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Aussie Aussie Aussie, oi oi oi …

Written By: - Date published: 7:00 pm, July 2nd, 2016 - 51 comments
Categories: australian politics, International - Tags:

Bill_Shorten

A general post for discussion of the Australian Election results as they come in tonight.  Will be updated with events.  Results should start to filter through after 8 pm local time when the booths close.  The opinion polls are neck and neck …

Update:  2 and a half hours in and the Liberals are looking rattled.  They are complaining that Labour told lies about Medicare and ran a frighten campaign.  Seats are Libs 61 Labour 60 Greens 1 and independents 4 …

Update 2:  When I went to sleep at about midnight the ABC was estimating the seat count at 73:67 with the Libs in front.  This morning it is 67 all …

Update 3: The Electoral Commision has ended the count for the time being, with Labor being called ahead in 72 seats, the Lib’s ahead in 67, Greens 1, and others 4.  7 seats are too close to call and a further 2 may change, including one where the Greens are neck and neck with Labor. Malcolm Turnbull gave a weird speech around midnight and has already faced a call for his resignation because of the 3% + swing against his coalition Government. Some Conservatives believe Tony Abbott would have done better.

51 comments on “Aussie Aussie Aussie, oi oi oi … ”

  1. ScottGN 1

    Isn’t Penny Wong on the ABC a totally class act?

    • Bearded Git 1.1

      agreed +1000 Scott…I watched her on the ABC for 5 and a half hours yesterday; superb. Incisive, informed, intelligent, took no shit from the Liberal wanker to her left and when she called the result an “aubergine” I just cracked up.

  2. ScottGN 2

    Channel 9 exit poll has a 50/50 split on preferred vote and a 3.4% swing to Labor in marginals.

  3. ScottGN 3

    Channel 7 exit poll 51% Coalition to 49% for Labor.

  4. Ad 4

    What’s the chance the Governor General has to choose between one coalition and another?

  5. Lionel 5

    Can,t see anything but a coalition win thanks to the media especially Sky News stacking their panels with ignorant right wingers.If Turnbull gets in they are going to roll the same out of date policies that this incompetent regime over here have.

    • Colonial Viper 5.1

      Don’t blame Sky News. Sky News in the UK didn’t stop Corbyn being elected Leader, despite the best efforts of the Murdoch press.

      • Hanswurst 5.1.1

        A bit of a false dichotomy implied there. If it is true that the outcome would have been different in the absence of Sky’s bias, then it would be entirely appropriate to level blame at their coverage, regardless of whether other factors might have been involved. Your general approach to these things, here as well as in general recently, has been a bit like blaming someone for being kicked in the teeth, despite the fact that someone had deliberately distracted her attention at that precise moment, someone else had kicked her, and yet another person had set her feet in concrete beforehand, preventing her from taking effective action to evade the blow. Sure, maybe she was a bit drunk at the time, but that would hardly have been the main contributing factor.

  6. ScottGN 6

    Queensland looks difficult for Labor. Tasmania, however, may have delivered 2/3 seats to Labor above expectations.

  7. ScottGN 7

    Greens ahead in Bateman.

  8. ScottGN 8

    Not much from NSW yet where Labor’s fortunes may be determined. The swing to Greens in Bateman is about 12%.

  9. ScottGN 9

    Eden-Monaro in NSW which is famously a bellwether seat in Australian elections (not so much now with redistribution) looks to be heading to Labor.

  10. ScottGN 10

    ABC currently forecasting 54 seats Coalition, 53 labor and Independents 4.

  11. ScottGN 11

    ABC has 55/55 with 4 independents and 36 in doubt.

  12. ScottGN 12

    WA polls will close shortly.

  13. ScottGN 13

    Anthony Albanese has won Grayndler.

  14. Craig H 14

    ABC has LNP at 58, ALP at 57, Other at 5.
    30 in doubt.

  15. ScottGN 15

    ABC currently forecasting 58 Labor, 57 Coalition, 5 Ind, 30 in doubt.

  16. ScottGN 16

    ABC saying a hung parliament is ‘more likely’.

