web analytics

Pray you don’t get endorsed by Sarah Palin

Written By: - Date published: 10:00 am, July 30th, 2010 - 10 comments
Categories: national, us politics - Tags: , , , ,

Reading on the always interesting Huffington Post, I ran across this – “Sarah Palin’s Endorsement Of Kelly Ayotte May Have Hurt Senate Candidate’s Campaign (POLL)“.

A new survey from Public Policy Polling finds that Ayotte has experienced diminished support from moderate voters since the ex-Alaska Governor issued a statement of support for her candidacy.

The excerpt from the poll of New Hampshire voters was classic.

The Palin endorsement may well be playing a role in this. 51% of voters in the state say they’re less likely to back a Palin endorsed candidate to only 26% who say that support would make them more inclined to vote for someone. Among moderates that widens to 65% who say a Palin endorsement would turn them off to 14% who it would make more supportive.

I make no real claim to understand American politics and I get the impression that neither do most of the voters there. However it does appear to me that the screaming RWNJ (right wing nut jobs) there are starting to lose influence even within the Republicans because of their ability to turn off moderate voters as well as their disruptive campaigning against the selection of candidates that may even have a whiff of ideologically impurity.

For example in the Utah primary, which has a rather interesting pre-selection system for GOP senators..

WHAT’S not to like about Senator Robert Bennett? The grandson of a Mormon leader and son of a senator, he is as much a part of Utah as the Great Salt Lake. His conservative Republican credentials would have seemed impeccable not long ago—he opposes abortion, likes a flat tax and voted against Sonia Sotomayor for the Supreme Court. There were questions about his role in the Watergate scandal, but that was long ago, and Mr Bennett, 76, has spent three terms in the Senate without notable sleaze or incompetence. Other senators like him. So do politicians in Utah. Mitt Romney, still a star there, endorsed him for a fourth term.

And yet, in this unusual year, this was not enough for Utah’s Republicans. At their convention on May 8th they ejected Mr Bennett unceremoniously from participating in the Republican primary on June 22nd.

Utah’s nomination process is unusual in that relatively few party faithful, through a caucus system, have the power to pre-select candidates for the primaries, knowing that Republicans invariably win the general election. Had Mr Bennett faced all registered Republicans, he might have survived. Tea-party candidates in states with traditional primaries have not done well so far.

The problem for the RWNJ tea party activists is that winning these selection battles may mean that they lose the war – their hand picked candidates run into the moderates like those in New Hampshire. Merely knowing that the tea party or one of their favorite politicians has endorsed a candidate becomes sufficient to turn moderate voters off them. In some cases (probably not in Utah), this spoiler effect will be sufficient to tip the election.

In New Zealand terms, it’d probably be like getting Rodger Douglas to endorse someone. Mind you, I think that the ultimate kiss of death here would be to get the support of WhaleOil. I’d almost swear that his attacks on the National Party president were a major contributing factor in Goodfellows reelection. I’d expect that Whale is now off out of the National party because it gives him more room to endorse candidates…

10 comments on “Pray you don’t get endorsed by Sarah Palin ”

  1. Sonny Blount 1

    I think the Obama ‘endorsement of doom’ is worse at this stage.

    Democratic candidates prefer to have Bill Clinton campaign for them and Barry to keep away.

    We’ll see in November I guess.

  2. Pascal's bookie 2

    The donk strategy looks like it’s gonna try and tie the GOP to the radical wing that supports Palin. Which is fair enough given the congressional GOP are acting like complete nutjobs.

    Democratic National Committee Chairman Tim Kaine and several Democratic House members today unveiled the new Democratic midterm attack plan against Republicans: GOP = Tea Party.

    In an effort to demonstrate what they see as the dangers of Republican Congressional control, Democrats will spend the next few months until Election Day trying to tie all Republicans to policies advocated by some members of the Tea Party, including repealing the health care and Wall Street reform laws, abolishing the Departments of Labor and Education and the EPA, and ending Medicare….

    …Presumably, the DNC has extensive polling data on this, which likely shows the American mainstream — especially self-described “independents” and swing voters — turned off by Tea Partiers’ radicalism. Which leads to the stronger part of the Democrats’ plan: it puts Republicans on the defensive.

    Indeed, yesterday, GOP leaders were quick to denounce, and sometimes even mock, the new Democratic effort. But when reporters asked if the DNC’s charges are true — in other words, whether Republicans and Tea Partiers really are one and the same, with an identical right-wing agenda — those same GOP leaders suddenly felt shy.

    An RNC spokesperson “would not say whether the RNC disagrees with any of the 10 agenda items.” A wide variety of Republican officials were quick to respond to the DNC’s initiative, but not one was prepared to “refute specific points.”….

