So will David Cameron snatch defeat out of the jaws of victory? According to the latest Guardian poll it is possible. Results show that:
Labour support has climbed four points to 33% since an ICM poll carried out for the Guardian last week. Conservative backing has dropped one since then to 37% Labour’s best ICM rating since December 2008 and the Tories’ worst since February.
On a uniform national swing, these figures could leave Labour 30 seats short of an overall majority. Even if the Tories perform better than average in marginal seats as most people expect David Cameron would struggle to establish a secure parliamentary basis for power.
Either party could be left dependent on the Liberal Democrats, who are on 21% in the poll down two from last week.
Of course no poll matters like the one on the day, but it will be interesting to watch the political games unfold…