The final Roy Morgan poll for the year is out.
I know that we should look at trends, that one poll of itself is not evidence of anything and that sampling error and all other sorts of anomalies should always be taken into account. But this poll provides a bit of Christmas cheer for Labour and its supporters.
Labour is up 3% to 27% and National is down 3.5% to 46%. What is strange is that confidence that New Zealand is heading in the right direction has soared. Normally an increase in confidence would result in an increase in support for the Governing party. But we live in unusual times.
The Greens are down to 12.5% and NZ First up slightly on 7%. The result suggests that things are very close.
National will hope that it can ride out the effects of dirty politics and that the dire portents for the economy do not eventuate, or that at least people’s attention can be diverted. But for now Labour supporters can quietly be confident that things are on the improve.
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