# Farrar peddles climate change denial nonsense

Written By: - Date published: 8:57 am, September 3rd, 2018 - 151 comments
Categories: blogs, climate change, David Farrar, dpf, Environment, global warming, national, same old national, science, you couldn't make this shit up - Tags:

You would think that the blog site most closely associated with National would be a little more circumspect.  Maybe DPF just wants to show that he is a champion of free speech.  Whatever happened he has peddled more nonsense from a climate change denier.  He used to express some belief that global warming was actually happening but has expressed no such belief in his latest post.

For those of you who do not know the guest columnist, Bryan Leland, is an electrical engineer.  For a long time he has been saying that climate change is a myth and global warming is not happening.  He writes occasional blogs on the New Zealand Centre for Policy Research website, which has as contributors right wingers such as Don Brash and Muriel Newman.

He sees himself as a champion of the cause and complained to the Media Council when the Herald refused to publish one of his articles.

The Herald was disparaging in its response:

Just because someone holds an eccentric view, it does not mean they are entitled to run in the paper.

Although interestingly the Council did not consider Leyland to hold eccentric views it did not uphold his complaint.

Leland chose to recently complain to the Royal Society of New Zealand that its view on climate change was not supported by the data.  From the post:

It all started with a statement by the Chief Executive (CE) and two reports that made it clear that RSNZ supported the belief that that man-made global warming was real and dangerous and urgent action was essential. The [New Zealand Climate Science Coalition] asked RSNZ to provide convincing evidence based on observational data that supported this belief. The Royal Society were unable to do so and passed the query on to Prof James Renwick who has close links with the IPCC. He too was unable to provide the requested evidence. It seems that the evidence does not exist.

The NZCSC then lodged a complaint with the Society on the grounds that statements made by the CE and authors of the report breached RSNZ’s Code of Ethics because, among other things, they had ignored the requirement that statements to the public should make it clear if there were uncertainties in the science and if other scientists held different views.

This is akin to an anti vaxxer complaining to the Medical Council that it is wrong to support vaccinating kids.

Then the comments started.  The easiest way to describe them is that most of them said that climate change was utter bunk, that global temperatures are not increasing, and that all climate scientists are on the take and influenced by left wing politicians.  To them New South Wales’ drought, California’s forest fires and the disappearance of ice from the North and South poles are not happening.

Someone called MJW bravely tried to swim against the tide.  He or she said this:

We are in the middle of a massive change to the chemical balance of the atmosphere, not seen for millions of years, and always associated in the geological record with other significant ecological changes.

Those are very simple, basic facts. Forget the models, forget the ‘controversy’. Humans have extracted and burnt massive amounts of carbon resulting in a massive chemical change to the earth. I can’t see how those facts can be disputed.

Then guess who popped up?

MJW

Your first paragraph fact is not true.

We are not in the middle of a massive change to the chemical balance of the atmosphere.

Rodney Hide

In response MJW tried to inject some of that evidency stuff into the debate:

The massive chemical change of the atmosphere is the increase of CO2 from about 280 ppm to over 400 ppm in the last 1000 years, with most of the increase in the last 100 years. You can view this data, extracted from ice core records and measurements at manu loa at: https://www.co2.earth/co2-ice-core-data.

The last time carbon dioxide was this high was about 3 million years ago. E.g. https://www.skepticalscience.com/pliocene-snapshot.html, https://e360.yale.edu/features/how-the-world-passed-a-carbon-threshold-400ppm-and-why-it-matters.

So again, those are the facts. Human extraction and burning of fossil fuel has changed the chemistry of the atmosphere in a way not seen for three million years.

But in comment after comment his or her attempt to bring some reality to the debate was met with contempt.  And to add to the level of bile and vitriol some commentators took the opportunity to insult indigenous people and suggest that everyone was on the take.  I guess to a right winger the concept of someone being on the take may be business as usual but to the rest of us …

The post highlights why National was so inept over climate change.  It did not go as far as to deny it was happening, it went along with the IPCC and the international negotiations for reduction of green house gas emissions.  But in area after area it weakened and damaged the policy response that had been established by the last Labour Government.

The reason is clear.  Its base wanted this to happen and would not tolerate the type of tough policy decisions that are needed to address this most difficult of issues.

The right is involved in a culture war with the left over the issue where winning is all important.  Their anti intellectualism and their complete distrust of the left as well as their contempt for any environmental campaign means that they automatically oppose any suggestion that change is needed.  Added to their unfailing belief they are right, and a bunch of corporations willing to use this distrust and you have all the making of a policy impasse.  At at time where it is clearer than ever that we are in the middle of a crisis and that urgent action is needed.

## 151 comments on “Farrar peddles climate change denial nonsense”

1. Kat 1

Rodney Hide!!!
Who on earth would take anything he said seriously, the “do as I say not as I do” man is a sad and pathetic joke and should be ignored.

• Johnr 1.1

Well said. The father of Auckland super city. How’s that working so far?? A classic example of a boy trying to do a man’s job

2. Andre 2

One of the things I find tragically ironic about the attempts from the right to suppress climate action is that taking a bunch of reasonable steps to get off fossil fuels would in fact be massively stimulatory to the economy from all the infrastructure and support works needed.

Y’know, economic growth, jobs, new business opportunities … all the stuff righties claim to be in favour of and better at. As well as the economic benefits from ceasing to send billions of dollars offshore every year to import nasty polluting black shit that just gets burned.

• Nic the NZer 2.1

Same problem holds for this as for the science denial. Mainstream eonomists don’t believe it will be stimulatory based on a fictional abstraction.

3. roy cartland 3

The sad thing is, I wish they WERE on the take. I wish they were all lying or wrong. Hell, sometimes I even wish that I could just convince myself of as much, and say climate change wasn’t happening too.

But I can’t. Because it is. And the possibility of a few polluting business losing profits doesn’t bother me nearly as much as the possibility of ecological collapse.

Next month it’s the Global Climate Action Summit – one of the largest international gatherings on climate change the world has seen – will be held in San Francisco.

The event theme is “Take Ambition to the Next Level,” aims to serve as a launchpad for accelerated action that will enable the world to meet the goals set by the 2015 Paris climate agreement. If Minister Shaw attends, I hope he comes home firing on all cylinders.

We need some policy.

• e-clectic 4.1

Policy? Maybe.
Coordinated action, immediately.
Revise the zero carbon by 2050 to 2030.
Junk the ETS and apply stiff carbon tax – NOW.
Stop pussyfooting around and create a media/publicity campaign that is reasonable and doesn’t minimise the problem.
It will be electoral suicide in the short-term but when the effects really bite the population may prefer to go with the honest approach.

The right simply has to deny climate change. It scares the bejesus out of them. The environment supported by science proves that they have a failed political ideology of unlimited resources at their disposal that only requires the market to provide its invisible regulation. If you allow that humans can adversely affect the climate then you probably have to have sympathy for the RMA and environmental regulation – where does that end?
That’s why the right will continue to deny even as sea-level rise laps at their waists.

5. Pat 5

“The right is involved in a culture war with the left over the issue where winning is all important.”

Over simplification….as always its a spectrum and there are varying degrees of acceptance of the science within political parties and the wider public irrespective of self identified political persuasion (if any).

Crucially, it is the reluctance to make the necessary societal changes regardless of any level of acceptance by almost all.

6. cleangreen 6

National-are devout climate deniers’

Best they lern to grow gills now ready for the sea level rise that is physically coming as we daily witness.

Just go to eny beach now to see that every year we lose anioter 2 meters of beachfront.

That is very hard to ignore.

and the loss of our water supplys with droughts now rising in many areas we will need to change our dairy practices now.

Yes dairy is a large strain on or resources and where I live in the hills 1600 ft above Gisborne’s most northern reach it is very damp always with lots of rain to replenish the water supply.

But now we see that down in the lower plains the dairy farmers are relying on artesian water and are always nearing drought so we really need to select the right areas for dairy that don’t take water from the regions where water is not plentiful.

National have no plans to fight the inevitable.

We are doomed if national get control again.

• Kevin 6.1

Climate change was one of those rats National had to swallow.

A classic example of being on board with CC publicly but behind closed doors, a different story.

• dukeofurl 6.2

I thought you lived on Kennedy Rd in Napier, hence the problem with truck noise from the motorway which you raise constantly with ministers and officials

• mac1 6.2.1

🙂

7. Dennis Frank 7

It’s all about evidence & denial of evidence. Reminds me of those historical accounts of Galileo finding the moons of Jupiter then inviting his sceptical colleagues to see for themselves – who were also professors. They arrived, took a look through the telescope, then denied that they could see the moons!

The way our interface between brain & mind works is that sensory input is contextualised into what we already know. If that input doesn’t fit, the input gets rejected. Existing beliefs only get modified by new insights if the mind is open.

Denial of reality makes the Nats more delusional collectively, unless sufficient Nats prove they have an open mind and learn from real life, and marginalise those in denial. It’ll be interesting to see if Farrar & the other losers prevail. Circumstantial evidence can be denied as insufficient – but courts routinely secure convictions with it.

• cleangreen 7.1

great article MICKYSAVAGE..

But will they learn from this also”

Besides the toxicity to our environment and public health we know that these tyre carbon particles do settle on icecaps and are melting the polar ice caps now every day as we speak.

EU is aware of the gravity of tyre pollution now so why are the National Party simply ignoring tyre pollution as they now hold up EV vehicles as the answer, but have they looked under the vehicles to see what those round black things actually are??? tyres is what they are so EV don’t cut it national.

Rail EV with steel tracks and wheels will be our salvation.

National hate Rail immensely with a such a toxic energy.

They are assisting the use of yet more oil for their support for oil companies.

You would have thought by now that with all our “engineering” skills we could now make a totally ‘toxic free’ tyre now wouldn’t you?

https://www.umweltbundesamt.de/en/press/pressinformation/polycyclic-aromatic-hydrocarbons-polluters-toxic

Press› Press releases ›Polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons – Polluters! Toxic! Unavoidable?
Polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons – Polluters! Toxic! Unavoidable?
EU to pass new caps on PAH upon urging from Germany

The European Commission wants to make consumer products safer and is proposing standardized caps for polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAH). PAH are present in many products such as tyres and toys.

• dukeofurl 7.2

Whats your link for the professors who refused to see Galileos Moons of Jupiter?
It doesnt seem to be mentioned in these stories
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sidereus_Nuncius
https://www.forbes.com/sites/thelabbench/2017/07/20/how-the-moon-changed-galileos-life-forever/

Maybe its one of those historical half truths
https://bedejournal.blogspot.com/2006/11/who-refused-to-look-through-galileos.html

• Dennis Frank 7.2.1

I read that years ago in philosophy & history of science books, of which I’ve read so many I can’t recall specific sources. I take your point that historical stories evolve through re-telling. It’s human nature to embellish them to impress others, so scepticism is sensible.

The other side of scepticism is deliberate falsification of history. Contemporary sanitised accounts of Galileo & Kepler tend to leave out their astrological practices so as to convey the false impression that they were scientists. The word scientist was not invented till after the mid-19th century. Likewise Newton’s lifelong passion (alchemy – apparently the bulk of his original writing that has survived) is only nowadays being explored by historians.

8. AB 8

It’s not surprising. They will fight tooth and nail because the only viable response to CC is the antithesis of RW ideology – modest resource consumption, reasonably equitable distribution of what wealth is left, decision-making that is centred on the effects of any major action on all citizens and the environment, rather than driven by private gain. Self-sacrifice rather than self-enrichment – a complete ethical reversal.

• Grey Area 8.1

Good analysis. Well put.

9. JOHN IRVING 9

The other strange thing about climate denialists is that they are also fervent neo luddites who are doing their level best to obstruct innovation in the energy and transport sector. They deny that wind generation is competitive with thermal power, they are scornful about solar power ever being able to make a significant contribution to meeting demand during daylight hours, they are hell bent on stopping the inevitable replacement of petrol cars by electric cars, and they hate public transport like trains and trams.

• OnceWasTim 9.1

Very true!
“……………and they hate public transport like trains and trams.”
But then you get climate change advocates that are captured by muppetry and business interests that come along and fuck up a well-functioning system with something that’s never going to work.
Case in point GWRC and its ‘big bang’ change to bus services.

What’s worse is that rather than have to admit it was the wrong strategy; contracts let were less than satisfactory; and that the design was fundamentally flawed, they’ll continue to try and polish the turd.

I’ve read the “Wellington Regional Transport Plan from head to toe twice over and the deliverables promised are a fail on almost every point. Surely that’d be reason enough for a cancellation or some pretty harsh penalties in a good contract.
Apparently not – the turd continues to be polished, except that the gold leaf plating is still going to wear down to a very smelly turd.
I imagine it’ll be career-ending for a couple of people. At least one of them still has a chance of redemption but so far he shows no signs of a mea culpa.

And probably they deserve all the approbrium they get – burning as many bridges they possibly could have that might have ensured an easy regression of the ‘big bang’ implementation.
It’s almost a case study in how not to do things.
Keep polishing that turd Darren and Chris!

• OnceWasTim 9.1.1

btw JOHN I
I’m not intending to derail the thread, it’s just that we should be very careful on who we should get to lead what’s necessary. Sure as shit, its not the likes of Chris Laidlaw or Darren Ponter (unless the latter is prepared to admit he may have been led up a garden path). My guess is either or both of them though, still haven’t cottoned on to the idea.
(Btw…………. I’m hoping the Laidlaw will stand again – it’ll be a wetherwave as to public acceptance.
Knowing a Ponter, I’m hoping he’ll put his tail between his legs, – publicly decry this monumentus fuckup, and go on to live for another day.
I don;t hold out much hope tho’

• Marcus Morris 9.1.1.1

Gosh I bet you feel much better having got rid of that bile.

• dukeofurl 9.2

Its not that wind power and even solar power cant be useful but they are nowhere near being as ‘reliable’ as thermal or even hydro.
You can see that in Britains ‘heatwave’ last month. The amount of wind power had dropped substantially as an effect of the high pressure systems and of course the solar out put was higher but that has a well known fall off late afternoon.
From a technical standpoint, the heavy generators from hydro and thermal spinning at 50 cycles maintain the AC high voltage network.
Thats not something that wind power can do on its own, as South Australia found out. Lose your Grid stability and the inter connector from Victorias coal powered system will you cut off automatically.

We are fortunate in NZ we have the hydro system as the back bone stability for the grid.

