NZ economic forecast “deteriorating”

Written By: - Date published: 9:18 am, January 23rd, 2013 - 50 comments
Categories: economy, national - Tags: ,

Another day, another report on the ongoing failure of the global economy – “Stagnation until 2017 tipped for world’s economies“. Despite the massive bail-out from government / tax payers, our current systems (designed to enrich the 1%) are not delivering. Perhaps it’s time for a new paradigm, a more equitable distribution of wealth, and a recognition that we have to work within environmental constraints instead of trampling all over them. Yeah I know – never going to happen.

Anyway, buried in the fine print of the above linked article are some interesting snippets on NZ as assessed by “international credit reporting agency Dun and Bradstreet (D&B)”:

New Zealand has not been downgraded since March 2011, and emerged from 2012 with a D&B rating of low risk, arising from a small degree of uncertainty associated with expected returns and a strengthened banking sector.

In a global context we are “low risk”, thanks to the good position that the last Labour government left us. But…

D&B said that despite New Zealand’s relative safety, its overall risk profile was classified as “deteriorating” owing to a decline in some export prices and a rise in the unemployment rate to a 13-year high of 7.3 per cent late last year.

Downgraded in March 2011 and currently deteriorating. Good work National.

50 comments on “NZ economic forecast “deteriorating””

  1. PlanetOrphan 1

    Must be time to sell our “World Class Education Payroll System” 😈

  2. muzza 2

    Not sure why people are still under the belief that the last Labour govt left us in a *good position*, which is yet another myth – Sure, compared to where the figures are at now it looks, good, but lets not sit around talking up, what is not true!

    So the question becomes – How will the major problems facing NZ, be addressed by any potential future govt? (I’m not talking about electoral campaign lies, or spin)

    IMO, the major issues (or the minor issues) will not be addressed, by any party, and NZ is past the point of no return (collective failing). We do not have the active participation that will force the change, there are too many who believe the current political system can provide the solutions, it can’t!

    • Lanthanide 2.1

      “Not sure why people are still under the belief that the last Labour govt left us in a *good position*, which is yet another myth – Sure, compared to where the figures are at now it looks, good, but lets not sit around talking up, what is not true!”

      Erm, Labour got us to a net 0 debt position (there was still some gross debt on the books). That same position has allowed the current National government to borrow up to 30% of our annual GDP by 2014. If Labour had not gotten us to such a low debt position, we wouldn’t have been able to borrow as cheaply as we had, and the economy would likely be in a worse position (and/or the government would have been forced to make (even more) unpopular decisions than they have).

    • Enough is Enough 2.2

      Have to agree with Muzza that Labour didn’t address the fundamental problems in the economy when they had the chance.

      Labour was able to leave the books in good shape because they were flooded with tax dollars on the back of Kiwis going on a debt fuelled spending binge. As government debt shrunk, personal debt balooned. It was a debt swap. Nothing more, nothing less.

      There was no fundamental restructure of the economy which would have rebalanced the economy and ‘closed the gaps’.

      Yep they did many good things and were infinitly better than this corrupt mob, but I think history will tell us that they missed the opportunity to create a truly equitable society.

      • muzza 2.2.1

        Quite!

        Debt is Debt, regardless of which level it is incurred, individual/company/district/city/country, the interest flows back out from the country (alongside the profits), largely to the same coffers, and the consequences to society, will turn negative, always!

        The only thing the last Labour Govt did for the economy, was allow the explosion of private debt which kept control the national debt, which has allowed the current govt crooks to ratchet up the national debt to dangerous levels.

        So no, Labour did not manage the economy well, no matter which argument/articles/evidence people can dredge up, it can be easily shot to pieces by Labours, failing to control the inflows of *easy credit*!

      • tc 2.2.2

        “There was no fundamental restructure of the economy which would have rebalanced the economy and ‘closed the gaps’ ”

        Agree and way to timid with compulsory savings, getting a CGT, a proper competition framework (not rebstock’s rubber stamping monopoly ploys), same for the NZX and the Finance industry, carbon tax etc

        HOWEVER most of this required NZFirst/United Future/Ohairyone/anderton etc to agree and therein lies the issue, all well and good to blame Clark etc but unlike the NACT they didn’t have the votes behind the facade of another party like ACT/MP/UF does for the Nat’s as they were bought off to join the plunder.

