- Date published:
7:50 pm, August 29th, 2016 - 268 comments
Categories: Andrew Little, election 2017, greens, james shaw, labour, Metiria Turei, national, nz first, polls, uncategorized - Tags: polls, roy morgan
The latest Roy Morgan is out. The National Party have a dropped a massive 7%, though to be fair that probably just reflects the folks at RM tweaking their methodology so they don’t get laughed at again.
Labour’s support stays at 25.5% (unchanged), Greens 14.5% (up 3%) and NZ First 9.5% (up 2.5%). If Andrew Little can stitch up a coalition deal with Winston, they’ll have a comfortable majority in the next parliament.
This poll continues the overall trend of the three opposition parties being in touching distance of a win (if they cooperate) and National not having enough oomph to get over the line without help from their pet poodles. They’ll be desperate now to make sure that the Maori Party and Peter Dunne make it back.
However, with the Labour/Green understanding in place, it’s likely that Labour will win all the maori seats, and Ohariu, leaving National 4-6 seats shy of a win.
Or a Winnie.