yep nice frost in Mohua too. I’m loving the mountains with their snow on – making me be in the moment and also be mindful and also appreciative of the beauty. Hmm – might get into a cascade of appreciation…
What dickheads the fur councll are .The govnments idea of killing all the possoms is a good one !! Bit like federated farmers saying they going to make a killing while the goings good then they all gonna become vegans ..victims of doc propaganda i guess .
Looking out of the window at the quince in my garden,
a sparrow lands on one of the tree’s rimed branches in a puff of fine ice crystals. The sky is blue, the air perfectly still, the sun is up but the temperature is sitting unmoved, on frigid!
The conventions are over and the general election has officially begun. In the primaries, I received 1,846 pledged delegates, 46% of the total. Hillary Clinton received 2,205 pledged delegates, 54%. She received 602 superdelegates. I received 48 superdelegates. Hillary Clinton is the Democratic nominee and I will vigorously support her.
Donald Trump would be a disaster and an embarrassment for our country if he were elected president. His campaign is not based on anything of substance — improving the economy, our education system, healthcare or the environment. It is based on bigotry. He is attempting to win this election by fomenting hatred against Mexicans and Muslims. He has crudely insulted women. And as a leader of the “birther movement,” he tried to undermine the legitimacy of our first African American president. That is not just my point of view. That’s the perspective of a number of conservative Republicans.
In these difficult times, we need a president who will bring our nation together, not someone who will divide us by race or religion, not someone who lacks an understanding of what our Constitution is about.
On virtually every major issue facing this country and the needs of working families, Clinton’s positions are far superior to Trump’s. Our campaigns worked together to produce the most progressive platform in the history of American politics. Trump’s campaign wrote one of the most reactionary documents.
Clinton understands that Citizens United has undermined our democracy. She will nominate justices who are prepared to overturn that Supreme Court decision, which made it possible for billionaires to buy elections. Her court appointees also would protect a woman’s right to choose, workers’ rights, the rights of the LGBT community, the needs of minorities and immigrants and the government’s ability to protect the environment.
Trump, on the other hand, has made it clear that his Supreme Court appointees would preserve the court’s right-wing majority.
Clinton understands that in a competitive global economy we need the best-educated workforce in the world. She and I worked together on a proposal that will revolutionize higher education in America. It will guarantee that the children of any family in this country with an annual income of $125,000 a year or less – 83% of our population – will be able to go to a public college or university tuition free. This proposal also substantially reduces student debt.
Trump, on the other hand, has barely said a word about higher education.
Clinton understands that at a time of massive income and wealth inequality, it is absurd to provide huge tax breaks to the very rich.
Trump, on the other hand, wants billionaire families like his to enjoy hundreds of billions of dollars in new tax breaks.
Clinton understands that climate change is real, is caused by human activity and is one of the great environmental crises facing our planet. She knows that we must transform our energy system away from fossil fuels and move aggressively to energy efficiency and sustainable energy.
Trump, on the other hand, like most Republicans, rejects science and the conclusions of almost all major researchers in the field. He believes that climate change is a “hoax,” and that there’s no need to address it.
Clinton understands that this country must move toward universal healthcare. She wants to see that all Americans have the right to choose a public option in their healthcare exchange, that anyone 55 or older should be able to opt in to Medicare, and that we must greatly improve primary healthcare through a major expansion of community health centers. She also wants to lower the outrageously high cost of prescription drugs.
And what is Donald Trump’s position on healthcare? He wants to abolish the Affordable Care Act, throw 20 million people off the health insurance they currently have and cut Medicaid for lower-income Americans.
During the primaries, my supporters and I began a political revolution to transform America. That revolution continues as Hillary Clinton seeks the White House. It will continue after the election. It will continue until we create a government which represents all of us and not just the 1 percent – a government based on the principle of economic, social, racial and environmental justice.
I understand that many of my supporters are disappointed by the final results of the nominating process, but being despondent and inactive is not going to improve anything. Going forward and continuing the struggle is what matters. And, in that struggle, the most immediate task we face is to defeat Donald Trump.
Is anyone out there gullible enough to think that Hillary will implement Bernie’s policies? It is my bet that any concessions to him will be overridden by her “masters”.
I and others here have no idea what you’re talking about !
Proof that you’re wrong, CV:
(1) Hillary’s a woman
(2) She’s a Democrat and everyone knows the Democrats – particularly the Democratic National Committee elites – are dovish, peace-loving liberals and progressives, committed to swift social justice, international Law and the benevolent selfless nurturing of Third World countries wherever they may be. Surely ?
(3) Hillary’s a woman
(4) Bill was cool when he put on those shades and played the sax.
(5) Hillary’s a woman
(6) Trump’s a nasty bogeyman who attacks Muslims and Mexicans, so Hillary must be OK and will make a mighty fine President.
(7) Hillary is very polite on a personal level and pleasant company to have a cuppa with, so she must advocate a benign foreign policy, focussed on the greater good. To suggest otherwise is pure misogyny !
(8) Hillary’s a woman and (as Sabine has so rightly pointed out) possesses a uterus.
(9) Let’s just forget all that yucky stuff about Iraq and Libya.
actually lets not forget all that yucky stuff about Iraq and Libya and lets mention
Bush the elder
Bush the second
Dick Cheyney
Will Powell
Condoleaza Rice
Donald Rumsfeld
Wolfowitz
Perle
Friedman
Mr Blair
Sarkozy
Howard
and any other of the coalition of the willing and bribed
all the bubbleheads at Fox News, CNN, NBC, ABC, MSNBC NPR and so on and so on that all went like Ohhhhh shock n awe.
all the us american public that needed to kill Sadam cause he insulted Poppy Bush
and then lets mention that Hilary has a uterus and that maybe some women choose to vote for the uterus cause they would like some fake religious republicans out of their uteri so that they don’t have to be incubators every time they would like to enjoy a romp, or because they don’t want to have their uterus fall out after the 19 th birth, or want to die of child birth, or want to have to give birth to a still born cause no medical care is provided.
Ahh just once i would like to be a man and pretend that these issues don’t exist, that women should not consider voting for their best interest.
lets also not mention that there are many in the US that have absolutely no issue with Lybia and Iraq or Afghanistan or Syria, or Iran or or or or and that will only vote on domestic issues.
and then lets all vote for donald trump and sing kumbaya 🙂 cause he is gonna safe the world.
And do wish for Donald Trump to loose 50 pounds, wear better pant suits and maybe even get a decent hair cut. also his hands, so small, no wonder meliana looks so peeved all the time 🙂
and above all lets not speak of the presnit of the last eight years, a geezer called Obama. Who of course did not start the wars in Lybia, Lebanon, Syria, nor did he escalate any situations, nor did he apprehend the evil doer of all Osama bin laden and such….nah t’was all Hilary, since at least the eighties this women has taken all the decision in the US…..twas all her.
Very much immersed in the highly sanitised abstractions of the Washington Consensus, Clinton was the leading proponent in the Obama Administration of the hawkish doctrine of “liberal interventionism” and “humanitarian war” promoted by Susan Rice and, in particular, the influential Samantha Power. These three pushed hard for the Libyan debacle and then extended the same rationale to Syria …
Also: A few articles and opinion pieces on Clinton’s Aggressively Hawkish Foreign Policy:
“Hillary Clinton Promises a More Muscular Foreign Policy as President … From Iran to Syria to Ukraine, Clinton wants the US to be more aggressive … While the speech focussed on Iran, Clinton also addressed foreign policy elsewhere, highlighting areas in which she thought Obama was too hesitant to use military might to exert American influence abroad …”
And:
Are GOP Neo-Cons getting ready to ally with Clinton ? “Neocon elites are probably the likeliest faction to defect to Clinton, and what they want is blood-curdling aggressiveness”
… This proposed change of policy by a Clinton administration is all too likely, going by her past record of choosing military solutions to complex problems even when it means fighting more than one war at a time and when the outcome is unclear. As a Senator, she voted for the Iraq war in 2003 and, as Secretary of State in 2011, she was the driving force behind the Nato military intervention in Libya that overthrew Muammar Gaddafi and handed over the country to criminalised warlords. Her opinions normally coincide with those on the hawkish end of the US foreign policy establishment …
Try doing that kind of run through about Obama and see how it plays.
If you want to criticise Clinton, you don’t have to have a go at women voters to do it. Or women’s politics. Roe vs Wade every time leftie dudes, there’s no way round it (except for CV who is anti-abortion anyway).
I’m not anti-abortion. I’m against people like yourself dehumanising viable healthy pregnancies, then acting all caring about the babies four or five months later.
Good to know CV, I had assumed from previous comments that you didn’t support women’s right to choose what do about unplanned pregnancies.
I’d like a link to anything that supports your asserion that I dehumanise viable healthy pregnancies, then acting all caring about the babies four or five months later. Because I think you just made that up.
I’m against people like yourself dehumanising viable healthy pregnancies, then acting all caring about the babies four or five months later.
Let’s assume that this isn’t an oversimplification of a conglomeration of several complex issues dealing with humanity, agency, and so on. Why are you against that? Do you not see any difference between a fertilised egg and a baby that’s just beginning its path to get a personality?
“Try doing that kind of run through about Obama and see how it plays”
Ok, let’s try it:
(1) Barak’s Black
That’s actually pretty much my point. Back in 2008, more than a few liberals and progressives were blind to Obama’s Establishment DNC credentials. Some of the more astute Left-leaning commentators in the US had been pretty sceptical about his capacity for real change right from the early stages of his Primary campaign. And certainly the moment he did his 2008 pre-Convention deal with the Clintons – all hope flew swiftly out the window.
But, of course, he was going to be the first ever Black President !!!, just as Hillary may be the first ever Female President – so everything’s OK.
For a certain type of affluent white liberal luvvie Democrat, electing a Black man to Office was the height of their progressive ambition … and they’ve been loudly congratulating themselves ever since. And It’ll be the same with Hillary.
As Counterpunch recently put it:
Part of what made the deeply conservative Barack Obama attractive to the U.S. corporate and imperial establishment during the long run up to the 2008 presidential election was the American power elite’s reasonable, born-out expectation that Obama’s skin color and status as a First Black President (FBP) would help make progressives, leftists, and serious liberals reluctant to forthrightly protest his coming service to the nation’s unelected and interrelated dictatorships of money, class, empire, and (curiously and stealthily enough) white privilege.
Smart power brokers calculated correctly that political correctness around race – and the related fear of being considered racist because one dared to criticize a FBP – would help keep the left in check on Obama’s corporatist, Wall Street-pleasing, and imperial policies.
With Hillary Clinton in the White House, … we’ll have some of the same problem around gender. Numerous progressives, liberals, and even leftists will be unduly reluctant to criticize an arch-militarist, super-corporatist Clinton White House because of Hillary’s status (should she win) as a First Female President (FFP).
You see, at least half (probably more) of the “collateral damage” in wars started by Hillary (in order to cement her reputation in the history books as a tough-as-nails Pres) will possess a uterus. But, of course, they’re not affluent white American women, so what do they matter ?
Nevertheless, women have legitimate reasons to vote for Clinton without that being reduced to sarcastic ‘Hillary’s a woman’ comments. It’s patronising as fuck. As I said, it’s pretty easy to critique Clinton without doing that. Hell, it’s pretty easy to critique voting for Clinton without doing that.
“Ok, let’s try it:” [Obama]
How about you try it again, this time with the full patronising effect?
“But, of course, he was going to be the first ever Black President !!!, just as Hillary may be the first ever Female President – so everything’s OK.”
Who said everything’s ok?
“But, of course, they’re not affluent white American women, so what do they matter ?”
Specious argument unless you are suggesting they either don’t vote for vote for Trump (I don’t buy the Trump will blow up less foreign women argument). But beyond that, let’s break this down a bit. If Trump wins and appoints an anti-abortion judge and that leads to rollbacks on abortion law, we’re not just talking about affluent white women. We’re talking disproportionately about poor women and non-white women. Who end up further in poverty or risking their bodies and lives. Not to mention what then happens to those kids that are born, and on and on it goes.
And if Trump wins that battle it won’t end there. Roe vs Wade holds the line on a whole culture’s worth of safety for women. So when I hear left wing men making the argument against Clinton voters because of the lives of women in other countries, it just sounds a tad too convenient. Like women in the US should just suck it up because leftie men know what’s best for them and if they were real feminists and really cared about women they would be voting to protect women everywhere and stop being so selfish. Which of course is a complete and utter nonense, because Trump.
If I was seeing some decent analysis of the issues for women and why they might be voting Clinton it might be different. But I’m not, I’m hearing the same old class trumps gender tropes and women should wait their turn. Class is a significant issue and it won’t be solved by hierarchising it.