        • Enough is Enough 2.2.2.1

          I am not sure whether I follow you TC. Which policy of Labour’s between 1999 and 2008, which would have had the effect of restructuring the neo-liberal economy, was defeated by their coalition parties?

      • burt 2.2.3

        As government debt shrunk, personal debt balooned. It was a debt swap. Nothing more, nothing less.

        Exactly… and the biggest impact was on low-middle earners – like always the policies of envy end up hurting the ones they are supposed to help – happens every time – but myopic partisans simply choose not to believe it.

        • Colonial Viper 2.2.3.1

          How is the property owning upper middle class loading up on property speculation debt anything to do with helping low-middle earners?

          Get a grip and make some sense next time, Mon Partisan.

    • Molly 2.3

      Link to government debt as a % of GDP. Easy to follow through from Labour led govt in 1999 to the change of government in 2008. Reserve Bank http://www.rbnz.govt.nz/statistics/extfin/e3/download.html

      … perhaps reinforces the idea about “good position”….

      And, yes, this does only refer to financial position.

    • burt 2.4

      Not sure why people are still under the belief that the last Labour govt left us in a *good position*

      Because Labour in their usual telling fat porkies fashion said so….

      Socialism is great till you run out of other peoples money and that is what happened in 2007 before the global financial crisis… but don’t expect anything but rose coloured glasses from the followers of a flag colour.

      • fatty 2.4.1

        Socialism is great till you run out of other peoples money and that is what happened in 2007 before the global financial crisis… but don’t expect anything but rose coloured glasses from the followers of a flag colour.

        Good point…but you clearly mean capitalism, not socialism

      • geoff 2.4.2

        Capitalism is great till you‘ve bled everyone dry and there’s no one left to flog your shit too

        FTFY

    • Daveosaurus 2.5

      Keep on saying that, Muzza, and some of the easily led amongst us might even start believing it.

      Meanwhile, back in the real world…

  3. Colonial Viper 3

    In an era of irreversible global energy and resource depletion we are going to see MSM touted economic recovery time frames pushed out again and again and again.

    This year it will be growth (or budget surplus) returns in 2015/2016. Next year it will be growth returns in 2016/2017. The year after that, it will be growth returns in 2017/2018. And so on.

    Once you notice it, you’ll see it happening everywhere. The flow of hopium to the people cannot be allowed to stop. Otherwise they might demand real change.

    • PlanetOrphan 3.1

      Can’t have riots in the streets,
      Must pacify with bullshit,
      Where’s my favourite reporters, I’ve got some shit to sell ….

  4. Alinsky 4

    “Not sure why people are still under the belief that the last Labour govt left us in a *good position*”

    Reason #1: Because Labour didn’t intentionally destroy our manufacturing sector, which is the source of a society’s wealth. See Bryan Gould in today’s NZ Herald.

    http://www.nzherald.co.nz/opinion/news/article.cfm?c_id=466&objectid=10860765

    Reason #2: Because Labour didn’t sell income producing government owned assets.

    Reason #3: Because Labour knew unemployed people are our most valuable wasted asset, not a source of cheaper productivity for the wealthy few.

    Reason #4: Because Labour was NOT dedicated to the neoliberal holy mantra “greed is virtuous, especially when it enriches the already wealthy.”

    • Pete 4.1

      Reason #4 Because Labour created the Cullen Fund and Kiwisaver, which help to secure the retirement of our aging population and act as a source of capital for productive investments.

      • muzza 4.1.1

        I think you’ll find that the Cullen Fund and Kiwi Saver, which rely on growth to provide returns, are likley to be providing/causing a net negative!

        As for the last labour govt *not being dedicated to the neoliberal holy mantra….” – ROT

        1: What do you think the Cullen fund is invested in – Hint, it’s tied to neoliberal ideological thinking

        2: Why did the L govt allow the influx of *hot money*, and the explosion of the housing bubble, if they were *NOT dedicated to the neoliberal mantra* – That happened on their watch!

        Stop kidding yourselves!

        • Pete 4.1.1.1

          I think this is an area where there is genuine philosophical disagreement between various commentators on this site. I’m not convinced myself that we’ve reached the end of growth. I do think we should gear ourselves towards a post-oil economy, but that’s not the same thing.

          • muzza 4.1.1.1.1

            Pete, I think I understand where you’re coming from.

