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Newshub poll tonight

Written By: - Date published: 2:51 pm, August 9th, 2017 - 93 comments
Categories: election 2017, polls - Tags: , ,

You’d better not be teasing me Newshub, or I will be vexed.

93 comments on “Newshub poll tonight”

  1. DoublePlusGood 1

    I dunno, Patrick Gower has been making up ridiculous nonsense all week.

    • r0b 1.1

      Yeah I’m not counting any chickens until Sept 24th.

    • AB 1.2

      Yeah. “Incredibly explosive” in Gower-speak translates to “mildly surprising” in plain English. It has the look of a hyperbolic pimping for ratings

    • popexplosion 1.3

      yeah, how about paying to ask an obvious question… …Turea says she did wrong, so pay for a poll asking whether she was wrong… …!?#$@. it was not news it was spin to distract. like Joyce in QT who says they have not raised taxes that they should be thanked for raising some benefit, sorry, benefits. Two lies. Key raised GST precipitating the need to help those who pays out most of their income living day to day on gst. but no everyone got a benefit hike only single parents.

      So when asking about how rotten the media is just don’t stop at Gower, it’s endemic.

  2. mickysavage 2

    It is only one poll …

    It is the trend that is important …

    The only thing that matters is the election day poll …

    But fingers crossed!

    • Ad 2.1

      Nah. Crush ’em like bugs.

    • Enough is Enough 2.2

      There won’t be a trend in this poll

      There will an almighty bump, similar to the post Orewa bump that National got in ’05 which they have never come back down from.

      I am expecting Labour to be up 10, taking 5 off the Nats and 5 off the Green Party

      • ABS 2.2.1

        WRONG!

        [lprent: Putting you in automatic moderation for a what appears to be an inherent basic stupidity and an inability to engage in debate. ]

      • Dennis Frank 2.2.2

        Two out of three ain’t bad.. ; )

  3. The decrypter 3

    Seems to be ready to wet his pants at any time now.

  4. weka 4

    “You’d better not be teasing me Newshub, or I will be vexed”

    I’m speechless. Did you miss what happened last night? Paddy Gower and Newshub are defining and trying to control the story not reporting it. You’re not being teased, you’re being manipulated.

    • r0b 4.1

      After a lead like that the poll will have some interesting numbers in it. And whatever his other actions I don’t think Gower is making up poll results willy nilly.

      • weka 4.1.1

        There’s a class war on r0b. Gower’s not gunning for you but he is gunning for me and people I care about. Seeing his spin and manipulation being promoted on TS like this is very hard especially because of what happened last night.

        If Labour have a good bump in the polls, or even a moderate one, that’s really good and we can and should use that. But dismissing the bullshit that Gower is doing because at the moment he’s playing the game by being good to Labour is really disappointing. You’ve just come across as saying that shitting on poor people doesn’t matter if the polls are alright. Even if you believed that (which I don’t believe you do), there’s still the issue of what will happen in terms of changing the govt if they manage to pull down the Greens.

        • r0b 4.1.1.1

          There’s a lot of assumptions in there that I don’t want to debate weka, but the one that is worth questioning is that this poll must be bad for the Greens? The tease graphic has Ardern and English on it.

          I for one am hoping that the Greens are going to come out ahead.

          • Union city greens 4.1.1.1.1

            “the one that is worth questioning is that this poll must be bad for the Greens? The tease graphic has Ardern and English on it.”

            Or perhaps not. Maybe the mugshots are the set up to the “incredibly explosive” kicker?

            “I for one am hoping that the Greens are going to come out ahead.”

            Well maybe Reid have polled a thousand solo mums, unemployed, sick and invalids and we find out the greens get to govern alone with a 100% party share of the vote. Heh.

            • weka 4.1.1.1.1.1

              Newshub-Reid Research poll uses mixed methodology of 750 landlines and 250 internet panel with a 3.1% margin of error.

              • Union city greens

                Tongue in cheek more than wishful thinking

                • weka

                  Lol, yeah I got that. I was just pointing to the bit about Reid’s methods and beneficiaries with no landlines.

                  • Union city greens

                    Aye, but it would certainly get all the pearls up and down the country a good clutching lol

                    • Mrs Brillo

                      Watch those stereotypes, pet.
                      I wear pearls and use a landline, and would be delighted if the Greens governed alone! However, in my electorate it makes more sense to vote Labour. That broad church, even room for pearly old me!

                    • Union city greens

                      Good for you. I’ll be tactically voting in my electorate, too.

                      Electorate vote = Head.
                      Party vote = Heart.

                  • JanM

                    It’s not just beneficiaries with no land-lines – an increasing number of people use their number only for going on-line now

          • weka 4.1.1.1.2

            It could go either way with the Greens, but the issue remains. Gower is a key part of the attempts to destabilise the left and his spinning just got an uncritical promotion on The Standard.

            And if the Greens have a dip in the polls, for whatever reason, Gower has just had his propaganda supported and endorsed here. For next time (which the way things are going will be the rest of the week). Mission accomplished.

        • Adrian Thornton 4.1.1.2

          +1 weka
          Fucking A it is class war….a class war Labour has been enabling for 25 years.

          Turea was the only voice that spoke to the poor and disenfranchised in NZ politics, The Greens should have doubled down on this move to the Left and vigorously included the working poor in their narrative, they had (maybe still have?) the golden opportunity to become New Zealand’s only workers party, push hard into that missing million, and pick up probably over 5% right there.

      • Ovid 4.1.2

        The thing about Newshub polls is that they pull out the undecideds, so things can look a bit more extreme than they appear.

        I think given the good press Labour has enjoyed over the past week they should get a bump, but as Brexit and Trump have taught me I am reluctant to think that the Left has anything but a major fight on its hands.

      • Anne 4.1.3

        I was rung last night by Reid Research for Newshub. Didn’t fall into the correct age bracket so don’t know the details of the questions asked. Suspect its a rushed poll to take advantage of the stick ladled out to the Greens and Metiria Turei in particular.

