web analytics

RWC and rapists: 3 News poll confirms a pretty average week for Key.

Written By: - Date published: 6:51 pm, November 22nd, 2015 - 29 comments
Categories: Andrew Little, john key, Media, Politics, polls, winston peters - Tags: , ,

The latest Reid Research/3 News poll is out. National have dipped slightly and Key’s personal support has dropped despite the PM’s sucking up to the AB’s. He’s been mired in the thirties for months, when for years he used to be comfortably in the forties. Hie weird rapist comments haven’t hurt him much, but they clearly haven’t helped.

As 3 News note:

“For six years his preferred Prime Minister’s rating was almost always in the 40 percent region. Now he has dropped into the 30 percent region after that pony-tail pulling charade. He has been there since.”

Winston Peters has it seen it all before:

“The tide runs out for even the biggest PR operation.”

Labour under Andrew Little seem to have cemented themselves in the low thirties. That’s a big step forward from election day. There’s a solid platform to be built on there.

 

The numbers:

National: 46.7%

Labour: 32.3%

Greens: 10.2

NZF: 7.5

The rest: margin of error stuff.

3 News translate this result to 61 seats to the right, 60 to the opposition.

Preferred PM:

Key: 38.3%

Little: 10.4

Peters: 9.3

Ardern: 4.2

 

So, no great shifts, but Key continues to under perform. How long will the National grandees let him hang on?

Taxi for Mr Key?

 

 

tereoputake.wordpress.com/

twitter.com/tereoputake

tereoputake@gmail.com

 

 

 

 

29 comments on “RWC and rapists: 3 News poll confirms a pretty average week for Key. ”

  1. Ad 1

    32.3 against RWC; yup I’ll take that.

  2. NZJester 2

    The RWC most likely did boost his numbers. His outburst in parliament would be what lost him any gain. I would love to know the breakdown in the sex of those preferring John Key. I bet his male numbers went up and his female numbers when down.

  3. b waghorn 3

    Why the hell is dipstick gower determined to keep Aotearoa in perpetual election mode?

  4. Draco T Bastard 4

    So, no great shifts, but Key continues to under perform. How long will the National grandees let him hang on?

    Probably quite awhile as he’s still the only leader that National has that can appear to connect to the general population.

    • Lanthanide 4.1

      According to Simon Lusk, their next leader is Paula Bennett. I think she connects quite well with their base, but probably not a lot further.

  5. Enough is Enough 5

    Sounds like something written by Comical Ali.

    How can we even pretend these numbers are anything but shit. Especially in light of what that fool Key has been doing in parliament in the last month.

    Do not assume Winston will automatically go into the grand coalition of the left. Until we begin seeing numbers whereby Winston is a luxury rather than a necessity, I will not sleep easy.

    • Lanthanide 5.1

      “Until we begin seeing numbers whereby Winston is a luxury rather than a necessity”

      I don’t think we’ll seed that before 2018.

  6. Magisterium 6

    Support that would return National to power and Key four times as popular as the Leader of the Labour Party, and this is something to celebrate?

    • This poll suggests Key is barely hanging on and that he got nothing from the RWC. That’s not been our previous experience, btw. At the last RWC he was the AB’s guy. Now, not so much. He has also gained nothing from the ‘rapists’ outburst, when that sort of thing used to be catnip for voters. So, I reckon what used to work is not looking so flash at the moment.

      Labour, NZF and the Greens will be quietly pleased with this result at a time when the old Key would have been on a crest of a rugby generated nationalist wave.

      Things change: first by inches, then by miles.

      • GranHad 6.1.1

        -This poll suggests Key is barely hanging on and that he got nothing from the RWC. That’s not been our previous experience, btw.

        A sample size of two is far from a reliable bit of info to draw inferences from..

  7. Colonial Viper 7

    National – 44.5 percent, down 1.9 percent
    Labour – 33.5 percent, up 1.3 percent
    Greens – 12.4 percent, up 2 percent
    NZ First – 5.7 percent, up 1.5 percent

    Read more: http://www.3news.co.nz/politics/poll-shows-winston-peters-as-kingmaker-2014020216#ixzz3sCXBEqLb

    The Feb 2014 TV3 poll was better for Labour and Greens than now (46% combined vote).

    • Jenny Kirk 7.1

      Yeah – but most people are looking at Key’s rating and its going down, down, down.