            If we have not reached the end of growth (I agree, but from the perspective that it will continue to chanted as the mantra, and driven towards, i.e not a good perspective), what would you say that good growth could be measured as , and how would you see the path to , good growth playing out under the current models?

            • Pete 4.1.1.1.1.1

              Good growth could be measured in increase in the Human Development Index, coupled with a decrease in the Gini Coefficient. Or simply the Inequality-Adjusted Human Development Index.

              At present, policy settings favour the concentration of wealth into the hands of a few, so until that is addressed, good growth will be limited.

              • muzza

                At present, policy settings favour the concentration of wealth into the hands of a few, so until that is addressed, good growth will be limited.

                That’s the interesting part of the discussion, the one which will be driven by the engagement of people into their political/economic reality, but thats not what enough people want. They want the lie, they love the lie, their life depends on the lie!

                The lie they love, is locking in the outcomes, nice and tight!

                CV – Indeed, then where…

                Edit: Lanth, correct, the exporting of deflation , essentially by China, has created stored up consequences, which we are seeing the clumsey attempts to sweep under the mat!

                • McFlock

                  I’m slightly more optimistic – the whimsy of the electorate is in swings and roundabouts. Basically, they love “the lie” when it seems to work for them, but they take a while to change their mind and flip back again.

                  Lab5 dropped the ball because it got gunshy with the “lightbulb” fiasco. So it tweaked things enough to improve people’s lives a good bit, but there was no gamechanger for when the peoples’ memory dimmed about how evil nats actually are. I know of at least one colleague at the time who voted from lab to nat because “it was national’s turn”. FFS.

                  Lab6 will do the same, but I think mana and the greens are smart enough to go for significant concessions in term one rather than the gradual change myth. I also know they’ll have a shitload more leverage than during lab5.

                  China’s interesting. I have some doubts about their stability in the next few decades. Not a certainty, but they have some fascinating urban/rural, rich/poor, and local/federal government issues.

          • Colonial Viper 4.1.1.1.2

            Growth per capita is almost at an end in OECD countries IMO. And we can see that much of the last decades “growth” in developed countries was actually predicated on an unsustainable debt bubble which we are now paying for. However, real growth may continue to occur in India and China for the time being.

            • Lanthanide 4.1.1.1.2.1

              I agree with you and Pete, CV.

              My boyfriend and I have made the observation that the low rates of inflation throughout the world since the 80s owes a lot to China for outsourcing all of our low-paid jobs, allowing us to still have cheap products made. Wages in China are now starting to rise to a level where manufacturers are considering going to other 3rd world countries, such as Laos and North Korea to keep costs down.

              In essence, the low levels of global inflation of the last couple of decades seems to simply have been deferred to the future, for when we can’t kick the can any further down the road of outsourcing production to cheap countries.

    • PlanetOrphan 4.2

      Also …

      “The Government’s operating surplus in fiscal 2002/03 continues to track higher, Treasury figures released today show.

      The operating surplus for the 10 months to April 30 was $3.258 billion, some $410 million above the track forecast on budget night in May.”

      http://www.nzherald.co.nz/business/news/article.cfm?c_id=3&objectid=3506856

      And it aint the GFC it was the SCF that National did not oversee properly.

    • PolishPride 4.3

      Not sure why people are still under the belief that Labour and the left can solve the problems facing society…. They haven’t been able to for the last 100 or so years..
      In order to solve the problem you must first understand what the problem is and it is pretty clear that none of the political parties nor economists do.

    • tc 4.4

      Kiwibank

    • Herodotus 4.5

      http://www.rbnz.govt.nz/keygraphs/Fig5.html
      Tell that to the population your misguided view of the past. We borrowed because we are unable to either:
      Increase nz wealth to match our spending and pay off past debt.
      Reduce our living std
      Unless you were one of those who the govt allowed to participate in the property speculation then your untaxed wealth it was a good time, pity about the social consequences
      Why are so many here willing to continue the mis truths of the last 13 years?
      Even Anthony’s link to a past post /how-we-got-where-we-are/ has not a link to show any debt being paid off under labour. If this did happen why is no one able to supply any details. Sure we see all the time net debt graphs /nz-economic-forecast-deteriorating/ as frank macskasy comments on but this does not show debt being paid off.
      And let’s not talk about the current account http://www.rbnz.govt.nz/keygraphs/Fig6.html. So how good was it for everyone. Record house price increases, mortgages over 10%, and unheralded of borrowing to pay the bills. At least all but 150k had jobs back then.

