The latest New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll shows support for Prime Minister John Key’s National-led Government has fallen to 55.5% (down 6% and back to the level of support in August). Support for Key’s National Party is 51% (down 6%), ACT NZ 1.5% (unchanged), the Maori Party 2.5% (unchanged), and United Future 0.5% (unchanged).
Support for Opposition Parties is at 44.5% (up 6%) – Labour Party 30.5% (up 4.5%), Greens 11.5% (up 4% – the highest for the Greens since before the last election), New Zealand First 1% (down 2.5% – the lowest for more than two years since August 2009), Mana Party 0.5% (down 0.5%) and Others 1% (up 0.5%).
If this trend is confirmed in other polls apparently due this weekend (ht BWS) then things start to look a bit interesting.
Are voters reacting to record inflation and high unemployment? Is it the muddling through on the economy? The mess that is unfolding in Christchurch? The botched RWC opening? The broken GST promise? The bizare attack on schools? Your guess is as good as mine. But factor in some extra abuse of the democratic process, another stagnant quarter and a credit downgrade or two, and who knows what next month’s polls will be showing.