Clifton: Nat MPs getting nervous

Written By: - Date published: 6:42 pm, March 26th, 2017 - 79 comments
Categories: bill english, national, nick smith, polls, useless - Tags: , ,

English is down 6% in the latest Colmar Brunton (31% to 25%). Interesting context for this Sunday piece on Noted by Jane Clifton:

Bill English’s drop in the polls is making National MPs uneasy

As new PM, English is grinding away – to diminishing returns. Labour and National poll soundings show National’s percentage heading south towards the low 40s. Labour isn’t yet benefiting handsomely from this, but if “time for change” momentum accelerates, voters will, however reluctantly, perceive that giving Labour a legitimising vote share is the surest way to achieve that change.

Although tentative, the poll shift signals that what was once a victory sleepwalk for National has tipped into “game-on” territory. English’s assiduously steady-as-she-goes Cabinet, which hasn’t undone any key Keyisms (even the Super proposal is heavily provisional), will be asking what’s gone wrong.

National’s further handicap is lack of experience of sinking popularity. Only a handful of Nats have known times of low voter approval, the past decade safely immersed in the warm bath of Key’s popularity and dexterity. If that bathwater keeps cooling, there are enough talented backbenchers who can see their chances of reaching Cabinet disappearing forever to cause English big trouble.

And if the caucus does grow querulous, it’ll get personal. The Government’s electoral vulnerabilities – housing, water and the stalled debacle of resource management reform – are all the domain of English’s extremely close friend Nick Smith, aka Pamplona in a china shop. … Admirable though it is, sacrificing one’s country for one’s friend rather than the other way round is not how politics is generally played.

A dead giveaway of National’s unease was the Nikki Kaye/Maggie Barry attack on Labour’s new deputy, Jacinda Ardern…

For the Nats, having so long taken a fourth term as read, the possibility that their own leader may soon be less secure in his job than Labour’s will be a toughie. Points to the first Opposition MP to suggest to the PM that the vacancy for Key’s caddie hasn’t yet been filled.

Given that the Maori Party is reaching out to Labour, maybe Nat MPs aren’t the only ones getting nervous.

79 comments on “Clifton: Nat MPs getting nervous”

  1. paul andersen 1

    expect to see peter dunne making sucking up(to labour) noises

  2. Ski 2

    46% versus 30% and 11%, who is nervous?

    • McFlock 2.1

      Tories should be.

      And if they’re lame-duck pm keeps his current course, they should become “anxious”, “desperate” or even (hopefully) “morose and inconsolable”.

      • Ski 2.1.1

        If Tories are supposedly anxious about BE on 26 or whatever, how are labourites feeling about AL clinging on to 7?

        • Rightly or Wrongly 2.1.1.1

          I think (from his previous comments) that AL will be very comfortable.

          I suspect that the feeling of nervousness in inversely proportional to the level of support obtained.

          Think of it like climbing a ladder.

          If you are on the bottom rung you will be very comfortable – no nervousness at all.

          If you are up near the top of the ladder and there is a bit of a breeze then you may (as Mr Robins asserts) become nervous.

          Kind of avoids the elephant in the room that the goal of AL is to get a little higher up the ladder of popularity than near rock bottom.

        • Incognito 2.1.1.2

          The question as to who is your preferred PM is akin asking a 5-year old who is his/her favourite Mummy (or Daddy).

          • Matthew Whitehead 2.1.1.2.1

            Assuming your theoretical 5-year-old knew that they could answer with any mummy or daddy they liked, not just their own, then yes, it would be about that useful.

            In many ways the “right direction vs wrong direction” question is more useful overall, although that has its problems as a predictor too.

            If we want to know whether leaders are assets or drags on their party, we should be asking for a favourability rating, (ie. a “do you approve of Bill English/Andrew Little, yes/no?”) and then possibly comparing it to their share of the Party Vote, but even that doesn’t tell you everything, as sometimes people will happily like a Prime Minister or Leader of the Opposition, but wouldn’t ever consider voting for their party.

        • Johan 2.1.1.3

          To Ski: Tell me what Helen’s popularity was before serving 3 terms as PM?

          • Matthew Whitehead 2.1.1.3.1

            You mean before she was appointed PM in 1999? About what Bill English’s is now, although he’s on a sharp downward trend and her spikiness between the high thirties to mid forties was a lot smoother than English’s has been. After her first six months or so she had a dramatic upwards spike and then averaged about 40% in the PPM polls, before being voted out when Key was a meagre 3% more popular than her, an amount which is probably within the margin of error for telling who was actually winning at that particular time.

            Generally I am informed the trend is that National leaders do better in PPM even before they’re in power, but tend to fall off pretty quickly if they don’t look unassailable, wheras Labour leaders don’t do as well until they’re actually governing, but as I’ve only been poll-spotting since Clark was PM herself and the archives of poll results before that aren’t online, I can’t say for sure whether that’s true.

      • greg 2.1.2

        gone

      • Mordecai 2.1.3

        I recall very similar comments about John Key in 2008, 2011 and 2014. How did that work out?

        • McFlock 2.1.3.1

          That was when he was on what, 40-50%?

          Those were the days, eh…

          • Mordecai 2.1.3.1.1

            That was when people were writing him off because his popularity had dropped below 40%.

            • McFlock 2.1.3.1.1.1

              Well, no, in 2008 he hbounced around 40 (gotta love that incumbent advantage), but in 2011 and 2014 he never dipped below 42% (and Herald had him at 66% once or twice, even 70% in 2011).

              So the most similar comment you would have heard in 2008 was when he wasn’t even PM. So you haven’t really heard anything similar “when he dropped below 40%” for ooo 9 years or so.