  5. infused 5

    “In a global context we are “low risk”, thanks to the good position that the last Labour government left us”

    lol shit, April 1st already?

  6. geoff 6

    2017 is just another figure pulled out of thin air so that the general public doesn’t completely despair.
    There’s no end of stagnation in sight (just look at Japan since the 90’s) as long as they keep printing cheap money for the rent-seeking 1%ers.
    Interestingly, governments have been buying gold for the last few years and returning their holdings back to their national vaults. Supposedly this is a hedge against potential fiat currency collapse, something that has a degree of plausability when many nations bond prices are at historics highs (see UK at 300 year bond high).

    • Colonial Viper 6.1

      Do you happen to know what the CDS spreads on UK debt is looking like?

      • geoff 6.1.1

        Nope. I presume they aren’t indicating imminent UK government default (if that is what you are hinting at) because bank of england can always print more money.

  7. The international credit ratings agencies are a load of bunkem, which along with travesties that the Nat party require us to swallow, we seem to have to “go along” with despite the deficiency in veracity.

    Its true and relevant because they say it is, not because it is.

    How about our international and national governing bodies address this issue*:

    “This offshore economy is large enough to have a major impact on estimates of inequality of wealth and income; on estimates of national income and debt ratios; and – most importantly – to have very significant negative impacts on the domestic tax bases of ‘source’ countries,” Henry says.

    (I have reshared this link that I got off another on the Standard recently, due to the importance of the information contained.)

  8. Afewknowthetruth 8

    The entire economic system is dependent on oil. Extraction of conventional oil peaked over 2005 to 2008, and is in precipitous decline in most parts of the world. Hence most of the developed world is in economic decline. So-called unconventional oil, which has a very poor EROEI, is propping things up to some extent for the moment but will soon fail to do so.

    We go over the same ground time and time again and nothing sinks in.

    • The Gormless Fool formerly known as Oleolebiscuitbarrell 8.1

      Lucky for you it doesn’t. You would then have to change your name to Everyoneknowsthetruth. And would undoubtedly feel less special as a result.

      • Afewknowthetruth 8.1.1

        All truth passes through three stages.

        First it is ignored or ridiculed.

        Second it is violently opposed.

        Third it is accepted as being self-evident.

        Schopenhauer (1788-1860).

        • The Gormless Fool formerly known as Oleolebiscuitbarrell 8.1.1.1

          Yes. But you don’t know it is the truth until the third stage.

          I once told everyone that I would become a ukulele virtuoso who would change the world through the beauty and skill of my playing.

          First, I was ignored or ridiculed.

          Second, I was violently opposed (mainly be people who found my practicing unpleasant to the ear).

          Third, it turned out my detractors were entirely correct. I am just shit at playing the ukulele.

          • Afewknowthetruth 8.1.1.1.1

            When Galileo looked at Jupiter through his telescope and saw it had moons he didn’t have to wait for everyone else to accept the fact to know he was right in proclaiming that Jupiter has moons. Saying that the Earth was not the centre of the universe upset the authorities, especially the church of course, and resulted in house arrest.

            Semmelweis didn’t have to wait for everyone to agree to know that improved hygiene resulted in fewer infections. He was ridiculed and ignored for promoting the modern ideas about germs, and those who ignored and ridiculed him caused unnecessary suffering and death.

            It’s the same when it comes to energy and environmental issues. Those who ridicule and ignore the ones who do know what they a re talking about will cause unnecessary suffering and death……hopefully their own.

