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Polling Biases

Written By: - Date published: 6:47 pm, October 26th, 2008 - 25 comments
Categories: polls - Tags: ,

Poll biases

Biases in the party support polls by indiviudal polling company. Companies whoose name is marked with an asterisk show a statistically significant bias towards either Labour or National at the 95% level (ie the absolute bias in one party is significantly greater (or less) than the other). Bias is defined in absolute terms as the (p-s), where p is the value estimated by the individual poll, and s is the mean value estimated using the Loess smoother taking into account all polls. No polls show significant deviations from zero at the 95% level.

This is from the discussion area of the wikipedia page on opinion polls. It is an analysis of biases between the polling companies by trewa. I know how much our own commentators are interested in the biases of different polls, so this will give some kind of basis for comparison.

Personally I think that land-line based polling as being pretty worthless these days. In my opinion, having a listed (in the white pages) land-line is a characteristic of being older, more technophobic, and being of higher incomes – characteristics of a more conservative voter.

25 comments on “Polling Biases”

  1. Lew 1

    Interesting. While the money quote from the caption is “No polls show significant deviation from zero at the 95% level” note that it’s measuring against other polls using similar methodologies, not against a known quantity (not that there is one.

    One-line benchmark for those of you who don’t feel like reading the graphs:

    Colmar Brunton (one News): Overrates National, underrates all others.
    Digipoll (Herald, Marae): Overrates both National and Labour, underrates both Green and NZF.
    Nielsen (Fairfax): Overrates National, underrates Labour and Green.
    Roy Morgan : Underrates both Labour and National, overrates minor parties.
    TNS (3 News): Overrates Labour, underrates National.
    UMR (Labour): Overrates National (!) and Green.

    L

  2. Do the dots (for example just above and below the greens on roy morgan) signify out lying polls or something?

  3. shorty 3

    Interesting reading, but surely you don’t seriously think that people on welfare cant afford landline phones?

  4. RedLogix 4

    Much appreciated, and a big ups to the guys doing all the work here.

    I do have one question. How valid is it statistically:

    s is the mean value estimated using the Loess smoother taking into account all polls.

    when each of the pollsters is using a different methodology? Polls are not the equivalent of a full scale election held on the day of the sampling… rather they are a proxy for such a thing. What these graphs tell us is that these proxy polls are not centered with respect to each other, but what is less clear is what the actual center (ie the result of a real election held on the day) is with respect to these proxies. Is a simple “average of all polls” the correct method here?

    In this respect I am very much reminded of the very controversial hockey stick climate change debate, and some of the stuff I have read (at an elementary level) around PCA analysis and reconciling non-centered data series.

  5. Tim Ellis 5

    This is excellent work at wikipedia. It’s consistent with some of the analysis work I’ve done around poll biases.

  6. marco 6

    Shorty
    Work and Income do not consider a landline phone a necessary expense unless its for medical or safety reasons. This means when a landline is cut off due to lack of payment Work and Income will not assist with the reconnection fees unless either of those circumstances are proven.
    At the other end of the income scale, many high income young people are no longer connecting landlines, prefering to use cell phones and wireless hotspots or neighbours wireless signals for phone and internet.
    The bottom line is no poll can be accurate but they do give us an idea of what is happening and should never be taken as gospel.

  7. gobsmacked 7

    The red car is turning left, and has the right of way.

  8. marco 8

    One other thing, has any organisation polled Mangere. Could Taito Phillip Field have a chance to upset things? Word is he is packing out churches all over the electorate.

  9. Sarah 9

    What are the alternatives to land-line based polling? Which polling companies take these alternatives up?

    Great post btw.

  10. toad 10

    Shorty said: Interesting reading, but surely you don’t seriously think that people on welfare cant afford landline phones?

    Shorty, I worked as an advocate for beenficiaries for many years. Even by the turn of the millenium, many beneficiaries had abandoned the landline because the pre-paid mobile with no line charge was a much cheaper option.

    In my current employment, I still have considerable contact with beneficiaries, and I can assure you that for many of them, having a landline is beyond their resources. A pre-paid mobile with 5 or 6 short outgoing calls each week is a much cheaper option.

    And if you are on a benefit, every $ counts.

