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Written By: Res Publica - Date published: 11:29 am, April 5th, 2025
Or we just officially change our name to Aotearoa. Trump and his goons will probably never catch onWritten By: Res Publica - Date published: 11:18 am, April 5th, 2025
That is very much true. But is also predicated on a global order that is stable, sane, and rules based. If the world continues on this trend towards protectionism, we have to try find alternative sources of competetive advantage and leverage.Written By: Res Publica - Date published: 11:09 am, April 4th, 2025
Sure! I can flesh it out a bit more :DWritten By: Res Publica - Date published: 10:18 am, April 4th, 2025
Can Aotearoa flush out someone able to combine geopolitics and trade policy for us? I think one of the core weaknesses in the way Aotearoa approaches politics is that it generally doesn’t cultivate or reward deep experience in trade or foreign policy. We ...Written By: Res Publica - Date published: 11:36 pm, April 3rd, 2025
And now that their golden boy’s burning it all down, all the neolibs will have to come crawling back to Daddy Keynes — soot-faced and empty-handed.Written By: Res Publica - Date published: 11:27 pm, April 3rd, 2025
Probably deeper trade integration with the EU, Canada, Japan, and South Korea: stable (ish) democracies with semi-coherent institutions and at least a vague recollection of what multilateralism is supposed to look like. Sure, the EU’s Common Agricultural ...Written By: Res Publica - Date published: 5:00 pm, April 3rd, 2025
I still don’t buy into the whole “Actually, Trump is playing 5D chess, lol libtards” narrative. We could waste a lot of time on Kremlinology and trying to read strategy into chaos. But this feels more like a happy accident than a masterstroke. Or maybe ...Written By: Res Publica - Date published: 4:43 pm, April 3rd, 2025
who knows what Norfolk Isalnd and Reunion did to deserve their tariffs In Réunion's case, it's probably down to the entirely unforgivable crime of being FrenchWritten By: Res Publica - Date published: 4:06 pm, April 3rd, 2025
“Suck up to Trump and hope for the best” sounds bleak — because it is. But it’s also the only option left when you’re dealing with a reality-TV presidency that treats global trade like a roulette wheel and foreign policy like a WWE storyline. You can’t ...Written By: Res Publica - Date published: 1:43 pm, March 28th, 2025
I think you'll find most of the military hardware comes via Poland. Capturing Odessa would severely impact Ukraine's ability to export grain though.Written By: Res Publica - Date published: 8:11 am, March 28th, 2025
It was also quite within range of the Red Army in 1939, yet they never quite made it. The casualty rate in the Winter War was hilariously lopsided, and the USSR had as many casualties in those 3 months as Russia has taken in the entire Ukraine war to date. ...Written By: Res Publica - Date published: 4:53 pm, March 27th, 2025
Of course Putin isn't interested in rebuilding the Warsaw pact: his plan is to cut out the middleman and skip straight to reimposing the Russian Empire. None of your posturing, mendacity or empty whataboutery changes the fact that Russia chose to use ...Written By: Res Publica - Date published: 12:56 pm, March 27th, 2025
Defense!? From who!? Ze Germans?Written By: Res Publica - Date published: 8:42 am, March 27th, 2025
Also of note is that Palmy will become slightly less safe for Labour, but the new Manawatu + Levin seat may well be winnable for the right candidate.Written By: Res Publica - Date published: 10:22 pm, March 26th, 2025
That doesn’t really reflect what happened. Ukraine had expressed interest in NATO for years. Not because the US was pulling strings, but because of growing concern over Russian pressure. NATO, if anything, was cautious and slow to respond. If they'd been ...Written By: Res Publica - Date published: 1:36 pm, March 26th, 2025
Why the italics? Why the whataboutery? Yes, history is full of empires behaving badly. That doesn’t mean we abandon moral judgment now. Pointing out American imperialism in the 19th century doesn’t excuse authoritarian expansionism in the 21st. We can (and ...Written By: Res Publica - Date published: 1:29 pm, March 26th, 2025
And, since there are about 270 Chinese (gooseberries) for every Kiwi(fruit) Nice line! I might have to steal that one . It's too good not to reuse sometime. getting to know one or two might not be such a bad idea. Kiwi's do love a good charm offensive. ...Written By: Res Publica - Date published: 10:57 am, March 26th, 2025
I am supportive of international law but the rules based order is a complete crock. Then what kind of international order would you support then?Written By: Res Publica - Date published: 10:42 am, March 26th, 2025
That's an even better question! And one that might be fun to tackle in another guest post. Assuming my weekend's effort didn’t annoy the mods too much 😄 My two cents on that dilemma is this: alignment with China comes with enormous attendant risks. It ...Written By: Res Publica - Date published: 9:57 am, March 26th, 2025
I don’t think Yeltsin or Gorbachev granted Ukraine independence so much as they realised the only way to maintain Russia’s hegemony over its former satellites would have been through armed force. And that would’ve been, at best, messy — enormously ...Written By: Res Publica - Date published: 9:49 am, March 26th, 2025
"Putin could not ignore Ukraine?" That framing treats Ukrainian independence and agency as optional — as if Ukraine’s choices about democracy, alliances, and foreign policy are somehow dependent on Russia’s goodwill, rather than being the sovereign right ...Written By: Res Publica - Date published: 9:38 am, March 26th, 2025
I couldn't agree more SPC. The rules-based international order is on the verge of collapsing around our ears, which is providing ample opportunities for all sorts of aspiring regional hegemons to chance their arm at a time where the USA's commitment to its ...Written By: Res Publica - Date published: 4:58 pm, March 25th, 2025
This is about the UN Charter – collective security of nations. I absolutely agree. To paraphrase Benjamin Franklin: if us smaller states don’t hang together, we will surely be hung separately. Collective security must mean something, or it means nothing ...Written By: Res Publica - Date published: 4:04 pm, March 25th, 2025
I appreciate the thoughtfulness in your response. I don’t read you as someone reflexively blaming “the West” for everything, but as someone genuinely horrified by the scale of suffering and looking for a better way. I think we probably share more common ...Written By: Res Publica - Date published: 2:04 pm, March 25th, 2025
With Russia, I think tghe USA and some elements in Europe have promjted the myth that Russia is a threat to its neighbours. I think Russia’s done a perfectly good job of provoking this conflict all on its own. No help needed from ‘the West.’ You can ...Written By: Res Publica - Date published: 2:00 pm, March 25th, 2025
We’ve tried this before. In Munich, 1938. Where democracy blinked in the face of an autocratic regime that would have promptly collapsed had Chamberlain and Daladier had the moral courage to push back even a little. Whether appeasement comes from naivety ...Written By: Res Publica - Date published: 1:46 pm, March 25th, 2025
Technically correct. Which, as we all know, is the best kind of correct :D There was absolutely no way the nascent Ukrainian state would have been able to even use the nuclear arsenal that the USSR left behind, even if they wanted to. But still, it was ...Written By: Res Publica - Date published: 10:02 pm, March 24th, 2025
Understood. I may have got a little carried away with my own rhetoric there.Written By: Res Publica - Date published: 10:00 pm, March 24th, 2025
And what happened between 2014 and 2022? Russia stole Crimea and fueled a proxy war in the Donbas?Written By: Res Publica - Date published: 8:09 pm, March 24th, 2025
And you come across as the smuggest of assholes — the kind who thinks quoting Clausewitz makes them a geopolitical sage, while parroting Kremlin-adjacent talking points with all the nuance of Winston Peters after a bottle of single malt. Let’s cut the crap ...
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