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    Dangerous Foes: For those readers of Bowalley Road who feel disposed to dismiss any prospect of an Israeli destabilisation of New Zealand politics, the example of the United Kingdom repays close attention. Ever since the election of Jeremy Corbyn as leader of the British Labour Party, the Israelis have sanctioned, funded and ...
    6 days ago
  • Something to go to in Wellington
    Make It 16, the youth-led campaign to lower New Zealand's voting age, is holding an official campaign launch at Parliament this Friday from 16:30. If you'd like to attend, you can register using EventBrite here. ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    6 days ago
  • A founding member responds to Peace Action Wellington
    by Don Franks It was a lovely sunny Wellington afternoon with blue skies above  the beaches.  In Courtenay Place, political activists packed out a stuffy upstairs room for an important meeting. The assembled pacifists, anarchists, communists and independent young radicals of Peace Action Wellington felt the need for a mission ...
    RedlineBy Admin
    6 days ago
  • “Mistakes and errors”
    Current and former NZDF top brass are being publicly grilled this week by the hit and run inquiry over their public responses to allegations of civilian casualties. Previously, they've claimed there were no casualties, a position which led them to lie to Ministers and to the public. Now, they're saying ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    6 days ago
  • “Homosexuality is same-sex attraction and relationships, not heterosexuals with delusions of gende...
    by Rafael D. Quiles (gender-critical gay man from Puerto Rico) The writing on the wall is right in people’s faces and people just don’t see it or don’t want to. What could actually possess a heterosexual male to want to feminize himself and claim that he is a lesbian? Because ...
    RedlineBy Admin
    7 days ago
  • Trump: “Where’s my favourite dictator?”
    From the Wall Street Journal:Inside a room of the ornately decorated Hotel du Palais during last month’s Group of Seven summit in Biarritz, France, President Trump awaited a meeting with Egyptian President Abdel Fattah Al Sisi. Mr. Trump looked over a gathering of American and Egyptian officials and called out in ...
    7 days ago
  • Magdalen Burns, 1983-2019, fighter for women’s liberation
    by the Redline blog collective At Redline we are very saddened to hear of the death of Magdalen Burns who passed away on the morning of Friday, September 13 (British time). Magdalen was a great fighter for the rights of women in general and lesbian women in particular, a defender ...
    RedlineBy Admin
    1 week ago
  • Parliament and the Executive
    The Brexit issue has certainly brought with it a series of apparently difficult constitutional issues, many of them concerning the respective roles of the executive and parliament. Most of them arise because of the unwillingness of MPs, despite their professions to the contrary, to be bound by a constitutional rarity ...
    Bryan GouldBy Bryan Gould
    1 week ago
  • The Abigail Article; Martyn Bradbury’s Article, and My Response
    . . This blogpost is different to my usual format of reporting on issues… Since July 1011, I have blogged on a variety of political issues; near always political and/or environmental; mostly highly critical of the previous National Government. Other issues included Israeli occupation of Palestinian lands and repression of ...
    Frankly SpeakingBy Frank Macskasy
    1 week ago
  • Police will have to wear silly Buckingham Palace hats from now on, says Police Minister
    Those close to the Police Minister believe the initiative may be the result of Nash “seeing a great deal” on AliExpress. In a move that comes seemingly out of nowhere, Police Minister Stuart Nash announced this afternoon that he expects all frontline staff to don bearskin hats, famously worn by ...
    The CivilianBy admin
    1 week ago
  • A sensible crackdown
    The government has released its Arms Legislation Bill, containing the second tranche of changes to gun laws following the March 15 massacre. And it all looks quite sensible: a national gun register, higher penalties for illegal possession and dealing, tighter restrictions on arms dealers and shooting clubs, and a shorter ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    1 week ago
  • California bans private prisons
    Private prisons are a stain on humanity. Prison operators explicitly profit from human misery, then lobby for longer prisons terms so they can keep on profiting. And in the US, prison companies run not only local and state prisons, but also Donald Trump's immigration concentration camps. Faced with this moral ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    1 week ago
  • Why PPPs are a bad idea
    When National was in power, they were very keen on Public-Private Partnerships (PPPs) - basicly, using private companies to finance public infrastructure as a way of hiding debt from the public. They were keen on using them for everything - roads, schools, hospitals. But as the UK shows, that "service" ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    1 week ago
  • A Movement That No Longer Moves.
    Moving And Shaking: There was a time when people spoke matter-of-factly about the “labour movement” – a political phenomenon understood to embrace much more than the Labour Party. Included within the term’s definition was the whole trade union movement – many of whose members looked upon the Labour Party as ...
