Keep putting the slipper in Phil, the righties may taunt ‘rogue poll’ today but it is getting interesting. ShonKey and Banksie will likely be spending more time together. Vote Banksie get Brash too. Another poll in this direction and Nat candidate withdrawal orders will be issued. http://tiny.cc/3v61b
Aye Tiger. That cuppa between Key and Banks looks a certainty now.
And on the subject of polls can I express my own theory on their accuracy. There is an inherent bias in them. For instance out west I know far too many poor people without landlines who are never asked for their opinion.
The results tend to be close to the poll results because Labour people unfortunately are less inclined to vote. But a good turnout will change this around.
Labour has a very effective turnout capability. For instance in the Botany by election the turnout in the Labour area was 83% of the turnout at the previous general election. In the National area it was only 53%.
But it is going to take a lot of work. So onward brothers and sisters!
Mickey, you must remember a few elections ago Mike Williams was asked at 9.30 on election night (by the trained performing seals who call themselves political commentators) “was he ready to concede a National victory”?
Williams reply was that “the South and West Auckland returns would come in later, and that Labour would win…”.
He was spot on, Labour squeaked it. If Manukau, Henderson, Porirua, East Christchurch etc turn out Labour will have enough this time. That is the challenge.
I was initially confident but became quite despondent when the nats were 10 points ahead at about 9:10 pm. I was with David Cunliffe and suggested that he start to give a concession speech for assembled activists. He started talking and thankfully it was a long speech. Part way through I can recall the sudden bump as the big urban booths. Managed through hand signals to stop David from conceding the election!
Last election I again waited for the bump but it never came. Looking at the booth results afterwards the causes were clear. In the three South Auckland Labour strongholds 15,000 Labour voters just did not turn up. If they turn up this time then Labour will have a chance.
’05? I was at the Chch combined electorates do that night. At 9pm it was pretty downbeat, around 9.30 the MP’s started to arrive, all happy that they had retained their seats, but still a bit down. Sometime after 10, the party vote for Labour crept passed the Nat’s total and we started to understand that Peter Dunne’s foolish boast that he would back the majority party meant we were in with a chance. By 11, the joint was rocking!
Rogue poll, indeed, TM. The cuppa will be today, on the back of this poll result. Key now knows he needs mates for sure. The interesting thing will be the response in Epsom; do the locals take the hint or do they tell Banksie to do one instead. And isn’t it nice to see ACT totally reliant on the rich man’s charity? Apt or what?
Time for that nice little story about Banks to come out methinks, just after this cup of tea con job. Every Labour/Green voter in Epsom should be voting for Goldsmith as well. Democratic principles obviously don’t matter squat in that ‘rotten borough’.
Polls will become clearer nearer election day… …yeah right.
Look I don’t believe for one moment that everyone has made
up their mind, and so we know that those who have are
favoring Key, what’s the puzzle, people who are ideologically
delude do that as a rule. People who however are open minded
are likely to be progressive and leave it to the last moment.
Also money talks, so polls are brought by the rich to give
the voter block that sees election as a game, that they just
want to vote for the winner the nudge to vote National.
But when middle class affluent people like a CGT, they
are hurting form the debt crisis, they know asset sales
are stupid, then we have to wonder about why the polls
are so out of wack, well if more people are undecided
then polls will obvious pick up core supporter not
swing voters.
And remember Key polls dropped 8%?? on election day.
So get the vote out, remind people to vote Green on
the party and Labour in the constituency.
Streuth cobbers if we had a real MSM shonkey and blinglish would still be getting hammered over the dodgiest budget ever produced on top of double dipton, those transrail eyes, beemers, mirror mirror trusts have it all, let alone all the deliberate lies back in 08 to get elected as the hollowmen has shown.
The arrogance and deception may just cost him more than the back room have calculated already….time will tell.
And if you needed further proof of the bullshit that on-line instant polls are, then this is it, and the Herald of all papers has exposed it. AT LAST. MULTI voting exposed.
Strange though that the Herald cannot miss a chance to reveal that some votes (2) came from within parliament, and guess which party is identified as having received them. Clue, it is not their beloved National.
Aha! Interesting! While the NZH couldn’t resist a swipe at Labour/Goff, surely the more interesting revelation is the number of repeat votes for Paula Benefit & Nikki Kaye, from outside parliament. This indicates how the astroturfers roll with such polls. PB had the highest number of repeat votes and Ardern had many more “genuine” votes than Kaye.
But more interesting, I think Deborah Coddington and DF have been… what’s the Interwebz jargon? p*ned?
They were outraged that a journalism school would be producing such a tabloidish poll:
So is this what they teach aspiring political journalists in our state-run institutions? Rating the sex appeal – or not – of our Members of Parliament? It’s tasteless, obnoxious, and demeaning.
Sue Moroney spoke very well re. education on the Breakfast show, and even Corrin Dann made a point of saying ‘yet again the government have not fronted up’.
This, to me, says two things
1) They have no faith in any of their policies (if they actually have any), their Ministers, or they are scared of being shown up, and
2) They are totally reliant on their figurehead getting them home.
The more that can be made of their refusal to discuss issues and the more that actual, sound policy can be communicated, the better.
I love how political journalists can moan about this stuff without a hint of self-awareness. It’s their fault that the campaign is boring and that John Key doesn’t need to bother trying.
They’re the ones who have allowed him to sleepwalk to victory for three fucking years.
If Andrea wants to make her job more interesting, all she has to do is start DOING her job.
To be fair, I think she did a fair call on National
– announcing already announced policy (i.e. they’ve got nothing new)
– announcing policy that is mundane and will not address recommendations
– policy announcements that only announce the obvious
Then she called National on it’s plan to do nothing that will rock the boat and rely on riding Key’s popularity back into office.
However, she then goes on to criticise Labour for “focus(ing) on top-10 lists, Mr Key’s integrity and his Hawaiian getaways. What happened to talking about the hard choices?”
But didn’t she just say that National where using Key as their substitute for flagship policy? So wouldn’t you expect the opposition to spend sometime showing that Key is wearing no clothes?
“Despite the pretence that this election is all about austerity and chunky policy, really this campaign has been nothing more than a series of orchestrated and unnatural photo-ops. ”
This is demonstrates the lack of self-awareness that Blue points out. Labour tried to talk about chunky policy and all the media concentrated on was who called who a liar and showing the money.
So Labour presents a list of Key’s failures and what does Patrick Gower do? He ignored the list and concentrated on Goff’s use of the word smug. Seesh!
Is it any wonder that journos are ranked among the bottom-feeder occupations.
It’s Friday and we need a laugh – it may be my weird sense of humour but I like the photo from the Herald this morning. Bith Key and Banks have RED hair!
[lprent: grummphhhh…. I was just thinking that I don’t think that simple bigotry is really a reason to change your vote. Then I remembered Brash’s simple moron level bigotry in Owera One was pretty much the reason for winning an election in 2005. But didn’t you read my post yesterday – the undead have no souls.. So no votes for… ]
The red hair amused me in terms of political colours and was not intended to be derogatory to redheads – have several in my family as well as a brilliant ginga cat who is the most laid back, non-physcho cat I have ever had.
Speaking on behalf of me and my people, when the RWJNs have been through the political re-education camps, we are coming after all who disparage the golden ones.
Chris73 – look over your shoulder – we know were you live 😉
please help. i am a honky and live in the manawatu, rangitikei electorate. i was wandering if i was able to vote for mana party or is that option only for voters on the maori role?
[lprent: I’d suggest that you badly need a civics lesson because you appear to be ignorant of the simple basics of electoral system.
But yes – you can on the party list, and if Mana stand a electorate candidate you can vote for them as well. ]
thanx idlegus, its refreshing to hear a politician articulate what you want heard and its even more surprising to hear it from “a hater and wrecker” from the far north: financial transaction tax, feed the poor children from the defence budget, $15 minimum wage, first $27, 000 tax free.
sounds like stuff you expect from the left.
Two ticks for you, g says. Josie Pagani for the electorate vote, Labour for the party vote. Ok, Mana for the party vote, if you really must! There is a candidates meeting in Feilding on Monday night at the St Johns Ambo Hall, Bowen St. It would be great to have an extra lefty or two there, so please turn up and bring a friend if you can.
More details here (and a photo of a candidate who likes to horse around!):
Seems I’ve hit on Farrar’s soft point. This exchange from yesterday.
“The health consequences of eating junk food are well known – diabetes etc – with massive costs to future health budgets, loss of productivity etc.
Surely it’s a good thing to promote healthy food choices in schools so I don’t understand DPF’s objection. Just doesn’t make sense. Unless of course it’s some sort of projection. Is DPF overweight by any chance?”
[DPF: If you do not know the difference between promote and ban, go get a dictionary. And any more personal swipes at me will get you banned]
Several National and Maori Party MPs have had expensive private bariatric (stomach reduction) surgery that they are lucky enough to be able to afford (on their large MP salaries) because it costs $20,000 -$30,000. This option is only available to a very small number of people in the public system so you have to have private means to get it (ie rich). Being overweight is a genetic, metabolic and pyschological condition, as well as socio- economic as cheaper food tends to be poorer quality, sweeter and fattier – it is not a personal failing.
