Labour up in Colmar Brunton

Written By: - Date published: 6:42 pm, August 21st, 2011 - 57 comments
Categories: polls - Tags:

Good to see Labour up 3% in the latest TV1 / Colmar Brunton poll.  All the results should of course be taken with a good helping of salt, and the short term trends are wandering around near the margin of error, but in terms of perception the last thing Labour needed at this point was a drop on the last one.  Greens have fallen back to 6% (a worry), but none of the Nats’ coalition partners are looking good.

Apparently there’s another poll out tonight, if I see it I’ll update this post.

Update: There is is, a 3 News Reid poll (video).  While Colmar Brunton had both Labour and the Nats up, Reid has both Labour and the Nats down.  Margin of error, random noise, this is why it’s silly to try and build up narratives out of individual poll results.  Doesn’t stop some people trying of course!

57 comments on “Labour up in Colmar Brunton ”

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  1. Mac1 1
    21 August 2011 at 6:55 pm

    It’s the old water torture for the Nats as their support erodes. Drip! drip! drip! Until the avalanche/waterfall/overflowing gutterings in November. No wonder Wonder Boy won’t debate or appear where he might be shown for what he is……..

    Meanwhile, Goff grows in strength as instanced by his showing with the recent union conference.

    Pity about the All Blacks.

    • chris73 1.1
      21 August 2011 at 7:04 pm

      National’s support is higher than it has been all year at 56%. Labour is up 3% but only to 30%.

      Key gets his highest ever preferred prime minister ranking in the poll, at 57%, up 3%.

      Did we read the same web page?

    • McFlock 1.2
      21 August 2011 at 7:07 pm

      Not quite – nats are also up in the same poll. And the movement for both is so minor that it’s pretty irrelevant.

      The real dope will be during the campaign, when the response rates start becoming reasonable, the MSM start comparing Nat and Lab in the same stories, and the minor parties get more exposure. National will take a hit, ACT won’t campaign very well (cheers, Don), and Key will have to front up at least once or twice. And if they get ~<45%, Nats are screwed.

      Meh. I’m personally happy that ACT is back down to <2%, for what it’s worth at this stage.

    • Jum 1.3
      21 August 2011 at 7:35 pm

      Mac1

      Whatever happens with the allblacks it always ends in tears at the women’s refuge. With the reduced funding for helping these battered beauties, it will only be worse. Thanks John Key, you must really hate women who have dreams of having an independent lifestyle.

  2. Lonewolf 2
    21 August 2011 at 7:01 pm

    I just watched the TVNZ video – I believe Guyon’s exact words were “it would be delusional to see this as a good poll for Labour”

    • Jum 2.1
      21 August 2011 at 7:37 pm

      Lonewolf,

      I would prefer to say that it would be ‘delusional’ to imagine New Zealand being better off under the moneytrader and mates.

    • bbfloyd 2.2
      21 August 2011 at 9:45 pm

      what else would espiner say? do you not understand basic propaganda reinforcement? three weeks ago he prefaced every comment about goff with”even though he is so far behind in the polls”… do you need a brick in the head before you can see what the poodle gang are up to?

  3. Nick C 3
    21 August 2011 at 7:04 pm

    Seriously? This has to be the worst attempt to spin a hopeless situation since 2003 http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KcwX6Ay-g9Y&feature=related

    Labours gain in the TVNZ poll came mostly at the expense of the Greens.

    EDIT – Actually it came entirely at the expense of the Greens, who lost 4%

    • r0b 3.1
      21 August 2011 at 7:09 pm

      Where’s the spin Nick C? Is it hidden under the helpings of salt and the margins of error?

      • Nick C 3.1.1
        21 August 2011 at 7:20 pm

        Its more about what you ommitted than what you wrote. Could have talked about:

        1) Greens lost more than Labour gained in TV1 poll
        2) The gap between the major parties stands at 26%
        3) Key got his highest ever result in the prefered PM poll, and Nationals highest this year in TV1
        4) Where as you previously commented the previous TV1 poll did not have time to factor in the CGT, this one has and there has been no progress for the pro-CGT parties.

        Instead you have picked “Labour up in CB” as your headline. Comical.

        • r0b 3.1.1.1
          21 August 2011 at 7:28 pm

          But Labour are up in the CB Nick.  Sorry if that doesn’t fit in with your world view, but there it is.  As to what I choose to write on my own blog – well – why don’t you go get a blog of your own?  I’m sure it will be very popular.

    • McFlock 3.2
      21 August 2011 at 7:14 pm

      Correct – your comment is a pretty pathetic attempt to spin a fairly non-commital post that simply says that at least Garner et al can’t go on about Labour still being on the way down, etc. 

    • Ed 3.3
      21 August 2011 at 8:48 pm

      Actually no, it doesn’t show that a rise in support for one party is at the expense of another party – unless you believe that the polls ask the same people. If each poll asks a different subset of the population, then at least some of any movements are not necessarily caused by any changes of opinion, but by differences between samples”. I don’t know the level of “unknown / no preference”, or of “not able to get response on telephone / declined to answer poll” – changes in those indicators could indicate that a quite different segment of the population was being approached.

  4. mickysavage 4
    21 August 2011 at 7:10 pm

    I think the best comment is one that Rob made previously.  The population in the middle is currently switched off.  They voted National last time, they have not decided to change yet, when the campaign starts they will consider it.  Until then they are sticking where they are.

    And I better not start on the inherent bias of current polling methods … 

    EDIT: One further comment, interesting that the Right wingers have been building up the “change Goff” meme to a crescendo this week obviously hoping for a bad poll.

    And didn’t David Cunliffe do well on Q&A this morning? Handed Brash’s ass to him on a skewer …

    • Jum 4.1
      21 August 2011 at 7:41 pm

      MickySavage,

      Unfortunately, Brash’s arse is heading Franklin’s way tomorrow. Expect superannuitant cheerleaders lining the pathway up to the Centre. He probably feels safe there.

  5. randal 5
    21 August 2011 at 7:12 pm

    the electorate is just kicking the tyres at the moment.
    It costs money to switch cars so it has to be worth it but my opinion is that New Zealanders will make the right decisons when the time comes.
    I dont think the country can take three more years of Nationals lowbrows swanning around on tv acting like they have done something.

