web analytics

On the perils of polls

Written By: - Date published: 11:28 am, May 30th, 2008 - 43 comments
Categories: Media, polls - Tags:

We’re used to hearing that a poll has a margin of error but what does it mean? A margin of error of 3% doesn’t mean the poll’s numbers are definitely within 3% of the ‘real’ numbers, it means there is a 95% chance they are within 3% of those numbers; that is, one in 20 polls will be out from reality by something greater than 3%. One in twenty polls is a rogue poll and there is nothing that a polling company can do to prevent that. See those Xs on the graph of the last 22 polls below? That’s the Fairfax poll showing a 27% gap. Look how far it falls outside the polls before and since; an obvious rogue.

But polls can also be out if the sample isn’t random. Random doesn’t just mean the first 1000 people who you get to answer. It means that your sample is not different from the general population. Let’s take a bad poll to see how this can go wrong – David Farrar’s recent poll for Family First on smacking.

In the general population, 17% of people are over 60, 30% of the respondents to Farrar’s poll were over 60. 37% of kiwi families have children at home, in Farrar’s poll only 22% of them did. The other demographic data is also out. This means that group of people Farrar sampled is not a real sample of New Zealand and the results may be wrong over and above the margin of error that is always there. Farrar’s poll shows reasonable support for smacking but that support is especially strong in the over-sampled demographics (old people and those without kids).

Now, in America, polling companies use ‘witches brews’ of formulas to balance the demographics of their samples to that of the general population. It can raise its own problems but, apparently, polling companies in New Zealand don’t even do that. Meaning their chances of getting a rogue poll are that much stronger. And don’t forget: polls are done by calling landlines, not everyone has a landline and 70% of people refuse to take part in polls  that means the sample one gets in any poll is attitudinally different from the Kiwi population in general.

On top of all this, not all polling companies are created equal. In New Zealand, Colmar Brunton is notoriously inaccurate in its political polling, leaning about 5% to National, while Roy Morgan is the best on the major parties but over-polls the Greens. That comes down to methodology and, some have suggested, bias in polling companies. At any rate, polls are likely to be well out from the true numbers. How much were the final polls before the last election out in total, from reality?

What does all this mean? Individual polls may not reflect reality and a movement in results between polls, especially in the absence of a major political event (eg Orewa I), is more likely to result from normal variation or a problem with the polls than from a change in the real support levels for parties.

So, next time you see a 27% gap when there was a 15% one before, don’t get too excited.

43 comments on “On the perils of polls ”

  1. Poll results are also grossly distorted if the number of people undecided is not sampled and reported. A result of 56% of decided voters where 25% of all voters weren’t decided is a very different beast to the same result where only 5% are undecided.

    56% of 75% is barely more than 42% support among the whole sample, assuming undecided voters do actually vote. I know they often do not vote.

  2. I assume there is a link between this post on the perils of polling and the expanding gap between National and Labour ?

    PS I seem to be back out of moderation 🙂

  3. In the US, they try to sample probable voters (more important there because the turnout is only 50%). It all gets very complicated. There are big systematic problems with polling and the corrections that are attempted are problematic in themselves.

    In their final polls last election, 4 of the 5 public polling companies had Labour under their their actual result.

    Of course, that could always have been due to a late surge from Labour or it could be a systematic tendency to underpoll Laobur support.

  4. Bryan. That’s the most stupid thing you’ve ever written, and that’s a pretty high bar.

    You’ve got a graph right on this page of the past 22 poll results and it shows a marginal narrowing of the gap.

    Comments like that are an insult to everyone’s intelligence

  5. sean14 5

    Yawn. Bring on election day.

  6. Phil 6

    “… polling companies use ‘witches brews’ of formulas to balance the demographics of their samples to that of the general population. It can raise its own problems but, apparently, polling companies in New Zealand don’t even do that.”

    This is simply not true. AC-N certainly does, Roy Morgan, as far as I am aware, do too. Not sure about CB.

    Market research compaines in NZ are held to a very high standard by the Market Research Society http://www.mrsnz.org.nz/ and I personally think that a guest post from someone there might prove illuminating.

  7. Monty 7

    Hummm – you lefties sure think that there are a lot of rogue polls – but then you can relax because inevitably the subsequent polls confirm that Labour is buggered. The only polls you do seem to like are the ones us righties refer to a s a “dead cat bounce”.

