No. Unless the party vote drops below 30% he will be fine. If Bridges was in caucus he may be in more danger but there is no real challenger. Willis is a better media performer than Luxon but is more liberal and would struggle to get the caucus numbers.
It ultimately comes down to the politician, there's only so much minders can do. Also, Hooton doesn't strike me as a genius political tactician. He usually just takes digs at Labour and hints at insider gossip, but as for sketching out a positive vision ...
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