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Long way down

Written By: - Date published: 8:33 am, July 16th, 2012 - 53 comments
Categories: polls - Tags:

The latest Roy Morgan poll has Labour+Greens neck and neck with National again on 45.5%. The trend is quite clear just looking at the Roy Morgan graphs. National is going down, Labour+Greens is going up. And when you look at the key levels that the two sides have to achieve, the change since the election is dramatic.

For 3 years from the beginning of 2009 to the end of 2011, National went below 48% – the percentage needed to govern alone – only twice (the first two polls). It averaged 52% over those 3 years. In 2012, National has managed to get above 48% only twice  our of 13 polls and is averaging 46%.

Labour+Greens, on the other hand averaged 40% last term and polled above 43% (the amount needed to govern with another possible partner like NZF) only once. This term, they are averaging 44% and have only gone under 43% only 3 times. The Greens are the big success story, they had averaged 8% last term, only getting over 12% for the first time in the final poll. Now, they’re averaging 13% and have gone below 12% only once.

And, yes, that does mean Labour’s average is slightly down this term compared to last, but it is at least up on the disaster of the second half of 2011, and the trend is pretty clear – in fact, the Greens’ growth has stalled in the last three months while Labour’s has kept on going.

The other Roy Morgan metric that will have National’s spin doctors sweating is the right direction/wrong direction number. With a score of 100 meaning the same percentage of people approve of the direction the government is leading the country in as don’t, the current scores are still positive but much much less so than 3 years ago, or even 6 months ago. A full 10% of the population has flipped from ‘right direction’ to ‘wrong direction’ so far this year, which closely tracks the 10% shift from the right parties to thee left parties.

I guess they got tired of waiting for the brighter future.

Morgan poll july 2012

53 comments on “Long way down”

  1. Jenny 1

    Go the Greens. Labour apologists for climate change claim that people (particularly middle class people), are not concerned about the environment.

    How are they going with that?

    • Colonial Viper 1.1

      Nice spin Jenny.

      Many in the middle classes and upper middle classes ARE concerned with the environment. They donate to Greenpeace and Forest and Bird, and might even be supporters of the Green Party.

      But they’ll still be flying to Bali or Raro this winter, burning av gas all the way. And they’ll still be looking forwards to upgrading to the latest iPhone the moment it is released. And a new Prado would look just right at the ski field. 2% better fuel economy than the old model but with even more grunt, that’s green, right?

      • ad 1.1.1

        If you replaced Bali with Paris and ditched the Prado, I think you just skewered me.

        • Colonial Viper 1.1.1.1

          Hey I know what you mean, I know someone who can get me a brand new Samsung Galaxy III at a steep discount, and have just started planning a nice trip to the US for next year (work and pleasure).

          And I’m definitely concerned for the environment. Those bad inconsiderate corporate farmers.

      • Dr Terry 1.1.2

        Agreed that many of the middle class are far from hurting (enough) yet. When and if Labour gets its act together, who knows what might happen in the polls? Meanwhile, through organisation, enthusiasm, and sheer intelligence, the Greens are deservedly on the rise.

      • Jenny 1.1.3

        Many in the middle classes and upper middle classes ARE concerned with the environment. They donate to Greenpeace and Forest and Bird, and might even be supporters of the Green Party.

        But they’ll still be flying to Bali or Raro this winter, burning av gas all the way. And they’ll still be looking forwards to upgrading to the latest iPhone the moment it is released. And a new Prado would look just right at the ski field. 2% better fuel economy than the old model but with even more grunt, that’s green, right?

        Colonial Viper

        What a gutless effort CV.

        Asking people to make individual lifestyle choices is not dealing with climate change.

        Pointing to people buying Ipads, or taking international flights, as an excuse not to take action is actually the oldest excuse apologists for BAU have used since Climate Change was first brought to public attention in the ’90s.

        The most dangerous source of Greenhouse emissions is coal. As far as I know jets don’t run on coal. To cut back on this most dangerous of fossil fuels will require government legislation.

        The same with air travel, if you think it such a problem. Then again legislative action is required to reflect the real cost of air travel.

        Instead of taking action against climate change, governments of the ’90s indulged in stupid guilt tripping public information campaigns. “Turn off the heater, put on a jersey”, “Drive less, walk more”. etc. etc. ‘It is all your fault’, was the hidden message. All that did was disempower people.

        This sort of apologist bullshit won’t wash anymore. We are sick and tired of the fossil fuel industry and their useful idiots in parliament telling us it is all our fault, as an excuse to continue destroying the environment.

        As individuals we are all pretty powerless to act against climate change. And it is pretty pointless to ask people to cut back on using electricity, when they can see the city skyline ablaze with light every night of week.

        It is also pointless to ask people to use their cars less when there is no public transport to speak of.

        Legislating for more rational electricity use, or to build public transport systems requires public policy.

        Deliberate scapegoating of individuals, or groups you don’t like.

        Complete cop out.

  2. ad 2

    Labour rating at the same rate as 2008 when they first got their ass kicked is no cause for celebration. In fact we need to ask, if Key is so crap and Labour so attractive, why does National still have a 10 point gap above Labour?

    • Bored 2.1

      Well spotted…talking of spots Shearer and Robertson appear to me the lesser spotted variety of Key and cronies. So we the electors to the left are supposed to be wooed back by National Lite (aka Labour).m I think not.

      In case the parliamentary Left had not noticed trying to be “middle of the road” nicer than Nact might work if times were good….they are not. Tough times require tough solutions, and more importantly different solutions. And Labour don’t appear to have the intellect or the balls.

