Written By:
advantage - Date published:
1:03 pm, March 14th, 2025 - 46 comments
Categories: Christopher Luxon, infrastructure, making shit up, national, same old national, the praiseworthy and the pitiful, you couldn't make this shit up -
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Luxon’s team have delivered zero deals out of the multibillionaire conference on infrastructure. This is a fail.
This conference exposed this government using a specific highly commercialised language to camouflage their lack of actual ability to do the business.
Only those who haven’t dealt with this government can trust them.
Multiple Cabinet Ministers who spoke at the Conference proclaiming a definite and secure “pipeline” of work for foreign fund managers and constructors, were the same Ministers who in the course of a year had actively killed off the Cook Strait ferries and port rebuild worth over two billion, the final stretch of the Auckland busway to Manukau centre worth upwards of a billion, the battery project in central Otago worth multiple billions, crushed the housing entity that had formed multiple large scale public housing projects with multiple commercial partners, and many more commercial and financial relationships that had been years in the making. This government also came within a whisker of completely destroying the Dunedin Hospital build worth over a billion dollars.
This government has done all it could to show that it would destroy every single protective rule to enable bankers and developers to make money: legislated 149 specific projects out of almost all ability of citizens to oppose them by naming them in tailored legislation, destroyed the Resource Management Act, eradicated all previous government procurement rules for quality and environmental and labour standards, minimised the levels of capital banks needed to hold, and many more safeguards gone.
They have been in power for half their term.
They set up this 2-day conference of bankers and constructors and officials to promote New Zealand as a safe destination for foreign public investment. They have made New Zealand an unsafe government for business relationships.
Not a single deal was announced.
Some potential investors made warm noises. Thanks for the lunch.
They have now all flown away back to their centres of international capital. Full of handshakes. Details exchanged. Glossy prospectuses.
Not a single result.
Everyone so far swiped left.
We have to go back as far as 2001’s Knowledge Wave Conference hosted by Prime Minister Helen Clark to get that many high end players in one room concentrating on the good of New Zealand and on finance. The Clark government actually delivered many long term industry clusters with long term benefit to New Zealand. This one didn’t.
We still don’t have a regulatory regime for investors and constructors to get in and form offshore wind farms.
Potential investors can see that single ministers are in place for less than 3 years, rather than the multiple years needed to negotiate a public private partnership.
Labour is very clear that while they may have to honour any signed deal they inherit in 2026, they will evaluate any proposal on its merits and whether it’s good for New Zealand, and that on core infrastructure like prisons and hospitals and schools there will be no private ownership.
This government cannot land a successful school lunch let alone a new major infrastructure deal.
It is politically incompetent that after months of planning the event and half way into their term, this most commercial of governments doesn’t have the skill to land a single deal.
From what I saw on TV, this conference was more for the benefit of voters than anyone else.
Of course, these investors took a couple of days to dip a toe in the water, but seems not much more than that.
Tv news showed one of the senior investors saying "if you've got a string of projects, we'll look at it. If you only have 3 or 4 then it's a quick conversation that won't end well".
At this stage, we don't have much. These investor nomads aren't likely to get excited by talk of a second harbour crossing, no matter how many times the PM says 'geowth'. What kind of crossing, how much will it cost, when are you going to roll it out and when do you want our money.
Imagine asking Taylor Swift to come to NZ and then saying, "We're thinking about a show somewhere in NZ, one day. Can we get your support? She'd say "Call me when you've got something serious to offer ", and I think thats what we got yesterday.
Yep. More of a political photo-op than anything serious. If anything comes of it, then it will probably be a couple of elections away – ie > 5 years.
Well covered. Luxon is playing PM as you would play house, as a child.
Advantage,
It would be quite unusual to get business straight away from such events. At the very least, even keen investors would want to do a lot of due diligence before deciding to invest in a multi million dollar project.
I see it as more of a publicity exercise to get overseas entities keen on bidding for projects that come up. I guess the proof will be in the pudding further down the road.
I think it is more about demonstrating that NZ is worth investing in. Hence, it was framed as a joint ventre between National and Labour, so that potential investors could feel confident that they would have the rug pulled out from under them each time there is a change of government.
