Luxon under pressure after latest Newshub Poll

Written By: - Date published: 10:08 pm, February 7th, 2022 - 93 comments
Categories: act, Christopher Luxon, david seymour, greens, jacinda ardern, labour, national, polls - Tags:

I am going to channel my Matthew Hooton left wing alter ego in the writing of this post.

The latest Newshub Poll result will cause further pressure on embattled National Party leader Chris Luxon.

Although National support increased 4.4% to 31.3%, support for its only possible ally Act plummeted 8% points to 8%.

Compared to the recent Roy Morgan Poll the right’s share of the vote has plummeted 10.7% points to 39.3% and is now well behind the Labour-Green total of 53.9%.

Meanwhile Jacinda Ardern’s handling of the toughest job in politics especially during a pandemic has seen her support increase to 43.3%.

National’s leak machine has started again with some MPs expressing concern for the party’s future and especially for the chances of them winning their own seats.  Meanwhile there are reports of at least three Act MPs sounding out others on the possibility of a leadership coup against embattled leader David Seymour.

The next few weeks are going to be tough for the leaders of the country’s two right wing parties as the majority of the electorate clearly accept that a kinder style of leadership that respects scientific advice is the best for the country.

93 comments on “Luxon under pressure after latest Newshub Poll ”

  1. observer 1

    The most valid comparison is with polls from the same pollster. On that basis, this is even worse for the Right (National + ACT) than the last Newshub poll when Collins was leader.

    Go back further, and – remarkably – it is the same result as the Newshub poll before that (late July 2021): the Right polled 39.8% then, 39.3% now. No change.

    https://www.newshub.co.nz/home/politics/2021/08/newshub-reid-research-poll-act-soars-to-11-1-pct-labour-plummets-to-43-pct-and-national-still-not-cracking-30s.html

    Collins was awful, unelectable. Luxon seems better, more affable, more media-friendly, less antagonistic. But in the end all that matters is votes – and he's not adding any.

    • lprent 1.1

      Look be fair – give Luxon some time.

      After all National are currently successfully doing the dismemberment of the Act support. Isn't that worth supporting?

      😈

  2. McFlock 2

    Meanwhile there are reports of at least three Act MPs sounding out others on the possibility of a leadership coup against embattled leader David Seymour.

    All he has to do is wait for the leadership chaos to drive ACT back under 2%, then he'll be on caucus leader $$$ again lol

    • Blade 2.1

      Good poll for the Left..bad poll for the Right?

      But is it? It's February. The remnants of a holiday break and good news about the border opening up is still fresh and uplifting.

      But as the year grinds on.. things won't be so good. Should a similar poll be posted in August, then the Right have a big problem.

      And let’s not forget Robbo. I’m sure he will have a bag of trinkets for the punters should things get dicey.

      • McFlock 2.1.1

        Dunno about polling for the left and right at this stage. I just thought it was funny that some first-termers could be considering a leadership challenge.

        Especially as most of ACT's media strategy seems to be to keep 9 mps as far away from media as possible. I haven't seen them make policy announcements or in the news. Do you hear them much on talkback radio? You are probably more their demographic.

    • Blazer 2.2

      a leadership coup against Seymour!…who Judith Collins?

      No one has heard of any other ACT politician besides Seymour.

      • McFlock 2.2.1

        I know, right?

        hilarious

        • Nic the NZer 2.2.1.1

          Doesn't seem implausible. Do you think ACT updated their constitution after the John Banks external leadership coup?

          But if your going to get electorate votes in Epsom then your probably going to be too socialist for Blade.

          • McFlock 2.2.1.1.1

            Thing is, it then gives their most visible MP to date an incentive to tank the party.

            Not as bad as Anderton vs Alliance, but still… his electorate is their backstop if their vote tanks – which most parties do when their leadership is in disarray.

      • Phil 2.2.2

        No one has heard of any other ACT politician besides Seymour.

        No one had heard of Seymour before he got the job and, on purely numerical terms, he has been ACTs most successful leader.

        shrugs

  3. Chris T 3

    This will probably sound odd, but given the current Covid situation I actually think the Nats are higher than I thought they should be.

    Lets face it. Currently Ardern is basically living in free publicity central.

    In fact 31.3% plus 8% is probably high enough that she will probably be advised to start up her 1pm Covid announcement live ads again.

    (Yes I know I am a cynic)

  4. Patricia Bremner 4

    Did this period take in Act's State of the Nation speech? perhaps the word has gone out that Act are on their own?

  5. Logie97 5

    Until recently the media used to consult with the Westpac pundit for comments on the state of the economy and his predictions. Recently it has been the ANZ who have been commenting and spreading negativity and gloom. Now doesn’t a knight of the realm and former PM have a high position in the ANZ. He probably thinks he can still influence public opinion from there.

  6. I like your inner Matthew Hooton, Micky. Doing what the right does so often – predicting dire and big changes on the flimsyist (or none at all) of evidence.

    You know what I mean – Jacinda is angling for a post at the UN, she'll retire and hand over to Grant, that sort of thing.

    But I sincerely hope that any predictions of implosions within Natz or Act come true.

    We face an existential crisis and although I've been horribly disappointed by Labour's response so far, they are geological ages ahead of the right, many of whom deny there is even a problem.

  7. Riff.s 7

    There seems to be a wall of labour support around 40%. Gains will be hard for the right but the trend is still looking like it'll be close.

    That said, it is shaping up as a unique choice for the electorate between lab-green and nat-act. With both sides called before the election, no balance of power centre party, and the smaller coalition parties having significant support.

    I don"t think there has been an election like it in NZ.

  8. higherstandard 8

    "I don"t think there has been an election like it in NZ."

    On the contrary, a choice between two bunches of incompetents is pretty much like every election in nz.

    • Patricia Bremner 8.1

      higherstandard. So no Government elected or not meet with your approval? Sad for you.

  9. Sanctuary 9

    My biggest take from this poll is (As MS's bit of satire above indicates) the gap between the MIQ obsessed received wisdom of our wrong headed pundit class and the general public has grown to an unbridgable chasm.

    Even this morning the gallery journalists and preseenters are grimly clinging to the narrative they've persuaded themselves of, viz: MIQ is deeply unpopular, the government's support is in decline as a result, National is closing the gap, Luxon is Key 2.0, soon order will restored as people tire of Jacinda and flow back to the natural party of business.