  11. Lew 11

    Sarah, the focus on landlines is only part of the problem. Also the usual polling hours exclude night-workers and shift-workers and people who don’t answer the phone during Coro St, etc. And then there are the refusal rates. And …

    But as to your first question, ultimately no methodology is without its distortions. So in some senses it’s better to stick with the broken set of methods we know, and use tools like the above to adjust.

    L

  12. toad 12

    gobsmacked said: Could Taito Phillip Field have a chance to upset things?

    I really hope not. A prima facie case exists that he is a corrupt scumbag (which I actually had my suspicions about 20 years ago when both he and were union officials).

    The Labour Party has a string candidate, there is a Family Fist candidate too, who will split the moral conservative vote, and the Green candidate, Mua Strickson-Pua, is asking only for a GreenPartey vote, rather than the electorate vote.

    Hopefully Field, like Peters, is on the road to electoral oblivion in two weeks.

  13. lprent 13

    Lew: Surprisingly I agree. They are good indicators of trends, provided that you are aware of the limitations. That is something that the msm chooses not to examine. You have to be aware of alternate explanations.

    For instance another possible reason for the decline in the Nay’s polls could be dilution. As the number of refuseniks for the pollsters decreases closer to the election, our ‘talkback’ audience influence in the polls declines. That certainly fits the available facts as well as the bleed idea that Tim was suggesting.

    To me, this has always seemed the logical explanation for the rapid changes in the poll trends approaching and election, and why the polls get more accurate at the end.

    However, I suspect that the msm will prefer the ‘bleed’ explanation because it allows them to construct a narrative to appeal to their audience. It is a lot easier than describing the problems with sampling.

  14. lprent 14

    toad: Don’t know enough about the Mangere electorate to guess.

    But I think that NZF has a pretty good shot at tipping the 5% from my read of the audiences that he caters to. I’m afraid that the attack from the right was too blatant and too visible, and will now engender too much support. That is a real pity. He was getting close to being too respectable which would have been his death knell.

    I’m expecting him to do better than expected in the maori electorates, and to hold most of his support in the seniors (that hasn’t died since the last election). But that is just my opinion. Besides Winston from all accounts is campaigning better than he has since the 90’s

  15. toad 15

    Yes, Lynn, I fear that might be the case with Winston.

    I’m just trying to be optimistic. But you are right, National and ACT were stupid enough to attack him so hard that he can claim martyrdom, and maybe get NZF above 5% yet again.

    Which is a pity. Because a nice tidy Labour-Green- Maori coalition (including a revisit of the Foreshore and Seabed Act) would suit me fine.

    But if we have to deal with Winston again – oh, dear!!! Mind you, at least the Nats say they won’t have him at all, so his bargaining power is minimised, unless Key does yet another flip-flop.

  16. Tim Ellis 16

    LP said:

    To me, this has always seemed the logical explanation for the rapid changes in the poll trends approaching and election, and why the polls get more accurate at the end.

    I don’t know that there is much evidence that polls become more accurate the closer to the election. The experience from 2005 showed that there was enormous volatility between polls, both within different polling series and between those polling series.

    We do know that the time-weighted polling average of all polls in the last 6 weeks was very accurate, but not the individual polls. I’d like to see some authoritative commentary on why that is. I suspect that with individual polling sample sizes decreasing, the margin for error increased: a poll where Labour’s true result was 41% may have put Labour’s support at 44%; it would have been well within the error range of 37%-45%; the next poll reported may have put Labour’s support at 38%, also within the error range. If you take the polls in isolation, you would assume that either Labour’s support had dropped from 44% to 38%, or that one of the polls was wrong. In fact, given the margin for error, they could well both have been right.

    When you average them out, of course, you get much more confidence about the true levels of support. Relying on an individual poll result, though, is pretty hazardous.

  17. As it appears that Neilson, Digipoll and Colmar Brunton all over-rate National, even a `poll of polls` is tainted by the “noise“ this group of polls introduce.

    That today`s C-B poll shows a narrowing of the gap between Labour and National is interesting. Is their 47% now more accurate….or is National`s support now closer to 41%-42%…….