Disagree.
This event was planned months in advance and this government has staked its entire economic reputation on an ability to make commercial deals.
Any political organiser would have ensured they had a deal worth announcing. That would be true whether the industry conference was with the minister responsible for film, international trade, arms, fruit, research and development, hotels, or cars.
But if there were a deal worth announcing, then it wouldn't have occurred due to the conference. It would have been due to work done well before that.
The best that can be hoped for from these sorts of events is that overseas investors will express interest in getting involved in projects as they come up. Many of these investors may never have thought about investing in NZ prior to this. But now they might. If that has been achieved, I would say the conference is a success.
Do you mean they would hold this big as conference, invite people from all over the world, get senior ministers to give speeches and have no idea if anything will come of it?
Seems rather weird.
Such is the nature of marketing a lot of the time.
How is this conference, in principle any different to taking an overseas trade delegation to a potential new market? We might as well not be doing that either if immediate sales are required to be generated as a measure of success.
And, saying they have "no idea" is a bit inaccurate I think.
It is quite reasonable to make assumptions that a certain percentage of those attend will eventually invest here. A bit like a sales person who increases the likelihood of success by making more calls and tapping in to the percentage of calls that lead to success.
And, Labour were involved with this as well, and presented to the conference.
What’s your point? Labour’s not on the Treasury benches but hopefully that’ll change next year, so are you saying that we should wait for a deal with the next new government till then?
"How is this conference, in principle any different to taking an overseas trade delegation to a potential new market?"
Before trade delegations go to the other country, months of fruitful work (as Sir Humphrey would say) will have been spent by underlings getting deals in place, getting agreements negotiated.
That's how come trade delegations are able to step off the plane and sign free trade agreements within a few hours.
I'm expecting Luxon to come back with a free trade agreement, signed, with an implementation date. After which, kiwi exporters of goods and services can do deals.
If that doesn't happen, it was just a goodwill visit, achieving nothing more than the sum of it's parts.
An experienced Soap-Pusher like Luxon should to leave the Indians with their mouths open, amazed at the sophisticated negotiating tactics of the New Zealand delegation.
Let's see.
Has any of Luxon's multiple trips overseas landed a cents worth of business, signed and sealed?
I'm not up with everything happening but as a Joe Bloggs, I can't recall anything.
Just advertising themselves at Aotearoa's cost. How much did they spend to do this?
(Responding to Ad)
Exactly
except to add that some of them might even have been put off by us not knowing when we should be engaging with them, which is when we have a programme of projects, designed, logic-tested, reasonably costed and at the stage when the investors have something to get their teeth into.
Imagine Luxon fronting up on 'The Dragons Den' TV show. What have you got, Mr Luxon? "I've got a second harbour crossing. Maybe a tunnel, maybe another bridge. Maybe next to the current bridge, maybe somewhere else. Probably in the next 5 years, maybe a bit longer. And, I've got no designs to show you. Who wants to invest?"
That's very close to what just happened, IMHO.
Luxon, aside, [psst, don't mention the ferry contract breakage].
Lol .. well said.
Can't have been any dodgy middle eastern sheep farmers wanting a farm in a desert.
confident that they WOULDN'T have the rug pulled out from under them
Hey the last National Party business leader big idea conference gave us wait for it – cycle trails. They now hate cycle trails.
Can't come up with good ideas. They like wide roads cause all they know how to do is U-turns.
Solar and wind energy is where it should be at. Become independent from fossil fuels. Easily the best thing we could do.
Wind farms are proving to be a waste of money, can't recycle the blades that need changing with monotonous regularity.
Other countries are scrapping wind farms, so we should take heed and don't waste the money.
Solar panels on houses with batteries to store the power is what is needed in NZ.
what countries are scrapping wind farms?