        Regardless of which side people fall on re- the Turei affair, there’s now a vicious war on the Greens in an attempt to destroy them. Saw it coming last week.

        Edit: he’s claiming that Labour members rang him yesterday and told him that “Labour hates the Greens”. It’s balderdash!

    • Sabine 4.2

      lol.

      nah, they would never admit that.

  5. red-blooded 5

    Well, I don’t usually watch 3 News, but I will tonight.

    I know one poll doesn’t mean much, but it would be nice to have a bit of a bounce.

  6. JamieB 6

    Are we not boycotting TV3 anymore? #saintjohn

  7. esoteric pineapples 7

    I predict the polls are going to be a bit bumpy for the next few weeks

  8. Stuart Munro 8

    Gower is not the news.

    Would he falsify a poll? Well he just falsified a story about a Green candidate who accepted a job offer.

    He’s so far beneath contempt his toes are touching Whaleoil.

    • weka 8.1

      Pretty much. The poll will be outside of Gower’s control, but the spin is where he practices his craft and there’s nothing trustworthy there. He’s basically the same as Hooton, although I’m not sure it’s ideological so much as he’s a man child with toys in a sandpit.

      • Cricklewood 8.1.1

        They are very different in my opinion. Hooton is a manevolant force where as Gower is a sensationalist who is as you say a manchild playing with his toys in a bid to influence and inflate his sense of self importance.

        • weka 8.1.1.1

          Where they are the same is that nothing they say or do can be trusted because there’s not way to tell the real from the spin.

    • Ovid 8.2

      I don’t think he’d falsify a poll (although he can definitely spin one), but the media pay for polls to get eyes on screens. So they want everyone aboard the hype train.

      • Stuart Munro 8.2.1

        Pretty easy to poll a Gnat-leaning list of 500+ No-one gets to scrutinize for such chicanery. Sooner or later no checks means no balance.

        • Anne 8.2.1.1

          Interesting comment Stuart Munro. I was rung (see up the thread) and I live in a Nat. saturated part of town.

  9. Sabine 9

    luckily, i don’t have to watch TV3 and its minion.
    i just come back here and you tell me all about it.

  10. bwaghorn 10

    landslide coming in 7 weeks , labour on 42 greens on 8 and top on 5.1 . hopefully

    • McFlock 10.1

      I’d like the govt to be something like 60/40 lab/grn, to get more lefty oomph.

      • Union city greens 10.1.1

        Now that would be the happiest hangover morning after the night before I’ll ever have.

      • bwaghorn 10.1.2

        i like top , have you seen his latest on secure tenancy for renters , ?

        • McFlock 10.1.2.1

          I don’t trust top.
          Even policies I like, I suspect the good will be whittled away in the details that they omit from their policies.

          • Stuart Munro 10.1.2.1.1

            TOP would make a splendid Burkean opposition – they could actually argue policy instead of hiding behind Carter.

          • RedLogix 10.1.2.1.2

            Well I’d hope that if Lab/Grn were coalition partners with TOP you might be a little less suspicious of any resulting legislative program. 🙂

            • McFlock 10.1.2.1.2.1

              Yeah, but then I think top would be largely redundant in that government.

              • RedLogix

                Given the almost complete lack of political commitment to tax reform, CCT, UBI, tenancy security and standards, cannabis decriminalisation from either the Greens or Labour … I’d argue TOP could be a very useful component.

                I know the Greens have a LOT of detailed policy, and much of it overlapping with TOP. But there is no doubt the two parties have emphasized different aspects to the electorate and might bring different mandates to the table.

                Besides looking at Green Party values, listed here:

                https://home.greens.org.nz/values

                I would have hoped party supporters would be more open to the idea of working collaboratively. Especially with regard to Item 7.

                • McFlock

                  I’ve heard that Greens love working collaboratively. Even Labour will do it on occasion.

                  Lots of space between working with people and giving them a seat at the cabinet table.

                  Besides, I’m not sure what you mean by a lack of political commitment if you include tax reform (Labour’s got a big section on that), cannabis (Greens light on that?… puh-lease) tenancy standards (lab and greens)… that leaves CCT (well, the greens have carbon covered, it’s their thing), UBI (well, I’m not entirely convinced on that yet anyway), you really only have tweaks to tenancy security. Fair call.

                  If top has a good idea on that, I’m sure it’ll happen even without them at the table.

                  • RedLogix

                    Well I think there’s more important things happening right now than to quibble with you line by line on that.

                • greywarshark

                  Red Logix why do you have two different coloured icons by your pseudo? Purple at 4.38 and Brown at 5.09 and different shapes.
                  Just wondering. Different computers?

                  • RedLogix

                    Yes. I’m working in multiple locations at the moment.

                    Surprised you noticed …. I was oblivious.

  11. McFlock 11

    “explosive”.

    Option A: National 50%, lab20, grn7, NZ1 14, nats back to governing alone
    Option B: Lab 32, Grn 20, NZ1 12, Nat 35, Labgrn can govern, nats can’t even with NZ1.

    Anything else is a fizzer.

    • weka 11.1

      Matthew Whitehead’s take,

      “Let me guess: It shows a modest overall rise for Labour & Greens when taken together that shows them ahead of National?”

      Which is on par for the recent trend.

      • McFlock 11.1.1

        I suspect that yes, that is the sort of thing Gower would call “explosive”.

        Leaving anyone who took him at face value to deflate like a slow fart.

    • Keepcalmcarryon 11.2

      This, Mcflock.
      Plus, chill out Weka, life goes on.

    • McGrath 11.3

      I’m going to call it as both Labour and National in the 30’s, Greens below 5%, or Winston First in the 20’s. Could even be all three!

      • McFlock 11.3.1

        Given the wee spike after her initial announcement, I don’t think the greens would have fallen 9% in a week.