              • Rightly or Wrongly

                Well, no, in 2008 he hbounced around 40 (gotta love that incumbent advantage)

                Sorry to prick your bubble but Key wasn’t PM during 2008 until near the end.

                Clark was the incumbent.

                • McFlock

                  I know, it was morbidguy who mentioned “similar” comments in 2008.

                  But as soon as he got elected his trailing median jumped up 10-15%. Hence the incumbent advantage.

                    • McFlock

                      lol so now May 2016 is “in 2008, 2011 and 2014”?

                      Shit you’re a meathead.

                    • Mordecai

                      Read back through the thread. It shouldn’t take you long.

                    • McFlock

                      you’re just a liar.

                    • Mordecai

                      You need to learn to read. And be less of a plonker.

                    • McFlock

                      you’re the one who claimed to have heard similar things in time periods where it was impossible to have done such a thing.

                    • One Anonymous Bloke

                      McFlock, you have to allow for the probability that Mordecai’s amygdala is enlarged to the extent that it clouds his self-awareness.

                      That is to say a dupe, rather than a liar.

                    • McFlock

                      lol

                    • Mordecai

                      “you’re the one who claimed to have heard similar things in time periods where it was impossible”

                      No. You’re confused about the ‘that was when’ comment. The left underestimated Key in the same way the right underestimated Clark. It’s been fun to watch Labour chew through leaders from the sidelines.

                    • McFlock

                      What, the bit where you said that was when he was below 40% and he was never below 40%, as PM, in an election year? So you could never have heard people saying similar things about John Key, given that circumstances never were never similar to begin with?

                      protip: this is where you get to support your assertion with links, like I did.

                    • Mordecai

                      “o you could never have heard people saying similar things about John Key,”
                      You’re either thick or deliberately obtuse. Here’s a clue… it will consume less of your limited intellect. Go across to TDB and search for posts by Frank Macskasy on Key’s popularity.
                      Geez I wonder why I’ve even bothered to give you that much lead.

                    • McFlock

                      still incapable of providing evidence of the impossible then? There’s a surprise. /sarc

                      Linky-winky, little liar. Comments from years 2008, 2011, 2014 please, just like you said. But not 2008, because he wasn’t PM then and TDB wasn’t operational until 2013.

        • Daveosaurus 2.1.3.2

          Key’s gone, in case you hadn’t noticed.

    • Richard McGrath 2.2

      46% after 8 years and a leader with wet dishrag charisma is almost miraculous

  3. red-blooded 3

    Well, if even Jane Clifton is ready to criticise, then the Nats really must be starting to feel uncomfortable. And let’s remember that the election campaign hasn’t actually started yet – there’s plenty of time for that downward trend to bite further.

    I thought the best part of this article was about Jacinda Adern and the misjudged attacks from the Nat women last week. She also makes the good point that Ardern has no intention of challenging Little for leadership and that a popular deputy is an asset, not a problem, as some others in the media have been suggesting.

  4. Brendon Harre 4

    On the related issue of Jacinda doing well in the polls. I have talked to a few people and we all think it is not a problem.

    Andrew appointed her because he thought she would be a great communicator and that decision has turned out to be true. It is a positive result.

    I bet in the coming months Bill will be wishing he had a deputy who was a good communicator and was popular with the public….

  5. BM 5

    National/NZ First looking like a certainty.

    • paul andersen 5.1

      but ,you and your mob hate winston,,,,,so hows that gonna work,? or is this yet another right wing sellout?? morally bankrupt

      • Rightly or Wrongly 5.1.1

        There was a lot of animosity between the Nats and Winnie due to perceived issues around Winnie’s use of trusts etc. back around 2005-2007.

        There was also personal friction between Winnie and John Key.

        Winnie paid for the first one by getting kicked out of Parliament in 2008 and now Key is gone the personal factor is a lot less.

        I have read some of NZ First policies and don’t have an issue too much with most of them.

        If Winnie doesn’t get too grasping for his baubles this year I could see a Nat/NZ First coalition working ok.

        • BM 5.1.1.1

          Yep, Key and Winston not a chance, English and Winston no worries, they’re both career politicians for a start so they’ve got that common ground.

          Done properly there’s a high chance that a National/NZ coalition could rule for another 2-3 terms.

          • Draco T Bastard 5.1.1.1.1

            You’re reaching.

            NZ1st will not work with National. They may work with Labour but I suspect that they’ll sit on on the cross benches.

          • AB 5.1.1.1.2

            Nat/NZF will rule forever.The Key Mausoleum will open in Parnell in 2051 with the embalmed body of dear leader wearing a gay shirt and sucking on a beer. BM will queue for hours every Sunday to glimpse his yellowing hero.

          • Matthew Whitehead 5.1.1.1.3

            LOL Key was much closer to Winston’s politics than English is. Literally the only thing English has going for him that Key doesn’t is that he hasn’t publicly ruled out NZF as an ally before, and even that’s a bit of a stretch.

            I don’t pretend to know what Winston will do, but if he does go with National it won’t be because of Boring Bill English, it’ll be because Andrew Little screwed up his chance.

        • Cinny 5.1.1.2

          It’s not just a party leader Winny and his team would work with, it’s the party itself.

          Would Winny be happy and excited to spend time with and work alongside the likes of Brownlee, Joyce, Bennett, Barry, Smith etc? I’m not so sure he would.

    • ha bm – you are skidmarking all over the place – a good sign of just how scared the rwnj’s are.