• RedLogix 9.2.1

Lose your Grid stability and the inter connector from Victorias coal powered system will you cut off automatically.

Nothing to do with a storm knocking over an entire transmission line then?

Actually the more widely you integrate renewables, the larger the system the MORE stable it becomes. The ultimate would be a global HVDC distribution system that linked all the continents … it would always be windy or sunny somewhere on the planet.

And even now Australia is already responding to this;

http://www.abc.net.au/news/2017-09-21/pumped-hydro-renewable-energy-sites-australia-anu-research/8966530

• Marcus Morris 9.2.2

You are so right. Our lakes (will) act as superb batteries. All the more reason to develop and extend wind and solar power in our country.

10. roy cartland 10

Here’s an interesting article. It’s a bit shouty, but the pertinent sentence for me was:

“When the greatest minds of your generation came up with the idea of enriching themselves to the extent that no one else can survive – financially or even physically – it’s time to acknowledge that we are in the throes of irreversible human cognitive collapse.”

https://zcomm.org/znetarticle/the-ass-clown-epoch/

• the other pat 10.1

bloody good article…maybe a bit predictive?

11. SPC 11

Yeah sure, the deniers of “the” science are tiresome. However DPF only publishes such as Leyland to appease the right wingers on his blog/demonstrate his free speech credentials.

However the science is not yet capable of determining a definitive path.

There is the warming, and if it gets to a threshold methane could get released from sinks and intensify it – one extreme

But there is another factor, another maunder minimum and while most see it as a lesser factor (that will not outweigh the warming), there is this take on a cumulative impact – one where it would be significant.

12. fustercluck 12

You guys do know that global cooling has happened for the past 18 months or so, don’t you? There are so many good reasons to stop pollution, increase efficiency, conserve resources, etc. Slavish devotion to computer models just distracts from real conversations about caring for the planet and enriching a layer of bureaucrats. Climate always changes. Humans have a huge effect locally. Resources are finite. These are incontrovertible truths. Applying them can lead directly to many of the conservation and even political outcomes sought by those with anxieties about the climate’s direction. Why not focus on that instead of defending policies driven by computer modelling which will always be flawed?

13. RedLogix 14

On my record here count me as one of the staunchest supporters of the reality of climate science and what it has been telling us for decades.

But after many years of watching this debacle unfold, I’m convinced this is not a scientific debate, but a psychological one. There is excellent documentary evidence that a small minority of powerful, wealthy individuals have conspired to lie and obfuscate about the evidence simply in order to delay action that might impact them financially. Knowing the wilful treachery of these people invokes in me a white hot anger I do my best to restrain most of the time.

Equally, and we’ve seen them in action here at TS, there is a small minority of vocal pro-environmental types who argue for the demolition of our economies, the ‘end of markets/capitalism’ and in some extreme cases the extinction of the human race as responses to this crisis. They openly decry ‘overpopulation’ and ‘overshoot’ … while pretending to be oblivious to the catastrophically murderous implications of actually implementing anything they say.

On the left we naturally identify the fossil carbon burners as the enemy, while we should also understand that those with a more conservative right leaning view will identify nihilist ‘lunatic greenies’ as objects of deep suspicion. As a consequence, the vast majority of the moderate middle, which is where all the action needs to happen, are paralysed into a mutual suspicion and lack of trust about each others motives.

The good news is that the techies and engineers are making fantastic progress to give us all the tools we need; but we need to maginalise the extremists on both sides, and start trusting ourselves and our ability to rise to this desperate challenge.

http://www.abc.net.au/news/2018-09-03/angus-taylor-energy-minister-power-price-solution-curious/10188496

• Pat 14.1

“The good news is that the techies and engineers are making fantastic progress to give us all the tools we need; but we need to maginalise the extremists on both sides, and start trusting ourselves and our ability to rise to this desperate challenge.”

I am both surprised and heartened (though thoroughly sceptical) that ‘techies and engineers’ have the situation in hand, do you perhaps have some evidence you can point to to support such a notion as those scientists at the forefront of climate research have been increasingly saying the opposite and are ever louder warning that the window in which to act (and radically as the situation demands) is almost gone.

• RedLogix 14.1.1

Both are true at the same time; absolutely the window to act has been frittered away in the most imbecilic fashion. But equally the general progress towards good non-fossil carbon solutions is pretty impressive.

Solar is now way cheaper than coal, the latest generation of perovskite/silicon pv cells are reaching efficiencies over 30%. storage technologies are being intensively researched with solid state hybrid graphene supercapacitors showing real potential to reach and exceed fossil fuel energy densities.

Electric cars are within five years of becoming the dominant technology. We’re getting better at doing more with less and recycling resources all the time. If I thought anyone might read them I could link to literally hundreds, thousands, of embryonic, developing ideas …. of which only a few need to come to fruition in order to transform everything.

What’s missing is the political will in the West to commit to chasing after this goal; it’s exactly as if we don’t believe we can solve this anymore.

• Bill 14.1.1.1

The boiling of the egg is making “fantastic progress”.

It’s now at 22 degrees C and climbing and we have a whole 15 seconds in which to procure for ourselves a hard boiled egg.

That being the basic problem (among many others) facing any technological advance on carbon free energy – there is no time.

• RedLogix 14.1.1.1.1

So what. Of course it’s a totally shit situation, and we know exactly who to blame for this.

We have two options; pulling finger, engaging political moderates across the board, harnessing our staggering collective human ingenuity and energy to save what we can from this catastrophe… or we can wallow in a ‘woe is me, we’re fucked, won’t it be fun watching the human race go extinct’ nihilism.

Me? I pick Lane 1 despite the apparently bleak odds.

• Bill 14.1.1.1.1.1

Well, I’m all with you on lane one.

But it’s not “apparently bleak odds” if the idea is to save a semblance of how we do things now and avoid dangerous warming and the accompanying climate changes.

We get to choose one or the other – ie, we either choose to preserve a semblance of how we do things or we choose to attempt avoiding dangerous levels of warming.

• RedLogix

We’ve spent decades lamenting the lack of action Bill.

Now if you want interesting ideas, then look to the radical fringes. (Most of them will be bad interesting ideas, but some will be gold. You have to dig.) But if you want action, the middle is where it happens. Right slap on top of the middle two standard deviations of the political spectrum. These are the people who get up every day and make choices, take the actions which mostly determine what happens.

If we want action we take the middle with us. We don’t do that by telling them they’ll have to give up everything they know. We don’t do that by telling them they’ll have to revert to the lives of their great-great-grandparents 200 years ago. People are a whole lot smarter than you think, and they’ll sniff out the humbug in that proposition within a flash.

What will work is framing it as the next big thing; an existential battle to save as much as we can, re-shape the way we do things, do more with less and at the same time extend the benefits of this world to the whole of humanity. And you leave it to them to work out the best way to do this.

Again people aren’t fools, they know that business as usual isn’t sustainable; but they aren’t going to let it go by us shaking sackcloths in front of them.

• Bill

Uh-huh.

You won’t find anywhere that I’ve argued a case that we have to give up everything [we] know or that we have to revert to the lives of [our] great-great-grandparents 200 years ago.

We’re inventive and whatever else, and we have to do whatever we’re going to be doing without producing any carbon from fuel in the space of a couple of decades or three.

And if not, then we’re going to be like Canute before an unstoppable tide of destructive change.

So, today, we have to be cutting carbon emissions from energy by about 10% per annum or more, but emissions are increasing year on year. That’s basically all I say on that front in respect of “how we ought to be living”.

Oh. And I acknowledge that capitalism (markets and growth) doesn’t withstand those kind of cuts.

And on the other side of things, I call bullshit on stuff like the fantasists who think we can construct some carbon capture tech that will capture as much of our emissions as does the entire biosphere at present.

And point to such things as the deleterious effect increased carbon is having on the biosphere through knocking the nutrient balances of oceanic algae and land plants to hell in a hand basket.

I guess I also do posts on both the scale and potential speed of changes that will be wrought by warming.

But like I say. I never offer up blueprints on how to live (much to some peoples’ chagrin)

• RedLogix

I agree with your diagnosis 100% Bill. And I agree the climate engineering ideas are pretty damned flakey. But hell one of them might just come through and buy us some time, who knows?

OK so think it through, so far the way we’ve been fighting this has been a monumental failure. And everytime some lunatic leftie gleefully links climate change to the ‘end of capitalism’ we lose a little bit more.

We don’t have luxury of time any more, we stop indulging ideology and political purity now. From here on in we have to think in terms of raw, blunt, unglamorous pragmatism. Will this work? If not, then what will?

That’s all that matters. It’s a kind of freedom when you think about it.

• Bill

We don’t have luxury of time any more, we stop indulging ideology…

And the ideology we have to stop indulging is capitalism. We need to cut emissions from energy by 10% per year. And if capitalism crashes, as every economist thinks it will, then so be it.

But here’s the thing. The (so-called) integrity of capitalism is elevated above the pesky laws of physics at every turn by the IPCC and by every damned politician and policy maker in government around the world today.

And that translates as “nothing happening” and kicking the can down the road because “carbon capture fairy dust” and such like.

It’s not going to end well.

• RedLogix

A very reasonable argument can be made that the unconstrained neo-liberal version of capitalism certainly needs to be clapped in chains; and on that front there is pretty decent range of decent intellectual support.

But whenever someone more sceptical than me reads “the end of capitalism” with no other qualifier, they quite reasonably fill in the very fat blank by inserting ‘marxism/communism’. And that thought terminally contaminates any rational persuasion we might present around the science.

The 20th century buried marxism under a massive pile of corpses and that is that.

• corodale

Capitalism as a market efficiency is good, this we will keep. Capitalism as a governance is our current problem, this we will change.

• Bill

they quite reasonably fill in the very fat blank by inserting ‘marxism/communism’.

There is that. Though I’d tend to refer to it as the ‘Marxist/Leninist’ cult that (unfortunately) came to define “left”.

And… I’m kind of almost persuaded that Zionism is becoming, or attempting to become, to Judaism what Marxist/Leninism was or is to “left” too.

But that’s another story and a half formed post that probably won’t see the light of day. Or it may. 🙂

• the other pat

agree with you both and action is needed but i do have that thought that im 250m above sea level……i could have a lovely sea side house sooner than later!!!

• Pat 14.1.1.2

Is that it?…thought you were going to provide something of substance,,,like maybe how to convert an entire carbon infrastructure to renewables all in about a decade all while supporting around 8.5 billion souls…..no? oh well I guess the ‘techies and engineers’ havn’t ‘solved’ anything .

• RedLogix 14.1.1.2.1

Over the past decade here I must have provided concrete evidence of many hundreds of positive developments, but in my experience, providing links to people who don’t want to read them and can’t be arsed using google is a waste of time and energy.

Yes the challenge is daunting; it becomes impossible when people like you insist it cannot be done. That’s my point.

• Pat 14.1.1.2.1.1

I wouldnt take issue with your view if you framed it more like…”Yes the challenge is daunting;” rather than “But after many years of watching this debacle unfold, I’m convinced this is not a scientific debate, but a psychological one.” and ” Equally, and we’ve seen them in action here at TS, there is a small minority of vocal pro-environmental types who argue for the demolition of our economies, the ‘end of markets/capitalism’ and in some extreme cases the extinction of the human race as responses to this crisis. They openly decry ‘overpopulation’ and ‘overshoot’ … while pretending to be oblivious to the catastrophically murderous implications of actually implementing anything they say.”…especially when you have no realistic alternative.

If I had terminal cancer that had matisticised I’d expect my doctor to give me an accurate prognosis, not tell me to keep taking asprin and daily exercise will see me live forever but if thats what you want then go for it,

• RedLogix

It’s like you have a choice of two doctors; both tell you it’s serious. One however reckons there nothing that can be done, go home and die quietly.

The other has the same bad news but also says this is a rare cancer and no-one has certain knowledge of it. In that light however there are some promising new research techniques that offer some real hope. Are you willing to give them a go?

A lot will depend on your courage.

• Pat

If your doctor tells you that asprin and exercise can cure cancer its time for a new doctor and he (she) should be struck off…..courage has nothing to do with it, that is just a substitute for denial.

• RedLogix

Clearly you are trying to frame me as a fool who imagines ‘asprin and exercise’ is an equivalency cure for climate change. It isn’t. I’m absolutely clear on the magnitude of the challenge.

But let’s be absolutely crystal clear on this; the energy intensive industrial civilisation we are all part of sustains over 7.2 billion lives last I looked. If we allow ourselves to collapse back to pre-1800 levels, probably 90% of us will be dead. Or wish we were.

Now we may or may not be doomed to such a fate; I’ve no idea. But for me it’s morally indefensible to sit on my hands either pretending there is no problem, OR at the other extreme pretending the problem is terminal. Either framework is nothing more than an excuse for a failure of personal responsibility.

• Pat

so youre a moderate (for shame,lol)….and what aspect of your lifestyle are you (and expect the rest of the population) to forgo for a future?…for that is the bare minimum that is required…there is no technical fix, it requires a radical and rapid depowering , and then some….and even so millions are going to die though they will likely be poor and some ways from here…theres your personal responsibility

• RedLogix

Well as an automation engineer for the past 40 years I’ve almost certainly contributed WAY more to the net energy efficiency of the human race than you have. And if we are to beat this thing, it’s people like me who will be at the ‘coal face’ (bad metaphor intended).

Still if you want to argue that a radical de-powering is the only solution, then be plain that you are essentially arguing for the death of billions. And yet likely you’d be the kind of person who goes onto the internet and says that Hilter was a bad man. Man he was an amateur, he only got 63 million dead in WW2. How many do you think a ‘radical de-powering’ might stack up?

And you wonder why right wingers are still so obstinately suspicious of this ‘climate change’ narrative. That’s because they have no problem at all in decoding what you’re really saying.

• Pat

“Well as an automation engineer for the past 40 years I’ve almost certainly contributed WAY more to the net energy efficiency of the human race than you have”

thats one hell of an assumption…and I might argue as an automation engineer for 40 years you have contributed much to the increasing carbon emissions through promoting needless consumption….and illustrates why we will fail

• RedLogix

Nope. My last three major career roles all had a major energy/resource efficiency component. This is all normal stuff for us these days. Semi-random link:

https://www.rockwellautomation.com/global/capabilities/solutions.page?pagetitle=Industrial-Energy-Management&docid=c4683d90fd1cebb8c75b58197c045f43

One of literally hundreds of such offerings, packages and tool kits, and that’s before we even start to look at the project specific designs and programs.