    • Bearded Git 11.4

      I like B, can I have B daddy? So many comments and none of us have the faintest. Why do we let Gower do this to us?

    • McFlock 11.5

      well, turned out to be a pop but not a fizz…

  12. MG 12

    Farrar is still pushing the Metiria story hard so I suspect that his polling isn’t looking good for the Nats.

  13. Tanz 13

    National in the 30s, yeah right. I don’t think so. Even the Herald thinks Turei should resign, as do a couple of her own MPs. [RL: Deleted smear line. Be more careful]

    • Tanz 13.1

      How was that a smear line? It was simply an opinion…free speech much?

      • lprent 13.1.1

        Obviously I didn’t see it. But is was unlikely to have been expressed as an opinion. RL wouldn’t have landed on it otherwise.

        If I had to guess based on past experience with ‘right’ ‘free-speechers – then it was an opinion expressed as a ‘obvious’ fact. It is the most common delusion by which ‘right’ thinkers fuck up.

        By definition when expressed about someone and containing opinions expressed as false facts AND designed to smear their reputation then that is almost the definition of defamatory.

        If it was (and from RL’s reaction it was), then be glad that the rather mild RL got to it before me. Because I’m the one who is most likely to be in the gun – and I can tell you that your speech is not ‘free’ to me.

        So I’d have slung you off the site after making my opinion quite plain.. In the meantime I suggest you constrain your indignation before my ire rises.

        • Tanz 13.1.1.1

          free speech, when it agrees with the general tone of the thread, that is. The left are great at this, they censor those who don’t agree with their lefty, odd world view.
          Kiwiblog is pretty much an echo chamber and so is this space. Sad that its agree with the group think, or else!

          • lprent 13.1.1.1.1

            Yeah, I have heard that ‘free’ speech before.

            But my comment was about if I’d have had to have suffered the consequences if your comment hadn’t been moderated. And I just happen to notice you didn’t address that at all – so I guess that your answer is effectively that I could have been liable for your foolhardy stupidity.

            So you can whine about free speech all that you like. However your ‘free speech’ is utterly constrained by the extent that you put me in legal liability. I’m not interested in suffering the consequences of your delusions about what ‘free speech should be. If you want to do that, then do it on your own site where you can suffer the unexpected consequences. After all you should take responsibility for your own actions eh?

            Live with it.

  14. ScottGN 14

    I bet it’s Preferred PM numbers rather than party support. English was pretty low anyway and you’d have to assume she’s had a bump.

    • McFlock 14.1

      good point

      • McGrath 14.1.1

        True. There will be a leap for Jacinda in the preferred PM stakes. That’s all but a given now that Andrew Little is out of the picture.

    • AB 14.2

      Strong possibility that one. Preferred PM is a pretty meaningless question anyway because of the incumbency factor. But Paddy is too thick to work that out, so would see it as “explosive”

      • ScottGN 14.2.1

        Actually I think the preferred PM numbers might be pretty useful in showing where party support might be headed. I reckon it will take longer than 1 week for support to peel off National. Winston will be pissed off!

  15. Bill 15

    Only a minimal drop for The Green Party….if any drop at all.

    And that is explosive from the perspective of msm and pundits who have backed Jacinda “all done” Ardern and thrown everything they have at undermining and rubbishing the Green Party vote.

    • AB 15.1

      That’s the explosion I want to see Bill. The on-screen explosion of Paddy’s meagre supply of brain cells as he realises his hatchet job hasn’t worked

  16. ianmac 16

    All depends on WHEN the poll was taken. A week is a long …

  17. infused 17

    Pretty sure Labour will bounce, National will go down, along with the Greens. Just by how much.

    Rinse and repeat until election day.

  18. Bearded Git 18

    MT HAS JUST RESIGNED-terrible shame but the right decision IMHO.

  19. Cricklewood 19

    Shit sounds like Meteria is hoing to resign shortly… sad end…

  20. xanthe 20

    Thats really good news

    now lets see some real talent come forward

  21. Ad 21

    Impressed to see how steady National’s numbers are. Steady at 43%.

    Tio work Labour leaking 8% to be well over 30% now.

    But I think this election is going to be won for about on the head to head debates: Ardern v English. that’s where the Undecideds will gaze.

  22. outofbed 22

    FFS …So Greens down 4.7 % because Of Metiria
    NZF down 3.8 % because of ??
    Fuck me Gower is a pratt

    Greens and NZF down because of Jacinda… As was expected

    • Dennis Frank 22.1

      Indeed possible that, if the Ardern effect pulled equally from NZF & Greens, the negative effect of Metiria’s stand only rates at 1% loss. No obvious Ardern effect on Nats supporters is the big message from this poll that most commentators are not yet mentioning. Encouraging that those wanting a change of govt now combine to significantly out-poll those supporting the status quo tho.

  23. Carolyn_nth 23

    So the NewShub latest method of polling was “shaped by Gower”! Such a boy genius!

    Basically includes 75% responses by landline, and 25% via Internet – cause they can’t afford mobile phone polling. And, while the poll does tend to treat it as a 2 horse race, and really shouldn’t, it really is a 2 horse race, and the poll really doesn’t treat it as a 2 horse race!

    “We just thought that polling was too important to stand still and keep doing things the way we were always doing it,” says Newshub political editor Patrick Gower, who was heavily involved in the shaping of the new polling system. “We’re now using the best of the old with our accurate landline polling, but we’ve been willing to move and take the jump and use the internet to supplement that.”

    While ‘Preferred Prime Minister’ is the main measure used in New Zealand (and continues to be used by Newshub), the poll is based on an unprompted question, whereas the Power Rating asks respondents to rank how the two main leaders are performing overall.
    ….
    While the Power Rating adds another dimension to the political discourse running up to election day, the danger remains that such polling sets up a two-horse race, a dynamic that may make sense in a presidential system, but perhaps less so in New Zealand’s multi-party framework.