    • observer 9.1

      "Scandal after scandal", said Ryan Bridge this morning.

      It's Pundit's Law: scandals expand to fill the news space available. "Scandal after scandal" is something we've seen often enough in the past, with governments both Lab and Nat. Ministers resign, leaks flow from Cabinet, bitter rows hit the front pages. Yeah, proper politics.

      But none of that is happening (this is the most disappointingly disciplined government I can remember, not even an expenses embarrassment, a naughty freebie, and they always have those).

      Still, the "Scandal Quota" must be filled, so the media must make their own fun. Something about Gayford at the chemist's, or whatever that was.

      Meanwhile … Boris Johnson's own Tory MPs are literally writing open letters demanding he resign. Now that's how we should do "Scandal".

      • mary_a 9.1.1

        But, but observer (9.1) have you forgotten already that the Taliban has been quoted as being far kinder than wicked Jacinda and this evil government? A black mark surely, much worse than a scandal .. /sarc

  10. Ad 10

    Mickey yesterday you did a long post about how the mainstream media were all ganging up against Labour.

    As Sanctuary points out, they just don't have their imagined power any more.

    • Sanctuary 10.1

      Which will unfortunately most likely simply drive them into a paroxysm of impotent rage rather than a period of genuflection on the age, class and general composition of their pundits. I mean, I remember Ralston, Clifton, and Soper from when I was young for God's sake. I would venture to suggest that a bunch of boomers recylcing their boozey dinner party hot takes from the comfort of their mortgage free million dollar homes in swish suburbs do not quite have their finger on the pulse of the nation as much as they think they do. Hooton should never be published in reputable news outlet ever again. A parade of the opinions of a bunch of angry and menopausal 50 something wealthy Auckland businessmen does not the public opinion make. And the press gallery has been exposed by COVID and it's attempt to control the narrative – "to make the sausage" -has seen its members discredited on both the left and the right.

      Unfortunately, nature abhors a vacuum and into the void has rushed social media, in particular Facebook, which has monitised hate and misinformation to such an extent the company's presence is now a national security problem for multiple countries.

      • Ad 10.1.1

        Anyone remember Charlotte Bellis and the orchestrated power of the media to roll governments? What a neat campaign!

        So good to see her continuing solidarity with the women of Afghanistan now that she's gotten herself out.

        'Angry and/or menopausal' media darlings walking over the bodies of the oppressed.

      • Obtrectator 10.1.2

        Takes a bit more than a million these days to secure a house in a swish suburb.

  11. Jimmy 11

    "Meanwhile there are reports of at least three Act MPs sounding out others on the possibility of a leadership coup against embattled leader David Seymour."

    I find that very hard to believe. Seems like the writer just wanting to try and cause mischief.

    No one even knows who any of the others are, and if one of them took over they would be so unknown Act would slip further and as McFlock says at 2 above, Seymour would probably end up as the only MP as he is gifted Epsom seat.

    • observer 11.1

      "Seems like the writer just wanting to try and cause mischief. "

      He was satirising similar comments by Hooton. Not meant to be taken seriously – like Hooton.

      • Bearded Git 11.1.1

        Hooton and Trotter seem to have something in common…..they can write a series of rational/logical statements/articles….then suddenly they go off the rails and write utter tripe.

    • mpledger 11.2

      The funders behind Act keep who they want in power. The funders may want three unknowns rather than Seymour = they made Seymour, they can make someone else.

  12. Robert Guyton 12

    This is devastating for National, catastrophic for ACT: what a shambles!!

    • Ad 12.1

      Seymour should sit at the feet of Shaw and takes notes. 🙂

      • Robert Guyton 12.1.1

        It would be intensely annoying having that little twerker underfoot.

      • Bearded Git 12.1.2

        Agreed ad…..in all the spiel above nobody seems to recognise how well the Greens are polling….nearly 10%.

        • lprent 12.1.2.1

          I was commenting on how remarkable that was last week. First time I have seen a party generally supporting the government beat the curse.

          • Bearded Git 12.1.2.1.1

            One wonders how the "give back more land to Maori by revisiting the settlements" will go.

            Personally I support it but it will raise some hackles.

  13. Robert Guyton 13

    "Luxon prepares to throw in towel"

  14. I think individual polls are like weather forecasts. We tend to prefer the ones that say what we want to hear.

    In contrast, recently there was the Roy Morgan poll (which I seem to remember used to be quite popular here awhile back) which paints quite a different story:

    http://www.roymorgan.com/findings/8889-nz-national-voting-intention-december-2021-202201310600

    And the TVNZ poll which is somewhere between the other two:

    https://www.stuff.co.nz/national/politics/300505540/new-poll-national-take-support-from-act-labour-still-ahead

    But, hey, if the latest poll makes the left complacent, all good by me.smiley

    Probably averaging all three would give a more accurate perspective I suspect.

  15. Adrian 15

    The only weapon that Luxon thought he had was RATS, now in Aussie they might be getting the arse. Their unreliability has compromised one resthome already with over 20 residents contacting Covid from a carer who tested negative, and the list of complaints is growing. It’s is now claimed that RATS don’t pick up Covid for 4-5 days, which is next to useless when Omicron was reported recently as being infectious in a carrier within the first 24 hours. You go Chris baby, you can pick’em.
    The 4-5 days may explain why so many deplaneing at Mangere are as toxic as a septic tank.

    • Bearded Git 15.1

      RATS have always had a reliability problem…Jacinda realises they are as much use as a chocolate teapot….but Luxon will go on and on and on and on about them.

      • aj 15.1.1

        Studies made clear the problems with RAT's from very early on, seemed to me that was why the govt/MoH were reluctant to place bets on them. It made me wonder why Bishop et al put the house on them.

        Of course they have been chasing the smoke around the campfire right from the start of the pandemic

        • McFlock 15.1.1.1

          It made me wonder why Bishop et al put the house on them.

          If I thought he or his advisors were particularly competent and evil, I'd suggest that maybe they knew RATs would always be used when the disease broke out into numbers too large and management of the problem moved into a new phase. [edit: point being that they’d be able to say “they’re doing what we said all along” when the government reaches a well-formulated milestone in the plan]

          But as it is, there's a possibility they're genuinely thick and were just moaning for the sake of undermining the government's public health responses during a global pandemic.