      Key’s cuddling up to Richie McCaw hasn’t improved it, (no wonder he was so desperate for Richie to become a “knight”) and his rapist remarks might well have helped decrease it. And the Nats as a political party are going down too – wonder why that is ? And Labour and Greens and NZF are creeping upwards – that’s what we want to see. Not a big sudden surge, but a good little continual creep up – while the Nats go down. Good to see.

      Hey, CV – isn’t it about time you got over your grouches and started thinking a bit more positively ?

      • Daniel Cale 7.1.1

        Jenny you’re dreaming.

        John Key’s polling is nearly 4 times that of Andrew Little, who barely sits ahead of Winston Peters.

        By this point in the same period of Helen Clarks Prime Ministership, her polling was in the low 30’s and dropping, while Key’s rose rapidly between May 2006 and May 2007 when he went ahead of Clark.

        Labour are in serious trouble, They are led by an angry union lacky who cannot connect with the public, they are broke and don’t have anyone who raise money like Mike Williams used to, and they are spinning so fast overturning previous policy.

    • weka 7.2

      “The Feb 2014 TV3 poll was better for Labour and Greens than now (46% combined vote).”

      So?

  8. infused 8

    Key barely hanging on! National in trouble.

    You must be hitting hr turpes hard.

  9. Daniel Cale 9

    Your analysis makes the same leftist mistake of counting NZF with the opposition. This just isn’t going to happen. But what is so funny is that the same left who call for progressive policies are prepared to jump into an electoral bed with a party led by an anti-immigration xenophobe, who is also a fiscal and moral conservative. It’s just delightful!

    • Stuart Munro 9.1

      There’s immigration and immigration. Medical specialists? Maybe. Property speculators? No thanks.

    • Lanthanide 9.2

      I think if Labour + Greens + NZFirst can reach in the region of 56% or more, then Winston could go with them. But any less than that, and I’d be betting for a National-led government.

      This poll puts them on 49.9, so a fair way to go, but not insurmountable, especially if the government’s arrogance continues.

  10. millsy 10

    Yet again, I am reminded of the England rugby team doing a ‘victory lap’ at Old Trafford in 1997 after losing by 17 points to the All Blacks.

  11. Thinking Right 11

    So if Key on 38% PM support is described as being ‘mired’ in the 30’s how would you describe Little on 10%? (And Little has been around 8-10% ever since he took office.)

    Is it really a positive for the Leader of the Opposition to be fighting for 2nd place with Winston Peters?

    Is it a positive with the translated seat results giving the same outcome as is currently in Parliament?

    Blinkered glasses are very comforting but they don’t win elections.

  12. Puckish Rogue 12

    What this poll tells me is that Winston has got even more power, it could be Lab/Green and Winston or it could be National/Winston

    Will Winston go with a three party split and share power three ways or will he go with National and get a bigger share of the pie? (I think part of his negotiations with National will be no MP/ Dunne or Act)

    Go with Lab/Greens that’ll be in power for at least two terms or go with National and get that knighthood…

    Who can see but it’s going to make the election even more interesting 🙂

  13. Jester 13

    I’m very surprised that many are making something out of nothing when commenting on Keys preferred PM ratings drop.

    It appears that those type of rating measures have little relationship to voting for parties on the whole and as such its a meaningless measure to report on.

  14. DS 14

    Winston knows that his supporters these days are predominantly left-leaning (who do you think got him across the line in Northland?) and he remembers the reaction after 1996. Plus he and John Key hate each other in a way that he and Jim Bolger didn’t. If he offers a deal to National, it will be something outrageous (John Key’s head, and the Finance position for himself, perhaps).

    I think what you’re looking at is Labour-NZF, with the Greens being left on the outside again. But there’s still an awfully long way to go.

  15. Tautuhi 15

    NZF is a party which resembles all New Zealanders, Winston was once most preferred PM in the Muldoon days, however the NZ media have always been up him since he tried to expose the corruption in the BNZ Fiasco and the Winebox Enquiry.

    Key will not go into a head to head debate with Winston as he will tie Key up in knots.

    Unfortunately people in NZ believe the BS in MSM, and do not have the ability to actually think for themselves.

    The NZ Public are in love with John Key because he made $50 million on Wall St and supposedly donates his salary to charity?