    “The reality is, even though it is a mixed system, only two people can be PM and it’s either going to be Little or English. So in that sense, it is a two-horse race,” says Gower.

    “But you’re quite right that the main thing is to look at how all the other parties are going. And we do that, we probably do that better than anyone in terms of giving the picture of them altogether. [For example], we have the Labour and Greens rankings, but also the Labour and Greens vote put together.”

    “That’s the responsibility of me to use the data to show that it’s more than just the leaders [and] to explain the full data set.

    If politics is just a horse race and it’s just polling, I’d be out of it. I’d rather go work for the TAB or Trackside. But thankfully, politics is about a whole lot more interesting things and polling adds to that. It shouldn’t take away from it.”

  24. mosa 24

    Gowers neo liberal poll of polls.

  25. Kate 25

    Jacinda is a bit too much out of control, she talks a lot with passion, but she is impractical. She doesn’t think practically especially about housing which is so much a comprehensive thing that the final price is determined by so many factors. Jacinda always interrupts Bill. She says everything is possible without realising practical problems that contribute and needs to be addressed first.
    I hate her interruption and her lies.

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    It will pass. What happens next? Not immediately, but longer term. There are many opinions, fewer certainties. Will it “change everything!” as many confidently, and contradictorily predict? In this post I look at how foresight can help bound some of the uncertainties so you can more objectively consider the future. ...
    SciBlogsBy Robert Hickson
    4 days ago
  • Coronavirus – Cuba shows the way
    We’ve been meaning t write something on Cuba and the coronavirus but have just discovered a very good article on the subject in the US left publication Jacobin.  The article looks at how Cuba, a poor country but one where capitalism has been done away with, is leading the way ...
    RedlineBy Admin
    4 days ago
  • Using privacy law to prevent the death penalty
    In 2018, El Shafee Elsheikh and Alexanda Kotey - two British citizens who had purportedly been stripped of their citizenship by the British government - were captured while fighting for Isis in Syria. The British government then conspired to hand them over to the US, and agreed to provide evidence ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    4 days ago
  • It’s Time For Disaster Socialism.
    Transformers: The disaster of the Great Depression was transformed into a new and fairer society by the democratic socialism of the First Labour Government. The disaster of the Covid-19 Pandemic offers a similar transformative possibility to the Labour-NZ First-Green Government. Seize the time, Jacinda! You will never have a better ...
    4 days ago
  • Skeptical Science New Research for Week #12, 2020
    Tamper with The System? Well, we already are. But there's a difference between accidentally trickling sand into a precision gearbox versus formulating a plan to alter it on the fly with improvements in mind. One action is more or less innocently unscrupulous, the other amenable to earning an easy ...
    4 days ago
  • Avoidable hospitalisations: Helping our health system get through COVID-19
    Associate Prof George Thomson, Louise Delany, Prof Nick Wilson While it is possible that New Zealand can use intense public health controls to eradicate COVID-19 from the country – we must also plan for other scenarios where thousands of New Zealanders are sick – including many urgently hospitalised.1 Better resilience ...
    SciBlogsBy Public Health Expert
    5 days ago
  • Raise the Bar: 10 questions to ask your employer proposing redundancy
    Kia ora my name is Chloe Ann-King* and I am the founder of Raise the Bar, a campaign and non-profit that gives free legal aid, advocacy and tautoko to hospitality workers in Aotearoa. Right now all over our country hospo workers are being fired at will, having shifts cut or being ...
    PosseBy chloeanneking
    5 days ago
  • An equitable way to support business
    The Herald reports that the government is planning to lend billions of dollars to large businesses to keep them operating during the pandemic. As with mortgage relief, this is necessary: we need companies to stay in business, to reduce the economic damage and help things get restarted again when this ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    5 days ago
  • Hard News: Together Alone
    We're about to do something unprecedented as a nation. We hope that by taking this extraordinary action before a single life in New Zealand has been lost to the deadly novel virus we will save tens of thousands of lives. Our  lives. We'll do it together, in households, in isolation ...
    5 days ago
  • Why timing is everything: ‘A time to refrain from embracing’ starts today
    “There is a time for everything,    and a season for every activity under the heavens.”So writes the author of Ecclesiastes, a book in the Old Testament that’s counted as a ‘wisdom’ book and written as if by an unnamed king of Jerusalem. But who would have thought there would be a time ...
    PunditBy Tim Watkin
    5 days ago
  • Dealing with the Covid-19 Tsunami.
    I was surprised when the prime minister described the Economic Response to Covid-19 package as the ‘largest peacetime government spend in New Zealand's history’. Reflecting – checking through history – I realised that the term ‘spend’ was crucial and the package had no income tax cuts. Even so, it has ...
    PunditBy Brian Easton
    6 days ago
  • What about renters?
    The government today announced the latest part of its pandemic relief package: a six-month mortgage holiday for people whose incomes have been affected by the pandemic. Which is great, because these people are going to need help, and that's what the government should be doing. At the same time, it ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    6 days ago
  • Living within our means.
    Years ago the Argentine sociologist Carlos Weisman wrote a book titled “Living within our Means.” It was a critique of Argentine society that focused on the paradoxical question of why, in a land of plenty, there was so much economic instability, inequality, corruption and political turmoil. His conclusion was basically ...
    KiwipoliticoBy Pablo
    6 days ago
  • Transparency and the pandemic
    Parliament will be leading by example and adjourning tomorrow after a special sitting to consider an epidemic notice and state of emergency. Day-to-day oversight of the government will be delegated to a select committee. But that's not the only overight mechanism. The OIA will still be law, and (so far) ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    6 days ago
