved NZ from a horrible fate in 2016)

        • Gezza 12.1.1.1
          28 September 2021 at 1:05 pm

          The problem with Peters’ principles is they’re so pliable. They can go out the window till next time if he sees it’s to his advantage to forget or modify them. That’s partly why he’s so untrustworthy.

          Coalition partners can never be sure what they’re getting when they sign Peters up.

          I do miss that pompous People’s Champion, the First Minister of The Provinces though. He might have been a complete tosser sometimes, but least Jones was highly entertaining.

        • Ad 12.1.1.2
          28 September 2021 at 1:13 pm

          You don't need principles when you have a coalition agreement so tight it's pretty close to a contract.

          NZF delivered like the milkman last time on what they promised.

      • Cricklewood 12.1.2
        28 September 2021 at 12:42 pm

        There'll be plenty ready to hear the message in the rural towns, especially while National is in disarray and looking at the board selections they've disregarded the rural vote somewhat…

        Im thinking there will be a decent chunk who voted Labour for the first time ever last election and Winston is uniquely placed to win some of those voters especially if Covid has passed and he can get his townhall meetings going around the country.

      • lprent 12.1.3
        28 September 2021 at 6:59 pm

        Problem is that he (and his party) primary demographics gets fed by people moving into it.

        After watching this for the last 30 odd years with people making nearly identical comments to your one. I think I can definitively say that you are wrong.

        I think that he just identified a permanent standing political demographic wave.and exploited it.

        • Gezza 12.1.3.1
          28 September 2021 at 7:10 pm

          Now that I think more about it, you’re probably right. Ihaven’t thought to compare the numbers of votes Peters & NZF get.

          The fascinating thing about Peters is he frequently simply doesn’t deliver what he promised to his voters, pissing them off. Ending up where has this election. Out in the cold.

          Why anybody who’s studied his track record still votes for him I haven’t the foggiest.

          • Ad 12.1.3.1.1
            28 September 2021 at 7:19 pm

            From his last coalition agreement, what did NZF not achieve?

            • Muttonbird 12.1.3.1.1.1
              28 September 2021 at 7:33 pm

              He was going to add value to forestry. Instead, saw mills close.

            • Cricklewood 12.1.3.1.1.2
              28 September 2021 at 7:34 pm

              Re-election….

              But seriously I think some were disappointed that some 'bottom lines' didnt quite make it into the coalition agreement. Not suprising really because Winston was quire good at picking up single issue voters…

              • Gezza …
                28 September 2021 at 8:46 pm

                The NZF/Labour coalition agreements got a pretty extensive list of NZF priority policies. I won't bother going thru them all & checking what got done & what didn't. Too knackered to concentrate properly, atm.

                Been a busy day here.

                Quite a few got honoured & implemented, from a quick scan. But I don't think ALL did. And they might not have included some of Peters' evergreens like a Referendum on the Māori seats – which always appeals to the Mâori-bashing / anti-Waitangi Tribunal element of NZF's voters – imo, & based on comments on other blogs that I've read and/or posted on.

      • Kevin Warburton 12.1.4
        29 September 2021 at 1:04 pm

        Bullshit! Despised by many on both woke left and on economic right means he must be doing something right. But despised doesn't equal untrustworthy LOL as he's been entrusted as Treasurer, Deputy PM, Foreign Affairs Minister & as acting PM etc If he's over the line next election, he'll be entrusted in some similar role yet again if needed by either right or 'left' to enable formation of government.

        • Gezza 12.1.4.1
          29 September 2021 at 1:50 pm

          Yeah, I hsve to admit Kevin that once he’s in the Foreign Minister’s job he does it perfectly – altho that speaks to his natural ability to talk out of both sides of his mouth at the same time. As a former public servant I approved of the way he always batted strongly for his Ministry & his staff.

          The Treasurer’s job was created for him. Not really sure what he did in that job. Didn’t seem to be needed after he left it.

    • Ad 12.2
      28 September 2021 at 1:12 pm

      NZFirst at 3% at this part of the cycle gives very good odds that they will gain 5%.

      At current trajectory Labour will need him to form government.

      • lprent 12.2.1
        28 September 2021 at 7:03 pm

        Yep and this time he has been out of government. The bounce this time is likely to be strongish heading up to the election..

        Especially with National looking like outof the water fish ripe for gutting.

  13. DukeEll 13
    28 September 2021 at 11:40 am

    National caucus leaking like this is more Chris Carter than Kevin Rudd

  14. dv 14
    28 September 2021 at 1:12 pm

    From Martyn Bradbury re ACT policies

    https://thedailyblog.co.nz/2021/09/28/tvnz-poll-the-rise-of-act/

    ACT’s sudden rise because of National’s implosion means much of their crazy far undergrad right wing policy is not being examined at all…

    • Cut and freeze the Minimum wage
    • Interest back on all student loans
    • No Kiwsaver subsidy
    • Cancel winter energy payment
    • Dump all climate crisis legislation
    • no more best start payments for families with new borns
    • cut welfare payments
    • no tax credits for research and development
    • cuts to working for families
    • $7b a year cut in public services
    • Abolish Maori seats
    • Abolish Human Rights Commission
    • Ad 14.1
      28 September 2021 at 1:13 pm

      The rest of his commentary is a wee tad over the top.

    • Barfly 14.2
      28 September 2021 at 2:10 pm

      Act has taken the beat the poor mantle from National…maybe those policies are quite attractive to many erstwhile National voters. Or perhaps Labour are being punished for treating the poor with humanity and compassion instead of beatings.

      • Cricklewood 14.2.1
        28 September 2021 at 3:00 pm

        What humanity? More than ever in 'emergency housing' record rent increases… there's not much humanity in not having a secure affordable roof over your head.

        • garibaldi 14.2.1.1
          28 September 2021 at 3:52 pm

          Look, let's face it – up around 40% of people don't follow politics. They voted for Key because he was a "successful business man so he should be able to fix NZ ", then they voted for Ardern because she "is so kind", now they're moving to Seymour because he is "genuine". They can't vote Collins because she is disingenuous. Basically we are caught up in personality culture wars instead of policy platforms , thanks mainly to the media with their “gotcha” moments.