      • BM 5.2.1

        Na, I don’t really care who wins the next election, won’t effect me in the slightest.

        if I was honest NZ could probably do with a left wing government coming in and trashing the economy and driving down stock and property prices.

        Currently everything is so over valued, labgreens would certainly solve that issue.

        • Draco T Bastard 5.2.1.1

          if I was honest NZ could probably do with a left wing government coming in and trashing the economy and driving down stock and property prices.

          Dude, trashing the economy is what National just did. In fact, trashing the economy is all that National ever does which is why we always see rising poverty under them.

        • Robert Guyton 5.2.1.2

          “if I was honest” – BM

        • I like the concession that you’re not currently being honest, BM. XD

    • Johan 5.3

      To BM: Good luck with that one;-))))

    • Richard McGrath 5.4

      Deputy PM Peters will roll wet dishrag English after a year

  6. yep I don’t expect bill english to make it to the election – he’ll be pulled down and scoffed before then and a new leader shall arise – as I have said before – beware of paula bennett – she is not stopping till she gets to the top and all will be trampled along the way especially that dirtydealcollins.

    • Ski 6.1

      7 and 30 versus 26 and 46, take your pick as to who will be pulled down and scoffed at.

      • Psycho Milt 6.1.1

        It’s all about whose prospects are looking better and whose are looking worse. Nat MPs will be asking themselves how many fresh disasters Bill’s best mate will deliver between now and the election, and if they’re instead picturing good news turning up on the subjects of housing or water quality, they really shouldn’t.

      • weka 6.1.2

        “7 and 30 versus 26 and 46, take your pick as to who will be pulled down and scoffed at”

        Ardern is not the first diamond Deputy Dawg, either. Winston Peters overtook Jim Bolger, who, of course, “never commented on polls”. It’s also worth remembering that Opposition leaders hardly ever outrate PMs.

        From the article that the post is about, because you appear to have missed it.

        And it’s not 30, it’s 41. We have this thing call MMP now.

      • Cinny 6.1.3

        The outgoing PM is not, was not and never will be elected PM by NZ voters. You will see, on the day following the spring equinox.

        Ski do you know why Nationals deputy does not feature on the preferred PM polls?

        • weka 6.1.3.1

          We don’t vote for the Prime Minister 😉

          • Cinny 6.1.3.1.1

            True that, but I’m sure those who voted National last election did not vote for Bill to be their leader.

            • weka 6.1.3.1.1.1

              Likewise every party (apart from those who are members in parties that do allow involvement in choosing the leader). Not sure what your point is there.

              • Cinny

                I guess my point is, English never will be elected by the people to lead the country. He will try and fail for the second time.

    • mpledger 6.2

      Paula Bennet hasn’t got the smarts, she’ll rely on the wrong person for support who will double-cross her to get the top job.

  7. ian 7

    It may be 7 and 30 versus 26 and 46 now but I don’t see what National has that would reverse, or even arrest, their slide.

    A few pp here, a few pp there, for the next six months. Remember they get tipped out at 40 – 43%.

    • Mordecai 7.1

      No, they don’t. All that happens is that NZF get more influence in a Nationsl led government.

  8. “A One News Colmar Brunton poll released tonight also shows a drop in support for Bill English as preferred Prime Minister, and a pick-up in support for the Maori Party, up from 1 to 4 per cent.

    …Little told the Herald the polling did not reflect the feedback to Labour about how Maori voters viewed the Maori Party.

    “Which is not very favourably. They are seen as having been shackled to the National Government for nine years and stood aside and let Maori homeownership fall, Maori homelessness grow and a whole heap of other things get worse.

    “I just don’t detect, and neither do the Labour Maori MPs, detect any appetite among Maori voters for the Maori Party having a role in Government.””

    http://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/news/article.cfm?c_id=1&objectid=11825906

    foolish little – yes stick with your polls you little key – those polls will help you not, those polls will drive your thick statements and be your undoing – and when you have lost and everyone is looking at you then you will know the truth about polls – ffs is he the best we’ve got?

    and for those who think I’m being too harsh

    “On Labour’s showing in the poll, Little said the results were unusual.

    “It’s not consistent with the amazing turnout we are getting at our meetings and the feedback all MPs are getting. The poll’s not bad for us, but there’s been no change in the last six weeks, which doesn’t seem right to me.”

    yep (shakes head slowly and sadly) udaman

  9. Tamati Tautuhi 9

    NZF will be holding the balance of power, however it is highly unlikely NZF will go into a coalition with National, I am picking it will be an Labour + NZF Coalition if they can get the numbers or a Labour + NZF + Greens Coalition, NZF always polls higher on Election Day they have some strong candidates and a strong leader who has stood the test of time, Winston has extensive political experience having been Deputy PM, Minister of Finance and Foreign Affairs.

    The problem Winston and NZF has is MSM have sought to destroy him since the Winebox Enquiry when he attempted to expose corrupt business practices here in NZ.

    The Establishment here in NZ which controls the country are anti NZF as he has always tried to act in the best interests of all New Zealanders, he has links to te tangata te whenua, yet he bats for all New Zealanders, he is not anti immigration however he wants the discussion about what is best for all New Zealanders and New Zealand as a whole. The problem we have is the country is not mature enough to have that discussion.

    • weka 9.1

      “The problem Winston and NZF has is MSM have sought to destroy him since the Winebox Enquiry when he attempted to expose corrupt business practices here in NZ.”

      That and the fact that he betrayed his left wing voters that time when he went into govt with National after implying he would support Labour.

      I don’t see Peters as batting for all NZers. If he was he would be willing to work with parties left of Labour. That’s what MMP was for and Peters has pretty much taken a stance that the centre should rule.

