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Latest Roy Morgan poll

Written By: - Date published: 3:04 pm, July 31st, 2014 - 192 comments
Categories: polls - Tags: ,

Roy Morgan

I know at the Standard we rarely post about individual polls and there is danger in relying on a single poll and caution should always be exercised but the latest Roy Morgan poll gives a reason for lefties to smile a bit and it has been a while!

Today’s New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll shows a large fall in support for National (46%, down 5% – the lowest since May) now with a significantly reduced lead over a potential Labour/Greens alliance (42%, up 3.5%) just two months before the New Zealand Election on September 20.

Support for Key’s Coalition partners has changed little overall with the Maori Party 1.5% (up 0.5%), Act NZ (0.5%, unchanged) and United Future 0.5% (unchanged).

Support for the Labour Party is 30% (up 6.5%), but the Greens are down 3% to 12%. Potential ‘king-makers’ NZ First is 5% (down 1%), the Internet-Mana Party alliance is 2.5% (up 1%). Support for the Conservative Party of NZ is 1% (unchanged) and support for Independent/ Others is 1% (up 1%).

Of course anything can happen between now and election day but if this represents the trend then it is going to be a very interesting campaign …

192 comments on “Latest Roy Morgan poll”

  1. Craig Glen Eden 1

    Its a start of the reversal we need. “The headlines will read Labour still struggling Cunliffe should resign”. but hey .

  2. feijoa 2

    YES!!

    Now watch the Nats bashing machine really swing into action

    I saw the DomPost managed to devote about an inch to Labours wages policy

    Yes indeed still more work to be done but definitely not all gloom and doom like some would say

    • Rosie 2.1

      Lolz they did too. In the “briefs” section. Yet opposite that was a Jane Clifton article with accompanying photo about Tony Ryall’s last day and how his colleagues all turned up wearing ugly ties in solidarity.

      Getting the important stories out there Dompost!

  3. Bearded Git 3

    This poll taken before Labour’s $16.25 minimum wage announcement which IMHO is a bit of a game changer.

    • srylands 3.1

      .. for the 2.4% of people on minimum wage who either don’t vote, or vote for Left parties already. How is that a game changer?

      Howe many National voting cleaners are you going to switch to Labour with this policy?

      • Tracey 3.1.1

        Maybe unlike you there are a number not on minimum wage themselves who want to see it raised for others?

      • One Anonymous Bloke 3.1.2

        How many faith-based policy merchants who peddle false economic beliefs to needy politicians will support this policy?

        Sooner or later the truth will out: S Rylands fears for his income.

        • Tracey 3.1.2.1

          S Lylands is one of the poorer areas on Planet Key

          • disturbed 3.1.2.1.1

            Last day at Parliament and no show P.M.?’

            Gee he couldn’t take the heat that the poll laid on him eh?

            He must have gone to Planet Key eh?

            Hope he doesn’t come back.

      • Tiger Mountain 3.1.3

        Hit the torys where it hurts I say–via their bloated, bulging overstuffed bank accounts!

        Time to share boys. You lot would not get out of bed for $15.00 or $16.25 per hour, but it will be significant for thousands of New Zealanders.

        • One Anonymous Bloke 3.1.3.1

          That isn’t quite how it works TM: throughout NZ history, New Zealanders have created more wealth under Labour led governments than National led ones.

          A bigger pie shared more fairly means win/win.

          • Tiger Mountain 3.1.3.1.1

            Sure as graphs archived on The Standard show; but the business sector has been win-winning all on its lonesome and some redress is now needed as well as the positive stuff a Labour led government will deliver.

      • Akldnut 3.1.4

        “How many National voting cleaners are you going to switch to Labour with this policy?”

        All the ones on min wage or less.

      • appleby 3.1.5

        but a load of cleaners who have had enough and are tuned out of politics could very well bdecide to vote and guess who they will vote for…

      • Bearded Git 3.1.6

        Srylands-Labour over the last 6 polls. Spot the trend?

        23.5%, 24.9%, 26.5%, 26.7%, 28%, 30%………………..31%, 32%, 33%, 34%…bye bye John.

      • dave 3.1.7

        I still think peters can claim another 2 percent and srylands its not just minimum wage earners its affordable housing modern monetary policy ,smaller class sizes ,economic up grade away form a high pollution dumb economy ,cheaper power , $60 a week kids under 3 years old restarting the Cullen fund what’s national policies spray and walk away then blame sneer and generally behave like a tosser.ie you!

      • framu 3.1.8

        conidering that A) cleaners would in most cases get a pay rise and B) your own (ie – the neoliberal right) ideology is all about rational economic actors – i would suspect all of them

        your own stupid ideology says they would

        thats if theres min wage cleaners who vote nat in the first place – sure there might be some, but im picking not that many. You might hate poor people, but they arent as stupid as you think they are

    • Chooky 3.2

      +100 Bearded Git…Labour is on a winner with the upping the minimum wage …good honest Left and pro- worker policy!

      …Eat your heart out srylands and Act…not looking too bright for you on 0.5% of New Zealanders wanting to vote for you

      …and OMG your condition has stablised into a terminal morbidity blip…like your great NeoLib leader Maggie Thatcher…your ACT is heading for the dead and buried!

      • Tracey 3.2.1

        ACT will win Epsom, so they stagger on… It is amazing the damage they can do though

        • to Well Tracey all I can say is that if the poor saps in Epsom are so brainwashed and stupid as to as do as they are told regardless of the outcome then they deserve everything they get.
          However by their past voting record I can only presume that Epsom must be full of “Born to Rule chinless wonders .

          • The Al1en 3.2.1.1.1

            Well with RH, DB and now JW, hairless wonders also works too.

            • the pigman 3.2.1.1.1.1

              You forgot one Alien! John Boscawen (sp?) – the other JB – gets in there after RH (or was it after DB? I don’t give so much attention to those guys.)

          • Tracey 3.2.1.1.2

            It is full of people who preach to others about personal responsibility and accountability but dont practice it.

          • Michael 3.2.1.1.3

            It is and they are.

        • Lanthanide 3.2.1.2

          I’m really not sure they will win Epsom, to be honest.

          • Tom Jackson 3.2.1.2.1

            Yes. It seems unlikely that ACT would get another MP on current polling, so there isn’t that much reason for National voters to switch.

            • Tracey 3.2.1.2.1.1

              They were only heading for one last time they had a cuppa, and nats know ACT will only get one this timebut have sent the message out to vote for seymour

          • Tracey 3.2.1.2.2

            Can I ask what you base that on?

            • Lanthanide 3.2.1.2.2.1

              John Banks and the stench coming from ACT. The fact that their latest candidate is clearly a robot. Jamie Whyte is out of touch with ordinary NZers every time he’s opened his mouth in public.

  4. Tracey 4

    I wonder if Key’s recent leaning toward Peters suggests nationals daily polling is reflecting a similar position?

    Why wont Nats say which UF and ACT policies it will entertain?

    • Chooky 4.1

      Key has done a huge unblushing U-TURN on whether to try and go with Peters and NZF…once upon a time it was out of the question because Winnie was untrustworthy!!!!

      Now Key can see the writing on the wall and NACT is on the ropes… Key really is getting desperate !…..because I don’t think Peters fancies him at all…and Key is having to grovel…Winnie must be smiling into his whiskey

    • Colonial Viper 4.2

      The NATs wont even admit to which of its own policies it will entertain…

    • AmaKiwi 4.3

      Because they are a secret, like charter schools were a secret last election.

  5. Matthew Hooton 5

    “I know at the Standard we rarely post about individual polls.”

    Ha!

    What you mean is “At the Standard we always post about positive polls for Labour and never about negative polls for Labour so over recent years we have rarely posted about individual polls … ”

    But thank goodness for Roy Morgan. The political punditry work was at risk of drying up.

    [lprent: Another horseshit myth, steaming with the aroma of simple minded lack of attention as Hooton dropped another one.

    This is a pattern of authoring that is at least 6 years old as authors figured out what was a useful amount of data to pick trends in bouncing polls (5-6 weeks). About the only time it varies is when there is a discussion about polling techniques or at election times.

    These are the posts over the last 6 months about polls. You will note that we usually seem to do them about every 5-6 weeks regardless of what the results for the left are. The frequency will start increasing as we approach an election (just as they have done in the last two elections).

    July 31: this one.
    July 22: /polity-poll-of-polls-update/
    July 17: /polity-new-polls/
    June 17: /polity-herald-poll/
    June 07: /polity-morgans-poll-and-morgans-commentary/
    May 07: /latest-roy-morgan/
    Mar 31: /polity-the-new-tv-polls/
    Feb 25: /on-polls-and-things/
    etc…

    Of course you could look through

    polls


    or just search
    /page/2/?s=poll&isopen=block&search_posts=true&search_sortby=date
    /?s=poll&isopen=block&search_comments=true&search_sortby=date

    If you want to make up dumbarse myths, then perhaps you should try looking first for something that isn’t quite as easy to disprove.