    1 week ago
  • NZ ‘left’ politically embracing extreme postmodernism
    by Philip Ferguson Much of the left, even people who formally identify as marxists, have collapsed politically in the face of postmodern gender theory of the sort pioneered by American philosopher Judith Butler. For Butler even biological sex is socially constructed. “If the immutable character of sex is contested, perhaps ...
    RedlineBy Daphna
    1 week ago
  • The obvious question
    The media is reporting that the (alleged) Labour party sexual assaulter has resigned from their job at Parliament, which means hopefully he won't be turning up there making people feel unsafe in future. Good. But as with everything about this scandal, it just raises other questions. Most significantly: why the ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    1 week ago
  • The moment I found out that you found out, I acted swiftly
    By Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern I am every bit as angry as you are. I am every bit as disappointed as you must be. The people with power, oversight and the ability to do something about these processes within the Labour Party should be ashamed. Whoever those people are, I ...
    The CivilianBy admin
    1 week ago
  • This is why people hate property developers
    Property developers think there is an "oversupply" of houses in Auckland:High turnover rates and falling prices may be a sign that there are too many new houses going in to some parts of Auckland, commentators say. [...] Property developer David Whitburn said there was a "bit of an oversupply" in ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    1 week ago
  • Australia to Pacific: “Fuck you, you can all drown”
    World leaders are meeting in New York in two weeks for the 2019 Climate Action Summit, where they are expected to announce new and more ambitious targets to stop the world from burning. But the Australian Prime Minister won't be there, despite being in the USA at the time:Scott Morrison ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    1 week ago
  • Implausible ignorance
    Labour Party president Nigel Haworth resigned yesterday over the party's sexual assault scandal. But while that's good news, its unlikely to take away the stench of a coverup. Because according to Paula Bennett in Parliament yesterday, pretty much everyone in the Prime Minister's office was involved as well:I have been ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    1 week ago
  • Labour’s Fatal Flaw.
     Two-Faced? Labour insiders' commitment to the neoliberal status quo puts them at odds with their party’s membership; its trade union affiliates; and a majority of Labour voters, but this only serves to strengthen the perception they have of themselves as a special elite. Among the lesser breeds, they’ll talk up a ...
    1 week ago
  • Ten reasons the Tories do NOT want an election
    There has been a lot of talk about Boris Johnson wanting an election, and he has blustered with great gusto about 'chicken' Jeremy Corbyn refusing one, but I think there are many reasons why he is secretly glad he has been refused the opportunity:The Tories are an utter rabble,tearing themselves ...
    2 weeks ago
  • Prorogation Illegal, rule Scottish judges
    Scottish appeal court judges have declared that Boris Johnson’s decision to suspend parliament in the run-up to the October Brexit deadline is unlawful. The three judges, chaired by Lord Carloway, Scotland’s most senior judge, overturned an earlier ruling that the courts did not have the powers to interfere in the prime ...
    2 weeks ago
  • Let me explain what I meant by Everyday New Zealanders
    By Simon Bridges. The following is a press release from the office of Simon Bridges, leader of The National Party. Key ora, New Zealand. Happy Maori Language Week. Look, I’m writing to you today because I want to clear something up. There’s been a lot of kerfuffle around some things ...
    The CivilianBy admin
    2 weeks ago
  • Yes, the SIS is subject to the Public Records Act
    I understand there's some stuff going round about how the SIS "was removed from the list of public offices covered by the Public Records Act in 2017". The context of course being their records derived from US torture, which will be disposed of or sealed. The good news is that ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    2 weeks ago
  • An evidence-based discussion of the Canadian fluoride/IQ study
    Dr. Christopher Labos and Jonathan Jarry discuss the recent Canadian fluoride/IQ research. They provide an expert analysis of the paper and its problems. Click on image to go to podcast. The critical debate about the recent ...
    2 weeks ago
  • Climate Change: Australia in denial
    Australia is burning down again, and meanwhile its natural disaster minister is denying climate change:Australia’s minister responsible for drought and natural disasters, David Littleproud, has said that he doesn’t “know if climate change is manmade”. Clarifying earlier comments that the question is “irrelevant” when considering the Coalition government’s response to ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    2 weeks ago
  • Philippines activist speaking on the Duterte tyranny