    • Muttonbird 14.3
      28 September 2021 at 2:27 pm
      • abolish the NZ Screen Production Grant

      This will kill the $3.5B NZ film and TV industry stone cold dead overnight.

      • Gosman 14.3.1
        28 September 2021 at 3:58 pm

        Then it is not an viable industry if it requires government subsidies to operate. There are plenty of work available for high skilled people in NZ such as IT and in the building sector. We can re-deploy people in to areas that would provide benefits to more NZers and not line the pocket of Hollywood financiers.

        • Muttonbird 14.3.1.1
          28 September 2021 at 4:04 pm

          This is a bizarre position to take for a party which is supposed to be about small business and innovation. Equally bizarre to crush an export industry in favour of domestic industry.

          The truth is, ACT hates arts and culture. They believe it frivolous and not worth public patronage in any form. What a drab world it would be if libertarians were taken seriously at all.

          • arkie 14.3.1.1.1
            28 September 2021 at 4:10 pm

            not worth public patronage in any form

            Correct, but private patronage is in the party DNA

            Alan Gibbs was active in the establishment of ACT New Zealand, a libertarian political party that was formed in 1994.

            Gibbs is one of New Zealand's leading art collectors, and since 1991 has been establishing a sprawling 1,000 acres (4.0 km2) sculpture park at Gibbs Farm, which is located on Kaipara Harbour on New Zealand's North Island, 50 kilometres (31 mi) north of Auckland in the Rodney district.

            https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Alan_Gibbs

            https://www.gibbsfarm.org.nz/

          • Gosman 14.3.1.1.2
            28 September 2021 at 6:32 pm

            Why is an export industry any more beneficial to an economy than say an import one? Both serve a market and allow people to get goods and services they need and both pay taxes on any profits and wages. The import one also collects GST.

            • Muttonbird 14.3.1.1.2.1
              28 September 2021 at 7:21 pm

              I'm not an economist but from what I've heard it is important to earn more than you spend, on all levels.

              ACT want to chip away at certain unworthy billion dollar export industries. I'm sure National will provide the handbrake to that.

              • Nic the NZer …
                29 September 2021 at 9:38 am

                That would be an unfortunate belief for an economist to have, as the net trade surpluses (deficits) of all nations add up to zero at all times.

                Or similar to something Krugman quipped, Earth has yet to establish trade with Mars.

        • McFlock 14.3.1.2
          28 September 2021 at 4:06 pm

          Still thinking of people as perfectly fungible tokens in some sort of game like Sim City, huh.

          • Gosman 14.3.1.2.1
            28 September 2021 at 6:33 pm

            Are you stating the highly skilled people in the film industry in NZ could not use their talents in other areas of the economy?

            • McFlock 14.3.1.2.1.1
              28 September 2021 at 9:05 pm

              No, just as I'm sure that you're not claiming that every single person in the entertainment industry has skills transferable to industries "such as IT and in the building sector".

        • roy cartland 14.3.1.3
          28 September 2021 at 4:17 pm

          Film and arts skills aren't necessarily transferable to IT. And art is more than an 'industry'. Might as well just say that Parliament isn't a viable industry, I mean Seymore's certainly had quite the pretty handout from govt himself.

          • Gosman 14.3.1.3.1
            28 September 2021 at 6:35 pm

            He's a public servant. Do you think public servants pay is a handout from government?

            • Incognito 14.3.1.3.1.1
              28 September 2021 at 6:49 pm

              Oh, FFS, please don’t insult our intelligence here on TS with that “[David Seymour]’s a public servant” claptrap.

            • Brigid 14.3.1.3.1.2
              28 September 2021 at 7:46 pm

              Seymour's pay is a handout from 100% of tax payers for the benefit of about 12% (or what ever the latest poll declares as his support)

              Good grief that sounds like socialism

        • Incognito 14.3.1.4
          28 September 2021 at 5:34 pm

          You’re correct that it is not viable if the filmmakers decide to go elsewhere instead of NZ.

          The subsidy scheme is a rebate scheme on money spent here in NZ. It is part of an incentive package. You sound a tad disingenuous or silly when you object to these principles of doing business, which are commonplace in the business world. Your objection is ideological in that Government should butt out of such deals, stick to a skeleton of core duties, and leave the rest to businesses operating in unencumbered free market. Mate, you’re dreaming!

    • Pete 14.4
      28 September 2021 at 4:31 pm

      Missing:

      • Most revolutionary change in NZ schooling ever.
  15. coreyjhumm 15
    28 September 2021 at 4:15 pm

    I agree with everything you've said here except Nzf returning is concerning how?

    The only handbrake on Labour is Labour. If now is the time for real leadership…wheres the leadership?!? Housing market out of control, inequality out of control, health system still not up to scratch per Capita, mental health is still a mess, welfare is still in dribbles and we're doing absolutely bugger all on climate.

    Nz first didn't stop labour at all from having the best covid response in the world in 2020 and arguably saved labour from itself because labour could blame nzf for not delivering and nzf stopped the more divisive social justice stuff. Without Winston there wouldn't be a 6th labour govt we'd most likely be in a fifth term of national with Bill English would have a majority. Yuck!

    I'd rather the disgruntled working class votes got to nzf than act. I'll never understand the lefts hatred for NZF other than still being mad about 1996. Nevermind he finally broke the unwritten convention that the largest party wins in 2017 and helped provide an incredibly stable government for the following three years.

    I like Winston. He makes parliament interesting, hates national as much as I do but is smart enough to play the system and get as much as possible by being able to work with both parties rather than settling for crumbs, id rather a national govt work with nzf and be blunted from doing neoliberal dogma than a nat/act govt.

    I personally want a labour/top govt because our times do call for radical leadership and as a gay man from a mixed race working class family I can say rabid identity politics, hate speech legislation and dribble increases to benefits while ignoring the housing crisis, and mental health crisis is not radical leadership.