    If I see anyone going with this fuckwit myth again, they will immediately get a year long ban for stupidity. I’ve now pointed this out several times and I’m getting tired of doing so. Care to be the first? ]

    • mickysavage 5.1

      Often about positive polls and not so often about negative polls but you should forgive me for having a little smile on my face right now. And I agree Matthew that you have consistently said that this election will be too close to call.

      • Matthew Hooton 5.1.1

        yes, fair enough

        • Saarbo 5.1.1.1

          Oh things seem to be heading in the right direction for labour, in our local community paper which has a weekly contribution from Fran O Sullivan, she has provided a big endorsement of Labours Sheep and Beef policy. This on the back of a huge drop in the Fonterra payout and farmers are starting to look a bit more carefully at Labour’s Monetary Policy and its potential impact on exch and int rates….could be some votes swinging soon…from very un-traditional voters.

          Ill have a swagger when I put up the Red hoardings this weekend.

          Every ones a winner under Labour.

    • bad12 5.2

      ”what you mean is” Tsk Tsk Tsk wee Matty, you are sliding ever so close there to having Papa come along and put you over His knee for an illegal yet much needed corrective spanking…

      • Chooky 5.2.1

        yes i am all for a “corrective spanking” in this case…particularly as Possum has insistently been advising and urging Labour to replace Cunliffe with Shearer …again!

    • Matthew Hooton 5.3

      Relax, lprent. It was a joke. Greg got this post up within about 10 mins of the poll being published. (I wonder if old DPF and Whaleoil managed to be so quick on this occasion!)

      [lprent: Sounded suspiciously like a old and very hackneyed joke. Don’t know about Micky, but I get a email when they publish. ]

      • The Al1en 5.3.1

        Bet it’s panic stations at your accountants post election.

        • Chooky 5.3.1.1

          lol…Possum won’t answer that …he will be hunting for a new tree food source

        • Te Reo Putake 5.3.1.2

          Actually, I reckon Matthew and his accountants would be hoping for a Nat loss. If I remember my Hollow Men correctly, he did much more work for them in opposition. It’s the losing side that really needs the advice.

          • The Al1en 5.3.1.2.1

            Yes, with quality analysis like his, he’ll be top of the list for sure 😆

          • RedBaronCV 5.3.1.2.2

            So Mathew needs to now be known as “Mathew de Talleyrand-Périgord Hooten” perhaps for his abilty to switch sides at the opportune moment?

            (Talleyrand worked as a government minister for the Bourbon kings before the revolution, successive revolutionary governments, Napoleon & the bourbon kings again after restoration- thanks Wikipedia)

            Makes Peter Dunne’s flip flopping look very amateur

            And just for the record I don’t think it will be a close election (that was the last one) – it will be a fine day with heavy early turnout as the country walks down the road and boots Nact out.

            • Martin 5.3.1.2.2.1

              Napoleon Bonaparte referred to the real Telleyrand as “That shit in silk stockings”

            • disturbed 5.3.1.2.2.2

              End of Parliament today and guess what John key was absent!!!

              It was comical to see labour and Winston tormenting the leftovers, as they looked around like a groom to be wondering where the bride to be was.

              He must have got a chill after the Roy Morgan poll came out?
              It’s not in his DNA to be tormented as he usually likes to be the only one dishing it out to the opposition side, so we wouldn’t be surprised he has left for US to get some free pre election adverts again at Warner Studio’s as a payback for the $40 million he gave them of our taxpayer money to curry favour.

              Then after he will go sit on the wall St exchange, with is ex wall St currency trader mate Kruger and plot to sink the Kiwi dollar again like in the 1980’s and make another bucket of money off our backs again as he bids us farewell. Then go to his castle in Hawaii and play golf with his mate Obama.

              He even may have gone off again to the Bilderberg group for help and sit at their table of Global powerful elitists he loves to rub shoulders with as they plot to control every corner of the Globe.

              What a fascinating shadowy dark character he is.

        • bad12 5.3.1.3

          i hear the sad wail of an out of tune violin playing in the background…

          • The Al1en 5.3.1.3.1

            Are you sure that’s not Judith limbering up for a leadership tilt?

            • bad12 5.3.1.3.1.1

              More the sound of the whole Caucus sharpening their knives for a bloodless coup National style where the tanker parked outside disguised with the Fonterror insignia is really chocka full of plasma…

              • tricledrown

                Brain Fade Key will be off to Washington via Hawaiikey as ambassador to the USoA.
                that if he remembers where the Airport is .

        • Martin 5.3.1.4

          shredding files and running to catch the next flight to Amerika

      • tricledrown 5.3.2

        Hooton.
        the only joke is you you are already yesterdays man your so-cold genius has you beached like Whale all washed up.
        Blubber on.

      • framu 5.3.3

        helps if you add 🙂 or (/sarc) or something matt – thats how people know for sure your having a laugh as opposed to being, well, yourself 🙂 (see how that works)

      • North 5.3.4

        “Relax lprent Old Chap…….was a joke !

        Condescending to the core…….even in strategic withdrawal.

        Excellent. Will be their undoing.

  6. bad12 6

    Humpty Dumpty and all that, and should Winston take a great fall, down will come ACT, National and all,

    DotCom, Hone, Lailla, Annette and all, not being the Kings men, will withdraw their labour and refuse to glue Humpty together again…

    • tricledrown 6.1

      Genius bad 12

    • North 6.2

      Bad12……excellent ! Try it to the tune of My Ding-a-Ling. Practise a bit…….it really works !

    • North 6.3

      Bad12……excellent ! Try it to the tune of My Ding-a-Ling. Practise a bit…….it really works !

    • David H 6.4

      “DotCom, Hone, Lailla, Annette and all, not being the Kings men” Did a John Key, refused to read the directions, and ended up with Chicken Little.

  7. swordfish 7

    Brilliant. One will add the stats to one’s blog.

    Lab+Green between 3-6 points higher than in other July polls. In fact, they haven’t been up at 42% since mid May. As you say, just one poll, but hopeful signs….

    …Do I sense another series of MSM attacks on Cunliffe in the wings ?….Wearing the wrong colour shirt ?, Slept in for half an hour ?, Brushes his hair the wrong way ?….what will the next alleged “woeful gaffe” be ?

    Actually, I wish I hadn’t said that, I’ll be giving John Armstrong ideas.
    Tomorrow’s Herald Front Page Headline:
    Cunliffe in Wrong Shirt Colour Shocker !!! We Say he MUST Resign Now by Herald Special Investigative reporter, John P Armstrong.

    • Tracey 7.1

      Can you post your url? I forgot it and cannot find it in my bookmarks

    • Matthew Hooton 7.2

      I bet he puts the water on his toothbrush after the toothpaste.

      • ianmac 7.2.1

        David doesn’t snore. A sure sign of….. Hang on. How would Cameron know about that?

      • anker 7.2.2

        Yes how the right have been trying to portray DC doesn’t really go with your “diagnosis” of narcissistic personality disorder. But hell, you wouldn’t let that stop you from smearing him. Any angle at all eh!

      • Puddleglum 7.2.3

        Gulp! So do I … I never knew …

      • tricledrown 7.2.4

        unlike you mad hater as nothing sticks to your brush because it has to much whaleoil on it

    • Akldnut 7.3

      Tomorrows Herald

      “Labour party Leader sleeps till 9.00am each morning”

      In a drowsy state at 9.00am this morning, Labour party leader David Cunliffe was seen picking up the NZ Herald delivered to his home daily at 4.30am each morning. When asked about his pink pyjamas and purple dressing gown with large yellow printed teddy bears he stated that “They are all The rage, along with a slumber hair net which helps to avoid “bed hair” sticking up”

      Could New Zealanders have a prime minister with such appalling night dress sense? Kiwis will be asking themselves after today’s dreadful exhibition of of poor judgement and dress sense>

      This will surely be the game breaker when hundreds of thousands from both the Left and Right go to the booths on Sept 20 2014.

      John Armstrong
      NZ Herald chief political commentator

    • Bearded Git 7.4

      Cunliffe excellent last speech in parliament today-it’s all coming together. Next appearance will be on the opposite benches as PM.

  8. mickysavage 8

    What is the bet that John Key is furiously hunting for Colin Craig’s cellphone number right now?

    • Tracey 8.1

      More likely opening that drawer in his office

    • Te Reo Putake 8.2

      It’s funny really, because which ever way he went with Craig, there was a potential downside. Pull McCully in ECB and risk losing party votes from liberal Nats who don’t want a bar of CrayCray or step away from that option and risk losing party votes from religious Nat’s who now have to tick Conservative in the hope of getting Craig past the 5%.

      5% isn’t going to happen, obviously, but it’s going to be great that every Conservative party vote is now going to be one less vote for Key’s 3rd term.

    • tricledrown 8.3

      mickesavage practicing his three way handshake

    • Clemgeopin 8.4

      Here it is: 911!