      • dukeofurl 9.1.1

        His numbers back then meant only with national could he form a government easily
        labour + NZF gave 54seats when you needed 61. Which is exactly what NZF + national got.
        The other possible combination was lab+ NZF + Alliance to get 67. Dont think that was viable for Peters.

        • weka 9.1.1.1

          Why wasn’t it viable?

          • Tamati Tautuhi 9.1.1.1.1

            Jim couldn’t get his shit together, just became one big problem

            • McFlock 9.1.1.1.1.1

              Yeah, for years I blamed peters for ’96, but it seems that anderton was playing hard to get and overplayed his hand. Clark couldn’t guarantee the numbers, so peters went with bolger, was the story in a couple of docos. And from what I recall of anderton’s later behaviour, sounds pretty typical.

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    The last decade has seen a trend of increasing weapons availability to police. Assault rifles. Tasers on every hip. Guns in cars. And following the march 15 massacre, pistols on every hip, all over the country. At the same time, its also seen an increase in the abuse of force: ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    6 days ago
  • If you can’t measure it, does it exist?
    In the last couple of weeks, I’ve been busy preparing for our summer paper on Science Communication. Looking for something amusing about ‘risk’ in science, I came across this neat xkcd.com cartoon about why so many people come knocking on my door (or phoning me, or emailing me) desperately wanting ...
    SciBlogsBy Marcus Wilson
    6 days ago
  • Swinson’s swithering
    Jo Swinson is doing even worse at this Being Sensible lark that I'd thought.  I've just become aware of the following utterance
    .@KayBurley presses Lib Dem leader @joswinson on whether she would agree to a #Brexit deal 'no matter how bad a deal it is' as long as it had ...
    6 days ago
  • Women’s rights, trans ideology and Gramsci’s morbid symptoms
    by John Edmundson The International Socialist Organisation (ISO) have recently reposted a February article, by Romany Tasker-Poland, explaining ISO’s position in the “trans rights” debate.  It is available on their website and on their Facebook Page.  The article sets out to explain why “socialists support trans rights”.  It reads more ...
    RedlineBy Admin
    7 days ago
  • We need to take guns off police
    Today's IPCA report of police criminality: a police officer unalwfully tasered a fleeing suspect who posed no threat to anyone:The police watchdog has found an officer unlawfully tasered an Auckland man who broke his ankle jumping off a balcony to escape arrest. [...] To avoid arrest, the man jumped over ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    7 days ago
  • “Bringing kindness back”
    "Auckland City Mission: 10% of Kiwis experiencing food insecurity", RNZ, 16 October 2019:About half a million people are experiencing food insecurity, according to new research from the Auckland City Mission. Food insecurity, or food poverty, is defined as not having enough appropriate food. The City Mission said over the last ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    7 days ago
  • Press Release: “Fake News” from Auckland City Council CCOs Board Chairs re pay and performance b...
    Media Statement for Immediate Release 16th October 2019 “Fake News” from Auckland City Council CCOs Board Chairs re pay and performance bonuses for top managers Despite comments from Auckland City Council CCOs Board Chairs re pay and performance bonuses for top managers—Herald Newspaper Tuesday Oct 15th–there is very little evidence ...
    Closing the GapBy Tracey Sharp
    7 days ago
  • Ever-So-Slightly Bonkers: Simon Bridges Plays To His Base.
    Would You Buy A Used Propaganda Video From This Man? Bridges and the National Party’s strategists have discovered that the ideas and attitudes considered acceptable by today’s editors and journalists are no longer enforceable. The rise and rise of the Internet and the social media platforms it spawned means that ...
    7 days ago
  • Asking for food
    There is plenty of evidence of the way the business mentality has permeated every level of society since the recrudescence of market liberalism 35 years ago. You only need to think of how citizens in need of help from their government, their state, their country, are now routinely described as ...
    Opposable ThumbBy Unknown
    7 days ago
  • Forty years of change in the jobs Kiwi do and the places they call home
    John MacCormick Over the last 40 years, New Zealanders – and people in other countries – have experienced big changes in the jobs they do and where they live and work. These changes include: a decline in manufacturing jobs an increase in jobs in ‘information-intensive’ industries (which are better paid ...
    SciBlogsBy Guest Author
    7 days ago
  • Protecting Fresh Waterways in Aotearoa/NZ: The Strong Public Health Case
    Nick Wilson, Leah Grout, Mereana Wilson, Anja Mizdrak, Phil Shoemack, Michael Baker Protecting waterways has the benefits of: (1) protecting water from hazardous microbes; (2) minimising cancer risk and other problems from nitrates in water; (3) avoiding algal blooms that are hazardous to health; (4) protecting mahinga kai uses (cultural ...
    SciBlogsBy Public Health Expert
    1 week ago
  • Massey University triggered to rebrand
    by The Council of Disobedient Women In a press release today Massey University announced it has decided to rebrand and reorientate after struggling to be a University for grown-ups. For some time the University has wanted to be a safe play space for wee-woke-misogynists who have been really badly triggered ...
    RedlineBy Daphna
    1 week ago
  • Swinson backing calls for a second referendum (again)
    After a brief dalliance with 'hard Revoke' it looks like the Lib Dems are changing ground on on Brexit, with leader Jo Swinson reverting to calling for a second referendum on Johnson's deal.The party has tabled an amendment to the Queen’s speech requesting that any deal brought back from Brussels ...
    1 week ago