Links to post

Recent Comments

Recent Posts

  • New Zealand Sign Language Week a chance to recognise national taonga
    This week (10 – 16 May 2021) is New Zealand Sign Language Week (NZSL), a nationwide celebration of NZSL as an official language of New Zealand. “We’re recognised as a world leader for our commitment to maintaining and furthering the use of our sign language,” says Minister for Disability Issues ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 hours ago
  • Economic resilience provides more options in Budget 2021
    Securing the recovery and investing in the wellbeing of New Zealanders is the focus of Budget 2021, Grant Robertson told his audience at a pre-budget speech in Auckland this morning. "The economy has proven resilient in response to COVID-19, due to people having confidence in the Government’s health response to ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 hours ago
  • Pre-Budget speech to BNZ-Deloitte Auckland Breakfast Event
    Thank you for the invitation to speak to you today, and to share with you some of the Government’s thinking leading into this year’s budget. This will be my fourth time delivering the annual Budget for the Government, though the events of the past year have thrown out that calculation. ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 hours ago
  • Rotuman Language week affirms language as the key to Pacific wellbeing
    The first Pacific Language Week this year  makes it clear that  language is the key to the wellbeing for all Pacific people said Minister for Pacific Peoples, Aupito William Sio. “This round of language  weeks begin with Rotuman. As I have always  said language is one of the pillars of ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    20 hours ago
  • Budget delivers improved cervical and breast cancer screening
    Budget 2021 funds a more effective cervical screening test to help reduce cervical cancer rates A new breast screening system that can proactively identify and enrol eligible women to reach 271,000 more people who aren’t currently in the programme. Budget 2021 delivers a better cervical screening test and a major ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 day ago
  • NZ-France to co-chair Christchurch Call Leaders’ Summit
    New Zealand and France will jointly convene the Christchurch Call Community for a leaders’ summit, to take stock of progress and develop a new shared priority work plan. Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern and President Emmanuel Macron will co-chair the leaders’ meeting on the 2nd anniversary of the Call, on 14 ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 day ago
  • New South Wales travel pause to be lifted tomorrow
    COVID-19 Response Minister Chris Hipkins says the current travel pause with New South Wales will lift tomorrow – subject to no further significant developments in NSW. “New Zealand health officials met today to conduct a further assessment of the public health risk from the recently identified COVID-19 community cases in Sydney. It has been determined that the risk to public ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago
  • March 15 Collective Impact Board appointed
    The voices of those affected by the March 15 mosque attacks will be heard more effectively with the establishment of a new collective impact board, Associate Minister for Social Development and Employment Priyanca Radhakrishnan announced today. Seven members of the Christchurch Muslim community have been appointed to the newly established Board, ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago
  • More young Kiwis supported with mental health and addiction services
    Nearly quarter of a million more young New Zealanders will have access to mental health and addiction support in their communities as the Government’s youth mental health programme gathers pace. New contracts to expand youth-specific services across the Northland, Waitematā and Auckland District Health Board areas have been confirmed, providing ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • New hospital facilities mean fewer trips to Auckland for Northlanders
    Northlanders will no longer automatically have to go to Auckland for lifesaving heart procedures like angiograms, angioplasty and the insertion of pacemakers, thanks to new operating theatres and a cardiac catheter laboratory opened at Whangārei Hospital by Health Minister Andrew Little today. The two projects – along with a new ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • Fair Pay Agreements to improve pay and conditions for essential workers
    The Government is delivering on its pre-election commitment to implement Fair Pay Agreements which will improve wages and conditions, as well as help support our economic recovery, Workplace Relations and Safety Minister Michael Wood announced today. Fair Pay Agreements will set minimum standards for all employees and employers in an ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • Establishment of the new Māori Health Authority takes first big step
    Sir Mason Durie will lead a Steering Group to provide advice to the Transition Unit on governance arrangements and initial appointments to an interim board to oversee the establishment of the Māori Health Authority. This Group will ensure that Māori shape a vital element of our future health system, Minister ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • Cycle trails move up a gear in Central
    Work on new and upgraded cycle trails in Queenstown, Arrowtown and Central Otago is moving up a gear as two significant projects pass further milestones today. Tourism Minister Stuart Nash has announced new funding for the Queenstown Trails Project, and will also formally open the Lake Dunstan Trail at Bannockburn ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • Picton ferry terminal upgrade consent fast-tracked