    You need to understand that the electorate is comfortable with National winnning about 50% of the vote on polling day. The electorate is also saying that Labour need to go. The budget has been no use and I think there will be more polls before the election that have Labour below 30%

  8. Phil. Happy to be corrected on that. Guess Curia’s not in that league.

    It doesn’t detract from the main point, which is movements in polls are more likely normal variation or a sampling problem than a change in the population.

    It’s intersting to look at that trend line. Support appears remarkably consistent.

  9. DS 9

    “You need to understand that the electorate is comfortable with National winnning about 50% of the vote on polling day. The electorate is also saying that Labour need to go. The budget has been no use and I think there will be more polls before the election that have Labour below 30%”

    If National couldn’t crack 50% in 1990 against what was at the time the most hated incumbent government of the postwar era, they aren’t going to do it in 2008, polls or no polls. See Labour in 2002 for how easily, say, 56% poll ratings can be turned into an actual election night figure of, say, 41%.

    You Tory types had also better be hoping like hell that you can get 47% or so. Anything less than that and you suddenly get shafted by the fact that you’ve long since cannibalised your coalition partners.

  10. SP: “You’ve got a graph right on this page of the past 22 poll results” presume you mean the chart titled “Rogue Polls” ?

  11. Lew 11

    DS: “You Tory types had also better be hoping like hell that you can get 47% or so. Anything less than that and you suddenly get shafted by the fact that you’ve long since cannibalised your coalition partners.”

    Nasty rhetoric aside, this is the major issue. Broadly there are two possible strategies to play here.

    1. National go alone (for card players). Requires 50% less however many seats ACT gets to guarantee a government. Also comes with bragging rights of winning a clear plurality or perhaps a majority, but that’s more valuable before an election than after. Clearly the best strategy if it’s successful, but National risks complete failure if they fail to get 50% with ACT.

    2. National curry favour with NZ First and United Future, and try to raise both parties’ profiles and party votes, not that there’s any love lost with NZF. This is a strategy which suits Key’s `Labour Lite’ sort of image: a consultative, collaborative politician who understands the value of consensus and most importantly understands MMP politics. It’s a valuable strategy to choose publicly well before the election, since those characteristics could win over some Labour voters who don’t much like Labour policy but dislike the image of National as a big brash winner-takes-all party: plenty of women fall into this category so there’s a synergy with Key’s leadership appeal too. It’s a risky strategy, though, since it will require National to declare policy soon, in detail, and begin public negotiations with other parties, and that makes them a bigger target. Also, if National loses some of its own electorate to UF and NZF, who then decide to go with Labour, they lose it all.

    If I were John Key’s strategist I’d take option 2. I think National are positioning for 1. Who knew that being burnt in 1996 would still shape their core political strategy 12 years later?

    L

  12. Tane 12

    How’s that rhetoric nasty Lew?

  13. Lew 13

    Tane: `You Tory types’ `hope like hell’ `shafted’ `cannibalised’. I’m not saying it’s offensive, just uncivil.

    L

  14. Tane 14

    Well, politics ain’t civil Lew. No need to have a go at people unless they’re out of line.

  15. Steve Levine and Nigel Roberts studies over the years have shown that no matter how you slice the pie, the centre-right just does not have majority support among voters. So “partners” there are of little use. National would ned to move BACK to the centre to win (and keep) power. It’s debatable they are prepared to do more than pretend as some of their richest supporters want some of the more extreme (relative to voter tolerance) policies enacted.

    MMP has exposed the real composition of the electorate, while First Past the Post masked it and effectively prevented the fragmented ‘non-centre-right’ majority from asserting itself term after term UNLESS they backed one party or a third party (NZ Party 1984) split the centre-right vote and allowed them to come through the middle.

    NZ First is essentially the chunk of National that jumped off the boat when they lurched from the Centre(ish) to starboard (right) from 1990 onward.

    Labour also fragmented, but most of the pieces (ACT excepted) stayed to the left of National. Labour has effectively owned the “centre” with the 1996 anomaly of Peters going with National while his supporters wanted Labour, as a ‘rogue’.

    For National to get 50%+ of the vote in this year’s election would be a first in over 50 years. I’d be surprised if it happened. But anything can happen.