          • Chris T 15.1.1.1.1

            Or the govt could just be a bit shit when it comes to RATs.

            Still confuses me why they were so against them so much and then nicked them all.

            • McFlock 15.1.1.1.1.1

              I mean, it could be that at different stages of an outbreak the testing requirements move towards sacrificing some testing specificity in order to significantly increase the number of people who can be tested.

              Or, like, govt bad, yadda yadda, our ability to keep numbers so low was due only to luck. Always a [thin] possibility, I guess.

      • lprent 15.1.2

        RATS have always had a reliability problem…

        They were bad enough before delta for reliabilty. Now they appear to be only really good as generators of false negatives – even when taken in series.

        Wouldn’t trust them at all myself because they catch the infections too late. Good enough to identify a possible infection hotspot after it has already infected everyone there with omicron

    • georgecom 15.2

      National has had no real policy on covid19 since march 2020. they have had a lot of changing their minds, conflicting statements, platitudes and pointing of the obvious, but no real policy. what their position has amounted to is pretty much:

      open/close/open/close/open the border

      lock down/unlock down/lock down/ unlock down

      the vaccine roll out was slow, but don't ask them for an alternative

      use rapid antigen tests throughout the population

      that's it. bishop is not as big a numpty as say was woodhouse, but he has really struggled to articulate an alternative. I am not sure Luxon understands the full details, never mind the finer details of the covid situation. Maybe if they had not been on holiday over december/january they might have been able to pull together a coherent position, but clearly the bach and the beach was more important.

  16. Corey Humm 17

    When does this govt accept advice? It stopped listening to health advice when it became politically advantageous to do so, it didn't listen to Treasury or salvation army when they said housing NZs budget needed to be increased , it didn't listen to world economists and local economists about a capital gains tax, it didn't listen to experts recommendations on welfare. Climate.

    As for that CGT it's desperately needed, real leadership means being able to change your mind when the the facts change and if she said "when I ruled out a CGT it was a different world, noone could have predicted the impacts of COVID, we were elected to rebuild post covid and it'd be irresponsible for me to not act on housing, so from xxxx we will be instituting a capital gains tax on non family homes"

    The majority of the public would support her like they have on covid and say "well something had to be done we're all struggling here everyone has to tighten their belt" and it would make people hopeful about her again, but she won't… Her and her party are stuck in a 90s idea of centerism. Knowing this lot I expect them to get even more conservative and do even less,

    they are so out of touch with a public who wants a fairer more affordable new Zealand it's just getting sad now.

  17. Adrian 18

    Didn’t listen to ONE local economist Corey but did listen to the majority , by a fine margin admittedly, of NZ voters who didn’t want. You can’t get anything done from opposition like all the new state houses built and to be fair bloody Covid has gotten in the way of a few things.

  18. Patricia Bremner 19

    Corey, what would you like apart from CGT? The tax on sales is working to slow house price rises. Corey, all over the world investors are buying up property. They fear a financial crash. This means property prices are trending up. Banks everywhere are shoring up their defences and charging more for money.

    No government has tried to control speculation in houses before. They are building as fast as they can and supporting housing with infrastructure money apprenticeships and money for freight and supply lines. This is not enough in the face of need, so building public homes to rent would be a good move. Rentals for these could be fixed or susidised.

    I hear the owner of Whitcoulls is going on a property buying spree an example of straight greed and "using" housing in covid times to protect wealth in the face of need. How do Governments counter this without huge unintended consequences?

    I send ideas through. Some have been actioned, others I know are on the back burner.

    Are you impacted by work hours/type, rent costs or rising interest rates, world energy prices, food prices or all of these?

    This happened to a family member who was threatened by a collection firm. We all rallied round cleared his card, convinced him to get budgeting help and make a list of possible earning actions. He got an extra one day a week mowing job, which he used to pay down his car loan. Life is better. I know that may not transfer, but talking to the budget help he discovered avenues of assistance he did not know were available before.

    Keep coming here and elsewhere to talk your real life experiences not forgetting your local MP. Cheers Corey, make them listen mate, some will lose their seats next time so they will listen.

    No country has an answer, oil money has given some false riches which will fade. We all face covid and climate change.

    An agrarian revolution, followed by the industrial revolution, then the space age, the tech age we are in which is turning to the sustainable age hopefully. They all cause gains and losses not all recognised as trends immediately.

    Governments may be overtaken by events, but planning and careful choices mean ours is admired world wide for steadfast policies based on wellbeing.

    Those who labour for others are the most impacted by any change. Those with capital can have it earn for them.

    A pandemic is going to have fallout. Social engineering is so unfashionable now, that rather than go there in any form many Governments have gone for the "Let it rip". That is no answer either as Australia and the UK and USA are discovering.

    Weka had a great post on Long Covid. It appears this is becoming prevalent and problematic. USA just reported to WHO. Our Government is straining to limit impacts by following a summation of Health advice. Not all of it accurate or helpful.

    Your pain is real and we recognise it. Don’t invite the wolf in again because he is dressed up as Grandma.

    • tsmithfield 20.1

      As I pointed out above, the Roy Morgan was the most accurate for the 2020 election result. So, don't write it off. It might well be the only right poll out of the lot.

  19. swordfish 22

    Roy Morgan Poll (January):

    Nats lead Lab / Right leads Left.

    Women favour Left / Men favour Right:

    • Chris T 22.1

      "Women favour Left / Men favour Right:"

      This has always been interesting to me.

      Think it is more a women favour Ardern more than dudes thing at the mo' tbh

      All the touchy feely "team of 5 million". "Be kind" PR crap seems to work better on females. But that might be construed as sexist.

      Edit: Probably might sound like a cop out, but work with females who also think it is bollocks from plasticky media people.

      • swordfish 22.1.1

        It's true to say that the gender gap in Party Support (certainly in terms of breakdowns from Opinion Polling .. but also, from memory, in terms of the New Zealand Election Study) has been greatest during the Clark & Ardern Administrations. Generally younger women are particularly taken with Labour Govt's under women PMs.

