Christchurch East by election

Written By: - Date published: 7:19 pm, November 30th, 2013 - 38 comments
Categories: by-election 2013 - Tags:

So far the results are looking good for Labour.

RNZ reports:

Labour Party candidate Poto Williams is leading in the Christchurch East by-election, with 20% of the votes counted.

New Zealand Snapper tweeted:

Over a quarter of all the votes counted, ACT has 12 votes. 12. That is not a typo. They have 12 votes.

30% 86% of the votes counted.  Electoral Commission site shows:

Williams (LAB) – 2846 – 6,263

Doocey (NAT) – 868 – 2,685

Moorhouse (GREEN) – 220 – 658

Tweet from Vernon Small:

Williams taking 64% of the CHCh East vote so far compared with Dalziels 54% in 2011. Cheshire cats that look like Cunliffe?

Well done Labour and Williams!

James MacBbeth Dann tweeted:

there are now two independents, the Conservatives and the legalize cannabis party ahead of ACT. Social Credit close on his tails

96% of the vote.  I’m calling it!  Williams by 4000+ votes!  Congratulations Poto!

100% votes counted now: Williams by 4,613 votes.

Final results:

Williams (LAB) – 8,119

Doocey (NAT) – 3,506

Moorhouse (GREEN) – 926

Baker (CNSP) – 487

Park (IND) – 75

Lambert (ALCP) -56

Veale (ACT) – 56

Holland (IND) – 31

Lictwark (NZDSC) – 20

Gaskin (IND) – 19

3 news reports on Williams victory:

Party leader David Cunliffe has congratulated his newest MP on her victory.

Our grassroots campaign in Christchurch East was run and won on the issues facing the city. On housing, insurance and standing up for people in the rebuild,” Mr Cunliffe said.

Ms Williams said she is “truly humbled” by the win.

Labour has held the Christchurch East seat since 1922 and at the last election Dalziel had a majority of more than 5000.

The Scoop Team report:

Last election just under 29,000 votes were cast giving Dalziel a majority of around 5300, there was some interest in whether National’s stronger support in the party vote might translate to more support in the by-election.

However this did not happen and the traditional low turnout for by-elections continued as well.

Labour will be pleased their heavy campaigning in the electorate paid off and will give some confidence to the caucus and members heading into election year. They will be hoping the increased support translates into party votes in the Canterbury area next year after it lost heavily in this area in the last election.

National will not be too concerned. Labour has held the seat for a very long time and no Government in modern history has taken an opposition seat in a by-election. However the failure to increase its share of the vote may set off a few gentle alarm bells.

The result for ACT appears to confirm the belief of many it is dead as a political force.

I agree with that assessment. A good boost for Labour.  Death knell for ACT!

And Chris Hutching of the NBR got it so wrong!

38 comments on “Christchurch East by election”

  1. gobsmacked 1

    Matthew Doocey has achieved the impossible – made National miss Aaron Gilmore.

  2. karol 2

    76.7% of the vote – Williams leads by 2,960

  3. Lanthanide 3

    Hell of a bad day for the site to barf like that.

    Makes me wonder if CloudFlare is more of a hindrance than a help…

  4. billbrowne 4

    “ACT and ALCP neck and neck in Christchurch By-election”

  5. Thomas 5

    Wow. That’s a decisive victory. National will not be pleased.

    Interesting to note that turnout decreased from 28,524 in 2011 to 13,318. That’s a decrease of over 15,000. A lot of people have left!

    • Richard McGrath 5.1

      Even Cunliffe’s advertising on election day, which surely broke the law, didn’t get the voters out.

  6. McFlock 6

    Botany by-election was 15k vs 28k in 2011

    Similar with other by-elections.

  7. Tat Loo (CV) 7

    Yep. And no big fuck off earthquake to contend with in Botany either. It actually looks to me like National supporters basically stayed at home.

  8. Ad 8

    Big congratulations to the team.