So it would be sensible to do the preventive thing and make it hard for people with the risk factors to access the triggers such as advertising, cheap junk food etc. So healthy regulations in school canteens is an ideal policy. Why the right are so against such regulations and also against funding bariatric surgery in the public system shows how mean minded and almost vindictive their policies re obesity are.
(And if David F did ever want bariatric surgery it would be no problem for a rich person like him to get it , as there are no waiting lists in NZ for this private surgery).
John Banks has a meltdown, Tim Watkin does the Hokey Pokey
Earlier this week John Key claimed that ACT is “a stable party”.
But as the saying goes, “A picture paints a thousand words”.
Here is a Three Thousand Word Photo Essay from the Epsom meet the candidates debate hosted in the Somervell Presbyterian Church, Wednesday night.
John Banks and the other candidates will be having a rematch at the Parnell Farmers Market tomorrow, Saturday. Come along with all your friends bring a camera and you may capture some Action Shots of your own from the Epsom campaign trail.
1/ The Awful Truth:
MANA Epsom candidate Pat O’Dea shows the people of Epsom who they are really voting for.
2/ She’s Gonna Blow:
O’Dea leaves Brash’s picture propped against the lectern. The MANA and the Greens Candidate look on grimly as John Banks lays out ACT’s right wing agenda. (National’s Paul Goldsmith can be seen peering around the lectern. Behind Banks, Labour candidate David Parker reclines looking relaxed.)
3/ All Hell breaks loose!
Labour’s David Parker suddenly sits bolt upright in his chair, looking on amazed, as Tim Watkin, pushed aside by Banks in a frenzied attack on the sign, tries to recover his balance.
Behind them John Banks blind with rage bumps into a table as he staggers around the stage frustratedly trying to tear up his leader’s image.
hah the worm has turned and not a sight of the cheeky little chappy telling us which way to vote.
ipredict that national is on the skids.
nik smif should have stuck to analysing landslides instead of nwo becoming one.
hahahahahahaha.
Campbell Live ran a story last night concerning the oil and gas industry in Taranaki. During the show there was a number of industry types talking it up…
Jeez, one poll (Herald Digi this a.m.) and the Gargoyle from Curia Blog hits the big clunky “ooh..scary co-alition!” panic button. Not so long ago Hone Harawira was an acceptable partner for ShonKey in co-alition. Heh. So Farrar is scaremongering, the piece (with suitable late additions) reads like it was ‘prepared earlier’ months ago even. http://tiny.cc/zsubv
Not half mate – and reading the comments all them poor oppressed small businessmen, none of whom ever fiddle taxes or reclaim the GST for everything, will all be rushing off to Australia at the thought of a left sided government.
I’ll happily give them a lift to the airport if we DON’T have a national government.
I figured that a large can at 4/5% could equal 1.3 std drnks, so that math is okay, but I have no idea what beer they’re looking at – per doz it’s probably a loss-leader.
Concerned about private sector debt. Won’t do a thing to seriously try to increase savings or direct investment out of property speculation funded by international loans and into productive investment.
“Labour has spent $16 billion of money they don’t have on the campaign trail.” Key says
Hasn’t this been clearly shown to be a falsehood? How are they still getting away with saying it? Magic numbers. I thought the big headline was $100 million, or $4 Billion or or or and in any case it is all based on a Prefu that doesn’t factor in Italy going belly up…so!!
Well I’ve had three bankers tell me how to vote.
One was Irish and reckoned a nod for the Nats or Act.
Two were Kiwis and they have been solid Green supporters for a long time. Hmmm….
they’re gunna keep coming. Might as well keep them handily reported for people…
hows that business cred John? The lady working at McDs (I think it was) on TV3 last night had more knowledge about how the economics of the minimum wage works that you unless you were deliberately lying to the country to try to scare them into voting your way…
as Brian Fallow says : ” fatuous and self serving”
By telling the McDonalds lady that there would be a bump for the minimum wage next year is meant to show the voters that perhaps there will be $15 because Mr Key said so, sort of. Hooray says the nice lady.
But the bump might be upwards to $13.25 or downwards to say $12. Next year that nice Mr Key could say that he didn’t promise anything. And he didn’t.
Not sure what you watched- I caught a clip of what I thought was her pawning Key and now backed up with an inconvenient report. Will see if the vid is around to link to.@
Apologies about the cut and paste but I like this article very very much:
Currently minimum wage is $13 an hour.National would like to lower it – for some workers to as little as $10.90.
It says putting the minimum wage up, as other parties would, would mean employers would simply shed jobs.
But 3 News has obtained Treasury documents that dispute that.Workers at McDonald’s wanted to place a simple order this election; ‘Do something about our McWages’. If they could have anything, staff say it would be for minimum wage to go up to $15.
Given the chance, McDonald’s employee Mary Liddicoat took her order right to the top.She asked Prime Minister John Key, “Will the minimum wage go up to $15 an hour soon?”.
“It will go up, but it won’t go up straight away,” he responded.That’s a polite ‘no’.
Key has no intention of super-sizing their pay anytime soon. He says it will cost 6000 jobs.
Mary wasn’t buying that.“I can’t see how you would lose that many jobs by taking it up that much,” she said.
The Government’s own officials agree with her.The Department of Labour says the rise will cost 6000 jobs.
But Treasury has a counter view; “This has not been true in the past. The balance of probabilities is that a higher minimum wage does not cost jobs.”
Not all employers are worried about a hike either. Andy Martin runs a pub, employing 26 people in Oamaru.He says put the wage up and people just spend more money – everyone wins.
“$15 is fair,” he says.
So Mary had another request for Key:“Try and live on $450 a week.”
“Look, I think it would be very difficult for anyone to do that,” he said.
______________________________________________________________________________
And another dose of sheesh for inciting racial bluster goes to the Penguin:
in his Herald column/blog thing:
[Harawira] would not trust any Department headed up and/or staffed by Pakeha mofos.”
I thought Goff had ruled out working with Harawira point 1.
Point 2- seemed Hone worked fine in the Maori party arrangement with National.
Point 3- errr…He seems happy with plenty of Pakeha mofos in his party- you know the kind that can remember where they were during the Springbok tour and the kind who are into seriously doing something about the underclass.
It’s a laugh inducing piece that makes you think that the Nats must actually be taking this lot seriously to let their pr guy do this weak a hatchett job.
really? you think Len Brown is more worried about Andy Williams than John Banks or Steve Joyce? And would be worried about a Labour-led government committed to making the Auckland rail work? The possibility of the new savvy Greens with bright young Labour talent such as Jacinda is making me cross my fingers and go out looking for shooting stars. Would be bloody nice.
still at least the political satire exists in NZ. was concerned it was a goner!
Ohhh and you are worried about Tourism- well I’m sure we can find someone- well actually anyone who would front the BBC and not say ” we’re more 100% pure than other countries”
and would be screaming blue murder to get the oil off a tanker before it got anywhere near any of our beaches. Someone who might be able to argue for our 100% campaign from the
basis of a polluter pays ETS.
Talked to Darien earlier this week, she’s really got her finger on the pulse of labour and industrial relations priorities. $15/hr minimum wage is simply a starting point to give ordinary workers a hope at having economic jobs.
First, if you look around the world you see that the big determining factor for interest rates isn’t the level of government debt but whether a government borrows in its own currency. Japan is much more deeply in debt than Italy, but the interest rate on long-term Japanese bonds is only about 1 percent to Italy’s 7 percent. Britain’s fiscal prospects look worse than Spain’s, but Britain can borrow at just a bit over 2 percent, while Spain is paying almost 6 percent.
What has happened, it turns out, is that by going on the euro, Spain and Italy in effect reduced themselves to the status of third-world countries that have to borrow in someone else’s currency, with all the loss of flexibility that implies. In particular, since euro-area countries can’t print money even in an emergency, they’re subject to funding disruptions in a way that nations that kept their own currencies aren’t — and the result is what you see right now.
Of course, if countries were being rational and keeping their own currency they’d be able to just print the money and not pay any interest at all.
No wonder Paula Benefit has been looking rougher than usual lately, TV3 turned up the progress on the Fuller privacy case mediation that had been stalled for about a year. It seems a case against the Minister by the Human Rights Tribunal may proceed. Mr Hesketh from the tribunal did not want the matter reported apparently and Bennett is whinging about the matter being made public.
Hmmm. Not fun is it being outed in public guilty, or innocent.
Who writes these headlines? And could they get any more biased?
The entire article is a carefully crafted to engage sympathy for Whittall, along with a nice sympathetic picture. Can’t have people remembering how Key so closely associated himself with him … not this close to an election.
MANA MEDIA RELEASE
FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE
11 NOVEMBER 2011
STREET SURVEY WOULD SEE MANA WITH 4 MPs
“The results of a street survey conducted by the NZ Herald confirm what we’ve been hearing on the ground” said MANA Leader Hone Harawira.
“With just over 3% of the party vote, me, Annette Sykes, John Minto and Sue Bradford would become Members of Parliament for MANA.”
Harawira said that was an exciting prospect and showed that MANA was a growing political force in New Zealand politics.