  • ‘Overjoyed’: a leading health expert on New Zealand’s coronavirus shutdown, and the challengin...
    Michael Baker, University of Otago Overjoyed. That’s not a word epidemiologists normally use, but that’s how I felt after hearing Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern’s announcement about New Zealand’s COVID-19 shutdown of everything except essential services for at least four weeks from midnight on Wednesday. More than anything, I just ...
    SciBlogsBy Public Health Expert
    6 days ago
  • One way to solve the housing crisis
    How much homelessness is caused by house hoarding? We're about to find out. The pandemic has destroyed tourism, which means that house hoarders who put their hoarded properties up as short-term tourist rentals are now offering them on the ordinary rental market:Property investors are pulling properties from Airbnb to offer ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    6 days ago
  • The pros and cons of planting trees to address global warming
    This is a re-post from Yale Climate Connections by Bruce Lieberman It seems like such a simple, straightforward, empowering idea: plant trees – a lot of trees – all over the world, and watch the planet’s temperature fall. Who doesn’t love a tree or two, even far more – the right ...
    6 days ago
  • Not a grand coalition, but a government of national salvation
    According to Newshub, Simon Bridges is open to joining a “grand coalition” with Labour as we hunker down to go into a month long lockdown. The idea is sound. Before now, the role of the opposition was to scrutinise and oppose. In the context of what almost amounts to a ...
    PunditBy Liam Hehir
    7 days ago
  • Raise the Bar: hospitality workers & wage subsidy entitlements
    Kia ora my name is Chloe Ann-King* and I am the founder of Raise the Bar, a campaign and non-profit that gives free legal aid, advocacy and tautoko to hospitality workers in Aotearoa. Right now all over our country hospo workers are being fired at will, having shifts cut or ...
    PosseBy chloeanneking
    1 week ago
  • Lifting our game against COVID-19
    We need to be lifting our game against COVID-19. You and I need to help those working to prevent the spread of COVID-19 while they’re trying to lift the testing and treatment efforts. We don’t want to be playing this game running backwards. Best to play it solidly forward, from ...
    SciBlogsBy Grant Jacobs
    1 week ago
  • The maths and ethics of minimising COVID-19 deaths in NZ
    Prof Tony Blakely, Prof Michael Baker, and Prof Nick Wilson The NZ Government must do more to clearly articulate its COVID-19 strategy: eradication or ‘flattening the curve’ mitigation. But to do so means understanding the maths and ethics of both these strategies. In this blog, we adapt our work for ...
    SciBlogsBy Public Health Expert
    1 week ago
  • All aboard the Covid Train
    A few days ago I was starting to write something about the pandemic, which now seems unconscionable. It took the form of a letter to an agony aunt:“Dear Deidre, I have an ugly confession. I am quite excited by Covid-19.”This is how the piece went:“I’m not a psychopath, honest. Although the ...
    PunditBy Phil Vine
    1 week ago
  • 2020 SkS Weekly Climate Change & Global Warming Digest #12
    Story of the Week... Toon of the Week... Climate Feedback Article Review... Coming Soon on SkS... Climate Feedback Claim Reviews... SkS Week in Review... Poster of the Week... Story of the Week... In Just 10 Years, Warming Has Increased the Odds of Disasters The likelihood of extreme events ...
    1 week ago
  • We are all socialists now
    Last week, the government announced a $12 billion initial package to support people during the pandemic. Today, the Reserve Bank is buying government bonds - effectively printing money - to keep up the money supply during the crisis. Normally such moves would have the right apoplectic. Instead, the National Party ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    1 week ago
  • A plea to experts: safeguard your role in public life
    I am a pundit, somebody who opines and comments on the news. There are no real qualifications to punditry though having a rudimentary way with words and good general knowledge helps. That is one reason there is a constant oversupply of would-be pundits and why it is quite hard to ...
    PunditBy Liam Hehir
    1 week ago
  • Enlightenment when?
    I recently encountered the following prescription from a Faculty of Education at a leading New Zealand University. At first I wondered if it was another product of the postmodern generator (http://www.elsewhere.org/journal/pomo/), designed to create gibberish in the postmodern form, but I’m told it is real: The “schooled” society: Towards the ...
    SciBlogsBy Michael Corballis
    1 week ago
  • What the Crisis Can teach Us
    The coronavirus pandemic has of course had a major impact on individual lives and on societies as a whole. But, long after the crisis has passed (assuming it does), we will begin to realise that its real and lasting significance lies in the lessons it has taught us, if only ...
    Bryan GouldBy Bryan Gould
    1 week ago
  • Hammering home measures to stop COVID-19
    COVID-19 has plunged Aotearoa New Zealand (indeed, the world) into territory that, while maybe not totally unprecedented, certainly hasn’t been seen during the lifetimes of most of us here today. Our borders are closed to non-citizens, we’re being told not to gather in groups of more than 500 outside/100 inside, ...
    PunditBy Andrew Geddis
    1 week ago
  • What does ‘level two’ mean – and why does it matter?
    For the last few weeks, I’ve been urging you to prepare yourself, your family, business, and community for Covid-19. Now it’s time for real action.  Yesterday the director-general of health Dr Ashley Bloomfield announced another 13 confirmed cases of Covid-19 in New Zealand, bringing our total to date to 52. ...
    SciBlogsBy Siouxsie Wiles
    1 week ago
  • 2020 SkS Weekly Climate Change & Global Warming News Roundup #12
    A chronological listing of news articles linked to on the Skeptical Science Facebook Page during the past week, i.e., Sun, Mar 15, 2020 through Sat, Mar 21, 2020 Editor's Pick Now Isn’t the Time to Forget About Our Climate Change Efforts   Tasha Tilberg, Lindsey Wixson, and Liu Wen photographed ...
    1 week ago
  • Is the Guardian becoming  a real newspaper again?
    by Jan Rivers The article has been corrected to show that it was Ewen MacAskill, former Guardian journalist and not Luke Harding who travelled to meet Edward Snowden with journalist Glenn Greenwald and filmmaker Laura Poitras.  Some of the Guardian’s well-known journalists who did not sign the protest letter are ...
    RedlineBy Daphna
    1 week ago
  • Life asserts itself regardless