  9. Wayne 9

    This poll says its all about Winston. And where do you think he is going to go?

    • Tracey 9.1

      Most importantly Key thinks this polling is right… So is wooing Winston. Very much a case of if you dont like my principles, i have some different ones for you, aye Wayne.

    • bad12 9.2

      On 5% i would suggest that Winston is going the same way He did in 2008, Colon the Conservative with blood in His eye from having been left standing alone at the alter by Slippery the Prime Minister is still going to use His millions to burn some electoral rubber,

      Ascribed a paltry 1% by Roy Morgan i have no doubt that Colon the Conservative, crazed like every jilted john befor Him in the annals of history will gather at least 2.5% of the vote in September a mere smidgeon of which if taken from NZFirst will bring down the House of Winston and leave Slippery the Prime Minister standing alone at the same alter that Colon previously wept at,

      S’pose you could always dream that the Conservatives % of the vote is going to be taken from InternetMana…

      • Tiger Mountain 9.2.1

        nice to have result for the left;
        Colonservatives–3%
        Winston First–4.9%
        Internet Mana–5%, could happen
        Labour to rise to early 30s, Labour supporters will be hoping so
        Green to rise slightly and solidify for Sept 20

        …and the election season has barely started like Labour’s big launch in Auckland coming up and the enrol and vote campaigns getting down to business and TV debates. Will ShonKey want two rescue dogs in his kennel at the same time?

        • Kiwiri 9.2.1.1

          “Colonservatives”!
          Haha. Very good.

          • tricledrown 9.2.1.1.1

            looking at colon Craigs billboard he looks like something out of a Hitchcock movie.

        • bad12 9.2.1.2

          Yep, Labour 33%, Greens 12%, InternetMana 5%, by themselves singularly unspectacular numbers but addition makes them a piece of mathematical joy, Fifty Percent!!!

          Far from impossible lets do it…

      • Tracey 9.2.2

        Its over to the people at uppity harbour to vote for christine not paula 😉

    • Olwyn 9.3

      Winston has already lashed out angrily at the claim that he will go with National.

      http://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/news/article.cfm?c_id=1&objectid=11302065

      I do not say that he won’t in the end, but he knows very well that his vote will plummet if people assume that he will.

      • Chooky 9.3.1

        agreed…and it will be the end of him politically if he does go with Key…because Peter’s policies and all his statements have been totally at variance with Key’s neolib Nact agenda

      • bad12 9.3.2

        Olwyn, IF Ron Marks actually uttered those words attributed to Him by Granny Herald this morning you have to wonder what the motive actually was,

        i thought the NZFirst selection panel had inserted Brendon Who into the Parliament as the obvious heir apparent to Winston,(and Winston didn’t like the intrusion one little bit),

        Are forces within NZFirst smarting over Winston’s unilateral dismissal of Brendon and using Ron Marks in some bizarre ritual of retribution,

        There is a thought here that if Marks suddenly appears in a high spot on the NZFirst list there is a signal that IF Winston does not take the Party into coalition with National then He will be rolled, Marks installed as leader and the deal done,

        Ron’s remarks are either really really stupid or deliberately machiavellian with a future outcome firmly in mind…

        • Olwyn 9.3.2.1

          Interesting point. I will watch out for that. Your suggestion makes me wonder if someone is waving big donations in front of the less visible members of NZ1, with conditions attached.

          • bad12 9.3.2.1.1

            Olwyn, there is one more thin strand of the conversation today worth repeating, perhaps Ron Marks has no intention of entering the fray of national politics again,(busy man and all that, head of the negotiating team for Ngati Kahugnugnu, appointed to two DHBs),

            Bizarrely and unlikely as it is, He may have just decided to take, for reasons known only to Him, a pretty effective parting shot at Winston by painting Him as less than honest with the ”no deals till after the vote” Winston continues to drip from the snake-oil bottle…

            • Olwyn 9.3.2.1.1.1

              You could be right there – Marks might merely be trying to make things tricky for him.

        • Chooky 9.3.2.2

          once Winnie goes it will be the end of NZF imo…..unless they find someone young and vibrant

          …Ron Marks is yesterdays man imo

          ..not to worry …Winnie will be good for another couple of terms…but only if he goes with Labour …he is finished if he goes with John key and Nactional….and even the hint of this is the breath of death and he knows it

          …so dream on John Key and all you NACTs…you are finished because Winnie will spurn you!

          • phillip ure 9.3.2.2.1

            that’s quite the sheet-anchor you are clinging to there..chooky..

            ..winston peters is no longer a safe-vote…for anyone wanting change…

            • The Al1en 9.3.2.2.1.1

              But you would say that, wouldn’t you, pushing the last cab of the rank like a trooper.

              • winston made it pretty clear by mentioning the Māori Party in his tired little rant that the gnats will get the big eyes from him – he is the rankest cab by far – but please vote for him if that’s what spins your wheels.

                • The Al1en

                  No, I wouldn’t vote Winston and NZ1st, just like I’d never vote for hone, but I’d still prefer them in a Green/Labour coalition over your fella, who went totally bug eyed over kim’s loot.

                  If it’s a car game, phil can push the cab, you can wipe the dirty tracks left in it’s wake.

                  • I think you’ve been sucked in allen by the sharp suits and pithy soundbites – winston in any coalition will be unstable and unpredictable – which is why he will be poison in a leftish one – luckily that won’t happen because winnie prefers his old rightie mates especially when they are greasing.

                    Funny how the last cab off the rank becomes the first if you turn around. I remember the Tour protests and in wellington getting there late (bloody units) thinking I’ll be at the back – then I started noticing some ‘names’ and next thing I was at the front – so much better than being in the middle i can tell you, the middle sucks.

                    • The Al1en

                      That’s funny, I thought consensus was he did alright in the last Clark government, apart from the Glenn donations saga, which poo poos over the right v left poison comment seeing as he didn’t go with Brash.
                      Of course, mentioning donations and scandals, I hope your glass house at the mana has good stone protection, if you know what I mean.

                      I’ll celebrate a change of government in September either way, but for stability, with the kdc saga, the divisive activists retarding their way across prime time in front of mum and dad New Zealand, Winnie still makes for a more stable government.
                      I don’t fault your enthusiasm for dreams come true, wishing a very minority party, with a very minority leader having sway in post election talks, but 99% of voters wouldn’t touch hh with a barge pole, for obvious reasons.

                      Still a good chance for Labour to get 35% of the vote and the Greens 15%, and take all the flakes, of whatever variety, out of the equation for good. That would be the best result all round.

                    • lol Maaaaaate you are so worried about what others think of you – activists have a lot more self belief, and optimism, try it you may like it.

                    • The Al1en

                      I think it’s quite obvious I don’t care much for my ego, but keeping it relevant to the election and the 99 or 98 percent of people who don’t and won’t vote hh, appearances, and indeed public perception of stable governance are valid points.

                      We’re all activists in our own way mars, and belief and optimism are never in short supply here. Just ’cause you shout the loudest doesn’t mean you’re more dedicated or even deserve to be taken seriously.

                      35/15+ is in my opinion the best option for a stable left NZ government, even if kdc wastes his millions and you have to go to sleep with a heavy heart and tears on your pillow.
                      I don’t do youtube, but sure there’s a vid for that one somewhere 😉

                    • sure you can have some validity if it’s so important to you

                      no, we aren’t all activists at all – that’s silly

                      your opinion of what constitutes a stable government is nice

                      I’m pretty sure I know why you don’t like Kim – he’s from Germany and rich but why the hate on Hone – was it something he said? he did? he didn’t do? To be truthful I don’t really care about your reasons other than for interests sake – I mean I’d never expect (or want) you to change your view – I just wonder why you formed it – did he rip into the english at some point or something?

                    • The Al1en

                      If you don’t care for answers, it’s a bit retarded to ask questions, no?

                      No need for me to play your game and get dragged through your court of opinion mars, but for the record, should anyone care, outside of those wishing to set agenda, I don’t not like germans or people with money, I take each as I find, and I find kim and hone to be incompatible with stable left leaning government like 99 or 98% of NZ voters.

                    • “The word “retarded” is an offensive term for people with intellectual disabilities. However, it is often also used as an insult, which is entirely inappropriate. You can avoid using the word altogether. Keep reading for detailed instructions.”

                      http://www.wikihow.com/Avoid-Using-the-Word-%22Retarded%22

                    • The Al1en

                      informal offensive – very foolish or stupid.

                      Yep, agenda setting like a goodun 🙄
                      Unless you actually have an intellectual disability, in which case I apologise unreservedly.

                    • lol – you said it – but then again you’re a fan of giving it rather than taking it aren’t you – I’ll leave you alone now, no cat likes playing with a dead mouse, not even me 🙂

                    • The Al1en

                      I’m guessing the “I’ll leave you alone” and “dead mouse” is about you “winning” again.
                      No worries, I’ll be around next time you think you can direct the debate, like you’re the only lefty in the village. :snigger: :wave:

            • disturbed 9.3.2.2.1.2

              Phillip, you are talking crap.
              Winnie has more real fortitude than you have, he is one of those rare politicians toady that speaks from the heart, as when he came to Gisborne he got so many folks asking questions and clapping audience with every reply that the crowd was galvanised with him all 150 people, and how many does your lot get when they come to a small town like Gisborne?