“The NZ Herald survey also highlighted the fact that MANA is being embraced by Pasifika, Pakeha and others struggling to make ends meet” said Harawira
“That reflects the broad base of high quality candidates that we are putting forward (Samoan James Papali’i is ranked sixth) and is clearly appealing to a wide cross-section of society.”
Harawira said that the survey also confirmed another matter that MANA had been pointing out “and that is that landline polls no longer accurately reflect the way people are going to vote – particularly Maori, Pasifika and those on low incomes who overwhelmingly use cell phones these days”
Harawira said that MANA’s key messages were clearly connecting with voters – eradicate poverty, full employment, decent wages, and free education and health.
“And I think people believe in what we say because they know our candidates have dedicated their lives to improving the lives of others.”
“Annette has an unparalleled record of fighting for Maori rights in the courts, John is a national icon for his stands against apartheid and racism and Sue has long been a champion for the unemployed” said Harawira.
“I can’t wait for election day” said Harawira.
“The country will be pleasantly surprised when MANA gets into parliament – certainly the poor will be happy to see that they have strong representation from people like Annette, John, and Sue, although I doubt that those parties representing the interests of the rich will be too pleased.
I’m finding this whole ‘regime change’ in Europe more and more distasteful. Economists installed as leaders in Italy and Greece, instead of democratic elections because the ‘markets’ won’t tolerate a delay in changing the government. And how do markets make that happen? By pricing loans at such a level that they’ll take down the countries. The markets lent the money at a price that accounted for risk – they should be taking a haircut but instead are now in complete control.
And for those who think lazy, feckless workers are in part responsible for this mess…
Alas, one would be disappointed, … In 1997 unit labor costs in Italy stood at about eighty percent of those in Germany, and ten years later, they were, well, about eighty percent. Through the late 1990s and early 2000s the ratio actually declined, before returning to slightly above four-fifths.
But, of course, even if Italians were not paid more, they should not have been because they were “doing less work”. Again, the statistics disappoint, because Eurostat (the EU database) reports that in 2009-2011 Italians in full time employment, public and private, worked a lazy average of 38 hours per week, compared to a robust 35.7 for the industrious Germans
@ Rosy: I find the “regime change” business terrifying, along with the hollow rhetoric that serves as justifications: nations “living beyond their means” etc, when the truth is exactly as you say – loans are used to take down countries. The weird thing is these crises are all about how a certain game is played – the world contains roughly the same amount of actual resources after the crisis as it did before. Another weird thing – the crises are largely created by people who do not command armies, just numbers on screens. The loan thing seems to go: we give you lots of nice numbers and in return we take your actual resources and enslave you.
I think the question now is ‘what is the circuit-breaker going to be?’ … and the absolute hypocrisy of the US position on Europe just does my head in. Yeah CV it really does feel like the endgame (sadly, of democracy, not the money men, methinks).
“I’m finding this whole ‘regime change’ in Europe more and more distasteful. Economists installed as leaders in Italy and Greece, instead of democratic elections”
Almost all of my Italian friends are over the moon at the prospect of Berlusconi’s going, but even so, they and I, find the reason disconcerting!
The ousting of Papandreou (sp?) is an order of magnitude dodgier!
For most Italians, the party ended a very long time ago: growth over the past 15 years has been a slovenly 0.75%; unemployment currently stands at 8.3%; the influential Catholic charity Caritas estimates that 8 million Italians are now living in poverty. If the country isn’t yet at rock bottom, it’s hard to think there’s much further to go.
and
Everyone knows that it’s almost impossible to get a job in Italy on merit alone. One needs a raccomandazione, a recommendation or referral. You have to be a figlio di…, a son, or daughter, of some big wig. All of which means there has been an incredible brain-drain from Italy in recent decades: bright youngsters have fled the country looking for a job and a salary that match their skills. If, in tight economic times, performance suddenly becomes more important than who your relations are, some of those emigre brains might book a return ticket.
Brain drain, jobs for siblings and the conected (Shipley, Mervyn English, etc…)
“All of which means there has been an incredible brain-drain from Italy in recent decades: bright youngsters have fled the country looking for a job and a salary that match their skills.”
My first Italian friend in NZ (I met him in 2005) came into this category… (he was my English student). Now he has his own business and considers himself a New Zealander, and has started a family here, to the unhappiness of his parents and parents-in-law, they won’t return.
I just read a Herald column by Farrar (oh, what a nasty man!). I thought he was a Nact official. Why does he have a column in the Herald?
He says “The reason for this is that the level of a benefit is calculated on an after-tax basis. ” – and I have to say, that’s news to me! Why then do we pay taxes on our benefits? (Be assurred that we do.)
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In the sprint to deepen Australia-India defence cooperation, navy links have shot ahead of ties between the two countries’ air forces and armies. That’s largely a good thing: maritime security is at the heart of ...
'Cause you and me, were meant to be,Walking free, in harmony,One fine day, we'll fly away,Don't you know that Rome wasn't built in a day?Songwriters: Paul David Godfrey / Ross Godfrey / Skye Edwards.I was half expecting to see photos this morning of National Party supporters with wads of cotton ...
The PSA says a settlement with Health New Zealand over the agency’s proposed restructure of its Data and Digital and Pacific Health teams has saved around 200 roles from being cut. A third of New Zealanders have needed help accessing food in the past year, according to Consumer NZ, and ...
John Campbell’s Under His Command, a five-part TVNZ+ investigation series starting today, rips the veil off Destiny Church, exposing the rot festering under Brian Tamaki’s self-proclaimed apostolic throne. This isn’t just a church; it’s a fiefdom, built on fear, manipulation, and a trail of scandals that make your stomach churn. ...
Some argue we still have time, since quantum computing capable of breaking today’s encryption is a decade or more away. But breakthrough capabilities, especially in domains tied to strategic advantage, rarely follow predictable timelines. Just ...
This is a re-post from Yale Climate Connections by Pearl Marvell(Photo credit: Pearl Marvell. Image credit: Samantha Harrington. Dollar bill vector image: by pch.vector on Freepik) Igrew up knowing that when you had extra money, you put it under a bed, stashed it in a book or a clock, or, ...
The political petrified piece of wood, Winston Peters, who refuses to retire gracefully, has had an eventful couple of weeks peddling transphobia, pushing bigoted policies, undertaking his unrelenting war on wokeness and slinging vile accusations like calling Green co-leader Chlöe Swarbrick a “groomer”.At 80, the hypocritical NZ First leader’s latest ...
It's raining in Cockermouth and we're following our host up the stairs. We’re telling her it’s a lovely building and she’s explaining that it used to be a pub and a nightclub and a backpackers, but no more.There were floods in 2009 and 2015 along the main street, huge floods, ...
A recurring aspect of the Trump tariff coverage is that it normalises – or even sanctifies – a status quo that in many respects has been a disaster for working class families. No doubt, Donald Trump is an uncertainty machine that is tanking the stock market and the growth prospects ...
The National Party’s Minister of Police, Corrections, and Ethnic Communities (irony alert) has stumbled into yet another racist quagmire, proving that when it comes to bigotry, the right wing’s playbook is as predictable as it is vile. This time, Mitchell’s office reposted an Instagram reel falsely claiming that Te Pāti ...
In the week of Australia’s 3 May election, ASPI will release Agenda for Change 2025: preparedness and resilience in an uncertain world, a report promoting public debate and understanding on issues of strategic importance to ...
In a world crying out for empathy, J.K. Rowling has once again proven she’s more interested in stoking division than building bridges. The once-beloved author of Harry Potter has cemented her place as this week’s Arsehole of the Week, a title earned through her relentless, tone-deaf crusade against transgender rights. ...
Health security is often seen as a peripheral security domain, and as a problem that is difficult to address. These perceptions weaken our capacity to respond to borderless threats. With the wind back of Covid-19 ...
Would our political parties pass muster under the Fair Trading Act?WHAT IF OUR POLITICAL PARTIES were subject to the Fair Trading Act? What if they, like the nation’s businesses, were prohibited from misleading their consumers – i.e. the voters – about the nature, characteristics, suitability, or quantity of the products ...
Rod EmmersonThank you to my subscribers and readers - you make it all possible. Tui.Subscribe nowSix updates today from around the world and locally here in Aoteaora New Zealand -1. RFK Jnr’s Autism CrusadeAmerica plans to create a registry of people with autism in the United States. RFK Jr’s department ...
We see it often enough. A democracy deals with an authoritarian state, and those who oppose concessions cite the lesson of Munich 1938: make none to dictators; take a firm stand. And so we hear ...
370 perioperative nurses working at Auckland City Hospital, Starship Hospital and Greenlane Clinical Centre will strike for two hours on 1 May – the same day senior doctors are striking. This is part of nationwide events to mark May Day on 1 May, including rallies outside public hospitals, organised by ...
Character protections for Auckland’s villas have stymied past development. Now moves afoot to strip character protection from a bunch of inner-city villas. Photo: Lynn Grieveson / The KākāLong stories shortest from our political economy on Wednesday, April 23:Special Character Areas designed to protect villas are stopping 20,000 sites near Auckland’s ...
Artificial intelligence is poised to significantly transform the Indo-Pacific maritime security landscape. It offers unprecedented situational awareness, decision-making speed and operational flexibility. But without clear rules, shared norms and mechanisms for risk reduction, AI could ...