  18. NeillR 18

    One other thing, has any organisation polled Mangere. Could Taito Phillip Field have a chance to upset things? Word is he is packing out churches all over the electorate.
    Marco, my snouts told me a couple of months ago to watch out for Field – that he had a very good chance of winning Mangere. Time will tell of course, but i think there might just be a little surprise on election night.

  19. lprent 19

    TE: There is no real way to know if the result at (say) 3 months out reflects what would happen if an election was taken at that time. You’d have to take an election or a different type of survey.

    However it has been my experience that the polls are less accurate the further away they are from the election. We notice it at an electorate level because we are looking in changes over time of canvassing of individuals (ie we randomly recanvass people). My home electorate is probably one of the most throughly canvassed in the country.

    That way you can see the rate of movement from people to and from support of particular parties during the years between elections. It is never that high except when a new party comes on the scene and manages to pick up votes, or people decide that they don’t want to support a particular party because they are getting too far from their roots (2002 for instance). But generally they stay in roughly the same bloc, once voters are out of their 20’s.

    So what I usually see coming up to an election is the national polls drifting towards the results I’d expect from the reading of the local tea leaves. What I’m using as a frame is the rate of change compared to other national polling sequences over multiple previous elections compared to what canvassing shows.

    It is as empirical as hell, but doing that usually gives me a pretty good estimate of the major bloc outcomes. That is why I’m pretty sure that the Nay’s will go down a few points, and Labour will go up a few points at the Nov 8 poll.

    There isn’t that much movement going on in the long-term support of parties. National has been slowly sucking up the right bloc support since their 2002 debacle. Labour has been running pretty steady, the greens have been slowly increasing their support by their retention of support from the young as they age.

    In short I think that the swinging voter is an artifact of the polling system. They have been steadily getting less accurate over the years because the group that the sample from is getting smaller compared to the general voting population.

    So what I’m seeing is the polls moving towards what I’m seeing on the ground. There are no major changes going on, it is just that the polls are getting more accurate as people stop refusing to answer the pollsters.

  20. oob 20

    These are figures from the Morgan Poll at the 2005 elections
    !st Figure actual result 2nd MP 3rd error
    Labour : 41.1 38.5 -2.6
    National: 39.1 37.0 -2.1
    Greens: 5.3 7.5 2.2
    Act : 1.51 3 .49

    As you know last time NZF said that they would talk to the biggest party first all polls were neck and neck and it is generally assumed that some people switched from the Greens and Act to Labour and National at the last moment to try to get their party of choice over the line.
    This being the case a study of the above figures would conclude that the Morgan poll was uncannily accurate .
    One would assume therefore they have not changed the way they canvas
    voters. So it logically would be safe to assume that they are the ones to watch

  21. Trevva 21

    I’m glad you find this interesting – the real Kudos goes to the guys who have been collating the poll results for the last 18 months or so – I’ve just snuck in at the last minute with the graphs and bias analysis. Some notes that might be of interest:

    1. Each individual poll is treated as single observation of the true value – there is no adjustment made for, for example, that Colmar-Brunton polls more frequently than UMR. Similarly, no adjustment is made for sample size. These are, of course, weaknesses. If I have time, I’d like to do a random-effects model to treat these types of things properly. But this makes a goodish first-order approximation.

    2. The key result is that there are systematic discrepancies between the polling firms, and these are greater than any measure of “margin of error”. This is the most important point and is frequently overlooked by the MSM, who seem to be fixated with a change of 1% between indvidual pols. A poll of polls such as this tends to circumvent that problem somewhat, but it’s not perfect by any means (e.g. when we have lots of biased polls, the mean will also be biased).

    3. Despite what everyone seems to think, there is no evidence here to suggest a “tory” bias in the Digipoll (subject to the given qualifications).

    If you have suggestions about what else you’d like to see in this analysis, I’m open to them – please put them up on the wikipedia talk page!

  22. lprent 22

    I was pretty impressed both with data and the charts (as you can see),

    Personally I don’ think there is a particular bias. It is just that the environment that they are sampling into is a lot more difficult. The diminishing number of listed landlines severely cramps their techniques because it is shifting the population of people with listed landlines away from the underlying population of voters.

    That tends to favor the tories, or probably disfavor them if they start believing the polls too much.