  16. Lew 16

    Tane: I wasn’t having a go at DS, it’s perfectly reasonable for him to say it. Easy there.

    SW: Yeah, I was thinking of Roberts and Levine and the impact of MMP when writing this up, too.

    Any of `you Tory types’ want to give an opinion as to why Key might be choosing 1 over 2 when 2 appears more likely to succeed? I’m curious whether he has your support.

    L

  17. Um Lew – 50%? You forgot about the overhang which is generally considered to broadly favour the left. Apart from that you don’t seem to be too badly wrong…

  18. Lew 18

    Sod: Round figures; you take my meaning. I’ll take that as your one random compliment for the month of May.

    L

  19. you take my meaning

    Is that in the imperative? I mean do I get a choice or am I obliged to take your meaning?

    [becoming tiresome, ‘sod. SP]

  20. Having worked on the telephones for a research polling company, I can tell you that the sample of people who will do your polls (people who are at home, willing to answer, have a landline) is not representative of the general population. It’s a difficult issue to address, but all good research acknowledges the limitations of the data – bad research doesn’t.

  21. And we all know what kind of quaility research you get in newspapers.

    Audrey Young’s piece on the Herald Digipoll takes the sample of 1200 and cuts it up by various demographics. All of which have much larger margins of error than the original sample.

    For example when you ask ‘how many 18-24 year olds are in my sample’ and then, ‘how many of those support the Greens’ you’re down to really small nubmers and the margin of error is huge.

    but you wouldn’t know it from her article which has figures stated down to one decimal point as if the poll can be that exact.

  22. Good post.

    To attempt an answer to Lew’s question, I’d say that the Nats are going for 2, but half-heartedly. But that’s okay, they figure, as it is all about what they can negotiate after the election. The real test will be whether they are willing to humiliate themselves by, say, making Winston Minister of Foreign Affairs. (Should they get most votes and first shot at forming the government.)

    Interestingly, they don’t seem to have worked out that they may need the Maori Party to abstain on C&S, or, more probably, what they need to do in the meantime to get that degree of MP support. As Brian Rudman pointed out earlier this week, last weekend they missed their best chance to make up for Bastion Point. Stupid, but not unexpected.

    Steve Withers: I think you’ll find that, of those RTS and undecideds who finish up voting, the voting patterns are usually close to those of the decideds who answer the poll. But not all the time.

    On a small technical point, not weighting the data need not necessarily mean “their chances of getting a rogue poll are that much stronger.” Are you referring to pre-stratification or post hoc weighting, or some combination?

    On weighting, the marketing companies that Phiul refers to are using the data for different purposes than political polling – often to gauge tastes or the impact of campaigns in a particular demographic segment. I’ve long since overcome my aversion to weighted data, partly because people don’t take into account over-representation of particular groups even if that caveat is carefully made clear at the outset. (Was it in this case?) But it does get a little dodgy when one is using weighted data in multivariate analysis.

  23. re Steve Pierson’s 2.55pm comment on Young’s analysis in the Herald.

    Exactly right, even in respect of the main numbers, never mind the cross-tabulations. Polling is NOT such a precise science that you can say, “Labour has moved down one point to 36.2 per cent but National has also moved down fractionally, by 0.6 to 51.5.”

    That’s just so silly.

  24. Lew 24

    jafapete: Yeah, implicit in my scenario is a false dualism, thanks for your response which brings this to light. Thanks also for your comments about polling (the nominal topic of this thread).

    On further reflection it seems National could be wisest to play a mixed strategy which begins as 1 and moves toward 2 gradually if or when the polls look like 1 is unachievable. National potentially are in the driver’s seat here, as long as they can come up with enough good robust defensible policy to hang their symbolic messages on, before the tipping point.

    Incidentally I think Labour’s best strategy is to take a leaf from National’s book and play a defensive campaign criticising their policy and message, letting government policy speak for itself. Like the Crusaders – play tight, dominate set piece and 50/50 ball, and most importantly: punish mistakes.

    Not that I’m a Crusaders fan, but their style of play gets results.

    L

    Captcha: `greater smart’.

  25. Dave 25

    It can raise its own problems but, apparently, polling companies in New Zealand don?t even do that.?

