A TV3 poll shows that 49% to 46% of people believe National is failing to build its promised “brighter future”. The two big weaknesses: jobs and education. By nearly 2 to 1 margins, people believe that National is failing to provide full employment (it says something that this isn’t actually a National Party goal) and failing to provide the best education system possible.
If I were the opposition, I would focus on these two weaknesses again and again and again, and use them to undermine National’s economic credibility and its ‘compassionate conservative’ spin. Win enough of the votes of the people dissatisfied with the government’s performance on these key issues, and offer a positive and credible alternative, and that’s how you’ll win the next election.