  23. Observer 23

    RE:
    “In my opinion, having a listed (in the white pages) land-line is a characteristic of being older, more technophobic, and being of higher incomes – characteristics of a more conservative voter”

    This is a really interesting analysis. Especially as EVERY Labour Party MP has a land-line listed in the white pages!

  24. Lampie 24

    increase sample size, phone lines cheaper

  25. lprent 25

    Observer: Do you intend to look like an idiot or is that just your natural charm?

    Yes they’re called ‘office phones’ because every MP may have an electorate office, and they have at least one listed phone. It would not surprise me if there is listed MP’s private number, ie the one that parliamentary services pays for (and has an answer phone on, you wouldn’t want to pick it up..).

    However what exactly does that have to do with the problem that the polling companies face with lower numbers of listed landlines? Or is this just some pathetic attempt to get involved in the discussion?

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  • It’s Time For Disaster Socialism.
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    7 days ago
  • Skeptical Science New Research for Week #12, 2020
    Tamper with The System? Well, we already are. But there's a difference between accidentally trickling sand into a precision gearbox versus formulating a plan to alter it on the fly with improvements in mind. One action is more or less innocently unscrupulous, the other amenable to earning an easy ...
    7 days ago
  • Avoidable hospitalisations: Helping our health system get through COVID-19
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    1 week ago
  • Raise the Bar: 10 questions to ask your employer proposing redundancy
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    1 week ago
  • An equitable way to support business
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    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    1 week ago
  • Hard News: Together Alone
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    1 week ago
  • Why timing is everything: ‘A time to refrain from embracing’ starts today
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  • Dealing with the Covid-19 Tsunami.
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    PunditBy Brian Easton
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  • What about renters?
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    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
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  • Living within our means.
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  • Transparency and the pandemic
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    1 week ago
  • ‘Overjoyed’: a leading health expert on New Zealand’s coronavirus shutdown, and the challengin...
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    1 week ago
  • One way to solve the housing crisis
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    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    1 week ago
  • The pros and cons of planting trees to address global warming
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    1 week ago
  • Not a grand coalition, but a government of national salvation
    According to Newshub, Simon Bridges is open to joining a “grand coalition” with Labour as we hunker down to go into a month long lockdown. The idea is sound. Before now, the role of the opposition was to scrutinise and oppose. In the context of what almost amounts to a ...
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  • Raise the Bar: hospitality workers & wage subsidy entitlements
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  • Lifting our game against COVID-19
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  • The maths and ethics of minimising COVID-19 deaths in NZ
    Prof Tony Blakely, Prof Michael Baker, and Prof Nick Wilson The NZ Government must do more to clearly articulate its COVID-19 strategy: eradication or ‘flattening the curve’ mitigation. But to do so means understanding the maths and ethics of both these strategies. In this blog, we adapt our work for ...
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    1 week ago
  • All aboard the Covid Train
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    1 week ago
  • 2020 SkS Weekly Climate Change & Global Warming Digest #12
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    1 week ago
  • We are all socialists now
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    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    1 week ago
  • A plea to experts: safeguard your role in public life
    I am a pundit, somebody who opines and comments on the news. There are no real qualifications to punditry though having a rudimentary way with words and good general knowledge helps. That is one reason there is a constant oversupply of would-be pundits and why it is quite hard to ...
    PunditBy Liam Hehir
    1 week ago
  • Enlightenment when?
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    SciBlogsBy Michael Corballis
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  • What the Crisis Can teach Us
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  • Hammering home measures to stop COVID-19
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    PunditBy Andrew Geddis
    2 weeks ago
  • What does ‘level two’ mean – and why does it matter?
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    SciBlogsBy Siouxsie Wiles
    2 weeks ago
  • 2020 SkS Weekly Climate Change & Global Warming News Roundup #12
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    2 weeks ago
  • Is the Guardian becoming  a real newspaper again?
    by Jan Rivers The article has been corrected to show that it was Ewen MacAskill, former Guardian journalist and not Luke Harding who travelled to meet Edward Snowden with journalist Glenn Greenwald and filmmaker Laura Poitras.  Some of the Guardian’s well-known journalists who did not sign the protest letter are ...
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  • Life asserts itself regardless
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    RedlineBy Daphna
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  • Politics, the possible, and the pandemic
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    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    2 weeks ago

