With the apparent demise of a US led world Western alliance, 5 Eyes may soon become 4 Eyes–UK, Canada, Australia, NZ. Will the NSA turn off the tap from their end…some pundits think so, but the yanks do get intel in the other direction too so if they are willing to forgo that then it really is a change in world order.
It would be nice to see Aotearoa NZ leave 5 Eyes on a principled basis, but if global events cause it, lets take it and move on to an independent status.
The cowboy western analogy is apt for a description of Trump's posing as a sheriff- only in the movies, as they say.
The sheriff here is pointing his piece at the wrong man. He confronts him in public backed by his deputies, and after a very one-sided word-slinging shouting match bans him from town…… after welcoming him.
The sheriff knew that the judge would throw out the charges and award damages to the defendant so let him go. The sheriff, thankfully, is not the judge.
What is actually closer to the western analogy is that Putin is the bad guy come to town with his gang and Zelensky is the mayor who dons the sheriff's badge and meets him on the outskirts of town having deputised the local citizens.
Who in this scenario is the store keeper in the next town who wants to set up his business in mayor Zelensky's town in cahoots with the land-hungry crooked rancher Putin?
Is Trump the whining old town cur, limping along the sidewalk baring his teeth and slinking off down the alley by the newspaper office when the shouting begins, to bark in the shadows at a stray fox?
Were this story set rather in the town saloon, the lead story summary in the Judgment City Times might read, "Shout-out at the White House. President plays his cards. Trumped by an arms-folded guest player who kept his aces hidden, he refuses to deal another hand. Instead, he takes the pot and trespasses his former partner. Cigars all round."
The pot is the prize, the raison d’être, the assurance you are a winner after all, the narcotic self-dealt and all consuming, won in the illusory smoke of a cheap joint.
When the gun-smoke clears, in the aftermath of the shooting, who takes the pot?
Who always wins? The bank, the barman and the undertaker….
In these sentiments, Sir, I agree to this Constitution with all its faults, if they are such; because I think a general Government necessary for us, and there is no form of Government but what may be a blessing to the people if well administered, and believe farther that this is likely to be well administered for a course of years, and can only end in Despotism, as other forms have done before it, when the people shall become so corrupted as to need despotic Government, being incapable of any other.
Norwegian fuel company Haltbakk Bunkers has announced it will cease supplying fuel to U.S. military forces in Norway and American ships docking in Norwegian ports, citing dissatisfaction with recent U.S. policy towards Ukraine.
In a strongly worded statement, the company criticised a televised event involving U.S. President Donald Trump and Vice President J.D. Vance, referring to it as the “biggest shitshow ever presented live on TV.” Haltbakk Bunkers praised Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky for his restraint, accusing the U.S. of “putting on a backstabbing TV show” and declaring that the spectacle “made us sick.”
As a result, the company stated: “We have decided to immediately STOP as fuel provider to American forces in Norway and their ships calling Norwegian ports. No Fuel to Americans!” Haltbakk Bunkers also urged Norwegians and Europeans to follow their lead, concluding their statement with the slogan “Slava Ukraina” in support of Ukraine.
Funny how the 'massive wealth' in rare earths under Ukraine has never been brought up before. This explains why this 'mineral wealth' popped up out of thin air – it's just a geological maybe, a political sideshow to the whole Ukraine clusterf**k.
"But Trump might end up getting less than he bargained for. Estimates of Ukraine’s supposed mineral wealth are based on outdated Soviet-era surveys that didn’t take into account the viability or cost of developing them"
Senator Gramm (Graham of S Carolina) told Trump about them a few weeks ago, and said Trump had no knowledge of this. One reason he was a sack full of snakes when no deal was signed after the meeting.
China dominates in rare earth minerals (important in modern technology), it has the largest of any nation and has more investments in this area worldwide than anyone else.
Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) can be used which paints a different picture about economy size. List of countries by GDP (PPP) has Canada less than half Russia.
"Purchasing power parity (PPP) is a popular macroeconomic analysis metric used to compare economic productivity and standards of living between countries.