      • Olwyn 2.1.1

        +1. For more than three years, people have been talking up and down poll variations between approximately 28% and 33%. And increasingly, the “top team” of the present parliamentary party seems to exist to prevent social democracy from recurring rather than as an expression of it. Who on earth is going to rush excitedly to South Auckland to drive old ladies to the polling booths for them? Given that, apart from the CGT, their only policy announcements consist in riding herd on the poor rather than representing them, even Nat lite seems a misnomer; more like Nat pure, with earnestness replacing the wide boy antics. To me, the worst possible result of the next election would be the “victory” of a United Future-like Labour Party with 30% or so of the vote, propped up by the rise of Greens.

        • Draco T Bastard 2.1.1.1

          To me, the worst possible result of the next election would be the “victory” of a United Future-like Labour Party with 30% or so of the vote, propped up by the rise of Greens.

          To be honest, the same thought had occurred to me. Labour is a party of the status quo and so won’t make the needed changes to bring NZ to being a better democracy that gives voice to the people. They’ll keep putting the corporations and the rich above the people as they have done for the last thirty years.

    • Labour has a potential coalition partner larger than NZF and UF were during most of the previous Labour governments, so it doesn’t really need to be as popular to overturn the National government. Besides, Labour tends to do better when it’s governing, so it’s likely to get more popular, assuming National doesn’t come up with another stupid, lying meme to plaster accross TV and newspapers before elections.

  3. Jenny 3

    Labour apologists for climate change, rather than take up the challenge, seem keener on putting pressure on the Greens to moderate their policies and keep their mouth shut.

    I am sure that this would bolster Labour’s support, but at the expense of the Greens and it is a ridiculous ask for the Greens to agree to.

    • Bored 3.1

      But Jen, Labour would “manage” so much better……except “managing” the Titanic is a fairly short term and finite activity. Atleast the Greens see the problem (though to some degree deny the iceberg is as large as it really is). labour by comparison only see what was, not what is.

      • Lanthanide 3.1.1

        “Atleast the Greens see the problem (though to some degree deny the iceberg is as large as it really is).”

        I’m not sure that the Green’s deny the iceberg, so much as they don’t publicise it because turkeys generally don’t like voting for Christmas.

    • Te Reo Putake 3.2

      Who are these Labour apologists for climate change that you made up, Jennny? Whoops, answered my own question.

      • Jenny 3.2.1

        Actions speak louder than words Voice. Let us see.

        Under the last Labour government. Huge expansion of risky coal mining for the export industry. $Billions approved for motorway expansion, while public transport starved of funds. Approval for plans to turn lignite into diesel probably one of the most polluting forms of fossil fuel use ever proposed. As looks likely Labour will be approving this sort of climate crime into the future.

        That is unless the Greens stick to their guns and can force some concessions out of Labour as a price for coalition.

        • Te Reo Putake 3.2.1.1

          You do know that the Greens are OK with mining, doncha? Their position is not a million miles removed from Labour. Both want mining regulated, safe and respectful of environment and community. It isn’t likely to be a coalition condition that causes any grief at all.
           
          Still keen to find out who these apologists are. I’d like to have a quiet word with them and show them the error of their ways!

          • weka 3.2.1.1.1

            You do know that the Greens are OK with mining, doncha?

             
            Really? Have a look at the mining page on their website
             
            http://www.greens.org.nz/conservation/mining

            • Te Reo Putake 3.2.1.1.1.1

              Yep, kinda validates what I was saying. As does this bloke.

              • weka

                Nah, that’s just Norman showing his pragmatic, see “it’s safe to vote for us” side. There’s a difference between taking an interim pragmatic approach and being “ok with mining”. Part of Peak Everything is acknowledging that minerals are a finite resource. There are also significant problems with mining for private profit that will contradict the Greens’ economic and environmental policies.

    • Colonial Viper 3.3

      Economic decline driven by peak debt and energy depletion over the next 10-15 years will do more for emissions reductions than Kyoto ever had a chance of.

  4. jcuknz 4

    When I hear Labour/Greens spouting on radio I am left sadly of the opinion I will have to vote National again .. for a second time.

    • ad 4.1

      Seriously, what would change your mind, either from National or Labour?

    • Dr Terry 4.2

      jeuknz, heaven knows what you might get to hear on the radio. Ask Greens to send you their thought provoking materials along with the stimulating policy statements! You appear to be capitulating weakly and meekly.

    • Colonial Viper 4.3

      jcuknz isn’t interested in left wing politics to start with, so the only way he’d vote Labour/Greens would be if they went completely centrist-right.

      • jcuknz 4.3.1

        It is not a question of being interested but having respect for the sense of argument being ventured.

    • Fortran 4.4

      I don’t hear Labour on the Radio.
      But I do hear the Greens all the time – they are very clever at media studies

  5. Te Reo Putake 5

    Interesting discussion between Bryan Gould and Andrew Geddis on Morning report this morning. Both reckoned the polls are worse for National than Roy Morgan suggests, as they are a lagging indicator. Geddis was surprised National weren’t doing worse, given the awful month they’ve had, but Gould was looking at the underlying collapse of National’s support parties as the main indicator of the damage National is doing to it’s re-election chances.
     
    Clearly, both men felt NZ is heading for another ‘Time For a Change’ election result.

    Edit: audio here: http://www.radionz.co.nz/national/programmes/morningreport/audio/2525189/national-party-falters-in-latest-poll.asx

    • alwyn 5.1

      You don’t appear to have been listening to the same program as I was.
      Can you tell me how the Bryce Edwards I was listening to morphed into the Andrew Geddis you quote?
      I also take about as much notice of failed political hack Bryan Gould as I would of Ian Wishart.