    ….Marc Ambinder explained the strategy this way: “The Republicans want to be mayors of crazy-town. They’ve embraced a fringe and proto-racist isolationist and ignorant conservative populism that has no solutions for fixing anything and the collective intelligence of a wine flask.”

    Washington Monthly

    I think the Obama ‘endorsement of doom’ is worse at this stage.

    Polling report is a great place to find all sorts of data. I’d guess the favorability ratings for Obama and Palin are the things you’d want to look at.

  3. Grapethroat 3

    The Public Policy Polling website said something similar about an Obama endorsement:

    Personally I think Palin is a distraction, for the dems and the GOP. I’ve often wondered how she manages to get media coverage, but the weird thing is that even though they mostly ridicule her, the media seem unable to ignore her.

    • Pascal's bookie 3.1

      Guess for them that like her a lot, there’s a bit under 2 that don’t like her, a lot.

      That makes for good copy. Also, and too, her new gig is a whole new form of wingnut welfare. I wouldn’t be surprised if she doesn’t run at all, she makes more money doing the rounds and she doesn’t have to do any hostile interviews ar anything, She just dishes out a tweet and the press jump on it giving her publicity for her speeches and ‘fundraisers’. It’s quite the racket.

      • Sonny Blount 3.1.1

        I actually agree with you.

        I don’t think she will run as she can’t win and it would be a waste of money (she may participate early but will drop out before the costs skyrocket). She is simply making as much as she can while her shelf life of public attention lasts.

        She isn’t relevant to 2012 in my opinion. She is simply soaking up all the heat from the Dems and supporters until the real target/s emerge.

        • Pascal's bookie

          “She is simply soaking up all the heat from the Dems and supporters until the real target/s emerge.”

          Oh I think she’s doing a lot more than that. She’s getting her crowd all fired up and radicalising the GOP. Which is why all the GOPpy congress critters refuse to condemn the Tea Party. They now own the GOP.

          The GOP primary is going to be hell of interesting if she runs. The other candidates will have to go hard at her, but she is hugely popular with the most enthusiastic GOP base dwellers. And yet, the GOP funders and serious power brokers all know she won’t stand a chance in the general, so will be out to find the candidate to beat her. That’s why her current funding is so important. She needs to get it early and get all the mail lists set up for a funding stream outside of the big GOP money boyz.

          It could be a bloodbath.


  4. graham 4

    IS chris carter the new sarah palin?

    • Rex Widerstrom 4.1

      Heh… but nah, Palin tried her darndest to get McCain elected because she knew that he was her best, and probably only, chance of getting anywhere near the Presidency.

      Unfortunately the mere proximity of a bewildered and somewhat unlikeable kook to a leader who might otherwise have been saleable was what wrecked his credibility and thus his chances.