For what is a man, what has he got?If not himself, then he has naughtTo say the things he truly feelsAnd not the words of one who kneelsThe record showsI took the blowsAnd did it my wayLyrics: Paul Anka.Morena folks, before we discuss Winston’s latest salvo in NZ First’s War ...
Britain once risked a reputation as the weak link in the trilateral AUKUS partnership. But now the appointment of an empowered senior official to drive the project forward and a new burst of British parliamentary ...
Australia’s ability to produce basic metals, including copper, lead, zinc, nickel and construction steel, is in jeopardy, with ageing plants struggling against Chinese competition. The multinational commodities company Trafigura has put its Australian operations under ...
There have been recent PPP debacles, both in New Zealand (think Transmission Gully) and globally, with numerous examples across both Australia and Britain of failed projects and extensive litigation by government agencies seeking redress for the failures.Rob Campbell is one of New Zealand’s sharpest critics of PPPs noting that; "There ...
On Twitter on Saturday I indicated that there had been a mistake in my post from last Thursday in which I attempted to step through the Reserve Bank Funding Agreement issues. Making mistakes (there are two) is annoying and I don’t fully understand how I did it (probably too much ...
Indonesia’s armed forces still have a lot of work to do in making proper use of drones. Two major challenges are pilot training and achieving interoperability between the services. Another is overcoming a predilection for ...
The StrategistBy Sandy Juda Pratama, Curie Maharani and Gautama Adi Kusuma
As a living breathing human being, you’ve likely seen the heart-wrenching images from Gaza...homes reduced to rubble, children burnt to cinders, families displaced, and a death toll that’s beyond comprehension. What is going on in Gaza is most definitely a genocide, the suffering is real, and it’s easy to feel ...
Donald Trump, who has called the Chair of the Federal Reserve “a major loser”. Photo: Getty ImagesLong stories shortest from our political economy on Tuesday, April 22:US markets slump after Donald Trump threatens the Fed’s independence. China warns its trading partners not to side with the US. Trump says some ...
Last night, the news came through that Pope Francis had passed away at 7:35 am in Rome on Monday, the 21st of April, following a reported stroke and heart failure. Pope Francis. Photo: AP.Despite his obvious ill health, it still came as a shock, following so soon after the Easter ...
The 2024 Independent Intelligence Review found the NIC to be highly capable and performing well. So, it is not a surprise that most of the 67 recommendations are incremental adjustments and small but nevertheless important ...
This is a re-post from The Climate BrinkThe world has made real progress toward tacking climate change in recent years, with spending on clean energy technologies skyrocketing from hundreds of billions to trillions of dollars globally over the past decade, and global CO2 emissions plateauing.This has contributed to a reassessment of ...
Hi,I’ve been having a peaceful month of what I’d call “existential dread”, even more aware than usual that — at some point — this all ends.It was very specifically triggered by watching Pantheon, an animated sci-fi show that I’m filing away with all-time greats like Six Feet Under, Watchmen and ...
Once the formalities of honouring the late Pope wrap up in two to three weeks time, the conclave of Cardinals will go into seclusion. Some 253 of the current College of Cardinals can take part in the debate over choosing the next Pope, but only 138 of them are below ...
The National Party government is doubling down on a grim, regressive vision for the future: more prisons, more prisoners, and a society fractured by policies that punish rather than heal. This isn’t just a misstep; it’s a deliberate lurch toward a dystopian future where incarceration is the answer to every ...
The audacity of Don Brash never ceases to amaze. The former National Party and Hobson’s Pledge mouthpiece has now sunk his claws into NZME, the media giant behind the New Zealand Herald and half of our commercial radio stations. Don Brash has snapped up shares in NZME, aligning himself with ...
A listing of 28 news and opinion articles we found interesting and shared on social media during the past week: Sun, April 13, 2025 thru Sat, April 19, 2025. This week's roundup is again published by category and sorted by number of articles included in each. The formatting is a ...
“What I’d say to you is…” our Prime Minister might typically begin a sentence, when he’s about to obfuscate and attempt to derail the question you really, really want him to answer properly (even once would be okay, Christopher). Questions such as “Why is a literal election promise over ...
Ruth IrwinExponential Economic growth is the driver of Ecological degradation. It is driven by CO2 greenhouse gas emissions through fossil fuel extraction and burning for the plethora of polluting industries. Extreme weather disasters and Climate change will continue to get worse because governments subscribe to the current global economic system, ...
A man on telly tries to tell me what is realBut it's alright, I like the way that feelsAnd everybody singsWe are evolving from night to morningAnd I wanna believe in somethingWriter: Adam Duritz.The world is changing rapidly, over the last year or so, it has been out with the ...
MFB Co-Founder Cecilia Robinson runs Tend HealthcareSummary:Kieran McAnulty calls out National on healthcare lies and says Health Minister Simeon Brown is “dishonest and disingenuous”(video below)McAnulty says negotiation with doctors is standard practice, but this level of disrespect is not, especially when we need and want our valued doctors.National’s $20bn ...
Chris Luxon’s tenure as New Zealand’s Prime Minister has been a masterclass in incompetence, marked by coalition chaos, economic lethargy, verbal gaffes, and a moral compass that seems to point wherever political expediency lies. The former Air New Zealand CEO (how could we forget?) was sold as a steady hand, ...
Has anybody else noticed Cameron Slater still obsessing over Jacinda Ardern? The disgraced Whale Oil blogger seems to have made it his life’s mission to shadow the former Prime Minister of New Zealand like some unhinged stalker lurking in the digital bushes.The man’s obsession with Ardern isn't just unhealthy...it’s downright ...
Skeptical Science is partnering with Gigafact to produce fact briefs — bite-sized fact checks of trending claims. You can submit claims you think need checking via the tipline. Is climate change a net benefit for society? Human-caused climate change has been a net detriment to society as measured by loss of ...
When the National Party hastily announced its “Local Water Done Well” policy, they touted it as the great saviour of New Zealand’s crumbling water infrastructure. But as time goes by it's looking more and more like a planning and fiscal lame duck...and one that’s going to cost ratepayers far more ...
Donald Trump, the orange-hued oligarch, is back at it again, wielding tariffs like a mob boss swinging a lead pipe. His latest economic edict; slapping hefty tariffs on imports from China, Mexico, and Canada, has the stench of a protectionist shakedown, cooked up in the fevered minds of his sycophantic ...
In the week of Australia’s 3 May election, ASPI will release Agenda for Change 2025: preparedness and resilience in an uncertain world, a report promoting public debate and understanding on issues of strategic importance to ...
One pill makes you largerAnd one pill makes you smallAnd the ones that mother gives youDon't do anything at allGo ask AliceWhen she's ten feet tallSongwriter: Grace Wing Slick.Morena, all, and a happy Bicycle Day to you.Today is an unofficial celebration of the dawning of the psychedelic era, commemorating the ...
It’s only been a few months since the Hollywood fires tore through Los Angeles, leaving a trail of devastation, numerous deaths, over 10,000 homes reduced to rubble, and a once glorious film industry on its knees. The Palisades and Eaton fires, fueled by climate-driven dry winds, didn’t just burn houses; ...
Four eighty-year-old books which are still vitally relevant today. Between 1942 and 1945, four refugees from Vienna each published a ground-breaking – seminal – book.* They left their country after Austria was taken over by fascists in 1934 and by Nazi Germany in 1938. Previously they had lived in ‘Red ...
Good Friday, 18th April, 2025: I can at last unveil the Secret Non-Fiction Project. The first complete Latin-to-English translation of Giovanni Pico della Mirandola’s twelve-book Disputationes adversus astrologiam divinatricem (Disputations Against Divinatory Astrology). Amounting to some 174,000 words, total. Some context is probably in order. Giovanni Pico della Mirandola (1463-1494) ...
Te Pāti Māori are appalled by Cabinet's decision to agree to 15 recommendations to the Early Childhood Education (ECE) sector following the regulatory review by the Ministry of Regulation. We emphasise the need to prioritise tamariki Māori in Early Childhood Education, conducted by education experts- not economists. “Our mokopuna deserve ...
The Government must support Northland hapū who have resorted to rakes and buckets to try to control a devastating invasive seaweed that threatens the local economy and environment. ...
New Zealand First has today introduced a Member’s Bill that would ensure the biological definition of a woman and man are defined in law. “This is not about being anti-anyone or anti-anything. This is about ensuring we as a country focus on the facts of biology and protect the ...
After stonewalling requests for information on boot camps, the Government has now offered up a blog post right before Easter weekend rather than provide clarity on the pilot. ...
More people could be harmed if Minister for Mental Health Matt Doocey does not guarantee to protect patients and workers as the Police withdraw from supporting mental health call outs. ...
The Green Party recognises the extension of visa allowances for our Pacific whānau as a step in the right direction but continues to call for a Pacific Visa Waiver. ...
The Government yesterday released its annual child poverty statistics, and by its own admission, more tamariki across Aotearoa are now living in material hardship. ...