    • marsman 5.1
      21 August 2011 at 7:26 pm

      ‘Acting like they’ve done something’ and acting like they own the country and are answerable only to themselves and their rich chums. Yuck!

    • Anne 5.2
      21 August 2011 at 7:27 pm

      I dont think the country can take three more years of Nationals lowbrows swanning around on tv acting like they have done something.

      Have you listened carefully to Key’s diction on TV lately? It has suddenly got worse. So much so, one has to think about some of the words he is actually trying to say. Any ideas what the problem is anyone ?

      • Colonial Viper 5.2.1
        21 August 2011 at 7:34 pm

        Hmmmm. I found this from 2007. Do you think he has actually gotten worse? He’s not great in this clip, even with no pressure.

        http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Jq0mJqYpkBM

        • Anne 5.2.1.1
          21 August 2011 at 7:59 pm

          It’s worse now CV. At least you can understand exactly what he was saying in 2007 even if the diction was bad. Some of his words have been quite slurred recently. Makes me wonder…

        • Lanthanide 5.2.1.2
          21 August 2011 at 8:11 pm

          I don’t think he was ‘bad’ in that clip at all. Can’t comment on him being worse than usual lately either, though.

          Maybe he’s got some sort of disease creeping in? Lets make a new rumour out of that, like how Goff keeps walking the plank all the time…

          • Colonial Viper 5.2.1.2.1
            21 August 2011 at 8:36 pm

            Lanth I don’t think any of us are trying to raise this as some kind of PR exercise or rumour mill stunt. Key has bad diction e.g. “Rubber Wool Cup” the question we are asking is whether or not it has worsened significantly in the last couple of years.

            I’m in two minds about it personally, but Anne may have a better ear than I do for picking up the nuances.

            • Anne 5.2.1.2.1.1
              21 August 2011 at 8:55 pm

              You’re right CV. I inherited ‘the ear’ from my mother.

            • rosy 5.2.1.2.1.2
              21 August 2011 at 8:55 pm

              I really don’t know why he doesn’t get some speech training. It should be easy enough to improve with all those PR people around him.

              • AAMC …
                22 August 2011 at 11:59 am

                I think the PR people live his diction, it’s what allows people to look past his 55 million and believe he’s one of them.

                Aside from his diction, power seriously ages you doesn’t it. He looks seriously older, baggy eyes, grey complexion.

          • Anne 5.2.1.2.2
            21 August 2011 at 8:49 pm

            Maybe he’s got some sort of disease creeping in? Lets make a new rumour out of that, like how Goff keeps walking the plank all the time…

            Err… not sure what you are trying to suggest Lanthanide but suspect you are reading something in my comment that isn’t there. I have noticed some of Key’s words have been quite slurred in recent times – end of story. Jum (below) may be right – it’s deliberate – but I can’t quite see what he hopes to gain by it.

            • Jum 5.2.1.2.2.1
              21 August 2011 at 9:14 pm

              Anne,

              I’m just repeating the news piece; I think JKeyll is just trying to run the ‘I’m one of you’ accents, but seriously, who would vote for a person to become Prime Minister of your country if you couldn’t even understand him or her?

              Add that to the total lack of statesmanlike behaviour by Key.

              Goff’s statesmanlike leadership is way ahead of Key.

              Key has his snout in the trough in NZ; did he forget to take it out before he spoke? Should we ask him now if his mother would be proud of him?. He may not like the answer.

              • Anne …
                21 August 2011 at 10:03 pm

                @ Jum
                Yes I realised it was a news piece. What puzzles me is the fact he feels the need to pretend to be ‘one of us’ by adopting such a ridiculously thick Kiwi accent. And why has it seemingly got worse of late? Is it the pressure of the job? Or is he covering something up – the paucity of decent, well thought through policies perhaps? One day we’ll find out…

            • bbfloyd 5.2.1.2.2.2
              21 August 2011 at 9:57 pm

              the answer is probably mundane… his drinking is starting to bite…. i’ve seen it like this before… in five years he will be repeating his gibberish to anyone who’ll talk to him..

          • bbfloyd 5.2.1.2.3
            21 August 2011 at 9:55 pm

            you’re starting to sound like a double agent lanth..

        • Jum 5.2.1.3
          21 August 2011 at 8:12 pm

          Colonial Viper,

          Interesting about Key’s accent; in a Feb 2008 report by Gillian Tett and Ruth Laugesen SST 3/2/08
          a John Kelly, one of Key’s American bosses, Merrill Lynch, said “he would lay on his Kiwi accent so thick in meetings than none of us could understand what he was saying it was kind of deliberate” says Kelly.

          It’s just another mask, Colonial Viper.

  6. Robert B 6
    21 August 2011 at 8:32 pm

    Ha ha ha ha ha ha!!! Honestly laughing out loud here.

    What a pathetic attempt at spin.

    No wonder nobody takes this blog seriously. You’re really doing yourself a disservice with this level of mindnumbing spin. I doubt even the sheep you’re trying to cheerlead believe that one.

    … Or perhaps they do …

    • Colonial Viper 6.1
      21 August 2011 at 8:38 pm

      Thanks for your insightful analysis of the poll results.

      • Craig Glen Eden 6.1.1
        21 August 2011 at 8:56 pm

        Yeah no analysis from RB and unlike some of his rwnj mates he is not in the least bit funny which is a bugger. Im with Mickey again which wont surprise many, but I have to agree regarding the election and voters behaviour and yup Cunliffe kick Brash’s arse, gave Guyon more than he was bargaining on to. While English and Ryall wouldnt front to debate the merits of asset sales they probably made a good political decision, but sooner our latter boys Cunliffe going to get ya !

  7. Jum 7
    21 August 2011 at 8:39 pm

    When Robert B starts hallucinating in blog-print we know we’ve hit a nerve of the total uselessness of this government of fuckwits.

    In case anyone missed my previous comment because of robert’s rabid bleating I’ll repeat it:

    Jum 5.2.1.3
    21 August 2011 at 8:12 pm

    Colonial Viper,

    Interesting about Key’s accent; in a Feb 2008 report by Gillian Tett and Ruth Laugesen SST 3/2/08
    a John Kelly, one of Key’s American bosses, Merrill Lynch, said “he would lay on his Kiwi accent so thick in meetings than none of us could understand what he was saying it was kind of deliberate” says Kelly.