  • An odious bill
    The government has decided that someone has done Something Bad. But despite their belief, there seems to be no evidence that they have actually broken the law. So the government's solution is to pass a retrospective law allowing them to be punished anyway, on a lower standard of proof. If ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    1 week ago
  • National is now the party of climate arson
    So, Judith Collins has done a Facebook rant about climate change, peddling the same shit National has been shovelling for the past twenty years: the impacts are overstated, there's no need to do anything about it, and its too hard anyway (oh, and its so unfair that people who peddle ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    1 week ago
  • The environmental footprint of electric versus fossil car
    Climate Explained is a collaboration between The Conversation, Stuff and the New Zealand Science Media Centre to answer your questions about climate change. If you have a question you’d like an expert to answer, please send it to climate.change@stuff.co.nz There is a lot of discussion on the benefits of ...
    SciBlogsBy Guest Author
    1 week ago
  • “Manifest” by Andrew Bird – A Song For The Times.
    I came across this song quite by accident. If it isn't one of Greta Thunberg's favourites - it should be.Video courtesy of YouTube.This post is exclusive to Bowalley Road. ...
    1 week ago
  • Passing the buck
    Last month, NZDF's shoddy coverup of what it knew about civilian casualties in Operation Burnham began to fall apart, with the revelation that a report on the matter, which NZDF claimed not to have, had been sitting in an NZDF safe for the past nine years. Yesterday, the man responsible ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    1 week ago
  • India a major player in Earth observation satellites
    While many imagine that countries like the USA and Europe dominate space activities, in fact India is now a major player on this stage. It launches satellites for its own purposes and also commercially, and has constellations orbiting our planet and returning data of vital importance to that nation in ...
    SciBlogsBy Duncan Steel
    1 week ago
  • The rot at the top (2).
    Thanks to a report from the Acting Inspector General of Intelligence and Security following a complaint by Nicky Hager, we have come to find out that the SIS illegally spied on Mr. Hager on behalf of the NZDF after publication of Hager’s 2011 book, Other People’s Wars. The NZDF justified ...
    KiwipoliticoBy Pablo
    1 week ago
  • Common misconceptions about “Global Warming”
    COMMON MISCONCEPTIONS ABOUT GLOBAL WARMING MYTH 1: Global temperatures are rising at a rapid, unprecedented rate. FACT: The HadCRUT3 surface temperature index, produced by the Hadley Centre of the UK Met Office and the Climate Research Unit of the University of East Anglia, shows warming to 1878, cooling to 1911, ...
    An average kiwiBy admin@averagekiwi.com
    1 week ago
  • A climate of tyranny
    For the past week, Extinction Rebellion has been peacefully protesting in London to demand action on climate change. The British government's response? Ban their protests:Police have banned Extinction Rebellion protests from continuing anywhere in London, as they moved in almost without warning to clear protesters who remained at the movement’s ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    1 week ago
  • Collins crushes climate
    An essay by Judith Collins MP reported on Carbon News yesterday seems to show an alarming shift in attitude within the National Party. Collins argues against the Zero Carbon Bill, the Paris Agreement, and downplays the magnitude of climate impacts. The Paris Agreement was adopted in December 2015 and ratified ...
    SciBlogsBy Robert McLachlan
    1 week ago
  • More disappointment
    When they were running for election, Labour promised to overhaul the Employment Relations Act and introduce fair pay agreements to set basic pay and conditions on an industry level, preventing bad employers from undercutting good ones. They followed this up by establishing a working group, which reported back in January ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    1 week ago
  • What do these mother-child studies really say about fluoridation?
    A list of indicators of bad science – many of these are found in articles promoted by anti-fluoride activists. Anti-fluoride activists have been pouring money into a scaremongering campaign warning pregnant women not to drink fluoridated water. They claim fluoride will lower the IQ of their future child. Fluoride ...
    1 week ago
  • Losing Labour’s Mills-Tone.
    Nothing Left To Say: Labour's pollster, Stephen Mills, remains swaddled-up in the comforting myths of the 1980s. As if the experience of Roger Douglas’s genuinely radical post-Muldoon policy agenda was literally a once-in-a-lifetime thing – as much as the party could possibly absorb for at least the next 50 years.MEMO ...
    1 week ago
  • Speaker: Disability and the Royal Commission of Inquiry into Historical Abuse
    The Royal Commission on abuse in care is very significant for the disability community. For many decades last century, thousands of disabled children, and adults who managed to survive, were locked away from families and communities. This was not for anything they had done, but for the perceived threat their ...
    1 week ago
  • Spain is not a democracy
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    1 week ago
  • UK Conservatives hate democracy
    With an unfair voting system, uneven electorates and an un-elected upper house, the UK's "democracy" is barely worthy of the name. But now the government wants to make it worse:The government has been accused of suppressing voters’ rights with the potential disenfranchisement of tens of thousands of people after plans ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    1 week ago
  • What is wrong with our building industry?