  9. bad12 9

    The interesting question is will the swing towards Labour in this by-election be as evident in the November 2014 election,

    Should this be so then i would suggest that Christchurch electorates alone will be enough to kick Slippery’s bunch of used car salesmen back to the Opposition Benches where they belong,

    Bit of a long bow to draw based upon a by-election with no Party Vote involved, congratulations on the win to Labour and Poto Williams,

    And, in a stranger than fiction moment i have to congratulate the Green Party candidate for NOT getting too many votes but hopefully gaining a raised profile for the Green Party Vote in November 2014…

  10. Tat Loo (CV) 10

    Just checked out the NZ Herald media site. Nothing on the home page about the byelection. Clicked through to National news. Nothing there either on the home page of that section. Zero.

  11. Craig Y 11

    ACT and ALCP deadheated (hee hee)…

  12. Steve Wrathall 12

    Yes, ACT got 0.42%. But our party vote there in 2011 was 0.34%. It’s Chch East after all. Red since QE2 was in nappies. A similar relative increase nationwide in 2014 would give ACT another MP

    • bad12 12.1

      Lolz, so say you, looks like the snatching of defeat from the jaws of victory from where i sit…

    • gobsmacked 12.2

      “would give ACT another MP”

      Another? Who would be the first?

    • Lanthanide 12.3

      Which is a very disingenuous thing to say, because a 23.5% rise in support off a very low base is easy.

      It’s like these small companies that boast of 328% growth in sales within a year. Well, big whoop.

    • swordfish 12.4

      @ Steve Wrathall: CE has been “Red since QE2 was in nappies.’

      Nuh. Largely thanks to the post-quake exodus, CE became a fundamentally Blue seat in 2011. You see, Steve, under MMP there’s a thing called “the party-vote”. It indicates which party people want in power, thus revealing a seat’s core political allegiance. In 2011, the Nats took 46% of the party-vote (with roughly another 4% voting for smaller right-wing parties like yours which supported a Nat-led Govt), and Labour received a mere 32%. Blue, not Red, big fella.

      But looks like it may well go Red in 2014.

  13. newsense 13

    from NBR Chris Hutching:

    “Labour leader David Cunliffe and some fellow MPs have also been in town, supporting hopeful Poto Williams but they don’t seem to have captured the media to the same degree.”

    Hope this is continued nationally- where for example Cunliffe gets a picture next to the story about raising MPs pay in the Herald online, while there are all kinds of massaged and unquestioned publicity pieces for the blue corner…

    the capture of the media is hopefully not reflected in the results that people are feeling…

    @CV above there didn’t seem to be a video on the TVNZ site, meaning it hasn’t featured on the news, it doesn’t seem to be in the national news section anywhere. It seems if you have an earthquake happen to you you are big news until you want to vote about it…Certainly not in the headlines…Mr Hutching may have not got it so wrong…I tried to find some reaction video from the candidate, Cunliffe and Jim Anderton and haven’t had much luck…

  14. millsy 14

    Good result. But we shouldnt read too much into it. The true test is in a year’s time.

  15. newsense 15

    also note there is an extra 2 in front of the results above…front and centre on TV3, but no video yet.

  16. George D 16

    A huge congratulations to Poto Williams and all the team behind her. Well done.

    Though the score doesn’t show it, I heard a lot of things about the confidence and competence of David Morehouse’s campaign, things that will be taken to the general election. Both parties got a lot of good things out of this contest.

  17. Mark 17

    National is in real trouble in Christchurch and they know it. At the recent local body elections the left took back control of the council for the first time in over 10 years. And yesterday’s result is just more of the same. Christchurch was a pivotal part of National winning in 2011 and will a pivotal part in them losing in 2014.

  18. Plan B 18

    National has used the ‘disaster capitalism model’ and beaten the people of Christchurch over the head with it with it, safe in the knowledge that ‘if it doesn’t happen in Auckland, then it does happen.
    Christchurch and Canterbury are ground zero for the new right running National. The only chance for the region now is to take back the country so that democracy can return to Canterbury. Three more years of National and it really will be game over. This election result is a very large increase for labour. Something that the initial NZ Herald article on the election result failed to mention. Let us hope it is a sign of things to come. It would be great if Labour could get the same swing against Brownlee.

  19. Brian 19

    Congrats to Poto, Jim Anderton and the Labour team – brilliant result!