        [although, of course, this latest Roy Morgan (quite unusually) suggests older women are currently the core Labourites]

    • pat 22.2

      Thanks..tell me, is the gender split historical? I have the sense that it is a relatively recent phenomenon.

      • swordfish 22.2.1

        .

        Up until the early 80s, the gender split was in the opposite direction … early polling in the 60s tended to break down gender by marital status rather than age … single women were core National voters, single men core Labour voters … with married women & men being milder [somewhat more evenly-divided] versions of the singles.

        We’re talking in broad terms here, of course … plenty of single women voted Labour / plenty of men supported the Nats … but generally speaking we know there was that gender split during the 60s & 70s from polling.

        Sophisticated regression analysis in a PhD a couple of decades ago (along with mid 20C folk wisdom: caught in James K Baxter's Poem National Mum Labour Dad) suggests this was broadly the case for much of the early-mid 20C in NZ. Newspapers were very effective in convincing women (in particular) that Labour were a bunch of wild-eyed working-class wreckers & revolutionaries.

        From the early 80s, the split reversed … partly a corollary of generational change, partly a visceral reaction to Muldoon, women as a whole slowly began to move Left, with men increasingly more likely than women to vote National.

        That trend greatly intensified during the Clark Govt … then significantly declined during most of the Key years … reappeared towards the end of Key's reign … greatly intensifying again under Ardern.

        • pat 22.2.1.1

          Thanks….thats a surprising historical split that I wouldnt have picked…had thought the support would have been roughly balanced…just goes to show.

    • Patricia Bremner 22.3

      Maori Party on the right?

  20. Poission 23

    Kitchen cabinet response to bad PR over MIQ is against public opinion,and a poor political decision.

    The poll results show 57.8 percent of Kiwis support keeping the international border closed longer to keep Omicron out while just over a third – 36.3 percent – wouldn't tolerate being cut off from the world any longer.

    https://www.newshub.co.nz/home/politics/2022/02/newshub-reid-research-poll-majority-of-kiwis-support-keeping-border-closed-to-keep-out-omicron.html

  21. georgecom 24

    Luxon cannot be happy with that. only 32% and ACTs vote collapsing. essentially the nats have clawed back what they lost to ACT. At a time the govt has been under delta and omicron pressure and the emergence of the great white hope national would have wanted to be mid 30s at the minimum and more likely high 30s. they are back to about where Bridges left them when he was rolled.

  22. Roy Morgan poll just out shows a completely different story to the Newshub poll.

    https://www.roymorgan.com/findings/8892-nz-national-voting-intention-january-2022-202202072332?fbclid=IwAR1AMN3Q-TCPYDUZdPS7SfRnv0PF8G6k-mi19dcCrXImwdvERe4srJKLzfU

    In this poll the right block is now on 51 compared to the left block on 43. So, the Roy Morgan shows the right block clearly winning now.

    Potentially some push-polling going on in the Newshub poll. I have seen several comments from people claiming to have been called to respond for that poll. They said they were asked about whether the abortion views of Luxon would change their voting intention.

    I understand these questions were asked after the questions about party and leader support, so in theory shouldn't have affected the result.

    But a lot of right leaning respondents may well have told the pollsters to F off after that sort of question. So, if there were a number of incomplete responses due to that, and if the incomplete responses were not included, then excluded could well have biased the result.

    It just seems a bit weird that this poll was so far out of step with other recent ones.