    This is simply not true. AC-N certainly does, Roy Morgan, as far as I am aware, do too. Not sure about CB.
    Colmar Brunton does, too.It monitors demographics to get an accurate sample

  26. Andrew Bannister 26

    A good post that illustrates a good point. However, I would like to point out a couple of small but important errors.

    1) You say “that is, one in 20 polls will be out from reality” and “One in twenty polls is a rogue poll “. That should really be “that is, one in 20 polls may reasonably be expected to be out from reality” and “One in twenty polls can reasonably be expected to be a rogue poll”. The stated rogueness isn’t a given. It is possible (unlikely, granted) that if you take 20 polls, 19 are out by more than 3% and only one falls within that margin of error.

    2) You say “That’s the Fairfax poll showing a 27% gap. Look how far it falls outside the polls before and since; an obvious rogue”. It is actually a probable rogue.

    Sorry to be a pedant, but I think these important distinctions.

  27. Occasional Observer 27

    It wouldn’t surprise me if Labour pass a law before the election giving the Prime Minister the right to cancel the election result if she thinks it is just a rogue poll.

    Enter a new expression into the Standard’s lexicon: the “rogue election”. When John Key’s National Party thrashes Labour by twenty points, even AFTER Labour has done everything in its legislative power to screw the electoral scrum, the Standard will claim the election as rogue.

  28. Daveo 28

    I thought it was National that was having trouble accepting they lost the last election? Seriously OO, your comments are getting more delusional by the day. Nine years in the cold must be tough.

  29. AncientGeek 29

    There are two types of demographic weighting used, from what I understand. One is to get the right people on the phone, and for them to answer. That is very hard to get a demographic that even approximates the population. A lot of people either don’t have land-line, a lot like me don’t have phone number listings, and a lot of people won’t answer.

    From phone canvassing you always get kinds of distributions shown in the curia poll. A lot older than the electorate, usually more affluent, and much more technophobic (ie don’t use caller id or cellphones). People who answer are usually more credulous as well. Ask any telemarketer – if you can pull them in on the first couple of questions, then they’re a born sucker. The canny ones politely hang up and tell you nothing.

    In other words the sample self selects according to who you can reach and who will answer.

    The next trick is to ‘adjust’ what data you do get to the demographics. That is where it gets tricky. If you have say 400 elderly and say 50 20-30’s. Then you weight down the elderly, and weight up the 50 conservative technophobic suckers with phones you caught in the younger age group. Since they pretty well all came from the equivalent of the North Shore and not from Mangere, you just multiplied a non-representive demographic.

    Of course we’re not counting the fact that a lot people simply haven’t thought about who they’d vote for this far out. They’re likely to say anything to get rid of you, especially when you catch them while they’re watching their favorite soap opera. Try targeting certain groups when Coro Street is running

    The whole procedure sucks on any scientific basis. I find it a indictment on the education system that anyone takes them seriously. But I suppose the media really need to fill their headlines.

    Good post Steve

  30. AncientGeek 30

    I suppose the best way of describing polls is that they are all rogues that get more accurate in the last few weeks as more people are prepared to answer.

    They’re still inaccurate at election day, but a lot less so than 5 months out.

  31. milo 32

    Actually, DPF has it right in reporting his poll of polls. Combining all the polls increases the sample size (reducing the confidence interval), and also allows the sampling biases from different survey methods to balance each other. It’s the best practice method. You can also see it in play in the commentary on the US Presidential Election.

    Also, I’d be careful about the idea of a “rogue”. It sort of implies a mutant ogre escaping from the research company and laying waste the landscape. In fact, “rogue” polls are just polls that are a little less accurate than most. Being more than 3% out doesn’t mean that you are 10% out; chances are you are just 4% out instead.

  32. Lew 33

    Occasional Observer: If it happened, I think you’d be entirely justified in waging armed rebellion against the government.

    If it doesn’t, and it won’t, your only legitimate recourse is to the electoral system, like everyone else.

    But you’re welcome to your paranoid delusions in the mean time.

    L

  33. AncientGeek 34

    milo: It helps with increasing the sample size.

    However it doesn’t help with the underlying selection bias. As far as I’m aware, all public polls in NZ are done using landlines and scripts. There is an inherent bias just in that.

    If different polls used different techniques, then it’d be more interesting.

    You get markedly different results just between phone polling and door canvassing in the same areas. Within an electorate, you get major result differences between areas that are separated only by a few streets. You get quite different results depending on the times you call.