PPP involves an economic theory that compares different countries' currencies through a "basket of goods" approach. That is, PPP is the exchange rate at which one nation's currency would be converted into another to purchase the same and same amounts of a large group of products"
The Visual Capitalist site has ranked countries by the value of all their natural resources. Not just rare earths. Everyone knows that China is light years ahead of everyone else in the rare metal area.
Russia leads the pack with natural resources valued at $75 trillion, largely consisting of coal, natural gas, oil, and rare earth metals.
A petro-gangster state with nukes.
According to Investopedia Russia has the 11th largest economy in the world, GDP – $1.48 trillion, and represents 1.31 percent of the world’s economy. It’s GDP per capita is $10,126.
The US has a GDP of $20.89 trillion, around 14 times the size of Russia’s and GDP per capita is $63,413.
Three U.S. states have larger GDPs than Russia. California – $3.1 trillion, twice that of Russia, Texas -$1.78 trillion and New York $1.7 trillion.
The EU, combined GDP is about $15.28 trillion, and the US represent more than 40 percent of the world GDP.
And like the Stalin era industrialisation of Russia, exploiting natural resources will again need western investment and expertise.
Most of these minerals span Luhansk, Donetsk, Zaporzhizhia, Dnipropetrovsk, Korovohrad, Poltava and Kharkiv.
Russia, which controls approximately 20 percent of Ukraine, including large parts of Luhansk, Donetsk and Zaporizhia, is sitting on about 40 percent of Ukraine’s metal resources according to estimates by Ukrainian think tanks We Build Ukraine and the National Institute of Strategic Studies, reports the Reuters news agency.
Ukraine has said that a significant portion of its rare earth elements are located in the Donetsk and Luhansk regions. The Shevchenko Field of Lithium Ores, one of Ukraine’s biggest lithium deposits, is located in a rural settlement in Donetsk.
In recent months, I have garnered copious amusement playing Martin, chess.com’s infamously terrible Chess AI. Alas, it is not how it once was, when he would cheerfully ignore freely offered material. Martin has grown better since I first stumbled upon him. I still remain frustrated at his capture-happy determination to ...
Every time that I see ya,A lightning bolt fills the room,The underbelly of Paris,She sings her favourite tune,She'll drink you under the table,She'll show you a trick or two,But every time that I left her,I missed the things she would doSongwriters: Kelly JonesThis morning, I posted - Are you excited ...
Long stories shortest this week in our political economy:Standard & Poor’s judged the Government’s council finance reforms a failure. Professional investors showed the Government they want it to borrow more, not less. GDP bounced out of recession by more than forecast in the December quarter, but data for the ...
Each day at 4:30 my brother calls in at the rest home to see Dad. My visits can be months apart. Five minutes after you've left, he’ll have forgotten you were there, but every time, his face lights up and it’s a warm happy visit.Tim takes care of almost everything ...
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ACT up the game on division politicsEmmerson’s take on David Seymour’s claim Jesus would have supported ACTACT’s announcement it is moving into local politics is a logical next step for a party that is waging its battle on picking up the aggrieved.It’s a numbers game, and as long as the ...
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Political fighting in Taiwan is delaying some of an increase in defence spending and creating an appearance of lack of national resolve that can only damage the island’s relationship with the Trump administration. The main ...
The unclassified version of the 2024 Independent Intelligence Review (IIR) was released today. It’s a welcome and worthy sequel to its 2017 predecessor, with an ambitious set of recommendations for enhancements to Australia’s national intelligence ...
Yesterday outgoing Ombudsman Peter Boshier published a report, Reflections on the Official Information Act, on his way out the door. The report repeated his favoured mantra that the Act was "fundamentally sound", all problems were issues of culture, and that no legislative change was needed (and especially no changes to ...
The United States government is considering replacing USAID with a new agency, the US Agency for International Humanitarian Assistance (USIHA), according to documents published by POLITICO. Under the proposed design, the agency will fail its ...
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As space becomes more contested, Australia should play a key role with its partners in the Combined Space Operations (CSpO) initiative to safeguard the space domain. Australia, Britain, Canada and the United States signed the ...
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The PSA are calling the Prime Minister a hypocrite for committing to increase defence spending while hundreds of more civilian New Zealand Defence Force jobs are set to be cut as part of a major restructure. The number of companies being investigated for people trafficking in New Zealand has skyrocketed ...