    It’s just another mask, Colonial Viper.

  8. ak 8
    21 August 2011 at 9:29 pm

    Ho hum. So after months of hearing nothing from Dunky and Guy but how useless Phil Goff is and how Labour can’t win, the 8% of punters who hate politics and couldn’t give a rat’s razoo parrot back what they’ve had hammered into them. Heavens above, Alma – advertising actually works.

    Of far more portent is this headline: WARRIORS WIN – ALL BLACKS LOSE.

  9. jackal 9
    21 August 2011 at 9:51 pm

    I wonder how many people decide to leave NZ because of these brain fart polls?

  10. HC 10
    21 August 2011 at 10:11 pm

    Yeah!! Polls, polls, pulls, pulls, pull the wool over people’s eyes, I suppose.

    These polls are not much to go by when it comes to actual elections. Many people do not like to answer to telephone surveys or polls, and hence they only collect data from the people prepared to put up with such annoying phone calls.

    Such people would tend to be the more patient, more conservative and also more gullible.

    As it has also been mentioned before, they seem to tend to phone only landlines. So how would they actually reach sufficiently representative persons to give any truly reliable trends?

    So I would not read much into this at all. For instance Colmar Brunton had the Greens at only 6 %, while a poll published via 3 News had them well over 9 % tonight. Also were there big differences between Labour support for both polls.

    Key still appears to be popular with many, because the vast population does not hear about his schoolboy behaviour during Question Time. Very few are well informed in that regards, and they only see him as the polished “statesman like” “Leader Maximo” on their headline news.

    By the way Colmar Brunton do themselves cover their backsides with disclaimers. Perhaps check the following links for details:

    http://www.colmarbrunton.co.nz/index.php?pageLoad=17

    http://www.colmarbrunton.co.nz/files/20110721103849-1311201529-0.pdf

    http://www.colmarbrunton.co.nz/index.php?pageLoad=92

    http://tvnz.co.nz/politics-news/key-and-national-hit-new-highs-in-poll-4358473

    • Puddleglum 10.1
      22 August 2011 at 12:14 pm

      These are particularly interesting disclaimers from your linked pdf:

      “NOTE: The data does not take into account the effects of non-voting and therefore cannot be used to predict the outcome of an election.
      Undecided voters, non-voters and those who refused to answer are excluded from the data on party support. The results are therefore only indicative of trends in party support, and it would be misleading to report otherwise.” 

      Isn’t One News using them to “predict the outcome of an election”? 

      (I won’t comment on “data does”!! Oops, just commented on it…) 

      • aerobubble 10.1.1
        22 August 2011 at 1:12 pm

        I can’t fathom why Key is high and dry. But I have too much to get on with.
        Leave it till after the Rugby. Maybe National will then have some tax cuts to
        buy me off. Not sure they will work this time as their last tax cuts made me
        worse off. Let’s just be nice to the pollster and give Key a tick.

  11. Dan1 11
    21 August 2011 at 11:07 pm

    Key didn’t face up to the Christchurch families; English and Ryall didn’t face up on asset sales on Q&A. Interestingly, Michelle Boag said she felt English should have been there. They can’t run forever!

    • rosy 11.1
      21 August 2011 at 11:14 pm

      “They can’t run forever!”
      It seems as if they can run until after the election, sadly. It really annoys me how they can get away with not fronting up to serious questioning.

  12. Bill 12
    21 August 2011 at 11:26 pm

    Where do they take the polls? I live in a provincial town and I don’t know of anyone, whether business people or….well, fucking anyone who has anything good to say about Key in particular, or National in general.

    • Gosman 12.1
      22 August 2011 at 7:32 am

      Wow! What a surprise, a hard core lefty can’t find anyone willing to admit to them that they support National.

      Do you think it might have something to do with the company you chosse to keep Bill?

      That and the likelihood that if anyone ever did admit they liked National in your presence they would have to put up with an boring ear bashing for several hours.

    • TightyRighty 12.2
      22 August 2011 at 11:35 am

      What provincial town? I travel through provincial towns and talk to business owners and workers there on a daily basis, and I hardly ever hear anything bad about John Key. Mine include Gisborne, Wairoa, Waipukurau, oamaru, Blenheim, Invercargill, Methven, Darfield, Queenstown, Gore, Bulls, Fielding, Masterton.

      • RedLogix 12.2.1
        22 August 2011 at 11:57 am

        Been there done that kind of work myself TR.

        And in that kind of scenario people rather tend to tell you what they think you want to hear.

        Now I’m not denying that Key is popular. They love him because he comes across as a ‘do just enough to get by’ sort of guy… a bit like most of them. New Zealanders have become a narrow people who are suspicious of intellectual, egg-headed wankers with big ideas. So Key suits them just fine for the time being.

        Key is very good at telling New Zealanders the sorts we want to hear too. In a very uncertain world it’s very soothing to have the PM tell us not to worry our pretty little heads too much about big things that might go bump in the night.

  13. Frederick 13
    21 August 2011 at 11:29 pm

    HC If you are so confident that their will be a labour led government I suggest you invest your life savings in I Predict – currently “their will be a labour prime minister” has dropped to 8.8%. You will make an absolute fortune.

    As a long time watcher of question time (which incidentally I enjoy very much) I have always found by and large most participants engage in schoolboy (or schoolgirl if you want) behaviour.It would be pretty boring otherwise. I suppose you are now going to tell me that Trevor Mallard is a model of restraint and decorum in comparison to John Key.

    Finally how anyone can spin that these polls are a good result for labour is utterly bewildering. Even Pravda would be struugling to report any good news from the latest lot.

    • HC 13.1
      22 August 2011 at 12:13 am

      Frederick:
      Polls are just polling our legs.

      There have been polls in NZ and other countries, that appeared to show such a clear trend before elections, yet once it was election day, then there were suddenly major surprises.

      I accept that Key is an incredible “MR Teflon”, and had teflon not been invented yet, he would be patented right away.

      That does not change the fact that he is as hollow as a wooden structure invaded by termites.