    Since the methodologies of the polls aren’t published, we simply don’t know how much difference there is between the polls. If they were following similar methodologies (as I suspect) then you get more accurate assessments of the same methodological flaws.

    Frankly the most useful information that the polling companies could publish is
    – How many targets did they fail to contact
    – How many people refused to answer

  34. milo 35

    Ancient Greek – I wouldn’t want to suggest averaging across polls
    gets rids of all bias. But it does reduce it.

  35. Ari 36

    AG- there’s a lot of problems with aggregating polls. I agree with you on publishing misses though- they need to be included.

    For example, do you weight the aggregate by the number of people in the poll? The accuracy rating of the poll? Do you include rogue polls that are out by more than the usual accuracy rating?

    That’s even ignoring issues like when you cut off your aggregator- after a certain amount of time goes by, it’s not longer worth including an old poll in an aggregate because the reasons people polled a certain way are outdated and their opinion may have changed.

    A good, rigorous aggregate that had access to the unreleased data from polling companies, and compensated for flaws in their respective methods would be totally awesome. Someone like Davey going through and aggregating by hand strikes me as likely to be just as bad as the polls themselves, as there’s likely to be no weighting.

  36. Jimmy 37

    There’s heaps on US polling & aggregating and whatnot here:

    http://www.electoral-vote.com

    Its all terribly interesting.

  37. The more technical arguments are interesting and I appreciate Andew Bannister’s points on statistical language. I’m aware of the distinctions, just don’t think they’re all that important in the context of a post on a political blog for a general audience.

  38. Ancient Geek,
    You illustrate well (7.06pm yesterday) how weighting works, but your numbers do not do the practice justice. If you have a decent sample size (I wouldn’t trust a national opinion poll with fewer than 1000 respondents), then the variance from the population shouldn’t be that great, and certainly not in the order that you use to illustrate.

    I’ve found that weighting brings the results very close to the population parameters where these are known from censuses and the like.

    We have a well constructed election poll based on good methods, but it was taken mostly *after* the election. It is a postal survey conducted by academics, and called the NZ Election Study. Sadly, FRST stopped funding it before the last election, and it is now run in diminished form. Details at http://www.nzes.org/

    The VUW survey is done on telephone and is pretty crappy — I was a respondent at the last election. It is taken just a few days before the election, which is the main reason why the VUW people are able to claim it is very accurate.

  39. andydoanx 40

    what if in elector list there is name which actually the candidate has passed away?

    is still valid to made substitution?

    Thanks

  40. RedBack 41

    Steve well done on bringing up the pesky margin of error.
    As we all know these polls are comissioned by various media organisations to suit their own front pages. The questions are usually leading and will enable the publication to arrive at the result they were hoping for. I point folks to the Heralds highly intellectual poll question ‘Which politican would frighten children the most on Halloween’ While some polls may carry some truth they should never be used as the be all and end all of predicting an election result. As an analyst myself I can gaurentee you that the hang up rate pollsters encounter is roughly 90- 95%. This means you are often left trying to collate results with the shall we say socially angry. Most of whom have an ultra conservative axe to grind and would think their opinion really matters when confronted with a question offered such as the Heralds pointless character assesment polls. The danger is when these polls are paraded as a rock solid prediction with no margin of error published or more importantly undecided.