      • Pascal's bookie 5.1.1

        “I also take about as much notice of failed political hack Bryan Gould as I would of Ian Wishart.”

        That’s an odd comparison.

        Fair enough if you don’t like him. and don’t pay him any attention, but his bio is nothing like Wishart’s:

        http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bryan_Gould

        It would make more sense to compare him with Brash I suppose.

        But let me guess…

      • Te Reo Putake 5.1.2

        Ha! Yes, Edwards, not Geddis. In my defence, I had consumed only one cup of a coffee at that point, so I wasn’t functioning at 100%. Now that I am fully caffeinated, can I point out your dissing of Gould says more about you than him? Try listening to what he said and comment on that, rather than trying to have a mindless crack at someone whose only failure in politics was falling just short of being elected the leader of the British Labour Party. Since then, Gould has gone on to run Waikato Uni, write a few books and contribute intelligently on the matters of the day in various media. You, on the hand, have done, er what exactly?
         
        Thanks for pointing out my error though. I hate getting things wrong, if it is only once in blue moon ;).

        • Mark 5.1.2.1

          ” Try listening to what he said and comment on that”
          That, TRP, is so hypocritical as to be funny.
          The Standard, where dissenting debate immediately attracts hate from the bully boys.
          Luckily most of NZ remains smart enough to see through the bullshit.

          • ad 5.1.2.1.1

            If you like your debate a little lighter on the evidence base you could always pop over to Whaleoil or Kiwi. Stay if you’re up to it.

          • Te Reo Putake 5.1.2.1.2

            I’m asking Alwyn to play the ball, not the man, and you see that as confirmation of bullying. Nowt so queer as folk.

        • alwyn 5.1.2.2

          You suggest that Bryan Gould’s only failure in politics was “falling just short of being elected leader of the British Labour Party”.
          If his attempt was “just short”, I would hate to see what you would regard as a real failure. For your information he got less than 9% of the votes in that election. There were only 2 candidates and the successful individual got about 91%. Incidentally can you tell me, without looking it up, who his conqueror was?

          • Te Reo Putake 5.1.2.2.1

            Yes I can, though I take it from your 9% figure that you needed the aid of google before finding out. It was inevitable that Smith would win, which should not be cause for mocking Gould for having the guts to stand, when other such as Prescott, Brown and Beckett didn’t.
             
            Still keen to hear how much better your contribution to political life is, alwyn. Or do I have to wait for the biography?

      • Carol 5.1.3

        Bryan Gould UK Labour MP for about 16 years – not bad for a failed political hack.

    • ad 5.2

      The intersection of Maori Waitangi stories with Asset Sales stories will leave quite a bitter taste in the mouths of some who voted National last time. Like some of my South Island rellies. Slow but seismic and irreversible.

      Banks and Act will probably not survive the Police investigation, even if they try to gift them Epsom again.

      Really hard to sell a National victory with such poor employment and economic prospects. It’s Obama’s core struggle.

      Here’s a bet: I think Maori who appear before the Waitangi Tribunal are going to come out shining on the right side of history, and will contribute strongly to Maori observing the Hearings struggling to vote Maori Party.

      Sorry if I sound like I always want more than is possible from Labour. I probably always will. The public I talk to are gradually shifting.

  6. bad12 6

    While i don’t think it is quite the time for ‘the left’ to be declaring victory one only has to look at National’s own little monetarist gambling site to get a sense of where the core support for National actually sits,

    Last time i poked my nose in there National’s share of the % had crumbled to 40% down 7-8% from the election figures which had the ‘Govern alone’ gang trumpeting loudly,

    Tax cuts, the key to the 2nd term of this National Government have now been revealed in the pockets and minds of the voting public as nothing more than the mirage that National with the help of the media organizations intended them to be, tax cuts for the top 40% of earners and an evaporating slice of the tax cut pie for anyone below that level right down to a shift of the burden of taxation upon the shoulders of those who earn the least,

    So,scratch bribery as a reason to vote National in 2014 and Slippery the Prime Minister has little hope of a third term of Government,

    While hardly happy with what looks like a Labour Party Parliamentary wing still enamored of and patting itself on the back for the neo-liberal ism of ‘Rogernomics’ those of us who the Labour Party disenfranchised in 1984 have the luxury under MMP of voting for other party’s…

    • Draco T Bastard 6.1

      tax cuts for the top 40% of earners and an evaporating slice of the tax cut pie for anyone below that level right down to a shift of the burden of taxation upon the shoulders of those who earn the least,

      Although correct overall that “top 40% of earners” should read top 1% of earners.

      • bad12 6.1.1

        No sorry not here,although the top 1% of earners gain the most from Nationals tax cuts on an obscenely upward gradient based upon their position at the top of the food chain it took more than 1% to put National into the seats of Government,

        The top 40% of earners based upon their position on that obscenely upward gradient have also gained significantly from such tax cuts depending whereupon the food chain their economic position put them,

        It may suit the ‘party-line’ to finger point the 1%, but, that’s hardly the whole truth, that 1% are allowed their privlidged position with the tacit support of the other 39% of those who National pander to along with the disgruntled 5% who swing between National and Labour…

  7. jcuknz 7

    bad12 … when I compare what I hear from overseas … the areas of the world on which New Zealand is largely dependant to buy our exports … with what is happening in NZ I really think the left is crying before they have been hurt. National is doing a good job of keeping Kiwis reasonably snug and safe and acting like a socialistic government to the degree its membership can tolerate.

    I think you hot-heads should try living in even a Democrat led country, let alone one ruled by the Elephants and across the Altantic things are no better. Really we do not know how lucky we are over here.