    Back in the 90's and early 2000's, the building industry was building leaky homes which should never have been granted consent. Now it turns out they've been building dodgy office blocks as well:New imaging technology has revealed hundreds of major buildings nationwide have defective or missing concrete or reinforcing steel. ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    1 week ago
  • Local bodies
    Local body election results were released over the weekend, to joy or despair depending on where you live. In Auckland, Phil Goff trounced John Tamihere, who is muttering darkly about running for Parliament again (but which party would want him?) Wellington is now a wholly-owned subsidiary of Weta Workshop, except ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    1 week ago
  • A future of government
      How could government evolve over the next decades? Reports of democracy’s imminent demise are greatly exaggerated.  However, satisfaction with political systems in many countries is low, so there is much to do for governments of all political stripes to improve relevance and trust. Digital technologies are seen as one ...
    SciBlogsBy Robert Hickson
    2 weeks ago
  • Speaker: Catalonia, interrupted
    Two years have now gone by since the Friday afternoon when my university-student son and I headed out of our Barcelona flat to a nearby primary school, designated as a polling station for the vote that was to be held the following Sunday: the referendum on Catalonia’s independence from Spain ...
    2 weeks ago
  • Sage Decisions Unwisely Over-Ruled.
    Overruled: The joint decision of Finance Minister, Grant Robertson (Labour) and his Associate Minister, David Parker (Labour) arguably the two most powerful ministers in Jacinda Ardern’s government, to grant OceanaGold the consents which Land Information Minister, Eugenie Sage (Greens) had earlier denied them, offers bitter proof of how hard fighting ...
    2 weeks ago
  • Government may ban voting in effort to get more people to do it
    More than double the number of people who will vote in this year’s local body elections have tried marijuana or urinated somewhere they shouldn’t have. As local elections look set for the lowest turnout in decades, with many regions falling well short of 40%, the Government is exploring a number ...
    The CivilianBy admin
    2 weeks ago
  • Woman: Deleted.
    A Statement on Abortion Law Reform by the Council of Disobedient Women   On the eve of bringing an end to antiquated, anti-women abortion laws Green MP Jan Logie intends to write women out of the Bill. With a stroke of the pen, the woke are aiming for total erasure ...
    RedlineBy Daphna
    2 weeks ago
  • The Hollowest of Men Ride Again… SURPRISE!
    Musings continue apace about “the experienced businessman!” soon to be taking up a National Party MP position. Or to be more accurate, being parachuted into a seat to shut down their former MP Jamie-Lee Ross, who despite his own shortcomings shed at least some more light on the inner workings ...
    exhALANtBy exhalantblog
    2 weeks ago
  • Barbaric
    The Ugandan government wants to murder gay people:Uganda has announced plans to impose the death penalty on homosexuals. The bill, colloquially known as “Kill the Gays” in Uganda, was nullified five years ago on a technicality, but the government said on Thursday it plans to resurrect it within weeks. The ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    2 weeks ago
  • Is this study legit? 5 questions to ask when reading news stories of medical research
    Hassan Vally, La Trobe University Who doesn’t want to know if drinking that second or third cup of coffee a day will improve your memory, or if sleeping too much increases your risk of a heart attack? We’re invested in staying healthy and many of us are interested in reading ...
    SciBlogsBy Guest Author
    2 weeks ago
  • Fighting Monsters.
    Freedom Of Speech? The Säuberung (cleansing by fire) was the work of the German Student Union which, on 10 May 1933, under the watchful eye of the Nazi Reichminister for Propaganda, Joseph Goebbels, consigned 25,000 books to the flames in a ritual exorcism of “un-German thought”. According to the logic of the ...
    2 weeks ago
  • The next wave of kaupapa Māori politics: its constitutional, it must be.
      “There can be no such thing as kaupapa Māori political parties or politics in Aotearoa” (Willie Jackson, Labour Party (2017). Māori TV, General/List Election Special) I begin with that claim because at the time, I was confounded at first that it fell out of Willie Jackson’s mouth, and then ...
    EllipsisterBy Ellipsister
    2 weeks ago
  • Night lights of NZ from orbit
    New Zealand has prided itself for decades with regard to its lack of pollution, and all will be aware that the ‘100% Pure New Zealand‘ meme is under threat through land, water and air pollution of various causes. There is another type of contamination that the country also faces: light ...
    SciBlogsBy Duncan Steel
    2 weeks ago
  • Reporters deliver uplifting news to fleeing Japanese residents: they won’t miss any rugby
    New Zealand’s media is doing its part in Japan, reassuring those in the path of the storm that they won’t miss any rugby while away from their flooded homes. New Zealand sports reporters stationed in Japan for the Rugby World Cup have had the rare and heartwarming opportunity to inform ...
    The CivilianBy admin
    2 weeks ago
  • Government in contentious discussions about whether to put surplus on red or black
    Regional Development Minister Shane Jones is the only Cabinet member in favour of putting it all on green. As Finance Minister Grant Robertson finds himself with an enormous $7.5 billion surplus, the Government has begun intense, at times contentious conversations about whether to put the money on red or black at ...
    The CivilianBy admin
    2 weeks ago
  • Jordanian teachers’ successful strike has lessons for here
    by Susanne Kemp At the start of September close to 100,000 school teachers went on strike in Jordan.  They demanded a 50% pay rise.  A pay rise actually agreed to by the regime back in 2014. In early October, however, in the face of government repression and threats, the teachers’ ...
    RedlineBy Admin
    2 weeks ago