      He had a fairly good run, but having observed him in the news, in parliament and in the odd interview recently, he is showing signs of getting weary now. He certainly got a good hammering by the opposition in question time last week.

      Also are Goff and Labour slowly starting to get a bit into form.

      The world economy and strategic situation in the Middle East are extremely volatile, and that is not even touching other worrying developments.

      It is under given circumstances impossible to make any predictions even just one month into the future, what will hit us next.

      Given that and the fact that these polls are highly unreliable (party loyalties are not what they used to be), I do not make any predictions and do not rule anything out at present.

      Even Don Key appears to be quite cautious.

    • McFlock 13.2
      22 August 2011 at 12:14 am

      let’s see – there’s no hope for Labour, everyone says so, everyone behaves as badly in the house as national do, generic comparison to the Soviet Union.
       
      Plus male first name psuedonym and doubtful spelling, we have a perfect tory troll.

  14. Gosman 14
    22 August 2011 at 7:28 am

    My god, you are actually using Martyn Bradbury’s rantings as a reference.

    While you are correct about it being silly to build up a narrative on individual polls it isn’t to do so by analysing a number of them over time. What we see if we do that is National consistently around 50 % and Labour consistently around 30 %.

    \You don’t tend to win elections based on 30 % support three months out from an election.

    • McFlock 14.1
      22 August 2011 at 11:13 am

       What we see if we do that is National consistently around 50 % of landline users who chose to participate in the survey and could remember party names unprompted and Labour consistently around 30 %  of landline users who chose to participate in the survey and could remember party names unprompted.

      You don’t tend to win elections based on 30 % support three months out from in an election.

      FIFY.

  15. gingercrush 15
    22 August 2011 at 12:55 pm

    Labour are silly thats why.

    They should be doing compare and contrast easy examples.

    Under blah blah two parent middle income family of 3.

    Under National:

    Food has climbed blah blah %
    GST increased their tax by by blah blah%
    Inflation went blah blah blah %
    etc etc etc.

    With Labour

    GST off Fruit and Income will save blah blah%
    Income tax threshold will save blah blah%
    ECE 20 hours free blah blah
    Kiwisaver will blah blah
    Little Boy Eric who is on 13.50 a hour will find his minimum wage going up blah blah by 2014
    etc etc etc

    Seriously. Labour get off your fat asses. Go to every town in this country and electioneer. Seriously target Auckland Inner-outer suburbs, West Auckland and South Auckland. Wellington, Christchurch, Dunedin, Nelson, West Coast and New Plymouth. And well duh sell yourself.

    Forget about parliament and owning National ministers in the house. Nobody cares. And all Labour MPs should be made to turn off their television sets and campaign. Because losing is losing and losing because you barely even tried is just terrible. Its Bill English terrible.

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  • What is the Most Expensive Sport?
    The allure of sport transcends age, culture, and geographical boundaries. It captivates hearts, ignites passions, and provides unparalleled entertainment. Behind the spectacle, however, lies a fascinating world of financial investment and expenditure. Among the vast array of competitive pursuits, one question looms large: which sport carries the hefty title of ...
    Gareth’s WorldBy admin
    12 hours ago

  • Pickleball On the Cusp of Olympic Glory
    Introduction Pickleball, a rapidly growing paddle sport, has captured the hearts and imaginations of millions around the world. Its blend of tennis, badminton, and table tennis elements has made it a favorite among players of all ages and skill levels. As the sport’s popularity continues to surge, the question on ...
    Gareth’s WorldBy admin
    12 hours ago

  • The Origin and Evolution of Soccer Unveiling the Genius Behind the World’s Most Popular Sport
    Abstract: Soccer, the global phenomenon captivating millions worldwide, has a rich history that spans centuries. Its origins trace back to ancient civilizations, but the modern version we know and love emerged through a complex interplay of cultural influences and innovations. This article delves into the fascinating journey of soccer’s evolution, ...
    Gareth’s WorldBy admin
    12 hours ago

  • How Much to Tint Car Windows A Comprehensive Guide
    Tinting car windows offers numerous benefits, including enhanced privacy, reduced glare, UV protection, and a more stylish look for your vehicle. However, the cost of window tinting can vary significantly depending on several factors. This article provides a comprehensive guide to help you understand how much you can expect to ...
    Gareth’s WorldBy admin
    12 hours ago

  • Why Does My Car Smell Like Gas? A Comprehensive Guide to Diagnosing and Fixing the Issue
    The pungent smell of gasoline in your car can be an alarming and potentially dangerous problem. Not only is the odor unpleasant, but it can also indicate a serious issue with your vehicle’s fuel system. In this article, we will explore the various reasons why your car may smell like ...
    Gareth’s WorldBy admin
    12 hours ago

  • How to Remove Tree Sap from Car A Comprehensive Guide
    Tree sap can be a sticky, unsightly mess on your car’s exterior. It can be difficult to remove, but with the right techniques and products, you can restore your car to its former glory. Understanding Tree Sap Tree sap is a thick, viscous liquid produced by trees to seal wounds ...
    Gareth’s WorldBy admin
    12 hours ago

  • How Much Paint Do You Need to Paint a Car?
    The amount of paint needed to paint a car depends on a number of factors, including the size of the car, the number of coats you plan to apply, and the type of paint you are using. In general, you will need between 1 and 2 gallons of paint for ...
    Gareth’s WorldBy admin
    12 hours ago

  • Can You Jump a Car in the Rain? Safety Precautions and Essential Steps
    Jump-starting a car is a common task that can be performed even in adverse weather conditions like rain. However, safety precautions and proper techniques are crucial to avoid potential hazards. This comprehensive guide will provide detailed instructions on how to safely jump a car in the rain, ensuring both your ...
    Gareth’s WorldBy admin
    12 hours ago

  • Can taxpayers be confident PIJF cash was spent wisely?
    Graham Adams writes about the $55m media fund — When Patrick Gower was asked by Mike Hosking last week what he would say to the many Newstalk ZB callers who allege the Labour government bribed media with $55 million of taxpayers’ money via the Public Interest Journalism Fund — and ...
    Point of OrderBy gadams1000
    18 hours ago