    • Pascal's bookie 7.1

      ” I really think the left is crying before they have been hurt”

      Best time for it. Ounce of prevention being worth what it is, etc.

    • Carol 7.2

      I would love to live in a democratic led country. Can you tell me the best one to migrate to?

    • bad12 7.3

      Yes obviously those on low and fixed incomes should all be falling to their knees chanting ”Hail Slippery” ”Hail National” having received nothing from tax cuts and an increase in GST,and, excise taxes on petrol and tobacco products,

      Distributing tax cuts and tax rises on the basis of the how likely those in the various income brackets are to vote for you is hardly orthodox economics…

    • Colonial Viper 7.4

      National is doing a good job of keeping Kiwis reasonably snug and safe and acting like a socialistic government to the degree its membership can tolerate.

      All National is doing is borrowing $300M a month and using it to buy electoral time to advance the interests of the top 0.1%.

      Sorta dumb, really.

      Now waiting for the asset sales/water stuff to splash right back at them.

    • rosy 7.5

      Don’t let Shonkey fool you jcuknz, some countries on the other side of the Atlantic are in the same position as NZ but dealing with it much more humanely. Personally I think NZ is bloody unlucky to have neo-lib policies at a time when job and wage protection are called for.

    • mike e 7.6

      j whatever Canada next to the US is doing better than the US because its a more socialist country than the US.

    • mike e 7.7

      j clutz whatever Canada next to the US is doing better than the US because its a more socialist country than the US.

  8. jcuknz 8

    Deleted my machine mislead me.