What’s “patronising as fuck” is assuming Hillary somehow automatically deserves the votes of women.
40% to 45% of College educated women do not back Hillary.
Good on them for their independent thinking, ability to see Hillary for the crappy kind of two faced woman she really is, and their smart discounting of liberal scaremongering about this election.
just making a point that 40% to 45% of College educated women think that if the choice they are given is Hillary Clinton, then they’d prefer that women wait another turn for the Oval Office.
“If you want to criticise Clinton, you don’t have to have a go at women voters to do it.”
No. I was gently chiding the handful of posters here who seem unable to articulate precisely why (against all the accumulated evidence) they think Pres Hillary will be a force for good in foreign policy.
“I was gently chiding the handful of posters here who seem unable to articulate precisely why (against all the accumulated evidence) they think Pres Hillary will be a force for good in foreign policy.”
Who is that? And what does it have to do with her gender?
See some of my links (in my reply to Sabine above) on Clinton’s Aggressively Hawkish Foreign Policy.
When challenged on this, one or two posters here (can’t be bothered tracking them down at this late hour) either downplay her uber-militaristic proclivities in a mubbley-incoherent sort of way or (more often) go deadly quiet and change the subject to Trump.
So, in my tongue-in-cheek reply – let me just repeat that for you because it’s something you may not be familiar with: tongue-in-cheek reply – to CV’s point about Clinton being, in effect, a neocon, … I tried to envisage how some of those same posters might deal with his critique based on their defence of Hillary over recent weeks. One aspect of which appears to be that she possesses a uterus.
That, and his team of economic advisors – five Steves, vulture capitalists and supply-side loons.
So the Trump economic plan and advisors are just the same "tax cuts for the rich and deregulation for big business" Calvin Coolidge fans…— Joy Reid (@JoyAnnReid) August 6, 2016
Just listened to the Carls Jr. CEO/Trump adviser on @CNN. No to minimum wage hikes, all the Larry Kudlow 1% tax cuts/supply side stuff…— Joy Reid (@JoyAnnReid) August 6, 2016
And yet, Wall St gives over 95% of its donations to Hillary Clinton and the White House under Obama (and Bush) staffed key positions with former (and future) JP Morgan Goldman Sachs types.
There isn’t 5ppm difference between Trump and Clinton. And Clinton will say anything which is the flavour of the day. In the end, for Hillary, whoever donates enough to the Clinton foundation is what matters, as time has already proven.
“Afshin Rattansi goes underground with Julian Assange. We talk to the founder of Wikileaks about how the recent DNC leaks have no connection to Russia. Plus what are Hillary Clinton’s connections to Islamic State, Saudi Arabia and Russia?”
…”“The US government at the times when Hillary Clinton was in charge of the foreign policy did use Libya as a conduit to get arms to jihadists in Syria. That is well-established not just by a range of raw materials but also by … investigative reporters in the US, some of which were even published in The New York Times.”
“La Farge, which is … giant transnational concrete company was involved in Syria. There are more than 350 La Farge related emails in our Syria emails release. The investigations by Le Monde reveals that they paid ISIS money, taxes for their operations in certain areas, were engaged in a variety of business deals with ISIS.”
“Money from La Farge in 2015 and 2016 went to Hillary Clinton foundation. There is actually a long-term relationship between La Farge and Clinton; she was a member of the board.”
“There is also an extensive relationship between Hillary Clinton and Saudi Arabia , between the Clinton Foundation and Saudi Arabia. Saudi Arabia is probably the largest single donor to the Clinton Foundation and you can see Clinton’s arms export policies when she was a secretary of state favoring extensively Saudi Arabia.”…
Read somewhere yesterday that the McCulley/sheep report by the Auditor General was complete and/but the lawyers have had it for a while. I guess the lawyers are scrambling to get McCulley off the hook and thus Key protected.
It is said that the report release is imminent. (Got all that from Twitter I think, and Hooton has a paywalled article about it.)
Mentioned by Fran O’Sullivan on Q&A this morning. They were discussing OIA’s and some of the current problems being encountered. She mentioned that press gallery editors will already have some information re-the Saudi report and will be meeting to decide how to handle it – or something along those lines. I didn’t like the sound of it. The public might only end up with a ‘revised’ version of the report?
I recommend listening to the panel discussion when it comes online. That is, if you don’t mind putting up with Josie Pagani as well.
Yes Anne. I fear that “they” might disinfect the report in the name of National Security or something. We will see soon I guess.
But blocked it would really rile the voters!
…”On Friday, roughly 230 Chinese fishing vessels and Coast Guard ships passed by the Japanese-controlled islands of Senkaku in the East China Sea. The islands are called Diaoyu in China.
Japan’s Foreign Ministry said the action was a unilateral escalation of tensions and demanded the Chinese Coast Guard vessels leave the area immediately.
“This is a unilateral act that raises tensions … and it is unacceptable to us,” Kenji Kanasugi, from the Japanese foreign ministry said, according to the Kyodo news agency.
The remote islets in the East China Sea are administered by Japan, but also claimed by Taiwan.
Tensions between China and neighboring countries are running high in the region. China, Brunei, Malaysia, the Philippines, Taiwan and Vietnam all have territorial claims in the South China Sea, with the US insisting on what it calls freedom of navigation patrols close to Chinese-controlled islands.
Beijing previously refused to recognize an international arbitration ruling – initiated by the Philippines – in The Hague that declared null and void China’s claims over the group of islands which are 230km (143 miles) northwest of the Philippines mainland…
and
‘India watches anxiously as Chinese influence grows –
A $46bn economic corridor through disputed territories in Kashmir is causing most concern’
“Talk of a new Silk Road may be intended to evoke romantic, non-threatening images of desert caravans, ancient ships and trade in exotic commodities. But China’s grand plan for a network of railways, highways, pipelines and ports across central Asia, and around Southeast Asia is generating anxiety in New Delhi…
Beijing previously refused to recognize an international arbitration ruling – initiated by the Philippines – in The Hague that declared null and void China’s claims over the group of islands which are 230km (143 miles) northwest of the Philippines mainland…
Dammit, why can’t they actually just name the islands?
The directions they give shows no islands at all in the area.
Now, I’m pretty sure that they’re talking about the Spratleys which are between 100km and 500km away from the Philippines and ~1000+ km away from China.
There’s also the Blue Ridge Seamount which is 230km West of the Philippines.
” Isn’t it encouraging and reassuring that so many New Zealanders want to be involved in choosing the name for the agency to replace CYFs?
Everyone has a view. Clearly the public wants the new agency to get off to the best possible start. And the new name will send a powerful signal.
Of course, the decision is entirely and properly for the Cabinet. But, thanks to the Fairfax poll, the Cabinet is not stuck for choices. It is surely healthy for the Cabinet to know the public’s views.
Fairfax will ensure the results of the poll are passed onto the Cabinet. So will I.
Whatever the name chosen, we need to remember this is no simple (and expensive) re-branding exercise.”
Livid about Salisbury School. Parata is a cold cold women for wanting those girls to go to a co-ed school, some of the girls have been victims of sexual abuse.
How dare they bully them into closure again, with their wrap around service, parents don’t even know about Salisbury School anymore, no one tells them, and the ones that do have a devil of a time even trying to access it, because of the wrap around service.
Again Parata attempts to bully them in to closure, sick of it. Having much to do with the school over my life time, i understand how valuable this resource is, especially in this day and age, this school kept and keeps young girls SAFE, safe from family violence, alcohol abusive parents, safe from sexual abuse, safe from the bullying that so many children with learning disabilities experience.
Nick Smith will lose votes for endorsing this idea of closure, the nasty man just wants to grab the land there, after all it is prime real estate.
& wheres the defenders of Charter Schools about this? Here is a public school specialising in an area where other public schools might be lacking, parents have a choice of sending their kids there, the school works & is successful, is it because they not run for profit & has unionised teachers? Defend this great school!
Will ask my folks about who owns the land both of whom have been involved with the school for years.
I did ask Parata via talkback radio if she was bullying the school into closure via wraparound service, that was a year ago, she said she wasnt, I feel she lied to me.
Another article was posted on stuff this morning. Thanks so much for your support and for posting the link to the petition Rosemary. Our community will fight tooth and nail top keep it open. CLosing it will not solve the housing crisis Nick Smith.
” However since that time the government changed the enrollment system for special residential schools, meaning potential students can’t enroll directly, and have to be referred by the Ministry’s Intensive Wraparound Service. Phil Treweek is the father of a 15 year old girl – Ellen – who has been at Salisbury for two weeks.It took five applications over the last two years to finally get her into the school and the family is gutted to think it will close. He says the enrolment model is ridiculous – requiring a girl to have severe behavioural issues as well as intellectual disabilities to get into the school and because Ellen was well behaved at school, they could not get her into the school until her behaviour deteriorated.”
And this is absolutely bloody typical…you can’t access a service before crisis point is reached.
So, you have to wait until the wheels are actually falling off before fixing the problem, rather than getting in when the wobbles first start.
“It means that by 2025 we will have to have closed down all coal-fired power stations across the planet,” said John Schellnhuber, director of the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research. “And by 2030 you will have to get rid of the combustion engine entirely. That decarbonisation will not guarantee a rise of no more than 1.5C but it will give us a chance. But even that is a tremendous task.”
“It could do the trick,” said Cambridge University climate expert Professor Peter Wadhams. “The trouble is that you would need to cover so much land with plants for combustion you would not have enough space to grow food or provide homes for Earth’s wildlife. In the end, I think we just have to hope that some kind of extraction technology, as yet unimagined by scientists, is developed in the next couple of decades. If not, we are in real trouble.”
I suppose it depends on what one means by real trouble. Someone in that article says we could shut down coal plants quickly but people would suffer. These things get said but often not quantified. For me personally, I think we should powerdown now as quickly as possible and take the reduction in standard of living in our stride. There is so much the developped countries could give up and still live meaningful lives. While that might be unlikely to happen politically (at this point), at least it is a real possiblity, more real than keeping our heated towel rails, two car families and overseas holidays and hoping for a tech solution that isn’t even on the horizon yet.
If we want to look at sequestration we should be looking at regenag, but even there we will need to conserve energy and shift to steady state economies.
I’m betting he’s worried about Western lifestyle decline though. There is ample power on the planet. Just not enought for capitalism as well as the people.
or perhaps he’s worried we can maintain a coherent society to provide the wherewithal to discover that as yet undiscovered carbon sequestration technique.
Perhaps, although I think that unless people have actively gone through a de-civ process of their world view most people are very scared of the idea of the powerdown (unnecessarily so IMO), and it’s hard to separate that out from other more rational concerns.
And if we did a relatively fast power down, would we need high tech CCS anyway?
“People would have to make sacrifices, but if we are talking about having to endure something like war rationing vs catastrophic impacts on multiple human societies (including mass deaths and permanent disruption to communities and lives), then it’s not really a choice.”
many may not be as sanguine as yourself about such a proposition
don’t know about you but i think the end of IC engines by 2030 could be considered relatively fast (and coal generation by 2025)…..consider how much the internal combustion engine features in almost every aspect of our lives….it will be very difficult to replace such a mobile source of energy …yes electricity can in many instances (not all) but often it comes with many limitations that will need to be adapted to and the subsequent reduction in efficiency will also be a very significant factor
True, yet that framing is about replacing tech while not having to change too much in terms of lifestyle or economy, and it still relies on us developping CCS tech that we don’t even know is possible.
Fast transition would be changing in a few years to prevent the worst of AGW and not relying on sequestration tech we don’t have. Would that cause disruptions to lifestyle and the economy? Yes, but it doesn’t have to be harsh (I’m not suggesting a forced collapse) and we have the leeway to do it now using the tech, infrastructure and systems supported by fossil fuels. If the choice is a fast transition and a much better chance of averting runaway CC, or a 30 year transition with a much lower chance, then I’d choose the former, no brainer.
People would have to make sacrifices, but if we are talking about having to endure something like war rationing vs catastrophic impacts on multiple human societies (including mass deaths and permanent disruption to communities and lives), then it’s not really a choice.
(this btw is why I find it weird when some on ts accuse me of being in denial about the seriousness of AGW or having rose tinted glasses. My own position is relatively radical).
That decarbonisation will not guarantee a rise of no more than 1.5C but it will give us a chance.
Someone tell this imminent person that we are already up to 1.3 deg C in the first 6 months of this year, that we’ve only seen half the warming from 1980s emissions, and that’ we’ve seen basically none of the warming from the emissions of the last 10 years.
That includes the warming from the ~30 gigatonnes of coal that China has burnt in the last decade.
think its safe to say the scientists quoted in the article know considerably more about this than anyone commenting on here.