Links to post

Recent Comments

Recent Posts

  • Quarantine-free travel with Australia to remain suspended for a further 8 weeks
    Suspension to be reviewed again mid to late November Decision brought forward to enable access from Australia to first tranche of around 3000 rooms in MIQ Air New Zealand working at pace to put on more flights from Australia from October    The suspension of quarantine-free travel (QFT) with Australia has ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 day ago
  • Extra support for Ethnic Communities to share vaccination information
    Extra support is being made available to Ethnic Communities to help them share COVID-19 vaccination information within their communities, Minister for Diversity, Inclusion and Ethnic Communities Priyanca Radhakrishnan said. “We know we need to get every eligible person in New Zealand vaccinated. A fund being launched today will allow for ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 day ago
  • School holidays remain unchanged for Auckland region
    School holidays in Auckland will continue to be held at the same time as the rest of the country, starting from Saturday, 2 October, Education Minister Chris Hipkins said today. “I’ve carefully considered advice on the implications of shifting the dates and concluded that on balance, maintaining the status quo ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 day ago
  • Government continues crackdown on gangs and organised crime
    Operation Tauwhiro extended until March 2022 Since it was launched in February, Operation Tauwhiro has resulted in:   987 firearms seized $4.99 million in cash seized 865 people charged with a firearms-related offence Gangs and organised crime groups will continue to be relentlessly targeted with the extension of Police’s successful ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 day ago
  • Speech to Body Positive 'HIV Treatments Update Seminar 2021'
    E ngā mana E ngā reo E ngā iwi Tēnā koutou katoa Ka huri ki ngā mana whenua o te rohe nei. Tēnā koutou. He mihi hoki ki a tatou kua tau mai nei I raro I te kaupapa o te rā. Nō reira tēnā koutou katoa Acknowledgements It’s a ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 day ago
  • NZ economy’s strong momentum will support rebound from Delta outbreak; COVID fund replenished
    The economy showed strong momentum in the period leading up to the recent Delta COVID-19 outbreak, which bodes well for a solid economic rebound, Grant Robertson said. GDP rose 2.8 percent in the June quarter, following on from a 1.4 percent increase in the previous March quarter. This was a ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago
  • Projects create benefits into the future
    Making a well-known lake swimmable and helping to halt the decline of the endangered hoiho/yellow-eyed penguins are among a suite of new projects being supported by the Government’s Jobs for Nature programme across the southern South Island, Conservation Minister Kiri Allan says. “It’s no secret that many of our most ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago
  • Opening statement for Whāriki Indigenous Small Business Roundtable
      Kei ngā tōpito e wha o te āo e rere ana te mihi maioha ki a koutou nō tawhiti, nō tata mai e tāpiri ana ki tēnei taumata kōrero mo te ao hokohoko arā mā ngā pākihi mo ngā iwi taketake Tēnā koutou, tēnā koutou katoa – Pai Mārire.  ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • New members appointed to Kāpuia
    The Government is adding four additional members to Kāpuia, the Ministerial Advisory Group on the Government’s Response to the Royal Commission of Inquiry into the terrorist attack on Christchurch mosques. “I’m looking forward to having Pamela MacNeill, Huia Bramley, Melani Anae and Katherine Dedo  join Kāpuia and contribute to this group’s ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • Timeline confirmed for Emissions Reductions Plan
    Cabinet has agreed to begin consulting on the Emissions Reduction Plan in early October and require that the final plan be released by the end of May next year in line with the 2022 Budget, the Minister of Climate Change, James Shaw confirmed today. “Cabinet’s decision allows organisations and communities ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • Pay parity pathway for early learning teachers confirmed
    Pay parity conditions and higher funding rates for education and care services will come into force on 1 January, 2022, Minister of Education Chris Hipkins confirmed today. The Government signalled this work in Budget 2021. “From 1 January, 2022, centres opting into the scheme will receive government funding and be ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • Speech to the New Zealand Nurses Organisation Conference 2021
    Kia Ora tatau katoa.   Ka tuku mihi ki nga nēhi, He pou Hauora o Aotearoa, E ora ai tatou.   Whakatau mai  I runga i te kaupapa o te ra Te NZNO conference.   Tena koutou tena koutou Tena tatou katoa   Good morning, and thank you inviting me ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • Government investment in farmer-led catchment groups sweeps past 150 mark
    171 catchment groups have now been invested in by the Government 31 catchment groups in the Lower North Island are receiving new support More than 5,000 farmers are focussed on restoring freshwater within a generation through involvement in catchment groups  Government investment in on-the-ground efforts by farmers to improve land ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • Fight to protect kauri on track
    The Government is pitching in to help vital work to protect nationally significant kauri forests in Auckland, Minister of Conservation Kiri Allan says. “Ensuring the survival of these iconic trees for future generations means doing everything we can to prevent the potential spread of kauri dieback disease,” Kiri Allan said. ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • Joint statement of Mr Bernard Monk; Hon Andrew Little, Minister Responsible for Pike River Re-entry,...