Some plans for wind farm projects here and overseas have been 'scrapped' – same goes for solar. But many NZ energy experts believe that both wind and solar are good renewable energy investments for the (foreseeable) future, as are batteries.
https://zerocarbonact.nz/advancing-solar-and-wind-nzs-path-to-zero-carbon/
Wind: 6% of NZ’s electricity generation in 2021, projected to be 20-34% by 2035.
https://www.eeca.govt.nz/insights/energy-in-new-zealand/renewable-energy/wind/
Solar: 1% of NZ’s electricity generation in 2021, projected to be 1-6% by 2035.
https://www.eeca.govt.nz/insights/energy-in-new-zealand/renewable-energy/solar/
The big lie in action.
https://www.wwindea.org/HYR2024
Thanks to this process, more than 90% of the weight of the blades is recovered:
https://www.up-to-us.veolia.com/en/recycling/recycling-used-wind-turbine-blades
And back on my home Isle
. The Dancing Ladies are a mainstay of the wee island's economy
"Thanks to this process, more than 90% of the weight of the blades is recovered:"
That's 90% of the blades that get cut up then… "These pieces are then transported to a Veolia plant in Missouri,…"
I had a read of yr link. It's from around 2020. Seems like a lot of greenwash and intentions. Despite their sustainable virtue signaling, 90% of the blades enable more cement production!
" “We have to apply a very specific recipe," explains Bob Cappadona. "We have a range of shredding and grinding equipment that allows us to reduce the blades to acceptable sizes and shapes for going into the cement kilns.""
They don't tell us how many of the estimated 43 million tons of blades are going to make it to Missouri…
I wouldn't be so rude as to call it a lie, more, likely to succumb to spin.
Round these parts, (Manawatu) its the gearboxes that are being replaced regularly.
"Solar panels on houses with batteries to store the power is what is needed in NZ."
You are correct Margaret. Those batteries can be deep cycle or EV.
Even with the batteries, there is still a choice whether to be grid tied or not. Houses, schools, marae, community halls…
Localised resilience, especially in extreme weather events.
Take the power back!
In regards wind farms, Anton Oliver took a high profiled stand against Meridian’s Project Hayes back in 2007.
He reffered to them as a “Government-sanctioned corporate rort.”
Welcome home Chris Liddell. You Trumpist.
What a fizzer!
https://www.rnz.co.nz/news/political/544835/luxon-closes-infrastructure-summit
https://newsroom.co.nz/2025/03/14/nicola-willis-stability-is-our-middle-name/
Not a single deal. That’s not very efficient and productive and it certainly not lived up to its
hypepotential.Better luck in India, Mr Luxon.
Why national didn't just make the tax payers pay the penalty then delivery worse for more.$
Given this CoC initiative, I'm surprised our CoC govt hasn't already relaunched former PM Key's scheme to make NZ a financial hub.
Perhaps it's because Key only got as far as the 'tax haven' stage, or maybe NAct are still gauging the electorate's (and Winston's) appetite for further public asset sales.
Compared to the current lot, John Key had vision and imagination. The Coalition lacks both and has nothing else to offer than more roads and sell-out of NZ assets to overseas interests. Unfortunately, the Opposition is also bereft of new ideas and even buys into [pun intended] PPPs 🙁
I'm curious, where do you sit with the increasing the state's capacity to build more of it's own infrastructure?
Seems like the ideal way to bolster an economy that is based on selling each other houses and dehydrating milk to powder.
Infrastructure is everywhere and the responsibility of all government, local and national/central. With the Coalition’s over-emphasis on privatisation, at the expense of the public sector, I see a 2-tier system developing just like in Health. This could mean that private interest dominates in shiny new projects and the public sector is relegated to doing repair & maintenance, i.e., the shitty and hard jobs – can you imagine Luxon, Willis, and Bishop organising a Sewage Summit to fix & maintain old pipes and sewage systems?
For a partnership to flourish between the private and public sectors they have to match each other in knowledge and expertise. When that balance tips too much in favour of consulting and out-sourcing, the synergy changes from a symbiosis to an unbalanced unequal dependency like a parasite living off the public purse – private interests dominate and domineer, i.e., they hold the balance of power.
This is the context in which I view the various attempts of the Coalition to radically change the landscape, e.g., the Treaty Principles Bill and the more dangerous one, the Regulatory Standards Bill. But the Coalition is adopting a multi-pronged attack on the public sector and the democratic oversight and accountability.
I don’t think this answered your first question; the second one sounded leading and rhetorical.