  20. Tracey 20

    No wonder national were in full swing pretending it hadnt leaned blue in 2011. Brownlee in full lying mode about how well nats had done. The average punter stands no chance against the avalanche of deception

  21. ScottGN 21

    I can’t see a NZ First candidate in the list in the post? Did they stand a candidate? Because if not, that might explain why the Conservative candidate got 487 votes and about 3%.

    • gobsmacked 21.1

      No NZ First candidate. So your point is valid. Therefore, it was ignored by all media.

      Don’t confuse the Colin Craig cheerleaders with facts!

    • Craig Y 21.2

      My thoughts exactly, Scott. Well spotted!

  22. Craig Y 22

    And according to the Elections Commission, Con Party candidate Leighton Baker got 522 votes in 2011, and only 487 votes this time. Which seems to indicate that the Con total turnout went down over two years!

    • karol 22.1

      However, the Conservatives share of the vote is up compared with the party vote share in 2011:

      Party vote 2011 = 2.15%

      Baker vote in 2013 = 3.66%

      But NZ First got 6.26% of the party vote in 2011. Not sure where those votes would have gone in the by election.

      • swordfish 22.1.1

        “But NZ First got 6.26% of the party vote in 2011. Not sure where those votes would have gone in the by-election.”

        Partly to Labour * / very, very slightly (at best) to the Cons / but mainly, I’d suggest, into non-voting.

        *(NZ First voters’ candidate-vote went heavily to Dalziel in 2011)

  23. Craig Y 23

    In other words, the Cons benefit if there’s a low voter turnout. Which implies that we need greater voter mobilisation in 2014.

    • karol 23.1

      It could be partly due to the smaller amount of parties contesting the by election. But, the Nats lost around 10% of their vote share in the by election – so it’s the Nats that were the biggest losers.

    • Tracey 23.2

      Not if some of the cons vote has gone red, as it may have done here.

  24. Craig Y 24

    Or if familiarity breeds contempt, plenty of which I intend to make sure that the Conservatives are on the receiving end over the next year…

  25. captain hook 25

    as old snapper clark would say when we were felling rimu on the moonlight in the arahura vallley.
    shit in carrying a pig.
    tee hee.

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  • More disappointment
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    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
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  • What do these mother-child studies really say about fluoridation?
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  • Speaker: Disability and the Royal Commission of Inquiry into Historical Abuse
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  • Spain is not a democracy
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    1 week ago
  • UK Conservatives hate democracy
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    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    1 week ago
  • What is wrong with our building industry?
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    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    1 week ago
  • Local bodies
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    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    1 week ago
  • A future of government
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    SciBlogsBy Robert Hickson
    2 weeks ago
  • Speaker: Catalonia, interrupted
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    2 weeks ago
  • Sage Decisions Unwisely Over-Ruled.
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    2 weeks ago
  • Government may ban voting in effort to get more people to do it
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    2 weeks ago
  • Woman: Deleted.
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    2 weeks ago
  • The Hollowest of Men Ride Again… SURPRISE!
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    2 weeks ago
  • Barbaric
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    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    2 weeks ago
  • Is this study legit? 5 questions to ask when reading news stories of medical research
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  • Fighting Monsters.
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    2 weeks ago
  • The next wave of kaupapa Māori politics: its constitutional, it must be.
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  • Night lights of NZ from orbit
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    SciBlogsBy Duncan Steel
    2 weeks ago
  • Reporters deliver uplifting news to fleeing Japanese residents: they won’t miss any rugby
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    2 weeks ago
  • Government in contentious discussions about whether to put surplus on red or black
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    2 weeks ago
  • Jordanian teachers’ successful strike has lessons for here
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    RedlineBy Admin
    2 weeks ago

