For anyone who hasn’t caught up, we’re back in lockdown again. For Auckland and Coromandel there are 7 days at level 4. For the rest of the country at level 4 for 3 days. Then a decision will be made on the basis of what shows up based on the the spread of what is presumed Delta variant.
Based on what we have seen overseas, Delta is a very infectious disease. You only have to look at the way that a hesitant response by the NSW state government and some truly irresponsible fuckwit Australians have spread the outbreak across states . It caused what should have been a minor outbreak into one that is has 400+ newly infected people identified per day in NSW alone, and a near expodential growth in their numbers.
Delta doesn’t seem to have much of a problem infecting both the vaccinated and the un-vaccinated. Both can spread the disease to others.
The only real difference is that the infection doesn’t take as much of a hold on the vaccinated. The vaccinated rarely require hospitalisation or die from being infected with Delta. However that makes them far more dangerous to both the un-vaccinated including children and those with diminished immune responses. They’re more likely to wander around with a sniffle spreading their virus load.
Generally the Delta variant is less of a picky killer than the previous variants. In the US, the reports show that the median age of hospital admittance for covid infections is closer to 40 years old, rather than the 60 years old of previous outbreaks. Almost all of the hospital admittance are people who are un-vaccinated, and so are the deaths.
While the deaths are tragic, in a lot of ways, the probability of increasing levels of long covid are worse. That will exert a load on medical systems and a overall decrease in productivity over the long term.
Wearing masks in public, keeping distances outside of your bubbles, and not breaking constrained bubbles is going to be even more important when going out in public than in the previous Alpha and Beta outbreaks. It is currently the only viable technique for preventing the spread of the disease and gives us the time to get towards the 80-90% vaccination rates that seem to be required to constrain covid-19 spreads in the population and to prevent the severity of future outbreaks. Something that no state has yet managed to achieve.
So work not only at keeping yourself safe. But also try to work on keeping others safe.
I don’t know about everyone else, but based on what I know about the transmission of Delta, this is very important. You only have to look at New South Wales to see what happens when health warnings and guidelines are ignored.
I’m far less inclined to give latitude about people endangering me and others by not conforming to Ministry of Health advice this time. I’m going to exert my right to express that to them. Also to take photos of such social miscreants around me and to publish them with my commentary on their behaviour. All in a lawful manner in shared spaces – the kinds of spaces that I have to be in for groceries, exercise and medical attention.
After all if they wish to express themselves by endangering others, then as far as I am concerned they just gave me a reason to exercise my right to express my opinion of their behaviour. After all (he says piously) it is for their good as well.