              You had better believe there is a real change coming and today you should have watched parliament closing down, he was electric, and Key was absent all the day, so guess who knows time is up?

              • Chooky

                disturbed +100

                Winston is pure talent…his university law professor said you see a student with his sort of ability but very rarely…better than David Lange…this is why i think when Winston goes so will NZF…however Winnie still has a lot of life in him yet…enough for 2 more terms

                …but if i were him i would be watching my back…such is the NACTs desire to win and with so much of their investments and secret schemes for NZ resting on a WIN ….Winnie better make sure of his deputy and the loyalty of his MPs imo ( and maybe employ a taster …lol)

          • Martin 9.3.2.2.2

            Shame we have to kiss so many toads to get a prince.

        • Tracey 9.3.2.3

          Interesting observation bad

    • North 9.4

      God Wayne you’re sounding terrribly dark…..what wrong boyo ?

  10. Zorr 10

    And undecideds are still really really high:
    “Of all electors surveyed 6.5% (up 1%) didn’t name a party.”

    This result with that additional actually makes this look really bad for National.

    • Chooky 10.1

      agreed…the undecideds will probably go with the new spring tide…which is TIME FOR A CHANGE!

  11. Griffon 11

    Umm anyone notice that in August 2013 that Labour under Shearer plus the Greens were polling higher than what they are now? Throwing it out there that who knows what the polls would be looking like if Labour stuck with Shearer.

    • One Anonymous Bloke 11.1

      It’s lying there. Best you pick it up, since you threw it.

    • Te Reo Putake 11.2

      Yeah, I think that was the line the paid tory commenters were using a couple of month’s back, but it fell a bit flat. What I’m liking is the sympathy vote for Cunliffe; Kiwis love an underdog and DC’s come out of last month’s smearfest looking like a winner. Perhaps Key’s lengthy Hawaiian holiday was a mistake after all.

    • swordfish 11.3

      Umm anyone notice that in August 2013 that Labour under Shearer plus the Greens were polling higher than what they are now ? Throwing it out there that who knows what the polls would be looking like if Labour stuck with Shearer

      Significantly worse than they are now, sweet-pea. Shearer would’ve come in for precisely the same MSM firestorm and he would have been far too inept and inarticulate to deal with it.

      You see, what you’ve inadvertently forgotten too mention is that both Labour and Lab+Green were polling higher during Cunliffe’s first few months as leader than they were during Shearer’s last few months. So, had Shearer remained leader, Labour and the broader Left would have been starting from a lower support base when the full force of MSM Black Ops fury began to hit the hapless Shearer.

    • @ griffin..

      ‘um..!..aah..!,..,um..!..aah..!.’.wd be how it wd be sounding..

  12. Te Reo Putake 12

    Just did a quick electoral calculation. Assuming all the current parties retain an electorate seat, but Winston falls just short, it’s 63/57. If the Maori party flop, which I think will happen, it’s 62/58. If Winston gets in with 5%, then it’s either 60/54/6 (with MP) or 59/55/6.

    If the right block lose another 2 points to the left, then they simply cannot form a majority government, unless NZF are in Parliament and support them.

    • srylands 12.1

      Well I guess there is some serious money for you to make then. You can join Cameron Slater who is betting heavily on “Labour PM” with Centrebet. At the current odds I might join him. I assume you will too. If we do end up with that result, I would feel better with $6,000 as compensation 🙂

      • Te Reo Putake 12.1.1

        Thanks for the tip. I usually restrict myself to footy, but I think a punt on Labour might be worth a go. Sportingbet currently have the Nats at 1.11, Labour 6 bucks.

      • Chooky 12.1.2

        @ srylands…”$6,000 as compensation”….venal as ever!…many people do not have any discretionary income and struggle to get by …ever think of them?

      • Skinny 12.1.3

        No surprise seeing you and Hooton on here acting slightly strange Shrillands. Speaking of betting, I bet Key is off to church on Sunday with Craig.

        • Chooky 12.1.3.1

          snigger …as Winnie has spurned him

          • lurgee 12.1.3.1.1

            If you believe Peters won’t coalesce with National at the drop of a ballot, you’re a fool.

            He won’t work with Mana or the Maori Party. Which is more about him seeing off possible rival minor parties than any real principle.

            • phillip ure 12.1.3.1.1.1

              @ lurgee..

              “..If you believe Peters won’t coalesce with National at the drop of a ballot, you’re a fool..”

              ..+ 1..

              • The Al1en

                “..If you believe Peters won’t coalesce with National at the drop of a ballot, you’re a fool..”

                Like Hone did with the mp

                • bad12

                  the trouble with that little stab of the knitting needle Alien is that InternetMana have the stated intention of being rid of Slippery and this National Government,

                  And Winston???, IF what Ron Marks has been reported as saying today, Winston has been far from honest with His ”no deals till after the vote” shiftyness,

                  Therein lies the rub, a vote for InternetMana is 100% anti-National/ACT, a vote for NZFirst tho is a 50/50 proposition either way,

                  The only reason anyone who has the ability for critical thinking would vote for the 50/50 proposition is if they also had a morbid desire to always be on the winning side…

                • “Like Hone did with the mp”

                  Doesn’t even make sense allen – has Hone coalesced with the gnats – no, will he – no. The stated aim of MANA is to get rid of the gnats.

                • Chooky

                  @The Allen +100 …agreed!

                  … Hone and the Maori Party did NOT coalesce…just as Winnie and National under Bolger/Shipley did NOT coalesce!

                  …Good analogy!

                  • The Al1en

                    “…Good analogy!”

                    Thanks. 😉 But I guess it’s in the reading of the word, it’s useage and it’s intended meaning by pu.

                    “come together to form one mass or whole. combine (elements) in a mass or whole.
                    synonyms: unite, join together, combine, merge, fuse, mingle, meld, blend, intermingle, knit (together), amalgamate, consolidate, integrate, affiliate, link up, homogenize, synthesize, converge”

                    “has Hone coalesced with the gnats – no, will he – no. The stated aim of MANA is to get rid of the gnats.”

                    Though he has helped prop up a Key government, which I believe to this date Winston hasn’t, but sure, even hone wouldn’t do that to his voter base again.

              • disturbed

                Phillip, your’e a fool and a blind one at that.

            • Chooky 12.1.3.1.1.2

              they are not rivals at all!…different age spectrum groups and concerns…Winston is just pandering to the right of his potential constituency vote ( blue rinse Nats)…but come the final result he will work with both the Greens and Mana/Int in order to form a Labour Left Coalition Government …anything else would be a complete betrayal of his anti-Neolib stance and what he stands for… and it would be political suicide

              …in any case i think Mana/Int have said they will support a Labour Govt but don’t necessarily want to be in caucus

        • Clemgeopin 12.1.3.2

          And with Collins and her family in tow too!

  13. JJ 13

    Thank you

    David is safe

    National voters are reminded how important it is to get out and vote

    National will be celebrating!!!!!!

    • swordfish 13.1

      Well, if the National Party celebrates every time it plunges 5 points in the polls then here’s hoping they get to party hard for the next couple of months.

  14. AN 14

    I will be voting Labour because of their animal welfare policies- particularly the one to ban factory farming by 2017. I wasn’t planning to vote Labour until they released that policy. People like me could well be a decent percentage of the population and could account for quite a lot of the swing in vote. Lots of people will pay more for freedom farmed eggs and other products because animal welfare matters to them, so maybe those same people will take those issues into account when they vote as well. Good call by Labour.

    • Chooky 14.1

      @ AN …yes good animal welfare policy moves on Labour’s part

      ‘Labour Commits To An End To Factory Farming’

      By Jessie Hume / July 31, 2014

      For the first time in New Zealand history all of the left-wing parties and the major animal advocacy organisations spoke out in unison. Labour, the Greens, the SPCA and SAFE stood side-by-side and powerfully echoed the sentiment of thousands of Kiwis. The message is clear; factory farming isn’t our future….

      • Belladonna 14.1.1

        I am still undecided as to whether to vote Labour or Greens but the factory farming stance by Labour would tend to point me in the direction of Labour. They still need to do something positive for beneficiaries though before they get my vote.

    • Clemgeopin 14.2

      Good on you. I am voting Labour primarily on their better New Zealand policies.

  15. Tanz 15

    You have not factored in the CC factor. He will do well on the day, as will Winston Peters. There will be lots of no votes, and this will not bode well for the left.

  16. lurgee 16

    It’s a Roy Morgan poll. The next one will show everything going 5% the other way, and there will be desair and gnashing of teeth and suggestions that the polls are fixed and the media should not be commenting on them. Then the next one after that will be like the current one, and everything will be HALLELUJAH and celebration and demands for the ‘MSM’ to cover the polls more.