“However, figures – based on Met Office data – prepared by meteorologist Ed Hawkins of Reading University show that average global temperatures were already more than 1C above pre-industrial levels for every month except one over the past year and peaked at +1.38C in February and March. Keeping within the 1.5C limit will be extremely difficult, say scientists, given these rises.”
think its safe to say the scientists quoted in the article know considerably more about this than anyone commenting on here.
Of course they know more, but their pay is also dependent on the political expectations of their funders, which directly affects what they will say and state in public.
“Someone tell this imminent (sic) person that we are already up to 1.3 deg C in the first 6 months of this year”….I have a sneaking suspicion he may already know.
The current peak in surface temperatures has been “fuelled” by a whopping El Nino which is now in decline. The last such event was the El Nino of 1998. I’m not saying that Surface Temperatures won’t increase in the future – they will. But the likelihood in the near future is that they will plateau before increasing again towards the next ENSO cycle.
We can’t predict the future climate from one or two years climate – the trend needs at least 30 years of data to give any accurate extrapolation into the future. This is what makes forecasting climatic trends so very difficult. Never the less the models have given fairly accurate predictions over the recent past and the modelling would indicate that we are certainly on track for a 2 – 4 degree rise above pre-industrial levels by the end of the century if we continue with BAU
“We can’t predict the future climate from one or two years climate – the trend needs at least 30 years of data to give any accurate extrapolation into the future.”
No I don’t imagine one or two years would be of much use but we have more than that and by all accounts we are already trending above expectations and that 2-4%average for BAU I believe is now considered somewhat conservative.
Essentially I am replying to the comment of CV where he uses the recent rapid warming of the last 14 months to indicate that that will continue on into the future. It won’t. Nor should we talk it up – because those who seek to deny will immediately start in on the “no more warming” mantra that climate realists have been subjected to over the past 15 + years when there is another pause or “Hiatus” caused by a strong La Nina. The trend is certainly upwards, but we should not think that it is heading into the stratosphere just yet. Yes 1.5 is most likely in the rear vision mirror – but we are not there yet – and there is recent evidence that CCS has worked in Norway.
On February 14, 2023 we announced our Rebuttal Update Project. This included an ask for feedback about the added "At a glance" section in the updated basic rebuttal versions. This weekly blog post series highlights this new section of one of the updated basic rebuttal versions and serves as a ...
What is it with the mining industry? Its not enough for them to pillage the earth - they apparently can't even be bothered getting resource consent to do so: The proponent behind a major mine near the Clutha River had already been undertaking activity in the area without a ...
Photo # 1 I am a huge fan of Singapore’s approach to housing, as described here two years ago by copying and pasting from The ConversationWhat Singapore has that Australia does not is a public housing developer, the Housing Development Board, which puts new dwellings on public and reclaimed land, ...
Buzz from the Beehive Reactions to news of the government’s readiness to make urgent changes to “the resource management system” through a Bill to amend the Resource Management Act (RMA) suggest a balanced approach is being taken. The Taxpayers’ Union says the proposed changes don’t go far enough. Greenpeace says ...
I’m starting to wonder if Anna Burns-Francis might be the best political interviewer we’ve got. That might sound unlikely to you, it came as a bit of a surprise to me.Jack Tame can be excellent, but has some pretty average days. I like Rebecca Wright on Newshub, she asks good ...
Chris Trotter writes – Willie Jackson is said to be planning a “media summit” to discuss “the state of the media and how to protect Fourth Estate Journalism”. Not only does the Editor of The Daily Blog, Martyn Bradbury, think this is a good idea, but he has also ...
Graeme Edgeler writes – This morning [April 21], the Wellington High Court is hearing a judicial review brought by Hon. Karen Chhour, the Minister for Children, against a decision of the Waitangi Tribunal. This is unusual, judicial reviews are much more likely to brought against ministers, rather than ...
Both of Parliament’s watchdogs have now ripped into the Government’s Fast-track Approvals Bill. Photo: Lynn Grieveson / The KākāMy pick of the six newsey things to know from Aotearoa’s political economy and beyond on the morning of Tuesday, April 23 are:The Lead: The Auditor General,John Ryan, has joined the ...
This is a re-post from Yale Climate Connections by Sarah SpengemanPeople wait to board an electric bus in Pune, India. (Image credit: courtesy of ITDP) Public transportation riders in Pune, India, love the city’s new electric buses so much they will actually skip an older diesel bus that ...
The infrastructure industry yesterday issued a “hurry up” message to the Government, telling it to get cracking on developing a pipeline of infrastructure projects.The hiatus around the change of Government has seen some major projects cancelled and others delayed, and there is uncertainty about what will happen with the new ...
Hi,Over the weekend I revisited a podcast I really adore, Dead Eyes. It’s about a guy who got fired from Band of Brothers over two decades ago because Tom Hanks said he had “dead eyes”.If you don’t recall — 2001’s Band of Brothers was part of the emerging trend of ...
Buzz from the Beehive The 180 or so recipients of letters from the Government telling them how to submit infrastructure projects for “fast track” consideration includes some whose project applications previously have been rejected by the courts. News media were quick to feature these in their reports after RMA Reform Minister Chris ...
It would not be a desirable way to start your holiday by breaking your back, your head, or your wrist, but on our first hour in Singapore I gave it a try.We were chatting, last week, before we started a meeting of Hazel’s Enviro Trust, about the things that can ...
Calling all journalists, academics, planners, lawyers, political activists, environmentalists, and other members of the public who believe that the relationships between vested interests and politicians need to be scrutinised. We need to work together to make sure that the new Fast-Track Approvals Bill – currently being pushed through by the ...
Feel worried. Shane Jones and a couple of his Cabinet colleagues are about to be granted the power to override any and all objections to projects like dams, mines, roads etc even if: said projects will harm biodiversity, increase global warming and cause other environmental harms, and even if ...
Bryce Edwards writes- The ability of the private sector to quickly establish major new projects making use of the urban and natural environment is to be supercharged by the new National-led Government. Yesterday it introduced to Parliament one of its most significant reforms, the Fast Track Approvals Bill. ...
Michael Bassett writes – If you think there is a move afoot by the radical Maori fringe of New Zealand society to create a parallel system of government to the one that we elect at our triennial elections, you aren’t wrong. Over the last few days we have ...
Without a corresponding drop in interest rates, it’s doubtful any changes to the CCCFA will unleash a massive rush of home buyers. Photo: Lynn GrievesonTL;DR: The six things that stood out to me in Aotearoa’s political economy around housing, poverty and climate on Monday, April 22 included:The Government making a ...
Sunday was a lazy day. I started watching Jack Tame on Q&A, the interviews are usually good for something to write about. Saying the things that the politicians won’t, but are quite possibly thinking. Things that are true and need to be extracted from between the lines.As you might know ...
In our Weekly Roundup last week we covered news from Auckland Transport that the WX1 Western Express is going to get an upgrade next year with double decker electric buses. As part of the announcement, AT also said “Since we introduced the WX1 Western Express last November we have seen ...
TL;DR: The six key events to watch in Aotearoa-NZ’s political economy in the week to April 29 include:PM Christopher Luxon is scheduled to hold a post-Cabinet news conference at 4 pm today. Stats NZ releases its statutory report on Census 2023 tomorrow.Finance Minister Nicola Willis delivers a pre-Budget speech at ...
A listing of 29 news and opinion articles we found interesting and shared on social media during the past week: Sun, April 14, 2024 thru Sat, April 20, 2024. Story of the week Our story of the week hinges on these words from the abstract of a fresh academic ...
The ability of the private sector to quickly establish major new projects making use of the urban and natural environment is to be supercharged by the new National-led Government. Yesterday it introduced to Parliament one of its most significant reforms, the Fast Track Approvals Bill. The Government says this will ...
This is a column to say thank you. So many of have been in touch since Mum died to say so many kind and thoughtful things. You’re wonderful, all of you. You’ve asked how we’re doing, how Dad’s doing. A little more realisation each day, of the irretrievable finality of ...
Identifying the engine type in your car is crucial for various reasons, including maintenance, repairs, and performance upgrades. Knowing the specific engine model allows you to access detailed technical information, locate compatible parts, and make informed decisions about modifications. This comprehensive guide will provide you with a step-by-step approach to ...
Introduction: The allure of racing is undeniable. The thrill of speed, the roar of engines, and the exhilaration of competition all contribute to the allure of this adrenaline-driven sport. For those who yearn to experience the pinnacle of racing, becoming a race car driver is the ultimate dream. However, the ...
Introduction Automobiles have become ubiquitous in modern society, serving as a primary mode of transportation and a symbol of economic growth and personal mobility. With countless vehicles traversing roads and highways worldwide, it begs the question: how many cars are there in the world? Determining the precise number is a ...
Maintaining a safe and reliable vehicle requires regular inspections. Whether it’s a routine maintenance checkup or a safety inspection, knowing how long the process will take can help you plan your day accordingly. This article delves into the factors that influence the duration of a car inspection and provides an ...
Mazda Motor Corporation, commonly known as Mazda, is a Japanese multinational automaker headquartered in Fuchu, Aki District, Hiroshima Prefecture, Japan. The company was founded in 1920 as the Toyo Cork Kogyo Co., Ltd., and began producing vehicles in 1931. Mazda is primarily known for its production of passenger cars, but ...
Your car battery is an essential component that provides power to start your engine, operate your electrical systems, and store energy. Over time, batteries can weaken and lose their ability to hold a charge, which can lead to starting problems, power failures, and other issues. Replacing your battery before it ...
In most states, you cannot register a car without a valid driver’s license. However, there are a few exceptions to this rule. Exceptions to the RuleIf you are under 18 years old: In some states, you can register a car in your name even if you do not ...
Mazda, a Japanese automotive manufacturer with a rich history of innovation and engineering excellence, has emerged as a formidable player in the global car market. Known for its reputation of producing high-quality, fuel-efficient, and driver-oriented vehicles, Mazda has consistently garnered praise from industry experts and consumers alike. In this article, ...
Struts are an essential part of a car’s suspension system. They are responsible for supporting the weight of the car and damping the oscillations of the springs. Struts are typically made of steel or aluminum and are filled with hydraulic fluid. How Do Struts Work? Struts work by transferring the ...
Car registration is a mandatory process that all vehicle owners must complete annually. This process involves registering your car with the Department of Motor Vehicles (DMV) and paying an associated fee. The registration process ensures that your vehicle is properly licensed and insured, and helps law enforcement and other authorities ...
Zoom is a video conferencing service that allows you to share your screen, webcam, and audio with other participants. In addition to sharing your own audio, you can also share the audio from your computer with other participants. This can be useful for playing music, sharing presentations with audio, or ...
Building your own computer can be a rewarding and cost-effective way to get a high-performance machine tailored to your specific needs. However, it also requires careful planning and execution, and one of the most important factors to consider is the time it will take. The exact time it takes to ...
Sleep mode is a power-saving state that allows your computer to quickly resume operation without having to boot up from scratch. This can be useful if you need to step away from your computer for a short period of time but don’t want to shut it down completely. There are ...
Introduction Computer-Assisted Translation (CAT) has revolutionized the field of translation by harnessing the power of technology to assist human translators in their work. This innovative approach combines specialized software with human expertise to improve the efficiency, accuracy, and consistency of translations. In this comprehensive article, we will delve into the ...
In today’s digital age, mobile devices have become an indispensable part of our daily lives. Among the vast array of portable computing options available, iPads and tablet computers stand out as two prominent contenders. While both offer similar functionalities, there are subtle yet significant differences between these two devices. This ...
A computer is an electronic device that can be programmed to carry out a set of instructions. The basic components of a computer are the processor, memory, storage, input devices, and output devices. The Processor The processor, also known as the central processing unit (CPU), is the brain of the ...
Voice Memos is a convenient app on your iPhone that allows you to quickly record and store audio snippets. These recordings can be useful for a variety of purposes, such as taking notes, capturing ideas, or recording interviews. While you can listen to your voice memos on your iPhone, you ...
Laptop screens are essential for interacting with our devices and accessing information. However, when lines appear on the screen, it can be frustrating and disrupt productivity. Understanding the underlying causes of these lines is crucial for finding effective solutions. Types of Screen Lines Horizontal lines: Also known as scan ...
Right-clicking is a common and essential computer operation that allows users to access additional options and settings. While most desktop computers have dedicated right-click buttons on their mice, laptops often do not have these buttons due to space limitations. This article will provide a comprehensive guide on how to right-click ...
Powering up and shutting down your ASUS laptop is an essential task for any laptop user. Locating the power button can sometimes be a hassle, especially if you’re new to ASUS laptops. This article will provide a comprehensive guide on where to find the power button on different ASUS laptop ...