    [Note: The Parties have agreed on terms to fully and finally settle the proceeding and will jointly issue the below statement.] At the heart of this litigation are the lives of the 29 men tragically lost at the Pike River mine on 19 November 2010 and to whom we pay ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • More financial support for businesses
    Today’s decision to keep Auckland in a higher COVID Alert Level triggers a third round of the Wage Subsidy Scheme which will open for applications at 9am this Friday. “The revenue test period for this payment will be the 14th to the 27th of September. A reminder that this is ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    5 days ago
  • Aotearoa New Zealand provides further humanitarian support for Afghanistan
    Aotearoa New Zealand is providing a further $3 million in humanitarian assistance in Afghanistan, Foreign Minister Nanaia Mahuta announced today.  “There is significant humanitarian need in Afghanistan, with the crisis disproportionately affecting women and girls,” said Nanaia Mahuta. The UN has estimated that 80% of the quarter of a million ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    5 days ago
  • Innovative te reo prediction tool announced in Te Wiki o Te Reo Māori
    A new Māori language prediction tool will play a key role in tracking our te reo Māori revitalisation efforts, Minister for Māori Development Willie Jackson announced today. He Ara Poutama mō te reo Māori (He Ara Poutama) can forecast the number of conversational and fluent speakers of te reo Māori ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    5 days ago
  • Further Government support for people to access food and essential items
    The Government is responding to need for support in Auckland and has committed a further $10 million to help people access ongoing food and other essential items, Minister for Social Development Carmel Sepuloni announced today. This latest tranche is targeted at the Auckland region, helping providers and organisations to distribute ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    5 days ago
  • Half a million Pfizer vaccines from Denmark
    The Government has secured an extra half a million doses of Pfizer COVID-19 vaccines from Denmark that will start arriving in New Zealand within days, Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern announced today. “This is the second and larger agreement the Government has entered into to purchase additional vaccines to meet the ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    6 days ago
  • Inland Revenue providing essential COVID support for businesses
    Inland Revenue is seeing increased demand for Resurgence Support Payments and other assistance schemes that it administers, but is processing applications quickly, Revenue Minister David Parker said today. David Parker said the Resurgence Support Payment, the Small Business Cashflow (loan) Scheme and the Wage Subsidy are available at the same ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • New Zealand marks 20th anniversary of 9/11 attacks
    New Zealand is expressing unity with all victims, families and loved ones affected by the September 11 2001 terrorist attacks, and all terrorist attacks around the world since, including in New Zealand. “Saturday marks twenty years since the 9/11 terrorist attacks in the United States, which killed nearly 3,000 people ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Speech to SPREP Environment Ministers
    Talofa Honourable Ulu of Tokelau Faipule Kelihiano Kalolo Tēnā koutou katoa and warm Pacific greetings from Aotearoa to your excellencies, ladies and gentlemen. The new science released by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change on 8 August paints an alarming picture of the projected impacts of climate change on the ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Additional Resurgence Support Payments to support business
    Businesses affected by higher Alert Levels will be able to apply for further Resurgence Support Payments (RSP). “The Government’s RSP was initially intended as a one-off payment to help businesses with their fixed costs, such as rent. Ministers have agreed to provide additional payments to recognise the effects of an ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • More Dawn Raids scholarships announced
    Details of the ‘Manaaki New Zealand Short Term Training Scholarships’, a goodwill gesture that follows the Government’s apology for the Dawn Raids of the 1970s, were released today by Pacific Peoples Minister Aupito William Sio. “These scholarships that are targeted to the Pacific will support the kaupapa of the Dawn Raids’ ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • One-way quarantine-free travel for RSE workers starting in October
      One-way quarantine-free travel for Recognised Seasonal Employer (RSE) workers from Samoa, Tonga and Vanuatu starts in October New requirement for RSE workers to have received their first vaccination pre-departure, undertake Day 0 and Day 5 tests, and complete a self-isolation period of seven days, pending a negative Day 5 ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Govt boosts Pacific suicide prevention support
    Applications have opened for the Pacific Suicide Prevention Community Fund as the Government acts to boost support amid the COVID delta outbreak. “We know strong and connected families and communities are the most important protective factor against suicide and this $900,000 fund will help to support this work,” Health Minister ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Govt parks the expiry of licenses, WoFs and regos