    The planned upgrade of the Waitohi Picton Ferry terminal has been approved under the fast-track consenting process.  Environment Minister David Parker today welcomed the decision by the expert consenting panel to approve the Waitohi Picton Ferry Precinct Redevelopment Project.    The project will provide a significant upgrade to the ferry facilities ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • Quarantine Free Travel with New South Wales paused
    COVID-19 Response Minister Chris Hipkins has announced his intention to pause Quarantine Free Travel from New South Wales to New Zealand while the source of infection of the two cases announced in Sydney in the last two days is investigated.  Whole genome sequencing has linked the case yesterday to a recent ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • Covid-19 immigration powers to be extended
    The passing of a bill to extend temporary COVID-19 immigration powers means continued flexibility to support migrants, manage the border, and help industries facing labour shortages, Immigration Minister Kris Faafoi said. “Over the past year, we’ve made rapid decisions to extend visas, vary visa conditions and waive some application requirements ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • “Supporting a Trade-Led Economic Recovery”
    Trade Policy Road Show SpeechManukau, Auckland   Kia ora koutou – nau mai, haere mai ki Manukau, ki Tāmaki.   Good morning everyone, and thank you for this opportunity to discuss with you current global challenges, opportunities and the Government’s strategy in support of a trade-led recovery from the economic ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • Building consent numbers at an all-time high
    A record 41,028 new homes have been consented in the year ended March 2021 March 2021 consent numbers the highest since the 1940s Record number of new homes consented in Auckland The number of new homes consented is at an all-time high, showing a strong and increasing pipeline of demand ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • Whānau-centred support for parents and tamariki
    Up to 60 whānau in Counties Manukau will be supported through the first three years of their parenthood by a new whānau-centred model of care, said Associate Health Minister, Hon Aupito William Sio. “Providing this support to young parents is something we have to get right. It’s a priority both ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • NZ backs moves to improve global access to COVID vaccines
    New Zealand welcomes and strongly supports the announcement made by the United States Trade Representative to work for a waiver of IP protections on COVID-19 vaccines at the WTO, Trade Minister Damien O’Connor said. “New Zealand supports equitable access to COVID vaccines for all. No one is safe from the ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • Tourism communities: support, recovery and re-set plan
    TIHEI MAURI ORA Tuia te whakapono Tuia te tumanako Tuia te aroha Tuia te hunga ora Ki te hunga ora Tihei Mauri ora Ka nui te mihi ki a koutou Tena koutou, tena koutou, tena koutou katoa. Thank you, Hilary and thank you, Chris, and everyone at TIA for this ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • Support, recovery and re-set plan for tourism communities
    Five South Island tourist communities targeted for specialist support Pressure on Māori tourism operators and Conservation facilities recognised Domestic and international-facing tourism agencies put on more secure footing Long-term plan to re-set tourism with a focus on sustainability, industry standards and regional economic diversification A plan to ensure the immediate ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • Speech on NZ Rail Plan
    Check against delivery E ngā mana, e ngā reo, e ngā karanga maha o te wa, tēnā koutou, tēnā koutou, tēnā tātou katoa. Ki ngā mana whenua o Taranaki Whānui anō nei aku mihi ki a koutou. Nōku te hōnore kia haere mai ki te whakanuia tēnei huihuinga whakahirahira. Nō ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • Government hits massive milestone in Violence Prevention & Elimination
    Minister for Family and Sexual Violence Marama Davidson announced a major milestone at a hui in South Auckland today, with the launch of the national engagement process on the prevention and elimination of family and sexual violence. “There is no room for violence in our lives – there is no ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • Fee waiver extended for conservation tourism businesses
    Tourism businesses operating on public conservation land will have another six months of fees waived to help them adjust to the downturn in international visitors in the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic, Acting Minister of Conservation Dr Ayesha Verrall has announced. "We acknowledge it has been a difficult year for ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • ‘Lua Wave’ to future-proof Pasifika Festivals in Aotearoa
    Pasifika festival organisers will receive additional support to adapt to the COVID-19 environment thanks to the Government’s newly launched ‘Lua Wave’ component of the Pasifika Festivals Initiative, Minister for Arts, Culture and Heritage Carmel Sepuloni announced today. “This initiative has not only been to support festival organisers to recover from ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • Crown accounts show confidence in Govt economic plan
    The Government’s financial accounts continue to reflect the resilience of the economy and confidence in the Government’s economic recovery plan. The Crown accounts for the nine months to the end of March 2021 show both OBEGAL and the operating balance remain better than forecast in the Half Year Economic and ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • Energy Trusts of NZ Autumn Conference