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    5 days ago
  • Status quo supports status quo
    The Justice Committee has reported back on its Inquiry into the 2017 General Election and 2016 Local Elections, with a host of recommendations about how to improve our electoral systems. Some of their recommendations are already incorporate din the Electoral Amendment Bill currently before Parliament, but there's also a recommendation ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    5 days ago
  • The Greens abandon NeoLiberalism
    Back in 2017, in order to make themselves "electable" in the eyes of rich people who oppose everything they stand for, the Greens signed up for NeoLiberalism, adopting a restrictive set of "Budget Responsibility Rules" which basicly prevented them from using government to make things better. Now, they're finally abandoning ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    5 days ago
  • Lying about a failed war
    Since invading in 2001, the US has consistently claimed that their war in Afghanistan has been going well, even when it continued year after year after year. Of course, they were lying, and thanks to the Washington Post and the US Freedom of Information Act, we get to see just ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    5 days ago
  • Artificial Intelligence and You
    How should we think about artificial intelligence and the implications that it has for our work and leisure? There are many articles on artificial intelligence and its potential impacts on jobs, and the ethics of applications. These are important topics, but I want to focus on some less discussed aspects, ...
    SciBlogsBy Robert Hickson
    5 days ago
  • Statistical manipulation to get publishable results
    I love data. It’s amazing the sort of “discoveries” I can make given a data set and computer statistical package. It’s just so easy to search for relationships and test their statistical significance. Maybe relationships which ...
    5 days ago
  • More lies on the Twitter (Dan Hodges edition)
    The other big story concerning Leeds Hospital is Boris Johnson's bizzare behaviour at Leeds Hospital, where he was confronted by a journalist and challenged about a four year old boy with suspected pneumonia who was left sleeping on the floor, rather than getting  abed like a sick kid would in ...
    5 days ago
  • LabourActivistPunchedMattHancock’sSPADGate
    So, for a brief period of history, it was alleged that a protester had punched Matt Hancock's SPAD (not a euphemism; special adviser) when Hancock visited Leeds Hospital.This was reported by the likes of Robert Peston and Laura Keunssberg, as well as the less credible Guido Fawkes.  It also quickly ...
    5 days ago
  • France’s anti-Zionism is anti-liberté
    by Daphna Whitmore Last week France passed a law that equates anti-Zionism with anti-Semitism. It is based on a definition of anti-Semitism that includes criticism of Israel such as: “Denying the Jewish people their right to self-determination, e.g., by claiming that the existence of a State of Israel is a racist ...
    RedlineBy Daphna
    6 days ago
  • Another bus lockout
    Over the past year we've seen major bus problems in Hamilton and Wellington, as drivers have sought better wages and an end to the bullshit of split shifts, which basicly see them "married to the job". And now its Auckland's turn. When NZBus's drivers planned low-level strike action of not ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    6 days ago
  • Climate Change: Showing us how its done
    The government has been congratulating itself over the passage of the Zero Carbon Act, which sets out long-term emissions targets. But those targets are insufficient. Meanwhile, Denmark is showing us how its done:Denmark’s parliament adopted a new climate law on Friday, committing to reach 70% below its 1990 emissions in ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    6 days ago
  • New Fisk
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    6 days ago
  • Public sector dysfunction should not be allowed to undermine freedom of information
    Another day, another piece of legislation with a secrecy clause. This time its the innocuous-seeming Mental Health and Wellbeing Commission Bill, which (after establishing a new body and making it subject to the OIA in three different ways) includes the rapidly-becoming-standard clauses enabling it to request information from other public ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    6 days ago
  • “This is England, this knife of Sheffield steel…”
    The state of the United Kingdom is fractured, torn up, shredded. The Empire is gone, it died a long time ago. And yet, the country is still tracking with a lead in favour of the ones who play to the ingrained, class-bound division for political gain. It is a disgrace ...
    exhALANtBy exhalantblog
    1 week ago
  • CORSIA, coming soon to an airport near you
    On 27 September, Greta Thunberg addressed a crowd of 500,000 at the School Strike for Climate in Montreal, saying: “You are a nation that is allegedly a climate leader. And Sweden is also a nation that is allegedly a climate leader. And in both cases, it means absolutely nothing. Because ...
    SciBlogsBy Robert McLachlan
    1 week ago
  • Cloaking hate speech and fake news in the right to free expression.
    It should be obvious by now but let’s be clear: The same folk who regularly traffic in disinformation, misinformation and “fake news” are also those who most strongly claim that their freedom of expression rights are being violated when moves are made to curb hate speech (as opposed to protected ...
    KiwipoliticoBy Pablo
    1 week ago
  • The Physics (and Economics, and Politics) of Wheelchairs on Planes
    Michael Schulson When Shane Burcaw flies on an airplane, he brings along a customized gel cushion, a car seat, and about 10 pieces of memory foam. The whole arsenal costs around $1,000, but for Burcaw it’s a necessity. The 27-year-old author and speaker — who, alongside his fiancée, Hannah ...
    SciBlogsBy Guest Author
    1 week ago
  • To Advance Civil Rights, Oppose Transgender Extremism
    We are very pleased to publish this submission is from Lucinda Stoan. She is a social justice activist, mother, and educator, based in Washington State in the  US.   This detailed and comprehensive source-linked overview of trans issues and what is at stake will be useful for many people, especially in ...
    RedlineBy Daphna
    1 week ago
  • Faafoi should be fired
    Newshub last night reported that Broadcasting Minister Kris Faafoi had apparently promised to help out a mate with an immigration issue. While its normal for people to approach MPs for assistance in this area, when you're a Minister, the rules are different: as the Cabinet Manual says, Ministers must "at ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    1 week ago
  • Adrian Orr – The Reserve Bank’s Revolutionary Governor?
    New Zealand's Underarm Banker: It bears recalling that the “independence” of the Reserve Bank Governor was for decades held up by neoliberal capitalists as the most compelling justification for passing the Reserve Bank Act. Interesting, is it not, how the ruling class’s support for the Bank’s independence lasted no longer than ...
    1 week ago
  • Driving Us Up The Poll.
    Rubbish In, Rubbish Out: Put all this together, and it’s difficult to avoid the conclusion that anyone who responds positively to a pollster’s request to “answer a few questions” is just ever-so-slightly weird. Desperately lonely? Some sort of psephological train-spotter? Political party member primed to skew the poll for or against ...
    1 week ago
  • Jordan Williams, Colin Craig podcast series announced
    “Free at last, Free at last, Thank God almighty we are free at last.” ― Martin Luther King Jr. A long and bitter court feud between former Conservative Party leader Colin Craig and Jordan Williams has been settled, with an apology and compensation from Williams. On Tuesday, Craig sent out ...
    The PaepaeBy Peter Aranyi
    1 week ago
  • How plant-based meat is stretching New Zealand’s cultural and legal boundaries
    Samuel Becher, Victoria University of Wellington and Jessica C Lai, Victoria University of Wellington Earlier this year, the New Zealand-based pizza chain Hell Pizza offered a limited-edition “Burger Pizza”. Its customers weren’t told that the “meat” was plant-based. Some customers complained to the Commerce Commission, which enforces consumer law in ...
    SciBlogsBy Guest Author
    1 week ago
  • Scientific integrity requires critical investigation – not blind acceptance
    Some people seem to want to close down any critical discussion of the current research into the relationship between water fluoride and child IQ. They appear to argue that claims made by researchers should not be open to critical review and that the claims be accepted without proper consideration ...
    1 week ago
  • Climate Change: The shameful reality
