Preliminary Roy Morgan numbers for Feb 29 to Mar 13 are out. I don’t see their commentary up yet however.
NZF jumps 3% to 9%, putting them at their highest Roy Morgan polling in recent history.
Labour increases 1% to 28%. Greens are on 14%.
This gives the LAB/GR/NZF block 51%: potentially a 3 to 4 MP majority in Parliament.
National drops 2.5% to 46%. They’d need significant minor party help to get them over the line – and they don’t have it.
MS found the RM write up before I did:
During March support for National fell 2.5% to 46% – the lowest since September 2015, now only 4% ahead of a potential Labour/Greens alliance 42% (up 0.5%). If a New Zealand Election were held now the latest NZ Roy Morgan Poll shows NZ First 9% (up 3%) would hold the balance of power and be in a position to determine who would form the next New Zealand Government.