      Which makes Palin more like… most of the Labour Party front bench! 😀

Links to post

Recent Comments

Recent Posts

  • Tokelau Language Week reminds us to stay united and strong
    Staying strong in the face of challenges and being true to our heritage and languages are key to preserving our cultural identity and wellbeing, is the focus of the 2020 Tokelau Language Week. Minister for Pacific Peoples, Aupito William Sio, says this year’s theme, ‘Apoapo tau foe, i nā tāfea ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • NZ announces a third P-3 deployment in support of UN sanctions
    The Government has deployed a Royal New Zealand Air Force P-3K2 Orion (P-3) maritime patrol aircraft to support the implementation of United Nations Security Council (UNSC) resolutions imposing sanctions against North Korea, announced Minister of Foreign Affairs Winston Peters and Minister of Defence Ron Mark. “New Zealand has long supported ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Pacific trade and development agreement a reality
    Pacific regional trade and development agreement PACER Plus will enter into force in 60 days now that the required eight countries have ratified it. Trade and Export Growth Minister David Parker welcomed the announcement that the Cook Islands is the eighth nation to ratify this landmark agreement. “The agreement represents ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 weeks ago
  • Securing a pipeline of teachers
    The Government is changing its approach to teacher recruitment as COVID-19 travel restrictions continue, by boosting a range of initiatives to get more Kiwis into teaching. “When we came into Government, we were faced with a teacher supply crisis,” Education Minister Chris Hipkins said. “Over the past three years, we ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 weeks ago
  • Border exceptions for a small number of international students with visas
    The Government has established a new category that will allow 250 international PhD and postgraduate students to enter New Zealand and continue their studies, in the latest set of border exceptions. “The health, safety and wellbeing of people in New Zealand remains the Government’s top priority. Tight border restrictions remain ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 weeks ago
  • First COVID-19 vaccine purchase agreement signed
    The Government has signed an agreement to purchase 1.5 million COVID-19 vaccines – enough for 750,000 people – from Pfizer and BioNTech, subject to the vaccine successfully completing all clinical trials and passing regulatory approvals in New Zealand, say Research, Science and Innovation Minister Megan Woods and Health Minister Chris Hipkins. ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 weeks ago
  • International statement – End-to-end encryption and public safety
    We, the undersigned, support strong encryption, which plays a crucial role in protecting personal data, privacy, intellectual property, trade secrets and cyber security.  It also serves a vital purpose in repressive states to protect journalists, human rights defenders and other vulnerable people, as stated in the 2017 resolution of the ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 weeks ago
  • Ministry of Defence Biodefence Assessment released
    The Ministry of Defence has today released a Defence Assessment examining Defence’s role across the spectrum of biological hazards and threats facing New Zealand. Biodefence: Preparing for a New Era of Biological Hazards and Threats looks at how the NZDF supports other agencies’ biodefence activities, and considers the context of ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 weeks ago
  • New Approaches to Economic Challenges: Confronting Planetary Emergencies: OECD 9 October 2020
    New Approaches to Economic Challenges: Confronting Planetary Emergencies: OECD 9 October 2020 Hon David Parker’s response following Thomas Piketty and Esther Duflo. Good morning, good afternoon, and good evening, wherever in the world you might be. I first acknowledge the excellent thought provoking speeches of Thomas Piketty and Esther ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 weeks ago
  • Kaipara Moana restoration takes next step
    A Memorandum of Understanding has been signed today at Waihāua Marae between the Crown, local iwi and councils to protect, restore and enhance the mauri of Kaipara Moana in Northland. Environment Minister David Parker signed the document on behalf of the Crown along with representatives from Ngā Maunga Whakahī, Ngāti ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 weeks ago
  • New Zealand and Uruguay unite on reducing livestock production emissions
    Agriculture Minister Damien O’Connor and Uruguayan Minister of Livestock, Agriculture and Fisheries Carlos María Uriarte have welcomed the launch of a three-year project that will underpin sustainable livestock production in Uruguay, Argentina, and Costa Rica.  The project called ‘Innovation for pasture management’ is led by Uruguay’s National Institute of Agricultural ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 weeks ago
  • 3100 jobs created through marae upgrades
    Hundreds of marae throughout the country will be upgraded through investments from the Provincial Growth Fund’s refocused post COVID-19 funding to create jobs and put money into the pockets of local tradespeople and businesses, Regional Economic Development Minister Shane Jones and Māori Development Minister Nanaia Mahuta have announced. “A total ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 weeks ago
  • Health volunteers recognised in annual awards
    Health Minister Chris Hipkins has announced 9 teams and 14 individuals are the recipients of this year’s Minister of Health Volunteer Awards.  “The health volunteer awards celebrate and recognise the thousands of dedicated health sector volunteers who give many hours of their time to help other New Zealanders,” Mr Hipkins ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 weeks ago
  • Community COVID-19 Fund supports Pacific recovery
    The Minister for Pacific Peoples, Aupito William Sio says a total of 264 groups and individuals have successfully applied for the Pacific Aotearoa Community COVID-19 Recovery Fund, that will support Pacific communities drive their own COVID-19 recovery strategies, initiatives, and actions. “I am keen to see this Fund support Pacific ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 weeks ago
  • Community benefits from Māori apprenticeships
    Up to 50 Māori apprentices in Wellington will receive paid training to build houses for their local communities, thanks to a $2.75 million investment from the Māori Trades and Training Fund, announced Employment Minister Willie Jackson today. “This funding will enable Ngāti Toa Rangatira Incorporated to provide its Ngā Kaimahi ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 weeks ago
  • Training fund supports Māori jobseekers
    Rapidly growing sectors will benefit from a $990,000 Māori Trades and Training Fund investment which will see Wellington jobseekers supported into work, announced Employment Minister Willie Jackson today. “This funding will enable Sapphire Consultants Ltd. to help up to 45 Māori jobseekers into paid training initiatives over two years through ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 weeks ago
  • Ruakura Inland Port development vital infrastructure for Waikato
    The Government is investing $40 million to develop an inland port at Ruakura which will become a freight super-hub and a future business, research and residential development for the Waikato, Urban Development and Transport Minister Phil Twyford, and Māori Development Minister Nanaia Mahuta announced today. The funding has been has ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 weeks ago
  • Appointments made to Defence Expert Review Group
    Defence Minister Ron Mark announced today the establishment of an Expert Review Group to review a number of aspects of the New Zealand Defence Force’s (NZDF) structure, information management and record-keeping processes.  The Expert Review Group’s work arises out of the first recommendation from the Report of the Government’s Inquiry ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 weeks ago
  • No active community cases of COVID-19
    There are no active community cases of COVID-19 remaining in the country after the last people from the recent outbreak have recovered from the virus, Health Minister Chris Hipkins said today. “This is a big milestone. New Zealanders have once again through their collective actions squashed the virus. The systems ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 weeks ago