Dell laptops are renowned for their reliability, performance, and versatility. Whether you’re a student, a professional, or just someone who needs a reliable computing device, a Dell laptop can meet your needs. However, if you’re new to Dell laptops, you may be wondering how to get started. In this comprehensive ...
Two-thirds of the country think that “New Zealand’s economy is rigged to advantage the rich and powerful”. They also believe that “New Zealand needs a strong leader to take the country back from the rich and powerful”. These are just two of a handful of stunning new survey results released ...
In today’s digital world, screenshots have become an indispensable tool for communication and documentation. Whether you need to capture an important email, preserve a website page, or share an error message, screenshots allow you to quickly and easily preserve digital information. If you’re an Asus laptop user, there are several ...
A factory reset restores your Gateway laptop to its original factory settings, erasing all data, apps, and personalizations. This can be necessary to resolve software issues, remove viruses, or prepare your laptop for sale or transfer. Here’s a step-by-step guide on how to factory reset your Gateway laptop: Method 1: ...
“You talking about me?”The neoliberal denigration of the past was nowhere more unrelenting than in its depiction of the public service. The Post Office and the Railways were held up as being both irremediably inefficient and scandalously over-manned. Playwright Roger Hall’s “Glide Time” caricatures were presented as accurate depictions of ...
Roger Partridge writes – When the Coalition Government took office last October, it inherited a country on a precipice. With persistent inflation, decades of insipid productivity growth and crises in healthcare, education, housing and law and order, it is no exaggeration to suggest New Zealand’s first-world status was ...
Rob MacCulloch writes – In 2022, the Curriculum Centre at the Ministry of Education employed 308 staff, according to an Official Information Request. Earlier this week it was announced 202 of those staff were being cut. When you look up “The New Zealand Curriculum” on the Ministry of ...
Chris Bishop’s bill has stirred up a hornets nest of opposition. Photo: Lynn Grieveson for The KākāTL;DR: The six things that stood out to me in Aotearoa’s political economy around housing, poverty and climate from the last day included:A crescendo of opposition to the Government’s Fast Track Approvals Bill is ...
Monday left me brokenTuesday, I was through with hopingWednesday, my empty arms were openThursday, waiting for love, waiting for loveThe end of another week that left many of us asking WTF? What on earth has NZ gotten itself into and how on earth could people have voluntarily signed up for ...
Hello! Here comes the Saturday edition of More Than A Feilding, catching you up on the past week’s editions.State of humanity, 20242024, it feels, keeps presenting us with ever more challenges, ever more dismay.Do you give up yet? It seems to ask.No? How about this? Or this?How about this?Full story Share ...
Determining the hardest sport in the world is a subjective matter, as the difficulty level can vary depending on individual abilities, physical attributes, and experience. However, based on various factors including physical demands, technical skills, mental fortitude, and overall accomplishment, here is an exploration of some of the most challenging ...
The allure of sport transcends age, culture, and geographical boundaries. It captivates hearts, ignites passions, and provides unparalleled entertainment. Behind the spectacle, however, lies a fascinating world of financial investment and expenditure. Among the vast array of competitive pursuits, one question looms large: which sport carries the hefty title of ...
Introduction Pickleball, a rapidly growing paddle sport, has captured the hearts and imaginations of millions around the world. Its blend of tennis, badminton, and table tennis elements has made it a favorite among players of all ages and skill levels. As the sport’s popularity continues to surge, the question on ...
Abstract: Soccer, the global phenomenon captivating millions worldwide, has a rich history that spans centuries. Its origins trace back to ancient civilizations, but the modern version we know and love emerged through a complex interplay of cultural influences and innovations. This article delves into the fascinating journey of soccer’s evolution, ...
Tinting car windows offers numerous benefits, including enhanced privacy, reduced glare, UV protection, and a more stylish look for your vehicle. However, the cost of window tinting can vary significantly depending on several factors. This article provides a comprehensive guide to help you understand how much you can expect to ...
The pungent smell of gasoline in your car can be an alarming and potentially dangerous problem. Not only is the odor unpleasant, but it can also indicate a serious issue with your vehicle’s fuel system. In this article, we will explore the various reasons why your car may smell like ...
Tree sap can be a sticky, unsightly mess on your car’s exterior. It can be difficult to remove, but with the right techniques and products, you can restore your car to its former glory. Understanding Tree Sap Tree sap is a thick, viscous liquid produced by trees to seal wounds ...
The amount of paint needed to paint a car depends on a number of factors, including the size of the car, the number of coats you plan to apply, and the type of paint you are using. In general, you will need between 1 and 2 gallons of paint for ...
Jump-starting a car is a common task that can be performed even in adverse weather conditions like rain. However, safety precautions and proper techniques are crucial to avoid potential hazards. This comprehensive guide will provide detailed instructions on how to safely jump a car in the rain, ensuring both your ...
Graham Adams writes about the $55m media fund — When Patrick Gower was asked by Mike Hosking last week what he would say to the many Newstalk ZB callers who allege the Labour government bribed media with $55 million of taxpayers’ money via the Public Interest Journalism Fund — and ...
Note: this blog post has been put together over the course of the week I followed the happenings at the conference virtually. Should recordings of the Great Debates and possibly Union Symposia mentioned below, be released sometime after the conference ends, I'll include links to the ones I participated in. ...
The following was my submission made on the “Fast Track Approvals Bill”. This potential law will give three Ministers unchecked powers, un-paralled since the days of Robert Muldoon’s “Think Big” projects.The submission is written a bit tongue-in-cheek. But it’s irreverent because the FTAB is in itself not worthy of respect. ...
One Could Reduce Child Poverty At No Fiscal CostFollowing the Richardson/Shipley 1990 ‘redesign of the welfare state’ – which eliminated the universal Family Benefit and doubled the rate of child poverty – various income supplements for families have been added, the best known being ‘Working for Families’, introduced in 2005. ...
Buzz from the Beehive A few days ago, Point of Order suggested the media must be musing “on why Melissa is mute”. Our article reported that people working in the beleaguered media industry have cause to yearn for a minister as busy as Melissa Lee’s ministerial colleagues and we drew ...
1. What was The Curse of Jim Bolger?a. Winston Peters b. Soon after shaking his hand, world leaders would mysteriously lose office or shuffle off this mortal coilc. Could never shake off the Mother of All Budgetsd. Dandruff2. True or false? The Chairman of a Kiwi export business has asked the ...
Jack Vowles writes – New Zealand is said to be suffering from ‘serious populist discontent’. An IPSOS MORI survey has reported that we have an increasing preference for strong leaders, think that the economy is rigged toward the rich and powerful, and political elites are ignoring ‘hard-working people’. ...
It appears Nicola Willis is about to pull the rug out from under the feet of local communities still dealing with the aftermath of last year’s severe weather, and local councils relying on funding to build back from these disasters. ...
The Government is making short-sighted changes to the Resource Management Act (RMA) that will take away environmental protection in favour of short-term profits, Labour’s environment spokesperson Rachel Brooking said today. ...
Labour welcomes the release of the report into the North Island weather events and looks forward to working with the Government to ensure that New Zealand is as prepared as it can be for the next natural disaster. ...
The Labour Party has called for the New Zealand Government to recognise Palestine, as a material step towards progressing the two-State solution needed to achieve a lasting peace in the region. ...
Some of our country’s most important work, stopping the sexual exploitation of children and violent extremism could go along with staff on the frontline at ports and airports. ...
The Government’s Fast Track Approvals Bill will give projects such as new coal mines a ‘get out of jail free’ card to wreak havoc on the environment, Labour Leader Chris Hipkins said today. ...
Cuts to frontline hospital staff are not only a broken election promise, it shows the reckless tax cuts have well and truly hit the frontline of the health system, says Labour Health spokesperson Ayesha Verrall. ...
The Green Party has joined the call for public submissions on the fast-track legislation to be extended after the Ombudsman forced the Government to release the list of organisations invited to apply just hours before submissions close. ...
New Zealand’s good work at reducing climate emissions for three years in a row will be undone by the National government’s lack of ambition and scrapping programmes that were making a difference, Labour Party climate spokesperson Megan Woods said today. ...
More essential jobs could be on the chopping block, this time Ministry of Education staff on the school lunches team are set to find out whether they're in line to lose their jobs. ...
The Government is trying to bring in a law that will allow Ministers to cut corners and kill off native species, Labour environment spokesperson Rachel Brooking said. ...
Cancelling urgently needed new Cook Strait ferries and hiking the cost of public transport for many Kiwis so that National can announce the prospect of another tunnel for Wellington is not making good choices, Labour Transport Spokesperson Tangi Utikere said. ...
A laundry list of additional costs for Tāmaki Makarau Auckland shows the Minister for the city is not delivering for the people who live there, says Labour Auckland Issues spokesperson Shanan Halbert. ...
The Green Party has today launched a step-by-step guide to help New Zealanders make their voice heard on the Government’s democracy dodging and anti-environment fast track legislation. ...
The National Government’s proposed changes to the Residential Tenancies Act will mean tenants can be turfed from their homes by landlords with little notice, Labour housing spokesperson Kieran McAnulty said. ...
Green Party co-leader Marama Davidson is calling on all parties to support a common-sense change that’s great for the planet and great for consumers after her member’s bill was drawn from the ballot today. ...
A significant milestone has been reached in the fight to strike an anti-Pasifika and unfair law from the country’s books after Teanau Tuiono’s members’ bill passed its first reading. ...
New Zealand has today missed the opportunity to uphold the right to a clean, healthy, and sustainable environment, says James Shaw after his member’s bill was voted down in its first reading. ...
Today’s advice from the Climate Change Commission paints a sobering reality of the challenge we face in combating climate change, especially in light of recent Government policy announcements. ...
Minister for Disability Issues Penny Simmonds appears to have delayed a report back to Cabinet on the progress New Zealand is making against international obligations for disabled New Zealanders. ...
The Government’s newly announced review of methane emissions reduction targets hints at its desire to delay Aotearoa New Zealand’s urgent transition to a climate safe future, the Green Party said. ...
The Government must commit to the Maitai School building project for students with high and complex needs, to ensure disabled students from the top of the South Island have somewhere to learn. ...
Mental Health Minister Matt Doocey and his Government colleagues have made a meal of their mental health commitments, showing how flimsy their efforts to champion the issue truly are, says Labour Mental Health spokesperson Ingrid Leary. ...
Energy Minister Simeon Brown has welcomed an important milestone in New Zealand’s hydrogen future, with the opening of the country’s first network of hydrogen refuelling stations in Wiri. “I want to congratulate the team at Hiringa Energy and its partners K one W one (K1W1), Mitsui & Co New Zealand ...
The coalition Government is delivering on its commitment to improve resource management laws and give greater certainty to consent applicants, with a Bill to amend the Resource Management Act (RMA) expected to be introduced to Parliament next month. RMA Reform Minister Chris Bishop has today outlined the first RMA Amendment ...
Overseas models for regulating the oil and gas sector, including their decommissioning regimes, are being carefully scrutinised as a potential template for New Zealand’s own sector, Resources Minister Shane Jones says. The Coalition Government is focused on rebuilding investor confidence in New Zealand’s energy sector as it looks to strengthen ...
Emergency Management and Recovery Minister Mark Mitchell has today released the Report of the Government Inquiry into the response to the North Island Severe Weather Events. “The report shows that New Zealand’s emergency management system is not fit-for-purpose and there are some significant gaps we need to address,” Mr Mitchell ...
Justice Minister Paul Goldsmith is today travelling to Europe where he’ll update the United Nations Human Rights Council on the Government’s work to restore law and order. “Attending the Universal Periodic Review in Geneva provides us with an opportunity to present New Zealand’s human rights progress, priorities, and challenges, while ...
Associate Agriculture Minister, Mark Patterson, formally reopened the world’s largest wool processing facility today in Awatoto, Napier, following a $50 million rebuild and refurbishment project. “The reopening of this facility will significantly lift the economic opportunities available to New Zealand’s wool sector, which already accounts for 20 per cent of ...
Hon Andrew Bayly, Minister for Small Business and Manufacturing At the Southland Otago Regional Engineering Collective (SOREC) Summit, 18 April, Dunedin Ngā mihi nui, Ko Andrew Bayly aho, Ko Whanganui aho Good Afternoon and thank you for inviting me to open your summit today. I am delighted ...
The Government is delivering on its commitment to bring back the Three Strikes legislation, Associate Justice Minister Nicole McKee announced today. “Our Government is committed to restoring law and order and enforcing appropriate consequences on criminals. We are making it clear that repeat serious violent or sexual offending is not ...
Foreign Minister Winston Peters has today announced four new diplomatic appointments for New Zealand’s overseas missions. “Our diplomats have a vital role in maintaining and protecting New Zealand’s interests around the world,” Mr Peters says. “I am pleased to announce the appointment of these senior diplomats from the ...