    Yes this govt is good in emergencies and Ardern has been a great leader during covid but she lacks the vision necessary to take advantage of the crisis and rebuild nz better for a post covid world.

    I'd rather tops radical centerism than labours bland cautious centerism and without Winston Peters parliament tv is an unwatchable snoozefest, there are no good performers in parliament atm and whenever I watch parliament I can't help but think of how there's no potential successor to Ardern in labours caucus and how much of the 2017 class is not getting leadership roles because the 2008-2017 oppose mp crowd are getting all the leadership roles and most of them will retire at the end of this govt leaving a huge caucus with no ministerial experience.

    Anyway if that sounded angry it's not I just don't think nzf is a concern. The coalition worked incredibly well together and Labours lack of vision is the true handbrake on Labour.

    • roy cartland 15.1
      28 September 2021 at 4:24 pm

      I often wonder if there's truth to Chris Trotter's (I think?) theory that Winston serves as a lightning rod for the anti-måori, anti-woke old-fashioned hatred present in so many of his constituency without ever really enacting any of their policies. Immigration continues; te reo is now a cultural juggernaut, ToW claims are being progressed and settled by both Nat and Lab.

      Sure, he's vile and contemptible at times, but being a handbrake is still better than being an active monster like the ACT crowd. He's best in oppo, where he can be as outrageous and entertaining as he likes.

      • Cricklewood 15.1.1
        28 September 2021 at 7:46 pm

        I suspect given the opportunity he'll sit on the cross benches and force everything on an issue by issue basis this time around… he wont go with the Nats and I suspect he's a bit burnt re He Puapua the man does hold a grudge.

      • Nic the NZer 15.1.2
        29 September 2021 at 12:48 pm

        I see it as more universal than particular to some politician. The way to have a long career is to have a significant constituancy for a long time. If you achieve something your constituancy can and will move on to other offerings.

        Much as many would like to claim National are a white nationalist party, they have achieved bugger all in policy about that (usually running massive immigration rates in practice).

        Unfortunately party funders expect a better return on their investment however.

      • Kevin Warburton 15.1.3
        29 September 2021 at 1:19 pm

        Plenty of anti-woke Maori or pro-Maori around. I'm know I'm not the only one. PS society sees me as Pakeha so I hear the racist anti-woke occasionally, but I'm also part-Maori and occasionally hear Maori both left and right espouse anti-woke sentiment.

    • Kat 15.2
      28 September 2021 at 8:06 pm

      "Ardern has been a great leader during covid but she lacks the vision necessary to take advantage of the crisis and rebuild nz better for a post covid world…."

      How do you know she lacks vision, what are you basing this assertion on and just what is your vision of a "post covid world"……??

    • Gezza 15.3
      29 September 2021 at 4:13 am

      coreyjhumm: “Anyway if that sounded angry it’s not I just don’t think nzf is a concern. The coalition worked incredibly well together and Labours lack of vision is the true handbrake on Labour.”
      ………………………………………

      No it doesn’t sound angry, it sounds perfectly logical, rational & clearly explains your reasoning for the views you state. I’m finding It worth paying attention to your comments & reading them carefully. There isn’t anything in your comments above that I disagree with. Peters certainly has performed useful roles in the 2017 government.

      I don’t think Shane Jones did NZF a lot of good. judging by conments on blogs he was widely perceived to have seriously underperformed on the delivery of hood numbers of permanent or long-term jobs thru the Provincial Growth Fund.

      Plus, while he was having a good time being bombastic & flippant, & even I had a larf along with him sometimes, he came across as a buffoon to those witb a sense of humour subordinate to their desire for many more concrete results from the PGF.

      I found it hard to assess how he was regarded by the wider voting public but when chatting to people about him on occasions most seemed to think little of him, or that he was a prat.

  16. bwaghorn 16
    28 September 2021 at 5:13 pm

    The left block better sort out this SNA Land grab bullshit or this non natvoter will have to hold his nose very tight come 2023.

    • Cricklewood 16.1
      28 September 2021 at 7:42 pm

      Its an interesting one that, I have a colleague who is from the Far North from how he tells it his whanau are pretty irate talking about going to the Waitangi tribunal over it… ancestral lands etc etc

    • Gypsy 16.2
      28 September 2021 at 7:51 pm

      Three Waters is going to be a huge problem for them as well.

    • bwaghorn 16.3
      29 September 2021 at 6:30 am

      Had a chat to a farm consultant I used to work with, top man ,has been involved in sustainable farming for 20+ years.

      He thinks it's a dog. There is alot of scattered totara in in the taumarunui area , he says that will be enough for land to be sna'd .

      Just read about a guy who the council tried to sna 200 ha ,that's 1/3 of his farm ..

    • Robert Guyton 16.4
      29 September 2021 at 8:43 am

      How many voters will own land that will attract a SNA?

      Very few votes involved.

  17. peter sim 17
    28 September 2021 at 9:33 pm

    I have to agree with Jim Bolger, The only poll that counts is on election day.

    How many days away is that? The only winners from polls are pollsters.

    They get paid.

    Has anyone done retrospective analyses of poll "findings".

    Have they been published in peer reviewed journals.

  18. Forget now 18
    29 September 2021 at 7:18 pm

    Full CB report is out now:

    https://www.colmarbrunton.co.nz/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/22-26-September-2021_1-NEWS-Colmar-Brunton-Poll-report_PRELIM.pdf

    Some interesting tidbits that 1news ignored:

    • Vaccination question has changed from personal intention (which was starting to build up a nice trendline) to mandatory vaccination.

    The majority of eligible New Zealand voters (61%) support mandatory COVID-19 vaccinations for those aged 18+ (with the exception of those who cannot be vaccinated for medical reasons). However, voters are less comfortable with making them mandatory for those aged 12+; 44% support this. One in three voters (35%) are opposed to the idea of mandatory vaccinations for COVID-19, while 4% are unsure.