    The government has been congratulating itself over the passage of the Zero Carbon Act, which sets out long-term emissions targets. Meanwhile, Climate Action Tracker has the shameful reality: those targets are insufficient:While New Zealand is showing leadership by having passed the world’s second-ever Zero Carbon Act in November 2019, under ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    1 week ago
  • More secrecy
    The government introduced a Racing Industry Bill today. As an urban who horse racing as pointless-to-cruel, and gambling as a tax on stupidity and/or hope, this isn't normally a bill which would interest me in the slightest, beyond grumpiness at more government money for a dying industry. But there is ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    1 week ago
  • Unlikely online bully, Liam Hehir
    Check. Check. One, two, three, four. Is this thing ON? Hello readers, I logged in last night (yeah, it’s been a while) to mark THE END of the landmark legal case, Jordan Williams v Colin Craig, which (gulp) reached The Supreme Court, in which New Zealand’s most-defamed man was suing the politician he ...
    The PaepaeBy Peter Aranyi
    1 week ago
  • The Birth Of Israel: Wrong At The Right Time.
    Before The Birth: Israel’s most fervent supporters set their clocks ticking in Biblical times. They cite the kingdoms of David and Solomon as proof that, in the words of the Exodus movie’s theme-song: “This land is mine.” The majority of Israel’s backers, however, start their clocks in 1933 – the year Adolf ...
    1 week ago
  • Hard News: Public Address Word of the Year 2019: Korero phase
    In an unreliable, strange and confusing world, Public Address is proud to present a measure of comfort and stability by annually asking everyone what words or phrases sum up the year that's been – and then giving some of them consumer goods as prizes for being clever or simply lucky.Well, ...
    1 week ago
  • Generalist to specialist
    Both my parents are pretty handy – and they seem to have the right tools for most jobs in the garage and they know how to fix practically anything. A similar story could be told about their generation’s experience in the workforce – being a generalist was not unusual and ...
    SciBlogsBy Guest Author
    1 week ago
  • A “coincidence”
    When it was revealed that NZ First had tried to enrich itself from public office via the Provoncial Growth Fund, the Prime Minister assured us that everything was OK as Shane Jones, the Minister responsible for the fund, had recused himself. Except it seems that that recusal came very late ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    2 weeks ago
  • Member’s Day
    Today is a Member's Day, and probably the last one of the year. After the marathon of the End of Life Choice Act, most of the bills up for debate today are uncontentious. First up is the second reading of Chlöe Swarbrick's Election Access Fund Bill. This will be followed ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    2 weeks ago
  • Worse than I thought
    The Foreign Affairs, Defence and Trade Committee has reported back on the government's odious and tyrannical control orders bill. As expected, the fraudulent select committee process has made no significant changes (partly because they couldn't agree, but mostly because it was a stitch-up from the start, with no intention of ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    2 weeks ago
  • The cannabis bill and the referendum
    Yesterday, the government released its draft Cannabis Legalisation and Control Bill, which will be put to a non-binding referendum at the next election. I'm not a drug policy expert, but Russell Brown is, and he thinks its pretty good. And pretty obviously, it will be a massive improvement on the ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    2 weeks ago
  • Hard News: The Cannabis Legalisation and Control Bill: pretty good so far
    As you're probably aware, the draft bill outlining the proposed legal cannabis regime to be put to a referendum late next year was published yesterday, and has already attracted a flurry of comment. It's notable that a good deal of the comment is about proposals that aren't actually new.A minimum ...
    2 weeks ago
  • Climate Change: Alignment
    One of the big problems in New Zealand climate change policy is the government working at cross-purposes with itself. It wants to reduce fossil fuel use, but encourages oil and gas exploration. It wants to reduce transport emissions, but then builds enormous new roads. The problem could be avoided if ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    2 weeks ago
  • How climate change will affect food production and security
    Climate Explained is a collaboration between The Conversation, Stuff and the New Zealand Science Media Centre to answer your questions about climate change. If you have a question you’d like an expert to answer, please send it to climate.change@stuff.co.nz According to the United Nations, food shortages are a threat ...
    SciBlogsBy Guest Author
    2 weeks ago
  • More bad faith
    Last year, the government announced it was ending offshore oil exploration by no longer issuing new permits. The idea was that the industry would then die off as permits expired. Except almost immediately the government revealed its bad faith, by saying they would extend permits and alter conditions to keep ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    2 weeks ago
  • Banning foreign money from our elections
    The government has said it will ban foreign donations to political parties and candidates, and will be introducing legislation to be passed under all-stages urgency this afternoon. While I agree with the goal, I don't see a particular case for urgency, unless the government is concerned about a flood of ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    2 weeks ago
  • Reforming the Education Acts
    The government introduced the Education and Training Bill to Parliament yesterday. Its a massive bill, which replaces both existing Education Acts, as well as various other bits of legislation (including some which are still proceeding through the House). I'll leave the serious analysis to teachers and people who actually know ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    2 weeks ago
  • Bite-sized learning
    Amelia SharmanThere’s no one-size-fits-all when it comes to micro-credentials, those bits of bite-sized learning that can help workers stay on top of technological change.  What’s a micro-credential? While definitions vary, micro-credentials can be understood as short courses that allow people to learn new skills or have an existing competency recognised. ...
    SciBlogsBy Guest Author
    2 weeks ago
  • “Not The Labour Party We Once Knew.”
    All Smiles Now: Claire Szabo is taking up her presidential role after serving as the CEO of Habitat For Humanity. Which is absolutely perfect! After KiwiBuild was so comprehensively mismanaged by Phil Twyford, the party has not only elected a new president from a thoroughly respectable not-for-profit, but one who ...
    2 weeks ago
  • Marxist versus liberal methodology on transgender ideology/identity politics
    While much of the NZ left has transitioned to postmodern and identity politics in relation to transgender ideology, there are some very good articles about that deploy Marxist methodology in relation to this subject.  The one below is from the British marxist group Counterfire and appeared on their site here ...
    RedlineBy Admin
    2 weeks ago
  • Book review: The Farm by Joanne Ramos
    by Daphna Whitmore At Golden Oaks, a luxurious country retreat in the Hudson Valley, pregnant women have the best care money can buy. From the organic food, personalised exercise programmes, private yoga instruction and daily massages Golden Oaks looks like a country lodge for the upper class. Set some time ...
    RedlineBy Daphna
    2 weeks ago
  • Loosening the purse strings
    When Labour was running for election in 2017, it felt it needed to demonstrate "fiscal responsibility" and signed itself up to masochistic "budget responsibility rules". It was a fool's errand: the sorts of voters who demand fiscal responsibility are also the sorts of voters who believe that labour can never ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    2 weeks ago
  • Climate Change: How to get there
    Writing in Stuff, Joel MacManus looks at what we need to do to meet the Zero Carbon Act's targets. The core of it:1. Convert 85 per cent of vehicles on the road to electric. 2. Eliminate fossil fuels from all industrial heating up to 300 degrees Celsius. 3. Double our ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    2 weeks ago
  • anti-vaxxers in a measles epidemic: so many ways to be untruthful
    “Anti-vaxers are a pro-death movement,” those comments from Dr Helen Petousis-Harris speaking about six more Measles related deaths in Samoa over the past twenty-four hours. “Anti-vaxers are a pro-death movement,” those comments from Dr Helen Petousis-Harris speaking about six more Measles related deaths in Samoa ...
    SciBlogsBy Alison Campbell
    2 weeks ago