And the rate of change is accelerating every year, even within this discipline. If we looked wider to areas like PV research, solid state batteries and across a thousand other specialties you and I are barely aware of … the total activity is quite astounding.

Will it all be enough? Maybe. But we’d stand a much better chance if the world committed morally and politically to the effort.

• Pat

energy/resource efficiency are neutral, it is the use they are put to that determines whether it is a net positive or negative…the current settings almost certainly guarantee their use was a net negative.

Yes the (mainly western) world needs to commit to the task…and the reality is that for a multitude of reasons and excuses they will not…and one of those excuses is that tech will save us….it wont and it cannot.

• RedLogix

If you keep moving the goal-posts this often the planet will be fucked before we get to the end of this thread. 🙂

No-one disagrees that we consume far too much needlessly. Actually that’s a really positive notion; it means we have the opportunity to reduce consumption quite substantially without having any important impacts.

But crucially; we don’t get to define what is ‘needless’ or not. This is not a simplistic problem; it’s complex, layered and resolves only in multiple domains and dimensions over many decades. We cannot impose a solution top down … but 7.2 billion people CAN make their own individual choices and actions, and start moving the needle in the right direction.

But we have to get them onside. And that loops right back to my first comment here. It’s primarily a psychological battle and we’ve been fighting it very badly.

• Pat

14.1
3 September 2018 at 3:00 pm
“The good news is that the techies and engineers are making fantastic progress to give us all the tools we need; but we need to maginalise the extremists on both sides, and start trusting ourselves and our ability to rise to this desperate challenge.”

and also loops back to this comment…which is patently false, as there is no tech solution

• RedLogix

as there is no tech solution

And there won’t be one if you refuse to look for one.

And your only expressed option is a ‘radical power down’. Yet no hint that you want to understand or take any responsibility for what that might entail. It’s almost as if mass death is what you actually want, but you know it’s not quite acceptable to say so out loud.

• Pat

” It’s almost as if mass death is what you actually want, but you know it’s not quite acceptable to say so out loud.”

Youre big on unsubstantiated assumptions.

that should tell you something

• RedLogix

That’s rich coming from someone confidently claiming we needn’t bother with a tech solution because “there isn’t one”.

And still no acknowledgement of what ‘radical de-powering’ really means. You’ve had three chances now, so yes I’ve solid evidence that you don’t want to say it out loud.

• Pat

are you deliberately moronic?….radical de-powering is self explanatory,,we know whats causing climate change and we know the only way to slow its increase is to stop adding carbon to the atmosphere while we figure out some way to reduce that carbon we have added (we cant yet and we have no time to wait) …youre the one projecting mass death and yet as recently as the 1950s we produced comparatively little carbon…whats changed?

those alive in the 1950s led as happy an existence (some may say better) and without the benefit of a number of advances that COULD (but are not) be used to further reduce emissions.

No need to attempt to project your own fears

• RedLogix

And in 1950 the global population was around 2.5 billion, and the large majority lived in absolute poverty. Grinding miserable poverty, vulnerable to disease, starvation, horrendous tyrannies (Stalin and Mao right?) and general backwardness.

Still lets assume we can make a great big leap backwards to 1950. You’ve only eliminated around 5 billion people to get there, and dramatically slashed the standard of living for the few billion you’ve generously permitted to survive.

But this is before the invention of the Pill right? And with radical depowering it’s unlikely we’d permit the kind of high tech industrial matrix that might support a pharmaceutical industry … so population carries on expanding uncontrolled, especially in those countries now thrust back deep into poverty.

I could go on and on. It’s all speculation of course, but invariably whenever I hear someone spout a nice sounding big idea like ‘radical depowering’ they’ve never really thought through what exactly it might mean, the details and the completely unknowable risks it might entail.

Just because we’re in a shit situation at the moment, doesn’t mean that ANY damn fool idea will automatically be an improvement. In fact most won’t be.

I’m not trying to be mean to you Pat; quite the opposite really. I appreciate you’ve made your points reasonably and without rancour. Cheers.

• Pat

the world population was slightly over 2.6 billion and the assessment the bulk were ‘in grinding poverty’ is yours.

Whats changed is the consumption/travel patterns, the two main causes of increased carbon emissions.
We didnt travel as far or as often and seldom by air, our goods were generally produced locally (or at least nationally) and were durable and repairable and we had far less of them, food was local and seasonal.
Private vehicle ownership was approx a quarter of the current ratio.
Medical care was universal

And surprisingly we wernt all dying in the streets, nor were we in grinding poverty nor miserable.

So we know a western society (for it is predominantly the cause) can function perfectly well with considerably lower levels of energy consumption…we cant however be sure we can reliably feed 7.5 billion with that energy input however we (as you note) have some advances that may assist in that with renewable energy sources not available in the 50s. we have advances in medicine (including contraception) advances in genetics and a greater understanding of the environment….but we can be sure that by not doing this the world will not support anything approaching that number, or ultimately any at all.

My contention is not that we cannot address climate change, it is we choose not to ….and one of the feeble excuses used is ‘tech will save us.’

• Bill

Isn’t simply a question of adaptation?

We can adapt to survive the necessary yearly reductions in fossil fuel use, or we can adapt to survive a changing climatic system.

Obviously, with emissions going up, we have chosen to adapt to survive a changing climate, right? Well…no.

We are still building at sea level. We are still maintaining infrastructure that can’t even withstand current climatic conditions. We are not building any new infrastructure that’s mindfully geared to withstand likely future scenarios.

You said somewhere else (Red) that you’d pick lane 1, despite bleak prospects, and I said I’d join you there. But unfortunately, if you look over to your right, you’ll see the world of government and business and what not is on the other carriage-way and accelerating in the opposite direction.

• SPC 14.1.2

Tech

Lower cost and more efficient solar.
Batteries for storage of power for the grid and for the home.
Nuclear.

The real issue is financing the transition from carbon production (given the indebtedness of the EU and USA – those who are supposed to invest in this for the third world) and getting the developing nations to use more expensive power.

• Pat 14.1.2.1

Finance is not an issue…the willingness to reduce western levels of consumption/travel however is.

• SPC 14.1.2.1.1

Yes it is.

Governments that are trying to reduce their debt to 60% of GDP (EU requirement and also increase defence spending to 2% of GDP) cannot borrow the money. And if they do not, the US will not, and probably not under Trump anyhow.

Travel in the west has nothing to do with affording the necessary finance for the third world clean energy production.

And without this finance, steps that were supposed to have been made, have not been.

While governments are restrained by debt, inaction on (already promised) help to the third world will continue. And without this global development – how many nations in the developing world will take up clean tech by choice (they are not part of the agreements)? And without this, most developed nations will make cursory and belated moves.

• Bill 14.1.2.1.1.1

Non Annex 1 countries need trillions of dollars to even begin laying in non-carbon infrastructure and whatever else. Annex 1 countries have promised (after much haggling) nothing even remotely close to trillions.

Reduce fossil by 10% per year. If capitalist market relations, however they’re configured and managed can withstand that, then finance can be a part of the picture.

If not, then finance as we currently understand it has got nothing to do with anything.

Meanwhile and regardless, the laws of physics will have everything to do with anything we do around global warming. They come for free. 😉

• SPC

The first world cannot even afford the promises they have made to the third world, let alone what is actually required. Which is my point, finance is the problem, not the tech (we just have no means to make it available as widely as need be)

Which is the problem with the financial system we have, and why it is (now) part of the problem.

As for the developing world, such as China and India etc, and the production they now make for export to the first world until we can incentivise their uptake of cleaner teche (by placing a carbon tax on goods imported into the first world based on carbon used in production) …

• Bill

…finance is the problem, not the tech (we just have no means to make it available as widely as need be)

Ah okay, got you.

The non existence of the tech is a kinda pesky detail though, don’t you think? Or, if you’re talking about existing solar and what not, the utterly impossible dance of scale and time is just as pesky, yes?

Question. If finance is the problem, then why are you still couching possible solutions in terms of current economic thinking in that last paragraph about China and production and carbon taxes?

• SPC

The Indians and Chinese have nuclear power options, it costs more than carbon, but a carbon tax on their exports to the first world provides the incentive.

Unless they do it because we ask them …

• Bill

How long to plan, permit and build (how many?) nuclear power plants?

• Poission

Meanwhile and regardless, the laws of physics will have everything to do with anything we do around global warming. They come for free.

Indeed.

https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/esp.2014

• Bill

So New Zealand soil erosion might represent a carbon sink of anything between 1.1 and 5.6 million tonnes if we allow for a whole pile of “stab in the dark” assumptions (eg – burial of soil at sea running at 80% efficiency)?

How does he get from that huge range in estimate to the definitive statement that it all adds up to 45% of New Zealand’s fossil fuel carbon emissions in 1990?

Interesting arm waving on a colossally complex set of systems that might make for interesting conversation filler at some geology after drinks get together thang. 😉

• Poission

The paper is here.

http://alliance.la.asu.edu/temporary/students/Phil/Soil_Co2_Sink_NZ.pdf

it will also be necessary under the terms of the Paris agreement to fully account for all sinks and sources as full carbon accounting is required.

Weathering is an important part of the carbon budget,the enhanced feedback loop (-ve) is related to the atmospheric burden as Broecker 1998 suggested a warmer and wetter world the overall rate of chemical weathering would increase.

• Bill

Full carbon accounting on what, exactly? And why? And how accurate would any such “adding up” be? (Not very)

Fossil to zero. End.

That has all the flow on effects in terms of land use and whatever else that might be required to prevent further increases in warming.

That then leaves cement production.

• Pat 14.1.2.1.1.2

where were those considerations when approx 13 trillion US was provided to bail out the failing banks?….and a failing biosphere is rather more important than that is it not?

Finance is predicated on confidence, what better means of restoring confidence than an investment in the future of all human existence (and the subsequent economic activity if thats your real concern)

As Kevin Anderson notes, we must avoid triggering the tipping points (est 2C) at ALL cost

• SPC

The government component to the bail out after the GFC is a factor in the lack of finance because of the debt levels.

The Fed and ECB see “QE” as having one purpose, maintaining the current financial system in place – and their method inflated the values of assets held by a small share of the population.

How does one finance the transfer of clean/renewable power generation to third world nations. It is not now just the delivery of aid, it is for our mutual benefit on this planet.

• Pat

What lack of finance?…if there was a lack of finance debt levels would be decreasing…not increasing as they are.
Finance is a construct for purpose…we can choose what purpose.

The asset inflation due to QE is because of a lack of investment alternatives…a carbon free infrastructure offers a myriad of alternative investment options.

How do the transfers to third world nations occur?…ask Chinas belt and road investors

• SPC

What about those buying up (or financing) ownership shares of assets, not being the same as giving their money away so third world nations can have ownership of renewable energy do you not get?

Developing nations are not doing it because of the availability of cheaper carbon. No incentives.

Third world nations cannot get the money for the renewable energy production without aid being given to them.

Yes China is investing billions, not trillions – but its ports and roads – its a distribution concept, not one based on clean tech (though some rail here and there).

• Pat

Rail and renewables are included.

Third world countries will need assistance (grants or aid or compensatory payments whatever you wish to call them) that is already agreed under Paris.
Consider the costs of mass migration and its an easy sell.

Theres also the fact that the current model (finance) is unsustainable in its current form so is going to default in any case….what do you think is going to happen when the insurance industry falls over? and the oil industry is left holding a bunch of stranded assets?

On current trajectory its all going down in a screaming heap anyway (as acknowledged by the IMF) so there is nothing to lose….and no time to waste.

• Pat

I have been thinking on your finance concerns and have concluded there is indeed a problem with finance, for the 3rd world but also transition generally and it is this.

Trump

The USD being the worlds reserve currency is key to the ability to back any investment just as it was in stalling the GFC…as long as there is no support for a transition in the Whitehouse the financial backing for any substantial investment will struggle.

In contrast should the US reinstate support then there would be no impediment….an alternative reserve currency would also provide the wherewithal but that is not so easy as the EU discovered.

14. I find David to be embarrassing more than anything. To have this loop on his blog, to allow his commenters their free abuse of others, to have the odious Garrett stinking up the place – what a sad joke.

We are in it now. There is no magic solution, no aliens or white knights – just what we have and who we are.

15. Andy 16

The good news is that the Zero Carbon Bill will pass into law soon and all the poor people in NZ will be ground into eternal poverty,

How amusing!

• KJT 16.1

Of course we could put the funds we now put into oil, and wars over oil, into sustainable energy sources, and give many of those poor, work!

Or we can continue the fantasy that wealth will allow you to escape AGW. And you can put all the costs on ever increasing numbers of poor. Worked well for French royalty. Eh!
The Peter Thiels of this world are trying for the second. Using places like New Zealand as refuges from the disasters they caused. However. “How do you ensure the loyalty of your guards?”

• Andy 16.1.1

It is certainly playing out well for me.

Shutting down the NZ economy for no environmental or economic benefit will drive the dollar down and my income up as a result

Personally I’d like to see everyone get a fair crack at the whip, but middle class virtue signalling is going to drive the lower income voters away from the left as it makes them poorer.

The Greens even admit that the poorest will be hit hardest

• Carolyn_Nth 16.1.1.1

Andy: The Greens even admit that the poorest will be hit hardest

Hit hardest by what? Climate change or policies to counter climate change? yes, climate change is likely to hit the poorest the hardest unless we have polices to counter this.

The GP policies state they are aimed at combating climate change and ending poverty.

• Bill 16.1.1.1.1

Shaw stood at a public meeting and defended the notion of “user pays” when challenged by an audience member.

Financially, the poorest will be hammered under current Green Party thinking (if Shaw was representing it honestly/accurately).

• KJT 16.1.1.2

The poorest will be hit hardest, if the Greens do not succeed in their intentions.

In fact, money heading towards sustainable industry is more likely to benefit poorer New Zealanders, and the economy. Instead of enriching offshore oil suppliers.

The NZ dollar has been overvalued for some time. Advantaging foreign sellers to NZ, and killing our own industries.

Are you admitting to being one of the legalised white collar criminals, who have made their fortunes rorting the NZ dollar?

• Pat 16.2

the really poor dont live in NZ…and they dont have the luxury of a stable state that we have (currently)

16. Mack 17

It’s hard to believe that there are loons around who STILL believe in “climate change”.