Today, Te Pāti Māori join the motu in celebration as the Treaty Principles Bill is voted down at its second reading. “From the beginning, this Bill was never welcome in this House,” said Te Pāti Māori Co-Leader, Rawiri Waititi. “Our response to the first reading was one of protest: protesting ...
The Green Party is proud to have voted down the Coalition Government’s Treaty Principles Bill, an archaic piece of legislation that sought to attack the nation’s founding agreement. ...
A Member’s Bill in the name of Green Party MP Julie Anne Genter which aims to stop coal mining, the Crown Minerals (Prohibition of Mining) Amendment Bill, has been pulled from Parliament’s ‘biscuit tin’ today. ...
Labour MP Kieran McAnulty’s Members Bill to make the law simpler and fairer for businesses operating on Easter, Anzac and Christmas Days has passed its first reading after a conscience vote in Parliament. ...
Nicola Willis continues to sit on her hands amid a global economic crisis, leaving the Reserve Bank to act for New Zealanders who are worried about their jobs, mortgages, and KiwiSaver. ...
The inquiry focused on vaccines and mandates; the lockdowns; and tools such as testing and tracing. The coalition government had also widened the scope of the inquiry to seek feedback on issues such as the social and economic impact of lockdowns. ...
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Michelle Grattan, Professorial Fellow, University of Canberra Prime Minister Anthony Albanese will launch another push on health on Sunday, announcing a re-elected Labor government would set up a free around-the-clock 1800MEDICARE advice line and afterhours GP telehealth service. The service would ...
To sleep, perchance to dreamIn the shadowy chambers of Lord Winston,The great clock strikes thirteen.All remains untouched, covered with dust,As it has done since the 1970s,In a simple world where boys were boys,Ladies were mini-skirted and compliant ladies,And Italian law students ruled the streetsIn their wide lapel zoot suits.King Lux ...
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Michelle Grattan, Professorial Fellow, University of Canberra Prime Minister Anthony Albanese will launch another push on health on Sunday, announcing a re-elected Labor government would set up a free around-the-clock 1800MEDICARE advice line and afterhours GP telehealth service. The service would ...
Asia Pacific Report Activists for Palestine paid homage to Pope Francis in Aotearoa New Zealand today for his humility, care for marginalised in the world, and his courageous solidarity with the besieged people of Gaza at a street theatre rally just hours before his funeral in Rome. He was remembered ...
By Susana Suisuiki, RNZ Pacific presenter The doors of St Peter’s Basilica in the Vatican have now been closed and the coffin sealed, ahead of preparations for tonight’s funeral of Pope Francis. The Vatican says a quarter of a million people have paid respects to Pope Francis in the last ...
By Susana Suisuiki, RNZ Pacific presenter The doors of St Peter’s Basilica in the Vatican have now been closed and the coffin sealed, ahead of preparations for tonight’s funeral of Pope Francis. The Vatican says a quarter of a million people have paid respects to Pope Francis in the last ...
Once or twice a week, Dr Margaret Henley rolls up the door on a windowless storage locker in central Auckland, pulls her plastic chair up to a picnic table and sifts through the history of netball in New Zealand.She works alongside netball archivist and statistician Todd Miller, together trawling through ...
Corin DannThe time is 7:36am on Wednesday, April 23, and you’re listening to Morning Report, New Zealand’s voice of the educated left on good incomes. I’m joined now by acting Prime Minister Winston Peters. Good morning Mr Peters.Winston PetersIt was, until I saw you. I much prefer your brother.Corin DannLiam ...
When Professor David Krofcheck got an email congratulating him on winning the Oscar of the science world, he dismissed it as a hoax.“I thought it was a scam, I thought it was a phishing email,” recalls Krofcheck, nuclear physicist at Auckland University.“Yeah right, I’ve won the 2025 Breakthrough Prize in ...
Madeleine Chapman reflects on the week that was.I’ve been re-watching Girls lately, the HBO classic that perfectly captures millennial women in the most painful way. I highly recommend it especially if you haven’t watched it before. Every character on the show is deeply flawed and frustrating in their own ...
With the double-header long weekend comes a welcome chance to escape streaming slop, writes Alex Casey. Over Easter I texted my husband Joe a sentence that perhaps nobody in human history has ever texted: “hurry up geostorm is starting”. No punctuation, no capitalisation, not because I was trying to ...
April 27 is Moehanga Day, the anniversary of the day in 1806 when Ngāpuhi warrior Moehanga became the first Māori to visit England. This is his story. The wooden ship sailed down the River Thames, past smoke stacks and brick factories, until it reached a wharf in industrial south London. ...
Heidi Thomson on how her husband’s illness and Daniel Kalderimis’s book Zest have enhanced her understanding of George Eliot’s great novel.Sometimes a book finds you at just the right time. In early December my husband John had a stroke. At the time we were both reading George Eliot’s Middlemarch, ...
The musician, actor and star of upcoming documentary Marlon Williams: Ngā Ao E Rua – Two Worlds takes us through his life in television. Musician Marlon Williams has been on our My Life in TV wish list ever since he revealed during his My Boy tour that he wrote ‘Thinking ...
When she walked dripping into the lounge, hair wet from the shower, she took one look at Hamish and dropped her towel.He was holding her phone.—How long has it been going on for?His blue eyes blazed. She wanted to pluck them out and blow on them gently, cool them off. ...
A citizens’ assembly of 100 Porirua locals has provided the city council with more than a dozen recommendations about how to tackle climate change and make sure the region is resilient to worsening extreme weather events.Ranging from expanding access to renewable energy and incentivising the planting of native trees through ...
Comment: Democracy globally is in crisis. Around the world we are seeing the rise of nationalism and declining trust in democratic institutions. Politicians, even in Aotearoa, undermine the authority of core institutions like the media and the courts, which are critical for a functioning democracy. To live well together, in ...
Journalist Rod Oram, who died last year, would have been delighted to see the commitment to addressing climate change shown by the 23-year-old winner of a prize established in his memory.Mika Hervel, a student at Victoria University of Wellington, is today named winner of the Rod Oram Memorial Essay Prize, ...
COMMENTARY:By Nour Odeh There was faint hope that efforts to achieve a ceasefire deal in Gaza would succeed. That hope is now all but gone, offering 2.1 million tormented and starved Palestinians dismal prospects for the days and weeks ahead. Last Saturday, the Israeli Prime Minister once again affirmed ...
An ocean conservation non-profit has condemned the United States President’s latest executive order aimed at boosting the deep sea mining industry. President Donald Trump issued the “Unleashing America’s offshore critical minerals and resources” order on Thursday, directing the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) to allow deep sea mining. The ...
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Michelle Grattan, Professorial Fellow, University of Canberra In this election, voters are more distrustful than ever of politicians, and the political heroes of 2022 have fallen from grace, swept from favour by independent players. A Roy Morgan survey has found, for ...
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ER Report: Here is a summary of significant articles published on EveningReport.nz on April 25, 2025. Labor takes large leads in YouGov and Morgan polls as surge continuesSource: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Adrian Beaumont, Election Analyst (Psephologist) at The Conversation; and Honorary Associate, School of Mathematics and ...
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Adrian Beaumont, Election Analyst (Psephologist) at The Conversation; and Honorary Associate, School of Mathematics and Statistics, The University of Melbourne With just eight days until the May 3 federal election, and with in-person early voting well under way, Labor has taken a ...
The only published and available best-selling indie book chart in New Zealand is the top 10 sales list recorded every week at Unity Books’ stores in High St, Auckland, and Willis St, Wellington.AUCKLAND1 Butter by Asako Yuzuki (Fourth Estate, $35) Fictionalised true crime for foodies. 2 Sunrise on ...
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Taneshka Kruger, UP ISMC: Project Manager and Coordinator, University of Pretoria Healthcare in Africa faces a perfect storm: high rates of infectious diseases like malaria and HIV, a rise in non-communicable diseases, and dwindling foreign aid. In 2021, nearly half of ...
Australia and New Zealand join forces once more to bring you the best films and TV shows to watch this weekend. This Anzac Day, our free-to-air TV channels will screen a variety of commemorative coverage. At 11am, TVNZ1 has live coverage of the Anzac Day National Commemorative Service in Wellington. ...
Our laws are leaving many veterans who served after 1974 out in the cold. I know, because I’m one of them.This Sunday Essay was made possible thanks to the support of Creative New Zealand.First published in 2024.As I write this story, I am in constant pain. My hands ...
An MP fighting for anti-trafficking legislation says it is hard for prosecutors to take cases to court - but he is hopeful his bill will turn the tide. ...
NONFICTION1 No Words for This by Ali Mau (HarperCollins, $39.99)2 Everyday Comfort Food by Vanya Insull (Allen & Unwin, $39.99)3 Three Wee Bookshops at the End of the World by Ruth Shaw (Allen & Unwin, $39.99)
This Anzac Day marks 110 years since the Gallipoli landings by soldiers in the Australian and New Zealand Army Corps - the ANZACS. It signalled the beginning of a campaign that was to take the lives of so many of our young men - and would devastate the ...
Keep putting the slipper in Phil, the righties may taunt ‘rogue poll’ today but it is getting interesting. ShonKey and Banksie will likely be spending more time together. Vote Banksie get Brash too. Another poll in this direction and Nat candidate withdrawal orders will be issued.
http://tiny.cc/3v61b
Aye Tiger. That cuppa between Key and Banks looks a certainty now.