    • ghostwhowalksnz 25.1

      Different methodology

      2020 election result their last poll understated labour and overstated national

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  • “Racism” becomes a buzz word on the campaign trail – but our media watchdogs stay muzzled when...
    Buzz from the Beehive  Oh, dear.  We have nothing to report from the Beehive. At least, we have nothing to report from the government’s official website. But the drones have not gone silent.  They are out on the election campaign trail, busy buzzing about this and that in the hope ...
    Point of OrderBy Bob Edlin
    3 days ago
  • Play it, Elvis
    Election Hell special!! This week’s quiz is a bumper edition featuring a few of the more popular questions from last weekend’s show, as well as a few we didn’t have time for. You’re welcome, etc. Let us press on, etc. 1.  What did Christopher Luxon use to his advantage in ...
    More Than A FeildingBy David Slack
    3 days ago
  • Pure class warfare
    National unveiled its fiscal policy today, announcing all the usual things which business cares about and I don't. But it did finally tell us how National plans to pay for its handouts to landlords: by effectively cutting benefits: The biggest saving announced on Friday was $2b cut from the ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    3 days ago
  • Ask Me Anything about the week to Sept 29
    Photo by Anna Ogiienko on UnsplashIt’s that time of the week for an ‘Ask Me Anything’ session for paying subscribers about the week that was for an hour, including:duelling fiscal plans from National and Labour;Labour cutting cycling spending while accusing National of being weak on climate;Research showing the need for ...
    The KakaBy Bernard Hickey
    3 days ago
  • Weekly Roundup 29-September-2023
    Welcome to Friday and the last one for September. This week in Greater Auckland On Monday, Matt highlighted at the latest with the City Rail Link. On Tuesday, Matt covered the interesting items from Auckland Transport’s latest board meeting agendas. On Thursday, a guest post from Darren Davis ...
    Greater AucklandBy Greater Auckland
    3 days ago
  • Protest at Parliament: The Reunion.
    Brian’s god spoke to him. He, for of course the Lord in Tamaki’s mind was a male god, with a mighty rod, and probably some black leathers. He, told Brian - “you must put a stop to all this love, hope, and kindness”. And it did please the Brian.He said ...
    Nick’s KōreroBy Nick Rockel
    3 days ago
  • Labour cuts $50m from cycleway spending
    Labour is cutting spending on cycling infrastructure while still trying to claim the higher ground on climate. Photo: Lynn Grieveson / The KākāTL;DR: The Labour Government released a climate manifesto this week to try to claim the high ground against National, despite having ignored the Climate Commission’s advice to toughen ...
    The KakaBy Bernard Hickey
    3 days ago
  • The Greater Of Two Evils.
    Not Labour: If you’re out to punish the government you once loved, then the last thing you need is to be shown evidence that the opposition parties are much, much worse.THE GREATEST VIRTUE of being the Opposition is not being the Government. Only very rarely is an opposition party elected ...
    3 days ago
  • Skeptical Science New Research for Week #39 2023
    Open access notables "Net zero is only a distraction— we just have to end fossil fuel emissions." The latter is true but the former isn't, or  not in the real world as it's likely to be in the immediate future. And "just" just doesn't enter into it; we don't have ...
    3 days ago
  • Chris Trotter: Losing the Left
    IN THE CURRENT MIX of electoral alternatives, there is no longer a credible left-wing party. Not when “a credible left-wing party” is defined as: a class-oriented, mass-based, democratically-structured political organisation; dedicated to promoting ideas sharply critical of laissez-faire capitalism; and committed to advancing democratic, egalitarian and emancipatory ideals across the ...
    Democracy ProjectBy bryce.edwards
    3 days ago
  • Road rage at Kia Kaha Primary School
    It is not the school holidays yet at Kia Kaha Primary School!It can be any time when you are telling a story.Telling stories about things that happened in the past is how we learn from our mistakes.If we want to.Anyway, it is not the school holidays yet at Kia Kaha ...
    More Than A FeildingBy David Slack
    3 days ago
  • Road rage at Kia Kaha Primary School
    It is not the school holidays yet at Kia Kaha Primary School!It can be any time when you are telling a story.Telling stories about things that happened in the past is how we learn from our mistakes.If we want to.Anyway, it is not the school holidays yet at Kia Kaha ...
    More Than A FeildingBy David Slack
    3 days ago
  • Road rage at Kia Kaha Primary School
    It is not the school holidays yet at Kia Kaha Primary School!It can be any time when you are telling a story.Telling stories about things that happened in the past is how we learn from our mistakes.If we want to.Anyway, it is not the school holidays yet at Kia Kaha ...
    More than a fieldingBy David Slack
    3 days ago
  • Hipkins fires up in leaders’ debate, but has the curtain already fallen on the Labour-led coalitio...
    Labour’s  Chris Hipkins came out firing, in the  leaders’ debate  on Newshub’s evening programme, and most of  the pundits  rated  him the winner against National’s  Christopher Luxon. But will this make any difference when New  Zealanders  start casting their ballots? The problem  for  Hipkins is  that  voters are  all too ...
    Point of OrderBy tutere44
    4 days ago
  • Govt is energising housing projects with solar power – and fuelling the public’s concept of a di...
    Buzz from the Beehive  Not long after Point of Order published data which show the substantial number of New Zealanders (77%) who believe NZ is becoming more divided, government ministers were braying about a programme which distributes some money to “the public” and some to “Maori”. The ministers were dishing ...
    Point of OrderBy Bob Edlin
    4 days ago
  • MIKE GRIMSHAW: Election 2023 – a totemic & charisma failure?
    The D&W analysis Michael Grimshaw writes –  Given the apathy, disengagement, disillusionment, and all-round ennui of this year’s general election, it was considered time to bring in those noted political operatives and spin doctors D&W, the long-established consultancy firm run by Emile Durkheim and Max Weber. Known for ...
    Point of OrderBy poonzteam5443
    4 days ago
  • FROM BFD: Will Winston be the spectre we think?
    Kissy kissy. Cartoon credit BoomSlang. The BFD. JC writes-  Allow me to preface this contribution with the following statement: If I were asked to express a preference between a National/ACT coalition or a National/ACT/NZF coalition then it would be the former. This week Luxon declared his position, ...
    Point of OrderBy poonzteam5443
    4 days ago
  • California’s climate disclosure bill could have a huge impact across the U.S.
    This re-post from Yale Climate Connections by Andy Furillo was originally published by Capital & Main and is part of Covering Climate Now, a global journalism collaboration strengthening coverage of the climate story. The California Legislature took a step last week that has the potential to accelerate the fight against climate ...
    4 days ago
  • Untangling South East Queensland’s Public Transport
    This is a cross post Adventures in Transitland by Darren Davis. I recently visited Brisbane and South East Queensland and came away both impressed while also pondering some key changes to make public transport even better in the region. Here goes with my take on things. A bit of ...
    Greater AucklandBy Guest Post
    4 days ago
  • Try A Little Kindness.
    My daughter arrived home from the supermarket yesterday and she seemed a bit worried about something. It turned out she wanted to know if someone could get her bank number from a receipt.We wound the story back.She was in the store and there was a man there who was distressed, ...