    It’s a pleasure to be here today. Thank you Karen [Sherry] for the introduction and thanks to the Energy Trusts Executive for inviting me to speak at tonight’s event. It is an exciting time to come to speak to trustees of distribution companies. For many decades the electricity industry was ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • New partnership to grow Māori success in STEM
    A new partnership with the Pūhoro STEM Academy will support thousands more rangatahi Māori to participate and succeed in the fields of science, technology, and innovation, Associate Education Minister Kelvin Davis announced today. Since 2016, Pūhoro has worked with Māori students to build their capability and create pathways to employment ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • Rail builds platform for economic recovery
    Transport Minister Michael Wood and State-Owned Enterprises Minister Dr David Clark today released the Government’s long term vision for a sustainable rail network that supports our economic recovery. New Zealand Rail Plan lays out how the Government is building a resilient, reliable and safe network, as well as the indicative ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • NZ and UK agree to lift the pace of free trade talks
    New Zealand and the United Kingdom have agreed to rapidly lift the tempo of talks, as the two countries enter a new phase in free trade negotiations, Trade and Export Growth Minister Damien O’Connor announced today. “UK Secretary of State for International Trade, Liz Truss, and I spoke today about ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    5 days ago
  • Counter-Terrorism Legislation Bill passes first reading
    The Counter-Terrorism Legislation Bill has passed its first reading and will now be considered by Parliament’s Justice select committee. “The Bill updates and improves New Zealand’s counter-terrorism legislation and ensures that the right legislative tools are available to intervene early and prevent harm,” Minister of Justice Kris Faafoi said. “The ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    5 days ago
  • Statement on The Speaker and Annual Review Debate
    “The serious issue of alleged sexual assault and harassment at Parliament was poorly managed and inappropriately politicised last night. The tone of the debate did not reflect well on Parliament as a whole,” Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern said. “Any investigation of claims of sexual assault should be in a manner ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    5 days ago
  • Govt motoring towards zero-carbon buses and protecting drivers’ conditions
    Transport Minister Michael Wood is seeking feedback on options for the next phase of the Public Transport Operating Model (PTOM) review to better protect bus drivers’ pay conditions, and also achieving the Government’s target of fully decarbonising the public transport bus fleet by 2035. Michael Wood said investing in our ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    5 days ago
  • Drop in unemployment shows Govt economic plan is working
    The Government’s economic recovery plan continues to be reflected in the labour market, with more people in work and unemployment falling. Stats NZ figures show employment rose by 15,000 in the March quarter, with 14,000 more women in work. The unemployment rate fell from 4.9 percent to 4.7 percent. This ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    5 days ago
  • Government sets pay and workforce expectations for the Public Sector
    The Government’s Workforce Policy Statement issued today sets out its expectations for pay and employment relations in the Public Sector, the Minister of Finance and Minister for the Public Service say. “New Zealand has had an exceptionally successful health and economic response to COVID-19. This has been supported by the ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    5 days ago
  • Author Ben Brown is New Zealand’s first Te Awhi Rito Reading Ambassador
    Lyttleton writer Ben Brown (Ngāti Mahuta, Ngāti Koroki, Ngāti Paoa) will be New Zealand’s first Te Awhi Rito Reading Ambassador, promoting the value of reading for children and young people, Internal Affairs Minister Jan Tinetti announced today. A poet and award-winning author, Ben Brown writes books, non-fiction and short stories ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    6 days ago
  • Celebrating New Zealand’s firefighters this International Firefighters’ day
    With two fire stations already complete, and building underway on 16 fire stations around the country, today we celebrate International Firefighters’ Day for the important role firefighters have in keeping communities across the country safe, says Minister of Internal Affairs, Jan Tinetti. The work is progressing due to Government funding ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    6 days ago
  • Ron Brierley knighthood to go
    Ron Brierley has written to the Clerk of the Executive Council to tender his resignation as a Knight Bachelor. The Queen has been informed. The forfeiture follows the Prime Minister initiating the process to remove his Knighthood. The Clerk of the Executive Council wrote to him on 6 April 2021 ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    6 days ago
  • Employment boost for rural communities
    The Government is continuing to create opportunities for at-risk rangatahi overcome barriers to employment, education or training with the next tranche of He Poutama Rangatahi programmes, Minister for Social Development and Employment Carmel Sepuloni announced today. “We’re focused on supporting rangatahi to get what they need to progress in the ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    6 days ago