New Zealand is contributing NZ$7 million to support communities affected by severe food insecurity and other urgent humanitarian needs in Ethiopia and Somalia, Foreign Minister Rt Hon Winston Peters announced today. “Over 21 million people are in need of humanitarian assistance across Ethiopia, with a further 6.9 million people ...
Minister for Arts, Culture and Heritage Paul Goldsmith is congratulating Mataaho Collective for winning the Golden Lion for best participant in the main exhibition at the Venice Biennale. "Congratulations to the Mataaho Collective for winning one of the world's most prestigious art prizes at the Venice Biennale. “It is good ...
The Government is reforming financial services to improve access to home loans and other lending, and strengthen customer protections, Commerce and Consumer Affairs Minister Andrew Bayly and Housing Minister Chris Bishop announced today. “Our coalition Government is committed to rebuilding the economy and making life simpler by cutting red tape. We are ...
“China remains a strong commercial opportunity for Kiwi exporters as Chinese businesses and consumers continue to value our high-quality safe produce,” Trade and Agriculture Minister Todd McClay says. Mr McClay has returned to New Zealand following visits to Beijing, Harbin and Shanghai where he met ministers, governors and mayors and engaged in trade and agricultural events with the New ...
Prime Minister Christopher Luxon has completed a successful trip to Singapore, Thailand and the Philippines, deepening relationships and capitalising on opportunities. Mr Luxon was accompanied by a business delegation and says the choice of countries represents the priority the New Zealand Government places on South East Asia, and our relationships in ...
New Zealand is demonstrating its commitment to reducing global greenhouse emissions, and supporting clean energy transition in South East Asia, through a contribution of NZ$41 million (US$25 million) in climate finance to the Asian Development Bank (ADB)-led Energy Transition Mechanism (ETM). Prime Minister Christopher Luxon and Climate Change Minister Simon Watts announced ...
The Government is today releasing a list of organisations who received letters about the Fast-track applications process, says RMA Reform Minister Chris Bishop. “Recently Ministers and agencies have received a series of OIA requests for a list of organisations to whom I wrote with information on applying to have a ...
Attorney-General Judith Collins today announced the appointment of Wellington Barrister David Jonathan Boldt as a Judge of the High Court, and the Honourable Justice Matthew Palmer as a Judge of the Court of Appeal. Justice Boldt graduated with an LLB from Victoria University of Wellington in 1990, and also holds ...
Education Minister Erica Stanford will lead the New Zealand delegation at the 2024 International Summit on the Teaching Profession (ISTP) held in Singapore. The delegation includes representatives from the Post Primary Teachers’ Association (PPTA) Te Wehengarua and the New Zealand Educational Institute (NZEI) Te Riu Roa. The summit is co-hosted ...
A stopbank upgrade project in Tairawhiti partly funded by the Government has increased flood resilience for around 7000ha of residential and horticultural land so far, Regional Development Minister Shane Jones says. Mr Jones today attended a dawn service in Gisborne to mark the end of the first stage of the ...
Foreign Affairs Minister Winston Peters will represent the Government at Anzac Day commemorations on the Gallipoli Peninsula next week and engage with senior representatives of the Turkish government in Istanbul. “The Gallipoli campaign is a defining event in our history. It will be a privilege to share the occasion ...
Science, Innovation and Technology and Defence Minister Judith Collins will next week attend the OECD Science and Technology Ministerial conference in Paris and Anzac Day commemorations in Belgium. “Science, innovation and technology have a major role to play in rebuilding our economy and achieving better health, environmental and social outcomes ...
Prime Minister Christopher Luxon held a bilateral meeting today with the President of the Philippines, Ferdinand Marcos Jr. The Prime Minister was accompanied by MP Paulo Garcia, the first Filipino to be elected to a legislature outside the Philippines. During today’s meeting, Prime Minister Luxon and President Marcos Jr discussed opportunities to ...
The Government has announced that $20 million in funding will be made available to Westport to fund much needed flood protection around the town. This measure will significantly improve the resilience of the community, says Local Government Minister Simeon Brown. “The Westport community has already been allocated almost $3 million ...
The Government is proud to support the first ever Repco Supercars Championship event in Taupō as up to 70,000 motorsport fans attend the Taupō International Motorsport Park this weekend, says Economic Development Minister Melissa Lee. “Anticipation for the ITM Taupō Super400 is huge, with tickets and accommodation selling out weeks ...
Local Government Minister Simeon Brown has announced an increase to the Rates Rebate Scheme, putting money back into the pockets of low-income homeowners. “The coalition Government is committed to bringing down the cost of living for New Zealanders. That includes targeted support for those Kiwis who are doing things tough, such ...
The Coalition Government is investing in a project to boost survival rates of New Zealand mussels and grow the industry, Oceans and Fisheries Minister Shane Jones has announced. “This project seeks to increase the resilience of our mussels and significantly boost the sector’s productivity,” Mr Jones says. “The project - ...
Benefit figures released today underscore the importance of the Government’s plan to rebuild the economy and have 50,000 fewer people on Jobseeker Support, Social Development and Employment Minister Louise Upston says. “Benefit numbers are still significantly higher than when National was last in government, when there was about 70,000 fewer ...
The Government’s commitment to doubling New Zealand’s renewable energy capacity is backed by new data showing that clean energy has helped the country reach its lowest annual gross emissions since 1999, Climate Change Minister Simon Watts says. New Zealand’s latest Greenhouse Gas Inventory (1990-2022) published today, shows gross emissions fell ...
The Government is bringing the earthquake-prone building review forward, with work to start immediately, and extending the deadline for remediations by four years, Building and Construction Minister Chris Penk says. “Our Government is focused on rebuilding the economy. A key part of our plan is to cut red tape that ...
Prime Minister Christopher Luxon and his Thai counterpart, Prime Minister Srettha Thavisin, have today agreed that New Zealand and the Kingdom of Thailand will upgrade the bilateral relationship to a Strategic Partnership by 2026. “New Zealand and Thailand have a lot to offer each other. We have a strong mutual desire to build ...
RMA Reform Minister Chris Bishop and Transport Minister Simeon Brown have today announced the Coalition Government’s intention to extend port coastal permits for a further 20 years, providing port operators with certainty to continue their operations. “The introduction of the Resource Management Act in 1991 required ports to obtain coastal ...
Today’s announcement that inflation is down to 4 per cent is encouraging news for Kiwis, but there is more work to be done - underlining the importance of the Government’s plan to get the economy back on track, acting Finance Minister Chris Bishop says. “Inflation is now at 4 per ...
Refreshed health guidance released today will help parents and schools make informed decisions about whether their child needs to be in school, addressing one of the key issues affecting school attendance, says Associate Education Minister David Seymour. In recent years, consistently across all school terms, short-term illness or medical reasons ...
Oceans and Fisheries Minister Shane Jones is streamlining high-level oceans management while maintaining a focus on supporting the sector’s role in the export-led recovery of the economy. “I am working to realise the untapped potential of our fishing and aquaculture sector. To achieve that we need to be smarter with ...
Associate Agriculture Minister Mark Patterson is speaking at the International Wool Textile Organisation Congress in Adelaide, promoting New Zealand wool, and outlining the coalition Government’s support for the revitalisation the sector. "New Zealand’s wool exports reached $400 million in the year to 30 June 2023, and the coalition Government ...
The Government is making legislative changes to make it easier for new early learning services to be established, and for existing services to operate, Associate Education Minister David Seymour says. The changes involve repealing the network approval provisions that apply when someone wants to establish a new early learning service, ...
Changes to the Resource Management Act will align consenting for coal mining to other forms of mining to reduce barriers that are holding back economic development, Resources Minister Shane Jones says. “The inconsistent treatment of coal mining compared with other extractive activities is burdensome red tape that fails to acknowledge ...
Trade, Agriculture and Forestry Minister Todd McClay has concluded productive discussions with ministerial counterparts in Beijing today, in support of the New Zealand-China trade and economic relationship. “My meeting with Commerce Minister Wang Wentao reaffirmed the complementary nature of the bilateral trade relationship, with our Free Trade Agreement at its ...
Prime Minister Christopher Luxon today paid tribute to Singapore’s outgoing Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong. Meeting in Singapore today immediately before Prime Minister Lee announced he was stepping down, Prime Minister Luxon warmly acknowledged his counterpart’s almost twenty years as leader, and the enduring legacy he has left for Singapore and South East ...
Prime Minister Christopher Luxon held a bilateral meeting today with Singapore Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong. While in Singapore as part of his visit to South East Asia this week, Prime Minister Luxon also met with Singapore President Tharman Shanmugaratnam and will meet with Deputy Prime Minister Lawrence Wong. During today’s meeting, Prime Minister Luxon ...
COMMENTARY:By Murray Horton New Zealand needs to get tough with Israel. It’s not as if we haven’t done so before. When NZ authorities busted a Mossad operation in Auckland 20 years ago, the government didn’t say: “Oh well, Israel has the right to defend itself.” No, it arrested, prosecuted, ...
NEWSMAKERS:By Vijay Narayan, news director of FijiVillage Blessed to be part of the University of Fiji (UniFiji) faculty to continue to teach and mentor those who want to join our noble profession, and to stand for truth and justice for the people of the country. I was privileged to ...
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Peter Martin, Visiting Fellow, Crawford School of Public Policy, Australian National University Three weeks from now, some of us will be presented with a mountain of budget papers, and just about all of us will get to hear about them on radio, ...
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Dan Lowry, Ice Sheet & Climate Modeller, GNS Science Hugh Chittock/Antarctica New Zealand, CC BY-SA As the climate warms and Antarctica’s glaciers and ice sheets melt, the resulting rise in sea level has the potential to displace hundreds of millions of ...
The government's plan to reintroduce a three strikes regime is being strongly opposed by lawyers, who argue there is no evidence it reduces crime or helps people rehabilitate. ...
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Dan Jerker B. Svantesson, Professor specialising in Internet law, Bond University Do Australian courts have the right to decide what foreign citizens, located overseas, view online on a foreign-owned platform? Anyone inclined to answer “yes” to this question should perhaps also ask ...
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Giovanni E Ferreira, NHMRC Emerging Leader Research Fellow, Institute of Musculoskeletal Health, University of Sydney Last week in a post on X, owner of the platform Elon Musk recommended people look into disc replacement if they’re experiencing severe neck or back pain. ...
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By David Hayward, Emeritus Professor of Public Policy, RMIT University anek.soowannaphoom/Shutterstock NSW Treasurer Daniel Mookhey caught the headlines yesterday, courtesy of a blistering speech condemning the latest GST carve-up. New South Wales, he claimed, would be A$11.9 billion worse off over the ...
While police are "broadly in favour", the government's proposed anti-gang laws are facing pushback from lawyers, rights groups and former gang members. ...
While police are "broadly in favour", the government's proposed anti-gang laws are facing pushback from lawyers, rights groups and former gang members. ...
By Miriam Zarriga in Port Moresby Australian Prime Minister Anthony Albanese has arrived at Kokoda Station, Northern province, at the start of his state visit to Papua New Guinea. Both Albanese and Prime Minister James Marape will meet with the locals and the Northern Provincial government before they begin their ...
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Chris Wallace, Professor, School of Politics Economics & Society, Faculty of Business Government & Law, University of Canberra Shutterstock An important principle was invoked by Prime Minister Anthony Albanese last week in defence of the government’s Future Made in Australia industry ...
By Patrick Decloitre, RNZ Pacific correspondent French Pacific desk Security forces reinforcements were sent from France ahead of two rival marches in the capital Nouméa today, at the same time and only two streets away one from the other. One march, called by Union Calédonienne party (a component of the ...
A poll last August found that just 16% of New Zealanders oppose bringing back the ‘Three Strikes’ law. The nationwide poll of 1,000 New Zealanders was commissioned by Family First NZ and carried out by Curia Market Research. ...
The solo show from Ana Scotney is both sprawling and intimate, and a must-see, writes Mad Chapman. In the opening moments of Scattergun: After the Death of Rūaumoko, writer and performer Ana Scotney lays out the groundwork, literally. Silently moving around the square stage, Scotney is not so much dancing ...
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Kate Burridge, Professor of Linguistics, Monash University Who makes the words? Why are trees called trees and why are shoes called shoes and who makes the names? – Elliot, age 5, Eltham, Victoria Good question Elliot! Let’s start with ...
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Stephen Duckett, Honorary Enterprise Professor, School of Population and Global Health, and Department of General Practice and Primary Care, The University of Melbourne at amRawpixel.com/Shutterstock Roles of health professionals are still unfortunately often stuck in the past. That is, before the ...