Another Friday, hope everyone’s enjoyed their week as we head toward the autumn equinox. Here’s another roundup of stories that caught our eye on the subject of cities and what makes them even better. This week in Greater Auckland On Monday, Connor took a look at how Auckland ...
The podcast above of the weekly ‘Hoon’ webinar for paying subscribers on Thursday night features co-hosts & talking with special guest author Michael Wolff, who has just published his fourth book about Donald Trump: ‘All or Nothing’.Here’s Peter’s writeup of the interview.The Kākā by Bernard Hickey Hoon: Trumpism ...
Wolff, who describes Trump as truly a ‘one of a kind’, at a book launch in Spain. Photo: GettyImagesIt may be a bumpy ride for the world but the era of Donald J. Trump will die with him if we can wait him out says the author of four best-sellers ...
Australia needs to radically reorganise its reserves system to create a latent military force that is much larger, better trained and equipped and deployable within days—not decades. Our current reserve system is not fit for ...
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I have argued before that one ought to be careful in retrospectively allocating texts into genres. Mary Shelley’s Frankenstein (1818) only looks like science-fiction because a science-fiction genre subsequently developed. Without H.G. Wells, would Frankenstein be considered science-fiction? No, it probably wouldn’t. Viewed in the context of its time, Frankenstein ...
Elbridge Colby’s senate confirmation hearing in early March holds more important implications for US partners than most observers in Canberra, Wellington or Suva realise. As President Donald Trump’s nominee for under secretary of defence for ...
China’s defence budget is rising heftily yet again. The 2025 rise will be 7.2 percent, the same as in 2024, the government said on 5 March. But the allocation, officially US$245 billion, is just the ...
Concern is growing about wide-ranging local repercussions of the new Setting of Speed Limits rule, rewritten in 2024 by former transport minister Simeon Brown. In particular, there’s growing fears about what this means for children in particular. A key paradox of the new rule is that NZTA-controlled roads have the ...
Speilmeister:Christopher Luxon’s prime-ministerial pitches notwithstanding, are institutions with billions of dollars at their disposal really going to invest them in a country so obviously in a deep funk?HAVING WOOED THE WORLD’s investors, what, if anything, has New Zealand won? Did Christopher Luxon’s guests board their private jets fizzing with enthusiasm for ...
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Figures released by Statistics New Zealand today showed that the economy grew by 0.7% ending the very deep recession seen over the past year, said NZCTU Te Kauae Kaimahi Economist Craig Renney. “Even though GDP grew in the three months to December, our economy is still 1.1% smaller than it ...
What is going on with the price of butter?, RNZ, 19 march 2025: If you have bought butter recently you might have noticed something - it is a lot more expensive. Stats NZ said last week that the price of butter was up 60 percent in February compared to ...
I agree with Will Leben, who wrote in The Strategist about his mistakes, that an important element of being a commentator is being accountable and taking responsibility for things you got wrong. In that spirit, ...
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Two recent foreign challenges suggest that Australia needs urgently to increase its level of defence self-reliance and to ensure that the increased funding that this would require is available. First, the circumnavigation of our continent ...
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Australia, Britain and European countries should loosen budget rules to allow borrowing to fund higher defence spending, a new study by the Kiel Institute suggests. Currently, budget debt rules are forcing governments to finance increases ...
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Police Minister Mark Mitchell is avoiding accountability by refusing to answer key questions in the House as his Government faces criticism over their dangerous citizen’s arrest policy, firearm reform, and broken promises to recruit more police. ...
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Christopher Luxon's trip to India included the restart of trade talks, the tightening of defence ties, and more than a spot of cricket - RNZ's deputy political editor takes us behind the scenes. ...
Six months after Vincent Dix and his son Nikau stumbled across remains of an ocean-voyaging waka while searching for driftwood on their property in Rēkohu/ Chatham Islands, the community is still buzzing over the discoveries.The big question locals want an answer to: where did the waka come, from and who ...