And on the subject of polls can I express my own theory on their accuracy. There is an inherent bias in them. For instance out west I know far too many poor people without landlines who are never asked for their opinion.
The results tend to be close to the poll results because Labour people unfortunately are less inclined to vote. But a good turnout will change this around.
Labour has a very effective turnout capability. For instance in the Botany by election the turnout in the Labour area was 83% of the turnout at the previous general election. In the National area it was only 53%.
But it is going to take a lot of work. So onward brothers and sisters!
Looks like NZ’s about to get it’s very own “Tea Party”.
No doubt the Mad Hatter Don will be kept well away from the cameras – don’t want to scare the horses.
Mickey, you must remember a few elections ago Mike Williams was asked at 9.30 on election night (by the trained performing seals who call themselves political commentators) “was he ready to concede a National victory”?
Williams reply was that “the South and West Auckland returns would come in later, and that Labour would win…”.
He was spot on, Labour squeaked it. If Manukau, Henderson, Porirua, East Christchurch etc turn out Labour will have enough this time. That is the challenge.
I remember it like it was yesterday Bored.
I was initially confident but became quite despondent when the nats were 10 points ahead at about 9:10 pm. I was with David Cunliffe and suggested that he start to give a concession speech for assembled activists. He started talking and thankfully it was a long speech. Part way through I can recall the sudden bump as the big urban booths. Managed through hand signals to stop David from conceding the election!
Last election I again waited for the bump but it never came. Looking at the booth results afterwards the causes were clear. In the three South Auckland Labour strongholds 15,000 Labour voters just did not turn up. If they turn up this time then Labour will have a chance.
’05? I was at the Chch combined electorates do that night. At 9pm it was pretty downbeat, around 9.30 the MP’s started to arrive, all happy that they had retained their seats, but still a bit down. Sometime after 10, the party vote for Labour crept passed the Nat’s total and we started to understand that Peter Dunne’s foolish boast that he would back the majority party meant we were in with a chance. By 11, the joint was rocking!
Rogue poll, indeed, TM. The cuppa will be today, on the back of this poll result. Key now knows he needs mates for sure. The interesting thing will be the response in Epsom; do the locals take the hint or do they tell Banksie to do one instead. And isn’t it nice to see ACT totally reliant on the rich man’s charity? Apt or what?
Time for that nice little story about Banks to come out methinks, just after this cup of tea con job. Every Labour/Green voter in Epsom should be voting for Goldsmith as well. Democratic principles obviously don’t matter squat in that ‘rotten borough’.
Perhaps Parker should announce that he’d like to have a beer and a chat with Goldsmith?
Excellent suggestion.
Polls will become clearer nearer election day… …yeah right.
Look I don’t believe for one moment that everyone has made
up their mind, and so we know that those who have are
favoring Key, what’s the puzzle, people who are ideologically
delude do that as a rule. People who however are open minded
are likely to be progressive and leave it to the last moment.
Also money talks, so polls are brought by the rich to give
the voter block that sees election as a game, that they just
want to vote for the winner the nudge to vote National.
But when middle class affluent people like a CGT, they
are hurting form the debt crisis, they know asset sales
are stupid, then we have to wonder about why the polls
are so out of wack, well if more people are undecided
then polls will obvious pick up core supporter not
swing voters.
And remember Key polls dropped 8%?? on election day.
So get the vote out, remind people to vote Green on
the party and Labour in the constituency.
Streuth cobbers if we had a real MSM shonkey and blinglish would still be getting hammered over the dodgiest budget ever produced on top of double dipton, those transrail eyes, beemers, mirror mirror trusts have it all, let alone all the deliberate lies back in 08 to get elected as the hollowmen has shown.
The arrogance and deception may just cost him more than the back room have calculated already….time will tell.
Yep using an Aussie Merchant Bank to help with the sale of shares, supposedly to Kiwi mums and dads is not a good look.
And in other breaking news Treasury does not believe that a raise in the minimum wage will cost jobs.
Another lie is debunked.
And if you needed further proof of the bullshit that on-line instant polls are, then this is it, and the Herald of all papers has exposed it. AT LAST. MULTI voting exposed.
http://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/news/article.cfm?c_id=1&objectid=10765210
Strange though that the Herald cannot miss a chance to reveal that some votes (2) came from within parliament, and guess which party is identified as having received them. Clue, it is not their beloved National.
Time these on-line polls were outlawed.
Aha! Interesting! While the NZH couldn’t resist a swipe at Labour/Goff, surely the more interesting revelation is the number of repeat votes for Paula Benefit & Nikki Kaye, from outside parliament. This indicates how the astroturfers roll with such polls. PB had the highest number of repeat votes and Ardern had many more “genuine” votes than Kaye.
But more interesting, I think Deborah Coddington and DF have been… what’s the Interwebz jargon? p*ned?
http://www.pundit.co.nz/content/what-did-you-do-in-the-2011-campaign-grandad
They were outraged that a journalism school would be producing such a tabloidish poll:
But it turns out the poll was set up:
http://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/news/article.cfm?c_id=1&objectid=10765210
Great info for those of us who have always been suspicious of such polls on news websites, especially has they mostly seem to lean to the right.
Or at least put on a bloody big disclaimer saying “this is just for fun and can be sabotaged by idiots”
Ha ha, thanks Carol – the DPF shrieky piece is here http://www.kiwiblog.co.nz/2011/11/the_which_mp_would_you_go_to_bed_with_poll.html
Love how they righteously boot into Jim Blackman – he’s a good teacher and this is sort of stuff I’d expect from him. Fun.
Testing new cache system on the live system.
Biggest problem appears to be the Comment/Opinion tab area when people are not logged in.. Why didn’t I see that while testing..
Only happens on some pages depending on how they got cached. I really just need to get rid of the JQuery for that.
Turned off the page caching for the moment which will fix that issue. Weekend job.
Sue Moroney spoke very well re. education on the Breakfast show, and even Corrin Dann made a point of saying ‘yet again the government have not fronted up’.
This, to me, says two things
1) They have no faith in any of their policies (if they actually have any), their Ministers, or they are scared of being shown up, and
2) They are totally reliant on their figurehead getting them home.
The more that can be made of their refusal to discuss issues and the more that actual, sound policy can be communicated, the better.
Shaking my head over this article on Stuff this morning: http://www.stuff.co.nz/national/politics/opinion/5947120/Whos-taking-the-gloss-off-the-campaign
I love how political journalists can moan about this stuff without a hint of self-awareness. It’s their fault that the campaign is boring and that John Key doesn’t need to bother trying.
They’re the ones who have allowed him to sleepwalk to victory for three fucking years.
If Andrea wants to make her job more interesting, all she has to do is start DOING her job.
I’m not sure if the journos know what their job is never mind knowing how to do it.
To be fair, I think she did a fair call on National
– announcing already announced policy (i.e. they’ve got nothing new)
– announcing policy that is mundane and will not address recommendations
– policy announcements that only announce the obvious
Then she called National on it’s plan to do nothing that will rock the boat and rely on riding Key’s popularity back into office.
However, she then goes on to criticise Labour for “focus(ing) on top-10 lists, Mr Key’s integrity and his Hawaiian getaways. What happened to talking about the hard choices?”
But didn’t she just say that National where using Key as their substitute for flagship policy? So wouldn’t you expect the opposition to spend sometime showing that Key is wearing no clothes?
“Despite the pretence that this election is all about austerity and chunky policy, really this campaign has been nothing more than a series of orchestrated and unnatural photo-ops. ”
This is demonstrates the lack of self-awareness that Blue points out. Labour tried to talk about chunky policy and all the media concentrated on was who called who a liar and showing the money.
So Labour presents a list of Key’s failures and what does Patrick Gower do? He ignored the list and concentrated on Goff’s use of the word smug. Seesh!
Is it any wonder that journos are ranked among the bottom-feeder occupations.
It’s Friday and we need a laugh – it may be my weird sense of humour but I like the photo from the Herald this morning. Bith Key and Banks have RED hair!
http://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/news/article.cfm?c_id=1&objectid=10765220#
And they’re blushing… as they should.
Gingas have no soul, I may have to change my vote
[lprent: grummphhhh…. I was just thinking that I don’t think that simple bigotry is really a reason to change your vote. Then I remembered Brash’s simple moron level bigotry in Owera One was pretty much the reason for winning an election in 2005. But didn’t you read my post yesterday – the undead have no souls.. So no votes for… ]
Gingas can be turned by a high-level cleric or Paladin though I would class them more of an imp than undead
The red hair amused me in terms of political colours and was not intended to be derogatory to redheads – have several in my family as well as a brilliant ginga cat who is the most laid back, non-physcho cat I have ever had.
I’m sorry you have Gingas in your family, you have my condolences.
Speaking on behalf of me and my people, when the RWJNs have been through the political re-education camps, we are coming after all who disparage the golden ones.
Chris73 – look over your shoulder – we know were you live 😉
“Know your enemy”
http://uncyclopedia.wikia.com/wiki/Ginger
please help. i am a honky and live in the manawatu, rangitikei electorate. i was wandering if i was able to vote for mana party or is that option only for voters on the maori role?