• Pat 17.1

Mack’s comment at 11:08pm on the 8th of May

…transparent to incoming shortwave……opaque to outgoing longwave…..” parrots Stephanie.
I just love hearing those words…..”transparent” and “opaque”. They sound so sciencey, yet “BASIC”.
Atmospheric quantum thermodynamics for dummies……or parrots.
“transparent in….opaque out”
“transparent in….opaque out”
“transparent in…..opaque out” (squawk)
Polly want a cracker.
“minus 18C ….plus 15C”
“minus 18C…..plus 15C”
“minus 18C…..plus 15C” (squawk) (squawk)
“the Greenhouse”
“Greenhouse”
“Greenhouse” (squawk) (squawk)
“greenhouse”.
“transparent in….opaque out”
“transparent in…..opaque out” (squawk)
“blanket”
“blanket’
“blanket” (squawk) (squawk)
You’re a well trained parrot from the NZ “education” system, Stephanie.

oh dear!

• Bill 17.1.1

Jeesuz. I wondered what the fuck that was you were submitting.

And “Mack” has to audacity to talk of “loons”?!

edit – I’ve tidied your comment up to clear potential confusion.

• Pat 17.1.1.1

lol..sorry, I was dumbstruck

17. Dennis Frank 18

Retards, oops sorry Marty, I mean cretins aside, the first canary in this particular coal-mine to fall over dead will be the global insurance industry. Prior to that the gradual escalation of premiums due to too much storm damage will reach the point where only affluent folks can afford to keep paying the insurance companies.

At that point will the cretins sit up & take notice? No, they won’t realise the shit is hitting the fan until the insurance companies agree the inexorable trend is killing their market, and the only way to save their businesses is to eliminate climate-change sceptics. Turning the cretins into targets will be the easy part.

The hard part for the insurance industry will be having to accept that eliminating the problem individuals will only help global remediation policies become effective when it’s too late. The inertial effect of the global warming already in the pipeline has too much momentum to even slow down in the medium term, let alone stop. So watch global insurance payments: that evidence will be undeniable.

18. Drowsy M. Kram 19

“Men go and come, but Earth abides” – Ecclesiastes 1:4

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Earth_Abides

It’s a plague, sans climate change, that does the damage in this SF classic, but worth a look.

“Around them and their children a small community develops, living like their pioneer ancestors, but rebuilding civilization is beyond their resources, and gradually they return to a simpler way of life.”

• Dennis Frank 19.1

Got my copy early sixties, when adolescent. Had forgotten the story but still have it in my library somewhere. Thanks for the reminder. Maybe why the environmentalist ethic captured me in ’68 so readily!

19. corodale 20

Transition economics is required,
regardless of whether GHGs are the main driver behind CC.

The positive ecological benefits of lower emissions are clear. We need to remove the FIRE from our economy to save our air, water and soils.

“The Carbon Zero Act risks falling into technocratic Environmental Economics. What we need are the insights of Ecological Economics. Real drivers are required to address the ecosystem as a whole; economics which understand our environment as an ecosystem, a living web of intelligence.” (corodale 2018) (George Monbiot explains some of the dangers of Environmental Economics in his; “The Pricing of Everything.”)

“Discussion on methane”, is this week’s call from the Parliamentary Commissioner for the Environment. Methane being NZ’s most significant GHG issue. https://www.pce.parliament.nz/publications/a-note-on-new-zealand-s-methane-emissions-from-livestock

Ecological Economics, when applied to our methane example, shows the potential to:
-reuse dairy manure as nitrogen fertiliser in cropping, noting the gains from organic nitrogen, as it is more efficiently captured than synthetic nitrogen inputs.
-increase in carbon capture, using the manure to improve soil structure, and develop humus.
-reduce nitrous gas emissions by both reducing nitrogen fertiliser use, and reducing anaerobic soil conditions.
-biological nitrogen fixing to replace the high energy process of nitrogen fertiliser production.

Is the Zero Carbon Act a driver to capture the positive benefits mentioned here above? Where is the Govt policy to capture these win-win benefits which ecology offers?

Conclusion: Environmental Economics suggests the politically difficult challenge of reducing the cow population. Ecolocial Economics says, “Don’t panic, go organic”.

20. Cinny 21

This bit…… “The right is involved in a culture war with the left over the issue where winning is all important”… Sums it up perfectly.

21. Dennis Frank 22

“The Paris Agreement seeks to limit the increase in global average temperature to well below 2°C, and pursue efforts to limit warming to 1.5°C, above pre-industrial levels. Global temperatures have already risen by around 1°C, and the most recent (fifth) assessment by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) found that it is extremely likely that human influence has been the dominant cause of the observed warming since the mid-20th century (IPCC 2013). Achieving the temperature goal of the Paris Agreement will require major efforts to reduce emissions globally and across all sectors as far and as quickly as possible to minimise overall warming.”
[https://www.pce.parliament.nz/media/196482/contribution-of-methane-emissions-from-nz-livestock-to-global-warming.pdf]

“The emission reduction target for long-lived greenhouse gases globally is unambiguously dictated by basic physics: net emissions of long-lived greenhouse gases must go to zero if the global average temperature is to be stabilised. By contrast, physical climate considerations alone are insufficient to set a target for short-lived gases: emissions of short-lived gases do not have to go to zero, but the lower they go, the less they will contribute to the overall warming the world will experience.”

“global methane emissions (from both biogenic and fossil sources), including their consequences for other atmospheric constituents that influence the global climate, are estimated to have contributed more than 40% of the total warming effect (radiative forcing) from all human activities between 1750 and 2011. About two thirds of this is estimated to come from methane itself, and the other third from indirect effects triggered by methane emissions”.

These sections from Simon Upton’s report summarise the context for designing a farming policy that is sustainable. The devil in the detail is referred to as “the other third” in the final paragraph above: methane breakdown effects.

“emitting fossil methane causes warming first when methane enters the atmosphere and second after it has broken down into carbon dioxide. The additional warming caused by the remaining carbon dioxide is much smaller year-on-year because methane is a far more effective at absorbing heat radiation than carbon dioxide – but the carbon dioxide will then remain in the atmosphere for centuries to millennia.
Taking this into account increases the warming contribution from a pulse of fossil methane by 5-10% over 100 years (Boucher et al. 2009), but contributes less than 1% to total global greenhouse gas emissions from human activities (Gillenwater 2008).
By contrast, the water vapour produced in the decay of methane in the troposphere (the bottom 10-15 km of the atmosphere) does not add to global warming even though water vapour is a strong and important greenhouse gas. This is because most of the methane decays in the troposphere, where the concentration of water vapour is controlled strongly by ambient temperature (i.e. the evaporation and condensation of water vapour from its liquid form, and sublimation from solid ice). Additional emissions of water vapour therefore have virtually no effect on the overall water vapour concentration in the troposphere, where most of the atmosphere’s water vapour resides”.

Despite the opaque effect of the last two sentences, this seems to reassure us that the devil’s attention is elsewhere and the consequences of methane breakdown are a bit player in the overall scheme of things. Whew! Seems a good report.

• Bill 22.1

heh – I just love how scientists are so adept at putting things across in plain English…

Anyway. Whether methane is bad, or not as bad as thought, or whatever, the fact would remain that it’s a contributory factor to AGW, yes? And the fact is that without fossil use enabling a suite of practices (in agriculture) leading to enhanced methane emissions, methane levels would drop.

So all we need to know is that methane isn’t flash and get off the fossil anyway, because fossil is bad.

But we have a Climate Minister who wants to chase down an agricultural red herring with a petrol driven economy because it’s a fantastic business opportunity. 🙄

• Dennis Frank 22.1.1

The Fed Farmers VP interviewed on the AM show this morning was clearly on the ball and actively operating as part of the solution. He even had a cost of implementation for his own farm (fifty thousand) & mentioned that electric tractors are not yet available. Have to wait for blue-green tech to do its thing there because red-green thinking is tech-averse, right? Yet more dependency on the capitalists.

I’ll reserve judgment on the climate policy but would be surprised if a plan for switching from a petrol economy isn’t part of it. I also hope a plan for reduced dairying, with enhanced horticulture, is included. In principle, we ought not to be importing food that can be produced here.

• Bill 22.1.1.1

I didn’t hear the interview.

But electric tractors would be fine if the idea is to maintain the current scale of farms and current farming practices. That can’t be the only idea in the box though.

Given that we ought to be cutting fossil use by 10% or more per year, shouldn’t we just be getting on with it and seeing what can be adapted to fit that evolving scenario and what needs to undergo radical change, while abandoning that which needs abandoned?

Hanging stuff on things like “electric tractors” is a convenient ploy to excuse inaction – a form of denial.

• Dennis Frank 22.1.1.1.1

You & I are comfortable with moving fast & taking radical options. Unfortunately most people aren’t. Trying to shoe-horn them into such a tight niche would only alienate them. Incrementalism is, I agree, an operational problem, but since politics only ever proceeds on a consensus basis, you have to build the numbers where the process is easiest. Low-hanging fruit.

Think of it another way: turning the Titanic away from the iceberg, when the speed of turning the steering wheel requires as many hands as possible.

• Bill 22.1.1.1.1.1

Turning the Titanic away from the iceberg was what sunk the Titanic – just saying 🙂

But that aside.

If there wasn’t that pesky element called “time”, then we could sit around all day, all month, and for years, strategising about numbers and ‘best ways forward’ and whatever.

But there is that pesky element called time, though it’s in precious short supply. Fortunately, through physics and its known laws, we know what we need to do.

So we do it. It’s straight forward enough – reduce fossil use by the required amount over known periods of time. And we can have discussions along the way around how best or better to adapt to our changing circumstances.

Or we can choose to not do what we need to do. That would be stupid though.

• Dennis Frank

I presume you mean turning too late – after the sighting of the berg straight ahead? Anyway whereas I agree with you in principle I get the distinct impression that your expectations of others are unrealistic.

How much practical experience have you had obtaining consensus in group decision-making? Hard enough at the best of times when making easy decisions. On something as deep and complex as climate change, almost impossible. Most people just cannot see the necessity. Jaw-boning them doesn’t work.

• Bill

I presume you mean…

No. Apparently the thing to do would have been to plow into it head on (with engines in reverse of course). That way, the prow would have been knackered and what not, but it could then have limped on to New York given it had a number of separated compartments (that got ripped open when the berg gouged down the side of the ship)

Consensus? Some. Enough to understand that consensus doesn’t require the complete agreement of all. And also enough to know that it’s a decision making process with limited applicability.

People don’t see the necessity because people haven’t necessarily been informed of the necessity. How many people are aware that there is a global carbon budget, after which 2 degrees becomes an impossibility? How many people understand that we may already have produced conditions that see us surpass 2 degrees or 3 degrees? How many people think that “2 degrees” just means ‘everything’ is 2 degrees above what it would otherwise have been? How many people understand that the 30 – 40 billion tonnes of carbon spewed out thos year is stacking on top of the billions of tonnes from yester-years?

And crucially, how many people simply don’t think about it because they trust that “experts” and governments have everything in hand?

• Dennis Frank

Oh yeah, I remember now how the underwater part ripped out the side & sank the ship that was designed to be unsinkable. Apparently the captain believed the corporate propaganda & refused to post a look-out for icebergs.

You got me thinking now, that the climate situation requires a pressure group similar to the Drug Foundation but somewhat more task-focused. Partly a brains trust but also a lobbying operation. It would have to agree on the optimal design of the climate solution for public policy, then apply pressure to successive governments in respect of any inadequacies in how the govt is performing on climate.

• Bill

The task is simple. Reduce those emissions by the required amount in the allotted time frame. Physics provides the numbers and what not.

As for the nuts and bolts of the policies that will reduce those emissions, well politicians wanted the gig, yes? So as far as I’m concerned they can do as they will, as long as those emission reductions are happening and they aren’t doing me over in the process.

If they had half a brain between them, they’d go for a simple hard sinking cap. But that would mean jettisoning a lot of ‘sacred’ truths they hold dear. So, whatever… if they can produce something apart from a hard sinking cap that actually delivers, then all good.

• Mack

So OK then, Dennis and Bill ,we need a “brains trust” that will give us a “simple hard sinking cap” ?

Bloody beauty, mate. You guys are a 2 man think tank.

• Dennis Frank

Could always make it three. You just need to put in a contribution. 😎

• Mack

Nah, sorry Dennis, I’m not into groupthink and especially not the establishment groupthink of AGW. A “brains trust”?…nah, too much like one smart-ass saying…”Trust my brain, I know what I’m doing”.

• Dennis Frank

I’ve never been into group-think – usually disagree with others. I’ve got several books by climate change sceptics. I graduated BSc in physics when I was young, so I know that to suss out complex dimensions of reality gotta be careful & thorough.

Not all climate-change sceptics are braindead – I appreciate the reasoning of those who give the evidence an open-minded appraisal. Some have made valid points. Critiques of alarmism are of two kinds: those that are rational & evidence-based, and those that are ideological and irrational.

So why bother to come here & comment? You really have no intelligence to demonstrate?? Just wasting your valuable time?

• Mack

“So why bother to come here and comment?” ” You really have no intelligence to demonstrate??”

I see you have a BSc in Physics, Dennis ,when you were young.

When I was young, the best I got was only a C pass in physics 101….so I guess you have more “intelligence to demonstrate” than me.

So let’s see what intelligence you demonstrate when it comes to examining Kevin Trenberth’s Earth Energy Budget Diagrams, Dennis. What do you make of them? Give me a little explanation of what is going on here….You are conversant with them? I hope?
http://www.ipcc.ch/graphics/ar4-wg1/jpg/faq-1-1-fig-1.jpg
In particular , how is 342 w/sq.m. incoming solar radiation arrived at?
We can then ascertain whether or not I’m “wasting” my “valuable time”.

• Dennis Frank

“At Earth’s distance from the Sun, about 1,368 watts of power in the form of EM radiation from the Sun fall on an area of one square meter.” “A planet twice as far from the Sun as is Earth would be feebly warmed by just 1/4th as much radiation (342 W/m2).”

Claiming that his views had been misrepresented, Trenbleth said “I was not questioning the link between anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions and warming”.