  • More homes where they are needed
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    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 hours ago
  • Minister of Finance and Sport and Recreation to visit Japan and Vietnam
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    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    17 hours ago
  • Dashboard tracks housing progress
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    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    19 hours ago
  • Ministerial Statement on the International Convention Centre fire
    Mr Speaker, I wish to make a ministerial statement relating to the Auckland fire. The Government is closely monitoring the situation with the fire at the NZ International Convention Centre and is thankful that everyone is now safe. Firefighters are doing an incredible job managing the fire and bringing it ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    21 hours ago
  • Government invests in Te Reo, environmental data research
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    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 day ago
  • Government announces next steps as part of a comprehensive plan to fix skills gap
    A new education-to-employment brokerage service to strengthen connections between local employers and schools. Funding for more trades focused ‘speed-dating’ events to connect schools with employers. Promotional campaign to raise profile of vocational education. The Government is taking action to increase the number of young people taking up vocational education and ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 day ago
  • Corrections Amendment Bill passes third reading
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    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago
  • Ngāi Tahu CEO appointed to NZ-China Council
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    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago
  • Southern Response claims move to EQC
    Responsibility for processing the small number of Southern Response claims still to be settled will be transferred to EQC by the end of the year. “As claim numbers reduce, it no longer makes sense for the Crown to have two organisations processing the remaining Canterbury claims,” Grant Robertson says. “Since ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago
  • Bowel screening starts in Whanganui
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    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago
  • Pacific Peoples Minister to attend Our Ocean Conference in Norway
    Minister for Pacific Peoples Aupito William Sio, heads to Oslo today to represent New Zealand at the sixth Our Ocean Conference, which is being hosted by the Norwegian Government from the 23-24 October. “The Our Ocean Conference mobilises real action on issues like marine plastic pollution and the impacts of ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • Government announces 27 percent increase in Trades Academy places
    Two secondary-school initiatives are being expanded as part of the Government’s plan to see more young New Zealanders take up a trade to help close the skills gap.   This includes the largest single increase in Trades Academy places in recent years. Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern and Education Minister Chris ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • Speech to the New Zealand Institute of International Affairs, Pacific Futures Conference: Connection...
    Session 4: Pacific Connectivity – Youth, Media and New Opportunities   Kia ora tatou katoa and Warm Pacific greetings to one and all. Representatives of Tainui, the local people of the land, or manawhenua – the indigenous peoples of this area – have welcomed you this morning in accordance with ...
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  • Methane reducing cattle feed one step closer
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  • Bill to refresh superannuation system passes first reading
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    6 days ago
  • Government announces next steps in fight against measles
    Babies in Auckland aged six months and over can receive a free vaccination and children will all have access to vaccines, Associate Minister of Health Julie Anne Genter announced today at Papatoetoe High School.   The move comes as part of Government efforts to step up the fight against measles. ...
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    6 days ago
  • Speech to the New Zealand Institute of International Affairs, Pacific Futures: Connections, Identity...
    ***Check against delivery*** Good morning. It is a pleasure to be here, and to have the honour of opening this important conference on behalf of the New Zealand Institute of International Affairs. Let us take the opportunity to acknowledge all the people who have helped make today possible, including our special ...
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    6 days ago
  • Police trial new response to high risk events
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    6 days ago
  • New awards celebrate fisheries sustainability
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  • More progress for women and we can do more
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    6 days ago
  • Proposals to curb environmental damage help our coasts and the oceans
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    7 days ago
  • New mental health facility for Waikato
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    7 days ago
  • 500 new te reo Māori champions in our classrooms
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    7 days ago
  • Minister James Shaw welcomes 2018 Census first release
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    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    7 days ago
  • Driving transparency, ethics and accountability in government use of algorithms
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  • New Zealand and the Netherlands working together on climate change
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    7 days ago
  • Protecting fairness for workers and businesses
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    1 week ago
  • Indigenous Freshwater Fish Bill Passes
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    1 week ago
  • Kiwis to take part in world’s biggest earthquake drill
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  • Rising wages and low inflation supporting Kiwis
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    1 week ago
  • NZ economy strong amid global headwinds
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    1 week ago
  • Keeping New Zealanders safer with better counter-terrorism laws
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  • Improved succession and dispute resolution core of Ture Whenua changes
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  • Speech to CTU Biennial Conference
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  • Minister ensures continued Whenuapai flight operations
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    1 week ago
  • NZ joins Coalition of Finance Ministers for Climate Action
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  • Feedback Sought – Section 71 – Lyttelton Parking
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    1 week ago
  • Feedback Sought – Section 71 – Hagley Oval
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  • CTU speech – DPM
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    1 week ago
  • Police Association Annual Conference
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    1 week ago