[lprent: I’d suggest that you badly need a civics lesson because you appear to be ignorant of the simple basics of electoral system.
But yes – you can on the party list, and if Mana stand a electorate candidate you can vote for them as well. ]
nope, mana & for everyone, they have my party vote (im pakeha etc) down here in south dunedin.
thanx idlegus, its refreshing to hear a politician articulate what you want heard and its even more surprising to hear it from “a hater and wrecker” from the far north: financial transaction tax, feed the poor children from the defence budget, $15 minimum wage, first $27, 000 tax free.
sounds like stuff you expect from the left.
Two ticks for you, g says. Josie Pagani for the electorate vote, Labour for the party vote. Ok, Mana for the party vote, if you really must! There is a candidates meeting in Feilding on Monday night at the St Johns Ambo Hall, Bowen St. It would be great to have an extra lefty or two there, so please turn up and bring a friend if you can.
More details here (and a photo of a candidate who likes to horse around!):
http://www.stuff.co.nz/manawatu-standard/news/feilding-herald/5943277/Candidates-hit-election-trail/
Seems I’ve hit on Farrar’s soft point. This exchange from yesterday.
“The health consequences of eating junk food are well known – diabetes etc – with massive costs to future health budgets, loss of productivity etc.
Surely it’s a good thing to promote healthy food choices in schools so I don’t understand DPF’s objection. Just doesn’t make sense. Unless of course it’s some sort of projection. Is DPF overweight by any chance?”
[DPF: If you do not know the difference between promote and ban, go get a dictionary. And any more personal swipes at me will get you banned]
Several National and Maori Party MPs have had expensive private bariatric (stomach reduction) surgery that they are lucky enough to be able to afford (on their large MP salaries) because it costs $20,000 -$30,000. This option is only available to a very small number of people in the public system so you have to have private means to get it (ie rich). Being overweight is a genetic, metabolic and pyschological condition, as well as socio- economic as cheaper food tends to be poorer quality, sweeter and fattier – it is not a personal failing.
So it would be sensible to do the preventive thing and make it hard for people with the risk factors to access the triggers such as advertising, cheap junk food etc. So healthy regulations in school canteens is an ideal policy. Why the right are so against such regulations and also against funding bariatric surgery in the public system shows how mean minded and almost vindictive their policies re obesity are.
(And if David F did ever want bariatric surgery it would be no problem for a rich person like him to get it , as there are no waiting lists in NZ for this private surgery).
John Banks has a meltdown, Tim Watkin does the Hokey Pokey
Earlier this week John Key claimed that ACT is “a stable party”.
But as the saying goes, “A picture paints a thousand words”.
Here is a Three Thousand Word Photo Essay from the Epsom meet the candidates debate hosted in the Somervell Presbyterian Church, Wednesday night.
John Banks and the other candidates will be having a rematch at the Parnell Farmers Market tomorrow, Saturday. Come along with all your friends bring a camera and you may capture some Action Shots of your own from the Epsom campaign trail.
1/ The Awful Truth:
MANA Epsom candidate Pat O’Dea shows the people of Epsom who they are really voting for.
file:///private/var/tmp/folders.501/TemporaryItems/com.apple.mail.drag-T0x230a510.tmp.O80r2S/P1080285BanksBrash.JPG
2/ She’s Gonna Blow:
O’Dea leaves Brash’s picture propped against the lectern. The MANA and the Greens Candidate look on grimly as John Banks lays out ACT’s right wing agenda. (National’s Paul Goldsmith can be seen peering around the lectern. Behind Banks, Labour candidate David Parker reclines looking relaxed.)
file:///private/var/tmp/folders.501/TemporaryItems/com.apple.mail.drag-
T0x230a510.tmp.Ff7z9S/P1080311BanksBrash.JPG
3/ All Hell breaks loose!
Labour’s David Parker suddenly sits bolt upright in his chair, looking on amazed, as Tim Watkin, pushed aside by Banks in a frenzied attack on the sign, tries to recover his balance.
Behind them John Banks blind with rage bumps into a table as he staggers around the stage frustratedly trying to tear up his leader’s image.
file:///private/var/tmp/folders.501/TemporaryItems/com.apple.mail.drag-T0x230a510.tmp.8bGFTa/P1080325BanksHidingBrash.JPG
Fortunately, the Don Brash picture had been laminated against such attacks.
But who knew John Banks would be the one to try?
You have to wonder whether Banks had one too many pre event whiskys to calm his nerves?
There’s a problem with the links, Jenny, they’re not a complete address.
They’re complete address – to her HDD.
I am sure Cameron Slater could access them, seeing he is a hacker of (ill)repute
hah the worm has turned and not a sight of the cheeky little chappy telling us which way to vote.
ipredict that national is on the skids.
nik smif should have stuck to analysing landslides instead of nwo becoming one.
hahahahahahaha.
Tar Sands pipeline to go back for reassessment in Congress, Bill MiKibben, Naiomi Klein et al, thank you!
http://www.tarsandsaction.org/big-news-won-won/
Oil and Gas Spin
Campbell Live ran a story last night concerning the oil and gas industry in Taranaki. During the show there was a number of industry types talking it up…
Jeez, one poll (Herald Digi this a.m.) and the Gargoyle from Curia Blog hits the big clunky “ooh..scary co-alition!” panic button. Not so long ago Hone Harawira was an acceptable partner for ShonKey in co-alition. Heh. So Farrar is scaremongering, the piece (with suitable late additions) reads like it was ‘prepared earlier’ months ago even.
http://tiny.cc/zsubv
Not half mate – and reading the comments all them poor oppressed small businessmen, none of whom ever fiddle taxes or reclaim the GST for everything, will all be rushing off to Australia at the thought of a left sided government.
I’ll happily give them a lift to the airport if we DON’T have a national government.
Left-sided? Sounds sinister!
Just had a chat with Sam Lotu-iiga in the kebab shop. What a nice man.
This is interesting…
http://www.kiwiblog.co.nz/wp-content/uploads/2011/11/Beer-Price-Increase.jpg
Not really.
Nice to see what toryboys think will terrify voters, though. Says more about them than it does NZ.
I don’t actually disagree with it myself but its interesting what can go unnoticed
Proves the maths incompetency of RWNJs. 2×12=$24 not $32.
“Standard Drink” not “can”.
I figured that a large can at 4/5% could equal 1.3 std drnks, so that math is okay, but I have no idea what beer they’re looking at – per doz it’s probably a loss-leader.
I thought the 330ml @4% alcohol, as pictured, was the standard drink.
lol you’re right!
I saw the cans and they looked like the 440ml. Didn’t even see the alc/vol.
So that’s 16 cans for $32. And the current price is less than 90c ea.
Does anyone sell beer at $10/doz any more? Even the shite stuff?
Dunno how much is Ranfurly going for these days lol
If you’re serious, crates of DB are the way to go.
Fuck I hate this lying prick:
http://www.nzherald.co.nz/business/news/article.cfm?c_id=3&objectid=10765329
Concerned about private sector debt. Won’t do a thing to seriously try to increase savings or direct investment out of property speculation funded by international loans and into productive investment.
“Labour has spent $16 billion of money they don’t have on the campaign trail.” Key says
Hasn’t this been clearly shown to be a falsehood? How are they still getting away with saying it? Magic numbers. I thought the big headline was $100 million, or $4 Billion or or or and in any case it is all based on a Prefu that doesn’t factor in Italy going belly up…so!!
Well I’ve had three bankers tell me how to vote.
One was Irish and reckoned a nod for the Nats or Act.
Two were Kiwis and they have been solid Green supporters for a long time. Hmmm….
Key’s just ensorsed Banks….release the hounds, let’s see who got fleas.
Can we have a lie ometer?
Here’s an even bigger porky debunked: http://www.stuff.co.nz/national/politics/5950736/Key-sat-on-wage-report
they’re gunna keep coming. Might as well keep them handily reported for people…
hows that business cred John? The lady working at McDs (I think it was) on TV3 last night had more knowledge about how the economics of the minimum wage works that you unless you were deliberately lying to the country to try to scare them into voting your way…
as Brian Fallow says : ” fatuous and self serving”
By telling the McDonalds lady that there would be a bump for the minimum wage next year is meant to show the voters that perhaps there will be $15 because Mr Key said so, sort of. Hooray says the nice lady.
But the bump might be upwards to $13.25 or downwards to say $12. Next year that nice Mr Key could say that he didn’t promise anything. And he didn’t.
Not sure what you watched- I caught a clip of what I thought was her pawning Key and now backed up with an inconvenient report. Will see if the vid is around to link to.@
Right here Mary of McDonalds pawns Key in the Patrick Gower piece:http://www.3news.co.nz/Raising-minimum-wage-wont-cost-jobs—Treasury/tabid/419/articleID/232338/Default.aspx
Apologies about the cut and paste but I like this article very very much:
Currently minimum wage is $13 an hour.National would like to lower it – for some workers to as little as $10.90.
It says putting the minimum wage up, as other parties would, would mean employers would simply shed jobs.