• Mack

Well you’ve just sent me off to a link that regurgitates the same pseudoscientific misinformation perpetuated by Trenberth’s looney Earth Energy Budget Diagrams that is, today, taught as a fact, as 1st year physics in every “learning” institute on the planet… and as a typical true believer in AGW, totally devoid of any individual thought process on your own behalf.
The EEB diagrams of Trenberth shows that there is insufficient solar radiation arriving at the Earth’s surface….and using the Stephan Boltzmann equation with an emissivity just rounded up as 1 (ie, near enough to a black-body) they get the surface average temperature showing an unreal, frozen –18deg C.
The reason is because these EEB diagrams show only about 161,163,168 w/sq.m. solar radiation at the Earth’s surface.
In reality, the TSI of about 1360w/sq.m is what arrives at the Top of the Atmosphere (TOA). It’s real and measured by the satellites. It’s a YEARLY GLOBAL AVERAGE..a bulk load at the TOA..which is not to be divided down by 4.. but must remain as it is.. The Sun never sets in space, and space is right there, at the TOA. The Sun just sits there 24/7. It’s 1360 w/sq.m. at the TOA, and this is sufficient solar radiation to keep the Earth’s surface temperatures at what they really are.

If you take this 1360w/sq.m., you can then geometrically divide it down by 4 to account tor the night and day geometric “attenuation” to get your 340 w/sq.m. but now that is at the EARTH’S SURFACE….NOT AT THE TOA.

If we then now take that 340w/sq.m. and slot it into the S-B equation …but using a total Earth’s emissivity of 0.82 (courtesy of Nasif Nahle 2011) we come up with a figure of about 19deg C.

You can do this right here yourself with this on-line S-B calculator..
https://calculator.tutorvista.com/stefan-boltzmann-law-calculator.html Put..emissivity= 0.82
surface area= 1 (sq.m.)
Temp= X
The temp. comes out as 292 K ,or about 19deg C.
This is still a bit high. The Earth’s surface global average temperature (GAT) they say is measured at around about 15deg.C, so the further reduction is accounted for by the atmospheric attenuation…such as clouds, atmospheric gases, aerosols,etc.

Geometric “attenuation” plus atmospheric attenuation on the real measured 1360w/sq.m. that exists at the TOA, using the Stephan- Boltzmann equation, provides us with the real measured surface temperature we have here on this Earth…..with no such thing as some unreal “greenhouse effect” in the atmosphere.

If there is no quantifiable “greenhouse effect” then “greenhouse gases” are bullshit also.

It’s an old, outdated, unreal,crackpot “greenhouse theory” which should be relegated to history.

• RedLogix

I see what you did there.

• Mack

Good show, RedLogix, here’s some further reading for you to understand…enjoy….

http://principia-scientific.org/is-no-greenhouse-effect-possible-from-the-way-that-ipcc-define-it/#comment-11469

• Mack

Good show, RedLogix, here’s some further reading for you to understand…enjoy….

http://principia-scientific.org/is-no-greenhouse-effect-possible-from-the-way-that-ipcc-define-it/#comment-11469

• Dennis Frank

So your reason for promoting Trenberth, Mack, was merely to discredit him? And then you expect us to be impressed by your own reasoning, as if you’re a climate scientist? Are you unaware how intellectually dishonest such a pretension is?

Given that 97% of climate scientists are now in consensus that AGW drives climate change, why bother to persuade anyone they’re all wrong? Definitely a waste of your valuable time!

• Mack

I have no reason to discredit Trenberth, Dennis…..he is, after all, a NZer, so why would want to discredit one of our own countrymen? He’s brought the disgrace upon his own head…..he’s a disgrace to science and NZ.

“Given that 97% of climate scientists are now in consensus…blah, blah, blah”

Don’t start feeding me anymore of your 97 % “climate scientist” crap, Dennis. I’ve heard it all before…it’s on this list….

https://www.climateconversation.org.nz/2018/04/green-utopia/#comment-1549324

• Dennis Frank

You’re still not explaining what you’re trying to achieve here. Unless you start being honest, why would anyone bother to respond?

• Mack

If you think I’m dishonest, please point out where I’m lying.

• Dennis Frank

Just explain your motive for participating here. If you expect anyone to engage with your technical reasoning, that won’t happen. Waste of time. Focus has to be on public policy re shit that’s happening. If you’re determined to remain part of the problem, do it elsewhere!

• Mack

” If you expect anyone to engage….blah , blah, ”

Well you’re engaging, aren’t you…dumbkolpf?

• Pat

The Earth has an albedo of 0.3, meaning that 30% of the solar radiation that hits the planet gets scattered back into space without absorption. The effect of albedo on temperature can be approximated by assuming that the energy absorbed is multiplied by 0.7, but that the planet still radiates as a black body (the latter by definition of effective temperature, which is what we are calculating). This approximation reduces the temperature by a factor of 0.71/4, giving 255 K (−18 °C).[12][13]

The above temperature is Earth’s as seen from space, not ground temperature but an average over all emitting bodies of Earth from surface to high altitude. Because of greenhouse effect, the Earth’s actual average surface temperature is about 288 K (15 °C), which is higher than the 255 K effective temperature, and even higher than the 279 K temperature that a black body would have.

In the above discussion, we have assumed that the whole surface of the earth is at one temperature. Another interesting question is to ask what the temperature of a blackbody surface on the earth would be assuming that it reaches equilibrium with the sunlight falling on it. This of course depends on the angle of the sun on the surface and on how much air the sunlight has gone through. When the sun is at the zenith and the surface is horizontal, the irradiance can be as high as 1120 W/m2.[14] The Stefan–Boltzmann law then gives a temperature of

{\displaystyle T=\left({\frac {1120{\text{ W/m}}^{2}}{\sigma }}\right)^{1/4}\approx 375{\text{ K}}} {\displaystyle T=\left({\frac {1120{\text{ W/m}}^{2}}{\sigma }}\right)^{1/4}\approx 375{\text{ K}}}
or 102 °C. (Above the atmosphere, the result is even higher: 394 K.) We can think of the earth’s surface as “trying” to reach equilibrium temperature during the day, but being cooled by the atmosphere, and “trying” to reach equilibrium with starlight and possibly moonlight at night, but being warmed by the atmosphere.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Stefan–Boltzmann_law

• Pat

Apologies to Bill…this was intended for Mack…and may explain why he never progressed from a first level paper

• Bill

No worries. I kinda figured something like that. What I can’t quite figure is why you and Dennis are engaging with a tree stump.

• Pat

bored?

• Dennis Frank

May put out a fresh shoot. It’s spring. 😎

• Mack

“..intended for Mack”

Was that all your own work, Patti boy ? or just some parroting out of a “climate science” text-book. I see it contains the usual -18deg.C frozen Earth with this magical “GREENHOUSE” effect….aaahahahahaha a “greenhouse” effect !!!!! from the ATMOSPHERE!!!! providing 33deg K warmth!!!! to bring us up to the 15deg C .
I think I’m dealing with an intellectual pack of ignorant loons.

• Pat

22. Pat 23

“The present dominant socioeconomic system, however, is based on high-carbon economic growth and exploitative resource use (9). Attempts to modify this system have met with some success locally but little success globally in reducing greenhouse gas emissions or building more effective stewardship of the biosphere. Incremental linear changes to the present socioeconomic system are not enough to stabilize the Earth System. Widespread, rapid, and fundamental transformations will likely be required to reduce the risk of crossing the threshold and locking in the Hothouse Earth pathway; these include changes in behavior, technology and innovation, governance, and values ”

http://www.pnas.org/content/early/2018/07/31/1810141115

• Dennis Frank 23.1

It’s a succinct summary of what we already knew, well-presented. Having a visual representation of the stable state trajectories in relative context is good. Figure 3 is misleading, inasmuch as we’ve known about current melting of the Siberian permafrost for years & it is shown as a tipping point at more than 5 degrees of warming. I’ve seen a visual display of current global warming that shows Siberia as one of the regions warming fastest in recent years.

• Pat 23.1.1

I suspect that is a local (or regional) temp as we know the poles are heating disproportionately faster , especially the North which has been over 20 deg above normal at times in the past couple of years.

We also know that the permafrost is already melting and hydrates in the artic ocean are already being released

• RedLogix 23.1.1.1

A very excellent point. An increased rate of warming in the mid-polar regions is one of the specific predictions of the AGW science.

And the regulars here may recall a few comments indicating that I worked for a period in the deep Canadian Arctic last year… and experienced exactly this excess 20 degC warming for myself. No fancy models needed; you stepped outside and looked at the thermometer next to the door.

• Dennis Frank 23.1.1.1.1

Thanks Red – always good to have models validated by practical experience. Note that climate change sceptics routinely dismiss the experience of those affected by climate change as anecdotal. It seems to be a new type of mental illness – which will eventually show up in the DSM, I suspect!

• Mack 23.1.2

“I’ve seen a visual display of current global warming…”
Been to any pig-flying air-shows ? ..great visual displays there, too, Dennis.

• Dennis Frank 23.1.2.1

Whereas it’s sensible to be sceptical of the validity of pictorial representations of scientific data, all one needs to do is check the source to estimate credibility. Then, if you have the time, compare with similar efforts by others. If none, take it on face value until something similar shows up for cross-comparison. Doesn’t mean you need to believe it’s true: blind faith is no good in science. Just a model.

23. Dennis Frank 24

Interim Climate Change Committee: “Chair of the committee is David Prentice, who was most recently the CEO of the infrastructure firm Opus International Consultants. The deputy chair is Lisa Tumahai the Kaiwhakahaere of Te Rūnanga o Ngāi Tahu.”

“The other committee members are: Dr Harry Clark, a New Zealand expert on agricultural greenhouse gas research; Dr Keith Turner, former CEO of Meridian and professional director; Dr Jan Wright, former Parliamentary Commissioner for the Environment; Dr Suzi Kerr, an internationally renowned expert in the economics of climate change policy and emissions trading.”

“The government’s Climate Change Commission… will be set up next year.” I’m recycling this April announcement due to commentators thinking progress is only being produced by the minister: “Mr Shaw said the committee had two primary questions to look at.”

“Under what circumstances agriculture might join the emissions trading scheme? Remember it’s always been a presumption, right back to the 2002 Act, that at some point agriculture would come into the emissions trading scheme.”

“The other is how we might achieve the government’s target of getting to 100 percent renewable electricity generation by the year 2035.”

24. Dennis Frank 25

“87% of surveyed Australians accept that climate change is real and happening and driven in some way by human behaviour. An overwhelming majority of climate scientists (97%) agree that climate change is caused by human behaviour.”

“Robust studies of climate change perceptions in Australia, the UK and America show that only very small numbers of people actually deny that climate change is happening. The figures range from between 5 to 8% of the population. However this small minority can be influential in casting doubt on the science, spreading misinformation and impeding progress on climate policies.”

That’s due to several decades of fairness doctrine in the media: journalists operate under a rule that both sides have to be given equal time in the debate. The idea is that truth will emerge from hearing both sides. Sometimes happens, but allowing disinformation to be recycled in the media also pollutes culture.

• Dennis Frank 25.1

Oz Liberal govt denial is supported by only 13% of Oz voters then. So much for representative democracy. And Labour, although not in denial, got booted out due to their own incompetence. So both sides working hard to destroy public confidence in democracy, just as they are in the USA.

25. sumsuch 26

‘Economic rationalists’, meteorological irrationalists. Good shit. You’re undermining yourselves.

26. R.P Mcmurphy 27

david farrar is a fat fool. his desire for wealth and goods and arsekissing is such that he is blinded to all reality and the fact that the earth has used up most o fits resources to pander to would be capitalists like himself who have never worked but want all the goods this industrial society can supply so they can go one better than their fellow man. he is willing to risk all solely for vainglorious aspiration