COMMENTARY:By Malcolm Evans Last week’s leaked New York Times staff directive, as to what words can and cannot be used to describe the carnage Israel is raining on Palestinians, is proof positive, since those reports are published verbatim here in New Zealand, that our understanding of the conflict is ...
In the case of New Zealand, the results confirm that there is no popular support for the vicious austerity program being imposed by the National Party-led government, which is backed in all fundamental respects by the opposition Labour Party. ...
The ‘Vampire’ singer has never visited our part of the world, but that might all be about to change. We assess the evidence.Olivia Rodrigo’s Guts World Tour is pulling in massive crowds as it whips around the US and Europe, even helping to catapult regular supporting act Chappell Roan ...
Testing of drinking water in rural Canterbury over the weekend by Greenpeace revealed that several public town supplies were reaching levels of nitrate above 5 mg/L - the threshold which a growing body of scientific evidence has linked to increased ...
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Rohan Fisher, Information Technology for Development Researcher, Charles Darwin University It may come as a surprise to hear 2023 was Australia’s biggest bushfire season in more than a decade. Fires burned across an area eight times as big as the 2019–20 Black ...
Responding to the Government’s announcement of changes to resource management laws, Taxpayers’ Union Executive Director, Jordan Williams, said: “These changes are a step in the right direction in terms of removing ideological and unworkable ...
More than two years after the Human Rights Council called for the establishment of a national human rights commission, such a body has yet to be formed. ...
Comment:An emergency management system with wide variations in performance, significant capability gaps, funding shortfalls and above all a setup that is not meeting the needs of New Zealanders at times of crisis. The Government’s inquiry into the response to Cyclone Gabrielle and other severe weather events in the North ...
Welcome to the whirring wonders of one brain trying to align its actions with its beliefs within a system it thinks is evil. My brain has been spiralling in a woke conundrum ever since I found out a bookshop I’ve never been to was shutting down. Good Books, a bookshop ...
We repeat our call for criminal justice policy to be based on evidence, something the three strikes regime neglects to recognise – with no evidence that it either reduces crime or assists with rehabilitation. ...
By Koroi Hawkins, RNZ Pacific editor in Honiara With only four more seats in the 50-member Parliament yet to be officially declared, there is no outright winner in the Solomon Islands elections. As of Monday, the two largest blocs in the winner’s circle, independents and the incumbent Prime Minister Manasseh ...
Two/fiftyseven is a multi-purpose space hidden in the heart of Wellington that is paving a way for sustainable building and responsible landlording in Aotearoa and beyond.By 2060 the world is predicted to double its entire building stock, which equates to building an entire New York City every 34 days, ...
Popstars wasn’t just a reality television revolution, it was also a huge moment for Y2K fashion.It’s 25 years since girl group TrueBliss was formed on New Zealand national television, breaking new ground for both the reality television industry and the shiny clothing industry. With the first episode on NZ ...
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Christopher Pepping, Associate Professor in Clinical Psychology, Griffith University Marvin / Shutterstock Are all single people insecure? When we think about people who have been single for a long time, we may assume it’s because single people have insecurities that make ...
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By William Geary, Lecturer in Quantitative Ecology & Biodiversity Conservation, The University of Melbourne Trismegist san, Shutterstock Landscapes that have escaped fire for decades or centuries tend to harbour vital structures for wildlife, such as tree hollows and large logs. But these ...
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Rebecca Gladstone-Gallagher, Lecturer in Marine Science, University of Auckland, Waipapa Taumata Rau Shutterstock/S Curtis Why are we crossing ecological boundaries that affect Earth’s fundamental life-supporting capacity? Is it because we don’t have enough information about how ecosystems respond to change? Or ...
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Matthew Crocker, PhD Student in Economics, Deakin University Here’s something for the board of the Reserve Bank of Australia to ponder as it meets next month to set interest rates. It has pushed up rates on 13 occasions since it began its ...
As part of our series exploring how New Zealanders live and our relationship with money, a charity director outlines how she’s saving for retirement and buying secondhand. Want to be part of The Cost of Being? Fill out the questionnaire here.Gender: Female Age: 45 Ethnicity: Pākehā Role: Charity director, mum of ...
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Sophie Yates, Research Fellow, Crawford School of Public Policy, Australian National University Many Australians with disability feel on the edge of a precipice right now. Recommendations from the disability royal commission and the NDIS review were released late last year. Now a ...
It’s been called a failed experiment and a judicial straightjacket but the government says the revised three strikes law will be a more workable regime, writes Anna Rawhiti-Connell in this excerpt from The Bulletin, The Spinoff’s morning news round-up. To receive The Bulletin in full each weekday, sign up here. Three ...
New Zealand’s Palestinian community and Palestinian Youth Aotearoa are voicing alarm and disappointment with the lack of factual rigour present during the Israeli Ambassador’s appearance as a guest on TVNZ’s Q+A With Jack Tame Sunday (21/04). ...
Both ACT leader David Seymour, who played a key role in drawing up the assisted dying law, and hospice leaders say it's time the legislation was changed. ...
Public submissions on proposed gang control laws are being heard today. Rising gang membership has been cited as rationale for a crackdown – but what do we actually know about how many people belong to gangs in New Zealand?What’s all this then?A rise in the number of gang ...
Climate activists are setting their sights on an unpopular target, and hoping to bring lots of the public with them. It’s hard to miss the Majestic Princess: the enormous cruise ship, docked at Auckland’s Prince’s Wharf, looms over the nearby buildings. The ship, which can fit nearly 6,000 people, ...
Opinion: Making sure developers, local and central government, and landowners are all on the same page makes sense The post A new kind of city deal appeared first on Newsroom. ...
Loading…(function(i,s,o,g,r,a,m){var ql=document.querySelectorAll('A[quiz],DIV[quiz],A[data-quiz],DIV[data-quiz]'); if(ql){if(ql.length){for(var k=0;k<ql.length;k++){ql[k].id='quiz-embed-'+k;ql[k].href="javascript:var i=document.getElementById('quiz-embed-"+k+"');try{qz.startQuiz(i)}catch(e){i.start=1;i.style.cursor='wait';i.style.opacity='0.5'};void(0);"}}};i['QP']=r;i[r]=i[r]||function(){(i[r].q=i[r].q||[]).push(arguments)},i[r].l=1*new Date();a=s.createElement(o),m=s.getElementsByTagName(o)[0];a.async=1;a.src=g;m.parentNode.insertBefore(a,m)})(window,document,'script','https://take.quiz-maker.com/3012/CDN/quiz-embed-v1.js','qp'); Got a good quiz question?Send Newsroom your questions. The post Newsroom daily quiz, Tuesday 23 April appeared first on Newsroom. ...
The following korero between Ngāhuia te Awekōtuku, author of the newly published memoir Hine Toa, one of the year’s most important books, and Dale Husband from e-tangata, was first published in October. It traverses her involvement with the activist group Ngā Tamatoa at Auckland University in the early 1970s, her ...
In the 16 years since it was bought by the government for $690 million, KiwiRail has had several overhauls and turnaround plans worth billions of dollars. Its ambitions as a successful, profitable operator of tourism, freight and ferries have often been derailed by disasters from earthquakes to cyclones, mine explosions ...
Black Ferns trailblazer Kendra Cocksedge was on the verge of tears when her young protégé, Hannah King, unassumingly broke the news. Three-time Rugby World Cup winner Cocksedge and Lincoln agriculture student King meet every few weeks over a hot chocolate, in an enduring mentorship that’s spanned years. “Before we even ...
Opinion: We’ve kicked the tyres on the perception NZ’s economy is in a parlous state compared to Australia. We take a quick tour of relative trends in GDP, housing markets, labour markets, trade, the fiscal situation, and the outlooks for inflation and interest rates. We find the cyclical positions of ...
By Russell Palmer, RNZ News digital political journalist New Zealand’s Foreign Minister Winston Peters is putting off recognition of Palestine as a state, despite opposition Labour’s formal request that he make the move. Peters said diplomatic recognition of Palestine was a matter of “when not if”, but doing so now ...
The opposition has laid into the government's plan to reintroduce a "three strikes" regime, saying it's inequitable and there's very little evidence it works. ...
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Rob Nicholls, Senior research associate, University of Sydney Australia’s eSafety Commissioner has ordered social media platform “X” (formerly known as Twitter) to remove graphic videos of the stabbing of Bishop Mar Mari Emmanuel in Sydney last week from the site. The incident ...
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By John Turnbull, Postdoctoral Research Associate, University of Sydney John Turnbull, CC BY-NC-ND In past bleaching events on the Great Barrier Reef, the southern region has sometimes been spared worst of the bleaching. Not this time. This year’s intense underwater heat has ...
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Sarah Austin, Lecturer in Theatre, The University of Melbourne Darren Gill/Mackey, Darling & Collaborators The relationship between witchcraft and teenage girls has been the subject of many books, films and television shows. Over time, the traditional image of witch as crone ...
Analysis by Dr Bryce Edwards, Democracy Project (https://democracyproject.nz)Political scientist, Dr Bryce Edwards. Calling all journalists, academics, planners, lawyers, political activists, environmentalists, and other members of the public who believe that the relationships between vested interests and politicians need to be scrutinised. We need to work together to make sure ...
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Becky Freeman, Associate Professor, School of Public Health, University of Sydney Andres Siimon/Unsplash There are no silver bullets, magic tricks or secret hacks to solving complex public health problems. Taking on the global tobacco industry and reducing the devastating consequences of ...
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Adam B. Watts, Research Associate in galaxy evolution, The University of Western Australia ESO/A. Watts et al., CC BY We breathe oxygen and nitrogen gas in our atmosphere every day, but did you know that these gases also float through space, ...
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Suzanne Nielsen, Professor and Deputy Director, Monash Addiction Research Centre, Monash University Maxime Bhm/Unsplash A new group of drugs called nitazenes has been detected in Australia. They have been sold as heroin as well as other drugs like ketamine. Concerns ...
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Anne Twomey, Professor emerita, University of Sydney Image from Bradlow + Bock campaign Can the job of being a federal member of parliament be shared by two or more persons? Two prospective candidates for the inner-Melbourne federal seat of Higgins, Lucy ...
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Zoe Rathus, Senior Lecturer in Law, Griffith University Shutterstock In October 2023, the federal parliament passed major changes to how children’s cases are decided under the Family Law Act, which kick in next month. Among other things, they repeal a ...
Super-heavy frost in the south of the South; Jack’s iced us up good and proper!
And all the morons will use it to confirm that climate change isn’t real.
#here’s looking at you hyde
Not surprising, there’s plenty of morons who look at isolated weather events to argue from their corner rather than relying on longer term data.
Pretty sure Hyde would have been one of the colder places in NZ this morning 😉
http://www.davidwallphoto.com/detail/34904-Hoar-Frost-on-Hay-Bales,-near-Hyde,-Central-Otago,-South-Island,-New-Zealand.html
The reply to the deniers is to point how it might be affecting food growing in NZ (warm/harsh winter pattern we’re not used to).
a yes bad spelling gets me again that’s Hide as in rortney hide
Spot on b waghorn.
What the “deniers” fail to acknowledge is that part and parcel of climate change is that climatic events will be “more extreme” from here on.
Something to do with more energy in the system, as I understand it. (“Heat” is approximately equivalent to “energy”, I suppose, in this context).
But, as usual, the “deniers” won’t let FACTS get in the way of their self-propagating delusions.
It was very accurately described by an elderly lady some time ago.
“Boil a kettle on high heat it is much more tumultuous than boiling on low heat”.
Hence more extremes and more intense weather as the atmosphere warms.
yep nice frost in Mohua too. I’m loving the mountains with their snow on – making me be in the moment and also be mindful and also appreciative of the beauty. Hmm – might get into a cascade of appreciation…
According to my weather station* it’s a balmy 4c out here in the Cliff.
lotsa firewood in, nope, not going outside*
http://www.stuff.co.nz/business/farming/agribusiness/82831356/possum-industry-works-towards-its-own-demise
An industry perspective on possum control.
What dickheads the fur councll are .The govnments idea of killing all the possoms is a good one !! Bit like federated farmers saying they going to make a killing while the goings good then they all gonna become vegans ..victims of doc propaganda i guess .
Looking out of the window at the quince in my garden,
a sparrow lands on one of the tree’s rimed branches in a puff of fine ice crystals. The sky is blue, the air perfectly still, the sun is up but the temperature is sitting unmoved, on frigid!
I see the “stripper” has now been fired for offering sexual “extras” to clients.
So that snippet deals with the question of consent does it James ? If so, how ?
i see an unsafe work environment lawsuit coming.
She said she’d never do group events again because she felt threatened.
A feral group of 100kg guys pissed as would be enough to make a police officer armed with telescopic baton and pepper spray feel threatened.