  • Business Finance Guarantee – applications open
    Businesses can start applying to their banks for loans under the Business Finance Guarantee Scheme set up to support the New Zealand economy during the COVID-19 pandemic. “We’re moving quickly to protect New Zealand businesses, jobs and the economy during this unprecedented global economic shock,” Finance Minister Grant Robertson said. ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    5 hours ago
  • Work starts on ways to fast-track consents to boost recovery from Covid-19 downturn
    Work is underway looking at measures to speed up consents for development and infrastructure projects during the recovery from COVID 19, to provide jobs and stimulate our economy.  Environment Minister David Parker said the COVID-19 pandemic is a serious global crisis that will have a wide ranging and lasting impact ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    7 hours ago
  • Advance payments to support contractors
    Advance payments will be made to transport construction industry contractors to retain the workforce and ensure it is ready to quickly gear up to build projects which will be vital to New Zealand’s COVID-19 economic recovery, Transport Minister Phil Twyford announced today. He said keeping the workforce required to build ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    17 hours ago
  • Government seeks infrastructure projects
    The Government has tasked a group of industry leaders to seek out infrastructure projects that are ready to start as soon as the construction industry returns to normal to reduce the economic impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, Economic Development Minister Phil Twyford and Infrastructure Minister Shane Jones say. The Infrastructure ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 day ago
  • Health system scaled up to prepare for COVID-19
    Work to scale up the health system in preparation for COVID-19 was today outlined by Health Minister David Clark, as he reported back to the new Epidemic Response Committee. “We are well placed to contain the spread of COVID-19. We have taken early and decisive action at our borders, and ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 day ago
  • Essential media COVID-19 guidelines refined
    The Government is refining its COVID-19 essential business guidance to include the distribution of news publications for communities which are hard to reach. The Minister of Broadcasting, Communications and Digital Media, Kris Faafoi, said the move was in recognition of the importance for New Zealanders who might be harder to ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 day ago
  • New Zealand defence personnel conclude mission at Taji
    Following the successful conclusion of the Building Partner Capacity (BPC) mission at Taji, New Zealand defence personnel are returning to New Zealand from Iraq, in accordance with the Cabinet decision made in June 2019, Foreign Affairs Minister Winston Peters and Defence Minister Ron Mark announced today. “New Zealand is very ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 day ago
  • State of National Emergency extended
    The State of National Emergency to help stop the spread of COVID-19 has been extended for a further seven days, Minister of Civil Defence Peeni Henare said. The initial declaration on March 25 lasted seven days and can be extended as many times as necessary. “Since we went into isolation ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 day ago
  • Strong Govt books support ‘go hard, go early’ response
    New Zealand’s ability to go hard and go early in the fight against COVID-19 has been underpinned by strong Government finances and the growing economy heading into this global pandemic, Finance Minister Grant Robertson says. The Treasury today released the Crown financial statements for the eight months to the end ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago
  • Christchurch Hospital Hagley ICU to open to support COVID-19 response
    Health Minister Dr David Clark says 36 new intensive care beds at Christchurch Hospital’s new Hagley building are being fast tracked so they are available for treatment of COVID-19 patients.   The Ministry of Health is working with contractor CPB and Canterbury DHB to enable access to the hospital’s ICU, ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago
  • Government supports Air NZ freight flights
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    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • Tariff concessions on COVID-19 related products
    New Zealand will temporarily remove tariffs on all medical and hygiene imports needed for the COVID-19 response. Trade and Export Growth Minister David Parker and Commerce and Consumer Affairs Minister Kris Faafoi said today that the New Zealand Customs Service will apply tariff concessions to all diagnostic reagents and testing ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • Clarification of modification to wage subsidy scheme
    Minister of Finance Grant Robertson has clarified that the changes to the wage subsidy scheme announced yesterday mean that employers should be passing on the full subsidy to workers, except in the case where the person’s normal income is less than the level of the subsidy. “We still want employers ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • Face masks flowing to DHBs
    Medical face masks from the national reserve supply are now being distributed to District Health Boards, while at the same time local production is being ramped up. Yesterday more than 640,000 masks were sent to DHBS – that is an immediate two week supply, with more to follow in coming ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    5 days ago