    by Cultural Worker Late March 2020 amidst the virus. With gigs crashing and burning all around it was without much hope that I called a long standing rest home booking: “ Hi, I’m supposed to be entertaining at your place this afternoon – is it still on?” “”If you don’t ...
    RedlineBy Daphna
    1 week ago
  • Politics, the possible, and the pandemic
    Whenever people demand real change from their politicians, we're told that "politics is the art of the possible". The implication is that change isn't possible, so we'd better just get used to the sucky status quo. But now that there's a pandemic, a lot of things we were previously told ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    1 week ago
  • The Only Way Through This Crisis Is Together.
    Together: In leading New Zealand through the Covid-19 Pandemic, the Prime Minister could do a lot worse than allow herself to be guided by the spirit of collective sacrifice and co-operation that animated the New Zealanders of 80 years ago. Most Kiwis alive today have had no opportunity to prove their ...
    1 week ago
  • GFC vs Covid-19
    It is said that generals fight the last war. In the case of the early stages of the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) they had learned from the Great Depression of the 1930s and they fought intelligently and successfully. Later their advice would be ignored in favour of the Austerians who ...
    PunditBy Brian Easton
    1 week ago
  • Nobody Left Behind.
    Solidarity Forever: All over the world, the arrival of the Covid-19 virus has exposed the fragility of the walls we erect around ourselves and our loved ones. It has shattered our illusions of autonomy and revealed to us how utterly dependent we all are on other human-beings. Finally, we see ...
    1 week ago
  • Rebuilding a truly “Democratic” counter, or a “moderate Republican” bolt-hol...
    Looking across the various arguments for/against the leading candidates to take the Democratic Nomination, you might honestly be very hard pressed to tell. There are a number of things that have now started happening since Amy Klobuchar and “Mayor Pete” Buttigieg both threw the towel in and immediately (and ...
    exhALANtBy exhalantblog
    2 weeks ago
  • Abortion law reform a win for women
    by Daphna Whitmore Abortion is no longer in the Crimes Act in New Zealand. The law reform passed yesterday and now abortion is a medical matter between a woman and her doctor. Many women’s groups and progressive people have campaigned for reform for decades. The women’s liberation movement and some ...
    RedlineBy Daphna
    2 weeks ago
  • How to spot bogus science stories and read the news like a scientist
    Doug Specht, University of Westminster and Julio Gimenez, University of Westminster When fake news, misreporting and alternative facts are everywhere, reading the news can be a challenge. Not only is there plenty of misinformation about the coronavirus pandemic, climate change and other scientific topics floating around social media, you also ...
    SciBlogsBy Guest Author
    2 weeks ago
  • Why New Zealand needs to continue decisive action to contain coronavirus
    Michael Baker, University of Otago and Nick Wilson, University of Otago With some of the toughest border restrictions and a newly-announced NZ$500 million boost to health services, New Zealand is among a small number of countries with a strategy to contain the COVID-19 pandemic. New Zealand is also fortunate in ...
    SciBlogsBy Public Health Expert
    2 weeks ago
  • Parliament and the pandemic II
    As expected, the government has introduced a sessional order to allow Parliament to operate during the pandemic. You can read it on the Order Paper here, but the short version is that questions and motions can be filed electronicly, select committees can work remotely, and the the Business Committee can ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    2 weeks ago
  • When a virus goes viral: pros and cons to the coronavirus spread on social media
    Axel Bruns, Queensland University of Technology; Daniel Angus, Queensland University of Technology; Timothy Graham, Queensland University of Technology, and Tobias R. Keller, Queensland University of Technology News and views about coronavirus has spread via social media in a way that no health emergency has done before. Platforms like Twitter, Facebook, ...
    SciBlogsBy Guest Author
    2 weeks ago
  • How to survive 14 days of self-isolation
    So you’ve recently returned from overseas, come into contact with someone who tested positive, got a bit of a dry cough yourself or perhaps just want to self isolate for 14 days to avoid other people who might have COVID-19. Here are a few tips and tricks to help get ...
    2 weeks ago
  • Abortion Legislation Bill passes third reading
    Some fave speeches:     ...
    Boots TheoryBy Stephanie Rodgers
    2 weeks ago
  • Why Leadership Matters – More Than Anything.
    Our Good Fortune: Precisely because she has never been an ideologue (she calls herself a “pragmatic idealist”) Jacinda Ardern has a political nimbleness and spontaneity which, when infused with her exceptional emotional intelligence, produces spectacular demonstrations of leadership. Jacinda's empathic political personality contrasts sharply with the less-than-sunny ways of her ...
    2 weeks ago
  • Skeptical Science New Research for Week #11, 2020
    2 weeks ago
  • 68-51
    The Abortion Legislation Bill has just passed its third reading, 68-51. NZ First MPs bailed because their referendum amendment didn't pass, but there were plenty of MPs to provide a majority without them. The bill is a long way from perfect - most significantly, it subjects pregnant people who need ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    2 weeks ago
  • The ‘herd immunity’ route to fighting coronavirus is unethical and potentially dangerous
    As most of the world tries to suppress the coronavirus spread, some countries are going it alone – trying to manage the pandemic through so-called “herd immunity”. Herd immunity means letting a large number of people catch a disease, and hence develop immunity to it, to stop the virus spreading. ...
    SciBlogsBy Guest Author
    2 weeks ago
  • Eight new COVID-19 cases today. It’s no surprise when you look at some numbers
    So, as I sit at home with a very, very slight headache (i.e. not at work when I would otherwise be so), the now familiar figure of Ashley Bloomfield reports eight new confirmed cases of COVID-19  including two in Waikato. A surprise, given that we had just twelve yesterday? No. ...
    SciBlogsBy Marcus Wilson
    2 weeks ago
  • The WINZ Paradox versus the new COVID-19 Reality: Get real people, seriously…
    Many who advocated for, and voted for, the current Coalition – particularly those who voted Labour and the Green Party – expected to see a sea change in the reality of social services. A real, deep change of attitude, approach of process through which the system negotiates the difficult and ...
    exhALANtBy exhalantblog
    2 weeks ago