Bernie Sanders’ op-ed –
http://www.latimes.com/opinion/op-ed/la-oe-sanders-message-20160805-snap-story.html
Thanks Joe. Puts the Clinton plan in perspective – as long as she actions them. I guess she needs a Democrat Senate?
Is anyone out there gullible enough to think that Hillary will implement Bernie’s policies? It is my bet that any concessions to him will be overridden by her “masters”.
spot on. Clinton is a neocon and supporter of regime change and soft coup programmes.
I and others here have no idea what you’re talking about !
Proof that you’re wrong, CV:
(1) Hillary’s a woman
(2) She’s a Democrat and everyone knows the Democrats – particularly the Democratic National Committee elites – are dovish, peace-loving liberals and progressives, committed to swift social justice, international Law and the benevolent selfless nurturing of Third World countries wherever they may be. Surely ?
(3) Hillary’s a woman
(4) Bill was cool when he put on those shades and played the sax.
(5) Hillary’s a woman
(6) Trump’s a nasty bogeyman who attacks Muslims and Mexicans, so Hillary must be OK and will make a mighty fine President.
(7) Hillary is very polite on a personal level and pleasant company to have a cuppa with, so she must advocate a benign foreign policy, focussed on the greater good. To suggest otherwise is pure misogyny !
(8) Hillary’s a woman and (as Sabine has so rightly pointed out) possesses a uterus.
(9) Let’s just forget all that yucky stuff about Iraq and Libya.
I do love her suit pants. Thrilling!
actually lets not forget all that yucky stuff about Iraq and Libya and lets mention
Bush the elder
Bush the second
Dick Cheyney
Will Powell
Condoleaza Rice
Donald Rumsfeld
Wolfowitz
Perle
Friedman
Mr Blair
Sarkozy
Howard
and any other of the coalition of the willing and bribed
all the bubbleheads at Fox News, CNN, NBC, ABC, MSNBC NPR and so on and so on that all went like Ohhhhh shock n awe.
all the us american public that needed to kill Sadam cause he insulted Poppy Bush
and then lets mention that Hilary has a uterus and that maybe some women choose to vote for the uterus cause they would like some fake religious republicans out of their uteri so that they don’t have to be incubators every time they would like to enjoy a romp, or because they don’t want to have their uterus fall out after the 19 th birth, or want to die of child birth, or want to have to give birth to a still born cause no medical care is provided.
Ahh just once i would like to be a man and pretend that these issues don’t exist, that women should not consider voting for their best interest.
lets also not mention that there are many in the US that have absolutely no issue with Lybia and Iraq or Afghanistan or Syria, or Iran or or or or and that will only vote on domestic issues.
and then lets all vote for donald trump and sing kumbaya 🙂 cause he is gonna safe the world.
And do wish for Donald Trump to loose 50 pounds, wear better pant suits and maybe even get a decent hair cut. also his hands, so small, no wonder meliana looks so peeved all the time 🙂
and above all lets not speak of the presnit of the last eight years, a geezer called Obama. Who of course did not start the wars in Lybia, Lebanon, Syria, nor did he escalate any situations, nor did he apprehend the evil doer of all Osama bin laden and such….nah t’was all Hilary, since at least the eighties this women has taken all the decision in the US…..twas all her.
See my comment from a few weeks ago:
http://thestandard.org.nz/latest-primaries-rubio-gone/#comment-1147660
Also: A few articles and opinion pieces on Clinton’s Aggressively Hawkish Foreign Policy:
And:
http://thestandard.org.nz/open-mike-11052016/#comment-1172398
Not to mention:
http://thestandard.org.nz/open-mike-16072016/#comment-1204385
“(1) Hillary’s a woman”
Try doing that kind of run through about Obama and see how it plays.
If you want to criticise Clinton, you don’t have to have a go at women voters to do it. Or women’s politics. Roe vs Wade every time leftie dudes, there’s no way round it (except for CV who is anti-abortion anyway).
I’m not anti-abortion. I’m against people like yourself dehumanising viable healthy pregnancies, then acting all caring about the babies four or five months later.
Good to know CV, I had assumed from previous comments that you didn’t support women’s right to choose what do about unplanned pregnancies.
I’d like a link to anything that supports your asserion that I dehumanise viable healthy pregnancies, then acting all caring about the babies four or five months later. Because I think you just made that up.
I think today’s abortion laws are 95% right.
And you are welcome to state what your actual position on what the human worth of an unborn fetus is.
Let’s assume that this isn’t an oversimplification of a conglomeration of several complex issues dealing with humanity, agency, and so on. Why are you against that? Do you not see any difference between a fertilised egg and a baby that’s just beginning its path to get a personality?
“Try doing that kind of run through about Obama and see how it plays”
Ok, let’s try it:
(1) Barak’s Black
That’s actually pretty much my point. Back in 2008, more than a few liberals and progressives were blind to Obama’s Establishment DNC credentials. Some of the more astute Left-leaning commentators in the US had been pretty sceptical about his capacity for real change right from the early stages of his Primary campaign. And certainly the moment he did his 2008 pre-Convention deal with the Clintons – all hope flew swiftly out the window.
But, of course, he was going to be the first ever Black President !!!, just as Hillary may be the first ever Female President – so everything’s OK.
For a certain type of affluent white liberal luvvie Democrat, electing a Black man to Office was the height of their progressive ambition … and they’ve been loudly congratulating themselves ever since. And It’ll be the same with Hillary.
As Counterpunch recently put it:
You see, at least half (probably more) of the “collateral damage” in wars started by Hillary (in order to cement her reputation in the history books as a tough-as-nails Pres) will possess a uterus. But, of course, they’re not affluent white American women, so what do they matter ?
Obama won Ad Age’s “marketer of the year” award for his highly manipulative and effective 2008 corporate branding and PR exercise.
Nevertheless, women have legitimate reasons to vote for Clinton without that being reduced to sarcastic ‘Hillary’s a woman’ comments. It’s patronising as fuck. As I said, it’s pretty easy to critique Clinton without doing that. Hell, it’s pretty easy to critique voting for Clinton without doing that.
“Ok, let’s try it:” [Obama]
How about you try it again, this time with the full patronising effect?
“But, of course, he was going to be the first ever Black President !!!, just as Hillary may be the first ever Female President – so everything’s OK.”
Who said everything’s ok?
“But, of course, they’re not affluent white American women, so what do they matter ?”
Specious argument unless you are suggesting they either don’t vote for vote for Trump (I don’t buy the Trump will blow up less foreign women argument). But beyond that, let’s break this down a bit. If Trump wins and appoints an anti-abortion judge and that leads to rollbacks on abortion law, we’re not just talking about affluent white women. We’re talking disproportionately about poor women and non-white women. Who end up further in poverty or risking their bodies and lives. Not to mention what then happens to those kids that are born, and on and on it goes.
And if Trump wins that battle it won’t end there. Roe vs Wade holds the line on a whole culture’s worth of safety for women. So when I hear left wing men making the argument against Clinton voters because of the lives of women in other countries, it just sounds a tad too convenient. Like women in the US should just suck it up because leftie men know what’s best for them and if they were real feminists and really cared about women they would be voting to protect women everywhere and stop being so selfish. Which of course is a complete and utter nonense, because Trump.
If I was seeing some decent analysis of the issues for women and why they might be voting Clinton it might be different. But I’m not, I’m hearing the same old class trumps gender tropes and women should wait their turn. Class is a significant issue and it won’t be solved by hierarchising it.
What’s “patronising as fuck” is assuming Hillary somehow automatically deserves the votes of women.
40% to 45% of College educated women do not back Hillary.
Good on them for their independent thinking, ability to see Hillary for the crappy kind of two faced woman she really is, and their smart discounting of liberal scaremongering about this election.
“What’s “patronising as fuck” is assuming Hillary somehow automatically deserves the votes of women.”
perhaps you should direct your comments at the people that believe that instead of at me.
just making a point that 40% to 45% of College educated women think that if the choice they are given is Hillary Clinton, then they’d prefer that women wait another turn for the Oval Office.
“If you want to criticise Clinton, you don’t have to have a go at women voters to do it.”
No. I was gently chiding the handful of posters here who seem unable to articulate precisely why (against all the accumulated evidence) they think Pres Hillary will be a force for good in foreign policy.
“I was gently chiding the handful of posters here who seem unable to articulate precisely why (against all the accumulated evidence) they think Pres Hillary will be a force for good in foreign policy.”
Who is that? And what does it have to do with her gender?
See some of my links (in my reply to Sabine above) on Clinton’s Aggressively Hawkish Foreign Policy.
When challenged on this, one or two posters here (can’t be bothered tracking them down at this late hour) either downplay her uber-militaristic proclivities in a mubbley-incoherent sort of way or (more often) go deadly quiet and change the subject to Trump.
So, in my tongue-in-cheek reply – let me just repeat that for you because it’s something you may not be familiar with: tongue-in-cheek reply – to CV’s point about Clinton being, in effect, a neocon, … I tried to envisage how some of those same posters might deal with his critique based on their defence of Hillary over recent weeks. One aspect of which appears to be that she possesses a uterus.
Yes, I get all that Swordfish. What I’m pointing out is that there is a problem with misusing gender in that way. Politically.
Trump believes climate change is a hoax. In that fact alone no one should support him.
That, and his team of economic advisors – five Steves, vulture capitalists and supply-side loons.
https://twitter.com/JoyAnnReid/status/762036668601868288
http://www.vox.com/2016/8/5/12387698/trump-billionaires-economists
And yet, Wall St gives over 95% of its donations to Hillary Clinton and the White House under Obama (and Bush) staffed key positions with former (and future) JP Morgan Goldman Sachs types.
You want to elect a climate change denier.
As I’ve said before. There ain’t 5ppm CO2 difference between Trump and Clinton.
Is Clinton a denier?
yep
https://youtu.be/dNxzH0Sugcc
http://www.fooledbyrandomness.com/FictionAndFacts3.pdf
There isn’t 5ppm difference between Trump and Clinton. And Clinton will say anything which is the flavour of the day. In the end, for Hillary, whoever donates enough to the Clinton foundation is what matters, as time has already proven.
Surely if lots donate all expecting favours, many will be disappointed – as compared to one big loner.
re Clinton friends and donations ( with friends like this…?):
‘Julian Assange special: Do Wikileaks have the email that will put Hillary Clinton in prison? (E376)’
https://www.rt.com/shows/going-underground/354847-wikileaks-dnc-leaks-russia/
“Afshin Rattansi goes underground with Julian Assange. We talk to the founder of Wikileaks about how the recent DNC leaks have no connection to Russia. Plus what are Hillary Clinton’s connections to Islamic State, Saudi Arabia and Russia?”
…”“The US government at the times when Hillary Clinton was in charge of the foreign policy did use Libya as a conduit to get arms to jihadists in Syria. That is well-established not just by a range of raw materials but also by … investigative reporters in the US, some of which were even published in The New York Times.”
“La Farge, which is … giant transnational concrete company was involved in Syria. There are more than 350 La Farge related emails in our Syria emails release. The investigations by Le Monde reveals that they paid ISIS money, taxes for their operations in certain areas, were engaged in a variety of business deals with ISIS.”
“Money from La Farge in 2015 and 2016 went to Hillary Clinton foundation. There is actually a long-term relationship between La Farge and Clinton; she was a member of the board.”
“There is also an extensive relationship between Hillary Clinton and Saudi Arabia , between the Clinton Foundation and Saudi Arabia. Saudi Arabia is probably the largest single donor to the Clinton Foundation and you can see Clinton’s arms export policies when she was a secretary of state favoring extensively Saudi Arabia.”…
Clintons past and present are so vile, it makes no difference what her position might be…
Subject to change for $$$
Read somewhere yesterday that the McCulley/sheep report by the Auditor General was complete and/but the lawyers have had it for a while. I guess the lawyers are scrambling to get McCulley off the hook and thus Key protected.
It is said that the report release is imminent. (Got all that from Twitter I think, and Hooton has a paywalled article about it.)
Mentioned by Fran O’Sullivan on Q&A this morning. They were discussing OIA’s and some of the current problems being encountered. She mentioned that press gallery editors will already have some information re-the Saudi report and will be meeting to decide how to handle it – or something along those lines. I didn’t like the sound of it. The public might only end up with a ‘revised’ version of the report?
I recommend listening to the panel discussion when it comes online. That is, if you don’t mind putting up with Josie Pagani as well.
Yes Anne. I fear that “they” might disinfect the report in the name of National Security or something. We will see soon I guess.
But blocked it would really rile the voters!
Here’s the interview that spurred the discussion.
http://tvnz.co.nz/q-and-a-news/complacent-nation-right-know-our-politicians-up-video-6485548
Mmmm –Gavin Ellis – ex editor of Herald . Wouldn’t he be better at writing a book titled “Compliant Nation”?