But 3 News has obtained Treasury documents that dispute that.Workers at McDonald’s wanted to place a simple order this election; ‘Do something about our McWages’. If they could have anything, staff say it would be for minimum wage to go up to $15.
Given the chance, McDonald’s employee Mary Liddicoat took her order right to the top.She asked Prime Minister John Key, “Will the minimum wage go up to $15 an hour soon?”.
“It will go up, but it won’t go up straight away,” he responded.That’s a polite ‘no’.
Key has no intention of super-sizing their pay anytime soon. He says it will cost 6000 jobs.
Mary wasn’t buying that.“I can’t see how you would lose that many jobs by taking it up that much,” she said.
The Government’s own officials agree with her.The Department of Labour says the rise will cost 6000 jobs.
But Treasury has a counter view; “This has not been true in the past. The balance of probabilities is that a higher minimum wage does not cost jobs.”
Not all employers are worried about a hike either. Andy Martin runs a pub, employing 26 people in Oamaru.He says put the wage up and people just spend more money – everyone wins.
“$15 is fair,” he says.
So Mary had another request for Key:“Try and live on $450 a week.”
“Look, I think it would be very difficult for anyone to do that,” he said.
______________________________________________________________________________
I thought 16 and 17 year olds were going to $10.40/hr under National.
John Key needs wages being kept low for folks so as to keep them aspirational.
And another dose of sheesh for inciting racial bluster goes to the Penguin:
in his Herald column/blog thing:
[Harawira] would not trust any Department headed up and/or staffed by Pakeha mofos.”
I thought Goff had ruled out working with Harawira point 1.
Point 2- seemed Hone worked fine in the Maori party arrangement with National.
Point 3- errr…He seems happy with plenty of Pakeha mofos in his party- you know the kind that can remember where they were during the Springbok tour and the kind who are into seriously doing something about the underclass.
It’s a laugh inducing piece that makes you think that the Nats must actually be taking this lot seriously to let their pr guy do this weak a hatchett job.
really? you think Len Brown is more worried about Andy Williams than John Banks or Steve Joyce? And would be worried about a Labour-led government committed to making the Auckland rail work? The possibility of the new savvy Greens with bright young Labour talent such as Jacinda is making me cross my fingers and go out looking for shooting stars. Would be bloody nice.
still at least the political satire exists in NZ. was concerned it was a goner!
Nice try buddy!
and Darien Fenton is the Labour shadow cabinet minister for Labour. Worth ten of Wilkinson, and a really nice woman.
Actually the whole thing just needs a fact check, it’s full of baloney.
http://www.nzherald.co.nz/politics/news/article.cfm?c_id=280&objectid=10765272
Ohhh and you are worried about Tourism- well I’m sure we can find someone- well actually anyone who would front the BBC and not say ” we’re more 100% pure than other countries”
and would be screaming blue murder to get the oil off a tanker before it got anywhere near any of our beaches. Someone who might be able to argue for our 100% campaign from the
basis of a polluter pays ETS.
“Darien Fenton, a real nice women” , wow, really.
Yes and very competent Rob.
Talked to Darien earlier this week, she’s really got her finger on the pulse of labour and industrial relations priorities. $15/hr minimum wage is simply a starting point to give ordinary workers a hope at having economic jobs.
Labour is lucky to have her.
I haven’t decided my vote, but calibre MPs like her throughout the team and new blood like Jacinda Ardern certainly are attractions of the party.
Darien is likeable. And authentic. Unlike the cardboard National politicians.
Yes really, A fantastic women, competent and really hard working in my experience.
and totally trustworthy.
Pike River boss Peter Peter Whittall has revealed he’s among those charged in relation to the blast which killed 29 people at the Pike River mine
http://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/news/article.cfm?c_id=1&objectid=10765373
Legends of the Fail
Of course, if countries were being rational and keeping their own currency they’d be able to just print the money and not pay any interest at all.
No wonder Paula Benefit has been looking rougher than usual lately, TV3 turned up the progress on the Fuller privacy case mediation that had been stalled for about a year. It seems a case against the Minister by the Human Rights Tribunal may proceed. Mr Hesketh from the tribunal did not want the matter reported apparently and Bennett is whinging about the matter being made public.
Hmmm. Not fun is it being outed in public guilty, or innocent.
Hmmm. Not fun is it being outed in public guilty, or innocent.
guilty as they come!
Who writes these headlines? And could they get any more biased?
The entire article is a carefully crafted to engage sympathy for Whittall, along with a nice sympathetic picture. Can’t have people remembering how Key so closely associated himself with him … not this close to an election.
MANA MEDIA RELEASE
FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE
11 NOVEMBER 2011
STREET SURVEY WOULD SEE MANA WITH 4 MPs
“The results of a street survey conducted by the NZ Herald confirm what we’ve been hearing on the ground” said MANA Leader Hone Harawira.
“With just over 3% of the party vote, me, Annette Sykes, John Minto and Sue Bradford would become Members of Parliament for MANA.”
Harawira said that was an exciting prospect and showed that MANA was a growing political force in New Zealand politics.
“The NZ Herald survey also highlighted the fact that MANA is being embraced by Pasifika, Pakeha and others struggling to make ends meet” said Harawira
“That reflects the broad base of high quality candidates that we are putting forward (Samoan James Papali’i is ranked sixth) and is clearly appealing to a wide cross-section of society.”
Harawira said that the survey also confirmed another matter that MANA had been pointing out “and that is that landline polls no longer accurately reflect the way people are going to vote – particularly Maori, Pasifika and those on low incomes who overwhelmingly use cell phones these days”
Harawira said that MANA’s key messages were clearly connecting with voters – eradicate poverty, full employment, decent wages, and free education and health.
“And I think people believe in what we say because they know our candidates have dedicated their lives to improving the lives of others.”
“Annette has an unparalleled record of fighting for Maori rights in the courts, John is a national icon for his stands against apartheid and racism and Sue has long been a champion for the unemployed” said Harawira.
“I can’t wait for election day” said Harawira.
“The country will be pleasantly surprised when MANA gets into parliament – certainly the poor will be happy to see that they have strong representation from people like Annette, John, and Sue, although I doubt that those parties representing the interests of the rich will be too pleased.
Hone Harawira
Media Liaison: Peter Verschaffelt
Email media@mana.net.nz Web http://mana.net.nz
who saw kwee wee and binky having a cup of tea in epsom. looked more like horse pee to me.
I’m finding this whole ‘regime change’ in Europe more and more distasteful. Economists installed as leaders in Italy and Greece, instead of democratic elections because the ‘markets’ won’t tolerate a delay in changing the government. And how do markets make that happen? By pricing loans at such a level that they’ll take down the countries. The markets lent the money at a price that accounted for risk – they should be taking a haircut but instead are now in complete control.
And for those who think lazy, feckless workers are in part responsible for this mess…
… but they’ll be the ones paying the price.
Such is the end game of the Global Bankster Occupation of Formerly Democratic Sovereign Nations.
@ Rosy: I find the “regime change” business terrifying, along with the hollow rhetoric that serves as justifications: nations “living beyond their means” etc, when the truth is exactly as you say – loans are used to take down countries. The weird thing is these crises are all about how a certain game is played – the world contains roughly the same amount of actual resources after the crisis as it did before. Another weird thing – the crises are largely created by people who do not command armies, just numbers on screens. The loan thing seems to go: we give you lots of nice numbers and in return we take your actual resources and enslave you.
QFT
Capitalism is nothing but legalised theft.
The link for the quote:
http://www.social-europe.eu/2011/11/breaking-news-the-working-class-caused-the-italian-crisis/?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+social-europe%2FwmyH+%28Social+Europe+Journal%29
I think the question now is ‘what is the circuit-breaker going to be?’ … and the absolute hypocrisy of the US position on Europe just does my head in. Yeah CV it really does feel like the endgame (sadly, of democracy, not the money men, methinks).
“I’m finding this whole ‘regime change’ in Europe more and more distasteful. Economists installed as leaders in Italy and Greece, instead of democratic elections”
Almost all of my Italian friends are over the moon at the prospect of Berlusconi’s going, but even so, they and I, find the reason disconcerting!
The ousting of Papandreou (sp?) is an order of magnitude dodgier!
Spot the similarities
(http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2011/nov/10/berlusconi-exit-italy)
and
Brain drain, jobs for siblings and the conected (Shipley, Mervyn English, etc…)
“All of which means there has been an incredible brain-drain from Italy in recent decades: bright youngsters have fled the country looking for a job and a salary that match their skills.”
My first Italian friend in NZ (I met him in 2005) came into this category… (he was my English student). Now he has his own business and considers himself a New Zealander, and has started a family here, to the unhappiness of his parents and parents-in-law, they won’t return.
I just read a Herald column by Farrar (oh, what a nasty man!). I thought he was a Nact official. Why does he have a column in the Herald?
He says “The reason for this is that the level of a benefit is calculated on an after-tax basis. ” – and I have to say, that’s news to me! Why then do we pay taxes on our benefits? (Be assurred that we do.)
British Government invests £500M to bomb Libya back to the stone age; British corporates to get £300B in contracts to rebuild the country
Excellent investment all round lads. Great way to indebt the people and suck Libya’s oil wealth dry.