web analytics

If I were UnitedFuture’s Campaign Strategist

Written By: - Date published: 11:09 am, May 16th, 2008 - 15 comments
Categories: united future - Tags: ,

Last in our ‘campaign strategist’ series is UnitedFuture, perhaps the least inspiring party in Parliament.

UnitedFuture (ie. Peter Dunne) should play the same strategy as was used in 2002. Keep your head down, shore up support in Dunne’s safe seat of Ohariu/Belmont and wait for a chance to present itself to make a splash. That chance will probably be the Leaders’ debate, as it was in 2002.

The debate will be late in the campaign. United Future’s target niche, the politically disengaged upper-middle class, will be tired of all this political stuff, complex policies, and attack politics. They will also be worried that a Labour-led Government would find itself at the behest of the Greens or a National-led one would be at the mercy of ACT; they’re practically crying out for a mild, boring alternative that will let them rest assured that their comfortable, privileged status quo will go undisturbed. That is Dunne’s cue. As in 2002, he should stride out onto the stage and say ‘reasonable’, ‘common sense’, ‘sensible’, and ‘consensus’ ad nauseam. Hopefully, as in 2002, the target niche will swoon over this mysterious stranger who says nothing, which exactly what they want to hear, and United Future’s vote will suddenly spike. The media, as in 2002, will go all aflutter over this come from nowhere party, and the momentum will carry through to election day.

Don’t worry about policy, don’t worry about offering a preferred coalition partner (we all know it’s National), don’t worry about having a vision to solve the serious environmental, social, and economic issues facing New Zealand. Just come out of nowhere as Mr Bland and the disengaged, risk-adverse, upper-middle class will be yours again. But remember, it’s a one shot strategy; Dunne has to get it right on the night.

15 comments on “If I were UnitedFuture’s Campaign Strategist ”

  1. deemac 1

    homonyms strike again! you SHORE up support and take your CUE from an event…

  2. Damn it! that’s the price of writing really really quickly.

  3. Lew 3

    I actually really liked Dunne’s line on the China FTA in the house yesterday, which was the complete opposite: principled and quite forward-looking. For reference, he argued that the FTA was a great chance for NZ to make a disproportionately big noise about the sorts of symbolic issues which have always been our forte – in this case human rights, etc. while taking advantage of the economic benefits of dealing with such an economic power.

    This pretty much encapsulates my opinion about the FTA, which practically never happens with Dunne’s policy. I’m not his core constituency, though. Perhaps there is a political theorist’s politician in there somewhere?


  4. Stephen 4

    Can the chinese renege on the FTA if we get too uppity??

  5. He’s all about human rights when it’s abroad but you never hear him standing up for better wages or working conditions here. in fact, he supported the 90-Day Bill to strip workers of their most basic rights. He voted against civil unions and the other human rights legisaltion that has been passed in recent years and has a tendency to support authoritarian legislation – anti-terror, tough on crime etc.

    He faced our hardest question yet on the interview the leaders series ‘which other MP do you mst admire’ – and his answer was Helen Clark, Michael Cullen, and John Key – could he be more fencing-sitting/suck-up?

    I’m not saying he’s all bad. Just a will-washy guy who’s basically a goodhearted conservative.

  6. Stazi 6

    Perhaps a percentage of NZers are fence sitting suck ups? Maybe they deserve representation as much as the the percentage of Kiwis that are opinionated and anti status quo?

  7. Sam Dixon 7

    sovereign countries can do anything they choose.

    they may suffer international censure and, in extreme cases of misbehaviour, sanctions or war, but legally they can’t be stopped doing what they want (unless there’s a supranational organisation above hem to which they given some of their sovereign power – like the EU). That’s not to say there’s no such thing as international law, it just works differently than domestic law.

    So, yes, the Chinese could renege on the FTA.

    captcha: lessons this – here endeth this one

  8. Lew 8

    Stazi: Right on. Though I think the preferred nomenclature is somewhat different.


  9. Stephen 9

    Sam, we couldn’t go the WTO? I know it’s a bilateral agreement, but…?

  10. Sam Dixon 10

    We could go the the WTO but China wouldn’t have to agree to have a dispute settled there, and ultimately what’s the WTO going to do? Protect our tarriff-free imports at gunpoint?

    The WTO can make decisions and they’re ‘binding’ but they can’t be enforced. International law really is halfway between diplomacy and ‘real’ law.

  11. Stephen 11


  12. Sam Dixon 12

    I hear that.

    That’s the problem with living in an international system of sovereign nation-states.

  13. erikter 13

    I would be praying to keep the level of imbecility and stupidity prevalent in his Ohariu-Belmont electorate, people who haven’t figured out yet Dunne is an unashamed political prostitute.

    He may be get turfed out this time, though. It all depends on the quality of the Tory candidate.

  14. Ari 14

    Oh erikter, we KNOW he’s an unashamed populist. It’s just that the voters here are very much into the sort of conservative groupthink that Peter Dunne likes so much. He basically gets by on being relatively unobjectionable to his electorate and not running any policy.