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End of 5 Eyes? this is just speculation…
With the apparent demise of a US led world Western alliance, 5 Eyes may soon become 4 Eyes–UK, Canada, Australia, NZ. Will the NSA turn off the tap from their end…some pundits think so, but the yanks do get intel in the other direction too so if they are willing to forgo that then it really is a change in world order.
It would be nice to see Aotearoa NZ leave 5 Eyes on a principled basis, but if global events cause it, lets take it and move on to an independent status.
Let's hope so.
https://www.gcsb.govt.nz/news/gcsb-to-remove-dishes-and-radomes-at-waihopai-station
"Trump’s national security adviser says Zelensky “has not gotten the memo that this is a new sheriff in town.”"
https://www.stuff.co.nz/world-news/360598851/we-stand-you-uk-pm-tells-zelensky-ahead-crunch-defence-summit-london
The cowboy western analogy is apt for a description of Trump's posing as a sheriff- only in the movies, as they say.
The sheriff here is pointing his piece at the wrong man. He confronts him in public backed by his deputies, and after a very one-sided word-slinging shouting match bans him from town…… after welcoming him.
The sheriff knew that the judge would throw out the charges and award damages to the defendant so let him go. The sheriff, thankfully, is not the judge.
What is actually closer to the western analogy is that Putin is the bad guy come to town with his gang and Zelensky is the mayor who dons the sheriff's badge and meets him on the outskirts of town having deputised the local citizens.
Who in this scenario is the store keeper in the next town who wants to set up his business in mayor Zelensky's town in cahoots with the land-hungry crooked rancher Putin?
Is Trump the whining old town cur, limping along the sidewalk baring his teeth and slinking off down the alley by the newspaper office when the shouting begins, to bark in the shadows at a stray fox?
Were this story set rather in the town saloon, the lead story summary in the Judgment City Times might read, "Shout-out at the White House. President plays his cards. Trumped by an arms-folded guest player who kept his aces hidden, he refuses to deal another hand. Instead, he takes the pot and trespasses his former partner. Cigars all round."
..taking his 'pot'…seems a bit unnecessary..?
The pot is the prize, the raison d’être, the assurance you are a winner after all, the narcotic self-dealt and all consuming, won in the illusory smoke of a cheap joint.
When the gun-smoke clears, in the aftermath of the shooting, who takes the pot?
Who always wins? The bank, the barman and the undertaker….
Will Trump Pardon Elizabeth Holmes?
Seems old Ben was right.
Benjamin Franklin to the Federal Convention
17 Sept. 1787
[…]
In these sentiments, Sir, I agree to this Constitution with all its faults, if they are such; because I think a general Government necessary for us, and there is no form of Government but what may be a blessing to the people if well administered, and believe farther that this is likely to be well administered for a course of years, and can only end in Despotism, as other forms have done before it, when the people shall become so corrupted as to need despotic Government, being incapable of any other.
https://press-pubs.uchicago.edu/founders/documents/a7s3.html
British politician/philosophe Rory Stewart claims that, under Trump, the U.S. will "no longer be a force for good"…
https://nitter.poast.org/markcurtis30/status/1895859776913035590#m
Rimmer and co will be all over this.
https://bsky.app/profile/did:plc:j7tdfjsbop2oq7cghfbdwvqq/post/3lizq6fc2nk27?
https://www.bloodinthemachine.com/p/whats-really-behind-elon-musk-and
Good.
.
Norwegian fuel company Haltbakk Bunkers has announced it will cease supplying fuel to U.S. military forces in Norway and American ships docking in Norwegian ports, citing dissatisfaction with recent U.S. policy towards Ukraine.
In a strongly worded statement, the company criticised a televised event involving U.S. President Donald Trump and Vice President J.D. Vance, referring to it as the “biggest shitshow ever presented live on TV.” Haltbakk Bunkers praised Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky for his restraint, accusing the U.S. of “putting on a backstabbing TV show” and declaring that the spectacle “made us sick.”
As a result, the company stated: “We have decided to immediately STOP as fuel provider to American forces in Norway and their ships calling Norwegian ports. No Fuel to Americans!” Haltbakk Bunkers also urged Norwegians and Europeans to follow their lead, concluding their statement with the slogan “Slava Ukraina” in support of Ukraine.
https://ukdefencejournal.org.uk/norwegian-fuel-supplier-refuses-u-s-warships-over-ukraine/
Because it's unclear at whose cities and bases the US will be pointing its floating armaments.