  • EGU2024 – An intense week of joining sessions virtually
    Note: this blog post has been put together over the course of the week I followed the happenings at the conference virtually. Should recordings of the Great Debates and possibly Union Symposia mentioned below, be released sometime after the conference ends, I'll include links to the ones I participated in. ...
    Skeptical Science
    20 hours ago

  • Submission on “Fast Track Approvals Bill”
    The following was my submission made on the “Fast Track Approvals Bill”. This potential law will give three Ministers unchecked powers, un-paralled since the days of Robert Muldoon’s “Think Big” projects.The submission is written a bit tongue-in-cheek. But it’s irreverent because the FTAB is in itself not worthy of respect. ...
    Frankly SpeakingBy Frank Macskasy
    21 hours ago

  • The Case for a Universal Family Benefit
    One Could Reduce Child Poverty At No Fiscal CostFollowing the Richardson/Shipley 1990 ‘redesign of the welfare state’ – which eliminated the universal Family Benefit and doubled the rate of child poverty – various income supplements for families have been added, the best known being ‘Working for Families’, introduced in 2005. ...
    PunditBy Brian Easton
    22 hours ago

  • A who’s who of New Zealand’s dodgiest companies
    Submissions on National's corrupt Muldoonist fast-track law are due today (have you submitted?), and just hours before they close, Infrastructure Minister Chris Bishop has been forced to release the list of companies he invited to apply. I've spent the last hour going through it in an epic thread of bleats, ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    24 hours ago

  • On Lee’s watch, Economic Development seems to be stuck on scoring points from promoting sporting e...
    Buzz from the Beehive A few days ago, Point of Order suggested the media must be musing “on why Melissa is mute”. Our article reported that people working in the beleaguered media industry have cause to yearn for a minister as busy as Melissa Lee’s ministerial colleagues and we drew ...
    Point of OrderBy Bob Edlin
    1 day ago

  • New Zealand has never been closed for business
    1. What was The Curse of Jim Bolger?a. Winston Peters b. Soon after shaking his hand, world leaders would mysteriously lose office or shuffle off this mortal coilc. Could never shake off the Mother of All Budgetsd. Dandruff2. True or false? The Chairman of a Kiwi export business has asked the ...
    More Than A FeildingBy David Slack
    1 day ago

  • Stop the panic – we’ve been here before
    Jack Vowles writes – New Zealand is said to be suffering from ‘serious populist discontent’. An IPSOS MORI survey has reported that we have an increasing preference for strong leaders, think that the economy is rigged toward the rich and powerful, and political elites are ignoring ‘hard-working people’.  ...
    Point of OrderBy poonzteam5443
    1 day ago

  • Melissa Lee and the media: ending the quest
    Chris Trotter writes –  MELISSA LEE should be deprived of her ministerial warrant. Her handling – or non-handling – of the crisis engulfing the New Zealand news media has been woeful. The fate of New Zealand’s two linear television networks, a question which the Minister of Broadcasting, Communications ...
    Point of OrderBy Bob Edlin
    1 day ago

  • The Hoon around the week to April 19
    TL;DR: The podcast above features co-hosts and , along with regular guests Robert Patman on Gaza and AUKUS II, and on climate change.The six things that mattered in Aotearoa’s political economy that we wrote and spoke about via The Kākā and elsewhere for paying subscribers in the ...
    The KakaBy Bernard Hickey
    1 day ago

  • The ‘Humpty Dumpty’ end result of dismantling our environmental protections
    Policymakers rarely wish to make plain or visible their desire to dismantle environmental policy, least of all to the young. Photo: Lynn GrievesonTL;DR: Here’s the top five news items of note in climate news for Aotearoa-NZ this week, and a discussion above between Bernard Hickey and The Kākā’s climate correspondent ...
    The KakaBy Bernard Hickey
    1 day ago

  • Nicola's Salad Days.
    I like to keep an eye on what’s happening in places like the UK, the US, and over the ditch with our good mates the Aussies. Let’s call them AUKUS, for want of a better collective term. More on that in a bit.It used to be, not long ago, that ...
    Nick’s KōreroBy Nick Rockel
    1 day ago

  • Study sees climate change baking in 19% lower global income by 2050
    TL;DR: The global economy will be one fifth smaller than it would have otherwise been in 2050 as a result of climate damage, according to a new study by the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK) and published in the journal Nature. (See more detail and analysis below, and ...
    The KakaBy Bernard Hickey
    1 day ago

  • Weekly Roundup 19-April-2024
    It’s Friday again. Here’s some of the things that caught our attention this week. This Week on Greater Auckland On Tuesday Matt covered at the government looking into a long tunnel for Wellington. On Wednesday we ran a post from Oscar Simms on some lessons from Texas. AT’s ...
    Greater AucklandBy Matt L
    1 day ago

  • Jack Vowles: Stop the panic – we’ve been here before
    New Zealand is said to be suffering from ‘serious populist discontent’. An IPSOS MORI survey has reported that we have an increasing preference for strong leaders, think that the economy is rigged toward the rich and powerful, and political elites are ignoring ‘hard-working people’.  The data is from February this ...
    Democracy ProjectBy bryce.edwards
    1 day ago

  • Clearing up confusion (or trying to)
    Foreign Minister Winston Peters is understood to be planning a major speech within the next fortnight to clear up the confusion over whether or not New Zealand might join the AUKUS submarine project. So far, there have been conflicting signals from the Government. RNZ reported the Prime Minister yesterday in ...
    PolitikBy Richard Harman
    1 day ago