  • More homes where they are needed
    More houses for homeless New Zealanders are being opened today in Tauranga by Associate Housing Minister Kris Faafoi. Six 2-bedroom quality units are being opened at 878 Cameron Road by Minister Faafoi and Accessible Properties, a local Community Housing Provider (CHP). Accessible Properties now provides more than 1,700 community housing ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 hour ago
  • Minister of Finance and Sport and Recreation to visit Japan and Vietnam
    Finance Minister Grant Robertson departs tomorrow for events and meetings in Japan and Vietnam.  While in Japan, he will discuss economic and fiscal issues including meeting with the Minister of Finance, Taro Aso, and Minister of Economic and Fiscal Policy, Yasutoshi Nishimura. He will meet with the Minister of Education, ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    15 hours ago
  • Dashboard tracks housing progress
    The Government’s Housing Dashboard released today confirms record numbers of state houses are under construction and shows the Government build programme is gaining momentum.  “After nine years of inaction, and a hands-off attitude from the previous government we’re starting to see things move in the right direction for housing,” says ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    16 hours ago
  • Ministerial Statement on the International Convention Centre fire
    Mr Speaker, I wish to make a ministerial statement relating to the Auckland fire. The Government is closely monitoring the situation with the fire at the NZ International Convention Centre and is thankful that everyone is now safe. Firefighters are doing an incredible job managing the fire and bringing it ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    18 hours ago
  • Government invests in Te Reo, environmental data research
    The Government is investing in ambitious research that will digitise Te Reo, grow the low-carbon protein efficient aquaculture industry, help interpret environmental trends, and large data sets says Research, Science and Innovation Minister Megan Woods. The four projects range from teaching Siri to speak Te Reo to crunching large environmental ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    23 hours ago
  • Government announces next steps as part of a comprehensive plan to fix skills gap
    A new education-to-employment brokerage service to strengthen connections between local employers and schools. Funding for more trades focused ‘speed-dating’ events to connect schools with employers. Promotional campaign to raise profile of vocational education. The Government is taking action to increase the number of young people taking up vocational education and ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 day ago
  • Corrections Amendment Bill passes third reading
    A Bill to improve prison security and ensure the fair, safe, and humane treatment of people in prison while upholding public safety has passed its third reading. Corrections Minister Kelvin Davis says the Corrections Amendment Bill makes a number of changes to ensure the Corrections Act 2004 is fit for ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago
  • Ngāi Tahu CEO appointed to NZ-China Council
    Minister for Māori Development, Nanaia Mahuta, has selected Arihia Bennett MNZM, Chief Executive Officer of Te Rūnanga o Ngāi Tahu, as the Te Puni Kōkiri appointed representative on the New Zealand-China Council. The New Zealand-China Council (the Council) was established in 2012 as a New Zealand led and funded organisation ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago
  • Southern Response claims move to EQC
    Responsibility for processing the small number of Southern Response claims still to be settled will be transferred to EQC by the end of the year. “As claim numbers reduce, it no longer makes sense for the Crown to have two organisations processing the remaining Canterbury claims,” Grant Robertson says. “Since ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago
  • Bowel screening starts in Whanganui
    Health Minister David Clark is encouraging Whanganui residents to take up the opportunity for free bowel screening, which can detect cancer early when it’s easier to treat.   Over the next two years 12,000 Whanganui locals, aged 60 to 74 will be invited to participate in the National Bowel Screening ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago
  • Pacific Peoples Minister to attend Our Ocean Conference in Norway
    Minister for Pacific Peoples Aupito William Sio, heads to Oslo today to represent New Zealand at the sixth Our Ocean Conference, which is being hosted by the Norwegian Government from the 23-24 October. “The Our Ocean Conference mobilises real action on issues like marine plastic pollution and the impacts of ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • Government announces 27 percent increase in Trades Academy places
    Two secondary-school initiatives are being expanded as part of the Government’s plan to see more young New Zealanders take up a trade to help close the skills gap.   This includes the largest single increase in Trades Academy places in recent years. Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern and Education Minister Chris ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • Speech to the New Zealand Institute of International Affairs, Pacific Futures Conference: Connection...
    Session 4: Pacific Connectivity – Youth, Media and New Opportunities   Kia ora tatou katoa and Warm Pacific greetings to one and all. Representatives of Tainui, the local people of the land, or manawhenua – the indigenous peoples of this area – have welcomed you this morning in accordance with ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    6 days ago
  • Methane reducing cattle feed one step closer
    The Government today announced its support for a project that could substantially reduce agricultural greenhouse gas emissions from cattle. The announcement was made as part of Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern’s and Agriculture Minister Damien O’Connor’s visit to Nelson’s Cawthron Aquaculture Park. The Cawthron Institute will receive $100,000 from the Government’s ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    6 days ago
  • Bill to refresh superannuation system passes first reading
    Social Development Minister Carmel Sepuloni has welcomed the first reading of the New Zealand Superannuation and Veteran’s Pension Legislation Amendment Bill. “Every New Zealander has a stake in New Zealand Superannuation and Veteran’s Pension,” says Carmel Sepuloni. “They are our most common form of social assistance – nearly 800,000 New ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    6 days ago
  • Government announces next steps in fight against measles
    Babies in Auckland aged six months and over can receive a free vaccination and children will all have access to vaccines, Associate Minister of Health Julie Anne Genter announced today at Papatoetoe High School.   The move comes as part of Government efforts to step up the fight against measles. ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    6 days ago
  • Speech to the New Zealand Institute of International Affairs, Pacific Futures: Connections, Identity...
    ***Check against delivery*** Good morning. It is a pleasure to be here, and to have the honour of opening this important conference on behalf of the New Zealand Institute of International Affairs. Let us take the opportunity to acknowledge all the people who have helped make today possible, including our special ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    6 days ago
  • Police trial new response to high risk events
    Police Minister Stuart Nash says the safety of frontline officers and members of the public will be the focus of a new trial of specialist Police response teams in three of our largest urban centres. Police have this morning released details of an initiative to be trialled in Counties Manukau, ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    6 days ago
  • New awards celebrate fisheries sustainability