    Nick’s KōreroBy Nick Rockel
    4 days ago
  • What makes NZFirst tick
    New Zealand’s longest-running political roadshow rolled into Opotiki yesterday, with New Zealand First leader Winston Peters knowing another poll last night showed he would make it back to Parliament and National would need him and his party if they wanted to form a government. The Newshub Reid Research poll ...
    PolitikBy Richard Harman
    4 days ago
  • September AMA
    Hi,As September draws to a close — I feel it’s probably time to do an Ask Me Anything. You know how it goes: If you have any burning questions, fire away in the comments and I will do my best to answer. You might have questions about Webworm, or podcast ...
    David FarrierBy David Farrier
    4 days ago
  • Bludgers lying in the scratcher making fools of us all
    The mediocrity who stands to be a Prime Minister has a litany.He uses it a bit like a Koru Lounge card. He will brandish it to say: these people are eligible. And more than that, too: These people are deserving. They have earned this policy.They have a right to this policy. What ...
    More Than A FeildingBy David Slack
    4 days ago
  • More “partnerships” (by the look of it) and redress of over $30 million in Treaty settlement wit...
    Buzz from the Beehive Point of Order has waited until now – 3.45pm – for today’s officially posted government announcements.  There have been none. The only addition to the news on the Beehive’s website was posted later yesterday, after we had published our September 26 Buzz report. It came from ...
    Point of OrderBy Bob Edlin
    5 days ago
  • ALEX HOLLAND: Labour’s spending
    Alex Holland writes –  In 2017 when Labour came to power, crown spending was $76 billion per year. Now in 2023 it is $139 billion per year, which equates to a $63 billion annual increase (over $1 billion extra spend every week!) In 2017, New Zealand’s government debt ...
    Point of OrderBy poonzteam5443
    5 days ago
  • If not now, then when?
    Labour released its fiscal plan today, promising the same old, same old: "responsibility", balanced books, and of course no new taxes: "Labour will maintain income tax settings to provide consistency and certainty in these volatile times. Now is not the time for additional taxes or to promise billions of ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    5 days ago
  • THE FACTS:  77% of Kiwis believe NZ is becoming more divided
    The Facts has posted –        KEY INSIGHTSOf New Zealander’s polled: Social unity/division 77%believe NZ is becoming more divided (42% ‘much more’ + 35% ‘a little more’) 3%believe NZ is becoming less divided (1% ‘much less’ + 2% ‘a little less’) ...
    Point of OrderBy poonzteam5443
    5 days ago
  • Gordon Campbell on the cynical brutality of the centre-right’s welfare policies
    The centre-right’s enthusiasm for forcing people off the benefit and into paid work is matched only by the enthusiasm (shared by Treasury and the Reserve Bank) for throwing people out of paid work to curb inflation, and achieve the optimal balance of workers to job seekers deemed to be desirable ...
    5 days ago
  • Wednesday’s Chorus: Arthur Grimes on why building many, many more social houses is so critical
    New research shows that tenants in social housing - such as these Wellington apartments - are just as happy as home owners and much happier than private tenants. Photo: Lynn Grieveson / The KākāTL;DR: The election campaign took an ugly turn yesterday, and in completely the wrong direction. All three ...
    The KakaBy Bernard Hickey
    5 days ago
  • Old habits
    Media awareness about global warming and climate change has grown fairly steadily since 2004. My impression is that journalists today tend to possess a higher climate literacy than before. This increasing awareness and improved knowledge is encouraging, but there are also some common interpretations which could be more nuanced. ...
    Real ClimateBy rasmus
    5 days ago
  • Bennie Bashing.
    If there’s one thing the mob loves more than keeping Māori in their place, more than getting tough on the gangs, maybe even more than tax cuts. It’s a good old round of beneficiary bashing.Are those meanies in the ACT party stealing your votes because they think David Seymour is ...
    Nick’s KōreroBy Nick Rockel
    5 days ago
  • The kindest cuts
    Labour kicks off the fiscal credibility battle today with the release of its fiscal plan. National is expected to follow, possibly as soon as Thursday, with its own plan, which may (or may not) address the large hole that the problems with its foreign buyers’ ban might open up. ...
    PolitikBy Richard Harman
    5 days ago
  • Green right turn in Britain? Well, a start
    While it may be unlikely to register in New Zealand’s general election, Britain’s PM Rishi Sunak has done something which might just be important in the long run. He’s announced a far-reaching change in his Conservative government’s approach to environmental, and particularly net zero, policy. The starting point – ...
    Point of OrderBy xtrdnry
    5 days ago
  • At a glance – How do human CO2 emissions compare to natural CO2 emissions?
    On February 14, 2023 we announced our Rebuttal Update Project. This included an ask for feedback about the added "At a glance" section in the updated basic rebuttal versions. This weekly blog post series highlights this new section of one of the updated basic rebuttal versions and serves as a ...
    5 days ago
  • How could this happen?
    Canada is in uproar after the exposure that its parliament on September 22 provided a standing ovation to a Nazi veteran who had been invited into the chamber to participate in the parliamentary welcome to Ukrainian President Zelensky. Yaroslav Hunka, 98, a Ukrainian man who volunteered for service in ...
    5 days ago
  • Always Be Campaigning
    The big screen is a great place to lay out the ways of the salesman. He comes ready-made for Panto, ripe for lampooning.This is not to disparage that life. I have known many good people of that kind. But there is a type, brazen as all get out. The camera ...
    More Than A FeildingBy David Slack
    5 days ago
  • STEPHEN FRANKS: Press seek to publicly shame doctor – we must push back
    The following is a message sent yesterday from lawyer Stephen Franks on behalf of the Free Speech Union. I don’t like to interrupt first thing Monday morning, but we’ve just become aware of a case where we think immediate and overwhelming attention could help turn the tide. It involves someone ...
    Point of OrderBy poonzteam5443
    6 days ago
  • Competing on cruelty
    The right-wing message calendar is clearly reading "cruelty" today, because both National and NZ First have released beneficiary-bashing policies. National is promising a "traffic light" system to police and kick beneficiaries, which will no doubt be accompanied by arbitrary internal targets to classify people as "orange" or "red" to keep ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    6 days ago
  • Further funding for Pharmac (forgotten in the Budget?) looks like a $1bn appeal from a PM in need of...
    Buzz from the Beehive One Labour plan  – for 3000 more public homes by 2025 – is the most recent to be posted on the government’s official website. Another – a prime ministerial promise of more funding for Pharmac – has been released as a Labour Party press statement. Who ...
    Point of OrderBy Bob Edlin
    6 days ago
  • Bryce Edwards: The Vested interests shaping National Party policies
    As the National Party gets closer to government, lobbyists and business interests will be lining up for influence and to get policies adopted. It’s therefore in the public interest to have much more scrutiny and transparency about potential conflicts of interests that might arise. One of the key individuals of ...
    Democracy ProjectBy bryce.edwards
    6 days ago