  • How to Retrieve Deleted Call Log iPhone Without Computer
    How to Retrieve Deleted Call Log on iPhone Without a Computer: A Step–by–Step Guide Losing your iPhone call history can be frustrating, especially when you need to find a specific number or recall an important conversation. But before you panic, know that there are ways to retrieve deleted call logs on your iPhone, even without a computer. This guide will explore various methods, ranging from simple checks to utilizing iCloud backups and third–party applications. So, let‘s dive in and recover those lost calls! 1. Check Recently Deleted Folder: Apple understands that accidental deletions happen. That‘s why they introduced the “Recently Deleted“ folder for various apps, including the Phone app. This folder acts as a safety net, storing deleted call logs for up to 30 days before permanently erasing them. Here‘s how to check it: Open the Phone app on your iPhone. Tap on the “Recents“ tab at the bottom. Scroll to the top and tap on “Edit“. Select “Show Recently Deleted“. Browse the list to find the call logs you want to recover. Tap on the desired call log and choose “Recover“ to restore it to your call history. 2. Restore from iCloud Backup: If you regularly back up your iPhone to iCloud, you might be able to retrieve your deleted call log from a previous backup. However, keep in mind that this process will restore your entire phone to the state it was in at the time of the backup, potentially erasing any data added since then. Here‘s how to restore from an iCloud backup: Go to Settings > General > Reset. Choose “Erase All Content and Settings“. Follow the on–screen instructions. Your iPhone will restart and show the initial setup screen. Choose “Restore from iCloud Backup“ during the setup process. Select the relevant backup that contains your deleted call log. Wait for the restoration process to complete. 3. Explore Third–Party Apps (with Caution): ...
    Gareth’s WorldBy admin
    2 days ago

  • How to Factory Reset iPhone without Computer: A Comprehensive Guide to Restoring your Device
    Life throws curveballs, and sometimes, those curveballs necessitate wiping your iPhone clean and starting anew. Whether you’re facing persistent software glitches, preparing to sell your device, or simply wanting a fresh start, knowing how to factory reset iPhone without a computer is a valuable skill. While using a computer with ...
    Gareth’s WorldBy admin
    2 days ago

  • How to Call Someone on a Computer: A Guide to Voice and Video Communication in the Digital Age
    Gone are the days when communication was limited to landline phones and physical proximity. Today, computers have become powerful tools for connecting with people across the globe through voice and video calls. But with a plethora of applications and methods available, how to call someone on a computer might seem ...
    Gareth’s WorldBy admin
    2 days ago

  • Skeptical Science New Research for Week #16 2024
    Open access notables Glacial isostatic adjustment reduces past and future Arctic subsea permafrost, Creel et al., Nature Communications: Sea-level rise submerges terrestrial permafrost in the Arctic, turning it into subsea permafrost. Subsea permafrost underlies ~ 1.8 million km2 of Arctic continental shelf, with thicknesses in places exceeding 700 m. Sea-level variations over glacial-interglacial cycles control ...
    Skeptical Science
    2 days ago

  • Where on a Computer is the Operating System Generally Stored? Delving into the Digital Home of your ...
    The operating system (OS) is the heart and soul of a computer, orchestrating every action and interaction between hardware and software. But have you ever wondered where on a computer is the operating system generally stored? The answer lies in the intricate dance between hardware and software components, particularly within ...
    Gareth’s WorldBy admin
    2 days ago

  • How Many Watts Does a Laptop Use? Understanding Power Consumption and Efficiency
    Laptops have become essential tools for work, entertainment, and communication, offering portability and functionality. However, with rising energy costs and growing environmental concerns, understanding a laptop’s power consumption is more important than ever. So, how many watts does a laptop use? The answer, unfortunately, isn’t straightforward. It depends on several ...
    Gareth’s WorldBy admin
    2 days ago

  • How to Screen Record on a Dell Laptop A Guide to Capturing Your Screen with Ease
    Screen recording has become an essential tool for various purposes, such as creating tutorials, capturing gameplay footage, recording online meetings, or sharing information with others. Fortunately, Dell laptops offer several built-in and external options for screen recording, catering to different needs and preferences. This guide will explore various methods on ...
    Gareth’s WorldBy admin
    2 days ago

  • How Much Does it Cost to Fix a Laptop Screen? Navigating Repair Options and Costs
    A cracked or damaged laptop screen can be a frustrating experience, impacting productivity and enjoyment. Fortunately, laptop screen repair is a common service offered by various repair shops and technicians. However, the cost of fixing a laptop screen can vary significantly depending on several factors. This article delves into the ...
    Gareth’s WorldBy admin
    2 days ago

  • How Long Do Gaming Laptops Last? Demystifying Lifespan and Maximizing Longevity
    Gaming laptops represent a significant investment for passionate gamers, offering portability and powerful performance for immersive gaming experiences. However, a common concern among potential buyers is their lifespan. Unlike desktop PCs, which allow for easier component upgrades, gaming laptops have inherent limitations due to their compact and integrated design. This ...
    Gareth’s WorldBy admin
    2 days ago

  • Climate Change: Turning the tide
    The annual inventory report of New Zealand's greenhouse gas emissions has been released, showing that gross emissions have dropped for the third year in a row, to 78.4 million tons: All-told gross emissions have decreased by over 6 million tons since the Zero Carbon Act was passed in 2019. ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    2 days ago

  • How to Unlock Your Computer A Comprehensive Guide to Regaining Access
    Experiencing a locked computer can be frustrating, especially when you need access to your files and applications urgently. The methods to unlock your computer will vary depending on the specific situation and the type of lock you encounter. This guide will explore various scenarios and provide step-by-step instructions on how ...
    Gareth’s WorldBy admin
    2 days ago

  • Faxing from Your Computer A Modern Guide to Sending Documents Digitally
    While the world has largely transitioned to digital communication, faxing still holds relevance in certain industries and situations. Fortunately, gone are the days of bulky fax machines and dedicated phone lines. Today, you can easily send and receive faxes directly from your computer, offering a convenient and efficient way to ...
    Gareth’s WorldBy admin
    2 days ago

  • Protecting Your Home Computer A Guide to Cyber Awareness
    In our increasingly digital world, home computers have become essential tools for work, communication, entertainment, and more. However, this increased reliance on technology also exposes us to various cyber threats. Understanding these threats and taking proactive steps to protect your home computer is crucial for safeguarding your personal information, finances, ...
    Gareth’s WorldBy admin
    2 days ago

  • Server-Based Computing Powering the Modern Digital Landscape
    In the ever-evolving world of technology, server-based computing has emerged as a cornerstone of modern digital infrastructure. This article delves into the concept of server-based computing, exploring its various forms, benefits, challenges, and its impact on the way we work and interact with technology. Understanding Server-Based Computing: At its core, ...
    Gareth’s WorldBy admin
    2 days ago