    Which is why he has no party vote in the polls this time around, as he’s being squeezed out of that space by National. 🙂

Links to post

Recent Comments

Recent Posts

  • How we’re preparing for Omicron
    As countries around the world experience Omicron outbreaks, we’re taking steps now to ensure we’re as prepared as possible and our communities are protected. ...
    17 hours ago
  • What’s Labour achieved so far?
    Quite a bit! This Government was elected to take on the toughest issues facing Aotearoa – and that’s what we’re doing. Since the start of the pandemic, protecting lives and livelihoods has been a priority, but we’ve also made progress on long-term challenges, to deliver a future the next generation ...
    7 days ago
  • Tackling the big issues in 2022
    This year, keeping Kiwis safe from COVID will remain a key priority of the Government – but we’re also pushing ahead on some of New Zealand’s biggest long-term challenges. In 2022, we’re working to get more Kiwis into homes, reduce emissions, lift children out of poverty, and ensure people get ...
    1 week ago
  • Happy new year, Aotearoa!
    Welcome to 2022! As we look ahead to another year of progress on the big issues facing our country, we’re taking a look back at the year that’s been and everything the team of five million achieved together in 2021. ...
    3 weeks ago

  • Quarterly benefit numbers show highest number of exits into work
    The Government’s strong focus on supporting more people into work is reflected in benefit figures released today which show a year-on-year fall of around 21,300 people receiving a main benefit in the December 2021 quarter, Minister for Social Development and Employment Carmel Sepuloni said. “Our response to COVID has helped ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    18 hours ago
  • Northland to move to Orange, NZ prepared for Omicron 
    Northland to move to Orange Rest of New Zealand stays at Orange in preparedness for Omicron All of New Zealand to move into Red in the event of Omicron community outbreak – no use of lockdowns Govt planning well advanced – new case management, close contact definition and testing rules ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    19 hours ago
  • RNZAF C-130 Hercules flight departs for Tonga as Navy vessels draw nearer to Tongatapu
    A Royal New Zealand Air Force C-130 Hercules has departed Base Auckland Whenuapai for Tonga carrying aid supplies, as the New Zealand aid effort ramps up, Foreign Affairs Minister Nanaia Mahuta and Defence Minister Peeni Henare said today. “The aircraft is carrying humanitarian aid and disaster relief supplies, including water ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    21 hours ago
  • New Zealand prepared to send support to Tonga
    New Zealand is ready to assist Tonga in its recovery from Saturday night’s undersea eruption and tsunami, Foreign Affairs Minister Nanaia Mahuta and Defence Minister Peeni Henare said today. “Following the successful surveillance and reconnaissance flight of a New Zealand P-3K2 Orion on Monday, imagery and details have been sent ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • Aotearoa New Zealand stands ready to assist people of Tonga
    The thoughts of New Zealanders are with the people of Tonga following yesterday’s undersea volcanic eruption and subsequent tsunami waves, Foreign Affairs Minister Nanaia Mahuta says. “Damage assessments are under way and New Zealand has formally offered to provide assistance to Tonga,” said Nanaia Mahuta. New Zealand has made an ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    5 days ago
  • Record high of new homes consented continues
    In the year ended November 2021, 48,522 new homes were consented, up 26 per cent from the November 2020 year. In November 2021, 4,688 new dwellings were consented. Auckland’s new homes consented numbers rose 25 per cent in the last year. Annual figures for the last nine months show more ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Report trumpets scope for ice cream exports
    Latest research into our premium ice cream industry suggests exporters could find new buyers in valuable overseas markets as consumers increasingly look for tip top quality in food. Economic Development Minister Stuart Nash has released a new report for the Food and Beverage Information Project. The project is run by ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Honouring the legacy of legendary kaumātua Muriwai Ihakara
    Associate Minister for Arts, Culture, and Heritage Kiri Allan expressed her great sadness and deepest condolences at the passing of esteemed kaumātua, Muriwai Ihakara. “Muriwai’s passing is not only a loss for the wider creative sector but for all of Aotearoa New Zealand. The country has lost a much beloved ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Have your say on proposed changes to make drinking water safer
    Associate Minister for the Environment Kiri Allan is urging all New Zealanders to give feedback on proposed changes aimed at making drinking water safer. “The current regulations are not fit for purpose and don’t offer enough protection, particularly for those whose water comes from smaller supplies,” Kiri Allan said. “This ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 weeks ago
  • Planting the seeds for rewarding careers
    A boost in funding for a number of Jobs for Nature initiatives across Canterbury will provide sustainable employment opportunities for more than 70 people, Conservation Minister Kiri Allan says. “The six projects are diverse, ranging from establishing coastline trapping in Kaikōura, to setting up a native plant nursery, restoration planting ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 weeks ago
  • New Zealand congratulates Tonga's new Prime Minister on appointment
    Minister of Foreign Affairs Nanaia Mahuta today congratulated Hon Hu'akavameiliku Siaosi Sovaleni on being appointed Prime Minister of the Kingdom of Tonga. “Aotearoa New Zealand and Tonga have an enduring bond and the Kingdom is one of our closest neighbours in the Pacific. We look forward to working with Prime ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 weeks ago
  • High-tech investment extends drought forecasting for farmers and growers
    The Government is investing in the development of a new forecasting tool that makes full use of innovative climate modelling to help farmers and growers prepare for dry conditions, Agriculture Minister Damien O'Connor said.  The new approach, which will cost $200,000 and is being jointly funded through the Ministry for ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 weeks ago
  • Support for fire-hit Waiharara community
    The government will contribute $20,000 towards a Mayoral Relief Fund to support those most affected by the fires in Waiharara in the Far North, Minister for Emergency Management Kiri Allan says. “I have spoken to Far North Mayor John Carter about the effect the fires continue to have, on residents ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 weeks ago
  • Manawatū’s ‘oases of nature’ receive conservation boost
    The Government is throwing its support behind projects aimed at restoring a cluster of eco-islands and habitats in the Manawatū which were once home to kiwi and whio. “The projects, which stretch from the Ruahine Ranges to the Horowhenua coastline, will build on conservation efforts already underway and contribute ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 weeks ago
  • New Zealand to continue Solomon Islands support
    A New Zealand Defence Force and Police deployment to help restore peace and stability to Solomon Islands is being scaled down and extended. The initial deployment followed a request for support from Solomon Islands Government after riots and looting in capital Honiara late last month. They joined personnel from Australia, ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 weeks ago