  17. ScottGN 17

    ALP is winning big in states with Liberal State Govts while the swing is more muted in states with Labor State Govts.

  18. ScottGN 18

    Julie Bishop pretty fatalistic in the face of Labor’s Medicare scare.

    • mickysavage 18.1

      More than a hint of bitterness about her speech. Labor does it too …

      • ScottGN 18.1.1

        Indeed Micky. it’s fair to say the Coalition didn’t expect this broadside from Labor.

  19. ScottGN 19

    Penny Wong launching into Turnball on the ABC. It’s getting pretty gritty now folks.

  20. RedBaronCV 20

    Julie Bishop saying the Xeno team can’t do anything – wonder if Xeno will wind up in the balance of power team.

  21. mickysavage 21

    Labour Vote up 1.4%, Green up 1.6% Libs down 3.5% …

  22. ScottGN 22

    Tanya Plibersek is returned in Sydney. What wouldn’t you give to have her as deputy PM?

    • Colonial Viper 22.1

      Grant Robertson for DPM

      • ScottGN 22.1.1

        CV can you just put it to one side for a moment?

        • Colonial Viper 22.1.1.1

          sorry bad habits

        • Chris 22.1.1.2

          Why? Every opportunity is fair enough, I say. The guy’s a pillock and importantly (for lots of reasons) we need to be reminded of that – hence every opportunity.

          • Colonial Viper 22.1.1.2.1

            Not only are you a charmer Chris, but the kilogram of CO2 you’ve added to the Earth’s atmosphere today by wasting our time breathing has been a disappointing and callous waste of carbon budget.

          • ropata 22.1.1.2.2

            Which guy is a pillock again please? CV or Robertson. The audience needs to know 😇

  23. ScottGN 23

    Queensland may be be better for ALP than expected.

  24. RedLogix 24

    Victoria will likely be a disappointment for Labour in the wake of the Labour State govt having being embroiled in a long running dispute with the CFA that turned ugly and political.

    The Liberal opposition ran with a flat-out lie campaign very successfully. The whole story is quite long and involved, but the short version is they played very dirty.

  25. RedBaronCV 25

    Well if the ABC predictions are correct then it looks like 75 for the liberals.

  26. RedBaronCV 26

    In the Higgins & Wills seats who would the Liberals be most likely to preference?

  27. mauī 27

    Linda Burney, becomes the first Aboriginal woman to be elected into the House of Representatives (lower house of Parliament). The first Aboriginal woman to be elected into Parliament was only back in 2013…

  28. Colonial Viper 28

    Liberals have won 42% of the vote compared to Labour 35% so far.

    So that’s it as far as the popular vote is concerned.

    • dukeofurl 28.1

      Thats coalition which is a mix of about 4-5 parties on 42% primary vote.
      There is no nationwide Liberal party, nor is there a nationwide national party. Strangely in Queensland where they are combined into one party, elected Mps then split into Libs or Nats when it comes which caucus to join.

      • dukeofurl 28.1.1

        Here is party by party vote so far Sunday

        labour 35.3%
        liberals 28.3
        greens 10.0%
        Liberal nationals 8.3% ( QLD only)
        nationals 5%

  29. Stuart Munro 29

    The crocodile picked Turnbull – typical reptilian inside job.

  30. Stuart Munro 30

    It’s a monstrous business:

    http://www.bbc.com/news/world-australia-36680838

  31. dukeofurl 31

    Because of double dissolution half of Senate HAS to be relected in about two years time ( newly elected senators with short terms have their time in office ‘backdated’)
    While not essential for practical purposes it means HR will also be voted on at the same time.
    So whoever takes office will only have a bit over two years in office before facing relection

    Correction, its only backdated to previous 1 July, because of the date yesterday was 2nd July they dont go back to July 2015.
    So no short term !

    http://blogs.abc.net.au/antonygreen/2016/04/how-long-and-short-terms-are-allocated-after-a-double-dissolution.html

  32. joe90 33

    SkyNews – Albanese looking to stick the knife into Shorten.

    • Bearded Git 33.1

      They are dreaming-Shorten is safe on those results. Turnbull on the other hand….

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