  • Labour may be on way out of power and NZ First back in – but will Peters go into coalition with Na...
    Voters  are deserting Labour in droves, despite Chris  Hipkins’  valiant  rearguard  action.  So  where  are they  heading?  Clearly  not all of them are going to vote National, which concedes that  the  outcome  will be “close”. To the Right of National, the ACT party just a  few weeks  ago  was ...
    Point of OrderBy tutere44
    6 days ago
  • GRAHAM ADAMS: Will the racists please stand up?
    Accusations of racism by journalists and MPs are being called out. Graham Adams writes –    With the election less than three weeks away, what co-governance means in practice — including in water management, education, planning law and local government — remains largely obscure. Which is hardly ...
    Point of OrderBy poonzteam5443
    6 days ago
  • Gordon Campbell on whether Winston Peters can be a moderating influence
    As the centre-right has (finally!) been subjected to media interrogation, the polls are indicating that some voters may be starting to have second thoughts about the wisdom of giving National and ACT the power to govern alone. That’s why yesterday’s Newshub/Reid Research poll had the National/ACT combo dropping to 60 ...
    6 days ago
  • Tuesday’s Chorus: RBNZ set to rain on National's victory parade
    ANZ has increased its forecast for house inflation later this year on signs of growing momentum in the market ahead of the election. Photo: Lynn Grieveson / The KākāTL;DR: National has campaigned against the Labour Government’s record on inflation and mortgage rates, but there’s now a growing chance the Reserve ...
    The KakaBy Bernard Hickey
    6 days ago
  • After a Pittsburgh coal processing plant closed, ER visits plummeted
    This is a re-post from Yale Climate Connections by Katie Myers. This story was originally published by Grist and is part of Covering Climate Now, a global journalism collaboration strengthening coverage of the climate story. Pittsburgh, in its founding, was blessed and cursed with two abundant natural resources: free-flowing rivers and a nearby coal seam. ...
    6 days ago
  • September-23 AT Board Meeting
    Today the AT board meet again and once again I’ve taken a look at what’s on the agenda to find the most interesting items. Closed Agenda Interestingly when I first looked at the agendas this paper was there but at the time of writing this post it had been ...
    6 days ago
  • Electorate Watch: West Coast-Tasman
    Continuing my series on interesting electorates, today it’s West Coast-Tasman.A long thin electorate running down the northern half of the west coast of the South Island. Think sand flies, beautiful landscapes, lots of rain, Pike River, alternative lifestylers, whitebaiting, and the spiritual home of the Labour Party. A brief word ...
    Nick’s KōreroBy Nick Rockel
    6 days ago
  • Big money brings Winston back
    National leader Christopher Luxon yesterday morning conceded it and last night’s Newshub poll confirmed it; Winston Peters and NZ First are not only back but highly likely to be part of the next government. It is a remarkable comeback for a party that was tossed out of Parliament in ...
    PolitikBy Richard Harman
    6 days ago
  • 20 days until Election Day, 7 until early voting begins… but what changes will we really see here?
    As this blogger, alongside many others, has already posited in another forum: we all know the National Party’s “budget” (meaning this concept of even adding up numbers properly is doing a lot of heavy, heavy lifting right now) is utter and complete bunk (read hung, drawn and quartered and ...
    exhALANtBy exhalantblog
    6 days ago
  • A night out
    Everyone was asking, Are you nervous? and my response was various forms of God, yes.I've written more speeches than I can count; not much surprises me when the speaker gets to their feet and the room goes quiet.But a play? Never.YOU CAME! THANK YOU! Read more ...
    More Than A FeildingBy David Slack
    6 days ago
  • A pallid shade of Green III
    Clearly Labour's focus groups are telling it that it needs to pay more attention to climate change - because hot on the heels of their weaksauce energy efficiency pilot programme and not-great-but-better-than-nothing solar grants, they've released a full climate manifesto. Unfortunately, the core policies in it - a second Emissions ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    6 days ago
  • A coalition of racism, cruelty, and chaos
    Today's big political news is that after months of wibbling, National's Chris Luxon has finally confirmed that he is willing to work with Winston Peters to become Prime Minister. Which is expected, but I guess it tells us something about which way the polls are going. Which raises the question: ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    7 days ago
  • More migrant workers should help generate the tax income needed to provide benefits for job seekers
    Buzz from the Beehive Under something described as a “rebalance” of its immigration rules, the Government has adopted four of five recommendations made in an independent review released in July, The fifth, which called on the government to specify criteria for out-of-hours compliance visits similar to those used during ...
    Point of OrderBy Bob Edlin
    7 days ago
  • Letter To Luxon.
    Some of you might know Gerard Otto (G), and his G News platform. This morning he wrote a letter to Christopher Luxon which I particularly enjoyed, and with his agreement I’m sharing it with you in this guest newsletter.If you’d like to make a contribution to support Gerard’s work you ...
    Nick’s KōreroBy Nick Rockel
    7 days ago
  • LINDSAY MITCHELL: Alarming trend in benefit numbers
    Lindsay Mitchell writes –  While there will not be another quarterly release of benefit numbers prior to the election, limited weekly reporting continues and is showing an alarming trend. Because there is a seasonal component to benefit number fluctuations it is crucial to compare like with like. In ...
    Point of OrderBy poonzteam5443
    7 days ago
  • BRIAN EASTON: Has there been external structural change?
    A close analysis of the Treasury assessment of the Medium Term in its PREFU 2023 suggests the economy may be entering a new phase.   Brian Easton writes –  Last week I explained that the forecasts in the just published Treasury Pre-election Economic and Fiscal Update (PREFU 2023) was ...
    Point of OrderBy poonzteam5443
    7 days ago
  • CRL Progress – Sep-23
    It’s been a while since we looked at the latest with the City Rail Link and there’s been some fantastic milestones recently. To start with, and most recently, CRL have released an awesome video showing a full fly-through of one of the tunnels. Come fly with us! You asked for ...
    7 days ago
  • Monday’s Chorus: Not building nearly enough
    We are heading into another period of fast population growth without matching increased home building or infrastructure investment.Photo: Lynn Grieveson / The KākāTL;DR: Labour and National detailed their house building and migration approaches over the weekend, with both pledging fast population growth policies without enough house building or infrastructure investment ...
    The KakaBy Bernard Hickey
    7 days ago
  • Game on; Hipkins comes out punching
    Labour leader Chris Hipkins yesterday took the gloves off and laid into National and its leader Christopher Luxon. For many in Labour – and particularly for some at the top of the caucus and the party — it would not have been a moment too soon. POLITIK is aware ...
    PolitikBy Richard Harman
    7 days ago
  • Tax Cut Austerity Blues.
    The leaders have had their go, they’ve told us the “what?” and the “why?” of their promises. Now it’s the turn of the would be Finance Ministers to tell us the “how?”, the “how much?”, and the “when?”A chance for those competing for the second most powerful job in the ...
    Nick’s KōreroBy Nick Rockel
    1 week ago