  • Record export highs picked for primary sector
    Sustained high growth in primary industry exports looks set to continue over the next two years with strong prices predicted for farmers, fishers, growers and rural communities. Minister of Agriculture and Minister of State for Trade and Export Growth Damien O’Connor today released the latest Situation and Outlook report for ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    9 hours ago
  • New partnership to boost screen sector job opportunities
    Auckland’s growing screen sector is the catalyst for a new partnership between the Ministry of Social Development and Auckland’s economic development agency Auckland Tourism, Events and Economic Development (ATEED). The launch today at FilmFX in Henderson, is to celebrate the partnership which looks to capitalise on the social and economic development opportunities ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 day ago
  • A minute’s silence for Whakaari White Island victims
    A minute’s silence will be observed at 2.11pm on Monday 16 December in honour of the victims of the Whakaari White Island eruption, Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern has confirmed. “Wherever you are in New Zealand, or around the world, this is a moment we can stand alongside those who have ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 day ago
  • NZ to help fund fight against measles in the Pacific region
    Foreign Minister Winston Peters has announced New Zealand will contribute NZ$1 million of funding towards the joint United Nations Fund for Children (UNICEF) and World Health Organisation (WHO) Pacific Regional Action Plan for Measles.   “Prevention through vaccination is the most effective way of avoiding illness and a costly health emergency. ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 day ago
  • New Zealand remembers Sir Peter Snell
    New Zealand is today remembering one of our true sporting heroes, triple Olympic gold medal winner Sir Peter Snell. “He was a legend, here and around the world,” Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern said. “Our thoughts are with Sir Peter’s wife Miki and their family.” “Sir Peter is recognised as New ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 day ago
  • PM congratulates Boris Johnson on election victory
    Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern has congratulated United Kingdom Prime Minister Boris Johnson on his election victory.  “New Zealand and the United Kingdom are close friends and despite our distance we are strongly connected by our history and people,” Jacinda Ardern said.  “I look forward to continuing to work with Prime ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago
  • Building a platform for the future of rail
    The Government has released its long term vision for a sustainable 21st Century rail network that gets our cities moving, connects our regions and gets more freight off the roads.   Deputy Prime Minister and State Owned Enterprises Minister Winston Peters said the Government is committed to rebuilding New Zealand’s ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago
  • Prime Minister statement Whakaari White Island recovery operation
    I want to start by acknowledging the families who have experienced such grief and such loss since the extraordinary tragedy on Monday. Today was all about reuniting them with their loved ones. We've just come from the airport where many of them were gathered and in amongst what you can ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago
  • New Zealand medical specialists to provide further support to Samoa
    Foreign Minister Winston Peters today announced further support for Samoa’s longer term needs as it continues to respond to a devastating measles epidemic. “Samoa’s health system has experienced massive strain in the wake of the measles epidemic. The volume of patients needing care during this outbreak, and the number of ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago
  • Discounted electric-bikes offered to public sector workers
    Discounted electric bikes will be offered up to public sector staff across the country as part of the Government’s work to reduce transport emissions and support healthier transport options.  Associate Minister of Transport Julie Anne Genter officially launched the new initiative at Wellington Hospital today.  “The Government has negotiated bulk-purchase ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago
  • Australia and New Zealand confirm joint bid for FIFA Women’s World Cup
    The Australian and New Zealand Governments today launch an historic joint bid to bring the FIFA Women’s World Cup to the Southern Hemisphere for the first time. Australian Minister for Youth and Sport, Richard Colbeck and New Zealand Minister for Sport and Recreation Grant Robertson will announce the bold campaign, ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago
  • Blackwater gold mine gets PGF boost
    The Provincial Growth Fund (PGF) has approved a $15 million loan to help re-establish a gold mining operation at Blackwater Gold Mine, near Reefton, Rural Communities Minister and local MP Damien O’Connor announced at an event on the West Coast today. “This is great news for the Coast that could ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago
  • Papakāinga model inspires whānau well-being
    Papakāinga model inspires whānau well-being A housing project by Kohupātiki whānau in Hastings is an outstanding example of a Māori-led housing initiative that can reduce financial pressure and reconnect whānau to their whakapapa says the Minister for Māori Development Hon Nanaia Mahuta.  Minister Mahuta officially opened the Aroha Te Rangi ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago
  • Government provides more funding for major community wetland restoration project
    Restoration efforts for a significant wetland in the Hawke’s Bay are getting more support announced Associate Minister for the Environment Eugenie Sage. “Wetlands are vital to healthy landscapes and ecosystems. They function as nature’s ‘kidneys’, filtering and protecting water quality, acting as nature’s sponges after rain and are home to ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago
  • Housing First to help Nelson Tasman homeless
    Nelson has today seen the launch of Housing First Nelson Tasman. Today’s launch marks the expansion of the Government’s homelessness programme, Housing First, to the top of the South Island. “Housing First is a proven programme that puts people who are experiencing homelessness and multiple, high and complex needs into ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago
  • New funding to support Environment Centres working for sustainable local solutions
    New Government funding announced today will help communities make a difference in tackling environmental issues Associate Minister for the Environment Eugenie Sage announced in Hawkes Bay today. The Ministry for the Environment’s Community Environment Fund is dedicating $243,101 to growing the capacity and capability of the Environment Hubs Aotearoa’s (EHA) ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago
  • Government takes bite out of loan sharks
    The days of vulnerable consumers falling victim to loan sharks, truck shops and other predatory lenders are numbered, following the Credit Contracts Legislation Amendment Bill passing its third reading tonight. “Too many Kiwis are being given loans that are unaffordable and unsuitable, trapping them in debt and leaving their families ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • New Zealand safer as Terrorism Suppression (Control Orders Bill) becomes law