  • COVID-19: Further steps to protect New Zealanders’ jobs
    The Government has made modifications to the wage subsidy scheme to ensure people don’t lose their jobs during the national lockdown. These changes will soften the impact of COVID-19 on workers, families and businesses, and position them to exit the lockdown and look to recovery, Finance Minister Grant Robertson says. ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    5 days ago
  • Tax relief for Mycoplasma Bovis farmers
    Farmers whose herds were culled in response to the outbreak of Mycoplasma bovis will be able to minimise the tax treatment of their income in some circumstances. Revenue Minister Stuart Nash says Cabinet has agreed to change the law. It means farmers may be eligible to spread their income over ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    5 days ago
  • $27 million for NGOs and community groups to continue providing essential services
    A $27 million dollar package, effective immediately, is being provided to social sector services and community groups to ensure they can continue to provide essential support to communities as we stay at home as a nation to stop the spread of COVID-19, Minister for Social Development Carmel Sepuloni announced. “At ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    6 days ago
  • Statement on guilty plea of March 15 terrorist
    “The guilty plea today will provide some relief to the many people whose lives were shattered by what happened on March 15,” Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern said. “These guilty pleas and conviction bring accountability for what happened and also save the families who lost loved ones, those who were injured, ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    6 days ago
  • COVID-19 updates
    The Prime Minister is holding daily press conferences to update New Zealanders on the Government's response to COVID-19. Links to videos and transcripts of these updates below. These transcripts also include All of Government press conferences led by Director Ministry of Health's Director-General of Health Dr Ashley Bloomfield. 25 March: Live update from the Prime ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    6 days ago
  • Police numbers break through 10,000 mark
    Frontline Police numbers have broken through the 10,000 mark for the first time in history as officers step forward to keep the community safe during the COVID19 lockdown. “Two Police graduations in Auckland and Wellington in the past week have been conducted in unprecedented circumstances,” Police Minister Stuart Nash said. ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    6 days ago
  • Urgent tax measures for economic recovery
    Urgent legislation has been passed to support the package of economic and social measures needed to recover from the impact of the coronavirus outbreak. “The COVID-19 Response (Taxation and Social Assistance Urgent Measures) Bill will cushion New Zealanders from the worst economic impacts of the COVID-19 outbreak,” said Revenue Minister ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Further support for farmers and growers as drought persists
    From tomorrow, Government support for farmers and growers affected by drought will be expanded and extended across the country, with access to Rural Assistance Payments (RAPS) available throughout the North Island, parts of the South Island and the Chatham Islands, Social Development Minister Carmel Sepuloni announced. “These challenging conditions have ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • COVID-19: Temporary changes to Education Act
    Parliament has passed amendments to legislation that give the Secretary of Education stronger powers to act in the fight to limit the spread of COVID-19, Education Minister Chris Hipkins said today. “They are part of a suite of changes passed under the COVID-19 Response (Urgent Management Measures) Legislation Bill,” Chris ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Canada, Australia, Chile, Brunei and Myanmar join NZ and Singapore in committing to keeping supply a...
    Canada, Australia, Chile, Brunei and Myanmar have joined forces with New Zealand and Singapore by committing to keep supply chains open and remove any existing trade restrictive measures on essential goods, especially medical supplies, in the face of the Covid-19 crisis.  Trade and Export Growth Minister David Parker today welcomed ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • COVID-19: Rent increase freeze and more protection for tenants
    Immediate freeze on rent increases Tenancies will not be terminated during the lock-down period, unless the parties agree, or in limited circumstances Tenants who had previously given notice can stay in their if they need to stay in the tenancy during the lock-down period Tenants will still be able to ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Working together to protect businesses and workers
    As New Zealand unites to lock-down in the fight against COVID-19, the Finance Minister is urging all businesses and workers to stay connected over the next four weeks. “We understand the extreme pressure many businesses are under right now. I know most business owners think of their workers as family ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • State of National Emergency declared to fight COVID-19
    A State of National Emergency has been declared across the country as the Government pulls out all the stops to curtail the spread of COVID-19. “Today we put in place our country’s second ever State of National Emergency as we fight a global pandemic, save New Zealanders’ lives and prevent ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Prime Minister’s statement on State of National Emergency and Epidemic Notice