  • Vroom vroom go the big red trucks
    The absolute brass neck of this guy.We want more medical doctors, not more spin doctors, Luxon was saying a couple of weeks ago, and now we’re told the guy has seven salaried adults on TikTok duty. Sorry, doing social media. The absolute brass neck of it. The irony that the ...
    More Than A FeildingBy David Slack
    2 days ago

  • Jones finds $410,000 to help the government muscle in on a spat project
    Buzz from the Beehive Oceans and Fisheries Minister Shane Jones relishes spatting and eagerly takes issue with environmentalists who criticise his enthusiasm for resource development. He relishes helping the fishing industry too. And so today, while the media are making much of the latest culling in the public service to ...
    Point of OrderBy Bob Edlin
    2 days ago

  • Again, hate crimes are not necessarily terrorism.
    Having written, taught and worked for the US government on issues involving unconventional warfare and terrorism for 30-odd years, two things irritate me the most when the subject is discussed in public. The first is the Johnny-come-lately academics-turned-media commentators who … Continue reading → ...
    KiwipoliticoBy Pablo
    2 days ago

  • Despair – construction consenting edition
    Eric Crampton writes – Kainga Ora is the government’s house building agency. It’s been building a lot of social housing. Kainga Ora has its own (but independent) consenting authority, Consentium. It’s a neat idea. Rather than have to deal with building consents across each different territorial authority, Kainga Ora ...
    Point of OrderBy poonzteam5443
    2 days ago

  • Coalition promises – will the Govt keep the commitment to keep Kiwis equal before the law?
    Muriel Newman writes – The Coalition Government says it is moving with speed to deliver campaign promises and reverse the damage done by Labour. One of their key commitments is to “defend the principle that New Zealanders are equal before the law.” To achieve this, they have pledged they “will not advance ...
    Point of OrderBy poonzteam5443
    2 days ago

  • An impermanent public service is a guarantee of very little else but failure
    Chris Trotter writes –  The absence of anything resembling a fightback from the public servants currently losing their jobs is interesting. State-sector workers’ collective fatalism in the face of Coalition cutbacks indicates a surprisingly broad acceptance of impermanence in the workplace. Fifty years ago, lay-offs in the thousands ...
    Point of OrderBy poonzteam5443
    2 days ago

  • What happens after the war – Mariupol
    Mariupol, on the Azov Sea coast, was one of the first cities to suffer almost complete destruction after the start of the Ukraine War started in late February 2022. We remember the scenes of absolute destruction of the houses and city structures. The deaths of innocent civilians – many of ...
    Open ParachuteBy Ken
    2 days ago

  • Babies and benefits – no good news
    Lindsay Mitchell writes – Ten years ago, I wrote the following in a Listener column: Every year around one in five new-born babies will be reliant on their caregivers benefit by Christmas. This pattern has persisted from at least 1993. For Maori the number jumps to over one in three.  ...
    Point of OrderBy poonzteam5443
    2 days ago

  • Should the RBNZ be looking through climate inflation?
    Climate change is expected to generate more and more extreme events, delivering a sort of structural shock to inflation that central banks will have to react to as if they were short-term cyclical issues. Photo: Lynn Grieveson / The KākāMy pick of the six newsey things to know from Aotearoa’s ...
    The KakaBy Bernard Hickey
    2 days ago

  • Bernard's pick 'n' mix of the news links
    The top six news links I’ve seen elsewhere in the last 24 hours, as of 9:16 am on Thursday, April 18 are:Housing: Tauranga residents living in boats, vans RNZ Checkpoint Louise TernouthHousing: Waikato councillor says wastewater plant issues could hold up Sleepyhead building a massive company town Waikato Times Stephen ...
    The KakaBy Bernard Hickey
    2 days ago

  • Gordon Campbell on the public sector carnage, and misogyny as terrorism
    It’s a simple deal. We pay taxes in order to finance the social services we want and need. The carnage now occurring across the public sector though, is breaking that contract. Over 3,000 jobs have been lost so far. Many are in crucial areas like Education where the impact of ...
    Gordon CampbellBy lyndon
    2 days ago

  • Meeting the Master Baiters
    Hi,A friend had their 40th over the weekend and decided to theme it after Curb Your Enthusiasm fashion icon Susie Greene. Captured in my tiny kitchen before I left the house, I ending up evoking a mix of old lesbian and Hillary Clinton — both unintentional.Me vs Hillary ClintonIf you’re ...
    David FarrierBy David Farrier
    2 days ago

  • How extreme was the Earth's temperature in 2023
    This is a re-post from Andrew Dessler at the Climate Brink blog In 2023, the Earth reached temperature levels unprecedented in modern times. Given that, it’s reasonable to ask: What’s going on? There’s been lots of discussions by scientists about whether this is just the normal progression of global warming or if something ...
    Skeptical Science
    3 days ago

  • Backbone, revisited
    The schools are on holiday and the sun is shining in the seaside village and all day long I have been seeing bunches of bikes; Mums, Dads, teens and toddlers chattering, laughing, happy, having a bloody great time together. Cheers, AT, for the bits of lane you’ve added lately around the ...
    More Than A FeildingBy David Slack
    3 days ago

  • Ministers are not above the law
    Today in our National-led authoritarian nightmare: Shane Jones thinks Ministers should be above the law: New Zealand First MP Shane Jones is accusing the Waitangi Tribunal of over-stepping its mandate by subpoenaing a minister for its urgent hearing on the Oranga Tamariki claim. The tribunal is looking into the ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    3 days ago

  • What’s the outfit you can hear going down the gurgler? Probably it’s David Parker’s Oceans Sec...
    Buzz from the Beehive Point  of Order first heard of the Oceans Secretariat in June 2021, when David Parker (remember him?) announced a multi-agency approach to protecting New Zealand’s marine ecosystems and fisheries. Parker (holding the Environment, and Oceans and Fisheries portfolios) broke the news at the annual Forest & ...
    Point of OrderBy Bob Edlin
    3 days ago

  • Will politicians let democracy die in the darkness?
    Bryce Edwards writes  – Politicians across the political spectrum are implicated in the New Zealand media’s failing health. Either through neglect or incompetent interventions, successive governments have failed to regulate, foster, and allow a healthy Fourth Estate that can adequately hold politicians and the powerful to account. ...
    Point of OrderBy poonzteam5443
    3 days ago