    • More Green party supporters (77%) & Pacific peoples (66%) want to change the county's official name to either; Aotearoa, or Aotearoa New Zealand, than Māori (58%) or the average population (41%). Just 1% did not express an opinion. Personally I'd go for Aotearoa Zealand, and miss out the "New" entirely.
    • Chlöe Swarbrick has gone from 2% preferred PM in May back to 0.8% (equal to March, but that was still higher than any previous result). Well eclipsing parliamentary co-leaders Marama Davidson (0.3%) & James Shaw (0.1%). It seems an electorate seat does get you mana.
    • Winston Peters has also dropped back to March's result (0.7%) after reaching 1% in May (he hasn't been higher than that since the 2020 election). Shane Jones has got 0.1% (1 person from the 1001 polled), which is at least better than his unbroken string of zeros up to then.
    • The top 5 preferred PM results are:
    1. at 44% Jacinda Ardern
    2. at 21% Don’t know
    3. at 11% David Seymour
    4. at 5% Judith Collins
    5. at 4% None

    As Always:

    The maximum sampling error is approximately ±3.1%-points at the 95% confidence level. This is the sampling error for a result around 50%. Results higher and lower than 50% have a smaller sampling error. For example, results around 10% and 5% have sampling errors of approximately ±1.9%-points and ±1.4%-points, respectively, at the 95% confidence level.

    These sampling errors assume a simple random sample of 1,000 eligible voters.

    It should be noted that any demographic sub-group analysis (e.g., by age or gender) will be based on a smaller set of interviews and so will have a wider sampling error.

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    How to Retrieve Deleted Call Log on iPhone Without a Computer: A Step–by–Step Guide Losing your iPhone call history can be frustrating, especially when you need to find a specific number or recall an important conversation. But before you panic, know that there are ways to retrieve deleted call logs on your iPhone, even without a computer. This guide will explore various methods, ranging from simple checks to utilizing iCloud backups and third–party applications. So, let‘s dive in and recover those lost calls! 1. Check Recently Deleted Folder: Apple understands that accidental deletions happen. That‘s why they introduced the “Recently Deleted“ folder for various apps, including the Phone app. This folder acts as a safety net, storing deleted call logs for up to 30 days before permanently erasing them. Here‘s how to check it: Open the Phone app on your iPhone. Tap on the “Recents“ tab at the bottom. Scroll to the top and tap on “Edit“. Select “Show Recently Deleted“. Browse the list to find the call logs you want to recover. Tap on the desired call log and choose “Recover“ to restore it to your call history. 2. Restore from iCloud Backup: If you regularly back up your iPhone to iCloud, you might be able to retrieve your deleted call log from a previous backup. However, keep in mind that this process will restore your entire phone to the state it was in at the time of the backup, potentially erasing any data added since then. Here‘s how to restore from an iCloud backup: Go to Settings > General > Reset. Choose “Erase All Content and Settings“. Follow the on–screen instructions. Your iPhone will restart and show the initial setup screen. Choose “Restore from iCloud Backup“ during the setup process. Select the relevant backup that contains your deleted call log. Wait for the restoration process to complete. 3. Explore Third–Party Apps (with Caution): ...
    Gareth’s WorldBy admin
    10 hours ago

  • How to Factory Reset iPhone without Computer: A Comprehensive Guide to Restoring your Device
    Life throws curveballs, and sometimes, those curveballs necessitate wiping your iPhone clean and starting anew. Whether you’re facing persistent software glitches, preparing to sell your device, or simply wanting a fresh start, knowing how to factory reset iPhone without a computer is a valuable skill. While using a computer with ...
    Gareth’s WorldBy admin
    16 hours ago

  • How to Call Someone on a Computer: A Guide to Voice and Video Communication in the Digital Age
    Gone are the days when communication was limited to landline phones and physical proximity. Today, computers have become powerful tools for connecting with people across the globe through voice and video calls. But with a plethora of applications and methods available, how to call someone on a computer might seem ...
    Gareth’s WorldBy admin
    17 hours ago

  • Skeptical Science New Research for Week #16 2024
    Open access notables Glacial isostatic adjustment reduces past and future Arctic subsea permafrost, Creel et al., Nature Communications: Sea-level rise submerges terrestrial permafrost in the Arctic, turning it into subsea permafrost. Subsea permafrost underlies ~ 1.8 million km2 of Arctic continental shelf, with thicknesses in places exceeding 700 m. Sea-level variations over glacial-interglacial cycles control ...
    Skeptical Science
    17 hours ago

  • Where on a Computer is the Operating System Generally Stored? Delving into the Digital Home of your ...
    The operating system (OS) is the heart and soul of a computer, orchestrating every action and interaction between hardware and software. But have you ever wondered where on a computer is the operating system generally stored? The answer lies in the intricate dance between hardware and software components, particularly within ...
    Gareth’s WorldBy admin
    18 hours ago

  • How Many Watts Does a Laptop Use? Understanding Power Consumption and Efficiency
    Laptops have become essential tools for work, entertainment, and communication, offering portability and functionality. However, with rising energy costs and growing environmental concerns, understanding a laptop’s power consumption is more important than ever. So, how many watts does a laptop use? The answer, unfortunately, isn’t straightforward. It depends on several ...
    Gareth’s WorldBy admin
    18 hours ago

  • How to Screen Record on a Dell Laptop A Guide to Capturing Your Screen with Ease
    Screen recording has become an essential tool for various purposes, such as creating tutorials, capturing gameplay footage, recording online meetings, or sharing information with others. Fortunately, Dell laptops offer several built-in and external options for screen recording, catering to different needs and preferences. This guide will explore various methods on ...
    Gareth’s WorldBy admin
    18 hours ago

  • How Much Does it Cost to Fix a Laptop Screen? Navigating Repair Options and Costs
    A cracked or damaged laptop screen can be a frustrating experience, impacting productivity and enjoyment. Fortunately, laptop screen repair is a common service offered by various repair shops and technicians. However, the cost of fixing a laptop screen can vary significantly depending on several factors. This article delves into the ...
    Gareth’s WorldBy admin
    18 hours ago