    Mr Speaker I wish to make a Ministerial Statement under Standing Order 347 in relation to the recent declaration of a State of National Emergency. Having considered the advice of the Director Civil Defence Emergency Management, the Minister of Civil Defence declared a State of National Emergency for the whole of ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Deadline for domestic travel extended
    People needing to travel on domestic flights, trains and Cook Strait ferries to get home before the country moves into level 4 lock-down tomorrow night will be able to continue using the passenger services until midnight on Friday, Transport Minister Phil Twyford said today. Domestic passenger services, particularly ferries, have ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Mortgage holiday and business finance support schemes to cushion COVID impacts
    The Government, retail banks and the Reserve Bank are today announcing a major financial support package for home owners and businesses affected by the economic impacts of COVID-19. The package will include a six month principal and interest payment holiday for mortgage holders and SME customers whose incomes have been ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Government working to keep air freight moving
    Minister of Transport Phil Twyford has today announced details of the Government’s support package to keep key air freight moving and ensure New Zealanders retain access to essential goods during the four-week level 4 lockdown. “The Government is working with airlines and air freight operators to ensure New Zealand’s key ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • New Zealand moves to COVID-19 Alert Level 3, then Level 4 in 48 hours
    New Zealand moved up to COVID-19 Alert Level 3 – Restrict New Zealand to move up to COVID-19 Alert Level 4 – Eliminate, in 48 hours Two-staged approach to give people and businesses time to prepare  Level 3, from tomorrow Non-essential businesses must close All events and gatherings must be ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Prime Minister: COVID-19 Alert Level increased
    Good afternoon  The Cabinet met this morning to discuss our next actions in the fight against COVID-19.  Like the rest of the world, we are facing the potential for devastating impacts from this virus. But, through decisive action, and through working together, do we have a small window to get ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Govt takes significant economic decisions as NZ readies for Alert Level 4 in COVID-19 fight
    The Government is announcing significant further support for the economy, workers and businesses as the country unites to prepare for Alert Level 4 in the fight against COVID-19. Cabinet today agreed to remove the cap on the Government’s wage subsidy scheme, which will inject a further $4 billion into the ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Govt backs RBNZ move to support economy with lower interest rates
    The Government is backing the Reserve Bank’s latest action to support the economy by reducing longer-term interest rates, meaning lower costs for businesses and mortgage holders, and a lower currency to help our exporters. The Minister of Finance has signed a memorandum of understanding and a letter of indemnity with ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Government statement on commercial cooperation during COVID-19
    The Government has asked the Commerce Commission to take account of the exceptional circumstances created by COVID-19 when monitoring business behaviour in coming weeks.   “The purpose of my request to the Commerce Commission is to make sure businesses can work together in ways that will allow them to provide ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • New Zealand temporarily closes diplomatic posts in Barbados and Myanmar due to COVID-19
    The New Zealand Government has temporarily closed its High Commission in Bridgetown, Barbados and its Embassy in Yangon, Myanmar due to the COVID-19 pandemic, Foreign Minister Winston Peters says.   “Due to the increasing scarcity of air links in and out of Bridgetown and Yangon, and the pressure COVID-19 is placing ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Supporting Māori communities and businesses through
    Associate Health and Whānau Ora Minister Peeni Henare has today announced the Government’s plan to support Māori communities and businesses in the face of COVID-19. “Our Government’s $12.1 billion economic package will help many Māori whānau, workers and businesses, whether it’s through wage subsidies, income support and worker redeployment, or ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 weeks ago
  • Guidelines for hospitality establishments released
    The Government and the hospitality industry have worked together to produce guidelines to assist with managing and reducing transmission of COVID-19, Health Minister David Clark announced today.  The guidelines developed between the Government, Hospitality New Zealand and SkyCity Entertainment Group, set out how the new restrictions on physical distancing and ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 weeks ago
  • Nation steps up to COVID-19 Alert Level 2
    Four stage Alert System for COVID-19 announced New Zealand moved up to COVID-19 Alert Level 2 – Reduce Contact New Zealanders over 70 and those with certain medical conditions told to stay at home as much as they can to reduce risk of contact with the virus Workplaces to implement ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 weeks ago