  • Government supports Air NZ freight flights
    The Government has fast-tracked up to $1 million to help Air New Zealand move urgent freight to and from New Zealand, with the first flight to Shanghai leaving tonight, Transport Minister Phil Twyford announced today. Phil Twyford says it’s crucial that trade in vital goods such as medical supplies and ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    8 hours ago
  • Tariff concessions on COVID-19 related products
    New Zealand will temporarily remove tariffs on all medical and hygiene imports needed for the COVID-19 response. Trade and Export Growth Minister David Parker and Commerce and Consumer Affairs Minister Kris Faafoi said today that the New Zealand Customs Service will apply tariff concessions to all diagnostic reagents and testing ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago
  • Clarification of modification to wage subsidy scheme
    Minister of Finance Grant Robertson has clarified that the changes to the wage subsidy scheme announced yesterday mean that employers should be passing on the full subsidy to workers, except in the case where the person’s normal income is less than the level of the subsidy. “We still want employers ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago
  • Face masks flowing to DHBs
    Medical face masks from the national reserve supply are now being distributed to District Health Boards, while at the same time local production is being ramped up. Yesterday more than 640,000 masks were sent to DHBS – that is an immediate two week supply, with more to follow in coming ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • COVID-19: Further steps to protect New Zealanders’ jobs
    The Government has made modifications to the wage subsidy scheme to ensure people don’t lose their jobs during the national lockdown. These changes will soften the impact of COVID-19 on workers, families and businesses, and position them to exit the lockdown and look to recovery, Finance Minister Grant Robertson says. ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • Tax relief for Mycoplasma Bovis farmers
    Farmers whose herds were culled in response to the outbreak of Mycoplasma bovis will be able to minimise the tax treatment of their income in some circumstances. Revenue Minister Stuart Nash says Cabinet has agreed to change the law. It means farmers may be eligible to spread their income over ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • $27 million for NGOs and community groups to continue providing essential services
    A $27 million dollar package, effective immediately, is being provided to social sector services and community groups to ensure they can continue to provide essential support to communities as we stay at home as a nation to stop the spread of COVID-19, Minister for Social Development Carmel Sepuloni announced. “At ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • Statement on guilty plea of March 15 terrorist
    “The guilty plea today will provide some relief to the many people whose lives were shattered by what happened on March 15,” Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern said. “These guilty pleas and conviction bring accountability for what happened and also save the families who lost loved ones, those who were injured, ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • COVID-19 updates
    The Prime Minister is holding daily press conferences to update New Zealanders on the Government's response to COVID-19. Links to videos and transcripts of these updates below. These transcripts also include All of Government press conferences led by Director Ministry of Health's Director-General of Health Dr Ashley Bloomfield. 25 March: Live update from the Prime ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • Police numbers break through 10,000 mark
    Frontline Police numbers have broken through the 10,000 mark for the first time in history as officers step forward to keep the community safe during the COVID19 lockdown. “Two Police graduations in Auckland and Wellington in the past week have been conducted in unprecedented circumstances,” Police Minister Stuart Nash said. ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • Urgent tax measures for economic recovery
    Urgent legislation has been passed to support the package of economic and social measures needed to recover from the impact of the coronavirus outbreak. “The COVID-19 Response (Taxation and Social Assistance Urgent Measures) Bill will cushion New Zealanders from the worst economic impacts of the COVID-19 outbreak,” said Revenue Minister ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    5 days ago
  • Further support for farmers and growers as drought persists
    From tomorrow, Government support for farmers and growers affected by drought will be expanded and extended across the country, with access to Rural Assistance Payments (RAPS) available throughout the North Island, parts of the South Island and the Chatham Islands, Social Development Minister Carmel Sepuloni announced. “These challenging conditions have ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    5 days ago
  • COVID-19: Temporary changes to Education Act
    Parliament has passed amendments to legislation that give the Secretary of Education stronger powers to act in the fight to limit the spread of COVID-19, Education Minister Chris Hipkins said today. “They are part of a suite of changes passed under the COVID-19 Response (Urgent Management Measures) Legislation Bill,” Chris ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    5 days ago
  • Canada, Australia, Chile, Brunei and Myanmar join NZ and Singapore in committing to keeping supply a...
    Canada, Australia, Chile, Brunei and Myanmar have joined forces with New Zealand and Singapore by committing to keep supply chains open and remove any existing trade restrictive measures on essential goods, especially medical supplies, in the face of the Covid-19 crisis.  Trade and Export Growth Minister David Parker today welcomed ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    5 days ago
  • COVID-19: Rent increase freeze and more protection for tenants
    Immediate freeze on rent increases Tenancies will not be terminated during the lock-down period, unless the parties agree, or in limited circumstances Tenants who had previously given notice can stay in their if they need to stay in the tenancy during the lock-down period Tenants will still be able to ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    5 days ago
  • Working together to protect businesses and workers
    As New Zealand unites to lock-down in the fight against COVID-19, the Finance Minister is urging all businesses and workers to stay connected over the next four weeks. “We understand the extreme pressure many businesses are under right now. I know most business owners think of their workers as family ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    5 days ago
  • State of National Emergency declared to fight COVID-19
    A State of National Emergency has been declared across the country as the Government pulls out all the stops to curtail the spread of COVID-19. “Today we put in place our country’s second ever State of National Emergency as we fight a global pandemic, save New Zealanders’ lives and prevent ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    5 days ago
  • Prime Minister’s statement on State of National Emergency and Epidemic Notice
    Mr Speaker I wish to make a Ministerial Statement under Standing Order 347 in relation to the recent declaration of a State of National Emergency. Having considered the advice of the Director Civil Defence Emergency Management, the Minister of Civil Defence declared a State of National Emergency for the whole of ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    5 days ago