  • How Long Do Gaming Laptops Last? Demystifying Lifespan and Maximizing Longevity
    Gaming laptops represent a significant investment for passionate gamers, offering portability and powerful performance for immersive gaming experiences. However, a common concern among potential buyers is their lifespan. Unlike desktop PCs, which allow for easier component upgrades, gaming laptops have inherent limitations due to their compact and integrated design. This ...
    Gareth’s WorldBy admin
    18 hours ago

  • Climate Change: Turning the tide
    The annual inventory report of New Zealand's greenhouse gas emissions has been released, showing that gross emissions have dropped for the third year in a row, to 78.4 million tons: All-told gross emissions have decreased by over 6 million tons since the Zero Carbon Act was passed in 2019. ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    19 hours ago

  • How to Unlock Your Computer A Comprehensive Guide to Regaining Access
    Experiencing a locked computer can be frustrating, especially when you need access to your files and applications urgently. The methods to unlock your computer will vary depending on the specific situation and the type of lock you encounter. This guide will explore various scenarios and provide step-by-step instructions on how ...
    Gareth’s WorldBy admin
    20 hours ago

  • Faxing from Your Computer A Modern Guide to Sending Documents Digitally
    While the world has largely transitioned to digital communication, faxing still holds relevance in certain industries and situations. Fortunately, gone are the days of bulky fax machines and dedicated phone lines. Today, you can easily send and receive faxes directly from your computer, offering a convenient and efficient way to ...
    Gareth’s WorldBy admin
    20 hours ago

  • Protecting Your Home Computer A Guide to Cyber Awareness
    In our increasingly digital world, home computers have become essential tools for work, communication, entertainment, and more. However, this increased reliance on technology also exposes us to various cyber threats. Understanding these threats and taking proactive steps to protect your home computer is crucial for safeguarding your personal information, finances, ...
    Gareth’s WorldBy admin
    20 hours ago

  • Server-Based Computing Powering the Modern Digital Landscape
    In the ever-evolving world of technology, server-based computing has emerged as a cornerstone of modern digital infrastructure. This article delves into the concept of server-based computing, exploring its various forms, benefits, challenges, and its impact on the way we work and interact with technology. Understanding Server-Based Computing: At its core, ...
    Gareth’s WorldBy admin
    20 hours ago

  • Vroom vroom go the big red trucks
    The absolute brass neck of this guy.We want more medical doctors, not more spin doctors, Luxon was saying a couple of weeks ago, and now we’re told the guy has seven salaried adults on TikTok duty. Sorry, doing social media. The absolute brass neck of it. The irony that the ...
    More Than A FeildingBy David Slack
    20 hours ago

  • Jones finds $410,000 to help the government muscle in on a spat project
    Buzz from the Beehive Oceans and Fisheries Minister Shane Jones relishes spatting and eagerly takes issue with environmentalists who criticise his enthusiasm for resource development. He relishes helping the fishing industry too. And so today, while the media are making much of the latest culling in the public service to ...
    Point of OrderBy Bob Edlin
    21 hours ago

  • Again, hate crimes are not necessarily terrorism.
    Having written, taught and worked for the US government on issues involving unconventional warfare and terrorism for 30-odd years, two things irritate me the most when the subject is discussed in public. The first is the Johnny-come-lately academics-turned-media commentators who … Continue reading → ...
    KiwipoliticoBy Pablo
    1 day ago

  • Despair – construction consenting edition
    Eric Crampton writes – Kainga Ora is the government’s house building agency. It’s been building a lot of social housing. Kainga Ora has its own (but independent) consenting authority, Consentium. It’s a neat idea. Rather than have to deal with building consents across each different territorial authority, Kainga Ora ...
    Point of OrderBy poonzteam5443
    1 day ago

  • Coalition promises – will the Govt keep the commitment to keep Kiwis equal before the law?
    Muriel Newman writes – The Coalition Government says it is moving with speed to deliver campaign promises and reverse the damage done by Labour. One of their key commitments is to “defend the principle that New Zealanders are equal before the law.” To achieve this, they have pledged they “will not advance ...
    Point of OrderBy poonzteam5443
    1 day ago

  • An impermanent public service is a guarantee of very little else but failure
    Chris Trotter writes –  The absence of anything resembling a fightback from the public servants currently losing their jobs is interesting. State-sector workers’ collective fatalism in the face of Coalition cutbacks indicates a surprisingly broad acceptance of impermanence in the workplace. Fifty years ago, lay-offs in the thousands ...
    Point of OrderBy poonzteam5443
    1 day ago

  • What happens after the war – Mariupol
    Mariupol, on the Azov Sea coast, was one of the first cities to suffer almost complete destruction after the start of the Ukraine War started in late February 2022. We remember the scenes of absolute destruction of the houses and city structures. The deaths of innocent civilians – many of ...
    Open ParachuteBy Ken
    1 day ago

  • Babies and benefits – no good news
    Lindsay Mitchell writes – Ten years ago, I wrote the following in a Listener column: Every year around one in five new-born babies will be reliant on their caregivers benefit by Christmas. This pattern has persisted from at least 1993. For Maori the number jumps to over one in three.  ...
    Point of OrderBy poonzteam5443
    1 day ago

  • Should the RBNZ be looking through climate inflation?
    Climate change is expected to generate more and more extreme events, delivering a sort of structural shock to inflation that central banks will have to react to as if they were short-term cyclical issues. Photo: Lynn Grieveson / The KākāMy pick of the six newsey things to know from Aotearoa’s ...
    The KakaBy Bernard Hickey
    1 day ago

  • Bernard's pick 'n' mix of the news links
    The top six news links I’ve seen elsewhere in the last 24 hours, as of 9:16 am on Thursday, April 18 are:Housing: Tauranga residents living in boats, vans RNZ Checkpoint Louise TernouthHousing: Waikato councillor says wastewater plant issues could hold up Sleepyhead building a massive company town Waikato Times Stephen ...
    The KakaBy Bernard Hickey
    1 day ago