    The Minister of Fisheries is calling for entries for a new public award to celebrate innovation in our seafood sector. “I have established the Seafood Sustainability Awards to recognise and celebrate those throughout industry, tangata whenua and communities who demonstrate outstanding dedication and innovation towards the sustainability of New Zealand’s ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    6 days ago
  • More progress for women and we can do more
    Minister for Women Julie Anne Genter welcomes leaders in the private sector taking action on closing their gender pay gaps to ensure a fairer workplace for all New Zealanders. Ms Genter today launched a new report, Addressing the gender pay gap and driving women’s representation in senior leadership, from the Champions for ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    6 days ago
  • Proposals to curb environmental damage help our coasts and the oceans
    Government Ministers today welcomed the release of a marine environment report highlighting the four key issues affecting our oceans, estuaries and coastlines.  The release underlines the importance of government proposals to combat climate pollution, ensure clean freshwater, protect biodiversity, make land use more sustainable, and reduce waste and plastic.    Environment ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    7 days ago
  • New mental health facility for Waikato
    The Government has approved funding for a new acute mental health facility for Waikato which will provide better care and support to people with mental health and addiction issues. Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern and Health Minister Dr David Clark announced the $100 million project to replace the aging Henry Rongomau ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    7 days ago
  • 500 new te reo Māori champions in our classrooms
    The Government is making progress on its goal to integrate te reo Māori into education by 2025, with over 500 teachers and support staff already graduating from Te Ahu o te Reo Māori,  Associate Education Minister Kelvin Davis announced today. Kelvin Davis made the announcement at an awards ceremony in Waikanae today, for ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    7 days ago
  • Minister James Shaw welcomes 2018 Census first release
    Statistics Minister James Shaw has welcomed the first release of 2018 Census data. The first release of data today, 23 September, includes key data on population, regional growth, the number of homes and the size of different ethnic groups in New Zealand. Data from the 2018 Census will support the ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    7 days ago
  • Driving transparency, ethics and accountability in government use of algorithms
    Minister for Statistics James Shaw today announced a public consultation on a proposed algorithm charter for government agencies. The charter has been developed by the Government Chief Data Steward in response to growing calls for more transparency in government use of data. Computer algorithms – procedures or formulas for solving ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    7 days ago
  • New Zealand and the Netherlands working together on climate change
    Agriculture Minister Damien O’Connor, Climate Change Minister James Shaw and visiting Dutch Prime Minister Mark Rutte co-hosted a business roundtable in Auckland this morning focused on working together to address climate change.  “The Netherlands is an important partner for New Zealand. We share a strong agricultural history. Sustainable agribusiness and ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    7 days ago
  • Protecting fairness for workers and businesses
    The Government is taking action to build an inclusive economy where more of us receive our fair share at work and businesses can compete on great products and services, not undercutting wages and conditions, Immigration and Workplace Relations and Safety Minister Iain Lees-Galloway says. Two consultations launched today seek feedback ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    7 days ago
  • Indigenous Freshwater Fish Bill Passes
    The future for New Zealand’s threatened indigenous freshwater fish looks brighter with the passing of the Conservation (Indigenous Freshwater Fish) Amendment Bill in Parliament today said Minister of Conservation, Eugenie Sage. “Until now, our freshwater fish legislation has been 20 years out of date. We have lacked effective tools to ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Kiwis to take part in world’s biggest earthquake drill
    At 1.30pm tomorrow, hundreds of thousands of Kiwis will join about 65 million people around the globe in ShakeOut, the world’s biggest earthquake drill. The annual drill is to remind people of the right action to take during an earthquake which is to Drop, Cover, Hold, and to practise their ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Rising wages and low inflation supporting Kiwis
    Kiwis are benefiting from higher wage growth and low inflation under the Coalition Government. Stats NZ data out today shows the rise in the cost of living remains low, as annual Consumers Price Index (CPI) inflation fell to 1.5% in September from 1.7% in June. “The low inflation comes as ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • NZ economy strong amid global headwinds
    New Zealand’s economic strength and resilience has been recognised in a major update on the state of the global economy. The IMF’s latest World Economic Outlook released overnight shows a reduced global growth forecast over the next two years as issues like the US-China trade war and Brexit take hold. ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Keeping New Zealanders safer with better counter-terrorism laws
    Justice Minister Andrew Little has today introduced a new Bill to prevent terrorism and support the de-radicalisation of New Zealanders returning from overseas. The Terrorism Suppression (Control Orders) Bill gives the New Zealand Police the ability to apply to the High Court to impose control orders on New Zealanders who ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Improved succession and dispute resolution core of Ture Whenua changes
    A Bill that proposes targeted changes to simplify the processes for Māori land owners when engaging with the Māori Land Court has had its First Reading today. “The approach taken by the Government is to ensure that the protection of Māori land remains a priority as we seek to improve ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Speech to CTU Biennial Conference
    Let me first thank all the new unionists and members in the room. There is nothing more important to improving people’s working lives than people making the decision to care, to get on board and help, to take up the reins and get involved. Congratulations to you. You bring the ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Minister ensures continued Whenuapai flight operations
    Minister of Defence Ron Mark has signed a certificate exempting the activity of engine testing at Whenuapai Airbase from the Resource Management Act 1991. The Act gives the Minister of Defence the power to exempt activities for the purposes of national security.  The certificate will mean the recent Environment Court ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • NZ joins Coalition of Finance Ministers for Climate Action
    Finance Minister Grant Robertson has announced New Zealand will join the Coalition of Finance Ministers for Climate Action while attending APEC meetings in Chile. The objective of the 39 member Coalition is to share information and promote action to tackle climate change. It was formed in April this year, in ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Feedback Sought – Section 71 – Lyttelton Parking
    Feedback sought– Lyttelton commercial zone parking  The Associate Minister for Greater Christchurch Regeneration, Poto Williams, is seeking feedback on a proposal to remove on-site car parking requirements for new developments in the Lyttelton commercial zone.  The proposal, by Christchurch City Council, asks that powers under section 71 of the Greater ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
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