  • Matt Doocey doubles down on trans “healthcare”
    Citizen Science writes –  Last week saw two significant developments in the debate over the treatment of trans-identifying children and young people – the release in Britain of the final report of Dr Hilary Cass’s review into gender healthcare, and here in New Zealand, the news that the ...
    Point of OrderBy poonzteam5443
    3 days ago

  • A TikTok Prime Minister.
    One night while sleeping in my bed I had a beautiful dreamThat all the people of the world got together on the same wavelengthAnd began helping one anotherNow in this dream, universal love was the theme of the dayPeace and understanding and it happened this wayAfter such an eventful day ...
    Nick’s KōreroBy Nick Rockel
    3 days ago

  • PM’s South East Asia mission does the business
    Prime Minister Christopher Luxon has completed a successful trip to Singapore, Thailand and the Philippines, deepening relationships and capitalising on opportunities. Mr Luxon was accompanied by a business delegation and says the choice of countries represents the priority the New Zealand Government places on South East Asia, and our relationships in ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    8 hours ago

  • $41m to support clean energy in South East Asia
    New Zealand is demonstrating its commitment to reducing global greenhouse emissions, and supporting clean energy transition in South East Asia, through a contribution of NZ$41 million (US$25 million) in climate finance to the Asian Development Bank (ADB)-led Energy Transition Mechanism (ETM). Prime Minister Christopher Luxon and Climate Change Minister Simon Watts announced ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 day ago

  • Minister releases Fast-track stakeholder list
    The Government is today releasing a list of organisations who received letters about the Fast-track applications process, says RMA Reform Minister Chris Bishop. “Recently Ministers and agencies have received a series of OIA requests for a list of organisations to whom I wrote with information on applying to have a ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 day ago

  • Judicial appointments announced
    Attorney-General Judith Collins today announced the appointment of Wellington Barrister David Jonathan Boldt as a Judge of the High Court, and the Honourable Justice Matthew Palmer as a Judge of the Court of Appeal. Justice Boldt graduated with an LLB from Victoria University of Wellington in 1990, and also holds ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 day ago

  • Education Minister heads to major teaching summit in Singapore
    Education Minister Erica Stanford will lead the New Zealand delegation at the 2024 International Summit on the Teaching Profession (ISTP) held in Singapore. The delegation includes representatives from the Post Primary Teachers’ Association (PPTA) Te Wehengarua and the New Zealand Educational Institute (NZEI) Te Riu Roa.  The summit is co-hosted ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 day ago

  • Value of stopbank project proven during cyclone
    A stopbank upgrade project in Tairawhiti partly funded by the Government has increased flood resilience for around 7000ha of residential and horticultural land so far, Regional Development Minister Shane Jones says. Mr Jones today attended a dawn service in Gisborne to mark the end of the first stage of the ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 day ago

  • Anzac commemorations, Türkiye relationship focus of visit
    Foreign Affairs Minister Winston Peters will represent the Government at Anzac Day commemorations on the Gallipoli Peninsula next week and engage with senior representatives of the Turkish government in Istanbul.    “The Gallipoli campaign is a defining event in our history. It will be a privilege to share the occasion ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 day ago

  • Minister to Europe for OECD meeting, Anzac Day
    Science, Innovation and Technology and Defence Minister Judith Collins will next week attend the OECD Science and Technology Ministerial conference in Paris and Anzac Day commemorations in Belgium. “Science, innovation and technology have a major role to play in rebuilding our economy and achieving better health, environmental and social outcomes ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 day ago

  • Comprehensive Partnership the goal for NZ and the Philippines
    Prime Minister Christopher Luxon held a bilateral meeting today with the President of the Philippines, Ferdinand Marcos Jr.  The Prime Minister was accompanied by MP Paulo Garcia, the first Filipino to be elected to a legislature outside the Philippines. During today’s meeting, Prime Minister Luxon and President Marcos Jr discussed opportunities to ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago

  • Government commits $20m to Westport flood protection
    The Government has announced that $20 million in funding will be made available to Westport to fund much needed flood protection around the town. This measure will significantly improve the resilience of the community, says Local Government Minister Simeon Brown. “The Westport community has already been allocated almost $3 million ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago

  • Taupō takes pole position
    The Government is proud to support the first ever Repco Supercars Championship event in Taupō as up to 70,000 motorsport fans attend the Taupō International Motorsport Park this weekend, says Economic Development Minister Melissa Lee. “Anticipation for the ITM Taupō Super400 is huge, with tickets and accommodation selling out weeks ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago

  • Cost of living support for low-income homeowners
    Local Government Minister Simeon Brown has announced an increase to the Rates Rebate Scheme, putting money back into the pockets of low-income homeowners.  “The coalition Government is committed to bringing down the cost of living for New Zealanders. That includes targeted support for those Kiwis who are doing things tough, such ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago

  • Government backing mussel spat project
    The Coalition Government is investing in a project to boost survival rates of New Zealand mussels and grow the industry, Oceans and Fisheries Minister Shane Jones has announced. “This project seeks to increase the resilience of our mussels and significantly boost the sector’s productivity,” Mr Jones says. “The project - ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago

  • Government focused on getting people into work
    Benefit figures released today underscore the importance of the Government’s plan to rebuild the economy and have 50,000 fewer people on Jobseeker Support, Social Development and Employment Minister Louise Upston says. “Benefit numbers are still significantly higher than when National was last in government, when there was about 70,000 fewer ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago

  • Clean energy key driver to reducing emissions
    The Government’s commitment to doubling New Zealand’s renewable energy capacity is backed by new data showing that clean energy has helped the country reach its lowest annual gross emissions since 1999, Climate Change Minister Simon Watts says. New Zealand’s latest Greenhouse Gas Inventory (1990-2022) published today, shows gross emissions fell ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago

  • Earthquake-prone buildings review brought forward
    The Government is bringing the earthquake-prone building review forward, with work to start immediately, and extending the deadline for remediations by four years, Building and Construction Minister Chris Penk says. “Our Government is focused on rebuilding the economy. A key part of our plan is to cut red tape that ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago

  • Thailand and NZ to agree to Strategic Partnership
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