  • Gordon Campbell on the public sector carnage, and misogyny as terrorism
    It’s a simple deal. We pay taxes in order to finance the social services we want and need. The carnage now occurring across the public sector though, is breaking that contract. Over 3,000 jobs have been lost so far. Many are in crucial areas like Education where the impact of ...
    Gordon CampbellBy lyndon
    1 day ago

  • Meeting the Master Baiters
    Hi,A friend had their 40th over the weekend and decided to theme it after Curb Your Enthusiasm fashion icon Susie Greene. Captured in my tiny kitchen before I left the house, I ending up evoking a mix of old lesbian and Hillary Clinton — both unintentional.Me vs Hillary ClintonIf you’re ...
    David FarrierBy David Farrier
    1 day ago

  • How extreme was the Earth's temperature in 2023
    This is a re-post from Andrew Dessler at the Climate Brink blog In 2023, the Earth reached temperature levels unprecedented in modern times. Given that, it’s reasonable to ask: What’s going on? There’s been lots of discussions by scientists about whether this is just the normal progression of global warming or if something ...
    Skeptical Science
    1 day ago

  • Backbone, revisited
    The schools are on holiday and the sun is shining in the seaside village and all day long I have been seeing bunches of bikes; Mums, Dads, teens and toddlers chattering, laughing, happy, having a bloody great time together. Cheers, AT, for the bits of lane you’ve added lately around the ...
    More Than A FeildingBy David Slack
    2 days ago

  • Ministers are not above the law
    Today in our National-led authoritarian nightmare: Shane Jones thinks Ministers should be above the law: New Zealand First MP Shane Jones is accusing the Waitangi Tribunal of over-stepping its mandate by subpoenaing a minister for its urgent hearing on the Oranga Tamariki claim. The tribunal is looking into the ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    2 days ago

  • What’s the outfit you can hear going down the gurgler? Probably it’s David Parker’s Oceans Sec...
    Buzz from the Beehive Point  of Order first heard of the Oceans Secretariat in June 2021, when David Parker (remember him?) announced a multi-agency approach to protecting New Zealand’s marine ecosystems and fisheries. Parker (holding the Environment, and Oceans and Fisheries portfolios) broke the news at the annual Forest & ...
    Point of OrderBy Bob Edlin
    2 days ago

  • Will politicians let democracy die in the darkness?
    Bryce Edwards writes  – Politicians across the political spectrum are implicated in the New Zealand media’s failing health. Either through neglect or incompetent interventions, successive governments have failed to regulate, foster, and allow a healthy Fourth Estate that can adequately hold politicians and the powerful to account. ...
    Point of OrderBy poonzteam5443
    2 days ago

  • Matt Doocey doubles down on trans “healthcare”
    Citizen Science writes –  Last week saw two significant developments in the debate over the treatment of trans-identifying children and young people – the release in Britain of the final report of Dr Hilary Cass’s review into gender healthcare, and here in New Zealand, the news that the ...
    Point of OrderBy poonzteam5443
    2 days ago

  • A TikTok Prime Minister.
    One night while sleeping in my bed I had a beautiful dreamThat all the people of the world got together on the same wavelengthAnd began helping one anotherNow in this dream, universal love was the theme of the dayPeace and understanding and it happened this wayAfter such an eventful day ...
    Nick’s KōreroBy Nick Rockel
    2 days ago

  • Texas Lessons
    This is a guest post by Oscar Simms who is a housing activist, volunteer for the Coalition for More Homes, and was the Labour Party candidate for Auckland Central at the last election. ...
    Greater AucklandBy Guest Post
    2 days ago

  • Bernard's pick 'n' mix of the news links at 6:06 am
    The top six news links I’ve seen elsewhere in the last 24 hours as of 6:06 am on Wednesday, April 17 are:Must read: Secrecy shrouds which projects might be fast-tracked RNZ Farah HancockScoop: Revealed: Luxon has seven staffers working on social media content - partly paid for by taxpayer Newshub ...
    The KakaBy Bernard Hickey
    2 days ago

  • Fighting poverty on the holiday highway
    Turning what Labour called the “holiday highway” into a four-lane expressway from Auckland to Whangarei could bring at least an economic benefit of nearly two billion a year for Northland each year. And it could help bring an end to poverty in one of New Zealand’s most deprived regions. The ...
    PolitikBy Richard Harman
    2 days ago

  • Bernard's six-stack of substacks at 6:26 pm
    Tonight’s six-stack includes: launching his substack with a bunch of his previous documentaries, including this 1992 interview with Dame Whina Cooper. and here crew give climate activists plenty to do, including this call to submit against the Fast Track Approvals bill. writes brilliantly here on his substack ...
    The KakaBy Bernard Hickey
    3 days ago

  • At a glance – Is the science settled?
    On February 14, 2023 we announced our Rebuttal Update Project. This included an ask for feedback about the added "At a glance" section in the updated basic rebuttal versions. This weekly blog post series highlights this new section of one of the updated basic rebuttal versions and serves as a ...
    Skeptical Science
    3 days ago

  • Apposite Quotations.
    How Long Is Long Enough? Gaza under Israeli bombardment, July 2014. This posting is exclusive to Bowalley Road. ...
    Bowalley Road
    3 days ago

  • What’s a life worth now?
    You're in the mall when you hear it: some kind of popping sound in the distance, kids with fireworks, maybe. But then a moment of eerie stillness is followed by more of the fireworks sound and there’s also screaming and shrieking and now here come people running for their lives.Does ...
    More Than A FeildingBy David Slack
    3 days ago

  • Howling at the Moon
    Karl du Fresne writes –  There’s a crisis in the news media and the media are blaming it on everyone except themselves. Culpability is being deflected elsewhere – mainly to the hapless Minister of Communications, Melissa Lee, and the big social media platforms that are accused of hoovering ...
    Point of OrderBy poonzteam5443
    3 days ago