Funny how the 'massive wealth' in rare earths under Ukraine has never been brought up before. This explains why this 'mineral wealth' popped up out of thin air – it's just a geological maybe, a political sideshow to the whole Ukraine clusterf**k.
https://www.politico.eu/article/donald-trump-bad-mineral-deal-ukraine-volodymyr-zelenskyy/
Senator Gramm (Graham of S Carolina) told Trump about them a few weeks ago, and said Trump had no knowledge of this. One reason he was a sack full of snakes when no deal was signed after the meeting.
The unspoken detail, the experts in mining rare earth minerals (under the earth or sea) are the Chinese.
The easiest thing to do would be to send earth over to China and have them extract the minerals.
They're still valuable enough to attract Putin in 2022.
Never listed as one of the reasons for invasion. Not saying it wasn't, but if it was he'd be objecting to the Trump deal.
Putin offered the USA access to rare earth minerals under Russia and occupied Ukraine.
One of the reasons why the hegemonic US spent 3yrs and a lot of money on a proxy war. To weaken Russia, and encourage regime change.
It's always about resources, money and power. Never freedom and democracy, I've been watching them in action for 70 years.
https://www.visualcapitalist.com/ranked-top-10-countries-by-value-of-all-their-natural-resources/
Russia leads the pack with natural resources valued at $75 trillion, largely consisting of coal, natural gas, oil, and rare earth metals.
FACT CHECK.
Russia invaded Ukraine.
It's economy is smaller than that of Canada.
China dominates in rare earth minerals (important in modern technology), it has the largest of any nation and has more investments in this area worldwide than anyone else.
I said that. (4:40pm)
Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) can be used which paints a different picture about economy size. List of countries by GDP (PPP) has Canada less than half Russia.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_GDP_(PPP)
From Investopedia:
"Purchasing power parity (PPP) is a popular macroeconomic analysis metric used to compare economic productivity and standards of living between countries.
PPP involves an economic theory that compares different countries' currencies through a "basket of goods" approach. That is, PPP is the exchange rate at which one nation's currency would be converted into another to purchase the same and same amounts of a large group of products"
The Visual Capitalist site has ranked countries by the value of all their natural resources. Not just rare earths. Everyone knows that China is light years ahead of everyone else in the rare metal area.
A petro-gangster state with nukes.
According to Investopedia Russia has the 11th largest economy in the world, GDP – $1.48 trillion, and represents 1.31 percent of the world’s economy. It’s GDP per capita is $10,126.
The US has a GDP of $20.89 trillion, around 14 times the size of Russia’s and GDP per capita is $63,413.
Three U.S. states have larger GDPs than Russia. California – $3.1 trillion, twice that of Russia, Texas -$1.78 trillion and New York $1.7 trillion.
The EU, combined GDP is about $15.28 trillion, and the US represent more than 40 percent of the world GDP.
And like the Stalin era industrialisation of Russia, exploiting natural resources will again need western investment and expertise.
/
For context the world burns roughly US$3 trillion worth of oil every year.
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2025/2/28/mapping-ukraines-rare-earth-and-critical-minerals
https://www.mining.com/op-ed-unpacking-ukraines-trillion-dollar-rare-earths-myth/
I laughed reading your link Francesca.
The link mentions Afghanistan – the issue then and now is security.
https://www.wilsoncenter.org/blog-post/mining-influence-chinas-mineral-ambitions-taliban-led-afghanistan
I thought the more informed consensus was that there is fuck all rare earth in Ukraine.It was Zelensky's attempt to lure Trump in
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2025/02/24/ukraine-rare-earths-do-not-exist/
The Liberals are back in the race in Canada and Labour (albeit with others) would be re-elected in the UK. The Trump effect.
https://bsky.app/profile/vuinotvooey.bsky.social/post/3ljebac5q5k2h
Reform goes from 5 seats now to 175 in that poll. That is a worry.
If that poll held Starmer would be beholden to the SNP which would push him leftwards and have many other implications.