    • blue leopard 16.1

      Sacre bleu! What a cynic!… 😯

      +1 I say this is a fair prediction you put forward…

    • Te Reo Putake 16.2

      Your probably correct lurgee, but that’s a reflection of how good RM is. It does seem to accurately reflect the mood swings of the electorate. As opposed to the Herald/TV3/TVNZ ones merely reflecting the mood swings of the Prime Minister.

    • bad12 16.3

      You have a point lurgee, of interest graph the years Roy Morgan’s compressing the time-line and ascribing 50mm to each 5% of movement both up and down,

      The graph then looks like the richter scale did during the Christchurch earthquakes, i find Roy’s swings as bizarre as i find the New Zealand media paid for polls giving National well over 50% of the vote despite everyone admitting that the numbers are not going to happen on election day and those polls history showing what the ‘true’ picture for National is likely to be on election day,

      Why not talk up our side of the fence off of a good looking poll, hell the right along with the mass media batter the whole population with the Govern alone bullshit even tho all that media know it just aint going to happen,

      Confidence and humor is worth votes in September, why do you think the media polls spread their lies, for shits and giggles perhaps, they are trying to create a perception either to drag the glum over to their side of that fence or drive them off into did not vote land in despondency,

      This isn’t to hard an ask in September, NZFirst 4.5%, Labour 33%, Greens 12%, InternetMana 5%, that says bye bye National/ACT…

  17. Too Much Carbon 17

    Interest rate hikes are a real killer for incumbents. Of course Key will claim fiscal responsibility keeps rates down (despite there being no evidence), but it will be hard to explain to mortgage holders why they will be better off paying higher mortgages.

  18. miravox 18

    That -7.5% change in confidence rating has got to be a bit of a worry for NAct.

    • mickysavage 18.1

      Yep that is the killer feature of this poll. When confidence drains away support for the Government follows.

  19. Ennui 19

    Excellent news for the morale. There is only one poll that counts; that is on the day. Keep on working spreading the word Standardistas.

  20. tricledrown 20

    Brain Fade Key is lying about not knowing about Kim Dotcom!
    Remember when Brain Fade Key was reassuring us that more invasive spying legislation wasn,t going to affect ordinary New Zilanders,
    Brain Fade Keys own Words were that he knew every body on the list of who was being spied on as he was head of the SIS!
    Right there is the proof Brain Fade Key is LYING!

  21. disturbed 21

    Hey trickledown, – Is this also familiar too.

    Question to key, – are you concerned about the Crafer farms sale?

    “Oh we don’t want to see you all as tenants in your own land” Key 2012.
    His words are not worth the paper their written on if you can find any before he shreds all the evidence and boards that last flight outa here.
    Leave at your own free will shyster.

  22. CeeH 22

    Will never give up on Labour – it’s the right party for the people. The polls are encouraging and now curious to see what next is going to come against Labour. Thanks to the standard especially micky savage – when disheartened I come here for a pick me up and have always noticed your support, and to all the Labour people and supporters who work hard and make sacrifice to make it a fairer nz for all. Much appreciated.

    • Clemgeopin 22.1

      My sentiments exactly. I want a strong, well supported Labour party which is not put under excessive disproportional demands and unfair power wielded by the smaller parties with limited public support which can sometimes lead to extremist type of programmes like the Charter schools of the present government. Sure, policies that are broadly acceptable by all or most members of the progressive parties, including Labour, and favourably accepted by the public are welcome. Extreme/controversial/difficult policies and programmes are not welcome until the general public are made well aware of the issues and are supportive. Otherwise, both Labour as well as the other progressive parties will be resented by the general public and will get thrown out at the next election. What is so good about that then!

  23. Grumpy 23

    Seems to me that the Labour vote has come back from the Greens and that the National vote has gone to “undecided”. The Greens seem to be bleeding voters to Mana – Internet and to Labour.

    • felix 23.1

      Those things can’t all be true Grumpy. Greens down 3, iM up 2. Only leaves 1% moving from Green to Lab if your theory is correct re Green to iM.

      So if you’re right about the Greens bleeding to iM, then National must be bleeding to Labour.

      • grumpy 23.1.1

        Nope, reckon National has lost votes to “undecided”. Anyway, plenty more polls coming that are historically more reliable than Roy Morgan.

        • swordfish 23.1.1.1

          Quite right, Grumpers.

          National Down 5 points

          Undecideds Up 1 point

          So, incredibly astute of you to suggest that “the National vote has gone to “undecided””
          Very much on a par with your understanding of Israel’s current massacre of the Palestinians.

        • ScottGN 23.1.1.2

          Which ones might those be grumpy? Colmar Brunton? Ipsos Faifax? Reid TV3? They all over estimated National’s support at the last election. In fact, if I recall, Roy Morgan came closest to predicting the outcome of the election.

    • disturbed 23.2

      Grumpy, as a Nat’ you have reason to be grumpy as Key is since he was absent again as a no show in Parliament yesterday did you know?

      He was panicking & packing his bags after the shock poll results.

      You are obviously a product of the Key financial market fraternity using that term “come back”
      Turn on CNBC, how many times do you hear “come back”?

      I just did and the first minute they said it six times.

      Don’t give us these clues you are a stock broker mate of Key’s!
      as you use those terms: ‘come back’
      “Seems to me that the Labour vote has come back from the Green “

    • lurgee 23.3

      I think you are reading for too much into it. these ‘changes’ are likely just sample variation and nothing much has really changed at all.

  24. TightyRighty 24

    It’s rather erroneous. Calling cellphones when we don’t know the cellphone number methodology used will almost certainly result in a labour uptick. What’s the geographical spread of the these cell phone owners? Are they pre pay? Are they all in mangere?

    The only reason the left loves cell phone polls is not because they result in more accurate numbers, it’s because it gives be left a greater chance of gaining in the polls and therefore the minds if the voters. Dishonest is what that is

    • Lanthanide 24.1

      “Calling cellphones when we don’t know the cellphone number methodology used will almost certainly result in a labour uptick. ”

      When Roy Morgan polled my on my cellphone at the start of the year, I asked them how they got it. They said they do random calling of cellphone numbers, and then ask for your postal area code to be sure they get even geographic coverage of the country. And it’s true, because the first question they asked me after asking if I’d like to do a survey, was my postcode.

      So there you go.

  25. disturbed 25

    Clear signs here on the last piece of this string the Nat’s are worried.

    As they thrash around still clinging onto the side of the sinking key boat they are attached so fondly to.

    The insecurity emanating from this frantic talk is oozing from them with worries as to “what is causing the slide in Planetkeyism”?

    Words like dodgy Cellphone number metrology and words of erroneous cellphone calling!

    Get over it losers, just wait till the real polling on the night of the election and don’t have a heart attack now!

  26. Joronda 26

    Big worry is the $4billion per year capital gains tax and carbon taxes that Labour/Greens want to hit NZ with. Labour’s promises add up to $16.5billion so far, and farmers will have $4billion lower incomes in 2015. Govt tax revenue will be down sharply in 2015, so Labour promises won’t be kept.

  27. marious 27

    Looks like Nationals may be on the ropes to me judging from some of the comments here from their supporters. More interested in real policy put up than why the oppositions policy is no good.
    When policies are put on the table most of us can work out the differences.