  • Newshub is Dead.
    I don’t normally send out two newsletters in a day but I figured I’d say something about… the news. If two newsletters is a bit much then maybe just skip one, I don’t want to overload people. Alternatively if you’d be interested in sometimes receiving multiple, smaller updates from me, ...
    Nick’s KōreroBy Nick Rockel
    3 days ago

  • Seymour is chuffed about cutting early-learning red tape – but we hear, too, that Jones has loose...
    Buzz from the Beehive David Seymour and Winston Peters today signalled that at least two ministers of the Crown might be in Wellington today. Seymour (as Associate Minister of Education) announced the removal of more red tape, this time to make it easier for new early learning services to be ...
    Point of OrderBy Bob Edlin
    3 days ago

  • Bryce Edwards: Will politicians let democracy die in the darkness?
    Politicians across the political spectrum are implicated in the New Zealand media’s failing health. Either through neglect or incompetent interventions, successive governments have failed to regulate, foster, and allow a healthy Fourth Estate that can adequately hold politicians and the powerful to account. Our political system is suffering from the ...
    Democracy ProjectBy bryce.edwards
    3 days ago

  • Was Hawkesby entirely wrong?
    David Farrar  writes –  The Broadcasting Standards Authority ruled: Comments by radio host Kate Hawkesby suggesting Māori and Pacific patients were being prioritised for surgery due to their ethnicity were misleading and discriminatory, the Broadcasting Standards Authority has found. It is a fact such patients are prioritised. ...
    Point of OrderBy poonzteam5443
    3 days ago

  • PRC shadow looms as the Solomons head for election
    PRC and its proxies in Solomons have been preparing for these elections for a long time. A lot of money, effort and intelligence have gone into ensuring an outcome that won’t compromise Beijing’s plans. Cleo Paskall writes – On April 17th the Solomon Islands, a country of ...
    Point of OrderBy poonzteam5443
    3 days ago

  • Climate Change: Criminal ecocide
    We are in the middle of a climate crisis. Last year was (again) the hottest year on record. NOAA has just announced another global coral bleaching event. Floods are threatening UK food security. So naturally, Shane Jones wants to make it easier to mine coal: Resources Minister Shane Jones ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    3 days ago

  • Is saving one minute of a politician's time worth nearly $1 billion?
    Is speeding up the trip to and from Wellington airport by 12 minutes worth spending up more than $10 billion? Photo: Lynn Grieveson / The KākāTL;DR: The six news items that stood out to me in the last day to 8:26 am today are:The Lead: Transport Minister Simeon Brown announced ...
    The KakaBy Bernard Hickey
    3 days ago

  • Long Tunnel or Long Con?
    Yesterday it was revealed that Transport Minister had asked Waka Kotahi to look at the options for a long tunnel through Wellington. State Highway 1 (SH1) through Wellington City is heavily congested at peak times and while planning continues on the duplicate Mt Victoria Tunnel and Basin Reserve project, the ...
    Greater AucklandBy Matt L
    3 days ago

  • Smoke And Mirrors.
    You're a fraud, and you know itBut it's too good to throw it all awayAnyone would do the sameYou've got 'em goingAnd you're careful not to show itSometimes you even fool yourself a bitIt's like magicBut it's always been a smoke and mirrors gameAnyone would do the sameForty six billion ...
    Nick’s KōreroBy Nick Rockel
    3 days ago

  • What is Mexico doing about climate change?
    This is a re-post from Yale Climate Connections The June general election in Mexico could mark a turning point in ensuring that the country’s climate policies better reflect the desire of its citizens to address the climate crisis, with both leading presidential candidates expressing support for renewable energy. Mexico is the ...
    Skeptical Science
    3 days ago

  • State of humanity, 2024
    2024, it feels, keeps presenting us with ever more challenges, ever more dismay.Do you give up yet? It seems to ask.No? How about this? Or this?How about this?When I say 2024 I really mean the state of humanity in 2024.Saturday night, we watched Civil War because that is one terrifying cliff we've ...
    More Than A FeildingBy David Slack
    4 days ago

  • Govt’s Wellington tunnel vision aims to ease the way to the airport (but zealous promoters of cycl...
    Buzz from the Beehive A pet project and governmental tunnel vision jump out from the latest batch of ministerial announcements. The government is keen to assure us of its concern for the wellbeing of our pets. It will be introducing pet bonds in a change to the Residential Tenancies Act ...
    Point of OrderBy Bob Edlin
    4 days ago

  • The case for cultural connectedness
    A recent report generated from a Growing Up in New Zealand (GUiNZ) survey of 1,224 rangatahi Māori aged 11-12 found: Cultural connectedness was associated with fewer depression symptoms, anxiety symptoms and better quality of life. That sounds cut and dry. But further into the report the following appears: Cultural connectedness is ...
    Point of OrderBy poonzteam5443
    4 days ago

  • Useful context on public sector job cuts
    David Farrar writes –    The Herald reports: From the gory details of job-cuts news, you’d think the public service was being eviscerated.   While the media’s view of the cuts is incomplete, it’s also true that departments have been leaking the particulars faster than a Wellington ...
    Point of OrderBy poonzteam5443
    4 days ago

  • Gordon Campbell On When Racism Comes Disguised As Anti-racism
    Remember the good old days, back when New Zealand had a PM who could think and speak calmly and intelligently in whole sentences without blustering? Even while Iran’s drones and missiles were still being launched, Helen Clark was live on TVNZ expertly summing up the latest crisis in the Middle ...
    Gordon CampbellBy lyndon
    4 days ago

  • Govt ignored economic analysis of smokefree reversal
    Costello did not pass on analysis of the benefits of the smokefree reforms to Cabinet, emphasising instead the extra tax revenues of repealing them. Photo: Hagen Hopkins, Getty Images TL;DR: The six news items that stood out to me at 7:26 am today are:The Lead: Casey Costello never passed on ...
    The KakaBy Bernard Hickey
    4 days ago

