Well the Russian peacekeepers are already leaving Kazakhstan having nipped the colour revolution in the bud. Blinken clearly didn’t have a clue about what was going on when he made the remark about Russians never leaving the house. Superior Russian intelligence meant they were ready as the impressive logistics show. Now we wait for Russia’s response to US refusal to pull back from their borders. One thing I’d bet the house on – it won’t involve invading Ukraine.
Pepe Escobar explains the background to the attempted coup here and Bhadrakumar here. Indications are that the main plotters were the UK’s MI6, and a faction of Turkish intelligence agencies. Global Britain putting its foot in it once again – the obsession with Russia dates back to Palmerston’s wish that England pushed on to conquer all of Russia after the nineteenth century Crimean war.
Russia clearly does not expect a positive response from the US to their proposal for a written guarantee that NATO will cease expansion towards its borders. If that is the case I expect their next step will be another total surprise for Anthony Blinken. They will have given it careful thought and nobody in the West can say they haven’t been warned.
Rapidly and effectively securing Kazakhstan from a bloody coup has already been a major success for the Eurasian project being gradually put into place by Russia and China. It is remarkable how little attention is paid to this integration project in our media. One only has to look at a map to see how the massive land mass comprising Russia to the north, China to the south, the Stans in the middle and Iran to the West, increasingly criss-crossed by road, rail and pipeline and politically aligned in the Belt and Road Initiative, the Shanghai Co-Operative Organisation and the Eurasia Economic Union is the economic engine of the future.
It is also a solid bulwark against the efforts of the nineteenth-century expansionist maritime powers, the UK and the US, to impose full spectrum dominance of markets. Good luck with containing that from the sea.
Escobar eplains why Kazakhstan is important:
Tokayev is a very smart operator totally aligned with Russia-China – which means fully in sync with the masterplan of the BRI, the Eurasia Economic Union, and the SCO. Tokayev, much like Putin and Xi, understands how this BRI/EAEU/SCO triad represents the ultimate imperial nightmare, and how destabilizing Kazakhstan – a key actor in the triad – would be a mortal coup against Eurasian integration. Kazakhstan, after all, represents 60 percent of Central Asia’s GDP, massive oil/gas and mineral resources, cutting-edge high tech industries: a secular, unitary, constitutional republic bearing a rich cultural heritage.
The geography is also important for understanding why the US stayed so long in Afghanistan and why they have now tried albeit unsuccessfully to destabilise Kazakhstan. Both countries sit in the middle of the Eurasian landmass.
Having failed in bombing Afghanistan into submission the US is now aiming to starve it into disintegration to let loose more jihadis. Refusal by the US to release Afghani billions held in US banks to provide for all the people is unconscionable.
The time-clock is ticking on the geopolitical chessboard. Russia’ next move will be very interesting.
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