  • Deadline for domestic travel extended
    People needing to travel on domestic flights, trains and Cook Strait ferries to get home before the country moves into level 4 lock-down tomorrow night will be able to continue using the passenger services until midnight on Friday, Transport Minister Phil Twyford said today. Domestic passenger services, particularly ferries, have ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    6 days ago
  • Mortgage holiday and business finance support schemes to cushion COVID impacts
    The Government, retail banks and the Reserve Bank are today announcing a major financial support package for home owners and businesses affected by the economic impacts of COVID-19. The package will include a six month principal and interest payment holiday for mortgage holders and SME customers whose incomes have been ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    6 days ago
  • Government working to keep air freight moving
    Minister of Transport Phil Twyford has today announced details of the Government’s support package to keep key air freight moving and ensure New Zealanders retain access to essential goods during the four-week level 4 lockdown. “The Government is working with airlines and air freight operators to ensure New Zealand’s key ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    6 days ago
  • New Zealand moves to COVID-19 Alert Level 3, then Level 4 in 48 hours
    New Zealand moved up to COVID-19 Alert Level 3 – Restrict New Zealand to move up to COVID-19 Alert Level 4 – Eliminate, in 48 hours Two-staged approach to give people and businesses time to prepare  Level 3, from tomorrow Non-essential businesses must close All events and gatherings must be ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Prime Minister: COVID-19 Alert Level increased
    Good afternoon  The Cabinet met this morning to discuss our next actions in the fight against COVID-19.  Like the rest of the world, we are facing the potential for devastating impacts from this virus. But, through decisive action, and through working together, do we have a small window to get ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Govt takes significant economic decisions as NZ readies for Alert Level 4 in COVID-19 fight
    The Government is announcing significant further support for the economy, workers and businesses as the country unites to prepare for Alert Level 4 in the fight against COVID-19. Cabinet today agreed to remove the cap on the Government’s wage subsidy scheme, which will inject a further $4 billion into the ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Govt backs RBNZ move to support economy with lower interest rates
    The Government is backing the Reserve Bank’s latest action to support the economy by reducing longer-term interest rates, meaning lower costs for businesses and mortgage holders, and a lower currency to help our exporters. The Minister of Finance has signed a memorandum of understanding and a letter of indemnity with ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Government statement on commercial cooperation during COVID-19
    The Government has asked the Commerce Commission to take account of the exceptional circumstances created by COVID-19 when monitoring business behaviour in coming weeks.   “The purpose of my request to the Commerce Commission is to make sure businesses can work together in ways that will allow them to provide ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • New Zealand temporarily closes diplomatic posts in Barbados and Myanmar due to COVID-19
    The New Zealand Government has temporarily closed its High Commission in Bridgetown, Barbados and its Embassy in Yangon, Myanmar due to the COVID-19 pandemic, Foreign Minister Winston Peters says.   “Due to the increasing scarcity of air links in and out of Bridgetown and Yangon, and the pressure COVID-19 is placing ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Supporting Māori communities and businesses through
    Associate Health and Whānau Ora Minister Peeni Henare has today announced the Government’s plan to support Māori communities and businesses in the face of COVID-19. “Our Government’s $12.1 billion economic package will help many Māori whānau, workers and businesses, whether it’s through wage subsidies, income support and worker redeployment, or ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Guidelines for hospitality establishments released
    The Government and the hospitality industry have worked together to produce guidelines to assist with managing and reducing transmission of COVID-19, Health Minister David Clark announced today.  The guidelines developed between the Government, Hospitality New Zealand and SkyCity Entertainment Group, set out how the new restrictions on physical distancing and ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Nation steps up to COVID-19 Alert Level 2
    Four stage Alert System for COVID-19 announced New Zealand moved up to COVID-19 Alert Level 2 – Reduce Contact New Zealanders over 70 and those with certain medical conditions told to stay at home as much as they can to reduce risk of contact with the virus Workplaces to implement ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • PM Address – Covid-19 Update
    Kia ora koutou katoa I’m speaking directly to all New Zealanders today to give you as much certainty and clarity as we can as we fight Covid-19. Over the past few weeks, the world has changed. And it has changed very quickly. In February it would have seemed unimaginable to ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • NZ and Singapore commit to keeping supply and trade links open, including on essential goods and med...
    New Zealand and Singapore have jointly committed to keep supply chains open and to remove any existing trade restrictive measures on essential goods, especially medical supplies, in the face of the Covid-19 crisis. Trade and Export Growth Minister David Parker welcomed the commitment. “This is an important collective response, and ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Joint Ministerial Statement by Singapore and New Zealand -Covid-19 situation
    JOINT MINISTERIAL STATEMENT BY SINGAPORE AND NEW ZEALAND AFFIRMING COMMITMENT TO ENSURING SUPPLY CHAIN CONNECTIVITY AMIDST THE COVID-19 SITUATION  The COVID-19 pandemic is a serious global crisis.  As part of our collective response to combat COVID-19, Singapore and New Zealand are committed to maintaining open and connected supply chains. We ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Transit between Australia and New Zealand
    Travel restrictions, closing our border to almost all travelers came into force from 23:59 on Thursday 19 March 2020 (NZDT).  All airlines were informed of these restrictions before they came into force. Immigration Minister Iain Lees-Galloway says “The transit of passengers between Australia and New Zealand has been agreed upon and ...
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  • $100 million to redeploy workers
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  • More support for wood processing
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  • Stronger border measures to protect NZers from COVID-19
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  • Action on indoor gatherings and events to protect public health
    The Government has reinforced its commitment to protecting the health of New Zealanders from COVID-19 through the cancellation of indoor events with more than 100 people.  “Protecting the health of New Zealanders is our number one priority, and that means we need to reduce the risks associated with large gatherings,” ...
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  • New Zealanders advised not to travel overseas
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