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    Grant Pearce The effects of the current Australian bushfires in New South Wales and Queensland (and also again in California) are devastating and far-reaching. To date, the fires have resulted in several lives being lost and many homes and properties destroyed. Here in New Zealand, the impacts have been only ...
    SciBlogsBy Guest Author
    7 days ago
  • Participation rates
    A passing comment in a post the other day about the labour force participation rates of older people prompted me to pull down the fuller data and see what we could see about various participation rates over the decades since the HLFS began in 1986.   As it happens, the ...
    SciBlogsBy Michael Reddell
    7 days ago
  • Not So Much “OK Boomer” As “OK Ruling Class”.
    Distract And Divert: The rise of what we have come to call “Identity Politics” represents the ideological manifestation of the ruling class’s objective need to destroy class politics, and of the middle-class’s subjective need to justify their participation in the process.THE RELIEF of the ruling class can only be imagined. ...
    7 days ago
  • Asking for it …
    "I saw a newspaper picture,From the political campaignA woman was kissing a child,Who was obviously in pain.She spills with compassion,As that young child'sFace in her hands she gripsCan you imagine all that greed and avariceComing down on that child's lips?" ...
    7 days ago
  • New Zealand’s Poor Pandemic Preparedness According to the Global Health Security Index
    Dr Matt Boyd, Prof Michael Baker, Prof Nick Wilson The Global Health Security Index which considers pandemic threats has just been published. Unfortunately, NZ scores approximately half marks (54/100), coming in 35th in the world rankings – far behind Australia. This poor result suggests that the NZ Government needs to ...
    SciBlogsBy Public Health Expert
    1 week ago
  • Climate Change: Thank Winston
    The Zero Carbon Act is inadequate, with a weak methane target designed to give farmers a free ride. But it turns out it could have been worse: Climate Change Minister James Shaw was so desperate to get National on board, he wanted to gut that target, and leave it in ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    1 week ago
  • Illicit markets and Bali Booze
    The Herald reprints an Australian story on a couple of tragic deaths in Bali from drinking cocktails that had methanol in them.  The story argues that methanol is likely the result of home distillation. But what the young tourists were experiencing was far from a hangover. They’d consumed a toxic cocktail ...
    SciBlogsBy Eric Crampton
    1 week ago
  • This is not what armed police are for
    Last month, the police announced a trial of specialist roaming armed units, which would drive round (poor, brown) areas in armoured SUVs, armed to the teeth. When they announced the trial, they told us it was about having armed police "ready to attend major incidents at any time if needed". ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    1 week ago
  • Spain’s failed electoral gamble
    Spain went to the polls today in the second elections this year, after the Socialists (who had come to power in a confidence vote, then gone to the polls in April) rejected the offer of a coalition with the left-wing PoDemos, and instead decided to gamble n a better outcome ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    1 week ago
  • The astroturf party
    National has finally rolled out its "BlueGreen" astroturf party, fronted by an array of former nats and people who were dumped by the Greens for not being Green enough. Its initial pitch is described by Stuff as "very business-friendly", and its priorities are what you'd expect: conservation, predator-free funding, a ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    1 week ago
  • How to cheat at university
    A couple of days ago I attended (and spoke at) the University of Waikato’s “LearnFest” event. There were lots of talks and sessions on very diverse aspects of teaching, mostly at tertiary level. One was by Myra Williamson from Te Piringa Faculty of Law here at Waikato, on Contract Cheating ...
    SciBlogsBy Marcus Wilson
    1 week ago
  • How NZ was put on world maps using a transit of Mercury
    There will be a transit of Mercury – the planet Mercury will pass across the face of the Sun – taking place at sunrise in New Zealand on Tuesday, 12th November. It was by observing such an event 250 years ago that James Cook and his scientist colleagues were able ...
    SciBlogsBy Duncan Steel
    1 week ago
  • Georgina Beyer: We need to be able to talk without being offended
    Since becoming the world’s first openly transexual mayor and member of parliament, Georgina Beyer has been recognised as a trailblazer for trans rights. Daphna Whitmore talks with her about where she sees the current trans movement We start out talking about legislation the government put on hold that would have ...
    RedlineBy Daphna
    1 week ago
  • The anti-fluoride brigade won’t be erecting billboards about this study
    If FFNZ really put their faith in “Top Medical Journals” they would now be amending their billboards to recognise new research results. Image from FFNZ but updated to agree with the latest research. ...
    1 week ago
  • Chosen To Rule? What Sort Of Christian Is Chris Luxon?
    National Messiah? Chris Luxon identifies himself as an evangelical Christian. If he is genuine in this self-characterisation, then he will take every opportunity his public office provides to proselytise on behalf of his faith. He will also feel obliged to bear witness against beliefs and practices he believes to be ...
    1 week ago
  • War of the worms
    I'm going to make a Reckless Prediction™ that the Tories have 'topped out' in the 'poll of polls' / Britain Elects multipoll tracker at about 38%, and in the next week we will start to see Labour creep up on them.In fact, we might just be seeing the start of ...
    1 week ago
  • Marvelly shows us how to be a feminist without feminism
    by The Council of Disobedient Women Lizzie Marvelly: “I may have missed this… has @afterellen gone all terf-y? Or am I reading something incorrectly? “ https://twitter.com/LizzieMarvelly/status/1191840059105742849 After Ellen is a lesbian website that is unashamedly pro-lesbian, as you’d expect. So why is Ms Marvelly so bothered about lesbians having their ...
    RedlineBy Daphna
    1 week ago
  • Out of the past – Tories to revive racist laws from the 16th century
    Did you know there once was a time when it was illegal to be a gypsy (aka Romani) in Britain?That was between 1530, when the Egyptians Act was passed, and 1856, when it was repealed.Amongst other things, the act forbade the entry of 'Egyptians' into England, ordered those already there ...
    1 week ago
  • 1000 of these now
    Some days I sit and think, “what will I write…?” What do you say when you get to 1000 posts? Maybe you just start where you are, diverge to where this all began, then offer a collection of reader’s favourite posts, and a few of your own? (And throw in ...
    SciBlogsBy Grant Jacobs
    1 week ago
  • Has Shane Jones Just Saved NZ First?
    Counter-Puncher: The “activists” and “radicals” (his own words) from the Indian community who took such strong exception to Shane Jones’ remarks about Immigration NZ’s treatment of arranged marriages, may end up bitterly regretting their intervention. Jones is not the sort of person who turns the other cheek to his critics.SHANE ...
    1 week ago
  • Climate Change: As predicted
    Yesterday, when National voted for the Zero Carbon Bill, I predicted they'd gut it the moment they regained power, just as they had done to the ETS. And indeed, they have explicitly promised to do exactly that within their first hundred days in office. What would their amendments do? Abandon ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    2 weeks ago
  • Let this never be forgot
    In the spirit of Remember, remember the fifth of November, let's keep this in mind FOREVER.
    Oh dear. Extraordinary interview on PM with Andrew Bridgen and @EvanHD just now. Bridgen was defending Jacob Rees Mogg’s Grenfell comments. Evan asked him if JRM had meant to say he would have left ...
    2 weeks ago
  • Too Late To Change Capitalism’s Flightpath?
    Collision Course? In conditions of ideological white-out, the international bankers’ “Woop-Woop! Pull Up!” warning may have come too late to save global capitalism.WHAT DOES IT MEAN when international bankers are more willing to embrace radical solutions than our politicians and their electors? At both the International Monetary Fund and the ...
    2 weeks ago
  • Whooping cough vaccine works well despite its imperfections
    Pertussis (whooping cough) is a conundrum. It is a disease that was described hundreds of years ago and the bacteria that causes it (Bordetella pertussis) isolated in 1906. We have had vaccines for about 80 years but this disease is defiant in the face of human immunity. I wanted to ...
    SciBlogsBy Helen Petousis Harris
    2 weeks ago
  • Climate Change: Passed
    The Zero Carbon Bill has just passed its third reading, uanimously. In the end, National supported it - but we all know they'll turn around and gut it the moment they regain power. Meanwhile, I guess ACT's David Seymour didn't even bother to show up. I am on record as ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    2 weeks ago
  • Retailing of vaping products – New NZ Research
    Dr Lindsay Robertson, Dr Jerram Bateman, Professor Janet Hoek Members of the public health community hold divergent views on how access to vaping products or electronic nicotine delivery systems (ENDS) products should be arranged. Some believe ENDS should be as widely available as smoked tobacco and argue for liberal ...
    SciBlogsBy Public Health Expert
    2 weeks ago
  • Justice for Bomber
    When the Police were trying to cover up for the National Party over Dirty Politics, they went all-in with their abuses of power. They illegally search Nicky Hager's house, violating his journalistic privilege and invading his privacy. They unlawfully acquired Hager's bank records. They did the same to left-wing blogger ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    2 weeks ago
  • Britain’s climate tyranny was unlawful
    Last month, in response to a wave of protests by Extinction Rebellion, the British government purported to ban their protests from the whole of London. It was a significant interference with the freedoms of expression and assembly, and another sign of the country's decline into tyranny. But now, a court ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    2 weeks ago
  • More crime from the spies
    Last year, the Inspector-General of Intelligence and Security reported on significant problems with the intelligence warrant system. While they were unwilling to declare any warrant "irregular" (meaning unlawful) due to the recent law change, they were also not willing to give the system a clean bill of health. Now, they've ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    2 weeks ago
  • Vaccination, compulsion, and paternalism for the lower orders
    The National Party has come out in support of encouraging greater vaccination uptake. But it sure isn’t the way I’d do it. National’s suggested docking the benefits of those on benefit whose kids aren’t keeping up with their vaccinations. Some in National have suggested extending that to payments under Working ...
    SciBlogsBy Eric Crampton
    2 weeks ago
  • Global Protests Rage On: But Slogans Are Not Plans.
    Feeding The Flames: It is simply not enough to demand an end to “corruption”, or “inequality”, or the overbearing influence of the authorities in Beijing. These are just “lowest common denominator” demands: the sort of slogans that pull people onto the streets. They are not a plan.WHERE’S THE PLAN? Across ...
    2 weeks ago
  • 11,000 employed under Labour
    The labour market statistics have been released, and unemployment has risen to 4.2%. There are 115,000 unemployed - 11,000 fewer than when Labour took office. In that time the minimum wage has gone up by $2 an hour, which shows that the right's fears about increases causing unemployment are simply ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    2 weeks ago
  • Boycott this democratic fraud
    The Foreign Affairs, Defence and Trade Committee has called for submissions on Andrew Little's tyrannical Terrorism Suppression (Control Orders) Bill. Normally I encourage participation in the democratic process. I am not doing so in this case. Instead, I encourage all of you to boycott this submissions process, and to post ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    2 weeks ago
  • Why Mars is cold despite an atmosphere of mostly carbon dioxide
    Climate Explained is a collaboration between The Conversation, Stuff and the New Zealand Science Media Centre to answer your questions about climate change. If you have a question you’d like an expert to answer, please send it to climate.change@stuff.co.nz If tiny concentrations of carbon dioxide can hold enough heat ...
    SciBlogsBy Guest Author
    2 weeks ago
  • Climate Change: Ban private jets
    Aviation is one of the fastest growing sources of greenhouse gas emissions, and within it, one of the fastest sources is elite travel: billionaires flitting around the world in their private jets, spewing excessive pollution into the atmosphere just so they can avoid mixing with us dirty peasants. But in ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    2 weeks ago
  • Climate Change: Untold Suffering
    That's what we face if we don't stop climate change, according to a warning from 11,000 scientists:The world’s people face “untold suffering due to the climate crisis” unless there are major transformations to global society, according to a stark warning from more than 11,000 scientists. “We declare clearly and unequivocally ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    2 weeks ago
  • The left and violent misogyny
    by Phil Duncan Here’s just a few of the kind of threats issued day in and day out against gender-critical women – feminists, marxists, etc – overwhelmingly by MEN (albeit men identifying as women). “Kill all Terfs”. “Shoot a Terf today”. “All terfs deserve to be shot in the head”. ...
    RedlineBy Admin
    2 weeks ago
  • Imperialism and the iPhone
    This is the third of the synopses of parts of the opening chapter of John Smith’s Imperialism in the 21st Century (New York, Monthly Review Press, 2016). The synopsis and commentary below is written by Phil Duncan. Unlike the humble cup of coffee and t-shirt that we looked at in ...
    RedlineBy Admin
    2 weeks ago
  • The freshwater mussel housing crisis: eviction by invasive weeds?
    Tom Moore Traditionally a food source and cutting tool, freshwater mussels/kākahi are now widely valued as water filters that help clean our waterbodies and maintain ecosystem health throughout Aotearoa. The improvement they provide in water quality can make it easier for other animals to live in streams and rivers, as ...
    SciBlogsBy Guest Author
    2 weeks ago
  • Back it up Luxon: endorsing the destructive past is not actually the way forward
    And to think he gave all the potential goodwill away with that moronic, cult-like statement (repeated ad nauseam by many National hardliners) that Key is quite simply “the greatest PM we ever had”… Installation complete: this was nothing ...
    exhALANtBy exhalantblog
    2 weeks ago
  • Good riddance
    National MP and former Conservation Minister Maggie Barry will not seek re-election next year. Good riddance. Because in case anyone has forgotten, barry is a bullying thug who terrorised both public servants and fellow MPs. She is one of the people who makes Parliament a toxic workplace, and our country ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    2 weeks ago
  • Climate Change: D-Day
    The Zero Carbon Bill is back in the House today for its second reading. While this isn't the final stage, its still effectively D-Day for the bill. Because today, at around 5pm, is when we're going to find out if it has a majority, whether National will support it or ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    2 weeks ago