    As a result of the Delta outbreak, driver licences, Warrants of Fitness (WoFs), Certificates of Fitness (CoFs), vehicle licences (‘regos’) and licence endorsements that expired on or after 21 July 2021 will be valid until 30 November 2021, Transport Minister Michael Wood has announced today. “While this extension won’t officially ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • COVID-19 community fund to provide support for vulnerable women and girls
    Minister for Women Jan Tinetti today announced a $2 million community fund that will provide support for women and girls adversely affected by COVID-19. “We know that women, particularly those who are already vulnerable, are disproportionally affected by the kind of economic disruption caused by COVID-19,” Jan Tinetti said. ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Next phase of support for Fiji’s COVID-19 response announced
    A further NZ$12 million of support for Fiji’s COVID-19 response has been announced by Foreign Minister Hon Nanaia Mahuta today. The package builds on previous tranches of assistance Aotearoa New Zealand has provided to Fiji, totalling over NZ$50 million. “Fiji remains in a very challenging position in their response to ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Robotic asparagus harvester aimed at addressing industry challenges
    The Government is backing a $5 million project to develop a commercial-scale autonomous robotic asparagus harvester, Agriculture Minister Damien O’Connor announced today. The Sustainable Food and Fibre Futures fund (SFF Futures) is contributing $2.6 million to the project. Project partner Robotics Plus Limited (RPL) will build on a prototype asparagus ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Additional Pfizer vaccines to arrive tomorrow
    More than a quarter of a million additional doses of the Pfizer vaccine are on their way from Spain to New Zealand, Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern announced today. The additional doses will arrive in Auckland on Friday morning to help meet the current surge in demand for vaccination. “It’s been ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Young people to have their voices heard in Youth Parliament 2022
    The dates and details for Youth Parliament 2022 have been announced today by Minister for Youth Priyanca Radhakrishnan, and the Speaker of the House of Representatives. Youth Parliament is an opportunity for 141 young people from across Aotearoa New Zealand to experience the political process and learn how government works. ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Boosting support for tertiary students affected by COVID-19
    Students facing a hard time as a result of COVID-19 restrictions will continue to be supported,” Education Minister Chris Hipkins confirmed today. The Government is putting a further $20 million into the Hardship Fund for Learners, which will help around 15,000 students to stay connected to their studies and learning. ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • COVID-19: Immediate relief available for Māori and iwi organisations
    The Government has reprioritised up to $5 million to provide immediate relief to vulnerable whānau Māori and communities during the current COVID-19 outbreak Minister for Māori Development Willie Jackson announced today. The COVID-19 2021 Whānau Recovery Fund will support community-driven, local responses to gaps in access and provision of critical ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • New beef genetics programme to deliver cows with smaller environmental hoof-print
    The Government is backing a genetics programme to lower the beef sector’s greenhouse gas emissions by delivering cows with a smaller environmental hoof-print, Agriculture Minister Damien O’Connor announced today. Informing New Zealand Beef is a seven-year partnership with Beef + Lamb New Zealand that is expected to result in more ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 weeks ago
  • Appointments to the New Zealand Qualifications Authority
    Education Minister Chris Hipkins today announced new appointments to the board of the New Zealand Qualifications Authority (NZQA). Former Associate Minister of Education, Hon Tracey Martin, has been appointed as the new Chair for NZQA, replacing the outgoing Acting and Deputy Chair Professor Neil Quigley after an 11-year tenure on ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 weeks ago
  • Govt supports residential house building by allowing manufacture of building supplies
    The Government has agreed to allow some building product manufacturing to take place in Auckland during Covid lockdown to support continued residential construction activity across New Zealand. “There are supply chain issues that arise from Alert Level 4 as building products that are manufactured domestically are mostly manufactured in Auckland. ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 weeks ago
  • Government invests in scientific research to boost economy, address climate change and enhance wellb...
    Research, Science and Innovation Minister Hon Dr Megan Woods has today announced the recipients of this year’s Endeavour Fund to help tackle the big issues that New Zealanders care about, like boosting economic performance, climate change, transport infrastructure and wellbeing. In total, 69 new scientific research projects were awarded over ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 weeks ago
  • Transport to drive economic recovery
    The Government is investing a record amount in transport services and infrastructure to get New Zealand moving, reduce emissions and support the economic recovery, Transport Minister Michael Wood announced today. The 2021-24 National Land Transport Programme (NLTP) was released today which outlines the planned investments Waka Kotahi NZ Transport Agency ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 weeks ago