I agree with yr analysis of this (hopefully short-lived) government.
If it is to be so unpopular, so divisive and damaging to the economy then it is a prime opportunity for whomever has the levers of power to rebalance the out-sourcing and contracting equation. Not just there, but in other sectors too. Electricity market needs to have Bradford's reforms undone so that energy is elevated to the necessity that it is, not a commodity to be traded amongst speculators in a 'market'.
To build resilience and capacity of us, the tax payers has to be a vote winner. But.. I'm not hearing it. Kieran McAnulty on RNZ spoke of wariness of PPPs but implied the status quo would continue for the likes of schools hospitals etc. Keep maintaining Fulton Hogan's >$550M profit with our current neo-liberal model.
Which, when you think about it, is a PPP, just the private sector gets paid up front for it.
https://www.rnz.co.nz/national/programmes/morningreport/audio/2018978810/labour-hits-back-at-govt-over-calls-for-privatisation-of-core-infrastructure
I did catch a quick article somewhere that the cocs wanted to establish a freeport zone in NZ, another failed UK Tory economic 'initiative'. Sorry, I've looked but can't find it.
Essentially the freeport idea is an on-shore "special economic zone ….encompassing a wide variety of foreign trade zones, freeports, investment zones, industrial parks, export processing zones, enterprise zones, and even ‘charter cities’ …What all SEZs share is some form of derogation from the laws and regulations [including company and paye tax] of the country within which they are located."
They haven't proved sucessful for the UK, so why we need them here, except for ideological reasons, I don't know. They have led to corruption, and are shown to suck investment away from other parts of a country.
Yet another crap Tory import by the man who has zero ideas of his own.
Thanks tWig, from financial hubs to freeport or “special economic” zones – interesting.
https://www.beehive.govt.nz/release/government-consider-special-economic-zones
https://www.thepost.co.nz/business/360592803/marsden-point-set-become-nzs-first-special-economic-zone
More cargo cultism.
Desperately floundering around to find ways of fixing their fuckups?
Or simply looking to please their bribers?
Or Trumpian/Trussian levels of Libertarian ideological lunacy?
Or. All of the above?
With a government pipeline of big infrastructure projects and industry lining up to build ferries, hospitals, housing, and public utilities
NZ *was* a great place to do business
UNDER LABOUR
When will voters get that through their skulls
But all I see on social media is fwits attacking Jacinda and Chippy for spending money
Too thick to understand that's how to run a country
Very true that, we were a great place for business till the coalition showed with ferries and 3 waters it's not about doing what NZ requires to get done.
More stable countries that don't cancel contracts for them to get a return in currently.
Countries whose workforces aren't fleeing the class war that is well underway.
The Government of Big Fails.
Invest here today.
Loose it all tomorrow.
C'mon overseas suckers, climb on board
this rollercoaster to failure and collapse.
You'll enjoy the ride.
Insert TUI ad here.
The only investors left are oligarchs and billionaire criminals buying NZ citizenship for some pocket change of $10 mill NZD
The only major infrastructure projects overseas investors could rely on this govt to actually carry out would be highways, but the example of Transmission Gully would turn up in even the vaguest attempt at due diligence, so yeah, it's hard to see why any of them would want to invest.
Luxon was so excited almost orgasmic about welcoming home Chris Lindell who was looking for a home since he left or was he fired from the oval office.
Wonder what the overseas investors thought about a country who feeds the poorest school children frozen bread rolls for their school lunch. Italian and French schools make school lunch a learning experience.
Mod note
Ad, I beg to differ – I don't think this conference a 'fail.'
Not quite yet.
The underlying purpose of the conference was not to sell NZ as a great place to invest in, but to sell Christopher Luxon as a potential high paid executive of an overseas hedge fund or multinational corporation when the inevitable happens, and he's rolled (sorry, he leaves parliament to spend more time with his family).
The success or failure of the conference will be measured when Christopher decides that ***** has made an offer too good to resist.
You may be right in what you say, but from what I saw and heard, there was a bit of a surprise that these guys had so little preparation in place.
Obviously, with many millions at stake, they aren't going to throw their toys out of the cot at the government, but they said what they thought, for those who know how to listen.