  • 100 new public EV chargers to be added to national network
    The public EV charging network has received a significant boost with government co-funding announced today for over 100 EV chargers – with over 200 charging ports altogether – across New Zealand, and many planned to be up and running on key holiday routes by Christmas this year. Minister of Energy ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    12 hours ago
  • Safeguarding Tuvalu language and identity
    Tuvalu is in the spotlight this week as communities across New Zealand celebrate Vaiaso o te Gagana Tuvalu – Tuvalu Language Week. “The Government has a proven record of supporting Pacific communities and ensuring more of our languages are spoken, heard and celebrated,” Pacific Peoples Minister Barbara Edmonds said. “Many ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    19 hours ago
  • New community-level energy projects to support more than 800 Māori households
    Seven more innovative community-scale energy projects will receive government funding through the Māori and Public Housing Renewable Energy Fund to bring more affordable, locally generated clean energy to more than 800 Māori households, Energy and Resources Minister Dr Megan Woods says. “We’ve already funded 42 small-scale clean energy projects that ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • Huge boost to Te Tai Tokerau flood resilience
    The Government has approved new funding that will boost resilience and greatly reduce the risk of major flood damage across Te Tai Tokerau. Significant weather events this year caused severe flooding and damage across the region. The $8.9m will be used to provide some of the smaller communities and maraes ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • Napier’s largest public housing development comes with solar
    The largest public housing development in Napier for many years has been recently completed and has the added benefit of innovative solar technology, thanks to Government programmes, says Housing Minister Dr Megan Woods. The 24 warm, dry homes are in Seddon Crescent, Marewa and Megan Woods says the whanau living ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    5 days ago
  • Te Whānau a Apanui and the Crown initial Deed of Settlement I Kua waitohua e Te Whānau a Apanui me...
    Māori: Kua waitohua e Te Whānau a Apanui me te Karauna te Whakaaetanga Whakataunga Kua waitohua e Te Whānau a Apanui me te Karauna i tētahi Whakaaetanga Whakataunga hei whakamihi i ō rātou tāhuhu kerēme Tiriti o Waitangi. E tekau mā rua ngā hapū o roto mai o Te Whānau ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    6 days ago
  • Plan for 3,000 more public homes by 2025 – regions set to benefit
    Regions around the country will get significant boosts of public housing in the next two years, as outlined in the latest public housing plan update, released by the Housing Minister, Dr Megan Woods. “We’re delivering the most public homes each year since the Nash government of the 1950s with one ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Immigration settings updates
    Judicial warrant process for out-of-hours compliance visits 2023/24 Recognised Seasonal Employer cap increased by 500 Additional roles for Construction and Infrastructure Sector Agreement More roles added to Green List Three-month extension for onshore Recovery Visa holders The Government has confirmed a number of updates to immigration settings as part of ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Poroporoaki: Tā Patrick (Patu) Wahanga Hohepa
    Tangi ngunguru ana ngā tai ki te wahapū o Hokianga Whakapau Karakia. Tārehu ana ngā pae maunga ki Te Puna o te Ao Marama. Korihi tangi ana ngā manu, kua hinga he kauri nui ki te Wao Nui o Tāne. He Toa. He Pou. He Ahorangi. E papaki tū ana ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Renewable energy fund to support community resilience
    40 solar energy systems on community buildings in regions affected by Cyclone Gabrielle and other severe weather events Virtual capability-building hub to support community organisations get projects off the ground Boost for community-level renewable energy projects across the country At least 40 community buildings used to support the emergency response ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • COVID-19 funding returned to Government
    The lifting of COVID-19 isolation and mask mandates in August has resulted in a return of almost $50m in savings and recovered contingencies, Minister of Health Dr Ayesha Verrall announced today. Following the revocation of mandates and isolation, specialised COVID-19 telehealth and alternative isolation accommodation are among the operational elements ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Appointment of District Court Judge
    Susie Houghton of Auckland has been appointed as a new District Court Judge, to serve on the Family Court, Attorney-General David Parker said today.  Judge Houghton has acted as a lawyer for child for more than 20 years. She has acted on matters relating to the Hague Convention, an international ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Government invests further in Central Hawke’s Bay resilience
    The Government has today confirmed $2.5 million to fund a replace and upgrade a stopbank to protect the Waipawa Drinking Water Treatment Plant. “As a result of Cyclone Gabrielle, the original stopbank protecting the Waipawa Drinking Water Treatment Plant was destroyed. The plant was operational within 6 weeks of the ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 weeks ago
  • Govt boost for Hawke’s Bay cyclone waste clean-up
    Another $2.1 million to boost capacity to deal with waste left in Cyclone Gabrielle’s wake. Funds for Hastings District Council, Phoenix Contracting and Hog Fuel NZ to increase local waste-processing infrastructure. The Government is beefing up Hawke’s Bay’s Cyclone Gabrielle clean-up capacity with more support dealing with the massive amount ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 weeks ago
  • Taupō Supercars revs up with Government support
    The future of Supercars events in New Zealand has been secured with new Government support. The Government is getting engines started through the Major Events Fund, a special fund to support high profile events in New Zealand that provide long-term economic, social and cultural benefits. “The Repco Supercars Championship is ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 weeks ago
  • There is no recession in NZ, economy grows nearly 1 percent in June quarter
    The economy has turned a corner with confirmation today New Zealand never was in recession and stronger than expected growth in the June quarter, Finance Minister Grant Robertson said. “The New Zealand economy is doing better than expected,” Grant Robertson said. “It’s continuing to grow, with the latest figures showing ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 weeks ago
  • Highest legal protection for New Zealand’s largest freshwater springs
    The Government has accepted the Environment Court’s recommendation to give special legal protection to New Zealand’s largest freshwater springs, Te Waikoropupū Springs (also known as Pupū Springs), Environment Minister David Parker announced today.   “Te Waikoropupū Springs, near Takaka in Golden Bay, have the second clearest water in New Zealand after ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 weeks ago
  • More support for victims of migrant exploitation
    Temporary package of funding for accommodation and essential living support for victims of migrant exploitation Exploited migrant workers able to apply for a further Migrant Exploitation Protection Visa (MEPV), giving people more time to find a job Free job search assistance to get people back into work Use of 90-day ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 weeks ago
  • Strong export boost as NZ economy turns corner
    An export boost is supporting New Zealand’s economy to grow, adding to signs that the economy has turned a corner and is on a stronger footing as we rebuild from Cyclone Gabrielle and lock in the benefits of multiple new trade deals, Finance Minister Grant Robertson says. “The economy is ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 weeks ago
  • Funding approved for flood resilience work in Te Karaka
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