• Reviewing the whitewash
Back in 2015, then Ombudsman Beverley Wakem conducted a review of the OIA, Not a game of hide and seek. The "review" was a whitewash, which found no need for legislative change, and instead criticised the media and requesters - which destroyed Wakem's reputation, and undermined that of the Office ...
No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
3 hours ago
• You Gov MRP Poll Out
So, You Gov's MRP poll - the weird one that tries to reflect what will happen at a constituency level and which pretty much nailed the hung parliament in 2017 - is not looking too good for Labour:
UK #GE2019 MRP seat projection:CON: 339 (-20)LAB: 231 (+20)SNP: 41 (-2)LDEM: 15 ...
4 hours ago
• Climate Change: Accountability?
We've known about climate change for over forty years now,and it has been a major political issue for twenty. And yet fossil fuel companies have kept polluting with impunity, while government have looked the other way and twiddled their thumbs and refused to do anything because "the economy", or just ...
No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
4 hours ago
• Delusional And Irrational: The Rise Of Paranoid Politics In New Zealand.
Sheer Loopiness: Many of those expressing bemusement at the antics of these #turnardern effacers, were convinced that they were yet another expression of the National Party’s increasingly spiteful anti-government propaganda campaign. They marvelled at the oddness of the perpetrators’ mindset and questioned the common-sense of allowing the rest of New Zealand ...
5 hours ago
• Things to know about Whakaari/White Island
Brad Scott, GNS Science VolcanologistThis post was originally published by GeoNet. Following the 9 December devastating eruption at Whakaari/White Island we have put together some information about the island. New Zealand’s most active volcano Whakaari/White Island is currently New Zealand’s most active volcano, it has been since an eruptive episode ...
SciBlogsBy Guest Author
23 hours ago
• Status quo supports status quo
The Justice Committee has reported back on its Inquiry into the 2017 General Election and 2016 Local Elections, with a host of recommendations about how to improve our electoral systems. Some of their recommendations are already incorporate din the Electoral Amendment Bill currently before Parliament, but there's also a recommendation ...
No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
24 hours ago
• The Greens abandon NeoLiberalism
Back in 2017, in order to make themselves "electable" in the eyes of rich people who oppose everything they stand for, the Greens signed up for NeoLiberalism, adopting a restrictive set of "Budget Responsibility Rules" which basicly prevented them from using government to make things better. Now, they're finally abandoning ...
No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
1 day ago
• Lying about a failed war
Since invading in 2001, the US has consistently claimed that their war in Afghanistan has been going well, even when it continued year after year after year. Of course, they were lying, and thanks to the Washington Post and the US Freedom of Information Act, we get to see just ...
No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
1 day ago
• Artificial Intelligence and You
How should we think about artificial intelligence and the implications that it has for our work and leisure? There are many articles on artificial intelligence and its potential impacts on jobs, and the ethics of applications. These are important topics, but I want to focus on some less discussed aspects, ...
SciBlogsBy Robert Hickson
1 day ago
• Statistical manipulation to get publishable results
I love data. It’s amazing the sort of “discoveries” I can make given a data set and computer statistical package. It’s just so easy to search for relationships and test their statistical significance. Maybe relationships which ...
1 day ago
• More lies on the Twitter (Dan Hodges edition)
The other big story concerning Leeds Hospital is Boris Johnson's bizzare behaviour at Leeds Hospital, where he was confronted by a journalist and challenged about a four year old boy with suspected pneumonia who was left sleeping on the floor, rather than getting  abed like a sick kid would in ...
1 day ago
So, for a brief period of history, it was alleged that a protester had punched Matt Hancock's SPAD (not a euphemism; special adviser) when Hancock visited Leeds Hospital.This was reported by the likes of Robert Peston and Laura Keunssberg, as well as the less credible Guido Fawkes.  It also quickly ...
1 day ago
• France’s anti-Zionism is anti-liberté
by Daphna Whitmore Last week France passed a law that equates anti-Zionism with anti-Semitism. It is based on a definition of anti-Semitism that includes criticism of Israel such as: “Denying the Jewish people their right to self-determination, e.g., by claiming that the existence of a State of Israel is a racist ...
RedlineBy Daphna
2 days ago
• Another bus lockout
Over the past year we've seen major bus problems in Hamilton and Wellington, as drivers have sought better wages and an end to the bullshit of split shifts, which basicly see them "married to the job". And now its Auckland's turn. When NZBus's drivers planned low-level strike action of not ...
No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
2 days ago
• Climate Change: Showing us how its done
The government has been congratulating itself over the passage of the Zero Carbon Act, which sets out long-term emissions targets. But those targets are insufficient. Meanwhile, Denmark is showing us how its done:Denmark’s parliament adopted a new climate law on Friday, committing to reach 70% below its 1990 emissions in ...
No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
2 days ago
• Public sector dysfunction should not be allowed to undermine freedom of information
Another day, another piece of legislation with a secrecy clause. This time its the innocuous-seeming Mental Health and Wellbeing Commission Bill, which (after establishing a new body and making it subject to the OIA in three different ways) includes the rapidly-becoming-standard clauses enabling it to request information from other public ...
No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
2 days ago
• “This is England, this knife of Sheffield steel…”
The state of the United Kingdom is fractured, torn up, shredded. The Empire is gone, it died a long time ago. And yet, the country is still tracking with a lead in favour of the ones who play to the ingrained, class-bound division for political gain. It is a disgrace ...
exhALANtBy exhalantblog
4 days ago
• CORSIA, coming soon to an airport near you
On 27 September, Greta Thunberg addressed a crowd of 500,000 at the School Strike for Climate in Montreal, saying: “You are a nation that is allegedly a climate leader. And Sweden is also a nation that is allegedly a climate leader. And in both cases, it means absolutely nothing. Because ...
SciBlogsBy Robert McLachlan
4 days ago
• Cloaking hate speech and fake news in the right to free expression.
It should be obvious by now but let’s be clear: The same folk who regularly traffic in disinformation, misinformation and “fake news” are also those who most strongly claim that their freedom of expression rights are being violated when moves are made to curb hate speech (as opposed to protected ...
KiwipoliticoBy Pablo
4 days ago
• The Physics (and Economics, and Politics) of Wheelchairs on Planes
Michael Schulson When Shane Burcaw flies on an airplane, he brings along a customized gel cushion, a car seat, and about 10 pieces of memory foam. The whole arsenal costs around $1,000, but for Burcaw it’s a necessity. The 27-year-old author and speaker — who, alongside his fiancée, Hannah ... SciBlogsBy Guest Author 4 days ago • To Advance Civil Rights, Oppose Transgender Extremism We are very pleased to publish this submission is from Lucinda Stoan. She is a social justice activist, mother, and educator, based in Washington State in the US. This detailed and comprehensive source-linked overview of trans issues and what is at stake will be useful for many people, especially in ... RedlineBy Daphna 5 days ago • Faafoi should be fired Newshub last night reported that Broadcasting Minister Kris Faafoi had apparently promised to help out a mate with an immigration issue. While its normal for people to approach MPs for assistance in this area, when you're a Minister, the rules are different: as the Cabinet Manual says, Ministers must "at ... No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant 5 days ago • Adrian Orr – The Reserve Bank’s Revolutionary Governor? New Zealand's Underarm Banker: It bears recalling that the “independence” of the Reserve Bank Governor was for decades held up by neoliberal capitalists as the most compelling justification for passing the Reserve Bank Act. Interesting, is it not, how the ruling class’s support for the Bank’s independence lasted no longer than ... 5 days ago • Driving Us Up The Poll. Rubbish In, Rubbish Out: Put all this together, and it’s difficult to avoid the conclusion that anyone who responds positively to a pollster’s request to “answer a few questions” is just ever-so-slightly weird. Desperately lonely? Some sort of psephological train-spotter? Political party member primed to skew the poll for or against ... 5 days ago • Jordan Williams, Colin Craig podcast series announced “Free at last, Free at last, Thank God almighty we are free at last.” ― Martin Luther King Jr. A long and bitter court feud between former Conservative Party leader Colin Craig and Jordan Williams has been settled, with an apology and compensation from Williams. On Tuesday, Craig sent out ... The PaepaeBy Peter Aranyi 6 days ago • Scientific integrity requires critical investigation – not blind acceptance Some people seem to want to close down any critical discussion of the current research into the relationship between water fluoride and child IQ. They appear to argue that claims made by researchers should not be open to critical review and that the claims be accepted without proper consideration ... 6 days ago • Climate Change: The shameful reality The government has been congratulating itself over the passage of the Zero Carbon Act, which sets out long-term emissions targets. Meanwhile, Climate Action Tracker has the shameful reality: those targets are insufficient:While New Zealand is showing leadership by having passed the world’s second-ever Zero Carbon Act in November 2019, under ... No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant 6 days ago • More secrecy The government introduced a Racing Industry Bill today. As an urban who horse racing as pointless-to-cruel, and gambling as a tax on stupidity and/or hope, this isn't normally a bill which would interest me in the slightest, beyond grumpiness at more government money for a dying industry. But there is ... No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant 6 days ago • Unlikely online bully, Liam Hehir Check. Check. One, two, three, four. Is this thing ON? Hello readers, I logged in last night (yeah, it’s been a while) to mark THE END of the landmark legal case, Jordan Williams v Colin Craig, which (gulp) reached The Supreme Court, in which New Zealand’s most-defamed man was suing the politician he ... The PaepaeBy Peter Aranyi 6 days ago • The Birth Of Israel: Wrong At The Right Time. Before The Birth: Israel’s most fervent supporters set their clocks ticking in Biblical times. They cite the kingdoms of David and Solomon as proof that, in the words of the Exodus movie’s theme-song: “This land is mine.” The majority of Israel’s backers, however, start their clocks in 1933 – the year Adolf ... 6 days ago • Hard News: Public Address Word of the Year 2019: Korero phase In an unreliable, strange and confusing world, Public Address is proud to present a measure of comfort and stability by annually asking everyone what words or phrases sum up the year that's been – and then giving some of them consumer goods as prizes for being clever or simply lucky.Well, ... 6 days ago • Generalist to specialist Both my parents are pretty handy – and they seem to have the right tools for most jobs in the garage and they know how to fix practically anything. A similar story could be told about their generation’s experience in the workforce – being a generalist was not unusual and ... SciBlogsBy Guest Author 6 days ago • A “coincidence” When it was revealed that NZ First had tried to enrich itself from public office via the Provoncial Growth Fund, the Prime Minister assured us that everything was OK as Shane Jones, the Minister responsible for the fund, had recused himself. Except it seems that that recusal came very late ... No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant 7 days ago • Member’s Day Today is a Member's Day, and probably the last one of the year. After the marathon of the End of Life Choice Act, most of the bills up for debate today are uncontentious. First up is the second reading of Chlöe Swarbrick's Election Access Fund Bill. This will be followed ... No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant 1 week ago • Worse than I thought The Foreign Affairs, Defence and Trade Committee has reported back on the government's odious and tyrannical control orders bill. As expected, the fraudulent select committee process has made no significant changes (partly because they couldn't agree, but mostly because it was a stitch-up from the start, with no intention of ... No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant 1 week ago • The cannabis bill and the referendum Yesterday, the government released its draft Cannabis Legalisation and Control Bill, which will be put to a non-binding referendum at the next election. I'm not a drug policy expert, but Russell Brown is, and he thinks its pretty good. And pretty obviously, it will be a massive improvement on the ... No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant 1 week ago • Hard News: The Cannabis Legalisation and Control Bill: pretty good so far As you're probably aware, the draft bill outlining the proposed legal cannabis regime to be put to a referendum late next year was published yesterday, and has already attracted a flurry of comment. It's notable that a good deal of the comment is about proposals that aren't actually new.A minimum ... 1 week ago • Climate Change: Alignment One of the big problems in New Zealand climate change policy is the government working at cross-purposes with itself. It wants to reduce fossil fuel use, but encourages oil and gas exploration. It wants to reduce transport emissions, but then builds enormous new roads. The problem could be avoided if ... No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant 1 week ago • How climate change will affect food production and security Climate Explained is a collaboration between The Conversation, Stuff and the New Zealand Science Media Centre to answer your questions about climate change. If you have a question you’d like an expert to answer, please send it to climate.change@stuff.co.nz According to the United Nations, food shortages are a threat ... SciBlogsBy Guest Author 1 week ago • More bad faith Last year, the government announced it was ending offshore oil exploration by no longer issuing new permits. The idea was that the industry would then die off as permits expired. Except almost immediately the government revealed its bad faith, by saying they would extend permits and alter conditions to keep ... No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant 1 week ago • Banning foreign money from our elections The government has said it will ban foreign donations to political parties and candidates, and will be introducing legislation to be passed under all-stages urgency this afternoon. While I agree with the goal, I don't see a particular case for urgency, unless the government is concerned about a flood of ... No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant 1 week ago • Reforming the Education Acts The government introduced the Education and Training Bill to Parliament yesterday. Its a massive bill, which replaces both existing Education Acts, as well as various other bits of legislation (including some which are still proceeding through the House). I'll leave the serious analysis to teachers and people who actually know ... No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant 1 week ago • Bite-sized learning Amelia SharmanThere’s no one-size-fits-all when it comes to micro-credentials, those bits of bite-sized learning that can help workers stay on top of technological change. What’s a micro-credential? While definitions vary, micro-credentials can be understood as short courses that allow people to learn new skills or have an existing competency recognised. ... SciBlogsBy Guest Author 1 week ago • “Not The Labour Party We Once Knew.” All Smiles Now: Claire Szabo is taking up her presidential role after serving as the CEO of Habitat For Humanity. Which is absolutely perfect! After KiwiBuild was so comprehensively mismanaged by Phil Twyford, the party has not only elected a new president from a thoroughly respectable not-for-profit, but one who ... 1 week ago • Marxist versus liberal methodology on transgender ideology/identity politics While much of the NZ left has transitioned to postmodern and identity politics in relation to transgender ideology, there are some very good articles about that deploy Marxist methodology in relation to this subject. The one below is from the British marxist group Counterfire and appeared on their site here ... RedlineBy Admin 1 week ago • Book review: The Farm by Joanne Ramos by Daphna Whitmore At Golden Oaks, a luxurious country retreat in the Hudson Valley, pregnant women have the best care money can buy. From the organic food, personalised exercise programmes, private yoga instruction and daily massages Golden Oaks looks like a country lodge for the upper class. Set some time ... RedlineBy Daphna 1 week ago • Loosening the purse strings When Labour was running for election in 2017, it felt it needed to demonstrate "fiscal responsibility" and signed itself up to masochistic "budget responsibility rules". It was a fool's errand: the sorts of voters who demand fiscal responsibility are also the sorts of voters who believe that labour can never ... No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant 1 week ago • Climate Change: How to get there Writing in Stuff, Joel MacManus looks at what we need to do to meet the Zero Carbon Act's targets. The core of it:1. Convert 85 per cent of vehicles on the road to electric. 2. Eliminate fossil fuels from all industrial heating up to 300 degrees Celsius. 3. Double our ... No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant 1 week ago • anti-vaxxers in a measles epidemic: so many ways to be untruthful “Anti-vaxers are a pro-death movement,” those comments from Dr Helen Petousis-Harris speaking about six more Measles related deaths in Samoa over the past twenty-four hours. “Anti-vaxers are a pro-death movement,” those comments from Dr Helen Petousis-Harris speaking about six more Measles related deaths in Samoa ... SciBlogsBy Alison Campbell 1 week ago • Is Youth Vaping a Problem in New Zealand? Professors Janet Hoek and Richard Edwards, Emeritus Professor Phil Gendall, Jude Ball, Dr Judith McCool, Anaru Waa, Dr Becky Freeman Recent media reports have presented conflicting evidence on youth vaping in NZ. While some NZ school principals report concerns about increasing vaping on school grounds and confiscating vapes, ASH Year ... SciBlogsBy Public Health Expert 1 week ago • In pursuit of “Freedom and Democracy”: Forever Wars in “America’s backyard”. “America the Beautiful!”, staunch defender of democracy, freedom and… a whole lot of despotic tyrants that play nice with what is called “the Washington Consensus.” America is indeed capable of immense good, but like any Nation, and most assuredly any aspirant to the mantle of Empire, great, immense evil. All ... exhALANtBy exhalantblog 1 week ago • November ’19 – NZ blogs sitemeter ranking Image credit: The beginner’s guide to blogging I notice a few regulars no longer allow public access to the site counters. This may happen accidentally when the blog format is altered. If your blog is ... 