    Auckland Philippines Solidarity is excited to host Professor Judy Taguiwalo for a speaking tour of NZ in September. She is a well-known activist in the Philippines and was a political prisoner under the Marcos dictatorship. Professor Taguiwalo briefly served as a Cabinet member under President Duterte but was forced from ...
    RedlineBy Daphna
    2 weeks ago
  • Disgust
    I have no special insights to offer on the Labour sexual assault coverup. All I have is disgust. Disgust that an organisation could fail its people so badly. Disgust that they punished the victims rather than the perpetrator. Disgust that its party hacks are apparently blaming the victims for demanding ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    2 weeks ago
  • Speak Up for Women calls out Greens’ censorship
    This open letter to the Green Party was penned after an opinion piece by Jill Abigail, a feminist and founding member of the party, was censored by the Greens’ leadership. (Redline has reprinted her article here).The intolerance of the Green Party leaders and their acceptance of the misogyny of gender ...
    RedlineBy Daphna
    2 weeks ago
  • Member’s Day: End of Life Choice, part 3
    Today is a Member's day, and David Seymour's End of Life Choice Bill continues its slow crawl through its committee stage. They're spending the whole day on it today, though the first hour is likely to be spent on voting left over from last time. After that they'll move on ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    2 weeks ago
  • Flight to Los Angeles turned back after passengers decide they don’t want to go anymore
    An ambitious plan to fly to Los Angeles petered out into a brief sight-seeing trip and a desire to return home and get some sleep before work tomorrow. Air New Zealand has confirmed a flight to Los Angeles last night was turned back about a quarter of the way into ...
    The CivilianBy admin
    2 weeks ago
  • Indigenous Futures: defuturing and futuring – an analytical framework for policy development?
    There appears to be consensus – by omission – that the concept of indigenous futures should be accepted at face value. So I scavenged the internet to see if I could locate an academic descriptor or a framework around how we think about it as a concept, and whether it ...
    EllipsisterBy Ellipsister
    2 weeks ago
  • Cadbury rumoured to be releasing the Pineapple Trump
    Here’s another novelty chocolate to shove in your gob, New Zealand Cadbury could be seeking to make itself great again with a rumoured new release: Pineapple Trumps, a spin on its classic chocolate-encased pineapple treat and do-it-yourself tooth remover. The global confectionery manufacturer and bumbling “before” character in an infomercial, ...
    The CivilianBy admin
    2 weeks ago
  • The coming resource war.
    During my time in the Pentagon I had the privilege of sitting down with military leaders and defence and security officials from a variety of Latin American nations. Sometimes I was present as a subordinate assistant to a senior US defence department official, sometimes as part of a delegation that ...
    KiwipoliticoBy Pablo
    2 weeks ago
  • Māori Language Week with The Civilian
    Kia ora, Aotearoa. It’s that magical time of year. Te Wiki o te Reo Māori. In English, the week that frightens talk radio. As you probably know by now, all your favourite media outlets are participating, some more successfully than others. Stuff has changed its name to Puna for the ...
    The CivilianBy admin
    2 weeks ago
  • Will Horizons act on climate change?
    Local body elections are coming up next month. And it looks like all Palmerston North candidates for Horizons (the Manawatu-Whanganui Regional Council) want to take action on climate change:Climate change is set to be a key issue in Palmerston North for the next three years if those wanting to get ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    2 weeks ago
  • BORA reform is stalled
    Eighteen months ago, the government promised to strengthen the Bill of Rights Act, by explicitly affirming the power of the courts to issue declarations of inconsistency and requiring Parliament to formally respond to them. So how's that going? I was curious, so I asked for all advice about the proposal. ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    2 weeks ago
  • Corbyn and Brexit
    As the Brexit saga staggers on, the focus is naturally enough on the Prime Minister and his attempts to achieve Brexit “do or die”. But the role played by the Leader of the Opposition is of almost equal interest and complexity. The first problem for Jeremy Corbyn is that he ...
    Bryan GouldBy Bryan Gould
    2 weeks ago
  • A ditch for him to die in
    Last week, English Prime Minister Boris Johnson boldly declared that he would rather die be dead in a ditch than delay Brexit. Unfortunately for him, the UK parliament accepted the challenge, and promptly dug one for him. The "rebellion bill" requires him to ask for and secure yet another temporary ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    2 weeks ago
  • Warning! Warning! Danger Jacinda Ardern! Danger Marama Davidson! Warning!
    Lost In Political Space: The most important takeaway from this latest Labour sexual assault scandal, which (if I may paraphrase Nixon’s White House counsel’s, John Dean’s, infamous description of Watergate) is “growing like a cancer” on the premiership, is the Labour Party organisation’s extraordinary professional paralysis in the face of ...
    2 weeks ago

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