Cheri Honkala, what a star. Great interview.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FqFxJg4pe0s
‘Beijing sends bombers, fighter jets on combat patrols over contested S. China Sea’
https://www.rt.com/news/354863-bombers-south-china-sea/
…”On Friday, roughly 230 Chinese fishing vessels and Coast Guard ships passed by the Japanese-controlled islands of Senkaku in the East China Sea. The islands are called Diaoyu in China.
Japan’s Foreign Ministry said the action was a unilateral escalation of tensions and demanded the Chinese Coast Guard vessels leave the area immediately.
“This is a unilateral act that raises tensions … and it is unacceptable to us,” Kenji Kanasugi, from the Japanese foreign ministry said, according to the Kyodo news agency.
The remote islets in the East China Sea are administered by Japan, but also claimed by Taiwan.
Tensions between China and neighboring countries are running high in the region. China, Brunei, Malaysia, the Philippines, Taiwan and Vietnam all have territorial claims in the South China Sea, with the US insisting on what it calls freedom of navigation patrols close to Chinese-controlled islands.
Beijing previously refused to recognize an international arbitration ruling – initiated by the Philippines – in The Hague that declared null and void China’s claims over the group of islands which are 230km (143 miles) northwest of the Philippines mainland…
and
‘India watches anxiously as Chinese influence grows –
A $46bn economic corridor through disputed territories in Kashmir is causing most concern’
https://next.ft.com/content/e9baebee-0bd8-11e6-9456-444ab5211a2f?utm_source=taboola&utm_medium=referral#axzz49UmwBedB
“Talk of a new Silk Road may be intended to evoke romantic, non-threatening images of desert caravans, ancient ships and trade in exotic commodities. But China’s grand plan for a network of railways, highways, pipelines and ports across central Asia, and around Southeast Asia is generating anxiety in New Delhi…
Dammit, why can’t they actually just name the islands?
The directions they give shows no islands at all in the area.
Now, I’m pretty sure that they’re talking about the Spratleys which are between 100km and 500km away from the Philippines and ~1000+ km away from China.
There’s also the Blue Ridge Seamount which is 230km West of the Philippines.
Obviously didn’t get out a bloody map.
Andrew Becroft, new Children’s Commissioner, throws down the gauntlet to the Government on the restructuring of CYF.
http://www.stuff.co.nz/national/politics/opinion/82895107/whats-in-a-name-its-just-the-beginning
” Isn’t it encouraging and reassuring that so many New Zealanders want to be involved in choosing the name for the agency to replace CYFs?
Everyone has a view. Clearly the public wants the new agency to get off to the best possible start. And the new name will send a powerful signal.
Of course, the decision is entirely and properly for the Cabinet. But, thanks to the Fairfax poll, the Cabinet is not stuck for choices. It is surely healthy for the Cabinet to know the public’s views.
Fairfax will ensure the results of the poll are passed onto the Cabinet. So will I.
Whatever the name chosen, we need to remember this is no simple (and expensive) re-branding exercise.”
Polite and respectful…but oh, so….emphatic.
Onya, Andrew Becroft. Great start!
Sounds about right….
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8qIQbydyHwc&feature=youtu.be
Livid about Salisbury School. Parata is a cold cold women for wanting those girls to go to a co-ed school, some of the girls have been victims of sexual abuse.
How dare they bully them into closure again, with their wrap around service, parents don’t even know about Salisbury School anymore, no one tells them, and the ones that do have a devil of a time even trying to access it, because of the wrap around service.
Again Parata attempts to bully them in to closure, sick of it. Having much to do with the school over my life time, i understand how valuable this resource is, especially in this day and age, this school kept and keeps young girls SAFE, safe from family violence, alcohol abusive parents, safe from sexual abuse, safe from the bullying that so many children with learning disabilities experience.
Nick Smith will lose votes for endorsing this idea of closure, the nasty man just wants to grab the land there, after all it is prime real estate.
Parata is coming to town tomorrow.
http://www.stuff.co.nz/nelson-mail/82872764/community-rallies-for-salisbury-ahead-of-ministers-visit
“…the nasty man just wants to grab the land there, after all it is prime real estate.”
Aha! So that’s why. Who actually owns the land Jenz? The MOE?
Is there a plan for the land in the pipeline?
Despite the constant call for ‘mainstreaming’, specialist schools such as Salisbury, with such an outstanding reputation, are still very much needed.
Obvious that those making these decisions haven’t got the first clue. I’m impressed by the calibre of the supporters.
petition signed….https://www.change.org/p/david-wales-education-govt-nz-keep-salisbury-school-open-to-give-girls-with-the-most-needs-the-choice-they-deserve
& wheres the defenders of Charter Schools about this? Here is a public school specialising in an area where other public schools might be lacking, parents have a choice of sending their kids there, the school works & is successful, is it because they not run for profit & has unionised teachers? Defend this great school!
+100000000
Will ask my folks about who owns the land both of whom have been involved with the school for years.
I did ask Parata via talkback radio if she was bullying the school into closure via wraparound service, that was a year ago, she said she wasnt, I feel she lied to me.
Another article was posted on stuff this morning. Thanks so much for your support and for posting the link to the petition Rosemary. Our community will fight tooth and nail top keep it open. CLosing it will not solve the housing crisis Nick Smith.
http://www.stuff.co.nz/national/education/82907792/exstudents-back-fight-to-save-salisbury-school-at-rally-in-richmond
And a brilliant interview on Natrad this morning, in the prime spot too!
http://www.radionz.co.nz/national/programmes/ninetonoon/audio/201811227/battle-to-keep-salisbury-school-open
” However since that time the government changed the enrollment system for special residential schools, meaning potential students can’t enroll directly, and have to be referred by the Ministry’s Intensive Wraparound Service. Phil Treweek is the father of a 15 year old girl – Ellen – who has been at Salisbury for two weeks.It took five applications over the last two years to finally get her into the school and the family is gutted to think it will close. He says the enrolment model is ridiculous – requiring a girl to have severe behavioural issues as well as intellectual disabilities to get into the school and because Ellen was well behaved at school, they could not get her into the school until her behaviour deteriorated.”
And this is absolutely bloody typical…you can’t access a service before crisis point is reached.
So, you have to wait until the wheels are actually falling off before fixing the problem, rather than getting in when the wobbles first start.
“It means that by 2025 we will have to have closed down all coal-fired power stations across the planet,” said John Schellnhuber, director of the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research. “And by 2030 you will have to get rid of the combustion engine entirely. That decarbonisation will not guarantee a rise of no more than 1.5C but it will give us a chance. But even that is a tremendous task.”
https://www.theguardian.com/science/2016/aug/06/global-warming-target-miss-scientists-warn
Good to see that being stated explicitly. Pity about the CCS nonsense though.
“It could do the trick,” said Cambridge University climate expert Professor Peter Wadhams. “The trouble is that you would need to cover so much land with plants for combustion you would not have enough space to grow food or provide homes for Earth’s wildlife. In the end, I think we just have to hope that some kind of extraction technology, as yet unimagined by scientists, is developed in the next couple of decades. If not, we are in real trouble.”
nonsense….or desperate hope?
I suppose it depends on what one means by real trouble. Someone in that article says we could shut down coal plants quickly but people would suffer. These things get said but often not quantified. For me personally, I think we should powerdown now as quickly as possible and take the reduction in standard of living in our stride. There is so much the developped countries could give up and still live meaningful lives. While that might be unlikely to happen politically (at this point), at least it is a real possiblity, more real than keeping our heated towel rails, two car families and overseas holidays and hoping for a tech solution that isn’t even on the horizon yet.
If we want to look at sequestration we should be looking at regenag, but even there we will need to conserve energy and shift to steady state economies.
“There would be insufficient power for the planet. There is an upper limit to the rate at which we can move to a carbon-free future.”
I don’t think he’s concerned about people not having warm towels or a second SUV.
I’m betting he’s worried about Western lifestyle decline though. There is ample power on the planet. Just not enought for capitalism as well as the people.
or perhaps he’s worried we can maintain a coherent society to provide the wherewithal to discover that as yet undiscovered carbon sequestration technique.
Perhaps, although I think that unless people have actively gone through a de-civ process of their world view most people are very scared of the idea of the powerdown (unnecessarily so IMO), and it’s hard to separate that out from other more rational concerns.
And if we did a relatively fast power down, would we need high tech CCS anyway?
“And if we did a relatively fast power down, would we need high tech CCS anyway?”
apparently so according to those involved
They’re not talking about a relatively fast power down though.
“People would have to make sacrifices, but if we are talking about having to endure something like war rationing vs catastrophic impacts on multiple human societies (including mass deaths and permanent disruption to communities and lives), then it’s not really a choice.”
many may not be as sanguine as yourself about such a proposition
Yes, and I did say above that it thought it unlikely at the moment. But it’s still more real than CCS tech saving the day 😉
As for being sanguine, I just find it a more useful strategy. Easier on the psyche too.
don’t know about you but i think the end of IC engines by 2030 could be considered relatively fast (and coal generation by 2025)…..consider how much the internal combustion engine features in almost every aspect of our lives….it will be very difficult to replace such a mobile source of energy …yes electricity can in many instances (not all) but often it comes with many limitations that will need to be adapted to and the subsequent reduction in efficiency will also be a very significant factor
True, yet that framing is about replacing tech while not having to change too much in terms of lifestyle or economy, and it still relies on us developping CCS tech that we don’t even know is possible.
Fast transition would be changing in a few years to prevent the worst of AGW and not relying on sequestration tech we don’t have. Would that cause disruptions to lifestyle and the economy? Yes, but it doesn’t have to be harsh (I’m not suggesting a forced collapse) and we have the leeway to do it now using the tech, infrastructure and systems supported by fossil fuels. If the choice is a fast transition and a much better chance of averting runaway CC, or a 30 year transition with a much lower chance, then I’d choose the former, no brainer.
People would have to make sacrifices, but if we are talking about having to endure something like war rationing vs catastrophic impacts on multiple human societies (including mass deaths and permanent disruption to communities and lives), then it’s not really a choice.
(this btw is why I find it weird when some on ts accuse me of being in denial about the seriousness of AGW or having rose tinted glasses. My own position is relatively radical).
Someone tell this imminent person that we are already up to 1.3 deg C in the first 6 months of this year, that we’ve only seen half the warming from 1980s emissions, and that’ we’ve seen basically none of the warming from the emissions of the last 10 years.
That includes the warming from the ~30 gigatonnes of coal that China has burnt in the last decade.
think its safe to say the scientists quoted in the article know considerably more about this than anyone commenting on here.
“However, figures – based on Met Office data – prepared by meteorologist Ed Hawkins of Reading University show that average global temperatures were already more than 1C above pre-industrial levels for every month except one over the past year and peaked at +1.38C in February and March. Keeping within the 1.5C limit will be extremely difficult, say scientists, given these rises.”
Of course they know more, but their pay is also dependent on the political expectations of their funders, which directly affects what they will say and state in public.
BTW keeping to 1.5 deg C is IMPOSSIBLE.
“Someone tell this imminent (sic) person that we are already up to 1.3 deg C in the first 6 months of this year”….I have a sneaking suspicion he may already know.
The current peak in surface temperatures has been “fuelled” by a whopping El Nino which is now in decline. The last such event was the El Nino of 1998. I’m not saying that Surface Temperatures won’t increase in the future – they will. But the likelihood in the near future is that they will plateau before increasing again towards the next ENSO cycle.
We can’t predict the future climate from one or two years climate – the trend needs at least 30 years of data to give any accurate extrapolation into the future. This is what makes forecasting climatic trends so very difficult. Never the less the models have given fairly accurate predictions over the recent past and the modelling would indicate that we are certainly on track for a 2 – 4 degree rise above pre-industrial levels by the end of the century if we continue with BAU
“We can’t predict the future climate from one or two years climate – the trend needs at least 30 years of data to give any accurate extrapolation into the future.”
No I don’t imagine one or two years would be of much use but we have more than that and by all accounts we are already trending above expectations and that 2-4%average for BAU I believe is now considered somewhat conservative.
Essentially I am replying to the comment of CV where he uses the recent rapid warming of the last 14 months to indicate that that will continue on into the future. It won’t. Nor should we talk it up – because those who seek to deny will immediately start in on the “no more warming” mantra that climate realists have been subjected to over the past 15 + years when there is another pause or “Hiatus” caused by a strong La Nina. The trend is certainly upwards, but we should not think that it is heading into the stratosphere just yet. Yes 1.5 is most likely in the rear vision mirror – but we are not there yet – and there is recent evidence that CCS has worked in Norway.