  • Wayne Brown hits back at critics: Ports of Auckland has to move
    The chairman of the Upper North Island Supply Chain Strategy (UNISCS) working group, Wayne Brown, has hit back at critics of his group’s recommendations to relocate the Ports of Auckland cargo operations to Whangarei’s deepwater port of Northport. The working group's recommendation to close Auckland waterfront to all but cruise ...
    11 hours ago
  • Week That Was: Supporting our schools
    We're setting our young people up for success, investing in education around the country.  ...
    18 hours ago
  • Kiwis to have their say on End of Life Choice
    Jenny Marcroft MP, Spokesperson for Health New Zealand First backs the public to decide on the End of Life Choice Bill via a referendum at the 2020 General Election. The Bill, with New Zealand First’s referendum provision incorporated, passed its final reading in Parliament this evening. New Zealand First Spokesperson for ...
    5 days ago
  • Addressing miscarriages of justice
    Darroch Ball, Spokesperson for Justice New Zealand First is proud that a key Coalition Agreement commitment which will provide for a more transparent and effective criminal justice system has been realised. Legislation to establish the Criminal Cases Review Commission, an independent body focused on identifying and responding to possible miscarriages of ...
    6 days ago
  • Week That Was: Historic action on climate change
    "Today we have made a choice that will leave a legacy... I hope that means that future generations will see that we, in New Zealand, were on the right side of history." - Jacinda Ardern, Third Reading of the Zero Carbon Bill ...
    1 week ago
  • Tax-free deployments for Kiwi troops
    Darroch Ball, New Zealand First List MP A Member’s bill has been proposed that would provide income tax exemptions for all New Zealand Defence Force (NZDF) personnel while on operational deployment overseas. The Income Tax (Exemption for Salary or Wages of NZDF Members on Active Deployment) Amendment Bill proposed by New Zealand First ...
    2 weeks ago
  • A balanced Zero Carbon Bill passed
    Rt Hon Winston Peters, New Zealand First Leader New Zealand First is proud to have brought common sense to the Climate Change Response (Zero Carbon) Amendment Bill, which passed its final reading in Parliament today. Party Leader Rt Hon Winston Peters says months of hard work went into negotiating a balanced ...
    2 weeks ago
  • Paramedics’ status to be recognised
    Jenny Marcroft MP, Spokesperson for Health New Zealand First has listened to calls to recognise paramedics as registered health professionals under the Health Practitioners’ Competence Assurance Act (the Act). Today, the Coalition Government announced plans for paramedics to be registered as health practitioners under the Act, and the establishment of a ...
    2 weeks ago
  • Week That Was: 2,000 teachers in two years
    We began the week by commemorating the New Zealand Wars and celebrating a major increase in the number of teachers. Then, we were busy supporting offenders into work and getting our rail back on track after years of underinvestment. And that's just the start! ...
    2 weeks ago
  • Winning an election one conversation at a time
    In October I was sworn in as the Mayor of Lower Hutt. It’s the privilege of my life to serve Hutt people as their Mayor. There is something really special to be able to serve the community where I was raised, and where I live.   ...
    3 weeks ago
  • Closer cooperation with Korean horse racing industry
    Rt Hon Winston Peters, Deputy Prime Minister, Minister for Racing Racing Minister Winston Peters met with Korea Racing Authority Chairperson Nak Soon Kim in Seoul today to discuss closer cooperation between the New Zealand and Korean horse racing industries. As part of the visit to the Seoul Racecourse, Mr Peters witnessed ...
    3 weeks ago
  • Otago to lead digital creativity
    Hon Shane Jones, Minister for Regional Economic Development The Provincial Growth Fund (PGF) is investing $10 million to establish Otago as the centre of New Zealand’s creative digital industry over the next ten years, Regional Development Minister Shane Jones announced today. “The initiative will bring us closer to the vision of ...
    3 weeks ago
  • Young Otago students encouraged to take on forestry careers
    Hon Shane Jones, Minister for Regional Economic Development The Provincial Growth Fund (PGF)’s skills and employment programme will help young Otago people into long-term forestry careers, Regional Economic Development Minister Shane Jones announced today. Te Ara Mahi will invest $63,000 in the 2020 school year to support eight 17 and 18 ...
    3 weeks ago
  • PGF backing Dunedin’s waterfront ambitions
    Hon Shane Jones, Minister for Regional Economic Development The Provincial Growth Fund (PGF) will support local plans to revitalise and stimulate economic development opportunities in Otago, Regional Economic Development Minister Shane Jones has announced. The four Regional Economic Development Ministers have approved an in-principle investment of $19.9 million towards the region’s ...
    3 weeks ago
  • M. Bovis eradication progress welcomed
    Mark Patterson, Spokesperson for Primary Industries New Zealand First is pleased to have received the Technical Advisory Group (TAG) report on the Coalition Government’s Mycoplasma bovis eradication efforts, which shows significant progress in the fight against the disease. New Zealand First Spokesperson for Primary Industries, Mark Patterson, says the report’s findings ...
    3 weeks ago
  • PGF boosts Otago’s engineering and manufacturing sector
    Hon Shane Jones, Minister for Regional Economic Development Hon David Parker, Minister for Trade and Export Growth The Provincial Growth Fund (PGF) is investing to support economic growth opportunities for Otago’s engineering and manufacturing sectors, Regional Development Minister Shane Jones and Trade and Export Minister David Parker announced today. Almost $20 million ...
    3 weeks ago
  • Minister Peters discusses Pacific challenges and denuclearisation in Seoul
    Rt Hon Winston Peters, Deputy Prime Minister, Minister of Foreign Affairs Foreign Minister Winston Peters and his South Korean counterpart, Kang Kyung-wha, discussed in Seoul today opportunities to work more closely in the Pacific and the situation on the Korean Peninsula. Mr Peters and Minister Kang confirmed New Zealand and the ...
    3 weeks ago
  • PGF supports high speed broadband for marae at Parihaka Pa
    Hon Shane Jones, Minister for Regional Economic Development  Hon Nanaia Mahuta, Minister for Māori Development The three marae in the historic Parihaka Pa complex in Taranaki have been upgraded to high speed broadband with the support of the Provincial Growth Fund (PGF), Regional Economic Development Minister Shane Jones announced today. “Connecting the ...
    3 weeks ago