1 week ago • Whodunnit? Finding the mystery 1080 testing lab 1080 is used to control pests in NZ. Its use is contested by a noisy few. A new report claims high levels of 1080 in rats washed up on a beach. Flora and Fauna of Aotearoa (F&F) won’t name the laboratory that did their testing. It has sparked a hunt ... SciBlogsBy Grant Jacobs 1 week ago • Authoritarian Friends, Democratic Enemies. What Kind Of Empire? The thing for Kiwis to decide is what kind of empire they want to belong to. The kind that, while offering its own citizens democratic rights, demands absolute obedience from its “friends”? Or, the kind that, while authoritarian at home, takes a relaxed attitude to the ... 2 weeks ago • Boris Johnson Goes Down It hasn't been a good week for the Conservatives, pollwise. All major recent polls are showing their lead shrinking.Comparing each pollster's current (between 29/11 and 22/11) and previous most recent poll.Com Res - Conservative lead down 3 points.You Gov - Conservative lead down 1 point.Kantar - Conservative lead down 4 ... 2 weeks ago • Interesting Within quick succession, Countdown maths wizard and twitterer Rachel Riley, alleged comedian David Baddiel and prominent lawyer Andrew Julius have all expressed very similar opinions / ideas: These #3billboards are going round London today, organised by ex-Labour people, horrified by what their party has become. Their principles haven’t changed, they’re ... 2 weeks ago • Damn the Polls So, there have been a bunch of bad polls out for Labour, and even the Leftie's friend, Survation, have recently given the Conservatives a rip-snorting 11% lead. You Gov's much vaunted MRP poll - which pretty much nailed the result in 2015 - is currently predicting a comfortable majority for ... 2 weeks ago • Climate Change: Europe declares an emergency The European Parliament has voted overwhelmingly to declare a climate emergency:The European parliament has declared a global “climate and environmental emergency” as it urged all EU countries to commit to net zero greenhouse gas emissions by 2050. The vote came as scientists warned that the world may have already crossed ... No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant 2 weeks ago • A Bi-Partisan Commitment To X-ing “P”. Pure Fear: Worse than Heroin, this drug’s addictive power was terrifying. People under its influence didn’t drift off to Elysium. Nor did it persuade inadequate individuals that they could conquer the world. No, this drug – pure crystal methamphetamine, “P” for short – unlocked the gates of Hell itself. It ... 2 weeks ago • Advice about measles: when ignorance is definitely not a virtue As the rate of measles infection, and of deaths, continues to climb in Samoa, antivaccination activists infectious disease proponents seem intent on doubling down on their claims about vaccination. (Check pretty much any news-media FB post about measles & you’ll see exactly what I mean.) Unfortunately, some of them have ... SciBlogsBy Alison Campbell 2 weeks ago • Samoa’s devastating measles epidemic – why and how bad? Samoa are experiencing a devastating measles epidemic. It is possible that 2-3% of the population will ultimately be infected by the time it is over. Hopefully the mass immunisation campaign currently under way can mitigate some of this, for many it is too late. The first question many people ask ... SciBlogsBy Helen Petousis Harris 2 weeks ago • “It’s basic rights we are defending”: the Meghan Murphy interview Meghan Murphy is a Canadian writer and journalist She runs the Feminist Current website which she founded in 2012. She was a keynote speaker for the Feminism2020 conference in Wellington this month. When Massey University cancelled the original venue booking Feminism2020 was hosted in Parliament by MP David Seymour. Meghan ... RedlineBy Admin 2 weeks ago • A week of protests in Colombia Text and photos by Gearóid Ó Loingsigh Colombia has lived through one week of protests against the economic measures taken by president Duque. What looked like a protest that would fizzle out after its first day on November 21st is still going strong. Part of the reason for the continuance ... RedlineBy Admin 2 weeks ago • Anti-neutrinos–When you are your own opposite Around a million billion pass through you each second, almost all originating from our sun, but few of them are likely to interact with you enroute. I was reading in a physics magazine earlier in the week about the nature of neutrinos. These are extremely numerous elementary particles, but only ... SciBlogsBy Marcus Wilson 2 weeks ago • Exoplanets, life, and the danger of a single study By Pallab Ghosh There’s value in covering new research advances, even when the underlying science is unsettled. But there are also risks. The recent announcement that scientists discovered water on the planet K2-18b, 110 light years away, prompted a media swoon. News stories, including a piece written by me, billed ... SciBlogsBy Guest Author 2 weeks ago • The Intersex Continuum I wrote this review a couple of years ago when I was still in the process of getting my head around the politics of transgenderism, and specifically the claim that intersex conditions lend support to the notion that sex is ‘socially constructed’. Since writing this review I have come across ... RedlineBy Admin 2 weeks ago • Leaving us with the bill Two weeks ago, Malaysian-owned oil company Tamarind declared it was insolvent and went into administration after a failed offshore drilling campaign. Tamarind apparently specialises in buying oil fields at the end of their life and trying to squeeze out the last few drops of pollution. But part of their scam ... No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant 2 weeks ago • How much does flying contribute to climate change? Climate Explained is a collaboration between The Conversation, Stuff and the New Zealand Science Media Centre to answer your questions about climate change. If you have a question you’d like an expert to answer, please send it to climate.change@stuff.co.nz How much does our use of air travel contribute to the ... SciBlogsBy Shaun Hendy 2 weeks ago • Climate Change: The task before us Two weeks ago, the Zero Carbon Act became law. Right this moment, the Climate Change Commisison will be working on its initial budgets for 2022-25 and 2026-2030, and the UN has just given them a very clear steer:Countries must make an unprecedented effort to cut their levels of greenhouse gases ... No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant 2 weeks ago • Among my favourite asteroids: (2309) Mr. Spock Minor planet/asteroid (2309) Mr. Spock is named not for the character in Star Trek, but for a cat that was itself imperturbable, logical, intelligent and had pointed ears In a preceding blog post I introduced one of my favourite asteroids, (2472) Bradman, and also mentioned (6581) Sobers amongst a few ... SciBlogsBy Duncan Steel 2 weeks ago • Measles deaths and antivax misinformation Today the death toll from measles in Samoa rose to 32. All but four of the dead were less than 5 years old. Absolutely terrible, heartbreaking, news. That statistic alone should be enough to give the lie to the common claim by antivaccination activists plague enthusiasts that “measles is a ... SciBlogsBy Alison Campbell 2 weeks ago • Colombia: the state murder of Dilan Cruz by Gearóid Ó Loingsigh It is late here in Bogotá, almost 11.30pm on Monday the 25th of November as I write this. The day began full of hope with yet more massive marches throughout the country, a mix of the International Day of Non-Violence Against Women and the National Strike. ... RedlineBy Admin 2 weeks ago • Anti-fluoride propagandists appear not to read the articles they promote Anti-fluoride activists are rubbing their hands in glee over what they claim is “yet another study” showing fluoride harms the brains of children. But their promotion relies on IQ relationships which the paper’s authors acknowledge disappearing when outliers or other factors are considered. And they completely ignore other relationships ... 2 weeks ago • The rise and collapse of classical political economy The feature below is the conclusion of A History of Economic Thought, whose author was a leading Marxist economist in Russia in the early 20th century, Isaac Ilyich Rubin. The book arose from a course he ran at Moscow University following the Russian Revolution. First published in Russian in 1929, ... RedlineBy Admin 2 weeks ago • Among my favourite asteroids: (2472) Bradman There are many thousands of asteroids with formal names, some humdrum but other more noteworthy (depending on your predilections). One of my favourites, the name of which I was involved in suggesting, is (2472) Bradman, named for the Australian cricketing great. As a minor planet (synonym: asteroid) spotter, I have ... SciBlogsBy Duncan Steel 2 weeks ago • Foreign Minister Peters says NZ High Commissioner to Cook Islands has died Foreign Minister Winston Peters said that New Zealand's Cook Islands High Commissioner, Tessa Temata, has died over the weekend. Ms Temata, 52, died in Palmerston North and had returned to New Zealand for medical treatment. She was the first New Zealand High Commissioner to the Cook Islands of Cook Island ... 1 day ago • A 6000-strong army and cuts to emissions: Defence Force maps out its response to climate change A new defence report has mapped out how New Zealand's soldiers will navigate rising seas, and a year after the Defence Force announced its need to prepare for climate change. In the “Responding to the Climate Crisis” report, the Force restates its operational plan and sets goals to tackle climate ... 2 days ago • New Zealand First calls for more checks for African Swine Fever at our borders Mark Patterson, Spokesperson for Primary Industries New Zealand First spokesperson for Primary Industries, Mark Patterson, has called for awareness to be raised and more stringent biosecurity checks to be put in place for African Swine Fever (ASF), a widespread virus that is uncontrolled in most of Asia and a serious ... 6 days ago • United stand to end female genital mutilation Jenny Marcroft MP, Spokesperson for Human Rights A critical step has been taken to end gender based violence against women and girls in Parliament this evening. New Zealand First Spokesperson for Human Rights Jenny Marcroft MP has welcomed the passing of the first reading of the Crimes (Definition of Female ... 6 days ago • Shane Jones: “market forces haven’t led to the expected reduction in Māori smoking rates” New Zealand First MP Shane Jones says it's time to recognise market forces haven't led to the expected reduction in Māori smoking rates and try a new approach. The Party had recently invoked the agree to disagree clause in their Coalition Agreement with the Labour Party, and will not support ... 1 week ago • FAQ: Cash injection for almost every state school in New Zealand Live from the Whanganui Opera House, on the final day of the 2019 Labour Party Conference, Jacinda Ardern announced the largest investment in school property in 25 years. ... 1 week ago • Coalition Government to ban foreign donations to political parties and candidates The Coalition Government will be banning foreign donations to political parties and candidates, ahead of next year’s general elections. Legislation will be introduced to Parliament and passed under urgency – emphasising the need for such restrictions to safeguard our democracy. The bill introduces a new requirement that party secretaries and ... 1 week ago • Minister Shane Jones officially opens two-lane bridge in Taipā Associate Transport Minister Shane Jones opened Taipā's$19 million bridge recently, improving transport infrastructure in the Northland region. The two-lane bridge is 107m long with a 2.5m-wide shared walking and cycling path, and will reduce the congestion that the old one-lane bridge was notorious for. The project had also included ...
1 week ago
• Coalition Government blocks sale of massive farmland to foreign buyer
The Overseas Investment Office have rejected the application of Mercury Agriculture LP, which is 92 per cent controlled by Canadian interests, to purchase more than 2000 hectares of South Canterbury and Otago land. Mercury wanted to buy 2000ha at Rangitata, 1494ha near Ashburton, 816ha near Cromwell and 212ha near Temuka. ...
1 week ago
• Weekend That Was: Labour Party Conference
This weekend was Labour's 103rd Party Conference! We welcomed over 500 of our Labour whānau in red to Whanganui, where we reflected on the last two years in Government, and looked ahead to 2020 and beyond. We know the long-term challenges facing New Zealand won't be tackled overnight, but we're making ...
1 week ago
• “Forgotten World Highway” to be completely sealed, thanks to Provincial Growth Fund
Regional Economic Development Minister Shane Jones announced that the Provincial Growth Fund will invest $9.6 million to seal the final unsealed section of State Highway 43 from Stratford to Taumarunui. The Minister said sealing the 12-kilometre gravel section of the highway – also called the “Forgotten World Highway” - through ... 1 week ago • Former Finance Minister Sir Michael Cullen supports NZ First’s stand against tobacco tax hike Former Finance Minister and former chair of the Tax Working Group, Sir Michael Cullen, has voiced his support for New Zealand First’s decision to oppose the planned increase in tobacco excise tax. In an interview with The Weekend Collective, he said that increasing the price was no longer effective in ... 1 week ago • Jacinda Ardern’s Speech to the 2019 Labour Party Conference Live from the Royal Wanganui Opera House. ... 1 week ago • Grant Robertson’s Speech to the 2019 Labour Party Conference: Future-proofing New Zealand It is a great pleasure to be here in Whanganui for the 2019 Labour Conference. ... 2 weeks ago • Kelvin Davis’ Speech to the 2019 Labour Party Conference Māori are natural storytellers. On the marae we use stories to tell our history, to teach the next generation life lessons and to let people know, in our most creative of ways, who we are and where we have come from. ... 2 weeks ago • New Zealand First ‘Agrees to Disagree’ Over Tobacco Excise Increase Rt Hon Winston Peters, New Zealand First Leader New Zealand First has invoked the ‘Agree to Disagree’ provisions of the Coalition Agreement because it cannot support the announced 11.46 percent increase in the tobacco excise from 1 January 2020. “Studies show that the automatic tobacco excise increases are having less effect ... 2 weeks ago • PGF-funded Taupō company successfully extracts lithium from geothermal fluid Taupō-based company Geo40 has made a breakthrough in extracting near battery-grade lithium from geothermal fluid which its says could be a gamechanger. Its chief executive John Worth said the earth mineral was highly prized, with battery-grade lithium selling for US$10,000 (NZ$15,600) a tonne. ​Geo40 was founded in 2010 to find ... 2 weeks ago • Mark Patterson delighted AgResearch campus will stay in Invermay Crown research institute AgResearch Ltd, as part of its Future Footprint plan, had intended to relocate top scientists and support staff — particularly those focused on sheep genetics and genomics — from Invermay to Lincoln. However, those plans seem to have been shelved at the request of the Coalition Government. ... 2 weeks ago • Ten Southland engineering firms receive Provincial Growth Fund boost Ten engineering firms in Southland are receiving a total of$2.13 million in Provincial Growth Fund funding to lift productivity and create new jobs. Regional Economic Development Minister Shane Jones announced in Invercargill that the 10 engineering and manufacturing firms would receive funding to assist them with buying equipment that ...
2 weeks ago
• Immigration industry cry foul as number of new residents to New Zealand lowest in nearly 20 years
The number of new residents to New Zealand is the lowest it has been in nearly two decades and it has earned the ire of the immigration industry. The industry alleges that 'Trump-style extreme vetting' is being put in place aimed at keeping a lid on immigration numbers. June Ranson, ...
2 weeks ago
• U.S. signs off five brand new C-130 Hercules for New Zealand Defence Force
The Royal New Zealand Air Force is one step closer to modernising its fleet after the United States State Department recently approved the sale of five new C-130J Hercules aircraft to New Zealand. Arms manufacturer Lockheed Martin, in Fort Worth, Texas, will provide the aircraft, but as a "foreign military ...
2 weeks ago
• Forestry Minister Jones wants a ‘blue highway’ and Special Economic Zone at Hicks Bay
Forestry Minister Shane Jones wants to create a log barging facility at Hicks Bay and turn the area into a Special Economic Zone. The move would be part of protecting New Zealand's forests from being depleted by India and China, he said. It follows his announcement last week to strengthen ...
2 weeks ago
• NZ First welcomes commitment to improving winter animal welfare
New Zealand First supports the changes recommended by the Winter Grazing Taskforce to improve animal welfare outcomes through the winter months, and the establishment of a pan-sector action group to implement them. New Zealand First Primary Industries Spokesperson Mark Patterson says the report highlights areas of concern about the animal ...
2 weeks ago
• Helen Clark and Sir John Key back NZ First’s plans for Ports of Auckland
Former prime ministers Helen Clark and Sir John Key, formerly from the Labour and National parties respectively, have joined forces in support of New Zealand First’s plan to relocate Auckland's port to Whangārei. While Ms Clark and Sir John spent their political careers on opposite sides of the political divide, ...
2 weeks ago
• Foreign Minister Peters calls out some G20 nations over unfair trade practices and climate change
Foreign Minister Winston Peters is in Japan for the Foreign Ministers' meeting of the G20 grouping of countries as one of nine "invited" countries. He has used the opportunity to cast a spotlight on the plight of Pacific countries, calling out countries which still offered subsidies or Government assistance to ...
2 weeks ago
• Week That Was: Tackling child poverty
It's been a great week of progress: we've celebrated Children's Day, we've made communities safer with 1800 new police, and we've seen almost 90% of eligible schools take up Government funding to scrap school donations - taking pressure off the families of more than 416,000 students. ...
3 weeks ago
• New measures for wood processing boost
Hon Shane Jones, Minister of Forestry The Government will further strengthen New Zealand’s wood processing sector as part of our focus on ‘value over volume’ in our forestry industry, Forestry Minister Shane Jones says. Minister Jones will today meet with forestry representatives in Northland to signal new measures to help the ...
3 weeks ago