  • True Blue.
    True loveYou're the one I'm dreaming ofYour heart fits me like a gloveAnd I'm gonna be true blueBaby, I love youI’ve written about the job cuts in our news media last week. The impact on individuals, and the loss to Aotearoa of voices covering our news from different angles.That by ...
    Nick’s KōreroBy Nick Rockel
    4 days ago

  • Who is running New Zealand’s foreign policy?
    While commentators, including former Prime Minister Helen Clark, are noting a subtle shift in New Zealand’s foreign policy, which now places more emphasis on the United States, many have missed a key element of the shift. What National said before the election is not what the government is doing now. ...
    PolitikBy Richard Harman
    4 days ago

  • 2024 SkS Weekly Climate Change & Global Warming News Roundup #15
    A listing of 31 news and opinion articles we found interesting and shared on social media during the past week: Sun, April 7, 2024 thru Sat, April 13, 2024. Story of the week Our story of the week is about adults in the room setting terms and conditions of ...
    Skeptical Science
    5 days ago

  • Feline Friends and Fragile Fauna The Complexities of Cats in New Zealand’s Conservation Efforts

    Cats, with their independent spirit and beguiling purrs, have captured the hearts of humans for millennia. In New Zealand, felines are no exception, boasting the highest national cat ownership rate globally [definition cat nz cat foundation]. An estimated 1.134 million pet cats grace Kiwi households, compared to 683,000 dogs ...

    Gareth’s WorldBy admin
    5 days ago

  • Or is that just they want us to think?
    Nice guy, that Peter Williams. Amiable, a calm air of no-nonsense capability, a winning smile. Everything you look for in a TV presenter and newsreader.I used to see him sometimes when I went to TVNZ to be a talking head or a panellist and we would yarn. Nice guy, that ...
    More Than A FeildingBy David Slack
    5 days ago

  • Fact Brief – Did global warming stop in 1998?
    Skeptical Science is partnering with Gigafact to produce fact briefs — bite-sized fact checks of trending claims. This fact brief was written by Sue Bin Park in collaboration with members from our Skeptical Science team. You can submit claims you think need checking via the tipline. Did global warming stop in ...
    Skeptical Science
    6 days ago

  • Arguing over a moot point.
    I have been following recent debates in the corporate and social media about whether it is a good idea for NZ to join what is known as “AUKUS Pillar Two.” AUKUS is the Australian-UK-US nuclear submarine building agreement in which … Continue reading → ...
    KiwipoliticoBy Pablo
    6 days ago

  • No Longer Trusted: Ageing Boomers, Laurie & Les, Talk Politics.
    Turning Point: “What has turned me away from the mainstream news media is the very strong message that its been sending out for the last few years.” “And what message might that be?” “That the people who own it, the people who run it, and the people who provide its content, really don’t ...
    Bowalley Road
    6 days ago

  • Mortgage rates at 10% anyone?
    No – nothing about that in PM Luxon’s nine-point plan to improve the lives of New Zealanders. But beyond our shores Jamie Dimon, the long-serving head of global bank J.P. Morgan Chase, reckons that the chances of a goldilocks soft landing for the economy are “a lot lower” than the ...
    Point of OrderBy xtrdnry
    6 days ago

  • Anzac commemorations, Türkiye relationship focus of visit
    Foreign Affairs Minister Winston Peters will represent the Government at Anzac Day commemorations on the Gallipoli Peninsula next week and engage with senior representatives of the Turkish government in Istanbul.    “The Gallipoli campaign is a defining event in our history. It will be a privilege to share the occasion ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    44 mins ago

  • Minister to Europe for OECD meeting, Anzac Day
    Science, Innovation and Technology and Defence Minister Judith Collins will next week attend the OECD Science and Technology Ministerial conference in Paris and Anzac Day commemorations in Belgium. “Science, innovation and technology have a major role to play in rebuilding our economy and achieving better health, environmental and social outcomes ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 hours ago

  • Comprehensive Partnership the goal for NZ and the Philippines
    Prime Minister Christopher Luxon held a bilateral meeting today with the President of the Philippines, Ferdinand Marcos Jr.  The Prime Minister was accompanied by MP Paulo Garcia, the first Filipino to be elected to a legislature outside the Philippines. During today’s meeting, Prime Minister Luxon and President Marcos Jr discussed opportunities to ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    14 hours ago

  • Government commits $20m to Westport flood protection
    The Government has announced that $20 million in funding will be made available to Westport to fund much needed flood protection around the town. This measure will significantly improve the resilience of the community, says Local Government Minister Simeon Brown. “The Westport community has already been allocated almost $3 million ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    20 hours ago

  • Taupō takes pole position
    The Government is proud to support the first ever Repco Supercars Championship event in Taupō as up to 70,000 motorsport fans attend the Taupō International Motorsport Park this weekend, says Economic Development Minister Melissa Lee. “Anticipation for the ITM Taupō Super400 is huge, with tickets and accommodation selling out weeks ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    21 hours ago

  • Cost of living support for low-income homeowners
    Local Government Minister Simeon Brown has announced an increase to the Rates Rebate Scheme, putting money back into the pockets of low-income homeowners.  “The coalition Government is committed to bringing down the cost of living for New Zealanders. That includes targeted support for those Kiwis who are doing things tough, such ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    23 hours ago

  • Government backing mussel spat project
    The Coalition Government is investing in a project to boost survival rates of New Zealand mussels and grow the industry, Oceans and Fisheries Minister Shane Jones has announced. “This project seeks to increase the resilience of our mussels and significantly boost the sector’s productivity,” Mr Jones says. “The project - ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    24 hours ago

  • Government focused on getting people into work
    Benefit figures released today underscore the importance of the Government’s plan to rebuild the economy and have 50,000 fewer people on Jobseeker Support, Social Development and Employment Minister Louise Upston says. “Benefit numbers are still significantly higher than when National was last in government, when there was about 70,000 fewer ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 day ago

  • Clean energy key driver to reducing emissions
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  • Thailand and NZ to agree to Strategic Partnership
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