    A Bill that prevents terrorism and supports the de-radicalisation of New Zealanders returning from overseas has passed its third reading, Justice Minister Andrew Little says. The Terrorism Suppression (Control Orders) Bill is a carefully targeted response to manage the risk posed by a small number of New Zealanders who have ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • Foreign Minister and Pacific Peoples Minister to visit Samoa
    Foreign Affairs Minister Winston Peters and Minister for Pacific Peoples Aupito William Sio will travel to Samoa on Friday, where New Zealand medical teams are helping Samoa respond to an outbreak of measles. “New Zealand has been working closely with the Government of Samoa and offering our assistance from the ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • New Pastoral Care Code will support tertiary students in 2020
    The Government has changed the law to improve student safety and welfare in university halls of residence and other student accommodation. The Education (Pastoral Care) Amendment Bill passed its third reading this afternoon and details of an interim Code of Practice setting out the Government’s expectations of tertiary providers have also been released. ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • New infrastructure funding tool to build housing developments faster
    A new tool to help councils fund and finance infrastructure could mean some housing developments happen a decade earlier than currently planned, Urban Development Minister Phil Twyford said today. “This new tool, developed by the Government in partnership with industry and high-growth councils, will allow councils to access private debt ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • Vision to unite the primary sector launched today
    Agriculture Minister Damien O’Connor has welcomed the release of a bold new vision for the country’s vital food and fibre sector. “I’m delighted that New Zealand’s major farmer and grower organisations are today supporting the Primary Sector Council’s vision – Fit for a Better World,” he said. “The international consumers ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • NZ congratulates PNG and Autonomous Bougainville Government on referendum
    Foreign Minister Winston Peters has congratulated the Government of Papua New Guinea and the Autonomous Bougainville Government for completing a well-conducted referendum on the future political status of Bougainville. “New Zealand supported the referendum process by providing technical advice through the New Zealand Electoral Commission and leading a Regional Police ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • Next steps for Upper North Island logistics
    In light of Cabinet’s position that freight operations on prime land in downtown Auckland are no longer viable, the Government will now embark on a short work programme to enable decision-making in the first half of next year, Associate Transport Minister Shane Jones says. Minister Jones is today releasing the ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • Surgical mesh restorative justice report received
    Associate Health Minister Julie Anne Genter has received the report back from a surgical mesh restorative justice process undertaken by Victoria University. The process heard stories, either in person or online submission, from more than 600 people affected by surgical mesh. “The report made for heart-breaking and confronting reading,” says ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • The Water Services Regulator Bill – Taumata Arowai a milestone for drinking water safety
    The Water Services Regulator Bill – Taumata Arowai , introduced to Parliament today, is a milestone for drinking water safety in New Zealand and will help improve environmental outcomes for urban waterways, rivers and lakes.  “This is a breakthrough for New Zealanders in terms of providing safe drinking water throughout ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • Speech to new direction for criminal justice reform announcement
    Kia ora koutouE ngā mana, e ngā reo, e ngā matā wakaTēnā koutou katoaHaere ngā, moe maiKoutou ma ngā Rangatira Ko Anaru ahauKo au te Minita mo ngā TureHe Honore tino nui kei roto I ahau No reira tena koutou katoa Today, we are releasing two reports that are the ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • New direction for criminal justice reform
    The Government is looking to turn around the long-term challenges of criminal justice by taking a new approach to break the cycle of offending to ensure there are fewer victims of crime. Justice Minister Andrew Little released two reports today, Turuki! Turuki! from Te Uepū Hāpai I te Ora, and ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • New law sets up $300m Venture Capital Fund
    New Zealand firms expanding beyond the start-up phase are set for more support after today’s passage of the Venture Capital Fund Bill, Associate Finance Minister David Parker said. The Bill, which establishes a $300 million Venture Capital Fund, puts in place a key initiative of the Wellbeing Budget’s economic package. ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • New Zealand’s National Statement to COP25
    E ngā mana, e ngā reo, e ngā iwi, e ngā rau rangatira mā. Tēnā koutou, tēnā koutou, tēnā koutou katoa. Señora Presidenta, Excellencies, Delegates. International action A common thread that runs through the Paris Agreement is the commitment we have made to each other to do what we can to ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • $12 billion in extra infrastructure investment
    The Government is lifting capital investment to the highest level in more than 20 years as it takes the next step to future-proof New Zealand. Finance Minister Grant Robertson has announced $12 billion of new investment, with $8 billion for specific capital projects and $4 billion to be added to ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • Strong economy, careful spending gives $12bn of surpluses
    The Government is forecast to run $12 billion worth of surpluses across the four years to 2023/24 as the economy continues to grow. The surpluses will help fund day-to-day capital requirements each year. These include fixing leaky hospitals, building new classrooms to cover population growth and take pressure off class ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • Priorities for 2020 Wellbeing Budget outlined
    Budget 2020 will continue the Coalition Government’s focus on tackling the long-term challenges facing New Zealand while also investing to future-proof the economy. When the Government took office in 2017 it was left with crumbling infrastructure, severe underinvestment in public services, degraded rivers and lakes, a housing crisis and rising ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • Minister welcomes data-rich coastline mapping tool
    The Minister responsible for the Marine and Coastal Area (Takutai Moana) Act 2011 (te Takutai Moana Act 2011), Andrew Little has welcomed the launch of an online geospatial tool that provides data-rich, dynamic coastline maps that will significantly boost research and evidence-gathering under the Act. Te Kete Kōrero a Te ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • Chief Victims Advisor reappointed for a further two years
    The Chief Victims Advisor to Government Dr Kim McGregor, QSO, has been reappointed in her role for a further two years. Dr McGregor has held the role since it was established in November 2015. She provides independent advice to government on how to improve the criminal justice system for victims. ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
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