  • Reform of public service a step closer
    Minister of State Services Chris Hipkins today introduced into Parliament a Bill that will make it easier for the public service to tackle the biggest challenges facing Governments. The Bill represents the most significant change in the public service in 30 years. The State Sector Act 1988 will be repealed ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    9 hours ago
  • Donations scheme to relieve pressure on families
    The families of more than 416,000 students will be better off next year as their schools have signed up to the Government’s donations scheme, Education Minister Chris Hipkins said today. The scheme will see almost $62.5 million in additional Government funding go to schools nationwide next year. “I’m really pleased ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    10 hours ago
  • Further support for Samoan measles outbreak
    Foreign Affairs Minister Winston Peters has announced further support as the Government of Samoa responds to a serious measles outbreak. “New Zealand will deploy a further 18 vaccination nurses, bringing the total to 30 working in Samoa over the next four weeks,” Mr Peters said. “A New Zealand Medical Assistance ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    11 hours ago
  • Speech to the Child Poverty Action Group 2019 Summit
      Fa’atalofa atu, malo e lelei, Kia ora koutou katoa Thank you to the Child Poverty Action Group for asking me to be here today to provide an update on some of the things that have been happening across my the social development portfolio.  Can I firstly acknowledge the vast ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    14 hours ago
  • Speech to the New Zealand Thoroughbred Racing Annual Conference
    ***Please check against delivery*** Good morning everyone. It is a pleasure to be with you this morning to open this year’s New Zealand Thoroughbred Racing Conference and AGM. Firstly, thank you Dr Alan Jackson, NZTR Chair for your introduction. And let us acknowledge also: The NZTR Board; Dean McKenzie, Chair ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    15 hours ago
  • Fairer rules for tenants and landlords
    The Government has delivered on its promise to the over one million New Zealanders who now rent to make it fairer and more secure, Associate Minister of Housing (Public Housing) Kris Faafoi has announced today. Both renters and landlords will benefit from the suite of practical changes to the Residential ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago
  • Two decades of marine protection celebrated at Te Tapuwae o Rongokako in Tairawhiti
    A marine conservation milestone - the 20th anniversary of the establishment of Te Tapuwae o Rongokako Marine Reserve - is being celebrated today at a community event in Tairāwhiti/East Coast attended by the Minister of Conservation, Eugenie Sage. “The creation of this marine reserve in November 1999 was a game ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • Food industry asked to step up fight against obesity
         The Government is asking the food industry to step up work to tackle obesity including reducing sugar, fat and salt in their products, better information for consumers, and tighter restrictions on advertising to children. Health Minister David Clark and Food Safety Minister Damien O’Connor have responded to a ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • Modern emergency care for Queenstown area
    ew, modern emergency department and outpatient facilities at Queenstown’s Lakes District Hospital mean better emergency care for the growing tourist mecca’s visitors and locals, says Health Minister David Clark. Today Dr Clark officially opened the hospital’s redeveloped Emergency Department and Outpatient facilities. The new facilities include: •    An extended Emergency Department ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • Contraception important for New Zealanders
    Associate Health Minister Julie Anne Genter says today’s release of sexual and reproductive health data reinforces the significance of the Government’s commitment to providing free or very low-cost contraception. The Ministry of Health today published statistics from the Ministry of Health’s 2014/15 Health Survey. “It is important people can make ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • NZ medical staff and measles vaccines going to Samoa
    Foreign Minister Winston Peters has announced that at the request of the Samoan Government, New Zealand will be providing further support to Samoa as it faces a worsening measles outbreak. “In response to a request from the people of Samoa, New Zealand is providing 3000 measles, mumps and rubella (MMR) ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • Disability Action Plan 2019 – 2023
    “The new Disability Action Plan 2019–2023 moves us towards the inclusive and accessible New Zealand that this government has committed to,” Minister for Disability Issues Carmel Sepuloni announced today.  “The Action Plan was designed by disabled people, their family and supporters, the disability sector and government agencies. It will ensure ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • Joint Statement – Third Singapore-New Zealand Defence Ministers’ Meeting
    Third Singapore-New Zealand Defence Ministers’ Meeting 14 November 2019 Joint Statement 1. Defence Ministers Ron Mark and Dr Ng Eng Hen today conducted their third annual Singapore-New Zealand Defence Ministers’ Meeting in Singapore. 2. Building on the Enhanced Partnership signed between both countries in May this year, this annual meeting ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • Sexual Violence Legislation Bill has its first reading
    A Bill to improve the court system’s response to sexual violence has passed its first reading in Parliament today. Justice Minister Andrew Little says the Sexual Violence Legislation Bill will reduce the trauma sexual violence complainants experience in court, while maintaining defendants’ fundamental rights and making sure the trial process ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • Streamlined business invoicing a step closer
    Streamlined payment practices are a step closer for Kiwi businesses with the formal launch of New Zealand’s e-Invoicing framework. Small Business Minister Stuart Nash says the government has now established the structure to enable automated and direct data exchange between the accounting systems of buyers and sellers. “The move to ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • More frontline biosecurity officers protecting NZ
    Another 51 quarantine officers and four new biosecurity detector dog teams will help protect New Zealand from invasive pests and diseases this summer, says Biosecurity Minister Damien O’Connor. “The Government is delivering on its commitment to strengthen New Zealand’s biosecurity system and support our valuable primary sector “New Zealand’s flora, fauna ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • NZ space economy worth $1.69 billion
    A new report has found New Zealand’s space sector contributed $1.69 billion to the economy in the last financial year and employs 12,000 people, Minister for Economic Development Phil Twyford announced today. The report by Deloitte was commissioned by the Ministry of Business, Innovation and Employment and shows New Zealand ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • New Chair for Royal Commission into Abuse
    Judge Coral Shaw has been appointed as the new Chair of the Royal Commission into Historical Abuse in State Care and in the Care of Faith-based Institutions, Internal Affairs Minister Tracey Martin announced today. "Judge Shaw, who is currently one of the inquiry commissioners, is extremely well qualified for the ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    5 days ago
  • Better mental health facilities for Palmerston North
    The Government has confirmed its third major mental health facility upgrade since the Budget, this time at Palmerston North Hospital. The Prime Minister and Health Minister today visited MidCentral DHB to announce that $30 million has been allocated to upgrade its acute mental health facility. It follows earlier announcements in ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    5 days ago
  • Bowel Screening hits halfway point
    The roll out of the National Bowel Screening Programme has reached the halfway mark, with 10 out of 20 District Health Boards now part of the programme. MidCentral DHB, which covers Palmerston North, Manawatu and surrounding districts, this week became the latest to DHB to offer free bowel screening to ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    5 days ago
  • More vaccines for meningococcal disease
    The Government welcomes PHARMAC’s decision to fund a vaccine to protect young people from meningococcal disease from 1 December this year. “Meningococcal disease is a serious threat which people at higher risk should be protected from,” says Associate Health Minister Julie Anne Genter. “The combined pharmaceutical budget was increased by ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    5 days ago
  • Fisheries innovation projects supported
    Groups involved with innovative fisheries research projects are encouraged to apply for government support in the latest funding round from the Sustainable Food and Fibre Futures programme. Fisheries Minister Stuart Nash says the SFF Futures funding is designed to be flexible enough to support small or large projects across a ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    5 days ago
  • Government fixes culturally arranged marriage visa issue
    The Government has fixed an issue affecting how Immigration New Zealand has processed visa applications for culturally arranged marriages, which will now see a consistent process applied which ensures people with legitimate arranged marriages can visit New Zealand while also preventing any rorting of the system. Earlier this year Immigration ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    5 days ago
  • Extension for Royal Commission into Mosque attacks
    The Royal Commission into the Attacks on Christchurch Mosques will report back on 30 April 2020 to give it more time to hear submissions and consider information, Internal Affairs Minister Tracey Martin announced today. The Royal Commission was originally scheduled to report back to Government by 10 December 2019. “There has ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    6 days ago
  • Terrorism and Trade on agenda as Foreign Minister visits the United States
    Foreign Minister Winston Peters will travel to Washington DC today to attend a ministerial meeting focused on defeating ISIS, and to continue pursuing New Zealand’s trade opportunities. Mr Peters will participate in a meeting of Foreign and Defence Ministers from key countries contributing to the Global Coalition to Defeat ISIS. ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
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  • Hoiho get extra support alongside 168 community conservation groups backing nature
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