• New Zealand’s National Statement to COP25
E ngā mana, e ngā reo, e ngā iwi, e ngā rau rangatira mā. Tēnā koutou, tēnā koutou, tēnā koutou katoa. Señora Presidenta, Excellencies, Delegates. International action A common thread that runs through the Paris Agreement is the commitment we have made to each other to do what we can to ...
BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
23 mins ago
• $12 billion in extra infrastructure investment The Government is lifting capital investment to the highest level in more than 20 years as it takes the next step to future-proof New Zealand. Finance Minister Grant Robertson has announced$12 billion of new investment, with $8 billion for specific capital projects and$4 billion to be added to ...
BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
3 hours ago
• Strong economy, careful spending gives $12bn of surpluses The Government is forecast to run$12 billion worth of surpluses across the four years to 2023/24 as the economy continues to grow. The surpluses will help fund day-to-day capital requirements each year. These include fixing leaky hospitals, building new classrooms to cover population growth and take pressure off class ...
BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
3 hours ago
• Priorities for 2020 Wellbeing Budget outlined
Budget 2020 will continue the Coalition Government’s focus on tackling the long-term challenges facing New Zealand while also investing to future-proof the economy. When the Government took office in 2017 it was left with crumbling infrastructure, severe underinvestment in public services, degraded rivers and lakes, a housing crisis and rising ...
BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
3 hours ago
• Minister welcomes data-rich coastline mapping tool
The Minister responsible for the Marine and Coastal Area (Takutai Moana) Act 2011 (te Takutai Moana Act 2011), Andrew Little has welcomed the launch of an online geospatial tool that provides data-rich, dynamic coastline maps that will significantly boost research and evidence-gathering under the Act. Te Kete Kōrero a Te ...
BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
4 hours ago
• Chief Victims Advisor reappointed for a further two years
The Chief Victims Advisor to Government Dr Kim McGregor, QSO, has been reappointed in her role for a further two years. Dr McGregor has held the role since it was established in November 2015. She provides independent advice to government on how to improve the criminal justice system for victims. ...
BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
6 hours ago
• New Zealand tsunami monitoring and detection system to be established
Foreign Affairs Minister Winston Peters and Civil Defence Minister Peeni Henare have today announced the deployment of a network of DART (Deep-ocean Assessment and Reporting of Tsunami) buoys. “New Zealand and the Pacific region are particularly vulnerable to natural disasters. It is vital we have adequate warning systems in place,” ...
BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
6 hours ago
• DART Buoys Announcement
DART Buoys Announcement Aotea Wharf, 9.30am 11 December 2019   Acknowledgements Acknowledgements to Minister for Civil Defence Hon Peeni Henare also here today. White Island It is with regret that this event shadows the tragic natural disaster two days ago. The volcanic eruptions on White Island have claimed 5 lives, ...
BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
6 hours ago
• Final steps for racing industry reform
Racing Minister Winston Peters has welcomed the first reading of the Racing Industry Bill in parliament today. This is the second of two Bills that have been introduced this year to revitalise New Zealand’s racing industry. “Our domestic racing industry has been in serious decline.  The Government is committed to ...
BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
23 hours ago
• Funding to promote New Zealand Sign Language initiatives
Minister for Disability Issues, Carmel Sepuloni, is pleased to announce that $291,321 is to be awarded to national and local community initiatives to maintain and promote the use of New Zealand Sign Language (NZSL). “New Zealand is one of the few countries in the world where Sign Language is an ... BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz 1 day ago • How New Zealand defines and recognises veterans Minister for Veterans Ron Mark has announced today the Coalition Government’s initial response to work completed by the independent statutory body, the Veterans’ Advisory Board. “When Professor Ron Paterson completed his review of the Veterans’ Support Act in 2018, he made a number of recommendations, including one which I referred ... BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz 1 day ago • Government to fund lion’s share of Ohakea water scheme The Government will fund the bulk of the cost of a rural water supply for the Ohakea community affected by PFAS contamination, Environment Minister David Parker announced today at a meeting of local residents. This new water scheme will provide a reliable and clean source of drinking water to the ... BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz 2 days ago • Prime Minister statement on White Island eruption I have had the opportunity to be briefed on the details of the volcanic eruption of Whakaari/White Island, off the coast of Whakatane in the Bay of Plenty. The eruption happened at 2.11pm today. It continues to be an evolving situation. We know that there were a number of tourists ... BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz 2 days ago • Govt funds$100k for weather-hit communities
Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern and Minister of Civil Defence Peeni Henare have today confirmed initial Government support of $100,000 for communities affected by the severe weather that swept across the South Island and lower North Island over the weekend. The contribution will be made to Mayoral relief funds across the ... BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz 2 days ago • Death of NZ High Commissioner to Cook Islands New Zealand's High Commissioner to the Cook Islands, Tessa Temata, died in Palmerston North over the weekend, Foreign Minister Winston Peters said today. Ms Temata, 52, had recently returned to New Zealand for medical treatment. "On behalf of the Government and the Ministry of Foreign Affairs and Trade, we extend ... BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz 2 days ago • Wellington rail upgrade full steam ahead Transport Minister Phil Twyford today announced construction is underway on Wellington commuter rail upgrades which will mean more frequent services and fewer breakdowns. The upgrades include converting the Trentham to Upper Hutt single track section to a double track, with a new signalling system, upgraded stations and level crossings, and ... BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz 2 days ago • Defence Climate Change Implementation Plan released Minister of Defence Ron Mark and Minister for Climate Change James Shaw have announced the release of a Defence Climate Change Implementation Work Plan, titled Responding to the Climate Crisis: An Implementation Plan. The plan sets out a series of recommendations based on the 2018 New Zealand Defence Assessment, The ... BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz 2 days ago • Govt releases funding to support South Canterbury A medium-scale adverse event has been declared for the South Canterbury district, which will see up to$50,000 in funding made available to support farming communities which have been significantly affected by recent heavy rain and flooding in the area, says Agriculture Minister Damien O’Connor. “Two weeks of solid rain ...
BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
3 days ago
• Speech at launch of Rethinking Plastics Report
Thank you Professor Juliet Gerrard and your team for the comprehensive and extremely helpful report and recommendations. Thank you too to all the stakeholders and interested parties who have contributed ideas and thinking to it. “Making best practice, standard practice” is a great framework for change and the action plan ...
BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
3 days ago
• Govt pledges next steps on plastic waste
The Government will phase out more single-use plastics following the success of its single-use plastic bag ban earlier this year and the release today of a pivotal report for dealing with waste. Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern has welcomed the Rethinking Plastics in Aotearoa New Zealandreport, released by her Chief Science Advisor ...
BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
3 days ago
• International student enrolments grow in universities and the regions
International education continues to thrive as the Government focuses on quality over quantity, Education Minister Chris Hipkins said. The tuition revenue from international education increased to $1.16 billion last year with the average tuition fee per student increasing by$960. The total number of international students enrolled in New Zealand ...
BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
4 days ago
• Speech to Government Economics Network 2019 Conference
I want to talk about one of the most pressing issues in our national life: the housing crisis and the poor performance of our cities. The argument I want to make to you is that generations of urban land use policy have lacked a decent grounding in economics. The consequences ...
BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
4 days ago
• DHB leadership renewed and strengthened
Health Minister Dr David Clark says new appointments to DHBs represent a significant changing of the guard, with 13 new chairs including four Māori chairs. Today 76 appointments have been announced to complement elected board members, as well as eight elected members appointed as either chair or deputy chair.  Four ...
BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
4 days ago
• Tabuteau to advance New Zealand’s trade and political interests with European partners
Parliamentary Under-Secretary for Foreign Affairs, Fletcher Tabuteau, is travelling to Germany, Poland, Austria, and Spain next week to bolster New Zealand’s political and trade relationships in Europe. While in Spain, Mr Tabuteau will represent New Zealand at the 14th Asia-Europe (ASEM) Foreign Ministers’ Meeting in Madrid. “New Zealand strongly supports ...
BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
5 days ago
• Statement from the Prime Minister on Kris Faafoi
“I’ve spoken to Minister Faafoi, who has apologised for his poor handling of this issue,” Jacinda Ardern said. “I have confidence in Kris as a hardworking and effective Minister, but this should have been dealt with in a much clearer manner, and I’ve made my views on that very clear ...
BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
5 days ago
• Tonga-New Zealand Joint Ministerial Forum
Deputy Prime Minister Winston Peters met with Tongan Prime Minister and Foreign Minister Pohiva Tu'i'onetoa in Wellington today. The pair signed a Statement of Partnership setting out joint priorities for cooperation out to 2023.  “We welcomed Prime Minister Tu'i'onetoa on his first visit to New Zealand as Prime Minister. Tonga ...
BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
5 days ago
• Shooting in Kurow
The Minister of Police Stuart Nash says his sympathies are with the family of a man who died after being shot by Police in Kurow. “Initial reports are that Police were called by a family member to help the man who was threatening to harm himself,” Mr Nash says. “However ...
BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
5 days ago
• Government delivers funding boost for ethnic communities
Ethnic communities will be able to plan and deliver more community initiatives thanks to an increase in Government funding, Minister for Ethnic Communities Hon Jenny Salesa said today. “Ensuring Aotearoa New Zealand is a place we can all be proud to call home has been a key priority of our ...
BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
5 days ago
• Govt supports Southland farmers in sustainability
Healthier waterways, better productivity and farmer wellbeing are front and centre in a new project involving more than 1000 Southland farmers and growers. Minister of Agriculture Damien O’Connor today announced that the Thriving Southland Change and Innovation Project is the first region-wide extension programme supported by the \$229 million Sustainable ...
BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
5 days ago
• Flood of support for Top of the South catchment
Work to look after nature and restore freshwater quality in Te Hoiere/Pelorus River catchment is getting a significant boost, thanks to new Government funding support Minister for Conservation Eugenie Sage announced in Canvastown today. “Every New Zealander should be able to swim in their local river without getting sick, and ...
BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
5 days ago
• Eight Queen’s Counsel appointed under new criterion
Eight Queen’s Counsel have been appointed under a process that includes the new criterion of a commitment to improving access to justice, Attorney-General David Parker announced today. “The new criterion was included this year. It emphasises that excellence and leadership in the profession can be seen through a wider, community ...
BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
6 days ago
• Major expansion for Wellington’s Onslow College
Onslow College in Wellington will get 20 new classrooms for more than 400 students, Education Minister Chris Hipkins announced today. The much-needed investment will relieve growth pressure the school has been experiencing for some time. Seven existing classrooms which have deteriorated over time will also be replaced, bringing the total ...
BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
6 days ago
• Talented young Kiwis awarded PM’s Scholarships to Asia and Latin America
More than 250 young New Zealanders will add international experience to their education, thanks to the latest Prime Minister’s Scholarships for Asia (PMSA) and Latin America (PMSLA), Education Minister Chris Hipkins announced today. This round of scholarships supports 252 recent graduates or current students to undertake study, research or internships ...
BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
6 days ago
• Government to improve competitiveness and transparency in the retail fuel market
Consumers will benefit from a more competitive, transparent retail fuel market as a result of changes the Government will be making in response to the findings of the Commerce Commission’s study of the fuel sector. “We accept the Commission’s findings and, as the Prime Minister has said, we’re ready to ...
BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
6 days ago
• More cancer medicines for more people
Five new cancer medicines have now been funded this year, meaning thousands of people have more treatment options PHARMAC has today announced that it has approved two new medicines for funding – fulvestrant for breast cancer and olaparib for ovarian cancer. This follows earlier decisions on advanced lung cancer treatment alectinib, ...
BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
6 days ago
• Government acts to sort out electoral ‘coin toss’ problem
The Minister of Local Government, Hon Nanaia Mahuta says the Government will consider making changes to local electoral legislation before the 2022 elections to fix the problems that have arisen where elections are settled by a coin toss.  The Minister says the recount process in the Murupara- Galatea ward at ...
BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
6 days ago
• NZ to Join IMO Convention to Reduce Ship Emissions
New Zealand will sign up to new international maritime regulations to reduce ship emissions and lift air quality around ports and harbours, Associate Transport Minister Julie Anne Genter announced today. Subject to completion of the Parliamentary treaty examination process, New Zealand will sign up to Annex VI of MARPOL, an ...
BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
1 week ago
• Bill to empower urban development projects
New legislation to transform our urban areas and create sustainable, inclusive and thriving communities will tomorrow be introduced to Parliament, Urban Development Minister Phil Twyford said. “The Urban Development Bill gives Kāinga Ora-Homes and Communities the tools it needs to partner with councils, communities, mana whenua and private developers to ...
BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
1 week ago
• Early Learning Action Plan to kickstart long term change
Today’s launch of He taonga te Tamaiti: Every child a taonga: The Early Learning Action Plan 2019-2029 provides the foundation for long-lasting changes to early learning, Education Minister Chris Hipkins says.   “Early learning will be one of the Government’s top education priorities going into 2020,” Chris Hipkins said.   ...
BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
1 week ago
• Climate change lens on major Government decisions
Major decisions made by the Government will now be considered under a climate change lens, Minister for Climate Change James Shaw announced today. “Cabinet routinely considers the effects of its decisions on human rights, the Treaty of Waitangi, rural communities, the disability community, and gender – now climate change will ...
BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
1 week ago